Latest / Balance of Power / Pakistan Says US-Iran Arrangement is Close, Primary Day in Six States
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. You're listening to the
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- 0:25Speaker 2: Keeping an eye on the markets for us using the
- 0:27Speaker 2: power of the Bloomberg terminal. You can use the power
- 0:29Speaker 2: of the Bloomberg terminal to do a lot of things.
- 0:31Speaker 2: I right now am looking at headlines on the terminal.
- 0:34Speaker 2: I typed in straight to see what headlines have come
- 0:36Speaker 2: up in and around the straight of four moves. And
- 0:38Speaker 2: doesn't this tell a story? In just the last couple
- 0:39Speaker 2: of days. August fourth, President Trump says the Strait is
- 0:43Speaker 2: going to be open, quote very soon. August six, President
- 0:48Speaker 2: Trump says the Strait is sort of open now.
- 0:52Speaker 3: On the same day, you.
- 0:55Speaker 2: Have the President saying that the Strait is moving along good.
- 0:59Speaker 2: Then around yesterday August tenth, that the reopening of the
- 1:02Speaker 2: street requires that the US end it's naval blockade as
- 1:05Speaker 2: well as payment of reparations. The very same day, President
- 1:09Speaker 2: Trump in the Oval Office, when questioned by our colleague
- 1:13Speaker 2: josh Win Grove said that the state isn't straight, isn't
- 1:16Speaker 2: sort of open and or opening soon. It in fact
- 1:18Speaker 2: is opened right now.
- 1:20Speaker 4: I decided that Iran.
- 1:21Speaker 5: Sir, you get us any estimated when you think the
- 1:23Speaker 5: Strait Up moves will be.
- 1:25Speaker 4: Perfect open now, we've taken a lot of shit. It's
- 1:28Speaker 4: open now.
- 1:28Speaker 6: Look, the only one that has control of the Strait
- 1:31Speaker 6: of Home moves right now is the United States Navy.
- 1:34Speaker 6: We have a blockade that's been infallible.
- 1:37Speaker 5: It's a steel wall, and we let people in that
- 1:39Speaker 5: we want to let in, and those people come in
- 1:41Speaker 5: and they've been coming in into going out, So it's
- 1:45Speaker 5: actually open now.
- 1:48Speaker 7: Iran says differently that the straight up Woe moves will
- 1:51Speaker 7: remain shut until conditions are met, as we've heard before.
- 1:55Speaker 7: But I'll point back to what Energy Secretary Chris Wright
- 1:58Speaker 7: posted earlier. Thanks to the court efforts of the military
- 2:01Speaker 7: and our Gulf allies, the seven day average for oil
- 2:04Speaker 7: leaving the Strait of Hormuz is currently up to almost
- 2:07Speaker 7: nine million barrels a day. That's combined with the additional
- 2:10Speaker 7: five to seven million leaving the region by pipeline. Interesting
- 2:16Speaker 7: sort of context for the comments that we're hearing from
- 2:19Speaker 7: the President of the United States either way. As we
- 2:21Speaker 7: were discussing earlier, Mediator Pakistan says, we could be on
- 2:24Speaker 7: the verge of peace that may be projecting. Let's go
- 2:29Speaker 7: to the White House now with Tyler Kendall. Bloomberg's Washington
- 2:32Speaker 7: correspondent is on the North Lawn, which looks a lot
- 2:34Speaker 7: different than it did when josh Winbrove joined us last
- 2:37Speaker 7: evening in the throes of a lightning storm. Tyler, are
- 2:39Speaker 7: we hearing anything new from the President today? Will he
- 2:43Speaker 7: be before cameras at all before we're done?
- 2:46Speaker 3: Well, Joe.
- 2:46Speaker 5: At this point, the President has a flurry of closed
- 2:49Speaker 5: door policy meetings on his schedule, the next one set
- 2:52Speaker 5: to start at one thirty pm Eastern, but this point
- 2:55Speaker 5: we haven't gone indications that it will open up to
- 2:57Speaker 5: the press. He is traveling to Ohio tonight, we haven't
- 3:01Speaker 5: gotten an update on exactly what time he will depart.
- 3:04Speaker 5: That's for something known as the Patriot Games. He's going
- 3:06Speaker 5: to this youth competition for the finale there, so maybe
- 3:10Speaker 5: journalists will be able to catch him on camera as
- 3:13Speaker 5: he gets on and off the plane. But at this
- 3:16Speaker 5: point we've gotten very little indication or detail on exactly
- 3:19Speaker 5: what a potential breakthrough would look like, because as you
- 3:22Speaker 5: both went through, we've really got headline whiplash today, some
- 3:25Speaker 5: more optimistic Pakistani Corsiki mediator in this saying that Pakistani
- 3:31Speaker 5: officials will be in Iran today when it comes to negotiations.
- 3:35Speaker 5: But then publicly both sides have really been digging into
- 3:38Speaker 5: their positions, including the fact that President Trump has now
- 3:41Speaker 5: laid this new demand on the table that Iran should
- 3:44Speaker 5: be accountable for compensation for families of Iranian protesters who
- 3:48Speaker 5: have died over the last fifty years, as well as
- 3:51Speaker 5: to take responsibility for any death or damage related to
- 3:55Speaker 5: conflicts in areas where its proxies operate across the region,
- 3:58Speaker 5: whether that be Lebanon, Syria, a Yemen, or Gaza. And
- 4:02Speaker 5: that came in response to Iran saying that it was
- 4:05Speaker 5: demanding compensation when it comes to reopening the strait of
- 4:09Speaker 5: her moves. But Joe and Kelly, as you both know,
- 4:11Speaker 5: that's a significant development because there had been conversations on
- 4:14Speaker 5: the table about how to allocate funds to allow Iran
- 4:17Speaker 5: to rebuild post conflict, but that was considered to be
- 4:20Speaker 5: a precondition for talks about potential curves on Iran's nuclear program,
- 4:24Speaker 5: not for reopening the Strait.
- 4:28Speaker 2: Well, as we look for a potential deal to reopen
- 4:30Speaker 2: the Strait, any kind of deal between the US and
- 4:32Speaker 2: Iran or other parties in the Middle East, it seems
- 4:35Speaker 2: that there might be a deal in the works as
- 4:36Speaker 2: well between the United States and Canada. Tyler some headlines
- 4:39Speaker 2: just crossing from the CBC saying that Canadian and US
- 4:42Speaker 2: officials are aiming to present a new trade deal to
- 4:45Speaker 2: President Trump as soon as next week.
- 4:48Speaker 5: What do we know about this, Well, Kayley, this is
- 4:51Speaker 5: the CBC's reporting, but it's not necessarily surprising, and I'll
- 4:54Speaker 5: tell you why. About three weeks ago, we had that
- 4:56Speaker 5: threat from the White House of a fifty percent tariff
- 4:58Speaker 5: on early twenty billion dollar dollars worth of Canadian goods,
- 5:02Speaker 5: and at the time our own analysts have Bloomberg Economics
- 5:04Speaker 5: said that they expected these tariffs to be part of
- 5:06Speaker 5: a negotiating tactic. Now, they were supposed to be implemented
- 5:10Speaker 5: after thirty days. That deadline is next week, so that
- 5:13Speaker 5: would coincide here with this reporting that we could see
- 5:16Speaker 5: some sort of potential breakthrough when it comes to a
- 5:19Speaker 5: trade negotiation between the two countries. Keeping in mind that
- 5:22Speaker 5: tensions really had been brewing between President Trump and the
- 5:26Speaker 5: Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney. President Trump last month threatening
- 5:29Speaker 5: that he would even impose further tariffs when it comes
- 5:32Speaker 5: to the wildfire smoke that was coming down from Canada.
- 5:36Speaker 5: And last month we also saw the US decline to
- 5:38Speaker 5: renew the USMCA trade pack, setting up potentially years of
- 5:43Speaker 5: tough negotiations. We'll see what's ultimately included in this deal,
- 5:46Speaker 5: but the timing makes it feel like this is a
- 5:49Speaker 5: strategic move by the US when it comes to the
- 5:51Speaker 5: sort of leverage that they put on the table to
- 5:53Speaker 5: get some concessions from Canada.
- 5:56Speaker 2: And timing, as they say, is everything. Bloomberg's Tyler kind
- 5:59Speaker 2: of live on the north lawn of the White House,
- 6:01Speaker 2: Thank you so much.
- 6:02Speaker 3: And as we.
- 6:03Speaker 2: Consider the timing here, we're approximately what Joe, eighty four
- 6:06Speaker 2: days until the midterm elections, at least speak here in Washington.
- 6:11Speaker 3: Yes, that is exactly.
- 6:12Speaker 2: I just wanted to make sure my number was correct
- 6:14Speaker 2: before I acted as.
- 6:15Speaker 3: If that was definitive. But it is definitive eighty.
- 6:17Speaker 2: Four days to go, and we don't consider the timing
- 6:21Speaker 2: left to get resolution to some of these very issues
- 6:24Speaker 2: we were talking about with Tyler, whether it's questions of
- 6:26Speaker 2: tariffs or questions of peace in the Middle East, and
- 6:29Speaker 2: the conflict that has driven gas price is higher. The
- 6:31Speaker 2: clock is ticking for those to trend more in the
- 6:34Speaker 2: way of the incumbents and power here.
- 6:36Speaker 4: Well, that's for sure.
- 6:36Speaker 7: And what's the conventional wisdom is people start making up
- 6:39Speaker 7: their minds on Labor Day.
- 6:41Speaker 4: A lot of the folks we speak with Posters.
- 6:43Speaker 7: Including Cliff Young, who was with us earlier today on Bloomberg,
- 6:46Speaker 7: say that it's actually now, we don't need to wait
- 6:49Speaker 7: until Labor Day, particularly in the face of the higher
- 6:52Speaker 7: prices that we've been talking about every day, never mind
- 6:54Speaker 7: the geopolitical confusion, the data centers.
- 6:56Speaker 4: People are making their decisions as we speak.
- 6:58Speaker 3: I wonder if Mark Short with that he was coated
- 7:01Speaker 3: his decision.
- 7:02Speaker 2: Is the former director of Legislative Affairs in the first
- 7:04Speaker 2: Trump White House, also former chief staff to Vice President
- 7:07Speaker 2: Mike Pence. He's now Chair of Advancing American Freedom, and
- 7:10Speaker 2: he's here with us in our Washington d Systea. Sorry,
- 7:12Speaker 2: I'll always good to have you here on TV and radio.
- 7:16Speaker 2: As Joe says, our mind's made up. Now is it
- 7:18Speaker 2: a question of Labor Day? Or did things need to
- 7:20Speaker 2: be resolved before everybody went on their final summer vacations.
- 7:24Speaker 8: You know, I think that the traditional thought was around
- 7:27Speaker 8: Labor Day, and by that point I think that the
- 7:29Speaker 8: narrative gets set in. But I think it's early on
- 7:31Speaker 8: earlier now. I don't think there's any mystery that the
- 7:34Speaker 8: number one issue since Donald Trump was elected has been
- 7:37Speaker 8: affordability and that's still the number one issue. And I
- 7:40Speaker 8: think that typically in modern American history, like last fifty
- 7:44Speaker 8: sixty years, the party is that is out of power
- 7:48Speaker 8: gains about twenty one seats in midterm, But in the
- 7:53Speaker 8: situation when you have one party in control of the
- 7:55Speaker 8: White House, the House, and the Senate, it's typically about
- 7:58Speaker 8: forty in last fifty sixty years, about forty c gain.
- 8:02Speaker 8: And so certainly that the Democrats right now have a
- 8:05Speaker 8: lot of things going in their favor, and the affordability
- 8:08Speaker 8: crisis remains the number one issue for American voters. The
- 8:11Speaker 8: question will become, I think, how many trending socialists or
- 8:16Speaker 8: near socialist candidates do the Democrats nominate? The kind of
- 8:19Speaker 8: curtail what could be an even bigger, potentially win for
- 8:22Speaker 8: them in November.
- 8:23Speaker 7: Is that your thought when you look at Wisconsin this evening,
- 8:26Speaker 7: Francesca Hong Thanksgiving, you're making it easier for us as your.
- 8:31Speaker 8: Thought, I think absolutely, Jah. I think that for her,
- 8:36Speaker 8: I think that Tom Tiffany of the Republican will be
- 8:38Speaker 8: a forignal candidate, and I think that she's just so
- 8:41Speaker 8: far out the mainstream that they'll be giving that the
- 8:43Speaker 8: governor's mansion to Republicans in Wisconsin. But I think if
- 8:47Speaker 8: you look in Congress, there's a continued push where there's
- 8:50Speaker 8: been multiple Democratic socialists who have been nominated in the House,
- 8:54Speaker 8: and you have some certainly outliers in the Senate like
- 8:57Speaker 8: LSIID in Michigan. I think creating for Republicans that says,
- 9:01Speaker 8: look at how far crazy the Democrats have become, and
- 9:04Speaker 8: the Democrats are not really popular right now, and socialism
- 9:08Speaker 8: is even less popular. So even though the presence numbers
- 9:10Speaker 8: are down, it seems in May cases where Democrats are
- 9:13Speaker 8: offering the alternative, it's not really what votes you're looking
- 9:15Speaker 8: for either.
- 9:16Speaker 2: Well, So I've been wondering here about the kind of
- 9:18Speaker 2: pattern where you're seeing where you saw, for example, people
- 9:20Speaker 2: who were Obama voters became Trump Pence voters in twenty
- 9:23Speaker 2: sixteen after voting for Obama previously. Maybe some of them
- 9:26Speaker 2: swung back to Biden, maybe some stuck with President Trump
- 9:28Speaker 2: on the economic grounds you were talking about. Could we
- 9:31Speaker 2: not see that extreme swing once again? If there is
- 9:35Speaker 2: that kind of horseshoe theory of politics, and the lines
- 9:37Speaker 2: between socialism and populism maybe at sometimes blurred.
- 9:41Speaker 8: Aki, I think it's odd that in a Republican administration,
- 9:45Speaker 8: just a couple of weeks ago, we had administration talking
- 9:47Speaker 8: about price gallengy and need to go after Exon and
- 9:50Speaker 8: chevrun at the lower gas price.
- 9:52Speaker 3: He wants to take stakes and say ai.
- 9:53Speaker 8: I have a record number of state owned enterprises now
- 9:57Speaker 8: in a Republican administration obviously have huge protections tariffs, and
- 10:01Speaker 8: so to the horseshoe theory, I remember campaigning on the
- 10:05Speaker 8: campaign shop on twenty sixteen, and there are a lot
- 10:07Speaker 8: of signs of Bernie Sanders yard science that became Trump signs.
- 10:11Speaker 8: So when Hillary defeated Bernie, those voters came over to Trump.
- 10:15Speaker 8: And there's no doubt that the president is flexing more
- 10:18Speaker 8: of his populous economic message as opposed the first administration conservative,
- 10:22Speaker 8: and so you make a great point. It's for a
- 10:24Speaker 8: lot of voters who are looking for actually the government
- 10:26Speaker 8: to get out of the economy. It's not as if
- 10:28Speaker 8: Republicans are offering a clear contrast right now to Democrats.
- 10:31Speaker 7: When he considered the idea of forty seats though, going
- 10:34Speaker 7: to Democrats. We talked to Susan del Benet yesterday. The
- 10:37Speaker 7: d Triple C is just adding to the battleground map,
- 10:41Speaker 7: and they added twelve more seats last week. French Hill,
- 10:45Speaker 7: the chairman of the House Financial Services Committee, Mike Flood,
- 10:49Speaker 7: was on there. Do we get to the point where
- 10:51Speaker 7: I know history matters? But Mark Short rolls his eyes
- 10:54Speaker 7: at some of these.
- 10:55Speaker 8: I do. And in some cases, when you have that
- 10:58Speaker 8: much momentum and you have a lot of resources to put,
- 11:01Speaker 8: you begin placing seats that just are for news stories.
- 11:04Speaker 8: So people begin thinking, oh, the map could even be larger.
- 11:07Speaker 8: I don't anticipate it being forty because I think there's
- 11:09Speaker 8: new challenges right now. For one, there's been so much
- 11:12Speaker 8: redistricting that has favored Republicans mid mid cycle right now
- 11:17Speaker 8: that should gain Republicans in net have about ten seats,
- 11:20Speaker 8: but two our districts and work are more. There's fewer
- 11:23Speaker 8: competitive districts today than there used to be, and so
- 11:25Speaker 8: I do think that there's a lot of momentum Democrats
- 11:28Speaker 8: have currently, but I think those headwinds are not going
- 11:31Speaker 8: to They're going to be shaving off some of that
- 11:33Speaker 8: cap that.
- 11:33Speaker 4: They can have.
- 11:35Speaker 2: Well, as we consider the kind of notion of some
- 11:39Speaker 2: of those districts that have been redistricting. You've been on
- 11:41Speaker 2: this program before, Mark talking about how that could actually
- 11:43Speaker 2: backfire in some instances against Republicans because you're watering down
- 11:47Speaker 2: districts that aren't as far deep red as they would
- 11:51Speaker 2: have been otherwise. If this is even districts that are
- 11:54Speaker 2: Trump plus ten, is this a safe year to assume
- 11:58Speaker 2: that a Trump plus ten district is going.
- 12:00Speaker 4: Yell kill you?
- 12:00Speaker 8: Right, it's about I think it's about A plus ten
- 12:03Speaker 8: is where you actually have the cut off line. And
- 12:05Speaker 8: you're right that you know in many cases some of
- 12:07Speaker 8: those lines are redrawn were in states like Texas. In Texas,
- 12:12Speaker 8: it doesn't look as strong for Republicans right now because
- 12:15Speaker 8: certainly the packs and dramas weighed down a lot of
- 12:17Speaker 8: Republicans across the state. So you're exactly right, you could
- 12:20Speaker 8: see some of those redrawn seats that actually end up
- 12:23Speaker 8: flipping for Democrats. Having said that, I still think that
- 12:26Speaker 8: the redrawing districts will be a net gain for Republicans,
- 12:29Speaker 8: but potentially not as significant as they thought it would be.
- 12:31Speaker 7: I'd love to ask you about what's happening or will
- 12:34Speaker 7: happen on Capitol Hill when lawmakers come back. Senate went
- 12:37Speaker 7: home last weekend. Everyone's gone through August. We know the
- 12:40Speaker 7: deal here, but not a lot got done. In fact,
- 12:42Speaker 7: a lot of things were left on the side of
- 12:44Speaker 7: the road, including the Clarity Act, which we've talked about
- 12:46Speaker 7: a lot. There are questions about what the House will
- 12:48Speaker 7: do with the CR when it comes back around. How
- 12:50Speaker 7: much order or disorder will we see you after five
- 12:53Speaker 7: weeks on the LAMB would I would encourage.
- 12:57Speaker 8: You to continue to think not much will get done. Yeah,
- 13:00Speaker 8: there's no exit, the pass will be the futures shut
- 13:03Speaker 8: down there.
- 13:03Speaker 4: I think, particularly when.
- 13:04Speaker 8: You when you're an election year, members are really anxious
- 13:07Speaker 8: to get home and go back to campaigning. So I
- 13:10Speaker 8: would anticipate you will see a CR complete at this point,
- 13:13Speaker 8: which I think was a question because I think that
- 13:16Speaker 8: the shutdown actually in some ways benefited Democrats before. I
- 13:18Speaker 8: think there's a lot of questions of would they pursue
- 13:20Speaker 8: that same political strategy. It appears not. That appears that
- 13:23Speaker 8: we will keep the government open, which is a positive,
- 13:26Speaker 8: but I don't know how much more is really get done.
- 13:29Speaker 8: You might see the Senate pass the Clarity Act, but
- 13:31Speaker 8: actually getting to reconcile the two bills and get anything
- 13:35Speaker 8: past that, And I think if you're looking at a
- 13:37Speaker 8: bigger reconcilation three point zero, maybe a slim chance of
- 13:40Speaker 8: that in a lame duck session, but I don't anticipate
- 13:43Speaker 8: seeing that in September.
- 13:44Speaker 4: Wow, Wow, incredible.
- 13:45Speaker 3: What about me? Yeah, certainly.
- 13:48Speaker 5: So.
- 13:48Speaker 2: What about the Russia sanctions bill that the Senate passed
- 13:50Speaker 2: huge bipartisan margin, But is that necessarily a mandate for
- 13:54Speaker 2: this House?
- 13:55Speaker 8: I think that the House will support it as well. Okay,
- 13:57Speaker 8: I do think you've seen Democrats who want occurtain tail
- 14:00Speaker 8: some of the tariff authority that's provided to the president
- 14:03Speaker 8: under that bill. It feels to me that's kind of
- 14:06Speaker 8: specific to Russia. But I do think you'll see the
- 14:08Speaker 8: House change some of the bill, but I still thinking
- 14:11Speaker 8: to see it get to the president's desk.
- 14:13Speaker 4: It's great to have you back with us. As always,
- 14:14Speaker 4: I hope you someone's going well.
- 14:15Speaker 8: Thanks for having me.
- 14:18Speaker 7: Mark Short a chairman advancing American Freedom and of course,
- 14:22Speaker 7: in his time at the White House in the first
- 14:24Speaker 7: Trump administration, he was chief of Staff to Vice President
- 14:27Speaker 7: Mike Pence and was the Director of Legislative Affairs connecting
- 14:32Speaker 7: both ends of Pennsylvania Avenue for us, I'm Joe Matthew
- 14:34Speaker 7: alongside Kaylee Lines in Washington.
- 14:37Speaker 4: It is Primary Day. Happy Primary Day.
- 14:39Speaker 7: We'll assemble our political panel next Rick Davis and Genie Shanzano.
- 14:42Speaker 7: With voting under way today in six states. We have
- 14:45Speaker 7: to remember the special in South Carolina what that might
- 14:48Speaker 7: mean for the future of the late Lindsay Graham's Senate seat.
- 14:51Speaker 7: It's all straight ahead on Balance of Power only here
- 14:53Speaker 7: on Bloomberg.
- 14:54Speaker 4: Stay with us on Balance of Power. We'll have much
- 14:56Speaker 4: more coming up after this.
- 15:00Speaker 1: You're listening to the Bloomberg Balance of Power podcast ketsays
- 15:04Speaker 1: live weekdays at noon and five pm Eastern on Apple
- 15:08Speaker 1: Cockway and Android Auto with the Bloomberg Business App. You
- 15:11Speaker 1: can also listen live on Amazon Alexa from our flagship
- 15:14Speaker 1: New York station, Just Say Alexa played Bloomberg eleven thirty.
- 15:20Speaker 3: On this Tuesday, and not just any Tuesday.
- 15:22Speaker 2: Once again, it is a primary Tuesday here in the
- 15:25Speaker 2: US across six different states, with a few races in
- 15:28Speaker 2: particular in focus as we look for signals on the
- 15:31Speaker 2: future direction of the Democratic Party. Could we see echoes
- 15:34Speaker 2: of what we saw in Michigan last week with the
- 15:36Speaker 2: victory of progressive Abdul I'll say it, in the Wisconsin
- 15:39Speaker 2: gubernatorial primary, where Democratic socialist Francesca Hong does look like
- 15:43Speaker 2: she could ultimately come out victorious in the vote today.
- 15:46Speaker 2: There's questions as well in the Democratic Senate primary in Minnesota,
- 15:49Speaker 2: trying to buy for the seat being vacated by Democratic
- 15:52Speaker 2: Senator Tina Smith. You have a more progressive candidate in
- 15:55Speaker 2: Lieutenant Governor Peggy Flanagan, up against a moderate in Congresswoman
- 16:00Speaker 2: Angie Craig. There are other races we're watching as well.
- 16:03Speaker 2: The my Pillow guy is running for governor in Minnesota.
- 16:06Speaker 2: President Trump is backing him. I'm not sure how far
- 16:09Speaker 2: his endorsement could go ultimately in that race, or how far, frankly,
- 16:12Speaker 2: it will go in the race happening in South Carolina today,
- 16:15Speaker 2: the Republican primary to fill the seat permanently vacated by
- 16:18Speaker 2: the late Senator Lindsay Graham. Of course, currently his sister,
- 16:21Speaker 2: Darlene Graham is in that seat, and she is running
- 16:24Speaker 2: for it on a long term basis.
- 16:26Speaker 7: Is Lynde l TV covering the campaigns of the MyPillow.
- 16:29Speaker 3: Guy inflective interest. I don't know how much that matters.
- 16:33Speaker 4: I haven't seen.
- 16:34Speaker 7: We want to get to our political panel because there's
- 16:36Speaker 7: a lot to talk about here. You just framed the
- 16:38Speaker 7: two states most important for primaries with regard to this
- 16:42Speaker 7: whole democratic socialist narrative, Minnesota and Wisconsin.
- 16:45Speaker 4: We're also deeply curious though about.
- 16:47Speaker 7: This special in South Carolina, because it does look like
- 16:49Speaker 7: it's going to a runoff. Bloomberg Politics contributors Geenie Shanzano
- 16:52Speaker 7: and Rick Davis join us now. Genie is our democratic
- 16:55Speaker 7: analyst and democracy visiting fellow at Harvard Kennedy Center's Ash School,
- 16:59Speaker 7: and Rick is our Republican strategist partner at Stone Court Capital. Genie,
- 17:04Speaker 7: I know you're looking at these states as well, and
- 17:06Speaker 7: we've heard a heck of a lot over the past
- 17:09Speaker 7: couple of weeks about Francesca Hong. She's become a household
- 17:13Speaker 7: name because of her commentary on Thanksgiving, which by the way,
- 17:16Speaker 7: she has recanted. I guess she's going to keep the
- 17:20Speaker 7: holiday in place here. But she's up against a moderate Democrat,
- 17:23Speaker 7: Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley, And this is the latest
- 17:26Speaker 7: example of what we've been talking about so much.
- 17:29Speaker 4: What will it mean for Democrats if she wins?
- 17:36Speaker 9: You know, I think, first of all, we have to
- 17:37Speaker 9: be very cautious, as we all talked about, looking at
- 17:40Speaker 9: the Michigan polls and how l Sied pulled it out
- 17:43Speaker 9: by a much narrower margin. So while some of these
- 17:46Speaker 9: primary polls have her winning with double digits, I don't
- 17:50Speaker 9: know if we can trust those primary polls. Very hard
- 17:54Speaker 9: to pull these things. And of course this has been
- 17:57Speaker 9: a really tough election season for the establishment in the
- 18:01Speaker 9: Badger State. I mean, David Crowley was in the race,
- 18:05Speaker 9: got out of the race, jump back in the race
- 18:07Speaker 9: with the sort of urging of the governor Tony Evers.
- 18:10Speaker 9: Pong has stayed in it. Pong has been on the
- 18:13Speaker 9: cutting edge of many issues, including data centers, which we
- 18:17Speaker 9: talk a lot about. She's been out front there, and interestingly,
- 18:21Speaker 9: she has spent so much less money than any of
- 18:25Speaker 9: her competitors, like Tom Tiffany on advertising is like over
- 18:29Speaker 9: seven million, she's under four hundred thousand. And David Crowley
- 18:34Speaker 9: just in July doubled her spending. And why can she
- 18:38Speaker 9: do that and still be number one? Because Number one,
- 18:41Speaker 9: she's getting support from the Republicans who want to see
- 18:44Speaker 9: her win this primary. Number two, because she's going outside
- 18:49Speaker 9: of a traditional sort of television spending. So it's been
- 18:53Speaker 9: a fascinating race. I think it's going to be tough
- 18:56Speaker 9: for her to pull it through. She hasn't even had
- 18:58Speaker 9: the endorsements of Bernie sand Is, Alexander Cosiocordy, a sand biker,
- 19:02Speaker 9: and all of those other sort of well known socialists,
- 19:06Speaker 9: if you will, So it's going to be a tough
- 19:08Speaker 9: race for her. I would not be surprised whoever won.
- 19:12Speaker 9: But both sides have issues. In the Democratic side.
- 19:16Speaker 3: Yeah, Rick, I wanted to ask you about that. Do
- 19:18Speaker 3: you read into the.
- 19:19Speaker 2: Lack of endorsement from those key progressive players like Senator
- 19:22Speaker 2: Bernie Sanders, because Francesca Hank's campaign is writing it off
- 19:25Speaker 2: as this isn't a race for a seat in Congress
- 19:28Speaker 2: or the Senate, this is a state race.
- 19:31Speaker 6: No.
- 19:31Speaker 10: I mean, Bernie Sanders would be all over this race
- 19:34Speaker 10: if he thought she has a credible candidate. And I
- 19:37Speaker 10: don't know if it's about her views on a round Thanksgiving.
- 19:39Speaker 4: There are some years where the.
- 19:41Speaker 10: Deep Fried turkey that I made kind of put a
- 19:44Speaker 10: spoil on Thanksgiving, and there are probably people who felt
- 19:46Speaker 10: the same way she did.
- 19:47Speaker 4: But that's just me.
- 19:49Speaker 10: The reality of it is is she's not a great candidate.
- 19:52Speaker 10: She hasn't really committed herself to the race in a
- 19:55Speaker 10: way that serious candidates do.
- 19:57Speaker 4: And I would remind everybody the only.
- 19:59Speaker 10: Reason Crowley in and out and in and out was
- 20:01Speaker 10: because Sarah Ferguson, it was a lieutenant governor totally screwed
- 20:04Speaker 10: up her own campaign and malfeas it's around the funding
- 20:07Speaker 10: of it. And so yeah, this is a campaign that's
- 20:10Speaker 10: had a lot of stumbles. But look what's not stumbling
- 20:13Speaker 10: the Republican nominee Tom Tiffany, assuming after today he's the nominee,
- 20:18Speaker 10: thirteen million.
- 20:19Speaker 4: Dollars in the bank.
- 20:20Speaker 10: It's only been six years since Scott Walker left the
- 20:22Speaker 10: governorship and Trump, you know, won Wisconsin by forty nine percent.
- 20:28Speaker 10: I mean, like this is a state a Republican can win.
- 20:30Speaker 10: So I know there's a lot of focus on another
- 20:32Speaker 10: DSA candidate running, you know, that could win in the primary.
- 20:37Speaker 10: And I agree with Genie. These polls have all been
- 20:40Speaker 10: more wrong than right on these, especially statewide primaries. And
- 20:46Speaker 10: I wouldn't be surprised if you know, we're talking about
- 20:49Speaker 10: Republican governor in Wisconsin even in one of the worst
- 20:53Speaker 10: years for Republicans that we're going to have seen in
- 20:56Speaker 10: a long time.
- 20:57Speaker 7: Well, that's saying a lot, Rick, I'm curious your thoughts.
- 21:00Speaker 7: In South Carolina. We talked a lot about Lindsey Graham
- 21:04Speaker 7: when he passed away and the choice that the President
- 21:08Speaker 7: made to put his sister in place. Now Senator Darlene
- 21:12Speaker 7: Graham is going to find out what a Trump endorsement
- 21:16Speaker 7: is worth in South Carolina. She's up against some pretty
- 21:20Speaker 7: well known folks, including Ralph Norman, the Freedom Caucus Republican
- 21:23Speaker 7: congressman's been on this program many times and is well
- 21:27Speaker 7: known in the state. Rick, the conventional wisdom is this
- 21:30Speaker 7: goes to a runoff. Do you believe that's the case
- 21:34Speaker 7: and is it a name recognition issue for Darlene Graham?
- 21:38Speaker 10: Yeah, I mean this is a race where you really
- 21:39Speaker 10: don't have any polling data to speculate on whether it's
- 21:43Speaker 10: right or wrong, And so the reality is it's exactly
- 21:47Speaker 10: what you said, Joe. Does Donald Trump's endorsement put somebody
- 21:52Speaker 10: over the top. I think in the Emerson Paul that
- 21:55Speaker 10: was taken before everybody really got in the race, forty
- 21:59Speaker 10: six percent said they would go with a Trump endorsement.
- 22:02Speaker 10: That's still not fifty one percent, which you need to
- 22:05Speaker 10: avoid a runoff. So I think that puts Darlene in
- 22:08Speaker 10: the runoff. It's just who's going to go with her?
- 22:11Speaker 10: Ralph Norman, you know, he's been in the news a
- 22:13Speaker 10: lot over the last couple of years. A once in
- 22:17Speaker 10: future politician Mark Sandford is in this race. He could overperform.
- 22:23Speaker 10: I mean, there are a lot of people in that
- 22:24Speaker 10: down ticket who could surprise folks. But the bottom line is,
- 22:28Speaker 10: then what does the state look like when you got
- 22:29Speaker 10: a one on one in two weeks to run an election?
- 22:33Speaker 10: And I'd still say advantage Darlene Graham at that point,
- 22:36Speaker 10: with the weight of the administration and the governor behind her.
- 22:40Speaker 2: Does the weight of the administration and the president go
- 22:42Speaker 2: as far If you're the former CEO and founder of
- 22:45Speaker 2: my Pillow Jennie. Mike Lindell is running for governor in Minnesota.
- 22:49Speaker 2: The President is backing him. He took to True Social
- 22:52Speaker 2: to reiterate again this morning that he hopes Mike Lindell
- 22:54Speaker 2: wins big in Minnesota this evening.
- 22:57Speaker 3: A big win he said he deserves.
- 23:00Speaker 2: Even if he is able to pull it off in
- 23:01Speaker 2: the primary, which pulling doesn't necessarily suggest he will, would
- 23:04Speaker 2: he stand a chance against Senator Amy klobach Ar or
- 23:07Speaker 2: the Democratic nominee presumptively, Yeah.
- 23:10Speaker 9: That would be a very tough race for Republicans win.
- 23:13Speaker 9: To your point, Kayley, even if the pillow man, as
- 23:16Speaker 9: I like to call him, does indeed win, you know,
- 23:19Speaker 9: Minnesota very tough for the GOP. In the same way,
- 23:22Speaker 9: I would say that South Carolina, which Rick can correct me,
- 23:26Speaker 9: I think Lindsay Graham used to say, could also be
- 23:28Speaker 9: called Trump is Gone, is very hot for Democrats regardless
- 23:32Speaker 9: of who win.
- 23:33Speaker 3: But both of.
- 23:34Speaker 9: These races are really testing Donald Trump's endorsement power, and
- 23:39Speaker 9: to your point, he's gone all in. But South Carolina
- 23:43Speaker 9: is fascinating because, don't forget last time around he endorsed
- 23:47Speaker 9: two candidates. So if this goes to a runoff. I
- 23:49Speaker 9: wouldn't be surprised if he does the same.
- 23:53Speaker 4: All right, I'll take this seriously for a minute.
- 23:55Speaker 7: Rick Mike Lindell at the Minnesota Farmfest told the crowd
- 24:01Speaker 7: in the in the big barn set up there that
- 24:03Speaker 7: he has the edge on the rest of the field. Quote,
- 24:08Speaker 7: I can call up and work with the President of
- 24:11Speaker 7: the United States unquote.
- 24:13Speaker 4: Is that actually worth something?
- 24:16Speaker 1: Yeah?
- 24:17Speaker 10: I mean a relationship with Donald Trump's gotten a lot
- 24:19Speaker 10: of Republicans through primaries, usually through an endorsement, and I
- 24:23Speaker 10: think that that that has to go here too, right,
- 24:26Speaker 10: I mean, we have to assume that, you know, his
- 24:29Speaker 10: relationship with the president, which is notorious, is has got
- 24:35Speaker 10: to be an advantage. That being said, most of the
- 24:37Speaker 10: polling in the state shows he's the weakest Republican candidate
- 24:40Speaker 10: against Amy Klobachar, Like, if you actually thought about, gee,
- 24:43Speaker 10: we'd like a Republican to win, he'd be your last choice.
- 24:47Speaker 10: So I think, you know, there'll be a lot of
- 24:49Speaker 10: head scratching on election night tonight when if he if
- 24:53Speaker 10: he wins, and a lot of a rolling of eyes
- 24:58Speaker 10: on the Democratic side if he doesn't.
- 25:00Speaker 7: I think you were saying earlier, Kelly imagine the debate
- 25:02Speaker 7: between lyn Dell and Clobashar. Surely he'd show up with
- 25:06Speaker 7: grafts and an easel of some sort and a pillow.
- 25:09Speaker 4: Maybe a pillow.
- 25:09Speaker 2: Maybe, although we should note he is no longer the CEO,
- 25:12Speaker 2: still on the board, that he's no longer the chief
- 25:14Speaker 2: executive because he wanted to focus on the campaign.
- 25:16Speaker 3: The campaign could end tonight. It maybe will not. Genie.
- 25:20Speaker 2: The other race we're watching in that same state, Minnesota,
- 25:23Speaker 2: as the race to be the next senator replacing the
- 25:25Speaker 2: Democrat Tina Smith. You have the Lieutenant Governor Paggi Flanagan,
- 25:28Speaker 2: who's backed by the likes of Elizabeth Warren. She's the
- 25:31Speaker 2: more progressive Canada. Then you have the moderate in Congresswoman
- 25:34Speaker 2: Angie Craig. How much of a tell could this also
- 25:37Speaker 2: be on the trajectory of your party?
- 25:40Speaker 9: You know, I do think it is gonna be interesting
- 25:43Speaker 9: because Angie Craig, of course, when she won, she was
- 25:47Speaker 9: more of a centrist. She had to be at the
- 25:49Speaker 9: time she ran and won. And now she's being called
- 25:53Speaker 9: to the mat by flann again about things like the
- 25:55Speaker 9: Lincoln Riley actor vote for that she's trying to walk
- 25:59Speaker 9: that back and a lot of discussion obviously in this
- 26:02Speaker 9: race about issues of immigration. So I do think this
- 26:07Speaker 9: will be fascinating to see if Flanagain can pull this off.
- 26:11Speaker 9: But like in so many of these races, I think
- 26:14Speaker 9: for voters on the ground, the more the establishment Democrats
- 26:18Speaker 9: try to say we should be selected because we are
- 26:22Speaker 9: electable in November because Flan Again, or if you look
- 26:26Speaker 9: at long, you know, five years ago they said something
- 26:29Speaker 9: that was, you know, quite bizarre about Thanksgiving that really
- 26:34Speaker 9: falls flat for many people on the ground in a
- 26:37Speaker 9: Donald Trump's era, when it seems like people are saying
- 26:40Speaker 9: all kinds of things on social media with no repercussions,
- 26:43Speaker 9: and the Democratic establishment can't even get their own candidates
- 26:47Speaker 9: over the line. And so that's where I think they
- 26:50Speaker 9: have to really do a better job, this establishment speaking
- 26:54Speaker 9: to this progressive wing of the party.
- 26:58Speaker 2: All right, Jeanie Shanzeno and Rick Davis, Bloomberg Politics contributors
- 27:02Speaker 2: in our political panel today, thanks for joining us on
- 27:04Speaker 2: Balance of Power right here.
- 27:05Speaker 4: Stay with us on Balance of Power. We'll have much
- 27:07Speaker 4: more coming up after this.
- 27:12Speaker 1: You're listening to the Bloomberg Balance of Power podcast. Catch
- 27:15Speaker 1: us live weekdays at noon and five pm. Eastern on
- 27:18Speaker 1: Apple Cockley and Android Auto with the Bloomberg Business app.
- 27:22Speaker 1: You can also listen live on Amazon Alexa from our
- 27:25Speaker 1: flagship New York station Just Say Alexa played Bloomberg eleven thirty.
- 27:31Speaker 7: So on what is a primary day, we don't have
- 27:34Speaker 7: that many big ones like this. Left six states are
- 27:36Speaker 7: voting today, which is interesting because we've been hearing mainly
- 27:39Speaker 7: about Wisconsin, and we're going to talk about Wisconsin with Cliff.
- 27:42Speaker 4: Young in a moment.
- 27:43Speaker 7: But you've got Minnesota, Connecticut, Vermont, Alabama, and then you've
- 27:47Speaker 7: got the special in South Carolina, which is not so
- 27:50Speaker 7: much the same deal here as the other states, because
- 27:54Speaker 7: this is the seed that was held, of course by
- 27:55Speaker 7: Lindsay Graham, and his sister is going to be involved,
- 27:59Speaker 7: having been endorsed by President Trump, Senator Darlene Graham.
- 28:03Speaker 4: She's already in.
- 28:04Speaker 7: Town here will test the value of this endorsement in
- 28:09Speaker 7: what is expected to likely turn into a runoff. Remember
- 28:14Speaker 7: Ralph Norman Freedom Caucus Republicans South Carolina has been on
- 28:17Speaker 7: the program a number of times and it's expected that
- 28:20Speaker 7: he might be the other one to finish with less
- 28:23Speaker 7: than fifty percent. Then this will go to a runoff,
- 28:25Speaker 7: and we'll have this decide this in a couple of
- 28:27Speaker 7: other a couple of weeks from now. The other states
- 28:31Speaker 7: that we're talking about, though, are going to be important,
- 28:32Speaker 7: and yes, beginning with Wisconsin with another Democratic socialist on
- 28:36Speaker 7: the ballot, Republicans looking to connect the dots on this
- 28:39Speaker 7: narrative across the country, they may well have their opportunity.
- 28:41Speaker 7: This is Francesca Hong, the woman who wanted to cancel Thanksgiving.
- 28:47Speaker 7: She has since recanted that idea, But this is just
- 28:50Speaker 7: jogging your memory here because you can't keep track of
- 28:52Speaker 7: them all. Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary. The moderate Democrat in
- 28:57Speaker 7: this race here, Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley. Park that
- 29:02Speaker 7: where you are, because we want to sit the baseline
- 29:04Speaker 7: with some important polling. And I mentioned to you that
- 29:07Speaker 7: Cliff Young was coming in and when I look at
- 29:08Speaker 7: the headline on his newest deck here that he brought
- 29:12Speaker 7: to us a balance of power. It's difficult electoral season
- 29:16Speaker 7: for party in power, and we're going to get into
- 29:19Speaker 7: the whole inter party fight in the Democratic Party as well.
- 29:23Speaker 7: But let's remember what we're talking about here. In August
- 29:25Speaker 7: of twenty twenty six, he's a of course Polster and
- 29:28Speaker 7: chair at ipso's Public Affairs and visiting professor at Texas
- 29:31Speaker 7: A and M's Bush School.
- 29:32Speaker 4: Great to see you, Baxter. Welcome as always to Bloomberg.
- 29:35Speaker 3: It's great to be here.
- 29:37Speaker 7: When you look at the baseline on a night like
- 29:39Speaker 7: this and you consider, to your point the context around
- 29:42Speaker 7: these numbers, context and approval ratings. This is still according
- 29:46Speaker 7: to many and you put odds on it, and I
- 29:48Speaker 7: want to talk about some of the modeling that you've
- 29:51Speaker 7: been doing. This is Democrats house to lose in November?
- 29:55Speaker 6: Yes, yes, this will be a difficult year for the
- 29:59Speaker 6: president and his party, Republicans. Lots of headwinds and it's
- 30:03Speaker 6: a democratic year and you know, as the mood goes
- 30:07Speaker 6: typically goes the House. And we're putting fairly at high
- 30:13Speaker 6: likelihood for the Democrats taking the House this year. Obviously
- 30:17Speaker 6: the sense a little bit different where I do syncratic
- 30:20Speaker 6: brands matter and we'll go into more detail there.
- 30:23Speaker 4: But yes, this is a blue year. The question really
- 30:26Speaker 4: is by how much eighty two percent odds I think
- 30:28Speaker 4: you're throwing on.
- 30:31Speaker 6: For taking the House. Yes, it's pretty high, even with redistrictives.
- 30:35Speaker 6: You know, obviously the distance the gap could be small,
- 30:38Speaker 6: it could be large. That's the critical question today. But
- 30:42Speaker 6: moving enough seats the other way, that is, from red
- 30:45Speaker 6: to blue. We think there's enough there given the mood
- 30:48Speaker 6: of the country today, and.
- 30:49Speaker 7: A lot of that is because of the economy. Economic
- 30:51Speaker 7: uncertainty declines but remains elevated as you're write, with your
- 30:56Speaker 7: news based policy uncertainty index spiking at the top of
- 31:02Speaker 7: the second Trump administration, with the Terariff regime volatile at
- 31:06Speaker 7: best since then. But it also speaks to what's happening
- 31:10Speaker 7: inside the Democratic primary right in a state like Wisconsin,
- 31:13Speaker 7: where you've got someone a self once again labeled democratic
- 31:17Speaker 7: socialist being seen as a front runner in a campaign
- 31:22Speaker 7: that many couldn't have imagined a couple of years ago.
- 31:25Speaker 6: This is all based on the same number here is yeah, exactly.
- 31:27Speaker 6: So overall, the mood is a very blue right. It
- 31:32Speaker 6: favors the Democrats, but like the Republicans, the Democrats too
- 31:36Speaker 6: have issues with their base. There's a fracturing going on.
- 31:40Speaker 6: It's very clear the polling. At least a third to
- 31:43Speaker 6: forty percent of Democrats identify as social Democrats. Now the
- 31:47Speaker 6: devil's in the details, because it doesn't it doesn't mean
- 31:50Speaker 6: the same thing to everyone, to all people. It varies there,
- 31:55Speaker 6: but there is a degree of exposure the Democrats are
- 31:58Speaker 6: exposing themselves, include Michigan as well. Obviously sided winning as well.
- 32:03Speaker 6: We even reduce the odds of Democrats keeping that seat
- 32:07Speaker 6: because of that, but definitely like like let's say, you
- 32:11Speaker 6: know the Mega megabase the far right, which exposes the
- 32:15Speaker 6: Republicans social Democrats in certain states exposes them.
- 32:19Speaker 4: Doesn't matter what color are your stripes.
- 32:23Speaker 7: Cost of living the top issue for Americans period overall
- 32:26Speaker 7: forty eight percent, for Democrats forty three percent, for Republicans
- 32:30Speaker 7: forty six percent, and it keeps getting higher for independence
- 32:33Speaker 7: fifty three percent. This is fascinating. Taken at the end
- 32:37Speaker 7: of July into the beginning of August. This is fresh
- 32:40Speaker 7: data here, and it speaks very loudly to the point
- 32:43Speaker 7: you're making.
- 32:44Speaker 4: Yeah, and you see it everywhere.
- 32:45Speaker 6: In other words, in national polls, it's about making ends meet.
- 32:49Speaker 6: It's about the cost of things. You go into the
- 32:52Speaker 6: state to do state poles. It's the same thing. It
- 32:54Speaker 6: doesn't matter if you're red or blue or purple. It's
- 32:57Speaker 6: a general concern for Americans and the party that's sitting
- 33:01Speaker 6: in the seat today is the Republicans. They are in
- 33:05Speaker 6: the seat and they'll be punished for it. And that's
- 33:08Speaker 6: one of the biggest reasons why this is really a
- 33:12Speaker 6: blue year, a democratic year in our minds.
- 33:13Speaker 7: You know what's really interesting, which party has a better
- 33:16Speaker 7: approach to cost of living? Democrats win here and it's
- 33:19Speaker 7: not actually very close. Thirty five percent go with these,
- 33:22Speaker 7: twenty seven percent go with ours. This is turning upside
- 33:26Speaker 7: down what most polls have shown over the last decade.
- 33:29Speaker 7: Do Democrats deserve this or is this moral statement on
- 33:33Speaker 7: the way the administration's handling the account?
- 33:35Speaker 6: Well, that does a very interesting question. So yes, over
- 33:38Speaker 6: the decades, not just the last decades, but we're talking
- 33:40Speaker 6: the last fifty years, Republicans have been always seen as
- 33:43Speaker 6: being stronger on the economy and economic issues. Yeah, sometimes
- 33:47Speaker 6: that shifts a bit depending on a given moment, but
- 33:50Speaker 6: for the most part, Republicans are stronger than Republican Democrats
- 33:53Speaker 6: on the issue. Democrats are we need to be opportunistic,
- 33:58Speaker 6: and this is an opportunity for them. We don't know
- 34:01Speaker 6: if it's long term there's a structural shift. Probably not.
- 34:04Speaker 6: That said, in other words, taking advantage of the moment
- 34:07Speaker 6: for them. But that said, Democratic Socialists have an interesting
- 34:14Speaker 6: message of redistribution, of worried about the average little guy,
- 34:19Speaker 6: the average American little guy. This dovetails or is linked
- 34:23Speaker 6: to this issue of affordability, and we'll see could they
- 34:27Speaker 6: be reframing the reframing it at least in part. The
- 34:31Speaker 6: Democrat party and its issues we will only see over time,
- 34:35Speaker 6: but I think it's an interesting moment.
- 34:37Speaker 7: I love that you ran numbers on data centers because
- 34:39Speaker 7: I feel like we're hearing more about it than any
- 34:42Speaker 7: specific issue under the affordability umbrella, and that I realized
- 34:46Speaker 7: there's a nimbi side to this as well. Present that
- 34:50Speaker 7: strongly or somewhat support construction of new data centers or
- 34:55Speaker 7: one being built within their community. It's really interesting the
- 34:58Speaker 7: way you frame this for all Democrats one percent new
- 35:00Speaker 7: data center, fourteen percent in their own community. When you
- 35:04Speaker 7: start splitting this up by party, Republicans are clearly more
- 35:08Speaker 7: in favor of this trend, but we are seeing some
- 35:11Speaker 7: bipartisan concern.
- 35:13Speaker 6: Yeah, they're more in favor, but you still only have
- 35:15Speaker 6: a minority of them in favor. I don't see this
- 35:19Speaker 6: necessarily as just a nimby issue. If it were, there
- 35:22Speaker 6: wouldn't be really a problem probably long term, you just
- 35:24Speaker 6: kind of invest in the community of that end your electricity. Yeah, exactly, exactly. No,
- 35:30Speaker 6: it's linked to a broader worry about the system. There's
- 35:33Speaker 6: a broad based belief, widespread belief that the system is broken.
- 35:37Speaker 6: Parties and politicians no longer care about the average person.
- 35:40Speaker 6: The elites are rigging it. And this is bipartisan. It
- 35:44Speaker 6: doesn't matter if you're red, blue, or purple. You believe
- 35:47Speaker 6: that in the United States today, and this issue is
- 35:50Speaker 6: increasingly becoming the up poster child in my mind, of
- 35:54Speaker 6: this belief that the system is broken.
- 35:55Speaker 4: But that's fascinating.
- 35:57Speaker 7: We're going to talk about this, I suspect for the
- 35:59Speaker 7: rest of this campaign and straight through twenty eight Only
- 36:02Speaker 7: nine percent of Democrats favor a data center being built
- 36:06Speaker 7: within their community, and only twenty one percent of Republicans.
- 36:10Speaker 7: That's I guess speaking directly to Nimby, but also your
- 36:13Speaker 7: water bill, your electric bill. Thirty one percent of Republicans
- 36:17Speaker 7: support construction of new data centers across the country, ten
- 36:21Speaker 7: percent less in their backyard.
- 36:22Speaker 4: Cliff, it's great to see you.
- 36:24Speaker 7: To thank you as always, Cliff, Young Ipsos and as
- 36:27Speaker 7: we mentioned Texas A and M University's Bush School of
- 36:31Speaker 7: Government and Public Service.
- 36:34Speaker 4: Thanks for listening to the Balance of Power podcast.
- 36:37Speaker 7: Make sure to subscribe if you haven't already, at Apple, Spotify,
- 36:40Speaker 7: or wherever you get your podcasts, and you can find
- 36:43Speaker 7: us live every weekday from Washington, DC at New Time
- 36:46Speaker 7: Eastern at Bloomberg dot com.