Latest / SILVER / GOLD / $UFD Meme Coin Investing & Global Economics / 🚨 Silver Price - EXPLOSIVE Info YOU Must Hear! - (Gold Shockwave Update too)
Transcript
- 0:01We are living through an epic period of change in the silver
- 0:05and gold markets. There's so much happening.
- 0:08We got a lot to cover today. This is probably one of the
- 0:10biggest live stream videos that we have ever done together.
- 0:14We're going to talk about what's going on with China.
- 0:17We're going to look at some incredible charts about what's
- 0:20happening in the precious metals market.
- 0:22We're going to cover what's going on at the COMEX.
- 0:25And I've got a warning, warning for you.
- 0:28OK, last Sunday I came here, went out on a limb and said that
- 0:32I thought the silver price would be higher this week, and I was
- 0:36right. Look, I'm not always right.
- 0:38I'm by no means taking a victory lap, but I'm a little concerned
- 0:42about what may happen this week. I'll share with you why as we
- 0:46work our way through this video, because there's a ton to cover
- 0:51and a ton to think about. OK, First off, let's talk about
- 0:56the good momentum in the gold market because gold is the grand
- 1:00of the precious metals. If you're talking about silver,
- 1:03platinum, any precious metal out there?
- 1:06OK, gold is the granddaddy and we've got some good news going
- 1:09on with gold when we look at the charts right now.
- 1:13Let me pull this up for you. Hold on one second.
- 1:16I don't have Susie here today, guys.
- 1:19OK, Yep, there we go. This came from our friends at
- 1:22Silver Trade, $5129 gold. What an epic week we had gold
- 1:29sets new all time record high weekly close guys, we broke a
- 1:35record. Wait a minute, Let's have a
- 1:40little celebration. We broke a record.
- 1:42Don't forget. All right, It was just, what, a
- 1:44year and a half? Two years ago?
- 1:45You see that gold bear? Some of you are new.
- 1:48That gold bear had a blindfold on that said $2500 gold that we
- 1:52weren't going to take off till gold hit $2500 and people called
- 1:56us crazy. Now we have $5129 gold, which is
- 2:02the granddaddy of the precious metals, and we set a record.
- 2:07Why is that important? I'll explain to you why.
- 2:10OK, when we look at this chart, what that shows us in no
- 2:14uncertain terms is momentum. Look at this.
- 2:18OK, these are weekly closes in the gold price.
- 2:22Wow, is all we can say at this point.
- 2:25There's our I'm sorry, that's not weekly.
- 2:27I may be wrong on that. Anyway, I, I apologize, but
- 2:31nonetheless the important take away here is momentum, OK?
- 2:36Gold and silver have massive momentum and when things have
- 2:40momentum, they typically keep going.
- 2:43So we're going to keep an eye on that.
- 2:45Warning about the COMEX, OK? There's a lot of drama out
- 2:49there. The Comex is going to blow up,
- 2:51right? All this drama about the
- 2:52registered inventory versus the March contract delivery levels
- 2:57that are out there. I want to give you a very, very
- 3:00don't get, don't pin your hopes on this idea that in 10 days or
- 3:0511, seven days, the Comex is going to blow up.
- 3:07Anything is possible, OK, But it is extremely much more likely
- 3:12that they'll figure out a way to kick the can down the road when
- 3:15it comes to the Comex. I was putting the show together.
- 3:18There's all kinds of people out there putting out these posts
- 3:21like, oh, the eligible inventory went down registered.
- 3:24Still the registered inventory, which is the important number,
- 3:28that's the amount of silver in the Comex vault that's available
- 3:32to actually satisfy the contracts.
- 3:34It is definitely, excuse me, definitely at very low stressed
- 3:42out levels, no doubt about it. I don't know, 90 million oz,
- 3:45something like that. And I think there's around 300
- 3:48million of outstanding in the futures contract still.
- 3:52But guys, the reality is this, anyone telling you that the
- 3:56COMEX is going to blow up is probably 99 point something
- 4:00percent wrong. OK, They will find a way to kick
- 4:03that can down the road. But, and it's a big butt and I
- 4:07like big butts. I will not lie.
- 4:11Let me tell you something. At minimum, we know that the
- 4:14Comex is under huge, huge stress.
- 4:17Will the Comex blow up someday? You know, blow out however you
- 4:21want to say it. What are they?
- 4:24I think the legal term is they'll, they'll declare force
- 4:27majeure. Oh, we can't deal.
- 4:29We can't deliver probably at some point.
- 4:32But the good news is what this shows us, there is massive
- 4:36stress right now in the silver market when it comes to physical
- 4:41silver and wait till you hear about China later on.
- 4:45Oh and by the way, this week, I think it's a toss up.
- 4:47I think this week when it comes to the gold and silver prices,
- 4:52we could go either way. OK, you may not want to hear
- 4:54that, but we could. And there's some interesting
- 4:58developments, especially with China.
- 5:00We could see more of an epic move in the silver market as
- 5:04well. And Speaking of silver, Oh well,
- 5:06gold broke a record. What about poor little silver?
- 5:11Well, let's go see what silver is on the verge of doing because
- 5:15this could be epic as well. This comes from Gold Silver HQ,
- 5:22the 10th green month in a row now incoming.
- 5:25This is for the silver price. This has never happened before
- 5:30the golden, oops, I mean silver age.
- 5:33And look at this chart for silver.
- 5:36These this is the monthly close for silver.
- 5:39And I did go out and count there.
- 5:41These are the candles. Each one of these candles, these
- 5:44green boxes represent one month. And for those of you who don't
- 5:48know, this is how you read a canvas called a Candlestick
- 5:52chart. OK, so I'm going to change my
- 5:55color. I don't like red.
- 5:56Not on this chart. No, we're going to go to green.
- 5:59So each one of these candles, see how they kind of look like
- 6:02candles, represents a month. As you see, there's a box that's
- 6:06colored in. OK, That is the, in this case,
- 6:09the weekly. Excuse me, the weekly open at
- 6:16the bottom and the top of that box is the monthly.
- 6:20I'm sorry, close. The Wick is the highest that it
- 6:23got during the month and the Wick on the bottom is the lowest
- 6:27that it got on the month. So in this month, right, It
- 6:30opened here, it closed right here, OK, And it got as high as
- 6:35up here and got as low as down here.
- 6:38The point is that we hold on here.
- 6:41Let's go back to his post. On a monthly basis, we are, we
- 6:46are approaching a point where we could actually have 10 months in
- 6:50a row of of an up price in the price of silver.
- 6:54Again, that's momentum and when things have momentum, they
- 6:58usually keep going. OK, and we're going to keep
- 7:00going as well. Sorry, I'm having some problems,
- 7:07some audio problems today with my voice instrument.
- 7:09You know what, you may be wondering what's in this box?
- 7:12I got a box from channel sponsor first, meant I wasn't even
- 7:17planning on doing it now, but let's open it up because I think
- 7:19there's a piece of silver in here and I can't wait to show it
- 7:23with you. It came to the house yesterday
- 7:26and we're going to open this up and see what's inside.
- 7:33Wow, everything from first Mint comes so well packaged.
- 7:38This came from our friends at FedEx.
- 7:40Oh man, look at the box. I mean it's it's I I swear it's
- 7:45like opening a an iPhone box and now you get to watch me
- 7:50struggle. They package everything so well.
- 7:53Oh boy, let's see if I can get this open.
- 7:57All right, that's a good start. I'm going to really just dig
- 8:03into this. I wanted to open it completely
- 8:06live for everybody. I think I know I have an idea
- 8:10what is in here. Oh man, look at that.
- 8:14So it's in this like really cool box and then wrapped in bubble
- 8:18wrap. Oh wow.
- 8:23Oh yes, wait till you see this guys.
- 8:33I was hoping oh, now it's even taped again.
- 8:35Hold on a second. I'm coming.
- 8:37Don't leave me, don't leave me. I know I should be wearing white
- 8:45gloves, which I have, but oh man, check this out.
- 8:50This is their new brand new year of the horse silver round.
- 8:58Look at that. See if we get the camera to
- 9:02really focus in on that. So there's the front, excuse me?
- 9:08And on the back you've got the first Mint logo in the middle
- 9:14and the Chinese calendar. Isn't that awesome?
- 9:17Wow, that is really beautiful. I'm going to, I forgot I'm live.
- 9:22I'm going to sit here and stare at it.
- 9:25Let me take you out to their website really quick.
- 9:27So they've got it on their website.
- 9:29It is available. It was as of Friday because I
- 9:32called to ask them to make sure and there's their year of the
- 9:37snake, there's the year of the dragon.
- 9:41There it is right there, the year of the horse.
- 9:43Look at that. Check that out.
- 9:50Again, guys, you can go to firstmint.com and make sure we
- 9:56were alive still. Yep, there you go.
- 9:58That was First mint.com, owned by First Majestic, the freshest
- 10:03silver on the market, right? It's mined in Mexico, shipped to
- 10:06Las Vegas, NV and then it's transformed into world class
- 10:09silver bullion products like the one we just looked at the year
- 10:12of the Horse coin, and then it goes straight to you.
- 10:15It is never touched by the COMEX or the LBMA.
- 10:18So you can say that it's spoof proof because you know they
- 10:21spoofed the price on the COMEX in the LBMA.
- 10:24But check it out at first meant.com.
- 10:26Thank you first meant I'm I don't know what to say.
- 10:29I'm so excited and and very feel very spoiled to have one of the
- 10:33new year, the horse coin. I apologize guys.
- 10:38My allergies are acting up today.
- 10:41Let's move on. Let's talk about the silver
- 10:43deficit, big news about that and China.
- 10:47Remember the Chinese are on on celebrating Chinese New Year,
- 10:51the year of the horse. But we've got some interesting
- 10:53developments out of China and what we might expect next week
- 10:57and what that means for the overall silver market and the
- 11:01silver price. Let's head out here first and
- 11:05look at what's going on with the deficit.
- 11:07We got big news, OK, out of UBS, who is the the big giant Swiss
- 11:13bank super respected. They're talking about the silver
- 11:17deficit for 2026. And at UBS now sees the silver
- 11:21deficit rising 2 1/2 times to 300 million ounces in 2026.
- 11:30This would mark the 6th consecutive year silver deficits
- 11:33300 million oz. Silver deficit in a market with
- 11:36above ground stockpiles depleted an annual global output of only
- 11:42800 million oz. You're not bullish enough on
- 11:46silver. And there's the the quote.
- 11:48This is getting a lot of attention all over within the
- 11:51silver community. But wait, there's more because I
- 11:55want to look at this from our friend Luke Equal Mima, who says
- 11:59silver deficits are piling up. OK, over the past five years,
- 12:03the deficit, cumulative deficit when you add them all together
- 12:07is almost 800 million oz. That is equivalent to roughly
- 12:11one year of global silver mine supply.
- 12:13Over the past decade, industrial demand has surged by about 20%
- 12:19to 67% of total demand. And when we look at this chart,
- 12:24OK, when we look at this chart, here's the five years.
- 12:27Hold on here, let's get a let's get a color that sticks out like
- 12:31light blue. OK, look, right, here's the five
- 12:34years that we've had a deficit these five years right here.
- 12:372021, twenty, 223-2425, right? You probably could have figured
- 12:43that out yourself. But what I want to point out on
- 12:46here is the deficit has been going down, right?
- 12:50It got smaller and smaller over the last years.
- 12:52However, let's get red. Let's draw 2026 on here.
- 12:59They are now saying look over here, this is 1,000,000 millions
- 13:02of Oz, OK? There's 250 million oz. 300
- 13:07million oz would mark a new record.
- 13:09And on this chart it would look something like this, OK, OK,
- 13:18Now, so that's point number one. We would have a new record when
- 13:21it comes to deficits #2 it reverses that trend that we've
- 13:27already had. And #3 the question, it begs the
- 13:31question, how much, How much rainy, rainy day?
- 13:35Rainy day fund Silver is there above ground, right?
- 13:39Like we have been pulling silver out of what I like to refer to
- 13:42as the rainy day fund for the last five years.
- 13:46We're now in our sixth year of borrowing against the future.
- 13:49It'd be like if you had a savings account where you had
- 13:52$10,000 in and every year for the last five years you pulled
- 13:56out 1000 because you were spending more than you were
- 13:59bringing in, pulled out 2000, and now you're coming to a point
- 14:02this year where you may have to pull out 3000.
- 14:05OK, so we when it comes to silver in the fundamental story,
- 14:09this deficit situation is critically important.
- 14:13There is not an unlimited supply of silver on the planet as a
- 14:17whole, but there's not an unlimited supply of silver in
- 14:22Grandpa's rainy day fund either. At some point, if the, if we
- 14:26keep using more silver, then we then then we produce every
- 14:31single year and pull silver out of that rainy day fund.
- 14:34Eventually it runs out, right? Who knows exactly when.
- 14:38We don't know. Some people would say it's
- 14:40happening right now. It's happening right now.
- 14:42Well, we don't know that for sure, right?
- 14:44And some people would argue, yeah, but there's all this
- 14:47silver and silverware and scrap and blah, blah, blah.
- 14:49And there's a certain point to that.
- 14:51However, I would argue that a lot of that scrap silver hit
- 14:56that that is that would be turned in, has already been
- 14:59turned in. And when we look at that
- 15:01fundamental story for silver, it continues to look better and
- 15:05better and better. OK, OK.
- 15:07How about, and maybe that's why, maybe that's why this is getting
- 15:12renewed interest again. So I wanted to pull it up for
- 15:14you. And then we're going to talk
- 15:16about the craziness with China. But, but maybe that's why one of
- 15:21the world's biggest banks and one of the biggest banks and,
- 15:24and in the United States, Bank of America has said something
- 15:27really shocking about silver. And all of a sudden everybody's
- 15:31paying attention to this. Again, this came from the coin
- 15:34paper silver price forecast from Bank of America eyes, $309
- 15:42silver amid tight supply. Bank of America talks about,
- 15:47according to this article, and we've covered this, but it's
- 15:50getting renewed interest, 309 silver amid 2026 deficits.
- 15:56Didn't we just talk about that and investment surge?
- 15:59All right, trading around $85 an ounce now, but we're going to
- 16:03look at the other consensus targets as well.
- 16:05Let's get down here 2026 outlook and bank projections analysts
- 16:11project 6 straight year of global silver deficits with
- 16:14demand outpacing supply by 10s of millions of Oz that despite
- 16:18softer industrial use in solar and electronics investment
- 16:23demand via ETF's. This is important coins and bars
- 16:28is forecast to jump 20%. We that's the turbo button guys.
- 16:33That's the you know and don't, not to mention what nobody still
- 16:37talks about, which is the tokenization of silver, which is
- 16:40the double, double dingo, triple turbo button.
- 16:44That's another major, another major force that can continue to
- 16:49propel the silver price higher. That will offset any
- 16:52manufacturing slowdowns and compressing the gold to silver
- 16:57ratio towards historic bull market norms.
- 17:01So they talk about, they call it thrifting when the manufacturers
- 17:05find ways to use less silver, but they just can't do it.
- 17:08It's like like we talked about yesterday, it's like grandma.
- 17:12Grandma has to put real sugar in her sugar cookies or her
- 17:17chocolate chip cookies. She can't use anything else.
- 17:20So it really doesn't matter how much grandma has to pay for her
- 17:24sugar, she's going to buy it. Bank of America Here we go leads
- 17:28the bullish charge, forecasting silver could hit $309 per oz by
- 17:35year end if ratio compression accelerates alongside monetary
- 17:40easing and ETF inflows, implying over a 250% upside from here now
- 17:46consensus targets. These are all the other banks
- 17:50cluster around 90 to $150.00 silver with outliers like a $170
- 17:57silver. If deficits widen, pull backs to
- 18:0070 and 75 dollars are seen as buy zones in this regime.
- 18:08I mean, Can you believe what we are talking about right now,
- 18:11guys? Let's go look at the silver
- 18:14price. I think was it 84 something on
- 18:17on Friday? Here we go.
- 18:19Yeah, $84.77 in the silver market on Friday.
- 18:25Can you believe what we are talking about?
- 18:27Bank of America? Hello.
- 18:30Are we dreaming together? I'm telling you, two years ago,
- 18:34if we had sat down here, if I told you that Bank of America
- 18:38two and two years ago was going to be talking about $309 silver,
- 18:43you would have said that. I was.
- 18:46People said we were crazy for talking about $50 silver back
- 18:49then, which we did. We talked about $85 silver.
- 18:53There's the video going around where we sat down here together,
- 18:56us basement dwellers, and talked about $85 silver.
- 18:59And by the way, we have 1400 people on a Saturday night.
- 19:03Welcome to the basement. We're having a silver party and
- 19:06a gold party and a platinum party.
- 19:08Platinum's doing awesome. I will try to cover a little
- 19:11more on platinum in the future. You guys have been asking for
- 19:13that. But hey, thank you for being
- 19:15here. This is incredible.
- 19:16What this means that you, you are here, I am here.
- 19:20There's 14, 100 people live. It means there's more and more
- 19:25people coming into the silver and gold market.
- 19:28And I'm telling you, that's like the remember when you were a kid
- 19:30and you would go to the arcade and you put your quarter in and
- 19:33you play the driving game and you got like 3 turbos you could
- 19:37press while you were driving. We haven't even pressed the
- 19:40turbo button, which is the Western investor coming back
- 19:44into the silver market. The industrial users, they've
- 19:48been pressing the turbo button a little bit.
- 19:50Guys, it it is we're going to get super, super, super
- 19:54interesting. Oh, OK, let's look at a chart
- 19:56and then let's talk about China. We're going to look at a chart
- 19:59next. That's super encouraging is a
- 20:04good way to say it for those of us that are in the that are in
- 20:07the silver market. Before I do that, I want to say
- 20:09thank you to 1st Mining Gold for sponsoring Ron's basement.
- 20:13If you want gold in the ground in Canada, do yourself a favor
- 20:17and check out first Mining Gold. They're a development stage
- 20:20company with two huge. Projects in Canada, Spring Pool
- 20:23in Ontario and the one that I personally visited, Du Parquet
- 20:27in Quebec. This is gold in the ground being
- 20:30worked through the development stage, but it's millions of Oz.
- 20:33These are massive, massive gold deposits and projects in the big
- 20:38mining companies are starting to pay attention.
- 20:41I'm not a stock broker, a financial advisor.
- 20:44Always do your own research. It's a stock that I own, but I
- 20:48owned it long before they sponsored my my, my US Ron's
- 20:52basement channel. That's the word I'm looking for,
- 20:56but great company. You can learn more about them at
- 20:59firstmininggold.com. OK, let's talk about the
- 21:02pattern, the exciting pattern that we have right now, chart
- 21:07analysis. Let's put on our chart analysis
- 21:10hats and boom, wrong one. Here we go.
- 21:14Should be on the right one. This is from our friend Rashad,
- 21:17who's always giving us some great insights into what's
- 21:20happening in Silver and he's been very accurate as of late.
- 21:24This is interesting guys. This is a wedge pattern.
- 21:27Well, let me let me read what he wrote to you, Silver's breakout
- 21:30in progress. This was from a couple days ago
- 21:33and I want to show you something very interesting.
- 21:35But this right, see these two lines, That's a wedge pattern.
- 21:40Anytime there's a wedge pattern in any trading asset, I don't
- 21:44care if it's stocks, bonds, mutual funds and whatever, OK,
- 21:48when there's a wedge, eventually the price has to break out.
- 21:51OK, this one started back here on.
- 21:56Let me get this up the 4th of February.
- 22:00You can see right there is the top where the wedge started and
- 22:03then has gone on now for what, almost two weeks?
- 22:07We broke out right here. I'm going to circle it for now,
- 22:11but I'm going to erase that so you can see it.
- 22:13We broke out, but that was before yesterday.
- 22:17So we have now broken out more into that's $84.
- 22:23We have now broken out more into this range right here.
- 22:26Let me draw that better for you here.
- 22:28You know what, let's do it with a green line.
- 22:30So we broke out of this wedge pattern.
- 22:33These are short term patterns, OK?
- 22:35However, when we consider that in conjunction with a 45 year
- 22:44cup and handle pattern that we have in the silver market,
- 22:48right, going all the way back to 1980, from 1980 through 2011, a
- 22:53massive cup being formed and then a handle that we whoa,
- 22:57whoa, whoa, whoa, broke out of. The point here is that the long
- 23:03term charts and that long term cup and handle pattern in silver
- 23:08is one for the record books. Why?
- 23:09How are all these people in my basement 1600 people?
- 23:13Wow. Anyway, you're freaking me out.
- 23:17That's a 45 year cup and handle pattern.
- 23:19The best, smartest minds in the world of chart technical
- 23:23analysis will say that the 45 year cup and handle pattern in
- 23:27silver is the most epic textbook example of a cup and handle
- 23:31pattern of anything in the history of the universe.
- 23:34Well, at least there's nothing that tops it in The longer than
- 23:38a cup and handle pattern goes, the more reliable it is in, the
- 23:41more powerful the breakout is. Now back to what Rashad showed
- 23:45us. All that was only two weeks,
- 23:47right? But still, you, when you layer
- 23:50these things on top of each other, man, the opportunity for
- 23:53silver in particular is unbelievable right now.
- 23:59China, look, look, last week was good in the silver market.
- 24:06What about next week? Let me tell you the potential
- 24:10for next week, and a lot of that has to do with our friends in
- 24:13China. On Tuesday, it's not going to be
- 24:16Taco Tuesday. It's going to be, I don't know,
- 24:19Tan Tan, whatever. However they say it in Chinese,
- 24:22it's going to be silver and Gold Tuesday because on Tuesday the
- 24:26Chinese metals markets reopen. They've been closed for Chinese
- 24:30New Year for like 9 days or 10 days, something crazy like that.
- 24:34So silver, silver and gold have been in really in the hands of
- 24:37the COMEX in the LBMA. And a lot of people said, oh,
- 24:41they were going to smash the price.
- 24:42Smash the price. We knew, we knew otherwise.
- 24:44We already covered that. But Tuesday the Chinese come
- 24:48back OK. And it could get very, very
- 24:51interesting. It it could it minimum represent
- 24:55a wave of new demand for silver and gold.
- 24:58What do you think they're all talking about?
- 25:00If they're Chinese, you're the horse.
- 25:02Celebrations, you know they love You got to remember something
- 25:05guys. China and India love precious
- 25:09metals. It's not like what we are in the
- 25:11United States where like people are like, you know what it's
- 25:14like sheep noise warning right where you are.
- 25:17You and I are like one in one in 100 people now.
- 25:22Well, maybe more. We got almost 2000 people on
- 25:25this live stream down in the basement.
- 25:27But anyway, you get my point, OK, over in China and in India,
- 25:32it's completely different. Over there, like 99% of the
- 25:36people love silver, gold. But here in the United States of
- 25:39America, I dare you, go pick one of your random neighbors, knock
- 25:42on their door and say I'd like to talk to you about silver and
- 25:45gold. They don't know.
- 25:46They don't get it. They're too busy watching CNN,
- 25:49right? Believing everything they see on
- 25:51their TV, they don't know about the Fiat money system.
- 25:54They don't know about the US national debt.
- 25:56They don't know about the fact that every Fiat currency that's
- 25:59ever been created in the history of the world, like 99% of them
- 26:03have become, become worthless. No, right.
- 26:06And we affectionately refer to those people as the sheeple, and
- 26:15we love them, right? The thing is, when they wake up,
- 26:18they're going to become like the Chinese.
- 26:21They're going to, we're going to have there, but there's not
- 26:23going to be any silver and gold. But think about how fast it
- 26:26sells out, like during C-19 just recently, right, the big silver
- 26:31bullion dealers were like, sorry, we have shipping delays,
- 26:34we don't have product, blah, blah.
- 26:36You know, it's going to be interesting.
- 26:37I digress. This week is going to be crazy
- 26:40when it comes to the to the metals potentially.
- 26:43OK, And then I'll give you another warning.
- 26:45But let's go here first. Let's talk about China's silver
- 26:50supply crunch because this is a really great article from FX
- 26:55leaders. It gives us a quick rundown of
- 26:58what's happening in China in green wrong.
- 27:01Here we go. I don't have upstairs Susie,
- 27:03she's not here. We're we're busy in real life.
- 27:06But anyway, it's China's silver vaults are emptying fast amid
- 27:11global price consolidation. Global silver prices have
- 27:15stabilized after an incredible period of volatility, but
- 27:18China's supply is constrained as investment and industrial demand
- 27:24depletes stockpiles. We got 4 points that really sum
- 27:28things up. Global silver prices have
- 27:31stabilized after a period of volatility.
- 27:33But China's supply, you just said that is constrained due to
- 27:36depleting stockpiles. OK #2 in orange, a backlog of
- 27:40orders is causing Chinese domestic producers to struggle,
- 27:46leading to increased short term prices and significant
- 27:51backwardation in the market. Remember, backwardation is when
- 27:56the spot price is higher than the futures price.
- 27:59In a normal market, the spot price should be lower than the
- 28:04futures price. And when a market that's called
- 28:06contango, by the way, write that down.
- 28:09But in a, in a screwed up market, when there's
- 28:12backwardation, that means people are willing to pay much more at
- 28:17the spot for the immediate delivery of anything.
- 28:20This can be any commodity, but we're talking about silver,
- 28:23right? That's a very, that's a sign
- 28:25that there's massive stress in the market in potential for who
- 28:30knows what to happen. We won't even speculate in
- 28:32green. The Shanghai Futures Exchange
- 28:36has seen a record premium for front month contracts,
- 28:41highlighting the demand for timely delivery of silver.
- 28:45That's what we just talked about.
- 28:46That's backwardation, right? There's a premium, meaning
- 28:49people will pay more for front month contracts, which means the
- 28:53contract that is due sooner as as opposed to later in red.
- 28:58This is interesting. Short sellers are paying
- 29:01deferral fees to avoid deliveries, reflecting the
- 29:06ongoing inventory crisis and lack of available metal.
- 29:10So short sellers are people that sell them like the name implies,
- 29:15right? They sell, they, they get the
- 29:17the metal or the contract to get the metal.
- 29:20They sell it OK, thinking they can buy it back at a future date
- 29:24at a lower price. They are now under a lot of
- 29:27stress and paying deferral fees. And don't forget, right, we've
- 29:30got this guy Mr. Beyond over in China, like the Chinese
- 29:33billionaire who made billions going long on gold during 2025,
- 29:38who now has a massive, I think it's like we calculated what,
- 29:4215,000,000 outs, 14,000,000 outs, short position in the
- 29:47Chinese futures markets. And then on top of that, but
- 29:51wait, there's more. The Chinese regulators put out
- 29:54these new rules that said basically and when when they
- 29:58come back, they're limiting people's ability to actually
- 30:00trade into short silver. There is so much going on guys
- 30:05in China on top of the fact that on Tuesday they're going to be
- 30:09back in the market. It's going to get interesting.
- 30:12It's crazy. And then we get we get the the
- 30:14the fact that here's on the ground like data about China and
- 30:19what's going on with silver as well.
- 30:21And this comes talks about, well, let's just read it and
- 30:24then we'll pull it all together because this is just really
- 30:27truly unprecedented. Our friend Cyril Zubert put this
- 30:30out the rush for silver, he says if the largest, hold on, here we
- 30:36go. Yep, you're on there at the
- 30:37largest recycling company. And Shenzhen is offering about
- 30:42$93. A recycling company is offering
- 30:46$93 per oz to buy back pure silver.
- 30:51You can imagine that when the Shanghai Gold Exchange reopens
- 30:55on Tuesday, OK, TomTom Tuesday, silver will be once again much
- 31:02higher. All right, he says this.
- 31:04I'll just finish the next paragraph.
- 31:05The silver prices on the futures of the Comex, some people call
- 31:09it the Crimex, went up nearly 9% Friday to close at $84.77.
- 31:15Very far away from the price of the real physical in China.
- 31:21Silver should rush Monday and climb more than 11%.
- 31:25Wow to avoid all its stocks being drained by the Chinese
- 31:29banks. Guys, think about that.
- 31:31Think about that. The, the, the price that we're
- 31:35looking at for the Chinese. According to Cyril, Chinese
- 31:39recyclers are paying, that's what they're paying the general
- 31:42public. Those are usually the lowest
- 31:45prices around. When I drive down, you probably
- 31:47drive around in your, your neck of the woods too, and you see
- 31:50those signs up and you know, we buy silver, we buy gold, we buy
- 31:54your scrap gold, your silver, whatever.
- 31:57Those places always offer the lowest price around recyclers.
- 32:02I think a recycler for silver is going to offer the lowest
- 32:07possible price they can for silver because they're in the
- 32:10business of melting it down and then reselling it into a bigger
- 32:15market. So if a recycler is offering the
- 32:18general public a price that is significantly higher, Hello,
- 32:24right. Then what?
- 32:25Then what they're being quoted on the Comex and the LBMA.
- 32:30Think about that for a minute. Think about this as well.
- 32:33This is crazy. It's all coming together for us
- 32:36silver investors. We talked about yesterday that
- 32:40that Hecla Mining right, the United States oldest and largest
- 32:45silver mining company reported their fourth quarter earnings
- 32:50OK, October, November, December. And they said that their average
- 32:54sales price for silver, when they sold physical silver
- 32:57throughout that whole 3 month period, the average was like
- 33:01close to $70 per oz. However, isn't it interesting to
- 33:06note that what the COMEX said, the average silver price was
- 33:10during that same three month period of October, November,
- 33:13December was $55. So you got a silver miner
- 33:17saying, yeah, on average we sold silver at 70 an ounce.
- 33:21And you got the COMEX saying, yeah, but the real the COMEX
- 33:24price, the Comex I got AI got something funny for you.
- 33:29The COMEX price for silver is $55 an ounce.
- 33:33I'm going to listen to what I think first.
- 33:35Majestic Silver also had similar numbers.
- 33:38I'm going to listen to what the I'm going to listen to what the
- 33:41actual physical miners are saying they're selling the metal
- 33:44for. Think about it.
- 33:45It makes sense. So next time you go out and you
- 33:48want to buy, let's say you're buying a car or you're buying,
- 33:51sorry, you go to a jewelry store and you're buying your your
- 33:54sweetheart or yourself or your partner, whatever, right.
- 33:57Some silver jewelry when they go to ring it up, say, oh, by the
- 34:00way, I want the comex price. Yeah.
- 34:05Well, don't forget, right here's our friend, our new coin, the
- 34:08year of the horse from first met, right?
- 34:11This has never been touched by the coma.
- 34:14This silver. Think about this piece of silver
- 34:16that I'm holding right here. Not only is it beautiful, I
- 34:19mean, that is look at that at different angles.
- 34:23Silver's hard to photograph because it's one of the most
- 34:26reflective metals or it is the most reflective metal.
- 34:30But this piece of silver from first Mint, this was mined in
- 34:34Mexico. It went to Las Vegas and it went
- 34:36to me. It really is spoof proof.
- 34:39We talked about that yesterday. Spoofing, which is what, what
- 34:42the, what the COMEX in the LBMA do to manipulate the price of
- 34:45silver and gold. Oh, guys, please subscribe to
- 34:48the channel upstairs. For those of you who are new,
- 34:52that's my wife upstairs, Susie. She usually is always here
- 34:56helping, but we've got kids and we're super busy.
- 34:59But she will kill me if I don't tell you to Please subscribe to
- 35:03the channel. She loves you guys.
- 35:05All right, we got a great we call ourselves basement
- 35:08dwellers. We got a great community of
- 35:10people in the gold. You are you are part of an
- 35:14incredible community of people. If you're in silver and gold,
- 35:17I've met some of the nicest people ever over the years,
- 35:20right. We'd love for you to come back
- 35:21and if you subscribe, which is free, OK, and you press the bell
- 35:26notification, you'll get notified every time we go live.
- 35:29I want to go out and check on the comments here real quick.
- 35:32Bear with me one second. Hey, we got a super chat.
- 35:36Wow, super sticker from our friend 4 Kings four.
- 35:41There he is. You're famous on the Internet.
- 35:44Anybody can be famous on the Internet, but you're famous when
- 35:47you come down here in the basement.
- 35:48We're going to have a great week next week.
- 35:51I'm super excited to see how this plays out.
- 35:53Just a warning, right? Don't expect the Comex to blow
- 35:58up. It could happen.
- 35:59I hope I'm wrong, but I'm pretty much sure that's not going to
- 36:03happen at least anytime here in the immediate future.
- 36:07But things are going to get crazy.
- 36:09Are you ready for Tuesday? Hold on a second.
- 36:13Yeah, right, Our friends in China.
- 36:16There's our Chinese calendar gone.
- 36:19Come back on Tuesday. Hey, I want you to come back
- 36:21again. Please subscribe to the channel.
- 36:24Have a great, great evening. Take care of yourself, Be good
- 36:27to yourself. And I will look forward to
- 36:29seeing you. Yes, I see you.
- 36:32You're important. I'm only down here because of
- 36:34this great community, basement dwellers.
- 36:37I'll see you next time. Thanks a lot.
- 36:39Have a great night.