Latest / The Paul Barron Crypto Show / Bitcoin New All-Time High!!🚨Crypto Market Update
Transcript
- 0:06Speaker 1: Bitcoin has achieved another all time high. Today we'll break
- 0:08Speaker 1: it down for you and where the market could be trending.
- 0:11Speaker 1: My name is Paul Barren. Welcome back in to the show.
- 0:13Speaker 1: Let's go with it today. I want to thank our
- 0:14Speaker 1: sponsor and that is Tangent, a place where you guys
- 0:16Speaker 1: can begin self custody and guys, one of the things
- 0:20Speaker 1: that happens in these very volatile markets, and of course
- 0:23Speaker 1: we saw bitcoin go up a little bit yesterday, is
- 0:25Speaker 1: when we see these violent moves, exchanges start to have
- 0:29Speaker 1: a little bit of a problem. So think about that
- 0:32Speaker 1: in your strategy of how you're dealing with your own
- 0:35Speaker 1: self custody plan. Check it out use our link. All right,
- 0:38Speaker 1: let's get into it. A couple of points I want
- 0:40Speaker 1: to hit on. First, of course, Bitcoin reaches its all
- 0:42Speaker 1: time high one hundred and twelve K with an extra
- 0:46Speaker 1: five hundred dollars on top.
- 0:48Speaker 2: And guess what we're.
- 0:49Speaker 1: Looking at shorts now and what the price might be
- 0:52Speaker 1: for bitcoin leading into July, and right now it's looking
- 0:56Speaker 1: like one point fifteen is the consensus around eighty six
- 0:59Speaker 1: percent over on polymer market. That along with what's happening
- 1:02Speaker 1: in the short side of things, one hundred and ninety
- 1:04Speaker 1: two mili bitcoin shirts liquidated. This was just yesterday, That
- 1:08Speaker 1: was the past sixty minutes. Then you go over and
- 1:10Speaker 1: look at this morning, another five fifty million liquidated in
- 1:15Speaker 1: another sixty minutes. So liquidations are definitely going in. Not
- 1:18Speaker 1: the time to be shorting bitcoin. It looks like we
- 1:21Speaker 1: may be on to something big. A lot of bitcoiners
- 1:24Speaker 1: right now are underprepared according to this article that's saying
- 1:27Speaker 1: possible one thirty three price tag in September, even though
- 1:31Speaker 1: we are seeing a lot of indications that we could
- 1:33Speaker 1: see even a more violent move up. What would that
- 1:35Speaker 1: do to the traditional markets and how they're perceiving because remember,
- 1:40Speaker 1: the last time we've really seen these violent moves in
- 1:44Speaker 1: the situation of bitcoin really was all the way back
- 1:48Speaker 1: into the last bull run in twenty twenty one, and
- 1:51Speaker 1: a lot of the mainstream media wasn't really tracking cryptos,
- 1:55Speaker 1: you know, still the bad guys, you know, industry that
- 1:59Speaker 1: can play has changed now, So I'm just kind of
- 2:01Speaker 1: curious how they're going to respond to it. I think
- 2:03Speaker 1: you're gonna end up getting a lot more input from
- 2:06Speaker 1: this one thing. A couple of things within the article.
- 2:09Speaker 1: Traders now buying call signaling may be under exposed. That's
- 2:13Speaker 1: an interesting situation. Trading signals now suggesting short term breakout
- 2:17Speaker 1: with a sixty percent probability for further upside over the
- 2:20Speaker 1: next two months. And that is a big deal because
- 2:23Speaker 1: we do get more traditional investors and even retail coming
- 2:27Speaker 1: in on this, and if we get more institutions again,
- 2:31Speaker 1: this puts more pressure on price.
- 2:33Speaker 2: And I think this, of course is the thing to
- 2:35Speaker 2: watch right now.
- 2:35Speaker 1: Trump of courses out there, bullposting tech stocks, industrial socks,
- 2:40Speaker 1: NASDAC hit all time high records. Now he wants a
- 2:43Speaker 1: rate cut. So that's what it's spoiling down to is
- 2:47Speaker 1: a challenge between him and share Pale to get these
- 2:49Speaker 1: rates down before the markets do get hit.
- 2:52Speaker 2: I want to go over and.
- 2:53Speaker 1: Play a clip of Tom Lee talking about in Vidio
- 2:57Speaker 1: because this has a lot of bearing on how this
- 2:59Speaker 1: market make play out.
- 3:00Speaker 2: Take a look.
- 3:01Speaker 3: Well, to me, in Vidia being the most valuable company
- 3:05Speaker 3: in the S and P makes a lot of sense.
- 3:07Speaker 2: I mean that's scarce.
- 3:08Speaker 3: I mean, how many Invidias are there in the world, right,
- 3:10Speaker 3: there's fifty thousand stocks, there's one in Vidia, and so
- 3:16Speaker 3: it is scarcer than like DA Vinci, So I do
- 3:19Speaker 3: think the multiple it around thirty times is actually not
- 3:23Speaker 3: that extended given how important they are to the AI ecosystem.
- 3:26Speaker 3: So I think there's earning visibility and then there's multiple
- 3:29Speaker 3: expansion potential, all right.
- 3:32Speaker 1: I like the I mean, Tom of course has been
- 3:34Speaker 1: really aggressive on his bowl positions with tech in the past,
- 3:38Speaker 1: and you know, listen, there's been a lot of tech
- 3:40Speaker 1: companies and tech analysts that have looked at in Nvidia
- 3:43Speaker 1: and said, maybe this train's going to stop at some point.
- 3:46Speaker 2: Tom Lee not seeing that right now.
- 3:47Speaker 1: If you look at Goldman Sachs, where the S and
- 3:50Speaker 1: P is going to be by the end of the year.
- 3:52Speaker 1: This gets interesting because as we've talked about here on
- 3:55Speaker 1: the channel, is that it appears that the trend may
- 3:58Speaker 1: not be stopping for the S ANDP. Is how that
- 4:00Speaker 1: liquidity is going to move into risk markets.
- 4:02Speaker 2: Take a look at this clip.
- 4:04Speaker 4: We got to start off with the news you're changing
- 4:06Speaker 4: your SMP price targets for three months, six months and
- 4:08Speaker 4: also the next year. Let's do the twelve month horizon
- 4:11Speaker 4: sixty nine hundred, double digit about a ten to eleven
- 4:13Speaker 4: percent rise from here. What is the biggest challenge to
- 4:16Speaker 4: the market moving higher. Right now, we've seen tariff shake
- 4:19Speaker 4: up the market obviously, you know, the April lows were
- 4:21Speaker 4: very clearly that investors got nervous about tariff's. Now they
- 4:24Speaker 4: seem to be shrugging them off. Are tariffs still an issue?
- 4:26Speaker 4: And do we need to see the Fed cut to
- 4:28Speaker 4: get to your price target for the end of this
- 4:29Speaker 4: year again sixty six hundred.
- 4:31Speaker 5: Yeah, Earnings are the most important driver for stocks. Last
- 4:34Speaker 5: time we spoke, we were constructive on stocks, and that
- 4:37Speaker 5: was because of the view that earnings would continue to
- 4:39Speaker 5: drive the market higher. That hasn't changed and for that reason.
- 4:42Speaker 5: The key question now is how much will tariffs affect
- 4:46Speaker 5: the earnings outlook. We're about to start that second quarter
- 4:48Speaker 5: earning season and the key thing to be focused on
- 4:51Speaker 5: for investors is what companies say about their ability to
- 4:54Speaker 5: protect margins given these increased tariff freights.
- 4:57Speaker 1: All right, So, as you can see there, these are
- 4:59Speaker 1: all of the some p targets right there from some
- 5:02Speaker 1: of the top Wall Street analysts out there, Morgan, Stanley, City,
- 5:04Speaker 1: Bank of America, et cetera, all of which have been
- 5:07Speaker 1: pointing in this direction. So again, this is a very
- 5:10Speaker 1: positive situation for the markets in general. The real question
- 5:13Speaker 1: is is again, how do we see liquidity start to
- 5:16Speaker 1: pour into the crypto market total stop Bitcoin Spot bitcoin
- 5:20Speaker 1: ETF volumes now surpassing four billion today. This I think
- 5:23Speaker 1: will help, even though I think Spot is not having
- 5:27Speaker 1: as much of an impact on bitcoin price, even though
- 5:29Speaker 1: we are seeing Bitcoin continue to move up. I think
- 5:32Speaker 1: the real question is is how do we see, you know,
- 5:35Speaker 1: investment advisors starting to allocate funds. Because when you look
- 5:38Speaker 1: at some of the things that it's happening right now,
- 5:41Speaker 1: Bitcoin holders right now still Blackrock leading away. That's a
- 5:45Speaker 1: big sign, you know, when you think about the industry
- 5:48Speaker 1: as a whole. If Blackrock is the one that's out
- 5:50Speaker 1: there leading, a lot of investment advisors are probably saying,
- 5:52Speaker 1: wait a minute, maybe we need to be looking at
- 5:55Speaker 1: that a little bit more. And this is a chart
- 5:56Speaker 1: they're looking at a lot more, and that is risk
- 5:59Speaker 1: return on file of the asset classes. If you look
- 6:02Speaker 1: at everything out there, everything's kind of clustered into that one.
- 6:04Speaker 2: Area, gold, SMP reads, etc. Look where bitcoin is.
- 6:09Speaker 1: This of course gets into a frame of shifting thinking
- 6:13Speaker 1: and that is what you have to pay attention to,
- 6:16Speaker 1: especially as we see companies coming in and saying, hey,
- 6:19Speaker 1: we're going to start really playing the angle of acquiring
- 6:22Speaker 1: more bitcoin into our treasuries, and that's only going to
- 6:25Speaker 1: drive the price up and the valuation of these companies.
- 6:27Speaker 1: Much like what we've seen with micro Strategy, this is
- 6:29Speaker 1: now happening with Ethereum. And of course the US Treasury
- 6:34Speaker 1: has officially removed its broker reporting rules. This is a
- 6:38Speaker 1: big deal because now it's kind of pretty much a
- 6:41Speaker 1: no holds barred situation. From a market standpoint, all of
- 6:44Speaker 1: this very positive for where the market is going. I
- 6:48Speaker 1: want to go to another clip because this is another
- 6:50Speaker 1: big I think, a big indicator of where Wall Street's
- 6:54Speaker 1: head is right now.
- 6:55Speaker 2: This is Kathy would take a look.
- 6:57Speaker 6: People ask me what's the biggest surprise circle going published.
- 7:01Speaker 6: I really thought that bitcoin would serve the role that
- 7:06Speaker 6: stable coins are going to serve. I think because of
- 7:09Speaker 6: that IPO. I don't know if it was the safety
- 7:13Speaker 6: that you know, being backed one percent by Treasury Securities,
- 7:18Speaker 6: NAI and Crypto together as we go towards agentic also
- 7:23Speaker 6: with DeFi threatening all of them as well, we better
- 7:27Speaker 6: get with the program. So you're right, light switch, It's
- 7:30Speaker 6: it's almost like a light switch we think this could
- 7:33Speaker 6: become one of the most important financial services institutions in
- 7:37Speaker 6: the world.
- 7:39Speaker 2: I think I think it will become. It's already there.
- 7:43Speaker 1: The potential now is getting the genius act through what
- 7:47Speaker 1: we're going to see in DC most likely next week
- 7:50Speaker 1: with Crypto Week coming up. I'll think there's going to
- 7:52Speaker 1: be a lot of other indicators that are starting to
- 7:54Speaker 1: look at the greater and more broad markets as a whole.
- 7:58Speaker 1: All of this starts to push in to Ethereum as
- 8:02Speaker 1: one of the cornerstones versus Solana. Now Tom Lean breaks
- 8:06Speaker 1: this down a little bit of why take a.
- 8:08Speaker 3: Look, Chack the stable coin is the chat GPT moment
- 8:13Speaker 3: for crypto circle has blown the doors open. There's a
- 8:16Speaker 3: lot of interest now on Wall Street getting involved with
- 8:18Speaker 3: Ethereum and building stable coins. That's thirty percent of Ethereum's
- 8:23Speaker 3: network usage today, right. But it is a technology in
- 8:26Speaker 3: addition to it's not just like bitcoin, which is sort.
- 8:28Speaker 2: Of seen as that's right, most of gold. It is
- 8:31Speaker 2: a technology.
- 8:31Speaker 3: I mean it could lose market share as well, couldn't
- 8:34Speaker 3: it to the likes of Solana.
- 8:35Speaker 2: Uh, that's true.
- 8:36Speaker 3: But when you see like the JP Morgan stable coin,
- 8:39Speaker 3: it's being built on Ethereum. Robinhood is building their tokenizing
- 8:43Speaker 3: business on ethereum so as a stay as what they
- 8:46Speaker 3: call a layer one. Ethereum is like the preferred choice
- 8:49Speaker 3: for Wall Street. It already is more than sixty percent
- 8:52Speaker 3: of all the tokenized real world assets, and I think
- 8:55Speaker 3: that share is growing. If stable coins grow to over
- 8:58Speaker 3: to Trillia's Treasury secretary best and predicts, that's an exponential
- 9:02Speaker 3: usage of etherum and the ethereum token.
- 9:05Speaker 1: All right, So Tom Lee is hitting on all the
- 9:08Speaker 1: markers of what is identifying ETH as the market leader.
- 9:12Speaker 1: One thing I would disagree with him on and I
- 9:14Speaker 1: still look at this. I know there's a lot of
- 9:16Speaker 1: major analysts that are still looking at that two trillion mark.
- 9:19Speaker 2: I think it's more when you look at the exposure
- 9:21Speaker 2: of where stable.
- 9:22Speaker 1: Coins are going to be against the US dollar and
- 9:26Speaker 1: how we're going to have countries around the world now
- 9:28Speaker 1: have access to the US dollar in a very easy way.
- 9:32Speaker 1: I think it changes things quite a bit. And he
- 9:34Speaker 1: is right about ETH being the cornerstone and the backbone
- 9:36Speaker 1: of that. He mentioned Robinhood, who announced last week not
- 9:40Speaker 1: only did they announce the writing on ETH in terms
- 9:43Speaker 1: of token is securities, but specifically on the arbitrum chain.
- 9:47Speaker 1: So that in itself, I think is going to have
- 9:49Speaker 1: a couple of.
- 9:50Speaker 2: Indicators moving forward.
- 9:51Speaker 1: And of course another one is that they are now
- 9:53Speaker 1: allowing both staking on eth and Salona inside Robinhood. This
- 9:58Speaker 1: is getting unusual because I had just a general person
- 10:01Speaker 1: the other day start to ask me about staking inside
- 10:05Speaker 1: their Robinhood app. And this is somebody that had never
- 10:07Speaker 1: invested in crypto before, and they're starting to ask those
- 10:11Speaker 1: kinds of questions because they're.
- 10:12Speaker 2: Seeing these yields. They think dividend. That's the way that
- 10:14Speaker 2: they're looking at that.
- 10:15Speaker 1: So, guys, when you see that, along with everything else
- 10:18Speaker 1: that's going on, there is a lot of trends starting
- 10:21Speaker 1: to play into this. Ali Baba Backfirm is now eyeing
- 10:24Speaker 1: a partnership with Circle. This is going to get interesting
- 10:26Speaker 1: because it will get into retail. And this is the
- 10:29Speaker 1: thing that I have said all along. When retail flows
- 10:32Speaker 1: in to USTC or stable coins, we are talking about
- 10:37Speaker 1: ten to forty trillion in terms of opportunity.
- 10:41Speaker 2: That's the kind of market that is there.
- 10:42Speaker 1: Forget these two trillion just utilizing stable coins as a
- 10:47Speaker 1: means of exchange. This is shifting the dynamic around all
- 10:50Speaker 1: of this. Look at the value of what they're talking about.
- 10:53Speaker 1: This is ant International right now. The company's global unit
- 10:57Speaker 1: generated nearly three billion in revenue last year. So back
- 11:01Speaker 1: to the point, guys, what we're talking about. You this
- 11:04Speaker 1: one company just within that, Think all Shopify, think of
- 11:07Speaker 1: all e commerce, think all a retail in person. You
- 11:09Speaker 1: start to get your head around where this is going.
- 11:12Speaker 1: And guess what all of this setting in the ETH ecosystem,
- 11:16Speaker 1: So big one for sure. Let's take a look at
- 11:18Speaker 1: fear and greed the indext chart right now starting to
- 11:20Speaker 1: trend up to around fifty eight, even though not necessarily
- 11:23Speaker 1: that high, with Eth starting to bump a potential run
- 11:27Speaker 1: at three k, and of course Bitcoin hitting it's all
- 11:30Speaker 1: time high if you look at the overall all Coin
- 11:33Speaker 1: index right now, again very low right now at twenty seven,
- 11:38Speaker 1: So definitely in a maybe wait and see moment for
- 11:42Speaker 1: a lot of this, And of course the ones that
- 11:44Speaker 1: you've got to look at Pengo's kind of in their
- 11:46Speaker 1: virtual still up SPX, deep hype still in there, so
- 11:50Speaker 1: there's some good quality ones in here as well. So
- 11:53Speaker 1: let me know what you guys are doing in terms
- 11:55Speaker 1: of all coins. What are you prepping up for in
- 11:57Speaker 1: the commons down below? And by the way, if you're
- 11:59Speaker 1: not subscribed to the channel, make sure and take a
- 12:01Speaker 1: time real quick, just hit that subscribe button right now
- 12:05Speaker 1: and do that, because we are getting ready to see
- 12:08Speaker 1: a run here. And here's why seven point four trillion
- 12:11Speaker 1: now setting on the sideline. This is money market.
- 12:13Speaker 2: This is active cash.
- 12:15Speaker 1: This isn't invested in anything else. It is sitting literally
- 12:19Speaker 1: in active accounts waiting to deploy into something. In fact,
- 12:23Speaker 1: most of these investors are chomping at the bit to
- 12:26Speaker 1: figure out how can they outperform the four to five
- 12:30Speaker 1: percent yield that they're getting within these markets. Watch for this, guys.
- 12:33Speaker 1: This could be a big one for sure. The other
- 12:35Speaker 1: thing that starts to shift around a little bit is
- 12:38Speaker 1: next week with Crypto Week. Here's kind of a new one.
- 12:41Speaker 1: And this of course Eleanor Tarrett scooping in on this.
- 12:44Speaker 1: The Banking GOP now planning to drop its market structure
- 12:47Speaker 1: discussion draft next week after I'll remember this was a
- 12:51Speaker 1: little bit of a false start, and then now it's
- 12:54Speaker 1: going into next week during Crypto Week. So all this
- 12:57Speaker 1: very good good news for crypto in general. Taking a
- 13:00Speaker 1: look at the markets. Obviously after a fairly violent situation
- 13:04Speaker 1: right there on the one hour, still continuing high and
- 13:06Speaker 1: holding at one thirteen, another all time high as of recording,
- 13:11Speaker 1: So getting very active right now. Ethereum is the one
- 13:14Speaker 1: we're watching, starting to bump possibly to that three k mark.
- 13:18Speaker 1: This is the one you've got to keep an eye on.
- 13:19Speaker 1: Swee up eleven percent, moving very actively. And then you
- 13:23Speaker 1: get into some of the others like Arbitram is this
- 13:25Speaker 1: one of those is starting to break out because of
- 13:29Speaker 1: the news starting to set in in mainstream. Remember Token
- 13:33Speaker 1: High Securities is starting to become a darling of Wall Street.
- 13:36Speaker 1: Once they figure out how Robinhood is doing this, You're
- 13:39Speaker 1: going to see some action here on this one, right,
- 13:41Speaker 1: So I want to go down and look at the
- 13:42Speaker 1: treasury companies within crypto right here, masked micro strategy hanging there, Master,
- 13:47Speaker 1: BM and R. This is Tom Lee's after a heavy valuation.
- 13:51Speaker 1: Remember this is eight x of.
- 13:53Speaker 2: What their core value is.
- 13:55Speaker 1: Then you look at SPAT, This one might be getting
- 13:58Speaker 1: ready to break out, just with Jill Lubin and what
- 14:01Speaker 1: his strategy is around hinting some potential collaborations which we'll
- 14:05Speaker 1: have more on that possibly next week on a very
- 14:08Speaker 1: special episode. The one of course I'm watching is both
- 14:12Speaker 1: s BET and also btcs BTSCs up again from a
- 14:17Speaker 1: recovery right there around for twenty yesterday, so some interesting
- 14:22Speaker 1: things that could align again back with Ethereum with what's
- 14:25Speaker 1: happening with bitcoin beyond the lookout, guys, we are in
- 14:28Speaker 1: for a very very quick week, so make sure and
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- 14:40Speaker 1: The Paul Baron Show.