Latest / Simply Bitcoin / How Much Bitcoin Do You Need to Retire in 2025? | EP 1060
Transcript
- 0:02It's all going to zero against Bitcoin.
- 0:06It's going up forever. You're against Bitcoin.
- 0:16You're against freedom. Have value.
- 0:25Bitcoin often gets criticized because people don't fully
- 0:28understand it. The biggest reason for this is
- 0:30because people use money without really knowing how it works.
- 0:34Why do we value the paper money in our wallets?
- 0:38Traditional money like the dollar is considered valuable
- 0:41despite consistently losing its purchasing power over time.
- 0:44We trust it because it's always been a part of our lives and
- 0:48governments say it has value. But what if we could redesign
- 0:51money? What qualities would we want
- 0:54that our current money does not have?
- 0:56Let's take a step back and think where you would rather save your
- 0:59wealth in a form of money that can be printed endlessly or
- 1:03money with a limited supply. Money printed endlessly drops in
- 1:07value over time, stealing wealth from those who save in it.
- 1:11Money should have a fixed supply to keep its value steady, like a
- 1:15bank transfer or wire over a weekend.
- 1:18It shouldn't take days and high fees to send money.
- 1:22Instead, money should always be highly portable, quick and easy
- 1:26to transfer, as cheap and fast as sending a text message.
- 1:30Money should not be controlled by anyone, so no one can seize,
- 1:34manipulate or block transactions.
- 1:37You can copy Bitcoins code, but not the value of the currency.
- 1:40All users agree on the real version of Bitcoin, which
- 1:43creates a powerful decentralized network that is too difficult to
- 1:47recreate. Bitcoin fulfills the properties
- 1:51of money exceptionally well. Because it is decentralized, it
- 1:55is secure from attacks and censorship resistant.
- 1:58The limited supply makes it scarce and useful for saving.
- 2:02And because it is digital, you can easily divide it and move it
- 2:05instantly across the world. Bitcoin is not as widely
- 2:09accepted as the dollar yet, but it also hasn't been around as
- 2:12long. As more people become familiar
- 2:15with Bitcoin, many see it as a superior form of money.
- 2:19As millions of users worldwide adopt Bitcoin, its network
- 2:22effect grows stronger, making it easier to buy spend in store.
- 2:26The more widely accepted it is, the more valuable it becomes to
- 2:30all users. Bitcoin combines the best of
- 2:33traditional money and digital assets.
- 2:35You might not need Bitcoin today or see the value, but billions
- 2:39around the world do. Those in oppressive regimes,
- 2:42those whose savings lose value and those who need to send money
- 2:46home cheaply. Yeah, welcome to simply Bitcoin
- 2:55live, your number one source for the peaceful Bitcoin revolution.
- 2:58Coverage can use culture romantic warfare.
- 3:00We will be your guide through the separation of money and
- 3:02state Shout out to River Financial for putting together a
- 3:05very well produced video explaining Bitcoin, why it's so
- 3:09important, why you know why it's valuable, what differentiates it
- 3:13from Fiat money and in a 2 1/2 minute video, we got to continue
- 3:18this trend. Remember, Remember, guys, it's
- 3:20like in the theme of the show, this is narrative trench warfare
- 3:24in the battlegrounds of the Internet, on the battlegrounds
- 3:26of the Internet, and we're winning.
- 3:27We're fighting for the hearts and minds of individuals who
- 3:31want to get people on Team Orange versus Team Fiat.
- 3:35ANYWAYS, so much stuff to cover on today's show.
- 3:39This is a topic that we do every so often, which is a topic that
- 3:43you guys really like. So we'll continue to give you
- 3:45guys what you like and the name of the topic of today's show or
- 3:49the topic of today's show. Better said is how much Bitcoin
- 3:52do you need to retire? Specifically, how much Bitcoin
- 3:54do you need to retire by the year 2025?
- 3:57Of course, that depends tremendously on on bitcoins
- 4:01price appreciation. If Bitcoin continues to follow
- 4:04its historic cycles, 2025 should be the parabolic year.
- 4:10We all know the meme 3 green one red.
- 4:13Basically what it indicates is that there's three up greens.
- 4:16There's three there's three years in the Bitcoin cycles that
- 4:21follow the having that are that are up.
- 4:24So they're green and then there's one year that is down.
- 4:26So this is the last year, the last green year and that tends
- 4:30to be the parabola year. Now, all that being said, that
- 4:33doesn't mean that, you know, Bitcoin is going to follow
- 4:37previous, you know, previous cycles, but I believe that it
- 4:41will, I believe that it's like hard corded in because of the
- 4:44halving. Halving causes a supply shock.
- 4:47You know, there's less cell pressure from the miners.
- 4:50And then of course, that makes the price go absolutely bananas.
- 4:53So I believe that's going to happen next year, but really no
- 4:56one knows. There's there's a lot of there's
- 4:58a lot of variables. So anyways, we're going to ask,
- 5:01we're going to ask, we're going to answer the question how much
- 5:03Bitcoin do you need to retire? We're going to incorporate
- 5:06Michael Saylor's predictions that he made at the Bitcoin 2024
- 5:10conference, the bear case, $3,000,000 Bitcoin, the base
- 5:14case $13 million Bitcoin and the bull case $49 million Bitcoin.
- 5:19And we'll kind of, you know, we'll, we'll kind of wind that
- 5:22into just the analysis and the conversation that we're going to
- 5:25have. Also in other news, Safedeen
- 5:27dropping hot fire. We have a clip of him just
- 5:30talking about Bitcoin. He has a way with words.
- 5:31I mean, this is the author of the Bitcoin Standard and it is
- 5:35Friday. We have been listening to our
- 5:37audience and at the end of the day, I said in the beginning,
- 5:39this is information narrative trench warfare.
- 5:42If memes are bullets are no, sorry if tweets are bullets,
- 5:46memes are artillery. So on today's culture we are
- 5:50going to do a meme review like you guys have been asking for so
- 5:54many weeks. Anyways, no more delay.
- 5:56Do want to bring up my Co host Optimus Fields.
- 5:59Sorry guys, I'm not in my usual studio.
- 6:00I'm streaming live from the beautiful Puerto Rico.
- 6:03I'm going to be here for the next couple weeks or so.
- 6:07But yeah man, can't complain. I can't complain.
- 6:10Opti how you doing? I am doing wonderful.
- 6:13I got some coffee in this morning.
- 6:15I'm up, you know. It's not decaff decaffeinated.
- 6:19It's not decaffeinated, Opti, so I'm sure to lose my mind at some
- 6:22point in the show cause your boys feeling pretty jittery
- 6:26right now, which is how I like to do the show.
- 6:28But man, it's Friday. We made it one more week.
- 6:31They allowed us to have one more week on planet Earth.
- 6:33So you got to love it that we're still here, we're still
- 6:36breathing. It's paradise, man.
- 6:38Life's great on the Bitcoin standard.
- 6:40Bitcoin's working, so you just love to see it.
- 6:42I know there's a lot of crazy stuff going on in the world and
- 6:45a lot of people are freaking out on Twitter, but hey, mental
- 6:49health is important. Go outside, touch some grass.
- 6:52We made it to another week and yeah, man, I can't complain
- 6:57ever. Like life's great.
- 6:59I, I truly enjoy what we do and it's, it seems like it's
- 7:02working. It seems like you guys love it.
- 7:04So I feel good, man. I feel, I feel the love today on
- 7:06on this Friday. And of course, and you go, we
- 7:08get to do a meme review today. You know, guys, you've been
- 7:11yelling at us. We've been trying to keep the
- 7:13show about an hour. Sometimes we go a little longer.
- 7:16We want to give it to you guys distilled.
- 7:18So it's, you know, an hour show so that it's palatable, so you
- 7:22guys can digest it. So these hour and a half shows
- 7:25are a little long, but hey, when we have a good guest on in
- 7:28Friday. Also also to be clear though, I
- 7:30have been talking with our scheduler, so Friday should be
- 7:33pretty open. So we'll continue to do the
- 7:36culture like we normally do, but you know, we'll, we'll hopefully
- 7:39get the meme reviews in for you guys more often.
- 7:42Absolutely, absolutely. Do you want to give the audience
- 7:45a taste, or do you want to just jump straight into the show?
- 7:48No, well, I I do all right, so this this meme review is going
- 7:52to be a little different. It's not just going to be static
- 7:53videos. I got this TikTok video of this
- 7:56girl trolling the the Kamala economic policy and it's
- 8:03absolutely hilarious. I think it's a really good meme
- 8:05and it's so good that I think people thought it was real.
- 8:08And this is the power of meme. So I got a video for you guys
- 8:11for today's meme review. And then of course, I got some
- 8:13solid memes on the back end. So yeah, I think you guys are
- 8:16going to love it. Beautiful, beautiful.
- 8:17All right everybody, before we jump into today's show, I do
- 8:21want to give a shout out to our lead sponsor.
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- 9:56All right, everybody, let's head to the numbers.
- 10:01Bitcoin numbers. Shout out to our sponsor, Stamp
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- 11:17se-ed.com website. At the time of recording the
- 11:21Bitcoin price is $61,750 sats per dollar 1619 block height
- 11:30858,115 blocks to having 191,885 having estimate March 25th 2028
- 11:42Total Lightning network capacity 4829 BTC.
- 11:48That's the equivalent of roughly 298 million U.S. dollars.
- 11:53Realize monetary inflation of Bitcoin continuing to take Fiat
- 11:57currencies to absolute school only 1.42% and that is going to
- 12:02continue to go down forever. Market capitalization of Bitcoin
- 12:06is currently sitting pretty at 1.22 trillion and Bitcoin verse
- 12:11gold market cap it's sitting at 7.06%.
- 12:16In the grand scheme of things, things are just getting getting
- 12:19started. Before we get into the news, I
- 12:22do want to focus on the video, the Safed Deans video, I do want
- 12:26to focus on two topics. We'll explore them in further
- 12:29detail on Monday's show, but RFK is expected to announce that he
- 12:35is dropping out of the race. No, no, cleared up Nico.
- 12:38He officially already did. He officially has dropped out of
- 12:41the race, but the other part of that news as it relates to
- 12:44Bitcoin, it looks like he it will be and the rumors are that
- 12:48he will be in endorsing Donald J Trump for president.
- 12:52As you guys know, we've been covering over the last couple of
- 12:54weeks, Donald Trump is the pro Bitcoin candidate.
- 12:58He has said so many times it's officially part of his policy.
- 13:02So you know, as it relates to Bitcoin, you know, just wanted
- 13:06to give you guys that news. In other news as well, a lot of
- 13:10people don't like Coinbase, specifically Bitcoiners, but I
- 13:12got to say this is pretty massive breaking news Shout out
- 13:16to our friends at Bitcoin Magazine for breaking this.
- 13:20Coinbase customers can now send up to $10,000 instantly via
- 13:26Bitcoin Lightning network. Coinbase has over 100 million
- 13:30users. So, I mean, I do find it a
- 13:33little, a little bit ironic that, you know, the, the, the
- 13:37infamous shit coin casino in the eyes of Bitcoiners is doing a
- 13:43whole lot for Bitcoin Lightning network adoption specifically, I
- 13:47mean, $10,000 instantly over Lightning.
- 13:50That's, I don't know if anyone else does that.
- 13:52That's pretty massive. Anyways, I do want to get to
- 13:54Safedeen's video. I'm going to play it for you
- 13:56guys and then Opti and I are going to react to it.
- 13:59Let's check it out. It's not optional.
- 14:01I mean you will either move there or you will watch your
- 14:06wealth lose it's value as the people who put their money there
- 14:09appreciate. You know what I mean?
- 14:11Just think about it, you know, if you have $1,000,000 and you
- 14:14put them in a currency that's constantly depreciating, where
- 14:16somebody has $10,000 and puts them in a currency that's
- 14:20constantly appreciating, it's only a matter of time until they
- 14:24overtake you. And, you know, people are not
- 14:26stupid. They will realise this and they
- 14:28will want to move forward. So the when I talk, when when I
- 14:31talk about Bitcoin adoption, people think of it as being
- 14:35like, say, Apple iPhone adoption.
- 14:38You know, it's very nice and very cute and then people will
- 14:41buy it. But I think that's not the model
- 14:42for Bitcoin. Bitcoin is more like gunpowder
- 14:44adoption. You know, if you think about it,
- 14:48did the, it's whether they decide, no, you know what, we
- 14:54like to keep it real with the sticks and stones and swords
- 14:57and, and we're not going to use gunpowder.
- 15:00If you know, any army that decided to do this, it didn't
- 15:04matter because then another army with gunpowder would come and
- 15:07take over France. So eventually everywhere in the
- 15:09world ended up with gunpowder, either because people adopted it
- 15:13or because it was used against them.
- 15:16And I think Bitcoin is like that.
- 15:17Bitcoin is like financial gunpowder.
- 15:19It's the safest way of sending money halfway around the world,
- 15:23the most secure way. And it's the hardest money that
- 15:26we've ever invented. So it's not something that is,
- 15:29you know, whether we should or want to or whether people, you
- 15:33know, we try to win people over. And this, you know, This is why
- 15:37my book is not marketing for Bitcoin because I don't think
- 15:39marketing for Bitcoin matters. At the end of the day, this is
- 15:41economic reality. The harder money will will win.
- 15:44You know, gold beats silver. And I discussed this in my book,
- 15:48not because, you know, there was better marketing for gold or
- 15:51there was better propaganda for gold beat silver because of
- 15:54economic reality. Gold grew at a much slower rate
- 15:57than silver. The value of silver declined.
- 15:59And I think this is this is really the, the, the case with,
- 16:03with with Bitcoin, I think in the long run.
- 16:05So I mean, absolutely bullish from safety.
- 16:07And I think there's a take that I've heard him talk about in the
- 16:10past, right, where, you know, Bitcoin is going to win
- 16:13regardless. You know, it's not a matter of
- 16:17should you adopt Bitcoin, it's a matter of necessity.
- 16:20And I think this applies to anywhere around the world.
- 16:23One of the trends or themes that you hear in American politics
- 16:27today. So my God, the American dream is
- 16:29dead. No, the American dream is alive
- 16:32and well. It's thriving.
- 16:34And in fact, it's been imported all the way all around the
- 16:37world. If you've been living on a
- 16:38Bitcoin standard like I have, like Opti has, like Michael
- 16:42Saylor has, like his company has, like El Salvador has, your
- 16:46life is getting progress. Everything around you is getting
- 16:49progressively cheaper over time. And if if you read Jeff Booth's
- 16:54book The Price of Tomorrow, he makes the case that that's the
- 16:58way that things should be. Like, the problem is that
- 17:02because of the manipulation of money by governments and central
- 17:05banks, it's not properly reflecting the the the deflation
- 17:11that everyone should be experiencing due to the
- 17:14increases of technology and therefore the increases in
- 17:17productivity without extra human work hours.
- 17:20Right. So, yeah, I mean, I think
- 17:23Saifuddin does an excellent job kind of describing it.
- 17:26The the fact that he's saying like, look, like this isn't an
- 17:29this isn't, this isn't an option.
- 17:30This isn't this isn't like an option.
- 17:32This is like you adopt it. Like, to put it bluntly, you
- 17:36adopt it or you die, you get you adopt it or you get left behind.
- 17:39And that's becoming incredibly clear.
- 17:41Like apply it to your guys's life.
- 17:43Like I promise you that if you are on a Bitcoin standard and
- 17:49your friends or your family, they're not on a Bitcoin
- 17:52standard, you will be guaranteed in a better position than them.
- 17:57Specifically if you guys are making the same amount of money,
- 18:00you guys have the same level of education, same amount of thing.
- 18:03And if you adopt A Bitcoin standard and they don't, I
- 18:06promise you that in four years, you're going to be in a much
- 18:09better economic position than they are.
- 18:12Right. And one last thing that I'll
- 18:13say, because I get this question all the time, which is Nico,
- 18:16like, how long does it take? And just from experience and
- 18:20just what I've seen like from people is it takes about roughly
- 18:244 years because most people get into Bitcoin when the price is
- 18:28going up. So like most people, it's, it's
- 18:31really four years. I would say it takes four years
- 18:34to start feeling the benefits of moving to a Bitcoin standard,
- 18:38and then it takes about eight years to be relatively wealthier
- 18:43compared to when you started, right?
- 18:45So that's what I've got to say about that.
- 18:47I think Safedeen absolutely killed it, like he always does.
- 18:49What's your take, Opti? Yeah, I mean, I absolutely love
- 18:53this meme of Bitcoin is like gunpowder.
- 18:56It's not a matter of like, oh, you can adopt it if you want to.
- 19:01I would say it's like a matter of survival.
- 19:02And we, we constantly talk about this, this idea that everyone on
- 19:06planet Earth has the same problem and we all have a bad
- 19:09money. Hence why us Bitcoiners always
- 19:11say fix the money, fix the world. 8 billion people or
- 19:14however many people are on planet Earth all have a very
- 19:17similar problem. And it is the fact that Fiat
- 19:19money is broken. And if you don't don't
- 19:21understand this, then you will get left behind.
- 19:23And this is kind of what we always try to do here on the
- 19:26show is find different examples to explain to people so that
- 19:29they can relate and understand exactly what the problem is that
- 19:33Bitcoin is solving. And it's just the exact thing.
- 19:35This is like a matter of survival.
- 19:37If you want to be prosperous moving into the end of 2020 and
- 19:41into 2030, you need to adopt Bitcoin.
- 19:44You need to be saving in Bitcoin.
- 19:46And I think this meme of Bitcoin is gunpowder is like one of the
- 19:48stronger memes out there because when you understand the
- 19:52historical significance of adopting gunpowder or
- 19:55transitioning from, say, swords or certain kind of weaponry to
- 20:00guns and cannons and stuff, it's very clearly illustrated in your
- 20:05mind, like what the stakes are here.
- 20:08And we're seeing that there already are companies and
- 20:11countries and of course, individuals like you guys out
- 20:13here that have already adopted the superior monetary
- 20:17technology. And this is what we try to
- 20:19explain to most people like it's not an option to own Bitcoin.
- 20:23You need to own Bitcoin if you want to be prosperous moving
- 20:26into the future. Because as we've been covering
- 20:28on the show for I don't even know how long, the last six
- 20:31months since Bitcoin, you know, or rather since politics landed
- 20:34on Bitcoin's door. There is two options here.
- 20:37It is ACBD see slavery dystopia versus a what we would hope a
- 20:43Bitcoin more individualistic, more prosperous future for
- 20:47people out there. And this just goes to show how
- 20:50early we're on the in the game where people still think of
- 20:52Bitcoin as like an investment or more of a you know, an option
- 20:56like, oh, you know, I don't need that investment.
- 20:59I don't need Bitcoin. My stocks and my assets are
- 21:01doing well. And once you really understand
- 21:04what's going on in the world and how really teetering the
- 21:09financial world is, the financial system is, it's like
- 21:12it's not an option. You need to have some Bitcoin if
- 21:15you want to protect the value that you have already created.
- 21:18100% I I I I 100% agree. I love the fact that safety
- 21:23brought up like the gunpowder reference just because like the
- 21:28gunpowder had such a a huge impact on warfare, right?
- 21:33And it, it's just kind of like the invention of the machine
- 21:35gun. Like if you take a look at how
- 21:38war was fought back in the Napoleonic era or the Civil War
- 21:43here in the United States, it was essentially line of men that
- 21:46were lined up and they would go and then they would essentially
- 21:50it was called linear warfare. And then they would, you know,
- 21:52shoot across the other side and, you know, try to kill the other
- 21:55guy. When the machine gun was
- 21:57invented, they still they still tried that type of warfare.
- 22:02But the machine gun was so efficient at mowing down so many
- 22:05people that it fell back down to like trench warfare because and
- 22:10then they would try to like run and over try to take the over
- 22:13the the other trench. But warfare was forever changed,
- 22:16right? Very similar to what happened
- 22:19when, you know, the nuclear bomb was invented.
- 22:21That's kind of the reasons that I believe we haven't had any
- 22:24huge world wars since World War Two, because there's this idea
- 22:28of mutually assured destruction, right?
- 22:30Like if the US nukes Russia, Russia nukes the US and it's
- 22:34just like all the cities are just completely destroyed and it
- 22:37just kind of doesn't make sense. Like it takes war off the what
- 22:41safety Dean is saying in that analogy is like that Bitcoin is
- 22:44that consequential in the financial world that if you
- 22:48don't adopt it, you essentially die, you get left behind.
- 22:52So it's a, it's not an option to adopt Bitcoin.
- 22:55It's something that you have to do out of necessity.
- 22:57And I think more and more people are realizing by the day that
- 23:01economic reality, which is why you have Larry Fink, which is
- 23:04why you have Michael Saylor, which is why you have El
- 23:07Salvador, which is why you have the Kingdom of Bhutan.
- 23:10Which is why you have Goldman Sachs saying they have exposure
- 23:12to the Bitcoin ETF. You have large banks in Europe
- 23:15having exposure to the Bitcoin ETF.
- 23:16You have large banks in the United States announcing that
- 23:19they have exposure to the Bitcoin ETF.
- 23:20You have the Wisconsin Pension Fund announcing that they have
- 23:23exposure to the BTF. You have all these giant, like
- 23:27some of the giant, some of the biggest kind of venture capital
- 23:31hedge fund companies in the United States, like the vast
- 23:34majority of them, except for Ray Dalio's, not yet have exposure
- 23:38to Bitcoin, right? Just to kind of give you an
- 23:40idea, like Bitcoin is, is, is, it's becoming abundantly clear
- 23:44to everyone that Bitcoin is not an option.
- 23:47It's a necessity. Anyways, everybody, let's move
- 23:50on to the news. The Daily News.
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- 24:46changes, this is the one for you.
- 24:48Check out the passport link in the show notes below to learn
- 24:51more. All right everybody, we're back.
- 24:54So guys, you want to take self custody of your Bitcoin, not
- 24:57your keys, not your cheese. The way that you do that is by
- 25:01getting yourself a hardware wall.
- 25:02I mean, you could take cold storage in other ways.
- 25:05There's like the Yeti protocol, I believe, but it's incredibly
- 25:08technically complicated and you can mess up in 50 different
- 25:12ways. So I recommend getting yourself
- 25:16a hardware wallet and we recommend our sponsor Passport
- 25:19by Foundation Devices. It's a completely open source
- 25:23Bitcoin hardware wallet. It's incredibly easy to use.
- 25:26You could pair it up with an app on your phone called the Envoy
- 25:29app, and it makes spending cold storage Bitcoin incredibly easy
- 25:34while the wallet continues to remain air gap, so meaning it
- 25:38has no connection to the Internet whatsoever.
- 25:41All right guys, so let's get to today's topic of the video.
- 25:45How much Bitcoin do you need to retire by the year 2025?
- 25:49So we're going to start off with kind of different levels of
- 25:52Bitcoin. This is something that you guys
- 25:54love every time we cover this topic.
- 25:56So we have memes, we have numbers, we have graphics, and
- 26:00then we'll get to one of my favorite tools called Wen Moon,
- 26:04which is developed by a friend of mine called Jimbo.
- 26:06Love him as a Bitcoiner definitely is contribute
- 26:09tremendous amount to the community.
- 26:10So first start, start off with the 1st meme.
- 26:13The Bitcoin King is someone that has 21 Bitcoin.
- 26:16The Bitcoin Lord is someone who has 10 to 20.99 Bitcoin.
- 26:21The Bitcoin Baron is someone who has three to 10 Bitcoin.
- 26:25The Bitcoin Night is someone who has one to three Bitcoin.
- 26:28The Bitcoin yo Man is someone who has .5 to one Bitcoin.
- 26:32The Bitcoin Mercenary is someone who has .25 to .5 Bitcoin.
- 26:37The Bitcoin soldier is someone who has .01 to .25 Bitcoin.
- 26:42The Bitcoin pleb is someone who has less than .01 Bitcoin.
- 26:46And like Saifuddin said, the debt slave is someone who has no
- 26:52SAT. Moving on to the next section, I
- 26:55think that this meme was created back in 2017 when a lot of these
- 27:00numbers were a lot easier to achieve, but the Bitcoin price
- 27:04was was a lot lower back then, obviously.
- 27:06But anyways, so there's levels to it.
- 27:08The suicide stack is someone who has one Bitcoin.
- 27:12The the break it stack is someone who has five BTC.
- 27:16The make it stack is someone who has five BTC to 10 BTC.
- 27:22The generational wealth is someone who has 10 BTC.
- 27:26The Princess Dukes is someone who has between 10 and 50 BTCI
- 27:32guess the Dukes are someone who has between 50 and 100 Bitcoin.
- 27:36The kings have 100 Bitcoin, someone that is between a king
- 27:39and an emperor, someone who has roughly 500 Bitcoin.
- 27:42And then the emperors are people that have 100 BTC or more.
- 27:47And again, this is assuming if you take a look at the meme over
- 27:50here, the year of 2028 of the second age 1 Bitcoin is now
- 27:55worth $1 million adjusted for inflation.
- 27:58So with $1 million, right, one BTC would equal $1 million in
- 28:02two days purchasing power, right?
- 28:05Obviously $100 million is a lot of money.
- 28:09All right, moving on to glass node data, moving away from the
- 28:12memes, and this is again, this isn't exactly accurate because
- 28:17there are many wall like if you're holding Bitcoin, you can
- 28:22have and an basically essentially an infinite amount
- 28:26of wallet addresses. So if you're glass note or
- 28:29anyone trying to accumulate data, there's no way to like
- 28:33there's no way to account for that, right?
- 28:35But what they can do is that they can look at individual
- 28:38addresses and they can start making assumptions based on
- 28:42those individual addresses. So these numbers aren't exactly
- 28:45right. There's no way to know that.
- 28:46I think that's a good thing and not a bad thing, to be honest.
- 28:49So the vast majority of people are the 96.904% and when I say
- 28:57vast majority of people, only 2020, only 22 million expected
- 29:01are people that have less than one Bitcoin.
- 29:03The craps people between what that have one to 10 Bitcoin
- 29:07roughly 2.4. Two .455% of people, roughly
- 29:12half a million people are people that have one to 10 Bitcoin.
- 29:16Octopuses are people that have 10 to 50 Bitcoin and they
- 29:20account for roughly 72, 1000 people or .313%.
- 29:25The fishes are people that have 50 to 100 Bitcoin, that accounts
- 29:30for roughly 11,000 people, or 0.047%.
- 29:34The dolphins are people that have 100 to 500 Bitcoin or rough
- 29:38or .044 percent, or roughly 10,000 people.
- 29:43The sharks are people that have 500 to 1000 Bitcoin, roughly
- 29:47.007%, or 1500 people. The whales are people that have
- 29:521000 to 5000 Bitcoin, .008%, and that's roughly 2000 people.
- 29:59And the humpbacks, these are the Michael Saylors of the world is
- 30:02.001% of the total amount of people that hold Bitcoin and
- 30:07there's roughly only 220 of those people.
- 30:10Now going to another chart that I like as well, which is the
- 30:15BIC, the distribution of Bitcoin wealth.
- 30:18Now it goes all the way down to 100%, but we're going to focus
- 30:23on the top 5% or more. So according to this data, if
- 30:28you want to be in the top 5% of Bitcoin holders, you need
- 30:32roughly 4 Bitcoin. If you want to be in the top
- 30:34four percent, 5.4 if you want to be in the top three percent,
- 30:387.44. If you want to be in the top 2%,
- 30:41you need 10.56. If you want to be in the top 1%,
- 30:44you need 15. If you want to be in the top
- 30:46.1%, you need 89. If you want to be in the .03%,
- 30:51you need 215. If you want to be in the .01%,
- 30:54you need 433. If you want to be in the .0 0003
- 30:58percent, you you need 2189. And if you want to be in the top
- 31:02.001%, you need 7021. And very similar numbers to the
- 31:09previous one you need roughly, there's roughly only 250 people
- 31:13that fit into that category. Now here's the thing about net
- 31:17worth though. And then we'll get to Luke
- 31:19Broyles is his chart because this is looking at how things
- 31:23are today. But as you guys all know, the
- 31:27number is going up forever, Laura.
- 31:29So before we get to that, guys, network changes with age.
- 31:34Obviously, if you're 60 years old, you've had a lot more time
- 31:38to gather wealth than someone who's in their 20s or 30s,
- 31:43right? So it fluctuates overtime.
- 31:45I'll give you that data in a second, but I like Lukes data
- 31:49like Lukes chart the way that he pointed this out right, because
- 31:53I think that this really highlights where are the price
- 31:56is going like I, I, I let you I, I showed you guys all these
- 32:00numbers and right now at 61,776 Bitcoin, you're looking at that
- 32:06and you're like Nico, Holy cow, like how will I ever accumulate
- 32:1010 Bitcoin? You're missing the point because
- 32:13the the best is yet to come in Bitcoin's history as it
- 32:18continues to eat essentially like eats all the world's assets
- 32:24because it is the superior asset as Seifa Dean was talking about
- 32:28in the beginning. And again, this isn't a theory
- 32:30anymore. I don't want to say it again,
- 32:32but I've listed you you got I've listed all the institutions and
- 32:36nation States and public companies that have have come to
- 32:39that conclusion as well. We just had a ex president,
- 32:43potentially future president, dropping Bitcoin by name, not
- 32:47only at the Bitcoin conference, but also at, you know, very
- 32:51popular live streams. And he even said it, he said
- 32:54that this industry is still in its infancy.
- 32:57So you want to look into the future and instead of just
- 33:01looking back in the past and being like, holy cow, there's no
- 33:03way I'll get to say you're you guys are missing the point,
- 33:06right? So this is where Luke's graph
- 33:08comes in. I think it's it's really Africa.
- 33:11It's it's really it's really it's really interesting.
- 33:15Better said, And Luke Broyles is incredibly brilliant.
- 33:18I, I believe he's doing content for block Ware these days.
- 33:22But you know, he the, when he came on the show, the way that
- 33:26he explained it is human beings have a hard time understanding
- 33:31exponentials. What do I mean by that?
- 33:34So if you take a look at the technological curve of humanity,
- 33:40more things have happened in the last 100 years that have
- 33:45happened in the previous 2000 years before that.
- 33:49And that is what I mean about the exponential.
- 33:53You know, the, the, what we taught in Bitcoin circles, we
- 33:56talked about the exponential adoption curve.
- 33:59We the exponential like technological roll out.
- 34:03So I, I think it's very difficult for us to understand
- 34:07and fully comprehend. Look, I'll put it to you this
- 34:09way. Back in 2010, if I told you when
- 34:13Bitcoin was trading at a dollar or less than a dollar or 100 or
- 34:17whatever, if I told you that bro, 15 years from now Bitcoin
- 34:24would have peaked at 72,000, you would not have believed.
- 34:28You couldn't even even have comprehended that.
- 34:31Why exponentials? So if I'm telling you and I'm
- 34:34looking you straight in the eye and I'm telling you $10 million
- 34:37Bitcoin, like it's very difficult to believe Michael
- 34:42Saylor's bullish case of $49 million Bitcoin.
- 34:45You look at that, you're like, I was even like that's pretty hard
- 34:48to believe. So this is where Luke's graph
- 34:51kind of comes into play. And he talks about again, kind
- 34:55of like the average entities, but instead of looking in the
- 34:58past, he looks into the future. So First off nation slash mega
- 35:03rich is someone that would have roughly 140,000 Bitcoin.
- 35:08Multibillionaire slash nation state is someone that has
- 35:12roughly 8000 Bitcoin. A billionaire slash mega
- 35:15corporation is someone who has 120 Bitcoin A multimillionaire
- 35:20is someone or slash large corporation is someone or an
- 35:23entity that has 10 Bitcoin. A millionaire slash company is
- 35:28someone. This is where things get
- 35:30interesting. Is someone that has .06 Bitcoin.
- 35:35I mean, it kind of makes sense. Like think about that for a
- 35:38second, right, $49 million Bitcoin in the future and you
- 35:43multiply and it's .06. That's almost $3,000,000, right?
- 35:49Anyways, moving on, upper middle class is someone who has .008
- 35:55BTC. Middle class is someone who has
- 35:57.001 BTC. Lower middle class is someone
- 36:01who has .0004 BTC and lower class is someone who has .0002
- 36:10BTC and poverty is someone who has .00005 BTC or 5000 SAT's.
- 36:19Think about that for a second. For you to be a millionaire in
- 36:22the future, all you need is 6000 satoshis.
- 36:28Gnarly huh? For you to be in the upper
- 36:30middle class, all you need is 800,000 satoshis.
- 36:35I remember back in the day when Bitcoin was stuck at $10,000
- 36:41opti and I remember this at $100 used to be able to buy you
- 36:451,000,000 satoshis. Like those were the days right?
- 36:48Like could you imagine that? Like this is insane, right?
- 36:52So you know what $600 in the future could essentially get you
- 36:56into the millionaire class of the future.
- 36:58Like that's that's gnarly. And again, if you don't believe
- 37:01me, take a look at what's happened in the past in terms of
- 37:04Bitcoin's history. Now let's break down the
- 37:07different net worths by age. Actually, you know what, let's
- 37:13move on to let's move on to this specifically, which is the
- 37:17question that I think a lot of people want answered.
- 37:19And my honest to God opinion, and I'm not I'm not the only one
- 37:24who's saying this as well. British Huddle has been saying
- 37:27this as well. So how much Bitcoin is enough,
- 37:31right? I think that's really the
- 37:32question and it really depends on your time frame, right?
- 37:36So for 2025, we'll, we'll answer, well, you know, based on
- 37:40where, you know, Bitcoin's price could potentially be, but how
- 37:43much Bitcoin is enough in my personal opinion, for the
- 37:47average everyday person if they want to live a prosperous life
- 37:51moving forward in the future, I think everyone should have a
- 37:54goal to do whatever you can humanly possible while not
- 38:00breaking the law to at least get to one Bitcoin that the ability
- 38:06for most people to get to that point, that door is almost
- 38:11closed because Bitcoin's price is at $61,739.
- 38:18But what I will say is I'll tell you guys what I did for the
- 38:23first four years that I got into Bitcoin.
- 38:27I put 80% of my income into buying Bitcoin for four years
- 38:34straight to the point that I would wake up in the morning and
- 38:37I would think of different ideas to try to make more money, to
- 38:41put as much of that money as humanly possible into Bitcoin.
- 38:46So one of the best decisions I've ever made in my life, I was
- 38:49getting pressure the almost the entire time You got to go to
- 38:53college, you got to do this, you got to do that.
- 38:56And for some reason, I don't know, innately, I just like, I
- 38:59was like, I think, I think this is the way out.
- 39:02Like I think that this is this is this is how you do like this
- 39:05is what you should focus on. And now we are times are
- 39:10different, right? American huddle give you guys a
- 39:13plenty of time with his famous 6.15 meme, right?
- 39:16Get to 6.15 Bitcoin and you'll have eternal riches and big
- 39:22things. I don't know if I want to say
- 39:25that, but anyways, it's like at $61,000 Bitcoin, you know, 6.15
- 39:33Bitcoin is pretty hard, right? And for most people, in my
- 39:37opinion, back in the day when we first started Simply Bitcoin and
- 39:41the price was trading under $10,000, it would have been a
- 39:44different story. But you know, time has gone on.
- 39:47Now let's look into the future, right?
- 39:49Because at the end of the day, what we say in Simply Bitcoin is
- 39:53that everyone has to pay their price of tuition.
- 39:56In my opinion, in personal experience, that takes four
- 39:59years minimum, and it really takes eight years.
- 40:03And, you know, the Bitcoiners that I've known that have
- 40:08survived or have been around for three cycles tended to, tended
- 40:16to, tended to, tended to. Holy crap, did we?
- 40:24Yeah, Mika, I didn't want to stop you, but apparently we got
- 40:28banned and kicked off YouTube Live.
- 40:31So yeah, I didn't want to stop the bit, but apparently our
- 40:36YouTube channel got kicked off literally live on stream right
- 40:39now. So if you're watching on
- 40:42Twitter, they'll follow us on Rumble.
- 40:45We'll figure out on what the process we have to do to get our
- 40:48channel back because we literally weren't saying
- 40:51anything. But yeah, Nico, apparently the
- 40:54YouTube just kicked us off right now.
- 40:56Damn bro this does not look good.
- 40:58But anyways let's continue the show on Twitter.
- 41:02Holy cow, how much Bitcoin is enough?
- 41:05Michael Saylor's prediction for 2045 is the bear case is 3
- 41:10million, the base case is 13 million and the bull case is
- 41:1549,000,000. So I mean like I think one
- 41:20Bitcoin is more than enough for for that reason anyways, I mean
- 41:27kind of laid it out there. Opti wanna get your opinion and
- 41:31we might have to cut the show short while we figure this stuff
- 41:36out in the background. Well, apparently YouTube didn't
- 41:39wanna see the meme review today, so there's that.
- 41:42Guys. We had it for you.
- 41:45But yeah, lurking on this topic, first of all, you guys love this
- 41:50topic. We were getting some really good
- 41:52live numbers as this was going. So apparently people absolutely
- 41:55love this topic. Personally, if you've heard me
- 41:58say this before, I I fundamentally kind of don't
- 42:01agree with retirement. Obviously, I do agree with the
- 42:04idea of like retiring from a job you don't like, but me and Nico
- 42:08really love the idea of working on something that you believe
- 42:11in. I think everyone needs purpose.
- 42:13So I'm still going to hold firm on the idea that if you can get
- 42:18to one coin, hold it for as long as possible, you will be able to
- 42:22retire. But obviously by 2025, for most
- 42:25of us, you're going to need a good stack of Bitcoin.
- 42:27You're going to need somewhere between, you know, depending on
- 42:29your lifestyle and depending on where you live, like I would
- 42:33say, you know, into the double and triple digits is most likely
- 42:37what you will want to have to be able to live off your Bitcoin
- 42:41for as long as humanly possible. Obviously, they're still kind of
- 42:44maturing as an industry and they're they're like we always
- 42:47recommend dumps on your Bitcoin, hold as much of Bitcoin as you
- 42:50can for as long as you can. And the industry hasn't really
- 42:55matured enough to where you can kind of take loans out against
- 42:58your assets like rich people do with like, you know, say
- 43:01property in Manhattan stuff. But we're getting there.
- 43:04And so if you are young, like, you know, Nico and I, if you're
- 43:08a millennial or a zoomer, you probably won't either be able to
- 43:12reach to the amount of Bitcoin that you need to actually retire
- 43:15in a year. But that doesn't mean that you
- 43:18won't ever retire. I think the goal here for anyone
- 43:22is to end up with enough savings so that you can work on
- 43:25something that you truly believe in.
- 43:26So you're not just grinding paycheck to paycheck and, you
- 43:29know, living and stuck in the rat race.
- 43:32And I think that's the goal for most people.
- 43:34I know, I know in our world right now, retirement seems like
- 43:38the paradise at the end of the rat race.
- 43:40But I think fundamentally as, as men, you know, young men too, we
- 43:45need to have something to work on towards our the end of our
- 43:48lives. Like I think work is what kind
- 43:50of keeps us going, keeps us sharp.
- 43:52And so I, I fundamentally don't really believe in retirement
- 43:55first and foremost, like I want to do this for as long as
- 43:57humanly possible. I want to do something that I
- 43:59believe in and that I love for as long as humanly possible.
- 44:02So if you are in the Fiat minds and you are dreading every
- 44:07single day at work, then of course you're going to have to
- 44:10sacrifice. You're going to have to live
- 44:11below your means for a little bit.
- 44:13Stack as much Bitcoin as humanly possible.
- 44:15Make sure you are saving some of the paychecks and the cash flow
- 44:19coming in because that's the only way you're going to escape.
- 44:22There's it's two things and one, as the Bitcoin price
- 44:26appreciates, hopefully you're saving some of that and why
- 44:29you're saving build up your skills so that you can increase
- 44:32your cash flow so that you can build up the skills so that you
- 44:35can make a lot of money. This is how you win is by being
- 44:38fit and wealthy. This is how we win the the Fiat
- 44:42games going on right now. And of course, Bitcoin is life
- 44:45on easy mode. This is the life hack that most
- 44:48people are searching for. But then when they come for the
- 44:51games, they get caught up in all of the, you know, gambling and
- 44:53casino games in the crypto space.
- 44:56But it's really about saving as much hard money as humanly
- 44:59possible. And that's what the goal is.
- 45:01So again, if you're in the Fiat mines, it's going to take a
- 45:04little time. If you're a Bitcoiner already
- 45:07and you've been holding a lot of Bitcoin, then yeah, maybe you
- 45:09can live off your your Bitcoin next year when we hit 6 figure
- 45:12ranges. But I really love this topic
- 45:14because it really just goes to show that in the Fiat world that
- 45:18we currently live in, you do need a lot of cash.
- 45:21But when you flip it into Bitcoin terms, it's it's always
- 45:26going lower and lower and lower the amount of Bitcoin that you
- 45:28need to live a good life. And I think that's the beauty of
- 45:32Bitcoin in the 1st place. So A. 100%, 100% All right,
- 45:36everybody, we are going to have to cut today's show short just
- 45:39because of YouTube literally taking the show off the air.
- 45:44We're going to have to try to fix that.
- 45:45So we'll be we'll have it back for you guys next week.
- 45:48But I do want to give a shout out to our sponsor, the orange
- 45:51pull up stack Friends who stack Sats.
- 45:53Scan the QR code on your screen to get started during the 11,822
- 45:59bitcoiners that are currently on the application.
- 46:04It's a great resource for you to connect with other bitcoiners.
- 46:07It's also if you're travelling, if you're on the go and you
- 46:11don't know any Bitcoin events near you or you don't know any
- 46:14Bitcoin nurse, the Orange pill app is for you.
- 46:17So download it today, scan the QR code on your screen or check
- 46:21the link in the video description.
- 46:23All right, everybody, sorry to cut the show off a little bit
- 46:26short, but it's, you know, the, the situation, I think, I think
- 46:30the situation is, is appropriate for that.
- 46:33So we'll see you guys on Monday for.
- 46:34Wait, wait, wait, wait, wait before we go.
- 46:36If you are on Twitter right now and you're watching us on
- 46:39Twitter, make sure you go follow us on Rumble.
- 46:42We will be, you know, trying to get our YouTube channel back
- 46:46because obviously we literally don't say things on YouTube that
- 46:51are opposed to the community guidelines.
- 46:54So hopefully we can get this back as quick as possible.
- 46:57But in the meantime, if you are on Twitter and you are following
- 47:01us on Twitter, if you follow the simply Bitcoin TV, go to Rumble.
- 47:05Follow us on Rumble. We will continue the show, I
- 47:09guess for now on Rumble until we figure this out.
- 47:11But Twitter, go to Rumble, make sure you make an account, follow
- 47:14us on Rumble in the in the meantime, because we we
- 47:18literally have no idea what's going on right now.
- 47:21Yeah, All right, guys. Well, enjoy your weekend and
- 47:23we'll see you in the next one. It was brought to you by
- 47:27bitcoinwell.com on a mission to enable independence.