Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 387 - 11/3/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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Episode 387 - 11/3/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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  54321 All systems Go with Josh Applebaum starts now.
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  Hello and welcome to Episode 3. 87.
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  Of the All Systems Go sports betting podcast.
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  Powered by Rhythm, I'm your host, Josh Applebaum.
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  What's going on, everyone? Happy Monday, a new.
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  Month begins. That's right, Turn the calendar
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  to the month of November. Halloween is over and it's now
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  November 3rd, believe it or not. And.
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  That tells you, hey, Thanksgiving not too.
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  Far away Christmas, Hanukkah. New Year's coming.
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  Up to the end of the calendar year.
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  But you know what I like? About today the most.
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  We have the. Return of college.
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  Hoops, baby. That's right.
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  I was looking at the board. There's over I think like 100
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  college basketball games here for today.
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  And I take a little bit of a. I don't know slow.
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  Approach when it comes to a new sport, especially like college
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  because. When you get excited, you know,
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  you see all these games you want to get down.
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  On all of them and I cannot wait again, I already updated my Ken
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  Palm membership. We'll get to Ken Palm here
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  throughout the year. Because Ken Palm, it's
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  kenpomeroy.com, but he's just really the best when it comes.
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  To advanced analytics and he has.
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  A. Tab that's called the.
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  Fan match tab so you got. To pay, I believe it's 20 bucks.
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  A year which is really a steal. To get this great Intel, but I
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  like to compare the betting market to what Ken Palm is
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  predicting. And he'll have these.
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  Final score predictions. So I'm always looking for
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  discrepancy opportunities. So the other thing about.
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  College is that. You know it opens.
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  Up a whole new. Sport for us, and I fully admit
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  football has been. Rough here over the last week or
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  so and hey, now we have a new sport that just went live.
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  To provide some money making opportunities.
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  So really excited. About their turn of college
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  hoops. Some of my favorite systems off.
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  The top of my head, you look at those.
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  Unranked home fav Ranked. Opponents like, you know, if
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  there's a team that's ranked. 12th they're on the road.
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  But the home team is -2. Love those spots heavily.
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  Bet games Duke UNCESPN game you know 80.
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  Percent of bets are on one. Side but that team falls, you
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  know, minus. 4 down to 3 1/2. Boom, some great.
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  Reverse line move scenarios and really I think when you're
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  looking at college basketball, you got to.
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  Group it into. Two different categories like.
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  You have your heavily bet games. And I have different.
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  Pieces of Intel that give. Me the actual number of bets
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  across different. Sports books.
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  But people always ask me like how do you know what the heavily
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  bet games? Are, I'll tell you, real?
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  Quick if the game's on TV, it's a heavily BET game if it's ESPN.
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  If it's your your Saturday games.
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  That are you know. NBC or CBS or.
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  ABC If you can walk into a. Bar and the bartender has the
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  game on or can find the channel for you and doesn't have to
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  search for it typically. Means that's a heavily.
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  Bet game, but also. If you've been betting college
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  hoops with me over the years, you know that we also love
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  these. Added game Extra games.
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  So we have to kind of get back in the thought process of hey.
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  Heavily BET TV games we're going to.
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  Learn more on. Contrarian opportunities because
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  that's where the public is and you want to go against.
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  Them but these. Small little tiny games.
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  You know, fairly. Dickinson versus Jackson State.
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  You know these tiny little games that you can't find on TV unless
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  you. Pay for ESPN Plus, which I love
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  ESPN plus because it gives me all the college games no matter
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  how small they are. But those small games I learn
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  more online. Moves because if you see a tiny
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  little game, which is a easy way.
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  To identify it is added. Game Extra Game the Vegas.
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  The rotation the ID number is A6 digit.
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  Number. So instead of game like 85815816
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  it's game. 306575306576 that tells you that it's hard to find
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  in the app. The public has no.
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  Interest in those games? And when you see line movement
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  in games like that, that's meaningful to me because it
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  tells me pros. Have really taken a position so
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  again we're. Going to kind of.
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  Lump these two games or these two?
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  Different college who you know opportunities in the heavily bet
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  category. Contrarian line movement.
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  And then mostly line. Movement you can throw away.
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  Contrarian and these really small bet games so.
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  That's something that we just, we'll talk more about it.
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  Again, today's opening day I have.
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  One play for you. Excited to talk about this one.
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  But we will be, you know, locked and.
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  Loaded in college hoops, so. Really excited for the.
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  Return of college basketball. And I will remind everyone, odds
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  logic, fantastic live odds page if you're betting college hoops.
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  There's a lot of. Games very important.
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  You have the odds logic. Live odds.
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  Page so you can. Track opening moves, current
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  moves, steam. Obviously, shop around.
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  Get. The best price but.
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  If you want to give it a shot, now is the time if you're a
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  college hoops. Better 7 day free trial 50% off
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  your first month. Just go to odds
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  oddslogic.com/josh 123 now looking toward today guys, I
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  totally. Buried the lead.
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  We do have a. Primetime NFL Monday Night
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  Football game so the Arizona Cardinals Dallas Cowboys I do
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  have a play here on this game as well as the college hoops game
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  for tonight and I. Do have an NBA total for you?
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  And it's not an over, it's. Actually an under.
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  That looks really sharp with a good rhythm and juicer lad so.
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  Three pack overall, kind of walking through the garden,
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  getting all the different different vegetables and
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  different sports. NFL College hoops, NBA.
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  And of course, 3 plays let's. Try to go 2IN1.
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  Eke out a winning day now. Since we last talked guys, some
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  glimmers of hope as we are going through our roughest losing
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  streak in quite a while, but we. Did have a 2IN1.
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  Friday didn't get rice. Plus 14, but we did get the UNC
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  Syracuse under 40. 5 1/2. And got a nice.
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  Little break with the Jeremy Grant over 20 1/2 points and
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  rebounds because he landed on 21 and he had to make two key free.
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  Throws at the very end to win the game for the.
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  Blazers and to cash that. Over.
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  So it's nice to see Grant go over.
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  And then? Two and two Saturday.
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  So again, glimmers of hope here. Guys.
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  When you're struggling, you got to find some positive Saturday.
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  Two and two. Remember, they're only three
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  plays, but I always recommend you guys read the Sharp reports.
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  V Sin. Dot com that I put out and of.
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  Course, all the best bets are posted on the Juice Reel app for
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  $4.99 a week because I did add on Saturday Nebraska, they're
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  at. Home against USC they went.
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  From plus 6 1/2 down to 4 1/2. Kind of a blueprint prime time
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  gameplay. Reverse line move play.
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  They lost by 4. So Nebraska covered and then.
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  Oklahoma. You know that one was.
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  A game that really was a. Perfect situation.
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  Of what we look. For on the pod sharp contrarian
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  because everybody and their mother.
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  Was on Tennessee at home but. Remember Tennessee open -3 1/2
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  They got down to like. 2 1/2. You might have gotten a three or
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  three and a half earlier, but Oklahoma won that game outright.
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  Unfortunately, K State. Got rolled plus 7 1/2 and the
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  one that I'm really kicking myself about is Vanderbilt
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  because I. I made a mistake.
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  In that game. I thought that maybe Arch
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  Manning. Would be out and I wanted to
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  grab the 2. And at the time a lot of books
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  were down to 1 1/2 and I was reading how he didn't practice
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  and thinking, hey, that might get down to a pick em.
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  Well, Arch. Manning played and Vandy was
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  down big, but they ended up losing by three.
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  So they closed at. Three, you might have even
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  covered with Vandy 3 and a. Half, but I kind of kind of, you
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  know, bet that game too. Early lose by.
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  Three, I got +2. So that's a a mistake on my
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  part, but maybe you cash with Vandy if you got a better
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  number. So two and two Saturday and 2:00
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  and 2:00. Sunday held on with the the
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  Bears. Which if you didn't see.
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  That game. One of the most insane games go
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  from. Losing, not covering to winning
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  and covering to losing and not covering.
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  And unbelievable the bears it could have been.
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  One of the worst bad beats. I'm like, here we go.
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  Again, with the bad beats when you're struggling, it seems like
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  they always. Find you no matter how hard you
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  run away from them. But the bears are up by 14.
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  Points with two minutes. Left and.
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  They gave up a. Touchdown and they gave up an
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  onside kick which are very, very hard to do now.
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  Because the rules have changed because you can't overload one
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  side but. Then, out of nowhere, bears are
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  losing by one. They come back and.
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  Score a deep touchdown. Caleb Williams to Colston,
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  Loveland. So nice hit there with the
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  bears. Which?
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  Again, that was a sweat and 1/2. I added the Raiders plus three,
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  another sweat and 1/2. I know.
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  My buddy King W. Cottonetzar was sweating.
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  That one with me. But that was a Raiders plus
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  three down to 2 1/2. Everyone was playing the Jags.
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  But the Raiders ended up going go.
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  They had, they went to overtime and instead of, you know, going
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  for the tie, they went. For the win, which I was.
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  Happy about. Because I would.
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  Guarantee a + 3. But they lose by 1 to the Jags.
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  But they did. Cover the number losers,
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  however, Texans. That one was rough because even.
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  Though and again it to me the big.
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  Obviously detriment. There was CJ Stroud getting
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  hurt. He got lit up, concussion.
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  Protocol left the game they bring in.
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  Davis Mills, who really couldn't do anything, but they still had
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  a lead in the fourth quarter only to.
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  Blow it and lose on a walk off field goal.
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  So the Texans 1 was a tough one and then.
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  Kansas City Chiefs. I had a lot of people.
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  You know, kind of. You know, dance on my.
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  Grave with the Kansas. City chiefs, I mean.
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  Yeah, easy looking back on it, Take Josh.
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  Allen but public was split line went to.
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  KCKC went from minus. One up to minus. 2 1/2 I money
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  lined him at minus. 1 1/2 two. I mean, hey, that's a play where
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  Josh Allen and the Bills played great, so you tip your cap.
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  So either way, guys, two and one Friday.
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  Two and two Saturday, 2:00 and 2:00 Sunday.
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  We're kind of back to. Grinding, so hey.
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  Glimmers of hope. Let's see if we can turn this
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  into a little bit of a hot streak, get some of those units
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  back that we lost over the past week.
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  Now, looking toward tonight guys, I want to start with some
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  NFL. So obviously we have the final
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  game of Week 9 in the NFL. Arizona Cardinals.
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  Dallas Cowboys So let's set the stage.
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  Talk line movement, split system matches and.
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  I'll give you my play for this one now 8. 15 PM tonight, ESPN
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  Cardinals come in two and. Five they've lost.
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  Five straight just lost to the Packers. 2723 but they did cover
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  that game. As a 7 point home dog.
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  Meanwhile, the Cowboys 3-4 and one just got beat up by the
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  Broncos 44 to. 24 didn't. Cover as a 3 1/2.
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  Point Rd. Dog So what have you seen across
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  the market here? Will this game open Dallas
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  around a three-point home favorite?
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  And this is one of the most lopsided plays we've.
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  Seen all season long because. 84% of spread bets are laying it
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  with Dallas. Again, you're going contrarian.
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  Usually you're looking at. 6535 trying to be on the side of 35
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  or less, but man, everybody's on.
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  Dallas and I, I don't say that facetiously like.
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  I guess it's not. Literal you need 100% but man.
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  84% pounding Dallas Cowboys. However, I'm not going to, you
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  know, call you crazy if you like.
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  Arizona here because even though everyone and their.
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  Mother is on Cowboys. Laying the. -3 or 3 1/2 the line
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  really hasn't. Moved at all minus.
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  Threes got up to 3 1/2, but it's all those books are juiced back
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  toward Arizona plus 3 1/2. -115. We also have Dallas in the spot.
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  Seeing these some of these 3 1/2.
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  Get back down to three. So really when you're getting
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  84% of. Tickets you open -3.
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  You would kind of assume you should be up to 3 1/2. 4/4 and
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  1/2 I mean the. Line should be moving heavily
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  toward the very. Very popular side, but it's
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  juice back 3 1/2 toward Arizona and some books are down to three
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  so. Tells me that we do have
• 11:05
  liability on. Arizona.
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  Now, I fully admit some of these situations have not done well.
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  This year, or at least recently so.
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  If you don't want to play Arizona, I get it.
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  I would mention though. Rhythm has Arizona.
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  Let's see, getting. I guess it's like 4 point.
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  One, so not much. Of a an edge there on the dog if
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  you're getting the 3 1/2. But my contrarian heart or my
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  contrarian head, I should say, says great value on Arizona
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  tonight. Arizona's only getting. 16.
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  Percent of spread bets 25% of spread dollars at DK at circa
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  11% of spread bets, 30% of spread dollars.
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  So good splits there. Now.
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  Primetime dogs, they've kind of tailed off a bit.
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  But they're still 15 and. 12 against the spread. 56% this
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  year. And here's another little.
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  Angle Obviously, no Kyler Murray.
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  If you haven't heard, he's injured.
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  And it'll be Jacoby. Brissette But the Cardinals do
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  have a rest advantage. They're coming off the bye week.
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  So you'd have to assume that that would be a benefit.
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  More time to game plan, you know, rehab and rest some
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  injuries. Now there is quite a bit of love
• 12:06
  on the Dallas. Money line.
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  They're around -1. 75 and you have seen when both teams are.
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  Coming off a loss, just take the favorite.
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  That team is 20 and. Five straight up 20% ROI, 71%
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  straight up 5% ROI since. 2023 So with all that being said,
• 12:24
  again, you like Dallas on the money?
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  Line I get it, but I don't want to lay a. -175 and if you tell.
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  Me, you like Arizona, I agree with you plus 3 1/2.
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  But I must say, guys, again, I am rooting for Arizona.
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  I'm I There's no way. In the in the.
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  World, I can take Dallas because there's some line.
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  Freeze RLM toward Arizona. And again I.
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  Will be on the. 84% side, which I can't do.
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  And by the way, I've had some people.
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  DM me and say you're on. You're on a terrible losing
• 12:50
  streak. Why don't you just quit your
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  philosophy and make some bets? With your heart and it's like.
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  Do you know me? It's something.
• 12:57
  That I would never do again because I know.
• 13:00
  This works long term and I've gotten in some debates.
• 13:02
  And I get it. You know your handouts.
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  In these recommendations and it's been a tough week last
• 13:06
  week. But if something.
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  Like my database goes back to the year 2000, so if.
• 13:11
  Something has done. Well, from 2000 to 2020.
• 13:16
  Three, and I will. Admit last year NFL.
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  Was more public on. This year's been public as well,
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  but if something. Works for 23 years and then for
• 13:24
  a season and 1/2. It's kind of progressed.
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  Do you just completely? Abandoned what's worked for two
• 13:30
  plus decades, and again, the thought process is the books.
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  Are losing. That means contrarians are
• 13:35
  losing. But the books.
• 13:36
  Win long term so. Again, I get it.
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  I understand. And if you want to play Dallas?
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  Tonight, again, I fully admit the very popular.
• 13:46
  Teams here seem to be. Covering a lot, quite a bit this
• 13:48
  year, but that's just. Something as a contrarian that I
• 13:52
  I. Will not do.
• 13:54
  And again, I'll I'll throw this at you.
• 13:55
  I'm a huge Terminator 2 fan. This just came.
• 13:57
  Into my mind. But there is a great quote when
• 14:01
  Arnold says to Edward. Furlong, he says, I know now why
• 14:04
  you cry, but it is something that I cannot do, which is one
• 14:08
  of my all time epic. Favorite quotes?
• 14:09
  But anyway, if you want to bet with your heart and go Dallas,
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  that's all. You're we're welcome to do that.
• 14:14
  The beauty of sports betting is you can decide to do whatever.
• 14:17
  You want to do. But as a contrarian, data-driven
• 14:19
  better. You abide by your philosophies
• 14:21
  and I'm not going to abandon them just because it's been a
• 14:23
  tough stretch here, so just wanted to kind of get that off
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  my chest. But with that being.
• 14:27
  Said again, I'm rooting for Arizona, but.
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  With these dogs. Really just not barking recently
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  and again. I am hoping.
• 14:35
  And praying Arizona covers for all the contrarians out there.
• 14:37
  Instead, I'm going to focus on the.
• 14:39
  Total I'm going to. Go over here.
• 14:41
  Now you might say, oh, contrarian.
• 14:43
  Over. You're with the public.
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  Well, it's not that. Public here because Arizona,
• 14:46
  Dallas. It opened at 50. 1 1/2 Again,
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  pretty high total here. You're up to 53 1/2.
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  Some books up to. 54 I see. One or two books up to 50. 4
• 14:57
  1/2. So it's been very clear this
• 14:59
  total is rising. And I haven't seen.
• 15:01
  Really any buyback whatsoever. On the under, it's just been
• 15:04
  nothing but over, money pouring in and if you look at
• 15:07
  DraftKings, only 54. Percent of bets are.
• 15:10
  Taking the over, but nearly 65. Percent of the money.
• 15:14
  Is going over. So the one thing I like about
• 15:16
  this is. One way steam toward the over.
• 15:19
  Really not that public. Barely above 50.
• 15:21
  Percent, but more money. And then listen to.
• 15:24
  Some of these angles overs this year 72 and 6154.
• 15:28
  Percent, 3% ROI. When the home team missed.
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  The playoffs? The previous.
• 15:32
  Year. The over has gone. 43 and 3250.
• 15:35
  7%, Nine percent. ROI.
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  Non division overs even better. 56 and 4350. 7 percent, 8% ROI.
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  And then you look. At the Cowboys in.
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  Particular. I mean, to me, if you're playing
• 15:47
  the over. It's because the Cowboys.
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  Score a lot and they give. Up a lot.
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  Cowboys are. Six and two to the over this
• 15:52
  year. 75%, that's the third. Best in the NFL?
• 15:55
  Cardinals four and three to the over.
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  That's 57%. But Dallas in particular,
• 16:00
  they're averaging 30 point. 8. Points per game on offense,
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  That's the second. Highest scoring team in.
• 16:05
  Football, but they're giving. Up 31.3 points per game.
• 16:08
  That's the second worst. In the NFL.
• 16:11
  So again, prime time unders I've loved for.
• 16:13
  Many years they're 15 and 15. This.
• 16:15
  Year so you're right down the middle, but we got overs doing
• 16:18
  well non. Division overs doing even
• 16:20
  better. The total is ticked up with no
• 16:22
  buyback whatsoever. And you can still get 53 1/2.
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  That's my play. Over 53 1/2.
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  If you look across the market though, is the importance of
• 16:31
  your odds logic. Live odds.
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  Page and getting the best price 50. 3 1/2.
• 16:36
  Is available at. Quite a few shops.
• 16:38
  ESPN bet DraftKings, FanDuel. But Caesars fanatics.
• 16:43
  And there's one more than Bally. Bet are both 50.
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  Four and some Books, 54 1/2. So I'm going to take a shot on a
• 16:49
  high total game. I know it's high.
• 16:51
  And maybe high for a reason. Again.
• 16:54
  My heart is with everyone in my. Head I.
• 16:56
  Should say with Arizona and the points.
• 16:58
  But the way these. Dogs haven't barked.
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  I don't. Know if I can torture myself
• 17:01
  with another another sharp dog. Like even look toward last
• 17:04
  night. Guys, if you look at.
• 17:06
  That primetime game where? Again, you saw a.
• 17:09
  Huge, terrible injury. To the Commanders Jaden Daniels.
• 17:13
  But everyone and their mother was on Seattle.
• 17:15
  Seattle open -3 they got down. Or even 3 1/2 got down.
• 17:19
  To 2 1/2 it was clear. Sharp, contrarian, primetime dog
• 17:22
  was Washington. Washington gets rolled, so
• 17:25
  that's just happened way too much for me.
• 17:27
  And again a. Gun to the head, the sharp play
• 17:29
  to me is Arizona in the points. But the way these dogs.
• 17:32
  Have been getting old Yellard. I feel like I have a a better
• 17:35
  edge. Here on the over so I'm.
• 17:37
  Playing the over 53 1/2. I got it at.
• 17:40
  I think -112 And that was at. I want to say ESPN bet.
• 17:46
  So it's root for some points, Arizona.
• 17:47
  Dallas. That's my play on Monday Night
• 17:49
  Football. Now some college basketball.
• 17:53
  Now you might want to go buck wild, as I said.
• 17:55
  Because college hoops is back, which is awesome, but.
• 17:57
  Just remember it's a. Long season, there's a.
• 17:59
  Lot of games so you don't have to go.
• 18:01
  You know, crazy here. Night #1 But I do have one play
• 18:05
  for you. It is.
• 18:06
  A early Game 6. 30 PM Eastern Time, Southern Miss, at Buffalo.
• 18:11
  Now. One thing you got.
• 18:12
  To keep an eye out for these early games, is is it a neutral
• 18:14
  site or is it a? True home game This is a true
• 18:17
  home game for the Buffalo Bulls. Now.
• 18:20
  The one thing I've noticed that's most important to me?
• 18:22
  Is a dog to. Fave line move toward Buffalo
• 18:25
  Southern. Miss open this game.
• 18:27
  Around a 1 1/2 point Rd. favorite.
• 18:30
  We've now flipped to Buffalo -2 1/2 - 3.
• 18:33
  And I see one book even 3 1/2. So Southern Miss Buffalo, it's a
• 18:36
  630 game again, a lot of people aren't even home from work if
• 18:39
  you're a public better, but this is a kind of low under the radar
• 18:43
  game where we have a clear dog to fave line move.
• 18:46
  So I'm going. Buffalo money line here.
• 18:48
  I got them at minus. 150 at ESPN.
• 18:50
  Bet. They're as high as minus. 160
• 18:53
  minus. 165 at. Some other books so definitely
• 18:55
  shop around, but I really like the money line Split 78% of
• 18:59
  bets, 90% of dollars on the money line at Buffalo.
• 19:02
  And again with with. Money lining, Short favorites.
• 19:05
  We do it in. Football to protect yourself.
• 19:07
  A bit. Because safety's missed extra
• 19:09
  points, all that kind of stuff. But if you look at money lining,
• 19:14
  short favorites in college. Hoops, I think it's even more
• 19:16
  important. Because you get to fouling and
• 19:18
  free throws and all that kind of stuff late.
• 19:20
  So it's a true. Home game for Buffalo.
• 19:22
  They've gone from a dog to a fave dog to.
• 19:24
  Fave line move which we love. You also have rhythm.
• 19:28
  Predicting. Buffalo -2 Point. 7.
• 19:30
  Which again is close. To three and a lot of books are
• 19:32
  2 1/2 or 3, so it's not an edge on the the spread, but the other
• 19:37
  angle that I like. Is University of.
• 19:40
  Southern Mississippi on the. Rd.
• 19:41
  Now they went 11 and 22 last year, but they were one in 13 on
• 19:45
  the road. So there's a team that struggle
• 19:47
  on the road. Buffalo's at home.
• 19:49
  It's not a neutral site, you know, neutral site game at.
• 19:53
  You know, at Honolulu or some, you know, Invitational.
• 19:56
  Or channel or whatever. SBC.
• 19:57
  Challenge. It is a true home game.
• 20:00
  With a dog. To fave line, move with a good.
• 20:01
  Split bed split with a rhythm edge.
• 20:03
  On a team that really. Struggled on the road last year
• 20:06
  so my first bet of the college. Hoop season, Buffalo.
• 20:09
  Money line. -150 let's see if we can get a dog to fave to bark
• 20:13
  for us. Last bet of the night.
• 20:15
  Late night game, Miami Heat and the LA.
• 20:18
  Clippers. Now we've seen the.
• 20:19
  Clippers kind of hover. Around an 8 point. 8 1/2.
• 20:22
  Point favorite but my angle. Here is playing the.
• 20:25
  Under now the total. Opened at 2:27 and it hasn't
• 20:30
  really moved at all. It opened 227.
• 20:32
  It's pretty much still 227. But I did.
• 20:35
  Notice that you're starting to see a few books now fall to 226
• 20:39
  1/2. And when I popped open my odds
• 20:41
  logic live odds. Page I noticed.
• 20:43
  That there was kind of 1 little outlier book that was still.
• 20:47
  Offering a 220. 7 1/2 and that book was DraftKings, so I
• 20:53
  jumped. On the under 227 half at DK.
• 20:56
  There's still a couple. Books at 2:27 but.
• 20:58
  Again, a lot. Of books are 226 1/2.
• 21:01
  But I like about the under is it's a bit of a line freeze and
• 21:03
  now it's starting to reverse line move.
• 21:05
  Fall a little bit. Public is playing the over
• 21:07
  Miami's been a. Really high scoring team to
• 21:09
  start this year, so you're getting.
• 21:12
  Nearly. 70 or 76%? Of bets on the.
• 21:14
  Over, yet it stayed the same or fallen.
• 21:16
  But listen to these splits DK the under is getting 24.
• 21:19
  Percent bets 52% dollars at Circa.
• 21:24
  The under is getting 67. Percent of bets, 92% of dollars.
• 21:27
  So good low bets, higher dollar split at both DraftKings and
• 21:30
  Circa. I have two rhythm
• 21:32
  recommendations on the under. One is 223.9, the other is
• 21:36
  223.8, so around a 224. Little bit of an edge there.
• 21:41
  Still on the 227? You'll get the pace.
• 21:44
  Miami is ranked. 14th Clippers ranked 16th.
• 21:47
  So you're kind of bottom half A. Little bit slower and even
• 21:50
  though Miami. 'S been great offensively
• 21:51
  they're. Actually #3 defensive.
• 21:53
  Efficiency. So if we get some defense in
• 21:55
  this one. And then lastly, little cherry
• 21:58
  on top popped open Juice Reel. I noticed a 20.
• 22:01
  Percent pretty big, 20% sharp mush edge on the under.
• 22:05
  So 20% more of the sharper winning.
• 22:06
  Players are going under here, so you open.
• 22:09
  Around 2:27 heat Clippers, you've pretty much stayed.
• 22:12
  Where you're at now, you're starting to fall.
• 22:13
  To 2:26. And 1/2.
• 22:15
  Really good bet splits. On the under rhythms got around
• 22:18
  to. 224 juice. Reels got a sharp.
• 22:20
  Mush to the under. We have kind of slower.
• 22:22
  Paced and good defense. And again, you can still.
• 22:25
  Find the 227 1/2. Under minus. 112 at DraftKings,
• 22:28
  that's what I jumped on. But again, a lot of books
• 22:30
  getting down to two 27226 1/2, but let's see if we can get.
• 22:34
  A lower scoring. Game with Miami and the LA
• 22:36
  Clippers. So under 220. 7 1/2 Two 27226
• 22:42
  1/2. With LA and Miami, Buffalo money
• 22:44
  line in college and Arizona Dallas over 50. 3 1/2.
• 22:48
  On Monday Night Football. So that about does it for
• 22:51
  episode 387 of the All Systems Go sports betting podcast
• 22:55
  powered by rhythm. This is the part of the pod
• 22:57
  where we wrap things up and I start first as always, by.
• 23:00
  Saying thank you. Thank you for tuning in, thank
• 23:03
  you for listening, thank you for grinding with me.
• 23:05
  In the arena. And thank you for grinding.
• 23:07
  When again the results aren't there.
• 23:09
  As they were last week. But it's a new week.
• 23:11
  It's a new opportunity. Again, you're going to have some
• 23:14
  cold streaks, just as we're going to have some.
• 23:15
  Hot. Streaks so I appreciate.
• 23:17
  You guys sticking through the thick and thin, making sharp
• 23:21
  data-driven plays with me. But if you.
• 23:23
  Want to give the pod a five star review on Spotify or iTunes?
• 23:26
  I would love that. Give it a follow or leave a nice
• 23:29
  comment or recommend. The pod to a friend, that would
• 23:31
  also be much appreciated. Next if you enjoy.
• 23:34
  The style of betting. Breakdown data-driven, sharp
• 23:36
  contrarian betting. Focusing on line movement, split
• 23:38
  system matches. Taking a contrarian.
• 23:40
  Approach betting with your head and not your heart.
• 23:44
  Well, if you want to learn more about data-driven betting.
• 23:46
  Or you want to let me know you appreciate?
• 23:47
  The pod Or you have someone in your life who could use some
• 23:49
  data-driven tips. I bet your your public friends
• 23:52
  are laughing. At you right now, because
• 23:54
  obviously all the. Overs and favorites in the.
• 23:56
  NFL are heading but. Just just tell them you know
• 23:58
  you're lucky right now, but long term it's a dangerous approach.
• 24:01
  But. If you want.
• 24:02
  To go to Amazon.com, type. In the NFL sharp betting
• 24:04
  playbook. Or the Everything guide to
• 24:06
  sports betting and pick up one or two.
• 24:09
  Of my books, it would make my day.
• 24:11
  Bring them the sports book, I'll sign them for you.
• 24:13
  I'll buy a beer or ginger ale. And we'll sweat some games
• 24:15
  together. Next, have you downloaded?
• 24:17
  Rhythm and Juice reel. Yet my 2.
• 24:19
  Favorite Sports? Betting apps, they help me when
• 24:21
  they're going. To help you win.
• 24:22
  Rhythm Great for their AI backed models for game bets and player
• 24:24
  props. All of the.
• 24:26
  Rhythm recommendations are live for college basketball right
• 24:29
  now, which is great, and then juice Reel.
• 24:32
  Where you can get the. Robo Jackson best bet picks the
• 24:34
  sharp mush indicators. The arbitrage plays the shop for
• 24:37
  the best sign. Futures and you can.
• 24:38
  Also support the pod tip your podcast.
• 24:41
  Host by signing up. For the four.
• 24:42
  Dollar and 90. $0.09 a week best bets available on the Juice Reel
• 24:46
  tab. So as soon as I make a bet,
• 24:48
  boom, they go right to Juice reel.
• 24:49
  Like for example that. Clippers Miami Under 220.
• 24:52
  Seven half boom. You got that?
• 24:54
  So you get. The pics for 499-A week.
• 24:56
  You can put that in starting to fall down to 226 1/2.
• 24:59
  So download rhythm, download Juice Reel, give them both a
• 25:02
  five star review. In the App Store next.
• 25:05
  Do you have a live odds page? Well, I know it mentioned it
• 25:07
  earlier. But you got to have it,
• 25:09
  especially for college basketball, There's just.
• 25:10
  So many games. It's a spread sport.
• 25:13
  The lines move. Again, we'll play some totals
• 25:15
  you got. To find the best.
• 25:16
  Number. But if you look at odds.
• 25:18
  Logic. It's really the.
• 25:19
  Best when it comes to. Opening column Current prices
• 25:22
  Identifying Steam identifying line.
• 25:24
  Movement. Finding the best price of
• 25:27
  course. Live lining.
• 25:28
  Which is huge in. Basketball as well.
• 25:30
  If you want to give it a. Shot I mentioned earlier, just
• 25:33
  go to oddslogic.com slash. Josh, 123.
• 25:37
  For a. 7 day free trial. And 50% off your first month of?
• 25:40
  Service then of course. No big.
• 25:43
  Have you signed up for Novig yet?
• 25:45
  It is a sports. Betting exchange It's not a
• 25:47
  sports book, so instead. Of crushing.
• 25:49
  You with the juice? -115 -, 120.
• 25:52
  You're going to pay minus one O 5 -, 1 O 8.
• 25:55
  Plus one O 2 which means you can win at the same rate you would
• 25:58
  have a sports. Book but.
• 25:59
  You're going to make more money back.
• 26:00
  Because you have to risk less. Juice so give novig.
• 26:03
  A shot when you. Download.
• 26:05
  The Novig app and. You fund your account.
• 26:08
  There's a promo code just put in Josh 123.
• 26:10
  And you'll get 100%. Deposit match.
• 26:12
  Up to 25 bucks. So that about does it for
• 26:15
  episode 387. Of the ASG pod.
• 26:17
  On the return of college hoops, as always, two final thoughts
• 26:21
  whether I. See you at the.
• 26:22
  Borgata. In Atlantic City, Twin River in.
• 26:24
  Rhode Island, the Brooklyn, New Hampshire, Foxwoods or Mohegan
• 26:27
  Sun DraftKings sports book as well.
• 26:29
  Was. Another one in New Hampshire,
• 26:31
  or, of course, out in the desert where the true grinders get down
• 26:33
  or Billy Walter sends his number runners where.
• 26:35
  The lowest use possible. Is found at the South point or.
• 26:38
  Sweat and sharp contrarian plays.
• 26:40
  Jumping in the stadium swimming pool when you catch a big ticket
• 26:42
  at Circa wherever. It may be you're.
• 26:44
  Going to walk up to me. Hopefully this is the beginning.
• 26:47
  Of the big turn. Around Show me a a UNC Syracuse.
• 26:51
  Under 45 1/2 from Friday A Jeremy.
• 26:53
  Grant over 20. And a half rebounds and points.
• 26:57
  How about Oklahoma or Nebraska? How about the Bears or the
• 26:59
  Raiders? First one's on me, next one's on
• 27:01
  you. We'll post about that book and
• 27:03
  Sweat Sharp and Train plays all night long.
• 27:06
  So as always guys, final thoughts here, some words of
• 27:09
  wisdom. Keep your head up, keep
• 27:11
  grinding, but remember sports. Betting is a long term approach
• 27:14
  and it's difficult. I think when you're winning, you
• 27:16
  think it's easy. But anytime you're winning.
• 27:19
  You always feel like, hey, maybe my winning will come to an end.
• 27:22
  There'll be a cold streak, which would happen recently.
• 27:24
  I'll be. Just got to stick.
• 27:25
  With it, keep grinding. Forest amongst the trees.
• 27:28
  Long term approach. And if we can find the.
• 27:30
  Games that fit our model. Against the public, with the
• 27:33
  house, with the pros. Flat bet.
• 27:34
  Avoid. Parlays and get that.
• 27:35
  CLV we can. Do that, we're going to be
• 27:37
  successful butters long term. So have a great Monday night
• 27:40
  everybody. Welcome back, college hoops.
• 27:43
  It's great to have it back in our lives.
• 27:44
  I'll be right back at it tomorrow for episode. 388.
• 27:47
  Of the All Systems Go sports betting podcast.
• 27:50
  Powered by rhythm. Good luck everybody and have a
• 27:53
  great. Monday night.