Latest / Toadstool Sports / NCAAB + NHL + NBA Best Bets Tuesday 12/2/25
Transcript
- 0:01Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on OWN
- 0:07Speaker 1: seven run over the last two days after tonight it
- 0:09Speaker 1: was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna start
- 0:12Speaker 1: off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I don't
- 0:15Speaker 1: even know what to tell you about that. I just
- 0:18Speaker 1: don't want to do this anymore. I have never seen
- 0:21Speaker 1: anything like this. Man with the slump continuing, two straight losses,
- 0:26Speaker 1: not a good day at all. Own four that have
- 0:30Speaker 1: not had a good season. Man with wookends the slump
- 0:35Speaker 1: that I'm on, and the slump continues. I've reached a
- 0:38Speaker 1: new peak. Actually, I'm gonna burn my browins hat Man,
- 0:43Speaker 1: I don't know what is going on with the Bruins.
- 0:45Speaker 1: March hap is that what it is? I don't even
- 0:48Speaker 1: know it's It's March ninth, I think who even knows? Man,
- 0:52Speaker 1: I don't know what day is anymore. But I don't
- 0:54Speaker 1: even know what data is anymore. Man, back with you
- 0:57Speaker 1: after the worst day that I could possibly have, I'm
- 1:00Speaker 1: back with you as I always am until I die.
- 1:03Speaker 1: At least oh and two yesterday and yesterday it did
- 1:07Speaker 1: not go well for me. Oh and five the worst
- 1:11Speaker 1: month that I've ever had in my eighteen years doing this.
- 1:14Speaker 1: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore. Slump,
- 1:17Speaker 1: the slump discontinuous, the slump continues. Somebody fucking kill me, please.
- 1:23Speaker 1: I don't even know what I should do at this
- 1:26Speaker 1: point other than potentially end it all. Oh I was muted.
- 1:50Speaker 1: Isn't that just awesome? Great? Hold on? What is going
- 1:55Speaker 1: on here? Yeah? All right, there we go. We got it.
- 1:57Speaker 1: We got it. We're good, We're good, We're good. All right? Yeah,
- 2:01Speaker 1: what's up? Everybody? Toad back with your totsal Sports Tuesday,
- 2:06Speaker 1: December second, Thanks for everybody who hung out last night
- 2:10Speaker 1: for the women's volleyball special, which I don't know if
- 2:15Speaker 1: I'm gonna leave my bracket alone, but it is what
- 2:19Speaker 1: it is. I don't know anything about it, so just
- 2:22Speaker 1: doing that somewhat for fun. I have no voice this morning.
- 2:26Speaker 1: I think I might need to turn my mic down
- 2:28Speaker 1: a little bit as well. I know you guys say
- 2:30Speaker 1: it's always too low, but like, I don't think I
- 2:32Speaker 1: sound good. I don't know. We'll keep it at that,
- 2:34Speaker 1: we'll see what happens. Dirty sock. What's up, Jeffrey, what's up?
- 2:38Speaker 1: Thanks for hanging out everybody. We had a winning day
- 2:41Speaker 1: on the show yesterday four and one. The hockey play
- 2:45Speaker 1: on the Pittsburgh Penguins hit pretty easy win there, solid
- 2:50Speaker 1: play as an underdog there. Two and one in the
- 2:53Speaker 1: NBA Brooklyn nets with an outright win when we win?
- 2:57Speaker 1: Would you ever say that? But if ever remember correctly,
- 3:00Speaker 1: I think both do they only have two wins on
- 3:02Speaker 1: the season. I think both of them were plays that
- 3:05Speaker 1: I gave out on the show. I think I don't remember.
- 3:08Speaker 1: The Clippers were the only loss. I mean that was
- 3:11Speaker 1: just total destruction. That wasn't even close. So my apologies
- 3:17Speaker 1: on that one. I don't know what else to tell
- 3:19Speaker 1: you about that. That was terrible. Chicago Bulls got there.
- 3:22Speaker 1: I mean, they had some chances to win that game outright.
- 3:24Speaker 1: That was a close game. In the fourth quarter they
- 3:27Speaker 1: lost but covered, So that was a winner there. They
- 3:30Speaker 1: were pretty much in that game wire to wire. And
- 3:32Speaker 1: then we did have the Patriots correct as well. The
- 3:35Speaker 1: Patriots just out to a big lead early and then
- 3:39Speaker 1: the Giants couldn't catch up. I know there was that
- 3:42Speaker 1: one play that everybody's talking about where Jackson Dart ran
- 3:46Speaker 1: up the sideline like maybe he was trying to get
- 3:48Speaker 1: a first down. But I mean, I think he was
- 3:50Speaker 1: pretty clearly headed out of bounds. And everybody's talking about
- 3:53Speaker 1: Jackson Dart used to stop doing this, like he's being
- 3:56Speaker 1: reckless man, He's gonna get injured and whatever. And while
- 4:00Speaker 1: maybe that still might be true, that particular play, the
- 4:02Speaker 1: Patriots defender launched himself into him, like there's no need
- 4:06Speaker 1: for that, Like all you have to do is shove
- 4:08Speaker 1: him out, you know what I mean, He like literally
- 4:11Speaker 1: left the ground, like launched his entire body, which is
- 4:14Speaker 1: why the Giants took exception to him. That was a
- 4:16Speaker 1: cheap hit dude, like darts going out of bounds anyway.
- 4:20Speaker 1: I mean, yeah, you don't want him to get the
- 4:22Speaker 1: first down. But like, I don't know why so many
- 4:25Speaker 1: people are disagreeing with that, Like that was I think
- 4:28Speaker 1: they the ress threw a penalty flag on it, like
- 4:31Speaker 1: it was definitely deserving of a penalty. I mean that
- 4:34Speaker 1: that was a cheap shot dude, Like Patriots were trying
- 4:37Speaker 1: to knock him out of the game, like intentionally. So
- 4:40Speaker 1: I don't know what people are seeing different Like, I
- 4:43Speaker 1: don't know how people are seeing that play any differently.
- 4:45Speaker 1: It's ridiculous. Yeah, like he was gonna be out of
- 4:48Speaker 1: bounds anyway, so like there was no need to do that.
- 4:51Speaker 1: He wasn't gonna get the first down on it. I
- 4:53Speaker 1: don't know, but we did get the win, which also
- 4:56Speaker 1: meant I went four and one in my splash pick
- 5:01Speaker 1: them league again. I am very much in the money
- 5:04Speaker 1: right now and they need to finish it off with
- 5:06Speaker 1: a good stretch run here. But I hate the NFL
- 5:09Speaker 1: board this week, so I don't know. There's the potential
- 5:12Speaker 1: that I give out a play on the Thursday game
- 5:15Speaker 1: we'll see today is gonna be primarily college basketball. I'm
- 5:19Speaker 1: gonna have five college basketball plays and hopefully we can
- 5:22Speaker 1: get some winners with that. NHL I actually there's like
- 5:27Speaker 1: a decent amount of games, and I hate the board.
- 5:29Speaker 1: I'm gonna have nothing in the NHL today and then
- 5:32Speaker 1: two NBA plays, So that's what I'm gonna do today. Yeah,
- 5:37Speaker 1: I mean, let's get into it, man, college basketball. We
- 5:42Speaker 1: got a lot going on with college basketball. Man, I'm
- 5:44Speaker 1: gonna lose my voice again here talking about all these games.
- 5:48Speaker 1: It's a Tuesday. I mean once, once we really get going,
- 5:51Speaker 1: there are gonna be some big like Tuesday and Wednesday boards.
- 5:54Speaker 1: I think. I mean, this one is pretty big today.
- 5:58Speaker 1: The action does start in the afternoon a couple of games.
- 6:01Speaker 1: George Washington is playing at Army. George Washington going up
- 6:06Speaker 1: against the Army. Interesting, this game is at eleven am Eastern.
- 6:10Speaker 1: I don't have any plays until the evening part of
- 6:13Speaker 1: the board. But George Washington, they're coming off a loss,
- 6:17Speaker 1: I believe in the Cayman Islands where they were a
- 6:19Speaker 1: pretty substantial favorite against Murray State. So I could see
- 6:24Speaker 1: them being in a bounce back spot here. Now that
- 6:26Speaker 1: they're back in you know, the mainland United States after
- 6:31Speaker 1: an ugly loss as a favorite there, I think they'll
- 6:35Speaker 1: show up for this one. Army not as good. Army
- 6:39Speaker 1: is actually coming off an overtime win over Manhattan where
- 6:44Speaker 1: Manhattan was actually a slight favorite in this game. This
- 6:46Speaker 1: game was where was this game? This game was actually
- 6:50Speaker 1: at West Point. This was actually at Army, So Army
- 6:53Speaker 1: is just staying at home. But yeah, I think the
- 6:56Speaker 1: spot is better for George Washington for a bounce back
- 6:59Speaker 1: in my opinion. So that's the way I would lean
- 7:01Speaker 1: in that game. And they are the better team, but
- 7:04Speaker 1: they're laying twenty two and a half now, Army fifty
- 7:08Speaker 1: take a sixty two percent of the cash. I mean,
- 7:10Speaker 1: do I really want to lay twenty plus on the road.
- 7:13Speaker 1: I don't, but that's probably what I would do if
- 7:16Speaker 1: I was gonna play that game. I mean, George Washington
- 7:19Speaker 1: is the way, way better team here, and they're in
- 7:20Speaker 1: like a decent bounce back spot. But of course they
- 7:23Speaker 1: don't really need to cover that number, so I don't know.
- 7:27Speaker 1: But Army, I mean, they're pretty much ass so. And
- 7:31Speaker 1: then the other afternoon game, well noontime, well the only
- 7:35Speaker 1: noon game, because that other one is a morning game.
- 7:38Speaker 1: Charleston Southern is at UT Martin. We got to win
- 7:41Speaker 1: with Charlton's. With Charleston Southern against South Carolina, they played
- 7:45Speaker 1: pretty well in that game against their in state big brother.
- 7:49Speaker 1: By the end of it wasn't that close, but it
- 7:51Speaker 1: was still a big effort from them. So second straight
- 7:54Speaker 1: road game, I could see Charleston Southern maybe maybe still
- 7:57Speaker 1: being in a bit of a hangover spot after that.
- 8:00Speaker 1: UT Martin had an easy go of it in their
- 8:02Speaker 1: last game, I believe, staying at home. They beat Brescia
- 8:06Speaker 1: or whatever, some non Division one team, so the spot
- 8:10Speaker 1: sets up better for UT Martin. And that one. The
- 8:13Speaker 1: money looks like it's disagreeing with that, but I would
- 8:15Speaker 1: probably lay it with Ut Martin and that one sixty
- 8:17Speaker 1: eight percent of the tickets on them fifty three of
- 8:19Speaker 1: the cash on Charleston Southern though, So some difference of
- 8:25Speaker 1: opinion between me and the market and that one. But
- 8:27Speaker 1: I'm not strong on that one at all. Bruins against
- 8:31Speaker 1: the Red Wings, I obviously do not agree with that.
- 8:35Speaker 1: It's gonna it's gonna be a zigzag spot. All right,
- 8:40Speaker 1: Let's what else do we want to talk about here?
- 8:43Speaker 1: Let's get to the best bets already? Why not? Which,
- 8:46Speaker 1: by the way, it's it's a good thing that we're
- 8:48Speaker 1: we're back on the winning track, man, because I don't know,
- 8:52Speaker 1: like I I can't stand losing, and I get, you know,
- 8:56Speaker 1: in a really really bad state, you know what I mean.
- 8:58Speaker 1: These losses stay with me. They fester, Jerry. We're gonna
- 9:03Speaker 1: have some new drops on the show too. I just
- 9:05Speaker 1: need an excuse to play one of those drops right now.
- 9:07Speaker 1: They're gonna be a few probably. Let's get into the
- 9:10Speaker 1: best bets though we probably need some like music with
- 9:13Speaker 1: the best bets visual here. I don't know something. First
- 9:19Speaker 1: one is up in the six pm slate. We're gonna
- 9:21Speaker 1: take the points with stone Hill. I put too many
- 9:24Speaker 1: a's in that NC triple A. They're coming to help
- 9:27Speaker 1: you out when your car breaks down. Yeah, Stonehill plus
- 9:33Speaker 1: the points here plus the six and a half, the
- 9:35Speaker 1: money looks like it might be coming in against this.
- 9:37Speaker 1: Bryant up to well six point favorite now. So it
- 9:39Speaker 1: looks like when it hit six and a half, it
- 9:41Speaker 1: did start coming down six six and a half. Hopefully
- 9:44Speaker 1: not too much of a difference there. We got a
- 9:46Speaker 1: low total in this one, one hundred and thirty one
- 9:48Speaker 1: and a half. So you know me, I prefer taking
- 9:51Speaker 1: the points in these ugly, low scoring games, and it
- 9:54Speaker 1: looks like that's what this is gonna be. This is
- 9:55Speaker 1: against Bryant. I know my Stonehill guys from Easton, mass
- 10:01Speaker 1: they're not very good, but they're coming off of a
- 10:03Speaker 1: loss that was worse than it looked. They went to
- 10:06Speaker 1: Quinnipiac and they got I don't want to say destroyed,
- 10:09Speaker 1: but they did lose by double Diggit's fuck off ad block.
- 10:12Speaker 1: Jesus Christ hate that shit. If you look at what
- 10:16Speaker 1: happened in this game, though, Quinnipiac shot fifty percent from
- 10:19Speaker 1: three point range in the game, even though, yeah, Quinnipiac
- 10:23Speaker 1: was obviously a pretty big favorite in this game, but
- 10:26Speaker 1: the Stonehill actually played better than the numbers make it look.
- 10:30Speaker 1: Stonehill shot really poorly in the game, which is kind
- 10:32Speaker 1: of an outlier thirty nine percent from the field. The
- 10:35Speaker 1: fifty threes from quintet Piac is an outlier as well.
- 10:38Speaker 1: I would say Stonehill won the rebound battle by eight,
- 10:42Speaker 1: so it was not all bad for Stonehill if they
- 10:44Speaker 1: were able to out rebound a team that's better than
- 10:46Speaker 1: they are, I mean, that's actually a decent sign for Stonehill.
- 10:49Speaker 1: And they did lose the turnover battle, which factored into
- 10:52Speaker 1: why they lost the game, which I know they'll be
- 10:55Speaker 1: on the road again. A lot of times the road
- 10:57Speaker 1: team will lose the turnover battle. But there was also
- 10:59Speaker 1: a free throw a sparity in this game. Quinnipiac hit
- 11:02Speaker 1: ten free throws and Stonehill only only hit four, So
- 11:06Speaker 1: stone Hill really didn't go to the line a whole lot.
- 11:08Speaker 1: I mean, I don't know that they're a very good
- 11:09Speaker 1: free throw shooting team anyway, but they had a bad
- 11:12Speaker 1: free throw shooting game in that game as well, only
- 11:14Speaker 1: shooting fifty percent but really the crux of this is
- 11:18Speaker 1: not just that stone Hill actually played better in that
- 11:21Speaker 1: game than maybe it looked. But for Bryant, Brant is
- 11:25Speaker 1: coming off a difficult game and they went up to Harvard,
- 11:27Speaker 1: which I think they consider Harvard to be kind of
- 11:29Speaker 1: a big deal because they're one of the more known
- 11:34Speaker 1: basketball schools or one of the more known schools in
- 11:37Speaker 1: New England. So I think Bryant did get up for
- 11:39Speaker 1: this game and Brian played Harvard in a low scoring
- 11:42Speaker 1: battle to within three points in Harvard. Although ESPN won't
- 11:46Speaker 1: show us the stupid betting anymore because ESPN Bet got
- 11:48Speaker 1: bought out by the score. So now ESPN Bet is
- 11:52Speaker 1: like starting to I guess switch over to showing DraftKings
- 11:55Speaker 1: odds on here and it's still not working. So that
- 11:58Speaker 1: is making my handicapping more difficult here. Thanks ESPN, But
- 12:02Speaker 1: you can see the Harvard, according to ESPN, is over
- 12:05Speaker 1: an eighty point favorite. Eighty percent favorite, not eighty points
- 12:09Speaker 1: that would be crazy, eighty something percent favorite to win
- 12:12Speaker 1: this game. So this is a game where Briant almost
- 12:14Speaker 1: pulled off the upset. I mean they took Harvard basically
- 12:17Speaker 1: to the wire. I mean it was a low scoring game.
- 12:19Speaker 1: Brian had a decent lead in the second half too,
- 12:22Speaker 1: they fell just short. Now they have to come off
- 12:24Speaker 1: of that and play this ugly stone Hill team, and
- 12:26Speaker 1: in three days Brian has to play Brown, and I
- 12:28Speaker 1: think that is a big deal because they, I think,
- 12:32Speaker 1: still consider Brown to be a bigger brother to them
- 12:34Speaker 1: in the state of Rhode Island. Bryant is in Rhode Island,
- 12:37Speaker 1: so that's a big deal playing Brown. So I think
- 12:40Speaker 1: this is basically a sandwich spot here, and we're getting
- 12:43Speaker 1: all these points and what looks like it's gonna be
- 12:45Speaker 1: an ugly matchup, so yeah, we'll do it. Both these
- 12:49Speaker 1: teams play pretty slow too, so I mean that obviously
- 12:52Speaker 1: has to do with the total there as well. That's
- 12:54Speaker 1: why the total is this low. Brian plays slow, Stonehill
- 12:57Speaker 1: plays even slower, and both teams are really bad offensively,
- 13:01Speaker 1: and you're asking one of those teams to win like
- 13:03Speaker 1: by a margin here. Yeah, I think taking the points
- 13:05Speaker 1: makes a lot of sense in this one, man. So
- 13:08Speaker 1: that's what we're gonna do in that one, even though yes,
- 13:12Speaker 1: Stonehill is a pretty bad team for sure, but we're
- 13:15Speaker 1: still gonna do it in that game. And Bryant is
- 13:18Speaker 1: not great, probably not as good as last year, Sab.
- 13:22Speaker 1: What's up man? Thanks for hanging out, all right? So
- 13:25Speaker 1: stone Hill plus the Points is the first game that's
- 13:28Speaker 1: probably the ugliest one. So there is that. Alright. Let's
- 13:33Speaker 1: get into more of these games here. Next up a
- 13:39Speaker 1: game that's gonna be on Peacocks. We can actually watch this. Well.
- 13:42Speaker 1: The other one's on ESPN Plus, like so many of
- 13:44Speaker 1: these games are on ESPN Plus, man, so we get
- 13:48Speaker 1: to watch a lot of these games if we want to.
- 13:50Speaker 1: Iowa Michigan State. This is a pretty good matchup, and
- 13:52Speaker 1: I'm gonna give it a play on this one. We're
- 13:54Speaker 1: gonna take the points with Iowa plus five and a half.
- 13:57Speaker 1: It looks like the money is agreeing with me on
- 13:59Speaker 1: this one. Seventy two percent of the tickets around Michigan
- 14:02Speaker 1: State and only fifty percent of the cash. I mean,
- 14:05Speaker 1: and the line dropped from five and a half to five.
- 14:07Speaker 1: So hopefully you can get one of those numbers five
- 14:09Speaker 1: and a half or five. I think we might see
- 14:12Speaker 1: the money come in on Iowa and knock this line down.
- 14:14Speaker 1: I mean, you got Michigan State. I mean, they're a
- 14:17Speaker 1: very known quantity. You know. It's Tom is they're always
- 14:20Speaker 1: up there. They're ranked seventh in the country. Now it
- 14:23Speaker 1: looks way too easy to lay five and a half
- 14:25Speaker 1: of Michigan State at home, man, But this is an
- 14:29Speaker 1: Iowa team that is completely different than people are used to.
- 14:31Speaker 1: Like normally, Iowa tries to play really fast. That was
- 14:34Speaker 1: the Fran mccaffory thing. In Michigan State plays really slow.
- 14:38Speaker 1: But now Iowa's Ben McCollum led like he's their new coach.
- 14:43Speaker 1: He brought his guys over from Drake, and he had
- 14:47Speaker 1: only one season with Drake and was a really good
- 14:49Speaker 1: season for him there at Drake, and he brought his
- 14:53Speaker 1: guys up from like a Division two team whatever. Now
- 14:56Speaker 1: he's at Iowa, and this is a completely different Iowa team, man,
- 14:59Speaker 1: where they play really really slow, even slower than Michigan State.
- 15:02Speaker 1: So Michigan State slowing the pace down, that's going to
- 15:06Speaker 1: play right into what Iowa wants to do. So it's
- 15:08Speaker 1: going to be a slow pace game, which also means
- 15:10Speaker 1: taking the points makes sense. This is a very low
- 15:12Speaker 1: total as well, done to one to thirty three, so
- 15:15Speaker 1: taking the points makes more sense here as well. Both
- 15:18Speaker 1: these teams are more defense oriented than offense oriented. With Iowa.
- 15:23Speaker 1: Actually Iowa being very balanced on Michigan State is actually
- 15:26Speaker 1: more of an imbalanced team as you can see here.
- 15:29Speaker 1: According to Kent Palm, Michigan State's a top ten defensive team,
- 15:32Speaker 1: but they're outside the top thirty in offensive efficiency, so
- 15:35Speaker 1: that also is a team that you could potentially fade
- 15:38Speaker 1: when they're laying points. Iowa is actually the better offensive team,
- 15:42Speaker 1: the worst defensive team, but they're very balanced, in the
- 15:45Speaker 1: top thirty in both, and he's got Iowa inside the
- 15:47Speaker 1: top twenty five Kenpom does in his rankings and he
- 15:50Speaker 1: has Michigan State fifteenth. So seeing the rankings makers having
- 15:55Speaker 1: Iowa unranked in Michigan State seventh, Iowa is pretty underranked
- 15:59Speaker 1: right now. Man in Michigan State is a bit over ranked.
- 16:02Speaker 1: So I think we're getting some we get some misleading.
- 16:07Speaker 1: What am I even like the rankings makers are basically
- 16:10Speaker 1: setting up a situation where it's misleading, like they're not
- 16:14Speaker 1: telling you, like what the full story is here. And
- 16:16Speaker 1: for Iowa, they're gonna show up. I mean, it's a
- 16:18Speaker 1: game against Michigan State. Iowa they've been rolling, they're undefeated.
- 16:22Speaker 1: I mean, they haven't really been tested yet, but they
- 16:25Speaker 1: do have a nice win against Ole Miss in there,
- 16:29Speaker 1: and then on the back to back they beat Grand Canyon,
- 16:31Speaker 1: which was the championship in whatever this California tournament was there.
- 16:36Speaker 1: That's a good win. I mean, that's a pretty good
- 16:38Speaker 1: Grand Canyon team. So Iowa pulling off two good wins
- 16:42Speaker 1: in that tournament and normally would say, well, they're gonna
- 16:44Speaker 1: be in a letdown off of that, but I don't
- 16:46Speaker 1: think so, man. I mean, this is Michigan State we're
- 16:48Speaker 1: talking about. You know, I was gonna get up for
- 16:50Speaker 1: this game. Like there was the potential that they wouldn't
- 16:52Speaker 1: show up in that game against Grand Canyon, I would think,
- 16:55Speaker 1: and they still did. So I thought that was a
- 16:57Speaker 1: difficult spot for them, and they still got a pretty
- 17:00Speaker 1: convincing win. So I think they're gonna show up. And yes,
- 17:02Speaker 1: it is their first true road game, but I mean
- 17:06Speaker 1: it's it's a team that's in there in sort of
- 17:09Speaker 1: the same region of the country, and it's a conference game.
- 17:12Speaker 1: I mean, I was used to making a travel spot
- 17:14Speaker 1: like this, so it's not gonna be like that unfamiliar
- 17:17Speaker 1: to them. Even though yeah, it's with Ben McCollum and whatever,
- 17:19Speaker 1: so you know, he and his guys might not totally
- 17:24Speaker 1: be used to it yet. Normally I would not want
- 17:26Speaker 1: to be on a team playing their first true road game,
- 17:29Speaker 1: but in this case, I'm gonna do it. And I
- 17:31Speaker 1: also think the spot is really bad for Michigan State.
- 17:35Speaker 1: I know, this is their big ten opener home at home,
- 17:38Speaker 1: so normally they're gonna show up. But Michigan themselves, Michigan
- 17:41Speaker 1: State themselves, they're coming off winning a tournament themselves down
- 17:44Speaker 1: in Florida. They had a very convincing win over North
- 17:48Speaker 1: Carolina to finish that tournament off. Huge win from Michigan State. Man,
- 17:51Speaker 1: North Carolina, they're an absolute blue blood. They're in the rankings.
- 17:55Speaker 1: That was a big win for Michigan, very convincing for
- 17:59Speaker 1: Michigan's State. Excuse me, my god, the Michigan State fans
- 18:04Speaker 1: are gonna be mad at me. Michigan State. You know,
- 18:07Speaker 1: they've beaten three good teams so far, Arkansas, Kentucky, North Carolina.
- 18:11Speaker 1: But I think this is gonna be difficult for them, man,
- 18:13Speaker 1: And to make matters worse for them, they have to
- 18:15Speaker 1: turn around to play Duke on Saturday. I mean, that's
- 18:18Speaker 1: a monster game against Dukes. So I think Iowa's very
- 18:21Speaker 1: under the radar here, and it is a spot where
- 18:23Speaker 1: maybe Michigan State actually overlooks them, like I think this
- 18:26Speaker 1: is a sandwich spot. So yeah, there's a lot that
- 18:28Speaker 1: I like about this. Iowa plus the points is the
- 18:33Speaker 1: is the play there? Sorry I didn't leave the Iowa
- 18:36Speaker 1: graphic up there, but there you go, Iowa plus the points?
- 18:41Speaker 1: All right? To move on here? Next up another play
- 18:47Speaker 1: for me? How about this? We're gonna take Syracuse plus
- 18:51Speaker 1: eight against Tennessee. Actually you can get about nine on
- 18:56Speaker 1: this now the line's moving up. It looks like the
- 18:58Speaker 1: money's kind of coming in against me. But this is
- 18:59Speaker 1: a pretty low total here as well, at one forty six.
- 19:02Speaker 1: So oh, I see what's going on here? Dude, streamer
- 19:08Speaker 1: changed everything so the banner. The banner will only last
- 19:11Speaker 1: ten seconds now. I wonder if I could change that,
- 19:13Speaker 1: but let me see. I think I can. Yeah, No,
- 19:16Speaker 1: it looks like I can't. What hold on? Tim are off? Yeah, dude,
- 19:22Speaker 1: I don't know why. Why is there a timer on
- 19:23Speaker 1: this thing? What it's it's like defaulting to a time er.
- 19:27Speaker 1: I'll try to fix that at some point. I don't
- 19:29Speaker 1: know why they do that now, but yeah, we're gonna
- 19:32Speaker 1: be on Syracuse there it is. Yeah, it's working with
- 19:36Speaker 1: no time or dude, Streamer keeps changing things and it's
- 19:38Speaker 1: throwing me off. Anyway, Uh, Syracuse plus eight is gonna
- 19:44Speaker 1: be the play here or actually you can get plus
- 19:49Speaker 1: nine on it. Like I said, it looks like you
- 19:50Speaker 1: can get it. We'll call it eight and a half
- 19:52Speaker 1: right now. Probably you can probably get the eight and
- 19:53Speaker 1: a half on it. But yeah, I mean Tennessee, I
- 19:57Speaker 1: mean they've been a team that plays slow for a while,
- 19:59Speaker 1: even though it looks like they play a little bit
- 20:01Speaker 1: faster this year, but they're a team that is more
- 20:05Speaker 1: Usually they're more defense oriented and they play slower, and
- 20:08Speaker 1: this year, I mean they're not too much different from that.
- 20:10Speaker 1: They're still in like basically they're in the slower half
- 20:14Speaker 1: of teams tempo wise still right now, and better defensively
- 20:19Speaker 1: than offensively, although they look more balanced this year. But
- 20:21Speaker 1: I believe Tennessee still has the same coach if I'm
- 20:24Speaker 1: not mistaken, right, So I don't see them really changing
- 20:26Speaker 1: their like their style of team completely to that degree.
- 20:31Speaker 1: But I think Tennessee's in a very bad spot, dude.
- 20:33Speaker 1: I mean, we faded them in their last game, and
- 20:35Speaker 1: we got to win with Kansas because Tennessee had pulled
- 20:37Speaker 1: off a massive upset of Houston. It wasn't massive as
- 20:41Speaker 1: far as the how big, like how big a favorite
- 20:44Speaker 1: Houston was there, like a three point favorite, But it
- 20:47Speaker 1: was a huge win because beating Houston is a big deal.
- 20:50Speaker 1: But also it was even bigger for Tennessee because Houston
- 20:52Speaker 1: knocked them out of the tournament last year. So that
- 20:56Speaker 1: was a huge win for Tennessee. They came off of that,
- 20:58Speaker 1: they were a little bit flat, but they still played
- 21:00Speaker 1: competitively and they lost by five to Kansas. We got
- 21:04Speaker 1: Kansas right as the underdog there. But now Tennessee's coming
- 21:07Speaker 1: off of that and that was their first loss of
- 21:09Speaker 1: the season. And you know how I talk about this,
- 21:11Speaker 1: when a team takes their first loss of the season,
- 21:13Speaker 1: sometimes that actually sets up a hangover as well. Now
- 21:16Speaker 1: they have to go up to Syracuse, so they're not
- 21:18Speaker 1: really used to playing. They have to go play in
- 21:20Speaker 1: the Carrier Dome or whatever it's called now up there.
- 21:23Speaker 1: It's a crazy environment up there. Man, this is gonna
- 21:26Speaker 1: be their first true road game of the season, which
- 21:28Speaker 1: you know I talk about that being a difficult position
- 21:30Speaker 1: to be in and then after this they got to
- 21:32Speaker 1: turn around on Saturday and play Illinois and then Louisville,
- 21:35Speaker 1: and those are both ranked teams. Those are much bigger games.
- 21:38Speaker 1: I think they might overlook the Syracuse team that's been
- 21:41Speaker 1: down for a while. Man, and that's gonna be back
- 21:43Speaker 1: in Tennessee, by the way, in Nashville for the Music
- 21:47Speaker 1: City Tournament whatever that is there against Illinois. So this
- 21:50Speaker 1: looks like a pretty big sandwich spot to me, first
- 21:53Speaker 1: true road game sandwiched in between bigger games. Kansas, obviously
- 21:59Speaker 1: a blue blood, was a big deal coming off their
- 22:01Speaker 1: first loss of the season as well. Tennessee is a
- 22:04Speaker 1: lot that I don't like about the spot for Tennessee
- 22:06Speaker 1: here Syracuse. I mean, they're sitting at four and three,
- 22:09Speaker 1: nobody's really gonna want to deal with them. But they
- 22:11Speaker 1: played those same teams Houston, and they took Houston into overtime.
- 22:15Speaker 1: So Syracuse definitely was competitive in that game against Houston.
- 22:19Speaker 1: That's a good sign. If Syracuse could play very competitively
- 22:23Speaker 1: against Houston, and then people might look at see, oh, well,
- 22:25Speaker 1: they lost to Kansas as well, even a little bit worse.
- 22:27Speaker 1: So Syracuse did a little bit worse than Tennessee did
- 22:30Speaker 1: against Houston and Kansas. But yeah, we know that Tennessee
- 22:34Speaker 1: is better than Syracuse. But should they be laying eight
- 22:36Speaker 1: points on the road here in this one. I don't
- 22:39Speaker 1: think so. Now Syracuse is coming off their ugliest loss
- 22:41Speaker 1: of the season to Iowa State. Iowa State's very good man,
- 22:46Speaker 1: and yeah, Syracuse lost that game by thirty one points.
- 22:48Speaker 1: But I think Syracuse is just kind of dead after
- 22:51Speaker 1: they took Houston to overtime. It was just kind of
- 22:53Speaker 1: I think we won actually fading them after that. We
- 22:55Speaker 1: won with Kansas. We won with Kansas twice in that
- 22:59Speaker 1: Vegas tournament there, so after that, Syracuse I think they
- 23:02Speaker 1: just had nothing left, like they were done in that tournament. Basically,
- 23:07Speaker 1: now that they got embarrassed in that last game of
- 23:09Speaker 1: the tournament, I think this is gonna be a big
- 23:11Speaker 1: deal for them on ESPN two, hosting Tennessee back at home.
- 23:15Speaker 1: It's gonna be a sea of orange, both teams orange.
- 23:18Speaker 1: But we're going with the literal orange in this one.
- 23:21Speaker 1: Syracuse plus the points. All right, what else do we
- 23:27Speaker 1: want to talk about here? I don't know, man, Let's see,
- 23:33Speaker 1: I don't know if if any of these games are
- 23:34Speaker 1: really interesting. I mean New Mexico State South Alabama might
- 23:37Speaker 1: be somewhat interesting where New Mexico State's a two and
- 23:40Speaker 1: a half point favorite here they're six and zero in
- 23:42Speaker 1: South Alabama seven and one. But it's interesting because South
- 23:45Speaker 1: Alabama just bounced back from their first loss. Or I
- 23:48Speaker 1: thought they were gonna be in a huge hangover spot
- 23:51Speaker 1: after losing to UAB and in state rival playing them
- 23:54Speaker 1: really tough, but they came back and they killed me,
- 23:57Speaker 1: like destroying Utsa on the road. Now they're back home.
- 24:01Speaker 1: I mean, that's a good sign if they played well
- 24:02Speaker 1: in a spot that wasn't very good. But the ospeakers
- 24:06Speaker 1: are telling you New Mexico State's actually the better team
- 24:08Speaker 1: in this one. But I mean they do have a
- 24:11Speaker 1: couple of nice wins in here against New Mexico Samford.
- 24:13Speaker 1: You see a revine. This game is not a true
- 24:17Speaker 1: road game either. This game for some reason is in Katy, Texas.
- 24:20Speaker 1: I don't know what this is. So the venue actually
- 24:23Speaker 1: might be more advantageous to New Mexico State. South Alabama
- 24:28Speaker 1: I think is a little bit further away from this venue.
- 24:30Speaker 1: So it's an interesting one. Yeah, I mean, the money
- 24:35Speaker 1: looks like it's somewhat coming in towards New Mexico State,
- 24:38Speaker 1: but ninety percent tickets, ninety eight percent of the cash,
- 24:40Speaker 1: They're a slight favor here to two and a half.
- 24:43Speaker 1: I'm not going to really disagree with that side, but
- 24:46Speaker 1: I just don't really have much of a feel on that.
- 24:47Speaker 1: I mean, I just thought it was kind of weird
- 24:49Speaker 1: that those teams are playing in in Katie, Texas Syracuse
- 24:58Speaker 1: scoring less every game. Well, I mean, the Houston game
- 25:03Speaker 1: went into overtime, so that was obviously gonna be higher
- 25:07Speaker 1: scoring for that reason. Kansas is also a good defensive team,
- 25:11Speaker 1: and then Iowa State is really really good and also
- 25:15Speaker 1: good defensively Kent bumb As Iowa State fourth in the
- 25:18Speaker 1: country overall and on defense. And again I mean that,
- 25:23Speaker 1: I'm that result was kind of an outlier, Like you're
- 25:26Speaker 1: not gonna lose many games by thirty plus points. So
- 25:30Speaker 1: I just think that it was just the situation they
- 25:33Speaker 1: just didn't have anything left in that game. Like I'm
- 25:36Speaker 1: not looking at like the fact that they that they
- 25:39Speaker 1: scored less in that game. I don't give a shit, Like,
- 25:43Speaker 1: I mean, if anything, I think it makes Syracuse be
- 25:46Speaker 1: worth more here because they didn't look good in that
- 25:48Speaker 1: last game Jackson State and Kansas State. Just so I
- 25:53Speaker 1: could talk about my pals, Jackson State kanessas State's coming
- 25:56Speaker 1: up winning at Florida Gulf Coast in overtime. Florida Gulf
- 26:00Speaker 1: Coast was a slight favorite in this one, but Kennesaw
- 26:03Speaker 1: did go in there and beat them in their home arena.
- 26:07Speaker 1: So it was a pretty pretty big win for Knasaw
- 26:10Speaker 1: coming off of that. But Jackson State, I mean, what
- 26:14Speaker 1: do we think about them? I mean, they finally got
- 26:15Speaker 1: a win, and they pulled off an upset on the
- 26:17Speaker 1: road at Louisiana. And I told you Jackson State, the
- 26:21Speaker 1: fact that they're battle testing themselves is gonna come in
- 26:24Speaker 1: handy later in the season, like once again to conference play.
- 26:27Speaker 1: We're not even in conference play yet, but they were
- 26:28Speaker 1: able to pull off a win at Louisiana. I think
- 26:31Speaker 1: just because Jackson State is finally like they're battle tested,
- 26:35Speaker 1: so they're starting to play decently against some of these
- 26:38Speaker 1: weaker teams because they played so many strong teams earlier.
- 26:41Speaker 1: They do have Houston up next, which is maybe a concern,
- 26:45Speaker 1: but I think they might show up for this game
- 26:47Speaker 1: against KNISA on the fact that Jackson State finally has
- 26:50Speaker 1: a win. I think that's a good thing. But they
- 26:52Speaker 1: did pull off an upset, so they could be in
- 26:54Speaker 1: a letdown off of pulling off a fairly substantial upset actually,
- 26:58Speaker 1: because there's not really that good of a team. But
- 27:01Speaker 1: getting that first win sometimes we'll give you momentum. So
- 27:04Speaker 1: I see a lot of things going on in this game.
- 27:07Speaker 1: If you like Jackson State, you're getting fourteen points in
- 27:10Speaker 1: this one. I mean, I would probably towards taking the points,
- 27:13Speaker 1: even though I worry about playing on a team that's
- 27:16Speaker 1: coming off a big upset. So I don't know. Not
- 27:19Speaker 1: much else to say about that, really, but it's kind
- 27:21Speaker 1: of interesting Cornell is that George Mason. George Mason just
- 27:26Speaker 1: had a nice win against James Madison, which is they're
- 27:31Speaker 1: like in state. It's an in state situation, like a
- 27:34Speaker 1: sibling rivalry if you will, both teams in Virginia, I believe,
- 27:39Speaker 1: or is George Mason in DC? I forget? I think
- 27:41Speaker 1: they're in Virginia. Yeah, this is in Fairfax, Virginia. I
- 27:45Speaker 1: think that's where they are. Now they get Cornell and
- 27:48Speaker 1: up next they got Virginia Tech. That's a big deal.
- 27:50Speaker 1: George Mason getting to face one of the big boys
- 27:53Speaker 1: in Virginia, an ACC team as well. So it's a
- 27:58Speaker 1: little bit of kind of a Virginia sam which year
- 28:00Speaker 1: that George Mason is in Cornell. They're off to a
- 28:04Speaker 1: decent start, They're pretty decently road tested so far. They
- 28:07Speaker 1: played some road games in here. They're coming off a
- 28:09Speaker 1: blowout win on the road against buck Noll. I mean,
- 28:11Speaker 1: buck Noll is pretty bad, but Cornell definitely did what
- 28:15Speaker 1: they needed to get done in that game. They're getting
- 28:17Speaker 1: a lot of points here. George Mason eleven point favorite,
- 28:20Speaker 1: eighty three percent. Tay is ninety nine percent of the cash.
- 28:24Speaker 1: I would probably take Cornell plus the points in that game,
- 28:27Speaker 1: but not a play for me. It's it's kind of
- 28:30Speaker 1: an interesting one, all right. I don't know. I didn't
- 28:36Speaker 1: necessarily want to talk about every single one of these
- 28:38Speaker 1: games though, just games that kind of have interesting situations. Maybe.
- 28:43Speaker 1: I mean, have Florida A and M against Jacksonville. Jacksonville
- 28:48Speaker 1: just took a pretty ugly loss on their home Florida Pacific.
- 28:52Speaker 1: They might bounce back from that going up against Florida
- 28:54Speaker 1: A and M. Florida A and M has played like
- 28:57Speaker 1: the fewest games in in college basketball. I'll probably the
- 29:00Speaker 1: only played four games. They haven't played since like November
- 29:03Speaker 1: seventh or something. I don't know how the s or
- 29:06Speaker 1: seventeenth my mistake. It's a little bit less extreme, but
- 29:08Speaker 1: that's still pretty wild. I don't know how the scheduling
- 29:11Speaker 1: winds up like this in college basketball. But Florida A
- 29:14Speaker 1: and M, maybe having all that time off will help
- 29:16Speaker 1: them because they don't have a win yet, so sometimes
- 29:18Speaker 1: getting that huge break will let you like push the
- 29:21Speaker 1: reset button a little bit. They're a terrible team though,
- 29:24Speaker 1: but to me, it looks like both teams are in
- 29:25Speaker 1: positive spots here. So I don't know. Jacksonville's up to
- 29:29Speaker 1: a ten and a half way favorite. I would probably
- 29:31Speaker 1: still lay it with Jacksonville if I was gonna do that,
- 29:33Speaker 1: but I don't know. I just thought that was interesting.
- 29:36Speaker 1: And we have some of these early season games being
- 29:38Speaker 1: canceled too, Like yesterday Chicago State their game was canceled
- 29:43Speaker 1: because South Carolina State wasn't able to travel due to weather.
- 29:49Speaker 1: I mean, everything is just getting so pussified, dude, Like
- 29:51Speaker 1: it's so ridiculous, Like you're playing in a fucking arena,
- 29:55Speaker 1: like you're saying that you can't get to where you're
- 29:58Speaker 1: needing to go just because it's like snow or something.
- 30:01Speaker 1: I mean, it makes no sense, dude, Like, stop being
- 30:04Speaker 1: a bunch of bitches. Eastern Michigan is at Butler. Butler,
- 30:11Speaker 1: they looked like they were in kind of letdown spot
- 30:13Speaker 1: for beating South Carolina and Virginia and playing Smuta off
- 30:17Speaker 1: the game prior to those, so three pretty big games
- 30:19Speaker 1: in a row, and they then had to face Right State,
- 30:22Speaker 1: but they blew Right State out of the building. So Butler,
- 30:26Speaker 1: nice performance. They're in a bad spot. So maybe I
- 30:29Speaker 1: don't know that, maybe it's a decent sign for Butler
- 30:31Speaker 1: coming into this one that they won't be in any
- 30:34Speaker 1: sort of like in this case, they might be in
- 30:36Speaker 1: a look ahead spot because they do have Boise up next,
- 30:39Speaker 1: so maybe they still overlook Eastern Michigan. Eastern Michigan has
- 30:42Speaker 1: been playing pretty well. Man. I thought that we had
- 30:47Speaker 1: gotten to win fading them with nj T. But I
- 30:50Speaker 1: think NJI team missed that cover by like one point
- 30:53Speaker 1: or something, which is really irritating to me because Eastern
- 30:57Speaker 1: Michigan had pulled off the upset over Cincinnati. I mean,
- 31:00Speaker 1: they're playing pretty competitively. And now all of this, they're
- 31:05Speaker 1: going on the road to face Butler. You know, Eastern
- 31:08Speaker 1: Michigan's gonna step up for a game against Butler. Butler
- 31:12Speaker 1: is looking like they're getting some of the money for
- 31:14Speaker 1: now seventy five percent tickets, ninety nine percent of the
- 31:17Speaker 1: cash on them, seventeen and a half point favorite. I
- 31:19Speaker 1: would probably lean towards taking the points in this game, though,
- 31:22Speaker 1: But again, I mean, these are just small opinions for
- 31:25Speaker 1: me that just don't have much weight. So, you know,
- 31:29Speaker 1: Rhode Island against Brown is interesting because this is a
- 31:32Speaker 1: situation where Brown is gonna get up for this, because
- 31:35Speaker 1: this is a big brother, little brother situation where Rhode
- 31:38Speaker 1: Island's the bigger brother in Rhode Island over Brown. Brown's
- 31:42Speaker 1: next game is actually gonna be against Bryant, as I mentioned,
- 31:44Speaker 1: which is a little brother to Brown. But Rhode Island's
- 31:47Speaker 1: next game is against I think what they considered to
- 31:49Speaker 1: be a bigger brother to them, which is Providence, the
- 31:52Speaker 1: big East team in their conference. So I think this
- 31:55Speaker 1: might be a look ahead for Rhode Island. Man, they
- 31:57Speaker 1: just got a nice win over Temple in their previous game.
- 32:01Speaker 1: Possible they overlook Brown man, the little brother that usually
- 32:05Speaker 1: does not beat them. Brown with a little bit of
- 32:07Speaker 1: momentum beating some ugly teams in Maine and unh American
- 32:11Speaker 1: East teams. Another road game here, but staying you know,
- 32:14Speaker 1: pretty close to home here, big big little brother situation.
- 32:19Speaker 1: I would take the points in this one with Brown.
- 32:21Speaker 1: It's an interesting one how that sets up with all
- 32:23Speaker 1: the big little brothers in Rhode Island. There seventy five
- 32:26Speaker 1: percent of tickets eighty two percent of the cash Rhode Island,
- 32:29Speaker 1: up from thirteen and after fourteen. So money looks like
- 32:32Speaker 1: it's coming in on Rhode Island to some extent early.
- 32:35Speaker 1: But yeah, I would probably take the points with Brown.
- 32:38Speaker 1: All right, let's get to another play here. We're gonna
- 32:42Speaker 1: take the points in East Tennessee State. I'm still not
- 32:45Speaker 1: used to this stupid ban or timer here. I'm gonna
- 32:48Speaker 1: have to like, I don't know, like see if there's
- 32:50Speaker 1: a way to set like take that thing off by
- 32:53Speaker 1: default or something. Oh, it looks like you can yeah, yeah,
- 32:56Speaker 1: time or off. Yeah you can do that here. All right,
- 32:58Speaker 1: I figured out a way, so tomorrow I'll have that
- 33:02Speaker 1: figured out. Yeah, East Tennessee State plus the points they're
- 33:05Speaker 1: gonna fade Dayton. Dayton off to a pretty good start here,
- 33:09Speaker 1: but look at what Dayton has done recently, man. I mean,
- 33:11Speaker 1: they beat Georgetown and OT on Thursday, and then they
- 33:15Speaker 1: lost to BYU W in a close matchup. This is
- 33:18Speaker 1: down in Florida, the Terry's Chocolate Event in wherever this
- 33:24Speaker 1: was a Simmi Florida. BYU was ranked in the top
- 33:28Speaker 1: ten in the country and Dayton played them really close. Man,
- 33:32Speaker 1: this is a big performance from Dayton. They're a pretty
- 33:35Speaker 1: decent sized underdog in this game, and Dayton pretty much
- 33:37Speaker 1: took BYU right to the wire very close late in
- 33:41Speaker 1: the game. So Dayton's having to come off of that.
- 33:43Speaker 1: I think they're gonna be in a bit of a
- 33:44Speaker 1: hangover spot. And they got to turn around and play
- 33:46Speaker 1: Virginia on Saturday, man, so that's another big deal. And
- 33:51Speaker 1: that's gonna be in Charlotte, North Carolina in some neutral
- 33:54Speaker 1: site game there. That's big, man. And that Dayton loss
- 33:58Speaker 1: also broke a windstream leek for them as well, so
- 34:01Speaker 1: I think it could be an extra hangover effect coming
- 34:04Speaker 1: from that too. I don't like the spot at all. Plus,
- 34:07Speaker 1: as I pointed out, Dayton plays fairly slow, although they've
- 34:10Speaker 1: actually played a little bit faster than you would think recently.
- 34:13Speaker 1: But Dayton's also not really that good. Ken Bum has
- 34:15Speaker 1: them sixty fifth in the country. They're still in the
- 34:17Speaker 1: bottom half pacing wise, and they're barely cracking the top
- 34:21Speaker 1: one hundred offensively. So they're a much better defensive team
- 34:25Speaker 1: and offensive teams. That's a team that you don't really
- 34:27Speaker 1: want to be laying a lot of points with, and
- 34:29Speaker 1: we have successfully faded them at least once as a
- 34:33Speaker 1: favorite here, so we're doing it again here East Tennessee State.
- 34:36Speaker 1: They're playing pretty well. They're six and one. They might
- 34:39Speaker 1: be one of the better teams of the Soacon this year,
- 34:42Speaker 1: although they haven't really been tested yet, so maybe that's
- 34:44Speaker 1: a little bit of a worry. But you know they're
- 34:46Speaker 1: gonna step up for this because this is one of
- 34:48Speaker 1: their biggest games. This is like their biggest game of
- 34:51Speaker 1: the season so far, getting to play Dayton, So I
- 34:54Speaker 1: think they're gonna show up for it. Yeah, they haven't
- 34:56Speaker 1: been as good on the road, I mean mostly because
- 34:58Speaker 1: they're one loss was this rend just lost to Presbyterian
- 35:02Speaker 1: on the road, so that is ugly. But they had
- 35:04Speaker 1: a better road performance beating North Alabama on the road
- 35:07Speaker 1: after that, so they've kind of come back to form
- 35:11Speaker 1: and they've won against weak opponents and blowouts over their
- 35:14Speaker 1: last two games. So they're definitely in rhythm right now.
- 35:17Speaker 1: I don't think they're gonna be overconfident after beating bad
- 35:19Speaker 1: opponents like JOA Monroe and Central Arkansas. So we will
- 35:24Speaker 1: we'll go with this one. We'll take the points with
- 35:26Speaker 1: East Tennessee wherever they are here. Yeah, the money looks
- 35:31Speaker 1: like it agrees. It's also a low total here at
- 35:33Speaker 1: one forty one, So again, you're looking at a game
- 35:36Speaker 1: it's expected to be at a slower pace. East Tennessee
- 35:39Speaker 1: plays pretty slow as well. They're in the bottom third,
- 35:42Speaker 1: so expected to be a slow paced game. You're getting
- 35:45Speaker 1: a lot of points. Fifty five percent of the tickets
- 35:47Speaker 1: are on Dayton money, the line hasn't really moved, and
- 35:50Speaker 1: then eighty percent of the cash on East Tennessee. So yeah,
- 35:53Speaker 1: we're taking the points in that one. East Tennessee State
- 35:59Speaker 1: saw what's man, You're going against the Bruins. I don't
- 36:03Speaker 1: disagree with that. I mean, I just I'm a Bruins fan,
- 36:06Speaker 1: but I don't I think they're gonna lose. I mean,
- 36:09Speaker 1: you know me, I'm a Bruins fan, I'm a handicaper,
- 36:12Speaker 1: so I'll I'll tell it like it is. I mean,
- 36:14Speaker 1: I'm not gonna like bet on the Bruins just because
- 36:16Speaker 1: they're my team. It's it's gonna have to be all
- 36:19Speaker 1: about the spot, and I don't like the spot for them.
- 36:24Speaker 1: All right, what else are we looking at here? I
- 36:28Speaker 1: don't even know, man, my man, my voice is just
- 36:31Speaker 1: not holding up. Dude, I'm sorry, I just don't know
- 36:35Speaker 1: what to do about my voice here. We got fairly
- 36:40Speaker 1: Dickinson against Providence. I mean, maybe Providence is in somewhat
- 36:43Speaker 1: of a bad spot. Is they just played Wisconsin in Florida,
- 36:47Speaker 1: although they lost both games, but still they covered against Florida,
- 36:50Speaker 1: so they did play fairly competitively. This was way out
- 36:53Speaker 1: in San Diego. And how Providence is having to come
- 36:56Speaker 1: all the way back from that, And they do have
- 36:58Speaker 1: Rhode Island up next, and then and then Butler, so
- 37:01Speaker 1: they've in state little Brothers coming up, and Rhode Island's
- 37:04Speaker 1: been playing pretty well as well, so and then Butler
- 37:07Speaker 1: after that. So much bigger games on the horizon, So
- 37:10Speaker 1: possible Providence does not show up in full force for
- 37:14Speaker 1: this game against Fairley Dickinson. Fairley Dickinson, they played some
- 37:17Speaker 1: pretty good opponents in here, Iowa State, Texas. They got
- 37:21Speaker 1: wiped out by both of them because they're not a
- 37:23Speaker 1: good team. But I mean Fairly Dickinson there at least
- 37:26Speaker 1: not gonna be intimidated by going to Providence. So I
- 37:29Speaker 1: would take the points with FDU and that one. But
- 37:32Speaker 1: the money looks like it totally disagrees with it with
- 37:34Speaker 1: Providence up to twenty eight eighty four percent of tickets
- 37:37Speaker 1: seventy four percent of the cash on Fairly Dickinson. So
- 37:40Speaker 1: I don't know how Fairly Dickinson is a public underdog there.
- 37:43Speaker 1: I don't really agree with it. I would probably take
- 37:46Speaker 1: the points there, but certainly not a play for me.
- 37:51Speaker 1: We got some big conference matchups here, four in a
- 37:53Speaker 1: row to talk about here. The Red Wings are favored
- 37:57Speaker 1: by that much. They're way better team the Bruins. I mean,
- 38:01Speaker 1: the Bruins are overperforming. Red Wings are are underperforming right now.
- 38:05Speaker 1: The Red Wings are way better than the record looks.
- 38:08Speaker 1: They're definitely the better team over the Bruins. They were
- 38:10Speaker 1: favored on the road against the Bruins, all right, Virginia
- 38:15Speaker 1: Tech at South Carolina. Virginia Tech coming off pretty ugly
- 38:23Speaker 1: loss to VCU, but I mean they were coming off
- 38:26Speaker 1: their first loss of the season to Saint Mary's the
- 38:29Speaker 1: game before that, so maybe a bit of a hangover,
- 38:31Speaker 1: and they'd have been bounced from whatever tournament that was
- 38:35Speaker 1: out in the Bahamas or whatever it was, So maybe
- 38:38Speaker 1: they just didn't really just they just packed it in.
- 38:42Speaker 1: I think didn't really pay attention. VCU wanted that game
- 38:44Speaker 1: more as a little brother against Virginia Tech. Well, the
- 38:47Speaker 1: VC is the better team too, but that was a
- 38:49Speaker 1: pretty embarrassing loss. So maybe Virginia Tech will be in
- 38:53Speaker 1: a bounce back from that. But it is their first
- 38:55Speaker 1: true road game of the season, so that's pretty difficult.
- 38:59Speaker 1: I don't like that when you're on your first true
- 39:01Speaker 1: road game. And even though I know I gave out
- 39:02Speaker 1: a play on one team, it's in a spot like
- 39:05Speaker 1: that with Iowa, but I felt that was a little
- 39:07Speaker 1: bit of a different scenario. South Carolina they're coming out
- 39:10Speaker 1: of an ugly game against Charleston Southern where they didn't
- 39:13Speaker 1: cover and didn't play well, and I had said that
- 39:16Speaker 1: they would be looking ahead to this game, and they
- 39:18Speaker 1: were coming up of a tough game against Northwestern and
- 39:21Speaker 1: a tough game against Butler the game before that. South Carolina.
- 39:25Speaker 1: They're up to a one nap point favorite, but the
- 39:27Speaker 1: money is coming in against them, nine ticket seventy eight
- 39:30Speaker 1: percent of the cash on South Carolina. I think maybe
- 39:33Speaker 1: the thought here is that, oh, the SEC is better,
- 39:36Speaker 1: so let's play the SEC team. But South Carolina they're
- 39:39Speaker 1: probably the worst team in the SEC in basketball. I mean,
- 39:42Speaker 1: they're not that good. The oddsmakers are telling you Virginia
- 39:45Speaker 1: Tech's the better team by only lining South Carolina as
- 39:48Speaker 1: a one point favorite here one and a half. So
- 39:53Speaker 1: both teams to me look like they might show up
- 39:55Speaker 1: for this one in focus spots, So I would probably
- 39:57Speaker 1: take it with Virginia Tech in that when I think
- 40:00Speaker 1: Virginia Tech probably gets the job done in that one.
- 40:02Speaker 1: But first true road game not something I'm really interested in. Yeah, NBA,
- 40:11Speaker 1: NHL games. Is there a Buffalo wild Wings in Poland?
- 40:17Speaker 1: I would guess probably there is not. Seems way too
- 40:21Speaker 1: American Warriors against OKC. I'm not, I'm not. That is
- 40:30Speaker 1: not gonna be one of my plays. I can tell
- 40:31Speaker 1: you that I don't even remember what my thoughts were
- 40:34Speaker 1: on that game. I probably don't really disagree with that,
- 40:36Speaker 1: but that's that is not one of my plays. All right,
- 40:42Speaker 1: what else do we have here? Dude? I gotta hold
- 40:46Speaker 1: on him. I gotta fix my voice. Man, I apologize
- 40:48Speaker 1: like I just don't know what's going on. I gotta
- 40:50Speaker 1: maybe blow my nose again, like reload on some more
- 40:53Speaker 1: water here. I know I have to keep doing this,
- 40:55Speaker 1: but hang on a second. Bear with me. This is bad,
- 42:21Speaker 1: all right? Oh man, I might have to bring like
- 42:24Speaker 1: a humidifier in here or something. I have one in
- 42:26Speaker 1: my bedroom, but I don't know. Uh, this is bad, dude.
- 42:30Speaker 1: Oh all right, yep, it gets dark really early now.
- 42:35Speaker 1: It is the winter. Same thing up here in New England. Man,
- 42:42Speaker 1: oh god, that's gross. All the games are at yeah,
- 42:46Speaker 1: weird times for you. All right. We got Oklahoma had
- 42:49Speaker 1: wig Forest. This is an interesting one as well, Oklahoma
- 42:53Speaker 1: coming off a nice win over Marquette, although I believe
- 42:57Speaker 1: Oklahoma was a decent favorite in this. One of Marquetes
- 42:59Speaker 1: not good this year, but this was in the Bad
- 43:02Speaker 1: Boy Mowers series in Chicago. Still a pretty big win.
- 43:06Speaker 1: And now Oklahoma is playing only their second true road
- 43:09Speaker 1: game and the first one didn't go well. They got
- 43:12Speaker 1: obliterated by Gonzaga, although Gonzaga is a different beast than Wake.
- 43:16Speaker 1: But Wake has been good so far. Wake is sixty two.
- 43:19Speaker 1: They played really well against Michigan and Texas Tech. So
- 43:23Speaker 1: this Wake team they might be kind of on the rise. Man,
- 43:27Speaker 1: you gotta figure they're gonna show up here. I mean
- 43:29Speaker 1: they're coming off just an easy whatever win against the
- 43:32Speaker 1: Northeastern I kind of like Wake in this one. They're
- 43:36Speaker 1: four and a half point favorite, and they're that way
- 43:38Speaker 1: for a reason. Fifty three percent, take a sixty three
- 43:41Speaker 1: percent of the cash on them all as because they're
- 43:43Speaker 1: telling you Wake is actually the slightly better team. Ken
- 43:46Speaker 1: Bomb has them at fortieth in the country right now,
- 43:49Speaker 1: So Wake pretty good. Man, He's got Oklahoma. Where does
- 43:53Speaker 1: he have Oklahoma at? He's got Oklahoma way down at
- 43:56Speaker 1: sixty seconds, So yeah, yeah, I mean that's telling you something.
- 44:01Speaker 1: Oklahoma not very good defensively either, whereas Wake is way
- 44:05Speaker 1: better defensively and the more balanced team. Wake also likes
- 44:08Speaker 1: to play faster than Oklahoma, so they're gonna be speeding
- 44:12Speaker 1: it up. I suppose it's interesting. I would lay the
- 44:15Speaker 1: points with Wake if I was gonna play that one.
- 44:17Speaker 1: It's cool seeing them on the rise again because I'm
- 44:20Speaker 1: a Mugsy Bogues and Tim Duncan fan, so they go
- 44:26Speaker 1: people like all the nighttime stuff. Yeah, of course soccer
- 44:30Speaker 1: is like the big thing there. Texas A and M
- 44:34Speaker 1: at Pitt Uh, I think both teams are kind of
- 44:38Speaker 1: in bad spots here. Man, Texas A and M they've
- 44:40Speaker 1: only played one true road game so far, and it
- 44:43Speaker 1: was bad. They got blown out by Oklahoma State, who's
- 44:46Speaker 1: not great. Texas A and M. Now they're coming off
- 44:50Speaker 1: annihilating Florida State. Florida State is not great right now,
- 44:53Speaker 1: but that's still that's a win that might have you
- 44:55Speaker 1: a little bit cocky. And after they played Pitt they
- 44:58Speaker 1: do have SMU and that's gonna be a big game
- 45:00Speaker 1: between two Texas schools. So I think this is a
- 45:03Speaker 1: bad spot for Texas A and M. But it is
- 45:05Speaker 1: also a bad spot for PITT because you remember we
- 45:08Speaker 1: got the win with them on Friday against Ohio State
- 45:11Speaker 1: and they won that game on a buzzer beater for
- 45:13Speaker 1: the second straight year. They did that to Ohio State.
- 45:16Speaker 1: And I know Ohio State is not great, but that's
- 45:19Speaker 1: still a big win for pitt Man, so they could
- 45:21Speaker 1: be in a letdown spot here too. And last year,
- 45:24Speaker 1: if you remember, after they pulled off that buzzer beater
- 45:27Speaker 1: last year in overtime against Ohio State, the very next game,
- 45:30Speaker 1: they were horrible. They were on the road though, but
- 45:33Speaker 1: it was against an SEC to the Mississippi State and
- 45:35Speaker 1: they got annihilated ninety to fifty seven. So somebody keep
- 45:40Speaker 1: in mind there. But yeah, it could be a letdown
- 45:44Speaker 1: spot for Pitt there. I don't like it for either team. Man,
- 45:46Speaker 1: Like when pitt pulled off that buzzer beater, I was thinking, like,
- 45:49Speaker 1: who are they playing next? Let's fade them. But I
- 45:53Speaker 1: don't love Texas A and M in the spot either. Though.
- 45:55Speaker 1: The money's coming in on A and M. They're up
- 45:57Speaker 1: to a three point favorite, seventy nine percent tickets, ninety
- 46:00Speaker 1: six percent of the cash. All that's bikers telling you
- 46:02Speaker 1: they're the better team. Bad spot for both teams, though,
- 46:06Speaker 1: I mean, I don't know. I guess I'm not gonna
- 46:08Speaker 1: really disagree with A and M there, but I don't
- 46:10Speaker 1: love it by any means. The biggest game of the
- 46:14Speaker 1: day is at seven point thirty on ESPN between Florida
- 46:17Speaker 1: and Duke. And this is at Duke, returning champs Florida
- 46:20Speaker 1: up against the team they got bounced in the Final four, Duke. So,
- 46:24Speaker 1: I think Duke might be playing with a little bit
- 46:25Speaker 1: of a chip on their shoulder, man, thinking that they
- 46:29Speaker 1: should have been in that championship game with a shot
- 46:31Speaker 1: against Florida last year. They're gonna want to seize the
- 46:34Speaker 1: opportunity here to beat Florida. Florida, I mean they're not
- 46:39Speaker 1: looking as good this year, man. I mean they haven't
- 46:41Speaker 1: stepped up in class very well at all. Losing to
- 46:44Speaker 1: Arizona although Arizona looks good, barely beating Florida State, not
- 46:48Speaker 1: impressively beating Miami, losing to TCU, and then not covering
- 46:54Speaker 1: against Providence. I mean, Florida has not really done anything
- 46:57Speaker 1: impressive yet. Man. So I don't know how good this
- 46:59Speaker 1: Florida team is right now, and now this is gonna
- 47:03Speaker 1: be their first true road game going to Cameron Indoor
- 47:06Speaker 1: doesn't look good to me, man, Duke. They did just
- 47:10Speaker 1: beat Arkansas, that's a big win, but there's no way
- 47:13Speaker 1: they're not gonna show up for this game against the
- 47:15Speaker 1: returning champs. So I like Duke in the spot but
- 47:18Speaker 1: you're gonna be asked to lay a decent price with
- 47:21Speaker 1: Duke here an eight point favorite, fifty seven percent of tickets,
- 47:25Speaker 1: eighty percent of the cash in them. But do I
- 47:27Speaker 1: want to really lay points with Duke as kind of
- 47:30Speaker 1: a slow down team? And not really? Although Florida does
- 47:33Speaker 1: not like to play that way. Florida likes to speed
- 47:36Speaker 1: the game up. Duke plays slow, which is why the
- 47:38Speaker 1: total is just kind of out there in no man's
- 47:41Speaker 1: land in the one fifties, because it's like, well, which
- 47:43Speaker 1: way is this gonna go? Probably somewhere in the middle,
- 47:46Speaker 1: but Duke slowing it down will probably frustrate Florida. But
- 47:51Speaker 1: it also means it's a little bit more difficult to
- 47:53Speaker 1: cover a number like that when you're trying to slow
- 47:56Speaker 1: the game down at the same time. But yeah, overall,
- 47:58Speaker 1: if I was gonna play it, I would it with
- 48:00Speaker 1: Duke in that one. Yeah, I do like Duke in
- 48:05Speaker 1: that one. It's not a play for me though. All Right.
- 48:10Speaker 1: What else we have going on Purdue is that Rutgers here.
- 48:15Speaker 1: Purdue undefeated to start the season. They got a couple
- 48:18Speaker 1: of nice wins in here against Alabama, Texas Tech, UH
- 48:22Speaker 1: decent win against Memphis Akron. That's a pretty decent win
- 48:25Speaker 1: as well. Actually Akron covered for US in that game,
- 48:28Speaker 1: by the way as well, Uh Perdue. I mean they've
- 48:31Speaker 1: they've done some things for us. I mean, we got
- 48:33Speaker 1: the win with them against Alabama. Do we have them
- 48:37Speaker 1: against Texas Tech two? I don't. I don't remember if
- 48:39Speaker 1: we did or if we didn't, I forget, but Purdue,
- 48:42Speaker 1: they came up with that and in a bad spot
- 48:44Speaker 1: they won by a huge amount anyway against Eastern Illinois.
- 48:48Speaker 1: I mean Eastern Illinois is terrible. Purdue is going back
- 48:50Speaker 1: on the road here. I mean, they did beat Alabama
- 48:52Speaker 1: on the road, So now they're going to Rutgers. You know,
- 48:56Speaker 1: not really gonna be a spot where they're gonna be
- 48:59Speaker 1: completely thrown off by doing that. But they do have
- 49:02Speaker 1: Iowa State up next on Saturday, so it may be
- 49:04Speaker 1: a little bit of a look ahead spot even though
- 49:06Speaker 1: this will be they're Big ten opener, but you know, Rutgers,
- 49:09Speaker 1: I mean, they'll show up for it, even though they're
- 49:11Speaker 1: not a good team. Rutgers, I mean, this is their
- 49:16Speaker 1: Big ten home open or against the number one team
- 49:18Speaker 1: in the country, so or at least the team is
- 49:21Speaker 1: ranked there so it's a big deal for Rutgers. I
- 49:24Speaker 1: mean as possible that Purdue does overlook them a little
- 49:27Speaker 1: bit here. Purdue wants to slow the game down, and
- 49:29Speaker 1: you're gonna be asking them to cover a big road
- 49:32Speaker 1: favorite number here, So I don't like that either. Rutgers,
- 49:36Speaker 1: you just gonna win against UNLV out in Las Vegas.
- 49:39Speaker 1: So they salvaged that tournament after losing to Tennessee and
- 49:42Speaker 1: Notre Dame. I mean, they weren't horrible in those games
- 49:45Speaker 1: against Tennessee and Notre Dame. UNLV is their best win
- 49:48Speaker 1: so far. But obviously Purdue different animal. But Purdue, I mean,
- 49:54Speaker 1: if you want them, you're gonna be asking them to
- 49:55Speaker 1: win by a huge margin here on the road, which
- 49:58Speaker 1: I'm just not sure I see that happen, and I
- 50:00Speaker 1: would probably need towards taking the points with Rutgers here.
- 50:03Speaker 1: Purdue down from sixteen to fifteen and a half, fifty
- 50:06Speaker 1: eight percent of tickets eighty eight percent of the cash
- 50:08Speaker 1: on the Rutgers side. Don't really disagree with Rutgers there.
- 50:14Speaker 1: Houston Christian in North Texas and North Texas, they're coming
- 50:17Speaker 1: off a game where they barely beat Prairie View A
- 50:20Speaker 1: and M and Prairie View A and M is a
- 50:21Speaker 1: terrible team. So that was a very bad performance from
- 50:25Speaker 1: North Texas. So they should bounce back from that, you
- 50:27Speaker 1: would think. But they do have to turn around and
- 50:29Speaker 1: play TCU in their next game, so it is fairly
- 50:33Speaker 1: it could be a fairly big look. I had spot
- 50:35Speaker 1: there for North Texas, So which way is it going
- 50:38Speaker 1: to go? You know what I mean? Like I kind
- 50:40Speaker 1: of lean more towards them being refocused here because that
- 50:43Speaker 1: what happened last affects you a little bit more. And
- 50:45Speaker 1: they had a really bad game, barely beating Prairie View
- 50:49Speaker 1: A and M Houston Christian. You know they're going to
- 50:51Speaker 1: show up for it, though, because they're an in state
- 50:53Speaker 1: little brother here and they're coming up with a pretty
- 50:55Speaker 1: ugly loss to Georgia Southern. So I don't know which
- 50:59Speaker 1: way is it gonna go? So and for North Texas,
- 51:02Speaker 1: I mean asking them to lay like double digits as
- 51:05Speaker 1: a slow down team like they are, I don't love
- 51:08Speaker 1: doing that either. They are up to twelve and a
- 51:10Speaker 1: half here, the total is incredibly low on one hundred
- 51:13Speaker 1: and twenty six and a half, meaning every point is
- 51:15Speaker 1: worth more there, So I don't know, man, even though
- 51:19Speaker 1: I think maybe North Texas does bounce back and maybe
- 51:21Speaker 1: I would lean that way, there's no way you're gonna
- 51:24Speaker 1: find me laying points like that. Wagner is that Maryland.
- 51:29Speaker 1: Maryland got blown out against Gonzaga and Alabama out in
- 51:34Speaker 1: Las Vegas after they beat you NLV, so maybe it
- 51:37Speaker 1: will be good for them to be back home off
- 51:39Speaker 1: of that, and maybe they will bounce back. But they
- 51:42Speaker 1: do have to go to Iowa and then Michigan after this.
- 51:44Speaker 1: They have two huge games after this, big ten games,
- 51:47Speaker 1: one against one of the top teams in the country
- 51:49Speaker 1: right now, so it is also possible they kind of
- 51:52Speaker 1: just want to get in and get out here against Wagner.
- 51:54Speaker 1: And as far as I know, Maryland's best player is
- 51:56Speaker 1: still hurt. I don't even know if he's coming back
- 52:00Speaker 1: this year. No, no, I'm wrong. He's back, Farrell Payne.
- 52:03Speaker 1: I thought he was gonna be out for like the season,
- 52:05Speaker 1: but he is back. Actually, he came back for the
- 52:09Speaker 1: Vegas Tournament. I didn't even realize that. So this Maryland
- 52:12Speaker 1: team they do have him back. At least I haven't
- 52:17Speaker 1: paying that much attention to Maryland games. But also Wagner
- 52:20Speaker 1: is terrible, So there is that too. Wagner did finally
- 52:24Speaker 1: get a win though, so they got their first win
- 52:26Speaker 1: of the season, and sometimes when you get your first
- 52:27Speaker 1: win of the season, it gets that monkey off your
- 52:29Speaker 1: back and you play better. Although it was only a
- 52:32Speaker 1: small upset against Manhattan, it was on the roadbot you know,
- 52:35Speaker 1: Wagner stepped up their game for Manhattan. That was a
- 52:38Speaker 1: big win for them because this is you know, a
- 52:41Speaker 1: borrow rivalry because Wagner's a Staten Island school, so going
- 52:45Speaker 1: to Manhattan and beating the big deal there. So I mean,
- 52:51Speaker 1: I still think they'll try to show up for a
- 52:53Speaker 1: game against Maryland, though Maryland's a twenty two point favorite
- 52:57Speaker 1: total in one hundred and forty two and a half
- 53:00Speaker 1: pretty low total. I mean, I don't know. I wouldn't
- 53:01Speaker 1: really want to lay the points with Maryland in that game,
- 53:04Speaker 1: so I don't know. I mean, it's a tough call
- 53:06Speaker 1: in that game. I just thought there were some interesting
- 53:09Speaker 1: components to it. Morehead State and Murray State. I mean,
- 53:15Speaker 1: Murray State pulled off that upset against George Washington to
- 53:18Speaker 1: finish off the Cayman Islands Classic and get a win there,
- 53:22Speaker 1: so they might be in a little bit of a
- 53:24Speaker 1: letdown spot off of that. Morehead State hasn't won on
- 53:28Speaker 1: the road yet, although they played some fairly difficult teams Wake, Georgia, Clemson.
- 53:32Speaker 1: Those are not easy. East Tennessee's fairly good as well.
- 53:36Speaker 1: Morehead coming up losing to that IU Indy team that
- 53:38Speaker 1: really pushes the pace against you, Yeah, I mean, I
- 53:43Speaker 1: don't know, maybe they'll be a little bit tired out
- 53:45Speaker 1: after that. I mean I kind of lean against Murray
- 53:48Speaker 1: State though, because Murray State is coming back from that
- 53:51Speaker 1: huge upset, but they are undefeated at home. Morehead hasn't
- 53:54Speaker 1: won on the road yet, so that's something to take
- 53:56Speaker 1: into account a little bit there as well, though some
- 53:58Speaker 1: of those games are usually against upcakes and whatever. Though
- 54:01Speaker 1: Murray State is up to an eighteen and a half
- 54:02Speaker 1: point favorite, it looks like the money is starting to
- 54:04Speaker 1: come in on that side. I somewhat disagree with it,
- 54:07Speaker 1: though I might look towards taking the points, but I
- 54:10Speaker 1: don't love it. Washington State in Bradley is weird. Bradley
- 54:15Speaker 1: seven and a half point favorite of this game. So
- 54:17Speaker 1: the Oswekers are telling you that Bradley, despite being in
- 54:20Speaker 1: the Missouri Valley, they're actually a better team than Washington State.
- 54:25Speaker 1: Washington State out in the WCCNE now, and people are
- 54:29Speaker 1: gonna look at this and think that it's too many points.
- 54:32Speaker 1: I think is Washington State's got the bigger name. The
- 54:34Speaker 1: record isn't that much worse, so I think the public's
- 54:37Speaker 1: gonna have a tendency to want to take the points
- 54:38Speaker 1: in this game if they see it. Washington State is
- 54:41Speaker 1: coming back from Hawaii, so it's not a really easy
- 54:44Speaker 1: travel spot for them, even though they didn't do that
- 54:46Speaker 1: well in Hawaii. But Washington State, and they're true road games,
- 54:49Speaker 1: they've been pretty bad. They lost at Davidson horrible, pretty
- 54:53Speaker 1: horribly by sixteen, and then they barely beat Shamanad out
- 54:56Speaker 1: in that Maui thing which was hosted by Shamanad the
- 55:00Speaker 1: Division two team there. Washington State did get the cover
- 55:03Speaker 1: for us though, if you got the earlier numbers against
- 55:06Speaker 1: Arizona State. But then after that pretty ugly loss to
- 55:10Speaker 1: Seaton Hall, now they have to go to Bradley. I mean,
- 55:13Speaker 1: I don't really love that spot, but Bradley's coming of
- 55:16Speaker 1: a nice upset win. I think it was an upset
- 55:18Speaker 1: over Liberty, so that's a big win for Bradley too,
- 55:22Speaker 1: So I don't know, man, I mean, the public looks
- 55:25Speaker 1: like they're actually kind of on the Bradley side. Sixty
- 55:27Speaker 1: tickets only fifty four percent of the cash after the
- 55:29Speaker 1: line did move up a little bit on them. Man,
- 55:34Speaker 1: it's a difficult call here in Mancus. Maybe Washington State
- 55:38Speaker 1: does bounce back from playing ugly in the last game.
- 55:41Speaker 1: I don't know. Maybe I would lean towards taking the
- 55:43Speaker 1: points there. I mean, that's a tough call. I don't
- 55:45Speaker 1: really have a good opinion on that game. Next up,
- 55:47Speaker 1: we have another play here, which I think this is
- 55:49Speaker 1: my last one for college basketball. We're gonna take Valpo
- 55:54Speaker 1: plus the nineteen and a half against Marquette. This is
- 55:57Speaker 1: a Marquette team that, even though Shaka Smart is so,
- 56:00Speaker 1: they're they're just not that good this year. Man. As
- 56:02Speaker 1: a total, that's low, although it's going up a little
- 56:05Speaker 1: bit up to one hundred and forty eight. But Marquette
- 56:07Speaker 1: typically under Shaka Smart likes to play fast, and that
- 56:11Speaker 1: seems to not be the case here. Sixty two. I mean,
- 56:15Speaker 1: it's yeah. I mean, there's a reason why the total
- 56:18Speaker 1: is that is this low. Sixty two To take its
- 56:21Speaker 1: ninety six percent of the cash on Marquette's the money
- 56:23Speaker 1: kind of coming in a Marquette here, but I do
- 56:25Speaker 1: not like it. Now. I know Ken bumb will tell
- 56:29Speaker 1: you the Valpo is an overrated team, like they're high
- 56:32Speaker 1: up in his luck index, and I usually don't like
- 56:34Speaker 1: playing teams that are high in the luck index. But
- 56:37Speaker 1: this is kind of about the spot. Marquette just had
- 56:40Speaker 1: that difficult game against Oklahoma Man, which I think was
- 56:43Speaker 1: in Chicago, so Marquette should have had more of a
- 56:46Speaker 1: fan base there, and they lost by one. That is
- 56:48Speaker 1: a difficult game, man. Now they're coming off of that,
- 56:51Speaker 1: and after Valpo they're going to turn around on Saturday
- 56:53Speaker 1: and play Wisconsin. That's a huge game. Man. That's a
- 56:56Speaker 1: Wisconsin rivalry because Marquette is in. I think those two
- 57:01Speaker 1: teams play every year. Marquette considers themselves to be the
- 57:04Speaker 1: little brother. So I think this is basically a sandwich spout.
- 57:07Speaker 1: The Marquette is in and they play Purdue the game
- 57:09Speaker 1: after that the following week. So I don't like the spot, man, Marquette.
- 57:14Speaker 1: They also have not stepped up well in class. I mean,
- 57:17Speaker 1: all their wins are against really really weak opponents. They
- 57:20Speaker 1: beat Albany, Southern. I know Southern has played well in
- 57:24Speaker 1: some of their games. They're not horrible for a swack team,
- 57:26Speaker 1: but still it's not like they're good so Marquette. I mean,
- 57:29Speaker 1: they're a big East team. They should be beating good teams,
- 57:32Speaker 1: but they're not. Like their wins are against Albany, Southern,
- 57:35Speaker 1: Central Michigan, and Little Rock. I mean just not impressive. Man,
- 57:40Speaker 1: and I mean Valpo. I think VALPOI is probably better
- 57:44Speaker 1: than all of those teams, but Valpo is worse than
- 57:47Speaker 1: all the teams that Marquette has lost to. So it's like,
- 57:49Speaker 1: which way is this gonna go? Because Marquette has lost
- 57:53Speaker 1: to Indiana, Maryland, Dayton, and Oklahoma and they were competitive
- 57:57Speaker 1: and all those games against except Indiana. But still this
- 58:00Speaker 1: Marquette team, they look like they're kind of on the
- 58:02Speaker 1: downward trajectory. Man, Valpo might be a little bit on
- 58:06Speaker 1: the rise, even though their name is really really laying now.
- 58:10Speaker 1: They had to get rid of the Crusader's name because
- 58:13Speaker 1: you can't talk about spreading Christian Andy. Man Valpo coming
- 58:17Speaker 1: on a nice win over Western Michigan where they blew
- 58:19Speaker 1: them out, but I don't think that's gonna have them.
- 58:22Speaker 1: You know, feeling overconfident. I mean, this is a huge
- 58:25Speaker 1: game against Marquette, and I don't think they'll really be
- 58:27Speaker 1: intimidated because they did play on the road against Kentucky earlier.
- 58:30Speaker 1: They got blown out, but they at least do have
- 58:32Speaker 1: a road game against a really good team under their belt.
- 58:34Speaker 1: And Marquette is not as good as Kentucky, so there
- 58:38Speaker 1: is that too. Valpo did have a blowout win on
- 58:40Speaker 1: the road against Cleveland State at least, so they were
- 58:42Speaker 1: able to get a nice road well, not a nice
- 58:44Speaker 1: road win, but a road win. Nonetheless there against the
- 58:47Speaker 1: Cleveland State team. It's not good, but whatever. Yeah, all
- 58:52Speaker 1: of that being said, I like the spot better for Valpo,
- 58:54Speaker 1: even though I know Valpo is high up in the
- 58:57Speaker 1: luck index here with Ken Bomp, so I don't love
- 58:59Speaker 1: that he has Marquette very unlucky right now. So I know,
- 59:03Speaker 1: I don't love that he does have Marquette as a
- 59:05Speaker 1: fast paced team, Valpo is gonna want to slow the
- 59:08Speaker 1: game way down, so I think this is gonna be
- 59:12Speaker 1: a PAC. In contrast, it's gonna kind of be a
- 59:14Speaker 1: matter of which team wins out in the pacing. But
- 59:17Speaker 1: is Marquette really gonna be incentivized to go all out
- 59:20Speaker 1: when they do Wisconsin next. I mean, the oddspeaker seemed
- 59:25Speaker 1: to be saying no, that they think this is gonna
- 59:26Speaker 1: be somewhat of a slower paced game. So maybe Marquette
- 59:29Speaker 1: just won't really have the incentive to really really run
- 59:31Speaker 1: the floor here. And Valpo, I mean, for a lesser team,
- 59:36Speaker 1: it is at least easier for them to slow the
- 59:38Speaker 1: pace down. But usually the better team and the road
- 59:41Speaker 1: excusely the better team and the home team usually has
- 59:43Speaker 1: the easier has the easier time doing it though, controlling
- 59:48Speaker 1: the pace. Sacramento State and Baylor Baylor, I mean, they're
- 59:54Speaker 1: a team that usually doesn't play fast, Baylor, so you're
- 59:58Speaker 1: asking him to lay a lot of points as a
- 59:59Speaker 1: team that slows it down. Maybe not a great spot
- 1:00:01Speaker 1: for them here either, and not good to lay points
- 1:00:05Speaker 1: of the slowdown team. Really, Baylor, they're coming back from
- 1:00:09Speaker 1: I think they were in Las Vegas, and they played
- 1:00:11Speaker 1: fairly well in that tournament, beating Creighton and San Diego State,
- 1:00:15Speaker 1: only losing to Saint John's beating San Diego State to
- 1:00:19Speaker 1: finish the tournament off, and they have Memphis up next,
- 1:00:21Speaker 1: so it looks like a spot where maybe they will
- 1:00:23Speaker 1: just overlook Sacramento State here. Although Sacramento State they're not
- 1:00:27Speaker 1: a good team, and I don't know, man, I mean,
- 1:00:31Speaker 1: they just have not been good on the road so
- 1:00:33Speaker 1: far this year, although they at least won't be intimidated
- 1:00:35Speaker 1: because they did play UCLA Cal on the road, but
- 1:00:40Speaker 1: they were pretty non competitive in those games. So I
- 1:00:42Speaker 1: don't know, man, I don't know which way it's gonna
- 1:00:44Speaker 1: go here. I would probably lean towards taking the points
- 1:00:47Speaker 1: of Sacramento State, though Baylor's up to twenty nine and
- 1:00:50Speaker 1: a half point favorite. You might get thirty on this one.
- 1:00:52Speaker 1: Total is kind of in the mid range there, fifty
- 1:00:56Speaker 1: nine whatever, Yeah, just kind of a weird on there. Uh,
- 1:01:02Speaker 1: Central Michigan and Loyola Chicago. Loyal Chicago, even though they're
- 1:01:06Speaker 1: one in seven, they're like a seven point favorite in
- 1:01:09Speaker 1: this game is six and half way favorites. Like the
- 1:01:11Speaker 1: odds makers are still doing this and telling you that
- 1:01:14Speaker 1: Loyola Chicago is going to like be in form at
- 1:01:18Speaker 1: some point. I don't know if they are, man. I mean,
- 1:01:20Speaker 1: ken bum as Loyola plummeting in his rankings right now.
- 1:01:23Speaker 1: I mean, they have been really, really bad, so maybe
- 1:01:27Speaker 1: the odds, maybe the market just hasn't caught up to
- 1:01:29Speaker 1: them yet. Central Michigan is not good either, but I
- 1:01:31Speaker 1: don't know if they're that much worse than Loyola such,
- 1:01:35Speaker 1: you know, just such an extent that they should be
- 1:01:36Speaker 1: that much of an underdog at this point. I just
- 1:01:39Speaker 1: thought that game was interesting. Loyal Chicago looks like they're
- 1:01:42Speaker 1: taking the money to seventy one percent to take as
- 1:01:44Speaker 1: ninety one percent of the cash. I don't think I
- 1:01:47Speaker 1: would want to do it with how bad they've been,
- 1:01:50Speaker 1: although I do always say a team usually is not
- 1:01:52Speaker 1: as bad as they look when they're at their worst.
- 1:01:54Speaker 1: So I don't know. Man, the total down to one
- 1:01:56Speaker 1: forty in that game as well. Uh, Sam Houston's at
- 1:01:59Speaker 1: Oklahoma State. I would probably lean against Oklahoma State here, man,
- 1:02:03Speaker 1: I mean, they're undefeated. They've had a couple of good
- 1:02:06Speaker 1: wins in here against A and M Texas A and M,
- 1:02:08Speaker 1: and then they went on the road and they beat Northwestern.
- 1:02:10Speaker 1: That was a nice win for Oklahoma State there. Now
- 1:02:14Speaker 1: they're coming back home over that big win, and they
- 1:02:16Speaker 1: do have Grand Canyon up next. It's kind of an
- 1:02:18Speaker 1: upstart team now in the Mountain West, so it is
- 1:02:20Speaker 1: possible this is a sandwich spot, or at least a
- 1:02:22Speaker 1: letdown spot after they pulled off a mild upset on
- 1:02:26Speaker 1: the road against the Northwestern So I would probably lean
- 1:02:29Speaker 1: towards taking the points with Sam Houston. Sam Houston has
- 1:02:32Speaker 1: been playing well. They actually played fairly decently on the
- 1:02:35Speaker 1: road against Texas Tech and Utah. They played Utah very
- 1:02:38Speaker 1: competitively actually, although Utah is not exactly great. But yeah,
- 1:02:43Speaker 1: I mean Sam Houston. They're on a nice little run
- 1:02:44Speaker 1: right now. I'm winning a few games in a row
- 1:02:46Speaker 1: against some weaker teams. They got some momentum. I don't
- 1:02:49Speaker 1: think they'll be intimidated because they didn't already play Texas
- 1:02:52Speaker 1: Tech and Utah on the road. So yeah, I would
- 1:02:55Speaker 1: lead to Sam Houston here. Looks like the money does
- 1:02:58Speaker 1: agree with that. When Oklahoma State up to fourteen and
- 1:03:00Speaker 1: a half, sixty four percent of tickets on them, seventy
- 1:03:02Speaker 1: five percent of the cash coming back on to sam Houston.
- 1:03:06Speaker 1: Another big game on ESPN two at nine pm. Number
- 1:03:09Speaker 1: five Yukon is going on the road to Kansas, Number
- 1:03:12Speaker 1: twenty one. Yukon decent resume so far with wins against
- 1:03:16Speaker 1: BYU and Illinois and a loss to Arizona, but Arizona's good.
- 1:03:20Speaker 1: But now they're gonna face their first true road game
- 1:03:23Speaker 1: of the season here. Coming off that big win over
- 1:03:25Speaker 1: Illinois looks like a difficult spot to me, man, going
- 1:03:29Speaker 1: up against Kansas. Kansas is not really in an easy
- 1:03:32Speaker 1: spot either though, after beating Tennessee and we know that
- 1:03:35Speaker 1: they caught Tennessee coming up that big win over Houston,
- 1:03:38Speaker 1: so that was a big win for Kansas and Kansas
- 1:03:40Speaker 1: actually won the championship. Oh no, this is the third
- 1:03:43Speaker 1: place game. I mistaken the players era because I don't
- 1:03:46Speaker 1: know why that was the third place game though, because
- 1:03:48Speaker 1: I thought they won all their games out there whatever,
- 1:03:51Speaker 1: unless it was Duke part of it. No, Duke wasn't
- 1:03:54Speaker 1: part of it, so I don't know what that was.
- 1:03:58Speaker 1: But whatever, Apparently it was the third place. Maybe it
- 1:04:00Speaker 1: had to do with like overall margin of victory or something,
- 1:04:06Speaker 1: but Kansas coming off of that. But still, you got
- 1:04:08Speaker 1: to think they're gonna be focused at home against Yukon.
- 1:04:12Speaker 1: Both teams play really well defensively, so I think it's
- 1:04:15Speaker 1: gonna be a defensive struggle in this game. So kind
- 1:04:18Speaker 1: of getting any points with the home team seems to
- 1:04:21Speaker 1: make a bit of sense here. First, cher road game
- 1:04:23Speaker 1: for Yukon makes it a more difficult spot for them,
- 1:04:26Speaker 1: in my opinion, I don't know how I can find
- 1:04:30Speaker 1: this year. Yeah, I would lean towards Kansas year plus
- 1:04:33Speaker 1: the one and a half or two or whatever, seventy
- 1:04:35Speaker 1: percent of tickets ninety one percent of the cash on
- 1:04:37Speaker 1: Kansas fairly low to all, though it's gone up to
- 1:04:41Speaker 1: forty three, although I kind of think it undermakes sense
- 1:04:44Speaker 1: in a game like that where both teams are teams
- 1:04:47Speaker 1: that like to focus on defense and both teams like
- 1:04:49Speaker 1: to play slaw as well, So I think it's gonna
- 1:04:53Speaker 1: be a battle. I think Kansas may get the job
- 1:04:56Speaker 1: done in that one at home. Yeah, you don't like Kansas,
- 1:05:01Speaker 1: neither do I, but at least Hunter Dickinson has gone,
- 1:05:05Speaker 1: so it makes me hate them a little bit less.
- 1:05:07Speaker 1: But I don't like Yukon really at all. I really
- 1:05:09Speaker 1: can't stand Dan Hurley either. But this is all about
- 1:05:12Speaker 1: the spot man trying to predict who's gonna win, all right.
- 1:05:19Speaker 1: For Grand Canyon, they're coming off a pretty difficult loss
- 1:05:23Speaker 1: to Iowa Man and they'd beaten Utah of the game
- 1:05:25Speaker 1: before that. Now they get to host Stetson. I mean,
- 1:05:28Speaker 1: how do you really get up for a game against Stetson?
- 1:05:30Speaker 1: I don't know. And then they have Oklahoma State next,
- 1:05:32Speaker 1: so it looks like a spot where Grand Canyon might
- 1:05:35Speaker 1: not really be up for this game. Although Stetson is
- 1:05:37Speaker 1: a pretty bad team, and this is gonna be the
- 1:05:39Speaker 1: first time Stetson is leaving the Eastern time zone and
- 1:05:43Speaker 1: they have to go out to Arizona, so that's certainly
- 1:05:45Speaker 1: not easy. I would probably take the points with Stetson
- 1:05:51Speaker 1: though in this game, if I was gonna play it,
- 1:05:52Speaker 1: I won't. But twenty four and a half point favorite.
- 1:05:55Speaker 1: As a Grand Canyon is, the total is down to
- 1:05:57Speaker 1: one forty three. Again, it's we'll see what happens this
- 1:06:02Speaker 1: type of game. Nichols is at Creighton. I don't like
- 1:06:05Speaker 1: the spot for Creighton here. Creyton is coming out of
- 1:06:08Speaker 1: that Las Vegas tournament. They salvaged the last game by
- 1:06:10Speaker 1: beating Oregon. Nice win for them, and then turning around
- 1:06:15Speaker 1: after this. I think, Zach, this is your area, right.
- 1:06:18Speaker 1: Creighton is gonna be having to play Nebraska next. That
- 1:06:21Speaker 1: is a huge game. Those teams do not like each other.
- 1:06:24Speaker 1: They're both in Nebraska. I think Nebraska is still considered
- 1:06:27Speaker 1: to be the big brother there in the state of Nebraska,
- 1:06:30Speaker 1: so it looks like a sandwich spot here where Creighton
- 1:06:33Speaker 1: might just overlook Nichols. I know Nichols is own six,
- 1:06:36Speaker 1: but they've played some fairly difficult opponents Kentucky on the road.
- 1:06:40Speaker 1: Valpo has been pretty good so far on the road,
- 1:06:43Speaker 1: Murray stayed on the road. Oklahoma stayed on the road.
- 1:06:45Speaker 1: Every game has been on the road so far. They're
- 1:06:47Speaker 1: only really bad losses at Eastern Illinois. Don't know what
- 1:06:50Speaker 1: that was, but maybe just because it was a sandwich
- 1:06:53Speaker 1: spot or a hangover spot off the Kentucky game. But
- 1:06:57Speaker 1: my hesitation with Nichols is they actually were in this
- 1:06:59Speaker 1: game against Julane in their last game as big underdogs.
- 1:07:03Speaker 1: Nichols was in this game, they were winning the game
- 1:07:05Speaker 1: in the second half, and they were still within like
- 1:07:07Speaker 1: a couple of possessions in the final few minutes of
- 1:07:10Speaker 1: the game. So they did not go away in that
- 1:07:13Speaker 1: game against Tulane. So that is my hesitation with it
- 1:07:15Speaker 1: that I don't really love either team in the game,
- 1:07:18Speaker 1: but I would still take the points with Nichols. The
- 1:07:21Speaker 1: money still kind of agrees. Crating down from twenty one
- 1:07:23Speaker 1: to eighteen and a half. It looks kind of easy
- 1:07:26Speaker 1: to lay eighteen and a half with a team like
- 1:07:28Speaker 1: Creighton that is a name like that against a winless
- 1:07:31Speaker 1: Nickels state team. Total down to one forty four. So
- 1:07:34Speaker 1: if you do like taking the points, it's worth a
- 1:07:37Speaker 1: little bit more there. And I do think Creighton plays
- 1:07:39Speaker 1: a little bit slow now as well. Yeah, they're on
- 1:07:42Speaker 1: the slower side for sure, at two seventy fourth in
- 1:07:44Speaker 1: tempo according to Ken Bomb. For Creighton, Nichols plays like
- 1:07:49Speaker 1: kind of a mid tempo, so they aren't gonna be
- 1:07:52Speaker 1: really thrown off by playing slow. I wouldn't say so.
- 1:07:56Speaker 1: Interesting game there, like the you like the ruse of
- 1:08:01Speaker 1: Kansas City, all right, Unfortunately they're they're not a good team.
- 1:08:08Speaker 1: Miami at ole Miss is an interesting one on the
- 1:08:10Speaker 1: SEC network. We've got a lot of big games tonight. Man,
- 1:08:12Speaker 1: this is a situation where maybe I should do these
- 1:08:17Speaker 1: Tuesday college basketball shows at night. Man, I don't know.
- 1:08:23Speaker 1: Ole Miss. They're coming off playing Iowa and Utah, both close.
- 1:08:28Speaker 1: Although the Utah game that was an upset though, so
- 1:08:31Speaker 1: ole Miss did lose that game in an upset to Utah.
- 1:08:34Speaker 1: Ole Miss. We can't see it because ESPN sucks right now.
- 1:08:37Speaker 1: But ole Miss is a pretty big favorite in that game,
- 1:08:39Speaker 1: I'm pretty sure. So you could argue that Old Miss
- 1:08:42Speaker 1: might be in a bounced back spot now because maybe
- 1:08:45Speaker 1: they were in a hangover spot after that game against Iowa.
- 1:08:49Speaker 1: So that was a big game against Iowa. Iowa. We
- 1:08:52Speaker 1: know they play slow now, they play physical now Ole
- 1:08:56Speaker 1: Miss coming off that ugly loss and what looked like
- 1:08:59Speaker 1: it was a hangover spot, they probably will bounce back here,
- 1:09:02Speaker 1: but they do have a big game against Saint John's
- 1:09:04Speaker 1: coming up next to them. Might be looking ahead to that.
- 1:09:08Speaker 1: Miami off to a decent start at six and two,
- 1:09:10Speaker 1: but they've mostly beaten bad teams. I mean, their best
- 1:09:14Speaker 1: win is their most recent one against Georgetown. I don't
- 1:09:17Speaker 1: think they're gonna be in a letdown spot though going
- 1:09:20Speaker 1: to face Old Miss. This is their first true road
- 1:09:22Speaker 1: game though, so that does make it difficult. And I
- 1:09:25Speaker 1: do think Old Miss is kind of in a bounced
- 1:09:27Speaker 1: back spot here, so I do still like Ole Miss
- 1:09:29Speaker 1: in this game. Miami has been fairly competitive against better opponents,
- 1:09:33Speaker 1: though Florida and Byu losing those games by fourteen and ten.
- 1:09:37Speaker 1: I mean, there's no real shame in that Ole Miss
- 1:09:43Speaker 1: is up to a four point favorite, though the money
- 1:09:44Speaker 1: looks like it's coming back on Miami. But I would
- 1:09:47Speaker 1: probably lay it with Mississippi in this game. Fifty of
- 1:09:50Speaker 1: the tickets on Old Miss, eighty three percent of the
- 1:09:52Speaker 1: cash on Miami. But I like Old Miss in that one.
- 1:09:57Speaker 1: All right. We got Georgia and Florida State. A lot
- 1:09:59Speaker 1: of big games here today. Man, Georgia coming off beating
- 1:10:05Speaker 1: us A, just annihilating Tennessee Tech and what I thought
- 1:10:07Speaker 1: was a bad spot, but they had a nice momentum
- 1:10:10Speaker 1: gaining win there. Now they're going out on the road,
- 1:10:12Speaker 1: but it is the first true road game of the season,
- 1:10:15Speaker 1: which probably won't be easy. And for Florida State, I mean,
- 1:10:20Speaker 1: they're not great, but you know they're gonna get up
- 1:10:21Speaker 1: for a game against Georgia and they're coming off a
- 1:10:24Speaker 1: really ugly loss, losing ninety five to fifty nine at
- 1:10:27Speaker 1: Texas A and M. I know it's Texas A and M,
- 1:10:30Speaker 1: but it's that's an embarrassing loss. You lose by that
- 1:10:33Speaker 1: margin to anybody. I think you're gonna bounce back from it.
- 1:10:35Speaker 1: I mean, sure, Florida does have Houston up next, I
- 1:10:38Speaker 1: don't really see them looking ahead to that though. Florida State.
- 1:10:41Speaker 1: I would agree with the Florida State side in this game.
- 1:10:44Speaker 1: They flip from a two point dodge to one point favorite.
- 1:10:47Speaker 1: So the money seems to agree with me on this one.
- 1:10:49Speaker 1: Seventy percent of tickets, ninety nine percent of the cash
- 1:10:51Speaker 1: on at Florida State, I agree. Won't be a play
- 1:10:55Speaker 1: for me, but I don't hate it. Missouri at Notre
- 1:10:59Speaker 1: d a interesting one. Missouri. I believe this is their
- 1:11:03Speaker 1: first Truro Oh no, it's their second Truro game, but
- 1:11:05Speaker 1: their only other one was against Howard, so this will
- 1:11:08Speaker 1: be a more difficult game than that. Obviously, Missouri really
- 1:11:12Speaker 1: has not been tested yet. I mean, the best opponent
- 1:11:14Speaker 1: they face so far as Minnesota, so they're gonna have
- 1:11:18Speaker 1: to step it off. And Notre Dame's not great though.
- 1:11:20Speaker 1: I mean, I don't know if Notre Dame is better
- 1:11:22Speaker 1: than Minnesota either, But this might be Missouri's most difficult
- 1:11:28Speaker 1: game because it is on the road. They do have
- 1:11:30Speaker 1: to turn around after this to play Kansas, which is
- 1:11:32Speaker 1: a fairly big deal because that's like kind of the
- 1:11:35Speaker 1: basketball version of the Border War rivalry there against against
- 1:11:39Speaker 1: Kansas Missouri. They're ain't no, but again not probably not
- 1:11:43Speaker 1: as good as the record looks. Notre Dame's sitting at
- 1:11:45Speaker 1: five and three, but they're undefeated at home and they're
- 1:11:48Speaker 1: more battle tests, and I mean their losses are Ohio State, Kansas,
- 1:11:52Speaker 1: and Houston. They didn't lose any of those games by
- 1:11:54Speaker 1: more than ten points, so I know they haven't beaten
- 1:11:58Speaker 1: anybody very good yet at all. But I mean their
- 1:12:00Speaker 1: biggest win is against Rutgers, so they've been competitive against
- 1:12:04Speaker 1: good teams, and they're more battle tested, and they're back
- 1:12:06Speaker 1: at home here, so I like Notre Dame in this one.
- 1:12:10Speaker 1: They've flipped from a plus one and a half dogs
- 1:12:11Speaker 1: or two point favorites, so the initial line move was
- 1:12:14Speaker 1: on that side, but now sixty four percent of tickets
- 1:12:16Speaker 1: eighty four percent of the casual Missouri. But I would
- 1:12:19Speaker 1: lean to Notre Dame in that game. The other huge
- 1:12:23Speaker 1: game on ESPN the ESPN doubleheader is number sixteen North
- 1:12:27Speaker 1: Carolina at number eighteen Kentucky. These teams are both good.
- 1:12:31Speaker 1: I think both these teams are gonna want to push
- 1:12:33Speaker 1: the pace and go fast because that's been the mo
- 1:12:36Speaker 1: of both these teams recently. Yeah, they're both gonna be
- 1:12:38Speaker 1: playing fast here. Ken Bomaskentucky about twenty rankings spots higher
- 1:12:44Speaker 1: than North Carolina. He has them as the better team.
- 1:12:46Speaker 1: I don't disagree. North Carolina is coming out their first
- 1:12:49Speaker 1: loss of the season in Michigan State, and sometimes that
- 1:12:51Speaker 1: will hang you over, even though that game wasn't close,
- 1:12:55Speaker 1: So I'm taking that first loss will hang you over.
- 1:12:58Speaker 1: North Carolina does have one nice win well in the
- 1:13:00Speaker 1: season against Kansas Kentucky. I mean they've lost both games
- 1:13:05Speaker 1: where they stepped up in class man so and they
- 1:13:08Speaker 1: lost well, I don't want to say substantially, but they
- 1:13:11Speaker 1: lost by eight to Louisville on the road, and they
- 1:13:14Speaker 1: lost in a neutral site I think, to Michigan State
- 1:13:18Speaker 1: by seventeen in Madison Square Garden. So Kentucky, they haven't
- 1:13:23Speaker 1: stepped up well in plast yet. So UNC's resume is
- 1:13:26Speaker 1: actually a little bit better than Kentucky's right now. So
- 1:13:29Speaker 1: what do we do with a game like this? I
- 1:13:33Speaker 1: don't know, man, I mean the line dropped from eight
- 1:13:35Speaker 1: and a half to six. But now it looks like
- 1:13:36Speaker 1: the money's coming into Kentucky. Fifty eight percent of tickets,
- 1:13:38Speaker 1: ninety percent of the cash on them I mostly agree.
- 1:13:41Speaker 1: I mean, Kentucky is still the better team. I think
- 1:13:43Speaker 1: it'll be difficult. If it's North Carolina's first truer road game,
- 1:13:48Speaker 1: that's not easy. So and the factor coming up their
- 1:13:51Speaker 1: first loss. I won't disagree with Kentucky in that game,
- 1:13:54Speaker 1: but I don't love it really either USC and Oregon.
- 1:14:00Speaker 1: USC undefeated. They're in the rankings now, man, but maybe
- 1:14:03Speaker 1: that means they're gonna have a target on their back
- 1:14:05Speaker 1: at seven to zero. But how good are they really?
- 1:14:08Speaker 1: I mean, they got taken a triple overtime by Troy,
- 1:14:10Speaker 1: They barely beat Boise State, barely beat Seaton Hall, and
- 1:14:14Speaker 1: then their best win I guess is against Arizona State.
- 1:14:16Speaker 1: So yeah, USC won the Maui tournament, but they haven't
- 1:14:20Speaker 1: beaten anybody that impressive. And now they're coming up of that.
- 1:14:22Speaker 1: They could be in a letdown spot here, man, off
- 1:14:25Speaker 1: of winning that tournament in Maui, now this is their
- 1:14:27Speaker 1: first true road game, having to go to Oregon. I
- 1:14:30Speaker 1: might add this as a play, to be honest, I
- 1:14:32Speaker 1: have some late night action. I mean, also, this line
- 1:14:35Speaker 1: is gonna look very very misleading, because, like USC, you're
- 1:14:40Speaker 1: only asking this USC team to lay two points in
- 1:14:43Speaker 1: this game, and they're an undefeated ranked team Oregon, I
- 1:14:47Speaker 1: mean I have some reservations with them, though, I mean
- 1:14:49Speaker 1: they haven't exactly looked great either. I mean, I'll still,
- 1:14:52Speaker 1: I guess stay off of this game, but obviously I
- 1:14:54Speaker 1: like Oregon here. Oregon's best wins against Oregon State. I mean,
- 1:14:57Speaker 1: Oregon looked really bad in these first few games against
- 1:15:00Speaker 1: some weak opponents, and then they did get battle tested,
- 1:15:03Speaker 1: and they went to Vegas and they played Auburn, San
- 1:15:05Speaker 1: Diego standing Creighton not easy, but they lost all three
- 1:15:09Speaker 1: games by double digits. So I don't want to say
- 1:15:12Speaker 1: they were totally not competitive, but maybe that's not a
- 1:15:15Speaker 1: great sign. But they are more battle tested than USC
- 1:15:18Speaker 1: here they are at home here. I guess the other
- 1:15:21Speaker 1: hesitation with Oregon would be that the game was close
- 1:15:24Speaker 1: at one point late in the game against Creighton. Oregon
- 1:15:27Speaker 1: had this game close in the final like five minutes
- 1:15:29Speaker 1: of the game, so that does worry me a little bit.
- 1:15:32Speaker 1: I guess that maybe they'll be in a bit of
- 1:15:33Speaker 1: a hangover after that, after that performance, So I guess
- 1:15:37Speaker 1: I'll stay away, but I like Oregon in this one. Man,
- 1:15:39Speaker 1: if you're gonna play it, I would take the points
- 1:15:41Speaker 1: with Oregon seventy per tickets on USC fifty two percent
- 1:15:45Speaker 1: of the cash on Oregon. That is the way on
- 1:15:47Speaker 1: lean in that game. Yeah, I mean the rest of
- 1:15:52Speaker 1: these games, I don't know. I mean they're decent games.
- 1:15:54Speaker 1: You see San Diego at Nevada. This is gonna look
- 1:15:56Speaker 1: weird because you see San Diego seven and zero, but
- 1:15:59Speaker 1: then only played one true road game. So far, Nevada
- 1:16:02Speaker 1: has been decent at home, four and one at home,
- 1:16:05Speaker 1: even though I know they killed us when we tried
- 1:16:07Speaker 1: to lay the points with them against Southern Illinois, so
- 1:16:11Speaker 1: that wasn't a good home performance out of them there.
- 1:16:15Speaker 1: But it's gonna look weird that Nevada is a five
- 1:16:17Speaker 1: and a half point favorite. The public is gonna be
- 1:16:18Speaker 1: tempted to take U see San Diego, especially remembering they
- 1:16:22Speaker 1: made the tournament last year, Like, why would you lay
- 1:16:25Speaker 1: points with a Nevada team? It's only five and three
- 1:16:27Speaker 1: right against San Diego seven and zero, so it looks
- 1:16:32Speaker 1: too easy to take the points. I U see san Diego.
- 1:16:34Speaker 1: I mean they're not untested, really, I mean they beat
- 1:16:37Speaker 1: Temple decent win there, Bradley, that's a decent win. Thousands
- 1:16:40Speaker 1: not that bad either. They have played one road game
- 1:16:44Speaker 1: and they got the win against Fresno. Going into Reno,
- 1:16:47Speaker 1: I mean, it'll be difficult. It is another road game here,
- 1:16:49Speaker 1: but you see San Diego might step up for it
- 1:16:52Speaker 1: as well because Nevada has a pretty big name in
- 1:16:54Speaker 1: college basketball. Nevada is coming up of a pretty big
- 1:16:56Speaker 1: game themselves, beating San Francisco. Sar Francisco's a pretty good team,
- 1:17:02Speaker 1: and Nevada did have a tough loss the game before
- 1:17:04Speaker 1: that against Washington, So I don't love the spot for
- 1:17:08Speaker 1: either team really, which is why I'm not gonna give
- 1:17:10Speaker 1: out a play on this. But I guess just based
- 1:17:13Speaker 1: on what the line looks like and how easy it
- 1:17:15Speaker 1: looks like it is to take. You see San Diego,
- 1:17:17Speaker 1: I would probably lay it with Nevada, but they're not
- 1:17:21Speaker 1: that great this year. Man. Nevada looks like they're down
- 1:17:23Speaker 1: this year, so I do worry about that. You see
- 1:17:26Speaker 1: San Diego, I think is down this year from where
- 1:17:28Speaker 1: they were last year too, though, ken Bum, I don't
- 1:17:30Speaker 1: think as either team in the top one hundred this year.
- 1:17:33Speaker 1: Right now, fifty five percent tickets, eighty five percent of
- 1:17:36Speaker 1: the cash on Nevada, They're up to a five point favorite.
- 1:17:39Speaker 1: I would probably agree with laying the points in that one.
- 1:17:42Speaker 1: Utah and Cal is in a dressing scenario where I
- 1:17:45Speaker 1: think both teams are in interesting spots. Utah pulled up
- 1:17:50Speaker 1: a big upset of her own miss, so you gotta
- 1:17:53Speaker 1: think they're in a bit of a letdown spot. And
- 1:17:54Speaker 1: this is their first time in a true road game
- 1:17:57Speaker 1: this year, although they're already on the Pacific Coast because
- 1:17:59Speaker 1: that game, again it's Old Miss, was in California. Now.
- 1:18:02Speaker 1: I don't know if they went back to Utah or
- 1:18:03Speaker 1: not though between these two games, but they played Old
- 1:18:06Speaker 1: Miss and Grand Canyon and Cal Paula. Non No, at
- 1:18:09Speaker 1: least Grand Canyon and Old Miss. Those games are in California.
- 1:18:12Speaker 1: So it's not Utah's first trip to the Pacific Coast,
- 1:18:16Speaker 1: but it is their first tru road game and they're
- 1:18:18Speaker 1: in a letdown spot, so it doesn't look easy. But
- 1:18:20Speaker 1: then you look at Cal. They're in a letdown spot
- 1:18:23Speaker 1: too because they just beat UCLA. Man, that is a
- 1:18:26Speaker 1: monster win for Cal pulling off that win over a
- 1:18:29Speaker 1: ranked UCLA team. It's a bigger brother in California to them.
- 1:18:33Speaker 1: So both teams are in bad spots. Here. I think
- 1:18:35Speaker 1: Cal Cal was in the bigger letdown spot, but because
- 1:18:39Speaker 1: Utah is having to go on the road here first, Cherodium. Man,
- 1:18:42Speaker 1: they are the worst team. I kind of would lean
- 1:18:45Speaker 1: towards laying it with Cal, but I just can't do it.
- 1:18:47Speaker 1: Man sixty taking seventy nine percent of the cash on
- 1:18:50Speaker 1: Cal up to a nine a half point favorite. I mean,
- 1:18:53Speaker 1: maybe if you think both teams are gonna be in
- 1:18:56Speaker 1: spots where you know they're in a bad spot, I mean,
- 1:18:59Speaker 1: maybe the move is to go over like I usually say,
- 1:19:02Speaker 1: but I haven't been tracking those games where I have
- 1:19:04Speaker 1: an opinion on the over. But that's kind of what
- 1:19:07Speaker 1: I think there, Jeffrey, thanks for hanging out man the Islanders.
- 1:19:12Speaker 1: I forget what my opinion is on that one, but yeah,
- 1:19:14Speaker 1: the I apologize. Man, these shows are just ridiculously long
- 1:19:18Speaker 1: when we have a ton of college basketball. I don't
- 1:19:20Speaker 1: know what else to do about it, although I might
- 1:19:22Speaker 1: have to start doing some night college basketball shows. I
- 1:19:28Speaker 1: hate what this is doing to my voice, though, I
- 1:19:29Speaker 1: just don't know what to do. Man. Saint Louis is
- 1:19:33Speaker 1: going on their first cheer road They're playing their first
- 1:19:36Speaker 1: cheer road game against Loyal and Merrymount and coming up
- 1:19:39Speaker 1: their first loss, and it was a big game against Stanford.
- 1:19:41Speaker 1: So a lot of this looks like a bad spot
- 1:19:44Speaker 1: for Saint Louis here, big deal playing against an ACC team.
- 1:19:48Speaker 1: The problem is Saint Louis is actually an eight to
- 1:19:50Speaker 1: eight and a half way favored in this game against Stanford,
- 1:19:55Speaker 1: So Saint Louis is actually a solid team. Addsmakers telling
- 1:19:59Speaker 1: you that and telling you the Stanford's not really that good,
- 1:20:01Speaker 1: so you could argue that, well, they should have won
- 1:20:04Speaker 1: that game as a favorite. But I kind of lean
- 1:20:06Speaker 1: the other way though, Like first tru Rogue game, coming
- 1:20:09Speaker 1: off of first loss of the season, I think this
- 1:20:10Speaker 1: is going to be a difficult game for Saint Louis.
- 1:20:13Speaker 1: But they are at least already on the Pacific coast,
- 1:20:16Speaker 1: playing Santa Clara and Stanford out here, so there is
- 1:20:18Speaker 1: that at least that they've played in the Pacific times
- 1:20:21Speaker 1: on already and they're probably staying out there. But they
- 1:20:24Speaker 1: didn't play well. I mean, they beat Santa Clara by one.
- 1:20:26Speaker 1: Santa Clara is a good team though, so I don't
- 1:20:28Speaker 1: want to say Saint Louis didn't play well, and maybe
- 1:20:32Speaker 1: that kind of set up a hangover spot for them.
- 1:20:34Speaker 1: Against Stanford, they're facing Loyol and mary Mount. Though Loyal
- 1:20:37Speaker 1: and mary Mount they're coming off this horrendous loss at
- 1:20:40Speaker 1: home to stony Brook. I mean, I don't know what
- 1:20:43Speaker 1: was going on in that game, but Loyol and mary
- 1:20:45Speaker 1: Mount was coming back from playing in a tournament in
- 1:20:49Speaker 1: Florida where they beat Ohio to finish that tournament, and
- 1:20:52Speaker 1: then they came home to face stony Brook and then
- 1:20:55Speaker 1: up next they did have the Saint Louis game, so
- 1:20:57Speaker 1: maybe it was a bit of a sandwich spot there,
- 1:20:59Speaker 1: but almost an inexcusable loss against stony Brook. But you know,
- 1:21:04Speaker 1: Loyol is gonna bounce back. They're gonna be in a
- 1:21:06Speaker 1: bounce back but whatever, that was a horrendous loss where
- 1:21:09Speaker 1: I don't know what the odds were on this, but
- 1:21:10Speaker 1: Loyel and Marymount had to have been like a twenty
- 1:21:12Speaker 1: something point favorite in that game. Even though stony Brook
- 1:21:15Speaker 1: is six and two, they are not good. So Loyol
- 1:21:19Speaker 1: and Marrymount should be an extreme bounce back spot here.
- 1:21:23Speaker 1: But osbeakers are telling you Saint Louis is the way
- 1:21:26Speaker 1: better team. They're down from an eight point favorite to
- 1:21:28Speaker 1: a seven point favorite. I would take the points with
- 1:21:30Speaker 1: Loyole and Marry Mount in this one, though, if I
- 1:21:32Speaker 1: was gonna play it sixty seven percent and take a
- 1:21:35Speaker 1: sixty eight percent of the cash on them total down
- 1:21:37Speaker 1: to one forty six and a half. That is what
- 1:21:39Speaker 1: I would do if I was gonna play that game.
- 1:21:42Speaker 1: All right, Oh my god, I'm drinking so much water.
- 1:21:47Speaker 1: I might have to take a second break center in
- 1:21:49Speaker 1: second intermission. Reload again, man. I turned on the air,
- 1:21:53Speaker 1: by the way, because the heat was drying me out too,
- 1:21:56Speaker 1: the Miami heat. No, I'm not in Miami. Oh man,
- 1:22:00Speaker 1: this big NHL board, man, I'm not doing anything with
- 1:22:02Speaker 1: it today. Okay, hold on a minute. I apologize. Man,
- 1:22:08Speaker 1: I don't know what's going on with me. My voice
- 1:22:12Speaker 1: just is not holding up anymore. It's the winner, man,
- 1:22:15Speaker 1: I just don't know what the deal is. I think
- 1:22:17Speaker 1: the heat is just really drying me out, and the
- 1:22:20Speaker 1: heater in this room gets really extreme. To hang on,
- 1:23:37Speaker 1: all right, let's get the sun. You can tell that
- 1:23:39Speaker 1: as soon as I start like drinking more water, my
- 1:23:43Speaker 1: voice comes back, just like very briefly. I don't know
- 1:23:47Speaker 1: how I'm gonna do you covers ever again? Man, Auto
- 1:23:50Speaker 1: one Montreal is the first game up in hockey. Big game.
- 1:23:54Speaker 1: Both of these teams, I mean, they don't like each other,
- 1:23:57Speaker 1: they're close geographically. Montreal's have an ugly loss at Colorado,
- 1:24:02Speaker 1: but that could set up a bounce back, but they
- 1:24:04Speaker 1: were turning home from a road trip that they went
- 1:24:06Speaker 1: on for almost a week. They had to go out
- 1:24:08Speaker 1: into elevation and the Pacific time zone playing Utah, Vegas
- 1:24:13Speaker 1: and Colorado, So coming back home, I'm not sure they
- 1:24:15Speaker 1: will bounce back here. And they did already beat Ottawa
- 1:24:18Speaker 1: back home, although that was actually gonna return home spot.
- 1:24:20Speaker 1: I think I lost on that game. Montreal did beat
- 1:24:24Speaker 1: them in overtime, but maybe this time it won't be
- 1:24:27Speaker 1: as good for them. Man trying to repeat that same
- 1:24:30Speaker 1: thing again. Otto was also in a bounced back spot.
- 1:24:33Speaker 1: I think this spot is a little bit better for them,
- 1:24:35Speaker 1: although they are finishing along road trips, so they may
- 1:24:37Speaker 1: be a little bit fatigued. But they also took a
- 1:24:40Speaker 1: brutal loss, like a very ugly loss to Dallas in
- 1:24:43Speaker 1: the last game six to one, so you got to
- 1:24:45Speaker 1: think that maybe Auto is gonna bounce back as well.
- 1:24:47Speaker 1: But the travel from Dallas all the way up to
- 1:24:49Speaker 1: Montreal with one day off. It's not exactly that easy either.
- 1:24:53Speaker 1: So overall, I like Ottawa in this one, and the
- 1:24:56Speaker 1: money seems to agree. I'm not gonna give it out
- 1:24:58Speaker 1: as a play, but AUTI a flip from plus one
- 1:25:01Speaker 1: on one to minus one thirteen. I mean, if I
- 1:25:03Speaker 1: was going to play any of these hockey games, this
- 1:25:05Speaker 1: would be one of the top opinions that I have.
- 1:25:09Speaker 1: So do with that information what you want to fifty
- 1:25:12Speaker 1: two percent of tickets on Montreal, sixty seven percent of
- 1:25:14Speaker 1: the couch on Ottawa. It's actually very rare that there's
- 1:25:17Speaker 1: this size hockey board and that I don't have anything.
- 1:25:19Speaker 1: But that's just the way that it is. I just
- 1:25:21Speaker 1: don't love it. My Boston Bruins at Detroit. Like I said,
- 1:25:26Speaker 1: I think the Bruins are maybe not even quite as
- 1:25:30Speaker 1: good as the record looks. Detroit I think is better
- 1:25:32Speaker 1: than the record looks. I mean, Jeffrey is salging about
- 1:25:35Speaker 1: them being dysfunctional, but I mean this reason stretch that
- 1:25:40Speaker 1: they're on three of the teams they lost to are
- 1:25:42Speaker 1: legit teams. Well, two of the teams excuse in New Jersey,
- 1:25:44Speaker 1: in Tampa. Boston is not legit. But that was a
- 1:25:47Speaker 1: road loss in a shootout. I mean, I'm not gonna
- 1:25:49Speaker 1: knock them too much for that. I think it's a
- 1:25:53Speaker 1: zigzag spot man, and it's kind of classic, you know
- 1:25:56Speaker 1: how I do that When a team loses to one
- 1:25:59Speaker 1: team and then they play that team again right after that,
- 1:26:01Speaker 1: the team that lost basically has these adjustments to make.
- 1:26:04Speaker 1: I know it wasn't a blowout loss. I think the
- 1:26:07Speaker 1: zigzag works better when it was some kind of extreme
- 1:26:11Speaker 1: result in the game, which this of course wasn't. But
- 1:26:14Speaker 1: I still think this does maybe set up for Detroit
- 1:26:16Speaker 1: to bounce back here and get the Bruins. Yeah, I
- 1:26:21Speaker 1: mean that's basically all I have to say about that, Like,
- 1:26:23Speaker 1: Detroit would still be the team that has the adjustments
- 1:26:25Speaker 1: to make here. Detroit's minus one ninety favorite of the
- 1:26:28Speaker 1: money is seemingly coming in on Boston for now, but
- 1:26:31Speaker 1: I don't love it. I would probably lean towards Detroit here,
- 1:26:36Speaker 1: Like if you did, it would probably have to be
- 1:26:37Speaker 1: like one of those like make your own puck line
- 1:26:40Speaker 1: situations or something like that, fifty five percent of the
- 1:26:44Speaker 1: tickets on Detroit, but fifty percent of the cash coming
- 1:26:46Speaker 1: back on Boston, or you know, I wouldn't even hate
- 1:26:50Speaker 1: Bruins under their team total in this one either, because
- 1:26:53Speaker 1: the Bruins, I mean, they're just not a prolific offense, man,
- 1:26:56Speaker 1: So maybe something like that. If you expect Detroit to
- 1:26:59Speaker 1: bounce back, they'll be a focused defensive team. You'll get
- 1:27:03Speaker 1: a focused defensive effort out of them. Potentially. The total
- 1:27:06Speaker 1: in the game is not very high at five and
- 1:27:08Speaker 1: a half as far as hockey totals go. Tampa Bay
- 1:27:12Speaker 1: are at the Islanders the other game that Jeffrey mentioned.
- 1:27:16Speaker 1: I think I agree with him on this one. With
- 1:27:17Speaker 1: the Islanders Tampa Bay. I mean, they're on a very
- 1:27:21Speaker 1: very hot run right now. Man. They won seven games
- 1:27:23Speaker 1: in a row. They just clobber the Rangers. Of course
- 1:27:28Speaker 1: they did, because that was at Madison Square Garden where
- 1:27:30Speaker 1: the Rangers can't win. But now they're staying in New
- 1:27:33Speaker 1: York with a couple of days off. I don't know
- 1:27:34Speaker 1: if those days off will hurt their momentum at all, though,
- 1:27:36Speaker 1: but the travel spot is certainly not bad, as they're
- 1:27:40Speaker 1: just staying in New York for this one, going out
- 1:27:43Speaker 1: to Queen's to face the Islanders. Islanders are on a
- 1:27:47Speaker 1: bad run of three losses in a row though, and
- 1:27:50Speaker 1: they're just staying at home here, and I think they're
- 1:27:53Speaker 1: gonna want to bounce back from this. Man, this has
- 1:27:55Speaker 1: been a rough home stand so far, ugly three goal loss,
- 1:27:59Speaker 1: and they're like game to Washington. So I agree it
- 1:28:02Speaker 1: does set up a bit better for the Islanders here.
- 1:28:04Speaker 1: I won't disagree with it, but I'm not I don't
- 1:28:06Speaker 1: have a strong opinion on this one. Like, I don't
- 1:28:09Speaker 1: think the setup is really that bad for either team.
- 1:28:12Speaker 1: Tampa Bay probably if you're looking at this game, I
- 1:28:15Speaker 1: think it's more of a situation where Tampa is probably
- 1:28:17Speaker 1: just a little bit overvalued at this point just because
- 1:28:20Speaker 1: of recency bias, Like the Osbeckers have to skew the
- 1:28:24Speaker 1: line a little bit towards Tampa Bay because they've won
- 1:28:27Speaker 1: a bunch of games in a row and because the
- 1:28:29Speaker 1: Islanders have lost numerous games in a row. So that's
- 1:28:32Speaker 1: kind of the thing there. So the value should be
- 1:28:35Speaker 1: on the Islanders here eighty four percent to take at
- 1:28:37Speaker 1: sixty seven percent of the cash on Tampa as a
- 1:28:39Speaker 1: minus one thirty eight favorite, So I think that would
- 1:28:42Speaker 1: be more of a value player than anything else. I mean,
- 1:28:44Speaker 1: I'm more of a situational guy, though I like to
- 1:28:46Speaker 1: find both. But yeah, I agree with the Islanders and
- 1:28:49Speaker 1: that one generally, but I don't feel too strongly about it.
- 1:28:55Speaker 1: Dallas is playing against the Rangers. Dallas starting a road
- 1:28:59Speaker 1: trip with some mental though. They are coming off a
- 1:29:01Speaker 1: blowout win over Autawa. But I talked about it. When
- 1:29:04Speaker 1: the team starts a road trip, they usually are focus.
- 1:29:07Speaker 1: But when you just annihilated a team six to one,
- 1:29:10Speaker 1: and you're facing a middling Ranger team right now, and
- 1:29:12Speaker 1: you have to face a New Jersey tomorrow, maybe the
- 1:29:15Speaker 1: spot isn't that great for Dallas. Actually, you know, maybe
- 1:29:20Speaker 1: they overlooked the Rangers a little bit here. The problem is,
- 1:29:24Speaker 1: I mean, the Rangers are the Rangers at home, you
- 1:29:26Speaker 1: know what I mean? This should theoretically be somewhat of
- 1:29:29Speaker 1: a positive spot because they did return home from a
- 1:29:31Speaker 1: road trip and have a bad game, although again it
- 1:29:35Speaker 1: was a short Although it was a short road trip
- 1:29:38Speaker 1: though that was only a Wednesday Friday road trip that
- 1:29:41Speaker 1: kept them on the East Coast, so it wasn't really
- 1:29:43Speaker 1: a true road trip return. But they came home, they
- 1:29:45Speaker 1: lost badly to Tampa. Anyway, maybe they will be in
- 1:29:49Speaker 1: a bounce back. A couple of days off, it's the
- 1:29:51Speaker 1: last game of a two game home stand. They should
- 1:29:53Speaker 1: theoretically show up when it's Dallas here, so I think
- 1:29:56Speaker 1: the situation actually does look a little bit better for
- 1:29:58Speaker 1: the Rangers here. But we're talking about the Rangers at home.
- 1:30:02Speaker 1: So I'm not gonna do that unless the situation is
- 1:30:04Speaker 1: unless it's a great situation to play the Rangers, I'm
- 1:30:08Speaker 1: not gonna do that. You got a two eight and
- 1:30:09Speaker 1: one Rangers team at home in Dallas, by the way,
- 1:30:12Speaker 1: nine to one and three on the road. Dallas has
- 1:30:14Speaker 1: been excellent on the road, so the home road dichotomies
- 1:30:17Speaker 1: are really crazy in this one. So I'm not gonna
- 1:30:20Speaker 1: do it. And the money is coming in on Dallas. Uh,
- 1:30:23Speaker 1: they are the better team as well as the oddsmakers
- 1:30:25Speaker 1: have them favored on the road, even though I don't
- 1:30:27Speaker 1: really think the Rangers are quite as bad as the
- 1:30:29Speaker 1: record would make them look. Fifty three percent of tickets
- 1:30:32Speaker 1: eighty seven percent of the cash on Dallas, I mean, situationally,
- 1:30:36Speaker 1: I would slightly lean to the Rangers, and I don't
- 1:30:38Speaker 1: even know if that's strong enough to disagree with the
- 1:30:40Speaker 1: market read like that in a home road dichotomy like
- 1:30:43Speaker 1: that Toronto, is that Florida. Toronto has their man back
- 1:30:47Speaker 1: with Austin Matthews back. They've won two of their last three,
- 1:30:52Speaker 1: so they played a little bit better recently. They just
- 1:30:54Speaker 1: slaughtered Pittsburgh though in their last game, so I don't know,
- 1:30:57Speaker 1: maybe they're feeling a little bit high off of that.
- 1:30:59Speaker 1: They do have face Carolina next, so is it possible
- 1:31:03Speaker 1: they overlook the back to back returning champs Florida the
- 1:31:06Speaker 1: first time they're playing them this year? Maybe? I mean
- 1:31:09Speaker 1: Carolina did beat them at home in early November, so
- 1:31:12Speaker 1: that Carolina game is gonna be big. So it's actually
- 1:31:16Speaker 1: possible that Toronto overlooks Florida in this spot. As crazy
- 1:31:20Speaker 1: as that sounds, I mean, Florida just hasn't played that
- 1:31:22Speaker 1: well this year. Florida two straight losses at home and
- 1:31:26Speaker 1: that last one was horrendous, and they have the whole
- 1:31:28Speaker 1: weekend off. They haven't played since Friday, so the spot
- 1:31:31Speaker 1: does set up a lot better for Florida here, and
- 1:31:33Speaker 1: they should have Bebrovski back in net here. He didn't
- 1:31:36Speaker 1: play in that game on Friday. They used Tarasov Tarasov
- 1:31:40Speaker 1: and they lost at home to the very bad Calgary Flames.
- 1:31:45Speaker 1: Not a good loss at all for Florida. So I
- 1:31:47Speaker 1: like Florida in this one, Like, I think this is
- 1:31:50Speaker 1: my favorite play in hockey. If I was gonna play
- 1:31:53Speaker 1: this one, I'm actually tempted to add this, But it's
- 1:31:55Speaker 1: in that price range that I hate, where it's like
- 1:31:57Speaker 1: do you want to go money line? Do you want
- 1:31:59Speaker 1: to go puck line? Like? What do you do here? Where?
- 1:32:02Speaker 1: I mean, does it make enough sense to even just
- 1:32:04Speaker 1: try to do a split bet, make your own minus
- 1:32:07Speaker 1: one puck line and then you get your money back
- 1:32:09Speaker 1: if they win by one? Is it worth it? Like
- 1:32:11Speaker 1: do we think they have a decent shot to win
- 1:32:13Speaker 1: by multiple goals? Maybe? I mean it is a high
- 1:32:16Speaker 1: total at six and a half, fifty three percent of tickets,
- 1:32:18Speaker 1: only fifty five percent of tickets, only fifty three percent
- 1:32:21Speaker 1: of the cash on Toronto line up for minus one
- 1:32:24Speaker 1: fifty minus one fifty three on Florida, So the money
- 1:32:28Speaker 1: is on Florida. There, it looks like to some extent
- 1:32:30Speaker 1: they're an anti public home favorite, And you know I
- 1:32:33Speaker 1: do like that. Yeah, I don't love the spot for
- 1:32:37Speaker 1: Toronto really in that one, And the spot looks like
- 1:32:39Speaker 1: a big time bounce back spot for Florida. It's tempting, man,
- 1:32:44Speaker 1: it is tempting to give it a plan in Florida
- 1:32:47Speaker 1: on that one. We'll stay off of it, but it
- 1:32:51Speaker 1: is it is close. Calgary and Nashville. Nashville down for
- 1:32:55Speaker 1: minus one seventeen and minus one sixteen. Here the money
- 1:32:58Speaker 1: is coming into the Calgary side. But I don't really
- 1:33:01Speaker 1: see it. I don't really agree with that as much
- 1:33:02Speaker 1: as I despise giving out plays on Nashville because they
- 1:33:07Speaker 1: never come through, but sixty two percent of tickets on
- 1:33:10Speaker 1: Nashville eighty three percent of the cash on Calgary. But
- 1:33:12Speaker 1: I just don't see why the money would becoming in
- 1:33:15Speaker 1: on Calgary and the Calgary they're coming off beating Florida
- 1:33:21Speaker 1: on the road. I mean they've also had kind of
- 1:33:22Speaker 1: a packed schedule here they're finishing a road trip and yeah,
- 1:33:25Speaker 1: I know they're two and two on the road trip
- 1:33:26Speaker 1: right now, so ideally you try to win the road trip.
- 1:33:29Speaker 1: But they beat Florida and then they turn around and
- 1:33:31Speaker 1: they took Carolina into overtime in like a defensive battle. Man.
- 1:33:35Speaker 1: So it's like, I don't understand how Calgary gets gets
- 1:33:39Speaker 1: up after those two games. Man, I mean those are
- 1:33:41Speaker 1: huge performances from them, so I just don't see it.
- 1:33:45Speaker 1: Even though they did lose to Nashville at Nashville to
- 1:33:48Speaker 1: start the month of November, I mean, not December to
- 1:33:53Speaker 1: start last month, so I mean, is there revenge spot there?
- 1:33:57Speaker 1: I'm not really sure. In Nashville, they were turn home
- 1:34:00Speaker 1: from a quick two game road trip and they took
- 1:34:02Speaker 1: an ugly loss to win a PEG five to two.
- 1:34:05Speaker 1: Staying at home here, so I think they're gonna be
- 1:34:07Speaker 1: a focus to try to get this win. So I
- 1:34:10Speaker 1: actually lean to Nashville in this game. I don't understand
- 1:34:12Speaker 1: what the money is doing in that one. I don't
- 1:34:17Speaker 1: really want to do it though, with the money disagreeing
- 1:34:20Speaker 1: with me like that and me just avoiding Nashville like
- 1:34:23Speaker 1: the plague, I just can't do it. Vancouver at Colorado,
- 1:34:28Speaker 1: Colorado the way better team, obviously. I don't know what
- 1:34:31Speaker 1: else we have to say about this. Really. Vancouver did
- 1:34:34Speaker 1: take Colorado into overtime at home back on November ninth,
- 1:34:37Speaker 1: so maybe Colorado will remember that and step it up
- 1:34:40Speaker 1: and play better. In Vancouver coming out of a tough
- 1:34:42Speaker 1: overtime game against the LA Kings, now having to go
- 1:34:46Speaker 1: into elevation, it's not gonna be that easy for them.
- 1:34:49Speaker 1: For Colorado, they're coming off a blowout win at home
- 1:34:53Speaker 1: though against Montreal, so they might be feeling high on themselves.
- 1:34:56Speaker 1: And I thought that was gonna be a hangover spot
- 1:34:58Speaker 1: if you're taking a loss to Minniot and losing their
- 1:35:01Speaker 1: long win streak. Nope, they bounced right back. Colorado probably
- 1:35:05Speaker 1: gets this one. They're up from minus three ten to
- 1:35:08Speaker 1: minus three to twenty on the money line. Vancouver not
- 1:35:11Speaker 1: a very good team this year. The oddsmakers are telling
- 1:35:13Speaker 1: you that Colorado probably the best team in the NHL.
- 1:35:16Speaker 1: Seventy three percent of tickets eighty five percent of the
- 1:35:18Speaker 1: cash on Colorado. I mean, if you like Colorado, a
- 1:35:23Speaker 1: puck line situation or going over their team total might
- 1:35:26Speaker 1: make sense there, but you need them to score a
- 1:35:28Speaker 1: lot of goals there. Minnesota is at Edmonton. For Edmonton,
- 1:35:34Speaker 1: I mean, they're not off to a good start this season, man,
- 1:35:37Speaker 1: but they did get a nice win over Seattle for
- 1:35:39Speaker 1: it to nothing on the road. They're coming back from that.
- 1:35:42Speaker 1: It was a single game road trip. Maybe they'll be
- 1:35:46Speaker 1: in a spot where they do focus on Minnesota. I mean,
- 1:35:49Speaker 1: when you're an eleven ten to five team, you don't
- 1:35:51Speaker 1: really overlook many teams here, and Minnesota has been hot recently.
- 1:35:55Speaker 1: Minnesota just had their win streak snap. They'd won six
- 1:35:58Speaker 1: games in a row. Seven games in a row, actually,
- 1:36:00Speaker 1: I think, and we as the streakbusters on the show,
- 1:36:03Speaker 1: we got it right. I think we had Buffalo as
- 1:36:05Speaker 1: a play in that one. I just thought it was
- 1:36:07Speaker 1: a really bad spot for Minnesota after being Colorado. I
- 1:36:11Speaker 1: thought it was a big time letdown spot. And with
- 1:36:13Speaker 1: Edmonton up next, so I thought it was bad. They
- 1:36:16Speaker 1: did get caught by Buffalo. So now starting a road
- 1:36:19Speaker 1: trip again, it is a focused spot and they're gonna
- 1:36:22Speaker 1: probably be focused because it is Edmonton still the team
- 1:36:26Speaker 1: that won the conference last two years, So I don't
- 1:36:28Speaker 1: see Minnesota not being focused in this one. But the
- 1:36:31Speaker 1: money is coming in. It looks like against Minnesota at
- 1:36:34Speaker 1: this point, even though the line on Edmondon drop for
- 1:36:37Speaker 1: Minuesota to sixty five to minus one forty six sixty
- 1:36:39Speaker 1: three percent of tickets, only fifty six percent of the
- 1:36:42Speaker 1: cash on Minnesota. So Minnesota looks like a public road
- 1:36:46Speaker 1: dog here. And it is interesting that the oddsmakers are
- 1:36:48Speaker 1: telling you that Edmonton is the better team by lining
- 1:36:52Speaker 1: them this way. So the line looks a little bit misleading,
- 1:36:56Speaker 1: so I wouldn't really want to disagree with that. I
- 1:36:58Speaker 1: would probably have to slightly lean to Edmonton. But I
- 1:37:01Speaker 1: don't love it either. Obviously Chicago is going to Vegas.
- 1:37:04Speaker 1: Chicago's coming off a comeback, I think. I think they
- 1:37:07Speaker 1: were down three to nothing to Anaheim and they won
- 1:37:10Speaker 1: five to three, so they might be kind of gassed
- 1:37:12Speaker 1: after that. I mean, usually a team starting a road
- 1:37:15Speaker 1: trip is a team that I want to look towards
- 1:37:17Speaker 1: because they'd be in a focused spot. But and because
- 1:37:19Speaker 1: this is Vegas, Vegas is good. But that was a huge,
- 1:37:24Speaker 1: like comeback win for Chicago over Anaheim, So I don't
- 1:37:26Speaker 1: know what they have left in the tank here, So
- 1:37:28Speaker 1: I don't love the spot for Vegas. Vegas is staying
- 1:37:33Speaker 1: at home and they just broke a four game lost
- 1:37:35Speaker 1: week with a close win over San Jose. I don't know, man,
- 1:37:40Speaker 1: that gives them some momentum here. They're probably gonna try
- 1:37:43Speaker 1: to at least split this home stand, even though they
- 1:37:45Speaker 1: do have a road trip starting on Friday against New Jersey.
- 1:37:49Speaker 1: But I kind of lean towards Vegas, and this one
- 1:37:51Speaker 1: of the money is disagreeing with me. Vegas down for
- 1:37:54Speaker 1: minus two eighty and minus two seventy five, sixty three
- 1:37:56Speaker 1: percent of tickets, only fifty percent of the cash on them,
- 1:38:01Speaker 1: and then finishing the slate Washington at LA Washington, they're
- 1:38:07Speaker 1: coming off a win over the Islanders and now they're
- 1:38:09Speaker 1: having to fly cross country with one day off. Maybe
- 1:38:13Speaker 1: not easy to do that first Pacific Coast game of
- 1:38:16Speaker 1: the road trip, and it's a late night game that
- 1:38:17Speaker 1: can mess with their biological clock. So I don't really
- 1:38:20Speaker 1: love that spot for Washington. LA is just staying at
- 1:38:24Speaker 1: home off of bouncing back with a win against Vancouver,
- 1:38:28Speaker 1: so I think the spot is better for LA. I
- 1:38:30Speaker 1: would lean towards LA in this one eighty two tickets
- 1:38:33Speaker 1: ninety two percent of the cash on them, they're down
- 1:38:36Speaker 1: for minus one twenty one sixteen, so cheap price on
- 1:38:40Speaker 1: them too. Those are my hockey opinions. I mean, again,
- 1:38:45Speaker 1: the stronger opinions that are Florida and at Florida. I mean,
- 1:38:49Speaker 1: they're going way way up on the money line here too, man.
- 1:38:52Speaker 1: So yeah, Florida and Ottawa are probably my favorite two
- 1:38:56Speaker 1: in hockey. But I just am I'm gonna just stay
- 1:39:00Speaker 1: away for the day. And then we got NBA or
- 1:39:05Speaker 1: I'm gonna give out two plays here in the NBA.
- 1:39:07Speaker 1: Washington at Philadelphia, Yeah, this is a great one Washington.
- 1:39:14Speaker 1: They're coming up beating the Milwaukee Bucks, though, man, I
- 1:39:16Speaker 1: mean that's a pretty big win. And that was yesterday,
- 1:39:19Speaker 1: and now they have to turn around and play a
- 1:39:20Speaker 1: single game at Philadelphia and they do a Boston next.
- 1:39:24Speaker 1: I mean, will they overlook this Philadelphia team? It's been
- 1:39:27Speaker 1: all over the place this year, up and down again.
- 1:39:29Speaker 1: They very well might. So I don't think this is
- 1:39:32Speaker 1: a good spot for Washington at all. Letdown spot, maybe
- 1:39:35Speaker 1: a sandwich spot with no rest. But Philadelphia, even though
- 1:39:38Speaker 1: they didn't play yesterday, they're coming off of a two
- 1:39:40Speaker 1: overtime game against Atlanta, which was a loss for US.
- 1:39:44Speaker 1: I'm not happy about that. So I don't love the
- 1:39:46Speaker 1: spot for Philadelphia either, coming off that two OT game.
- 1:39:51Speaker 1: I would lean towards Philadelphia in the game if I
- 1:39:53Speaker 1: was gonna play it. And the money looks like it's
- 1:39:54Speaker 1: coming in on the Wizzards. Who would ever think it's
- 1:39:57Speaker 1: because you're having to lay thirteen and a half team
- 1:40:00Speaker 1: with the seventy six ers, So the public looks like
- 1:40:02Speaker 1: they're actually taking the Wizards seventy four percent of tickets,
- 1:40:06Speaker 1: only sixty five percent of the cash on them. I
- 1:40:08Speaker 1: would lay it with the Sixers if I was gonna
- 1:40:10Speaker 1: play it. They're down for minus thirteen and after minus thirteen,
- 1:40:12Speaker 1: I mean, I'm not very tempted to do it though.
- 1:40:17Speaker 1: Looking at the injury report him and he got embiids
- 1:40:20Speaker 1: still out, so he's not gonna be back for this one.
- 1:40:22Speaker 1: Paul George is a game time decision. Uh. He was
- 1:40:26Speaker 1: in the shoot around this morning, so he'll probably play.
- 1:40:30Speaker 1: So Philadelphia, I mean, most of their guys will be
- 1:40:32Speaker 1: in the lineup, it looks like, and they're very used
- 1:40:35Speaker 1: to playing without embiid. So Portland at Toronto, this is
- 1:40:40Speaker 1: playing number one. We're laying the points to Toronto minus five.
- 1:40:43Speaker 1: We're gonna fade Portland off of what they just did
- 1:40:46Speaker 1: man Portland on Sunday. They just had a huge game
- 1:40:50Speaker 1: against Oklahoma City and they almost got the revenge. I mean,
- 1:40:54Speaker 1: Portland did beat them once earlier this year. They're the
- 1:40:56Speaker 1: only team to beat the Thunder this year, and they
- 1:40:59Speaker 1: put it in a nice before Romans and we took
- 1:41:00Speaker 1: the Thunder. We laid the points of the Thunder against
- 1:41:03Speaker 1: the Blazers at home against the Blazers, and the thunder
- 1:41:06Speaker 1: got it done for us. But this game on Sunday,
- 1:41:09Speaker 1: the Blazers were in that game from start to finish. Man.
- 1:41:12Speaker 1: I mean they did not go away at all. They
- 1:41:14Speaker 1: were playing that game close, basically, almost right to the wire.
- 1:41:17Speaker 1: Huge performance from the Trail Blazers. And now they're coming
- 1:41:20Speaker 1: off of that difficult spot. Man. I know Toronto's good,
- 1:41:25Speaker 1: but they do also have to face Cleveland and Detroit
- 1:41:27Speaker 1: on Wednesday and Friday. So I mean, if you're gonna
- 1:41:30Speaker 1: focus on or if you're gonna lapse focus in one
- 1:41:33Speaker 1: of these games, I think you might do it against Toronto. Man.
- 1:41:35Speaker 1: To be honest, I mean they just even though they've
- 1:41:37Speaker 1: been hot recently, I think that just because they haven't
- 1:41:42Speaker 1: been one of those teams that's been up there recently.
- 1:41:44Speaker 1: I don't know, man, I think it's a bad spot
- 1:41:46Speaker 1: for Portland for all those reasons. Though usually I will
- 1:41:48Speaker 1: say a team will be focus to start the road trip,
- 1:41:51Speaker 1: but coming off of performance like that, I just don't
- 1:41:53Speaker 1: really see it. Plus, I think Toronto, I think they're
- 1:41:57Speaker 1: gonna be in a bounced back spider. I mean, they
- 1:41:58Speaker 1: took their first loss of the Charlotte, they took a
- 1:42:02Speaker 1: I think they got put into a hangover spot after that,
- 1:42:05Speaker 1: and they got blown out by the knicks Man in
- 1:42:08Speaker 1: New York. So yes, they are traveling the returning home.
- 1:42:11Speaker 1: I know. I don't like teams returning home from road trips.
- 1:42:13Speaker 1: But they only were on the road for the weekend
- 1:42:16Speaker 1: Saturday and Sunday, so that New York game was also
- 1:42:19Speaker 1: a back to back. So yeah, they're having to travel
- 1:42:22Speaker 1: back up to Canada, but they were not on the
- 1:42:24Speaker 1: road for very long. Man, Like whatever they had to
- 1:42:27Speaker 1: do for Thanksgiving, whatever, I'm sure they got it done
- 1:42:29Speaker 1: before they went out on the road for the road trips.
- 1:42:31Speaker 1: So I'm not as concerned because usually I talk about
- 1:42:33Speaker 1: you come back home from the road like you're unfocused,
- 1:42:37Speaker 1: you have to get back to home life and whatever.
- 1:42:39Speaker 1: But when you just lost and it's an explainable loss,
- 1:42:44Speaker 1: but you just lost by twenty two points to anybody,
- 1:42:46Speaker 1: I think you're gonna be really really angry about it
- 1:42:48Speaker 1: and you're gonna bounce back from it. So that's what
- 1:42:51Speaker 1: I think we're gonna see here. I think the spot
- 1:42:53Speaker 1: is a lot better for Toronto, so we're gonna lay
- 1:42:55Speaker 1: it with the Raptors and the money seems to kind
- 1:42:57Speaker 1: of disagree with it right now, but it's one of
- 1:42:59Speaker 1: my plays. Eighty six percent of the tickets, only sixty
- 1:43:02Speaker 1: five percent of the cash on the Raptors for now.
- 1:43:04Speaker 1: But we're going with it, man. I'm trusting the handicapping,
- 1:43:08Speaker 1: the process. And Drew Holliday is still out for Portland
- 1:43:11Speaker 1: by the way, so just to let you know, although
- 1:43:16Speaker 1: we're looking at a situation where Barrett is still out
- 1:43:18Speaker 1: for Toronto too so, but both of these guys have
- 1:43:23Speaker 1: missed like a decent amount of time already, so it's
- 1:43:25Speaker 1: not affecting the team, you know, day to day right now,
- 1:43:28Speaker 1: you know what I mean? New York at my boss
- 1:43:32Speaker 1: is Celtics is a big game, man, and the Knicks.
- 1:43:36Speaker 1: They're coming off that blowout win over Toronto, man, and
- 1:43:39Speaker 1: this is a weird single game trip to Boston, so
- 1:43:42Speaker 1: it's not a good spot for the Knicks. Plus, I
- 1:43:44Speaker 1: think the Celtics are gonna have this game circle because
- 1:43:46Speaker 1: the Knicks still haven't lost to the Celtics. It's beating
- 1:43:50Speaker 1: the Celtics and knocking them out of the playoffs last year,
- 1:43:53Speaker 1: so the playoff revenge scenario is still in play for
- 1:43:56Speaker 1: Boston here because they faced the Knicks once and the
- 1:43:59Speaker 1: second of the season, and the Knicks beat them by
- 1:44:02Speaker 1: ten in New York. So the Celtics still looking to
- 1:44:06Speaker 1: an exact some playoff revenge here, man, So the spot
- 1:44:09Speaker 1: is not very good for the Knicks. I expect the
- 1:44:12Speaker 1: Celtics to be focused. The problem is the Celtics are
- 1:44:15Speaker 1: returning on from a road trip where I know it
- 1:44:18Speaker 1: was a short road trip. They're only on the road
- 1:44:20Speaker 1: over the weekend, but they played in Minnesota and Cleveland
- 1:44:23Speaker 1: and could have won both games. I mean, they blew
- 1:44:25Speaker 1: the game late against Minnesota and then they did beat Cleveland,
- 1:44:28Speaker 1: so they had a huge win over Cleveland, big upset,
- 1:44:31Speaker 1: and now they're returning on from that. It's just a
- 1:44:33Speaker 1: bad spot for both teams. Dude, So I mean, I
- 1:44:38Speaker 1: can't do it. Celtics are also public sixty seven percent
- 1:44:41Speaker 1: of tickets, only fifty eight percent of the cash on them.
- 1:44:44Speaker 1: I mean, my initial lean was maybe a slight lean
- 1:44:46Speaker 1: towards the Celtics, and maybe that revenge angle would put
- 1:44:49Speaker 1: it over the top. The market seems to be disagreeing
- 1:44:51Speaker 1: with the Celtics side here. Of notes, Anonobe is still
- 1:44:56Speaker 1: out for the Knicks, Celtics, their guys are basically back.
- 1:45:02Speaker 1: White has been like questionable, but it looks like he's
- 1:45:05Speaker 1: gonna play. And Cada missed like a game or two there,
- 1:45:08Speaker 1: but he's playing as well. So whatever. Yeah, it's not
- 1:45:13Speaker 1: a game that I want to play at all. I mean,
- 1:45:14Speaker 1: that might be a game where an over makes sense
- 1:45:16Speaker 1: as well, and the money has already driven it up
- 1:45:18Speaker 1: to two thirty one on the total, but it is
- 1:45:21Speaker 1: a public over ninety three percent tickets only ninety two
- 1:45:23Speaker 1: percent of the cash, but over might make sense there.
- 1:45:26Speaker 1: Minnesota is at New Orleans. Oh god, Minnesota. By the way,
- 1:45:30Speaker 1: they're coming up now their first two wins against winning
- 1:45:32Speaker 1: teams on the season, although it was against a Wemby
- 1:45:36Speaker 1: list Spurs team, but Minnesota coming up beating Boston and
- 1:45:40Speaker 1: San Antonio big wins, and they played Oklahoma City close
- 1:45:43Speaker 1: to the game prior to that. Now they're going on
- 1:45:45Speaker 1: out on the road to face the Pelicans. I don't
- 1:45:48Speaker 1: know if you really get excited about that. And this
- 1:45:50Speaker 1: road trip is literally just two games against the Pelicans. Yeah,
- 1:45:54Speaker 1: I just don't see how you get excited about that. Man,
- 1:45:56Speaker 1: if you're Minnesota, you know New World is gonna be
- 1:45:59Speaker 1: a giant underdog here. New Orleans is returning over from
- 1:46:02Speaker 1: a road trip though where they went out to California
- 1:46:05Speaker 1: only on Saturday and Sunday and played back to back.
- 1:46:07Speaker 1: Now they're returning home from that. Not really the greatest
- 1:46:10Speaker 1: spot for New Orleans. I would say if I was
- 1:46:13Speaker 1: gonna play it, I would still probably take the points,
- 1:46:15Speaker 1: but the money looks like it disagrees with the Tea
- 1:46:18Speaker 1: Wolves up from nine to ten in their spot. I
- 1:46:21Speaker 1: don't think I would want to lay ten points on
- 1:46:22Speaker 1: the road though, sixty percent of tickets, sixty four percent
- 1:46:25Speaker 1: of the cash on New Orleans. I don't know if
- 1:46:29Speaker 1: there's any injury, any injury concerns here. I mean, Minnesota
- 1:46:33Speaker 1: has nobody even listed on the injury report for New Orleans.
- 1:46:38Speaker 1: I think Zion is back and playing. Trey Murphy the
- 1:46:41Speaker 1: third as questionable. Uh he played in their last game,
- 1:46:46Speaker 1: I think though, so oh no, he did not actually
- 1:46:50Speaker 1: excuse he hasn't played since the twenty six, so I
- 1:46:53Speaker 1: don't know if he's going to be back or not. Man,
- 1:46:55Speaker 1: So something to keep an eye on. I guess with
- 1:46:56Speaker 1: New Orleans, Memphis at San Antonio is my final playing.
- 1:47:00Speaker 1: We're gonna take the points with Memphis. Man, Memphis starting
- 1:47:05Speaker 1: to get into a bit of a groove without John Morant,
- 1:47:07Speaker 1: and he's not coming back in this game, which is
- 1:47:09Speaker 1: good I think for us because you know me, I
- 1:47:13Speaker 1: don't think Miranda is good for team chemistry. He's a
- 1:47:17Speaker 1: Morant is bad for morale. No John Morale. So I
- 1:47:21Speaker 1: like the Memphis is now kind of in a groove,
- 1:47:23Speaker 1: winning five of their last six games now playing without him,
- 1:47:27Speaker 1: Zach eed, he's playing really well. They're doing well right now. Man.
- 1:47:31Speaker 1: I don't think they're gonna be in like a letdown
- 1:47:33Speaker 1: spot or anything like that and feeling too cocky because
- 1:47:36Speaker 1: their recent wins are against Sacramento twice, Dallas, New Orleans,
- 1:47:40Speaker 1: and the Clippers, so they're not gonna be like overconfident
- 1:47:43Speaker 1: by that. But what's good about that is all but
- 1:47:45Speaker 1: one of those wins are also on the road, so
- 1:47:47Speaker 1: they've been playing well on the road, man, And now
- 1:47:49Speaker 1: this is another road game here to finish the road trip.
- 1:47:52Speaker 1: I know they're coming back from the Pacific coast into
- 1:47:55Speaker 1: Central Time here, but they've had a day off, you know.
- 1:48:00Speaker 1: I think their momentums does continue into this game, and
- 1:48:03Speaker 1: the last time they played here at San Antonio. They
- 1:48:05Speaker 1: lost by ten, so it's possible that maybe San Antonio
- 1:48:08Speaker 1: doesn't totally take them seriously here, and Memphis might be
- 1:48:12Speaker 1: looking for a little bit of revenge here and we're
- 1:48:14Speaker 1: getting points. Obviously. The line in that game, by the way,
- 1:48:17Speaker 1: for what it's worth, was, let me see what was
- 1:48:21Speaker 1: the line? Oh, we can't see it. ESPN doesn't show
- 1:48:23Speaker 1: us what the line was. Isn't that just great? So
- 1:48:25Speaker 1: I don't know what the line was, so we could
- 1:48:27Speaker 1: I'd have to look it up. So we can't do
- 1:48:29Speaker 1: the line comparison on this right now. But I'm doing
- 1:48:31Speaker 1: the situational analysis here. I don't like the spot for
- 1:48:34Speaker 1: San Antonio. I mean, you see right here, they're returning
- 1:48:36Speaker 1: home from a road trip, and this was a long
- 1:48:38Speaker 1: road trip. They've been on the road since Sunday, November
- 1:48:41Speaker 1: twenty third, so this is a road trip that took
- 1:48:43Speaker 1: them out to the Pacific coast and then into elevation
- 1:48:47Speaker 1: at Denver. They actually pulled out the upset over Denver
- 1:48:50Speaker 1: and then fell into a letdown spot kind of against Minnesota.
- 1:48:53Speaker 1: Still a tough game, losing to Minnesota. Now they got
- 1:48:56Speaker 1: to return home and play this Memphis team that they
- 1:48:58Speaker 1: just beat not that long ago. I just don't know
- 1:49:02Speaker 1: how focused they're gonna be here, man, And that trip
- 1:49:05Speaker 1: was during Thanksgiving, so it could be a situation where
- 1:49:08Speaker 1: they come back home and not only do they have
- 1:49:09Speaker 1: stuff to do at home, but they want to like
- 1:49:11Speaker 1: celebrate the holiday a little bit because maybe they couldn't
- 1:49:14Speaker 1: do it like before they went on the road trip
- 1:49:16Speaker 1: because they went on the road trip a week before that.
- 1:49:18Speaker 1: So I don't know, man, So a very unfortunately time
- 1:49:23Speaker 1: road trip here, I think for San Antonio, and up
- 1:49:26Speaker 1: next they have to go back out on the road
- 1:49:28Speaker 1: again tomorrow and they play Orlando and Cleveland, and those
- 1:49:30Speaker 1: teams have both been hotter than this Memphis team. Memphis,
- 1:49:34Speaker 1: by the way, still sitting at below five hundred roough,
- 1:49:38Speaker 1: they've been decent on the road recently. Like I pointed out,
- 1:49:41Speaker 1: they've started to figure it out. So I do like
- 1:49:43Speaker 1: that from Memphis. But yeah, for San Antonio, the single
- 1:49:46Speaker 1: game homestand sandwich between two road trips, they're really bad spots, man,
- 1:49:51Speaker 1: because it's like you're on a time crunch and you
- 1:49:53Speaker 1: have to get stuff done at home. You have to
- 1:49:54Speaker 1: get it done immediately and then go right back out
- 1:49:57Speaker 1: on the road. So I think it's a very bad
- 1:49:58Speaker 1: spot for San Anto. So we're gonna take the Grizzlies.
- 1:50:02Speaker 1: And the money is disagreeing with me. I don't get it.
- 1:50:06Speaker 1: Sixty percent of the tickets on the Grizzlies. Why, I
- 1:50:08Speaker 1: don't know. Why is the public on the Grizzlies. I
- 1:50:10Speaker 1: don't get it. Eighty two percent of the cash on
- 1:50:13Speaker 1: the Spurs doesn't make sense to me, even recency buyas.
- 1:50:16Speaker 1: I mean, it's not like the Spurs have been bad recently,
- 1:50:19Speaker 1: so I don't get it at all. I like Memphis
- 1:50:22Speaker 1: in this one. We're taking the points with the Memphis
- 1:50:24Speaker 1: Grizzlies in that one. Yeah, I mean, I don't have
- 1:50:29Speaker 1: much else to say about that. By the way, the
- 1:50:30Speaker 1: Portland Toronto game, I wasn't gonna point out Toronto is
- 1:50:34Speaker 1: good at home, just to throw that out there, seven
- 1:50:36Speaker 1: and two at home. Blazers haven't been horrible on the
- 1:50:39Speaker 1: road though five and six, but Toronto has been very
- 1:50:41Speaker 1: difficult to beat at home. Zach Edie is a Nephelim. Yeah,
- 1:50:47Speaker 1: he's what is he seven to five something like that,
- 1:50:49Speaker 1: and he looks half Asian or something. I don't know.
- 1:50:52Speaker 1: He's Yeah, I mean, he's turned into a pretty solid
- 1:50:55Speaker 1: NBA player though, man, Like he's not just a guy
- 1:50:58Speaker 1: that gets out there just because he's tall. Like he
- 1:51:00Speaker 1: can actually play. Despite what he looked like in that
- 1:51:04Speaker 1: loss in that tournament to Fairley Dickinson when he was
- 1:51:07Speaker 1: up pur due and that rebound went off of his face,
- 1:51:10Speaker 1: He's starting to become a pretty good NBA player. Man.
- 1:51:14Speaker 1: Oklahoma City, the game that you guys talked about is
- 1:51:16Speaker 1: the last game on the board here at eleven PM
- 1:51:18Speaker 1: Eastern Okase coming off beating Portland, so they're already out
- 1:51:23Speaker 1: on the Pacific Coast. They had not a very good
- 1:51:26Speaker 1: performance against Portland. Man, So I actually I don't know
- 1:51:30Speaker 1: what I think about this game. They did beat Golden
- 1:51:32Speaker 1: State on Tuesday, November eleventh by twenty four points in OKAC,
- 1:51:36Speaker 1: So yeah, Golden State, I want to get back at
- 1:51:39Speaker 1: them for that. But I'm not gonna say that Oklahoma
- 1:51:41Speaker 1: City is not showing up in this game. I mean,
- 1:51:44Speaker 1: Oklahoma City looked like they were kind of going through
- 1:51:46Speaker 1: the motions against Portland, and I think Golden State is
- 1:51:49Speaker 1: a team that they're gonna have more focus on here.
- 1:51:52Speaker 1: So I don't love that for Golden State. I mean,
- 1:51:55Speaker 1: they've had guys in and out of the lineup, which
- 1:51:57Speaker 1: is difficult. So we got to see, like what's been
- 1:51:59Speaker 1: going on. Was Steph Curry here? Curry hasn't played since
- 1:52:04Speaker 1: the Houston game on the twenty sixth in November reevaluated
- 1:52:08Speaker 1: in one week, but now that was five days ago,
- 1:52:11Speaker 1: So does that mean he's out? So is Curry out
- 1:52:14Speaker 1: for this game? I don't know. He's not listing on
- 1:52:19Speaker 1: the injury reports, so what does that even mean? Like that?
- 1:52:22Speaker 1: It almost makes it seem like he's playing, but there's
- 1:52:24Speaker 1: no news on that, so I have no idea if
- 1:52:26Speaker 1: Curry is playing. So if Curry is coming back in
- 1:52:29Speaker 1: this game and this turns into a reverse injured player spot,
- 1:52:32Speaker 1: you know, that makes me like Golden State less because
- 1:52:34Speaker 1: there'll be less line value there because the odds usually
- 1:52:38Speaker 1: over adjust to that star player coming back. So that's
- 1:52:41Speaker 1: something we need to figure out. Is Curry coming back?
- 1:52:43Speaker 1: Let me look at like Rodal World or something real quick.
- 1:52:50Speaker 1: Let me see Steph Curry. What are we doing here, buddy?
- 1:52:57Speaker 1: They don't have look like they don't have any news here. Yeah,
- 1:52:59Speaker 1: the last thing is still that announcement quadriceps contusion No idea. Dude,
- 1:53:06Speaker 1: to me, that seems like he's not playing, but I
- 1:53:08Speaker 1: just don't know why he's not in the injury report.
- 1:53:11Speaker 1: On the injury report, we also have to make sure
- 1:53:14Speaker 1: that we know what's going on with Jimmy Butler, and
- 1:53:17Speaker 1: I guess Draymond Green Al Horford is gonna be out,
- 1:53:19Speaker 1: So Al Horford is missing this game. Green is playing,
- 1:53:23Speaker 1: So there is that he played against the Pelicans. Was
- 1:53:28Speaker 1: that their last game or was it not? I don't
- 1:53:30Speaker 1: even know, Like what is the spot that the Warriors
- 1:53:33Speaker 1: are even in here? Yeah, that was their last game
- 1:53:36Speaker 1: against the Pelicans. So the Warriors came back from that
- 1:53:39Speaker 1: Houston game, and they were in kind of a bad
- 1:53:41Speaker 1: spot after that Houston game, staying at home actually, and
- 1:53:44Speaker 1: that they had kind of a lackluster outing against the Pelicans.
- 1:53:47Speaker 1: So yeah, it does look like it's kind of a
- 1:53:48Speaker 1: positive spot for the Warriors here, but again, they got
- 1:53:52Speaker 1: guys in and out of the line. And then for
- 1:53:54Speaker 1: Jimmy Butler, he's questionable due to a gluteal contusion. So
- 1:53:59Speaker 1: Jimmy Butler fell on his ass. Man, Jimmy's ready, dude,
- 1:54:06Speaker 1: got some new moves. Check Jimmy out. Jimmy Jimmy's down.
- 1:54:16Speaker 1: He fell on his ass, man, So I don't know
- 1:54:18Speaker 1: the gluteal contusion, the ass the broken not a broken ass,
- 1:54:24Speaker 1: but the the the sore ass might is he a
- 1:54:29Speaker 1: sore ass loser? I don't know. The sore ass might
- 1:54:32Speaker 1: might affect him in this game. You're out, we'll see
- 1:54:36Speaker 1: he's questionable. So I don't know if he's gonna play.
- 1:54:38Speaker 1: So we have to figure out if hopefully you guys
- 1:54:40Speaker 1: like that drop By the way, that's another one of
- 1:54:42Speaker 1: my new ones that I did just for this, by
- 1:54:44Speaker 1: the way, because it's so appropriate. Yeah, I mean, we
- 1:54:50Speaker 1: gotta figure out a butler's playing. Man, So I don't
- 1:54:52Speaker 1: think he's missed any games yet. So if he's out,
- 1:54:55Speaker 1: then actually maybe that's better for Golden Stages because it
- 1:54:57Speaker 1: means you get more live value on the I mean,
- 1:54:59Speaker 1: it's not good if your star players out one of
- 1:55:02Speaker 1: your star players, but you'll get more line value that way.
- 1:55:05Speaker 1: This is a very very difficult game to figure out.
- 1:55:07Speaker 1: I mean I I can't figure it out myself. The
- 1:55:11Speaker 1: thunder up from eight and a half to twelve. Some
- 1:55:13Speaker 1: of that might have to do with the warriors injury situation.
- 1:55:16Speaker 1: My guess is that Curry is still out because we
- 1:55:19Speaker 1: haven't hit that week mark yet, so I don't think
- 1:55:21Speaker 1: he's been reevaluated yet. So Curry likely is out. Seventy
- 1:55:25Speaker 1: nine percent tickets on the Warriors, fifty five percent of
- 1:55:28Speaker 1: the catch on the Thunder. To me, this is looking
- 1:55:30Speaker 1: like the Warriors are a bit public the money coming
- 1:55:32Speaker 1: in in the Thunder. I don't think it's a bad
- 1:55:34Speaker 1: spot for the Thunder. And I mean, we know they're
- 1:55:37Speaker 1: a dominant team. And when you have a team that's
- 1:55:39Speaker 1: that dominant, that's in a spot that looks like maybe
- 1:55:42Speaker 1: they'll show up for it, I don't want to fade them, man,
- 1:55:45Speaker 1: even though lose like you're getting a ton of points
- 1:55:47Speaker 1: with the Warriors at home, I don't know. I mean, yeah,
- 1:55:52Speaker 1: I mean it is a lot of points to be
- 1:55:53Speaker 1: taking it home, but I don't love it NBA. NBA
- 1:55:57Speaker 1: is one sport where sometimes you can't be afraid to
- 1:55:59Speaker 1: lay points on the road, man, And maybe this is
- 1:56:01Speaker 1: a spot where it makes some sense to look that way,
- 1:56:04Speaker 1: But I don't have a strong opinion on it. I
- 1:56:06Speaker 1: slightly lean towards laying it with Oklahoma City, but not
- 1:56:10Speaker 1: strong on that at all. Yeah, I don't know, I don't.
- 1:56:14Speaker 1: I don't have much else to say about that, but
- 1:56:16Speaker 1: that's that's gonna do it. Man. There's no football today.
- 1:56:19Speaker 1: Midweek college football is over. Man. We're into championship week now.
- 1:56:23Speaker 1: There will be one football game on Friday, I think,
- 1:56:25Speaker 1: and then numerous on Saturday. That's gonna do it. Thanks
- 1:56:30Speaker 1: for hanging out guys once again. The plays today are
- 1:56:33Speaker 1: in college basketball stone Hill plus the points, Syracuse plus
- 1:56:38Speaker 1: the points, East Tennessee State plus the points, Iowa plus
- 1:56:42Speaker 1: the points, Valpo plus the points, NBA Toronto minus the points.
- 1:56:48Speaker 1: The only favorite today in Memphis Grizzlies plus the points.
- 1:56:52Speaker 1: That's gonna do it. Let's get some wins today. Hopefully
- 1:56:55Speaker 1: yesterday was a street buster and hopefully our momentum continues. Man,
- 1:56:59Speaker 1: I appreciate it. Thanks for hanging out, guys. Learned to
- 1:57:02Speaker 1: toone on Instagram, learn it tone on Twitter like, subscribe
- 1:57:05Speaker 1: to the channel here, give me good comments, listen on audio,
- 1:57:08Speaker 1: give me a good review on Apple Spotify that helps
- 1:57:10Speaker 1: me out as well. Covered in you because my yuke channel,
- 1:57:14Speaker 1: We're I don't know what I'm gonna be doing there
- 1:57:16Speaker 1: because I can't sing anymore. And Patreon dot com slash
- 1:57:19Speaker 1: learned it's owed and you can get bonus stuff, get
- 1:57:22Speaker 1: a Spotify, yuke feed, and you requests as well. So
- 1:57:26Speaker 1: go check that out and stay tuned for the Loser Cast.
- 1:57:33Speaker 1: I think we're doing our first episode tonight at eight pm.
- 1:57:35Speaker 1: It'll be on the YouTube channel, which I think we're
- 1:57:38Speaker 1: just gonna use for streaming, and then I believe it's
- 1:57:40Speaker 1: gonna be on Rumble as well. I'm not sure. I
- 1:57:42Speaker 1: mean Late and is kind of the guy who's doing
- 1:57:44Speaker 1: all the stuff for the show. It's his show, so
- 1:57:47Speaker 1: I will be one of the co hosts of it though,
- 1:57:50Speaker 1: So go check that out. We'll see how it goes.
- 1:57:52Speaker 1: I mean for first episode, you never know what's gonna happen, man,
- 1:57:56Speaker 1: So we'll see what chemistry we have. I already know
- 1:58:00Speaker 1: Late and Tyler Yankee, so we'll have chemistry between us three.
- 1:58:03Speaker 1: Don't know the other guys. We'll have to build up
- 1:58:04Speaker 1: our rapport with each other. We'll see what happens, man.
- 1:58:08Speaker 1: Don't know what to expect, but expect the unexpected. Uh,
- 1:58:13Speaker 1: we're all pregnant here. That's gonna do it. I appreciate it, guys.
- 1:58:17Speaker 1: Peace for now. I'll be that got tomorrow morning probably
- 1:58:20Speaker 1: and peace