Latest / The Fourcast / Peter Mandelson and Epstein: how much did Starmer know?
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- 0:00Any association with this prolific, internationally famous
- 0:04paedophile and sex groomer should have been a red black.
- 0:08Virginia, it's very clear she wasn't talking about one man.
- 0:11It was that whole world. She used to talk about the 1%,
- 0:14That 1%, you think they can do anything?
- 0:16His incredibly long letter? It fit the language of the rest
- 0:21of the birthday notices to Epstein perfectly.
- 0:25They all had that kind of like grim, icky, euphemistic chatter
- 0:30about sort of sexuality. Anything that's hanging over
- 0:31this whole conversation, it's about that.
- 0:32Donald Trump is in that book as well.
- 0:34And does it actually put more heat on him that Mandelson has
- 0:37gone over his relationship with Epstein?
- 0:43Hello and welcome to the forecast.
- 0:45For the third time in his political career, Peter
- 0:48Mandelson has fallen from high office in a scandal linked to
- 0:51rich and powerful men. This time it was his
- 0:54relationship with the disgraced financier Jeffrey Epstein that
- 0:57proved his undoing. Sacked from his role as UK
- 1:00ambassador to the US after leaked emails showed him
- 1:02offering support for Epstein even after a sex offence
- 1:06conviction, Downing St. said the Prime Minister found the depth
- 1:09and extent of the relationship reprehensible.
- 1:12But questions are now being asked about Sir Keir Starmer's
- 1:15judgement in appointing him in the 1st place, given Lord
- 1:17Mandelson has attracted, some would say courted controversy
- 1:21throughout his career. He was widely considered to be
- 1:24doing a good job in Washington, though with a good rapport with
- 1:26President Trump. Is that relationship now
- 1:29damaged? To discuss this, I'm joined by
- 1:31the film maker Richard Sanders, who produced the Dispatches
- 1:34documentary that first revealed the friendship between the two
- 1:37men, the Labour peer Aisha Hazarika, and the author and
- 1:40political journalist Ian Dunt, who has written extensively on
- 1:44Lord Mandelson. Well, Ayesha first.
- 1:47He had to go, didn't he? Absolutely.
- 1:49I mean, I think many people felt that when the extent of his
- 1:54close personal friendship with Jeffrey Epstein came to to
- 1:58light, you know, people knew that they were friends.
- 2:01But I think the the level of kind of affection, I mean, they
- 2:05felt like they were love letters being being written and you
- 2:08know, to use colloquial phrase, I mean, they kind of gave
- 2:11everybody the ick. I mean, it really was, some of
- 2:13it was quite kind of stomach training, stomach training
- 2:16anyway. But to have these letters to
- 2:19somebody who, you know, was really kind of the modern day
- 2:22equivalent in America of what Jimmy Savile was in in the
- 2:26United Kingdom. So absolutely, with that
- 2:28question, he definitely had to go.
- 2:30Ian Dunn it it's been a shameful episode and and shaming to
- 2:33Britain as well. In the eyes of the US, maybe.
- 2:37Yeah, I mean, it's quite hard. There's not a lot more of our
- 2:40national reputation for us to uphold at the moment, and we're
- 2:42really struggling to keep what we do have.
- 2:44This isn't really helping. We had a really good ambassador
- 2:48to the US, Karen Pierce, you know, seasoned diplomat, not the
- 2:53kind of person who ends up on the kind of islands that we're
- 2:55talking about here. You know, had a long career
- 2:58stretching back to the 80s, starting in Japan, had managed
- 3:00to, you know, build the bases in that kind of subtle old
- 3:03fashioned British Foreign Office sort of way across the spectrum
- 3:06in the US. And then you get this decision,
- 3:09which felt kind of weird at the time of being, well, we need a
- 3:11political operator. And you think, wait, you don't
- 3:13really need you're absolutely, you've got a really good about
- 3:15now. Why would you be making any of
- 3:16these changes? And at that point, we knew
- 3:18everything that we know now. I mean, fine, so a few emails
- 3:21have come to light, but it wasn't like the basic facts.
- 3:23We said today the material facts, which the material facts
- 3:25have not changed at all. Well, well, let me bring in
- 3:27Richard on that point, Richard Sanders, because, you know, we
- 3:29made this film together back in 2019.
- 3:32The government pops up today and says, well, there's a material
- 3:34change now in what we knew about Mandelson's, Mandelson's
- 3:37relationship with Epstein. What did we find out in 2019
- 3:41that we broadcast to the world? It was very frustrating really,
- 3:44because back in 2019 we had an interviewee, he was an anonymous
- 3:47interviewee. He was a close friend of of
- 3:50Epstein's, you know, a man, interesting man, a very, very
- 3:53wealthy man, had had his own yacht, had various connections
- 3:55with the intelligence services himself.
- 3:59And he told us this extraordinary story of visiting
- 4:01Epstein while he was supposedly in prison, you know, sort of
- 4:06very, very luxurious prison. And while he's there, he gets
- 4:09this phone call. Because he was allowed out on
- 4:11day release. To do this.
- 4:12Calls in his office. Yes, I mean, you know, and he
- 4:14was only in prison for a year and he gets this extraordinary
- 4:17phone call from this gentleman called PT and he's sort of
- 4:20listening to it. He's trying to work out what it
- 4:22is. And and the phone call itself is
- 4:23interesting. This person wants Epstein to
- 4:26arrange a meeting. Once the phone was hung up, it
- 4:28became quite clear that that PT was Peter Mandelson and it and
- 4:31it was clear that they were very close friends.
- 4:34The tone of it was they were very close friends and and also
- 4:37in Peter Mandelson didn't deny this at the time.
- 4:40What is it as I have no recollection that meeting, which
- 4:43is a rather rather different thing from denying something.
- 4:46We got a lot of legal push back at the time.
- 4:47A lot of legal push back, but it evaporated after we'd actually
- 4:51gone to. But he also said an interesting
- 4:53thing. He said why would I need Jeffrey
- 4:55Epstein to make my bookings for me in New York?
- 4:56Which is precisely the point. Why indeed?
- 4:59And we'll talk, we'll come to, you know, why Mandelson was sort
- 5:02of seduced by rich and powerful men in a second.
- 5:05But Aisha, all of this given what we knew back in 2019 that
- 5:09we put out on air and what has dribbled out since, it raises
- 5:13serious questions, doesn't it, about Sir Keir Starmer's
- 5:16judgement in appointing Peter Mandelson to this plum job?
- 5:20Well, it's now coming to light that concerns were raised the
- 5:25Labour peer Morris Glassman, who's very close to Morgan
- 5:29McSweeney, who is Keir Starmer's chief of staff.
- 5:32You know, it's said that he submitted a memo, you know,
- 5:35close to the time saying, look, I'm, I think this is a difficult
- 5:40appointment. But I think the calculation was
- 5:44from Keir Starmer's team that the prospect of negotiating with
- 5:48Donald Trump was going to be so difficult, particularly when a
- 5:51lot of people in the cabinet had sort of slagged Donald Trump off
- 5:54over the years. You needed somebody.
- 5:55But including Peter Mandelson though.
- 5:57Absolutely. But you needed somebody who
- 6:00could kind of sort of be a Trump whisperer who could move in
- 6:02those sort of circles, which Peter is very good at doing
- 6:06because he does like wealth and he likes wealthy men and and
- 6:09powerful men as, as, as we've seen.
- 6:12But I think what what should have been a big red flag is the
- 6:16fact that anybody with a close friendship with Jeffrey Epstein,
- 6:21massive, massive red flag. Don't forget the Prince Andrew
- 6:25story and saga in our country, the Emily Maitlis interview, the
- 6:29fact that he kept his friendship going with Jeffrey Epstein even
- 6:32after he had been convicted, and the fact that, you know, Prince
- 6:37Andrew had to be sort of discarded from, from, from the
- 6:39royal family. I mean, any association with
- 6:42this prolific, internationally famous paedophile and sex
- 6:46groomer should have been a a red flag.
- 6:49But I think the calculation was that the government and I, I
- 6:53kind of understand from a, you know, from a business point of
- 6:55view, from a trade point of view, you know, they were just
- 6:58thinking about, look, we don't want to get massive tariffs from
- 7:00Trump. We want to have a good deal with
- 7:02Trump. But I think you also have to
- 7:03remember your your values in this.
- 7:05Ian Dunn, you should never have been appointed in the first
- 7:07place. No, I mean obviously not.
- 7:10And then having been appointed, they needed to be much quicker
- 7:13off the mark of realising what the significance of what's
- 7:16happened this week was. In fact, they failed him.
- 7:18So yesterday you get like Prime Minister in PMQ speaking very
- 7:22confidently about something that you're looking at and thinking
- 7:24like, is that line going to hold?
- 7:26Like it doesn't feel like it's going to hold.
- 7:28Sending out minister this morning and the immigration
- 7:31minister to hold that line and you're thinking like this line
- 7:34is not going to hold. So that's someone there who's
- 7:36not going to forget the fact that they've been sent out to do
- 7:38that, who will be a bit more reticent about going out to hold
- 7:40the government line next time. Once you build a lot of people
- 7:44around you who feel that way, who question your judgement, who
- 7:46don't know if they'll be hung out to dry and made to look a
- 7:48fool by the fact that you're going to U-turn on something
- 7:50that you currently seem terribly confident about, that's when
- 7:53things start to become quite difficult for you in Parliament.
- 7:55That's what's scuppered plenty of Conservative prime ministers
- 7:58over the last, you know, decade and a bit.
- 8:00So no, I would worry quite a lot about the decision making that
- 8:03lay behind both the original appointment and the things that
- 8:05have happened this week. And Peter Mandelson has already
- 8:08been turfed out of Cabinet jobs in the past.
- 8:11I knew you were there when some of that.
- 8:13Yeah. I mean, look, he, he's very much
- 8:14seen as the sort of Icarus, you know, kind of character in, in,
- 8:19in the Labour Party. He was, you know, he had to
- 8:22resign because of a loan he took from a man called Geoffrey
- 8:25Robinson. He then had to resign over an
- 8:28issue about passports for 2 Indian businessmen, the Hinduja
- 8:32brothers, although he was subsequently cleared of that.
- 8:34So he is somebody that is kind of a high risk, high voltage
- 8:40person. But I think the other thing that
- 8:42I just like to sort of see in all of this, Kathy, is that,
- 8:45look, this New Labour government has also got a really important
- 8:49mission and that's to have violence against women and
- 8:51girls. And it's really proud to be a
- 8:54party, even though we haven't had a female leader, we're very
- 8:57proud of of delivering for women, particularly in terms of
- 9:00violence against women. And I think a lot of women in
- 9:03the Labour Party were really horrified about this.
- 9:06We've just had this big grooming scandal in this country, the
- 9:09Pakistani grooming scandal. I met some victims recently in
- 9:14Parliament and it was so painful listening to them.
- 9:18And the long tail of this kind of abuse from women who were
- 9:23groomed from a young age by paedophiles and raped for sex.
- 9:27People think these are crimes that happened like, you know, 20
- 9:29years ago. Get over it, move on.
- 9:30No, for these women, the long tail of these crimes, I mean,
- 9:34Virginia Jeffrey took her own life.
- 9:36And I think in a mix, in the midst of all this, who's up,
- 9:39who's down, What kind of characters, Peter?
- 9:41There are victims who are everyday reliving this horror
- 9:46and trauma. Well, and Richard, it was very
- 9:48clear in that just excruciating birthday book that we're we're
- 9:52that we saw 238 pages running joke about Epstein's appetite
- 9:57for young women. I mean, horrifying.
- 10:01But there'll be other people now sweating because they know that
- 10:06they've looked at what's happened to Peter Mandelson.
- 10:07They know that they might be next.
- 10:09Tell us about that. Well, there's a lot of people,
- 10:10you see when we did the film in 2019, all this business about
- 10:13the the Epstein list. And will the Epstein List be be
- 10:16produced? I don't think it's, it's quite
- 10:19as mysterious as that. We, there had been a lot of
- 10:22legal proceedings over the years.
- 10:24And we looked into those legal proceedings really carefully.
- 10:26And there was a massive documentation online.
- 10:29And when you really picked it apart, you got, you know, a lot
- 10:32of names, all very rich and very powerful, a lot of them very
- 10:36well known. Some world leaders in there.
- 10:40Now, in the year after our film, I got to know Virginia quite
- 10:44well. I used to speak to Virginia on
- 10:45the phone all, all the time and she was very keen to go go after
- 10:49them. She she wanted to go after them.
- 10:51But obviously it's the legal implications.
- 10:53You're going to get sued by these people.
- 10:55But is that going to start happening now, do you think?
- 10:57I mean, because there's talk the Epstein victims talking about
- 11:01sort of putting together their own client list and getting out
- 11:03there naming and shaming. Yeah, well, I mean, it would, it
- 11:05would all depend on the lawyers. I mean, you know, we, we, we
- 11:07discussed this making follow up films and, and, and the problem
- 11:11was the, the risk of being sued by extremely wealthy people.
- 11:15Are you sure you know a client list?
- 11:18Is that? Is that where this now goes?
- 11:20Well, I think where they should go now is instead of just
- 11:24talking about the careers of very, you know, rich men, I
- 11:28think this needs to move to the victims and justice for the
- 11:31victims. There are many, many men
- 11:34implicated in this. This is a a, you know, a very
- 11:37elite network of, of men. And I think when Peter Mandelson
- 11:41did that interview with his son and he said, you know, my heart
- 11:45goes out to to those victims. I hope and I sincerely hope he
- 11:50did mean that. And I think one thing he could
- 11:52do, because nobody is coming forward to help those victims
- 11:56and, you know, give any evidence or talk to them about what they
- 11:59know. And that's what, you know, will
- 12:01move this case forward. So I would strong I would like
- 12:05to see him reach out to the victims groups now and sit down
- 12:10with them and tell people what he saw and what he knew to help
- 12:14these victims. I mean, there's no implication
- 12:18that he was involved in the abuse in any way whatsoever.
- 12:21I should just make that clear. But what do you think of that
- 12:23suggestion that Peter Mandelson should sort of help expose and
- 12:26name and shame some of these rich and very powerful men?
- 12:29Yeah, that'll be helpful. I don't think it's like, but I
- 12:32mean, you know, it would be encouraging if we were to see
- 12:34something like that. I mean, I think we, we've
- 12:36understood the, the pattern with him.
- 12:40It's strange, you know, because we just had like a summer of
- 12:42Oasis and everything's about the late 90s.
- 12:44Now I just feel like I'm back in the late 90s.
- 12:45It's exactly the same story that we were dealing with like 1998.
- 12:48It's the first time we had a resignation.
- 12:50It's the same resignation is always the same.
- 12:52It's always the same circumstance.
- 12:54It's like, should you really have been friends with this
- 12:55tremendously wealthy man when he was EU commissioner, by the way,
- 12:58in between these two lives? Exactly the same stories coming
- 13:01out. Should you really have been
- 13:02seeing this Russian oligarch? Should you really have been
- 13:04hanging out with this person from Microsoft when they're
- 13:06under investigation? You know, over and over It's the
- 13:08same story with him. When someone exhibits the kind
- 13:11of behaviour you see like that just happening over and over
- 13:14with regularity unchanged over about 30 decades, you sort of
- 13:17think I very much doubt this person's going to change anytime
- 13:19soon. And I'm afraid I wouldn't have
- 13:20much hope that he will. What is it about wealthy men
- 13:25that appeals to Peter Mandelson? I mean, for certain people, that
- 13:30is a very attractive kind of social milieu to be in, and I
- 13:33guess he's one of them. What's interesting about his
- 13:36incredibly long letter was that it fit the language of the rest
- 13:41of the birthday notices Epstein perfectly.
- 13:45They all had that kind of like grim, icky, euphemistic chatter
- 13:50about sort of sexuality. And he's all the same with
- 13:52Manson and stuff about the Yum, Yum this and that.
- 13:54It was all, it was icky, right? But it was the exact language
- 13:57that all the other letters were using.
- 13:58He clearly fit in that society and that kind of social context.
- 14:02Aisha. Well, I mean, I think Peter has
- 14:05always been very seduced by, by wealth and he's always,
- 14:10obviously always been attracted to it.
- 14:13And, you know, you know, I, I know Peter reasonably well.
- 14:16I've worked with him over the, the years.
- 14:19And I think for people who are very, very close to him, the
- 14:23frustration is he is a, he is a great political mind.
- 14:26And he's also his own worst enemy in the sense that, you
- 14:29know, he has this ability to self sabotage his his his
- 14:34career. And he is obviously, you know,
- 14:37like a moth to the flame, attracted to extreme wealth and
- 14:40these very particular types of very wealthy, very powerful men.
- 14:46You don't really get that many powerful, wealthy women.
- 14:48So it is powerful, wealthy men. Ian, how's the state visit going
- 14:52to go now? That's going to be really
- 14:54difficult. I mean, mostly because, of
- 14:56course, the thing that's hanging over this whole conversation is
- 14:57fact that Donald Trump is in that book as well.
- 14:59And despite the fact that, you know, the far right in the US
- 15:02have been pretending for over a decade now that they're
- 15:04tremendously worked up by elite network.
- 15:06So they've completely imagined in their head, the second that
- 15:09they get presented with a real elite network that implicates
- 15:11their hero, they suddenly don't have anything to say.
- 15:14Nevertheless, he is in that book and in any rational world that
- 15:17would be the the first thing and the only thing that we would be
- 15:19talking about over the last week as as a globe, as a world,
- 15:22that's what we would be discussing.
- 15:24And does it actually put more heat on him that Mandelson has
- 15:26gone over his relationship with Epstein?
- 15:29It's going to make it a tremendously difficult thing for
- 15:32Keir Starmer to navigate, which is the conversation about Peter
- 15:34Manson on the one hand, and what he needs to do to keep Donald
- 15:37Trump sweet during a state visit, on the other.
- 15:39And there's a very small area in between those two circles that
- 15:42you can operate within in the way that isn't going to upset
- 15:45attitudes on one side or the other.
- 15:47And I think Starmer's going to really struggle with that.
- 15:49That is a problem of his own making.
- 15:51And if they'd been a little bit more cognizant and strategic
- 15:53about the way that these things could work out, that problem
- 15:55would not necessarily have had to have taken place.
- 15:57Ian is right. Look, Peter Mandelson not being
- 16:01here orchestrating and conducting this state visit will
- 16:06make it more difficult. And of course, there will be
- 16:08more scrutiny and more heat on Donald Trump now because of of,
- 16:12of the Epstein connection. And of course, all of this also
- 16:16makes it quite difficult for the royal, uncomfortable for the
- 16:18royal family because of the Prince Andrew link as well.
- 16:20So this is all going to be very, very tense.
- 16:25But, you know, also we've got a new foreign secretary as well
- 16:29who will be kind of navigating this.
- 16:31I mean, it helps that David Lammy does have a good
- 16:33relationship with JD Vance. I'm sure David Lammy as Deputy
- 16:37Prime Minister will, will now probably move into quite an
- 16:39important position. But I don't think we should kid
- 16:41ourselves. This state visit is going to be
- 16:43quite, quite tricky. Just on the point about about
- 16:46Trump, it's very important to bear in mind.
- 16:47Who denies any wrongdoings? And as Virginia was quite clear
- 16:51that she'd never been abused by Trump, Epstein world was
- 16:55fundamentally a democratic world, as was Harvey Weinsteins.
- 16:58Okay, Bloomberg have 18,000 of Epstein emails or I think
- 17:02Trump's name pops up three times.
- 17:04There's a story that it's very odd it hasn't been picked up
- 17:06more. Yesterday the Times reported
- 17:08that there's a memo Peter Mandelson sent to Tony Blair in
- 17:122002 saying you really ought to meet this man.
- 17:14Now. It wasn't meet him to discuss
- 17:16this or something specific. It was just in general.
- 17:18He's a useful person to know. I'm amazed no one seems to have
- 17:21asked Tony Blair, did you meet? Him, don't worry.
- 17:23We've been bidding for him. But but I mean, how damaging is
- 17:27this whole thing to Trump, though?
- 17:29I mean, I take your point that this was a sort of a bigger
- 17:31problem for the Democrats. But you know, Trump happens to
- 17:33be the one in power. So how problematic is the whole
- 17:35thing? For him, I think it is
- 17:37problematic. Trump and he fell out at a
- 17:39certain point before Epstein went to prison, they fell out
- 17:42and that that relationship stopped.
- 17:44So I'm not sure how much more there is to come out about Trump
- 17:48than has already come out. I mean, I used to talk to
- 17:50Virginia. That's been bad enough, though.
- 17:52It's been bad enough. I used to talk to Virginia quite
- 17:53a lot about Trump. She he was sleazy.
- 17:55You'd see him around. He was a sleazy, unpleasant
- 17:57presence. But other men loomed much larger
- 18:00in her memory. Just coming back to the state
- 18:03visit and sort of picking up the pieces from this mess, Who will
- 18:09be, I mean, we know we've got an acting ambassador, but who's
- 18:10going to be the permanent replacement or who should be?
- 18:14Karen Pierce. Well, I mean, look, I do agree
- 18:17with what Ian said. I mean, Karen Pearce was a
- 18:20really well respected figure. I think having a, a female
- 18:24ambassador is a, is a, is a really good thing.
- 18:27She was somebody who, you know, the, the White House felt that
- 18:31they could work with. You know, she was really
- 18:33respected by the, by the, the department.
- 18:37And I think as well, I think civil servants and the
- 18:41diplomatic service were always felt slightly uncomfortable
- 18:44about this top job being a political appointment rather
- 18:49than being an appointment that went to sort of a top diplomat
- 18:52who had really, you know, cut their teeth around the the
- 18:55world. And so it should revert.
- 18:56To that in your. View Well, I just think after
- 18:59after everything that's happened, I think that would
- 19:01make a lot of sense. I mean, let's see what number 10
- 19:04decide to do. But I think bringing Karen back
- 19:06would be no bad thing. Ian is it going to be sort of a
- 19:09political now? And hopefully we would go back
- 19:12to the default setting and go for that kind of person.
- 19:14And there is a reason that we have these people in those kind
- 19:16of jobs and and they don't typically get themselves into
- 19:20trouble like this. It would also be quite good, I
- 19:22think for for the Labour government.
- 19:24Just have a think about the kind of language and principles that
- 19:27had established at the beginning when it came into government.
- 19:29We will be cleaner than clean. We are going to show that you
- 19:32can kill populism by virtue. Just showing like we are going
- 19:35to get rid of sleeves. We're going to get rid of this
- 19:37kind of behaviour. Now we've we've seen things that
- 19:40I think are very much, I thought the rain I think was very, very
- 19:42minor and extremely forgivable and a bit silly on tax.
- 19:45It's not. It's nowhere near the kind.
- 19:46Of other people see it differently.
- 19:47But we do see it differently. But I mean, I, I would be
- 19:50surprised if you went to most people with what do you think
- 19:52the moral severity of these two stories is last week or this
- 19:55week? Most people would obviously
- 19:56think this is a much graver kind of situation that we're talking
- 19:58about this week. But on that basis, it's a good
- 20:00chance for them to say, hang on a minute, let's make sure we're
- 20:02living up to that language and those principles that we
- 20:04expressed when we first came into government.
- 20:05I just think so, so kind of fascinating from a kind of a
- 20:09feminist point of view. It just shows you about this
- 20:13kind of network of these incredibly powerful this these
- 20:18elite men and the sort of impunity with which they thought
- 20:22they could behave. And the fact that they earned a
- 20:25lot of money or they ran these big businesses where they held
- 20:28these great positions in office. But has that.
- 20:30Changed now I. I, I mean, I, I hope so, I don't
- 20:33know. And I think so many people will,
- 20:36will look at this and just think, you know, this sort of
- 20:39inherently sort of patriarchal sort of behaviour, which is, and
- 20:44this sort of behaviour that impunity men who clearly felt
- 20:47that they could just get away with it because these were the
- 20:50masters of the universe. These were kind of these global
- 20:53emperors and they were above the law and they were above morality
- 20:57and they were above decency. I mean, and, and, and the
- 21:00tentacles of Jeffrey Epstein go, you know, as you say, it's not
- 21:04just one political party. It was Democrats, publicans, you
- 21:08know, the Labour. I'm sure there's political
- 21:10parties all over the world. Business, business.
- 21:12The royal family, you know, there is a Nexus of this
- 21:16absolutely like disgusting, venal, sickening behaviour which
- 21:20these men for decades have just been able to get away with.
- 21:23So that that's Virginia used to talk about that all the time.
- 21:27She was very clear. She wasn't talking about one
- 21:28man. She wasn't even talking about
- 21:30the, the, the sort of circle around him.
- 21:33It was that whole world he moved in.
- 21:34She used to talk about the 1%, that 1% who think they can do
- 21:38anything. Well, let's talk about the
- 21:39politics more broadly. Aisha, You're well plugged into
- 21:42the entire parliamentary party, of course.
- 21:44How disgruntled are people? Well, I mean, there's no way to
- 21:47sort of sugar the pill. I mean, there has been a very,
- 21:50very difficult couple of weeks for the, for the.
- 21:53Labour Party, I mean, it's been disastrous, hasn't.
- 21:55It of course it's been very, very difficult, been coming
- 21:57back, doing a reset and then at the end of that week, you know,
- 22:00losing Angela Rayner who you know, I think she had to go
- 22:04given what she did. But it was a great loss to the
- 22:06party because she was a really good communicator.
- 22:10She was held in a great amount of affection.
- 22:12She was a great campaigner. And now a week on losing, you
- 22:18know, one of the kind of prime jobs in, in, in the government,
- 22:22you know, in terms of those sort of trinkets given out, it's,
- 22:25it's terrible. And I think the members and the
- 22:28Parliamentary Labour Party are are definitely sort of jittery,
- 22:32but they're not just sort of jittery in an internal way.
- 22:36They want this get Labour government to succeed, right?
- 22:38They really want this Labour government to succeed because
- 22:41the alternative is absolutely terrifying.
- 22:44The prospect of staring down the barrel at Prime Minister Nigel
- 22:47Farage is absolutely terrifying. For Labour's incompetence is is
- 22:51bringing that day further forward.
- 22:53By the minute things have not been going well and the Labour
- 22:55Party does and the the kind of leadership absolutely needs to,
- 22:59to get a grip. But in terms of where the mood
- 23:01of the party is, it's, it's very worried and it wants the kind of
- 23:07leadership and it wants to pull together to sort of do good for
- 23:10the country and tell that story. But at the moment it just feels
- 23:14like there's so many sort of scandals happening.
- 23:16And they want to, they want this Labour government to, as, as Ian
- 23:19said, do what they promised to do, which is come in, change the
- 23:23country, fix this country for the, for the better, you know,
- 23:26and, and, and get on with building a sort of positive
- 23:29Britain. And they want to move on from,
- 23:31from from these distractions. Much anyone at the moment who is
- 23:36like even from the center right to the sort of socialist left is
- 23:41just desperate for this government to succeed because
- 23:44you're seeing the stuff in the wings.
- 23:46And the stuff in the wings is not the conservatism that we're
- 23:48used to. And we we're having somewhat
- 23:52like a mainstream politician stand up and talk about
- 23:55basically like mass deportations.
- 23:57Like it's what like some kind of normal policy.
- 23:59It's a far right policy. That's what it is.
- 24:01It's far right talk. It's far right rhetoric and we
- 24:04know that there is this poison. And yet when you look for some
- 24:08kind of leadership, what you see from the top of the Labour Party
- 24:12is just this sort of sense of like we, we are unwilling to
- 24:14speak about our values. Like we're just not going to say
- 24:17we're unwilling to speak with any kind of emotion at all.
- 24:19The only criticism we will make of even a policy, as extreme as
- 24:21that is we think that you've constructed incompetently.
- 24:25It's like that's not the problem with the policy.
- 24:26The policy policy is that it's a moral obscenity.
- 24:29So there is just no sense of a progressive voice seemingly like
- 24:32in this country at all. It's really hard to find it
- 24:35anywhere to the point that you end up with, you know, like the
- 24:37leader of the Green Party and the FT, like, you know, that's
- 24:40where you're getting your. It's a ridiculous state of
- 24:42affairs. So Are you sure if the
- 24:45leadership doesn't get it's act together, is Keir Starmer
- 24:47potentially out of a job before the next election?
- 24:50I, I don't, I don't think so because I do think that even
- 24:54though people are disgruntled, remember I think you have to
- 24:56just look back through history. It is not often that Labour wins
- 24:59a general election. Keir Starmer is only the 7th
- 25:03Labour Prime Minister in the history of British politics,
- 25:07right. And so I think even though
- 25:09people are, are definitely not happy at the moment and
- 25:12grumbling, I think people do also remember that we don't
- 25:16often have a Labour government. It was hard fought for and to be
- 25:19fair to Keir Starmer, he is the person that got the party over
- 25:23the line for many, many years. Labour is very, very good at
- 25:26losing elections. He did something that that no
- 25:28Labour leader's done for a long time and I've worked for a
- 25:30number of different Labour leaders.
- 25:32He got Labour over the line, but what he's got to do is he's got
- 25:36to sort of get his team together and look, there are some really
- 25:42important things that are happening.
- 25:43Things are starting to turn a corner with the NHS.
- 25:46There's record investment going into infrastructure and
- 25:50planning. You know, the defence spending
- 25:52is, is, is, is doing lots of good work for kind of jobs up
- 25:55and down the country. Massive shipbuilding coming back
- 25:57to to to to Scotland with this Norway deal.
- 26:00So and the economy is stalling and immigration is still.
- 26:03Going home, but that but it's wrong to say that there's like
- 26:06it's not balance say that there's nothing good or nothing
- 26:09positive happening. But Labour apps.
- 26:11It has to get a grip. And one thing you said, you said
- 26:13emotionally, and that's so important.
- 26:15It's no point just pointing to charts and graphs going look
- 26:18what's happening. It's about having an emotional
- 26:21connection and having an emotional dialogue because
- 26:23people out there right now are so anxious.
- 26:26They're anxious about the economy, they're anxious about
- 26:28immigration, they're anxious about crime, anti social
- 26:30behaviour, what they're seeing. And Labour has got to be more on
- 26:34the front foot, a better kind of speaking, a language that
- 26:38connects with people. Ian Keir Tom has never been
- 26:41capable of speaking that language.
- 26:42Do you see him safe in his job until the next election?
- 26:45Or do you think if things keep on, you know Farage is still
- 26:48ahead in the polls for the next year?
- 26:502 Whatever then it's curtains for Kier.
- 26:54The you can hear the whispers. I mean, even the way the people
- 26:57have been talking about Andy Burnham, you know, in this
- 26:59slightly sci-fi sort of way, it's quite hard to see the
- 27:01blocking of how you get him into part of it.
- 27:03But you know, even that the sort of, you know, these attempts are
- 27:06just finding some kind of alternative.
- 27:07You can hear the whispers starting to build now.
- 27:09Still, the good money would be on Kier Starmer leading into the
- 27:11next election. Absolutely, Aisha.
- 27:13Finally, you're in the Lords for Labour.
- 27:14You're looking forward to sharing those benches with Peter
- 27:17Mandelson. Well, let's see if he, you know,
- 27:19comes back and wants to. I mean, he might want to stay in
- 27:22America for, for a while. That will be a decision for him.
- 27:25Would he be welcoming the Lords though?
- 27:27You'll have to ask some of his other colleagues.
- 27:29What I'm asking you, do you welcome him back to the Lords?
- 27:32I mean, is it, is it appropriate that he's, he's been sacked from
- 27:34one of the plum jobs, is it right that he turns it up back
- 27:37in the Lords? The Labour, that isn't it.
- 27:39I mean, the way the Lords operate says there's a lot of
- 27:42people that are under, you know, a lot of scrutiny.
- 27:44And I think it's important to say he's not broken the law and
- 27:47you've said that he hasn't done. We've established, you know,
- 27:50we're not saying that he himself, but it was his.
- 27:52But he might have broken the Lord's code of conduct, which
- 27:54would. Require him to be suspended.
- 27:56That will be for the, for the Lords of authorities to, to, to
- 27:58have a look at. All I can say is he hasn't done,
- 28:01you know, things like other people have done, like dodgy PPE
- 28:05and things like that and, you know, sort of done.
- 28:07He hasn't, I think it's really, really clear he's not broken any
- 28:10rules or, you know, done anything like like that.
- 28:12But you know, as I say for Peter, if he's serious about
- 28:17having sympathy for those victims, I would really like to
- 28:22see him to reach out to, you know, the the lawyers of the
- 28:25victims, some of the victims and, and, and talk to them
- 28:28because his knowledge, and we're not saying he is, he's done
- 28:31anything wrong, but his knowledge could really help
- 28:33them. Richard, would the victims
- 28:34welcome that? Oh yes, certainly.
- 28:36I mean anyone who can, who can speak up and provide evidence.
- 28:39The other one person who knows absolutely everything is Gilane
- 28:41Maxwell as well, of course. Richard Sanders, Ian Dunt and
- 28:45Aisha Hazarika, thank you all very much for joining us.
- 28:47That is it for this episode of THE FORECAST.
- 28:49Until next time, goodbye.