Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / MMA DFS - UFC 309 | November 16, 2024 | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process

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MMA DFS - UFC 309 | November 16, 2024 | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

• 0:05
  Speaker 1: All systems going on?
• 0:07
  Speaker 2: Clear the LEFTO, what's going on?
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: Everybody? Happy Thursday? Happy UFC three oh nine week first
• 0:42
  Speaker 1: of all, right away off the top, shout out hoop
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: first place split with one other person into five point
• 0:48
  Speaker 1: fifty five another day ending and why for Hoopster in
• 0:52
  Speaker 1: the m M A streets. Shout out to our man
• 0:54
  Speaker 1: Rio chopping. I think fifteen Ways the main tournament. Awesome stuff,
• 0:59
  Speaker 1: Riyo little over ten thousand. Shout at our man Dartsman
• 1:02
  Speaker 1: also Chopped was a part of the fifteen Way. A
• 1:05
  Speaker 1: lot of screenshots in the discord six hundred, seven hundred,
• 1:08
  Speaker 1: five hundred, a lot of single entry stuff. Love to
• 1:11
  Speaker 1: see that big momentum rolling. Appreciate every single one watching live,
• 1:16
  Speaker 1: whether you're just a YouTube person, you're not a member,
• 1:18
  Speaker 1: but you always check in, you get plenty of nice comments.
• 1:22
  Speaker 1: Hit that like button. We appreciate you just as much,
• 1:25
  Speaker 1: Big Marble Lee.
• 1:26
  Speaker 3: Another shout out to title last night forty five K
• 1:29
  Speaker 3: and NBA got Hebrew Cheetahs notes.
• 1:32
  Speaker 4: No better place to be right now, absolutely.
• 1:34
  Speaker 1: No better place to be before I bring you in.
• 1:36
  Speaker 1: That's a perfect segue, Big Marley. Because of that winner yesterday,
• 1:40
  Speaker 1: we are doing a deal, no better deal obviously, NBA
• 1:44
  Speaker 1: fifty to fifty percent off. I don't think we've had
• 1:46
  Speaker 1: a fifty percent off one yet. It does include shift
• 1:49
  Speaker 1: to Miizer if you want, includes any package again, just
• 1:52
  Speaker 1: the first month if you want all the sports right now.
• 1:55
  Speaker 1: NFL is going on, PGA swing season's going on, NBA
• 1:59
  Speaker 1: is going on, NHL is going on. I believe I'm
• 2:02
  Speaker 1: missing another one. I could be wrong. So many going on.
• 2:07
  Speaker 1: I just have to pull up. Let's see college football.
• 2:09
  Speaker 1: Can't forget college football. So many great mine's in the
• 2:12
  Speaker 1: college football streets over here. NBA fifty gets you fifty
• 2:15
  Speaker 1: percent off. Get into discord if you do join. Any
• 2:18
  Speaker 1: package available does include the Discord except the weekly. No
• 2:22
  Speaker 1: better time getting I appreciate that, Nate d I appreciate that.
• 2:26
  Speaker 1: Big Marlee fights wise, Big Marley. How are we doing? Man?
• 2:29
  Speaker 1: What are your thoughts? Thirteen two five rounders? John Jones
• 2:33
  Speaker 1: thoughts overall on this card? What are you thinking?
• 2:37
  Speaker 4: Yeah? I can't complain. We got the goat on the card.
• 2:41
  Speaker 3: I'm always in for a Charles olivera fight card. Michael
• 2:45
  Speaker 3: Chandler always brings it to so I'm excited just for
• 2:48
  Speaker 3: those two fights I think it's a great test for
• 2:51
  Speaker 3: Bo Nickel. The rest of the card is okay, But
• 2:55
  Speaker 3: that's those are the three we're paying for right there.
• 2:57
  Speaker 3: But yeah, but I can't wait. I really can't wait
• 2:59
  Speaker 3: for that Olive Chandler fight. That's the one, like, just
• 3:01
  Speaker 3: take my money.
• 3:03
  Speaker 1: Absolutely the five rounds we'll get to that. That's the
• 3:06
  Speaker 1: only one that I'll say right for the top I
• 3:08
  Speaker 1: will have a rule twenty entry in below to have
• 3:10
  Speaker 1: one hundred percent of that fight all islands, no breaks,
• 3:13
  Speaker 1: all gas, no breaks, I should say, will be a
• 3:16
  Speaker 1: lot of island should be fun. Sean Sullivan in here
• 3:18
  Speaker 1: go collect naked. It's jw TV. I had optimal line up,
• 3:22
  Speaker 1: first place in the three dollars tournament. You'all right about gas,
• 3:25
  Speaker 1: i'd being the only dog when you said if he
• 3:27
  Speaker 1: was the only one bunch of dups. So got one
• 3:29
  Speaker 1: K three bucks into one K man shut out to
• 3:32
  Speaker 1: that awesome, awesome stuff right there. And we lost a
• 3:36
  Speaker 1: fight last week if my memory search correctly. So we
• 3:39
  Speaker 1: had twelve fights with only one five rounder, a lot
• 3:42
  Speaker 1: of big favorites. It was kind of hard to get
• 3:44
  Speaker 1: completely off the board. So hey, DC, amount of chops
• 3:47
  Speaker 1: one K never complain for three bucks bring the noise
• 3:51
  Speaker 1: in here. I want to say he had a good
• 3:53
  Speaker 1: week as well, or NBA he won. I think like
• 3:55
  Speaker 1: eight k or something shout out to bring the noise
• 3:58
  Speaker 1: always grinded quick overview another card. I think it's similar
• 4:03
  Speaker 1: to last week in the fact that we have multiple
• 4:05
  Speaker 1: big favorites four above minus six hundred. The difference though
• 4:09
  Speaker 1: two five rounders. This week. Almost everyone's gonna play Chandler
• 4:13
  Speaker 1: and oly Vera. We have them for over ninety percent
• 4:15
  Speaker 1: combined ownership. I think that's correct. We do have more
• 4:19
  Speaker 1: mid tier fights this week, though, then last week and
• 4:22
  Speaker 1: again we talked about last week like all favorites could win,
• 4:25
  Speaker 1: there was a loser on the optimal. I wouldn't be
• 4:28
  Speaker 1: shocked if it happened this week. I'm not building for it, though,
• 4:32
  Speaker 1: and I'll say it right away my broadside overview. I'm
• 4:34
  Speaker 1: hoping all the minus six hundred favorites win. They win
• 4:38
  Speaker 1: pretty convincingly, where the other one was like Steve as
• 4:41
  Speaker 1: not scoring fifty or something like that. That wouldn't be
• 4:44
  Speaker 1: good for me. I'm playing the other dogs, really jamming
• 4:48
  Speaker 1: some of the mid tier, which naturally is lower owned
• 4:50
  Speaker 1: because people are getting up to these nickels John Jones
• 4:53
  Speaker 1: Onamas of the World as the spend ups any thoughts,
• 4:57
  Speaker 1: So you just want to go right bottom the top.
• 5:01
  Speaker 4: Yeah, let's just get into it.
• 5:03
  Speaker 3: I really haven't even thought about it too hard yet,
• 5:05
  Speaker 3: haven't been building lineups yet.
• 5:07
  Speaker 4: I've just looked over the slate. So yeah, let's talk
• 5:10
  Speaker 4: about it.
• 5:10
  Speaker 1: Let's talk about it again. We're pulling up the stone
• 5:13
  Speaker 1: right here, all the sports that we have offered MMA
• 5:16
  Speaker 1: the stone. This is filled out ownership projections. All these
• 5:20
  Speaker 1: are tagged Tomorrow Premium member. You do get Big Marley's
• 5:24
  Speaker 1: fight rankings though you can see five stars means he
• 5:27
  Speaker 1: loves the fight, two stars means he doesn't like to
• 5:29
  Speaker 1: fight much, and then he ranks him out of six
• 5:31
  Speaker 1: stars like he prefers more than Hardy. If having to
• 5:35
  Speaker 1: choose is how you read this. Right here you can
• 5:38
  Speaker 1: see age, height difference, reach difference, significant strikes per minute,
• 5:42
  Speaker 1: takedowns per fifteen one top shop everything you do need,
• 5:46
  Speaker 1: but right away I tipped it in tip Big Marley's
• 5:49
  Speaker 1: thoughts right away. Woman's fight one of the most likely
• 5:53
  Speaker 1: is the most likely to go the distance on the card.
• 5:55
  Speaker 1: Veronica Hardy taking on Eduarda. Mora minus one forty Hardy
• 5:59
  Speaker 1: plus one is Moura plus two to fifteen for this
• 6:02
  Speaker 1: fight to finish Hardy plus six hundred inside the distance
• 6:05
  Speaker 1: Mora plus three hundred. Really easy for me, Big Marley,
• 6:09
  Speaker 1: I agree with you. I don't love this fight, morris
• 6:12
  Speaker 1: By Farm. I prefer play though. We need dogs on
• 6:15
  Speaker 1: this car, especially if I'm fading Steepe, Paul Craig, Romero, etc.
• 6:21
  Speaker 1: We need dogs. She's one of the best dogs on
• 6:24
  Speaker 1: the car. Just money line value alone one twenty plus
• 6:27
  Speaker 1: one twenty at seventy five hundreds phenomenal g The underdog
• 6:31
  Speaker 1: is more likely to finish plus three hundred Hardy's plus
• 6:34
  Speaker 1: six hundred. You do see this takedown number two a
• 6:38
  Speaker 1: small two fight sample three takedowns in her first two
• 6:41
  Speaker 1: UFC fights. But it's no Hardy for me. She'll be
• 6:44
  Speaker 1: low loon if you want to play that way, I'm
• 6:46
  Speaker 1: playing Mora. I hope she starts it off with the win.
• 6:50
  Speaker 1: Talk about just how much upside do you think she
• 6:53
  Speaker 1: has though these takedowns. Do you think she's the one wrestling?
• 6:57
  Speaker 1: Do you think Hardy is the one wrestling? She's fine
• 7:00
  Speaker 1: on top. Last thing to know Mora is a big
• 7:02
  Speaker 1: girl two inches in height and reach advantage. Take this
• 7:05
  Speaker 1: one away.
• 7:06
  Speaker 3: Yeah, it's kind of a strikervers grapple er matchup to me,
• 7:09
  Speaker 3: where the only way I see Moro winning is with
• 7:12
  Speaker 3: her wrestling. But we saw our gas out in her
• 7:15
  Speaker 3: last fight. I mean, she shot for like twenty plus
• 7:17
  Speaker 3: takedowns in that fight. But that's what I like to see,
• 7:20
  Speaker 3: especially from an underdog at seventy five hundred dollars. If
• 7:23
  Speaker 3: Moro wins with that kind of wrestling pace, She's gonna
• 7:26
  Speaker 3: score well. Whereas Hardy, she should be looking to keep
• 7:30
  Speaker 3: it on the feet. If she loses the first round
• 7:33
  Speaker 3: due to wrestling, I just don't think she's gonna be
• 7:35
  Speaker 3: able to put it on more enough in the second
• 7:37
  Speaker 3: or the third, even if she gets a late round
• 7:39
  Speaker 3: stoppage to be on the optimal lineup. Like, even her
• 7:43
  Speaker 3: ceiling is probably not good enough on this card. I
• 7:46
  Speaker 3: feel like her ceiling is like a ninety five range,
• 7:49
  Speaker 3: and even if she gets that, I don't think it's
• 7:51
  Speaker 3: on the optimal lineup either. So I agree, let's fade Hardy.
• 7:54
  Speaker 3: I am picking her to win. I think More probably
• 7:57
  Speaker 3: wins round one, and then she starts to slow down.
• 8:01
  Speaker 3: The takedowns aren't there as much. Hardy out strikes her
• 8:04
  Speaker 3: in rounds two and rounds three, but on DraftKings that
• 8:06
  Speaker 3: could score like fifty three points and she's not gonna matter.
• 8:10
  Speaker 3: So yeah more or passing this one, I'll probably be
• 8:14
  Speaker 3: underway as a whole since I am picking Hardy to win.
• 8:18
  Speaker 4: Yeah more more. A's a playable dog.
• 8:21
  Speaker 3: She's got wrestling upside, so she'll be in my pool
• 8:23
  Speaker 3: and I'm not gonna like limit her. So if i
• 8:25
  Speaker 3: end up with like twenty twenty five percent, maybe I'll
• 8:28
  Speaker 3: be okay with that.
• 8:30
  Speaker 1: Yeah. Last thing I wanted to mention, so Hardy was
• 8:33
  Speaker 1: minus one seventy on Sunday and more is taken thirty
• 8:37
  Speaker 1: cent thirty cents with the C sense with an S,
• 8:42
  Speaker 1: and that's why you see the price tag eighty seven
• 8:45
  Speaker 1: hundred for Hardy. If this line came out or the
• 8:48
  Speaker 1: pricing came out this or today the live minus one
• 8:51
  Speaker 1: forty plus one twenty, it'd probably be eighty three hundred
• 8:54
  Speaker 1: and seventy nine hundred. So definitely getting some money line
• 8:57
  Speaker 1: value on Moura and I'm gonna take that, no doubt
• 9:00
  Speaker 1: about it. I meet dogs on this card not playing Hardy.
• 9:04
  Speaker 1: I thought there was one other thing I wanted to add,
• 9:06
  Speaker 1: but maybe not. It's pretty easy fight no Hardy. I
• 9:10
  Speaker 1: hope more wits. Oh you were talking. You think more
• 9:13
  Speaker 1: wins are on one and slows down, So you saying
• 9:15
  Speaker 1: that I will be looking for a live betspot, maybe
• 9:18
  Speaker 1: Hardy round one if it's a big number. I'm already
• 9:20
  Speaker 1: not playing any in dfs, A little natural hedge if
• 9:24
  Speaker 1: it looks that way. I think betting MMA live is
• 9:27
  Speaker 1: one of the best odds out there, the most ev
• 9:31
  Speaker 1: you can get out there as a professional sports better
• 9:33
  Speaker 1: in my opinion. But I will say if you beat
• 9:35
  Speaker 1: them too much, DraftKings will absolutely fuck you because oh
• 9:39
  Speaker 1: you want this bet oh action review for eleven seconds,
• 9:43
  Speaker 1: a big event happens like they just completely screw you.
• 9:47
  Speaker 1: So you really have to be careful. But if you
• 9:49
  Speaker 1: can get it right away, I think watching MMA knowing
• 9:52
  Speaker 1: the sport judges are so awful take plus money in
• 9:56
  Speaker 1: big spots too. Like, yeah, MMA is very fun to
• 9:59
  Speaker 1: walk live bet while you're watching it live. But that's
• 10:02
  Speaker 1: a little tangent. Let's keep it rolling to another fight.
• 10:05
  Speaker 1: I don't have much interest. It is dog or pass
• 10:08
  Speaker 1: again for me, though, Ohm on Elliott taking on Basiljfes
• 10:12
  Speaker 1: Elliott minus two eighty Hefes plus two forty another fight
• 10:17
  Speaker 1: pretty heavily favor to go the distance plus one ninety
• 10:19
  Speaker 1: for it to finish. The underdog a FES plus three
• 10:22
  Speaker 1: hundred inside the distance Elliott plus four point fifty. Two
• 10:26
  Speaker 1: things stand out one mine movement Elliott open minus one
• 10:29
  Speaker 1: eighty seven he fes plus one sixty two. Elliott taking
• 10:33
  Speaker 1: about it whole dollar now minus two eighty. That's a
• 10:36
  Speaker 1: lot of line movements. The other thing, the underdog, pretty
• 10:39
  Speaker 1: big underdog in a FES better finishing prop plus three
• 10:43
  Speaker 1: hundred compared to Elliott plus four to fifty. Seeing that
• 10:46
  Speaker 1: the first two fights now the underdog more likely to
• 10:48
  Speaker 1: finish this fourteen hundred dollars goes a long way on
• 10:52
  Speaker 1: a card like this, plus four to fifty to finish
• 10:55
  Speaker 1: from Elliott. That's not good at all, especially when you
• 10:58
  Speaker 1: got to outscore guys likes Oli there. Obviously, Hoofy Nickel
• 11:04
  Speaker 1: Jones are all more expensive, but I mean Ellie gets
• 11:07
  Speaker 1: you at eighty eight. These guys get you one eighteen.
• 11:10
  Speaker 1: You probably need the one to eighteen, So I don't
• 11:13
  Speaker 1: like Elliott's upside unless you tell me he's gonna wrestle
• 11:16
  Speaker 1: a lot. BEFEZI solid wrestler himself, though Afer passed for me.
• 11:20
  Speaker 1: How do you see it same?
• 11:22
  Speaker 4: I don't see a ton of upside here for Elliott.
• 11:26
  Speaker 3: I think it's kind of similar to last fight really,
• 11:29
  Speaker 3: where Hafez I give the wrestling edge too, especially early
• 11:32
  Speaker 3: in the fight, but he could start to slow.
• 11:33
  Speaker 4: Down, and I don't think that Elliott will.
• 11:36
  Speaker 3: So maybe it's another one where Hafez wins the first round,
• 11:39
  Speaker 3: Elliott wins the second and the third, And it's a
• 11:42
  Speaker 3: better spot to look for a live bet at plus
• 11:45
  Speaker 3: money rather than the pay you know, minus two fifty
• 11:47
  Speaker 3: or whatever he's gonna be at right now. Yeah, for
• 11:51
  Speaker 3: draftings eighty eight hundred, he's just gonna be probably priced
• 11:53
  Speaker 3: out of my lineup. So I don't know that I'm
• 11:55
  Speaker 3: gonna x him out, but with like twenty or less,
• 11:57
  Speaker 3: I would x him out.
• 11:58
  Speaker 4: And then Halfez I'm interested in.
• 12:00
  Speaker 3: And he's got heavy hands he could knock out Elliott,
• 12:04
  Speaker 3: and I like his wrestling upside if he could just
• 12:06
  Speaker 3: get the cardio together to wrestle heavily for three rounds.
• 12:10
  Speaker 3: I mean he's got a solid style for dfs, so
• 12:13
  Speaker 3: seventy four hundred sign me up. I'm actually picking Hafez
• 12:15
  Speaker 3: to win this one. He's my preferred play. I'll be
• 12:18
  Speaker 3: overweight to him and probably fading Elliott.
• 12:22
  Speaker 1: Let's go. I love it, and you're picking half as outright.
• 12:25
  Speaker 1: Give me all that. I love it. Two hunderdogs for
• 12:27
  Speaker 1: me to start the card. And again it's no secret
• 12:29
  Speaker 1: I told you my playing at the top. I'm not
• 12:31
  Speaker 1: playing those in twenty teams. I'm not playing any of
• 12:34
  Speaker 1: those underdogs when the favorites are minus six hundred, so
• 12:37
  Speaker 1: naturally I'll be playing the underdogs in fights that aren't
• 12:40
  Speaker 1: like that. Two for two underdogs for me. Moving on
• 12:44
  Speaker 1: to a solid mid tier fight right here, one that
• 12:47
  Speaker 1: is slight. Actually it's a coin flip to finish. Mickey
• 12:50
  Speaker 1: Gah minus won forty three or me's pramage plus one
• 12:53
  Speaker 1: twenty three plus one hundred for this fight to finish
• 12:56
  Speaker 1: both fighters plus two fifty five inside the distance. Gonna
• 13:00
  Speaker 1: throw it to you right on this big Marley. One
• 13:03
  Speaker 1: point eight one takedowns or excuse me, one point one
• 13:06
  Speaker 1: to eight for Golf, one point six to one for
• 13:08
  Speaker 1: Brahimage and then I'm looking at these props plus five
• 13:12
  Speaker 1: fifty for Golf by Submission and plus four fifty for Brahmage.
• 13:16
  Speaker 1: Both of those have that bet down. Are we getting
• 13:20
  Speaker 1: up wrestling match scrambles, reversals, sub upside on both or
• 13:24
  Speaker 1: do you see it mainly on the feet?
• 13:26
  Speaker 3: Yeah, this is the one. I just don't know what
• 13:28
  Speaker 3: I'm gonna do with. I feel like I'm closer to
• 13:31
  Speaker 3: a four star though than a two star. I do
• 13:33
  Speaker 3: like this fight and both sides of it, because both
• 13:36
  Speaker 3: guys are at their best on the ground. I mean
• 13:40
  Speaker 3: Brahimage like on the regional scene, and he's had a
• 13:43
  Speaker 3: fighter too in the UFC, just against scrubs where.
• 13:46
  Speaker 4: When he's aggressive early with his wrestling and grappling. I
• 13:50
  Speaker 4: like him, man, I'm a big fan of what I
• 13:52
  Speaker 4: see in that.
• 13:52
  Speaker 3: But then there's other fights where he comes and he
• 13:54
  Speaker 3: just doesn't even look to wrestle, and he doesn't do
• 13:57
  Speaker 3: anything on the feed either, So I just don't us Brahimaje.
• 14:01
  Speaker 3: I feel like, at both of them at their best,
• 14:03
  Speaker 3: Brahimage should win with the best game plan, but I
• 14:06
  Speaker 3: don't trust him, and I feel like Gaul I trust
• 14:09
  Speaker 3: to fight harder for my money. I think he's the
• 14:11
  Speaker 3: better striker in this one. He's got some mission upside too,
• 14:14
  Speaker 3: so if he can stay safe in round one, I
• 14:18
  Speaker 3: feel like Brahimage is more likely to slow down and
• 14:21
  Speaker 3: Gall could pick it up in the second and the third.
• 14:23
  Speaker 4: So Gall is gonna be my pick.
• 14:26
  Speaker 3: But for four hundred dollars more, I'm fine dropping down
• 14:30
  Speaker 3: to Brahimage if that's what I need to like the
• 14:33
  Speaker 3: rest of my lineup more. I still have a big
• 14:36
  Speaker 3: preferred play in this one. I'll just be targeting both sides.
• 14:38
  Speaker 3: I want to force that into lineups. But it's not
• 14:41
  Speaker 3: like an all in fight, because, like you said, it
• 14:42
  Speaker 3: could be a striking match, and that's just not gonna
• 14:45
  Speaker 3: be good for anybody. I don't see a knockout happening
• 14:47
  Speaker 3: in that situation. I think it would be a low
• 14:50
  Speaker 3: paced striking match where the winner could score sixty, like
• 14:54
  Speaker 3: mid sixties or something like that.
• 14:55
  Speaker 4: So yeah, that's not good at all.
• 14:57
  Speaker 3: I guess right now, if I had to put number
• 15:00
  Speaker 3: on it, maybe i'd be around twenty five to thirty
• 15:02
  Speaker 3: five percent on either side.
• 15:04
  Speaker 1: And looking at that, that would put you overweight on
• 15:07
  Speaker 1: both And I love it because we're gonna get to
• 15:09
  Speaker 1: this next fight. That's pretty much the same money lines
• 15:13
  Speaker 1: right in the same pricing, but minus three twenty five
• 15:16
  Speaker 1: to finish, while this is plus one hundred. This is
• 15:19
  Speaker 1: a clear pivot in the mid tier, especially from that
• 15:21
  Speaker 1: one fight, and you can also get different in a
• 15:24
  Speaker 1: way of build a goall lineup. Dropped on from Golf
• 15:28
  Speaker 1: to Brahimage, you naturally four hundred plus you get a
• 15:31
  Speaker 1: plus one twenty three underdog. If you're telling me, like
• 15:34
  Speaker 1: twenty dupes is the Golf team zero, it's unique to
• 15:37
  Speaker 1: go to the Brahimage team. Braymage team's an mathematical winner
• 15:41
  Speaker 1: every single day when you win, how much do you win?
• 15:44
  Speaker 1: So little things like That's how I'm going to be
• 15:46
  Speaker 1: looking to get different on this card. Terms of your breakdown,
• 15:49
  Speaker 1: I have nothing more to add. Gall is my preferred
• 15:51
  Speaker 1: play because he's my pick, but it's not a strong lean.
• 15:54
  Speaker 1: If I had more Brahimage, I'd be fined. Clear pivot
• 15:58
  Speaker 1: though right away in the mid tier to this next fight.
• 16:01
  Speaker 1: When you see ownership tomorrow, you will see much lower ownership,
• 16:05
  Speaker 1: this one carrying a good amount. Marcine Typera taking on
• 16:08
  Speaker 1: Janata denis minus three twenty five for this fight to
• 16:11
  Speaker 1: finish or to my Tiber's minus one forty six Denise
• 16:15
  Speaker 1: plus one twenty six minus three twenty five for this
• 16:18
  Speaker 1: fight to finish, Denise the slight underdog better finishing adds
• 16:22
  Speaker 1: at plus one hundred Tybura plus one ninety five. So
• 16:27
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna throw two on this. Obviously, it's gonna be heavy,
• 16:29
  Speaker 1: heavily owned. There are bigger inside the distance props, but
• 16:33
  Speaker 1: all of these guys, big favorites, mid tier, gonna get
• 16:38
  Speaker 1: a lot of ownership. You do have a four star, though,
• 16:41
  Speaker 1: and nine to five stars, so explain why that is.
• 16:44
  Speaker 1: Explain pass that this fight bus And I'm assuming you're
• 16:47
  Speaker 1: not making a rule to have one hundred percent.
• 16:50
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm definitely not.
• 16:51
  Speaker 3: I actually started as a five star in my first runnings.
• 16:54
  Speaker 3: I had this is a five star and I had
• 16:56
  Speaker 3: Jones Miosick as a five star, and I was like, man,
• 16:59
  Speaker 3: I really want to have four or five star fights
• 17:01
  Speaker 3: on here. I'm not sure I'm putting him at four
• 17:03
  Speaker 3: for now. Maybe I'll change him again, But I think
• 17:05
  Speaker 3: ty Boro's path to a victory is through the ground.
• 17:10
  Speaker 3: Like he's a decent striker, especially for a heavyweight.
• 17:13
  Speaker 4: But not in this matchup.
• 17:14
  Speaker 3: You don't want to go out there and kickbox with
• 17:16
  Speaker 3: kickbox with Denise. Denise just better, He's more durable, he's
• 17:20
  Speaker 3: more dangerous. So ty Bora should be looking to wrestle
• 17:23
  Speaker 3: in this fight, and if he can get one takedown,
• 17:27
  Speaker 3: that's a wrap for the round.
• 17:28
  Speaker 4: I think he's just.
• 17:28
  Speaker 3: Hanging out there in top control, or he's getting a
• 17:31
  Speaker 3: ground and pound finish, or possibly Denise gives up his
• 17:35
  Speaker 3: back and he gets a rear naked choke or something
• 17:37
  Speaker 3: like that. But I think he could do that for
• 17:39
  Speaker 3: all three rounds and score well in a decision. So
• 17:41
  Speaker 3: almost all paths of victories for Tybora can score well.
• 17:44
  Speaker 3: Unless it is just a striking match for over a
• 17:47
  Speaker 3: round or two, then then that would suck for the
• 17:50
  Speaker 3: to war side two. But I like the Tyboris side
• 17:53
  Speaker 3: for that wrestling upside. Denise is more so for his
• 17:56
  Speaker 3: knockout upside. If he gets the first round knockout, he's
• 17:59
  Speaker 3: on the optimal lineup. If he gets wrestled the entire
• 18:04
  Speaker 3: first round and then he gets a knockout in the
• 18:06
  Speaker 3: second round, then how much do we want I'm not sure.
• 18:10
  Speaker 3: And if he wins a decision, he's just not on
• 18:13
  Speaker 3: the optimal lineup at all. I just don't see how
• 18:15
  Speaker 3: that would happen. So I don't know what I want
• 18:17
  Speaker 3: to do with Thenise side, but I will be overweight
• 18:20
  Speaker 3: on the Tiber.
• 18:20
  Speaker 1: I think Tiber is not I preferred side too, but
• 18:25
  Speaker 1: I think Denis is someone if I get twenty percent,
• 18:28
  Speaker 1: which is clearly underweight, I'd be fine, hopefully, like like
• 18:32
  Speaker 1: you said, if he wins a decision, he doesn't score enough.
• 18:35
  Speaker 1: If Tiber wins, he obviously is an optimal He is
• 18:38
  Speaker 1: plus two to seventy five in roun one, which is
• 18:41
  Speaker 1: nice though, which is why on the flip side, if
• 18:44
  Speaker 1: I had forty percent to ease or even forty five,
• 18:47
  Speaker 1: maybe I'd be fine with that as well, because doesn't
• 18:51
  Speaker 1: break the bank at all eight thousand, like he can
• 18:54
  Speaker 1: easily put up one ten plus two seventy five and
• 18:56
  Speaker 1: round one. Tiber can't get takedowns early bank one hundred
• 19:00
  Speaker 1: and ten right there breaks the slate, so he's won.
• 19:03
  Speaker 1: I mean, I know I'm gonna have exposure to this fight.
• 19:06
  Speaker 1: Tiber is my preferred play if having to choose, But again,
• 19:10
  Speaker 1: any team you build a Tiber, you can drop to
• 19:12
  Speaker 1: Denise save two hundred and you're naturally gonna be more
• 19:15
  Speaker 1: different and you're not sacrificing upside really, so yeah, I
• 19:21
  Speaker 1: mean in chalk your lineups, I'm probably gonna play like
• 19:23
  Speaker 1: a Gall brachimage fight and maybe fade this. If I'm
• 19:26
  Speaker 1: already like fading John Jones' stepe fight, which I will
• 19:31
  Speaker 1: have some lineups like that, then probably more likely to
• 19:33
  Speaker 1: go Denise to Tyber and stuff like that. So not
• 19:36
  Speaker 1: much more to add. I'm in agreement with you. Tiber
• 19:39
  Speaker 1: might preferred side though more UFC experience and the wrestling
• 19:42
  Speaker 1: grappling upside very very big gap might only take one takedown.
• 19:50
  Speaker 1: Do you think Denise can knock him out late and
• 19:52
  Speaker 1: score lower than Gaul if gall wins, go ahead, big mole.
• 19:58
  Speaker 4: Yeah.
• 19:58
  Speaker 3: Just ty Bora wrestles them, dominates the first round, wrestles
• 20:04
  Speaker 3: them in the second round, starts to slow down, and
• 20:06
  Speaker 3: then it comes out.
• 20:07
  Speaker 4: In the third round. Denise Lance's first shot gets a
• 20:10
  Speaker 4: knockout in the early third.
• 20:12
  Speaker 1: There you go, absolutely, let's keep it going. Next fight
• 20:16
  Speaker 1: on the card one of my favorite fighters, David Onama
• 20:19
  Speaker 1: coming in as a massive nine hundred favorite taking on
• 20:21
  Speaker 1: Roberto Romero coming in his plus six hundred, making his
• 20:25
  Speaker 1: USC debut. The only prop I see in this fight.
• 20:28
  Speaker 1: It was added late under one and a half rounds
• 20:30
  Speaker 1: at plus one oh five when this line opened, which
• 20:35
  Speaker 1: was yesterday under one and a half opened plus one
• 20:38
  Speaker 1: twenty now plus one one oh five, so the under
• 20:42
  Speaker 1: was hit, and then Onama opened minus twelve hundred yesterday
• 20:46
  Speaker 1: now minus nine hundred. So some buyback on Roberto Romero,
• 20:51
  Speaker 1: you're gonna be playing any of this sky looking at
• 20:54
  Speaker 1: your one star, I'm assuming not. And then David o'ama
• 20:58
  Speaker 1: obviously big favor, gonna be heavily favor to finish. He's
• 21:01
  Speaker 1: ninety seven hundred bucks. John Jones is cheaper, Olivera is cheaper.
• 21:06
  Speaker 1: O Nickel, who you will get to, is one hundred more.
• 21:10
  Speaker 1: Hoofy big favorite is one hundred less. How do you
• 21:14
  Speaker 1: rank Anama amongst them? What are you doing with him?
• 21:16
  Speaker 1: What are you doing with Romero? Yeah?
• 21:20
  Speaker 3: I haven't decided on Romero with one hundred and fifty,
• 21:22
  Speaker 3: I won't be playing them with twenty or less lineups.
• 21:25
  Speaker 3: But in my opinion, for I only watched two fights
• 21:27
  Speaker 3: of his, but I mean it looked really good in
• 21:29
  Speaker 3: his last fight on the ground, and he had an
• 21:33
  Speaker 3: exciting fight on the night or the fight before that,
• 21:37
  Speaker 3: where it was more so on the feet, but I
• 21:39
  Speaker 3: just don't think he can do that here with Onamo.
• 21:41
  Speaker 3: Onama is just so much better on the feed. He's
• 21:43
  Speaker 3: just way more dangerous as well. And if Romero can't
• 21:48
  Speaker 3: wrestle for three rounds on short notice, I just think
• 21:53
  Speaker 3: he's getting picked apart on the feet. And maybe he
• 21:55
  Speaker 3: does have one round of success and then Onama knocks
• 21:59
  Speaker 3: him out in the second round, and that wouldn't be
• 22:01
  Speaker 3: I mean, Onama's off the optimal lineup in that case,
• 22:04
  Speaker 3: which is why I don't have him as like a
• 22:06
  Speaker 3: five star. But he is kind of knockout or bus
• 22:09
  Speaker 3: at ninety seven hundred dollars because I doubt Onama looks
• 22:12
  Speaker 3: to wrestle in this one.
• 22:13
  Speaker 4: He can strike at a high pace.
• 22:15
  Speaker 3: But I don't see him striking at a high enough
• 22:17
  Speaker 3: pace where he's he's gonna be on the optimal lineup
• 22:19
  Speaker 3: in a decision win here. So he kind of needs
• 22:22
  Speaker 3: that knockdown maybe I mean a knockout, maybe a knockdown
• 22:25
  Speaker 3: or two along the way.
• 22:27
  Speaker 4: So I do like him because I'm picking him to
• 22:29
  Speaker 4: get a knockout.
• 22:30
  Speaker 3: I think he has a big striking advantage, and I
• 22:31
  Speaker 3: don't think Romero has enough takedowns in the tank to
• 22:35
  Speaker 3: go three rounds in this one. So it's kind of
• 22:38
  Speaker 3: like Onama or pass, is what I'm thinking, And I
• 22:41
  Speaker 3: doubt I have enough salary to get to Onama. But
• 22:44
  Speaker 3: I just don't think he's gonna have a whole lot
• 22:46
  Speaker 3: of ownership either, And that's that makes me like him too,
• 22:48
  Speaker 3: at like half of John Jones's ownership. I think he's
• 22:51
  Speaker 3: a decent pivot and more likely to get a first
• 22:54
  Speaker 3: round knockout than John Jones for sure.
• 22:58
  Speaker 1: I see it the same way. I'm not playing Romero,
• 23:01
  Speaker 1: and but like you know, he's gonna be a lot
• 23:03
  Speaker 1: lower on than John Jones and then boat Nickel. You know,
• 23:06
  Speaker 1: Whofi's gonna be in the same boat wof He's gonna
• 23:09
  Speaker 1: be lower on than Bow Nickel and John Jones. Those
• 23:11
  Speaker 1: are the clear pivots in the upper tier. He's minus
• 23:14
  Speaker 1: nine hundred. Like I'm curious to see what the round
• 23:17
  Speaker 1: one prop is gonna be, but my guess is like
• 23:19
  Speaker 1: plus one fifty or something. I think this is like
• 23:22
  Speaker 1: this Lessquio Santos Scrogan fight of last week, where there's
• 23:25
  Speaker 1: just levels to this shit, and Romero's not even close
• 23:28
  Speaker 1: to the level of David o'ama. Like Onama's a fast arter.
• 23:32
  Speaker 1: He had land where pretty much dead in round one.
• 23:35
  Speaker 1: I don't think uh. If he puts the pace like
• 23:38
  Speaker 1: that on Romero, dude's gonna be able to sustain that
• 23:41
  Speaker 1: at all. So Romero wins, if STEVEE wins, if Paul
• 23:45
  Speaker 1: Craig wins, if Yon Top wins, it's gonna be a
• 23:49
  Speaker 1: bad leak for me. There's no doubt about that. If
• 23:51
  Speaker 1: all them lose and OLIVERA. Chandler's on the winner, I
• 23:55
  Speaker 1: should be live pretty close to the end. That's all
• 23:57
  Speaker 1: you can ask for. So that's my path. You guys
• 24:00
  Speaker 1: know where I'm going. We'll keep it rolling to the
• 24:02
  Speaker 1: next fight. Pretty good. One. Some old UFC pats Damon
• 24:07
  Speaker 1: Jackson taking on Jim Miller minus one seventy six Jackson
• 24:10
  Speaker 1: plus one fifty one plus one fifty one is Jim
• 24:13
  Speaker 1: Miller minus won fifteen for this fight to finish underdog again.
• 24:18
  Speaker 1: A lot of these the underdog and Jim Miller more
• 24:20
  Speaker 1: likely to finish at plus two hundred compared to Damon
• 24:23
  Speaker 1: Jackson at plus two eighty five. Right here, two point three,
• 24:28
  Speaker 1: four takedowns, one point five to three takedowns. I think
• 24:33
  Speaker 1: Damon Jackson is more likely to have success offensive offensively
• 24:36
  Speaker 1: wrestling Jim Miller's takedown defense below fifty percent, and I
• 24:41
  Speaker 1: think Jim Miller is more dangerous on the feet. Damon
• 24:44
  Speaker 1: Jackson has been cracked multiple times. Do you kind of
• 24:47
  Speaker 1: see it the same way or do you think or
• 24:50
  Speaker 1: I guess do you just see it differently? How do
• 24:51
  Speaker 1: you see this fight going?
• 24:54
  Speaker 3: It's another one where I'm not really sure how this
• 24:56
  Speaker 3: one plays out. I think both guys are they're best,
• 25:00
  Speaker 3: they're grapplers, both of them decent wrestlers. They can strike,
• 25:07
  Speaker 3: but I mean I kind of give Miller the striking edge,
• 25:11
  Speaker 3: the danger edge early in the fight. Both guys can
• 25:14
  Speaker 3: slow down to especially if they're wrestling heavy early in
• 25:18
  Speaker 3: this one. I would like to see it just both
• 25:20
  Speaker 3: these guys rolling throughout most of the fight. I don't
• 25:22
  Speaker 3: know who the better grappler is. I feel like I'd
• 25:25
  Speaker 3: rather have my money on Jim Miller at these odds,
• 25:28
  Speaker 3: So that's kind of how I have it as a
• 25:30
  Speaker 3: three all across the board.
• 25:31
  Speaker 4: I'm fine with either side.
• 25:32
  Speaker 3: I prefer the underdog and Miller especially for one thousand
• 25:36
  Speaker 3: dollars less. I just feel like this could be a
• 25:38
  Speaker 3: split decision type of fight. I always prefer the underdog
• 25:41
  Speaker 3: in that case, so I picked Miller for that reason.
• 25:44
  Speaker 3: But both of them have high upsides. Most of Jackson's
• 25:48
  Speaker 3: fights do in inside the distance. I mean, it's on
• 25:53
  Speaker 3: a pay per view. They could both bring it. It
• 25:54
  Speaker 3: could end early.
• 25:55
  Speaker 4: I don't know what the hell I'm gonna do with
• 25:57
  Speaker 4: this one. What are you gonna do with it?
• 25:59
  Speaker 1: I mean I have to It's minus one fifteen to finish.
• 26:03
  Speaker 1: I will say it was minus one thirty, so I
• 26:05
  Speaker 1: was coming out in the under a little bit. I
• 26:09
  Speaker 1: prefer the Jim Miller side for sure because of the
• 26:11
  Speaker 1: one thousand dollars in savings, so I'm probably overweight him
• 26:15
  Speaker 1: naid On Jackson. But I will say Damon Jackson is
• 26:18
  Speaker 1: a clear pivot in the upper tier and I won't
• 26:20
  Speaker 1: be playing Veronica Hardy and I don't love Oban Elliott,
• 26:24
  Speaker 1: so I'm gonna have to play Damon Jackson and chalk
• 26:26
  Speaker 1: your lineups. And I do think he has four plus
• 26:29
  Speaker 1: takedown upside and I can just top control Jim Miller
• 26:33
  Speaker 1: as well, and I think he'll be like comfortable down there,
• 26:36
  Speaker 1: like he is good grappling. I don't think he gets
• 26:38
  Speaker 1: submitted off his back in that instance. I don't know,
• 26:43
  Speaker 1: man like you, I can totally see that's a boroughfight
• 26:46
  Speaker 1: de nise just being a sloppy heavyweight fight that somehow
• 26:50
  Speaker 1: bus And if that's the case, you have a lot
• 26:52
  Speaker 1: of leverage with this Jackson fight, with the Eric Anders fight,
• 26:56
  Speaker 1: that the golfights stuff like that, so all the like,
• 27:00
  Speaker 1: I just I like my team has to tell a story.
• 27:03
  Speaker 1: If I'm fading the steep Bay fight, I probably go
• 27:06
  Speaker 1: more of the type of stuff. If I'm already playing
• 27:09
  Speaker 1: Michael Chandler John Jones, maybe that's when I played Damon
• 27:12
  Speaker 1: Jackson or something like that, because I do think he's
• 27:15
  Speaker 1: leveraged off of Jim Miller a bit, because I expect
• 27:17
  Speaker 1: Jim Miller to actually be higher own at one k less.
• 27:20
  Speaker 1: So that's my thoughts on this one. I'm definitely playing
• 27:23
  Speaker 1: some though minus one fifteen to finish. Both guys average
• 27:26
  Speaker 1: over a takedown per fifteen minutes.
• 27:29
  Speaker 4: I dig it. If you were to rank it out
• 27:31
  Speaker 4: of five stars, what would you put it up?
• 27:38
  Speaker 1: Three and a half.
• 27:41
  Speaker 3: I feel like I feel like I'm probably closer to
• 27:44
  Speaker 3: two stars than four stars than three.
• 27:48
  Speaker 4: Yeah, yeah, I'll probably keep it there.
• 27:50
  Speaker 1: The thing is like if Jackson gets a takedown but
• 27:53
  Speaker 1: Jim Miller reverses it and the next thing you know,
• 27:55
  Speaker 1: Damon Jackson does, or one of these guys slow a bit.
• 27:58
  Speaker 1: Any fight that could play out majority on the mat
• 28:01
  Speaker 1: and it's slightly favored to finish, there's always some intrigue there.
• 28:05
  Speaker 1: And yeahs, Jim David Jackson likes to push the pace,
• 28:09
  Speaker 1: like you said, so, yeah, three star. I thinks fair
• 28:12
  Speaker 1: mid tiers, mid tiers pretty tough. This week. There's a
• 28:15
  Speaker 1: lot of pretty close fights when you compare him relatively speaking.
• 28:19
  Speaker 1: Let's keep it rolling like Button appreciated a lot everybody watching,
• 28:23
  Speaker 1: watching line, watching on playback, do us a favorite takes
• 28:26
  Speaker 1: one second of your day like button, subscribe Button, Thank
• 28:29
  Speaker 1: you very much. Next fight on the card, Eric Anders
• 28:33
  Speaker 1: taking on Chris Wideman. Closest line fight Eric Andrews, depends
• 28:37
  Speaker 1: on the book you're looking bet online minus one fifteen
• 28:40
  Speaker 1: Chris Wideman minus one oh five plus one fifty for
• 28:44
  Speaker 1: this fight to finish. Eric Anders plus two seventy five
• 28:48
  Speaker 1: Widenman plus three sixty five. I mean Wideman's the clear
• 28:52
  Speaker 1: like he's gonna be higher owned. I think I think
• 28:55
  Speaker 1: he's a strong play because it's pretty much a coin
• 28:58
  Speaker 1: flip and he's seventy seven hundred, So anywin seventy could
• 29:03
  Speaker 1: be enough this week at seventy seven hundred not guaranteed,
• 29:06
  Speaker 1: but I have enterest on that side because I do
• 29:09
  Speaker 1: think seventy could be enough. Also, three point four to
• 29:11
  Speaker 1: four takedowns per fifteen, maybe some wrestling upside on the
• 29:16
  Speaker 1: Widman side at this tag I'm in. I do not
• 29:19
  Speaker 1: like Anders, but I don't know. Plus two seventy five
• 29:23
  Speaker 1: isn't crazy. Plus what is he in round one? Plus
• 29:27
  Speaker 1: six hundred is not great? I said, probably like cap
• 29:31
  Speaker 1: Anders around fifteen percent, which is a little worse than
• 29:34
  Speaker 1: his plus two seventy five prop and about even with
• 29:37
  Speaker 1: his ownership, and just play him in Chalky lineups and
• 29:41
  Speaker 1: hope it gets you different. Hope he luck boxes something.
• 29:44
  Speaker 1: But for the most part it's widening or it's nothing
• 29:46
  Speaker 1: in this fight. How do you see it?
• 29:50
  Speaker 3: I'm kind of I'm on the Ander side more so.
• 29:52
  Speaker 3: I think he's more allied for the knockout in my opinion,
• 29:56
  Speaker 3: But I just see this as a slower paced striking
• 30:00
  Speaker 3: match where we're just not even going to get ten
• 30:02
  Speaker 3: X from the winner on either side. If it is
• 30:05
  Speaker 3: that type of fight, then I would prefer Wideman. I
• 30:08
  Speaker 3: like Wideman to have the wrestling and grappling edge, but
• 30:11
  Speaker 3: just I don't know about old this old Wideman, and
• 30:14
  Speaker 3: I don't know how long he would have that edge either.
• 30:17
  Speaker 1: See.
• 30:17
  Speaker 3: I expect this one to mostly play out on the feet.
• 30:19
  Speaker 3: I trust Anders a little bit more. Uh, And if
• 30:23
  Speaker 3: he wants to test Wideman's chin, it just kind of
• 30:26
  Speaker 3: throw a few furies. I think it would be smarter
• 30:28
  Speaker 3: him to do that. And I think he's a live
• 30:30
  Speaker 3: for the knockout. So give me Anders by knockout or decision,
• 30:34
  Speaker 3: and he's my preferred player.
• 30:35
  Speaker 1: If Anders gets a knockout, there's definitely a chance for
• 30:38
  Speaker 1: a lot less dupes up top piece of definitely a
• 30:41
  Speaker 1: pivot in that upper tier range. I'm not gonna play
• 30:44
  Speaker 1: Veronica Hardy. I prefer Dama Jackson, David Jackson or Anders.
• 30:49
  Speaker 1: I guess, If having to pick, I guess probably and
• 30:51
  Speaker 1: your stars Yeah for me, yep, it makes sense. Both
• 30:55
  Speaker 1: of them are pivots in that range for sure. Up top,
• 30:59
  Speaker 1: let's keep it going fight another good one for sure,
• 31:02
  Speaker 1: real life interesting one in DFS right in that mid
• 31:05
  Speaker 1: tier Marcus McGee minus one thirty eight taking on Jonathan
• 31:08
  Speaker 1: Martinez at plus one eighteen minus one ten for this
• 31:12
  Speaker 1: fight to finish McGee plus one sixty five inside the
• 31:15
  Speaker 1: distance Jonathan Martinez plus four hundred, so this fight open
• 31:20
  Speaker 1: plus one ten to finish now minus one ten. Would
• 31:23
  Speaker 1: you like to see both guys throw solid volume? Both
• 31:26
  Speaker 1: average less than a takedown per fifteen inside the distance
• 31:30
  Speaker 1: prop heavily favorite McGee. I think is pretty interesting and
• 31:34
  Speaker 1: it makes sense. Martinez. I'll never forget the Davy Grant
• 31:37
  Speaker 1: knockout cost me cheese. I was always high end Jonathan Martinez.
• 31:41
  Speaker 1: I love his kicks. He's always game, but he's not
• 31:45
  Speaker 1: a great DFS score, which I want you to talk about.
• 31:48
  Speaker 1: And McGee's got pop and if it hits the ground,
• 31:51
  Speaker 1: he's definitely levels above Martinez in the grappling. So what
• 31:55
  Speaker 1: upside do we need from Martinez? And then I like McGee,
• 31:59
  Speaker 1: no doubt about it that I think he has upside.
• 32:01
  Speaker 1: Martinez I don't know about his chin and McGee has pop,
• 32:05
  Speaker 1: but minute winner in this one, I don't know. It's
• 32:08
  Speaker 1: hard for me to really think McGee should be minus
• 32:10
  Speaker 1: one forty. This feels more coin flipish that way break
• 32:13
  Speaker 1: down this fight. I'm interested.
• 32:15
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm on the McGee side for DFS. I do
• 32:20
  Speaker 3: think he has more upside, more finishing upside, more wrestling upside.
• 32:24
  Speaker 3: I do think he is probably our better minute winner.
• 32:28
  Speaker 3: It could come down to lake kicks on the Martinez
• 32:31
  Speaker 3: side though, how much he can slow down McGhee. If
• 32:35
  Speaker 3: he's landing a lot of late kicks early, then I
• 32:37
  Speaker 3: like that for Martinez. I like that for his chances
• 32:39
  Speaker 3: to win as well, But if he's not getting a
• 32:41
  Speaker 3: knockdown along the way, I doubt he's landing more than
• 32:45
  Speaker 3: like one takedown in this fight. Seeah, I don't see
• 32:49
  Speaker 3: Martinez having a great ceiling in this one, and I
• 32:53
  Speaker 3: see him similar as a Wideman play. I guess I'll
• 32:56
  Speaker 3: probably be similar on both of them, and since I'm
• 33:00
  Speaker 3: picking McGee to win, I will. He's my preferred play,
• 33:04
  Speaker 3: but I just don't know how much exposure I'm going
• 33:06
  Speaker 3: to get to him. I can see him scoring anywhere
• 33:09
  Speaker 3: from like sixty five to ninety five or something like that,
• 33:13
  Speaker 3: so I'll have some of them, I would guess probably
• 33:16
  Speaker 3: around the field though, And I'm fine being you know,
• 33:19
  Speaker 3: five percent or five to ten percent over, five to
• 33:23
  Speaker 3: ten percent under.
• 33:25
  Speaker 1: Yeah, this fight as a three star. You have Jackson
• 33:30
  Speaker 1: Miller is a three star. You have gol Brahimage as
• 33:33
  Speaker 1: a three star. Ranked those three for.
• 33:35
  Speaker 3: Me, gall Brahimage, Jackson Miller than this one.
• 33:45
  Speaker 1: I like it makes a lot of sense. So this
• 33:47
  Speaker 1: does have the least about a wrestling upside. I think,
• 33:51
  Speaker 1: do you think McGhee shoots like he clearly or do
• 33:54
  Speaker 1: you think he needs to be get pieced apart to
• 33:56
  Speaker 1: them try and shoot?
• 33:58
  Speaker 4: I don't know. I think he could. I think he
• 34:00
  Speaker 4: would be smart him to shoot early, kind of keep
• 34:01
  Speaker 4: Martinez guessing.
• 34:03
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I think it'd be smart too. I just I
• 34:05
  Speaker 1: don't know if he does. Hot Todd. What's going on,
• 34:08
  Speaker 1: Steep Bay, I don't want. I mean, I would love
• 34:11
  Speaker 1: to see we'll get there. I'd love to see steepe win,
• 34:14
  Speaker 1: but my pocket wouldn't love to see Steepey win this week.
• 34:17
  Speaker 1: You know, would love to see him win. Dana White.
• 34:19
  Speaker 1: He he might never show his face again, but we'll
• 34:22
  Speaker 1: get there. Five fights left, big boy favorite in this one.
• 34:26
  Speaker 1: So you guys know what I'm doing Maurcio Hoofi fight
• 34:29
  Speaker 1: fighting nerds guy coming in at minus nine hundred taking
• 34:32
  Speaker 1: on James Yon Top plus six hundred minus two five
• 34:36
  Speaker 1: for this fight to finish Hoofy minus one eighty five
• 34:38
  Speaker 1: Yon Top plus nine hundred, Big Marley. I think it's
• 34:42
  Speaker 1: pretty clear I have no interest in yat Top. I
• 34:45
  Speaker 1: don't think you do as well. I mentioned Hoofi earlier,
• 34:48
  Speaker 1: big boy power striker all ten of his wins by
• 34:52
  Speaker 1: knockout the thing. Though he's ninety six hundred, John Jones
• 34:56
  Speaker 1: one hundred less, b Nickel two hundred more, Onama's one
• 35:00
  Speaker 1: hundred more. Only they are six hundred less. Is one
• 35:03
  Speaker 1: oh five enough? I don't know? Is one ten enough?
• 35:06
  Speaker 1: He's gonna be lower owned than almost all those guys.
• 35:09
  Speaker 1: So he's in my pool. But if I had five percent,
• 35:12
  Speaker 1: or if I had twenty five percent, like I'd be
• 35:14
  Speaker 1: good with it. It's kind of how I'm looking at it.
• 35:16
  Speaker 1: So I'm not playing the on top. That's the most
• 35:18
  Speaker 1: important thing. I don't want any of these guys to
• 35:21
  Speaker 1: win in terms of big underdogs. So what are you
• 35:24
  Speaker 1: doing with Hoofi? Uh?
• 35:27
  Speaker 3: He is the same as David Onama to me as
• 35:33
  Speaker 3: a DFS player. I look at them both as early
• 35:36
  Speaker 3: knockout or bust. I doubt we're gonna see Hoofy looked
• 35:39
  Speaker 3: to wrestle in this fight. He's not gonna be really
• 35:42
  Speaker 3: high volume. I actually think Gonama would be higher volume
• 35:45
  Speaker 3: than Hoofy, And if this is a fifteen minute striking match,
• 35:50
  Speaker 3: then he's kind of making you on top live just
• 35:53
  Speaker 3: based on volume alone.
• 35:54
  Speaker 4: But I do like Hoofy striking. I'm high on this kid.
• 35:57
  Speaker 3: I was looking forward to trying to bet him in
• 36:00
  Speaker 3: his next fight, but I didn't think he'd be minus
• 36:02
  Speaker 3: eight hundred, so I won't have any action on him.
• 36:06
  Speaker 3: I don't love the price on him. I prefer to
• 36:07
  Speaker 3: be underweight. But it's just like Onama. I kinda don't
• 36:12
  Speaker 3: mind a Hoofy pivot from a John Jones who's going
• 36:15
  Speaker 3: to be twice as owned as him, or a Nickel
• 36:17
  Speaker 3: who's going to be twice as owned as him, So
• 36:19
  Speaker 3: they're both in play for me. I have him as
• 36:22
  Speaker 3: four stars because it's just like one path for them
• 36:24
  Speaker 3: to be on the optimal lineup, whereas bon Nickel can
• 36:29
  Speaker 3: be a decision and score one hundred and fifty points
• 36:31
  Speaker 3: if he wants to these guys don't have that in them.
• 36:34
  Speaker 3: But if Bonnickel scores ninety, these guys could put up
• 36:37
  Speaker 3: one hundred and beat them. So I'm fine mixing in
• 36:41
  Speaker 3: both of them. I don't even really have a preference,
• 36:44
  Speaker 3: but I guess I would say maybe just for the
• 36:49
  Speaker 3: one hundred k less Hoofy would be my preference, because
• 36:52
  Speaker 3: if I leave that hundred on the table, maybe that
• 36:54
  Speaker 3: just makes me that much more different.
• 36:56
  Speaker 1: Let's get right into the Bonnickel fight. The biggest favorite
• 36:58
  Speaker 1: at minus twelve hundred, the highest price set ninety eight hundred,
• 37:02
  Speaker 1: fights minus nine hundred to finish, most likely on the card.
• 37:06
  Speaker 1: As you can see right here, obviously a short sample,
• 37:08
  Speaker 1: but seven point four to six state downs four bow Nickel.
• 37:12
  Speaker 1: Looking at his inside the distance prop, we have him
• 37:15
  Speaker 1: his minus fifteen hundred. Now I'm not online his inside
• 37:18
  Speaker 1: the distance prop himself minus seven hundred is around one
• 37:22
  Speaker 1: prop minus one thirty. You talked about Hoofy go in
• 37:26
  Speaker 1: death more about Mo Nickel, and like, if you ended
• 37:29
  Speaker 1: up with zero Hoofy or zero nom in twenty teams
• 37:32
  Speaker 1: and just all went to Nickel, would you be good
• 37:35
  Speaker 1: with that? I'm gonna be mixing and matching but it's
• 37:38
  Speaker 1: clear like Bo Nickel is a level above in my
• 37:41
  Speaker 1: eyes Hoofy and Onama just because his four feels like
• 37:45
  Speaker 1: one hundred and his upside feels like one eighty or whatever,
• 37:49
  Speaker 1: like if he really the guy just could get finished
• 37:52
  Speaker 1: but kept getting up and just kept getting taken out.
• 37:55
  Speaker 1: I don't think he's scoring one fifty in this matchup,
• 37:57
  Speaker 1: but yeah, I mean he's also gonna be higher owned
• 38:01
  Speaker 1: than then though, so I wanted to jump to that fight.
• 38:03
  Speaker 1: Then we'll get to Krinisova Vivian, which I don't think
• 38:06
  Speaker 1: is a great fight.
• 38:10
  Speaker 4: I actually.
• 38:13
  Speaker 3: I don't think i'd be okay just being all in
• 38:15
  Speaker 3: on Nickel and not having any Hoofy in Onama and
• 38:20
  Speaker 3: half their half of the ownership. I might even prefer
• 38:23
  Speaker 3: those two over Bo Nickel. I think it's gonna be
• 38:27
  Speaker 3: dangerous for him to wrestle in this matchup. Maybe this
• 38:31
  Speaker 3: is one where he wants to go out there and
• 38:33
  Speaker 3: test his striking, and if he doesn't knock out Paul
• 38:36
  Speaker 3: Craig in the first round, then then it's a wrap
• 38:39
  Speaker 3: for his DraftKings chances, unless he wants to start wrestling
• 38:42
  Speaker 3: in the second.
• 38:43
  Speaker 4: But at that point it's too late.
• 38:44
  Speaker 3: I think so he needs to wrestle throughout the whole
• 38:47
  Speaker 3: fight for him to have a big score unless he's
• 38:49
  Speaker 3: gonna get a first round finished, which could come on the.
• 38:53
  Speaker 4: Feet or the matt.
• 38:56
  Speaker 3: But I am I don't know. I'm kind of about
• 39:00
  Speaker 3: him getting submitted. To be honest, I'm gonna play some
• 39:02
  Speaker 3: Craig in this one. Craig is dangerous off of his back.
• 39:04
  Speaker 3: He's probably might be more dangerous than everyone that bon
• 39:07
  Speaker 3: Nichol's been rolling with for the last few years, so
• 39:11
  Speaker 3: he hadn't seen it Craig, and I think Craig is
• 39:13
  Speaker 3: live in this one. He's not gonna get much ownership.
• 39:16
  Speaker 3: If Craig wins, he's on the optimal lineup could be
• 39:19
  Speaker 3: a first round submission to so like leverage wise, I'll
• 39:22
  Speaker 3: have more Craig, but that could be like fifteen percent,
• 39:27
  Speaker 3: where I'm close to maybe double the field on him.
• 39:31
  Speaker 3: But if bon Nichol's gonna be let's call it fifty percent.
• 39:35
  Speaker 3: I don't hate going twenty twenty five percent on him
• 39:40
  Speaker 3: and then getting a little bit over on Onama and
• 39:42
  Speaker 3: Hoofi instead.
• 39:45
  Speaker 1: I don't love the hot take because I don't agree
• 39:48
  Speaker 1: and I'm not gonna be doing it, but I love
• 39:49
  Speaker 1: the hot take in the sense of it's hot, no
• 39:51
  Speaker 1: doubt about that. He's gonna be really low owned. You
• 39:54
  Speaker 1: get a bunch of leverage. I'll always remember him snapping
• 39:58
  Speaker 1: my man's sweet dreams. Arm do it. He's been counting
• 40:01
  Speaker 1: out plenty of times he's done it. What are your
• 40:04
  Speaker 1: thoughts on plus twelve hundred by submission? Do you just
• 40:07
  Speaker 1: rather like playing the DFS try and get all the
• 40:09
  Speaker 1: upside or do you think plus twelve hundred is there's
• 40:13
  Speaker 1: value on that line?
• 40:14
  Speaker 3: Plus twelve hundred by submission for Paul Craig by submission.
• 40:19
  Speaker 1: Yep, yeah, playing the DFS.
• 40:23
  Speaker 4: I'll tell that you're right there.
• 40:25
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm not gonna bet it. I'll probably just playing
• 40:28
  Speaker 3: the DFS. Give me a chance with that two hundred
• 40:30
  Speaker 3: k instead.
• 40:31
  Speaker 1: Yeah, No, that's probably what I would do as well.
• 40:33
  Speaker 1: Let's get to the next fight that we skipped over.
• 40:36
  Speaker 1: I don't have much interest. I wanted to go to
• 40:38
  Speaker 1: bot Nickel after Hoofy because very similar range, very similar odds.
• 40:43
  Speaker 1: Half the ownership for Hoofie though, and you can leave
• 40:46
  Speaker 1: two hundred and get half the ownership, Like that's a
• 40:49
  Speaker 1: way to get different for sure. Another way to get
• 40:51
  Speaker 1: different play. I guess anyone in this fight, especially Koremia
• 40:55
  Speaker 1: Silva ninety two hundred, she is minus two to eighty.
• 40:58
  Speaker 1: Vivian or Rugo plus two forty on the way back,
• 41:01
  Speaker 1: plus one eighty for this fight to finish, Silva plus
• 41:04
  Speaker 1: two hundred inside the distance, excuse me, Vivian plus eight
• 41:08
  Speaker 1: twenty five. This fight is very similar to the d
• 41:12
  Speaker 1: Nisse Gomes fight of last week for me, where it
• 41:15
  Speaker 1: was loaded the upper tier. It was just like big favorite,
• 41:18
  Speaker 1: big favorite, big favorites Danise Gomes that wasn't supposed to go.
• 41:23
  Speaker 1: The fight wasn't supposed to finish. All the other ones were,
• 41:26
  Speaker 1: and just like this one. You look at it expected
• 41:29
  Speaker 1: to finish, expected to finish, expected to finish, expected to finish, finish, finish,
• 41:35
  Speaker 1: et cetera. This fight's not and she is very expensive.
• 41:39
  Speaker 1: Plus two hundred inside the distance isn't bad though, Big Marley,
• 41:43
  Speaker 1: do you think she wrestles? I guess that she would
• 41:46
  Speaker 1: need some upside. Vivian's not easy to take down. Though
• 41:49
  Speaker 1: I don't love Kream Silva, She's a way to get different.
• 41:52
  Speaker 1: I won't have much. My preferred side is Vivian, though,
• 41:55
  Speaker 1: because again, I'm fading all these other dogs. I need
• 41:58
  Speaker 1: to play some dogs. Vivian a live dog. She's low owned.
• 42:02
  Speaker 1: Woman's that in may feels like it's always closer than
• 42:05
  Speaker 1: it should be. So Vivia is my preferred side. What
• 42:07
  Speaker 1: are you doing?
• 42:10
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm not gonna get too much of this fight.
• 42:12
  Speaker 3: I do think that Silva probably does get at least
• 42:17
  Speaker 3: one takedown. I would set her prop at like one
• 42:19
  Speaker 3: and a half takedowns. I would guess something like that.
• 42:23
  Speaker 3: I think she's live to win a striking match, but
• 42:25
  Speaker 3: a striking is close in this one. I probably even
• 42:28
  Speaker 3: favor Araujo a little bit, so she's super live at
• 42:31
  Speaker 3: seven K. I just don't see her having much of
• 42:33
  Speaker 3: a ceiling. She could win and score sixty points. I
• 42:36
  Speaker 3: don't know that that's gonna cut it. I mean helps
• 42:38
  Speaker 3: you afford pretty much whatever else you want on the card.
• 42:41
  Speaker 4: Maybe if I.
• 42:43
  Speaker 3: Start building lineups and she just fits, I'm cool with her,
• 42:46
  Speaker 3: But ideally i'd get away from her because I do
• 42:48
  Speaker 3: think that Silva.
• 42:51
  Speaker 4: Is probably the winner.
• 42:53
  Speaker 3: I think she's got the higher upside with her wrestling
• 42:56
  Speaker 3: and with her early submission potential as well, so she
• 42:59
  Speaker 3: might be my preferred play because she is gonna be
• 43:02
  Speaker 3: low owned up top if I can't get up to
• 43:06
  Speaker 3: all those other guys we've already been talking about. I'm
• 43:09
  Speaker 3: kind of okay going to Silva just to be a
• 43:11
  Speaker 3: little bit different, But at the same time, I do
• 43:14
  Speaker 3: prefer to go all to all those other people, So like,
• 43:17
  Speaker 3: I might ex this fight out and just hope that
• 43:19
  Speaker 3: Silva wins and scores in the seventies. So that's probably
• 43:23
  Speaker 3: my plan with handbuilds, but I'll keep it in my
• 43:27
  Speaker 3: if I make one hundred and fifty, I'll keep it
• 43:29
  Speaker 3: in my player pool, and I'd be fine getting both
• 43:31
  Speaker 3: of them. I'd be fining anywhere from like ten to
• 43:33
  Speaker 3: twenty percent Araujo and then maybe like anywhere from ten
• 43:40
  Speaker 3: to twenty five, maybe even thirty percent of Silver if
• 43:44
  Speaker 3: I really liked everything else.
• 43:46
  Speaker 1: Yeah, so you like her definitely a good bit more
• 43:48
  Speaker 1: than me, And again that's a way to get different. Yeah,
• 43:54
  Speaker 1: I don't. I'm going to keep it in my pool.
• 43:56
  Speaker 1: On twenty teams, I'll probably getre like teen max max
• 44:01
  Speaker 1: probably ten percent. Again, like if I'm playing Chandler John Jones,
• 44:05
  Speaker 1: maybe I plug her in to get a little bit different.
• 44:08
  Speaker 1: Then Mora's fine. You just eat a lot more chalk
• 44:10
  Speaker 1: around it. I don't love playing if I'm playing Silva,
• 44:16
  Speaker 1: I'm not playing like Paul Craig. And again, I'm not
• 44:18
  Speaker 1: playing Paul Craig anyway. But I don't think that's the
• 44:21
  Speaker 1: combinations you should be using. Two fights left, Big Marley.
• 44:25
  Speaker 1: Both of these are five rounders. It's hard to drop
• 44:28
  Speaker 1: a better fight than this. You mentioned it earlier, Charles
• 44:31
  Speaker 1: Olivera taking that Michael Chandler minus two fifty five is
• 44:36
  Speaker 1: Dubrons plus two fifteen is Michael Chandler minus eight hundred
• 44:40
  Speaker 1: for this fight to finish, oliver minus two hundred inside
• 44:43
  Speaker 1: the distance Michael Chandler plus two fifty. Nobody out there
• 44:47
  Speaker 1: has more aura than my man, Charles Olivera. Nobody better
• 44:51
  Speaker 1: to watch, all gas, no breaks. He is never in
• 44:54
  Speaker 1: a boring fight. This is a rematch. Michael Chandler is
• 44:58
  Speaker 1: never in a boring fight, though. Either these two to
• 45:00
  Speaker 1: meet in the middle car crash. First fight, Michael Chandler
• 45:04
  Speaker 1: all round one, round two starts, Olivera recovers grades left hook,
• 45:10
  Speaker 1: too powerful, awesome to see. That was all over Olivera
• 45:13
  Speaker 1: in the first one. Those odds were a lot lot
• 45:16
  Speaker 1: close to the miss though big Marley minus two fifty five.
• 45:20
  Speaker 1: I mean, Michael Chandler's in shape, Michael Chandler has power.
• 45:24
  Speaker 1: Charles Olivera has been cracked. Interesting thing though ownership. I'll
• 45:28
  Speaker 1: say this what we have, because I was a little
• 45:31
  Speaker 1: surprised forty eight percent Olivera and forty seven percent Chandler.
• 45:37
  Speaker 1: If that's the case, Chandler is my preferred play, and
• 45:41
  Speaker 1: I'd want like seventy thirty. I am making a rule,
• 45:44
  Speaker 1: but dogs stick on this card. So I was expecting
• 45:46
  Speaker 1: Chandler to be like fifty five and Olivera maybe to
• 45:51
  Speaker 1: be like thirty eight or something. Because last fight, I remember,
• 45:55
  Speaker 1: Charles was the dog against Armin Zerukian, but actually almost
• 45:58
  Speaker 1: double the ownership, definitely higher armand was the leverage play.
• 46:03
  Speaker 1: I was thinking Olivera might be the leverage play just
• 46:06
  Speaker 1: because the nine k range is loaded and the dogs stink.
• 46:10
  Speaker 1: But you're better at ownership than me. And again he's
• 46:12
  Speaker 1: still his minus two fifty at these odds, at this
• 46:17
  Speaker 1: ownership forty forty seven. I think I prefer Chandler, and
• 46:20
  Speaker 1: my initial thoughts were gonna be I think I prefer
• 46:22
  Speaker 1: Olivera because I thought the odds would be a little wider.
• 46:25
  Speaker 1: So either way, I'm having one hundred percent of this fight.
• 46:29
  Speaker 1: And like, this fight's not gonna burn me unless it's
• 46:32
  Speaker 1: not on the winner, and then it'll absolutely cook me.
• 46:34
  Speaker 1: Break it down.
• 46:36
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm probably gonna make a mean I don't know
• 46:40
  Speaker 4: that I'm gonna make a rule.
• 46:40
  Speaker 3: I'll probably just have them projected high enough that they
• 46:43
  Speaker 3: end up in one hundred percent of my lineups.
• 46:47
  Speaker 4: I just expect this to be fire of the night.
• 46:49
  Speaker 4: If it goes past the first three minutes, this is
• 46:52
  Speaker 4: gonna be fire the night. Can't wait for it.
• 46:55
  Speaker 3: I think either a guy could win and score one
• 46:57
  Speaker 3: hundred and twenty points in this one. Chandler's got big
• 47:01
  Speaker 3: time power, He's got solid wrestling. Olivera's probably the smoother striker.
• 47:06
  Speaker 3: He's dangerous on the feed. He's the nasty submission artist
• 47:09
  Speaker 3: we've ever seen. In my opinion, I'm a do Bronx fan.
• 47:13
  Speaker 3: I'm biased, so he's my preferred play. He's my favorite
• 47:16
  Speaker 3: play on the card, But I don't know that I
• 47:21
  Speaker 3: want to go seventy thirty on them. I'm kind of
• 47:23
  Speaker 3: I might just let the ship to Myser do its
• 47:25
  Speaker 3: thing and just put in high projections on both of them.
• 47:28
  Speaker 4: Maybe I'll go like one hundred.
• 47:30
  Speaker 3: And ten on olive Era and like eighty on Chandler
• 47:34
  Speaker 3: to where it forces it into lineup. So I'll just
• 47:37
  Speaker 3: keep messing with it as it builds and gives me
• 47:41
  Speaker 3: my exposures. But that's kind of what I'm thinking. Just
• 47:43
  Speaker 3: put some high scores for both of these guys and
• 47:46
  Speaker 3: hope that it is in ninety six to one hundred
• 47:49
  Speaker 3: percent of my lineups. But give me du Bronx to
• 47:53
  Speaker 3: get a submission at some point. I never pick against
• 47:56
  Speaker 3: the Bronx.
• 47:58
  Speaker 1: That makes sense. Yeah, I'm gonna make a rule so
• 48:02
  Speaker 1: I know I'm gonna have a one hundred percent on
• 48:04
  Speaker 1: the all be overweight, whether fields at ninety two, eighty eight,
• 48:07
  Speaker 1: whatever it may be. And I'm really gonna have to
• 48:10
  Speaker 1: track line movement, try and get a better idea of
• 48:12
  Speaker 1: ownership again. Forty eight forty seven, Olivera one higher own
• 48:16
  Speaker 1: my preferred place Chandler because of the dogs we need
• 48:19
  Speaker 1: on this card. If it's a little wider gap, I
• 48:21
  Speaker 1: think Olivera. But maybe I'll just go fifty to fifty
• 48:24
  Speaker 1: on both, and I know I'm slightly overweight on both
• 48:27
  Speaker 1: as well, that's it's not gonna be a strong lean
• 48:29
  Speaker 1: for me on either side. But I'm not gonna make
• 48:31
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna make sure I don't have over seventy percent
• 48:34
  Speaker 1: on one side. I do know that main event time, baby,
• 48:39
  Speaker 1: main event time. My wish has said John Jones versus
• 48:41
  Speaker 1: Tom aspinall. Hopefully one day we can pray instead. John
• 48:45
  Speaker 1: Jones taking on steep Bay and Yojic. John Jones a
• 48:49
  Speaker 1: big favorite minus six fifty steep A plus four to
• 48:52
  Speaker 1: seventy five on the way back, minus five hundred for
• 48:54
  Speaker 1: this fight to finish, John Jones minus three hundred inside
• 48:58
  Speaker 1: the distance steep A plus five seventy five. John Jones
• 49:02
  Speaker 1: in round one plus three hundred. Already told you guys
• 49:06
  Speaker 1: what I'm doing. I am not playing any steep A
• 49:09
  Speaker 1: the big dog. If I were to play a big dog,
• 49:11
  Speaker 1: it would be steep A. We haven't at seventeen percent,
• 49:14
  Speaker 1: though I don't think there's a seven Like I don't
• 49:18
  Speaker 1: think Stevee wins this fight seventeen percent of the time.
• 49:21
  Speaker 1: I don't know if I'm buying too much into like
• 49:23
  Speaker 1: the narrative and all that, but I just don't see
• 49:26
  Speaker 1: how Dana like I just don't understand how Dana could
• 49:30
  Speaker 1: this fight could happen. Stepe wins. After everything Dana's done,
• 49:33
  Speaker 1: after everything John Jones is done, Legacy gone all. This
• 49:37
  Speaker 1: feels like if it gets tough on the feet, John
• 49:40
  Speaker 1: Jones can get it to the mat. It feels on
• 49:42
  Speaker 1: the feet though, John Jones steep picking crack, but it
• 49:45
  Speaker 1: feels like John Jones still with a huge reach as
• 49:49
  Speaker 1: you can see four inches on the stone, same in heights.
• 49:53
  Speaker 1: It feels like it's John Jones. Man. I don't see
• 49:55
  Speaker 1: how he lose this fight. I do think eventually he
• 49:57
  Speaker 1: does get takedowns styles on him. I think he brings
• 50:00
  Speaker 1: back to the twelve to six elbows and tries to
• 50:03
  Speaker 1: prove a point. What do you see?
• 50:06
  Speaker 3: Yeah, John Jones is the greatest fighter we've ever seen,
• 50:12
  Speaker 3: and he looks pretty good right now too.
• 50:14
  Speaker 4: I think Meosic is like, what.
• 50:17
  Speaker 3: Is he forty one? Forty two years old? Now forty two?
• 50:21
  Speaker 3: We haven't seen him in like four years. He is
• 50:24
  Speaker 3: the greatest heavyweight.
• 50:25
  Speaker 4: Of all time.
• 50:26
  Speaker 3: He's a good wrestler, he's a great boxer. He's got power,
• 50:31
  Speaker 3: he's got volume. So I mean I like everything about Miosic.
• 50:34
  Speaker 3: If Myosick wins, he's on the optimal lineup. I mean,
• 50:38
  Speaker 3: I've never picked against John Jones, not going to start now,
• 50:40
  Speaker 3: so John Jones is going to be my pick at
• 50:42
  Speaker 3: ninety five hundred dollars. My worry would be that this
• 50:44
  Speaker 3: is too much of a striking match and he just
• 50:47
  Speaker 3: doesn't get there. But if he looks to wrestleman, I
• 50:50
  Speaker 3: think he is the best wrestler we've ever seen, and
• 50:54
  Speaker 3: he's the most dangerous with his elbows that we've ever
• 50:57
  Speaker 3: seen on the ground too, So that's what I would
• 50:59
  Speaker 3: want him to be doing.
• 51:01
  Speaker 4: And if the.
• 51:01
  Speaker 3: Striking is close, then I would imagine he falls back
• 51:04
  Speaker 3: onto it.
• 51:05
  Speaker 4: So I do like John Jones.
• 51:07
  Speaker 3: I prefer him over Bo Nicol, but he is the
• 51:12
  Speaker 3: one who I would see wins the fight and doesn't
• 51:15
  Speaker 3: make the optimal lineup.
• 51:17
  Speaker 4: Maybe it's just like.
• 51:18
  Speaker 3: A lot of like two three rounds to start are
• 51:21
  Speaker 3: on the feet and he's not looking for any takedowns.
• 51:24
  Speaker 3: I think it could be too late at that point
• 51:25
  Speaker 3: at a ninety five dollars price tag, but I don't know.
• 51:29
  Speaker 3: I mean, he's great to ever do it. If he
• 51:31
  Speaker 3: wants to wrestle, I think he could score one hundred
• 51:32
  Speaker 3: and fifty points.
• 51:34
  Speaker 1: Yeah. That that's the reason I'm not playing step A
• 51:38
  Speaker 1: is because it allows me more fight fades, Like I
• 51:40
  Speaker 1: really don't think STEVEE wins when I don't play John Jones.
• 51:44
  Speaker 1: I'm overweight on fight fades, and I could be overweight
• 51:47
  Speaker 1: on John Jones if I wanted to be the wrestling
• 51:50
  Speaker 1: upside with John Jones definitely is what makes him a
• 51:53
  Speaker 1: better play than Nickel for cheaper, Hoofy for cheaper ONNAMA
• 51:56
  Speaker 1: for cheaper. I still do prefer oh Ver if I
• 51:59
  Speaker 1: to pick, because it is just amazing DFS score and
• 52:02
  Speaker 1: the five hundred savings. But I'll be jamming that fight.
• 52:06
  Speaker 1: If you are going John Jones only vari or something
• 52:08
  Speaker 1: like that, be careful, like I don't think your next
• 52:11
  Speaker 1: two shut spot should be like Jim Miller or more
• 52:15
  Speaker 1: or something like that. Again, we will have ownership projections
• 52:18
  Speaker 1: all the contents we'll be up tomorrow's. You can see
• 52:21
  Speaker 1: everything under here is offered for MMA our projections ownership.
• 52:25
  Speaker 1: You will be able to see the clear pivot spots,
• 52:28
  Speaker 1: the clear leverage when you do click ownership. All of
• 52:32
  Speaker 1: this will be color coded projections. Ownership will be in
• 52:36
  Speaker 1: what they weigh in at will be filled in as well.
• 52:39
  Speaker 1: College football going on this week, NFL, PGA, NBA, no
• 52:43
  Speaker 1: matter time, get over Big Night Yesterday in the NBA
• 52:46
  Speaker 1: streets have the promo code NBA fifty No better deal
• 52:49
  Speaker 1: out there, get you fifty percent off your first month.
• 52:52
  Speaker 1: Include Chip Tomizer as well, Big Marley. Final thoughts before
• 52:56
  Speaker 1: we get on out of here. Good work is always.
• 52:59
  Speaker 3: Yeh Final thoughts, if you want to build your bank
• 53:02
  Speaker 3: roll for this card, go throw a bunch of money
• 53:05
  Speaker 3: on Jake Paul and we're getting the stude at minus
• 53:09
  Speaker 3: two hundred are better against a fifty eight year old?
• 53:11
  Speaker 3: I think that's super sharp money. So that's my big
• 53:15
  Speaker 3: bet in a long time.
• 53:16
  Speaker 4: Jake Paul.
• 53:16
  Speaker 3: Let's go there and then hopefully that's fun. Then we
• 53:20
  Speaker 3: have a banger card here, roll into free money Sunday.
• 53:22
  Speaker 4: I can't wait for this weekend. Congrats once again, do
• 53:25
  Speaker 4: you title? Good luck this weekend. Good luck to everybody listening.
• 53:27
  Speaker 1: Let's ship it, thank you and I do love that bet?
• 53:31
  Speaker 1: Is it on DraftKings FanDuel? What bucks can we get that?
• 53:34
  Speaker 3: I got it on DraftKings at minus two hundred today
• 53:39
  Speaker 3: I saw minus one sixty on MGM as well.
• 53:42
  Speaker 1: So wow, Unfortunately I can't get more than a dollar
• 53:45
  Speaker 1: down there, but I will be looking for that. I do, yeah,
• 53:48
  Speaker 1: I mean put some bags a little harder, Tyson, I
• 53:51
  Speaker 1: mean drop that line even more. I'm definitely yeah.
• 53:53
  Speaker 3: I mean people are going to keep flocking to it,
• 53:55
  Speaker 3: so I could see it going down.
• 53:56
  Speaker 4: I'll keep throwing more on it. To be honest with you,
• 53:58
  Speaker 4: I like it.
• 53:59
  Speaker 1: That'll be a I'll be cheering it on. Good stuff.
• 54:01
  Speaker 1: Big Marley is always always enjoy talking to fights with you.
• 54:05
  Speaker 1: Good luck everybody out there, appreciate every single one watching
• 54:08
  Speaker 1: like button subscribe button on the way out, thirteen fights,
• 54:11
  Speaker 1: Madison Square Garden. Good luck. Let's make some money for
• 54:14
  Speaker 1: Big Marley. I'm titled ll be safe. Peace