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Valero Texas Open - PGA DFS | DraftKings & FanDuel DFS | First Look · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Clear were living.
• 0:01
  Speaker 2: Up live right now.
• 0:31
  Speaker 1: Padre's hat featuring a new fifty nine to fifty. Actually
• 0:34
  Speaker 1: this is not very new. I've had this one for
• 0:36
  Speaker 1: a while, but I can't find my Braves hat. I
• 0:38
  Speaker 1: feel that I left it in that hotel from the
• 0:41
  Speaker 1: Saturday Night show. But uh, I guess I'll have to
• 0:43
  Speaker 1: look later. We're here to talk about some goff Valero
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: Texas Open.
• 0:48
  Speaker 2: Countdown the days. We have less than two weeks. Let's
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  Speaker 2: one more tournament.
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  Speaker 1: Until that that silly little place called Augusta National comes in.
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  Speaker 2: So uh yeah, we're gearing up. We're gearing up.
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  Speaker 1: I am still on the fence for heading to Augusta.
• 1:01
  Speaker 1: It's leaning towards a no. But nonetheless I will be
• 1:07
  Speaker 1: back on the ground for a day at Hilton Head,
• 1:11
  Speaker 1: So stay in the news. We will let you know
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  Speaker 1: if I make it out to Augusta. In the works
• 1:15
  Speaker 1: right now, But we're here to talk about the Letext Open.
• 1:18
  Speaker 1: Like I said, just like I know we want to
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  Speaker 1: skip to that week. I know there's a lot of
• 1:22
  Speaker 1: stuff in the air now. The Rory movie is already out.
• 1:24
  Speaker 1: I cannot wait to watch on an Amazon Prime. If
• 1:26
  Speaker 1: you've watched that Rory movie on Amazon Prime, drop a
• 1:28
  Speaker 1: comment like I need to know, like was it sick?
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  Speaker 2: I assume it was sick.
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  Speaker 1: But the tickets cash the same as Augusta, the DFS
• 1:35
  Speaker 1: contest cash the same as Augusta.
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  Speaker 2: The outrights cash the same as Augustus.
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  Speaker 1: So we got one more week to try to get
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  Speaker 1: back in the winner circle.
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  Speaker 2: So let's share on the screen.
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  Speaker 1: We're gonna go through the Twitter thread to go through
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  Speaker 1: some course stats, some course history, just some initial notes,
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  Speaker 1: and then we'll get into the show.
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  Speaker 2: This Twitter threat, it's kind of in polarizing. Can I
• 1:54
  Speaker 2: zoom in a little bit. It's kind of been polarizing.
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  Speaker 1: People are like, oh my god, look at this AI
• 1:59
  Speaker 1: generated thread, just so you guys know, So you guys
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  Speaker 1: know this right here is not AI generated. These are
• 2:09
  Speaker 1: this is what six pages of written notes that is
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  Speaker 1: simply put into a thread for readability and for virality.
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  Speaker 1: It's it's it's not it's not hey being hey chow gipt.
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  Speaker 1: Can you tell me a little bit about the valerotext
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  Speaker 1: open No, these are hard fought out, hard written notes
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  Speaker 1: from vincerics dot com. Shout out Adam Kirk to put
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  Speaker 1: into this thread. So say what you want about it.
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  Speaker 1: It's here to help. It's here to not help what
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  Speaker 1: you want to look at it?
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  Speaker 2: Great?
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  Speaker 1: You don't, you don't, So let's go through it a
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  Speaker 1: little bit. So off the t this is a golf
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  Speaker 1: course where you have to be playing from the faraway.
• 2:47
  Speaker 1: If you are playing from the faraway, you have so
• 2:48
  Speaker 1: many more looks at Berdie. Not really rocket science, but
• 2:52
  Speaker 1: over the last the last four winners, this is what
• 2:54
  Speaker 1: they did coming into the event.
• 2:56
  Speaker 2: In their last ten starts.
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  Speaker 1: They gained an accuracy to the field at a minimum
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  Speaker 1: a minimum of eight times in the last ten starts.
• 3:04
  Speaker 1: That is a lot like we see accuratehaters have, like
• 3:08
  Speaker 1: have pop events. But these guys are just coming in
• 3:11
  Speaker 1: with already hot drivers, guys who are already driving accuracy guys,
• 3:14
  Speaker 1: we're not just finding it during the week. And so
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  Speaker 1: they were positive off the tee in at least six
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  Speaker 1: to ten. Actually was ten to ten, Connors was eight
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  Speaker 1: to ten, Spawned was nine to ten. So just positive
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  Speaker 1: driving goes a long long way here. When Speeed won,
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  Speaker 1: he didn't have the greatest driving week in the world,
• 3:30
  Speaker 1: but he scrambled at that as just simple Jordan speed approach,
• 3:34
  Speaker 1: play approach, play is really important here as well, and
• 3:39
  Speaker 1: it's really been showing that you come into this week
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  Speaker 1: with some great irons, you don't just find it during
• 3:46
  Speaker 1: the week over the last. This is their starts before
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  Speaker 1: winning the start, exactly before winning actually Bitia seven point two,
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  Speaker 1: JJ six point one, Jordan Speed seven point zero, and
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  Speaker 1: so on. There was one outlier Brian Harmon minus three
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  Speaker 1: point nine. But that is a minimum. I mean that
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  Speaker 1: is an average of plus four strokes on approach in
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  Speaker 1: their previous start before this event.
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  Speaker 2: That's saying something.
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  Speaker 1: You want hot drivers, you want hot approach players. Just
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  Speaker 1: simple accurate ball, accurate driving and solid ball striking.
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  Speaker 2: Short game.
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  Speaker 1: It doesn't I don't want to say it doesn't matter,
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  Speaker 1: but it's less indicative to what we are looking for
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  Speaker 1: this week. Just looking at the winners coming in, they
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  Speaker 1: came in losing strokes around the green, so I'm not
• 4:30
  Speaker 1: really looking at guys who are having good around the
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  Speaker 1: green weeks. That means they're not having the best ball
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  Speaker 1: striking weeks. I will say it will be a little
• 4:37
  Speaker 1: windy this week and you're gonna have to have like
• 4:39
  Speaker 1: you're gonna be able to have to win game plus
• 4:41
  Speaker 1: one point six around the green, but that is not glaring.
• 4:44
  Speaker 1: That's not like a major level. You have to have
• 4:47
  Speaker 1: a really elite around the green game. I just don't
• 4:49
  Speaker 1: want you to be coming coming in losing minus two
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  Speaker 1: minus one. Like every single round coming in, the average
• 4:54
  Speaker 1: coming in was minus zero point one. So average to
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  Speaker 1: good short game is fine. Ball striking, get those birdie
• 5:01
  Speaker 1: looks with the hot irons, and you don't need the
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  Speaker 1: top ten. You don't have the best course history, but
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  Speaker 1: every winner has had a made cut here since twenty twelve.
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  Speaker 2: So that's a little about a little bit about the course.
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  Speaker 1: Here are some comp courses Innisbrook, Sawgrass for Highlands, Bayhill,
• 5:16
  Speaker 1: PGA National.
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  Speaker 2: And Harbor Town.
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  Speaker 1: They all ask you very similar questions for the most part.
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  Speaker 1: So coldr hit, fairways, shoup pop with the irons. Short
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  Speaker 1: game is what it is. And I have been here before,
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  Speaker 1: I have made a Cup before. So that's what we're
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  Speaker 1: gonna be looking for going forward. And let's look at
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  Speaker 1: some of the past winners in this event. I think
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  Speaker 1: this year is gonna be a little bit similar to
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  Speaker 1: Brian Harmon of last year. I heard the roughes a
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  Speaker 1: little bit up higher, which would just emphasize the key
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  Speaker 1: stats even more.
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  Speaker 2: And it was a little bit windy over the weekend.
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  Speaker 1: And we'll get to the weather next, but I do
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  Speaker 1: think it's gonna be a little bit more of the
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  Speaker 1: same this year. So Brian Harmon won at nine oxtion
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  Speaker 1: with til one at minus twenty when Denny tried to
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  Speaker 1: chase him down. Corey Connors fifteen under, JJ spawn thirteen
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  Speaker 1: and Jordan at eighteen under. Those are the last five winners,
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  Speaker 1: and I've Corey Connors won this event twice. This is
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  Speaker 1: one of his this is one of his vintage events
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  Speaker 1: for sure. Now let's look at this weather from a
• 6:07
  Speaker 1: TPC San Antonio Oaks course, so leading into the event,
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  Speaker 1: leading into the event, So it is now Monday.
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  Speaker 2: Have a little rain early this morning, not.
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  Speaker 1: Much Tuesday, oh sorry, yeah, no, no rain today, A
• 6:19
  Speaker 1: little rain Tuesday morning, sorry, a little rain Wednesday morning,
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  Speaker 1: and then Thursday morning.
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  Speaker 2: We're gona have a little bit more.
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  Speaker 1: Rain, maybe a little bit of a delay here on
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  Speaker 1: Thursday am with this lightning at eight am projected, and
• 6:30
  Speaker 1: also some rain in the in the afternoon. So it's
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  Speaker 1: gonna get dicey, guys, It's gonna get dicey. So rain
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  Speaker 1: and wind up over double digits twenty eight mile an
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  Speaker 1: hour gust. That is not easy, and I'm not I
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  Speaker 1: won't be surprised if some more guys withdraw. So I'm
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  Speaker 1: definitely thinking we're gonna have some delays and something crazy.
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  Speaker 1: There's a real chance that like one of the waves
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  Speaker 1: just gets completely banished, based on like the way they
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  Speaker 1: set up, the way they have to have delays, the
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  Speaker 1: way they start late one day, start earlier next day.
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  Speaker 1: So I don't I think it's that crazy to do
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  Speaker 1: multiple wave stacks, do an AM stack, do a PM stack,
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  Speaker 1: Just get so into it that if one of those
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  Speaker 1: waves does get absolutely decimated, you'll have guys in the
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  Speaker 1: other one. So I'm not saying which one's gonna be,
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  Speaker 1: because with all of this weather, I don't think it's
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  Speaker 1: really gonna be predictable at all.
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  Speaker 2: But it's gonna be tough out there all week long.
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  Speaker 1: I don't know how they're gonna possibly maybe Monday finish,
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  Speaker 1: which would be really WHI would really suck for the
• 7:24
  Speaker 1: guys that are going too Augusta. But look at these
• 7:25
  Speaker 1: wins on Friday, look at these wins on the weekend.
• 7:27
  Speaker 1: I guess later in the week i'll have a better
• 7:29
  Speaker 1: little report on if I'm going to stack anything. But
• 7:32
  Speaker 1: looking at it now, it's gonna be difficult. It's gonna
• 7:35
  Speaker 1: make those key stacks even more emphasis. And maybe you
• 7:38
  Speaker 1: do want to go short game just a little bit
• 7:40
  Speaker 1: more than you would in years past. So let's look
• 7:44
  Speaker 1: at some DFS contests. The contest aren't great right now,
• 7:48
  Speaker 1: is only I have to do this. This is so annoying.
• 7:53
  Speaker 1: The contests aren't great right now. But there is one
• 7:57
  Speaker 1: that I want to talk about. I'm so happy it
• 7:58
  Speaker 1: didn't make me have a code right here? Which one
• 8:00
  Speaker 1: that I want to talk about? It was, Oh it's gone?
• 8:04
  Speaker 2: Is it gone? Time out?
• 8:06
  Speaker 1: Let me look at some notes, because there was one
• 8:08
  Speaker 1: contest that I thought was really interesting and it wasn't
• 8:11
  Speaker 1: like the cheap contest. It was one of the big
• 8:13
  Speaker 1: boy contests that's probably has been has been filled up.
• 8:17
  Speaker 1: Oh it was the thirty one eighty. It was the Yeah,
• 8:19
  Speaker 1: the thirty one eighty. I believe it's gone. I'll just
• 8:21
  Speaker 1: I'll look right here. The thirty one eighty. It has
• 8:24
  Speaker 1: no there's not it's not dialed in. But this pale
• 8:27
  Speaker 1: structure if you want to put in three K heay's
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  Speaker 1: out twenty percent of the entire field, and if you place,
• 8:34
  Speaker 1: you get three extra money, so you're getting back six
• 8:39
  Speaker 1: K if you finish in the top ten, like you're
• 8:41
  Speaker 1: getting a lot of money. And I know it's a
• 8:43
  Speaker 1: lot of money to put out, but the chances of
• 8:45
  Speaker 1: winning just getting a little different, I think is fairly decent.
• 8:48
  Speaker 1: So if you can want to just put in one lineup,
• 8:50
  Speaker 1: if you max under this to put in six six
• 8:54
  Speaker 1: and a half k, I think it's a really good
• 8:56
  Speaker 1: contest for the big money uh style of guys or No,
• 8:59
  Speaker 1: we're not going to talk Master's contest yet. Let's look
• 9:02
  Speaker 1: at some other contests to see what we want to
• 9:04
  Speaker 1: potentially look at this thirty three dollars single entry. Let's
• 9:07
  Speaker 1: see if this is a good one. No, this isn't
• 9:10
  Speaker 1: the best payout structure in my opinion that the single
• 9:13
  Speaker 1: entries are hit or miss like sometimes it depends on
• 9:16
  Speaker 1: the total purse.
• 9:17
  Speaker 2: I think the cheaper dog leg is better than this
• 9:21
  Speaker 2: one contest one.
• 9:23
  Speaker 1: So this forty k albatross was really good last week
• 9:25
  Speaker 1: and it's really good again this week. Four K up
• 9:28
  Speaker 1: top four hundred dollars to ten, which is ten percent.
• 9:30
  Speaker 1: I think that is a really nice payout structure. Kind
• 9:32
  Speaker 1: of been living in this contest a lot recently, So
• 9:35
  Speaker 1: let's take a look at the DFS board and see
• 9:39
  Speaker 1: if there's any names that catch our eye out the gates.
• 9:42
  Speaker 1: So Tommy Fleetwood leads the way Ludwig ten to one,
• 9:45
  Speaker 1: and then we drop down to the nine k range
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  Speaker 1: with Bob Mac Russell Henley see what Kim Jordan's bath
• 9:50
  Speaker 1: and Callinmorekawa at that great price of ninety four hundred.
• 9:54
  Speaker 1: Then we have Decky and Sepstraca. Mavericknely finishes us out
• 9:59
  Speaker 1: at nine okay, But one golfer that I really wanted
• 10:02
  Speaker 1: to take a look at in this range and on
• 10:05
  Speaker 1: the DFS board is Russell Henley. So Russell Henley comes
• 10:10
  Speaker 1: into this event off of a smooth little T thirteen
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  Speaker 1: at CPC Sawgress where he played okay, didn't have the
• 10:16
  Speaker 1: best Sunday, didn't have the greatest weekend in the world,
• 10:20
  Speaker 1: but he's coming off of a nice plus three approach round.
• 10:23
  Speaker 1: We knew that approach play would go back to green
• 10:26
  Speaker 1: after having three straight red weeks and in his career
• 10:30
  Speaker 1: here I know it's not updating right now, but he's
• 10:32
  Speaker 1: got a fourth place finished. I believe he's got a
• 10:34
  Speaker 1: fourth place finish at this golf course. Let me update
• 10:37
  Speaker 1: Russell Henley and make sure we have the correct information,
• 10:40
  Speaker 1: or just simply just go to data Golf because it
• 10:42
  Speaker 1: could be quicker when I because those guys that I
• 10:45
  Speaker 1: had sitting up there were kind of held up there
• 10:48
  Speaker 1: for a while. So I just want to double check
• 10:49
  Speaker 1: Russell Henley's course history. Do some research with you while
• 10:54
  Speaker 1: CPC san Antonio Oaks Course. Yeah, fourth place finish here
• 10:57
  Speaker 1: in twenty twenty four, So that's a solid may cut
• 11:00
  Speaker 1: that we're talking about. He hasn't played here obviously in
• 11:02
  Speaker 1: a year and a half. But I think what more
• 11:05
  Speaker 1: could you ask for in Russell Henley. He's gaining in
• 11:07
  Speaker 1: strokes and era where you want to do. I was
• 11:09
  Speaker 1: talking about that accuracy. Look at how many accuracy he
• 11:12
  Speaker 1: has coming in like he would fit that trend perfectly.
• 11:14
  Speaker 1: Those last ten starts, he's gained an accuracy nine out
• 11:16
  Speaker 1: of ten. So I think Russell Henley is a great
• 11:19
  Speaker 1: great target in.
• 11:20
  Speaker 2: This uh nine k range.
• 11:23
  Speaker 1: Someone else that I wanted to get an eye on
• 11:26
  Speaker 1: in this DraftKings leader board. DraftKings board is an AK
• 11:30
  Speaker 1: range and that's alex Norn. Alex Norn is not coming
• 11:33
  Speaker 1: in with any glaring, amazing starts. He hasn't missed the
• 11:36
  Speaker 1: cut since Farmers, which is not really an alex Neuron course.
• 11:39
  Speaker 2: But if there's a week.
• 11:40
  Speaker 1: Like I said, you might want to emphasize short game
• 11:43
  Speaker 1: a little bit more. Alex Noran has that short game
• 11:46
  Speaker 1: and he's not necessarily doing anything so bad. Like it's
• 11:49
  Speaker 1: not the best ball striking in the world, but alex
• 11:51
  Speaker 1: Noran is a grinder. I want to check his accuracy.
• 11:54
  Speaker 1: I do. I don't believe he has the best course history,
• 11:56
  Speaker 1: but he has made a cut here.
• 11:58
  Speaker 2: Yeah, it's not I mean not bad courses reet Team
• 12:00
  Speaker 2: two fifteen. Sorry I was wrong.
• 12:01
  Speaker 1: There decent court sitters from alex Noran. And looking at
• 12:03
  Speaker 1: his accuracy, it's good enough. In his last ten starts
• 12:07
  Speaker 1: one two, three, four, five six, one two three, four, five, six, seven,
• 12:12
  Speaker 1: eight nine ten. That is one two, three, four six
• 12:16
  Speaker 1: out of his ten starts he's gained in accuracy and
• 12:18
  Speaker 1: off the tee he's probably.
• 12:19
  Speaker 2: Gained in half of them.
• 12:20
  Speaker 1: That's not the strongest correlation in terms of the profile
• 12:23
  Speaker 1: that we were looking for, but I think it's good
• 12:25
  Speaker 1: enough and I think his price plus the around the
• 12:27
  Speaker 1: green play makes him kind of a nice play at
• 12:30
  Speaker 1: eighty seven hundred dollars. So he's a golfer that I
• 12:31
  Speaker 1: am looking for, maybe be a second third man in
• 12:35
  Speaker 1: this lineup. Let's look at the Draft Kings leader board, sorry,
• 12:38
  Speaker 1: the DraftKings odds board for outrights and top five top tens. Uh,
• 12:42
  Speaker 1: Tommy leads the way, Ludavig very similar to what we
• 12:44
  Speaker 1: saw on the DFS board. But a name down here
• 12:47
  Speaker 1: that kind of caught my eye was a golfer who's
• 12:50
  Speaker 1: been coming in playing some decent golf.
• 12:52
  Speaker 2: That's Daniel Berger.
• 12:54
  Speaker 1: Just a few weeks ago, he almost won at bay Hill,
• 12:57
  Speaker 1: coming in off of a T sixty six at Sawgrass
• 12:59
  Speaker 1: where he just absolutely lost it around the green. A
• 13:03
  Speaker 1: little bit concerning because I talked about I don't think
• 13:05
  Speaker 1: you need to be the best around the green player,
• 13:07
  Speaker 1: but you can't be doing this.
• 13:09
  Speaker 2: He's not gonna do this again.
• 13:10
  Speaker 1: Let's see where that ranks in terms of his career
• 13:13
  Speaker 1: around the green performances. If this will update, Le'll see
• 13:17
  Speaker 1: if you'll update around the green for Daniel Berger.
• 13:20
  Speaker 2: That was really bad.
• 13:25
  Speaker 1: His second worst around the green performance that came at
• 13:28
  Speaker 1: the Players Championship this past year, so we knew he's
• 13:31
  Speaker 1: gonna rebound in that department.
• 13:33
  Speaker 2: This is really good.
• 13:34
  Speaker 1: The ball striking, the approach play, we know he's an
• 13:36
  Speaker 1: accurate driver, is all coming into coming into fruition. So
• 13:40
  Speaker 1: I like what we're seeing from Daniel Berger at this
• 13:42
  Speaker 1: point of his career, at this point of the odds board.
• 13:46
  Speaker 1: So those are some golfers that I like, two of
• 13:48
  Speaker 1: them in the DFS markets. This is a fifty to
• 13:50
  Speaker 1: one around you can get on Daniel Berger in the
• 13:51
  Speaker 1: outright market. I think it's a great number on a
• 13:53
  Speaker 1: golf course that really makes sense for him. Let's talk
• 13:57
  Speaker 1: about some tools how you're gonna the playerpool, how you're
• 14:01
  Speaker 1: gonna select golfers for your DFS lineups, for your outright bets.
• 14:05
  Speaker 1: So go copy that link in the description. It's code Boots.
• 14:08
  Speaker 1: It gets you on the team. So here on PGA
• 14:13
  Speaker 1: PGA section of ship at Nation dot com, we have
• 14:15
  Speaker 1: these DraftKings projections. They will be up probably last of
• 14:19
  Speaker 1: anybody in the entire industry, and we do that on purpose.
• 14:21
  Speaker 1: We want the most accurate projections that you can get
• 14:24
  Speaker 1: in the entire world. I'm not saying that they are
• 14:27
  Speaker 1: going to be right. If any projection was right one
• 14:29
  Speaker 1: hundred percent of the time, they wouldn't.
• 14:30
  Speaker 2: Share them with you.
• 14:31
  Speaker 1: So these projections are very very accurate in terms of ownership,
• 14:35
  Speaker 1: in terms of salary points for dollar, all that good stuff.
• 14:39
  Speaker 2: So and they will come out last the stone.
• 14:41
  Speaker 1: The stone is the greatest piece of tool in PGA DFS,
• 14:45
  Speaker 1: in the PGADFS world. It has everything from tea times
• 14:48
  Speaker 1: to projections, to approach numbers to ceiling to floor. And
• 14:54
  Speaker 1: this is the only place you can get the stone.
• 14:56
  Speaker 1: So what you're gonna do is go over to the site.
• 14:59
  Speaker 1: You want every sport, Baseball is back, people already catching
• 15:01
  Speaker 1: in baseball. You just want the golf PGA plus optimizer.
• 15:04
  Speaker 1: You just want the content. Uh, you use code Boots.
• 15:07
  Speaker 1: You sign up and then you get everything. You get
• 15:09
  Speaker 1: the slate plan which is part of the content. You
• 15:11
  Speaker 1: get the course fit rankings, you get the bullets. When
• 15:13
  Speaker 1: I when I'm on site, a ton of great stuff.
• 15:16
  Speaker 1: So use that code boots, help me help you. Yeah,
• 15:22
  Speaker 1: it's it's good stuff here at chipnation dot com. And
• 15:24
  Speaker 1: I know there's some a little a lot of stuff
• 15:25
  Speaker 1: going on in the the PGA DFS streets nowadays. But everyone,
• 15:31
  Speaker 1: everyone has been so amazing supporting the show and working
• 15:34
  Speaker 1: with me. I really am so happy that I chose
• 15:36
  Speaker 1: to work at ship It Nation for this year. So
• 15:40
  Speaker 1: next thing I want to talk about is a potential
• 15:42
  Speaker 1: a potential Chalky guy, a potential pivot, and then finally
• 15:45
  Speaker 1: a golfer that I am on. So a potential Chalky
• 15:50
  Speaker 1: guy that could come in higher own than he should be.
• 15:54
  Speaker 1: It is drum roll, drum roll, Denny McCarthy. So Carthy's
• 16:00
  Speaker 1: coming in off of a twelfth place finish at the
• 16:03
  Speaker 1: Houston Open, which is solid, and look at what he's
• 16:06
  Speaker 1: doing in terms of approach. He's gained strokes on approach
• 16:09
  Speaker 1: in three straight starch, which is rare for Danny McCarthy.
• 16:12
  Speaker 1: He hasn't done that since the summer of twenty twenty five,
• 16:14
  Speaker 1: but he hasn't done it like gaining full like this
• 16:17
  Speaker 1: one was zero point three.
• 16:18
  Speaker 2: He gained a full.
• 16:19
  Speaker 1: One point six four point zero three point one in
• 16:22
  Speaker 1: his last three starts. And we know he's a great putter.
• 16:24
  Speaker 1: He rebounded on the greens after two bad weeks in Florida.
• 16:27
  Speaker 1: But now that's two solid, solid results at the vaalst Bar,
• 16:31
  Speaker 1: which kind of is An. It was a nice concourse,
• 16:32
  Speaker 1: like I said at the top of the show, and
• 16:34
  Speaker 1: then Houston, what's the Texas golf course?
• 16:36
  Speaker 2: So Denny's doing some good things.
• 16:38
  Speaker 1: But everyone can remember when Denny chased down Ox Shay
• 16:42
  Speaker 1: and almost won that golf run.
• 16:45
  Speaker 2: People are gonna want to go to him.
• 16:46
  Speaker 1: People can People just like to play Danny, and it's
• 16:50
  Speaker 1: not it's not rocket science why you like to play Danny.
• 16:53
  Speaker 1: But I just think when Denny gets a little chalky,
• 16:55
  Speaker 1: I like to stay away from him. And we were
• 16:57
  Speaker 1: absolutely correct with the chalky guy last week. I told
• 17:00
  Speaker 1: you to fade Panje and he did not come in playing.
• 17:03
  Speaker 2: Some good golf at all.
• 17:04
  Speaker 1: So Danny McCarthy is the one golfer that I think is
• 17:06
  Speaker 1: gonna be chalky that I think I'm going to be avoiding.
• 17:09
  Speaker 2: Here. Let's talk about a potential pivot.
• 17:11
  Speaker 1: Who is gonna come on under owned in my opinion,
• 17:14
  Speaker 1: Who's gonna come in and maybe outperform their ownership and
• 17:18
  Speaker 1: perform their price. That is Nick Taylor in my opinion.
• 17:21
  Speaker 1: So if we look at the DraftKings board, Nick Taylor
• 17:24
  Speaker 1: is down at eight k and he is stuffed between
• 17:28
  Speaker 1: Danny McCarthy su Dar, Sean Yellamraju, Johnny Keever off of
• 17:32
  Speaker 1: that third place finish shoot, Darshan had another top ten.
• 17:34
  Speaker 1: I just talked about Denny Gary Woodland golfer who just won,
• 17:38
  Speaker 1: Brian Harmon past winner.
• 17:40
  Speaker 2: No one's gonna click this Nick Taylor stuff.
• 17:42
  Speaker 1: Between all of those guys and Niki t I think
• 17:46
  Speaker 1: fits this course tremendously. Look at what he's doing right
• 17:49
  Speaker 1: now in terms of approach. He has not lost strokes
• 17:51
  Speaker 1: on approach since the Amex. The putter is a bit
• 17:54
  Speaker 1: of a mess, but I don't care about the putter
• 17:56
  Speaker 1: too much. The around the green plays playing, and we
• 17:58
  Speaker 1: know Nick Taylor is an accurate driving of a golf ber,
• 18:00
  Speaker 1: so I think he is a great pivot, a great
• 18:03
  Speaker 1: play for you at eight K compared him with basically
• 18:06
  Speaker 1: anyone you want, so Nick t Nick t is a
• 18:10
  Speaker 1: solid golfer in my opinion. Let's talk some model. I
• 18:14
  Speaker 1: know the model has also been a bit of a
• 18:17
  Speaker 1: bit of a talking point in the Twitter streets as well.
• 18:20
  Speaker 2: So Model number one.
• 18:22
  Speaker 1: Colin Morrikawa tied for a second Seawoo, Kim Russell Henley
• 18:26
  Speaker 1: fourth place, Austin Spotherman fifth place, Daniel Berger sixth place,
• 18:30
  Speaker 1: Tommy Fleetwood. We ran sixteen models this week, aggregated them
• 18:34
  Speaker 1: into one deep model, and this is what we split out.
• 18:37
  Speaker 1: I basically, I don't alfhad many guarantees, but I said
• 18:40
  Speaker 1: last week I would guarantee our model would have the
• 18:43
  Speaker 1: winner last week, and it did. Sorry, Houston, not Victor Woodland.
• 18:48
  Speaker 1: Houston had the winner as Woodland at third nor model.
• 18:52
  Speaker 1: Am I gonna guarantee another one? No? But I saw
• 18:54
  Speaker 1: all of these, all of these nothings, all these nothings.
• 18:57
  Speaker 1: We weren't printing a winner. We were due, and Houston
• 18:59
  Speaker 1: would very like obvious bomber track.
• 19:02
  Speaker 2: We found the winner there.
• 19:03
  Speaker 1: So hopefully the model can get you on another winner
• 19:06
  Speaker 1: this week. And you saw what it was. I'll bring
• 19:08
  Speaker 1: it up on my screen again so you guys, so
• 19:11
  Speaker 1: you guys can can see it. Now, where is this model? Okay,
• 19:14
  Speaker 1: so you guys can see it. So it's Colin see
• 19:16
  Speaker 1: where Russ tied for a second. Austin's motherman Tray Vibin
• 19:20
  Speaker 1: is Daniel Berger. And then Tommy Ladd perfect, perfect segue
• 19:25
  Speaker 1: into the one golfer that I am on.
• 19:29
  Speaker 2: Perfect perfect, It's gonna be the chalk.
• 19:32
  Speaker 1: It's gonna be the highest press golfer in the field.
• 19:33
  Speaker 1: It's gonna be a golfer by the name of Tommy Fleetwood.
• 19:38
  Speaker 1: I think this is such a good golf course for
• 19:40
  Speaker 1: Tommy Fleetwood and I played him here last year and
• 19:43
  Speaker 1: it didn't work very well. I want to see he's
• 19:45
  Speaker 1: gonna Yeah, it was a T seven and twenty twenty four,
• 19:47
  Speaker 1: a T sixty two last year. He just hasn't putt
• 19:50
  Speaker 1: well here, and he hasn't been putting that great to
• 19:52
  Speaker 1: begin with, like two straight bad putting weeks. The ball
• 19:54
  Speaker 1: striking is tremendously around the green is tremendous. We know
• 19:57
  Speaker 1: he's accurate, especially when it plays difficult, which it could
• 19:59
  Speaker 1: this week. I think Tommy's a great play I think
• 20:02
  Speaker 1: he's not nearly too expensive. And the one thing about
• 20:05
  Speaker 1: Tommy that I kind of came to the conclusion of
• 20:09
  Speaker 1: this year, I think he's going to win at a
• 20:13
  Speaker 1: horrible number at like a chalky as a favorite number,
• 20:17
  Speaker 1: like we saw him win in east at east Lake
• 20:20
  Speaker 1: when he was like sixteen to one, fourteen to one,
• 20:23
  Speaker 1: and thirty man fielders the third or fourth favorite, like
• 20:25
  Speaker 1: now he's the favorite of a not the strongest field
• 20:28
  Speaker 1: in the world. I feel like no one's gonna want
• 20:30
  Speaker 1: to play him, like they want to wait till he's
• 20:31
  Speaker 1: thirty to one or twenty five to one in a
• 20:32
  Speaker 1: bigger field in a major, and he's just gonna go
• 20:34
  Speaker 1: out and win this, Like damn, it kind of checks out.
• 20:37
  Speaker 1: So Tommy Fleetwood, I'm not gonna miss it. I'm gonna
• 20:39
  Speaker 1: be on this Tommy potential win that could be brewing
• 20:42
  Speaker 1: and coming soon.
• 20:43
  Speaker 2: He's confident.
• 20:44
  Speaker 1: He's a TGL champion, which is probably boosting confidence tremendously,
• 20:48
  Speaker 1: and he fits the build of this golf course tremendously.
• 20:52
  Speaker 1: So Tommy Fleetwood is the one golfer that I am
• 20:56
  Speaker 1: on that I am on. So as always, before we
• 21:00
  Speaker 1: get out of here, we got to talk about the
• 21:02
  Speaker 1: song of the day. The song of the day is
• 21:04
  Speaker 1: when I get home, You're so dead by may Day Parade,
• 21:07
  Speaker 1: one of the greatest bands of a generation.
• 21:09
  Speaker 2: So thanks for tuning in. You guys know where to
• 21:11
  Speaker 2: find me.
• 21:12
  Speaker 1: I will catch you guys on Thursday for the Round
• 21:14
  Speaker 1: two showdown show and then we'll be back hopefully with
• 21:17
  Speaker 1: the boots sooner and later, and I'll catch you guys
• 21:19
  Speaker 1: then peace out.
• 21:20
  Speaker 2: Chip It