Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 132 - 10/2/24 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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Episode 132 - 10/2/24 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

0:19
Hello, and welcome to episode 132 of the All Systems Go Sports
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Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
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I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on everyone?
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Happy Wednesday. We are halfway through our work
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week, guys. We're now just one day away from
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Thursday Night Football. Both pro in college.
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Looking at Tampa Bay, Atlanta for the NFL for tomorrow night
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open round. Atlanta as high as laying -2 -,
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3. It's down to 1 1/2.
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Then if you look at college couple line moves towards some
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dogs. You had Troy opening up as high
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as plus, I don't know, 1415. They're down to around 13.
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And then Sam Houston, UTEP, that open with Sam Houston listed
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around a 10 1/2 point favorite. That line's getting out of 10.
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So we might have some dogs to talk about on tomorrow's pod
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before we get there. We got a big Wednesday here for
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today, guys. I have a 2 pack of sweats for
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you. Obviously Slim Pickens here,
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just MLB postseason baseball, but two big games here and I got
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a couple best bets. I got a side and I got a total.
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And then we're going to update the NFL Sharp report for Week 5.
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I'm already looking at some good line moves here, including some
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interesting stats when it comes to international play.
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There's a big game coming up at 9:30 Eastern Time in the morning
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very early on Sunday. So don't get too hungover
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Saturday night. But The Jets in Minnesota as
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well as an epic feed, the trendy dog play, Dallas, Pittsburgh, as
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well as a couple other plays here that I'll be excited to
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share with you. So we will do our initial round
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of homework for the NFL Week 5. And then we talked yesterday,
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college football, a bunch of games here early in the week
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that caught my eye. Well, I have 3 that I officially
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have in pocket. I've placed these bets and I'll
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update you on what they are and hopefully you can get some hooks
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before these lines fall. Now looking back toward
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yesterday, nice winning day guys.
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What do we say? We had three bets.
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Let's try to get two out of three, go 2 and one eke out a
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profit. That's exactly what we did. 2
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and 1 + 0.5 units, so half a unit.
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I'll take it. I had a great win there with the
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Padres. That was a great spot to bet
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against the Braves after they had a double header.
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Kind of a let down spot. The Padres were rested.
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Padres had a huge steam move. Remember they're like -140 all
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the way close to like -190. They came through for the team
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and also had a great hit with the Liberty Aces over over 163
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1/2. This tells you how good rhythm
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is. Rhythm predicted.
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Remember on yesterday's show we talked about a good rhythm edge
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to the over rhythm predicted. 171.6 total points.
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It landed on 172 so I don't know how much how much more spot on
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you can get than that. But if you haven't done it yet,
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again get that Rhythm app downloaded.
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Use the custom links located in the bio description of the pod
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so you can use Rhythm for both game bets and player props.
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Great predictions. The only loser was the early
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Milwaukee New York Mets under 7 half that was pretty much dead
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on arrival. They scored twelve runs, both
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pitchers got relatively lit up, Couldn't get that one.
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But either way, guys, give me 3 bets, go 2 and one get a half
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unit. I will take it every single
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time. So let's start with our sweats
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for today because there's no WNBA, there's no football.
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We're still a week away from the NHL returning college hoops.
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NBA are right around the corner. So today is going to be a
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baseball pod as well as again some look headlines here and
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some early bets to place for both college and the NFL.
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So for four games overall, I'm going to go to the second game
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here. This is a 438 Eastern Time first
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pitch Kansas City Royals in the Baltimore Orioles.
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Now if you didn't missed it yesterday, you had the Kansas
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City Royals win one to nothing. Came up pretty big there as a
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dog. They're getting around plus 125
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+ 130 rat. Reagans and Burns both pitched a
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good game, but I think it was a Bobby Witt junior RBI.
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That's all that they needed there to win one nothing.
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So Baltimore is down O1. Obviously, in the best of five
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here, you can't get down any further.
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You don't want to go O2 and then go to Kansas City.
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So it's a big spot here for Baltimore, and I'm gonna go with
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the Orioles here. Guys, I laid the wood with
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Baltimore around -145 some books now -150 but let's set the stage
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here. I'll give you the reason why I
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took Baltimore. So pitch a match up.
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We'll put good pictures Here We have Seth Lugo going for the
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Royals, 16 and 9 ERA of three. He'll be opposed by Zach Eflin.
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Remember, he was with Tampa Bay, got dealt to the Orioles at the
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deadline or a little bit earlier.
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He finished the year 10 and 93.59 ERA.
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But first thing I noticed was a line move toward Baltimore.
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Baltimore opened as low as -135 -, 140.
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Now they're up -145 - 150. I see one book even a little bit
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closer to like -155 S all movement liability has been on
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Baltimore really with no buyback whatsoever on Kansas City.
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And then if you look at the bet splits here, pretty sharp
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movement in favor of the Orioles.
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Orioles are only getting 56% of bets, but nearly 65% of dollars.
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So 56% money line bets. You know, technically that's the
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quote UN quote public side, but that's basically, you know, a
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very slight public edge. It's not like it's 8676% of
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bets, so 56% a line really shouldn't move, you know, 10-15
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cents off the opener. That tells me it's really more
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about that 65% dollars on Baltimore, low bets, higher
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dollars bets, but that move that line in their favor.
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Now if we dig into these pictures a little bit, Seth
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Lugo, he had a good year, but he made one start against
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Baltimore. I know it was a while ago, it
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was back in April, but he lost 5 nothing and the Orioles got to
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him. He went just 5.1 innings
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pitched, 9 hits, four earned runs.
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And if you look at Zac Eflin, couple things to notice, he's
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been much better at home, 2.66 ERA versus 4.24 on the road.
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He's at home here tonight, but he's really been a much better
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pitcher with Baltimore versus Tampa.
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When he's with Tampa, he was five and seven with a four point
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O 9 ERA. Since he joined Baltimore, five
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and two, 2.6 O ERA. So he's pitched really well
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since joining the club. Secondly, I am in a bank on
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hopefully the offense of Baltimore coming to life.
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Can you wake up Orioles now? They're hitting 250 versus the
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Royals, hitting 248. So relatively even, but much
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more pop in this line up here for Baltimore.
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They've hit 235 home runs and scored 786 runs versus Kansas
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City, hitting 170 homers, scoring 735 runs.
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So hopefully again facing Lugo, a guy who they lit up a little
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bit earlier this year, maybe the bats wake up a little bit in a
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desperation spot. Then a couple other factors
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here. I know it's the postseason, but
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this would be a non division favorite off a loss and we had
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some good systems throughout the year.
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Favorite off a loss versus opponent off a win.
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So kind of that zigzag theory here, which again has been up
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and down in recent years, but has been a pretty tried and true
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wiseguy system for many years at this point.
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Zigzag is basically you lose 1 game, your favorite, you come
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back the next, you win it. Also if you look at the favorite
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low total, so total this one is 7 1/2.
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It is just up under. I was intrigued by the under a
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little bit under 7F, it is juice -120 -, 125 even at some shops,
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but again, favored around -150 with a low total that's juiced
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under and the lines moving, you know, juice liability under with
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the line move to the favorite. That's good correlative betting.
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Maybe this is a, you know, 3 to one, three to two, you know, 4
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to one Baltimore win something like that, which would be great
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if you're riding the OS like me. But then lastly, Nick Lentz, you
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probably never heard of this guy, but he is the home plate
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UMP for this game and he's one of the best home plate UMPS for
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home teams. When he is the home plate UMP,
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home teams have gone 134 and 9658%.
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You're up nearly 14 units. So he's been a good home plate
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UMP again for the home team, maybe a little bit more
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friendly, maybe toward the home team.
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But anyway, guys Add all up here.
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Orioles got blanked 1 nothing yesterday, but they got a line
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move today. A low bets, higher dollars bet
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split, better offense, favorite low total home play dump that
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favors home teams and again, some good numbers here to bet
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against Lugo and back. Zach Eflin.
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So it's an early start, 4:38 PM Eastern Time.
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Wouldn't it be nice to start our day with an afternoon winner?
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I'm going with the O's I got Baltimore -145 again, some shops
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as high now as -150 next one for you.
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Atlanta Braves. San Diego Padres now had a great
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win with the Padres yesterday winning for nothing.
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And you might say, hey, ride the Padres again.
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The reason I'm not playing the Padres is they're getting around
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70% of bets in dollars and they really haven't moved at all.
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They open around -120 they're still -120 some shops were even
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like -120 down to -115 So if anything, and you tell me like
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Atlanta, like, I'm not going to argue there with you.
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So like compared to yesterday where San Diego had that huge
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steam move again, they really aren't getting movement.
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If anything aligns going back toward Atlanta.
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So I didn't play the side in this game, but I did play the
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total. I'm going to go under 6 1/2 Now,
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couple things to know about this total.
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Obviously, you'd love to find a 7.
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We'll get to that in a second. But let's give the breakdown
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pitching match up here. We have Max Free, the lefty
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going for Atlanta. He's 11 and 10 with a 3.25 ERA
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this year. He'll be opposed by Joe
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Musgrove, 6 and five, 3.88 ERA. But the first thing I noticed is
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that there's been a ton of liability and movement on this
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under. Now the total opened at 7 and
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pretty much all the sevens are gone.
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All these books are now down to 6 1/2.
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So again, with a low total to start of A7, you know, the
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public saying, hey, you know, that's such a low number, it's
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got to go over. So 65% of bets are going over.
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Yet the seven fell down to 6 1/2.
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So if everyone's playing or not everyone but nearly 2/3 of
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betters are playing the over and they wanted over 7, why are the
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odds makers now saying, oh, you like the over 7, which meant you
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needed eight runs to win? How would I?
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How about we drop it to six and half?
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That means you only need seven runs to win.
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Again, if it looks too good to be true or looks fishy, there's
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usually a reason before reason for it or reason behind it.
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So why is this total falling if public's playing the over?
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Well, it tells me we got a lot of respect and money on this
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under. Now couple things to know first
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about these pitchers. They've been great in the month
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of September. I'm hoping that continues here,
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but Max Freed 2.14 ERA in five September starts.
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He's been really good. And Joe Musgrove 2.51 ERA in
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five September starts. So both pitchers are pitching
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really the best of the year right now.
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The under which I told you is only getting 35% of bets, but
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over 52% of dollars. So great low bets, higher
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dollars bet split only 1/3 of bets, but more than half the
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money tells us the bigger, sharper wagers are on the under.
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And then if you dig into Atlanta, we might have mentioned
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this, maybe it was last week, but they are the number one
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under team in baseball. In the regular season, they went
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95 and 60 to the under. 61 percent, 29 units, 118% ROI.
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So they're used to pitching well and not scoring a ton, which is
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a good recipe for an under. Then if you look to the
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bullpens, 2 good bullpens here. Atlanta's #3 and bullpen ERA
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3.32. San Diego's number eleven 3.78
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so we have public playing the over yet the juice and the move
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was toward the under. We got low bets, higher dollars
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to the under. We have two pitchers who pitched
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very well in September. We have the best under team in
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baseball with Atlanta and we have two basically top 10
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bullpen eras Add all up guys. I'm going under here now.
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I would love to get A7. I don't number one that's not
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available anywhere right now. You could walk the tightrope and
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say, hey, I like the under here. The game's at 8:38 PM Eastern
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Time. Let me wait between now and
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later in the day prior to first pitch.
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And maybe naturally it'll get back up to seven because again,
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a lot of these shops are 6 1/2 because they fell 7 down to six
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and a half, 6 1/2 / -, 120. So it is juiced up back to the
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over, not because there's over liability, but because they just
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fell from 7 down to 6 1/2. So you could wait it out and try
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to get the seven later in the day or you could play the under
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6 1/2 at basically even money or a little plus money like right
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now at Bet MGM. I saw under 6 1/2 at plus one O
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5. Other books here like ESPN, Bet
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Caesars, FanDuel, they're under 6 1/2 at plus 100.
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So if you give me a plus one O 5, I'm going to take that.
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You know, you risk a unit, you'll get one point O 5 units
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back. I played that under 6 1/2 again
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at Bet MGM at plus one O 5. Took the plus money here.
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But if you want to wait it out and wait for a 7, shop for A7.
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A lot of books don't let you buy up totals in baseball, so that's
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not really an option. But I am playing the under 6 1/2
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at plus one O 5 and that'll be nice if we could get AI.
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Don't know, a four to two game, maybe a 2 to one game, 3 nothing
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game. I don't care who wins.
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Just keep this total below 6 1/2, six or less.
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I'm on Braves, Padres under 6 1/2 plus one O 5 with Baltimore
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-145 again -150 at some shops. Now let's go over to the NFL
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because Wednesdays are usually are kind of, you know, catch
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your breath, rest, get ready for another week in the NFL.
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It's kind of the routine of betting.
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But you also want to start looking at some of these lines
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and hopefully take advantage of them by getting a good number
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before it moves. So a couple that caught my eye,
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let's go Jets, Vikings. This is a game I mentioned at
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the outset, a 9:30 AM Eastern Time Sunday game in London.
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The Jets come in this 1-2 and two lost to the Broncos. 8:50 I
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was leaning plus 7 1/2 with Denver.
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I didn't play it. I should have played it.
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They end up winning outright or Jets lost out, right.
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Meanwhile, Vikings continue to be an incredible surprise.
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Four and O beat the Packers 3129 and one outright as a 2 1/2 row
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point row dog. What we've seen here is all
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movement toward Minnesota. Minnesota actually open.
14:01
There's look at that. Was Jets as high as -2 1/2 - 3
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1/2 and it immediately flipped to Minnesota -2 Now it's up to
14:08
Minnesota -2 1/2 and now it's juiced up Minnesota -2 1/2 -
14:13
115. Like it may even get to 3.
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So all movement liability has been on Minnesota.
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We have a dog to fave line. Move toward Minnesota now.
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I don't love that Minnesota is getting around 80% of bets in
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dollars. I like the dollar aspect.
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Tells me a lot of smart money. I don't like the bet aspect.
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I don't want to be with the public here, but the reason why
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I'm going to go Minnesota on the money line, again, shop around,
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you can get them around -150 is the international favorite
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system. This is a system that I learned
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a few years ago, but basically when you have an international
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series game outside of the US, chalk favorites do very, very
14:45
well. They're 34 and 10, straight up
14:48
77% since they started playing these games outside of the US.
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Also big advantage offensively for the Vikings.
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They're averaging 29 points per game, fourth most in football.
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Jets averaging 19, that's 21st. So again, I hate that I'm with
15:03
the public here, but I am going to lean on this line, move
15:06
toward Minnesota and I am going to lean on this international
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favorite system match. Again, outside the US, favorites
15:11
are winning nearly 80% of the time.
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So I'm looking toward Minnesota. On the money line around -150
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the Las Vegas Raiders who have a lot of drama going on right now.
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Devonte Adams sounds like he wants a trade, but they are
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travelling to the Denver Broncos.
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We have the Raiders coming in two and two.
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Beat the Browns 20 to 16 as a three-point home dog.
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Broncos again, two and two. Just beat The Jets.
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As we mentioned, 8:50 as a 7 1/2 point Rd. dog.
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Now what have we seen here now? Now the public is split down the
15:41
middle. Both teams are two and two.
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You know the public doesn't know where to go.
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They see an evenly matched game. So the tickets are right down
15:48
the middle. 5050 yet what do we always talk about on the pod?
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5050 line moves. Tickets are down the middle.
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Theoretically, a line shouldn't move at all.
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When you see a 5050 bet split, yet you do see a line move, that
15:59
line moves meaningful because even though the public is
16:01
undecided, wise guys have taken a position.
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That's what we're seeing here with Denver.
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Denver open -1 1/2 tickets are 5050, but now Denver is up to -2
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1/2. Some shops even inching up juice
16:12
wise toward 3. So tells me we have some smart
16:15
money here on Denver. They are getting 57% bets, 64%
16:20
money on the money line. That's where I'm going here with
16:23
the money line. Shop around and get them around
16:25
-145 and maybe like the under here it open 38, it's down to
16:29
36. This would be an outdoor
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divisional under which is 56% since 2021 and it's six and two
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this year. And when the total is 39 or
16:37
less, those low total unders the unders five and two this year
16:41
it's 58% over the last couple years.
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So maybe a lower scoring game. But I'm looking at Denver 5050
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line move Broncos on the money line around -145 next one, Green
16:51
Bay visiting the LA Rams now Packers two and two just lost to
16:55
the Vikings. 3129, as we mentioned, losing out right as a
16:58
2 1/2 point home favorite. Even all the Rams one and three
17:01
lost to the Bears. 2418 last week did not cover as a 3 1/2
17:05
point Rd. dog. What have we seen across the
17:08
market here? Well, this is a classic RLM
17:10
play. Green Bay is getting 71% of
17:13
spread bets. Publix all over the Packers.
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But the Packers open -3 1/2 the lines down to three.
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So why is the line moving toward the Rams if everyone is playing?
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The Packers tells me we got smart money that targeted Rams
17:25
with the hook. The 3 1/2.
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Now Rams are one of your top contrained plays of the week.
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They're only getting 29% of spread bets.
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Dogs that are getting three points or more are 27 and 20
17:35
against the spread. 57% this year.
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Sean McVay, 14 and 9 against the spread, 61% as a dog getting
17:42
three points or more. Jordan Love been great as a dog,
17:46
10 and six ATS 63%, but he's a favorite in this spot.
17:49
And as a favorite, he's only two and four against the spread,
17:52
33%. We have seen this total tick up.
17:55
It was as low as 44 1/2. Really, the true opener is
17:57
closer to like 47. Now it's 48 and a half, 62%
18:01
bets, 93% money is on the over. Now, I didn't play this one yet
18:07
because I really want the hook with the Rams, you know, lose by
18:10
three, cover with the hook. And right now you're three
18:12
across the board. But a lot of these threes are -3
18:15
-, 115 toward Green Bay. So I'm thinking we might creep
18:19
back up to the hook. So let's hold out for the Rams.
18:22
3 1/2 again, as it's juiced up toward Green Bay.
18:25
Now another game that I mentioned, I think I mentioned
18:28
on yesterday's pod or maybe on Monday, but Dallas and
18:31
Pittsburgh epic fade the trendy dog opportunity.
18:34
Sunday Night Football. We have the Cowboys coming in
18:36
two and two. Remember they beat the Giants 20
18:39
to 15. But thank you Aubrey for missing
18:41
that field goal because we covered with the Giants plus 5
18:44
1/2. You know, all the Steelers 3 and
18:45
one just lost to the Colts 242724 outright losing out right
18:51
as a 2 1/2 point Rd. favorite. So what are we seeing across the
18:54
market here? Well Dallas opened a very short
18:56
one Point Rd. favorite and the public is all over America's
19:00
team. Currently you are getting
19:02
upwards of 67% of bets going Cowboys, but yet the market has
19:06
flipped toward Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh plus one now
19:09
Pittsburgh -2 1/2. So dog to fave line movement in
19:12
favor of the Steelers. Steelers are an epic contrarian
19:15
place. Sunday Night Football extremely
19:17
heavily bet contrarian favorite. Only getting 34% of bets but
19:21
they are getting 45% of dollars. So low bets, higher dollars.
19:25
Sharp contrarian split. Good angle here with Mike
19:27
Tomlin. Mike Tomlin, the great
19:29
motivator, an awful loss. He's 56 and 41 against the
19:33
spread, 58 percent, 13% ROI as coach of the Steelers.
19:37
Pittsburgh has a much better defense.
19:39
They've only given up 13 points per game.
19:41
That's second in the NFL. Cowboys are going up 26 points
19:45
per game. That's 27th.
19:47
And also the Cowboys have some injuries here.
19:49
Micah Parsons and DeMarcus Lawrence both expected to miss
19:52
this game. So Cowboys are banged up.
19:54
So this is a Sunday night. Rare contrarian favorite.
19:57
Can bet against the public dog to fave line move.
20:00
Tomlin off a loss I money line the Steelers guys give me the
20:03
Steel City here at -135 Now over to some college football.
20:10
Now we talked college football in the sharp report yesterday
20:13
and we highlighted a bunch of games.
20:15
I think it was four games overall, but I want to tell you
20:17
that I've officially put in tickets on a few.
20:20
So let's start off with what do I have here, Miami and Cal.
20:25
Now we talked about this one yesterday, obviously, but
20:28
everyone and their mother is on Miami, who I thought should have
20:31
lost that game with the the catch that was ruled incomplete.
20:35
I think the refs basically gave Miami that win there.
20:38
But anyway, we opened Miami -12 on the road at Cal and 84% of
20:44
bets are going Miami. But that -12 is down to 10 1/2
20:48
and some books are even down to 10.
20:49
So why is line falling toward Cal if they're only getting 16%
20:53
of spread bets? Tells me you have a great
20:55
reverse line move only 16% bets, but 48% money is on Cal Cal
21:00
would also be a buy low unranked dog versus ranked opponent.
21:06
And Cal also is off a buy so rested and ready to go.
21:09
So I officially put in Cal plus 10 1/2.
21:11
The reason I did that is because some shops are getting down to
21:14
10. So I want to get that hook.
21:15
They lose by 10. I want to cover that number.
21:17
So I officially have in pocket and pocket just means I'm, you
21:20
know, you place the bet whether you're holding the ticket or you
21:23
bet it online on your app. Either way, I have officially
21:27
took taken Cal 10 1/2 again thinking that maybe that could
21:30
be our best price before it maybe falls to 10.
21:33
USC and Minnesota other big match up here.
21:37
USC, Minnesota. This is 730 prime time game on
21:41
Saturday and once again everyone's playing the road rank
21:43
favorite. USC is getting 75% of bets.
21:47
USC open -8 1/2, but some shops open even higher, closer like
21:51
minus -10 and even though USC is getting 7 out of 10 bets, 73
21:57
percent, 75%, I mean, it's very lopsided.
22:00
The line stayed the same, removed toward Minnesota down to
22:03
8 1/2, and some shops are even down to 8.
22:05
So why is this line going to Minnesota?
22:07
You know, very similar question we just asked about Miami, Cal.
22:10
Why was the line going to Cal when everyone's playing Miami?
22:13
Why is this line going to Minnesota when everyone's
22:15
playing USC? Tells me we got smart money here
22:17
on Minnesota. Minnesota is contrarian in a
22:21
prime time spot, 7:30 at night on Saturday, only getting 25% of
22:26
bets unranked versus ranked by low cell high play.
22:29
And then in the Rhythm app, they have a projection here at
22:32
Minnesota. Plus 5.7.
22:34
So if we're getting 8 1/2, and again, I'm playing it now
22:37
thinking we might be moving down toward 8, let's get some hooks
22:40
and good numbers before they fall too much.
22:42
But that's a good actionable discrepancy.
22:44
Plus 5.7 from Rhythm when you're getting 8 1/2 in the market.
22:49
Again, in a great contrarian spot.
22:51
Last bet that I put in West Virginia, OK State.
22:56
This one was interesting for a couple reasons.
22:58
One is the fact that this line is moving toward West Virginia
23:03
even though the public is on OK States.
23:05
OK State opened -5 they're down to 3 1/2 and somewhat even
23:10
getting down to three. That's normal because OK State
23:13
is getting 65% of bets, yet the line isn't going in their favor.
23:17
You open -5 you're getting 65%. You should be up to -5 1/2 - 6.
23:21
No, it's gone the other way toward WVU.
23:24
So Take Me Home, Country roads sharp reverse line move.
23:28
They're only getting 35% bets but 68% dollars.
23:31
Great low bets, higher dollars bet split.
23:33
They're off a by rested and ready to go.
23:36
Got that system match Short Rd. dogs 4 or less, which has been
23:39
great. Grinder match, which grinder
23:41
means basically got a lot of matches and you're not going to
23:44
become a millionaire, but you grind out the profit. 54
23:47
percent, 4% ROI over the last decade.
23:50
And I grabbed WVU plus 3 1/2 today because it's juiced up and
23:54
looking like it. Make it down to three.
23:56
A lot of these shops are plus 3 1/2 -, 115 to the Mountaineers.
24:00
So I jumped on Cal plus 10 1/2, Minnesota plus 8 1/2, WVU plus 3
24:06
1/2. Hopefully getting some good
24:08
sharp numbers with hooks before they fall.
24:11
Now, the one other game we talked about yesterday, which I
24:13
had mentioned, Michigan, Washington still on Washington
24:16
here. That's going to be a money line
24:17
play for me, which means really not much reason to play it right
24:20
now versus might as well wait it out.
24:23
But Michigan's getting 82%. This is 730 game.
24:26
Washington is actually favored -2 up to 2 1/2, even though 82%
24:32
of bets are on Michigan. So that is a unranked first
24:34
ranked buy low sell high, unranked home favors ranked
24:38
opponent. Money line play for me, you
24:41
know, you could put in right now.
24:42
I'm not going to argue with you -135 let's give that some time
24:46
again, let's see if maybe there's any buyback.
24:48
I don't know how much higher it's going to go, but maybe it
24:51
dips to 2 and you get a better money line price.
24:53
So I definitely like Washington. Just going to wait on that one.
24:56
But that about does it. Talking baseball, talking
24:59
college football, NFL on a big Wednesday.
25:02
But that wraps it up for episode 132 of the All Systems Go Sports
25:05
Betting pod. I can't wait for hockey to
25:07
return as well as college or basketball and NBA.
25:10
This is the part of the pod where we wrap things up and I
25:13
start by asking a favor of you. Could you please do me a solid
25:16
and give this podcast a five star review?
25:19
All you got to do if you're listening on Spotify or iTunes
25:21
is go to rate and review. Click the five stars.
25:24
It'll take you 2 seconds. It would mean a lot to me.
25:26
Guys, help us to rise up the charts.
25:28
The ratings gain more more exposure.
25:31
If you want to recommend it to a buddy, word of mouth is always
25:34
great. If there's an option to follow,
25:36
click that follow button. That way you'll get alerted as
25:38
soon as it drops each day. But I very much appreciate it if
25:41
you could give that a five star review.
25:43
Secondly, if you enjoy the pod, whether you tail fade or just
25:47
sit back and listen to the breakdowns, maybe you pick off
25:49
one bet you like. Maybe you use the pod to, I
25:52
don't know, solidify your own plays or get insight from a data
25:55
perspective. Either way, thank you for tuning
25:58
in. It means a lot to me that you
26:00
guys take the time out of your day to pull up a chair to the
26:02
virtual bar and sweat sharp contrarian plays with your with
26:06
your friends here. Or I consider you guys friends.
26:09
But anyway, if you like the pod, you like the breakdowns, you're
26:11
intrigued by data-driven betting, you want to make my
26:13
day, let me know you appreciate the hard work that I put in
26:16
hosting this pod, but also not just a charity here to make me
26:20
happy, but learn more about data-driven betting.
26:23
You can go buy my book. Go do it.
26:25
Go to Amazon.com, type in the everything guide to Sports
26:28
betting. Pick up a copy for you or for a
26:30
friend. Let's get everything I've
26:32
learned in the industry. How lines are set, how and why
26:35
they move, how to read line movement, how to locate sharp
26:37
action, how to place a bet in person or online, how to go
26:40
contrarian, how to set up a bankroll management plan,
26:42
chapters on all the major sports.
26:44
If you're new to betting, I think it's a great starter.
26:47
So if you want to get it for yourself or that buddy of yours
26:49
who is in a newly legalized state or wants to bet on sports
26:53
and has no freaking clue how to start because sports betting
26:55
ain't easy, we all know that by now.
26:58
I'll pick up a copy of my book when I see you at the book, I'll
27:01
sign it for you and I'll buy you a beer or a ginger ale next.
27:05
Have you downloaded Rhythm and Juice Reel, two favorite sports
27:08
betting apps on the market? You know why?
27:10
Because it's all about that data.
27:12
My wife actually went to go see Megan Trainer at the TD Garden
27:15
about a week ago with her girlfriends.
27:16
Remember, she has all about that base, all about that data.
27:20
That's right, making sharp bets, data-driven bets with your head
27:23
and not your heart rhythm is great for their AI backed models
27:27
and predictions for game bets and player props.
27:29
Juice Reel great for syncing up your sports books as well as the
27:33
Robo Jackson best bet picks. You can tail those if you'd like
27:36
each day. Also the arbitrage
27:38
opportunities. The sharp must system matches
27:41
the actual dollar breakdowns on every game, which come from
27:44
people who have synced up their sports books to the app 2 great
27:47
apps that help me win. They'll help you win.
27:49
So go download Juice Reel and Rhythm by clicking the custom
27:52
link that is located in the bio description of this pod.
27:56
So each pod will have a description Spotify or iTunes or
27:59
whatever platform you use. For example, today's we'll say
28:01
something like an episode 132. Josh dishes out a 2 pack of MLB
28:06
playoff bets as well as some NFL and college early, early, early
28:11
plays or whatever you want to call it.
28:12
Scroll below that. You'll have a link to Rhythm and
28:14
Juice Real. That way you can get started and
28:16
start making sharp bets on your own.
28:18
But make sure you click those links so that Juice Real and
28:20
Rhythm know that I sent you their way.
28:23
About a dozen everybody on a big playoff baseball day before we
28:27
get football returning for tomorrow.
28:29
But as always, whether I see you at the Borgata in Atlantic City,
28:33
Twin River in Rhode Island, the Brooklyn, New Hampshire,
28:35
Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun, down in Connecticut, at the Encore in
28:38
Boston or Plainridge Park Casino or MGM Springfield.
28:41
In my neck of the woods in Massachusetts, or out in the
28:44
desert where the true grinders get down.
28:46
Or Billy Walter sends his number runners where the lowest juice
28:49
possible is not the South Point or sweat and sharp contrarian
28:51
plays jumping in the stadium swimming pool.
28:53
When you cash a big ticket, wherever it may be, you're going
28:56
to walk up to me. You're going to show me a couple
28:58
nice winners from yesterday. Show me a Padres ticket.
29:01
Steam baby. Show me a Liberty Aces over 163
29:05
1/2 again, Rhythm predicted 171.6.
29:08
It landed 172. Thank you to our friends at
29:11
Rhythm for helping us cash that ticket.
29:13
But as always, guys, some parting words.
29:15
Stay sharp, stay contrarian. Bet against the public, place
29:18
yourself on the side of the house.
29:19
Always be with the smart money, never against it.
29:22
Will smart money when every time?
29:23
Of course not. There's no such thing as a
29:25
locker guarantee. Betting is hard.
29:27
Again, if you think it's easy, it's not.
29:29
Just bet for like a month or so and you'll realize it ain't
29:32
easy. But we don't do it because it's
29:34
easy. We do it because it's hard.
29:36
Remember JFK? Why do we go to the moon?
29:38
We don't do it because it's easy.
29:39
We do it because it's hard or something like that.
29:41
But anyway, if we can stay true to the model that with our head
29:45
and not our heart, against the public, with the house, with the
29:48
pros, flat bet, avoid parlays, get that CLV.
29:51
If we can do that, we're going to be successful sports betters
29:53
long term. So have a fantastic Wednesday.
29:56
Everyone enjoy the postseason sweats.
29:58
Let's get at least one. Would be nice to get both of
30:00
them tonight and we back at it tomorrow for a big Thirsty
30:03
Thursday with some college football and NFL Thursday
30:06
football on tap. I'll see you guys tomorrow for
30:08
episode 133 of the All Systems Go Sports Betting podcast
30:12
powered by Rhythm. Good luck everybody, have a
30:15
great night.