Ground Signal Deep Dive: Markets & Economy — September 14, 2026
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FOMC Eve: The Fed begins its two-day meeting today with an 85% probability of a 25-basis-point hike priced in — but the real signal is in the dot plot. Hormuz escalates to Signal 5 watch. Brent at $105+. Gold near $4,383. BTC holds the 78,000 range. DV-2026 deadline: 16 days.
(00:00) - Ground State: FOMC Week Begins — Signal 4
(02:45) - Equities: S&P 500 futures +0.86%, Nikkei -0.94%, DAX +207pts, Lennar earnings Tuesday
(05:10) - Fixed Income & Rates: 10Y at 4.31%, FOMC dot plot the key…
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