Latest / Pediatrics Now: Cases Updates and Discussions for the Busy Pediatric Practitioner / AI in Medicine: Ready for a Texas-Sized Leap Forward or Not?
Transcript
- 0:00So the light bulb is a disruptive innovation. So we're in a room filled with light.
- 0:05In the old days, maybe when people were going along that river on horses,
- 0:10candles provided light.
- 0:11So if we just improved the candle, we would have never gotten to the light bulb.
- 0:17I'm Holly Wehmint, and this is Pediatrics Now, cases, updates,
- 0:21and discussions for the busy pediatric practitioner.
- 0:25Click on the link in this podcast for free credit that may include CME,
- 0:29MOC, or ethics credit, depending on our topic or podcast.
- 0:33It's a new year, and this week we have a new episode on something that's very new in medicine, AI.
- 0:42You may not know this, but UTHealth San Antonio has a dual degree program that's
- 0:48an MD and a master's in AI. Down the road, stay tuned, I plan to interview the
- 0:55doctor who teaches that program.
- 0:57For this AI episode, I attended the Neonatology Fellowship Conference in downtown
- 1:03San Antonio recently, and I'm bringing you this talk by Dr.
- 1:08James Berry. It was such an honor to hear what he has to say with his special interest in AI,
- 1:14and he's a professor of pediatrics and medical director of neonatology at University
- 1:20of Colorado Neonatal Intensive Care Unit.
- 1:23You might hear him refer to Dr. Kaiser Aziz.
- 1:27He also has a special interest in AI, and he's an assistant professor of pediatrics
- 1:32and general internal medicine at Johns Hopkins.
- 1:36I've interviewed him previously for the podcast, and you can find that in this
- 1:40Pediatrics Now news feed.
- 1:42The other person he mentions in this fascinating talk is Dr. Alvaro Morera.
- 1:46He is a neonatologist here at the University of Texas Health Science Center.
- 1:51He works in the NICU at University Health's new Women's and Children's Hospital.
- 1:57I have kind of a probably an academic career that you wouldn't want to follow.
- 2:01So you guys up front here, you wouldn't want to follow what I've done because
- 2:05I've kind of navigated to things that have interested me over time.
- 2:09So to begin with, I was a basic science researcher and studied heart development
- 2:14and how how it was affected by IUGR, became a medical director.
- 2:18And what I'll start talking about is kind of how I ended up navigating to AI
- 2:24and how maybe we should be thinking about AI today.
- 2:28The next 10 years in medicine is going to change pretty significantly.
- 2:35And so you're entering a really exciting time into healthcare because in a decade,
- 2:40it's going to look completely different than it does today.
- 2:43Hopefully better, but potentially not. So we have to make sure that you guys
- 2:47are all involved in that.
- 2:49I don't really have any disclosures to make for this talk.
- 2:52I'm not going to talk about anything that I'm financially supported for.
- 2:57I will bring up product names or company names.
- 3:00I have no relationship with them and get no money, but I'll just use them as examples.
- 3:05I was a site investigator for an aerosolized surfactant study.
- 3:09I was a co-founder of Neomind AI, which there's two in the audience here tonight
- 3:14that are also co-founders of that,
- 3:16which is an AI collaborative learning group that we want neonatologists and
- 3:22pediatricians to use as a resource for understanding how we can apply AI safely,
- 3:28effectively, ethically and unbiased in health care.
- 3:31And I used to be the District 8 representative on the Executive Council for
- 3:35the Section of Neonatal Perinatal Medicine for the AAP, but my six years are up.
- 3:40So I'll talk a little bit about AI tonight, really kind of where it is,
- 3:45maybe a little bit why I'm involved in it,
- 3:47some kind of studies that relate to us in our field, and then how you all should
- 3:54kind of be thinking about getting involved or why you should get involved.
- 3:58So probably one of my most important career moves is I became medical director
- 4:04of one of our NICUs back in 2007.
- 4:07And what you have to know about me is I'm kind of an early or late majority
- 4:12adopter of new technology.
- 4:14So if you really knew me, you would say that I would be the very last person
- 4:18to be standing up here and talking about AI.
- 4:20Because that's the newest, shiniest innovation that people are really excited about.
- 4:26Normally, I'm the one who says, hey, we can't be involved in that.
- 4:30We have to make sure that that's safe and effective.
- 4:32The thing that I learned about myself as a medical director is I like to fix
- 4:36things. I like to fix hospital systems and processes.
- 4:39And I'm always on the lookout for like, what is the next best thing that's going
- 4:45to improve care in our NICU?
- 4:47Most of the time, it's been approaches to care, not always like an intervention.
- 4:51Probably the thing that we have learned in the last 10 years in neonatology
- 4:57to improve outcomes was to actually not do something.
- 5:00Do you guys know what that might be? That not do something is as a neonatology fellow or student?
- 5:06It's to delay clamping the umbilical cord.
- 5:09That's probably been the most significant thing that we've done in neonatology
- 5:13in the last 10 years to improve patients' outcomes.
- 5:15So we actually decided we weren't going to do something. So much different than
- 5:20you think about innovation.
- 5:21But in 2019, I started hearing hospital leaders talk about AI and how it was
- 5:26going to solve all of our problems and how it was going to help us improve our
- 5:30care and support the care that we're providing to our patients.
- 5:33All I could really think about AI was, did you guys ever see that movie iRobot
- 5:37with Will Smith and Sonny was a robot that helped save the world from all the evil robots?
- 5:42So that was 2021. And I decided that probably isn't what my healthcare leaders
- 5:47were talking about. I don't think they were thinking about Sunny and iRobot.
- 5:50So I really started jumping in and trying to learn about AI.
- 5:54I don't have computer science background. I'm not an engineer.
- 5:58I'm not a data scientist. But I decided I was going to learn because all these
- 6:02healthcare leaders were telling me that it was going to be important.
- 6:05And I have to say today, when I jumped in, I was skeptical.
- 6:08Everybody said it's going to solve all of our problems. I don't think it's going
- 6:12to solve all of them, but it's going to solve some of them.
- 6:14So I'm no longer a skeptic. In November 2022, ChatGPT blew up on the scene,
- 6:20and the world kind of took notice.
- 6:23It took five days for ChatGPT to get to one million users online,
- 6:27much faster than all the other social media platforms.
- 6:32It took two months to get to 100 million users, much faster than TikTok,
- 6:36Instagram, and others. So it really took the world by storm.
- 6:39In healthcare, we've actually had multiple things kind of take us by storm over the years.
- 6:45So it got me thinking about what are some big changes that we've seen in healthcare
- 6:50that have really had important impact on our care.
- 6:54The penicillin discovered in 1928 by Alexander Fleming.
- 6:58Pretty remarkable. The global mortality rate has declined dramatically because
- 7:03of the discovery of penicillin, the mass production of it, and then the mass
- 7:07production of many other antimicrobials.
- 7:09So global mortality rates are decreased because of the discovery of penicillin.
- 7:16Anybody heard of thalidomide before? Are you guys using it in your perinatal care areas? No.
- 7:22Why not? It was a medication that was used for morning sickness.
- 7:26Turns out it actually caused limb malformations in babies. So it was a bad idea,
- 7:31but it was an innovative approach at the time.
- 7:34How about this, the light bulb? So the fact that they figured out that shooting
- 7:39electricity through tungsten filaments causes bright light kind of changed our world.
- 7:44So it really disrupted. If we had just improved candles, we wouldn't really
- 7:48have the light that we have today.
- 7:50So what I want you guys to think about today is AI.
- 7:53Is it going to be our next penicillin?
- 7:55Is it going to be our next thalidomide?
- 7:58Or is it going to be our next lipo?
- 8:00And I'd have to say I want you guys to kind of clear your mind a little bit
- 8:03here and kind of go on an open mind journey with me for a moment.
- 8:07I had to do the same thing. So I'm going to ask you to do the same thing if you haven't already.
- 8:11So I want you to take out the word can't, won't, shouldn't, couldn't from your minds right now.
- 8:17So this is a slide that I've been talking off of for probably about a year and
- 8:22a half. And I've been telling people that AI will be coming in our electronic
- 8:28medical record systems. And most of the time, people kind of said, yeah, whatever.
- 8:32So ChatGPT is a household name. Epic or Microsoft invested in OpenAI, $10 billion.
- 8:40They have a 49% position in OpenAI. OpenAI is who created ChatGPT.
- 8:46So, Microsoft is partnered with Epic, which is in 65% of the healthcare systems in the country.
- 8:52So, by way of connecting those dots, ChatGPT is going to be in Epic at some point in time.
- 8:57So, this is a publication just from last week that said that Microsoft and Epic
- 9:03are even deepening their partnership.
- 9:05They're going to start using ambient technology for nursing documentation.
- 9:08So, listening to nurses talk with patients and they'll be able to create documentation.
- 9:14So three weeks ago, Epic had their annual user group meeting.
- 9:18So where they get together at their big Wisconsin campus and have a meeting
- 9:22and talk about what they're working on.
- 9:23And so they unveiled that they have 100 applications plus of AI in their ENSAR system.
- 9:30And it just depends on when you start getting the switch flipped at your institution.
- 9:36So Kaiser, if he has Epic back there, he's sitting there thinking,
- 9:39yeah, what are we going to switch on, right?
- 9:41So I'm not going to give you a list of 100 things, but here's some examples of what's available.
- 9:46Medical necessity criteria, extracting cancer staging data from clinical notes,
- 9:53AI text assistant that can create documentation for you.
- 9:56It can go through patient messages and summarize them.
- 9:59It can predict transplant success and complications. It can draft denial and clinical summaries.
- 10:06So these are just kind of a few examples.
- 10:09This is a figure that's quite busy, but this figure actually includes companies
- 10:14that are involved in applying generative AI in healthcare.
- 10:18So there's a lot on here, right? There's different categories.
- 10:21So there's different companies that are working on drug discovery,
- 10:24clinical trials, care navigation, remote patient monitoring,
- 10:28note-taking, medical coding, revenue cycle management, recruiting, prior authorization.
- 10:34So this already exists out there today.
- 10:37There's now 950 FDA-approved AI-enabled devices in the United States.
- 10:4275% or so of them are in radiology.
- 10:46There's 1% to 3% in pediatrics.
- 10:48So right now, pediatrics is being left behind in kind of the AI race going forward.
- 10:55So the next thing is, can you use these devices and get paid?
- 10:58It just so happens there's now CPT codes that you can use to get paid for using them.
- 11:03This is a recent publication looking at U.S.
- 11:06Claims data, and the database that they use included about 40% of the claims
- 11:11in the entire United States.
- 11:13And this bottom part of the figure,
- 11:15going from 1 to 16, shows back in 2018 was the first CPT code used.
- 11:22Now, as of March 2023, there are 16 CPT codes that are available associated
- 11:27with these technologies in clinical care.
- 11:30And the top part of the figure just shows that it's increasing claims per month,
- 11:35especially in the adult world of coronary artery disease and diabetic phreatenopathy.
- 11:40Last week, the Nobel Prizes were awarded.
- 11:44Four of the people that won these prizes were associated with AI.
- 11:49So Jeffrey Hinton and John Hotfield won the Nobel Prize for physics,
- 11:54and they won it for their work in kind of foundational modeling of artificial neural networks.
- 12:01So really what's underlying the big breakthroughs of AI today.
- 12:05And then Demis Hassabis, I'm not sure if I'm saying his name correctly.
- 12:09He's the co-founder and CEO of Google DeepMind and John Jumper,
- 12:12just won the Nobel Prize in chemistry for their work on protein structure prediction, AlphaFold3.
- 12:19And what alpha-fold 3 can do is it can predict the 3D structure of proteins
- 12:23based on amino acid sequences.
- 12:25But it goes beyond that, and it helps identify the function of those potential proteins.
- 12:31And you can identify binding sites and mechanisms of disease-causing proteins.
- 12:36So the pharmaceutical industry has certainly taken notice of this.
- 12:41In 2022, they spent about a billion dollars on AI products.
- 12:45Models. It's estimated that they're going to spend about $22 billion in 2027
- 12:51using AI and pharmaceutical development.
- 12:54And that's because in drug development, they can decrease the time from drug
- 12:59discovery to manufacturing production and having it in the marketplace by about 50%.
- 13:04And the bottom right there is all the different pharmaceutical companies that
- 13:09are involved, all the big name ones that you would think of.
- 13:11And most of them are using the AlphaFold 3 approach to develop drugs and molecules.
- 13:18So I hope I've at least convinced you that AI is here. If you guys didn't know
- 13:22it, it's here. It's not going anywhere.
- 13:24And the reason I go around and give talks like this is that I want neonatologists,
- 13:29pediatricians, people involved in perinatal care to understand we have to be
- 13:34involved and be part of this process.
- 13:38Right now, AI and Chachi PT is that the hype of peaked inflation expectations.
- 13:45And this is kind of a Gartner hype cycle, which is something that's become somewhat famous.
- 13:52But basically, there's an innovation or trigger that then creates some huge
- 13:58expectations and excitement. So large language models were created.
- 14:02ChatGPT has really inflamed the expectations, and
- 14:06it's not going to be able to do everything that's promised and we'll realize
- 14:10that over time and we'll end up understanding how to use it over time when i
- 14:15talk with clinicians right now about ai many of them it's kind of a spectrum
- 14:20view of things many of them fear ai and they feel that ai will destroy care as we know it,
- 14:26others feel like it's they're over exuberant and say it's going to solve all
- 14:30of our problems with most things it's going to probably fall somewhere in between.
- 14:34So it seems like AI is new, right? That's kind of the new hot topic.
- 14:39Well, AI, the term, has been around since the 1950s.
- 14:42So a Stanford professor at a Dartmouth conference first coined the term in the 1950s.
- 14:48Machine learning has been around since the 1990s.
- 14:51Deep learning has been around since the 2010s. And the new kid on the block,
- 14:55generative AI, has been around since now the 2020s.
- 14:58So artificial intelligence and Kaiser is probably going to give you a different
- 15:01definition tomorrow, I think.
- 15:04But it's a branch of computer science that focuses on creating systems in the
- 15:08form of algorithms and software that's capable of performing human intelligence-like tasks.
- 15:14So learning, problem-solving, perception, language, understanding, and decision-making.
- 15:20If you talk with people who kind of understand the big picture of AI.
- 15:25There's kind of three main types of AI.
- 15:28Narrow, artificial, general intelligence, and superintelligence. artificial
- 15:32intelligence right now we're only working in
- 15:35the narrow area it's the only type that really exists today
- 15:38so it has a defined task it's trained by humans so
- 15:42things like siri or self-driving cars the
- 15:45next step and depending on who you listen to sam altman
- 15:48who is the ceo of open ai says within a few thousand days we're going to be
- 15:54with artificial general intelligence there's other people that say that won't
- 15:58happen for like a decade but artificial general intelligence It's able to accomplish
- 16:03a new task using training from other kind of training sets and models.
- 16:09So it can do something different. So talking about like a self-driving car,
- 16:12what the self-driving car could understand is here on Market Street,
- 16:16there's a protest and it knows that.
- 16:18So it's driving you, but it's going to drive you around the protest because
- 16:22it's in connection with the Internet and news and so forth.
- 16:25So it's actually going to make some decisions on its own and take you away from
- 16:28the protest. And then super AI is kind of the scary stuff that we think about,
- 16:33that machines start thinking on their own.
- 16:35They'll have their own emotions, beliefs, and needs.
- 16:38And that's only theoretical at this point in time.
- 16:41So now I want to ask you guys a question. Have any of you ever used AI in healthcare?
- 16:47So I want to see a raise of hands. Everybody has to say, okay, right?
- 16:52So I'm saying about 50%. That's pretty good.
- 16:55So EKG interpretation is a form of AI. You guys probably haven't thought about
- 17:00it that way before, though, right?
- 17:02If you actually, if you really look into the technology of EKGs,
- 17:05it's pretty fascinating. So this paper that's at the bottom is,
- 17:08I found, pretty fascinating.
- 17:10But black squiggly lines that are going over red-gritted paper,
- 17:15we've told computers to give us information about, so may I come up?
- 17:23But so we've, we, not me, but others have actually created rules that these
- 17:29computers follow to give us information about these black squiggly lines going across.
- 17:34So we get information about heart structure, heart injury, electrolyte abnormalities,
- 17:38medication toxicities, conduction abnormalities.
- 17:42So we get that information from these black lines going across a piece of paper,
- 17:46which is pretty remarkable. I think EKGs are a great example of how we should
- 17:51think about AI in healthcare in general.
- 17:53So when you guys get an EKG, do you trust the automatic interpretations?
- 17:58No. Because you know sometimes they're wrong, especially in neonatology.
- 18:02A lot of times the EKG interpretations are either adult or pediatric and not
- 18:08really applicable to newborns.
- 18:10The other thing, I think, how we think about AI in EKG in similar fashions is
- 18:15you've been trained to understand when do you use an EKG and when to get it.
- 18:19You understand the limitations of EKGs and you know how to read EKGs.
- 18:25So that, I think, is a fair way to think about AI.
- 18:29We need to be involved in understanding how to interpret AI in much the same way that we do EKGs.
- 18:36They help us, but we don't completely trust them. So I always heard a lot about
- 18:40healthcare data being biased.
- 18:42In AI, that's going to be a big issue.
- 18:45And so I really started trying to understand what that meant.
- 18:50And so EKG is yet another great example of inherent kind of bias that's built into our technology.
- 18:56So if you're a pediatrician and you're getting EKG on a 16-year-old in your
- 19:02clinic, would you get the same results back if your patient were white or if
- 19:06they were black? Turns out, no.
- 19:09So there's an increased false positivity rate for left-intricular hypertrophy
- 19:15in black individuals with EKGs.
- 19:17This is a study out of Stanford using convolutional neural networks.
- 19:22And what their study question was, can we look at 12 lead EKGs?
- 19:26So they looked at 320,000 of them.
- 19:28And can we predict heart failure in five years from those 12 EDKGs?
- 19:33And it turns out this is a receiver-operator characteristic curve.
- 19:37Most of those lines are kind of in the top in this picture up here.
- 19:42One's down here by itself, and that's an orange one. So the majority of race
- 19:47or ethnic groups that they looked at kind of were about 0.8.
- 19:51So the sensitivity and specificity of the test, the algorithm that they used
- 19:55was actually pretty good.
- 19:56Except for the orange, and orange
- 19:58actually turns out that it's young black patients, especially women.
- 20:02So if you think about when EKGs were developed, they were probably developed
- 20:07on a patient population that looked a lot like me, an old white guy,
- 20:11not a very diverse population to be training models on.
- 20:15We already know this exists for pulse oximetry.
- 20:18Pulse oximetry with darker pigmented skin, it doesn't work as well as light.
- 20:23So I want you to think about that, that we're kind of surrounded by data or
- 20:28bias with a lot of the tools that we use on a day-to-day basis.
- 20:32And this is important because AI is really amplifying the ability to get important
- 20:38information from some of these tools.
- 20:40So this is EKG that now gives information about race, gender,
- 20:44age, LB dysfunction, heart injury, prediction of future heart failure,
- 20:49atrial fibrillation. We have it on our wrist.
- 20:52There's AI-enabled stethoscopes. There's mobile single-lead ECGs that are being used in telemedicine.
- 20:58These are being used for screening, diagnosis, prognosis, treatment,
- 21:01selection, and monitoring.
- 21:03So one of our tools is getting amplified by AI to be used in this capacity.
- 21:08If we continue just to use it, it's going to amplify the bias that exists as
- 21:13well. So we need to account for that.
- 21:16So EKGs and pediatrics, have we started looking at those?
- 21:19So yes. So this is actually a deep learning model that took EKGs and determined
- 21:25if they could detect if a patient had congenital heart disease.
- 21:30So what I have circled down here is the sensitivity and specificity for their
- 21:34AI model was greater than 90% sensitive and specific for pulmonary atresia,
- 21:41single ventricle, tetralogy of flow,
- 21:43AVSD, and double outlet right ventricle.
- 21:45And this is just from a 12-lead AG.
- 21:48This is another study looking at EKG to see if you could detect left ventricular
- 21:54dysfunction. and they took 100,000 EKGs that were paired up with echoes to see
- 22:00if they could detect LB dysfunction.
- 22:02And from this model, the deep learning model had a 97% negative predictive value for LB dysfunction.
- 22:11You're all probably sitting in this room and saying, well, I don't really care
- 22:14about that. I have echo tech that can come down and do an echo on my baby and
- 22:18have a pediatric cardiologist read it within a couple hours and I have information.
- 22:23I'm sure you're a lot like us in Colorado. If you go three hours north,
- 22:28two hours west, two hours east, three hours south, you're in areas and hospitals
- 22:33that don't have pediatric echotechs.
- 22:36You don't have pediatric cardiologists. You have snowstorms that shut down transportation.
- 22:41So oftentimes, our community pediatricians and family medicine doctors are having
- 22:46to manage these patients to 12 hours, 16 hours, sometimes on their own.
- 22:50And just imagine if they could use a 12-week EKG and get important information
- 22:55about does the baby have congenital heart disease, yes or no?
- 22:58Does the baby have LV dysfunction, yes or no? Just think of kind of how we could
- 23:03actually improve care, especially in areas where we have limited access.
- 23:08And that's where I think a lot of the power of AI will come from.
- 23:11So talking a little bit more about physiological monitoring,
- 23:15ECGs, EEGs, pulse oximetry.
- 23:17I think you probably all have heard of the HERO monitoring system out of UVA.
- 23:22There's been quite a few publications. It's probably the most well-studied form
- 23:25of AI that we can use in neonatology.
- 23:30And what it looks at is heart rate variability changes that are associated with
- 23:35different morbidities in babies, in particular sepsis and NEC.
- 23:39And they, UVA, have shown that they've decreased their mortality rate by 20% by intervening sooner.
- 23:47So, these models detect changes in heart rate variability patterns that us at
- 23:52the bedside cannot, but the machines can, and then they alert the clinicians to.
- 23:57Ediometry is another platform that's being developed using continuous physiological
- 24:02monitoring data streams.
- 24:05And they have an oxygenation index, hemodynamic index, ventilation index.
- 24:10So things that actually can help us improve care. They're pretty early.
- 24:15There's another platform out there called Sickbay. Do any of you guys have this
- 24:19in your NICUs or institutions?
- 24:21Ediometry, Sickbay, anything like that? Hero Monitor?
- 24:26Us either, by the way. our etiometry is being used in our cardiac intensive
- 24:30care unit, but not in our NICU, even though I'm trying to get it there.
- 24:34So imagine if you're a neurologist having to look at all these squiggly lines
- 24:39going across and you had to detect seizures.
- 24:42Is there a better way to detect seizures? So the issues with looking at EEGs,
- 24:48fly EEG signal interpretation takes tremendous expertise.
- 24:52Even just a regular run-of-the-mill pediatric neurologist can't read an EEG,
- 24:56so it's super specialized.
- 24:57Oftentimes, these EEGs have artifacts that are hard to discriminate from seizures.
- 25:03And about 25% of the time, even the neurology experts can't agree if it's a seizure or not.
- 25:09So there's significant inter-rater reliability when it comes to seizure detection EEG.
- 25:15So this is a recent study where the investigators use sonification of an EEG
- 25:20to help recognize seizures,
- 25:23and so what they're able to do is take one hour of an EEG sample and condense
- 25:27it down to five seconds of the sound.
- 25:30Turns out the human is much better at recognizing sound changes in frequency
- 25:35than we are at visualizing something.
- 25:38So they took this characteristic of our human senses and used an AI approach.
- 25:43And what they found is with this model, they had an 89% sensitivity and 78%
- 25:48specificity for seizure detection using sonification.
- 25:52So pretty interesting, a different approach. How about for predicting outcomes?
- 25:57We have babies that have HIE. We use MRIs.
- 26:01We kind of use their EEGs. We use their neuro exam to give us some information
- 26:07about how they're going to do.
- 26:09This was a recent publication using a machine learning model that used the amplitude
- 26:16integrated EEG information.
- 26:18So they took 80 full-term babies that had moderate to severe HIE.
- 26:22Put them on amplitude integrated EEGs and had their AI model characterize the
- 26:30brain state activity and recovery after the brain injury and categorize them
- 26:35and then compare them to outcomes for the patients,
- 26:38both their MRI findings and also their clinical outcomes.
- 26:41And what they found, so BSN is the brain state of the newborn.
- 26:46That's the indices that they developed in the AI model. And they followed over
- 26:50three days for these patients.
- 26:52And what you'll see at the top is green.
- 26:55Green is favorable outcomes. The babies did well. And you can see most of them
- 27:00are kind of up at the top, so above 50.
- 27:03Cerebral palsy is down below. Cerebral palsy with epilepsy and then died,
- 27:07their BSN scores were a lot lower.
- 27:10So they use this model to help predict outcomes for patients.
- 27:15And so this is an example of how ai can
- 27:18augment what we're doing and support our care and maybe
- 27:21give us some better information about predictions but now i'm gonna talk a little
- 27:26bit about the issues with ai so i've at least hopefully i've shown you that
- 27:32ai is here it's blowing up around us even if we don't necessarily know it to
- 27:36medicine has some applications there's potential bias.
- 27:42But there's four main issues that I would like to talk a little bit about,
- 27:45too, is that garbage in versus garbage out. You've heard that a lot.
- 27:49It's estimated that about 70% of health care data is usable.
- 27:5430% probably isn't because it's mislabeled, missing, or labeled incorrectly.
- 28:00So that means about 70% of data that we can even use. I've already highlighted
- 28:05some of the bias that probably exists within it.
- 28:08Accountability is going to be a big issue. So when one of these models cause
- 28:12harm to a patient, and it will, who's going to be accountable for that harm?
- 28:17Is it AI developer? Is it the hospital or healthcare system that purchased the
- 28:21model? Is it the physician that used it?
- 28:24Is it the patient or caregiver who went and bought it off the shelf?
- 28:28So those answers are really evolving.
- 28:32And then for us in the room, explainability. I'm not going to use something
- 28:36in patient care if I can't understand how it works and how it generates its answers.
- 28:41That's a huge issue. Many of the times, even the folks who develop the AI models
- 28:47can't even really explain to you how it generates the output.
- 28:51So explainability is a big issue. And then trustworthiness. Is the output that's
- 28:55created accurate? Is it correct?
- 28:57Is the data that we're feeding it private and secure?
- 29:01Those are big issues. I see some bigger issues. I see that data scientists are offering big promises.
- 29:07They think us in healthcare are kind of stupid in a way.
- 29:12They think that we haven't solved problems that should have been solved for
- 29:14quite some time. So they think that our healthcare problems are quite simple.
- 29:19So they're underestimating the complexity of medical care.
- 29:23Big tech is sinking big money into it. And then healthcare, we have big concerns.
- 29:28And I'm kind of concerned what I'm seeing too. And that's why I go on top of groups like you all.
- 29:33When I look at these publications, and there's a lot. So there's now a New England
- 29:37Journal of Medicine AI, if you didn't know that.
- 29:39And just this week, JAMA started their own AI issue.
- 29:43This is a publication that was pretty noteworthy. Basically,
- 29:47this group said that they had created a model that could act like a primary
- 29:50care physician or nurse in a clinic.
- 29:5430 authors are on the paper. 29 of them are data scientists and one is a physician.
- 30:00There's no ethicist. There's no educators. There's no patients,
- 30:04no caregivers, no administrators.
- 30:07It's data scientists and one physician who's creating this for us.
- 30:11Things have changed fast in this world. And so this figure on the bottom right
- 30:16shows in 2018 to 2019 is when GPT-2 was created. It acted like a preschooler.
- 30:23So this is kind of open AI timeline.
- 30:25It could put one or two words together to create a sentence.
- 30:29That's about all it could do.
- 30:30A couple of short years later from that, GPT-3 was created and it had more like
- 30:36a grade schooler who could put sentences together to make paragraphs and maybe
- 30:39write a page. Then came GPT-4s, what we have today, that acts like a smart high school student.
- 30:45And the author of this, I don't know if you guys have read this,
- 30:50but Situational Awareness by Leopold Aschenbrenner is a pretty fantastic kind
- 30:55of explanation about the evolution of large language models.
- 30:58But he had predicted that there would be like a research AI that would come
- 31:03out sometime 2025 to 2028.
- 31:07It turns out there's a publication from last month in Archive,
- 31:11which is kind of where AI publications come out.
- 31:14And the title is The AI Scientist Towards a Fully Automated Open-Ended Scientific Discovery Model.
- 31:20And I'm going to read off exactly what it says that this model does.
- 31:24It generates novel research ideas, writes code, executes experiments,
- 31:28visualizes results, describes its finding by writing a full scientific paper,
- 31:33then runs a simulated review process for the evaluation of the paper.
- 31:37And it's going to act like the human scientific community. And it costs $15.
- 31:42So you guys don't have to do science anymore. So we have a model that's going
- 31:46to do it all for us, right? Right.
- 31:48So my point is things are moving fast, and I see big issues with it.
- 31:54I see a lot in the data scientists world.
- 31:56Big tech AI developers, government are taking notice and being involved.
- 32:00Us on the other side, physicians, scientists, patients, healthcare staff,
- 32:04administrators, educators, clinicians, ethicists, we're kind of being left out.
- 32:09This needs to be a continuous collaborative learning model if we're going to
- 32:12take full use of this powerful tool.
- 32:15So that's part of the reason I'm here tonight. I want you all to become at least
- 32:20AI conversational, take notice that it's here and be involved with the one-day
- 32:25hope of being AI literate like Kaiser or Alvaro back there.
- 32:28I'm still not. I'm still working on it. So you as a doctor, a therapist,
- 32:32or nurse know a lot more about healthcare than these folks that are developing
- 32:36healthcare AI at the moment.
- 32:39So AI is a big umbrella term that captures machine learning.
- 32:43You think that you've heard of before linear regression logistic
- 32:47regression goes down to neural networks deep
- 32:50learning and the new kid on the block generative ai so large
- 32:53language models i think might have the first to
- 32:56have the widest impact within health care it has
- 32:59the ability to generate and understand text models are trained
- 33:02on huge amounts of data in their prediction machines and
- 33:06they're built on the transformer architecture and they have self-attention so
- 33:09they actually understand contest so in
- 33:12the far right up there is gpt4 and this is showing
- 33:15what it was trained on a huge corporate so basically it's trained on the entire
- 33:20internet and almost all of the human written text has been used to train these
- 33:24models and what that means is these models can reach out to pretty much all
- 33:28of a human written text and act as your resource when you're asking your questions For GPT-4.
- 33:35It cost $100 million to train their model.
- 33:44So you can see why these big tech companies want to get some money back.
- 33:49So you might be asking yourself, well, do we even need AI then because it's
- 33:53dangerous, it's not trustworthy, it's not accurate, it's going to amplify bias?
- 33:57The answer is we do. Medical data is exploding. We're in a data tsunami.
- 34:02Medical information doubles about monthly. We're surrounded by data.
- 34:07We need to be able to connect the dots so that our data becomes information,
- 34:11wisdom, and insight so we can improve care delivered to our patients.
- 34:15When we look at our ability to analyze data, we've always been kind of down
- 34:21on the bottom left descriptive.
- 34:23Have a baby who's sick, who's acting ill, they're hypotensive.
- 34:26We now know that's sepsis. We can now diagnose it because of blood cultures.
- 34:31We don't do a good job of predicting, even though we're starting to get to that.
- 34:35There's a lot of predictive sepsis models that are being developed out there,
- 34:38mainly in the adult world.
- 34:40But we certainly haven't got to prescriptive.
- 34:42So once you have the information, how are you going to change your care for
- 34:46your patient? And that's where we're evolving to, and AI will help us get there.
- 34:51So we're surrounded by EHRs. We're kind of slaves to them, unfortunately.
- 34:5695% of the data that exists within EHRs we don't even use. 3% to 5% we use.
- 35:03But it's a big issue because we're just surrounded by data that's sitting there.
- 35:08And for us, it's a lot of clicks that we have to get to different pages.
- 35:12AI is great for pattern recognition. So as humans have created languages that
- 35:16we put into words, sentences,
- 35:18paragraphs, chapters, into books, and we create libraries so we have wisdom
- 35:22and knowledge and resources that we can go to,
- 35:26we're not so good at the part where we have to put together the English language
- 35:31and the Chinese language, but things like AI can do that.
- 35:35So this will be my last kind of technical part before I'll get into how should
- 35:39you use some of these large language models.
- 35:42Machine learning is broken down into two main types, supervised learning and
- 35:46unsupervised learning.
- 35:47Supervised learning, we feed it labeled data so it realizes what we're giving.
- 35:52So as an example, we'll give it 1,000 retinal images, 100 of which have retina,
- 35:57but the 900 of which it doesn't.
- 35:59Over time, it begins to recognize what's ROP versus what isn't.
- 36:03So that's an approach to using machine learning.
- 36:06Another approach, and a lot of you guys in this room are a lot more sophisticated
- 36:09than me and machine learning and deep learning.
- 36:13So you can correct me at any time if I'm wrong.
- 36:15But unsupervised learning, we feed it data, and it then recognizes patterns
- 36:21within the data that us humans haven't been able to recognize.
- 36:24And I think it will help us with disease processes like NEC and BPD.
- 36:29This is a recent study out of the University of Florida where they used a unsupervised
- 36:34machine learning model and looked at 183 babies that had intestinal injury from 2013 to 2019.
- 36:42And they took 50 different data points, some of them maternal,
- 36:45some perinatal, some of them neonatal, and then identified five different phenotypes
- 36:50within those 183 babies.
- 36:53And so I think in healthcare and neonatology in particular, things like NEC
- 36:59and BPD, we still don't really understand the different phenotypes that exist.
- 37:03And if we're really going to
- 37:04improve care, we have to understand our disease better than we do today.
- 37:08And i think this is an approach and i wanted to call out a couple is antonio here tonight.
- 37:15So Alvaro is, go ahead and stand up, Alvaro.
- 37:23So I don't know if you guys know this. You guys probably all know Alvaro.
- 37:27He is one of the brightest minds in this field right now.
- 37:31So the fact that you guys have him in San Antonio, it's a blessing that I don't
- 37:36know if you guys understand what you have right now.
- 37:39He is a prize. And so he's working on BPD and trying to help us understand the
- 37:46pathology and phenotypes that exist within BPD.
- 37:50But I could count on my hand like some of the brightest people in neonatology
- 37:54pediatrics in this field, and two of them are sitting right next to each other.
- 38:00Kaiser, who will be speaking later, is definitely in that realm.
- 38:03But we're lucky to have people like them in
- 38:06our field that are going to help lead us into this
- 38:09and help us understand how to use some of these tools so thanks alvaro and kaiser
- 38:15so now i'm going to switch gears and this is going to be how do you use large
- 38:19language models how many of you guys have chat gpt gemini or clod an account
- 38:25so raise your hand how many of you guys have,
- 38:27that's a little better than average usually i get 30 to 50 percent of the audience
- 38:31will raise their hand and say, I've used a few things. How many of you have used it this week?
- 38:37Ooh, that's better than that. How many of you used it today?
- 38:41Nice. You guys are outstanding. I love that.
- 38:45So I'm only going to be talking to the other half of you that haven't really
- 38:49then started using it. Maybe you guys can give me insight on how to use it better.
- 38:53So I give workshops on how to use some of these models and how to prompt them
- 38:58to get better results what I'm going
- 39:00to talk about it's really high level probably boring to at least have,
- 39:04But when I'm thinking about these models, I think that you have to think about
- 39:08the output that you're generating.
- 39:09Is that output going to be helpful? Is it going to be honest?
- 39:13Is it going to be harmless?
- 39:15So I've been to San Antonio once before. I could have used Chachi P to help
- 39:20me decide what I should do along the Ribble Walk today.
- 39:24And the results that it gives me, probably not life-threatening to me unless
- 39:28it tells me to go scuba diving or something in the river.
- 39:32But really it's so that you can ask chat gpt like
- 39:35give me a itinerary of what i should do in san antonio when
- 39:38i'm here that's pretty safe but if i'm asking
- 39:41it i have a 24 week baby who's now six days old who has these five symptoms
- 39:46what should i do or what should i be thinking about there's no way we should
- 39:50be using it for that so that's where it kind of clicks into that category when
- 39:54it gives you the output you should treat it as if it's a first-year medical
- 39:57student you're going to question a lot.
- 39:59What you'll hear from a lot of people in the AI world, they'll tell you to trust
- 40:04the output and then verify.
- 40:06I think for healthcare, that's wrong. I think we have to verify.
- 40:09We have to verify again, use, and then maybe trust.
- 40:13But I think we have a long way to go before we just kind of jump in and start using it.
- 40:17And the first draft that you get should always be just kind of considered your
- 40:22first draft, just the same way that we would write a manuscript.
- 40:25You have to go through many revisions to make it better in the output that you want.
- 40:30So here's Jim's rules for AI using large language models.
- 40:34I feel like anything you type into them is now in the public menu.
- 40:39So don't put any PHI, anything about yourself private that you don't want the world to know about.
- 40:44Don't blindly trust the output. Don't use it for clinical care and have like
- 40:48an 80 to 20% rule when I use it About 80% of what it generates.
- 40:53I would have already done on my own or already knew 20% of it's new Of that
- 40:5820% though 10 is great Fantastic a new angle something I would have never thought
- 41:03about before really additive what I was doing And then 10% is completely wrong
- 41:07and made up and fictitious.
- 41:09So you still have to be somewhat of a subject matter expert to use this and
- 41:14understand the output and understand what's reliable and what is it.
- 41:18So when I use it, I use it to brainstorm, to learn, to be creative,
- 41:21and to edit, or kind of my main things, at least for tonight,
- 41:25how I use it, sort of to brainstorm.
- 41:28So I was kind of put in charge of trying to improve clinic throughput for a
- 41:33different pediatric subspecialty clinic.
- 41:36And so I used it to help me brainstorm. And then it used something called theory
- 41:39of constraints, which I know about.
- 41:41It helps you identify where the constraint in the system is.
- 41:46But so it helps build kind of information in your thought about it.
- 41:50This was actually an email.
- 41:52So one of our nurse managers knows that I use ChatGPT all the time.
- 41:57And she said, geez, I got this email and I need to respond to it. And it's long.
- 42:02She said, can you help me? I said, OK, come on. let's try
- 42:05to do that and but what i told chachi beauty
- 42:08to do is please create an optimistic and positive message
- 42:11in response to this email so it did
- 42:14it said thank you for the valuable discussion this week's meeting it's
- 42:17clear that we have critical decisions ahead and then down at the bottom thank
- 42:21you for your dedication and leadership so i've also used it this way and i don't
- 42:25know if others have but to you probably should use it from this do you ever
- 42:29get emails do you ever get emails from people that are just,
- 42:34you know, what's coming.
- 42:35It's like three pages long. It's ranting and raving about something that they're upset about.
- 42:40You can have ChatGPT create an email back to them and you can put in there,
- 42:44please make this positive, optimistic, but make it three pages and like two.
- 42:49So they have to read through three pages of an email, but you don't send it
- 42:53like a nasty one back. You can make it be nice and positive and send it back
- 42:58to them. And so I do that quite frequently.
- 43:02You can actually have it read pdf articles and summarize
- 43:05findings and so i only do this for
- 43:08open access articles i don't do it for ones that are copyright protected
- 43:11but you can put the pdf in there and say please provide five highlights from
- 43:16this pdf article and it does a pretty good job so instead of taking maybe 20
- 43:21minutes to read something you can get important information with a matter of
- 43:24like a minute you can also have a look at figures and say please explain to me figure five
- 43:30So a lot of times I'll be reading something, especially in the AI world,
- 43:33where they have all these transformer architecture things that I don't really understand.
- 43:37And I'll say, can you explain this figure to me? And most of the time it will
- 43:41explain the figure better than the authors did in the manuscript, quite honestly.
- 43:45And you can also fill it in output. So I asked it to say, can you explain this
- 43:49figure at an eighth grade level? And it did pretty good.
- 43:52And I said, can you explain it at a college level? so you
- 43:55can change the output both language kind
- 43:59of jargon and then understandable level
- 44:02by how you talk to it and then
- 44:05this was i used i applied for a higher level job within our health care system
- 44:11and i downloaded the job description my cover letter and my cv and i had it
- 44:17analyze what i had written for my cover letter and had to look at my cv and
- 44:21then It gave me some insight,
- 44:23and it said, oh, you're pretty good, whatever.
- 44:26But then it said, tailor your expertise to the role's focus,
- 44:29and you're kind of missing this, so make sure you emphasize X, Y, and Z.
- 44:33And so you can use it in that regard. I didn't get the job, so maybe it wasn't that good.
- 44:38I'm not sure. But so you can use it for things in that manner.
- 44:43And actually, I talked with Kaiser tonight that Colorado has passed an AI bill,
- 44:48and it's really about consumer protection.
- 44:51And I think their definition of AI is horrible, but I actually had to have ChatGPT
- 44:56read through the AI bill for me and summarize because I don't understand like
- 44:59lawyer or whatever it's written in legislation lingo.
- 45:03And it helped me do that. You can use it for poem writing, image creation.
- 45:08So I've been married to my beautiful, lovely, fantastic wife for 27 years.
- 45:13So a few months ago, I wrote her a poem about how, you know,
- 45:19it's been great to be married to her for 27 years.
- 45:21You guys, some people are probably thinking that is off.
- 45:25OK, so should I go to the grocery store or the nearest Hallmark store and go get a card off the shelf?
- 45:31Or the fact that I actually put personal things in there and told my wife how
- 45:36great she's been for 27 years.
- 45:38She's a great mother, a great clinician.
- 45:41She's the backbone to our family. and it
- 45:43created a poem that had that in there so is it
- 45:46a little better that the personal part came from me versus
- 45:49hallmark so i get a lot of
- 45:52snickers when i say that but i she knew it too by
- 45:54the way when i sent it to her she's like yeah chat gpt wrote this huh i said
- 45:59yeah but look at it it's mean and she did so when you're using these and i don't
- 46:05know if we're going to have to do this forever maybe in the next couple years
- 46:08it'll change but right now when you're using chat GPT, you do kind of three things in a prompt.
- 46:13You assign it a role, you assign it a task, and you tell it what output it should come in.
- 46:17And it can do tons of different outputs, PowerPoints, and I'll show you some of that.
- 46:21So I told you I don't use it for clinical care.
- 46:24I do kind of test it almost on a weekly basis. I take pictures of things in
- 46:29the unit that don't have any private health information data on it.
- 46:34And I see if it recognizes things. So three months ago it wouldn't have recognized
- 46:37this so i took pictures and students and residents and fellows what do we have
- 46:43here this is a left lateral z cubitus x-ray there's something here,
- 46:48then maybe there's a lucency what do we have on this film.
- 46:52Yeah. Yeah. So pneumoperitoneum. I just told it to analyze the image and it
- 46:58told me about the gastro-2 pneumatosis. It's a bowel gas pattern,
- 47:02but it missed the pneumatosis.
- 47:05I mean, the pneumoperitoneum.
- 47:06So then I gave it the same images, but I prompted it differently.
- 47:10I said, act as an expert in neonatal critical care and radiology when evaluating the images.
- 47:15Then I gave a context. I will be asking you a series of questions based on the
- 47:19medical image. They're from a newborn with feeding intolerance,
- 47:22blood and stool, hemodynamic instability.
- 47:25So for us, it's kind of a slam dunk, right?
- 47:27We know this baby probably has NEC. And then please provide answers in short
- 47:31paragraphs not to exceed five sentences at a level that a medical student could understand.
- 47:36So then it looked at it, and even kind of before it looked at the image,
- 47:40it said, based on your description, I have a high suspicion of NEC,
- 47:43particularly concerned for complications like pneumoperitoneum.
- 47:47So it was able to look at the image differently and get the right answer.
- 47:52So I don't use this for clinical care, but I can tell you like six months ago, it could not do this.
- 47:56So it is learning on interpretation of images better.
- 48:02So it also talked about the diagnosis, but then I didn't tell it to,
- 48:06but it started giving me recommendations on immediate surgical consultation, supportive care.
- 48:12And I said, okay, these parents are PhD scientists, and I have to talk with
- 48:16them about what NEC and pneumoperitoneum means. So can you help me explain it to them?
- 48:22And so here's the output, and it was actually pretty good at a level that probably
- 48:26PhD parents could understand.
- 48:28And even at the end, it added a few kind of compassionate things to it.
- 48:33It said positive aspects to keep in mind.
- 48:36There was an early detection, which we know probably doesn't change the outcome
- 48:39in NEC see that much, but ChatGPT said it did, said, don't worry.
- 48:43You have a team of specialists taking care of your baby who do this all the time.
- 48:47So it actually tried to throw a compassionate spin.
- 48:50So I said, all right, same scenario, but create an explanation that a 16-year-old
- 48:56mother with developmental disabilities who has a limited ability to comprehend
- 49:00how ill her baby is and explained it at a fourth grade level.
- 49:05So it did. It said, your baby is very, very sick. Your baby's belly is swollen
- 49:09and there's a hole in their intestines.
- 49:11Uses words like tummy, baby get better and so forth. So you can see how you can change the output.
- 49:16I asked it to create an image of a cartoon and
- 49:19this is what it came up with i don't think it's very good so there
- 49:22is maybe a hole in the stomach i think not really
- 49:26sure there's a baby that looks pretty happy doesn't really look
- 49:29that sick to me so i've done it for other times too so this was an example i've
- 49:34used of a five year old who had kawasaki's disease and i asked chat gpt to create
- 49:38a cartoon that would help the five-year-old feel better and this one at the
- 49:42left it kind of goes through a series of kind of pictures about what's happened
- 49:46to the kiddo with Kawasaki's disease.
- 49:48And a lot of times when you do pediatrics, they do superhero stuff.
- 49:52And I do think kids like superheroes.
- 49:53So it's kind of a nice thing to do.
- 49:56As a medical student, as a fellow, I think that these models are going to disrupt medical education.
- 50:03You now have the capability. I have an individual tutor that's in your pocket
- 50:0824-7. You can ask it questions.
- 50:11NYU is already doing this. They have a model built within their EHR system.
- 50:16So if you're a medical student in their institution, you admitted a patient
- 50:20with diabetic ketoacidosis, it'll look at your HMP and say you missed these
- 50:24three elements, so add these.
- 50:26And also say, by the way, in your last in-service training exam,
- 50:30you missed three questions on VKA.
- 50:33Here's five questions to make you think about that again, and here's three articles
- 50:37for you to read to help you understand that disease process better.
- 50:40And that's an email that they get by 8 a.m. the next day.
- 50:44So there's a capability of changing the way that we teach. All right,
- 50:49medical students, what's this?
- 50:52Hemoglobin oxygen dissociation curve so picture and
- 50:56i took and said what's this i told it
- 50:58to analyze the image and it knew what it was and
- 51:01actually broke it down into very important physiological considerations about
- 51:05what that image was and i said please create five multiple choice questions
- 51:10based on this image to help me better understand this and i also said use chain
- 51:14of thought reasoning so any of you guys use that as a prompt chain of thought
- 51:18reasoning if you have it, you should.
- 51:20And the reason that is, especially for somebody who's learning,
- 51:23it tells the large language model to generate an output that goes through its logic.
- 51:28Like, how did you get to the answer?
- 51:30And so this, it was arterial oxygen content question, gave an answer.
- 51:36But then down here, it gives an explanation. It shows you the formula that it
- 51:39used and came up with the answer.
- 51:42So if you're learning about something, that's a powerful thing to do is always
- 51:45ask it to use chain of thought reasoning. So you can then understand how it
- 51:49comes up with its answer.
- 51:50You can have it create PowerPoint presentations. So I did for this. They come up as generic.
- 51:56And I have to say, it could save some time. Then the other thing is,
- 52:00I said, please create a clinical scenario of a 10-year-old with asthma.
- 52:04Anemia, new pneumonia, and a new oxygen requirement.
- 52:09And explain to me how understanding this hemoglobin oxygen dissociation curve
- 52:14will help me take better care of her.
- 52:16Please create a clinical scenario that would kind of tie all those things together.
- 52:20And it did. I don't show you anything here, but it did pretty good.
- 52:23It even created vital signs and symptoms for the patient, laboratory results,
- 52:27and then really went through it kind of step-by-step.
- 52:30About six months ago, our unit was looking at new ventilators.
- 52:33I wasn't familiar with all the different numbers.
- 52:37So I took a picture of it and said, analyze this image and explain to me the
- 52:41difference between VTE and VTL, which I knew.
- 52:43And it gave me the right answer. But something it did give me,
- 52:46it said, oh, your tidal volume's three mils per kilo.
- 52:49And if this is a premature baby, you're using a lung protective strategy.
- 52:53And I didn't ask it that. I just said, analyze the image.
- 52:56So pretty remarkable. I'm almost done, so we'll kind of move on.
- 53:00But I wanted to make sure that you kind of understood that there's a lot of power in these models.
- 53:06And I think it should change the way that we do literature reviews today.
- 53:10There's something called Research Rabbit that uses medical subject headings.
- 53:15It uses NIH grant funding.
- 53:17And each one of these circles is kind of a lab group.
- 53:20And it allows you to figure out which labs are working together,
- 53:23maybe where there's an area people aren't investigating if it's your topic of interest.
- 53:27Open knowledge maps is based on PubMed, but each one of these circles,
- 53:31so if you put in retinopathy of prematurity,
- 53:34each one of these circles will be a subtopic that you can click on,
- 53:37and then it shows you all the different manuscripts, and it will even show you
- 53:41how many times they've been referenced.
- 53:43So you can say, oh, the one that's been referenced 78 times is probably the
- 53:46most important, I should read that one.
- 53:48And then open evidence is kind
- 53:50of the first model that's been created on Elsevier's medical publications.
- 53:54So you chat with it like you would chat GPT, but it's been trained on medical
- 53:59and scientific publications.
- 54:01And a recent one that I've become aware of is called Glass Health that my wife
- 54:06has been kind of using in her practice just to see how it works.
- 54:09And it gives a good differential diagnosis. It helps start creating a progress note for you.
- 54:14So Open Evidence was the first AI to score above 90% of the USMLE.
- 54:19You can ask it questions that are controversial. Do red blood cell transfusions cause NEC?
- 54:25So who believes red cell transfusions cause NEC?
- 54:29Anybody? Well, this one at least gave a good answer.
- 54:32It said the relationship between red blood cell transfusion and NEC is complex.
- 54:36Oh, good. Because of this.
- 54:38And then it actually gives you a list of the articles that you click on.
- 54:41It goes right to the PubMed.
- 54:43So we're here today in kind of the evolution of AI and healthcare,
- 54:48but it's evolving rapidly.
- 54:50We're going to move quickly to the end in our lifetimes and maybe even the next
- 54:5510 years that these models are going to have huge capability.
- 54:59And it's due to the fact that we have the ability to have high computational
- 55:04levels now and also cloud-based storage data and other kind of GPUs and other things.
- 55:11But I want, remember I talked to you about penicillin, thalidomide, or the light bulb.
- 55:15I don't know what AI is going to be in healthcare. It has the potential of being many, any of those.
- 55:21But there's no way we're going to figure it out without people like you in the
- 55:25room actually being involved in using it, evaluating, analyzing it,
- 55:29providing feedback when it causes errors.
- 55:31So we really need us to be involved, and I don't see that happening.
- 55:35And so some resources for you all, kind of where I got started is in the American
- 55:40Board of AI and Medicine. I took a certificate course by somebody by the name
- 55:44of Anthony Chang, who's a pediatric cardiologist.
- 55:47But he's really set up an infrastructure for people interested in learning about AI in health care.
- 55:52And it's pretty remarkable. So that's a great resource.
- 55:56And the Neomind AI, Kaiser, Alvaro, and myself and others have created something
- 56:03called Neomind AI, which right now is a non-revenue generating learning collaborative.
- 56:09Really focused on bringing people together that want to leverage AI in healthcare
- 56:13and make sure that we do so safely, effectively, ethically, and unbiased,
- 56:18and make sure that improves our patient care.
- 56:21And so this is kind of our founding group. We're from around the country and
- 56:25really have diverse skill sets.
- 56:27And like I told you guys before, I'm not a computer scientist.
- 56:30I'm not a data scientist. I'm just somebody trying to figure out how to think
- 56:33about this from kind of wide angle lens.
- 56:36And I see a lot of positives and I also see some potential negatives.
- 56:41So I think AI stands for augmented intelligence. It's going to improve what we do if we let it.
- 56:47It's not going to replace any of you anytime soon.
- 56:50So thanks for kind of going with me on that journey tonight.
- 56:54And at any time I'm willing to talk and I post a lot on LinkedIn.
- 56:58So I don't know if any of you guys follow LinkedIn but I follow a lot of smart
- 57:01people on there I've learned a lot from through the years and yeah.
- 57:12I'm happy to answer any questions, anything technical. I'm just going to point to the table back there.
- 57:21I was thinking about future and long-term AI and the struggles that healthcare
- 57:28provided right now based on it comes to other people,
- 57:32thinking that they have a safe healthcare and making a lot of big decisions
- 57:36around healthcare probability of knowledge and how AI could influence that for the force.
- 57:43No, I think you're right. So I think in general, I'll stand on my soapbox a
- 57:49little bit. It isn't even necessarily AI.
- 57:51I think we as physicians, it wasn't us probably, it was kind of our foremothers
- 57:56and forefathers who came before us, decided that they weren't going to be involved
- 58:00in the business side of healthcare.
- 58:01And they just wanted to be doing the medicine and let the business people run medicine.
- 58:06And we're kind of stuck with that now, that we should have always been involved
- 58:11in it because there's different priorities a lot of times for businesses.
- 58:15Even nonprofits are there to generate profits. And so profits,
- 58:20unfortunately, a lot of times come before patient care.
- 58:24And certainly we noticed it during COVID and beyond that there's a lot of staff reduction.
- 58:30So Texas children's right now is reducing their staff
- 58:33and people aren't working less hard they're working harder
- 58:36and so it's it's hard i just
- 58:39think that overall us physicians let things slip
- 58:42away and that's kind of where i'm here too so how many of us were involved in
- 58:46the development of our ehr system that we use probably zero right i want to
- 58:52see tell me how were you actually in the room creating like epic you said this
- 58:57is how it's going to work or did you actually kind of modify what already existed for your institution.
- 59:02So were you in the planning room with Judy Faulkner when she was creating Epic in the 90s? Okay.
- 59:09Yeah. Well, so most of the time, what I would say is we were not involved in
- 59:13it. We were handed this platform to say, you're going to use this.
- 59:17You might change things over time and make it get better. How many of you think
- 59:22EHRs work really good for the NICU?
- 59:25I haven't met anybody who says, oh, this is fantastic. I think there's some good things from it.
- 59:30Good things being that it's helped with imaging. You can look at chest x-rays
- 59:34over time. You can look at lab data.
- 59:36That's better, but you sure have to dig through a lot of stuff to get other information.
- 59:41So it hasn't really improved our care. And my point being is we weren't involved in EHRs.
- 59:46AI is going to be EHRs on steroids.
- 59:50And if we're not involved in that, it's going to go down pathways that we don't want to go down.
- 59:55So we need smart, well-intended people that are putting patients and caregivers
- 1:00:00first and understanding how it will affect them.
- 1:00:03So as an example, there was some Bay Area health care system that started using
- 1:00:09some of these large language models.
- 1:00:12And one was to create staffing models for their unit.
- 1:00:16And you can imagine who's paying for that, right? So the hospital administrators
- 1:00:22are paying for that model.
- 1:00:23So they're going to tell the model they want there to be stringent or lower
- 1:00:28resource staffing models versus high.
- 1:00:30And then nurses used to answer a call line, but a chat bot started answering
- 1:00:36their call line and displaced them from doing that.
- 1:00:39So they actually started protesting in the Bay Area as nurses against AI.
- 1:00:43And my guess would be is that that health care system didn't involve nurses
- 1:00:47and actually the development of that AI. And that's what needs to be from the
- 1:00:51very beginning, that these are being created and developed.
- 1:00:54We, who are going to be using it, need to be involved. And right now,
- 1:00:58I'm not seeing that very often.
- 1:01:00So you bring up a great point. I wish I could say it was different.
- 1:01:04All upon that, do you think it would be wise for us to start,
- 1:01:08not unless we're going to get a nice background of it, at least all care providers,
- 1:01:12but definitely start seeing, do you think it's wise for us to start meeting our budget?
- 1:01:17Just that came well
- 1:01:21there's different ways so one is so everybody
- 1:01:24in this room should have raised their hand when I said have you
- 1:01:28used Chachi PT Gemini Clot every single one of us should have raised their hand
- 1:01:31because that's going to be one of the kind of platforms that are being used
- 1:01:36and it's going to be widespread because it's publicly available it's free in
- 1:01:40some cases and guess who else is going to be using it your patients and their families,
- 1:01:46And there you think Dr. Google was the issue.
- 1:01:49Dr. ChatGPT is a whole nother level of issue.
- 1:01:53And you're going to have to figure out as a clinician how you're going to handle
- 1:01:56that when a mother or a father comes up to you and says, you know,
- 1:01:59I use ChatGPT and I downloaded my son's lab results,
- 1:02:05x-ray result interpretation. I think you're missing something.
- 1:02:09What's your response to that going to be? That wasn't trained on any medical
- 1:02:13literature, so it doesn't know anything. I think I probably showed you that it knows something.
- 1:02:18And so we have to start figuring out how to actually work with this kind of technology.
- 1:02:23And the first step is just using it. And then the second is I do think that
- 1:02:28many health care systems are not going to be able to create their own.
- 1:02:32There's going to be some systems that can because they have a lot of money and
- 1:02:35they'll invest in it. So the Hopkins of the world may be Stanford's,
- 1:02:40Cleveland Clinic, Intermountain Health, others that have a lot of resources,
- 1:02:44but most healthcare systems.
- 1:02:46They're not going to have the money to be able to invest in the IT infrastructure,
- 1:02:51the data infrastructure, and the day-to-day managements of AI.
- 1:02:54So they're going to be buying stuff off the shelf, which is going to be a big
- 1:02:57issue because it may not work for their patient population or the way their clinicians work.
- 1:03:02So that's why you have to be knocking on doors. So if your institution is turning
- 1:03:07on AI, be it ambient intelligence where there's no documentation that's being
- 1:03:13created, you should make sure that there's clinicians involved.
- 1:03:17And if you're not, people should be knocking on the CMIO's door,
- 1:03:20the chief medical officer's door, and say, we shouldn't be using this unless
- 1:03:23we have a way to feed back when it's causing problems and refine it over time.
- 1:03:28So we have to be involved. And it's not great because we speak different languages.
- 1:03:34The data scientists speak a different world.
- 1:03:37They really do think that healthcare is easy and we just haven't figured it out along the way.
- 1:03:42And they don't really understand the clinical side of things.
- 1:03:45And I still see that they're working in silos most of the time.
- 1:03:48Most campuses, the data scientists are off over here.
- 1:03:52Clinicians are still off in our own world. And we're not really kind of hybridizing
- 1:03:57and working together and we need to.
- 1:03:58And I think it will be us that has to go knocking on the door.
- 1:04:01From a technical aspect, so I've gotten an MBA and I did it so I could speak
- 1:04:04with healthcare administrators, MBA is not very hard.
- 1:04:08Data science is hard. I'm trying to understand what that is.
- 1:04:12So unless you have some background in it, you're not going to,
- 1:04:15so I could go and get an MBA and not have background in business,
- 1:04:18what they teach and the foundational information, but that is not rock.
- 1:04:24Data science and AI is kind of rocket science because it's a whole new language
- 1:04:28and it's really sophisticated and the people teaching you a lot of times are
- 1:04:32not very good at teaching you because they think way up here and they don't
- 1:04:36even remember what words they don't know.
- 1:04:38So Halvoro and Kaiser often use words when we're in our NeoMind AI meetings
- 1:04:43that I have to go look up afterwards because I don't even know what they're talking about.
- 1:04:49But I think we have to be involved and my approach is to make people get interested about it.
- 1:04:57And because there's a lot of potential benefit.
- 1:05:00Thank you so much for listening to that talk. Don't forget to click on the link
- 1:05:05in this podcast for free credit that may include CME, MOC, or ethics credit,
- 1:05:10depending on our topic or podcast.
- 1:05:13Our podcast is brought to you by the Department of Pediatrics at UT Health San
- 1:05:18Antonio and University Health's new Women's and Children's Hospital.
- 1:05:24We also have Pediatrics Now for Parents. That's meant to be one less thing you
- 1:05:30have to say in the exam room.
- 1:05:32With the exception of talks or grand rounds, almost everything you hear on here,
- 1:05:37we will have a version on Pediatrics Now for Parents.
- 1:05:41The website for that is PediatricsNowforParents.com. It's also found wherever you get your podcasts.
- 1:05:49I'm Holly Wehment. I'll see you soon.