Latest / The Extra Point / Week 7 Preview | Oregon-Indiana, Red River Shootout, Missouri-Alabama and more

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Week 7 Preview | Oregon-Indiana, Red River Shootout, Missouri-Alabama and more · The Extra Point

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What's up y'all? You're listening to the Extra
0:02
point college football podcast. I'm your host Jacob Carne joined
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us always by my Co host Daniel Hammock.
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Daniel, we've got week 6. This always happened in college
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football week six with a little bit of like a, you know, kind of
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a gap week before week 7, some huge results, but week 7 huge
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week. This week we've got huge rivalry
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games with stakes as well as some other big matchups.
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On this episode we're going to go through one thing we learned
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this past weekend. We'll talk about Penn State and
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Miami. Two questions we have moving
0:29
forward. Got a lot of Texas school talk,
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not just the University of, but some Texas schools as well as
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some Florida, Clemson and Miami. And that one, we'll have our XPR
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update as well as Daniel. We're in Week 7.
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We're going to do some playoffs, some some updated playoff picks.
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Now that we've seen some games, we've got some data.
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We'll go into three games. We're watching that.
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We're not picking 3U matchups to keep your eye on this weekend
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and then the four best games of the weekend, which was hard to
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choose this week, but for the four best games of the weekend
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picks against the spread. Daniel, how you doing?
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This is a big week. Are you ready to talk about it?
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Yeah, man, this is great. We get to just like, maybe reset
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our playoff predictions, maybe get rid of our Penn State Texas
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takes from the beginning of the year and just kind of, you know,
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start anew, you know, and just kind of bring our hands of it.
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How about that? You know, it's it's always great
1:22
to like bring up the stuff you were right about and then kind
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of ignore the stuff you're wrong about.
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Like absolutely. Here's the thing.
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Penn State I'll say I was very right about, but I was like, but
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I also had them in my playoff at like 10 and two and we'll get to
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Penn State. We're going to talk about the,
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you know what? Let's just dive in, Daniel.
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Let's do it. This is a big week.
1:40
First quarter of our show is one thing we learned.
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Daniel, what's one thing you learned after watching games
1:44
this weekend? Jacob, one thing I learned,
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Miami is different, at least so far.
1:53
Yeah, they, you know, Jacob, they're on our, you know, maybe
1:58
our best segment that we do yearly is the who's back
2:01
segment. We do that every offseason and
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they're shooting up Miami on on trajectory.
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And you know, people always talk about is the you back, is Miami
2:12
back. And it's like, well, dude, they
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have the furthest way to go to be back because they're they've
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won five national championships with five different head
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coaches. And they're just like, they're
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so good and they always have NFL talent.
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And for so long now it has not looked like that.
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And this year, I think a lot of people were expecting it to be
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similar to, you know, last year where Kim Ward really kind of
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was a one man show for Miami and willed them to those ten wins or
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nine wins, whatever it was. I think they ended up kind of
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folding late, but yeah, because they were like all the talk last
2:45
year and then it just kind of fell apart this year.
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I think that that's what we thought Carson Beck may have
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been coming in to do. And I think several people, you
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and myself may be included, were like, you know, maybe maybe
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Carson's not up to being a one man show.
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He's a very good quarterback. Can, you know, great elite
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processor. How's his arm doing?
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Because he was obviously she was coming off the injury.
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Now he looks good, but there's a lot of questions coming in the
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season. Yeah, none of us had that.
3:10
Like they were going to be strong on the offensive and
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defensive line. They weren't going to be
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necessarily out coached in any game so far, you know, I say so
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far, we'll see. You know, Crystal Ball has that
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kind of in his back pocket. We don't know.
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But I mean, just watching the game Saturday night, you know,
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Miami completely dominated that game.
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Florida State, you know, did all they could to just kind of
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squeak back into it at the end to make it look somewhat
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respectable. But Miami dominated that
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offensively and defensively. And it will.
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You know, Carson Beck played well.
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He played, you know, he's a good game.
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But they don't need Carson to be Superman for them to be a elite
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team this year. And they look pretty complete as
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a team. And you look at their schedule
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and you look at, you know, this conference they're in, they
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don't have to play, you know, the Alabama's of the world.
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They don't have to play Ohio State's of the world.
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They're going to be able to dominate their opponents week
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in, week out. Yeah, their schedule, I mean,
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take a look at it because we're sitting here in our group chat
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saying are they going to lose into the game?
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Not percentage wise. It's hard to project undefeated
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and College Oil has been crazy this year.
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But I mean, statistically speaking, they've played the
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hardest part of their schedule and they're undefeated.
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So to that end, does Cristobal pull the Cristobal this year?
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Is he over that? But yeah, to your point, I mean,
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Carson Beck doesn't have to be Superman, although he's shown he
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can be, which I think is what makes him scary.
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And the defensive line, they must have.
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They might have the best defensive player in the country.
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And Ruben Bayne, the secondary I talked about last week being one
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of the wins of the transfer portal this year being the Miami
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back seven and and their secondary.
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So, yeah, Miami more to come, XPR on Miami, Daniel.
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But my one thing I learned is changes will be made at Penn
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State. Not sure when, not sure what the
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changes will be made. I'm not saying James Franklin's
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going to be fired. I'm not saying, you know, end of
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the year he's going to leave or retire.
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I I don't know. I'm not saying that will happen.
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I do think firing is out of the question because it's buy out so
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much. And I do think what we'll see, I
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think you're going to see less firings or less lucrative
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coaching contracts moving forward with players getting
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paid because it's not just buyout money and new coach money
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you're having to pay that is now taking away from NIL and Rev
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share and like paying your players.
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So rebuilds will take a lot longer if you play if you pay a
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massive buyout. So what does James Franklin make
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changes in season this year and turn the season around the go
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tended to? I highly doubt they went to Ohio
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State and at this point I think 9 and 3 does not get them in the
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playoff with that schedule. But chained is what we made.
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And here's the here's the tough part.
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If you're a Penn State fan, this is not rock bottom.
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I know that you losing to a winless UCLA seems like rock
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bottom. It absolutely can get worse.
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Look at Florida State last year. We kept thinking it can't get
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any worse than this and they go from 13 and one ACC champs to 2
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and 10. So if they don't be careful,
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like it can get worse this year, in which case then serious
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conversation started to be had about James Franklin.
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But regardless, my one thing I learned is change is what we
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made at Penn State. Because the way you've done
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things again, this was the year. You know, something I I tweeted
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on Saturday was when whenever you get the chance to win a
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championship, you have to do it because you're never guaranteed
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to be back. We saw this with like Georgia in
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2017. It was like, you know what, They
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lost in overtime. They're going to be right back
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in this thing. And anyway, it took five more
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seasons to get back to get back in that position to win it.
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They were in a position last year to win it and everyone's
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like no big deal. Everybody's coming back.
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They'll be right back in it next year.
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And now they're not like I can confidently say they're not
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winning a championship this year.
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You got to do it when you have the chance because nothing's
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ever guaranteed in the sport. So change is all we made and I
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know that for sure at Penn State, our second quarter,
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Daniel, 2 questions we have moving forward.
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What you got? What's your first question?
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Yeah. I looking at our looking at our
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Ledger here, I think that we might have some similar
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questions a little bit, but mine's more.
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Would you rather? OK, you know an answer to this.
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I'm happy. I'd like to hear just kind of a
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thought. Yeah, Of course.
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Yeah, answer it. But would you rather take the
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state of Texas or the state of Florida, the schools, because
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this comes up a lot in high school recruiting.
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Texas and Florida are the two biggest hotbeds.
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That's, you know, And then obviously California's been
7:44
always been up there, but you know, Georgia and some of these
7:48
other states are rising up. But like, if you ask, you know,
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50 people, 49 of them are going to say that Texas or Florida is
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the best state for high school recruiting.
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That usually translates to the Texas schools being pretty good,
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But there's been kind of a dip for several years and then now
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there's been a resurgence. So I mean, just kind of thinking
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through it, I this question kind of posed to me.
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Obviously you had the 2 flagship universities playing on
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Saturday. So that kind of sparked some
8:17
things with Florida beating Texas, beating pretty handily in
8:20
the swamp, but then just kind of seeing the magnitude of Miami
8:24
and Florida State. And then at the same time
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Houston and Texas Tech were playing and it made me think I
8:31
was like, oh, yeah, Texas A&M is playing Mississippi State right
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now. And I just there's a lot of
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these schools that, you know, you could start to match up with
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each other and like UCF, you like USF.
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But you know, they they're I guess no slouch overall.
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They're they'll hold, they're hold their own to a certain
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extent. And the big three in Florida
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being actually somewhat relevant this year is important.
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You know, they're all, you know, say what you will about Florida,
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obviously they beat Texas, but they I, I almost, I stopped
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short of saying that they're all having pretty good seasons, but
9:06
Florida is hanging by a thread. But they did just beat the mess
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out of Texas. So what do you think, Texas
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versus Florida? Like if I'm taking like the
9:16
average of those, am I saying like who has the better crop of
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of teams which state? Yeah, just take it how you want.
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That's kind of like, yeah. I think still Texas, I think
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like your top three, like let's go top three for top three.
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Maybe after that Ford is deeper, I don't know.
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UCF is OK. USF might make the playoff this
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year. My wife's alma mater go Bulls in
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the top three. You know, Texas, Texas A&M,
9:45
Texas Tech all having very good seasons.
9:48
Order state beat Bama. We'll see how they finish.
9:51
Miami's very good. Florida beat Texas.
9:54
I don't know, maybe still Texas. I don't know.
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I think it's an interesting question.
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I'll I'll ask my related question.
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It's another Florida and Texas schools.
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How about this, Daniel, who's more likely to go undefeated,
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Texas Tech or Miami? I think statistically I'll give
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you a chance to look at their schedule if you'd like.
10:09
Statistically, these are the two teams that have the highest
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chance to go undefeated this season into the playoff.
10:17
Maybe Ohio State is up there just because of how good they
10:20
are compared to their schedule, but they do play a better crop
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of teams down the stretch. And I mean, Dang, I told you
10:27
last year, until they do it, I'm picking Michigan to beat Ohio
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State. So please don't let me forget
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that when I go to pick Ohio State in Week 14.
10:35
Yeah, who's more? I don't think you're going to
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listen to Miami. Yeah, I'm looking.
10:40
I'll. Tell you, for me, I think it's
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Texas Tech. Like I think Miami still plays
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the way their schedule sets up at the end.
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They end with two Rd. games and then the ACC championships all
10:53
the way from home. And while I think they have the
10:55
best lines of scrimmage in the country, I think the difference
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in Miami's line of scrimmage and who they play the rest of the
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way is the gap is not as big as the bodies Texas Tech has on
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their schedule. Like, I think me included, as a
11:11
college football community, we need to look at Texas Tech
11:15
differently because of who they've brought in the portal
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and who they've recruited as freshmen.
11:19
Like they are recruiting a different type of player and
11:22
they brought in a different type of player at Texas Tech.
11:24
And the rest of the Big 12 has skill players are comparable.
11:27
But those big bodies, no one else in the Big 12 has those big
11:29
bodies. So I think it's Texas Tech.
11:33
But I don't know, BYU has some guys that you know, they're all
11:38
you got a mortgage and some kids and stuff.
11:39
So like they. They're 28.
11:42
Yeah, they. Make a good point.
11:44
Just tuck that one away. Tuck that one away.
11:47
BYU with a quarterback with a non quarterback number which is
11:51
sacrilegious. Yeah, he's been in the uniform
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segment. Yeah, dude, like throw them away
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all the way. I think the toughest team, if
12:00
you look at both schedules, the toughest team on either schedule
12:03
remaining is I think Louisville and that's on Miami schedule.
12:07
So and that's their next opponent.
12:09
So I could I could get down with that.
12:10
They do have a bye week to to prepare for Louisville, so we'll
12:14
see. By the way, Miami had bye week,
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Florida State bye week, Louisville and they don't have a
12:20
bye the rest of the year. I'm interested to see if they
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run out of gas because of the way they're by set up.
12:24
It's very, very weird. We'll see.
12:26
We'll see. All right, Daniel, second
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question. All right, I guess it's time for
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my other question. Yeah, hold on, hold on.
12:32
I I know how the show works. I've been there before.
12:36
Yeah, yeah. So my question, all right, this
12:41
may just be like a little siren song.
12:44
I saw them win one game and all the sudden am I back in?
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Can Clemson climb back into national relevance this season?
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So, no, obviously, the one in three start terrible.
13:00
OK. That being said, they've got the
13:05
big win against UNC. Tyler from Spartanburg is just,
13:09
you know, sending Dabo, you know, a bunch of DMS and just
13:14
ruining his his his life. But I look at it.
13:19
I mean, but and again, I know normally when you look at a
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schedule, Jacob, we're looking at it and we're saying, oh,
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that's an easy win. That's an easy win.
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That's an easy win because it's a good team.
13:28
I don't know if Clemson's a good team.
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I know that they just beat the mess out of UNC team that I
13:33
still don't have any idea. I'm pretty sure they're
13:35
terrible, but I don't know how bad they are.
13:37
Like, is this rock bottom? Are they a sideshow?
13:41
Was this actually a good win? Because they do have some
13:44
players, like I know players on their team, but OK, so walk with
13:49
me through this. They play Boston College this
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week. They come home and play SMU.
13:54
They play Duke at home. They get Florida State at home.
13:59
Then they go to Louisville, got Furman at home, and they play at
14:02
South Carolina. I'll say this, South Carolina
14:04
does not look as good as they did before the season.
14:09
Do I think that that makes it any more winnable for Clemson?
14:13
No, not necessarily because like that's a rivalry game.
14:17
And you know, South Carolina won last year and I think Clemson
14:20
may have been the better team last year.
14:21
So, but I'll say this, if they win all of the rest of their
14:28
games, if they beat Boston College, SMU, Duke, First State,
14:33
who's good, Louisville, who's good on the road, Herman and
14:37
then at South Carolina, I don't know, man.
14:41
I think that that they're not going to be an ACC title
14:46
contender because I think there's too many teams ahead of
14:48
them and mathematically it's just not going to work out for
14:51
them. It would just take a lot of
14:54
extra help for that to happen. And they already have the head
14:57
to head loss of Georgia Tech. But I don't know, man, I feel
15:01
like they could, they could ruin Florida State's run.
15:05
They could they could step on Clemson's, you know, season.
15:09
They could step on Louisville season.
15:11
I'm not just meaning by being a spoiler.
15:13
I think that they can affect what the playoff picture looks
15:16
like. And we might think of them
15:19
differently if they go on that kind of a run too.
15:21
If they end up 9:00 and 3:00 and then go to I don't know what,
15:26
what bowl, the Belk Bowl, Dukes, Mayo Classic.
15:29
If they because they they have two conference losses, number
15:33
one, I think schedule wise I think they're going to be an
15:35
underdog at Louisville and outside and out South Carolina.
15:38
So we're asking the to pull 2 upsets.
15:40
I think they'll be a slight favorite home against Florida
15:42
State and I am pulling from our good friend K Ford ratings his
15:46
numbers there. So I've got some smart people
15:48
backing me up on that. The problem is you've got 2
15:52
conference losses, does Georgia Tech, you need Miami or Georgia
15:56
Tech. So you need Miami to lose at
15:57
least 2. You need Georgia Tech to lose at
15:59
least three to get into the ACC championship.
16:01
Because I was going to say they could go 93 when the ACC and
16:04
sneak into the playoffs again just like they did last year.
16:09
But I think it's less likely this year just given how the
16:12
standings will shake up. But I I will believe it when I
16:16
see it. How's that again?
16:19
I think this was good medicine and again, some teams don't take
16:22
good medicine. Penn State had a made ready
16:26
situation to go to UCLA and work out that loss against Oregon and
16:30
just, you know, paint the field with their blood and lost out
16:34
right. So Clemson did take the good the
16:37
good Lords medicine and Bill Belichick's Tar Heels and and,
16:41
and and beat him pretty good. So that's what you think you
16:43
need to do We'll see. I saw on Twitter this week
16:46
someone said that the funniest thing about the tower from
16:49
Spartanburg, whole thing that happened was that in 2023, I
16:52
can't remember, I think so. Was that Dabo let him finish?
16:57
Yeah, dude talk for I don't like.
16:59
He just let him finish his all rant.
17:03
No one, no one, no one hit the kill button.
17:07
He just let him finish. That's so funny.
17:09
I think he was just so interested in what he was
17:11
saying. He's like I need.
17:12
I'm hanging on his every word. This is this is the greatest
17:15
sport in the world. He's like, this is brand new to
17:17
me. Everybody usually loves me.
17:19
Let me hear this so. I mean, do you just imagine
17:22
another sport being like, hey, you just came off the field and
17:25
whatever, you know, play. We've got, you know, Joe Schmo
17:28
from, you know, rural Georgia, he's got a question for you and
17:30
you just like let him go on for like complaining about the team
17:34
for 5 minutes. Oh, it's.
17:35
So it's essentially the Fine Baum Show, but it's hosted by
17:38
the head coach. Like what?
17:41
You need to imagine, you know, you got, I don't know, Anthony
17:44
Edwards coming off the court and they're like, hey, man, we've
17:46
got a, you know, we've got Daniel from St.
17:48
Cloud, MN. He's got a question for you.
17:50
They're like, what? And you used to talk for 5
17:52
minutes while he's sitting up there, dude, No other sports
17:56
like this one. You know, my second question.
18:00
All right, let's project out to Week 14.
18:03
All right, Austin, TX. Could Texas versus Texas A&M
18:07
decide who gets a spot in the College Football Playoff the
18:09
other season? I think it might.
18:12
It did last year. It did last year, it decided who
18:16
played for the SEC championship that game had and I think that
18:19
gets forgotten. That game got watered down
18:21
because it was you mean Texas A&M just could not move the ball
18:24
so it became a boring game. Texas A&M looks like the better
18:26
team so far this year. But look, with this is a long
18:30
season. We said this with Alabama Week
18:32
1. Like these teams that are deep
18:34
and talented, at some point things probably will click and
18:39
it's a matter of can they click before it's too late?
18:41
Texas has two losses, not too late for them.
18:44
Things could click for Texas still this year.
18:47
And we'll forget the first four weeks, just like people probably
18:50
are already forgetting the Florida State beat Alabama
18:53
handedly in Week 1 because they look like a completely different
18:57
team. So that's my question.
18:58
I'm just kind of looking ahead and go, you know, as we're doing
19:00
our playoff picks, going to look in ahead and going, huh?
19:04
We might have two, two or three lost teams playing in that game.
19:07
And winner kind of gets a spot there at the, you know, into the
19:11
playoff bracket. So that would make that game
19:14
that is already a fun rivalry game that needs to be moved back
19:17
to Thanksgiving even more fun this year.
19:20
So. How much of a nightmare would it
19:22
be for Texas if Texas Tech and Texas A&M are both in the
19:26
playoffs and they are not? I mean, again, that's just like
19:31
a whole mind situate. Like, that's the flagship
19:33
program. People that aren't a part of it
19:35
don't like flagship program like you and your community.
19:39
A Texas fan like Texas A&M and Texas Tech have never been able
19:44
to say anything to you. And if they're both in the
19:47
playoff and you're not, I mean. Again, irrational sport with
19:51
irrational fans. But did there be people calling
19:54
for Shark's job after they like almost won the SEC in year 1?
19:58
And what's the playoff? Went to the semis?
20:00
Yeah, not saying that's right, but that would happen.
20:03
Of course. Daniel, we get to halftime here.
20:06
We've got our updated XPR, which if you're watching on YouTube,
20:09
you can see on screen, we've got our beautiful new graphic,
20:12
which, hey, shout out to Ben Doherty.
20:15
He's watching us record right now.
20:16
Ben is doing graphics for us. We're really grateful and
20:19
appreciative. Met Ben on LinkedIn of all
20:21
places. So shout out to LinkedIn.
20:23
He was searching for some other show that I don't know.
20:27
It's I think it's some no name show like Josh Peyts college
20:30
football show and found ours instead.
20:32
So grateful that we can oblige. But yeah, so new XPR graphic as
20:36
you can see on screen. I'll call it the top five.
20:39
And if you're not watching on YouTube, you can get the graphic
20:41
on at the extra point pod on Instagram or you can follow
20:45
Daniel on Twitter at the South Daniel me on Twitter at Jacob
20:48
Karns with AK that top five Ohio State, Oregon, Miami, Ole Miss,
20:52
Oklahoma. Daniel, my question is, man,
20:55
who's the best team in the country right now?
20:57
Because I think everybody's got the same top three.
21:00
And those are the top three that have gotten AP votes for number
21:03
one. I have I, I put Miami won this
21:05
week in my personal poll, which is like 1/5 of the ranking,
21:09
right? And you've got 1/5 of the
21:10
ranking as well. And then as I'm digging in the
21:12
games this week, I'm like, which we'll talk about them.
21:15
Ohio State, I think has a obviously a good argument to
21:19
being #1 as of last week, we were both on Oregon being the
21:23
number one team in the country. I think they've all looked the
21:25
best at different times and I definitely think that's the top
21:28
tier. I mean, as of Week 7, Daniel,
21:30
who's the best team in the country?
21:32
You and I both ranked Miami number one.
21:34
I think there's obviously a recency to it, but that's just
21:36
because we have the most data as of now.
21:39
I thought Ohio State did exactly what they're supposed to do with
21:41
Minnesota. A lot of people will try to like
21:43
downplay the wind. They dominated them.
21:46
And there is no like in Minnesota.
21:48
I mean, I'm not saying they're a great team, but like they did
21:51
what they're supposed to do with that dream.
21:55
And it's not, it's not this isn't like, you know, New Mexico
21:58
State, like they beat a conference opponent who, albeit
22:02
overmatched, dominated them. So there's been years past where
22:06
they play around with a team like that.
22:07
So Ohio State, I still got respect on their name.
22:11
Oregon, you know, if you were like, Hey, I I really need to
22:15
know who's going to win between if I had to pick one of these
22:20
three to make the run. I have more of a feeling about
22:23
Oregon over the other two teams because I just I think I trust
22:28
like Dan landing with the defense more.
22:31
I think that's and then Dante Moore, my pre season Heisman.
22:34
I'm hanging on to it tightly, but I think that they have maybe
22:39
the highest ceiling. And so I would probably bet on
22:41
the highest ceiling in in between those three.
22:43
But Miami is the newest to this table for me.
22:48
And I I'm trying to reimagine them as not just a playoff
22:54
contender, but a title contender.
22:56
And that's my biggest shift this past week.
22:59
I moved them from a list of playoff contenders to my list of
23:03
title contenders. Yeah, I'm with you.
23:07
Be sure to check that out. And again, our XPR, our extra
23:10
point ranking is really a BCS like ranking.
23:13
So we just like the BCS. Do we take some of the best
23:15
computer models mixed with human poles, in this case, your
23:20
ranking and my ranking, kind of combine them and create a BCS
23:23
like ranking. I still think the BCS is the
23:25
best way to rank teams. Everybody hated it until it was
23:28
gone. Now we have a committee of
23:30
people who look like they've never watched a football game
23:32
before deciding. At the time.
23:34
That's helpful. So RIP the BCS.
23:36
We're going to keep it alive with their XPR.
23:39
Daniel, we've reached the halfway point in the season ish.
23:41
We made a playoff projection pre season.
23:44
Daniel. We're not going to go all the
23:45
way to who wins it, but as of today, who's in your top 12?
23:49
Who's making the playoff? Now that you've seen teams play,
23:52
we have data who's making the playoff in your eyes, you get a
23:56
chance to re pick Daniel. Give me your top 12 all.
24:00
Right, so here we go, I've got Miami #1 because I'm expecting
24:08
them to finish undefeated. There you go, you.
24:10
Answered I think they have the easiest question.
24:13
I think the easiest way to be #1 is to finish undefeated and to
24:17
win your conference. So I think that they have that
24:19
path. Next, I have Ohio State, Alabama
24:21
and #3 I think right now they're most likely out of the SECI also
24:28
think that if you there's a chance that one loss SEC team is
24:31
in above a one loss Big 10 team. So just depends on that one.
24:36
I have Oregon #4 since we did the RE rack now, or you can have
24:42
a second conference team that doesn't have the conference
24:45
champion, of course. So Oregon's number 4 for me.
24:49
I have George at #5 I have Ole Miss and number six, I have
24:54
Texas Tech and #7 Florida State and #8 and that's that's Florida
25:00
State who's going to be in the ACC championship game.
25:02
OK for a rematch free season. Oklahoma, I have #9 Georgia Tech
25:09
10, looking at that schedule, man, I think that they're going
25:12
to they'll be able to sneak in the playoff this year.
25:14
Texas A&M #11 And rounding it out with Group of 6.
25:21
I have two lane. OK, we've got, we'll see our
25:24
overlap here, Daniel. I've got Ohio State at one.
25:28
I think if the Big 10 champ is 1 or 0 losses or the SEC champ,
25:33
spoiler alert, I don't think the SEC champs going to have 01
25:36
loss. So Ohio State at 1:00, I've got
25:38
Miami at 2, Oregon at 3, Alabama at 4.
25:42
The SEC, so same top 4 as you, just a little bit different
25:45
order. Got Texas Tech at 5:00, Georgia
25:50
at six, Ole Miss at 7, Indiana at 8.
25:54
So there's our first difference there.
25:55
I've got Indiana in there from the Big 10, Texas A&M at 9,
26:01
Tennessee at 10. There's our other difference,
26:04
Oklahoma at 11, best F at 12. Go Bulls.
26:09
A little bit of bias there from. How many SEC teams do you have
26:14
in your OK? And I've got three from the Big
26:18
10, one from the ACC, one from the Big 12, one from the Group
26:22
of five. So this is, again, people will
26:25
scream SCC bias from the rooftops.
26:28
It's just, I mean, the Big 10, what other team is going to come
26:30
out at 9:00 and 3:00 or better from the Big 10?
26:33
Like I do have like USC at Michigan kind of projected that
26:36
nine and three range. I just don't think with their
26:38
schedules, it's going to be able to line up with a nine and
26:41
three. Texas A&M, Tennessee, Oklahoma
26:43
who I all have at 3 losses projected and all in the
26:46
playoff. You put, you put three Big 10
26:49
teams. I only put 2.
26:50
So yeah, you know, but you did put one extra SEC team.
26:54
I put 5. My issue is for some reason I'm
26:58
validating the ACC. But we'll see.
27:01
We'll see what happens with, yeah, Florida State, Georgia
27:03
Tech, Miami down the stretch. I love it.
27:07
What do you think? Let us know in the comments, let
27:10
us know on Twitter. Who do you think makes the
27:11
playoff now that you've seen games?
27:13
I was going to say now that we have our XPR and playoff picks,
27:15
my playoff picks look very similar to our current top 12,
27:19
minus the the group of 6 champ. Let's see, I've got everybody
27:23
but Mizzou in there. Oh, and there you go.
27:27
That's the one spot is your group of 6 champs.
27:29
So I'm like, that's for sure not going to happen.
27:31
I already feel bad about it. We're not going to have this
27:33
figured out in in week 7. So, yeah, but excited for for
27:38
that to come to fruition. It's a good time to start
27:40
thinking about it, at least as we hit the midway point in the
27:44
season. Daniel, third quarter week this
27:47
week, we're only picking four games against the spread.
27:49
What are three more games we need to be watching this weekend
27:53
as we hit Week 7? Well, you know me and you know
27:55
I'm going to pander to my alma mater occasionally.
27:58
We are going to the game. So I figure Kennesaw State,
28:02
Louisiana Tech and in the bank Fifth Third Bank Stadium.
28:07
In the bank. Yeah, so we're going to be
28:10
staying on the sideline. If you're watching ESPNU on
28:13
Thursday night, look out for us. We'll be the handsome gentleman
28:17
with the credential around our neck and the extra point hats
28:19
on. But yeah, check us out that
28:23
game. Jacob Kennesaw State's on a
28:26
winning streak. I don't know if you're aware.
28:27
So they have found a quarterback.
28:30
I know you're aware. I'm just putting out for
28:32
listeners. Odom has been a great dual
28:34
threat quarterback. Looks like.
28:36
I mean, I'm the my biggest concern is that he looks too
28:39
good and that big team is going to poach him in the transfer
28:42
portal, which is inevitably going to happen in the
28:44
offseason. Hopefully that does not happen.
28:46
Mario Odom stay forever. All that to be said, he
28:50
Louisiana Tech is Kennesaw State toughest game remaining on their
28:55
schedule so they can get through this game.
28:57
I mean, they could have a nice little finish here and maybe go
29:00
to a pretty good bowl game. First season under Jerry Mack.
29:02
Shout out. OK, I got my fandom out of the
29:05
way. How about this?
29:06
Tennessee hosting Arkansas now Tennessee's a different team
29:12
than they were last year. Arkansas is a different team.
29:14
You know, obligatory Tennessee had to play this game in
29:18
Fayetteville last year. They get this game at home.
29:20
I think it's going to be a much different game.
29:23
I want to see how Tennessee responds in this type of a game.
29:25
I want to see how they play against the team that they
29:28
should beat. They obviously had to go to two
29:31
overtimes against Mississippi State.
29:34
I think this, you know, you put Tennessee in your playoff.
29:39
I like Tennessee to to kind of go on a little bit of a run.
29:42
They've got Alabama next week. Are they looking ahead or are
29:46
they able to beat who's in front of them at home?
29:49
So this will be a big test for for a Tennessee team this week.
29:53
And also, I didn't mention that they had a bye week.
29:57
So did Arkansas. And obviously Arkansas had just
29:59
fired Sam Pitman. So this is the return of the
30:02
Bobby Petrino era to Arkansas. It's you're going to want to
30:08
watch this game, put it, you know, mark it down.
30:10
And then of course, we're not picking this game.
30:13
They don't call me Deep South Daniel for nothing but do the
30:16
Deep South oldest rivalry, Georgia and Auburn.
30:19
It's the 7:30 PM ABC game. If you look at our normal picks,
30:24
I mean, we're pretty regularly have that 730 ABC game on our
30:28
our top 4 picks. So the fact that it's not is
30:30
interesting, but it just, you know, that's Auburn's fault, but
30:34
it's injured in hair at night. Should be spooky, as they say.
30:39
Tough place to play Georgia's 3 1/2 point favorite.
30:42
So got to watch out for that one.
30:44
But definitely going to be watching it.
30:46
Jacob, what about your your games to watch your uniform
30:49
matchups and if there is any other games that may have
30:53
missed? Yeah, OK, 111 to keep an eye on
30:57
as we talk about our playoff projection.
30:58
As far as a game, North Texas and USF play Friday night and
31:02
North Texas undefeated in the American.
31:04
I do think the American champ gets in like that.
31:07
That will be the representative. You've got Tulane, USF, North
31:11
Texas and Memphis to me that are like the contenders for that
31:14
spot. Again, USF's only lost to Miami
31:18
talked about best team in the country.
31:20
So I think this is a college ball playoff elimination game on
31:23
Friday night. So I think that's a fun one to
31:24
watch Two really fun offenses, 2 teams that wear green.
31:28
So keep an eye on that game with with Addy's Bulls.
31:33
All right, Daniel, 3U matchups that should be great this
31:37
weekend. I'll say 1.
31:39
You already said Deep South, all this rivalry, Auburn and
31:42
Georgia. I do think this is the best
31:44
combo of uniforms is when Georgia plays at Auburn only
31:48
exception of course, being the we've only gotten it one time.
31:51
But in O 7, the black jerseys against Auburn was great, but
31:55
George's roan uniform against Auburn's home uniform look
31:59
Auburn, I know that y'all quote UN quote change the uniform and
32:03
like basically put on different face masks for different games
32:06
is like they're changing the uniform.
32:08
It's not good. The Navy face mask is perfect
32:10
with that helmet. Just stop, just leave that
32:12
alone. You don't need to wear an orange
32:15
face mask. They're doing an orange out.
32:17
I have a feeling to be an orange face mask.
32:19
The Navy face mask looks the best anyway.
32:20
It's a great uniform match up. You caught out one before he
32:23
started recording USC versus Michigan.
32:26
You know this one was coming to the best uniforms in the sport.
32:29
Daniel colored pants I'm rooting for in this game is actually
32:33
blue again. Have no problem with blue pants
32:35
on the road from Michigan. It's at home that I have a
32:38
problem with because USC wears gold pants.
32:40
I want the contrast. That would be nice.
32:43
Yeah, I don't want two different shades of yellow.
32:45
That's not as good looking. Although they're two separately,
32:48
they're two good uniforms, not as good for the matchup.
32:50
So I'm rooting for blue pants. White pants are fine.
32:54
Lastly, we're going to talk about this game, Red River.
32:57
Just anytime they play, that's a uniform game.
33:01
It's just something about the way they look at the Cotton Bowl
33:03
2, like in the sunlight, which. Meant to be.
33:06
It's probably going to end at night because we're getting a
33:08
three. Well, I guess a central time.
33:09
I was going to say we're getting a 330 kick.
33:11
I do like that game being the noon kick, something I dislike
33:14
it with a new TV contract. But yeah, man, that one should
33:18
be such a good uniform matched up in Red River.
33:20
I think I prefer when Oklahoma's the home team, but I think Texas
33:24
is wearing orange this year. Have they ever done color V
33:26
color in that game? Do you know?
33:29
I don't remember. I don't know if that would be
33:32
better at all. I don't think so, but they.
33:34
Both look so good on the road too.
33:37
So like both of them have elite Rd. uniforms so.
33:40
That's a helmet game, man. So that one should be great.
33:43
Daniel, fourth quarter, we're going to pick four games here
33:47
against the spread. Lot of big games this weekend.
33:49
Let's start with a new game, Ohio State in Illinois.
33:52
We had, again, we haven't really talked about Ohio State since
33:55
week one. They travel on the road to
33:57
Illinois where Illinois was able to beat USC.
34:01
They're 14 1/2 point favorites on the road.
34:04
Ohio State has traveled in the road this year.
34:06
But you know, next biggest test on the road, 14 1/2 points is
34:10
the spread. Daniel, who do you like in
34:12
Champaign? Jacob, I don't know if you're
34:13
like me and like you just can't get the image of Indiana beating
34:19
the mess out of Illinois out of your head.
34:21
But I dream about it at night and it wakes me up.
34:24
I can't. I don't know if I can trust this
34:28
Illinois team that I stood on the table for and I said they're
34:32
going to bully Indiana. I just simply don't know if I
34:35
can do that. I.
34:36
Picked them too. So all that to be like 14 and a
34:40
hook would give me hope if I had any belief that Illinois could
34:45
do anything in this game. I simply do not believe anymore.
34:48
It's over. I think Ohio State wins this
34:52
game. Of course, I've got some recency
34:54
in this. Like I just mentioned it with
34:55
them with Minnesota where they just, you know, took him to the
34:59
woodshed. I think that that's similar to
35:00
this game. Think they jump on him early and
35:03
often. There's just too many good
35:04
players on this team. And I think that I think it's
35:08
similar, Jacob, to, you know, 2021 and 2022 for Georgia where
35:14
Georgia wins. And then a lot of people were
35:17
like, oh, they lost so much talent and then, you know,
35:20
they're not going to be as hungry and all this kind of
35:22
stuff. But I think losing all of the
35:24
talent helps you to be hungry because that's not necessarily
35:28
your championship for these starters.
35:30
They weren't starting last year. A lot of them.
35:32
Now you have some carry over players.
35:35
Of course you're Jeremiah Smith's and whatnot, but you
35:37
know, a lot of these players are hungry and I think they're also
35:41
just playing loose like or at least the coaches are coaching
35:44
loose like Ryan Day is not like I have to now he hold this
35:49
bookmark this for the Michigan game.
35:51
We're going to change it up. We'll find out what they're made
35:53
of then. But for right now, as long as I
35:55
don't see an M across from me for Ohio State, give me the
35:59
Buckeyes lay the points. I would lay 20 points in this
36:02
game. It's 14 1/2 if I believed in
36:04
Illinois at all at all. I'm taking them because that
36:07
hook, I don't believe in them. Give me the Buckeyes.
36:12
You know, you just frame something.
36:13
It'll be a good question for me the rest of the season until I
36:15
see differently. As long as a winged helmet is
36:18
not lining up across from Ohio State, give me the Buckeyes.
36:21
Yeah, they they've been since Week 1.
36:23
They've been the quietest, best team in the country.
36:25
Yes. I think if Texas was undefeated
36:27
or, you know, if they were four and one to this point and
36:29
they're smacking everybody, maybe we'd be talking about Ohio
36:31
State more. But Texas is kind of falling off
36:33
and high state, you know, hasn't played anybody.
36:37
But I mean, they went and beat, I think Washington is a top 25
36:41
level team. They went in the road and beat
36:43
in 24 to 6 in one of these spots where we said Daniel, we said
36:47
that weekend like, hey, there's teams going on the road and
36:50
losing 4 to state, one on the road and lost to Virginia.
36:51
And I called it back game and said, is this one of those weeks
36:54
where it's a weird like is it 1717 in the fourth quarter in
36:58
the Ohio State jumped on them early.
36:59
They kept them in an arm's length beat in 24 to 6.
37:02
Minnesota like a top 50 level team, 42 to 3, like just in
37:06
every aspect of the game dominated them.
37:09
Like Illinois lost control of a game versus Indiana, but they
37:11
bounced back versus USC. They got a good win last week
37:14
against Purdue. The spreads 14 1/2.
37:17
So it becomes can it's over 2 touchdowns?
37:19
Can Illinois stay within two touchdowns of Ohio State?
37:22
I think for that to happen, you got to find a weakness, right?
37:25
You got to find like, hey, you know, it's all about matchups.
37:28
If I'm looking at Ohio State trying to poke holes from what
37:31
they've done so far this year, they've not had an elite run
37:33
game. Their total rush offense only
37:36
ranks 57th in the country. Somebody OK can, can Illinois
37:40
exploit that? Well, unfortunately, Illinois
37:42
brush defenses 62nd in total rush defense, 83rd in yards per
37:46
carry allowed. So I don't think Illinois can
37:48
exploit anything with the Ohio State offense.
37:50
And I look at Ohio State's offense and say, well, their
37:53
total offensive rushing numbers don't look as good because of
37:56
how easy the pass game looks. And a lot of their screen game
38:00
is an extension of the run game. But again, they've got so many
38:02
horses at receiver. They've got, again, quietly one
38:05
of the best quarterbacks in the country and Julian Sam, that's
38:09
what it's made their total rushing numbers look not as good
38:11
because Angle, they've got a running back in Bo Jackson that
38:14
can run. He's run the ball at 7 1/2 yards
38:15
of carry this year. And if they need him to do that,
38:18
I think he has the ability to do that.
38:20
So I think Ohio State wins and covers this one of the three
38:23
best teams in the country and they might be the best.
38:25
I think this is like a 31 to 10 game for Ohio State.
38:28
I think they get up early. They're on the road.
38:30
I think they shut it down where I think that's one of those
38:33
games where they could score 45 if they needed to and they just
38:36
decide, hey, we're good today. And, you know, Brett Pioma gets
38:40
like a sad touchdown late to make it 31 to 10, which is still
38:44
over 14 1/2 points. So give me the Buckeyes to win
38:48
and cover. Yeah, not a winged helmet line
38:51
of that. Maybe if they came out in winged
38:53
helmets, I might, you know, I might think.
38:54
That's a good strategy. That's a good.
38:57
They shouldn't play Delaware so. Daniel, we go to Columbia, MO,
39:03
undefeated, Missouri hosting Alabama.
39:07
This one's interesting. Daniel Missouri off a bye.
39:11
Can they can they, can they pull this off against Alabama?
39:13
And then I'll look at the point spread and I'm like 3
39:17
interesting, OK, Like 3 points on the road.
39:20
I get through off a bye, get through undefeated.
39:21
But I think most people would say Missouri hasn't played
39:23
anybody. And you know, look at their
39:25
schedule. It's easy.
39:26
And this is classic Missouri. But then Vegas, there's a
39:29
three-point spread. Daniel, who do you like in this
39:31
game of Colombia? Yeah.
39:33
What do they know what's going on here?
39:35
So what I said about Alabama last week was that they weren't
39:40
going to have the same crowd, like it wasn't going to be the
39:42
same juice that they played with against Georgia.
39:46
And that was true. But they they found their way to
39:49
to whether you know, any sort of a, you know, I guess, you know,
39:54
they trailed Vanderbilt briefly and then Vanderbilt gave them a
39:57
good shot. I was obviously impressed with
39:59
Vanderbilt for how they still played against Alabama last
40:02
week. That being said, you know, cream
40:04
rises to the top. I'm looking at this and
40:08
Missouri, they've been quiet so far.
40:12
They've played some teams that, you know, Central Arkansas
40:15
doesn't have a pulse. The Kansas win was interesting.
40:18
Louisiana doesn't have a pulse. They played South Carolina in a
40:22
game that. A lot of people probably pick
40:24
South Carolina, including myself, and then they just
40:28
squeaked out kind of an ugly win, an ugly but effective win.
40:32
And then, you know, they destroy UMass last week.
40:35
There's something behind this that I can't quite quantify.
40:38
Columbia, MO noon, you know, 11:00 local time there.
40:44
Alabama going out there is a sleepy.
40:46
This would be a Jefferson Pilot game all day just.
40:51
But you're going to go out there, you're playing a team
40:54
that, you know, Beau Purbulla, dual threat quarterback, 3
41:00
rushing touchdowns this year, 12 total touchdowns been, you know,
41:03
competent through the air. But the stories of Mod Hardy,
41:07
730 rushing yards already on the young season.
41:12
I mean, just a stud. Georgia had success running the
41:15
ball against Alabama 2 weeks ago.
41:18
I think when Vanderbilt was playing, you know, well, they
41:21
were running the ball. Obviously they had the big
41:23
touchdown run. This is a Mod Hardy's game.
41:27
If he can do what those backs did against Alabama, then we're
41:32
talking about an upset. Don't know if I can pull the
41:35
trigger on Alabama losing to this Missouri team because I
41:41
feel like some of these yards and nothing against the Mod
41:44
Hardy, he's run against some, you know, he's gotten some good
41:47
yards, but you got to look at who they've played.
41:50
They haven't faced the front 7 like this.
41:53
I think Alabama is starting to believe in themselves a little
41:55
bit too. I don't know if they're going
41:57
to, you know, I don't necessarily see this is like a
42:00
dominating win, but I don't think you're going to be out
42:03
like they the everything that Missouri's going to throw at
42:07
them maybe keeps this game close for a while.
42:10
But I think Alabama wins by 10 to 14 points.
42:12
So I'm not going to try to over analyze this and be like, oh,
42:17
because of the run game and because of Damon Wilson, who's
42:21
going to, he's got 3 1/2 sacks, he actually can get the
42:23
quarterback on the ground. I do think that that's a factor
42:25
in this game. Alabama can just win several
42:28
different ways. I think Alabama's going to win
42:30
this game. Lay the points.
42:32
Like you looked at my notes for for a little bit of this,
42:34
Missouri can run the ball and I'm also looking at Vandy how
42:38
was able to run the ball. Florida State was able to run
42:41
the ball in Alabama. Georgia ran forever 200 on
42:44
Alabama. I think if Missouri can get an
42:46
early lead in the game, then they can play keep away with
42:50
Alabama. Because I think the problem with
42:52
Georgia was was you ran the ball so well, but you'd spotted him
42:55
24 points in the first half, right?
42:58
And Florida State got up early in blitz to make it kind of play
43:01
keep away and when they game that way.
43:05
But I saw Vandy get up early and Alabama March back.
43:08
I just I've seen Alabama struggle to run to run the ball
43:12
effectively. And they've got Jim Miller back
43:13
the last two weeks. He started to look a lot better
43:15
last week. And I've seen them struggle to
43:17
stop the run and I've seen them win on the road in Athens while
43:22
while while struggling, throwing the ball and while not being
43:25
able to stop the run and still going to Stanford Stadium and
43:28
win. I just, I'm believing in that
43:30
team. Like you said, I think they can
43:31
win in more ways than one. I do think Missouri keeps it
43:34
close. I don't think the Bo Purbula can
43:36
beat Alabama through the air. And I think Ty Simpson can carve
43:40
up any defense he wants to, and I think he does.
43:42
I think Bama wins and covers. I think it's a touchdown game.
43:45
So if I'm getting three points, Liam, I think it's like a 3124
43:49
game. I do expect Missouri to run the
43:50
ball and run it effectively again.
43:53
I just don't think it when it comes time for Beau Purbill to
43:55
win the game through the air if he can.
43:58
If they don't get an early lead, I worry about them trying to
44:01
play their game and just playing to keep it close instead of
44:05
playing to win the game. If they start playing to win the
44:07
game, does Beau Purbillo start throwing it to the other team?
44:11
So I'm with you and that I like I think Alabama can win this
44:13
game in more ways than one. And I've been impressed so far
44:16
that they've not had a great run game and not have a great run
44:20
defense and still winning and beating good teams the last two
44:23
weeks. So this is kind of the last game
44:25
in this three run stretch of their playing teams that are off
44:28
a by ranked SEC matchup. This one on the road.
44:32
I think they go and get the job done.
44:33
Daniel. I think this team clicked after
44:34
I think they needed that week one loss to get punched in the
44:37
mouth and taste their own blood. And I think they're they're
44:39
looking like a classic Alabama team at this point in the
44:42
season. So I think they go on the road
44:43
get it done at Columbia 3124 Alabama wins and covers.
44:49
Let's go to Eugene, OR undefeated Indiana undefeated
44:55
game day is going to be at this game top 10 matchup.
44:59
Some might say biggest game of the week this week.
45:02
Probably a lot of big games this week.
45:05
May I you know this is this is like a who are you moment in
45:10
this game, right? Like Indiana.
45:12
Who are you really? Now we get to find out beating
45:14
up in Illinois with one thing. Now you get Oregon who you and I
45:18
at the some point this season have called Oregon the best team
45:20
in the country. You've said in this episode
45:21
highest ceiling in the country. Ding who you like in this game
45:24
in Eugene. Yeah, I think CBS finally
45:27
getting a big a big stage again. They've, you know, after losing
45:32
the SEC couple years ago, it's like people have made jokes like
45:36
they gave up the SEC for this because it's usually like one
45:39
good team and then just a terrible team because Big Noon
45:42
takes obviously the best. Yeah, true, true, true.
45:47
But I mean, it was, you know, that was a good game.
45:49
Not as a. Compliment.
45:51
Oh yeah, yeah, yeah. So that ended up being it ended
45:55
up being great for them. But yeah, no, it was this.
45:57
But you got actual top ten match up here for whatever reason, you
46:02
know, Big Noon, I guess, just really wanted Ohio State, so
46:05
they didn't take this game. So we got 2 undefeated teams.
46:08
You're going to see somebody get their first loss of the season.
46:12
And this quarterback matchup, Mendoza versus Moore, I mean,
46:15
that's like there's going to be a lot of NFL eyes on this game,
46:19
like a lot of analysts and everything that are going to a
46:21
lot of scouts. Oregon, I mean, we've already
46:25
talked about it. I think they're the best team in
46:27
the country or they have the highest ceiling in the country.
46:30
At times this year, I've called them the best team in the
46:32
country. I think that they could make
46:34
that run. They're at home.
46:36
It's a 7 1/2 point spread. I hate that line.
46:38
I wish it was less than a touchdown.
46:40
I think that's an easy slam dunk.
46:42
I mentioned I can't get Indiana out of my head, how they blew
46:45
out that Illinois team, Man, I think Indiana's going to come in
46:49
here. Coach Signetti has his teams
46:53
ready to play and I think they're going to be able to to
46:56
come in here and score some points.
46:59
I don't think that they're going to hang with Oregon.
47:02
So I think it may be close early because it kind of has to be.
47:05
They start at 0, but I like Oregon to finish this game on a
47:10
little bit of a run and kind of imposing their will on Indiana
47:15
in the second-half. They're the stronger team, both
47:17
sides of the ball. Give me Oregon to lay the
47:20
points. I wish it was less than a
47:21
touchdown. I'm kind of counting on be like
47:24
8 or 10 point game for Oregon, but I think they can get that.
47:28
So give me the Ducks. Dante Moore lay the points.
47:33
I've watched Indiana struggle, or excuse me, I've watched
47:37
Indiana smoke a Nebraska team, Michigan State team last year.
47:44
They win a hard nosed game against Michigan and then they
47:48
went and got smoked by 23 on the road to Ohio State at the end of
47:53
last year, still with the playoff, But it was kind of
47:55
like, OK, this is a this is a different class of team.
48:00
Daniel. I've watched Indiana smoke
48:02
Illinois this year. They go last week and they beat,
48:05
you know, they won a hard nosed game against Iowa.
48:08
Now they're going on the road to Oregon with an Oregon team
48:11
that's off of a by. I think they're going to get
48:14
smoked again. You know, I've, I've doubt this
48:17
Indiana team plenty of times, but I feel pretty comfortable
48:20
going up against. I just think Indiana is, I mean,
48:22
honestly, Penn State's not getting smoked by these teams.
48:26
They're kind of in Penn State category of I think Kurt
48:29
Zingetti is just a really good football coach and he's really,
48:32
he's a really good winner. I think he's going to win a lot
48:35
of games against teams that have similar athletes that to them
48:38
and Indiana and that he's going to win most of those games
48:41
because he's a really good coach and they have a really good game
48:43
plan and they've got really good players and they play really
48:46
disciplined. They play well.
48:47
I don't think it's going to be in when you get in these
48:49
situations where you know, one or two games a year where you go
48:52
up against your Ohio State, your Oregon to just have different
48:55
bodies than you. Then you just go get smoked.
48:57
So get get lay the points. I think Oregon can go score for
49:01
score for them if needed. I don't think they're going to
49:03
need to. I think their defense can make
49:05
them one-dimensional. Take the run away with the light
49:07
box and force Mendoza and maybe he does like force him to make
49:11
some tough throws to win the game.
49:13
I think, I don't think it's at least a 14 point game.
49:16
We'll hear in Eugene. They're off a by.
49:18
It's a bad spot for Indiana. They're on the road at Iowa last
49:22
week. Oregon off a by.
49:25
It is not built to beat teams like this.
49:28
So give me Oregon, lay the points.
49:30
We're in lockstep here so far. Maybe we won't be.
49:35
Texas and Oklahoma, the Red River Shootout, a game I'd love
49:39
to go to at some point. Josh Pate is called his favorite
49:41
game in college football. I get it, even though I haven't,
49:44
I haven't been. I respect it at the Texas State
49:47
Fair in the cotton bulk Ding of the stadium sees 1 college
49:50
football game a year and it's this one.
49:52
Let's keep that thing open for as long as possible and looks
49:55
beautiful in the sun. Beautiful uniform matchup we
49:58
talked about and Daniel, Texas is a 1 1/2 point favorite.
50:03
Who do you like in the Red River Shootout?
50:05
Yeah, they get more time at the Texas State Fair.
50:07
Now, since this is 330 kick, you don't have to rush into the
50:11
game. How differently are these
50:13
quarterbacks talked about? John Metier, Arch Manning,
50:17
similar completions and attempts, Slightly higher
50:20
completion percentage for for John Metier, but Arch Manning 11
50:24
touchdowns, John Metier 6. Obviously he's got some rushing
50:27
touchdowns in there. They both do 5 interceptions for
50:30
Arch, 3 interceptions for John Mater.
50:33
Don't you know? They're not obviously the the
50:37
ceiling was the roof for arch Manning and everybody in his
50:40
expectations and I, you know, Mater is we're not sure if he's
50:46
going to play. There's some obviously the
50:48
expectation is he probably wouldn't be playing because of
50:51
the surgery, but all of a sudden this week we're starting to get
50:54
some smoke that he might play. I think Michael Hawkins is like
50:58
a good obviously he had to play the second-half of the year last
51:02
year and he played well. They improved when that happened
51:05
from from Jackson Arnold. So if that happens, I think that
51:08
they're going to be OK. This Texas defense is probably
51:12
underrated even by us. I think just because they've
51:16
really held it together sub last week where they, you know, had
51:19
to on the road against Florida. They were in some bad spots
51:22
against Florida and I guess Florida finally listened to
51:26
everybody and ran the Dang ball, so that helped for that.
51:29
But I don't know if Texas is diverse enough offensively to do
51:35
what they need to against this Oklahoma defense.
51:37
I think it's going to be a low scoring game.
51:39
If John Metier plays, I kind of think slam dunk Oklahoma wins.
51:44
I'm still leaning Oklahoma. It's a 1 1/2 point spread.
51:46
They get the points. That's basically a pick em.
51:49
I think Oklahoma comes in this game and they win it.
51:52
They are are better so far this year.
51:56
They haven't had as tough of a schedule, but I've been
51:58
impressed with their win against Michigan, their win against
52:01
Auburn, their dominance specifically on the defensive
52:04
side of the ball. I think they're going to be able
52:06
to confuse Arch and to really get in his face.
52:10
And if Arch had a strong running game this year, I would feel
52:14
differently about this. I think that he's had to do too
52:16
much with his legs right now. He's their leading rusher and
52:19
it's only 160 yards on the year. So they're they're just too much
52:23
by committee and guys have been hurt.
52:26
So give me Oklahoma, lay the points or I guess they get the
52:30
points. So I'll take that point.
52:32
Give me that 1 + 1 1/2. And if Metier plays, I mean,
52:35
it's going to be just an amazing reveal.
52:38
If he comes out and and plays in this game somehow with one hand,
52:42
he's just only hands the ball off and runs with it and he
52:45
never throws a pass, that'll be amazing.
52:49
Greatest sport in the world. Venables in his press
52:51
conference, basically acting like he's never even heard of
52:54
John Matier. And so he starts getting
52:55
questions about it. It's I, dude, I love the like,
52:59
the pettiness, the secrecy, the like, I can't give up.
53:02
You know, if I let them know that he's practicing, that gives
53:06
the entertainment advantage. I love college football.
53:08
This is the greatest sport. So good.
53:12
The last two weeks, Daniel, I've seen a team that was desperate
53:16
for a win and that needed it more, just find a way to get it
53:19
done. Alabama needed that win more
53:22
than Georgia. Georgia was favored.
53:24
I thought Georgia was the better team.
53:26
I picked Georgia. Alabama wins.
53:29
Florida. See, I mean, Billy Napier's job
53:32
on the brink again and all of a sudden they turn a switch.
53:36
I thought Texas the better team. They should win this game.
53:39
Florida wins. I think Texas needs this game
53:43
more. In fact, I know Texas needs this
53:45
game more. Oklahoma can lose a game and be
53:47
fine. Texas already has two losses.
53:50
Your Florida, I mean 10 and two in the SEC.
53:52
You're in like if you're an SEC team, you were the logo.
53:54
You're tended to. You're in the playoff.
53:56
Third loss not guaranteed. So like Texas is back and gets
53:59
the wall. Can they get it done?
54:03
Texas is offensive, been well below what people expected.
54:06
They can't run the ball and you call that out, Daniel, Texas
54:09
can't run the ball. Do you know who else hasn't been
54:11
able to run the ball this year? Oklahoma.
54:13
But we're not talking about it because they're five and O in
54:16
rush yards per game. Texas ranked 55th in the
54:19
country. Oklahoma yards per carry, Texas
54:22
ranked 60th. Oklahoma 100 and explosive runs
54:25
Texas ranked 76th. Oklahoma 104th.
54:28
Success rate running the ball. Texas 61st, Oklahoma 56, EPA per
54:33
rush. Texas 57th, Oklahoma 47th.
54:36
These are, I mean, you can argue Oklahoma's a worse rushing team.
54:39
The Texas both are going up against good defenses.
54:42
Like, don't let Texas record fool you into thinking the
54:44
defense has been bad this year. It absolutely has not been.
54:47
They held Ohio State to 14 points in the road in Week 1.
54:50
It took a herculean effort from DJ Lagway last week, and
54:53
honestly, a lot of turnovers from Texas I think are through.
54:56
Three picks in that game. Texas's defense was fine against
54:59
Florida last week. They're both going up against
55:02
good defenses even if Metier plays.
55:06
Which coaching staff do I trust to go and find a run game this
55:11
week to win? Because I think whatever team
55:12
figures out how to run the ball is going to win this game.
55:16
I think I trust Steve Sarkisian to go and find a run game this
55:20
week. Their backs against the wall,
55:23
they need this game way more than Oklahoma does.
55:27
I think they find a way to win this game.
55:28
I also do worry about Hawkins did not look good last week.
55:33
I think if Hawkins played, I think this is like a 17th game.
55:36
If Metier plays look, maybe Oklahoma runs away with it and
55:39
gets to 30. I've seen a lot of crazy Red
55:42
River games where the team that shouldn't win went to the game,
55:45
but in this case Texas is favored and the line opened up
55:47
at 3 1/2 in. You know from other people I've
55:51
heard this is with Mater playing baked in to the line.
55:54
Like this is a we expect John Material to play and we open the
55:58
line up at 3 1/2 as a Texas favorite.
56:00
I don't know if that's just priors and computer models for
56:03
years just loving Texas. This is a stinky line
56:07
regardless. I think Texas needs it more.
56:11
I think they win and I think it's 1 1/2.
56:14
So I think they cover. Think this is like a 2724 Texas
56:18
win and a classic. Like again, these games are
56:21
normally very good in a classic Red River game.
56:25
Think Texas finds a way on Saturday drinking the kool-aid,
56:30
man, I picked and win the national championship.
56:32
They got to win this one to get there.
56:34
So we'll see and I I hope arch looks good doing it.
56:39
Maybe the Texas fanbase can they can post some new arch aura
56:42
pictures with when beating Oklahoma instead of same
56:44
Houston. Maybe that'll be a better arch
56:46
aura Daniel. That's it man, that's week 7.
56:49
Be sure to follow us at the extra point pod on Instagram,
56:52
where our good friend Ben now is, is posting some good stuff.
56:56
You can follow Daniel on Twitter at Deep South Daniel.
56:59
You can follow me on Twitter at Jacob.
57:01
Pardon to the K That'll do it for this edition of the extra
57:04
point. He is Daniel.
57:05
I am Jacob, see ya.