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TUESDAY BEST BETS | College Basketball Conference Tournaments & NHL & NBA | 3/3/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:01
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on Own
• 0:06
  Speaker 1: seven run over the last two days after tonight it
• 0:09
  Speaker 1: was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna start
• 0:12
  Speaker 1: off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I don't
• 0:15
  Speaker 1: even know what to tell you above that. I just
• 0:18
  Speaker 1: don't want to do this anymore. I have never seen
• 0:21
  Speaker 1: anything like this. Man with the slump continuing. Two straight losses,
• 0:26
  Speaker 1: not a good day at all. Oh in four, I
• 0:30
  Speaker 1: have not had a good season. Man with wookends the
• 0:34
  Speaker 1: slump that I'm on, and the slump continues. I've reached
• 0:38
  Speaker 1: into pink. Actually, I'm going to.
• 0:41
  Speaker 2: Burn my browins hat Man, I don't know what is
• 0:43
  Speaker 2: going on with the bruins arch hape?
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: Is that what it is? I don't even know it's
• 0:48
  Speaker 1: It's March ninth, I think who even knows? Man, I
• 0:52
  Speaker 1: don't know what data is anymore. I don't even know
• 0:54
  Speaker 1: what data is anymore.
• 0:55
  Speaker 2: Man's back with you after the worst day that I
• 0:58
  Speaker 2: could possibly have, act with you as I always am
• 1:02
  Speaker 2: until I die at least oh and two yesterday and
• 1:06
  Speaker 2: yesterday did not go well for me. Own five the
• 1:10
  Speaker 2: worst month that I've ever had in my eighteen years
• 1:13
  Speaker 2: doing this.
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 1:16
  Speaker 1: Slump praise, the slump discontinuous, the slump continues. Somebody fucking
• 1:21
  Speaker 1: kill me, please. I don't even know what I should
• 1:25
  Speaker 1: do at this point other than potentially end it all.
• 1:33
  Speaker 1: What's up, everybody, It's Toad back with you with Toadstool Sports.
• 1:37
  Speaker 1: It is Tuesday, March third March. Madness you know, officially
• 1:42
  Speaker 1: began last night. That game did go over, so I
• 1:46
  Speaker 1: was right about that. Cleveland State won and scored over
• 1:49
  Speaker 1: under points or something, so they will now probably lose
• 1:53
  Speaker 1: to Right State. So that's that was the kickoff of
• 1:56
  Speaker 1: the Horizon League tournament last night. It wasn't on an
• 2:02
  Speaker 1: It was not an unentertaining game. There were not a
• 2:05
  Speaker 1: lot of people in the stands when the game started.
• 2:08
  Speaker 1: There were more by the end of it. I mean,
• 2:10
  Speaker 1: it was a more entertaining game than people would think, probably,
• 2:13
  Speaker 1: although it wasn't really that close by the end of it.
• 2:16
  Speaker 1: I U p U Y not a very good team.
• 2:19
  Speaker 1: We went two and one on the show yesterday. NC
• 2:21
  Speaker 1: State was a complete bust, But then the other two
• 2:24
  Speaker 1: games are good. We almost got two outright underdog winners.
• 2:27
  Speaker 1: We did get one with Southeastern Louisiana. That line was
• 2:31
  Speaker 1: mostly six and a half when the game went off,
• 2:33
  Speaker 1: but they won outright, so that was a winner regardless
• 2:36
  Speaker 1: of what number you got on that. And then Utah covered,
• 2:39
  Speaker 1: but it was kind of disappointing because they almost won
• 2:41
  Speaker 1: the game. They had the lead in the final seconds
• 2:45
  Speaker 1: of the game and they wound up losing by three.
• 2:48
  Speaker 1: That was like, oh my god, they might win this
• 2:50
  Speaker 1: game outright, there was a chance. I believe that. I
• 2:53
  Speaker 1: think the Nuggets have won like eight or nine games
• 2:56
  Speaker 1: in a row against against the Jazz, but we needed
• 2:59
  Speaker 1: the Jazz to cover there. Now I have to decide
• 3:02
  Speaker 1: what I want to do here. Am I actually gonna
• 3:04
  Speaker 1: just go like full bore on this? Am I just
• 3:07
  Speaker 1: gonna start betting on all these games now? Again? Like
• 3:10
  Speaker 1: I Well, I could do it like I used to,
• 3:12
  Speaker 1: or I wasn't putting that much money on it, but
• 3:15
  Speaker 1: I don't really have, you know, other income right now?
• 3:18
  Speaker 1: So am I gonna finally make this my income? I
• 3:21
  Speaker 1: don't know. I would. I have a decent amount of
• 3:23
  Speaker 1: money to start with here, but I would really have
• 3:25
  Speaker 1: to start building this up. I like my plays today,
• 3:28
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna tell you that I'm gonna give you three
• 3:30
  Speaker 1: college basketball plays and they're all actually in major conferences.
• 3:33
  Speaker 1: I'll talk about the conference tournament games that are happening
• 3:36
  Speaker 1: as well. Uh, and then I have one hockey play
• 3:39
  Speaker 1: and one NBA play today as well, dirty sock, what's up?
• 3:45
  Speaker 1: There was a chance, but it was it will end
• 3:48
  Speaker 1: up not being the case. But you know me, I
• 3:50
  Speaker 1: tell you, when you play an underdog, I always recommend
• 3:52
  Speaker 1: putting a little bit of money on the money line,
• 3:55
  Speaker 1: Like you're still gonna win the majority of the bet
• 3:57
  Speaker 1: if they cover and that, and you're putting money on it,
• 3:59
  Speaker 1: be you think that will happen. And if that's gonna happen,
• 4:03
  Speaker 1: there's a decent likelihood. I'm saying there's a chance that
• 4:07
  Speaker 1: they might be able to pull off the outright upset.
• 4:09
  Speaker 1: I mean, if you're talking about like a twenty plus
• 4:11
  Speaker 1: point dog and you don't want to do it, I
• 4:13
  Speaker 1: guess fine, But even then I still recommend, like I'm like, eh,
• 4:16
  Speaker 1: I just got to do it, put like one percent
• 4:18
  Speaker 1: of the bet on the money line on those massive underdogs,
• 4:22
  Speaker 1: the Utah one. I probably would have also said like
• 4:25
  Speaker 1: one percent of the bet on the money line there
• 4:27
  Speaker 1: maybe up to about three percent on a smaller dog,
• 4:30
  Speaker 1: like a single digit dog in football basketball, I would
• 4:34
  Speaker 1: actually say put ten percent of it on the money line.
• 4:37
  Speaker 1: All right, let's let's get into this. Yes, correct, Yes,
• 4:42
  Speaker 1: Dumb and Dumber. Good movie. I haven't seen it in
• 4:45
  Speaker 1: a long time. Let's get into today's slate. Man, we
• 4:50
  Speaker 1: have a couple of six and six thirty PM games here,
• 4:54
  Speaker 1: pretty big college basketball board today. I mean it is
• 4:56
  Speaker 1: a Tuesday, but we're getting into, you know, the end
• 5:01
  Speaker 1: of the season here. Now, we do have to talk
• 5:03
  Speaker 1: about some of these conferences we have to talk about,
• 5:06
  Speaker 1: like some of these teams have their positions wrapped up.
• 5:09
  Speaker 1: So I will try to mention all of the stuff
• 5:13
  Speaker 1: that I like noticed when I was looking at it,
• 5:15
  Speaker 1: because I always have to look at that, Like I'm
• 5:16
  Speaker 1: looking at the conference tournament structure. I'm like, who can't
• 5:19
  Speaker 1: like change their seed at this point now that we
• 5:22
  Speaker 1: have like one game left, you know, So I will
• 5:24
  Speaker 1: talk about those with the big conferences. You don't really
• 5:27
  Speaker 1: have that type of situation yet in most cases. Although
• 5:33
  Speaker 1: I believe Arizona and Arizona and Duke both did wrap
• 5:38
  Speaker 1: up the one seed in their respective conferences. Last night,
• 5:41
  Speaker 1: though SEC Network at six pm, Tennessee, who's back in
• 5:46
  Speaker 1: the rankings at number twenty three, is at South Carolina.
• 5:50
  Speaker 1: I believe Tennessee should be a ranked team, so I
• 5:53
  Speaker 1: don't really have any issue with them being ranked. And
• 5:56
  Speaker 1: the thing is with Tennessee being ranked again and that
• 6:00
  Speaker 1: kind of puts a target on their back again. So
• 6:02
  Speaker 1: I think South Carolina will get up for this game.
• 6:05
  Speaker 1: Tennessee is debatably in a sandwich spot here, so I
• 6:07
  Speaker 1: did consider South Carolina here. Tennessee's coming up a really
• 6:12
  Speaker 1: close call against Alabama that was a big game, and
• 6:15
  Speaker 1: they have a big game on deck against their primary
• 6:17
  Speaker 1: rival Vandy, who they did already beat on the road,
• 6:20
  Speaker 1: but that is a huge game as well. So I
• 6:22
  Speaker 1: do think this is a sandwich. I think they could
• 6:24
  Speaker 1: overlook South Carolina here. I don't believe these teams have
• 6:27
  Speaker 1: played this season. I don't think there's any Actually I
• 6:33
  Speaker 1: don't know. Let me look. I don't know if there's
• 6:35
  Speaker 1: any danger of like, is South Carolina gonna not make
• 6:37
  Speaker 1: the SEC Tournament? Let me see. This is one that
• 6:40
  Speaker 1: I didn't look at because I was like, oh, I
• 6:41
  Speaker 1: think every team makes the tournament, but I might be wrong.
• 6:46
  Speaker 1: I'm looking right now. Yeah, every team makes a tournament,
• 6:49
  Speaker 1: so South Carolina is not. They don't have to worry
• 6:52
  Speaker 1: about being eliminated from the tournament because they'll be in it.
• 6:55
  Speaker 1: But they are a last they are the last play seed.
• 6:58
  Speaker 1: But you gotta think they're gonna get up for this game.
• 7:00
  Speaker 1: I mean, they've lost most of their recent games. They
• 7:03
  Speaker 1: just got blown out at Georgia. Now they get to
• 7:05
  Speaker 1: play a slow paced Tennessee team at home. South Carolina
• 7:09
  Speaker 1: also likes to play slow. This is their final home
• 7:12
  Speaker 1: game and gets a pretty, you know, like a name
• 7:15
  Speaker 1: team basically, So I would take the points of South
• 7:18
  Speaker 1: Carolina here. You're getting a decent amount of points, although
• 7:22
  Speaker 1: it did drop from twelve to eight and a half,
• 7:24
  Speaker 1: so I don't know what really spurred that move. So
• 7:26
  Speaker 1: you're getting a little bit less value on the number here.
• 7:29
  Speaker 1: Eighty eight percent of the tickets, ninety four percent of
• 7:31
  Speaker 1: the cash on Tennessee. Looks like they're getting some of
• 7:34
  Speaker 1: the money right now, maybe at the lower number, so
• 7:37
  Speaker 1: I don't know. That almost leads me to believe there
• 7:38
  Speaker 1: might be an injury on the Tennessee side and there's
• 7:41
  Speaker 1: money coming in on the lower number there, just because
• 7:44
  Speaker 1: there's some value in that lower number on Tennessee at
• 7:47
  Speaker 1: this point. I don't know, but I'm a situational guy.
• 7:51
  Speaker 1: I think the situation tells you South Carolina here. It's
• 7:54
  Speaker 1: a low total in the one forties. I would lean
• 7:56
  Speaker 1: towards taking the points of South Carolina, but that one
• 7:59
  Speaker 1: does not make my card. Kyle, what's up? Thanks for
• 8:03
  Speaker 1: hanging out. And again, Tennessee is a slow defensive team too,
• 8:07
  Speaker 1: so covering as a road favorite like that usually not
• 8:11
  Speaker 1: something you want to do. I'm gonna skip the conference
• 8:14
  Speaker 1: tournament games here. We do have I think one Sun
• 8:17
  Speaker 1: Belt game today. I think there is one Horizon League
• 8:20
  Speaker 1: game tonight. The Patriot League starts as well, so those
• 8:24
  Speaker 1: tournament games. I think those are the only conference tournament games.
• 8:26
  Speaker 1: So I'm gonna talk about those last as I did yesterday.
• 8:31
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna mention it just real quick in the American
• 8:35
  Speaker 1: American East here because I don't really have much to
• 8:37
  Speaker 1: say about these games. But UMass Lowell is already locked
• 8:41
  Speaker 1: into I believe the four seeds U Mass Lowell. Well,
• 8:44
  Speaker 1: I'll just talk about this briefly. They have nothing to
• 8:45
  Speaker 1: play for tonight basically because they're guaranteed the four seed
• 8:49
  Speaker 1: in the American East. They can't advance, they can't drop.
• 8:52
  Speaker 1: They're playing on the road at Maine, and they already
• 8:54
  Speaker 1: beat Maine by fourteen at home, so they might just
• 8:58
  Speaker 1: not show up in this game. Might have a reason too,
• 9:01
  Speaker 1: because it's their final home game. They still are jocking
• 9:05
  Speaker 1: for positioning a little bit as far as the seeding,
• 9:07
  Speaker 1: they're not in danger of dropping. I think Binghamton actually
• 9:10
  Speaker 1: is already eliminated from the American East tournament now. I
• 9:13
  Speaker 1: think Binghamton's out, so Maine, you know, still they're playing
• 9:18
  Speaker 1: for revenge in their final home game and they just
• 9:20
  Speaker 1: lost to Binghamton, which is a really bad loss, and
• 9:23
  Speaker 1: they're coming back home and they lost their last couple
• 9:25
  Speaker 1: of home games too, So I would lean Maine in
• 9:28
  Speaker 1: that game again, like I never would want to lay
• 9:32
  Speaker 1: like a road price with a team that has nothing
• 9:35
  Speaker 1: to play for, you know, which is UMass Lowell. Here
• 9:37
  Speaker 1: they're minus one, they're already potentially looking ahead to playing
• 9:40
  Speaker 1: in the conference tournament. So and then UNBC and NJIT,
• 9:44
  Speaker 1: the much overrated NJIT team. But the problem with fading
• 9:49
  Speaker 1: NJIT in this spot is that UNBC already has wrapped
• 9:52
  Speaker 1: up the one seed in the American East, so they
• 9:54
  Speaker 1: don't have anything to play for right now. They could
• 9:57
  Speaker 1: be looking ahead to the tournament. They're on a huge role.
• 10:00
  Speaker 1: I mean they've lost, I mean, excuse me. They have
• 10:01
  Speaker 1: won eight games in a row. I think so if
• 10:03
  Speaker 1: they lose this game, it will hurt their momentum a
• 10:06
  Speaker 1: little bit. But having to have a break before the
• 10:08
  Speaker 1: conference tournament might hurt your momentum as well. But it's
• 10:11
  Speaker 1: a second straight road game. They're playing an NJIT team
• 10:15
  Speaker 1: they already beat once. I know NJIT sucks, but I
• 10:19
  Speaker 1: think NJIT might be the right side in this game.
• 10:22
  Speaker 1: They're coming off that ugly loss to Bryant, they're back
• 10:24
  Speaker 1: at home for their final home game. I believe that
• 10:28
  Speaker 1: they still I think there is still a chance they
• 10:31
  Speaker 1: can advance back to the two seed, which really would
• 10:33
  Speaker 1: be ridiculous because they're not good. They're not even as
• 10:37
  Speaker 1: good as Vermont. But UNBC doesn't have anything to play
• 10:40
  Speaker 1: for in that game, and it's revenge for NJIT and
• 10:44
  Speaker 1: their final home game, so something to keep in mind there.
• 10:47
  Speaker 1: I would lean to NJIT, which is really really bad.
• 10:53
  Speaker 1: UNBC is a five point road favorite. It's a pretty
• 10:55
  Speaker 1: low total there too. Ugly game and even uglier as
• 10:59
  Speaker 1: Bryan in New Hampshire. But New Hampshire has already locked
• 11:02
  Speaker 1: into the eight seed now in the American East, so
• 11:04
  Speaker 1: they have made the American East Tournament. Binghamton is out.
• 11:09
  Speaker 1: New Hampshire still might show up though, for their final
• 11:11
  Speaker 1: home game, you know. So it's this is a really
• 11:14
  Speaker 1: tricky handicap because they technically don't have anything to play
• 11:16
  Speaker 1: for as far as the seeding is concerned. But they
• 11:21
  Speaker 1: already lost to Bryant once on the road, and it's
• 11:23
  Speaker 1: their final home game, and they probably don't want to
• 11:25
  Speaker 1: go into the tournament on and whatever. This is eight
• 11:28
  Speaker 1: to nine game losing streaks, so they might show up
• 11:30
  Speaker 1: for that reason. New Hampshire is down from three and
• 11:34
  Speaker 1: a half to three here though, so some money looks
• 11:36
  Speaker 1: like it came in on Bryant and it is a
• 11:38
  Speaker 1: really low total in that game. But yeah, that's a
• 11:41
  Speaker 1: game I'm completely staying away from. Number sixteen. Alabama is
• 11:45
  Speaker 1: at George on ESPN News at six point thirty pm.
• 11:50
  Speaker 1: ESPN News does carry some of these games even Still,
• 11:56
  Speaker 1: I think Alabama's not in a very good spot. They
• 11:59
  Speaker 1: just that was a bit big win for them against Tennessee, dude,
• 12:01
  Speaker 1: because Tennessee had beaten them five times in a row.
• 12:05
  Speaker 1: Huge win really for Alabama there against Tennessee, even though
• 12:08
  Speaker 1: they were a home favorite. Now they're playing a third
• 12:11
  Speaker 1: road game in four games. They have Auburn on deck,
• 12:14
  Speaker 1: and normally I would say, yeah, this is a major
• 12:17
  Speaker 1: sandwich spot. And I do think it's at least a
• 12:18
  Speaker 1: letdown spot after that win over Tennessee. Even though Alabama
• 12:23
  Speaker 1: didn't cover Georgia, you know, is still a tournament team.
• 12:27
  Speaker 1: I don't believe these teams have played otherwise this year.
• 12:31
  Speaker 1: Auburn is a huge rival for Alabama. But the thing
• 12:33
  Speaker 1: is that rivalry is pretty one sided right now, and
• 12:36
  Speaker 1: I think it probably means a bit more to Auburn.
• 12:39
  Speaker 1: I mean, Auburn's fighting for the tournament lives here, man,
• 12:41
  Speaker 1: they keep losing to inferior teams, Like you can't do that.
• 12:45
  Speaker 1: Like Auburn absolutely needs to win at home and then
• 12:48
  Speaker 1: they might need to beat Alabama too. But Alabama still
• 12:52
  Speaker 1: might be looking ahead to that game because it is
• 12:54
  Speaker 1: their primary rival. It's the Iron Bowl, whatever you want
• 12:58
  Speaker 1: to call it. So I would lean to George in
• 13:00
  Speaker 1: this game. Georgia, I mean, they're pretty safe in their
• 13:04
  Speaker 1: tournament as well. They're gonna be in assuming they don't
• 13:08
  Speaker 1: totally mess up here. They can afford to lose this
• 13:12
  Speaker 1: game and still be in the tournament. But I think
• 13:14
  Speaker 1: they want to win it because it is their final
• 13:15
  Speaker 1: home game, it's against Alabama. They just beat South Carolina
• 13:19
  Speaker 1: in their last game, they only have Mississippi State on deck.
• 13:23
  Speaker 1: I expect Georgia to show up, and in fact, I
• 13:25
  Speaker 1: like Georgia in this game. Like I said, Alabama is
• 13:28
  Speaker 1: a one and a half point favorite, seventy four percent
• 13:30
  Speaker 1: of the ticket, sixty seven percent of the cash on Alabama.
• 13:33
  Speaker 1: I would take it with Georgia in that one. And
• 13:36
  Speaker 1: I also do not disagree with an over in that game,
• 13:38
  Speaker 1: even though the total is one hundred and seventy nine
• 13:41
  Speaker 1: and a half. Both these teams are like probably at
• 13:46
  Speaker 1: least top twenty and tempo. They both play really fast,
• 13:49
  Speaker 1: they both have really good offenses, and they both pretty
• 13:52
  Speaker 1: much stink on the defensive side. So this game looks
• 13:55
  Speaker 1: like it does have overwritten all over it. Overwritten all
• 13:59
  Speaker 1: over it. There you go, so over. I think it's
• 14:02
  Speaker 1: a way to look in that game as well, even
• 14:03
  Speaker 1: though I know the total is unbelievably high, but we've
• 14:08
  Speaker 1: seen higher totals out there in Alabama games. Fox Sports one,
• 14:15
  Speaker 1: seven pm. Oh, this is one of my best bets.
• 14:17
  Speaker 1: Let's go. Yeah, we are going to jump in and
• 14:26
  Speaker 1: take the ten points with TCU at Texas Tech. Number
• 14:30
  Speaker 1: ten ranked Texas Tech on Fox Sports One. First of all, TCU,
• 14:36
  Speaker 1: they're a bubble team right now, man, so I think
• 14:39
  Speaker 1: you know you're gonna get motivation out of TCU. Plus
• 14:41
  Speaker 1: I think they feel like they're little brothers in the
• 14:43
  Speaker 1: state of Texas to Texas Tech. I think you're gonna
• 14:46
  Speaker 1: get an effort out of TCU here, man, and that's
• 14:48
  Speaker 1: what you want as an underdog. You want to make
• 14:50
  Speaker 1: sure you're gonna get a big effort. They've not played
• 14:52
  Speaker 1: each other this year. TCU was coming off a game
• 14:56
  Speaker 1: where it was a close call kind of at Kansas
• 14:58
  Speaker 1: State that kind of pulled away at the end of
• 15:02
  Speaker 1: that game. Wasn't a big win or anything, but it
• 15:04
  Speaker 1: continues their momentum. I know this is a road game here,
• 15:07
  Speaker 1: but I think this is a monster game for TCU
• 15:10
  Speaker 1: because if they get it, I think they're probably pretty
• 15:13
  Speaker 1: much locking up a tournament spot for themselves if they
• 15:15
  Speaker 1: happen to get this win. I'm not gonna say they're
• 15:17
  Speaker 1: gonna win the game, but I think they're gonna give
• 15:19
  Speaker 1: you an effort, and I think they have a decent
• 15:22
  Speaker 1: chance to hang around in this game. Meanwhile, Texas Tech,
• 15:27
  Speaker 1: the whole talk was, well, Texas Tech hasn't beaten anybody
• 15:30
  Speaker 1: after JT. Top and went down, who was their best player?
• 15:33
  Speaker 1: He went down in the Arizona State game. That was
• 15:35
  Speaker 1: a win I gave out on the show because I
• 15:37
  Speaker 1: thought it was a major letdown spot after Texas Tech
• 15:40
  Speaker 1: upset Arizona and Arizona was in a hangover spot in
• 15:44
  Speaker 1: that game because they had taken their first loss of
• 15:46
  Speaker 1: the season in the game before that. So you see
• 15:48
  Speaker 1: how the situations kind of come into play, and then
• 15:51
  Speaker 1: they set up another situation for you in the next
• 15:54
  Speaker 1: game if you happen to be right now. Texas Tech
• 15:58
  Speaker 1: lost more than the Arizona State game. They lost their
• 16:00
  Speaker 1: best player in the game, top and they came out
• 16:03
  Speaker 1: of that game and they won two games anyway against
• 16:06
  Speaker 1: Kansas State and Cincinnati. Actually a pretty impressive win because
• 16:09
  Speaker 1: Cincinnati is actually not a bad team. They're actually really
• 16:11
  Speaker 1: good defensively, but the whole talk was, well, Texas Tech
• 16:15
  Speaker 1: still hasn't really been able to like they haven't beaten
• 16:17
  Speaker 1: anybody elite or whatever. And then what do they do. Well,
• 16:21
  Speaker 1: they go into Iowa State and they beat them by
• 16:24
  Speaker 1: nine on the road where it's really difficult to win
• 16:27
  Speaker 1: at ames Iowa, and they won that game outright without Top,
• 16:31
  Speaker 1: And I think that was kind of like the new
• 16:33
  Speaker 1: Texas Tech legitimizer game. Like I talk about the legitimizer
• 16:37
  Speaker 1: where that's like when a team kind of announces themselves like, hey,
• 16:41
  Speaker 1: we're actually for real, we're legit. We just finally beat
• 16:44
  Speaker 1: a legit team. I think this is like a real
• 16:47
  Speaker 1: legitimizer because obviously people thought Texas Tech was legit already.
• 16:51
  Speaker 1: I mean, they beat Arizona on the road, but with
• 16:55
  Speaker 1: Top and Down, they had not beaten anybody legitimate yet
• 16:58
  Speaker 1: and now they did in a huge way on the road.
• 17:01
  Speaker 1: And even though this is gonna be their final home game,
• 17:04
  Speaker 1: I think this is a major letdown spot here. Man. Yeah,
• 17:07
  Speaker 1: I like TCU here, and TCU, believe it or not,
• 17:10
  Speaker 1: actually has the slightly better defense here and they're getting points.
• 17:13
  Speaker 1: So I like that TCU They're not very good on offense,
• 17:17
  Speaker 1: but they're a good defense. They're well coached. Jamie Dixon
• 17:21
  Speaker 1: is still there. They're a solid team. Uh. And Texas
• 17:23
  Speaker 1: Tech does that BYU on deck, which I don't know
• 17:26
  Speaker 1: how big of a deal that is. They beat BYU
• 17:28
  Speaker 1: once already, but BYU has been ranked all year. They
• 17:31
  Speaker 1: are a team with a good record still, so yeah,
• 17:33
  Speaker 1: we're gonna do it. TCU Texas Tech is up to
• 17:37
  Speaker 1: a ten point favorite, sixty nine percent of the tickets,
• 17:39
  Speaker 1: sixty eight percent of the cash on them. It looks
• 17:41
  Speaker 1: like the market is seemingly agreeing with me on that,
• 17:44
  Speaker 1: although I did see a lot of the money on
• 17:46
  Speaker 1: the TCU side earlier. But let's get, you know, the
• 17:49
  Speaker 1: best number that we can on this. According to Ken
• 17:52
  Speaker 1: bumb TCU, they're sort of in the mid range of
• 17:56
  Speaker 1: the Luck Index. They're a top twenty five defensive team.
• 17:59
  Speaker 1: They do play them mid tempo, whereas Texas Tech will
• 18:01
  Speaker 1: try to slow the game down more. Texas Tech is
• 18:05
  Speaker 1: a top ten offense and they're slightly outside of the
• 18:08
  Speaker 1: top twenty five on defense. They're a little bit more
• 18:10
  Speaker 1: lucky than TCU, close to the top one hundred in
• 18:14
  Speaker 1: luck and even if they slow the game down a bit.
• 18:16
  Speaker 1: I think that's probably okay because a slow based game
• 18:20
  Speaker 1: means fewer points that we're asking the underdog to cover.
• 18:22
  Speaker 1: A double digit spread here, the total is not very
• 18:25
  Speaker 1: high in the one forties, So TCU is my first
• 18:28
  Speaker 1: play there. All right, I'm gonna move that up. I
• 18:32
  Speaker 1: have these out of order here, Okay. Next up Wake
• 18:37
  Speaker 1: Forest at number thirteen, Virginia, seven pm on ACC Network.
• 18:42
  Speaker 1: This game Wake Forests, you gotta figure you'll probably get
• 18:45
  Speaker 1: an effort out of them. They're coming up of a
• 18:47
  Speaker 1: pretty easy win against Syracuse. Syracuse is no good. This
• 18:50
  Speaker 1: will be a big game for Wake I think, getting
• 18:52
  Speaker 1: to try to step up and play a ranked team,
• 18:54
  Speaker 1: although they haven't exactly done great in ranked matchups. They've
• 18:58
  Speaker 1: lost like all of them this year, but they had
• 19:01
  Speaker 1: some success against North Carolina earlier this year and played
• 19:04
  Speaker 1: them close. I don't love the spot for Virginia because
• 19:07
  Speaker 1: Virginia just lost along win streak. They'd won probably nine
• 19:11
  Speaker 1: games in a row or something. You know. I talk
• 19:13
  Speaker 1: about that when a team loses along win streak, especially
• 19:16
  Speaker 1: when it's a game they're gonna get up for, like mentally,
• 19:20
  Speaker 1: a lot of times it'll hang them over to the
• 19:22
  Speaker 1: next game. And it's even worse if the game is
• 19:25
  Speaker 1: really hard fought and really close, although this wasn't. They
• 19:27
  Speaker 1: got blown out by Duke, but still that was a
• 19:30
  Speaker 1: game they got up for. It was a hyped game.
• 19:33
  Speaker 1: They got a reality check, and they have their rival
• 19:37
  Speaker 1: Virginia Tech on deck, and that is their final home game,
• 19:40
  Speaker 1: so they might even be looking ahead to that. So
• 19:42
  Speaker 1: I don't like Virginia in this game. I would lean
• 19:44
  Speaker 1: to Wake Forest here. Virginia is a fourteen point favorite
• 19:50
  Speaker 1: and they play slow, so asking them to cover a
• 19:53
  Speaker 1: huge number like this not really something that's that's very
• 19:56
  Speaker 1: much in my repertoire. Of the tickets, ninety five percent
• 20:01
  Speaker 1: of the cash on Virginia. They dropped from fourteen and
• 20:03
  Speaker 1: after fourteen, I think they will be a public side.
• 20:06
  Speaker 1: Total is in the one forties, so it's not high.
• 20:10
  Speaker 1: I don't know. Playing on a team that's that public
• 20:12
  Speaker 1: is not really necessarily my repertoire either, So I leaned
• 20:16
  Speaker 1: Wake plus the points not on my card or anything.
• 20:20
  Speaker 1: ESPN seven pm. Clemson is at number seventeen North Carolina.
• 20:24
  Speaker 1: Clemson is coming off a nice win man They ended
• 20:27
  Speaker 1: a four game losing streak with a win over Louisville,
• 20:31
  Speaker 1: but that was a big win. So they are coming
• 20:33
  Speaker 1: up of a big game against a ranked team. Now,
• 20:35
  Speaker 1: are they gonna overlook North Carolina? Though I doubt it.
• 20:39
  Speaker 1: I think they're still gonna show up for this game.
• 20:41
  Speaker 1: This is still a big game for North Carolina. They're
• 20:46
  Speaker 1: coming up a game that wasn't that great against Virginia
• 20:48
  Speaker 1: Tech where they pushed the number. I'm pissed about it
• 20:52
  Speaker 1: because I had Virginia Tech in that one. That was
• 20:53
  Speaker 1: one of my plays. Part of my handicap was that
• 20:58
  Speaker 1: I thought North Carolina might look ahead of Clemson here,
• 21:01
  Speaker 1: but they also might be looking ahead to Duke. Man
• 21:03
  Speaker 1: even though they beat Duke earlier this year. That's obviously
• 21:06
  Speaker 1: a massive game. Their biggest games of the of the
• 21:09
  Speaker 1: year are always the games against Duke. You know, it's
• 21:12
  Speaker 1: a massive rivalry and whatever. So will North Carolina actually
• 21:16
  Speaker 1: overlook Clemson at all here? I don't know, man, that
• 21:21
  Speaker 1: is the question. This is a difficult handicap because you
• 21:24
  Speaker 1: have one team kind of in a letdown, although I
• 21:26
  Speaker 1: don't think they really will be because it's a big
• 21:28
  Speaker 1: game for Clemson here, two big games in a row,
• 21:31
  Speaker 1: On the other side, you have you North Carolina potentially
• 21:33
  Speaker 1: looking ahead. The market read is pointing towards Clemson. Looking
• 21:38
  Speaker 1: at the numbers here, North Carolina is a three and
• 21:40
  Speaker 1: a half point favorite, seventy five percent of the tickets
• 21:43
  Speaker 1: fifty three percent of the cash on them, So the
• 21:46
  Speaker 1: money looks like it is fading a public North Carolina
• 21:49
  Speaker 1: side here, and I think the public will look at
• 21:51
  Speaker 1: that and think it's a pretty low number to lay. Oh,
• 21:54
  Speaker 1: I get a ranked North Carolina team laying very few
• 21:57
  Speaker 1: points against an unranked Clemson team. Looks pretty easy to
• 22:00
  Speaker 1: play North Carolina there. But again, the oddsmakers are telling
• 22:03
  Speaker 1: you there's not much separating those two teams. Ken Bomb
• 22:08
  Speaker 1: has got North Carolina twenty eighth and Clemson thirty six,
• 22:12
  Speaker 1: so they're not separated by too much there, and the
• 22:16
  Speaker 1: oddsmakers are concurring with that. All right, seven pm, Peacock,
• 22:22
  Speaker 1: we have Georgetown at number eighteen. Saint John's. Georgetown has
• 22:26
  Speaker 1: lost a bunch of games in a row, six games
• 22:28
  Speaker 1: in a row. They're playing a third road game in
• 22:32
  Speaker 1: four games, which is not that easy either, But this
• 22:35
  Speaker 1: is probably gonna be a step up game for them.
• 22:37
  Speaker 1: This is their biggest remaining game on the schedule right now,
• 22:40
  Speaker 1: at least until they maybe do something in the conference tournament.
• 22:43
  Speaker 1: But Georgetown lost at home to Saint John's by double digits. Already,
• 22:47
  Speaker 1: I think you're gonna get an effort out of them
• 22:49
  Speaker 1: in this game. It's a pretty big game for them.
• 22:51
  Speaker 1: Saint John's just meet Villanova and they beat them down.
• 22:56
  Speaker 1: They hammered them. Man, that was a big win for
• 22:58
  Speaker 1: Saint John's. Villanova is a tournament team, and beating them
• 23:02
  Speaker 1: by thirty two was just crazy. Saint John's after a
• 23:06
  Speaker 1: horrible game against Yukon, they bounced back in a big way.
• 23:09
  Speaker 1: And I wasn't sure that they were gonna have that
• 23:11
  Speaker 1: good of a game against Villanova because I was still thinking, well,
• 23:15
  Speaker 1: they've lost a huge win streak. You know, they'd already
• 23:17
  Speaker 1: beaten Villanova once. I was thinking Villanova was gonna give
• 23:21
  Speaker 1: a better effort there. Nope, Saint John's. Most of the
• 23:25
  Speaker 1: handicap really should have been about how they had a horrible,
• 23:28
  Speaker 1: horrible game against Yukon, and Rick Patino must have given them,
• 23:32
  Speaker 1: you know, the motivational speech, Yeah, inside, I want to
• 23:36
  Speaker 1: kill myself, which was probably something like that, and they
• 23:42
  Speaker 1: got the job done man. Yeah, they killed Villanova, and
• 23:46
  Speaker 1: they do have an interesting game to finish the season
• 23:48
  Speaker 1: against Seaton Hall, who they didn't beat by much at
• 23:52
  Speaker 1: home earlier this year. Seaton Hall is not a horrible team,
• 23:56
  Speaker 1: and they're sort of a tournament bubble team right now.
• 23:58
  Speaker 1: So there is the potential that Saint John's doesn't take
• 24:01
  Speaker 1: Georgetown seriously year and again they already beat them on
• 24:03
  Speaker 1: the road. I know this is Saint John's final home game,
• 24:06
  Speaker 1: but it's kind of surrounded by bigger games, So I
• 24:09
  Speaker 1: would lean to Georgetown plus the points in this one.
• 24:11
  Speaker 1: I know they're gonna be getting a lot of points here.
• 24:14
  Speaker 1: They're gonna be a double digit dog. Yeah, Saint John's
• 24:16
  Speaker 1: a sixteen and a half point favorite, eighty seven percent
• 24:19
  Speaker 1: of the tickets, eighty eight percent of the cash. I
• 24:21
  Speaker 1: wouldn't really look into those percentages much there, but yeah,
• 24:25
  Speaker 1: I think, by the way, the percentages are really coming
• 24:27
  Speaker 1: out of Virginia now, but I just don't really see
• 24:29
  Speaker 1: that anyway. And it's looking better for me for the
• 24:34
  Speaker 1: TCU player right now too. But yeah, I lean to
• 24:37
  Speaker 1: Georgetown in that one, but it's not a play for me.
• 24:39
  Speaker 1: Toledo is at now number nineteen. Miami Ohio. Hey, ken bom,
• 24:46
  Speaker 1: is Miami Ohio the nineteenth best team in the country.
• 24:50
  Speaker 1: Where do you have Miami Ohio ken bom oh eighty six?
• 24:54
  Speaker 1: Oh okay, thank you sir. Yeah, this is the most
• 24:57
  Speaker 1: overrated team that we've ever seen. Dude. Miami Ohio moves
• 25:01
  Speaker 1: up multiple more ranking spots because they almost lost to
• 25:05
  Speaker 1: Western Michigan. I mean, come on, man, this is getting
• 25:10
  Speaker 1: just beyond absurd. At this point. We know that Miami
• 25:13
  Speaker 1: Ohio as a target on their back, and they keep
• 25:15
  Speaker 1: winning by the you know, the skin of their ass.
• 25:19
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna start using that as a phrase instead of
• 25:21
  Speaker 1: skin of your teeth. Teeth don't have skin. Toledo is
• 25:25
  Speaker 1: coming off a nice win though against Ohio, which I
• 25:28
  Speaker 1: believe must have been an upset. They just went to
• 25:30
  Speaker 1: Ohio and won on the road. It was a very
• 25:32
  Speaker 1: mild upset though. But you know, they're not gonna overlook
• 25:36
  Speaker 1: Miami Ohio. Man, this is a big game. Both these
• 25:39
  Speaker 1: teams are Ohio teams. It'll be a big game. Miami Ohio.
• 25:42
  Speaker 1: By the way, I already beat Toledo by fourteen at Toledo,
• 25:46
  Speaker 1: so I think you are going to get an effort
• 25:47
  Speaker 1: out of Toledo here. Man, this will be basically their
• 25:50
  Speaker 1: biggest game of the season for Miami Ohio. I think
• 25:53
  Speaker 1: it's just kind of another whatever game. And people are
• 25:56
  Speaker 1: kind of pointing to this Ohio game they have on
• 25:58
  Speaker 1: the road as, oh my god, they might lose their
• 26:00
  Speaker 1: season finale. I don't know, but they're not gonna be
• 26:04
  Speaker 1: like a massive favorite in that game. I don't think.
• 26:07
  Speaker 1: I mean, this game, they're a fairly big favorite, and
• 26:09
  Speaker 1: Miami Ohio is coming off almost losing, and you know,
• 26:12
  Speaker 1: I talk about that when you have like a double
• 26:14
  Speaker 1: digit favorite that almost loses a lot of times, they
• 26:17
  Speaker 1: will show up with focus after they get a scare
• 26:20
  Speaker 1: like that, and it is their final home game, So
• 26:23
  Speaker 1: I think you will get focused out of Miami Ohio here,
• 26:27
  Speaker 1: even though yeah, they did beat Toledo already handily on
• 26:31
  Speaker 1: the road. But are you gonna get enough focus that
• 26:34
  Speaker 1: they're gonna win by margin here? I would say I
• 26:37
  Speaker 1: would still lean to Toledo plus the points here. I mean,
• 26:40
  Speaker 1: you're not getting any value on Miami Ohio, man. I mean,
• 26:43
  Speaker 1: they're the most overhyped team that we've ever seen. Eighty
• 26:46
  Speaker 1: three percent of the tickets and only fifty four percent
• 26:49
  Speaker 1: of the cash on Miami Ohio. Eight and a half
• 26:51
  Speaker 1: is the number right now, up from seven. I would
• 26:55
  Speaker 1: still lean towards taking the points, but it's not on
• 26:57
  Speaker 1: my card, and I have not faded Miami Ohio this
• 27:00
  Speaker 1: entire season, I don't think so. You know, eventually there's
• 27:05
  Speaker 1: gonna be a spot to do it, and it's probably
• 27:06
  Speaker 1: gonna be in the tournament or maybe in the conference tournament.
• 27:10
  Speaker 1: We'll say, all right, these Patriot League games, we'll talk
• 27:13
  Speaker 1: about at the end, because that's the conference tournament. George
• 27:17
  Speaker 1: Mason and VCU gets a TV game CBS Sports seven pm.
• 27:21
  Speaker 1: Interesting game here. George Mason descended a four game losing
• 27:25
  Speaker 1: streak they beat struggling the Saint Bonaventure team. George Mason
• 27:29
  Speaker 1: was really hot to start the season, and then they
• 27:32
  Speaker 1: had a really bad losing stretch recently which they just broke.
• 27:36
  Speaker 1: And you know, I've been saying, George Mason is not
• 27:38
  Speaker 1: as good as they looked early in the season. They're
• 27:40
  Speaker 1: probably not as bad as they looked at some of
• 27:42
  Speaker 1: these losses, though. They're probably gonna give you an effort
• 27:45
  Speaker 1: against VCU, but they did already beat VCU once at home.
• 27:49
  Speaker 1: Eighty six to eighty, so there is a little bit
• 27:52
  Speaker 1: of a revenge motive for VCU. Mason does have Saint
• 27:55
  Speaker 1: Louis on deck in their final home game, and that
• 27:57
  Speaker 1: is a big game. But even though they beat VCU,
• 28:00
  Speaker 1: I don't totally see them overlooking VCU. It's just that
• 28:03
  Speaker 1: VCU is the better team. VCU just beat Fordham, that's
• 28:07
  Speaker 1: an easy win, and now this is their final home
• 28:09
  Speaker 1: game and it's against the team they lost to. So
• 28:12
  Speaker 1: I do think VCU will show up for this because
• 28:15
  Speaker 1: when you have three conference losses, you remember who beat
• 28:17
  Speaker 1: you man one of them was both of them. Both
• 28:21
  Speaker 1: of their other ones that are against Saint Louis, so
• 28:24
  Speaker 1: they're only the only team that beat them in conference
• 28:27
  Speaker 1: play besides Saint Louis was George Mason. So I think
• 28:31
  Speaker 1: VCU does remember that, and the public is gonna look
• 28:34
  Speaker 1: at this game and think what is going on with
• 28:38
  Speaker 1: this number. VCU is a double digit favorite here, but
• 28:41
  Speaker 1: the teams have the same overall record. VCU does have
• 28:44
  Speaker 1: a better conference record, but the oddsmakers are telling you
• 28:46
  Speaker 1: VCU is the way better team here, and the fact
• 28:51
  Speaker 1: that they lost the other game to George Mason and
• 28:54
  Speaker 1: they were actually probably a favorite in that game. Let
• 28:57
  Speaker 1: me see only one and a half though, So I
• 29:00
  Speaker 1: guess you could argue that based on that they're one
• 29:02
  Speaker 1: and a half on the road. The fact they're eleven
• 29:04
  Speaker 1: and a half at home does seem big. But I
• 29:08
  Speaker 1: would probably lean to laying the points in this one. Man,
• 29:11
  Speaker 1: they're up from eleven to eleven and a half. I mean,
• 29:13
  Speaker 1: things have to adjust as the season goes on and whatever.
• 29:16
  Speaker 1: George Mason looks slightly public fifty four percent of the tickets,
• 29:20
  Speaker 1: eighty four percent of the cash on VCU. Yeah, I
• 29:25
  Speaker 1: agree with that market read. I would lean to VCU
• 29:27
  Speaker 1: slightly there. All right, we have I mean Oklahoma State
• 29:33
  Speaker 1: at UCF. I guess I can mention this game because
• 29:37
  Speaker 1: UCF will be in the tournament, highly likely this win.
• 29:40
  Speaker 1: At least. Oklahoma State has not been playing well. They've
• 29:43
  Speaker 1: lost whatever this is seven of their last eight games,
• 29:46
  Speaker 1: I think is what that is? Six of their last seven.
• 29:49
  Speaker 1: They just got blown out by Cincinnati. Now they do
• 29:52
  Speaker 1: have Houston on deck. But I think when you're not
• 29:54
  Speaker 1: playing well, you probably do want to get you know,
• 29:56
  Speaker 1: you probably do want to show some effort in a game. Here.
• 29:59
  Speaker 1: Although Oklahoma State already beat UCF at Oklahoma State earlier
• 30:03
  Speaker 1: this year, which I think was one of my wins
• 30:04
  Speaker 1: on the show because UCF had pulled off a huge
• 30:07
  Speaker 1: win against Kansas the game prior to that. UCF is
• 30:11
  Speaker 1: coming up an ugly loss though at home against Baylor,
• 30:14
  Speaker 1: so you know, I think they might show up here
• 30:17
  Speaker 1: as well. This is their final home game. They did
• 30:19
  Speaker 1: lose on the road to Oklahoma State. Already, UCF is
• 30:23
  Speaker 1: still playing for their tournament. You know, they probably know
• 30:27
  Speaker 1: they're a bubble team, so for that reason, they're probably
• 30:29
  Speaker 1: still going to show operas. Oklahoma State is pretty much
• 30:31
  Speaker 1: out of it now. Central Florida is an eight and
• 30:35
  Speaker 1: a half point favorite, which is kind of weird because
• 30:37
  Speaker 1: they think Oklahoma State was like a two and a
• 30:38
  Speaker 1: half point favorite in that game when they were at home.
• 30:42
  Speaker 1: So line value wise, I don't think there's a whole
• 30:44
  Speaker 1: lot there with UCF, and I don't think they're as
• 30:46
  Speaker 1: good as people think they are. But eighty nine percent
• 30:50
  Speaker 1: of tickets, ninety five percent of the cash, and then
• 30:52
  Speaker 1: the line has moved up to eight and a half,
• 30:54
  Speaker 1: it's a high total. You know, I think you're probably
• 30:58
  Speaker 1: gonna get a lot of points in this game, I
• 31:00
  Speaker 1: think both teams do play fast and whatever. I guess
• 31:03
  Speaker 1: I would lean to laying the points in that one,
• 31:05
  Speaker 1: but it's a it's a tough call in that one.
• 31:07
  Speaker 1: The next game true TV Seaton Hall at Xavier. This
• 31:11
  Speaker 1: is not a tough call for me. This is gonna
• 31:14
  Speaker 1: be a best bet. This might be my favorite one.
• 31:20
  Speaker 1: We have a mega sandwich spot here. We're gonna play
• 31:23
  Speaker 1: Xavier plus one and a half against Seaton Hall. Here.
• 31:28
  Speaker 1: The money looks like it's all over this. Seaton Hall
• 31:31
  Speaker 1: might be a one point favorite. Now plus one should
• 31:33
  Speaker 1: be all right two here. Seventy five percent of the
• 31:35
  Speaker 1: tickets are on Seaton Hall, eighty eight percent of the
• 31:38
  Speaker 1: cash on Xavier. The market read is all over Xavier here,
• 31:42
  Speaker 1: and of course I agree with it. Seaton Hall will
• 31:44
  Speaker 1: be a public side. But look at the spot that
• 31:46
  Speaker 1: they're in, and they're gonna get a lot of credit
• 31:49
  Speaker 1: for what they looked like against Connecticut on Saturday. I
• 31:52
  Speaker 1: watched the end of that game. Seaton Hall put in
• 31:54
  Speaker 1: a huge effort at Yukon. Man, it was I think
• 31:58
  Speaker 1: that stores Connecticut too. So it was in Yukon's on
• 32:02
  Speaker 1: campus arena where things get really, really rowdy seen Hall
• 32:05
  Speaker 1: almost pulled off the upset man. That would have been
• 32:07
  Speaker 1: a massive, massive upset, a massive win for Seton Hall.
• 32:12
  Speaker 1: And you know, I talk about that when you have
• 32:14
  Speaker 1: a team that puts together a monster effort like that
• 32:17
  Speaker 1: just to fall short. A lot of times they have
• 32:19
  Speaker 1: a flat effort. In the next game. Seenhal has to
• 32:22
  Speaker 1: now go to Cincinnati to play this game against Xavier,
• 32:26
  Speaker 1: who they already beat by almost twenty points. They won
• 32:29
  Speaker 1: by eighteen back at home earlier in the season, so
• 32:32
  Speaker 1: they might not take Xavier very seriously at all. Xavier
• 32:35
  Speaker 1: down to the bottom of the standings and look who
• 32:37
  Speaker 1: Seenhal has to finish the season at home where it
• 32:41
  Speaker 1: would be a game that if they win, it could potentially,
• 32:45
  Speaker 1: you know, go on their resume and really help their
• 32:46
  Speaker 1: tournament hopes. They play Saint John's Man on Deck in
• 32:51
  Speaker 1: their final home game three days from now. This is
• 32:54
  Speaker 1: a This is a monster sandwich spot, dude. I love
• 32:57
  Speaker 1: Xavier in the spot here. Xavier is also one game
• 33:00
  Speaker 1: below five hundred, which I think is a little bit
• 33:02
  Speaker 1: of an extra motivator as well, which I didn't realize
• 33:04
  Speaker 1: that when I was looking at this earlier. I would
• 33:06
  Speaker 1: play this anyway obviously, But you know, that's just a
• 33:09
  Speaker 1: little extra motivator because you want, you don't want to
• 33:11
  Speaker 1: be a losing team, right, So they're one game away
• 33:15
  Speaker 1: from not being a losing team anymore. This is Xavier's
• 33:18
  Speaker 1: final home game, and you know, I talk about how
• 33:21
  Speaker 1: that is a little bit of an extra motivator. Usually
• 33:24
  Speaker 1: you want to get up and you know, give your fans,
• 33:27
  Speaker 1: you know, a send off, give them a win. You know,
• 33:30
  Speaker 1: if you have any seniors on your team, although I
• 33:32
  Speaker 1: know it's less and less likely that you do at
• 33:34
  Speaker 1: this point, but even if they're transfers and whatever, you
• 33:37
  Speaker 1: want to give those guys a send off because you know,
• 33:40
  Speaker 1: for all, for the for every player on the team,
• 33:42
  Speaker 1: you know, because a lot of players might transfer out
• 33:46
  Speaker 1: and whatever too. You know, like for a lot of guys,
• 33:48
  Speaker 1: this is gonna be their last game they get to
• 33:50
  Speaker 1: play for the home team on this floor, So it's
• 33:52
  Speaker 1: a big deal in your last home game still, And
• 33:56
  Speaker 1: they just beat Georgetown to break a three game losing streak,
• 33:59
  Speaker 1: so I I like that too. The last time they
• 34:01
  Speaker 1: broke a losing streak, they played pretty well in the
• 34:03
  Speaker 1: next game against Villanova, which was on this floor as well,
• 34:07
  Speaker 1: so I think Xavier does have some positive momentum now
• 34:10
  Speaker 1: that they broke that losing streak. I love Xavier in
• 34:13
  Speaker 1: this one. I think this might be the best play
• 34:15
  Speaker 1: on the whole card today. Xavier is the play there
• 34:19
  Speaker 1: all right, ball State at Western Michigan. Now, if you
• 34:25
  Speaker 1: listen to me, you know you know that I would say, well,
• 34:29
  Speaker 1: you'd want to fade Western Michigan off of what they
• 34:31
  Speaker 1: just did, right, They almost upset in Miami, Ohio. That
• 34:34
  Speaker 1: was a monster game for them, and they have Kent
• 34:37
  Speaker 1: State on deck. That's a huge game as well. Kent State,
• 34:40
  Speaker 1: I believe it's locked into third place in the MAC. Now,
• 34:43
  Speaker 1: so Kent State, I don't I think they might be
• 34:46
  Speaker 1: playing today, by the way, so keep that in mind.
• 34:47
  Speaker 1: Kent State cannot change their seeding at this point. They're
• 34:51
  Speaker 1: locked into the two seed, the three seed, excuse me,
• 34:53
  Speaker 1: in the MAC. So Kent State might start looking ahead
• 34:56
  Speaker 1: to the conference tournament. So I would not want to
• 34:58
  Speaker 1: play on Kent State in their final two games. But
• 35:01
  Speaker 1: that's well, maybe in their final home game, which is next,
• 35:04
  Speaker 1: but today, I would not do it. If they're playing today, well,
• 35:07
  Speaker 1: let me just look real quick, are they they are
• 35:11
  Speaker 1: but I haven't talked about that game. They're playing Northern Illinois. Yeah,
• 35:14
  Speaker 1: I would not lay the points with Kent State in
• 35:16
  Speaker 1: that one. But I'm gonna tell you why you should
• 35:19
  Speaker 1: not play play against Western Michigan here. Western Michigan. It's
• 35:25
  Speaker 1: their final home game, so there is that, and I'm
• 35:28
  Speaker 1: not gonna say that that's I'm not gonna say that
• 35:31
  Speaker 1: you should never play against the team in their final
• 35:33
  Speaker 1: home game, like we did it last night with the
• 35:36
  Speaker 1: fade of New Orleans that was in their final home game.
• 35:39
  Speaker 1: There are certain situations where you should do it, and
• 35:41
  Speaker 1: you might be saying, but Tod, this looks like one.
• 35:43
  Speaker 1: They're coming off a massive game against Miami Ohio. They
• 35:46
  Speaker 1: took them right to the wire or almost won the game,
• 35:49
  Speaker 1: which would have been monumental, and they have Kent State
• 35:52
  Speaker 1: on deck. They're playing this awful ball State team. Why
• 35:55
  Speaker 1: wouldn't we want to fade Western Michigan here? Well, I'll
• 35:59
  Speaker 1: tell you. The main reason is the MAC drops their
• 36:03
  Speaker 1: bottom four teams from the MAC Tournament, So Western Michigan
• 36:08
  Speaker 1: is in danger of missing the conference tournament. And that
• 36:10
  Speaker 1: is why I would not want to fade them here,
• 36:12
  Speaker 1: because they actually still have a reason to show up
• 36:14
  Speaker 1: for that reason that they have a there's a pretty
• 36:19
  Speaker 1: decent chance they're not going to make the MAC Tournament,
• 36:22
  Speaker 1: as they are in third to last place right now
• 36:25
  Speaker 1: in the last four teams, I'm pretty sure don't make it,
• 36:28
  Speaker 1: so they would really need to do something to claw
• 36:30
  Speaker 1: their way out of that. And in fact, Ball State
• 36:32
  Speaker 1: is one game ahead of them, So the team that
• 36:34
  Speaker 1: they really need to beat to make sure that they
• 36:37
  Speaker 1: make the MAC Tournament is in fact Ball State and
• 36:40
  Speaker 1: that's who they're playing in this game. So I do
• 36:42
  Speaker 1: not think this is going to be an unmotivated spot
• 36:44
  Speaker 1: for them. So there you go. Yeah, you know, you
• 36:47
  Speaker 1: find these like handicapping angles and then it's like, oh,
• 36:50
  Speaker 1: this looks like a great spot to fade Western Michigan.
• 36:53
  Speaker 1: Then you dig into it and they're you know, when
• 36:54
  Speaker 1: you get to these last you know, regular season games,
• 36:57
  Speaker 1: these other like motivational angle can come into play. You
• 37:00
  Speaker 1: can be like, whoa, what the fuck? You know that's
• 37:03
  Speaker 1: why you listen to me, probably because I'm identifying all
• 37:07
  Speaker 1: these angles. Man, hopefully I'm not missing any. Western Michigan,
• 37:11
  Speaker 1: in fact, is up to a three and a half
• 37:12
  Speaker 1: point favorite. Now would I play Western Michigan this game.
• 37:17
  Speaker 1: Absolutely not. I would still probably lean to ball State
• 37:20
  Speaker 1: in this game because ball State still they're in danger
• 37:23
  Speaker 1: of missing the conference tournament as well. They're still gonna
• 37:26
  Speaker 1: show up for this game. So I probably would still
• 37:28
  Speaker 1: take the points with ball State because it is still
• 37:31
  Speaker 1: a bad spot for Western Michigan. But there are some
• 37:33
  Speaker 1: reasons to not be you know, full bore, like unloading
• 37:38
  Speaker 1: on it, you know what I mean? All Right, what
• 37:41
  Speaker 1: else do we have here? Games that I might want
• 37:44
  Speaker 1: to talk about here? You would see Wilmington at Elon
• 37:48
  Speaker 1: is interesting. You would see Wilmington has had a huge
• 37:50
  Speaker 1: game against Charleston, they lost the game. Charleston is now
• 37:54
  Speaker 1: within a half game of UNC Wilmington. You un see
• 37:57
  Speaker 1: Wilmington now split the season series with them. I don't
• 38:00
  Speaker 1: know who has the tiebreaker there. You UNC Wilmington had
• 38:05
  Speaker 1: six wins in a row and then they lost that
• 38:07
  Speaker 1: game to Charleston. That was a huge game, man, And
• 38:11
  Speaker 1: they blew the lead in that game, and it was
• 38:13
  Speaker 1: their final home game that could definitely hang them over
• 38:15
  Speaker 1: into this game against an Elon team that they already
• 38:18
  Speaker 1: beat by double digits. So I don't like UNC Wilmington here,
• 38:22
  Speaker 1: But I believe there is still a chance that they
• 38:26
  Speaker 1: don't get the one seed here, so I guess they
• 38:27
  Speaker 1: are still kind of playing for that to hang onto
• 38:30
  Speaker 1: the one seed, which I don't know how much of
• 38:33
  Speaker 1: a motivator that really is, because the one in two
• 38:36
  Speaker 1: seeds get like kind of a similar setup in the
• 38:38
  Speaker 1: conference tournament. But I guess when you're the one seed,
• 38:40
  Speaker 1: theoretically at least you get a better path in the tournament.
• 38:43
  Speaker 1: It depends on where the teams get seeded. But I
• 38:46
  Speaker 1: think you do want the one seed here because Hofstra.
• 38:48
  Speaker 1: I think Hawstrom might be locked into the three seed,
• 38:53
  Speaker 1: and if they are, you want to avoid Hofstra for
• 38:55
  Speaker 1: as long as possible in this tournament. Man, if you're
• 38:57
  Speaker 1: the two seed, you're gonna run into Hawfest earlier. So
• 39:01
  Speaker 1: I think it does matter. Like you probably do want
• 39:03
  Speaker 1: the one seed because I mean, look at who the
• 39:05
  Speaker 1: four seeds might be. It might be Drexel and Modern,
• 39:07
  Speaker 1: but you'd much rather play one of those teams than Hastra.
• 39:11
  Speaker 1: So Elon is on a three game losing streak, though,
• 39:15
  Speaker 1: and this is their final home game, and like I said,
• 39:17
  Speaker 1: it's revenge for them. I would still lean to Elon,
• 39:20
  Speaker 1: and this one. It looks like the money's coming in
• 39:23
  Speaker 1: on U and c W though fifty percent of the tickets,
• 39:26
  Speaker 1: ninety six percent of the cash on them, they're a
• 39:28
  Speaker 1: five point favorite. But yeah, I would still lean to
• 39:30
  Speaker 1: Elon though personally. But is it on my card? No,
• 39:34
  Speaker 1: no it is not. Now let me look at the
• 39:37
  Speaker 1: colonial real quick here, because I think I want to
• 39:42
  Speaker 1: make sure that I was right. Actually I'm wrong. You
• 39:46
  Speaker 1: would see Wilmington is already locked into the one seed,
• 39:48
  Speaker 1: so my mistake, So yeah, I would definitely not play.
• 39:51
  Speaker 1: You would see Wilmington there. I don't know what's going
• 39:53
  Speaker 1: on with the money there. Man, They're coming out of
• 39:55
  Speaker 1: a difficult game and they're already locked into the one seed.
• 39:58
  Speaker 1: Charleston has actually locked in of the two, so I
• 40:01
  Speaker 1: guess you would see Wilmington does have the tiebreaker against them,
• 40:05
  Speaker 1: and then Hostra is in the is locked into the three,
• 40:09
  Speaker 1: and the bottom two teams are locked into their seeds
• 40:11
  Speaker 1: as well. NCAAT in Northeastern, every team in this conference
• 40:15
  Speaker 1: makes the conference tournament. So remember that and remember what
• 40:20
  Speaker 1: I just said. You know, when you're looking at the
• 40:21
  Speaker 1: games tonight, the top three teams and bottom two teams,
• 40:25
  Speaker 1: none of them could change their seeding at this point
• 40:27
  Speaker 1: in the conference tournament. So yeah, there's no way that
• 40:29
  Speaker 1: I would lay it with the UNC Wilmington and that one.
• 40:32
  Speaker 1: It would be Elon for sure or pass on that game.
• 40:37
  Speaker 1: Elon does have some seeding to still play for it,
• 40:39
  Speaker 1: but like what I just said, Hostra is already the
• 40:42
  Speaker 1: three seeds, so they don't really have any motivators there
• 40:45
  Speaker 1: in their game against Drexel. And then Northeastern is already
• 40:50
  Speaker 1: locked into their seed as well, but they are playing
• 40:52
  Speaker 1: their host and Northeastern is still playing their final home
• 40:55
  Speaker 1: games though, I think, so, you know, maybe that's a
• 40:57
  Speaker 1: whatever for Northeastern. They've been playing so badly recently that
• 41:01
  Speaker 1: they might actually have some motivators to show up there.
• 41:03
  Speaker 1: And I think they lost to Mond Meth already, so
• 41:06
  Speaker 1: you know, I'm just rambling, but stuff to keep in mind.
• 41:09
  Speaker 1: Espn U At seven pm, Missouri is at Oklahoma. These
• 41:14
  Speaker 1: two teams did play once in Missouri barely got by
• 41:17
  Speaker 1: by one at home, so they might actually take Oklahoma
• 41:21
  Speaker 1: seriously because of that. Because when a team is a
• 41:24
  Speaker 1: favorite at home by a substantial margin and they almost
• 41:27
  Speaker 1: lose the game, they might take that team more seriously.
• 41:29
  Speaker 1: The next time, they were only a four and a
• 41:31
  Speaker 1: half point favorite. But I think they consider themselves to
• 41:33
  Speaker 1: be significantly better than Oklahoma, and Oklahoma took them into overtime,
• 41:37
  Speaker 1: so they might remember that and take them seriously. Here
• 41:40
  Speaker 1: man on Missouri, if they were gonna lapse in a game,
• 41:44
  Speaker 1: I thought it was gonna be after they beat Tennessee,
• 41:45
  Speaker 1: which was a winner for me on the show, by
• 41:47
  Speaker 1: the way, they went to Mississippi State and they still
• 41:51
  Speaker 1: got an easy win against Mississippi State. Now, I guess
• 41:54
  Speaker 1: one problem is they do have Arkansas on deck and
• 41:56
  Speaker 1: that is a big game. Arkansas beat them, and they
• 41:59
  Speaker 1: gave our saw like a decent game on the road
• 42:02
  Speaker 1: against Arkansas, so they might be looking ahead to that.
• 42:05
  Speaker 1: It's their final home game in a big game against
• 42:07
  Speaker 1: a ranked team. But there is the chance they take
• 42:10
  Speaker 1: Oklahoma seriously. Here Missouri, you know, they don't. They really
• 42:14
  Speaker 1: don't want to lose a lot of They're pretty secure
• 42:16
  Speaker 1: in their tournament spot now. I mean they're fourth place
• 42:19
  Speaker 1: in the SEC now so and they're above a couple
• 42:22
  Speaker 1: of other tournament teams above multiple so I think they
• 42:25
  Speaker 1: are pretty secure in their tournament spot. This is Oklahoma's
• 42:29
  Speaker 1: final home game, though they're on a little two game
• 42:31
  Speaker 1: win streak here. They just beat LSU, which is not
• 42:34
  Speaker 1: a big deal. So I do think the spot is
• 42:36
  Speaker 1: still better for Oklahoma here. That's the way I would
• 42:39
  Speaker 1: lean here. Yeah, and it looks like Oklahoma is they're
• 42:45
  Speaker 1: actually a favorite, So the public is gonna look at
• 42:47
  Speaker 1: that and think it looks so easy. Oh my god.
• 42:50
  Speaker 1: Missouri has the better record. They're gonna be a tournament team.
• 42:53
  Speaker 1: They already beat Oklahoma once, although only by one. It
• 42:56
  Speaker 1: looks really really easy to play Missouri as an underdog here, right,
• 43:00
  Speaker 1: They're one of those public underdogs, So I would lean
• 43:02
  Speaker 1: towards Oklahoma there. Money line is probably what I would do.
• 43:06
  Speaker 1: Sixty eight percent of the tickets fifty eight percent of
• 43:08
  Speaker 1: the cash on Missouri. Oklahoma's moved up from a one
• 43:12
  Speaker 1: point favorite to a two point favorite. I do lean
• 43:15
  Speaker 1: to Oklahoma on that one. Next up is my final
• 43:18
  Speaker 1: college basketball play of the day ESPN two at seven pm.
• 43:22
  Speaker 1: We have Kentucky at Texas A and M. You might
• 43:25
  Speaker 1: know what I'm doing with this because I think we're
• 43:32
  Speaker 1: gonna have a motivated bubble team, and I know that
• 43:35
  Speaker 1: I always talk about bubble teams a lot of times
• 43:36
  Speaker 1: are overvalued. Like I don't really want to lay points
• 43:40
  Speaker 1: with a bubble team, But when we're asking Texas A
• 43:42
  Speaker 1: and M to just win the game, that's what we're
• 43:44
  Speaker 1: gonna do. I'm gonna recommend money line on this. I mean,
• 43:48
  Speaker 1: I'm not gonna beat you up if you go minus
• 43:50
  Speaker 1: one or whatever, minus one and a half. But college basketball,
• 43:55
  Speaker 1: long term, it's more advantageous with these really low favorite
• 43:58
  Speaker 1: like small favorites one one and a half and two.
• 44:01
  Speaker 1: It actually is better plus ev long term if you
• 44:03
  Speaker 1: find a money line price on it, because usually there's
• 44:06
  Speaker 1: some money line price in the market that's good. You know,
• 44:10
  Speaker 1: I might go up to about minus one twenty on
• 44:12
  Speaker 1: the money line on this into the one twenties. We're
• 44:14
  Speaker 1: gonna fade Kentucky in this one. Kentucky is more secure
• 44:17
  Speaker 1: in their tournament spot now, especially after they just got
• 44:20
  Speaker 1: a nice win over Vandy. They just beat a tournament team,
• 44:24
  Speaker 1: you know, a team that was ranked I know A
• 44:27
  Speaker 1: and M is likely to be a tournament team as well,
• 44:29
  Speaker 1: but that was a huge win for Kentucky. Man and
• 44:33
  Speaker 1: now they're playing a third road game in four games,
• 44:36
  Speaker 1: and look who they have on deck. Man. They finished
• 44:39
  Speaker 1: the regular season with their final home game against Florida,
• 44:42
  Speaker 1: who they lost to already on the road, and they
• 44:44
  Speaker 1: actually played decently against Florida, and in the Golden Florida
• 44:48
  Speaker 1: era Todd Golden Kentucky had won all four games against
• 44:54
  Speaker 1: Florida until this year. So I think they're gonna be
• 44:58
  Speaker 1: looking ahead to that game. I think it's in season revenge.
• 45:01
  Speaker 1: It's a huge game against Florida. I think what we
• 45:04
  Speaker 1: have is a sandwich here man, We have a sandwich here, folks.
• 45:07
  Speaker 1: And Texas A and M is probably not gonna be
• 45:09
  Speaker 1: thrilled about their result in their last game, but they
• 45:11
  Speaker 1: lost at home to Texas as a favorite. Texas is
• 45:15
  Speaker 1: a pretty solid team though, Like that's not a horrible loss.
• 45:18
  Speaker 1: Texas as of right now, is in the tournament, and
• 45:20
  Speaker 1: I think they absolutely should be. I think they will
• 45:22
  Speaker 1: be at this point. A and M is this is
• 45:26
  Speaker 1: their final home game, man, so that's a little bit
• 45:28
  Speaker 1: of an extra motivator as well. They get to play Kentucky,
• 45:30
  Speaker 1: who's a big name team, like basically a blue blood program.
• 45:34
  Speaker 1: Big deal for Texas. A and M. Here Man, we're
• 45:37
  Speaker 1: gonna do it. We're gonna go with the A and
• 45:38
  Speaker 1: M in this one. Looking at ken Bomb real quick here,
• 45:43
  Speaker 1: I know Texas A and M. They're actually not bad
• 45:45
  Speaker 1: like they're a pretty balanced team. They're top forty overall
• 45:49
  Speaker 1: in ken Bomb. They're a pretty unlucky team. They do
• 45:52
  Speaker 1: play fast, which I don't love, but they're actually a
• 45:54
  Speaker 1: little bit better defensively than offensively, so I don't have
• 45:57
  Speaker 1: a problem with that. And in the fact that they're
• 45:59
  Speaker 1: pretty unlucky, Kentucky is the luckier team. Lucky Kentucky. They're
• 46:03
  Speaker 1: not too lucky, but they're luckier according to ken Bum.
• 46:07
  Speaker 1: They play a little bit slower typically, and they're just
• 46:09
  Speaker 1: a little bit better on both sides of the ball,
• 46:11
  Speaker 1: not by a lot. And it is a road game here,
• 46:14
  Speaker 1: so yeah, I think it's it's a competitive matchup, and
• 46:18
  Speaker 1: I think the spot is a lot better for A
• 46:20
  Speaker 1: and M. So that's what we're doing here, man. And again,
• 46:23
  Speaker 1: they're a little bit underrated according to ken Bomb now,
• 46:25
  Speaker 1: whereas earlier in the season they were way overrated. But
• 46:28
  Speaker 1: now I think we've reached a point where they're underrated
• 46:30
  Speaker 1: and Kentucky has flipped the other way. I thought they
• 46:32
  Speaker 1: were pretty underrated early in the season, but now I
• 46:34
  Speaker 1: think they might be maybe slightly overrated, even though they're
• 46:37
  Speaker 1: actually not ranked and ken Bum does have them as
• 46:39
  Speaker 1: the top twenty five. But yes, I'm all about the
• 46:43
  Speaker 1: spot really though ken Bum doesn't really you know, determin
• 46:46
  Speaker 1: me here, like I don't see anything in ken Bomb
• 46:48
  Speaker 1: that's like jumping out at me, like screaming at me,
• 46:51
  Speaker 1: like no, don't do this. So that's what we're doing.
• 46:54
  Speaker 1: As far as the Xavier game, by the way, Xavier,
• 46:57
  Speaker 1: I mean they're not a great team. We know that.
• 46:58
  Speaker 1: I didn't talk about their ken Bomb numbers. They're like
• 47:01
  Speaker 1: a mid tier luck team. They played really fast and
• 47:06
  Speaker 1: they're playing who are they playing. They're playing Seaton Hall right,
• 47:08
  Speaker 1: Seen Hall plays really slow. So yeah, I know Seton
• 47:11
  Speaker 1: Hall is the better offensive team or the better defensive team.
• 47:14
  Speaker 1: Of course Xavier is the better offensive team. Seton Hall
• 47:17
  Speaker 1: is a slow paced defensive team and they can't score.
• 47:20
  Speaker 1: But you're asking Seton Hall to win on the road
• 47:23
  Speaker 1: by multiple points. So that's really where it comes in. Man,
• 47:25
  Speaker 1: So I'm fine with playing Xavier there. Seen Hall is
• 47:28
  Speaker 1: not exactly great. They're outside of the top fifty and
• 47:30
  Speaker 1: Kenbaum even though I know Xavier is barely in the
• 47:33
  Speaker 1: top one hundred. Uh seen Hall is the unluckier team though,
• 47:37
  Speaker 1: so ken Bum, Yeah, we are fading his luck disparity
• 47:40
  Speaker 1: in that game, but you know, I think it's warranted
• 47:44
  Speaker 1: based on the UH and ken Bum has Seton Hall
• 47:47
  Speaker 1: winning that game by exactly one, so you know, I
• 47:50
  Speaker 1: mean everything's pretty much right in line with that one.
• 47:52
  Speaker 1: So you know, it's a horrible spot for Seton Hall though.
• 47:56
  Speaker 1: All right, we have one Horizon League tournament game that
• 48:01
  Speaker 1: I will talk about in a minute. You know, we
• 48:04
  Speaker 1: have West Virginia at Kansas State. Usually I only talk
• 48:07
  Speaker 1: about the TV games, but West Virginia, you know, they
• 48:11
  Speaker 1: could be considered a bubble team maybe if they had
• 48:13
  Speaker 1: lost three in a row, but they did just get
• 48:14
  Speaker 1: a big win over BYU. Could be a letdown spot
• 48:18
  Speaker 1: now going on the road to Kansas State. They already
• 48:20
  Speaker 1: beat Kansas State at home by five. Kansas State is
• 48:24
  Speaker 1: pretty much just playing out the stretch. They will be
• 48:26
  Speaker 1: in the conference tournament. I think every team makes the
• 48:29
  Speaker 1: conference tournament if I'm not mistaken. But Kansas State does
• 48:32
  Speaker 1: have their huge rivalry game against Kansas on deck. But
• 48:35
  Speaker 1: this is also their final home game and they probably
• 48:38
  Speaker 1: don't want to finish, you know, they don't want to
• 48:40
  Speaker 1: finish the season on a five game losing streat because
• 48:43
  Speaker 1: I don't think they're gonna beat Kansas Surprise, you know.
• 48:46
  Speaker 1: So this is their last chance of getting it, This
• 48:49
  Speaker 1: is their last winnable game. So I would probably lean
• 48:52
  Speaker 1: to Kansas State, but the money is all coming in
• 48:57
  Speaker 1: a West Virginida. I don't really understand that they're up
• 48:59
  Speaker 1: from one and a half to three. I guess because
• 49:01
  Speaker 1: they're playing for their tournament lives. But is that a
• 49:04
  Speaker 1: situation where you want to lay points on the road
• 49:07
  Speaker 1: with an extreme slow based team like West Virginia. I
• 49:10
  Speaker 1: don't think so. Sixty five percent of the tickets on
• 49:12
  Speaker 1: Kansas State, eighty seven percent of the cous on West
• 49:14
  Speaker 1: Virginia though, But a lot of times when a team
• 49:16
  Speaker 1: is considered a bubble team and their favorite like that,
• 49:19
  Speaker 1: they're laying too many points right and they'll be overvalued
• 49:22
  Speaker 1: in the market. So that's what I got going on there.
• 49:25
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna just make fun of Arkansas Pine and Bluff
• 49:28
  Speaker 1: briefly because they did just lose to Mississippi Valley State,
• 49:31
  Speaker 1: who has two Division one wins, baby, and they're both
• 49:34
  Speaker 1: by one point. It was a fourteen and a half
• 49:37
  Speaker 1: point upset there in Arkansas pine Bluff's final home game.
• 49:42
  Speaker 1: Great senior knight for them. I just find that to
• 49:44
  Speaker 1: be hilarious. Maybe they'll mounts back against Jackson State. I
• 49:48
  Speaker 1: don't know, but I just thought that was kind of funny.
• 49:51
  Speaker 1: Kent State, like I said, I would not play them
• 49:53
  Speaker 1: at all because they are already locked into the three
• 49:56
  Speaker 1: seed in the Max. They really don't have anything to
• 49:58
  Speaker 1: play for here. They're on the road. They have their
• 50:01
  Speaker 1: final home game next against Western Michigan. They're coming off
• 50:04
  Speaker 1: of a game where they got blown out by Akron,
• 50:06
  Speaker 1: but that's a big rivalry game, so they might be
• 50:08
  Speaker 1: feeling deflate it off of that. And they already beat
• 50:10
  Speaker 1: Northern Illinois, but they only beat them by four, So
• 50:14
  Speaker 1: I guess there is a chance they take Northern Illinois
• 50:17
  Speaker 1: seriously because they almost lost to them, and nobody really
• 50:20
  Speaker 1: wants to lose a game, you know. But it's just
• 50:22
  Speaker 1: that I don't know if the motivation is really gonna
• 50:24
  Speaker 1: be there. But Northern Illinois looks like a public home underdog,
• 50:27
  Speaker 1: which is pretty shocking to me. I don't know what
• 50:30
  Speaker 1: public better is playing them in this game eighty five
• 50:33
  Speaker 1: percent of the tickets of fifty eight percent of the
• 50:35
  Speaker 1: casual in Northern Illinois. So that kind of screams to
• 50:38
  Speaker 1: me that you should not play Northern Illinois here. But
• 50:41
  Speaker 1: there's no way that I would lay nine and a
• 50:42
  Speaker 1: half on the road with Kent State in a game
• 50:45
  Speaker 1: where their motivation is extremely questionable. All right, and then
• 50:50
  Speaker 1: we have another Sun Belt game, and I'm gonna talk
• 50:51
  Speaker 1: about in a second Peacock nine pm Oregon at Illinois. Oregon,
• 50:59
  Speaker 1: they just we had a lost in Northwestern where they
• 51:01
  Speaker 1: almost pulled off the upset at Northwestern. So even though yeah,
• 51:05
  Speaker 1: they'll get up for a game it's Illinois, probably because
• 51:07
  Speaker 1: it is a huge game. I just don't know what
• 51:08
  Speaker 1: they're gonna have left in the tank after almost pulling
• 51:11
  Speaker 1: off an upset of Northwestern. This is not a good
• 51:14
  Speaker 1: Oregon team, man. This is three road games in four games,
• 51:17
  Speaker 1: playing in an unfamiliar venue in this Illinois team. They
• 51:20
  Speaker 1: got seven losses. But they're a lot better than that record,
• 51:24
  Speaker 1: looks man. They had not lost in regulation since their
• 51:28
  Speaker 1: loss to Nebraska until their most recent game. Their last
• 51:32
  Speaker 1: regulation loss was to Nebraska way early in conference play. Man,
• 51:37
  Speaker 1: Because their losses in Michigan State, Wisconsin, and UCLA were
• 51:41
  Speaker 1: all overtime losses, and then they did just take a
• 51:44
  Speaker 1: loss to Michigan, but that's Michigan. They're absolutely elite. But
• 51:48
  Speaker 1: this is now Illinois's final home game. I know they're
• 51:51
  Speaker 1: coming off a big game, but I think they will
• 51:53
  Speaker 1: show up for this one. Man. I think Illinois at
• 51:55
  Speaker 1: this point is a lot better than people think. They
• 51:57
  Speaker 1: were a seven loss team, but Ken bomb as them
• 51:59
  Speaker 1: as a top five team in the country. Now. The
• 52:02
  Speaker 1: problem is their defense is bad. But I mean, Oregon's
• 52:06
  Speaker 1: just a bad, bad team, and I think you will
• 52:08
  Speaker 1: get an effort out of Illinois here. I probably would
• 52:10
  Speaker 1: lean to laying it with Illinois. They're up from seventeen
• 52:13
  Speaker 1: and a half to eighteen and a half, and they
• 52:15
  Speaker 1: do have an elite offense. Like Illinois has a historically
• 52:19
  Speaker 1: efficient offense. They're number one in the country, but like
• 52:22
  Speaker 1: based on a lot of like historical metrics, they're the
• 52:24
  Speaker 1: best offense in college basketball history, believe it or not.
• 52:30
  Speaker 1: So yeah, eighty eight percent of the tickets, ninety five
• 52:33
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on Illinois. I wouldn't really disagree
• 52:36
  Speaker 1: with that, even though they're a public side I would
• 52:38
  Speaker 1: probably lay it in that one with Illinois, but not
• 52:42
  Speaker 1: gonna be one that I want anything to do with. Really.
• 52:45
  Speaker 1: Fox Sports won. At nine pm we have number fourteen
• 52:47
  Speaker 1: Kansas at Arizona State. Kansas just took a blowout loss
• 52:52
  Speaker 1: to Arizona. I gave that out as a winner on
• 52:54
  Speaker 1: the show with Arizona. Kansas had a huge win over
• 52:57
  Speaker 1: Houston the game before that, also winner on the show
• 53:00
  Speaker 1: for me. So I've had a good gauge on this
• 53:03
  Speaker 1: Kansas team. Now they're going to Arizona State. This is
• 53:06
  Speaker 1: a fourth road game in six games, which is not
• 53:08
  Speaker 1: that easy. That could have been kind of a reality
• 53:11
  Speaker 1: check game maybe against Arizona. I don't know. I really
• 53:14
  Speaker 1: don't know how much attention they're gonna pay to Arizona State.
• 53:16
  Speaker 1: And then they got Kansas State on deck in their
• 53:19
  Speaker 1: rivalry game to finish the season. Even though Kansas State
• 53:22
  Speaker 1: is having a bad season, that still might be a
• 53:25
  Speaker 1: bigger game than this one Arizona State. Just they're staying
• 53:28
  Speaker 1: at home. They just beat Utah, they ended a two
• 53:32
  Speaker 1: game losing streak. They played better than I expected them
• 53:34
  Speaker 1: to against Utah. Now their final home game, they get
• 53:37
  Speaker 1: to host Kansas on Senior Night, if you want to
• 53:40
  Speaker 1: call it that, I would probably take the points of
• 53:43
  Speaker 1: Arizona State in this one. Kansas is a more defensive
• 53:46
  Speaker 1: team too, and you're asking them to lay a bunch
• 53:48
  Speaker 1: of points on the road. Don't love that, Kansas. You
• 53:51
  Speaker 1: know during this Arizona trip, you know, the game they
• 53:54
  Speaker 1: really got up for was an Arizona game, and they
• 53:56
  Speaker 1: fell short. And now they got to play Arizona State. Yeah,
• 54:00
  Speaker 1: I don't know, eighty three percent of the ticket, seventy
• 54:02
  Speaker 1: six percent of the cash on Kansas. I know they're
• 54:05
  Speaker 1: coming off a blowout loss, but yeah, I still think
• 54:07
  Speaker 1: it's a bad spot for them here. Arizona State plus
• 54:10
  Speaker 1: the points would be my lean there. But the number
• 54:13
  Speaker 1: did drop off, that key number seven down to six
• 54:16
  Speaker 1: or six and a half, maybe number twenty four. Vandy
• 54:20
  Speaker 1: at Old Miss. Vandy coming off a loss to Kentucky
• 54:24
  Speaker 1: pretty bad. Well, I mean, Kentucky's, you know, gonna be
• 54:26
  Speaker 1: a tournament team. They're not a bad team, so it's
• 54:28
  Speaker 1: not a bad loss. But they did lose by fourteen there.
• 54:32
  Speaker 1: Maybe they will show up, but they do have a
• 54:34
  Speaker 1: huge revenge game on deck against Tennessee Man to finish
• 54:38
  Speaker 1: the season. Tennessee beat them in Vandy, and Vandy has
• 54:40
  Speaker 1: to play them next on the road. That is not
• 54:43
  Speaker 1: that easy. And they're playing an Old Miss team they
• 54:45
  Speaker 1: already beat, but they only beat them by three at home,
• 54:48
  Speaker 1: so they did not cover in that game. So sometimes
• 54:51
  Speaker 1: when you had a close call, you will actually take
• 54:53
  Speaker 1: that team seriously. So there are some reasons why you
• 54:56
  Speaker 1: might get an effort out of Vandy here. Ole Miss.
• 55:00
  Speaker 1: I don't love the spot for them either, because they
• 55:02
  Speaker 1: just pulled up a big upset against Auburn, although maybe
• 55:05
  Speaker 1: it doesn't feel like a big upset because Auburn is
• 55:08
  Speaker 1: near the bottom of the standings. Here again, I think
• 55:10
  Speaker 1: Auburn should be a tournament team. Man, they gotta get
• 55:13
  Speaker 1: these wins, Jude. I just don't know how, Dude. I
• 55:16
  Speaker 1: don't know how. Auburn lost to Ole Miss, and they
• 55:21
  Speaker 1: lost to like Mississippi State. I think they lost to Oklahoma.
• 55:24
  Speaker 1: I just don't get it, man, Like, losing one of
• 55:27
  Speaker 1: those three is probably acceptable and then they'd probably be
• 55:29
  Speaker 1: in the tournament. I mean, Auburn is faced the most
• 55:32
  Speaker 1: one of the most difficult schedules in the country. They
• 55:35
  Speaker 1: have like sixteen Quad one games. It's totally insane, but
• 55:40
  Speaker 1: the fact that they lost that game is a big favorite.
• 55:42
  Speaker 1: I don't know. Now. I could see it going two
• 55:43
  Speaker 1: ways here for ole Miss, they're coming up of a
• 55:45
  Speaker 1: big upset, so you could say this is a letdown
• 55:48
  Speaker 1: spot because they were like nine and a half point
• 55:50
  Speaker 1: dogs in that game, But because Auburn's record sucks, maybe
• 55:53
  Speaker 1: that doesn't feel like a big upset. And ole Miss
• 55:57
  Speaker 1: just broke a really long losing streak that they had.
• 56:00
  Speaker 1: You know, I talk about that and when you've lost
• 56:01
  Speaker 1: eleven games in a row or whatever and you finally
• 56:04
  Speaker 1: break that losing momentum a lot of times that helps,
• 56:07
  Speaker 1: and you have new momentum here. And they're hosting Vandy
• 56:11
  Speaker 1: here in their final home game, or no, it's not
• 56:13
  Speaker 1: their final home game, my mistake. They play South Carolina
• 56:15
  Speaker 1: next at home, but still hosting Vandy. I still think
• 56:19
  Speaker 1: you might get an effort out Old Miss. For that reason,
• 56:21
  Speaker 1: this is a very difficult handicap. Vandy is a six
• 56:25
  Speaker 1: and a half point favorite. They are the public side
• 56:27
  Speaker 1: eighty nine percent of the tickets, only eighty one percent
• 56:29
  Speaker 1: of the cash. I guess I would lean to Old
• 56:31
  Speaker 1: Miss plus the points there plus I think in the
• 56:34
  Speaker 1: Beard era for them or whatever. Chris Beard their coach,
• 56:37
  Speaker 1: they do slow the game down whatever, So I guess
• 56:41
  Speaker 1: that's how I would lean in that game. But yeah,
• 56:44
  Speaker 1: it's not a game that I love by any means.
• 56:47
  Speaker 1: All Right, what other games we're gonna talk about here?
• 56:50
  Speaker 1: I'm trying to talk about every ranked team, every tournament team,
• 56:53
  Speaker 1: and every TV game ESPN two nine pms BYU at
• 56:58
  Speaker 1: Cincinnati BYU on a two game skid here. They're not
• 57:03
  Speaker 1: playing that well without Saunders. After losing pretty badly to
• 57:07
  Speaker 1: West Virginia. You know, having a bad loss, I should
• 57:09
  Speaker 1: say to West Virginia, maybe you will show up for
• 57:11
  Speaker 1: a game against Cincinnati. They haven't played Cincinnati yet this year.
• 57:16
  Speaker 1: Kind of an unfamiliar venue for them though. At BYU
• 57:18
  Speaker 1: does have Texas Tech on deck, which is a big
• 57:21
  Speaker 1: game and a revenge game. But you know, at this
• 57:25
  Speaker 1: point BYU, I mean, they're gonna make the tournament, but
• 57:28
  Speaker 1: I think they do want some positivity here and they
• 57:30
  Speaker 1: will want to break this losing momentum they have. Cincinnati
• 57:33
  Speaker 1: just annihilated Oklahoma State, but now this is their final
• 57:36
  Speaker 1: home game and they get to host a tournament team. BYU,
• 57:39
  Speaker 1: so I don't really see Cincinnati overlooking this BYU team,
• 57:43
  Speaker 1: and Cincinnati is the much better defense out of the
• 57:46
  Speaker 1: two teams. And you know me, I like defense, especially
• 57:48
  Speaker 1: if you're gonna be getting points at home. But cheah,
• 57:52
  Speaker 1: you're not. Actually, Cincinnati is favored, believe it or not.
• 57:55
  Speaker 1: So I think the public's gonna look at this and
• 57:57
  Speaker 1: think this looks so easy to play BYU. So even
• 58:01
  Speaker 1: though I think there are some reasons why they might
• 58:03
  Speaker 1: be motivated here, it's a big game for Cincinnati. And
• 58:07
  Speaker 1: Cincinnati is a bubble team right now for the tournament.
• 58:09
  Speaker 1: They were my last they're my last team in my
• 58:13
  Speaker 1: next four out right now. They have good metrics. Man,
• 58:16
  Speaker 1: just because they're depense keeps them in games. But people
• 58:19
  Speaker 1: are gonna look at this and see, you know, they
• 58:20
  Speaker 1: don't like that Cincinnati is an ugly team that can't score.
• 58:24
  Speaker 1: BYU scores a lot. B YU is the way better record,
• 58:27
  Speaker 1: and people are gonna think I'm getting points with BYU.
• 58:29
  Speaker 1: That looks amazing, right, And it's almost one of those
• 58:33
  Speaker 1: unranked home favorite deals here. It's just that BYU just
• 58:36
  Speaker 1: dropped out of the rankings. But yeah, all that, you know,
• 58:41
  Speaker 1: factoring all of that in, I would lean to Cincinnati here,
• 58:44
  Speaker 1: I'd find I'd try to find a good money line
• 58:46
  Speaker 1: on this probably unfortunately they've gone up from one to
• 58:49
  Speaker 1: two and a half here. They got eighty percent of
• 58:51
  Speaker 1: the cash on them, fifty eight percent of the tickets
• 58:53
  Speaker 1: on BYU. But yeah, the lean for me would be
• 58:57
  Speaker 1: Cincinnati in that one, but it's not one of my
• 58:59
  Speaker 1: strongest ones. San Diego State at Boise State on CBS
• 59:03
  Speaker 1: Sports Network. San Diego State just took a loss to
• 59:07
  Speaker 1: New Mexico. But they're playing a third road game in
• 59:09
  Speaker 1: four games, and they're coming up two big games close.
• 59:12
  Speaker 1: I mean, they beat Utah State and they had a
• 59:14
  Speaker 1: close game against New Mexico, so two huge games there.
• 59:18
  Speaker 1: Now they're playing Boising I don't know, man, I think Boise.
• 59:23
  Speaker 1: San Diego State's got to show some effort though, because
• 59:25
  Speaker 1: they're a bubble team right now. So if they want
• 59:27
  Speaker 1: to make the tournament, they got to do something. Although
• 59:29
  Speaker 1: they have a chance to make Noise in the Mountain
• 59:31
  Speaker 1: West Tournament as well. But yeah, I don't know. I
• 59:35
  Speaker 1: think Boise they're kind of sneaking up in conference play here. Now.
• 59:40
  Speaker 1: Is San Diego State gonna overlook them? I don't know,
• 59:42
  Speaker 1: because San Diego State almost lost at home to Boise
• 59:45
  Speaker 1: really early in conference play. Boise took them to multiple
• 59:49
  Speaker 1: overtimes that they got home. It was a crazy game.
• 59:52
  Speaker 1: So San Diego State was a pretty big favorite in
• 59:55
  Speaker 1: that game. I think when you're a pretty big home
• 59:56
  Speaker 1: favorite and you almost lose the game, sometimes you do
• 1:00:00
  Speaker 1: remember that. So maybe there are reasons why they will
• 1:00:03
  Speaker 1: show up here. Boise is just kind of coasting. They
• 1:00:06
  Speaker 1: just got three wins against the dregs of the Mountain West.
• 1:00:09
  Speaker 1: But now this is their final home game and it
• 1:00:11
  Speaker 1: is revenge technically against San Diego State. So I don't
• 1:00:15
  Speaker 1: see Boise overlooking this. I would have I think I
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 1: would have to probably into Boise here. They're minus one,
• 1:00:22
  Speaker 1: like it would be a money line play if you
• 1:00:23
  Speaker 1: wanted them. But I think the public's gonna look at this.
• 1:00:26
  Speaker 1: I think it looks pretty easy to take a point
• 1:00:28
  Speaker 1: with San Diego State because they have the better record,
• 1:00:30
  Speaker 1: they've had the better season. Whatever, the money looks like
• 1:00:33
  Speaker 1: it's on San Diego State for now, sixty two percent
• 1:00:35
  Speaker 1: of the tickets eighty eight percent of the cash on them,
• 1:00:38
  Speaker 1: But I don't know. I think the spot looks a
• 1:00:41
  Speaker 1: little bit better for Boise, and I think it looks
• 1:00:42
  Speaker 1: too easy to play San Diego State there all right,
• 1:00:47
  Speaker 1: Boston College at Virginia Tech on ESPN U nine pm.
• 1:00:51
  Speaker 1: This was close to making my card. Virginia Tech is
• 1:00:54
  Speaker 1: coming off that huge game against North Carolina, but it
• 1:00:58
  Speaker 1: wasn't that close in the end there they were down
• 1:01:01
  Speaker 1: like eight with a couple of minutes to go. They
• 1:01:03
  Speaker 1: covered for us, which was or no, they didn't. Actually
• 1:01:05
  Speaker 1: they pushed excuse me, which was better than a loss.
• 1:01:09
  Speaker 1: But I wish they had taken North Carolina to the wire, man,
• 1:01:12
  Speaker 1: because then I'd be saying, this is a horrible, horrible
• 1:01:15
  Speaker 1: spot for Virginia Tech. They have a huge game against
• 1:01:17
  Speaker 1: Virginia on deck, and I think that, you know, even
• 1:01:20
  Speaker 1: though Virginia Tech is a bubble team and they really
• 1:01:23
  Speaker 1: can't afford to lose to Boston College at home, they
• 1:01:25
  Speaker 1: just can't do it. The question is are they gonna
• 1:01:29
  Speaker 1: win by a huge margin here when they have this
• 1:01:31
  Speaker 1: game surrounded by massive games and these That Virginia game
• 1:01:35
  Speaker 1: up next is an opportunity. If they get that win,
• 1:01:37
  Speaker 1: that will really bolster their resume, So they may be
• 1:01:40
  Speaker 1: looking ahead to that for that reason too. I don't
• 1:01:43
  Speaker 1: see them covering against BC here, and for BC, they're
• 1:01:46
  Speaker 1: trying to avoid missing the ACC Tournament. The bottom I
• 1:01:50
  Speaker 1: think three teams get bounced, they don't make the ACC Tournament.
• 1:01:54
  Speaker 1: So BC is in trouble right now. With two games remaining,
• 1:01:59
  Speaker 1: I think they could still get in, and they're usually
• 1:02:01
  Speaker 1: in it. But BC just lost at Miami. I mean,
• 1:02:04
  Speaker 1: that wasn't shocking. The difficult thing for BC is they're
• 1:02:08
  Speaker 1: playing a fourth road game in five games, so they
• 1:02:10
  Speaker 1: really get screwed by the schedule makers here. It's not
• 1:02:14
  Speaker 1: gonna be that easy for them there. But I would
• 1:02:15
  Speaker 1: still lean to b C there. There are just some
• 1:02:18
  Speaker 1: things I don't love about it. But the money is
• 1:02:20
  Speaker 1: coming in on BC. Virginia Tech's an eleven and a
• 1:02:22
  Speaker 1: half point favorite, and the total is low in the
• 1:02:25
  Speaker 1: low one forties. Now sixty percent of tickets on Virginia Tech,
• 1:02:29
  Speaker 1: ninety percent of the cash on BC. Money all over BC,
• 1:02:34
  Speaker 1: and I don't disagree with it all right, ACC Network
• 1:02:38
  Speaker 1: Syracuse at Louisville. Syracuse just lost to Wake three losses
• 1:02:43
  Speaker 1: in a row, but Duke UNC. I mean those are
• 1:02:45
  Speaker 1: expected losses, even though Duke absolutely pummeled them. But Duke
• 1:02:49
  Speaker 1: is pummeling everybody right now. Now. This is a third
• 1:02:52
  Speaker 1: road game of four games for Syracuse, but they're making,
• 1:02:56
  Speaker 1: you know, the rounds here. They're down in the South,
• 1:02:58
  Speaker 1: so the travel isn't that bad. From Wake to Louisville.
• 1:03:03
  Speaker 1: They might get up for Louisville. Louisville has just dropped
• 1:03:05
  Speaker 1: from the rankings with that loss to Clemson, so maybe
• 1:03:08
  Speaker 1: Louisville will be a little bit angry and play with
• 1:03:10
  Speaker 1: some intensity. But the thing is, they just had two
• 1:03:13
  Speaker 1: big games against North Carolina and Clemson, even though they
• 1:03:16
  Speaker 1: did lose both as a favorite, they got Miami on
• 1:03:19
  Speaker 1: deck as well. Miami is newly ranked. That is a
• 1:03:22
  Speaker 1: big game too. This is Louisville's final home game, though,
• 1:03:25
  Speaker 1: so maybe they will try to show up and bounce back.
• 1:03:28
  Speaker 1: So I see conflicting indicators in this game. Man. Louisville
• 1:03:32
  Speaker 1: down from fifteen and a half to twelve and a half,
• 1:03:34
  Speaker 1: which might mean that they have an injury there. I
• 1:03:37
  Speaker 1: know they're best player, as I've been dealing with some
• 1:03:39
  Speaker 1: injuries recently, which is I don't know why I forget
• 1:03:43
  Speaker 1: his name. It is Mike Kell Brown junior. How are
• 1:03:49
  Speaker 1: you pronounce his name? I don't know if that means
• 1:03:51
  Speaker 1: he's out in this game or not. I don't know
• 1:03:53
  Speaker 1: why they dropped to a twelve and a half point favorite,
• 1:03:55
  Speaker 1: though eighty eight percent of the tickets ninety one percent
• 1:03:58
  Speaker 1: of the casual Louisville. I'd probably slightly lean towards taking
• 1:04:02
  Speaker 1: the points with Syracuse, but not something I want anything
• 1:04:06
  Speaker 1: to do with. We got SEC Network at ten pm.
• 1:04:10
  Speaker 1: Auburn really needs to win this game against LSU. They
• 1:04:13
  Speaker 1: are a decent sized favorite here. LSU might show up.
• 1:04:19
  Speaker 1: I mean, they just took a bad home loss to Oklahoma.
• 1:04:22
  Speaker 1: I don't believe these teams have played otherwise this year,
• 1:04:24
  Speaker 1: but you know, you gotta at least get an effort
• 1:04:26
  Speaker 1: out of Auburn here. They got to at least win
• 1:04:28
  Speaker 1: this game after a horrible home loss to you know,
• 1:04:33
  Speaker 1: as a big favorite, I should say a horrible home
• 1:04:35
  Speaker 1: loss and usually will get a bounce back from a
• 1:04:38
  Speaker 1: team that has a bad home loss as a favorite
• 1:04:40
  Speaker 1: like that. This is their final home game. I know
• 1:04:42
  Speaker 1: they have Alabama on deck and that is a major,
• 1:04:45
  Speaker 1: major game, major rivalry game. But you gotta think Auburn
• 1:04:48
  Speaker 1: knows we cannot afford another loss whatsoever. Here. They gotta
• 1:04:53
  Speaker 1: get this win man are they are a nine point
• 1:04:56
  Speaker 1: favorite nine with juice now eighty eight percent of the
• 1:04:59
  Speaker 1: tickets of the cash on them. I would probably lean
• 1:05:03
  Speaker 1: towards laying it with Auburn in that one, but it's
• 1:05:05
  Speaker 1: not anything that's gonna make my card or anything like that. Plus,
• 1:05:08
  Speaker 1: they could win without covering and that would still be
• 1:05:11
  Speaker 1: good enough for Auburn's resume for now. Number nine Nebraska
• 1:05:17
  Speaker 1: at UCLA Nebraska. I don't think they're a top ten team. Man,
• 1:05:22
  Speaker 1: they're eleventh though. According to Can Bond, they are really
• 1:05:25
  Speaker 1: gonna defense with their offense has some issues. They just
• 1:05:30
  Speaker 1: beat USC on the road, but USC is in total
• 1:05:32
  Speaker 1: turmoil right now. Baker mazar I just got kicked off
• 1:05:35
  Speaker 1: the team. That USC team. They're done. Like most of
• 1:05:39
  Speaker 1: the season, it looked like they were a tournament team
• 1:05:41
  Speaker 1: and now there I think they're completely out. Maybe getting
• 1:05:44
  Speaker 1: rid of Baker Mazarro will spark you as see. I
• 1:05:46
  Speaker 1: don't know, but Nebraska's coming off that win, they gotta
• 1:05:50
  Speaker 1: play UCLA, which is more difficult, and they do have
• 1:05:52
  Speaker 1: a pretty big revenge game to finish the season against Iowa,
• 1:05:56
  Speaker 1: So there is the potential. Maybe they overlook UCLA a
• 1:05:59
  Speaker 1: little bit in UCLA. There's still a bubble team, so
• 1:06:02
  Speaker 1: I think you're gonna get a better effort out of
• 1:06:04
  Speaker 1: UCLA here, especially as a home underdog. And they just
• 1:06:07
  Speaker 1: lost at Minnesota. That was a pretty ugly loss, man,
• 1:06:11
  Speaker 1: And now I know it's a quick turnaround time having
• 1:06:13
  Speaker 1: to fly back to the Pacific coast, so that's not great.
• 1:06:16
  Speaker 1: So Nebraska actually does have a travel edge here where
• 1:06:20
  Speaker 1: they're already out on the Pacific coast. UCLA is flying back.
• 1:06:23
  Speaker 1: But this is UCLA's final home game coming off a
• 1:06:26
  Speaker 1: terrible loss, Dude, so I think I would have to
• 1:06:28
  Speaker 1: lean to UCLA here. Are there actually a pick them
• 1:06:31
  Speaker 1: at this point? But I think they're gonna be motivated
• 1:06:34
  Speaker 1: to win the game. Man On, Nebraska is very close
• 1:06:38
  Speaker 1: to being settled in as a three seed, so the
• 1:06:41
  Speaker 1: game means more to UCLA. I think because they have
• 1:06:44
  Speaker 1: there's still a potential that they don't make the tournament.
• 1:06:47
  Speaker 1: I UCLA's flip from a two point dodge will pick
• 1:06:49
  Speaker 1: them eighty one percent of tickets, eighty eight percent of
• 1:06:52
  Speaker 1: the cash on Nebraska. Nebraska is a public side. I'll
• 1:06:55
  Speaker 1: lean UCLA there, and then CBS Sports in the degenerate
• 1:06:59
  Speaker 1: are eleven pm, Utah State is at UNLV. Utah State
• 1:07:05
  Speaker 1: just beat Grand Canyon and revenge, but they almost lost
• 1:07:08
  Speaker 1: as a home favorite, and I think Utah State is
• 1:07:11
  Speaker 1: going to show up not only because they almost lost
• 1:07:14
  Speaker 1: to Grand Canyon but for a second time, but because
• 1:07:17
  Speaker 1: UNLV believe it or not win into Utah State and
• 1:07:20
  Speaker 1: beat them earlier this year by ten points. So this
• 1:07:23
  Speaker 1: is a pretty big road revenge angle. Utah State was
• 1:07:26
  Speaker 1: a big favorite in that game and lost, so I
• 1:07:28
  Speaker 1: think this is a pretty major revenge spot for Utah State.
• 1:07:33
  Speaker 1: Now UNLV, I think they will give you an effort
• 1:07:35
  Speaker 1: as well, because I mean, the top team in the
• 1:07:36
  Speaker 1: conference is coming into your house and it's your final
• 1:07:39
  Speaker 1: home game, so I think you got to give an effort.
• 1:07:41
  Speaker 1: But UNLV just putting a huge effort in their last
• 1:07:44
  Speaker 1: game against Nevada. Man, that was a major, major game
• 1:07:48
  Speaker 1: because that was not only a revenge game, but it's
• 1:07:50
  Speaker 1: a rivalry between them and Nevada, so they're the little
• 1:07:52
  Speaker 1: brother basically at you. That was a pretty mega win
• 1:07:55
  Speaker 1: for UNLV there. Man, I watched the end of that game.
• 1:07:58
  Speaker 1: Was an intense game, huge game, huge win. It went
• 1:08:01
  Speaker 1: into overtime as well, so I actually lead to Utah
• 1:08:05
  Speaker 1: State in this game. Man, it's not gonna make my
• 1:08:08
  Speaker 1: card or anything like that because I see some conflicting factors.
• 1:08:11
  Speaker 1: But I think the situational setup is better for Utah State.
• 1:08:14
  Speaker 1: Other down from eight to seven and a half here,
• 1:08:17
  Speaker 1: But yeah, I think I would lay it with Utah
• 1:08:20
  Speaker 1: State in that one. All right, I'm going to quickly
• 1:08:24
  Speaker 1: take a break. I will return in a second. We're
• 1:08:26
  Speaker 1: gonna talk about conference tournaments and we gotta do NHL
• 1:08:29
  Speaker 1: and uh yeah, NHL and NBA. There's a lot, man,
• 1:08:34
  Speaker 1: Tuesday takes a lot out. I mean, give me one second. Yep. Inside,
• 1:08:45
  Speaker 1: I want to kill myself. We're on OWN seven. Run
• 1:08:49
  Speaker 1: over the last two days after tonight it was just
• 1:08:51
  Speaker 1: complete bullshit. So that's that's how I'm gonna start off
• 1:08:54
  Speaker 1: this show. Horrible Sunday one and five. I don't even
• 1:08:57
  Speaker 1: know what to tell you above that. I just don't
• 1:09:00
  Speaker 1: want to do this anymore. I have never seen anything
• 1:09:03
  Speaker 1: like this. Man with the slump continuing, two straight losses,
• 1:09:08
  Speaker 1: not a good day at all. OWN four that have
• 1:09:12
  Speaker 1: not had a good season. Man, with wookends slump that
• 1:09:17
  Speaker 1: I'm on and the slump continues, I've reached a new peak. Actually,
• 1:09:22
  Speaker 1: I'm going to.
• 1:09:23
  Speaker 2: Burn my browins hat man, I don't know what is
• 1:09:25
  Speaker 2: going on with the Bruins.
• 1:09:27
  Speaker 1: March eight? Is that what it is? I don't even
• 1:09:29
  Speaker 1: know it's March ninth. I think who even knows? Man,
• 1:09:33
  Speaker 1: I don't know what day it is anymore. But I
• 1:09:35
  Speaker 1: don't even know what day is anymore. Man, Back with
• 1:09:38
  Speaker 1: you after the worst day that I could possibly have,
• 1:09:41
  Speaker 1: Back with you as I always am until I die
• 1:09:45
  Speaker 1: at least oh and two yesterday and yesterday it did
• 1:09:49
  Speaker 1: not go well for me. Own five the worst month
• 1:09:53
  Speaker 1: that I've ever had in my eighteen years doing this.
• 1:09:55
  Speaker 1: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 1:09:57
  Speaker 1: To the slumpy, the slump news the slump continues. Somebody
• 1:10:03
  Speaker 1: fucking kill me, please. I don't even know what I
• 1:10:06
  Speaker 1: should do at this point, other than potentially end it all.
• 1:10:16
  Speaker 1: All right, we're back, Mister Pinsey saved me the other
• 1:10:19
  Speaker 1: day when I came back after replaying the intro like
• 1:10:22
  Speaker 1: that for the I need like an intermission video. Man,
• 1:10:26
  Speaker 1: Maybe somebody can make me one. I don't know. It
• 1:10:28
  Speaker 1: needs to be something different, But I forgot to put
• 1:10:31
  Speaker 1: my mic back on the other day on Saturday, so
• 1:10:33
  Speaker 1: on the Huge college basketball show, and that I had
• 1:10:35
  Speaker 1: to reiterate my thoughts on three games, including my big
• 1:10:39
  Speaker 1: play on Arizona, but we were able to get it done. Anyway,
• 1:10:42
  Speaker 1: Let's talk about these conference tournament games. Man. I don't
• 1:10:45
  Speaker 1: have a play in any of these games, but it
• 1:10:48
  Speaker 1: feels like March madness now, it really does. So we
• 1:10:50
  Speaker 1: do have the Sun Belt opening round games beginning six pm.
• 1:10:54
  Speaker 1: We have Georgia State against Louisiana. I have I have
• 1:10:58
  Speaker 1: an opinion on some these games. Man. Georgia State, they
• 1:11:02
  Speaker 1: played Louisiana once this year and they wound up ahead
• 1:11:05
  Speaker 1: of Louisiana in the standings. So this is the what
• 1:11:10
  Speaker 1: is this the twelve versus thirteen game or something like
• 1:11:12
  Speaker 1: that in the tournament. Now Louisiana is ahead of Georgia
• 1:11:16
  Speaker 1: State in the standings. However, you will notice that Georgia
• 1:11:22
  Speaker 1: State is actually the favorite. Although they actually opened the
• 1:11:24
  Speaker 1: underdog plus one, they're now minus one eighty one percent
• 1:11:29
  Speaker 1: of tickets eighty five percent of the cash. I agree
• 1:11:32
  Speaker 1: with this move. I lean to Georgia State in this game.
• 1:11:35
  Speaker 1: Now people are gonna look and they they're gonna see
• 1:11:37
  Speaker 1: that these teams played one time this year. I think
• 1:11:39
  Speaker 1: they only played once and Louisiana won the game by
• 1:11:43
  Speaker 1: double digits at Louisiana. But if you dig into this
• 1:11:47
  Speaker 1: box score, I think it was pretty misleading. Man. Georgia
• 1:11:51
  Speaker 1: State was actually a one and a half way favorite.
• 1:11:53
  Speaker 1: So think about that. Georgia State was a one and
• 1:11:55
  Speaker 1: a half point road favorite there, and now today they
• 1:11:58
  Speaker 1: open as an underdog on a neutral floor. This game
• 1:12:01
  Speaker 1: is gonna be in Pensacola, Florida, I'm pretty sure. So
• 1:12:05
  Speaker 1: I know it's closer. I guess it's closer to Louisiana,
• 1:12:08
  Speaker 1: so I guess, you know, the locations a little bit
• 1:12:10
  Speaker 1: better for them. But Georgia State was a favorite in
• 1:12:14
  Speaker 1: in Louisiana, man, So like that should mean that they're
• 1:12:17
  Speaker 1: a favorite by like a few points probably in this game,
• 1:12:19
  Speaker 1: and they're not. So I think there is some line value,
• 1:12:22
  Speaker 1: and if you look at this game, it was totally misleading. Yeah,
• 1:12:26
  Speaker 1: Louisiana did out rebound them, but look at the shooting
• 1:12:29
  Speaker 1: percentages in this game. Louisiana shot fifty percent from the field,
• 1:12:32
  Speaker 1: fifty percent from three, Georgia State thirty one, twenty three percent.
• 1:12:37
  Speaker 1: I mean those are some pretty major outliers that I
• 1:12:39
  Speaker 1: think might swing in the other direction. Although Georgia State
• 1:12:42
  Speaker 1: did get to the line a ton and they hit
• 1:12:45
  Speaker 1: almost all of their free throws, so a lot of
• 1:12:48
  Speaker 1: times I like to fade a free throw to severity
• 1:12:51
  Speaker 1: like that the next matchup. But I think that the
• 1:12:54
  Speaker 1: rest of what we saw there in that game was misleading.
• 1:12:57
  Speaker 1: I think Georgia State is actually the better team even
• 1:12:59
  Speaker 1: though they lost that game. I like Georgia State in
• 1:13:02
  Speaker 1: this one. Ken Bom does have Georgia State as the
• 1:13:06
  Speaker 1: better team by ten ray gigs spots. They're both outside
• 1:13:10
  Speaker 1: the top three hundred. He does have Louisiana as the
• 1:13:12
  Speaker 1: way luckier team by the way, so luck Index's pointing
• 1:13:17
  Speaker 1: towards Georgia State here. Georgia State is the better defense.
• 1:13:21
  Speaker 1: So sometimes in a game like this, the better defense
• 1:13:23
  Speaker 1: is what wins out. That is Georgia State. Louisiana is
• 1:13:27
  Speaker 1: gonna try to slow the game way way down, though
• 1:13:30
  Speaker 1: Georgia State wants to go a little bit more up
• 1:13:32
  Speaker 1: tempo than that, so we'll see which tempo can win out.
• 1:13:35
  Speaker 1: But I agree with the move there. I think Georgia
• 1:13:37
  Speaker 1: State gets that game okay, and then the other Sun
• 1:13:41
  Speaker 1: Belt game I'm gonna see. I don't know how I
• 1:13:43
  Speaker 1: want to do this exactly, but I guess I'll do
• 1:13:46
  Speaker 1: a conference by conference. There are only a couple of
• 1:13:49
  Speaker 1: conferences in action today. So where's the other Sun Belt game?
• 1:13:52
  Speaker 1: It's the eleven to fourteen or whatever. It's you All
• 1:13:55
  Speaker 1: Monroe and Old Dominion. Now this game, people are gonna
• 1:14:00
  Speaker 1: get these teams records and they're gonna think this line
• 1:14:03
  Speaker 1: is crazy, like why would I lay eleven and a
• 1:14:05
  Speaker 1: half with an eleven and twenty Old Dominion team? Well,
• 1:14:09
  Speaker 1: Juan Monroe has four wins on the season and they
• 1:14:11
  Speaker 1: only have one win in the Sun Belt, so this
• 1:14:14
  Speaker 1: is a very bad Ull Monroe team. Old Dominion is
• 1:14:17
  Speaker 1: actually pretty underrated, which I talked about not too long
• 1:14:20
  Speaker 1: ago when I gave them out as a play, and
• 1:14:23
  Speaker 1: I think they pushed for me not too long ago.
• 1:14:27
  Speaker 1: But what you're gonna notice this is actually really hilarious.
• 1:14:30
  Speaker 1: Jo All. Monroe's only conference win was at Old Dominion,
• 1:14:34
  Speaker 1: and I think people are gonna see that and think,
• 1:14:36
  Speaker 1: oh my god, if they can win at Old Dominion,
• 1:14:38
  Speaker 1: that means they might be able to you know, like
• 1:14:40
  Speaker 1: they should be able to cover in this game, right,
• 1:14:42
  Speaker 1: I think that's what the public is gonna think, like
• 1:14:44
  Speaker 1: Old Dominion can't be that good. Uh, you know, they're
• 1:14:47
  Speaker 1: in one of these opening round games. Their overall records
• 1:14:49
  Speaker 1: still sucks. Ul Monroe actually beat them at Old Dominion. Yeah,
• 1:14:54
  Speaker 1: but obviously that was a complete fluke. If you all,
• 1:14:57
  Speaker 1: Monroe couldn't even win a conference game, and they did
• 1:15:00
  Speaker 1: have some close conference games. They'll give them that. They
• 1:15:03
  Speaker 1: played Troy to within one point. They only lost by
• 1:15:06
  Speaker 1: three to Georgia Southern othough they're not that good and
• 1:15:09
  Speaker 1: lost by four to uh Coastal Carolina. Those games were
• 1:15:14
  Speaker 1: all at home though, by the way, oh no, the one. Yeah,
• 1:15:17
  Speaker 1: they were all at home, so they were much better
• 1:15:19
  Speaker 1: at home like on the away from home. They've been
• 1:15:22
  Speaker 1: awful pretty much except for the Old Dominion game for
• 1:15:26
  Speaker 1: whatever reason. But if we look at what happened in
• 1:15:28
  Speaker 1: this box scoreman Rode dominated the rebounds. I mean, that
• 1:15:33
  Speaker 1: is a little bit crazy. I don't really understand it.
• 1:15:36
  Speaker 1: I don't get it. Actually, the Old Dominion did have
• 1:15:38
  Speaker 1: more possessions in the game slightly, you woman. Rowe had
• 1:15:41
  Speaker 1: a ton of free throw at times in the game,
• 1:15:44
  Speaker 1: so they did get to the line where it looks
• 1:15:45
  Speaker 1: like they did dominate the paint, but still Old Dominion.
• 1:15:49
  Speaker 1: They were a fourteen and a half boy favorite in
• 1:15:51
  Speaker 1: this game and they lost outright, So you gotta think
• 1:15:53
  Speaker 1: they're gonna have the adjustments to make here, like they're
• 1:15:56
  Speaker 1: gonna remember that and they're gonna show up with a
• 1:15:58
  Speaker 1: better effort here. Like obviously, I think Old Dominion is
• 1:16:01
  Speaker 1: gonna win this game. I would lean towards them covering
• 1:16:04
  Speaker 1: as well. They're up from ten to eleven here. Yo
• 1:16:07
  Speaker 1: mon Roe is is real, real bad. Ken Bom is
• 1:16:13
  Speaker 1: Old Dominion actually at two forty third in the country
• 1:16:15
  Speaker 1: and they're very unlucky according to him, they're in the
• 1:16:17
  Speaker 1: bottom like twenty five and his luck index almost So
• 1:16:21
  Speaker 1: this Old Dominion team is not that bad and they're
• 1:16:24
  Speaker 1: pretty balanced. They try to go fast. Yuol Monroe also
• 1:16:29
  Speaker 1: plays fast, so I think that helps Old Dominion because
• 1:16:32
  Speaker 1: you have two fast paced teams, and Old Dominion you know,
• 1:16:36
  Speaker 1: is the better of the two. Although UOM and Row
• 1:16:38
  Speaker 1: by the way, is extremely unlucky as well, but they're
• 1:16:41
  Speaker 1: in the bottom like twelve or thirteen in all of
• 1:16:44
  Speaker 1: the country and Ken Bom, so they're significantly worse than
• 1:16:47
  Speaker 1: Old Dominion and they're one of the bottom six deepenses
• 1:16:51
  Speaker 1: in the entire country. So yeah, I think Old Dominion
• 1:16:54
  Speaker 1: should be able to get that thing done. Uh, they'll
• 1:16:57
  Speaker 1: they'll at least win the game. I would have to
• 1:16:59
  Speaker 1: I would have to assume, but I would lean towards
• 1:17:01
  Speaker 1: them covering as well. All right, and then we have
• 1:17:04
  Speaker 1: the Patriot League is in action, and I think there
• 1:17:06
  Speaker 1: is one Horizon League game as well Patriot League. Both
• 1:17:10
  Speaker 1: games are at seven. These are the opening round games.
• 1:17:12
  Speaker 1: They're a holy Cross and Lafayette is the ten versus
• 1:17:16
  Speaker 1: seven matchup. I think so the winner of that game
• 1:17:18
  Speaker 1: will play the two seed, which is which is LEI yeah,
• 1:17:24
  Speaker 1: Leah is not good. Lafayette, I believe, beat holy Cross
• 1:17:28
  Speaker 1: both games this year, and you might think, well, that
• 1:17:31
  Speaker 1: means it's double revenge. They might not take holy Cross seriously.
• 1:17:35
  Speaker 1: I don't know, man. They just beat holy Cross on
• 1:17:37
  Speaker 1: the road by three and they beat them at home
• 1:17:39
  Speaker 1: by nineteen. But if you dig into those box scores,
• 1:17:42
  Speaker 1: Lafayette was definitely the better team in both games, and
• 1:17:45
  Speaker 1: I think they are holy Cross is pretty bad, so
• 1:17:49
  Speaker 1: I don't think those are misleading results. Lafayette is the
• 1:17:51
  Speaker 1: better team. They will be a favorite here don't have
• 1:17:55
  Speaker 1: a whole lot else to say about that. The game
• 1:17:57
  Speaker 1: is at Lafayette. By the way, So the Sunbelt games
• 1:18:00
  Speaker 1: that is talking about are in Pensacola, so those are
• 1:18:02
  Speaker 1: neutral the And this Lafayette not to be confused with
• 1:18:07
  Speaker 1: Louisiana Lafayette, who are just called Louisiana. Now Lafayette in
• 1:18:12
  Speaker 1: the Patriot League is in Pennsylvania. I'm pretty sure they're
• 1:18:16
  Speaker 1: a very public side. But they've moved up from two
• 1:18:18
  Speaker 1: and a half to four and a half here. And
• 1:18:19
  Speaker 1: like I said, this game is at Lafayette. They're the
• 1:18:22
  Speaker 1: home team here, ninety five percent of the tickets and
• 1:18:25
  Speaker 1: cash on them. I would not disagree with Lafayette, but
• 1:18:28
  Speaker 1: you missed out on some of the value. They're up
• 1:18:30
  Speaker 1: from two and a half to four and a half here.
• 1:18:32
  Speaker 1: But that is what I would do. I would lean
• 1:18:33
  Speaker 1: towards Lafayette in that one. Yeah, Holy Cross sucks. And
• 1:18:38
  Speaker 1: then we have Army and Bucknell. These two teams split
• 1:18:41
  Speaker 1: the season series, and I believe the road team actually
• 1:18:44
  Speaker 1: won both games. Yeah, Army won by three at Bucknell
• 1:18:47
  Speaker 1: and then both games were really close. Army lost at
• 1:18:51
  Speaker 1: home by two to buck Nell. Now this game will
• 1:18:54
  Speaker 1: be at buck Noll, and I know Army one at
• 1:18:56
  Speaker 1: buck Noll. Already, Bucknell is a three point favor and
• 1:19:00
  Speaker 1: it looks like they are getting all the money here
• 1:19:02
  Speaker 1: with Army with eighty one percent of the tickets on
• 1:19:04
  Speaker 1: them ninety two percent of the cash on buck Nell.
• 1:19:06
  Speaker 1: So the market Reid is saying buck Nell. I'm not
• 1:19:10
  Speaker 1: really gonna disagree with that. This is the uh whatever
• 1:19:13
  Speaker 1: it is? What is this the This is the eight
• 1:19:15
  Speaker 1: versus nine matchup, and the winner of this game has
• 1:19:18
  Speaker 1: to play Navy. Now, Army they're a really high variance
• 1:19:24
  Speaker 1: team though, so this is a hard game to predict
• 1:19:26
  Speaker 1: because Army takes a lot of three pointers. That's just
• 1:19:30
  Speaker 1: what they do. They're I think they're an undersized team.
• 1:19:33
  Speaker 1: They kind of run like the Princeton offense type of thing.
• 1:19:35
  Speaker 1: I mean Navy does as well, but Army is pretty
• 1:19:38
  Speaker 1: extreme or they I think they just always have guys
• 1:19:41
  Speaker 1: around the perimeter and they're just taking a ton of
• 1:19:43
  Speaker 1: their shots from three. So it is high variance. They
• 1:19:46
  Speaker 1: could they could win this game if their threes are
• 1:19:49
  Speaker 1: going down. If they're not, then it's gonna be a
• 1:19:51
  Speaker 1: long night probably. But it's really interesting that both of
• 1:19:54
  Speaker 1: their games against buck Nell were close this season though,
• 1:19:57
  Speaker 1: so it's definitely a game I would not want anything
• 1:20:00
  Speaker 1: to do with From a betting perspective, the money is
• 1:20:02
  Speaker 1: saying Bucknell for what that's worth, they are the slightly
• 1:20:06
  Speaker 1: better team, and that game is at home for Bucknell,
• 1:20:08
  Speaker 1: of course, like I said, although they lost their earlier
• 1:20:11
  Speaker 1: this season against Army and that was the most recent
• 1:20:16
  Speaker 1: matchup I think too, So I guess it is a
• 1:20:17
  Speaker 1: little bit of a quick revenge angle for Bucknell there,
• 1:20:21
  Speaker 1: but it's conference tournament. Revenge kind of gets thrown out
• 1:20:24
  Speaker 1: the window, you know. I mean, I guess there's something
• 1:20:26
  Speaker 1: there where the team that lost most recently will have
• 1:20:29
  Speaker 1: some adjustments to make. But you know, other than that,
• 1:20:33
  Speaker 1: like the motivation isn't really I think both teams will
• 1:20:36
  Speaker 1: be motivated. And then in the Horizon League they're staggering
• 1:20:40
  Speaker 1: their games. The Horizon League is very, very weird, dude.
• 1:20:43
  Speaker 1: They had their eleven to ten game last night. The
• 1:20:45
  Speaker 1: winner of that game is gonna play Right State. And
• 1:20:48
  Speaker 1: now we're in the first full round of play and
• 1:20:50
  Speaker 1: we have IPFW and Green Bay first, which is the
• 1:20:55
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what game this is, which seeds
• 1:20:57
  Speaker 1: these teams are I think it's four versus five maybe,
• 1:21:02
  Speaker 1: or maybe it's not even that. I don't know what
• 1:21:03
  Speaker 1: this is. I apologize I don't even know. But this
• 1:21:09
  Speaker 1: is one of the Horizon League tournament games. It is
• 1:21:14
  Speaker 1: in the Barbasol Horizonally Tournament. These opening round games are
• 1:21:19
  Speaker 1: at campus sites, so like last night's game was at
• 1:21:21
  Speaker 1: Cleveland State, this game is at Green Bay and we
• 1:21:24
  Speaker 1: get to see Doug gottlieb By potentially throwing chairs in
• 1:21:28
  Speaker 1: this one. What happened in the regular season, IPFW lost
• 1:21:33
  Speaker 1: at home by eighteen to Green Bay and they lost
• 1:21:36
  Speaker 1: on the road by whatever that is seventeen to Green Bay,
• 1:21:40
  Speaker 1: so they were not really close in either game against
• 1:21:42
  Speaker 1: Green Bank. The game at Green Bay was the more
• 1:21:45
  Speaker 1: recent one. IPFW really shot poorly in the game, though
• 1:21:49
  Speaker 1: green Bay had a much better shooting performance there, so
• 1:21:54
  Speaker 1: IPFW there are some indicators this is a misleading result.
• 1:21:58
  Speaker 1: IPFW wasn't as bad. Now what's really really weird about
• 1:22:02
  Speaker 1: this is, oh, this must have been a neutral site
• 1:22:07
  Speaker 1: game or something, because I'm like, why was IPFW minus
• 1:22:09
  Speaker 1: one and a half? The game was in a eshwobbin
• 1:22:12
  Speaker 1: on Wisconsin, But tonight's game is at Green Bay I don't, dude,
• 1:22:16
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I'm not familiar with these sites. Like,
• 1:22:19
  Speaker 1: that's not green Bay's homes home court, right, Oh, I
• 1:22:25
  Speaker 1: guess it is my mistake. I guess that was at
• 1:22:27
  Speaker 1: green Bay. But green Bay's playing this game is in
• 1:22:30
  Speaker 1: green Bay tonight, though, so I guess these games are
• 1:22:32
  Speaker 1: not at I'm very confused. I guess these games are
• 1:22:35
  Speaker 1: not at campus sites, but they're at bigger arenas in
• 1:22:39
  Speaker 1: the hosting city. I don't understand, or unless unless green
• 1:22:43
  Speaker 1: Bay plays their home games at two different arenas, maybe
• 1:22:46
  Speaker 1: they do. I don't know. I'm very confused by that.
• 1:22:49
  Speaker 1: And then you can see why I'm not playing this
• 1:22:52
  Speaker 1: game and then the other game between Green Bay and IPFW. Dude,
• 1:22:56
  Speaker 1: I don't want to go into that much detail with
• 1:22:58
  Speaker 1: these conference tournament games. I don't know. Man, if I
• 1:23:00
  Speaker 1: have to start doing this with a ton of games
• 1:23:02
  Speaker 1: once you get into conference play, I don't know these
• 1:23:04
  Speaker 1: I don't want these shows to go this long. Interesting.
• 1:23:10
  Speaker 1: IPFW was an eight and a half point favorite in
• 1:23:12
  Speaker 1: the home game and they got killed. They lost the
• 1:23:16
  Speaker 1: game outright green Bay or I think maybe IPFW was
• 1:23:22
  Speaker 1: like a one and a half point favorite in the
• 1:23:23
  Speaker 1: road game. This is all very, very very strange to me. Man,
• 1:23:28
  Speaker 1: I'm looking at this game. It was kind of misleading. Again,
• 1:23:33
  Speaker 1: green Bay did completely dominate the rebound battle in this
• 1:23:35
  Speaker 1: road game, but they had twenty five free throw attempts
• 1:23:38
  Speaker 1: to IPFW's eight, So that's a huge disparity there. And
• 1:23:42
  Speaker 1: IPFW had a bad shooting game and they had way
• 1:23:45
  Speaker 1: more field goal attempts, So both results were actually kind
• 1:23:48
  Speaker 1: of misleading. And then what's the line in this game?
• 1:23:53
  Speaker 1: Green Bay is a four point favorite in this game.
• 1:23:56
  Speaker 1: I just don't get it, man, I would probably take
• 1:23:59
  Speaker 1: the points of ifw Doug Gottlieb is new to this man,
• 1:24:03
  Speaker 1: he's a new coach this year. He's not familiar with
• 1:24:05
  Speaker 1: the tournament structure here. Yeah, I just don't get it.
• 1:24:09
  Speaker 1: And I yeah, I don't know exactly what this location is.
• 1:24:12
  Speaker 1: It is a home game, semi home game for Green Bay.
• 1:24:15
  Speaker 1: But I think you could point to some things that
• 1:24:18
  Speaker 1: were misleading about both of those results for Green Bay
• 1:24:20
  Speaker 1: versus IPFW. The line looks ridiculous with the fact that
• 1:24:25
  Speaker 1: IPFW was an eight and a half point home favorite,
• 1:24:27
  Speaker 1: although that was before we knew the Green Bay was
• 1:24:29
  Speaker 1: a decent team. Green Bay was still it was still
• 1:24:32
  Speaker 1: like basically a pickham price in the game at green Bay.
• 1:24:35
  Speaker 1: So why would green Bay all of us? And that
• 1:24:37
  Speaker 1: was more recent, Why would green Bay all of a
• 1:24:39
  Speaker 1: sudden be a four point favorite? You know, I don't
• 1:24:42
  Speaker 1: understand it. So that's gonna be it for that. Oh
• 1:24:45
  Speaker 1: and I apologize if forgot to talk about number five
• 1:24:48
  Speaker 1: Florida and Mississippi State. I forgot to talk about that
• 1:24:51
  Speaker 1: game and the SEC network at eight pm. Not a
• 1:24:54
  Speaker 1: whole lot to say about it. Florida is a massive
• 1:24:57
  Speaker 1: favorite here. They are playing to try to get a
• 1:24:59
  Speaker 1: one seed. They're not gonna lose this game, but I
• 1:25:02
  Speaker 1: think they look too good man putting up one hundred
• 1:25:04
  Speaker 1: and eleven points in an absolute massacre, pure massacre of
• 1:25:09
  Speaker 1: Arkansas there. And they have Kentucky on deck. That's a
• 1:25:12
  Speaker 1: bigger game too, because Kentucky's been kind of their nemesis
• 1:25:16
  Speaker 1: up until this year when they finally got a win
• 1:25:18
  Speaker 1: against them. They're playing Mississippi State here is really not
• 1:25:21
  Speaker 1: a team that's gonna draw much of your attention. I
• 1:25:23
  Speaker 1: know it's their final home game, but you're asking Florida
• 1:25:26
  Speaker 1: in a spot like this to actually have enough motivation
• 1:25:30
  Speaker 1: to win this game by more than twenty points. I
• 1:25:33
  Speaker 1: don't think so. I think you'll get an effort at
• 1:25:35
  Speaker 1: least out of Mississippi State coming off three straight losses.
• 1:25:38
  Speaker 1: It is a third road game of four games for them,
• 1:25:41
  Speaker 1: But I think it's a big deal at least that
• 1:25:42
  Speaker 1: they get to try to try to do anything against Florida.
• 1:25:47
  Speaker 1: But yeah, I don't think Florida will cover either. Twenty
• 1:25:50
  Speaker 1: two point favorite here, eighty five percent of the tickets
• 1:25:52
  Speaker 1: on them, sixty percent of the cash on ole miss
• 1:25:54
  Speaker 1: I agree with them or excuse the Mississippi State. Excuse
• 1:25:57
  Speaker 1: me Mississippi State. The cow bell I agree with the
• 1:26:01
  Speaker 1: cow bells plus the points there Mississippi State. But not
• 1:26:04
  Speaker 1: a strong opinion for me. Okay, was that all the
• 1:26:07
  Speaker 1: conference tournament games? I think it was right. We talked
• 1:26:11
  Speaker 1: about the Horizon, we talked about the sun Belt, we
• 1:26:13
  Speaker 1: talked about the Patriot. I think those are all the
• 1:26:15
  Speaker 1: games tonight. It'll be It'll be fun, though to watch
• 1:26:18
  Speaker 1: these games. Man tournament time, elimination, et cetera. All right,
• 1:26:22
  Speaker 1: let's get into the NHL. We have a lot of
• 1:26:23
  Speaker 1: NHL games, decent amount of NBA too, So this is
• 1:26:27
  Speaker 1: a long fucking video, and I gotta get my bets
• 1:26:33
  Speaker 1: in if I'm actually gonna be doing it. Pittsburgh at Boston,
• 1:26:38
  Speaker 1: Pittsburgh at my Bruins. Pittsburgh just shut out Vegas five
• 1:26:41
  Speaker 1: to nothing. I mean, kind of a ridiculous result there. Man,
• 1:26:45
  Speaker 1: anytime you beat a good team like that and you
• 1:26:47
  Speaker 1: destroy them and shut them out, I think you're gonna
• 1:26:49
  Speaker 1: be in a little bit of a letdown spot off
• 1:26:51
  Speaker 1: of that. They got Buffalo on deck too, and Buffalo
• 1:26:55
  Speaker 1: is up higher in the standings as well. Boston, I mean,
• 1:26:58
  Speaker 1: the record looks kind of pretty, but they're point total
• 1:27:01
  Speaker 1: is not that great because they just don't have a
• 1:27:03
  Speaker 1: lot of overtime games. You know, the Bruins are coming
• 1:27:07
  Speaker 1: up a pretty ugly loss at Philadelphia three to one
• 1:27:10
  Speaker 1: a couple of days off here. I would lean to
• 1:27:12
  Speaker 1: the Bruins here fairly straightforward, handicapped, I think where you're
• 1:27:16
  Speaker 1: just kind of fading what you saw last. The Bruins
• 1:27:19
  Speaker 1: are minus one twenty eight of the tickets, ninety four
• 1:27:22
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on them. I'll lean that way.
• 1:27:26
  Speaker 1: The public looks like they're kind of leaning towards the
• 1:27:28
  Speaker 1: Bruins as well, though I'm looking at the team's records.
• 1:27:33
  Speaker 1: The Penguins are pretty good on the road sixteen seven
• 1:27:35
  Speaker 1: and six. The Bruins are actually really good at home
• 1:27:38
  Speaker 1: twenty two eight and one at home. Uh so, not
• 1:27:41
  Speaker 1: really a team you want to fade when they're in Boston.
• 1:27:44
  Speaker 1: The crowd, crowd support, I guess, has been crazy this
• 1:27:47
  Speaker 1: year for them. Team's overall records are kind of similar looking,
• 1:27:51
  Speaker 1: but Pittsburgh has a lot more overtime losses there Vegas
• 1:27:56
  Speaker 1: at Buffalo. Of course, as I just said, Vegas is
• 1:27:58
  Speaker 1: coming up a really hideous line loss to Pittsburgh. At Pittsburgh,
• 1:28:03
  Speaker 1: they're finishing up road trip. Well, these are the last
• 1:28:05
  Speaker 1: two games of the road trip, and they're having a
• 1:28:07
  Speaker 1: losing road trip here. And when you get embarrassed like
• 1:28:10
  Speaker 1: that and shut out like that, I think you're gonna
• 1:28:11
  Speaker 1: get an effort. You're gonna give an effort in the
• 1:28:14
  Speaker 1: next game, I should say, so. I think Vegas is
• 1:28:16
  Speaker 1: going to give you an effort here. Meanwhile, Buffalo is
• 1:28:19
  Speaker 1: coming off a really good win and they're returning home
• 1:28:22
  Speaker 1: from a road trip. They've been on the road since Wednesday,
• 1:28:25
  Speaker 1: so almost a week. So you know, I talked about
• 1:28:27
  Speaker 1: this when a team returns home from a road trip.
• 1:28:30
  Speaker 1: They could be a bit distracted. They have to get
• 1:28:32
  Speaker 1: back to home life. I know it wasn't a long
• 1:28:34
  Speaker 1: road trip. They were on the road since the Olympic
• 1:28:38
  Speaker 1: break though, But they just beat Florida and Tampa on
• 1:28:42
  Speaker 1: the road. Man, they swept their road trip, and they
• 1:28:44
  Speaker 1: massacred Tampa Bay six to two. That was a monster
• 1:28:48
  Speaker 1: win for Buffalo. So I think they're gonna letdown spot.
• 1:28:51
  Speaker 1: I like Vegas in this one. This one almost made
• 1:28:53
  Speaker 1: my card, But I don't know, man, I mean, Buffalo.
• 1:28:56
  Speaker 1: You could argue they're gonna look ahead to Pittsburgh because
• 1:28:58
  Speaker 1: Pittsburgh was their most recent loss at home, and that's
• 1:29:01
  Speaker 1: their next game. They lost embarrassingly to Pittsburgh five to
• 1:29:05
  Speaker 1: two going into the Olympic break, so and that's an
• 1:29:08
  Speaker 1: ESPN game, so maybe they will look ahead to that.
• 1:29:11
  Speaker 1: I guess maybe it's possible to even overlook Vegas here, man.
• 1:29:15
  Speaker 1: I like Vegas in this one. The money's not agreeing
• 1:29:18
  Speaker 1: with the Buffalo is up to minus one forty three
• 1:29:20
  Speaker 1: from minus one twenty. But I think that's crazy. I mean,
• 1:29:23
  Speaker 1: I would definitely lean towards Vegas. You're getting a nice
• 1:29:26
  Speaker 1: underdog price there. Eighty eight percent of tickets ninety five
• 1:29:29
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on them on Buffalo, I should say,
• 1:29:32
  Speaker 1: so Buffalo is a public side, but looks like they're
• 1:29:35
  Speaker 1: getting the money for now. But I do not agree
• 1:29:38
  Speaker 1: with it. Yeah, I like, Yeah, I like Vegas in
• 1:29:45
  Speaker 1: that one, man, it would be Vegas or passed and
• 1:29:46
  Speaker 1: that one, that one's close to being a play for me.
• 1:29:51
  Speaker 1: Florida at New Jersey on TNT and HBO Max. Florida
• 1:29:54
  Speaker 1: did just lose as a favorite yesterday at the Islanders.
• 1:29:57
  Speaker 1: Not a great loss. It was a tough game, though
• 1:30:00
  Speaker 1: it was a close game. Now they're staying in the
• 1:30:03
  Speaker 1: New York, New Jersey area, maybe they'll be bounced back
• 1:30:07
  Speaker 1: mode here. New Jersey is in a fine spot as well, though.
• 1:30:10
  Speaker 1: They just beat the Blues, which is not impressive, and
• 1:30:13
  Speaker 1: it ended a long losing streak that went back to
• 1:30:15
  Speaker 1: before the Olympic break. So it's good to kind of
• 1:30:17
  Speaker 1: just get that monkey off your back. Now you're playing
• 1:30:20
  Speaker 1: the returning champs. They are returning home, but they're only
• 1:30:23
  Speaker 1: on the road Thursday Saturday. I don't think they're gonna
• 1:30:26
  Speaker 1: overlook Florida here, so I think both teams are gonna
• 1:30:28
  Speaker 1: show up normally I would say that favors the better team,
• 1:30:32
  Speaker 1: which is Florida. But the money looks like it's really
• 1:30:35
  Speaker 1: indicating on the devils here. Florida down from minus one
• 1:30:37
  Speaker 1: ten to minus one to eight, eighty four percent of
• 1:30:40
  Speaker 1: the tickets and sixty one percent of the cash on
• 1:30:42
  Speaker 1: them on Florida, I would I'll agree with the market
• 1:30:46
  Speaker 1: in that one and lead towards New Jersey just because
• 1:30:47
  Speaker 1: I don't really have a strong situational opinion there. Utah
• 1:30:51
  Speaker 1: at Washington. Utah just got blown out, embarrassed at home
• 1:30:55
  Speaker 1: by Chicago. Florida not things you gotta think they might
• 1:30:58
  Speaker 1: bounce back from that. It's when that happens a lot
• 1:31:01
  Speaker 1: of times, it's good to just go out on the road.
• 1:31:03
  Speaker 1: They're probably gonna let down spot after playing Colorado and
• 1:31:06
  Speaker 1: Minnesota and smashing Minnesota in a win that I gave
• 1:31:10
  Speaker 1: out on the show. It might be good to just
• 1:31:13
  Speaker 1: go out on the road, focus on hockey, bounce back
• 1:31:15
  Speaker 1: from that bad loss. Where it kind of makes sense
• 1:31:18
  Speaker 1: because they were in a letdown spot. Washington is off
• 1:31:21
  Speaker 1: a bad game too, though they just lost at Montreal.
• 1:31:24
  Speaker 1: They've had a couple of days off. They're now returning
• 1:31:26
  Speaker 1: from Montreal. They'd beaten in Vegas the previous games, so
• 1:31:30
  Speaker 1: I don't know, maybe difficult for them to try to
• 1:31:32
  Speaker 1: put in a hugef for two games in a row.
• 1:31:35
  Speaker 1: What do we do with this game? Well, I'm not
• 1:31:38
  Speaker 1: gonna give a play on it, just what I'm doing.
• 1:31:40
  Speaker 1: But I like Utah in the game. Washington down for
• 1:31:43
  Speaker 1: minus one twenty vive to minus one twenty one, but
• 1:31:45
  Speaker 1: they got fifty three percent of the tickets sixty one
• 1:31:47
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on them, so the money is
• 1:31:49
  Speaker 1: coming in on Washington. But I kind of disagree with that.
• 1:31:53
  Speaker 1: I think Utah is in a stronger bounce back spot there.
• 1:32:00
  Speaker 1: Nashville at Columbus. Nashville did just lose that home to
• 1:32:04
  Speaker 1: Detroit yesterday. Both teams played yesterday. I told you I
• 1:32:07
  Speaker 1: liked Detroit in that game. The market I think was
• 1:32:09
  Speaker 1: disagreeing with it, but I think I said that. I
• 1:32:12
  Speaker 1: think I liked Detroit there. Nashville had taken Dallas into
• 1:32:15
  Speaker 1: overtime in the prior game, so difficult. It was a
• 1:32:18
  Speaker 1: difficult spot for them, But now they have to travel
• 1:32:20
  Speaker 1: to Columbus, which is kind of weird as well. Columbus
• 1:32:24
  Speaker 1: played yesterday as well, but they were in New York
• 1:32:26
  Speaker 1: and they won against the Rangers in overtime, although we
• 1:32:29
  Speaker 1: know the Rangers are really bad at home, but still
• 1:32:32
  Speaker 1: Columbus off a win, having to travel here in Nashville,
• 1:32:35
  Speaker 1: they got the return or back home to play Nashville.
• 1:32:38
  Speaker 1: They got the returning champs Florida on deck. I think
• 1:32:43
  Speaker 1: the spot is better for Nashville here. The money's coming
• 1:32:46
  Speaker 1: on on Columbus tho, although they dropped for minus one
• 1:32:48
  Speaker 1: forty five to minus one thirty one, seventy one percent
• 1:32:51
  Speaker 1: of tickets, ninety five percent of the cash on Columbus.
• 1:32:54
  Speaker 1: But I don't really agree with that. I would leave
• 1:32:56
  Speaker 1: Nashville slightly there. Chicago at Winnipegago coming off a blowout
• 1:33:02
  Speaker 1: upset win on the road at Utah, really nice win,
• 1:33:06
  Speaker 1: and now they're having to go up to Winnipeg. They're
• 1:33:07
  Speaker 1: playing a third game in four days, fourth game in
• 1:33:10
  Speaker 1: six days, all in different cities, with two games back
• 1:33:13
  Speaker 1: to back in elevation. I don't know how they even
• 1:33:16
  Speaker 1: did that on a back to back beating Utah after
• 1:33:19
  Speaker 1: playing Colorado. I don't know. Ridiculous win there, but kind
• 1:33:23
  Speaker 1: of a weird spot. Now they might not have a
• 1:33:25
  Speaker 1: whole lot left here a lot of travel for Chicago
• 1:33:27
  Speaker 1: here Winnipeg though they were returning over from a road trip.
• 1:33:31
  Speaker 1: They went on the road. They went to Vancouver and
• 1:33:34
  Speaker 1: then down to Anaheim and then Jose and all to
• 1:33:37
  Speaker 1: San Jose. They went to Jose, they went to go
• 1:33:40
  Speaker 1: see that guy in the Tampa area. No Winnipeg. Three
• 1:33:45
  Speaker 1: road games in a row, they all went into overtime.
• 1:33:48
  Speaker 1: Now they're coming back home after being gone for almost
• 1:33:50
  Speaker 1: a week. And you know I talk about that when
• 1:33:52
  Speaker 1: a team returns home from a road trip, A lot
• 1:33:54
  Speaker 1: of times it's a bad spot. They can get distracted.
• 1:33:56
  Speaker 1: They got Tampa Bay on deck, which is a bigger game.
• 1:34:00
  Speaker 1: So both teams are kind of in bad spots here. Man,
• 1:34:03
  Speaker 1: the money's coming into the under. Even though this is
• 1:34:05
  Speaker 1: the type of game where I say that in over
• 1:34:07
  Speaker 1: a lot of times makes sense because like the deepfenses
• 1:34:11
  Speaker 1: could lapse a little bit when both teams are in
• 1:34:13
  Speaker 1: bad spots. Winnipeg down for minus one sixty five to
• 1:34:16
  Speaker 1: minus one fifty four, they're very public nine tickets, ninety
• 1:34:20
  Speaker 1: seven percent of the cash on Winnipeg. That return home
• 1:34:23
  Speaker 1: spot is quite bad. I will say so, I might
• 1:34:27
  Speaker 1: if you force me to give an opinion on the side.
• 1:34:29
  Speaker 1: I might slightly lean towards Chicago there going against the public,
• 1:34:32
  Speaker 1: but there's no way that I would want to do it.
• 1:34:35
  Speaker 1: Dallas at Calgary. Dallas coming off of a blowout six
• 1:34:39
  Speaker 1: to one win over Vancouver. I' they've been rolling, but
• 1:34:42
  Speaker 1: they've been rolling through a lot of bad teams. But
• 1:34:44
  Speaker 1: Calgary is also a bad team. But they're on a
• 1:34:47
  Speaker 1: back to back. They're playing a third game in four days,
• 1:34:49
  Speaker 1: all in different cities. That's not that easy to do,
• 1:34:52
  Speaker 1: especially coming off a blowout win. You might be feeling
• 1:34:54
  Speaker 1: a little bit good about yourselves. They got Colorado on deck,
• 1:34:58
  Speaker 1: which is a much bigger game. Calgary did just play
• 1:35:01
  Speaker 1: a close game against Anaheim, though, and they are returning
• 1:35:04
  Speaker 1: home from a road trip that took them to California.
• 1:35:06
  Speaker 1: They've been on the road since Thursday, so still, even
• 1:35:10
  Speaker 1: though you know, kind of a quick road trip, it
• 1:35:11
  Speaker 1: is still a road trip return. It's a fourth game
• 1:35:14
  Speaker 1: in six days to all in different cities, which isn't
• 1:35:17
  Speaker 1: that great. But the return home spot maybe a little
• 1:35:20
  Speaker 1: bit mitigated because they're playing Dallas. You don't really overlook Dallas,
• 1:35:23
  Speaker 1: so maybe you'll still get an effort out of Calgary here.
• 1:35:28
  Speaker 1: Dallas is up from minus one twenty to minus one
• 1:35:30
  Speaker 1: thirty here. Though you know it's not a horrible spot
• 1:35:34
  Speaker 1: for Dallas, it is still a weird spot for Calgary
• 1:35:37
  Speaker 1: having a return home from California. I guess I'll have
• 1:35:43
  Speaker 1: a slight lean to Dallas there. But it looks it
• 1:35:45
  Speaker 1: almost looks way too easy to play Dallas though as
• 1:35:48
  Speaker 1: the favorite there. But I really don't like teams returning
• 1:35:51
  Speaker 1: home from road trips at all man. And speaking of which,
• 1:35:55
  Speaker 1: we're gonna fade one of them for my best bet
• 1:35:57
  Speaker 1: in hockey right now. We're gonna take Ottawa on the
• 1:36:03
  Speaker 1: money line against Edmonton here. Now, Ottawa, they are coming
• 1:36:08
  Speaker 1: off rivalry win, if you want to call it that,
• 1:36:11
  Speaker 1: against Toronto, so I guess there was a slight argument
• 1:36:14
  Speaker 1: they'd be in a letdown spot here, but they have
• 1:36:17
  Speaker 1: a couple of days off. This is gonna be like
• 1:36:19
  Speaker 1: kind of a road trip beginning. I think, even though
• 1:36:21
  Speaker 1: they were on the road at Toronto, this is almost
• 1:36:24
  Speaker 1: like the start of the road trip because now they
• 1:36:26
  Speaker 1: go out west a bit and they get to play Edmonton.
• 1:36:29
  Speaker 1: You gotta think you're gonna get up for a game
• 1:36:30
  Speaker 1: against Edmonton because they've been so good over the last
• 1:36:33
  Speaker 1: couple of years. I think you will get an effort
• 1:36:35
  Speaker 1: out of Toronto here. With a couple of days off,
• 1:36:37
  Speaker 1: you should have all Mark and net again. He's played
• 1:36:39
  Speaker 1: both games after the All Star break, but he's a grinder,
• 1:36:43
  Speaker 1: so I think you will have him play again here.
• 1:36:46
  Speaker 1: The reason he didn't play after he came back and
• 1:36:49
  Speaker 1: he played two games before the Olympic break. The reason
• 1:36:52
  Speaker 1: he didn't play in that third game is because it
• 1:36:53
  Speaker 1: was a back to back, and then I think they
• 1:36:55
  Speaker 1: rested him because I think he was gonna play in
• 1:36:57
  Speaker 1: the Olympics, so I think they rested him after that.
• 1:37:00
  Speaker 1: I assume he was the goalie for Finland and the Olympics.
• 1:37:02
  Speaker 1: Although I'm not entirely Sweden, excuse me, not Finland. I
• 1:37:06
  Speaker 1: should know that because I'm from Sweden, because I'm sweet,
• 1:37:10
  Speaker 1: I'm from Sweden. I'm my ancestors are from Sweden. Holy crap,
• 1:37:13
  Speaker 1: it's early in the morning, and Olmark was on the
• 1:37:16
  Speaker 1: Bruins as well, so but yes, Olmark I think probably
• 1:37:21
  Speaker 1: played for Sweden in the Olympics. Anyway, I think you'll
• 1:37:25
  Speaker 1: get an effort out of Ottawa here. It'll probably be
• 1:37:29
  Speaker 1: ol Mark and net here. But I also think the
• 1:37:31
  Speaker 1: spot for Edmonton is really bad, and I don't trust
• 1:37:34
  Speaker 1: any of Edmonton's goalies at this point. Really. I think
• 1:37:37
  Speaker 1: Pickard has hurt. So they've been using uh Jari Jarry
• 1:37:41
  Speaker 1: who they got over from Pittsburgh, and they've been using
• 1:37:44
  Speaker 1: Ingram and it hasn't been good. I mean, look, dude,
• 1:37:47
  Speaker 1: look at Edmonton's last ten games. They've allowed four or
• 1:37:51
  Speaker 1: more goals in eight of their last ten games. That
• 1:37:54
  Speaker 1: is pretty horrendous. This Edmonton team has been giving up
• 1:37:58
  Speaker 1: a ton of goals. And they're returning home from a
• 1:38:00
  Speaker 1: road trip that was a three game road trip because
• 1:38:02
  Speaker 1: they had a road game before the Olympic break, so
• 1:38:05
  Speaker 1: they met on the road for almost a week, but
• 1:38:06
  Speaker 1: they did have to go all the way to southern California.
• 1:38:09
  Speaker 1: Now they're coming back up home and you know, again,
• 1:38:11
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna talk about it, road trip return, it's bad.
• 1:38:15
  Speaker 1: It can distract you. They've had a couple of days off,
• 1:38:18
  Speaker 1: but sometimes that gets you settled in at home and
• 1:38:21
  Speaker 1: ads of the ads to the distraction, you know what
• 1:38:23
  Speaker 1: I mean, you got home stuff to do, whatever. And
• 1:38:26
  Speaker 1: they have big games on deck against Carolina, Vegas, Colorado, Dallas.
• 1:38:31
  Speaker 1: Those are the next four games, and they're all like
• 1:38:34
  Speaker 1: TV ish games ESPN, T and T, HBO, Max, True
• 1:38:38
  Speaker 1: TV for the first two games, and then ESPN, well
• 1:38:41
  Speaker 1: Hulu is carrying the next two after that, whereas this
• 1:38:44
  Speaker 1: game tonight is just ESPN plus. Yeah, we'll take Ottawa here.
• 1:38:50
  Speaker 1: Edmonton's a public side, seventy percent of the ticket, sixty
• 1:38:52
  Speaker 1: six percent of the cash on them. The line is dropping,
• 1:38:55
  Speaker 1: so you got to try to find the best price. Again.
• 1:38:57
  Speaker 1: Edmonton's already down for minus one forty sous one. A
• 1:39:00
  Speaker 1: team grab Ottawa on the money line, man, is what
• 1:39:03
  Speaker 1: I'm saying there. Hopefully maybe the line will go back
• 1:39:09
  Speaker 1: up a little bit, just so you can get a
• 1:39:10
  Speaker 1: better price. Because Edmonton is a public side, it looks
• 1:39:14
  Speaker 1: like more of the actual money is on Autawa. The
• 1:39:16
  Speaker 1: public doesn't really move hockey lines, especially not in a
• 1:39:21
  Speaker 1: mid season Edmonton Ottawa game. Like that, all right, TNTHBO, Max,
• 1:39:26
  Speaker 1: and True TV. The first of the doubleheader was Florida,
• 1:39:29
  Speaker 1: New Jersey. The second is Tampa Minnesota. This is a
• 1:39:32
  Speaker 1: pretty good game. This might be the best hockey game
• 1:39:35
  Speaker 1: of the night. Tampa Bay is coming off a bad
• 1:39:39
  Speaker 1: loss to Buffalo sixty two. But look at what they
• 1:39:41
  Speaker 1: were coming off of. Man, they lost the long win streak,
• 1:39:44
  Speaker 1: and they did it against Carolina in a very close game.
• 1:39:47
  Speaker 1: That was a big game at Carolina, So I think
• 1:39:49
  Speaker 1: they were in a hangover spot and they got caught.
• 1:39:51
  Speaker 1: They got blasted by Buffalo. Now they got a couple
• 1:39:54
  Speaker 1: of days off and they get to start a road trips.
• 1:39:56
  Speaker 1: I think it's a much better spot for Tampa Bay
• 1:39:58
  Speaker 1: here to bounce from a horrible loss at home sometimes,
• 1:40:02
  Speaker 1: and especially when you can explain why that loss happened
• 1:40:05
  Speaker 1: because they were coming off that big game. A lot
• 1:40:07
  Speaker 1: of times the team will bounce back nicely, go out
• 1:40:09
  Speaker 1: on the road, you know, focus on hockey. Usually you
• 1:40:12
  Speaker 1: want to get the road trip off on the right foot.
• 1:40:14
  Speaker 1: So it is a focused spot. Minnesota is coming off
• 1:40:16
  Speaker 1: a bad loss though, or they did just lose in
• 1:40:19
  Speaker 1: a return home spottle that was only from a two
• 1:40:22
  Speaker 1: game road trip, but it was a road trip that
• 1:40:24
  Speaker 1: took them into elevation on back to back games, back
• 1:40:28
  Speaker 1: to back knights, I mean, and then they had one
• 1:40:29
  Speaker 1: day off, they played Saint Louis. They didn't do well.
• 1:40:32
  Speaker 1: They lost to Saint Louis. So I expect to bounce
• 1:40:34
  Speaker 1: back from Minnesota. Hear at home as well, positive spot
• 1:40:38
  Speaker 1: for both teams. So the money is coming in on
• 1:40:39
  Speaker 1: Tampa Bay and the Oswegers are telling you not to
• 1:40:42
  Speaker 1: trust Minnesota's record, dude, because they are just really not
• 1:40:46
  Speaker 1: that good. Well, I think they're well, I think they're
• 1:40:49
  Speaker 1: they're fine, but they're not as good as their record looks.
• 1:40:51
  Speaker 1: I should say Tampa Bay is a very legit team.
• 1:40:54
  Speaker 1: They're out for minus one twenty five to minus one
• 1:40:56
  Speaker 1: forty one, fifty eight percent of the tickets, sixty six
• 1:40:58
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on tim I agree with the
• 1:41:01
  Speaker 1: Tampa Bay side in that one, but it's not a
• 1:41:04
  Speaker 1: strong opinion. I think both teams are in positive spots,
• 1:41:07
  Speaker 1: so it comes down to which team is actually the
• 1:41:09
  Speaker 1: better team. I believe that's Tampa. Tampa's been really good
• 1:41:12
  Speaker 1: on the road too, nineteen six and four on the road.
• 1:41:15
  Speaker 1: Minnesota pretty good at home seventeen seven and seven. But yeah,
• 1:41:19
  Speaker 1: Tampa Bay, they're really good. Road record is not something
• 1:41:22
  Speaker 1: to overlook. They've been really good there. They're gonna be
• 1:41:25
  Speaker 1: a dangerous team in the in the playoffs. Man Colorado
• 1:41:29
  Speaker 1: at Anaheim. Colorado just won at LA, even though LA
• 1:41:34
  Speaker 1: had just fired their coach. Colorado won last night, so
• 1:41:37
  Speaker 1: they're on a back to back, but they only have
• 1:41:39
  Speaker 1: to travel from LA to Anaheim, but they'll switch woods
• 1:41:43
  Speaker 1: here from Blackwood to Wedgewood in that here, and it
• 1:41:46
  Speaker 1: hasn't really mattered that much for Colorado. I'm surprised they
• 1:41:51
  Speaker 1: won the game against La. I thought LA might be.
• 1:41:54
  Speaker 1: I'm not surprised because Colorado is the better team, but LA,
• 1:41:57
  Speaker 1: you know, I thought they'd have a little bit of
• 1:41:58
  Speaker 1: a spark from the fire coach phenomenon. Now we got
• 1:42:01
  Speaker 1: Colorado playing a third game in four to as, all
• 1:42:03
  Speaker 1: in different cities. They do have Dallas in Minnesota on deck,
• 1:42:07
  Speaker 1: and Minnesota is a quick revenge game too, and then
• 1:42:09
  Speaker 1: Edmonton after that. You could make the argument those are
• 1:42:12
  Speaker 1: bigger games than this Anaheim game. Is Anaheim's got an
• 1:42:15
  Speaker 1: alright record. I mean, they've been playing alright. They don't
• 1:42:18
  Speaker 1: play many games into overtime. It doesn't look like they've
• 1:42:21
  Speaker 1: won five in a row. They just barely escaped against Calgary,
• 1:42:25
  Speaker 1: and they've had a day off. They had yesterday off,
• 1:42:27
  Speaker 1: So the fact that they didn't play well against Calgary
• 1:42:30
  Speaker 1: maybe they were looking ahead here. I prefer Anaheim in
• 1:42:33
  Speaker 1: the spot, and Anaeim's very good at home. By the way,
• 1:42:35
  Speaker 1: Colorado down for minus one fifty five to minus one
• 1:42:38
  Speaker 1: forty three, though they look like they are getting the
• 1:42:39
  Speaker 1: money fifty percent of the tickets eighty six percent of
• 1:42:42
  Speaker 1: the cash on Colorado. I don't really agree with that
• 1:42:45
  Speaker 1: cash percentage, though I would lean to Anaheim in this one.
• 1:42:48
  Speaker 1: On the money line, I suppose Anaheim's really good at home, Dude,
• 1:42:52
  Speaker 1: twenty eight and one at home, not twenty eight to one,
• 1:42:56
  Speaker 1: twenty wins, eight losses and one overtime loss at home.
• 1:42:59
  Speaker 1: Colorado is quite good on the road too though eighteen
• 1:43:02
  Speaker 1: six and five. But Anheim has been very good at home,
• 1:43:05
  Speaker 1: much better at home than on the road. And then
• 1:43:08
  Speaker 1: we do have Montreal at San Jose to finish off
• 1:43:12
  Speaker 1: the hockey board here. Montreal did just crush Washington. They're
• 1:43:16
  Speaker 1: starting a road trip, and yeah, starting the road trip
• 1:43:19
  Speaker 1: a lot of times it will put you in a
• 1:43:21
  Speaker 1: focused spot here. But going out to the Pacific time
• 1:43:24
  Speaker 1: zone having to play a real late night game, you know,
• 1:43:27
  Speaker 1: may not be the best thing for them. And I
• 1:43:30
  Speaker 1: know in our game here it's a pretty late game
• 1:43:32
  Speaker 1: for an East Eastern team like Ottawa too. I know that,
• 1:43:35
  Speaker 1: but it's a different situation there Montreal here. Yeah, I
• 1:43:40
  Speaker 1: mean the Eastern teams going all the way to the
• 1:43:42
  Speaker 1: West coast for a ten pm game. A lot of
• 1:43:45
  Speaker 1: times it'll mess with their biological clock a little bit.
• 1:43:47
  Speaker 1: They're coming off a very satisfying win. Usually you will
• 1:43:51
  Speaker 1: be focused to start the road trip. But I don't know,
• 1:43:53
  Speaker 1: after you beat a team six to two and you're
• 1:43:55
  Speaker 1: having to play a late night game, I don't know.
• 1:43:58
  Speaker 1: San Jose just beat winnip in overtime. I don't think
• 1:44:01
  Speaker 1: they're gonna be overconfident from that, and they are staying
• 1:44:03
  Speaker 1: at home. So I probably prefer the Sharks in this one,
• 1:44:06
  Speaker 1: even though I think they're an overrated team. The money
• 1:44:09
  Speaker 1: is coming in on the Sharks for what it's worth.
• 1:44:11
  Speaker 1: Montreal down for minus one thirty five to minus one
• 1:44:13
  Speaker 1: twenty two strong market raad on San Jose here, uh
• 1:44:18
  Speaker 1: sixty nine percent of tickets on Montreal, fifty three percent
• 1:44:20
  Speaker 1: of the cash on San Jose. So the money is
• 1:44:22
  Speaker 1: coming in on San Jose there, and I agree with
• 1:44:26
  Speaker 1: it all right. Let's finish it off with the NBA here, man.
• 1:44:31
  Speaker 1: A lot of NBA games today, I think ten games
• 1:44:37
  Speaker 1: all night games. Dallas at Charlotte is the first game Dallas.
• 1:44:45
  Speaker 1: Dallas is on a three game losing street. They did
• 1:44:47
  Speaker 1: just lose at home to Oklahoma City. Maybe it'll be
• 1:44:49
  Speaker 1: good for them, just go out on the road and
• 1:44:51
  Speaker 1: focus on basketball. Sometimes you can disrupt some losing momentum
• 1:44:55
  Speaker 1: that way. Two of those losses at home are really
• 1:44:57
  Speaker 1: bad against Sacramento in Memphis. Two that are just all backups.
• 1:45:01
  Speaker 1: Now losing Oklahoma City obviously you can accept that. Charlotte
• 1:45:07
  Speaker 1: on a nice little run here. They've won how many
• 1:45:09
  Speaker 1: games in a row is that four? But not against
• 1:45:12
  Speaker 1: great teams. But they are rolling. They have momentum. But
• 1:45:15
  Speaker 1: they gotta play Boston tomorrow, man In, then Miami Phoenix.
• 1:45:18
  Speaker 1: Those might all be bigger games than Dallas. So I'm
• 1:45:22
  Speaker 1: gonna probably slightly lean to Dallas here. Not a strong opinion.
• 1:45:26
  Speaker 1: Hornets are up to twelve and a half here, eighty
• 1:45:29
  Speaker 1: percent of the tickets, eighty percent of the cash as well,
• 1:45:32
  Speaker 1: very public side in the Hornets. I would fade them.
• 1:45:34
  Speaker 1: I still don't really think Dallas is bad is as
• 1:45:37
  Speaker 1: bad as people think they are, but they do have injuries,
• 1:45:40
  Speaker 1: so that's something to be aware of here, especially the
• 1:45:43
  Speaker 1: Cooper Flag injury, although I think he's been back for
• 1:45:46
  Speaker 1: a bit now, so I don't think you have to
• 1:45:47
  Speaker 1: worry about that. I don't know if he did he
• 1:45:50
  Speaker 1: play in the last game, because you don't want to
• 1:45:52
  Speaker 1: be on Dallas if it's like an injured player theory spot,
• 1:45:54
  Speaker 1: you know what I mean, where's Dallas here? No, he
• 1:46:01
  Speaker 1: did not play in the last game, so I think
• 1:46:02
  Speaker 1: it is an injured player spot here for Dallas unless
• 1:46:05
  Speaker 1: he's out longer. Let me see, I know he's still
• 1:46:07
  Speaker 1: out in my mistake, he's not even listening on the
• 1:46:10
  Speaker 1: injury report though, But yeah, he's out. He's doubtful for tonight.
• 1:46:13
  Speaker 1: So yeah, that makes sense because I think if Flag
• 1:46:16
  Speaker 1: was playing, the Hornets would not be this much of
• 1:46:17
  Speaker 1: a favorite. But yes, given that it's not gonna be
• 1:46:20
  Speaker 1: a reverse injured player spot, I would lean towards Dallas
• 1:46:24
  Speaker 1: and that one plus the points because again, when your
• 1:46:27
  Speaker 1: star player comes back, the line will adjust to it.
• 1:46:30
  Speaker 1: A lot of times it'll overadjust and you have to
• 1:46:32
  Speaker 1: work him back and it could be a chemistry issue,
• 1:46:34
  Speaker 1: you know what I mean. So the value tends to
• 1:46:36
  Speaker 1: be infading that team when that happens, like last night.
• 1:46:39
  Speaker 1: By the way. I did not realize that Yannis was
• 1:46:41
  Speaker 1: gonna come back for the Bucks last night, and the
• 1:46:44
  Speaker 1: Celtics decided to rest Jalen Brown, so the Celtics went
• 1:46:47
  Speaker 1: down to a four point favorite. So if you did
• 1:46:49
  Speaker 1: dig Milwaukee, you beat the closing number. But the Celtics
• 1:46:52
  Speaker 1: crushed Milwaukee in that game. I hate these fucking emergency
• 1:46:57
  Speaker 1: broadcast signals. Man comes from out of nowhere, freaks me out.
• 1:47:01
  Speaker 1: Fuck you, we don't need to hear it. But anyway, Yeah,
• 1:47:07
  Speaker 1: the Celtics wound up winning that game. But I think
• 1:47:09
  Speaker 1: it was a combination of the Celtics realized they had
• 1:47:12
  Speaker 1: to step up their effort without Brown, although they intentionally
• 1:47:15
  Speaker 1: rested him, so I don't know if it was really that,
• 1:47:16
  Speaker 1: but I think they probably took Milwaukee more seriously because
• 1:47:20
  Speaker 1: Yiannis was playing and Milwaukee had to work him back in,
• 1:47:23
  Speaker 1: and that star player coming back really affects you sometimes,
• 1:47:26
  Speaker 1: you know what I mean. So it would have been
• 1:47:28
  Speaker 1: a spot where I might have changed my mind. Once
• 1:47:30
  Speaker 1: we realized that Giannis was coming back and the lines
• 1:47:32
  Speaker 1: down to four, I probably would have actually, you know,
• 1:47:35
  Speaker 1: been leaning more towards the Celtics there. So NBA can
• 1:47:38
  Speaker 1: really throw you off sometimes, man. But yeah, and Giannis
• 1:47:43
  Speaker 1: was traveling a ton in that game, by the way,
• 1:47:45
  Speaker 1: though he never gets called for travels, he walks like
• 1:47:48
  Speaker 1: every time he's near the basket. Kind of pisses me off,
• 1:47:51
  Speaker 1: all right, Detroit and Cleveland. Detroit just beat Orlando, and
• 1:47:58
  Speaker 1: that was a loss for me on the show. Detroit,
• 1:48:00
  Speaker 1: I thought was in a Cleveland sandwich. They'd beaten Cleveland
• 1:48:03
  Speaker 1: in overtime the game prior to that, after beating Oklahoma City,
• 1:48:07
  Speaker 1: so I thought it was a really bad spot for
• 1:48:08
  Speaker 1: them with Cleveland up again on deck, but they won. Anyway,
• 1:48:14
  Speaker 1: Now they're on the road again at Cleveland. Maybe it's
• 1:48:16
  Speaker 1: a little bit of a revenge spot for Cleveland here.
• 1:48:19
  Speaker 1: I think Cleveland is still without Donovan Mitchell in this game,
• 1:48:22
  Speaker 1: by the way, so it will be a Cleveland game
• 1:48:24
  Speaker 1: without Mitchell yet again. Detroit was I think about a
• 1:48:27
  Speaker 1: seven point favorite at home. I think they'll be a
• 1:48:30
  Speaker 1: small ish favorite in this game. If I'm not mistaken,
• 1:48:35
  Speaker 1: I'd probably lean slightly towards Cleveland here in the quick
• 1:48:38
  Speaker 1: revenge spot, if you want to call it that. Maybe
• 1:48:40
  Speaker 1: Detroit won't take them as seriously this time, but especially
• 1:48:45
  Speaker 1: with Mitchell not being back yet, at least I don't
• 1:48:47
  Speaker 1: think he is. No, he is not. Yeah, he's listed
• 1:48:52
  Speaker 1: as out already, all right. Anyway, for Cleveland, they did
• 1:48:57
  Speaker 1: just have a worse game because I faded them in
• 1:48:59
  Speaker 1: the same which spot as well, and they barely got
• 1:49:01
  Speaker 1: by Brooklyn. If you remember now, they are returning home
• 1:49:04
  Speaker 1: from a road trip though, and you know I talk
• 1:49:05
  Speaker 1: about road trip returns. It was only a three game
• 1:49:09
  Speaker 1: road trip less than a week though. They stayed basically
• 1:49:12
  Speaker 1: in the in the Midwest, except they went to Brooklyn.
• 1:49:16
  Speaker 1: They had a bad game in Brooklyn. They're coming back home.
• 1:49:18
  Speaker 1: I think they will give you an effort here though
• 1:49:19
  Speaker 1: against Detroit, even though usually I'm gonna say the road
• 1:49:22
  Speaker 1: trip return is they distracted spot. I think I would
• 1:49:25
  Speaker 1: lean to Cleveland here. Piston's are up from one and
• 1:49:27
  Speaker 1: a half to two and a half here, sixty six
• 1:49:29
  Speaker 1: percent of the tickets, fifty two percent of the cash
• 1:49:31
  Speaker 1: on them. The public is on the Piston side, less
• 1:49:34
  Speaker 1: of the money on them slightly. For me to the
• 1:49:37
  Speaker 1: Calves Washington at Orlando. Washington just had a close game
• 1:49:42
  Speaker 1: last night against Houston, so I'm not sure they're in
• 1:49:45
  Speaker 1: the greatest spot after that that was a nice effort
• 1:49:47
  Speaker 1: from Well. I won't I don't want to say that
• 1:49:49
  Speaker 1: completely because Washington made a run at the end of
• 1:49:52
  Speaker 1: the game that made the game cosmetic, like the game
• 1:49:54
  Speaker 1: was pretty much over. Houston was winning the game by
• 1:49:57
  Speaker 1: double digits, and then Washington made a run late. I
• 1:50:00
  Speaker 1: don't really want to say they really played Houston that close,
• 1:50:03
  Speaker 1: but that's what they're coming off of. It's a back
• 1:50:04
  Speaker 1: to back. They're going to Orlando here. Orlando faded at
• 1:50:09
  Speaker 1: the end of that game against Dallas pretty badly, unfortunately,
• 1:50:12
  Speaker 1: and they're staying at home, so I do think the
• 1:50:13
  Speaker 1: spot is a little bit better for Orlando here. Wagner
• 1:50:17
  Speaker 1: is not coming back yet for Orlando. The money's all
• 1:50:19
  Speaker 1: coming in on the Wizards. Though fifty nine percent of
• 1:50:22
  Speaker 1: the tickets are on the Magic, they're fifteen and a
• 1:50:24
  Speaker 1: half way favorite, seventy four percent of the cash on
• 1:50:26
  Speaker 1: the Wizards. The Margaret Reid is all Wizards, but I
• 1:50:30
  Speaker 1: don't really totally agree with it. It's not the highest
• 1:50:33
  Speaker 1: total to twenty eight and a half, but I don't know.
• 1:50:38
  Speaker 1: I think I would slightly lean towards laying it with
• 1:50:40
  Speaker 1: or It's two twenty seven and a half. It looks
• 1:50:42
  Speaker 1: like I would slightly lean towards laying it with Orlando there,
• 1:50:46
  Speaker 1: but the market read is saying the complete opposite. Brooklyn
• 1:50:49
  Speaker 1: at Miami. Brooklyn is coming off that close call that
• 1:50:52
  Speaker 1: was actually a close call against Cleveland and they almost
• 1:50:55
  Speaker 1: won the game. Man, that was a play that I
• 1:50:57
  Speaker 1: gave on the show, as I said, we got the
• 1:51:01
  Speaker 1: cover with Brooklyn. Now they're traveling to Miami. I mean,
• 1:51:04
  Speaker 1: I don't think they're gonna overlook Miami, but coming off
• 1:51:07
  Speaker 1: of a monster effort like that against Cleveland, I don't
• 1:51:09
  Speaker 1: know what they're gonna have left in the tank. But
• 1:51:11
  Speaker 1: Miami's coming out of a really nice win against Houston.
• 1:51:14
  Speaker 1: But they've had a couple of days off, they are
• 1:51:16
  Speaker 1: staying at home. They don't have a look ahead because
• 1:51:19
  Speaker 1: they're actually playing Brooklyn twice. I'd lay the points to
• 1:51:23
  Speaker 1: the Heat probably if I was gonna play this one
• 1:51:25
  Speaker 1: the nets. I don't know, man, just having to put
• 1:51:27
  Speaker 1: in an effort like that a couple of games in
• 1:51:29
  Speaker 1: a row, it just might not happen. The Heat or
• 1:51:32
  Speaker 1: a thirteen point favorite here seventy six percent and takes
• 1:51:35
  Speaker 1: ninety percent of the cash on them, So I actually
• 1:51:37
  Speaker 1: want to do it. No, I do not, but I
• 1:51:40
  Speaker 1: would lead to as laying it. Next up is my
• 1:51:43
  Speaker 1: one play in the NBA, and it is the Toronto Raptors.
• 1:51:52
  Speaker 1: I know the Raptors are not as good at home,
• 1:51:54
  Speaker 1: but the Knicks are really not that good on the road,
• 1:51:57
  Speaker 1: so that kind of balances out. Toronto's only sixteen fifteen
• 1:52:00
  Speaker 1: at home with the Knicks are fifteen and fourteen on
• 1:52:02
  Speaker 1: the road, So the Knicks are significantly worse on the
• 1:52:06
  Speaker 1: road than they are at home. I know Toronto's a
• 1:52:08
  Speaker 1: little bit worse at home, but we're gonna do it here.
• 1:52:11
  Speaker 1: And look at the spot that the Knicks are in here. Man,
• 1:52:14
  Speaker 1: the Knicks just blasted the Spurs. And up next, they
• 1:52:18
  Speaker 1: got an ESPN game against Oklahoma City tomorrow back at home,
• 1:52:22
  Speaker 1: and they have this one game where they have to
• 1:52:23
  Speaker 1: travel to Toronto for some reason between two home games,
• 1:52:27
  Speaker 1: and then after Oklahoma City they got Denver and the Lakers,
• 1:52:32
  Speaker 1: And in fact they're starting a road trip and going
• 1:52:34
  Speaker 1: to Denver and then the Lakers. So these are huge
• 1:52:37
  Speaker 1: games on deck. Even though they were against Western Conference teams,
• 1:52:40
  Speaker 1: this game is sandwiched in between two of the top
• 1:52:43
  Speaker 1: teams in the West, like the two top teams in
• 1:52:45
  Speaker 1: the West right now, and the Knicks just beat Toronto
• 1:52:50
  Speaker 1: not that long ago in the same spot. They were
• 1:52:52
  Speaker 1: not in the same situational spot, but in the same location.
• 1:52:55
  Speaker 1: It was on a back to back, by the way.
• 1:52:57
  Speaker 1: But the Knicks that had a really easy game against
• 1:52:59
  Speaker 1: Sacramento the game before that, and it was I know,
• 1:53:02
  Speaker 1: it was one of these single game trips. Again, yet
• 1:53:04
  Speaker 1: they went to Toronto and they won by twenty seven.
• 1:53:07
  Speaker 1: But I think that's gonna cause them to not take
• 1:53:09
  Speaker 1: Toronto seriously. Now, that was back on January twenty eighth.
• 1:53:12
  Speaker 1: That was the last time they played. The Knicks did
• 1:53:15
  Speaker 1: not have that game surrounded by big games. Back then
• 1:53:18
  Speaker 1: it was between Sacramento and Portland. Well, this is a
• 1:53:21
  Speaker 1: lot different now. Man in Toronto might make some adjustments
• 1:53:24
  Speaker 1: to that. The Knicks might not take them seriously. We're
• 1:53:27
  Speaker 1: gonna play Toronto here, seventy nine percent tickets, only sixty
• 1:53:30
  Speaker 1: one percent of the cash on the Knicks. They're off
• 1:53:32
  Speaker 1: from one and a half to two and a half here.
• 1:53:34
  Speaker 1: I will grab the couple of points with the Raptors
• 1:53:37
  Speaker 1: in that one and hope that they're not the Craptors.
• 1:53:41
  Speaker 1: NBC and Peacock as a doubleheader starting at eight pm
• 1:53:44
  Speaker 1: with San Antonio at Philadelphia. San Antonio is coming off
• 1:53:48
  Speaker 1: a blowout loss to the Knicks, but then ended a
• 1:53:51
  Speaker 1: long win stream for San Antonio. So san Antonio had
• 1:53:54
  Speaker 1: won eleven games in a row I think, or ten
• 1:53:56
  Speaker 1: game No, yeah, eleven games in a row. And I
• 1:53:59
  Speaker 1: talk about that when you have a step up game
• 1:54:01
  Speaker 1: like that and you lose a win streak like that,
• 1:54:03
  Speaker 1: a lot of times it will hang you over into
• 1:54:05
  Speaker 1: the next game. So that could happen here to San
• 1:54:07
  Speaker 1: Antonio where they could potentially lose the same game twice
• 1:54:11
  Speaker 1: and they have a big game against Detroit on deck
• 1:54:13
  Speaker 1: when they come back home, and as possible, they don't
• 1:54:15
  Speaker 1: take Philadelphia totally seriously with George being suspended and Bed
• 1:54:19
  Speaker 1: being in and out of the lineup with an injured knee.
• 1:54:22
  Speaker 1: You know, I don't love san Antonio here in this spot.
• 1:54:26
  Speaker 1: I mean, you could, I guess make the argument they'll
• 1:54:28
  Speaker 1: bounce back because that loss was so ugly to the Knicks.
• 1:54:31
  Speaker 1: But I don't know. Man. The Sixers are coming into
• 1:54:35
  Speaker 1: this off of a blowout loss in Boston. They really
• 1:54:39
  Speaker 1: faded in that game. They think they played pretty well
• 1:54:40
  Speaker 1: early in the game, but the Celtics pulled away. Celtics,
• 1:54:44
  Speaker 1: by the way, dude, I love that, Like they have
• 1:54:47
  Speaker 1: this next man up mentality. And again it's like with
• 1:54:49
  Speaker 1: the Celtics, they have a different star player in every game,
• 1:54:52
  Speaker 1: like it was Cada two days ago. Last night, Hugo Gonzalez,
• 1:54:56
  Speaker 1: their late first round draft pick, put up a double
• 1:55:00
  Speaker 1: last night. I like it. Man. He puts in massive
• 1:55:03
  Speaker 1: effort out there on the court. He's like a massive
• 1:55:05
  Speaker 1: pest and he usually doesn't put up a lot of stats,
• 1:55:07
  Speaker 1: but he was patting the stat sheet last night too,
• 1:55:10
  Speaker 1: So I like it. Man. I think that was a great, uh,
• 1:55:13
  Speaker 1: late first round pick for the Celtics. I'm a fan,
• 1:55:18
  Speaker 1: all right. But yes, Philadelphia, I think they will get
• 1:55:21
  Speaker 1: up for this game. They're coming back home. It's a
• 1:55:23
  Speaker 1: game against the Spurs. It's on TV. They don't really
• 1:55:26
  Speaker 1: have anything upcoming, so I would lean to the sixers
• 1:55:28
  Speaker 1: in this game. The Spurs are getting the money though
• 1:55:31
  Speaker 1: they're on from six to eight. Though the Spurs are
• 1:55:34
  Speaker 1: definitely good, but laying eight on the road, oh my god,
• 1:55:37
  Speaker 1: fifty take sixty two percent of the cash on the Spurs,
• 1:55:40
  Speaker 1: so they are getting the money, right, now I'd probably
• 1:55:44
  Speaker 1: look the other way though. The Spurs are very dangerous
• 1:55:46
  Speaker 1: on the road. Though twenty one and eleven on the road,
• 1:55:49
  Speaker 1: Sixers are only sixteen and fifteen at home, which is
• 1:55:52
  Speaker 1: not good. And Embiid is out by the way, he's
• 1:55:56
  Speaker 1: not playing, so they're without Embiid and Georgire and I Broom,
• 1:56:01
  Speaker 1: a former Auburn star there. So yeah, it's an injurre
• 1:56:05
  Speaker 1: of Philadelphia team, which is why they're a huge underdog here.
• 1:56:08
  Speaker 1: But a lot of times you see these NBA teams,
• 1:56:10
  Speaker 1: they're you know, lesser known players will step it up
• 1:56:14
  Speaker 1: in games like this. So I would still take the
• 1:56:16
  Speaker 1: points of Philly if I was gonna play it, but
• 1:56:18
  Speaker 1: I don't want to do that. Oklahoma City is at Chicago.
• 1:56:22
  Speaker 1: Oklahoma City they got some big games on deck Man.
• 1:56:25
  Speaker 1: They just beat Dallas pretty easily. Now they're going to Chicago.
• 1:56:29
  Speaker 1: Pretty easy team to overlook. Chicago's been awful recently, and
• 1:56:33
  Speaker 1: Oklahoma City has the Knicks on ESPN tomorrow. Then they
• 1:56:37
  Speaker 1: got an ABC game against the Warriors, then they got
• 1:56:39
  Speaker 1: Denver on Peacock, then they got in NBC Sports, then
• 1:56:44
  Speaker 1: they got Boston on Prime, then an ABC game against Minnesota,
• 1:56:47
  Speaker 1: so they have some monster games on deck in their
• 1:56:50
  Speaker 1: next five games. Could be a potential look ahead here.
• 1:56:54
  Speaker 1: For sure, Chicago did just get a win, believe it
• 1:56:57
  Speaker 1: or not. They finally ended their losing streak with a
• 1:57:00
  Speaker 1: WOWA win over Milwaukee, which was still without Yannis at
• 1:57:03
  Speaker 1: the time. But I think what that tells you is
• 1:57:06
  Speaker 1: that Chicago they're not like completely throwing some of these games.
• 1:57:10
  Speaker 1: They actually put it in an effort for once and
• 1:57:13
  Speaker 1: breaking a long losing streak like that. I like that
• 1:57:15
  Speaker 1: for a team because now you don't have that like
• 1:57:17
  Speaker 1: losing mindset, you know what I mean, like, oh my god,
• 1:57:19
  Speaker 1: like they'd lost eleven games in a row or whatever.
• 1:57:22
  Speaker 1: Now they finally break the losing streak and you get
• 1:57:25
  Speaker 1: to play, you know, face the Thunder and host the Thunder.
• 1:57:28
  Speaker 1: I think they will at least show up in this
• 1:57:30
  Speaker 1: game and give you an effort. So I would lean
• 1:57:32
  Speaker 1: to the Bulls here. The Thunder of eighty six percent
• 1:57:34
  Speaker 1: of tickets and seventy three percent of the cash and
• 1:57:36
  Speaker 1: then they're down from eleven to ten and a half here,
• 1:57:41
  Speaker 1: so they're a very public road favorite there. I would
• 1:57:43
  Speaker 1: lean towards the Bulls plus the points there Memphis is
• 1:57:46
  Speaker 1: at Minnesota. Memphis looking actually okay in their last couple
• 1:57:50
  Speaker 1: of games. They're starting to come together with all these
• 1:57:53
  Speaker 1: backups that they have on their team. Because Memphis, you know,
• 1:57:57
  Speaker 1: they're without Edie, They're without Morant. They traded away Jackson.
• 1:58:01
  Speaker 1: Was that his name? They have a different Jackson on
• 1:58:03
  Speaker 1: their team now though, gg Jackson, good game, man, not Gigi.
• 1:58:10
  Speaker 1: He's not a female stripper. Memphis did just beat Dallas
• 1:58:14
  Speaker 1: in Indiana on the road. I didn't really expect them
• 1:58:17
  Speaker 1: to beat Indiana on the road, So good job, Memphis.
• 1:58:20
  Speaker 1: I guess they're actually playing to win some games for once.
• 1:58:24
  Speaker 1: And you know, I think they will give you an
• 1:58:25
  Speaker 1: effort against the Tea Wolves because the Tels are a
• 1:58:27
  Speaker 1: good team, so they will show up. Oh, Disney Plus
• 1:58:32
  Speaker 1: wanted me to log in. Yesn't that just great? I'll
• 1:58:35
  Speaker 1: do it later, man, because they're attached to ESPN. Now,
• 1:58:39
  Speaker 1: of course that's how I watched stuff on ESPN Plus. Man,
• 1:58:44
  Speaker 1: it's all through the Disney Plus bundle. Unfortunately, Minnesota just
• 1:58:48
  Speaker 1: pulled off a nice road up set against Denver, and
• 1:58:51
  Speaker 1: you remember I talked about that game. I liked Minnesota
• 1:58:53
  Speaker 1: in that game because Denver was coming off. I think
• 1:58:55
  Speaker 1: that game against Oklahoma City didn't give that out as
• 1:58:58
  Speaker 1: a play unfortunately. But they're you know, a lot of games.
• 1:59:01
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna be right about a lot of games that
• 1:59:03
  Speaker 1: I pass on. You know, That's just the nature of
• 1:59:05
  Speaker 1: the thing. Like you want to focus on what you
• 1:59:07
  Speaker 1: think of the best games, win those, But if you
• 1:59:10
  Speaker 1: know what you're doing, you're gonna be right about games
• 1:59:12
  Speaker 1: that you pass on to you know what I mean.
• 1:59:13
  Speaker 1: It's just the name of the game when you're really selective.
• 1:59:17
  Speaker 1: But I do like Memphis in this one. I think
• 1:59:19
  Speaker 1: Minnesota could be in a bit of a letdown off
• 1:59:21
  Speaker 1: that nice huge road win against Denver. They are returning
• 1:59:24
  Speaker 1: over from a road trip where they were gone for
• 1:59:27
  Speaker 1: a week and they went out to the Pacific Coast
• 1:59:29
  Speaker 1: and then into elevation, and you know, road trip return,
• 1:59:32
  Speaker 1: you might not have total focus in your next game. There.
• 1:59:35
  Speaker 1: They at least have a winning team on deck with Toronto,
• 1:59:37
  Speaker 1: So yeah, I would lean to Memphis in this game.
• 1:59:41
  Speaker 1: The money looks like it kind of disagrees with the
• 1:59:43
  Speaker 1: t Wolves. At fourteen minus fourteen is the line here.
• 1:59:47
  Speaker 1: You're taking a lot of points with Memphis seventy eight
• 1:59:50
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets, eighty three percent of the cash on
• 1:59:52
  Speaker 1: the tee wolves. They're a public side, even though they
• 1:59:55
  Speaker 1: do have more of the cash on them. For now,
• 1:59:57
  Speaker 1: I would fade the public in that one, though, I
• 1:59:58
  Speaker 1: would lean towards Memphis New Orleans at the Lakers. New
• 2:00:03
  Speaker 1: Orleans just got blown out by the Clippers, but they
• 2:00:05
  Speaker 1: are staying in LA for this game, so at least
• 2:00:08
  Speaker 1: there's that. It's not a horrible travel spot. But they're
• 2:00:11
  Speaker 1: playing a lot of games recently. They're playing a fourth
• 2:00:13
  Speaker 1: game in six days, I think is what this is
• 2:00:16
  Speaker 1: all in different cities. That blowout loss, by the way,
• 2:00:18
  Speaker 1: was a back to back where they're having to fly
• 2:00:21
  Speaker 1: out of elevation from Utah to the West coast. So
• 2:00:24
  Speaker 1: it's not an easy spot for New Orleans and maybe
• 2:00:28
  Speaker 1: they will bounce back, although having to play all these
• 2:00:30
  Speaker 1: road games in a row is tough. But the last
• 2:00:34
  Speaker 1: it's not in all different cities though. That's the thing
• 2:00:36
  Speaker 1: I think if I said that I misspoke because two
• 2:00:38
  Speaker 1: of the games are in Utah, the other two are
• 2:00:40
  Speaker 1: in LA, so they're not having to really travel between
• 2:00:43
  Speaker 1: all these games, so that does mitigate it a little bit,
• 2:00:46
  Speaker 1: and maybe they will be in a bounce back, they'll
• 2:00:48
  Speaker 1: probably at least give you an effort against the Lakers.
• 2:00:51
  Speaker 1: Zion Williamson is like a game time decision right now
• 2:00:54
  Speaker 1: for New Orleans, so I don't know if he's gonna
• 2:00:57
  Speaker 1: play or not. The Lakers are not really in a
• 2:00:59
  Speaker 1: bad time. Well, I don't know if I'm gonna say that.
• 2:01:02
  Speaker 1: They're coming off of a game against Sacramento. That's fine,
• 2:01:04
  Speaker 1: easy win over Sacramento, not surprising there. But they do
• 2:01:07
  Speaker 1: have Denver on deck that is a big game on
• 2:01:10
  Speaker 1: his Amazon Prime coming up, so it's a potential look
• 2:01:14
  Speaker 1: ahead here. So I actually would lean to the Pelicans
• 2:01:16
  Speaker 1: in this one. The Lakers are down from ten to
• 2:01:19
  Speaker 1: eight and a half here. Don't know why it dropped
• 2:01:21
  Speaker 1: because I didn't really see any injury on The only
• 2:01:24
  Speaker 1: player on the injury report at all was Zion for
• 2:01:26
  Speaker 1: the Pelicans, and he was a game time decision. So
• 2:01:29
  Speaker 1: I don't know. Fifty eight percent of the tickets seventy
• 2:01:31
  Speaker 1: eight percent of the cash on the Lakers. I'd probably
• 2:01:34
  Speaker 1: lean towards fading the Lakers though, man, but it's not
• 2:01:37
  Speaker 1: one that I feel strongly about. And then the second
• 2:01:40
  Speaker 1: game of the doubleheader is a terrible game between a
• 2:01:43
  Speaker 1: massively injured Phoenix Suns team and a massively injured Sacramento team.
• 2:01:49
  Speaker 1: The top like the top two players on both teams
• 2:01:52
  Speaker 1: aren't playing in this game, I don't think with a
• 2:01:54
  Speaker 1: Booker and Brooks for Phoenix and Levigne and Sabonas for
• 2:01:58
  Speaker 1: Sacramento both shut down, so all of them are out
• 2:02:02
  Speaker 1: for this game. And then there were even more injuries
• 2:02:04
  Speaker 1: for uh Sacramento with Hunter is out for the season,
• 2:02:08
  Speaker 1: Murray is out. It's just insane, dude, totally insane that
• 2:02:14
  Speaker 1: this game gets a TV billing and they are just
• 2:02:16
  Speaker 1: injuries all over the place here. Booker is actually back,
• 2:02:19
  Speaker 1: so my mistake, so at least there's that. I thought
• 2:02:22
  Speaker 1: he was gonna be out for longer because it said
• 2:02:23
  Speaker 1: he was gonna be reevaluated. He hasn't played well. Actually
• 2:02:28
  Speaker 1: this is interesting because he hasn't played since he barely
• 2:02:31
  Speaker 1: played it all against the Spurs and he went down again.
• 2:02:33
  Speaker 1: But it seems like he is coming back in this
• 2:02:35
  Speaker 1: game because he's not on the injury report and in
• 2:02:38
  Speaker 1: the depth chart he doesn't have the O next to
• 2:02:40
  Speaker 1: his name, so I think Booker is playing in this game.
• 2:02:44
  Speaker 1: We see if there's any news on that. Yeah, I
• 2:02:50
  Speaker 1: mean with the Hips train. He was out a week.
• 2:02:52
  Speaker 1: That was ten days ago. Yeah, I think he is
• 2:02:54
  Speaker 1: going to be back. So you know what that means.
• 2:02:57
  Speaker 1: That means it's an injured player theory spot for Phoenix here, man.
• 2:03:00
  Speaker 1: So if your star player is coming back and they
• 2:03:03
  Speaker 1: just beat the Lakers too, so I think this is
• 2:03:06
  Speaker 1: a fade spot for Phoenix here. You know, I always
• 2:03:08
  Speaker 1: talk about when when your star player comes back from injury,
• 2:03:11
  Speaker 1: the line will move a little bit to accommodate for that.
• 2:03:14
  Speaker 1: It can overreact to it. The team has to get
• 2:03:17
  Speaker 1: used to him playing again. He hasn't really played like
• 2:03:20
  Speaker 1: I mean again, he played during the All Star they
• 2:03:23
  Speaker 1: had the All Star break, and then when he came
• 2:03:24
  Speaker 1: out of the All Star break, he only played nine minutes.
• 2:03:26
  Speaker 1: So they haven't played with him for quite a while, man,
• 2:03:30
  Speaker 1: So that might kind of mess them up a little bit.
• 2:03:32
  Speaker 1: And they're coming off a big win over the Lakers,
• 2:03:34
  Speaker 1: so they might be in a letdown spot. That was
• 2:03:36
  Speaker 1: on Thursday, so they've had a lot of time off.
• 2:03:40
  Speaker 1: But you know, I don't know if having time off
• 2:03:42
  Speaker 1: to think about that good win is really that helpful.
• 2:03:46
  Speaker 1: It's helpful to get a Booker back at least, but
• 2:03:48
  Speaker 1: and that'll help them in the long term for sure.
• 2:03:51
  Speaker 1: But Sacramento just lost to that very same Laker team.
• 2:03:54
  Speaker 1: The problem I have with Sacramento is the returning home
• 2:03:56
  Speaker 1: from a road trip, and they've been on the road
• 2:03:58
  Speaker 1: for more than a week. So that's not good. When
• 2:04:01
  Speaker 1: a team returns home from the road trip, you know,
• 2:04:03
  Speaker 1: I always tag about it. They can be distracted. They
• 2:04:06
  Speaker 1: have to get back to home life. They got stuff
• 2:04:07
  Speaker 1: to do, so that's gonna make it difficult for Sacramento here. Man,
• 2:04:12
  Speaker 1: I think I would actually still mean to Sacramento in
• 2:04:15
  Speaker 1: this one though, and the money is agreeing with that.
• 2:04:17
  Speaker 1: The Suns are down from ten and a half to
• 2:04:19
  Speaker 1: ten year I think with the letdown spot plus the
• 2:04:21
  Speaker 1: same common opponent recently, plus the reverse injured player spot
• 2:04:26
  Speaker 1: all going against the Suns here, I think that might
• 2:04:29
  Speaker 1: negate the return home spot. Even though the return home
• 2:04:32
  Speaker 1: spot is really bad. It's a stay away though for
• 2:04:35
  Speaker 1: me obviously could be a game of the over makes sense,
• 2:04:38
  Speaker 1: although I don't know about the over either, because when
• 2:04:40
  Speaker 1: you have a star player like Booker coming back a
• 2:04:42
  Speaker 1: lot of times the total might over adjust, but the
• 2:04:45
  Speaker 1: total actually went down four and a half points. I
• 2:04:47
  Speaker 1: don't know, Like a lot of times with the star
• 2:04:49
  Speaker 1: player coming back, you don't really necessarily want to play
• 2:04:51
  Speaker 1: the over because you're thinking, oh, more scoring is gonna
• 2:04:54
  Speaker 1: happen because he's back, you know what I mean. But
• 2:04:57
  Speaker 1: with both teams in bad spots, I think it can
• 2:04:59
  Speaker 1: affect the defense in a negative way. Seventy one percent
• 2:05:04
  Speaker 1: of the tickets around the Suns eighty nine percent of
• 2:05:06
  Speaker 1: the cash on the Kings. So the money is yeah,
• 2:05:10
  Speaker 1: really really strongly indicating on the Kings. And then there
• 2:05:12
  Speaker 1: is some money on the over as well there so
• 2:05:15
  Speaker 1: keeping all that in mind, yeah, the market is saying
• 2:05:20
  Speaker 1: the Kings for what all that's worth. And that is
• 2:05:22
  Speaker 1: the last game. Finally, woo two hour video, all right
• 2:05:26
  Speaker 1: the place today one more time College of Basketball TCU
• 2:05:29
  Speaker 1: plus the points Xavier plus the one and a half
• 2:05:33
  Speaker 1: or whatever, and then money line on Texas A and
• 2:05:36
  Speaker 1: m or I'm not gonna beat you up again. If
• 2:05:38
  Speaker 1: you want to lay the one, fine Ottawa and NHL
• 2:05:43
  Speaker 1: on the money line, and then Toronto plus the points
• 2:05:46
  Speaker 1: in the NBA. That's gonna do it. Five plays today,
• 2:05:50
  Speaker 1: Let's get some wins. Learn it. Tode on Twitter learn
• 2:05:52
  Speaker 1: it toe on Instagram. Check me out, baby, throw me
• 2:05:55
  Speaker 1: some support. You know, it's all appreciated. Boost this channel,
• 2:05:59
  Speaker 1: like subscribe. Shout out to Brad who I think his
• 2:06:02
  Speaker 1: name is Brad. He's been in my comments recently giving
• 2:06:04
  Speaker 1: me some very positive feedback. I like that, man, Thank you, man.
• 2:06:09
  Speaker 1: I appreciate it. Hopefully you're continuing to watch. So yeah,
• 2:06:13
  Speaker 1: like subscribe, review, leave good comments, or like subscribe and
• 2:06:17
  Speaker 1: leave good comments. I should say, leave reviews on the
• 2:06:19
  Speaker 1: audio on Apple and Spotify. Boost it all up, man,
• 2:06:23
  Speaker 1: Boost the YouTube channel. Boost the audio on Apple and Spotify.
• 2:06:27
  Speaker 1: We have a ukulele channel as well, covered in yuke,
• 2:06:30
  Speaker 1: so boost that as well on YouTube and then Patreon
• 2:06:34
  Speaker 1: dot com slash learn to toad. You can throw me
• 2:06:36
  Speaker 1: some support there, get some bonus content, and then we
• 2:06:39
  Speaker 1: will have a new episode of Loser Cast tonight. Check
• 2:06:42
  Speaker 1: that out at ten pm where you get to just
• 2:06:44
  Speaker 1: kind of hang out and relax, have some fun, laugh,
• 2:06:48
  Speaker 1: nominate some losers, so, you know, show up for that.
• 2:06:51
  Speaker 1: That's gonna do it. I appreciate it. Let's get some
• 2:06:54
  Speaker 1: wins here. Enjoy the march madness beginning the conference tournaments.
• 2:06:58
  Speaker 1: Peace