Latest / Toadstool Sports / WNBA Playoff BRACKET PICKS | Filling out the WNBA Playoff Bracket
Transcript
- 0:17Speaker 1: You got a slip in your palm and a hole
- 0:20Speaker 1: in your chest Black coffee on the felt, man, you
- 0:24Speaker 1: look like a mess Three-team parlay turned to dust in
- 0:28Speaker 1: your head Now you stare at the chips like they
- 0:32Speaker 1: made you this mad But don't you go quiet, don't
- 0:36Speaker 1: you fade from the floor Your name still means something
- 0:40Speaker 1: to somebody for sure.
- 0:42Speaker 2: Put the glass.
- 0:43Speaker 3: Down, baby.
- 0:45Speaker 4: Look at me now. Hold on. Hold on. Not tonight.
- 0:56Speaker 1: Not now.
- 0:58Speaker 2: Hold on.
- 1:00Speaker 4: Hold on. Let me pull you out. That fella fights hard.
- 1:10Speaker 4: But it don't get the crown.
- 1:15Speaker 1: Hold on, hold on, stay with me now.
- 1:20Speaker 4: Hold on, hold on, stay with me now.
- 1:44Speaker 2: I know something, maybe.
- 1:45Speaker 5: I don't know.
- 1:47Speaker 2: It's only eight teams in. It's going to be quick.
- 1:49Speaker 2: I'm going to fill out the bracket. It's going to
- 1:50Speaker 2: be extremely uninteresting. It's the WNBA, so for the most part,
- 1:54Speaker 2: favorites win, but maybe I'll throw a little bit of
- 1:56Speaker 2: a wrench into this bracket. I don't really know. Let's
- 2:01Speaker 2: get into it, man. Who cares? Why not? Just I'm
- 2:04Speaker 2: doing this on second season, which I think is the
- 2:07Speaker 2: only place it has. Because you know how popular the
- 2:10Speaker 2: WNBA is. It's so popular that there's no bracket game
- 2:13Speaker 2: anywhere besides whatever the hell this website is. There isn't
- 2:17Speaker 2: one on ESPN. There isn't anyone on any of the
- 2:20Speaker 2: main sites. But we get to fill it out here.
- 2:22Speaker 2: Isn't that awesome? Isn't that fun? This is the bracket game.
- 2:29Speaker 2: As of yesterday, as of the end of the regular
- 2:31Speaker 2: season yesterday, Minnesota had already wrapped up the one seed.
- 2:34Speaker 2: They drew New York as the number eight seed. You know,
- 2:38Speaker 2: I do feel like this is probably the strongest grouping
- 2:42Speaker 2: that we've ever seen in the playoff, but Minnesota also
- 2:45Speaker 2: might be the strongest one seed that we've seen in
- 2:47Speaker 2: the playoffs since I've been following this at all just
- 2:50Speaker 2: for betting purposes. Atlanta and Washington drew the 4-5 matchup here.
- 2:56Speaker 2: Golden State and Dallas in the 2-7. And then Vegas
- 2:59Speaker 2: and Indiana in the 3-6. Yeah, that one is interesting.
- 3:05Speaker 2: But anyway, you know how we do this. We fill
- 3:07Speaker 2: out the bracket backwards. We build it backwards. I'm built backwards.
- 3:10Speaker 2: That's what we do. It's game theory. I don't even
- 3:13Speaker 2: know how many people I'm up against on this website.
- 3:15Speaker 2: But you want to go against the grain when appropriate.
- 3:18Speaker 2: I would say.
- 3:21Speaker 2: I use my own judgment, but like you want to
- 3:23Speaker 2: try to use leverage. I have no idea how many
- 3:25Speaker 2: people are picking what team here, but you got to
- 3:27Speaker 2: think Minnesota is a very popular champion pick. However, I
- 3:32Speaker 2: don't know if I'm going to pick against them because
- 3:34Speaker 2: I'm just not sure that I see much else going
- 3:39Speaker 2: on here as far as like what this path looks
- 3:41Speaker 2: like and other like the potential that another team wins this.
- 3:45Speaker 2: I'm not sure it's even really that good, but you
- 3:48Speaker 2: got to look at the odds. That's what I always do.
- 3:49Speaker 2: So we will look at the championship odds here the
- 3:54Speaker 2: Lynx are technically an underdog against the field they're plus
- 3:57Speaker 2: 115 I guess we have to know if they're actually
- 3:59Speaker 2: healthy because Miles has been hurt and whatever but she's
- 4:03Speaker 2: the rookie of the year I'm pretty sure or whatever
- 4:05Speaker 2: and they have a stacked lineup and if you remember
- 4:07Speaker 2: last year the last couple years they probably should have
- 4:10Speaker 2: been the champion really and I believe they fell short
- 4:12Speaker 2: both times Once against New York two years ago because
- 4:17Speaker 2: of some BS calls. And last year they got knocked
- 4:20Speaker 2: out by Phoenix because Collier got hurt for the Lynx.
- 4:24Speaker 2: So she was out. She's not hurt right now, though
- 4:27Speaker 2: I don't believe. I believe she is back. Let me
- 4:29Speaker 2: make sure of that, but I'm almost positive that's the case.
- 4:32Speaker 2: I don't think they have significant injuries here, but let
- 4:35Speaker 2: me make sure. I know they rested a bunch of
- 4:37Speaker 2: people against Indiana the other night or whatever, but let
- 4:40Speaker 2: me look. Yeah, Collier's there. McBride yeah Howard like all
- 4:46Speaker 2: these players are there Miles don't know what her status
- 4:49Speaker 2: is but you know here's the thing like the Lynx
- 4:55Speaker 2: probably have about a 50-50 chance to win this whole
- 4:58Speaker 2: thing essentially I mean that's what the odds makers are
- 5:01Speaker 2: kind of telling you although they always give you worse
- 5:04Speaker 2: odds on on these they give you worse odds you
- 5:10Speaker 2: know because they have to make you pay the juice, right?
- 5:13Speaker 2: So they're actually saying that the Lynx are probably 40-something
- 5:16Speaker 2: percent to win this whole thing. They're probably being picked
- 5:19Speaker 2: by more than 40% of pickers, I would imagine. But
- 5:22Speaker 2: I'm just not so sure that I really want to
- 5:24Speaker 2: take any of the other teams here, man. Like, I
- 5:27Speaker 2: was thinking that all year. I think I just have
- 5:29Speaker 2: to do it. It's, you know, it's not interesting at all,
- 5:33Speaker 2: but I think I do have to take Minnesota to
- 5:35Speaker 2: finally break through and win this whole thing. I just
- 5:37Speaker 2: don't really see it not happening. I could be wrong,
- 5:41Speaker 2: and of course, I'm not really game-theoring this by picking
- 5:45Speaker 2: them to win the whole thing, but it's such a
- 5:47Speaker 2: small bracket. Maybe you have to try to game-theory it elsewhere,
- 5:50Speaker 2: although your bracket's going to be, whatever you do, it's
- 5:53Speaker 2: probably going to be not really differentiated from that many people.
- 5:57Speaker 2: You're probably going to have the same bracket as some
- 6:00Speaker 2: other people, but if we look at who's going to
- 6:03Speaker 2: be on the other side here, it's going to be
- 6:06Speaker 2: either Vegas or Golden State here. Let me see. To
- 6:10Speaker 2: make the finals, the Lynx are minus 175 to make
- 6:13Speaker 2: the finals. Aces are plus 125, and the Valkyries are
- 6:16Speaker 2: plus 135. So that's really, really close. Even though Vegas
- 6:21Speaker 2: has all the experience here. They've done it before. They
- 6:25Speaker 2: did it last year. They won the whole thing before.
- 6:27Speaker 2: Golden State's this up-and-coming team. They're good, though. And when
- 6:33Speaker 2: you look at this, I'm thinking that the Aces' path
- 6:36Speaker 2: is definitely worse than Because Dallas is an up-and-coming team
- 6:42Speaker 2: more than Golden State is. Golden State is kind of
- 6:44Speaker 2: here now. They've arrived. Dallas is a really young team,
- 6:49Speaker 2: really inexperienced compared to the Valkyries. And really, Indiana kind
- 6:54Speaker 2: of is inexperienced too. So really, it's just Vegas in
- 6:58Speaker 2: this side of the grouping that is the experienced team.
- 7:01Speaker 2: But I'm going to explain why I'm going to do
- 7:04Speaker 2: this because I think that the Aces could actually go
- 7:07Speaker 2: down in the first round this year. So I'm actually
- 7:09Speaker 2: going to take Golden State to get there, even though
- 7:12Speaker 2: it's a one versus two. I believe pretty much everybody,
- 7:15Speaker 2: like all the experts and whatever, are picking Minnesota over
- 7:18Speaker 2: Vegas here. So I'm going to differentiate my bracket by
- 7:21Speaker 2: sending Golden State to the final here and having them
- 7:25Speaker 2: lose to Minnesota here. They are a really good team.
- 7:29Speaker 2: I will take Atlanta over Washington. I can tell you
- 7:31Speaker 2: Atlanta's definitely the better team there, but let me see
- 7:33Speaker 2: what the line looks like here. I want to see
- 7:36Speaker 2: the series lines here. Do we have that here? Let
- 7:39Speaker 2: me see. Playoffs, series, yeah. So the Lynx are minus 350,
- 7:44Speaker 2: by the way, to win their first series. Atlanta's minus 340,
- 7:48Speaker 2: and Golden State's minus 425. So all those teams are
- 7:51Speaker 2: heavy favorites to get through their first round. But look
- 7:54Speaker 2: at the Aces, minus 170. They're not a heavy favorite
- 7:59Speaker 2: to even get out of the first round. And I
- 8:01Speaker 2: can tell you, Indiana, like, basically has Vegas' number. They
- 8:05Speaker 2: played each other three times this year, and Indiana absolutely
- 8:08Speaker 2: blew the doors off of them twice. Like, two out
- 8:11Speaker 2: of the three games, Indiana won the game by, like,
- 8:13Speaker 2: 30 points or something. And then in the other game,
- 8:16Speaker 2: Vegas won in overtime, which I think was at Indiana.
- 8:20Speaker 2: But even so, Indiana seems like they are Vegas' kryptonite.
- 8:24Speaker 2: I don't know what the deal is with them, but
- 8:25Speaker 2: Indiana just beats that team. And it seems like Indiana
- 8:29Speaker 2: beats the Liberty too, but the Liberty are never going
- 8:31Speaker 2: to get there. I don't think so. I'm going to
- 8:33Speaker 2: take Indiana. I'm going to take Caitlin Clark to get
- 8:36Speaker 2: out of the first round and win that, even though,
- 8:38Speaker 2: I don't know. Do you think the WNBA is going
- 8:40Speaker 2: to rig one of these series against Indiana here because
- 8:44Speaker 2: they don't like Cunningham? I don't know, man. They might
- 8:47Speaker 2: want Cunningham and Clark to still be in it for
- 8:49Speaker 2: a while just to, I don't know, just to have
- 8:52Speaker 2: more notoriety here. That's going to be my bracket. That's it.
- 8:56Speaker 2: There you go. The one upset I got is Indiana
- 8:59Speaker 2: pulling off the upset over Vegas there in the 6-3 matchup.
- 9:02Speaker 2: I got Minnesota beating Golden State in the final, and
- 9:05Speaker 2: I got Atlanta winning in the first round over Washington
- 9:08Speaker 2: and then losing to Minnesota, although that would be a
- 9:11Speaker 2: tough series, I think, for Minnesota. Atlanta, I think, can
- 9:14Speaker 2: play them somewhat tough, but I don't think they'd get
- 9:15Speaker 2: through it. tiebreakers oh yeah the combined score that's just
- 9:19Speaker 2: the total in the final playoff game well usually that
- 9:23Speaker 2: final game it's going to tend to be a competitive
- 9:25Speaker 2: matchup so like what do we do as far as
- 9:28Speaker 2: i don't know like maybe 168 is somewhere kind of
- 9:30Speaker 2: mid-range for a total here in this league now and
- 9:34Speaker 2: at halftime i would say it would be a little
- 9:36Speaker 2: bit less than half that so i don't know maybe
- 9:40Speaker 2: 81 let's or uh yeah.
- 9:42Speaker 3: Let's uh.
- 9:46Speaker 2: Is that right? Let's go with something like that. Yeah.
- 9:49Speaker 2: Something like that makes sense, I guess.
- 9:50Speaker 5: I don't know.
- 9:51Speaker 2: I'm trying to think because I think the second half
- 9:52Speaker 2: is usually a higher scoring. So, yeah, let's go with
- 9:55Speaker 2: something like that. Why not? That's it. We're done. That's
- 9:59Speaker 2: the Brad. Got nothing else to do here, man. I
- 10:04Speaker 2: told you it was going to be a quick video.
- 10:06Speaker 2: A quick hitter, man. 10, 15 minutes. Just wanted to
- 10:09Speaker 2: get it out. There's my bracket. Nobody's live in the
- 10:14Speaker 2: chat right now. That's fine. But you guys will watch
- 10:16Speaker 2: it later and be like, I'll be like, why did
- 10:18Speaker 2: I even do this? But that's it. I do it
- 10:20Speaker 2: every year anyway. All right, man. And maybe that'll give
- 10:23Speaker 2: you some potential options as far as how you want
- 10:26Speaker 2: to bet these playoffs if you really think you want to.
- 10:29Speaker 2: That's going to do it.
- 10:31Speaker 3: Peace.
- 10:33Speaker 2: Oh, and yes, Learn to Tone on Instagram, Learn to
- 10:34Speaker 2: Tone on Twitter. Like, subscribe to the channel here. Listen
- 10:38Speaker 2: on audio, Apple, Spotify, Spreaker, all the things. Patreon.com slash
- 10:43Speaker 2: Learn to Tone if you want to support me over there.
- 10:45Speaker 2: Covered in you because my ukulele channel on YouTube. Loser
- 10:48Speaker 2: cast every Tuesday night. That's it. Peace.
- 10:56Speaker 5: If the dark starts talking, hand me the phone. Let
- 11:00Speaker 5: somebody answer. Let somebody know. You do not have.
- 11:06Speaker 4: To lose this round alone.
- 11:12Speaker 1: Hold on.
- 11:14Speaker 3: Hold on, not tonight, not now Hold on, hold on
- 11:25Speaker 3: Let me pull you out That.
- 11:30Speaker 5: Bad luck bites hard But it don't get.
- 11:36Speaker 3: The crown Hold on, hold on Stay with me now
- 11:47Speaker 4: Hold on, hold on You're still here now guitar solo