Latest / Stuff You Should Know / Short Stuff: The Style Cycle
Transcript
- 0:04Speaker 1: Hey, and welcome to The Short Stuff. I'm Josh, and
- 0:06Speaker 1: there's Chuck, and I'm super stressed out. Jerry's there, too,
- 0:09Speaker 1: and she's sitting in for Dave, and this is Short Stuff.
- 0:12Speaker 2: That's right, about the style cycle, thanks to Popular Science
- 0:15Speaker 2: Sartorial Magazine, baracko.com and not barackobama.com, but baracko.com and earth.com
- 0:23Speaker 2: for this information.
- 0:24Speaker 1: So the style cycle, if you haven't guessed already, refers
- 0:27Speaker 1: to that idea that fashion styles come back in vogue again,
- 0:32Speaker 1: to use a fashion term, every 20-ish years. I always
- 0:37Speaker 1: thought it was more like 30, but I think 20
- 0:40Speaker 1: is what most people say. And it's always been this
- 0:43Speaker 1: anecdotal observation that most people agree on. But I think recently,
- 0:49Speaker 1: I didn't see when the study was conducted, but some
- 0:51Speaker 1: researchers from Northwestern University came up with a very clever
- 0:56Speaker 1: way to actually study it to see if it's a thing.
- 0:58Speaker 1: And they found like, yes, it is indeed a thing
- 1:00Speaker 1: that fashion exists basically on 20 year cycles. And that
- 1:05Speaker 1: fashion designers are very, very lazy by year 20. They
- 1:08Speaker 1: just reach back and start over again.
- 1:11Speaker 2: Yeah, they did quite a few things for the study.
- 1:13Speaker 2: They analyzed 37,000 images of women's clothing. So this is
- 1:18Speaker 2: for women's style from 1869 forward. And this was a
- 1:22Speaker 2: big deal. This was presented at the American Physical Society
- 1:26Speaker 2: Global Physics Summit in Denver. And they didn't just look
- 1:30Speaker 2: at pictures, right? They had all those 37,000 images, but
- 1:33Speaker 2: that wasn't good enough.
- 1:35Speaker 1: No, they found a bunch of runway images from over
- 1:38Speaker 1: the decades. They found sewing patterns from the Commercial Pattern
- 1:43Speaker 1: Archive at the University of Rhode Island. So they assembled
- 1:46Speaker 1: a ton of images. And then this is what they
- 1:49Speaker 1: did that was so clever. They used data points starting
- 1:54Speaker 1: with the distance from the eye to the neckline, the
- 1:58Speaker 1: neckline to the waist, and the waist to the hemline
- 2:03Speaker 1: at the bottom of, like, say, a dress. I think
- 2:05Speaker 1: they just studied dresses exclusively. And so because now they had, like,
- 2:12Speaker 1: data points, they were able to quantify this, like how far–
- 2:15Speaker 1: the neckline plunged or how far it came up. And
- 2:18Speaker 1: so they were able to watch it over time. And
- 2:20Speaker 1: what they saw when they drew each thing in a
- 2:23Speaker 1: flip book, it took them forever. And then they flipped
- 2:26Speaker 1: through it. You could see like the neckline going up
- 2:28Speaker 1: and down. You could see the hemline going up and down.
- 2:30Speaker 1: And it was about on a 20-year cycle that it
- 2:36Speaker 1: did these things, that it repeated, swung back and forth.
- 2:40Speaker 2: I'm going to say something that will not surprise you
- 2:42Speaker 2: or anyone else listening. My brother used to do flip books.
- 2:45Speaker 2: When we were a kid. Man.
- 2:47Speaker 1: Was he good?
- 2:48Speaker 2: Yeah, they were good. They were like stick figure thing. Well,
- 2:50Speaker 2: that's not true. A lot of them were stick figures. Like, uh,
- 2:53Speaker 2: I remember very distinctly a flip book. And of course
- 2:55Speaker 2: I would just eat this stuff up and do my
- 2:57Speaker 2: own poor versions afterwards. Uh, but like, I remember a
- 3:02Speaker 2: stick figure pole vaulter, like running down and pole vaulting. Uh,
- 3:06Speaker 2: but then like my brother was a really good artist.
- 3:07Speaker 2: He would, I don't know why, but for a certain
- 3:10Speaker 2: period in his younger years, he was drawing like, like
- 3:12Speaker 2: war stuff and people getting blown to bits. Like, A
- 3:15Speaker 2: flipbook of a hand grenade like blowing a guy into pieces. Yeah,
- 3:19Speaker 2: very interesting for such a peaceful guy.
- 3:21Speaker 1: For sure.
- 3:22Speaker 2: Anyway, just flipbook memory.
- 3:26Speaker 1: I went to go make one the other day and
- 3:29Speaker 1: I was like, forget this. This is going to be
- 3:31Speaker 1: hard and take a lot of time that I don't have.
- 3:34Speaker 1: So much respect to your brother for that.
- 3:37Speaker 2: Yeah, mine were pretty jumpy. So this idea of fashion
- 3:41Speaker 2: is that people want to They want to fit in,
- 3:44Speaker 2: but they also want to have their own style. And
- 3:46Speaker 2: there's also an idea with designers that once something becomes
- 3:50Speaker 2: too widespread, that designers are done with it, basically. So
- 3:57Speaker 2: it's sort of a give-and-take idea.
- 4:00Speaker 1: It is. So say that mom jeans were a new
- 4:04Speaker 1: thing in the 2010s, right? Yeah. They were actually... From
- 4:09Speaker 1: the 80s and 90s, but to the 2010s, they were
- 4:12Speaker 1: like brand new and they were quite revolutionary and daring
- 4:16Speaker 1: that somebody would try to rock mom jeans because they've
- 4:19Speaker 1: always been looked at as just like frumpy, right? Mom
- 4:23Speaker 1: jeans became so prevalent that you could not find women's
- 4:27Speaker 1: jeans that weren't essentially mom's jeans in some way, shape
- 4:30Speaker 1: or form. And then eventually the designers are like, we're
- 4:33Speaker 1: bored with this. I want to come up with something else.
- 4:36Speaker 1: So they do something else, right? That's essentially what you're saying.
- 4:39Speaker 1: What this is saying is that the something else they
- 4:42Speaker 1: do is jump back 20 years again.
- 4:45Speaker 2: Right.
- 4:45Speaker 1: And they pull from that. And now all of a sudden,
- 4:48Speaker 1: I've just been waiting for parachute pants to come back in,
- 4:51Speaker 1: but they won't do it.
- 4:53Speaker 2: Yeah, that seems to be one that has resisted.
- 4:56Speaker 1: For sure. And I can kind of understand why. But
- 5:00Speaker 1: what I'm saying is it's like the designers, they come
- 5:02Speaker 1: up with new things. But essentially what they're doing is
- 5:06Speaker 1: it's like that Shakespeare quote, there's nothing new under the sun.
- 5:09Speaker 1: That really applies to fashion design.
- 5:13Speaker 2: Yeah, for sure. Should we take a break?
- 5:15Speaker 1: Yes, because I'm getting worked up.
- 5:17Speaker 2: All right. We'll be right back. uh okay we're back
- 5:44Speaker 2: everybody and this 20-year rule does have sort of data
- 5:48Speaker 2: points that support it at this point because of that
- 5:50Speaker 2: study uh but they're thinking that that that 20-year may
- 5:55Speaker 2: be shorter and shorter as we move along. Because starting
- 5:58Speaker 2: at a certain point, you know, the five stages, which
- 6:01Speaker 2: is you introduce a style, there's a rise, obviously, a peak,
- 6:05Speaker 2: then a decline, then it becomes obsolete. But it seems
- 6:08Speaker 2: like that cycle is speeding up now, kind of at
- 6:12Speaker 2: the rate of people's attention spans almost with the internet,
- 6:16Speaker 2: it seems like.
- 6:16Speaker 1: Yeah. Like social media has had a huge, huge effect
- 6:20Speaker 1: on this because you can see other people's style and
- 6:24Speaker 1: If other people like that style, they'll pick up that style.
- 6:26Speaker 1: And then all of a sudden there's a trend on TikTok, right?
- 6:30Speaker 1: That in and of itself isn't necessarily harmful. It's that
- 6:33Speaker 1: fast fashion, like say H & M. Well, they have
- 6:38Speaker 1: people whose job it is to troll social media, to
- 6:41Speaker 1: look for trends. And then H & M designs clothes
- 6:45Speaker 1: according to those trends as fast as they can and
- 6:47Speaker 1: gets them out to stores. And the reason they want
- 6:50Speaker 1: to do it as fast as they can is because these,
- 6:52Speaker 1: what are called micro trends, come in and out in
- 6:55Speaker 1: the blink of an eye. So you want to be
- 6:57Speaker 1: able to figure out exactly how many you need to
- 6:59Speaker 1: make of a thing because you know it's not going
- 7:01Speaker 1: to be around very long and you want to get
- 7:03Speaker 1: it out to stores as fast as you can. Yeah.
- 7:06Speaker 2: And I think one of the ideas is that a
- 7:08Speaker 2: micro trend may thwart this 20-year cycle because it doesn't
- 7:11Speaker 2: become a really big, huge, widespread thing for a length
- 7:14Speaker 2: of time.
- 7:14Speaker 1: Right.
- 7:15Speaker 2: So it's... We're probably looking at a situation where a
- 7:19Speaker 2: TikTok micro trend isn't going to come back in 20
- 7:22Speaker 2: years because it never even fully registered as a genuine, like,
- 7:26Speaker 2: big trend.
- 7:27Speaker 1: Right. Exactly. The problem is, is the closer and closer
- 7:31Speaker 1: we get to a trend reaching back to maybe the
- 7:36Speaker 1: day before, when it happens that a trend comes into
- 7:41Speaker 1: existence and then comes into existence again, As a retro thing,
- 7:46Speaker 1: on the same day, the universe will collapse and not itself.
- 7:50Speaker 2: That's right. You mentioned fast fashion. This stat is sort
- 7:53Speaker 2: of disturbing, but we produce about 80 billion pieces of
- 7:56Speaker 2: clothes a year. And that is a 400% increase from
- 8:02Speaker 2: 20 years ago.
- 8:03Speaker 1: That's really rough. Yeah.
- 8:06Speaker 2: And it used to be very easy to see a
- 8:09Speaker 2: 70s look, an 80s look. And it's just becoming harder
- 8:12Speaker 2: and harder to pinpoint like certainly like a decade's worth
- 8:16Speaker 2: of look.
- 8:17Speaker 1: Yeah. This article points out the Indie Sleaze aesthetic, which
- 8:22Speaker 1: is essentially what the Brat Summer aesthetic was based on.
- 8:26Speaker 1: And the Indie Sleaze aesthetic only went away from like,
- 8:28Speaker 1: you know, like 10 or so years before, which is
- 8:33Speaker 1: way faster than the 20 year rule. I also saw
- 8:37Speaker 1: it argued by fashion bloggers that the Indie Sleaze revamp
- 8:42Speaker 1: was totally made up by overworked people who have to
- 8:47Speaker 1: trawl social media to find new trends. They just made
- 8:50Speaker 1: that up that that was a thing again. And that
- 8:52Speaker 1: actually made it a thing. It brought it into existence.
- 8:56Speaker 1: Who knows? But I think that means you have to
- 8:59Speaker 1: take that that particular example with a grain of salt,
- 9:02Speaker 1: because it may or may not prove that things are
- 9:04Speaker 1: speeding up too much. I think the other evidence supports it,
- 9:07Speaker 1: but that particular trend doesn't necessarily. Yeah, I agree.
- 9:11Speaker 2: Uh, and you know, nostalgia drives a certain amount of this. Um,
- 9:16Speaker 2: when a new generation comes along, they, a lot of
- 9:18Speaker 2: times with its, you know, music or movies and in fashion,
- 9:21Speaker 2: they'll look back a couple of decades. Um, but sometimes
- 9:25Speaker 2: it comes back in a different form.
- 9:27Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 9:27Speaker 2: Like, um, Like the like bell bottoms might come back
- 9:31Speaker 2: as bootcut jeans or something like that. So like sort
- 9:35Speaker 2: of an homage, but not exactly the same thing as
- 9:37Speaker 2: it was a couple of decades ago.
- 9:39Speaker 1: Yeah, I saw culottes are back in. Is that correct?
- 9:43Speaker 2: I don't know.
- 9:44Speaker 1: Were they ever in before? I know people wore them,
- 9:46Speaker 1: but I don't know that anyone considered them in. Yeah,
- 9:49Speaker 1: I don't know. I'm interested.
- 9:51Speaker 2: You're asking the wrong guy.
- 9:52Speaker 1: Some some things that have come back, like most decidedly,
- 9:56Speaker 1: apparently 90s minimalism is back. And that is, I don't know,
- 9:59Speaker 1: it's the best descriptor for it because I went and
- 10:01Speaker 1: looked it up and I get what they're saying. Like
- 10:04Speaker 1: it's like kind of basic teas and maybe like cargo
- 10:07Speaker 1: pants and just kind of like like low, low attempt
- 10:13Speaker 1: at like dressing essentially. Yeah, I guess that's back in.
- 10:19Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, I think the whole 80s and 90s,
- 10:22Speaker 2: I am maybe shamefully or not into wearing, like, good
- 10:26Speaker 2: clothes when I play golf and, like, golf fashion. And
- 10:30Speaker 2: there's a trend now. There was a trend in golf where, like,
- 10:32Speaker 2: you know, like tighter pants and shirts and things like that.
- 10:36Speaker 2: But now it's going back to the, like, baggy pleated
- 10:40Speaker 2: trousers and stuff like that.
- 10:41Speaker 1: Oh, really?
- 10:42Speaker 2: Like this real 80s look.
- 10:43Speaker 1: Dockers?
- 10:44Speaker 2: I don't know about dockers, like, but, like, double pleats even.
- 10:49Speaker 1: Wow. Apparently, denim on denim, the Canadian tuxedo is in.
- 10:55Speaker 1: And I've got a little bit of trivia for you.
- 10:57Speaker 1: Did you know that Bing Crosby invented the Canadian tuxedo,
- 11:03Speaker 1: not on purpose, but he showed up at a Vancouver
- 11:06Speaker 1: hotel wearing a Canadian tuxedo and was turned away?
- 11:10Speaker 2: No way.
- 11:11Speaker 1: Even though he was already Bing Crosby. They were like,
- 11:13Speaker 1: you can't wear that.
- 11:15Speaker 2: Is that why it became the Canadian tuxedo?
- 11:17Speaker 1: I think so, yeah.
- 11:18Speaker 2: Huh. Are you pulling my leg with all this?
- 11:20Speaker 1: No, I swear I'm not. That is for real.
- 11:22Speaker 2: Because that'd be a weird one. Who could it be?
- 11:26Speaker 2: Chuck will never doubt Bing Crosby.
- 11:29Speaker 1: No, it does stink of one of my jokes, but
- 11:32Speaker 1: it's true this time.
- 11:34Speaker 2: Apparently animal prints are coming back in fashion too.
- 11:36Speaker 1: Sure. Have they ever really gone out?
- 11:39Speaker 2: Again, don't ask me.
- 11:42Speaker 1: And then some things do come back. Lots of stuff does.
- 11:46Speaker 1: A lot of stuff doesn't. Like apparently in the early aughts,
- 11:51Speaker 1: people were wearing all sorts of nutso neon stuff. I
- 11:54Speaker 1: missed that trend. It looks like a kind of a
- 11:57Speaker 1: raver thing, I guess. But it wasn't like really in
- 12:02Speaker 1: when I was raving. So I think it just, you know,
- 12:05Speaker 1: kind of came after that. They're predicting that that's not
- 12:08Speaker 1: going to come back. And I can kind of see it.
- 12:11Speaker 2: Yeah, there's a certain 80s neon thing, puffy stuff. neon
- 12:16Speaker 2: thing that I don't think I ever really truly saw
- 12:18Speaker 2: come back.
- 12:19Speaker 1: Remember the hyper color ones, like the thermal color, like
- 12:24Speaker 1: you put your hand on your shirt and it'd leave
- 12:26Speaker 1: a handprint or something.
- 12:28Speaker 2: That was a thing for five minutes.
- 12:29Speaker 1: It was. It was very cool, though. I never had
- 12:31Speaker 1: one of those.
- 12:32Speaker 2: No, me neither.
- 12:33Speaker 1: Or jams. Did you wear jams?
- 12:35Speaker 2: Oh, yeah, for sure.
- 12:36Speaker 1: My mom made all of my jams. So I had
- 12:38Speaker 1: a bunch of different jams.
- 12:40Speaker 2: Oh, that's nice.
- 12:40Speaker 1: I thought so, too.
- 12:41Speaker 2: My mom made a lot of my clothes, too. Nice.
- 12:44Speaker 2: Because we couldn't afford things from stores.
- 12:48Speaker 1: There you go. Whatever the reason, it was still sweet
- 12:50Speaker 1: of your mom to not just put a potato sack
- 12:52Speaker 1: on you or something.
- 12:53Speaker 2: Yeah. And yours. Same.
- 12:55Speaker 1: Yeah. Well, since we just both shouted out our moms fondly,
- 13:00Speaker 1: then I think, obviously, Chuck short stuff is out.
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