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Dodgers/Diamondbacks MLB Best Bets 9/24/25 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on OWN
• 0:05
  Speaker 1: seven run over the last two days after tonight it
• 0:07
  Speaker 1: was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna start
• 0:11
  Speaker 1: off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I don't
• 0:14
  Speaker 1: even know what to tell you about that. I just
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: don't want to do this anymore. I have never seen
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: anything like this. Man with the slump continuing, two straight losses,
• 0:25
  Speaker 1: not a good day at all. Own four that have
• 0:29
  Speaker 1: not had a good season. Man with wookends the slump
• 0:34
  Speaker 1: that I'm on, and the slump continues. I've reached into pink. Actually,
• 0:39
  Speaker 1: I'm going to burn my broins hat. Man, I don't
• 0:42
  Speaker 1: know what is going on with the bruins arch hape?
• 0:45
  Speaker 1: Is that what it is? I don't even know it's
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: It's March ninth, I think who even knows? Man, I
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: don't know what day it is anymore. I don't even
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: know what day it is anymore. Man, back with you
• 0:55
  Speaker 1: after the worst day that I could possibly have, Back
• 0:59
  Speaker 1: with you as I always am until I die, at
• 1:02
  Speaker 1: least oh and two yesterday and yesterday it did not
• 1:06
  Speaker 1: go well for me. Oh and five the worst month
• 1:10
  Speaker 1: that I've ever had in my eighteen years doing this.
• 1:12
  Speaker 1: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 1:14
  Speaker 1: To the slump. As the slump discontinuous, the slump continues.
• 1:19
  Speaker 1: Somebody fucking kill me, please. I don't even know what
• 1:24
  Speaker 1: I should do at this point other than potentially end
• 1:27
  Speaker 1: it all. Hold on, do we get it? We're going now?
• 2:22
  Speaker 1: I think we got it. Yeah, this is ridiculous, man,
• 2:27
  Speaker 1: all right, all right, I apologize for that. I think
• 2:30
  Speaker 1: we're good now. I just lost power so like it
• 2:34
  Speaker 1: cut everything, man, so it turned off my scarlet. Here.
• 2:38
  Speaker 1: We're good now, though, I think what's up? Everybody? Toad
• 2:41
  Speaker 1: back with you? Better off dead? Wednesday, September twenty fourth,
• 2:46
  Speaker 1: technical difficulties here. But we've done well, man. We've won
• 2:52
  Speaker 1: five of the last six days. I think, a nice
• 2:55
  Speaker 1: run after a huge weekend, continuing to win coming into
• 2:59
  Speaker 1: this week. Two one one day yesterday, easy easy win
• 3:04
  Speaker 1: on the WNBA yesterday, man, the Las Vegas Aces. I
• 3:08
  Speaker 1: mean that was a really easy blowout win. So that
• 3:11
  Speaker 1: was a nice one. You love those easy wins, man,
• 3:14
  Speaker 1: you gotta love that. And then we did have a
• 3:16
  Speaker 1: loss in baseball with the Cincinnati Reds. Unfortunately, what can
• 3:20
  Speaker 1: you do, and they've fallen behind the Mets again, I
• 3:23
  Speaker 1: believe so they they're still in that wildcard race. But
• 3:28
  Speaker 1: the motivational angle didn't work out there. And then we
• 3:32
  Speaker 1: did gonna win on the Kansas City Royals, which it
• 3:34
  Speaker 1: was a good one. I mean, they were winning. They're
• 3:36
  Speaker 1: up three to nothing into like the sixth inning or something,
• 3:38
  Speaker 1: and then they gave up two runs and I'm like,
• 3:40
  Speaker 1: oh crap, because the Royals offense isn't good, but Anaheims
• 3:44
  Speaker 1: bullpen is even worse than the Royals offense. So again,
• 3:48
  Speaker 1: pitching mattery more than a hitting and the Royals bombed
• 3:52
  Speaker 1: Anaheims bullpen and pushed their lead back to I think
• 3:55
  Speaker 1: they actually pushed the lead up to eight to two,
• 3:57
  Speaker 1: and then they wound up winning the game eight to
• 3:59
  Speaker 1: four something like that. So we got that one done too.
• 4:02
  Speaker 1: Royal's run line. We'll have a bunch of baseball players today, man,
• 4:06
  Speaker 1: we got a full baseball card. It is the last
• 4:10
  Speaker 1: week of baseball. Basically, the races are all heating up, man,
• 4:15
  Speaker 1: and if you if you prefer one baseball race over another,
• 4:18
  Speaker 1: that makes you a racist. By the way. Uh, but
• 4:21
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna give out four baseball plays only one is
• 4:25
  Speaker 1: gonna be on a side and all the rest are
• 4:27
  Speaker 1: total action. And you know me, if you like unders
• 4:31
  Speaker 1: like I do, then you're probably gonna like this show.
• 4:34
  Speaker 1: This is a This is gonna be an under heavy show. Man.
• 4:37
  Speaker 1: It's all baseball today. We have no w NBA as
• 4:41
  Speaker 1: the teams are shifting venues. They actually every team gets
• 4:44
  Speaker 1: two days off now. I think so WNBA won't start
• 4:48
  Speaker 1: again until Friday tomorrow. We have some college football and
• 4:54
  Speaker 1: NFL that we'll talk about then and Friday, of course
• 4:56
  Speaker 1: more college football, I'm pretty sure. But today's all baseball,
• 4:59
  Speaker 1: so I know you guys are gonna love that. The
• 5:01
  Speaker 1: baseball heavy shows where I get super autistic. I've never
• 5:05
  Speaker 1: done this before. Like when I did the show the
• 5:07
  Speaker 1: last two years, I didn't go through every single baseball game.
• 5:10
  Speaker 1: But I am now just because I'm autistic and I
• 5:14
  Speaker 1: don't have to work right now. So that's just what
• 5:17
  Speaker 1: I'm doing. Man, Well, I probably should be to save
• 5:20
  Speaker 1: my house that I'm probably gonna have to sell, because
• 5:23
  Speaker 1: I don't. I mean, I'm dipping into my savings now.
• 5:25
  Speaker 1: It's not good man anyway, Washington, Atlanta. This is the
• 5:31
  Speaker 1: one early game at noon Eastern, basically twelve fifteen Eastern.
• 5:35
  Speaker 1: For whatever reason, I think this is probably the end
• 5:37
  Speaker 1: of this particular series. Atlanta is hot right now. Man,
• 5:42
  Speaker 1: They've won ten games in a row, even though it
• 5:44
  Speaker 1: doesn't even matter at this point other than they're kind
• 5:46
  Speaker 1: of saving themselves from tonal embarrassment, I guess. But you
• 5:51
  Speaker 1: gotta think Washington's got to show up here at some point,
• 5:53
  Speaker 1: because Atlanta swept them in Washington four games in a row,
• 5:58
  Speaker 1: just two series agoing now Washington on the Vergin and
• 6:00
  Speaker 1: he swept again. Washington came close yesterday, only losing by one.
• 6:05
  Speaker 1: Uh But looking at the starting pitching matchup, yeah, I
• 6:09
  Speaker 1: mean maybe you do want to potentially look to fade
• 6:12
  Speaker 1: Atlanta here, which I'll show you in a minute. It
• 6:14
  Speaker 1: gets a little bit if he I would say Atlanta
• 6:17
  Speaker 1: still has the better bullpen, EI, they're decently rested here.
• 6:20
  Speaker 1: Both bullpens didn't get used a lot yesterday. But you
• 6:23
  Speaker 1: got to give it Lanta the bullpen edge. They do
• 6:25
  Speaker 1: have a hitting edge as well. The starting pitching edge
• 6:28
  Speaker 1: maybe in favor of Washington. So I think if you
• 6:30
  Speaker 1: want to play Washington here, it should be a first
• 6:33
  Speaker 1: five inning play. Andrew Alvarez is pitching for Washington. He
• 6:38
  Speaker 1: is in his rookie season, even though he's twenty six.
• 6:41
  Speaker 1: He's pitched pretty well two point eight four ERA, one
• 6:44
  Speaker 1: point one to one WHIP. He is bad on the
• 6:46
  Speaker 1: road though, six point seventy five l though it's such
• 6:49
  Speaker 1: a small sample size. What can you really draw from that?
• 6:52
  Speaker 1: His two road games are against the top of its
• 6:54
  Speaker 1: offenses that he faced Cubs and the Mets. Last time
• 6:57
  Speaker 1: out against the Mets was his worst start. Gave a
• 6:59
  Speaker 1: four runs at three and a third. The defense kind
• 7:02
  Speaker 1: of failed behind him a couple of unearned runs there.
• 7:04
  Speaker 1: He still had four strikeouts one walk, which isn't too bad,
• 7:07
  Speaker 1: so his walk rate has actually started going down over
• 7:10
  Speaker 1: his last two starts. So some good signs there. And
• 7:13
  Speaker 1: the one other good thing about him here is that,
• 7:15
  Speaker 1: of course he's unfamiliar to Atlanta. So these young pitchers
• 7:19
  Speaker 1: when they haven't been seen before by the opposing hitters.
• 7:21
  Speaker 1: I talk about this all the time, the pitcher can
• 7:23
  Speaker 1: have the advantage early on because the hitters have to
• 7:26
  Speaker 1: try to figure him out. The other good thing I
• 7:29
  Speaker 1: guess is that Atlanta's offense is not as good as
• 7:32
  Speaker 1: the Mets or the Cobs. They are better than the
• 7:34
  Speaker 1: two teams that Alvarez did well against though, Miami and Pittsburgh.
• 7:37
  Speaker 1: So he's facing kind of a mid tier offense here.
• 7:41
  Speaker 1: He may do okay here though, and he's up against
• 7:43
  Speaker 1: Bryce Elder, and you know, I have issues with Bryce Elder,
• 7:47
  Speaker 1: personal issues. No, he's just not that good, but he
• 7:50
  Speaker 1: has actually been pitching a lot better recently, so it
• 7:53
  Speaker 1: makes him a pretty tough handicap because overall have never
• 7:56
  Speaker 1: thought he was that good. Five point three six ERA
• 7:59
  Speaker 1: this year, one point four to two whip. He's worse
• 8:02
  Speaker 1: at home significantly, six point eight one ERA at home.
• 8:06
  Speaker 1: That's not good. But then over his last six outings,
• 8:09
  Speaker 1: he's allowed two or fewer earned runs in five of
• 8:11
  Speaker 1: the six games. Only had one bad start, but it
• 8:14
  Speaker 1: was at home against Houston. But other than that, he's
• 8:17
  Speaker 1: pitching really well. Two point nine two ERA this month
• 8:20
  Speaker 1: and a twenty five to four strike aut walk ratio,
• 8:23
  Speaker 1: so he is indeed in good form right now, but
• 8:26
  Speaker 1: his numbers are not good. Against Washington in forty four
• 8:29
  Speaker 1: at bats seven to two strike at walk ratio is
• 8:32
  Speaker 1: pretty good, but three eighteen batting average allowed eighth two ops.
• 8:36
  Speaker 1: That's not good. So Washington has been able to hit
• 8:39
  Speaker 1: him pretty well in the past, so very difficult to
• 8:42
  Speaker 1: handicap this game. The money line dropped on Atlanta from
• 8:45
  Speaker 1: minus one ninety two to minus one seventy eight. Osberger
• 8:47
  Speaker 1: is telling you that the significantly better team, which is true,
• 8:51
  Speaker 1: sixty three percent of tickets seventy eight percent of the
• 8:53
  Speaker 1: cash on Atlanta, so they're getting a little bit of
• 8:56
  Speaker 1: the cash percentage. I mean, I would still you just
• 9:00
  Speaker 1: have a slight lean to Washington in the first five innings.
• 9:02
  Speaker 1: I think there might be some motivation there at this point,
• 9:05
  Speaker 1: just to not lose six games in a row to Atlanta.
• 9:08
  Speaker 1: And I think Alvarez just being an unknown and overall
• 9:11
  Speaker 1: having better numbers. Sort of a note, it's a small
• 9:15
  Speaker 1: sample size, but possibly he's able to outpitch Elder in
• 9:19
  Speaker 1: the early parts of this game. But I want nothing
• 9:21
  Speaker 1: to do with Washington's bullpen, so that's kind of the
• 9:23
  Speaker 1: issue there. Money is coming in on the over in
• 9:26
  Speaker 1: this game as well, up from nine to nine juice
• 9:28
  Speaker 1: to the over fifty two percent of tickets on the
• 9:30
  Speaker 1: over fifty five percent of cash on the over. I mean,
• 9:33
  Speaker 1: factoring in Washington's bullpend, the fact that I still don't
• 9:36
  Speaker 1: think Elder is that good, and he's not good against Washington.
• 9:41
  Speaker 1: You could maybe take a look at the over The
• 9:43
  Speaker 1: most difficult part of this handicap really is I think
• 9:46
  Speaker 1: it's Elder like overall, he's not good. He's not good
• 9:50
  Speaker 1: against Washington, but he's in good form right now, and
• 9:52
  Speaker 1: I think the form that the pitcher is in right
• 9:54
  Speaker 1: now does matter quite a bit. So it's a difficult handicap.
• 9:57
  Speaker 1: Stacks what's up, man thinks for hanging out, So I
• 10:00
  Speaker 1: will skip the game obviously. Milwaukee at San Diego. I'm
• 10:04
  Speaker 1: gonna give out a play on that one, so that'll
• 10:06
  Speaker 1: be at the end. So hold on for the end, man,
• 10:08
  Speaker 1: Because my plays they're all in games that have playoff implications.
• 10:12
  Speaker 1: They think all four of my games do. Tampa at Baltimore,
• 10:17
  Speaker 1: now we get into the evening slate. Milwaukee in San
• 10:19
  Speaker 1: Diego is actually an afternoon game out on the Pacific Coast.
• 10:22
  Speaker 1: There'll be four to ten Eastern the rest of these
• 10:25
  Speaker 1: games in the evening. Tampa Baltimore. These two teams are
• 10:28
  Speaker 1: both just playing out the stretch. Baltimore got the win
• 10:31
  Speaker 1: six nothing yesterday. I believe I gave out a lean
• 10:33
  Speaker 1: on Baltimore in the first five yesterday, which was Bradish
• 10:38
  Speaker 1: was pitching for Baltimore against who wasn't for Tampa. I
• 10:42
  Speaker 1: don't even remember. Oh no, it wasn't Bradish. It was Creamer. Yeah,
• 10:46
  Speaker 1: that's right, Creamer against Peppi. Oh yeah, Creamer out pitch
• 10:49
  Speaker 1: Pepio yesterday. I think that was my Leenen yesterday, though,
• 10:52
  Speaker 1: I mean, you could check me if I'm wrong. Though
• 10:55
  Speaker 1: this game, though, yeah, I mean Tampa might be in
• 10:58
  Speaker 1: a little bit of an extra motivated spot if they
• 11:00
  Speaker 1: got shut out yesterday. Tampa is still better than Baltimore,
• 11:05
  Speaker 1: but I think in this game i'd been leaning towards
• 11:07
  Speaker 1: Baltimore in an under which I'll explain in a second.
• 11:10
  Speaker 1: If you want Baltimore, I think you should not really
• 11:12
  Speaker 1: deal with their bullpen. Though their bullpen is rested at least,
• 11:15
  Speaker 1: but they're not a very good bullpen. Tampa has the
• 11:18
  Speaker 1: better bullpen, and they're actually very well rested as well.
• 11:20
  Speaker 1: I think neither team played a Monday. Most teams didn't
• 11:23
  Speaker 1: play this Monday, and then both teams had limited usage yesterday,
• 11:28
  Speaker 1: especially Tampa because they were already out of the game.
• 11:31
  Speaker 1: So Tampa's got a bullpen edge here. Tampa still actually
• 11:34
  Speaker 1: has a better offense than Baltimore slightly. I do think
• 11:37
  Speaker 1: Baltimore has the better starting pitcher in this one. Shane
• 11:40
  Speaker 1: Boz is pitching for Tampa. I still think Boz is
• 11:44
  Speaker 1: better than he looks. I mean he has I mean
• 11:46
  Speaker 1: he looks ugly, is what I'm saying. Like, what's up
• 11:48
  Speaker 1: with this bleached mustache? Dude? Come on, No, is that
• 11:53
  Speaker 1: really he bleacher? Or is that really his hair color?
• 11:55
  Speaker 1: I don't even know? Man? Is he? And l Bay
• 11:57
  Speaker 1: and no? Boz four point nine nine one point three
• 12:01
  Speaker 1: to five whip on the season. But he's got good
• 12:03
  Speaker 1: strikeout stuff. So and the advanced analytics guys will tell
• 12:07
  Speaker 1: you that I think his like expected ERA and stuff
• 12:10
  Speaker 1: is actually lower than what his actual ERA is. So
• 12:13
  Speaker 1: they basically will tell you that he's a little bit
• 12:15
  Speaker 1: better than his numbers. Look, he's better on the road
• 12:18
  Speaker 1: four point zero five ERA. He doesn't pitch very well
• 12:21
  Speaker 1: at home in that tough spring training stadium they have
• 12:24
  Speaker 1: to play and gives them a lot of home runs there.
• 12:26
  Speaker 1: So Boz is definitely better on the road. He's been
• 12:29
  Speaker 1: pretty good this month. He had one bad start on
• 12:32
  Speaker 1: the road actually at the Cubs his home starts have
• 12:34
  Speaker 1: actually been good this month twenty three to seven, strike
• 12:38
  Speaker 1: out walk race Yio this month three point four to
• 12:40
  Speaker 1: four ERA, So he is pitching better. He's in better
• 12:44
  Speaker 1: form right now, and he has good numbers against Baltimore.
• 12:46
  Speaker 1: It's a small twenty one at bat sample size, a
• 12:49
  Speaker 1: lot of their hitters have faced him seven to one,
• 12:52
  Speaker 1: strike out walk race year. The only extra base hit
• 12:54
  Speaker 1: is a home run from Henderson one forty three batting
• 12:57
  Speaker 1: average allowed, four to sixty eight oh ps. So Boz
• 13:01
  Speaker 1: may very well do well in this game, and he's
• 13:03
  Speaker 1: going up against Tyler Wells, who might also do well here.
• 13:07
  Speaker 1: Wells is having a good season. It's been a very
• 13:09
  Speaker 1: short season. He came back from injury. He's been surprisingly good.
• 13:13
  Speaker 1: Two point zero four ERA, point six to two whip
• 13:16
  Speaker 1: for Baltimore. I know numbers like that are not sustainable,
• 13:19
  Speaker 1: but he is pitching well. One point three to five
• 13:22
  Speaker 1: ERA at home. He's been good at home. He's only
• 13:25
  Speaker 1: made three starts and they haven't been against prolific offenses,
• 13:28
  Speaker 1: although Tampa's isn't a good offense either, although they're probably
• 13:32
  Speaker 1: actually the best offense that will face so far. Because
• 13:35
  Speaker 1: he faced San Diego on the road pitcher friendly park
• 13:37
  Speaker 1: there Pittsburgh, and then the White Sox also on the road.
• 13:41
  Speaker 1: He's done really well, though, I mean, you can't really
• 13:43
  Speaker 1: knock him for what he's done. Fourteen to one strike
• 13:45
  Speaker 1: a walk ratio, he's allowed two or fewer in runs
• 13:48
  Speaker 1: and all three of those starts gone at least five innings.
• 13:50
  Speaker 1: In all of them. Tampa there's still not like a
• 13:54
  Speaker 1: great offense either. They're mediocre offense, but his numbers against
• 13:58
  Speaker 1: them actually not great in twenty six career bats, so
• 14:02
  Speaker 1: maybe I take that back. Actually, on the Baltimore side,
• 14:05
  Speaker 1: twenty six at bats, they only have three hitters of
• 14:08
  Speaker 1: seam wells before but eight to four strike a walker
• 14:11
  Speaker 1: ratio of two home runs from Diz and Brandon low
• 14:15
  Speaker 1: to sixty nine batting average at nine to forty four
• 14:18
  Speaker 1: oh ps. So actually I might take that back, even
• 14:20
  Speaker 1: though both pitchers are in good form right now, which
• 14:23
  Speaker 1: does matter, and maybe it does matter more than Wells
• 14:26
  Speaker 1: not having great numbers against Tampa Bay. The money is
• 14:29
  Speaker 1: coming in on Baltimore. They flip from plus one hundred
• 14:31
  Speaker 1: to minus one twelve sixty six percent ticket seventy six
• 14:34
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash coming into Baltimore. I mean, I
• 14:37
  Speaker 1: do still generally think Tampa is the better team. They
• 14:40
  Speaker 1: have a positive run differential on the season, They're gonna
• 14:44
  Speaker 1: be one of the better teams that misses the playoffs.
• 14:47
  Speaker 1: They've been a little bit unlucky. I've had difficult schedule.
• 14:51
  Speaker 1: It's the way it goes sometimes, man. But in this
• 14:55
  Speaker 1: match of yeah, the money's coming in on Baltimore, I
• 14:57
  Speaker 1: don't know if I would trust that, though. Maybe I
• 14:58
  Speaker 1: take that back. Actually, I think Boz he has the
• 15:02
  Speaker 1: better matchup numbers over well, so I think Boz actually
• 15:04
  Speaker 1: might be kind of a sneaky look in this one,
• 15:07
  Speaker 1: So I actually take that back. I actually would probably
• 15:09
  Speaker 1: slightly lean to Tampa on the money line full game
• 15:12
  Speaker 1: because their bullpen is better. But I think probably my
• 15:15
  Speaker 1: favorite or my preferred way of looking at this game
• 15:18
  Speaker 1: as an under, it's down from eight and a half
• 15:20
  Speaker 1: to eight on the total, sixty percent of tickets ninety
• 15:23
  Speaker 1: nine percent of the cash on the under. I don't
• 15:26
  Speaker 1: think I buy that cash percentage, but I think it
• 15:28
  Speaker 1: still means there is money coming in on the under
• 15:30
  Speaker 1: in this one. That's probably where I would go. I
• 15:33
  Speaker 1: think both pitchers are set up to actually do Okay,
• 15:36
  Speaker 1: in this game, bullpen's arrested. Yeah, I know, Baltimore's bullpen
• 15:39
  Speaker 1: isn't good. Tampa's is pretty good, so that could probably
• 15:42
  Speaker 1: help even it out a little bit. That's yeah, that's
• 15:46
  Speaker 1: the way I would look in that game. Detroit at Cleveland. Yeah,
• 15:52
  Speaker 1: this is the series, man, this is absolute insanity. Cleveland
• 15:57
  Speaker 1: has the tiebreaker now against Detroit. I don't know if
• 16:00
  Speaker 1: they already did, but Cleveland won yesterday against school Ball
• 16:05
  Speaker 1: no Less. And by the way, I said the game
• 16:08
  Speaker 1: was going to be low scoring, but I didn't like
• 16:09
  Speaker 1: the six and a half under. The game landed exactly seven.
• 16:13
  Speaker 1: So that's the thing, man, seven. It wasn't a tie
• 16:16
  Speaker 1: breaking on number. That was five to two. I think
• 16:19
  Speaker 1: was the final for Cleveland. But still that six and
• 16:22
  Speaker 1: a half is just always you're really like it's razor
• 16:26
  Speaker 1: thin on that six and a half. So I don't
• 16:27
  Speaker 1: like it. But this is the story, man. This has
• 16:29
  Speaker 1: been the biggest implosion I think I've ever seen Detroit.
• 16:34
  Speaker 1: In like early to mid July, I'm pretty sure Detroit
• 16:37
  Speaker 1: was winning this division by about nineteen games or something
• 16:40
  Speaker 1: over Cleveland. I think Kidsas City might have been in
• 16:43
  Speaker 1: second place at that point, and now Cleveland is tied
• 16:46
  Speaker 1: with Detroit and holding its eyebreaker. It's insane, and in
• 16:50
  Speaker 1: early August I think Detroit still had like a twelve
• 16:53
  Speaker 1: game lead over Cleveland. I've never seen anything like this.
• 16:56
  Speaker 1: Detroit has lost multiple starts in a row with school
• 16:58
  Speaker 1: ball on the Hill, including the last one last night
• 17:02
  Speaker 1: where I thought Detroit would win that game with him
• 17:05
  Speaker 1: on the mound, he hit one of Cleveland's hitters in
• 17:08
  Speaker 1: the face. By the way, I don't know if you
• 17:10
  Speaker 1: saw that. That was a scary moment. I forget which
• 17:12
  Speaker 1: batter it was for Cleveland. It was non intentional Schooble.
• 17:16
  Speaker 1: He threw it was a ninety nine mile an hour
• 17:18
  Speaker 1: fastball up and in, but the hitter wasn't able to
• 17:21
  Speaker 1: get out of the way of it in time because
• 17:22
  Speaker 1: he was actually trying to bunt. It was a bad,
• 17:25
  Speaker 1: bad circumstance. Man Like, as soon as it happened, Schooble
• 17:30
  Speaker 1: like threw his hat off and turned the other direction
• 17:32
  Speaker 1: because he didn't even want to see, like what had
• 17:34
  Speaker 1: just happened. It was. It was pretty bad. It was.
• 17:37
  Speaker 1: You can find you can find it on Twitter, the
• 17:39
  Speaker 1: replay of that. It was a scary moment, so hopefully
• 17:43
  Speaker 1: he's fine. Let me see which guy was it on Cleveland.
• 17:46
  Speaker 1: It was David Fry. I'm pretty sure as who it was,
• 17:50
  Speaker 1: so we can pray for him right now. I think
• 17:54
  Speaker 1: he'll be all right though. But that happened yesterday. Scary moment.
• 17:57
  Speaker 1: But this is just crazy, dude. The Cleveland is winning
• 18:02
  Speaker 1: the division. Now Detroit's now in one of the wildcard spots.
• 18:05
  Speaker 1: There is a chance to Detroit doesn't make the playoffs
• 18:08
  Speaker 1: at all. And I keep pointing out how bad Cleveland is.
• 18:12
  Speaker 1: Like Cleveland, I mean, they sold off of the trade
• 18:15
  Speaker 1: deadline thinking that they're not gonna make it this year.
• 18:18
  Speaker 1: They lost one of their starting pitchers and their closer
• 18:22
  Speaker 1: to suspension because they were gambling on games. And yet
• 18:27
  Speaker 1: and Cleveland has no offense. They have the second worst
• 18:30
  Speaker 1: offense in all of baseball, which I think is still
• 18:32
  Speaker 1: the case. Yeah, they're right here. This is right here,
• 18:34
  Speaker 1: right here, twenty ninth out of thirty teams in overall OPS,
• 18:38
  Speaker 1: worse than Texas, the Rockies, the White Sox, the Nationals,
• 18:42
  Speaker 1: the Giants, Cardinals. Cleveland's worse than all of them. The
• 18:45
  Speaker 1: only team of the lower OPS is Pittsburgh it's insane,
• 18:48
  Speaker 1: and Cleveland negative run differential on the season. Man, so
• 18:52
  Speaker 1: they should be basically like right at five hundred, maybe
• 18:55
  Speaker 1: even a game below five hundred, and instead they're multiple,
• 18:59
  Speaker 1: They're like double digit games above five hundred. Detroit, by
• 19:01
  Speaker 1: the way, is like plus seventy in run differential. It's insane.
• 19:06
  Speaker 1: Cleveland run differential wise more than seventy runs worse than Detroit.
• 19:11
  Speaker 1: It's everything about it is so insane. And you got
• 19:15
  Speaker 1: like Texas I think is like plus somewhere in like
• 19:17
  Speaker 1: the plus maybe even plus eighty run differential. And they're
• 19:21
  Speaker 1: not gonna make the playoffs. Yeah, Like every team in
• 19:25
  Speaker 1: the ALE that will make the playoffs has a positive
• 19:27
  Speaker 1: run differential, obviously fairly significantly. So for the most part,
• 19:31
  Speaker 1: Cleveland has a positive run differential. They're not gonna make
• 19:33
  Speaker 1: the playoffs. If Houston doesn't make it, they have a
• 19:36
  Speaker 1: positive run differential as well. Yeah, I mean, I don't
• 19:40
  Speaker 1: know how it's worked out such a Cleveland is in
• 19:42
  Speaker 1: this spot they're starting. Pitching has been better recently, and
• 19:45
  Speaker 1: it hasn't really been the guy who's on the hill today,
• 19:48
  Speaker 1: Tanner Biby. Cleveland's bullpen has still been really good. So
• 19:51
  Speaker 1: that's one of the main reasons how they've been able
• 19:54
  Speaker 1: to do. This is their third in the league and
• 19:56
  Speaker 1: bullpenning ra despite losing their closer, so they have the
• 19:59
  Speaker 1: better bullpend here. Detroit still has the better offense here.
• 20:02
  Speaker 1: Detroit on this massive skin, I mean, this has to
• 20:05
  Speaker 1: be a wake up call. Though they've lost seven more
• 20:08
  Speaker 1: games in a row. They've lost ten of their last
• 20:10
  Speaker 1: eleven games, losing four in a row out of Cleveland.
• 20:15
  Speaker 1: I mean, something has to give. Man. You gotta think
• 20:18
  Speaker 1: Detroit's got to win a game at some point, but
• 20:20
  Speaker 1: I don't know if it's gonna be this game. The
• 20:22
  Speaker 1: starting pitching matchup isn't exactly the greatest for them, even
• 20:26
  Speaker 1: though I know Cleveland's one big disadvantage here as they
• 20:29
  Speaker 1: can't hit. The bullpen usage is basically it's pretty much
• 20:34
  Speaker 1: the same for these two teams, So Cleveland has a
• 20:37
  Speaker 1: bullpen edge here. Starting pitching Jack flowerting on the mont
• 20:40
  Speaker 1: for Detroit. I don't know if he's the guy you
• 20:42
  Speaker 1: want out there in this pressure situation. Man, he seems
• 20:45
  Speaker 1: like he doesn't really do well in situations like this.
• 20:48
  Speaker 1: If you saw how he pitched like in the playoffs
• 20:50
  Speaker 1: last year for Dodgers and whatever. I don't think he
• 20:54
  Speaker 1: was particularly good. He's been mediocre this season. Four point
• 20:58
  Speaker 1: sixty RA, one point two eight WHIP that's pretty high.
• 21:02
  Speaker 1: He's bad on the road, five point two ROADIRA that's
• 21:05
  Speaker 1: not good this month. Three point one four ERA that's good.
• 21:09
  Speaker 1: But thirteen to seven strike a walk ratio that tells
• 21:13
  Speaker 1: a different story. That is way too many walks, and
• 21:16
  Speaker 1: four of them came in his last outing against Cleveland,
• 21:19
  Speaker 1: where Cleveland's offense is so pathetic. They still only scored
• 21:22
  Speaker 1: one run off and that was in Detroit, and by
• 21:25
  Speaker 1: the way, Cleveland still won the game four to nothing.
• 21:27
  Speaker 1: It's just it's so insane. So Cleveland did just see Flaherty,
• 21:31
  Speaker 1: But I don't know if it really matters that much
• 21:32
  Speaker 1: that they just saw him, because I mean, he's a veteran.
• 21:35
  Speaker 1: Cleveland's seen him a bunch, and he has actually done
• 21:38
  Speaker 1: well against them in ninety five career at bats. Twenty
• 21:41
  Speaker 1: seven to nine strike a walk ratio isn't exactly good,
• 21:44
  Speaker 1: but one to eighty nine batting average allowed five eighty
• 21:46
  Speaker 1: six oh psh. He's been pretty good against Cleveland, man,
• 21:51
  Speaker 1: So Flawherty does have that going for him. At least,
• 21:53
  Speaker 1: the matchup numbers are okay. He's going up against Tanner Biby,
• 21:56
  Speaker 1: who was Cleveland's ace last year and has struggled a
• 22:01
  Speaker 1: lot this year. His numbers are actually still not too
• 22:03
  Speaker 1: bad though four point three four ERA, one point two
• 22:07
  Speaker 1: to three WHIP. He is better at home though, so
• 22:09
  Speaker 1: the home road splits are heavily in favor of him
• 22:12
  Speaker 1: here three point three five ERA at home. And he's
• 22:14
  Speaker 1: been better this month. A last month he was really bad,
• 22:18
  Speaker 1: had a ton of walks as the RA was over six.
• 22:21
  Speaker 1: But he's found something because this month he's allowed two
• 22:23
  Speaker 1: or fewer runs and all three of his starts twenty
• 22:26
  Speaker 1: one to three, strikeout walk ratio one point two to
• 22:29
  Speaker 1: five VRA. It includes one game at Tampa Bay, which,
• 22:33
  Speaker 1: even though Tampa Bay is not the best offense, I
• 22:34
  Speaker 1: do point out that's a difficult stadium to pitch. In
• 22:37
  Speaker 1: the Yankees spring training stadium, it's hit her friendly. He
• 22:40
  Speaker 1: had a complete game, two hit shutout against the White Sox.
• 22:44
  Speaker 1: It is the White Sox, but still if you do
• 22:46
  Speaker 1: that to anybody at the major league level, that's impressive.
• 22:50
  Speaker 1: And then he had another good start last time out
• 22:52
  Speaker 1: against these Detroit Tigers, gave up one earned run in
• 22:55
  Speaker 1: six innings, picked up a win in that one, eight
• 22:57
  Speaker 1: strikeouts and two walks, So Detroit, I did you see
• 23:00
  Speaker 1: him too, So as far as the familiarity thing, both
• 23:03
  Speaker 1: offenses just saw these opposing pictures, So that's a wash.
• 23:07
  Speaker 1: It doesn't really matter. Biby is in good form right now,
• 23:10
  Speaker 1: though better than Flaherty is. Up against Detroit. He has
• 23:14
  Speaker 1: mediocre numbers. They're not bad. One thirty three batting average
• 23:17
  Speaker 1: thirty four to nine, strike a walk ratio solid, two
• 23:20
  Speaker 1: sixty three average allowed seven oh six ohps. Still not bad,
• 23:24
  Speaker 1: so he may very well do well in this game.
• 23:28
  Speaker 1: The money looked like it was coming in on Cleveland initially,
• 23:30
  Speaker 1: but now it kind of looks like it's not seventy
• 23:32
  Speaker 1: three percent of tickets seventy two percent of the cash.
• 23:35
  Speaker 1: The public is on Cleveland now, just the public doesn't
• 23:39
  Speaker 1: want Detroit because they've been losing so many games recausly.
• 23:41
  Speaker 1: The public is very much like, what have you done
• 23:44
  Speaker 1: for me lately? And I think part of it is
• 23:46
  Speaker 1: that they want to root for this Cleveland story because
• 23:48
  Speaker 1: it's so absurd, But the public is on them. It
• 23:52
  Speaker 1: looks like less of the cash is on them, though,
• 23:57
  Speaker 1: I don't know, man, because I could see I can
• 24:00
  Speaker 1: see arguments for both starting pitchers in this one, man,
• 24:02
  Speaker 1: and Cleveland does have the bullpen edge, So I mean,
• 24:06
  Speaker 1: my first reaction to this was a slight lean to
• 24:08
  Speaker 1: Cleveland because the road the home road dichotomy lines up
• 24:12
  Speaker 1: for Bibing. Flowerty does have good numbers against Cleveland, though,
• 24:16
  Speaker 1: so if you buy into that aspect of it, then
• 24:19
  Speaker 1: maybe an under starts making sense here. The total did
• 24:22
  Speaker 1: go up from seven and a half to seven and
• 24:23
  Speaker 1: a half with juice on the over take it sixty
• 24:27
  Speaker 1: two percent of cash on the over, so it looks
• 24:28
  Speaker 1: like the less of the money is on the over
• 24:31
  Speaker 1: so maybe some of the actual money is coming in
• 24:33
  Speaker 1: on the under in this one could be worth a look,
• 24:36
  Speaker 1: because again, Cleveland's offense isn't good. Flaherty does specifically do
• 24:40
  Speaker 1: pretty well against them. Biby is in really good form
• 24:42
  Speaker 1: right now. Uh. But yeah, I don't think I would
• 24:45
  Speaker 1: want the Detroit side here, man, I mean, I know,
• 24:49
  Speaker 1: if you take Detroit you're going up against you're trying
• 24:52
  Speaker 1: to basically fade two opposing streaks there, which sometimes I
• 24:56
  Speaker 1: will do, uh, because at some point when there's a
• 25:00
  Speaker 1: like a streak going on. At some point, the value
• 25:02
  Speaker 1: is gonna be on fading that streak, but it might
• 25:06
  Speaker 1: not be here. Man. Like I overall, I do think
• 25:08
  Speaker 1: Bibby is more trustworthy than Flaherty. So I just don't
• 25:12
  Speaker 1: think I could do it that I do. I just
• 25:14
  Speaker 1: don't think I could do it. I think if you
• 25:15
  Speaker 1: do want Detroit, you have to make it a first
• 25:18
  Speaker 1: five inning play. But I don't think I could do it. Pete,
• 25:20
  Speaker 1: what's up? Man? You don't you don't trust Jack Flaherty either, Yeah,
• 25:24
  Speaker 1: I mean you shouldn't. I mean this is a game
• 25:28
  Speaker 1: where he might do well though, because he does have
• 25:29
  Speaker 1: good matchup numbers against the opponent Pittsburgh Cincinnati. I'm gonna
• 25:33
  Speaker 1: give out a play on that one. Miami at Philadelphia.
• 25:37
  Speaker 1: Philadelphia is just kind of in cruise control right now.
• 25:39
  Speaker 1: They don't really need to do much. I mean, they
• 25:42
  Speaker 1: could potentially catch Milwaukee, but I think it's looking maybe
• 25:45
  Speaker 1: less and less likely now. They've lost three games in
• 25:48
  Speaker 1: a row. They lost by one to Miami yesterday. Miami
• 25:51
  Speaker 1: is showing up for games like this, and Miami's actually
• 25:53
  Speaker 1: on a hot streak right now. They've won several games
• 25:56
  Speaker 1: in a row now, including pretty much ending ending Texas
• 26:01
  Speaker 1: Is season for good by sweeping them. But you know,
• 26:04
  Speaker 1: Miami will show up for a game at Philadelphia because
• 26:08
  Speaker 1: what else do they have left to play for? I mean,
• 26:09
  Speaker 1: it's a big divisional series against the team that's gonna
• 26:12
  Speaker 1: win the division. So Philadelphia is pretty close to being
• 26:16
  Speaker 1: locked into the two seed in the playoffs. They really
• 26:18
  Speaker 1: don't have a whole lot to play for down the
• 26:20
  Speaker 1: stretch here. Obviously the Mets are not gonna catch them either,
• 26:24
  Speaker 1: so that's what's going on in this series here. I
• 26:27
  Speaker 1: don't like either bullpen, of course, neither bullpen is good.
• 26:31
  Speaker 1: Miami's might actually even be worse at this point than
• 26:34
  Speaker 1: Phillies a lot of bullpen usage, especially on the Miami
• 26:37
  Speaker 1: side yesterday, so I really don't think you want anything
• 26:39
  Speaker 1: to do with really either bullpen in this game, but
• 26:42
  Speaker 1: especially Miami's. Let me just double check this year, Miami
• 26:46
  Speaker 1: either at twentieth than bullpenny ira. Philly is still worse
• 26:49
  Speaker 1: at twenty second, but it's pretty close. Philly obviously has
• 26:53
  Speaker 1: the way better offense, but how focused will they be?
• 26:56
  Speaker 1: I don't know. Miami's starting pitcher is Ryan Weathers in
• 26:59
  Speaker 1: this one on He's not bad. I mean he's kind
• 27:04
  Speaker 1: of come around man like his his career is kind
• 27:06
  Speaker 1: of going in the right in the right direction here. Uh,
• 27:10
  Speaker 1: three point two one ERA, one point two two whip
• 27:12
  Speaker 1: for him this season pretty good. He is worse on
• 27:15
  Speaker 1: the road three point five to seven e RA, which
• 27:17
  Speaker 1: is still not bad. This month he has a three
• 27:19
  Speaker 1: e RA and a six to two strikeout walk rish.
• 27:22
  Speaker 1: I mean, nothing really right home about. He didn't do
• 27:24
  Speaker 1: well in his last outing, but it was at course Field,
• 27:27
  Speaker 1: difficult environment if you're not used to the high elevation whatever,
• 27:30
  Speaker 1: only last of four innings, gave up three on runs.
• 27:33
  Speaker 1: Did have a five inning shutout against Washington the time
• 27:36
  Speaker 1: before that. He hasn't really gone too deep into his
• 27:39
  Speaker 1: games yet though, so maybe uh he's being a little
• 27:43
  Speaker 1: bit limited though he is throwing like a few too
• 27:46
  Speaker 1: many pitches given the amount of innings that he's uh pitching.
• 27:50
  Speaker 1: His walk number is still too high is pretty much
• 27:52
  Speaker 1: the issue that he has. But he's been pretty decent
• 27:55
  Speaker 1: overall against Philadelphia mediocre numbers. They've seen him a bit
• 28:00
  Speaker 1: twenty four at bats, not a huge sample size, still
• 28:03
  Speaker 1: four to three strike at walker he's your two to
• 28:05
  Speaker 1: fifty batting average allowed eight seventy five ops. So he
• 28:08
  Speaker 1: hasn't done great against Philly, but he is better now
• 28:11
  Speaker 1: that he has been in the past, and Philly has
• 28:13
  Speaker 1: not seen him this year, so they have not seen
• 28:16
  Speaker 1: weathers in I guess the better form that he's been
• 28:20
  Speaker 1: and they haven't seen the recent weather. Jesus Lozardo is
• 28:24
  Speaker 1: fishing for Philly here. He's had a pretty good season,
• 28:27
  Speaker 1: definitely an up and down season, but pretty good overall.
• 28:30
  Speaker 1: Four point eighty r a one point two to five whip.
• 28:34
  Speaker 1: He's worse at home though, four point five e RA
• 28:37
  Speaker 1: this month, four point twenty nine e RA mediocre, twenty
• 28:41
  Speaker 1: four to five strike at walk ratio is pretty good though,
• 28:44
  Speaker 1: so he's been still in pretty decent form. The last
• 28:47
  Speaker 1: couple times out. He did face the Mets and the
• 28:49
  Speaker 1: Dodgers did pretty respectably in both of those out He's
• 28:52
  Speaker 1: went pretty deep into both, did give up four and
• 28:56
  Speaker 1: runs in each of them, but had a lot of
• 28:57
  Speaker 1: strikeouts kept his team in each game to some extent
• 29:01
  Speaker 1: at least, although he just got no run support against
• 29:04
  Speaker 1: the Dodgers, really, so what can you do about that?
• 29:06
  Speaker 1: And he picked up a win in the Mets game.
• 29:08
  Speaker 1: He did face Miami the start before that, so they
• 29:10
  Speaker 1: are recently familiar with him. But I don't know if
• 29:13
  Speaker 1: that matters that much because he's been around for so long.
• 29:16
  Speaker 1: He actually used to be on Miami earlier in his career,
• 29:18
  Speaker 1: and maybe maybe it was so long ago they were
• 29:20
  Speaker 1: the Florida Marlins back then. I don't think so, but
• 29:23
  Speaker 1: maybe against Miami. He's got decent numbers and fifty four
• 29:26
  Speaker 1: at bats eleven to seven strike a walk ratio is
• 29:29
  Speaker 1: not good. But two fifty nine average a lot six
• 29:32
  Speaker 1: ninety six ops. That's not too bad. So what do
• 29:35
  Speaker 1: we do with this one? Man? I think maybe an
• 29:39
  Speaker 1: under only in the first five though. I mean, there's
• 29:42
  Speaker 1: no way that you can touch a full game under
• 29:44
  Speaker 1: in this with these bullpens, I would not want to
• 29:46
  Speaker 1: do anything with that. Philly is a big favorite. Probably
• 29:49
  Speaker 1: they don't deserve to be a favorite of this magnitude though.
• 29:52
  Speaker 1: Against Weathers, who is kind of under the radar, not
• 29:55
  Speaker 1: under the weather. He's a decent young pitcher who people
• 29:59
  Speaker 1: don't realize that he's good yet, so uh, and I
• 30:03
  Speaker 1: think that he is at this point. So he's a
• 30:05
  Speaker 1: little bit under the raidar and of course Philly really
• 30:07
  Speaker 1: doesn't have a whole lot to play for, so they're
• 30:10
  Speaker 1: probably too heavily favored. Here. They're down for minus two
• 30:12
  Speaker 1: hundred to minus one eighty on the money line. The
• 30:14
  Speaker 1: money is coming in against them, seventy eight percent of
• 30:16
  Speaker 1: tickets fifty eight percent of cash on them. But instead
• 30:19
  Speaker 1: of trying to take a shot with Miami here, and
• 30:22
  Speaker 1: I guess you could, I would still probably only do
• 30:25
  Speaker 1: that in the first five innings too, But I still
• 30:28
  Speaker 1: think under in the first five might be better. You
• 30:30
  Speaker 1: might see both pitchers actually do okay here. Total down
• 30:33
  Speaker 1: from eight and a half to eight. So the money
• 30:35
  Speaker 1: is coming in on the under. It's eight juice to
• 30:37
  Speaker 1: the under now fifty percent of tickets, ninety eight percent
• 30:40
  Speaker 1: of the cash on the under. I don't buy that
• 30:42
  Speaker 1: cash percentage, but I do think that the cash is
• 30:45
  Speaker 1: indeed coming in on the under to some extent. Curtis,
• 30:48
  Speaker 1: what's up man? Thanks for hanging out all right, White
• 30:53
  Speaker 1: Sox at the Yankees. I am not happy, man, because, uh,
• 30:56
  Speaker 1: the spot where the Yankees could have gotten caught was
• 30:58
  Speaker 1: last night, in a return home spot like that and
• 31:01
  Speaker 1: having to face a good White Sox pitcher in Shane Smith,
• 31:05
  Speaker 1: that was the spot man for the Yankees to maybe
• 31:07
  Speaker 1: get caught with heel pitching for the Yankees yesterday, who
• 31:11
  Speaker 1: walks way too many guys, And the Yankees were losing
• 31:13
  Speaker 1: that game in the ninth inning and the White Sox
• 31:16
  Speaker 1: bullpen blew the game. Yankees bullpen held up in that game.
• 31:20
  Speaker 1: I'm not happy about it, obviously, because I want the
• 31:23
  Speaker 1: Yankees to lose. They might they might very well win
• 31:25
  Speaker 1: the division. Man, I would not be happy about that.
• 31:28
  Speaker 1: I'd rather see the Yankees have to go on the
• 31:30
  Speaker 1: road at some point in the playoffs. Here as a
• 31:33
  Speaker 1: Red Sox fan, I care more about the Yankees losing
• 31:36
  Speaker 1: than the Red Sox winning. I just I don't think
• 31:39
  Speaker 1: this is the year for the Red Sox. Man. They
• 31:40
  Speaker 1: got a young cored, too many other guys are hurt.
• 31:43
  Speaker 1: They're they're on their way up. But this year is
• 31:45
  Speaker 1: not it. But I did tell you, like about a
• 31:49
  Speaker 1: month ago, at this point when you could have gotten
• 31:51
  Speaker 1: the Yankees at plus two to eighty to win the division,
• 31:54
  Speaker 1: that's looking like a pretty good bet. Right now. They
• 31:56
  Speaker 1: have a chance to win it, even though I think
• 31:57
  Speaker 1: Toronto has the tiebreaker over the year. Yankees right now,
• 32:00
  Speaker 1: I believe, and I think it'll stay that way because
• 32:04
  Speaker 1: it's head to head matchups and they don't play each
• 32:06
  Speaker 1: other again. Yankees actually the Yankees. They've beaten up on
• 32:11
  Speaker 1: bad teams. Man, the Yankees haven't been quite as good
• 32:13
  Speaker 1: against teams that are winning teams, so something to keep
• 32:16
  Speaker 1: in mind here. But of course this is against a
• 32:18
  Speaker 1: terrible White Sox team. The Yankees still don't have a
• 32:22
  Speaker 1: good bullpen. Neither of these teams have a good bullpen.
• 32:26
  Speaker 1: The White Sox used a bit more of theirs yesterday.
• 32:29
  Speaker 1: We're the White Sox bullpen wise here at this point,
• 32:31
  Speaker 1: gotta refresh my memory. They're like middle of the pack.
• 32:34
  Speaker 1: They're actually the better bullpen. Yankees are in the bottom
• 32:37
  Speaker 1: third at twenty third in Bullpenny array. White Sox actually
• 32:40
  Speaker 1: not terrible at sixteenth and Bullpenny ray. So another thing
• 32:44
  Speaker 1: that pisses me off of the White Sox bullpen didn't
• 32:47
  Speaker 1: come through last night, and it's not gonna be good
• 32:49
  Speaker 1: for them in this game because even though they have
• 32:52
  Speaker 1: the better bullpen in general, Yankees have the way better offense.
• 32:55
  Speaker 1: That's obviously not in question. But the White Sox are
• 32:58
  Speaker 1: going with a bullpen game, and this one with Frasier
• 33:00
  Speaker 1: Ellard listed as the starter here. He doesn't even have
• 33:04
  Speaker 1: good numbers as a relief pitcher here. Four point five ERA,
• 33:07
  Speaker 1: one point five whip that's not good, five point one
• 33:10
  Speaker 1: four ERA on the road pretty bad. He's probably gonna
• 33:14
  Speaker 1: be like an opener. He's basically gone like one or
• 33:16
  Speaker 1: one inning, maybe slightly over an inning or less than
• 33:20
  Speaker 1: an inning in all of his outings this year, so
• 33:22
  Speaker 1: I'm not expecting really anything from him. Yankees have barely
• 33:26
  Speaker 1: seen him. Three guys have seen him there oer for
• 33:28
  Speaker 1: two with two strikeouts. I don't know why Slater is
• 33:31
  Speaker 1: listed here with no actual official at bats against him.
• 33:34
  Speaker 1: I don't know. But even though he's unfamiliar to the Yankees,
• 33:37
  Speaker 1: I don't think it matters handicapping him that much because
• 33:39
  Speaker 1: he's only gonna be in the game for about an inning,
• 33:41
  Speaker 1: and then the White Sox bullpen is gonna pitch this
• 33:44
  Speaker 1: entire game. That's not good. Huge disadvantage for the White
• 33:48
  Speaker 1: Sox here, and they're going up against the Yankees' best pitcher,
• 33:51
  Speaker 1: Max Freed, so I'm not happy about this. This is
• 33:53
  Speaker 1: almost an automatic win for the Yankees, although if you
• 33:57
  Speaker 1: want to bet the Yankees, you have to pay an
• 33:58
  Speaker 1: exorbitant price for obviously, because it's the Yankees and it's
• 34:02
  Speaker 1: their best pitcher. Two point nine two ERA for Freed,
• 34:06
  Speaker 1: one point one to one whip. He's better at home
• 34:08
  Speaker 1: two point four to six e RA. He's back in
• 34:11
  Speaker 1: form this month with a two point zero five ERA
• 34:13
  Speaker 1: twenty eight to seven strike out walk ratio. He struggled
• 34:16
  Speaker 1: for like a couple of months, but he's back in
• 34:18
  Speaker 1: form right now. He's won five games in a row. Yeah,
• 34:25
  Speaker 1: so obviously he's in good format now. The White Sox
• 34:27
  Speaker 1: have barely ever seen him before. They only have two
• 34:29
  Speaker 1: hitters I've ever seen him before, Mead and Taylor. Uh,
• 34:32
  Speaker 1: the only hit is a single from Taylor. They're one
• 34:35
  Speaker 1: for twelve combined off him, with three strikeouts and no walks.
• 34:38
  Speaker 1: So Yankees pretty much have the edge in every aspect
• 34:42
  Speaker 1: of this game except well except for the bullpens, but
• 34:45
  Speaker 1: even that is in a huge advantage to the White
• 34:47
  Speaker 1: Sox well, because the White Sox are going with a
• 34:49
  Speaker 1: bullpen game that kind of negates that aspect of it too.
• 34:53
  Speaker 1: Yankees are down a little bit for minus three sixty
• 34:56
  Speaker 1: to minus three fifty there's no possible way you can
• 34:59
  Speaker 1: lay that on the money line though, seventy eight percent
• 35:02
  Speaker 1: tickets eighty three percent of the cash coming in on
• 35:04
  Speaker 1: the Yankees. I mean, if you want to play this game,
• 35:07
  Speaker 1: the good old uh, the way to play this game,
• 35:10
  Speaker 1: I would have to say. I mean, there are actually
• 35:13
  Speaker 1: two ways you could probably go about it. You could
• 35:15
  Speaker 1: go Yankees over their team total, or you could go
• 35:19
  Speaker 1: White Sox under their team total. I probably wouldn't disagree
• 35:22
  Speaker 1: with either of them. I like the Yankees over their
• 35:25
  Speaker 1: team total more though, because the factors in just the
• 35:28
  Speaker 1: White Sox going with a bullpen game game. It just
• 35:31
  Speaker 1: seems like they're gonna get lit up in this game.
• 35:33
  Speaker 1: So that's probably what I would do. If you want
• 35:35
  Speaker 1: to play this game, you're probably having to actually the
• 35:38
  Speaker 1: number probably isn't that high, but you probably need the
• 35:41
  Speaker 1: Yankees to score like six runs in the game. So
• 35:43
  Speaker 1: maybe it's a little bit dicey. White Sox can go
• 35:46
  Speaker 1: under their team total. You're probably asking them to go
• 35:48
  Speaker 1: under about two runs here, and with the Yankees bullpend
• 35:51
  Speaker 1: probably getting involved in this game, maybe that's the less
• 35:55
  Speaker 1: favorable of those two. Robin what's up? Thanks for hanging out?
• 35:59
  Speaker 1: Good to see you. Robin not in the chat very often.
• 36:03
  Speaker 1: The rest of these guys, these were all the rest
• 36:06
  Speaker 1: of these guys are all regulars. Hopefully, Robin, hopefully you
• 36:10
  Speaker 1: like baseball, because that's all the show is today. It's
• 36:15
  Speaker 1: all autism. Man. It's like I'm like Jonah Hill in Moneyball,
• 36:20
  Speaker 1: which I think I should rewatch that movie. By the way,
• 36:22
  Speaker 1: I saw that movie in the theater. I actually haven't
• 36:24
  Speaker 1: read the book. I should probably read the book, but
• 36:26
  Speaker 1: I liked the movie and I haven't seen it since then.
• 36:30
  Speaker 1: My Boston Red Sox are at Toronto. I didn't love
• 36:34
  Speaker 1: the matchup for the Red Sox yesterday with Giolito against
• 36:37
  Speaker 1: Goussman and Giledo. Uh he pitched better than I expected
• 36:42
  Speaker 1: obviously yesterday. Gousman wasn't terrible, but the Red Sox were
• 36:45
  Speaker 1: able to get a four to one win yesterday. That
• 36:48
  Speaker 1: was in a return home spot for Toronto, so it
• 36:50
  Speaker 1: wasn't exactly the best scheduling set up for Toronto, which
• 36:53
  Speaker 1: was the one favorable thing about that for the Red Sox.
• 36:56
  Speaker 1: Besides the fact the Red Sox have the better bullpen.
• 36:58
  Speaker 1: The Red Sox have the better bullpen in this matchup.
• 37:02
  Speaker 1: Both teams have solid offenses, but Toronto's offense is the
• 37:05
  Speaker 1: better of the two. Neither team used a lot of
• 37:08
  Speaker 1: their bullpen yesterday. Red Sox a little bit more USA yesterday,
• 37:12
  Speaker 1: including Chapman so but they have history of using him
• 37:16
  Speaker 1: two games in a row, so who knows what the
• 37:19
  Speaker 1: Red Sox are gonna do. Red Sox have an avantage
• 37:22
  Speaker 1: in the sterning bitching matchup in this game, though, with
• 37:25
  Speaker 1: Garrett Crochet on the mound. And this is a big
• 37:28
  Speaker 1: game obviously for both teams. And of course, as I
• 37:30
  Speaker 1: forgot to mention, we know the Yankees in that White
• 37:32
  Speaker 1: Sox gam The Yanks are still battling for at least
• 37:35
  Speaker 1: a wildcard spot and have a really decent chance at
• 37:38
  Speaker 1: winning the division here, so obviously they have motivation. The
• 37:41
  Speaker 1: White Sox still have motivation just in that they get
• 37:44
  Speaker 1: to play the Yankees. I mean, that's still a motivator
• 37:46
  Speaker 1: for a team that's out of it. You'll get up
• 37:48
  Speaker 1: for a game like that. This Red Sox Toronto game
• 37:50
  Speaker 1: is obviously huge. I mean, this is still the battle
• 37:53
  Speaker 1: for the division. Yankees, Red Sox Toronto are all in
• 37:56
  Speaker 1: the mix here, fighting for either the division or wild
• 37:59
  Speaker 1: card for the Red Sox. It's gonna be a wild
• 38:02
  Speaker 1: card at this point. But they did beat Toronto yesterday,
• 38:04
  Speaker 1: and Toronto's only one game ahead of the Yankees now,
• 38:07
  Speaker 1: and I believe the Red Sox or are two games
• 38:10
  Speaker 1: behind that maybe something like that. But Garrett Crochet is
• 38:13
  Speaker 1: on the mound for the Red Sox. Two point six'
• 38:15
  Speaker 1: NINE era one point oh five. Whip we know he's,
• 38:18
  Speaker 1: good two point four TWO era in the, road good
• 38:21
  Speaker 1: on the. Road the one thing That i've been pointing
• 38:25
  Speaker 1: out about him is that he's gone way more innings
• 38:27
  Speaker 1: than he has ever before in his. Career he's approaching
• 38:30
  Speaker 1: two hundred innings, pitch and a lot of times that
• 38:32
  Speaker 1: can cause a pitcher to wear, down especially when they
• 38:34
  Speaker 1: throw almost one hundred miles an hour That crochet, does
• 38:38
  Speaker 1: but he hasn't really shown signs of that. Yet his
• 38:40
  Speaker 1: strikeout rate has been enormous this. Month Red sox have
• 38:44
  Speaker 1: won six starts in a row of his he, said
• 38:46
  Speaker 1: double digit strikeout totals in three of those. Six had
• 38:50
  Speaker 1: one weird bad start Against cleveland and The Red sox
• 38:52
  Speaker 1: still won that, game and then he's been good. OTHERWISE
• 38:56
  Speaker 1: i know he has a four point six to eighty
• 38:58
  Speaker 1: ra this month just because of That. Cleveland he's allowed
• 39:01
  Speaker 1: three or fewer earned runs in all but that one
• 39:04
  Speaker 1: out of his last seven. Starts he did pitch it
• 39:07
  Speaker 1: against The yankees and At tampa in his last two,
• 39:10
  Speaker 1: starts and he picked up wins in both of. Them
• 39:12
  Speaker 1: had twenty one strikeouts and four walks over that, span
• 39:16
  Speaker 1: thirty five to four strike out walk ratio this, month
• 39:19
  Speaker 1: and actually had a difficult to start at The a's
• 39:23
  Speaker 1: the start before, that it wasn't difficult for, him but
• 39:25
  Speaker 1: sometimes pitcher struggle in that TRIPLE a ball parked at
• 39:29
  Speaker 1: The a's pitching the's play AND i should say because
• 39:32
  Speaker 1: it's not a pitcher from the park at, all and
• 39:35
  Speaker 1: neither Is. Tampa So crishet is pitching pretty. Impressively, still
• 39:39
  Speaker 1: his strikeout rate kind of shows that he's still not
• 39:41
  Speaker 1: wearing down. Yet he's been really good Against toronto two
• 39:45
  Speaker 1: in sixty career of, bats they only have seven hits off,
• 39:47
  Speaker 1: him though two of them are home runs from Vlad
• 39:50
  Speaker 1: Guerrero junior And. Springer seventeen to five strike out walk,
• 39:54
  Speaker 1: ratio too many walks kind of but still not. Bad
• 39:57
  Speaker 1: one seventeen batting average allow so four h one. Ops
• 40:01
  Speaker 1: So crische has done well Against. Toronto he's going up
• 40:06
  Speaker 1: against a guy who's way older than he, Is Max.
• 40:09
  Speaker 1: Shurs so what's the age difference in This it's almost twenty. Years,
• 40:13
  Speaker 1: no it's a fifteen years basically age gap between these two.
• 40:17
  Speaker 1: Starters not a not a good situation for a. Relationship
• 40:22
  Speaker 1: Max shurs are pitching for The Blue. Jays he's not
• 40:25
  Speaker 1: okay this, season but he seems to be maybe wearing,
• 40:27
  Speaker 1: down even though he hasn't pitched much this. Season, really
• 40:30
  Speaker 1: he's the age might be catching up to. Him, man
• 40:34
  Speaker 1: he's got a five point oh six E ra now
• 40:36
  Speaker 1: one point two to five whip is still not, bad
• 40:38
  Speaker 1: but obviously he's nowhere near what he once. Was he
• 40:41
  Speaker 1: is better at home four point FOURY. Rau this, month
• 40:45
  Speaker 1: he's been pretty pretty atrocious, though fifteen to seven strike
• 40:49
  Speaker 1: a walk. Ratio that's. Bad he's failed to make it
• 40:52
  Speaker 1: five innings in three of his last four. Outings he
• 40:55
  Speaker 1: has an eleven point seventy ra this. Month, yeah it's
• 40:58
  Speaker 1: being skewed a bit because last Time i'd give it
• 41:00
  Speaker 1: seven or in runs in the first inning and didn't
• 41:03
  Speaker 1: even last the entire inning against The. Royals but that
• 41:06
  Speaker 1: is a bad. SIGN i, mean that's a Bad royals,
• 41:09
  Speaker 1: offense and it was on the road in a pitcher
• 41:11
  Speaker 1: friendly Parking Kansas. City so even though he might be
• 41:14
  Speaker 1: angry and want to bounce back from, that, yeah obviously
• 41:17
  Speaker 1: he's not gonna pitch that bad again in this. Outing
• 41:19
  Speaker 1: BUT i, mean even if he pitches a little bit,
• 41:22
  Speaker 1: better it still might not be enough to Outpitch. Crochet
• 41:25
  Speaker 1: his numbers are good in the pass against The Red
• 41:27
  Speaker 1: sox and thirty four career at bats ten to two
• 41:30
  Speaker 1: strike a walk ratio one seventy six batting, average will
• 41:33
  Speaker 1: have five seventy five. Ohps two of the six hits
• 41:36
  Speaker 1: The Red sox have her home runs From bregman And.
• 41:38
  Speaker 1: Duran but, YEAH i, mean you got to tilt the
• 41:42
  Speaker 1: scales To crochet and the starting pitching. Matchup but even
• 41:46
  Speaker 1: THOUGH i think The Red sox have a pitching advantage
• 41:48
  Speaker 1: throughout this entire, game the money's coming in against. Them
• 41:51
  Speaker 1: they're down for minus one twenty five to one twenty
• 41:54
  Speaker 1: on the money, line seventy seven percent of, tickets sixty
• 41:56
  Speaker 1: one percent of the. Cash that worries me that the
• 41:59
  Speaker 1: money fading The Red sox here and it might sort
• 42:02
  Speaker 1: of just be because, well both these teams are, good
• 42:05
  Speaker 1: and like maybe The Red sox like shouldn't be a
• 42:08
  Speaker 1: favorite on the. Road, basically it might be about the
• 42:10
  Speaker 1: price on that money. Line money is coming in on the,
• 42:13
  Speaker 1: under expecting both pitchers to pitch, well total them from
• 42:16
  Speaker 1: eight to seven and a half fifty one percent of
• 42:18
  Speaker 1: tickets ninety five percent of the cash on the. UNDER
• 42:22
  Speaker 1: i kind of disagree with. It But, TORONTO i, mean
• 42:24
  Speaker 1: the situational spot is a little bit better For toronto
• 42:26
  Speaker 1: because when a team returns home from a road, trip
• 42:28
  Speaker 1: if they have a bad game in that return home,
• 42:30
  Speaker 1: spot which is kind of a distracted, spot sometimes it's
• 42:34
  Speaker 1: a lot better for that team in the second game
• 42:36
  Speaker 1: back home after that, happens because they refocus and it
• 42:40
  Speaker 1: tends to be a much better spot in that next
• 42:42
  Speaker 1: game after. That So toronto is in that. Spot BUT i,
• 42:47
  Speaker 1: mean to, Me, CROCHET i think should have the edge
• 42:49
  Speaker 1: over shers are in this. One But i'm not gonna
• 42:51
  Speaker 1: hold my breath because OBVIOUSLY i want The Red sox
• 42:54
  Speaker 1: to win these, games but just BECAUSE i want their
• 42:57
  Speaker 1: young guys to get into the playoffs and get some.
• 42:59
  Speaker 1: Experience of, Course Roman anthony's not gonna be, playing but
• 43:03
  Speaker 1: STILL i want these guys to get some playoff. Experience
• 43:05
  Speaker 1: at least we will. See BUT i, mean to, ME
• 43:08
  Speaker 1: i think The Red sox to have the pitching edge
• 43:10
  Speaker 1: throughout the. Game, jordan what's up? Man thanks for hanging out.
• 43:13
  Speaker 1: Again Sutter Health? Park is? That which park is? THAT
• 43:20
  Speaker 1: i don't even, know. Dude these parks change affiliations like so.
• 43:23
  Speaker 1: MUCH i don't even know what park is, Which Like?
• 43:26
  Speaker 1: Toronto is that What toronto's? IS i thought it was
• 43:28
  Speaker 1: The Rogers center it, Is so what are we talking?
• 43:31
  Speaker 1: ABOUT i don't. KNOW i don't know what Where Sutter
• 43:33
  Speaker 1: Health park, is, Man but every one of these parks.
• 43:36
  Speaker 1: Changes they're like sponsorships and. Whatever minnesota At. Texas both
• 43:43
  Speaker 1: of these teams are just playing out the stretch at this.
• 43:45
  Speaker 1: Point But texas they look like a defeated, team, man
• 43:48
  Speaker 1: because they were in the race until they got swept By,
• 43:50
  Speaker 1: houston and they haven't won a game since before. Then
• 43:53
  Speaker 1: they've lost eight games in a row, now including yesterday To.
• 43:57
  Speaker 1: MINNESOTA i, mean at some point you gotta think they're
• 44:00
  Speaker 1: just gonna be sick of losing and just show up
• 44:03
  Speaker 1: motivated for a game just because of. THAT i, Mean
• 44:05
  Speaker 1: minnesota is playing out the stretch, too but they're showing
• 44:09
  Speaker 1: up in some of these. Games they've won the last two.
• 44:11
  Speaker 1: Games texas obviously has the way better bullpen in this,
• 44:15
  Speaker 1: matchup that's not even. Close but they used a lot
• 44:19
  Speaker 1: of their bullpen, yesterday so the bullpen usage is actually
• 44:22
  Speaker 1: in favor Of minnesota pretty. Significantly minnesota only these two
• 44:26
  Speaker 1: relief pitchers, yesterday so that almost kind of Negates texas'
• 44:28
  Speaker 1: bullpen edge a little bit. Here both offenses are, bad
• 44:33
  Speaker 1: But minnesota's is the less bad of the two starting.
• 44:36
  Speaker 1: Pitching it's pretty obvious That texas is a starting pitcher
• 44:40
  Speaker 1: in this matchup is the better, one which is why
• 44:42
  Speaker 1: they're a huge favor. Here but they might be favored
• 44:46
  Speaker 1: by too much in a, game you, know that just
• 44:48
  Speaker 1: doesn't really. Matter Taj bradley's pitching for The. TWINS i,
• 44:52
  Speaker 1: mean he hasn't been very good this year five point TWO,
• 44:55
  Speaker 1: era one point three to four. Whip he's been better
• 44:58
  Speaker 1: on the road four point four to eighty. Road his
• 45:00
  Speaker 1: home numbers might be a little bit skewed from pitching
• 45:03
  Speaker 1: In tampa because he was With tampa for the majority
• 45:06
  Speaker 1: of the, season and that was that is a hitter friendly.
• 45:08
  Speaker 1: Ballpark but he hasn't been good since being acquired By minnesota.
• 45:12
  Speaker 1: Either he made two starts In august and had a
• 45:14
  Speaker 1: seven point TWO era seven of four strike a walk ratio,
• 45:19
  Speaker 1: there and then this month eight point two to TWO
• 45:21
  Speaker 1: era in three, starts sixteen to six strike a walk.
• 45:25
  Speaker 1: Ratio so he is just not pitching. Well man nothing
• 45:28
  Speaker 1: to really like about. This The twins have lost all
• 45:31
  Speaker 1: five games that he. Started he's allowed four or more
• 45:35
  Speaker 1: in runs than three of the. Five things are just
• 45:38
  Speaker 1: not going well for. HIM i do think that he
• 45:40
  Speaker 1: has some, potential he's still a young. Guy but not
• 45:42
  Speaker 1: going well for. Him, however he does have pretty good
• 45:44
  Speaker 1: numbers Against texas and thirty seven at bats one sixty
• 45:47
  Speaker 1: two average, allowed six eighty nine oh. Ps that's pretty
• 45:50
  Speaker 1: good except eleven walks eight. Strikeouts it's too, many excuse.
• 45:54
  Speaker 1: Me eleven strikeouts eight, walks excuse. Me so it would
• 45:58
  Speaker 1: be worse the other way, around but it's still pretty.
• 46:00
  Speaker 1: Bad both home runs he's allowed To texas Been. Burger
• 46:04
  Speaker 1: burger gives him a Problem Man burger giving him a
• 46:08
  Speaker 1: heartburn or. SOMETHING i don't, know but other than that
• 46:11
  Speaker 1: he's done pretty well Against. Texas The Sacramento. A's, yeah
• 46:15
  Speaker 1: sin is they're gonna be in that stupid ballpark for
• 46:17
  Speaker 1: like three. Years why don't they call themselves The Sacramento.
• 46:21
  Speaker 1: A's it's so. Stupid they're just The a's with no city,
• 46:26
  Speaker 1: affiliation the, homeless Homeless. A'S i don't, know. Man jacob
• 46:31
  Speaker 1: de gram is pitching For texas. Here he's. GOOD i,
• 46:34
  Speaker 1: mean he's one of the guys that's getting up there
• 46:36
  Speaker 1: in age who's really had a successful. Season three point
• 46:39
  Speaker 1: zero ONE, era point nine to three whip really good
• 46:42
  Speaker 1: at home two point three to NINE. Era this is
• 46:44
  Speaker 1: a very picture friendly. Park hasn't been as good this.
• 46:47
  Speaker 1: Month he may be tiring out a little. Bit uh
• 46:50
  Speaker 1: five point seven to ONE era is still a sixteen
• 46:52
  Speaker 1: to three strike a walk ratio this month is pretty good.
• 46:54
  Speaker 1: Though Face houston twice in the, match two of those
• 46:58
  Speaker 1: on the, road so not entirely easy opponents to. Face
• 47:02
  Speaker 1: minnesota has not seen him much at. All they've had two.
• 47:05
  Speaker 1: Hitters i've ever seen him. Before they've done. Okay buxton
• 47:08
  Speaker 1: And vasquez have a three thirty three average eight eighty nine.
• 47:11
  Speaker 1: Ohps they're three for nine of them with two, strikeouts no,
• 47:15
  Speaker 1: walks but not a lot you can take away from.
• 47:17
  Speaker 1: That De gram is still pretty unfamiliar to. Them he
• 47:20
  Speaker 1: is the better pitcher, here but the money's coming in
• 47:22
  Speaker 1: Against texas. AGAIN i think Lining Texas as this heavy
• 47:26
  Speaker 1: of a favorite when they don't score much and they
• 47:30
  Speaker 1: don't have anything to play for at this point is
• 47:32
  Speaker 1: kind of. Ridiculous They're denver for minus one nine and
• 47:34
  Speaker 1: minus one eighty. SEVEN i, MEAN i think they're still
• 47:37
  Speaker 1: technically not, eliminated BUT i think we kind of. Know,
• 47:39
  Speaker 1: Man denver minus one nine twenty, seven eighty percent of,
• 47:43
  Speaker 1: tickets only sixty eight percent of the cash on, them
• 47:45
  Speaker 1: so money coming in a bit against, THEM i DON'T
• 47:49
  Speaker 1: i wouldn't want to have my money On minnesota here,
• 47:51
  Speaker 1: though With bradley and that. Bullpen no. THANKS i, mean
• 47:55
  Speaker 1: this game is just a complete pass for. ME i
• 47:57
  Speaker 1: don't even know HOW i would want to play this,
• 47:59
  Speaker 1: game to be, honest or HOW i would want to approach.
• 48:01
  Speaker 1: It this is one of the hardest games for me
• 48:04
  Speaker 1: to give out any sort of opinion on the entire, board,
• 48:09
  Speaker 1: Man SO i don't even THINK i, Can, LIKE i
• 48:10
  Speaker 1: don't want to mislead people, really but you can see
• 48:13
  Speaker 1: what the money is. Doing the money is also coming
• 48:15
  Speaker 1: in in the. Under so the money is coming in
• 48:16
  Speaker 1: On minnesota and the. Under so just take that for
• 48:21
  Speaker 1: what it's. WORTH i guess total did flip from seven
• 48:23
  Speaker 1: and a half juice to the over to seven and
• 48:24
  Speaker 1: a half juice to the. Under fifty six percent tickets
• 48:27
  Speaker 1: on the, over ninety eight percent of cash on the.
• 48:29
  Speaker 1: Under Mett's chicago is gonna be ON. Espn, hey we
• 48:32
  Speaker 1: get A espn finally decides to carry a baseball game
• 48:36
  Speaker 1: cause and it's because there's no other put no other
• 48:39
  Speaker 1: major sport on. Tonight isn't that? Great and we do
• 48:41
  Speaker 1: have the earlier games are ON Mlb, network by the,
• 48:44
  Speaker 1: way In, Tampa baltimore ON fs one for some. Reason
• 48:48
  Speaker 1: but this is a big, game So i'll talk about it.
• 48:50
  Speaker 1: Later that's gonna be one of my. Plays Kansas city At.
• 48:53
  Speaker 1: Anaheim we Got Kansas city right. Yesterday anaheim was in
• 48:56
  Speaker 1: probably the worst return home spot out of any of
• 48:59
  Speaker 1: the teams on the board. Yesterday GLAD i gave it.
• 49:01
  Speaker 1: OUT i gave it out late WHILE i was, handicapping
• 49:04
  Speaker 1: AND i was, like, yeah let's go With Kansas. CITY
• 49:06
  Speaker 1: i was a bad spot For. Anaheim and when you're
• 49:08
  Speaker 1: a team that's out of it Like, anaheim you're not
• 49:11
  Speaker 1: even as good as your record. Looks you're an underdog
• 49:14
  Speaker 1: returning home from a long road trip like. That that
• 49:16
  Speaker 1: is a bad spot against The Kansas city team that
• 49:18
  Speaker 1: still has some. Motivation but Now anaheim did they lost
• 49:22
  Speaker 1: that game, Yesterday they're in a better spot here because
• 49:25
  Speaker 1: again it's that spot where you return, home you get.
• 49:27
  Speaker 1: Distracted whatever you don't play, well the next game, up
• 49:31
  Speaker 1: you tend to refocus and do a little bit. Better
• 49:34
  Speaker 1: so they are in that. Spot Kansas city is still
• 49:36
  Speaker 1: technically trying to stay alive here the one game above five.
• 49:39
  Speaker 1: Hundred they're not mathematically eliminated, yet so they do have
• 49:43
  Speaker 1: something to play for at, least Whereas anaheim does. Not
• 49:45
  Speaker 1: Kansas city has the way better bullpen, here which is
• 49:48
  Speaker 1: part of my. Handicap last, night the bullpen usage was
• 49:51
  Speaker 1: similar on both, sides So Kansas city still has a bullpen.
• 49:55
  Speaker 1: Edge anaheim has the better, offense you, know though their
• 49:58
  Speaker 1: offense has been, slipping But Kansas city's is still not.
• 50:01
  Speaker 1: Good i'm pretty Sure anaheim's is still. Better where are
• 50:04
  Speaker 1: they at, No i'm. Wrong holy, Shit Kansas. City they
• 50:08
  Speaker 1: have leap Frog anaheim And ops on the season team.
• 50:11
  Speaker 1: Wise that's, insane, dude Because Kansas city's office is not
• 50:14
  Speaker 1: that good and they're ahead Of. Anaheim, now that is.
• 50:16
  Speaker 1: Wild stephen Cole like is pitching For Kansas city. Here
• 50:20
  Speaker 1: they picked him up From San diego on the trade.
• 50:23
  Speaker 1: Deadline he's been. Good he's been the better of the
• 50:25
  Speaker 1: Two San diego pitchers that they got at the trade
• 50:28
  Speaker 1: deadline between him and Berge. Or he's had a good season,
• 50:31
  Speaker 1: overall three point five to four E ra one point
• 50:34
  Speaker 1: one four. Whip very, strangely he has a Better ROADIE
• 50:38
  Speaker 1: ra two point three to one on the, season even
• 50:41
  Speaker 1: though both teams that have had him have had a
• 50:43
  Speaker 1: pitcher friendly. Ballpark doesn't make any. Sense he's been good
• 50:46
  Speaker 1: With Kansas city though he's made four starts with. Them
• 50:50
  Speaker 1: he's allowed two or fewer earned runs in all. Four
• 50:53
  Speaker 1: he's got at least six innings in all. Four nineteen
• 50:56
  Speaker 1: to three strike a walk ratio over that, man that's pretty.
• 50:59
  Speaker 1: SOLID era in the ones since then one point six
• 51:03
  Speaker 1: something or so doing the math there in the high one,
• 51:08
  Speaker 1: sixes so he's done pretty. Well he did Face detroit
• 51:10
  Speaker 1: and Ant, seattle both at, home, though but pitched pretty
• 51:13
  Speaker 1: well in both of those. Games those are decent. Offenses
• 51:16
  Speaker 1: anaheim has basically never seen him before. Too Just Chris
• 51:19
  Speaker 1: taylor's over one with a. Strikeout none of the other
• 51:23
  Speaker 1: hitters have ever faced, him so coolek in good form right,
• 51:27
  Speaker 1: now and he does have an unfamiliarity edge here Over
• 51:29
  Speaker 1: anheim because they haven't really faced him. Before he probably
• 51:33
  Speaker 1: is the guy that has the advantage of the starting
• 51:35
  Speaker 1: pitching Matchic he's going on against Youse, kakuchi AND i
• 51:39
  Speaker 1: say he's not that. Good he's been okay For aanheim this.
• 51:43
  Speaker 1: YEAR i guess four point h FIVE, vra but his
• 51:45
  Speaker 1: one point four or five whip is way too. HIGH
• 51:48
  Speaker 1: i mean he he walks way too many. Guys. Dude
• 51:51
  Speaker 1: he is better at, home significantly a THREE era at.
• 51:54
  Speaker 1: Home but he's not in good form right now at.
• 51:56
  Speaker 1: All this month six point nine to EIGHTY, ra twelve
• 51:59
  Speaker 1: to nine strike out walk race. Show that's pretty. Miserable
• 52:02
  Speaker 1: he wasn't too much better last month. Either, yeah granted
• 52:05
  Speaker 1: he only had made one home start this, month but
• 52:08
  Speaker 1: it was actually his worst. Start he went two winnings
• 52:11
  Speaker 1: to give seven or in runs against The a's three,
• 52:13
  Speaker 1: walks one. Strikeout So kikuchi is just in really bad
• 52:16
  Speaker 1: form right. NOW i know he's stepping down in class
• 52:19
  Speaker 1: to face A royals offense that, IS i think worse
• 52:22
  Speaker 1: than all the offenses he's faced this. Month, yeah they're
• 52:25
  Speaker 1: worse Than, houston As seattle And, Milwaukee so, yeah those
• 52:29
  Speaker 1: are the other teams he's faced this. Month but, STILL
• 52:32
  Speaker 1: i don't know that he's gonna actually do well. Here
• 52:33
  Speaker 1: he does have good numbers against The royals, though in
• 52:35
  Speaker 1: fifty nine at bats eighteen to two strike a walk
• 52:38
  Speaker 1: raceihow one sixty nine batting average allowed four to thirty four.
• 52:41
  Speaker 1: Ohps so maybe he'll do decently. Here the money's coming
• 52:47
  Speaker 1: in On anaheim interesting BECAUSE i Think Kansas city has
• 52:50
  Speaker 1: a pitching edge across the board in this, game LIKE
• 52:53
  Speaker 1: i thought, Yesterday but this is a little bit less
• 52:56
  Speaker 1: of a good spot for. Them at Least Kansas city
• 52:57
  Speaker 1: is getting the public ticket percentage four percent of the
• 53:00
  Speaker 1: tickets fifty two of the. Cash the market indicators are, Saying,
• 53:05
  Speaker 1: anaheim excuse me in this. One. Uh the under is
• 53:09
  Speaker 1: also getting money down from total down from eight and
• 53:11
  Speaker 1: a half to eight and a half heavily juiced to the,
• 53:13
  Speaker 1: under so it is headed towards, eight which not a
• 53:16
  Speaker 1: significant difference between eight and a half and eight, though
• 53:20
  Speaker 1: take it's sixty two percent of the cash on the.
• 53:21
  Speaker 1: Under excuse, me so do with that information what you?
• 53:26
  Speaker 1: WILL i, mean if you want to go under in this,
• 53:28
  Speaker 1: Game anaheim's bulpin is a little bit of a, concern
• 53:31
  Speaker 1: so maybe first five inning under makes more. SENSE i
• 53:33
  Speaker 1: could see both pitchers doing. OKAY i still think that
• 53:37
  Speaker 1: even though the spot's a little bit better For, ANAHEIM
• 53:39
  Speaker 1: i still THINK i would slightly lean To Kansas city
• 53:42
  Speaker 1: because you know, ME i like the better. Pitching so
• 53:44
  Speaker 1: that's the team THAT i think does have the better pitching. Here,
• 53:48
  Speaker 1: uh but not a not a strong opinion for. Me.
• 53:51
  Speaker 1: There really has the pitch clock helped baseball? VIEWERSHIP i
• 53:55
  Speaker 1: don't think. SO i MEAN i guess that was the. Intent,
• 53:58
  Speaker 1: oh let's make the games. SHORTER i mean that's just
• 54:01
  Speaker 1: a bad, like that's a bad sign in, general, dude
• 54:04
  Speaker 1: if you, want like, basically, like what are you saying
• 54:07
  Speaker 1: basically like our game is so boring people don't want
• 54:10
  Speaker 1: to watch baseball that we need to shorten the. EXPERIENCE i,
• 54:13
  Speaker 1: mean what the fuck is. That it's so, ridiculous. Dude so,
• 54:17
  Speaker 1: NO i don't think. SO i think it just fucks
• 54:18
  Speaker 1: with the with what is An american past. Time. MAN
• 54:22
  Speaker 1: i think it's the less bad of the rule. CHANGES i,
• 54:25
  Speaker 1: mean the Ghost runner is obviously way. Worse it's. STUPID i,
• 54:29
  Speaker 1: MEAN i still don't like the pitch clock at. ALL
• 54:32
  Speaker 1: i don't like the whatever they're gonna be doing next
• 54:35
  Speaker 1: year with this balls Versus strikes challenge thing that's gonna
• 54:41
  Speaker 1: be not even using. UMPIRES i don't like that at.
• 54:44
  Speaker 1: ALL i hate it, actually LIKE i hate bad, umping
• 54:47
  Speaker 1: but bad umping is part of, baseball. Man like they're
• 54:50
  Speaker 1: taking like what Was america's pastime and they're they're dehumanizing
• 54:54
  Speaker 1: it to a huge. Extent. Man SO i don't like
• 54:57
  Speaker 1: it at. All it's becoming more like, robotic like you're
• 55:00
  Speaker 1: watching some arcade like arena. Thing it's so. Stupid, yeah
• 55:04
  Speaker 1: the Ghost, runner, Well i'm still Never i'm not gonna
• 55:07
  Speaker 1: live that, down. Man that under THAT i had in
• 55:08
  Speaker 1: That Miami texas series where the game was one to
• 55:11
  Speaker 1: one after the ninth inning and it went over. Eight
• 55:15
  Speaker 1: it went twelve innings and it went over, eight and
• 55:17
  Speaker 1: that was Because texas retied the game in the bottom
• 55:20
  Speaker 1: of the. TENTH i hate. IT i hate the Ghost.
• 55:23
  Speaker 1: Runner we will get to The diamondbacks game. Ranger what's up.
• 55:27
  Speaker 1: Man i'm gonna give it out of the end of
• 55:29
  Speaker 1: the show, though because it's one of my best, Bets
• 55:31
  Speaker 1: so if you're willing to, wait but if you're, not
• 55:35
  Speaker 1: then it'll Be this is gonna be available, everywhere so
• 55:38
  Speaker 1: you could go to the end of the. Show i'll
• 55:39
  Speaker 1: put the chapters in. There it'll be at the end
• 55:41
  Speaker 1: of the. Show it's gonna be the very last game
• 55:43
  Speaker 1: THAT i talk, about, Though i'm gonna talk a Well Colorado.
• 55:46
  Speaker 1: Seattle i'll talk about this very. Briefly and this is
• 55:49
  Speaker 1: such a disgusting, game, DUDE i, Mean colorado is. Awful
• 55:52
  Speaker 1: seattle won again, yesterday though they only won four to.
• 55:55
  Speaker 1: Three they were in a return home spot and facing
• 55:58
  Speaker 1: a team they likely were not really. Good to focus on.
• 56:01
  Speaker 1: IT i ACTUALLY i told you. YESTERDAY i gave all
• 56:04
  Speaker 1: leans on The White sox And colorado plus one and
• 56:06
  Speaker 1: a half run line in both, games and they both
• 56:09
  Speaker 1: lost and still, covered both losing by. One so there you. Go.
• 56:13
  Speaker 1: Man some you, know crazy opinions for me, there But
• 56:16
  Speaker 1: seattle was still able to get the. Win they're on
• 56:18
  Speaker 1: a five game win streak. Here they're they're gonna win the,
• 56:22
  Speaker 1: division The Al. West they're ahead Of houston by four. Games,
• 56:25
  Speaker 1: now there's basically no looking. Back so is it possibly
• 56:28
  Speaker 1: they take a step? Back? Maybe but they also didn't
• 56:31
  Speaker 1: play well in that return home, spot so there is
• 56:33
  Speaker 1: the possibility they got a little bit of a scare
• 56:36
  Speaker 1: yesterday having a close game against a bad, team and
• 56:39
  Speaker 1: maybe they'll play better. HERE i don't really want any
• 56:42
  Speaker 1: part Of colorado in this, game to be. HONEST i,
• 56:44
  Speaker 1: mean their bullpen is obviously the worst of the. Two
• 56:46
  Speaker 1: they did use four relief pitchers, yesterday so Did. Seattle
• 56:50
  Speaker 1: But seattle has the better, Bullpen seattle has the better,
• 56:53
  Speaker 1: offense there's no question about any of, this and they
• 56:55
  Speaker 1: have the better starting. Pitcher but you're gonna have to
• 56:57
  Speaker 1: lay a massive price if you Want seattle. Here Tanner
• 57:00
  Speaker 1: gordon is pitching for The. Rockies not good. NUMBERS i,
• 57:03
  Speaker 1: mean what else is new six era one point four
• 57:06
  Speaker 1: to six Whip he's actually worse on the, road he's
• 57:09
  Speaker 1: better in course. Field doesn't make sense seven point four road.
• 57:13
  Speaker 1: Era this is a pitcher friendly park he's gonna be pitching,
• 57:16
  Speaker 1: in but STILL i don't know what we're gonna get
• 57:18
  Speaker 1: out of, him although he did pitch well in a
• 57:20
  Speaker 1: pitcher friendly park on the. Road the last time he
• 57:23
  Speaker 1: was on the road At San, diego he held him
• 57:25
  Speaker 1: to a one earned run in six innings with nine
• 57:26
  Speaker 1: strikeouts one, Walk so he's actually not in horrific form right.
• 57:30
  Speaker 1: Now this, month he is a five point seven to
• 57:32
  Speaker 1: FOUR era eighteen to three strike a walk ratio the
• 57:36
  Speaker 1: last two outings to give up three or fewer earned
• 57:38
  Speaker 1: runs and went six innings in each of. Them and,
• 57:41
  Speaker 1: actually if you go back as six of his last seven,
• 57:45
  Speaker 1: outings he's actually done. That he's allowed three or fewer
• 57:47
  Speaker 1: earned runs and he's gone six or more innings in
• 57:51
  Speaker 1: four of the last six. Outings so he's actually in
• 57:54
  Speaker 1: okay form right. Now so something to consider. Here even
• 57:57
  Speaker 1: THOUGH i know The mariners are a pretty good, Offense
• 58:00
  Speaker 1: mareners had never seen him, BEFORE i Guess, suarez even
• 58:03
  Speaker 1: though he has no at bats listed on the board,
• 58:05
  Speaker 1: here he has a one thousand on base, percentage WHICH
• 58:08
  Speaker 1: i guess means the one time he Faced gordon he
• 58:11
  Speaker 1: got hit by a pitch or something is that what
• 58:13
  Speaker 1: that must? Be what it, WAS i don't, know, MAN
• 58:17
  Speaker 1: i don't reaching on an error doesn't doesn't improve you're
• 58:21
  Speaker 1: on base. PERCENTAGE i wouldn't. Imagine SO i think it
• 58:23
  Speaker 1: was a hit by. PITCH i don't, know, Man maybe
• 58:26
  Speaker 1: a hit by. Pitch but Basically seattle has never Seen gordon,
• 58:29
  Speaker 1: before so maybe he has a little bit of an
• 58:31
  Speaker 1: edge there Because seattle's hitters are unfamiliar with then they
• 58:33
  Speaker 1: have to figure him. Out Luis castillo's pitcher For, seattle
• 58:37
  Speaker 1: and he's had another pretty good. Season he's obviously the
• 58:39
  Speaker 1: better of these two. Pitchers three point sixty THREE, era excuse,
• 58:43
  Speaker 1: me one point two to three. Whip he's way better
• 58:46
  Speaker 1: at home. Again seattle pretty much all their pitchers are
• 58:50
  Speaker 1: two point seven to ONE era at. Home he's in
• 58:52
  Speaker 1: really good for him again this month two point eight SIX,
• 58:55
  Speaker 1: era nineteen to three strike a walk, ratio three good
• 58:58
  Speaker 1: starts in a row after he didn't pitch well At.
• 59:00
  Speaker 1: Tampa had a rough month last, month but he's bounced back.
• 59:04
  Speaker 1: Nicely last three starts all, good allowed one or fewer
• 59:08
  Speaker 1: earned runs in six. Innings you, know all of them
• 59:11
  Speaker 1: not facing good offenses really. Though Atlanta Anaheim Kansas. City
• 59:15
  Speaker 1: but of Course colorado is a bad offense. Too they're
• 59:17
  Speaker 1: particularly bad on the, road so he should do well
• 59:20
  Speaker 1: in this. One his numbers are fine Against. Colorado sixty
• 59:23
  Speaker 1: two at bats are really good eighteen to one strike
• 59:26
  Speaker 1: a walk, ratio two fifty, eight batting average, allowed six
• 59:29
  Speaker 1: fifty seven. Ops both home runs That colorado has against
• 59:34
  Speaker 1: them are From, maniac SO i do Think castillo should
• 59:37
  Speaker 1: pitch well in this one as. Well the money lines
• 59:41
  Speaker 1: dropped significantly On Seattle denver minus three seventy to minus
• 59:44
  Speaker 1: two eighty, five some significant money Fading seattle here ninety
• 59:48
  Speaker 1: six percent tickets only sixty three percent of the, cash
• 59:51
  Speaker 1: basically just Thinking seattle is too heavy of a favorite.
• 59:54
  Speaker 1: HERE i don't disagree with. That the under might be
• 59:59
  Speaker 1: worth a look. Here that total is low at seven
• 1:00:01
  Speaker 1: and a half eighty six percent of tickets eighty six
• 1:00:03
  Speaker 1: percent of the, cash but maybe a first five inning under,
• 1:00:07
  Speaker 1: even but then you probably have to go into three
• 1:00:08
  Speaker 1: and a. Half BUT i could see both starting pitchers
• 1:00:11
  Speaker 1: actually doing decently in this. Game, Uh colorado's bullpend maybe
• 1:00:15
  Speaker 1: something you want to avoid, Though so those are my
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 1: thoughts on that. One, Nate what's up, Man thanks for
• 1:00:21
  Speaker 1: hanging out. Man all, Right Saint, Louis San. Francisco this
• 1:00:26
  Speaker 1: is just kind of an ugly. Series two pretty bad.
• 1:00:28
  Speaker 1: Offenses they're two good. Bullpens Sar francisco's on the vergi
• 1:00:32
  Speaker 1: of getting, swept so maybe they'll have a little bit
• 1:00:34
  Speaker 1: extra motivation for that. Reason they lost each game by.
• 1:00:37
  Speaker 1: One both these teams are done and they're not going.
• 1:00:40
  Speaker 1: Anywhere as far as the bullpen, USAGE i think there
• 1:00:44
  Speaker 1: was a lot of BULLPEN U sugg. Yesterday it almost
• 1:00:46
  Speaker 1: seemed like it was an extra inning game even though it.
• 1:00:48
  Speaker 1: Wasn't Saint louis used most of their relief pitchers, Yesterday
• 1:00:51
  Speaker 1: Sarah cisco only used. Four San francisco has the bullpen
• 1:00:55
  Speaker 1: edge in this. Game they might actually even have an
• 1:00:59
  Speaker 1: offensive edge of this. One let me. SEE i know it's,
• 1:01:01
  Speaker 1: close But Saint louis is still just ahead Of San.
• 1:01:03
  Speaker 1: Francisco Saint louis tied in twenty second FOR, Ops San
• 1:01:07
  Speaker 1: francisco twenty fourth in TEAM. Ops Sunny gray is pitching
• 1:01:12
  Speaker 1: For Saint louis. Here decent. STARTER i mean he's had
• 1:01:16
  Speaker 1: kind of a mediocre season. Though four point three to THREE,
• 1:01:18
  Speaker 1: era one point two to three. Whip he's not good
• 1:01:21
  Speaker 1: on the road five point one to one ROAD, era
• 1:01:24
  Speaker 1: so that's not. Good he did just Face San francisco
• 1:01:26
  Speaker 1: at home back On september. Seventh it was a mediocre
• 1:01:30
  Speaker 1: outing for him, really at best and five and a
• 1:01:32
  Speaker 1: third a Hees gon gave up three on, runs had four,
• 1:01:34
  Speaker 1: walks which is the worst thing about that. Start at six. Strikeouts,
• 1:01:40
  Speaker 1: overall his strikeout walk ratio is still pretty good this
• 1:01:43
  Speaker 1: month twenty six to. Eight had a good start last
• 1:01:46
  Speaker 1: time out Against. Milwaukee he's allowed three or four earned
• 1:01:48
  Speaker 1: runs and three straight starts at, least but a five
• 1:01:51
  Speaker 1: point two to FOUR era this, month so that's not very.
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 1: Good he might be wearing down a little bit at
• 1:01:55
  Speaker 1: the end of the. Season he's getting a little bit.
• 1:01:57
  Speaker 1: Older he's kind of a small dude for a, pitcher
• 1:02:00
  Speaker 1: SO i don't know if that kind of like makes
• 1:02:03
  Speaker 1: makes it so that your stamina isn't as. GOOD i don't.
• 1:02:06
  Speaker 1: Know But San francisco having seen him recently doesn't mean
• 1:02:09
  Speaker 1: they're recently familiar with. Them BUT i don't know if
• 1:02:10
  Speaker 1: that matters because they've seen a good amount of him
• 1:02:12
  Speaker 1: anyway in eighty two career. Bats the interesting thing about
• 1:02:17
  Speaker 1: this Is gray has actually not allowed too many hits
• 1:02:21
  Speaker 1: to them at all twoh seven batting average, allowed but
• 1:02:24
  Speaker 1: he's allowed power and a ton of walks to. Them
• 1:02:27
  Speaker 1: a seven eighty two ops twenty three to seven twenty
• 1:02:30
  Speaker 1: three to seventeen strike a walk ratio. Ridiculous gray usually
• 1:02:35
  Speaker 1: is in good. Command he usually does not walk, Guys
• 1:02:38
  Speaker 1: so that's a little bit of a concern that he
• 1:02:40
  Speaker 1: walks that many guys Against San. Francisco but he is
• 1:02:43
  Speaker 1: going up against A San francisco bullpen. Game San francisco IS.
• 1:02:47
  Speaker 1: Jg brewbaker on the, mound who they got from The
• 1:02:49
  Speaker 1: yankees at some, point not too long. Ago do this Brew,
• 1:02:53
  Speaker 1: baker if you're watching this, VIDEO i mean he he
• 1:02:56
  Speaker 1: looks pretty old school. Man he looks like kind of
• 1:02:59
  Speaker 1: an older. Dude he's got that. STASH i mean he
• 1:03:02
  Speaker 1: he looks like he should have been pitching back. In
• 1:03:04
  Speaker 1: he kind of looks like if he had long, hair
• 1:03:07
  Speaker 1: which The YANKEES i think still probably don't, allow even
• 1:03:09
  Speaker 1: though they started a live, beards totally. Ridiculous if he
• 1:03:12
  Speaker 1: had long, hair he kind of looked Like Dennis eckersley or.
• 1:03:15
  Speaker 1: Something he looks like he should be in like a
• 1:03:16
  Speaker 1: seventies Poor now he looks like he should be pitching
• 1:03:19
  Speaker 1: in the majors, though but he's not really that. Great
• 1:03:23
  Speaker 1: but The yankees, thing by the, way is so ridiculous
• 1:03:25
  Speaker 1: that The, yankees they're so you, know, like, oh we're
• 1:03:28
  Speaker 1: world class and uptight that they need To they disallowed
• 1:03:32
  Speaker 1: beards up until this, year and they only allowed us
• 1:03:34
  Speaker 1: so they could Get Devin williams and he hasn't even. Pitched.
• 1:03:37
  Speaker 1: Well it's so ridiculous because they because they Wanted williams
• 1:03:40
  Speaker 1: to be able to keep his beard for whatever. Reason
• 1:03:42
  Speaker 1: it's so. Dumb Bruce, banker his numbers are good on
• 1:03:45
  Speaker 1: the season three point six FIVE, era one point two two.
• 1:03:49
  Speaker 1: Whip not as good at home four point eight TWO,
• 1:03:52
  Speaker 1: era but remember most of that was with The, yankees
• 1:03:55
  Speaker 1: so With San francisco they have a more pitcher friendly.
• 1:03:58
  Speaker 1: Park although With safrencis he's just been okay four point
• 1:04:01
  Speaker 1: one FIVE era eight to two strike a walk. Ratio
• 1:04:05
  Speaker 1: but he faced difficult Offenses arizona The dodgers and had
• 1:04:09
  Speaker 1: to pitch a corpse, field so not easy. Undertakings but
• 1:04:12
  Speaker 1: he's only gone like two and two and a third
• 1:04:14
  Speaker 1: innings and all those, outings so he's gonna be an.
• 1:04:16
  Speaker 1: Opener this is a bullpen game For San francisco, here
• 1:04:19
  Speaker 1: so that kind of negates their bullpen advantage a little
• 1:04:23
  Speaker 1: bit here going up Against. Gray you gotta Figure gray
• 1:04:25
  Speaker 1: probably will last deeper into this game unless he has
• 1:04:28
  Speaker 1: one of his complete implosions, starts Which i'm not really
• 1:04:31
  Speaker 1: thinking he. Will. Here the money is coming in On Saint.
• 1:04:34
  Speaker 1: Louis San francisco is down for minus one thirty to
• 1:04:36
  Speaker 1: minus want to, wait pretty significant movement coming in On Saint.
• 1:04:40
  Speaker 1: Louis sixty percent, tickets eighty three percent of the cash
• 1:04:43
  Speaker 1: coming Into Saint. LOUIS i, MEAN i won't really disagree with, it,
• 1:04:47
  Speaker 1: UH i, mean GENERALLY i do Prefer gray over a bullpen.
• 1:04:50
  Speaker 1: Game it's just a matter Of gray isn't that good
• 1:04:53
  Speaker 1: on the. Road is he wearing? Down he's not a
• 1:04:55
  Speaker 1: great forum right. Now so we will see about. That
• 1:04:57
  Speaker 1: but that's the best mark market read on that as
• 1:05:00
  Speaker 1: The Saint louis. Side and then we Have houston at The.
• 1:05:03
  Speaker 1: A's The a's got the win yesterday despite being in
• 1:05:06
  Speaker 1: a return home spot five to one win, yesterday ridiculous.
• 1:05:10
  Speaker 1: Man houston's now in the wildcard. Race they're probably not
• 1:05:13
  Speaker 1: gonna win the division. Now they've lost four games in
• 1:05:15
  Speaker 1: a row after getting swept By, seattle following that up
• 1:05:18
  Speaker 1: with a loss, here having to go out to The Pacific.
• 1:05:20
  Speaker 1: Coast looking at, THIS i almost wanted to give Out
• 1:05:24
  Speaker 1: houston as a play just looking at the starting pitching.
• 1:05:27
  Speaker 1: Here i'm not going. To but, Plus houston has the
• 1:05:30
  Speaker 1: motivation here. Though you got to think The a's they're
• 1:05:33
  Speaker 1: gonna be motivated too, though because The a's they're playing
• 1:05:36
  Speaker 1: like a motivated team even though they've been out of
• 1:05:38
  Speaker 1: it for a. While they got these young hitters that
• 1:05:40
  Speaker 1: want to show up and, play and they're gonna show
• 1:05:43
  Speaker 1: up for a game Against houston because they actually have
• 1:05:45
  Speaker 1: the opportunity to Knock houston out of the. Playoffs SO
• 1:05:48
  Speaker 1: i think they might relish that opportunity a little. Bit
• 1:05:51
  Speaker 1: houston does have the better. BULLPEN i mean that's not
• 1:05:53
  Speaker 1: even really. Close they're pretty well. Rested The a's didn't
• 1:05:57
  Speaker 1: use much of their's yesterday, either But houston's got the.
• 1:05:59
  Speaker 1: Bullpen The a's have the better, offense although The a's
• 1:06:03
  Speaker 1: have actually been pretty bad at, home so something to
• 1:06:07
  Speaker 1: keep in mind. There Although houston is not really that
• 1:06:08
  Speaker 1: good on the road. EITHER i mean they're better than
• 1:06:10
  Speaker 1: some teams on the. ROAD i think they're right around five.
• 1:06:12
  Speaker 1: Hundred but The a's are particularly bad at. Home for whatever,
• 1:06:15
  Speaker 1: reason they basically just don't have an advantage in this,
• 1:06:18
  Speaker 1: stadium the temporary stadium that they're. In they tend to
• 1:06:21
  Speaker 1: just give up a ton of runs. Here you gotta
• 1:06:24
  Speaker 1: kind of Favor Hunter brown though in the starting pitching matchup.
• 1:06:27
  Speaker 1: HERE i mean he's Basically houston's best. PITCHER i mean
• 1:06:30
  Speaker 1: he is two point THREE era one point oh one.
• 1:06:33
  Speaker 1: Whip HIS era at home and home and away is
• 1:06:37
  Speaker 1: almost exactly the. Same he's given up two or fewer
• 1:06:39
  Speaker 1: earned runs in every start going all the way back
• 1:06:42
  Speaker 1: into Late july this, month one point nine THREE, era
• 1:06:46
  Speaker 1: nineteen to six strike a walk. Ratio he's pitching, well,
• 1:06:50
  Speaker 1: man AND i don't think he's gonna be that thrown
• 1:06:53
  Speaker 1: off by pitching in this hitter friendly ballpark. Here his
• 1:06:55
  Speaker 1: numbers against The a's are actually not that. Great on
• 1:06:58
  Speaker 1: seventy six at, best two to three strike a walk
• 1:07:01
  Speaker 1: ratio is really, good though two eighty nine batting average,
• 1:07:04
  Speaker 1: allowed seven to twenty four. Ohps they have hit him
• 1:07:07
  Speaker 1: for decent contact at, least but some of those numbers
• 1:07:10
  Speaker 1: have got to be back When brown wasn't as good
• 1:07:13
  Speaker 1: facing The a's this. Year he did have a home
• 1:07:15
  Speaker 1: start where you give him one on and run in five.
• 1:07:17
  Speaker 1: Innings he pitched at home against him and really was
• 1:07:21
  Speaker 1: good in the an earlier start In may SIX inx
• 1:07:24
  Speaker 1: pitch one and, run eight, strikeouts no walks in that.
• 1:07:26
  Speaker 1: One but he has not pitched in this stadium. Yet
• 1:07:29
  Speaker 1: but he's been better against The a's this, Year so
• 1:07:32
  Speaker 1: some of those numbers against The a's were when he
• 1:07:34
  Speaker 1: wasn't as good in the. Past SO i kind of
• 1:07:36
  Speaker 1: expect him to pitch better, here pitch. Well, PLUS i,
• 1:07:40
  Speaker 1: mean everything's on the line, here. Man you know he's
• 1:07:43
  Speaker 1: got to show up for this. One he's going up
• 1:07:45
  Speaker 1: Against Louis, severno who has had a very mediocre season
• 1:07:49
  Speaker 1: four point seven to TWO era one point three to
• 1:07:51
  Speaker 1: three whip kind of worse than. Mediocre but it's all
• 1:07:54
  Speaker 1: been because he's way worse in this. Stadium at. Home
• 1:07:57
  Speaker 1: he has some of the most significant home roads splits
• 1:07:59
  Speaker 1: out of Any he's actually been good on the, road
• 1:08:02
  Speaker 1: and he's terrible at home on the road three point
• 1:08:05
  Speaker 1: oh TWO era at home six point five to. One
• 1:08:08
  Speaker 1: he's the guy That i've faded multiple times at, home
• 1:08:10
  Speaker 1: And i've done pretty well in doing. So this month
• 1:08:13
  Speaker 1: he hasn't been. Great with three starts on the road
• 1:08:16
  Speaker 1: and one started at. Home he still hasn't been that
• 1:08:18
  Speaker 1: good this. Month sixteen to five strike a walk ratio is,
• 1:08:21
  Speaker 1: alright four point zero FIVE era, mediocre, Man So i'm
• 1:08:25
  Speaker 1: not thinking he's gonna do that well here Against. Houston
• 1:08:28
  Speaker 1: he has okay, Numbers they've seen a lot of. Them
• 1:08:29
  Speaker 1: one hundred and seventy at, bats forty seven to twelve
• 1:08:32
  Speaker 1: strike a walk ratio that's pretty, good but two fifty
• 1:08:35
  Speaker 1: nine batting average allowed seven h six obs not. Bad
• 1:08:39
  Speaker 1: but he doesn't bitch well in the, stadium So i'm
• 1:08:42
  Speaker 1: kind of expecting him to get out pitched. HERE i
• 1:08:45
  Speaker 1: kind of lean To, houston but the money is way against.
• 1:08:48
  Speaker 1: It they're down for minus one forty one twenty. Two
• 1:08:51
  Speaker 1: they're one of those road, favorites with the public on
• 1:08:54
  Speaker 1: them eighty nine percent of tickets on, them only seventy
• 1:08:57
  Speaker 1: seven percent of the, Cash so the money is disagreeing
• 1:09:00
  Speaker 1: then coming in Against. HOUSTON i don't really fully agree with,
• 1:09:06
  Speaker 1: it BUT i don't want to fade like a market
• 1:09:07
  Speaker 1: read like that, Either So i'm gonna stay away from.
• 1:09:10
  Speaker 1: It let's go to the best bets, man and hopefully
• 1:09:14
  Speaker 1: our ranger On twitter hopefully is still around man for,
• 1:09:16
  Speaker 1: this because it's gonna take a little while because we've
• 1:09:18
  Speaker 1: got four games to do for the best bets segment
• 1:09:21
  Speaker 1: here and THEN i will get out. Here won't be
• 1:09:23
  Speaker 1: too long of a video. Today it's still over an hour.
• 1:09:25
  Speaker 1: Though OH i forgot again that this has been the.
• 1:09:30
  Speaker 1: BREAKDOWN i totally. Forgot. Oops all, right let's get to
• 1:09:37
  Speaker 1: the best bets. MAN i need some like music in
• 1:09:44
  Speaker 1: the background for. That as you guys have, said first one,
• 1:09:47
  Speaker 1: UP i told you we're gonna have a lot of.
• 1:09:48
  Speaker 1: Unders the first one Is milwaukee And San. Diego under
• 1:09:51
  Speaker 1: the total you can get under eight at a decent.
• 1:09:54
  Speaker 1: Price that's What i'm showing it. At it's moving a little.
• 1:09:57
  Speaker 1: BIT i think seven and a, HALF i mean. Eight
• 1:10:00
  Speaker 1: it's not really a key. Number seven is the key.
• 1:10:02
  Speaker 1: Number so if you get under seven and a, half
• 1:10:04
  Speaker 1: you're still getting the better of that key number of,
• 1:10:07
  Speaker 1: seven because that's what breaks the three to three. TIE
• 1:10:09
  Speaker 1: i like the under in this. One you got a
• 1:10:10
  Speaker 1: Pitcher Friendly park, Here so that's one good thing about.
• 1:10:13
  Speaker 1: This the public's gonna want to more than more than,
• 1:10:18
  Speaker 1: likely the public's gonna look at this game and think
• 1:10:19
  Speaker 1: over because it's two teams that are in the playoff,
• 1:10:22
  Speaker 1: race It's milwaukee In San. Diego probably the public probably
• 1:10:27
  Speaker 1: kind of thinks they're a better offense than they have.
• 1:10:28
  Speaker 1: Been they've only been an okay offense at. Best they've
• 1:10:31
  Speaker 1: been kind of in the bottom third for a. While
• 1:10:33
  Speaker 1: milwaukee's a pretty good, offense but and, yes they are
• 1:10:36
  Speaker 1: better on the, road BUT i think this pitching matchup
• 1:10:39
  Speaker 1: in the Pitcher Friendly park could kind of limit that
• 1:10:41
  Speaker 1: a little. Bit sixty percent of the tickets around the,
• 1:10:43
  Speaker 1: over but fifty five percent of the cash on the
• 1:10:45
  Speaker 1: under total is, Dropping so that is WHAT i. Like,
• 1:10:48
  Speaker 1: hearan just to talk about the side, briefly the money
• 1:10:51
  Speaker 1: is coming in In San diego for minus one to
• 1:10:53
  Speaker 1: fifteen to minus one twenty, five seventy three percent of,
• 1:10:55
  Speaker 1: tickets eighty two percent of the cash coming in In San.
• 1:10:57
  Speaker 1: DIEGO i wouldn't strongly disagree with. It milwaukee doesn't really
• 1:11:01
  Speaker 1: have anything to play for at this. POINT. O they're
• 1:11:04
  Speaker 1: close to wrapping up having home field throughout the. Playoffs
• 1:11:07
  Speaker 1: they have the best record right now and they're probably
• 1:11:09
  Speaker 1: not gonna be caught By. Philly San, diego they're in the,
• 1:11:12
  Speaker 1: playoff they're in the, well they're in the wildcard, race
• 1:11:16
  Speaker 1: and they want to make sure they get that last.
• 1:11:18
  Speaker 1: Wildcard they're pretty OR i think they're in the number five,
• 1:11:21
  Speaker 1: SPOT i, mean, excuseally the second last. Wildcard they want
• 1:11:24
  Speaker 1: to make sure that they get, that ALTHOUGH i think
• 1:11:27
  Speaker 1: it's pretty unlikely they're gonna move out of that. Spot
• 1:11:30
  Speaker 1: but they do have a chance to still win the
• 1:11:32
  Speaker 1: division here, though so they do still have a little
• 1:11:34
  Speaker 1: bit of motivation over What milwaukee. Has but we're looking
• 1:11:37
  Speaker 1: at the under. Here i'm gonna go with this being
• 1:11:39
  Speaker 1: a pitching match up here in the. Afternoon of, course
• 1:11:43
  Speaker 1: San diego has a good. Bullpen we know. This they
• 1:11:45
  Speaker 1: didn't use much of it, yesterday so San diego's bullpen's
• 1:11:48
  Speaker 1: a good. Shape butwaukee's bill been in good shape as.
• 1:11:51
  Speaker 1: Well after only using one relief pitcher. Yesterday milwaukee's has
• 1:11:55
  Speaker 1: been actually pretty decent. Recently they're up to eleventh in overall.
• 1:11:59
  Speaker 1: Year San, diego of, course his first in era best
• 1:12:03
  Speaker 1: era for bullpens in the major, leagues so the bullpens
• 1:12:07
  Speaker 1: they think are fine. Here Chad patrick is pitching For.
• 1:12:10
  Speaker 1: Milwaukee he's a young dude that does have some, talent
• 1:12:13
  Speaker 1: a three point six SIX, era one point two eight
• 1:12:15
  Speaker 1: whip this, season hasn't pitched a, ton but he's been pretty.
• 1:12:19
  Speaker 1: Decent he's been worse on the road four point five
• 1:12:21
  Speaker 1: SIX roadra but this is a pitcher from the, park
• 1:12:24
  Speaker 1: so he might do better. HERE i know it's a
• 1:12:27
  Speaker 1: little bit questioning about how deep he's gonna go into this,
• 1:12:29
  Speaker 1: game as he had a couple of one inning appearances
• 1:12:32
  Speaker 1: and then last outing they limited him to four to
• 1:12:36
  Speaker 1: third as give up tour in runs Against Saint, louis
• 1:12:38
  Speaker 1: who is not a good. Offense but he had three
• 1:12:40
  Speaker 1: strikeouts no walks in that. Outing does have a thirteen
• 1:12:43
  Speaker 1: to three strike out walk racetire this month four point
• 1:12:45
  Speaker 1: two to TWO, era so he might be a little bit.
• 1:12:48
  Speaker 1: Limited BUT i think you're probably gonna get four to
• 1:12:50
  Speaker 1: five innings out of him in this game and then
• 1:12:53
  Speaker 1: we get the bullpen for the rest of the rest of.
• 1:12:55
  Speaker 1: It But i'm still okay with. That his numbers are
• 1:12:57
  Speaker 1: good Against San. Diego they've seen him a little bit
• 1:13:00
  Speaker 1: at bats five to, three strike a walk, ratio no
• 1:13:03
  Speaker 1: extra base hits one fifty eight batting average four to
• 1:13:05
  Speaker 1: thirty ONE ohps season pretty good Against San, diego AND
• 1:13:08
  Speaker 1: i don't know they have seen him this, year but
• 1:13:10
  Speaker 1: that was back In. June he pitched well Against San
• 1:13:13
  Speaker 1: diego In. Milwaukee back In, JUNE i went six, innings
• 1:13:16
  Speaker 1: a loud one and run to, them six, strikeouts three.
• 1:13:19
  Speaker 1: Walks so, yes he had an unfamiliar unfamiliarity edge there
• 1:13:22
  Speaker 1: that he doesn't really have. NOW i Know San diego
• 1:13:25
  Speaker 1: is more familiar with him, now but they haven't faced
• 1:13:27
  Speaker 1: him in a, while so it's a little bit less
• 1:13:29
  Speaker 1: of an advantage Of San diego's offense in that, case
• 1:13:32
  Speaker 1: like when if they were facing him again right, away
• 1:13:35
  Speaker 1: it would be a little bit more of an. Advantage
• 1:13:37
  Speaker 1: SO i think he'll do okay. Here and he's going
• 1:13:39
  Speaker 1: up Against Dylan, cees who has had kind of a disappointing.
• 1:13:42
  Speaker 1: Season BUT i think he will do well in this.
• 1:13:44
  Speaker 1: Game four point six FOUR, era one point three TWO.
• 1:13:47
  Speaker 1: WHIP i know those numbers are not, good but three
• 1:13:50
  Speaker 1: point seven to TWO era at. Home he's still a
• 1:13:53
  Speaker 1: talented pitcher and he's been better this month kind of
• 1:13:56
  Speaker 1: moving in the right direction. Here three point four to
• 1:13:58
  Speaker 1: THREE era this, month twenty four to eight strikeout walk. RATIO
• 1:14:01
  Speaker 1: i know it was against all bad Offenses, Baltimore colorado,
• 1:14:04
  Speaker 1: twice The White. Sox he did pitching Corps field and
• 1:14:07
  Speaker 1: defined in that. One BUT i still think he's kind
• 1:14:10
  Speaker 1: of getting in better form here Against, milwaukee even though
• 1:14:14
  Speaker 1: they are pretty good, Offense he's been pretty good against.
• 1:14:16
  Speaker 1: Him in fifty five career, bats twenty four strikeouts is
• 1:14:20
  Speaker 1: a huge strikeout, rate seven. WALKS i know it's kind
• 1:14:24
  Speaker 1: of a high walk, rate but still not that. Bad
• 1:14:26
  Speaker 1: one sixty four batting average allowed in four to fifty eight,
• 1:14:28
  Speaker 1: ohps so they're only nine for fifty five off him.
• 1:14:32
  Speaker 1: Lifetime so he does do well Against. Milwaukee so we
• 1:14:34
  Speaker 1: will go under in that game In Brewers padres under
• 1:14:40
  Speaker 1: seven and a. Half there you, Go, jordan hopefully we.
• 1:14:43
  Speaker 1: Win you're coming for, Me that's what she. Said, no, man,
• 1:14:47
  Speaker 1: no don't do, it. Dude we've. Won we're on a
• 1:14:49
  Speaker 1: nice role right. Now we've won five of the last six.
• 1:14:52
  Speaker 1: Days i'm actually getting tracking. Everything i'm getting close to
• 1:14:55
  Speaker 1: being back to a break even point this, year and
• 1:14:58
  Speaker 1: really this, year the only Reason i'm down is because
• 1:15:01
  Speaker 1: college basketball absolutely wrecked me In february And, march Especially,
• 1:15:06
  Speaker 1: march AND i just don't know. Why, Man, yeah there you.
• 1:15:09
  Speaker 1: Go yeah so but, YEAH i mean we're on a
• 1:15:13
  Speaker 1: nice run right. NOW i MEAN nfl was good over the.
• 1:15:16
  Speaker 1: WEEK a baseball has been better recently. Too next, up another,
• 1:15:20
  Speaker 1: Under and this one looks too obvious SOMETIMES i say,
• 1:15:22
  Speaker 1: that BUT i feel like WHEN i say, that it
• 1:15:25
  Speaker 1: hits more often than it. Does and this Is Pittsburgh.
• 1:15:27
  Speaker 1: Cincinnati the total is still at. SEVEN i think out
• 1:15:31
  Speaker 1: there it's with. JUICE i wouldn't want to take this
• 1:15:34
  Speaker 1: at six and a. Half AS i keep, saying it
• 1:15:36
  Speaker 1: does look like it's getting to be some heavy juice
• 1:15:38
  Speaker 1: on the, under though it flipped from seven juice to
• 1:15:41
  Speaker 1: the over to seven juice to the. Under if you
• 1:15:43
  Speaker 1: can't get, SEVEN i would probably even go upwards of
• 1:15:46
  Speaker 1: minus one twenty on the, seven maybe even the minus
• 1:15:49
  Speaker 1: one twenty. FIVE i would not want to go under
• 1:15:51
  Speaker 1: six and a, half, though because seven is just a key. Number,
• 1:15:54
  Speaker 1: Man AS i keep, saying it breaks the three to three.
• 1:15:56
  Speaker 1: Time but this looks like it's gonna be a big
• 1:15:59
  Speaker 1: time pitching. Duel seventy nine percent of tickets only seventy
• 1:16:02
  Speaker 1: six percent of cash on the. Under But i'm not
• 1:16:04
  Speaker 1: sure IF i buy. That public seems to be on
• 1:16:07
  Speaker 1: to it, knowing especially because It's Paul, skans knowing that
• 1:16:10
  Speaker 1: it's an, under even THOUGH i don't think they really
• 1:16:12
  Speaker 1: realize That Hunter green is really. GOOD i think he
• 1:16:13
  Speaker 1: still flies under the. Radar BUT i really like the
• 1:16:16
  Speaker 1: starting pitching. Matchup. MAN i know it's In, cincinnati which
• 1:16:19
  Speaker 1: is a hitter friendly, ballpark But pittsburgh also has the
• 1:16:22
  Speaker 1: worst offensive. Baseball cincinnati's is. Mediocre the, BULLPENS i, know
• 1:16:27
  Speaker 1: are not that, good but they're actually not as bad
• 1:16:29
  Speaker 1: as you would. Think the bullpens have actually been better
• 1:16:32
  Speaker 1: for these two teams. Recently Pittsburgh is actually thirteenth the
• 1:16:35
  Speaker 1: Major League baseball now And cincinnati's is fifteenth in bullpeny.
• 1:16:39
  Speaker 1: Ara they're both below, four so that's not. Bad and
• 1:16:42
  Speaker 1: then of course the starting, Pitching Paul skeens is. PITCHING i,
• 1:16:45
  Speaker 1: mean he's. Elite we know. This two point zero THREE
• 1:16:48
  Speaker 1: era point nine to six whip a little bit worse
• 1:16:52
  Speaker 1: on the, road but two point two ninety, RAM i
• 1:16:54
  Speaker 1: mean obviously is still. Good he wasn't good last time.
• 1:16:56
  Speaker 1: Out it was one of his worst starts of the.
• 1:16:58
  Speaker 1: Season he threw ninety two pitches in three and two thirds,
• 1:17:01
  Speaker 1: innings just, ridiculous gave up three on runs to The.
• 1:17:04
  Speaker 1: Cubs The cubs can, hit, though even though they haven't
• 1:17:06
  Speaker 1: been that good offensively. Recently but still even with that,
• 1:17:10
  Speaker 1: start he still has a one point eight FOUR era
• 1:17:12
  Speaker 1: in this month twenty two to four strike out walk,
• 1:17:14
  Speaker 1: ratio including shutting out The dodgers for six. Innings he's
• 1:17:18
  Speaker 1: allowed two or four on runs in five of his
• 1:17:21
  Speaker 1: last six, starts all but that most recent, Start SO i,
• 1:17:25
  Speaker 1: Mean East paul, skiings he's still in. FORM i, mean
• 1:17:27
  Speaker 1: the one worry about him is is he wearing down at?
• 1:17:30
  Speaker 1: All because he's thrown more innings this year than he
• 1:17:32
  Speaker 1: ever has, before obviously one one hundred and eighty. One
• 1:17:35
  Speaker 1: but he still seems to BE i, mean his strikeout
• 1:17:38
  Speaker 1: rate is still really. High he's still even had six
• 1:17:40
  Speaker 1: in that game against The, cubs so he doesn't seem
• 1:17:43
  Speaker 1: it doesn't seem to me like he's wearing. Down and
• 1:17:45
  Speaker 1: his numbers against The reds are good and sixty three
• 1:17:47
  Speaker 1: at bats just a ridiculous twenty seven to one strike
• 1:17:51
  Speaker 1: out walk ratio against them to twenty two batting average
• 1:17:54
  Speaker 1: allowed five thirty SIX. Ops so he's been good against The.
• 1:17:58
  Speaker 1: REDS i, mean no surprise really going up Against Hunter,
• 1:18:01
  Speaker 1: green who He's cincinnati's best pitcher. MAN i think there's
• 1:18:05
  Speaker 1: no doubt about. THAT i don't think he's had any
• 1:18:09
  Speaker 1: vomiting spells on the mound this year, either so he's
• 1:18:11
  Speaker 1: been pretty. Good he was injured for a little, while
• 1:18:13
  Speaker 1: but two point seven FOUR era point nine two whip
• 1:18:17
  Speaker 1: and the fact that he was injured means that he's
• 1:18:19
  Speaker 1: thrown fewer innings so, far so he's not wearing down.
• 1:18:21
  Speaker 1: Yet he's still fit the innings shy of what he
• 1:18:24
  Speaker 1: threw last, year and he had a really good season last,
• 1:18:26
  Speaker 1: year so he's not gonna be wearing down. Yet he's
• 1:18:29
  Speaker 1: been really good at, home even though it's a hitter friendly,
• 1:18:31
  Speaker 1: park one point four to FOUR era at. HOME i
• 1:18:34
  Speaker 1: know he's coming off a complete game one hitter against The,
• 1:18:36
  Speaker 1: Cops so that's the one concern about this is a
• 1:18:39
  Speaker 1: lot of times when a guy does, that it gives
• 1:18:41
  Speaker 1: him a hangover effect to the next. GAME i know
• 1:18:43
  Speaker 1: he threw one hundred and nine, pitches which is more
• 1:18:46
  Speaker 1: than he's, thrown not more than he's thrown all, season
• 1:18:49
  Speaker 1: though it's more than he's thrown in most. Starts he
• 1:18:51
  Speaker 1: did throw one hundred and fourteen pitches in a start
• 1:18:53
  Speaker 1: On may second against The, nats and he had a
• 1:18:56
  Speaker 1: shortened start for some. Reason he was shutting Out atlanta
• 1:18:59
  Speaker 1: through three in the next, start BUT i don't know
• 1:19:02
  Speaker 1: if he got pulled because of an injury or, what
• 1:19:03
  Speaker 1: but he wasn't pitching poorly in the next. Start so
• 1:19:07
  Speaker 1: he also went over one hundred pitches Against sarrancisco In,
• 1:19:09
  Speaker 1: april and he followed that up with another shutout Against
• 1:19:12
  Speaker 1: pittsburgh by the, way seven inning shutout Against pittsburgh in
• 1:19:16
  Speaker 1: this exact. Stadium SO i still think he will do
• 1:19:19
  Speaker 1: well in this, game even THOUGH i know a complete
• 1:19:21
  Speaker 1: game one hitter is a different. Animal though in a
• 1:19:24
  Speaker 1: huge game that they, NEEDED i gave out a play
• 1:19:26
  Speaker 1: on That that was a GAME i give out The
• 1:19:28
  Speaker 1: reds in that, game And Colin ray pitched way better
• 1:19:31
  Speaker 1: THAN i thought he would against us in that, game
• 1:19:34
  Speaker 1: But Hunter green still out pitched. Him he was excellent
• 1:19:37
  Speaker 1: in that. Game But green is still pitching really. Well.
• 1:19:39
  Speaker 1: Man he's giving up one or fewer in runs and
• 1:19:42
  Speaker 1: three of the four starts this. Month the only bad
• 1:19:44
  Speaker 1: start was against The a's on the, road and you,
• 1:19:46
  Speaker 1: know that's a difficult park to. Pitch and his good
• 1:19:49
  Speaker 1: starts were all at home Against, toronto The, mets and The.
• 1:19:51
  Speaker 1: Cubs so if he could do that against those, teams
• 1:19:54
  Speaker 1: he got to think he can Hold pittsburgh down two
• 1:19:56
  Speaker 1: point five to five. V thirty one to eight strike
• 1:19:59
  Speaker 1: a walk Ray shire this. Month, again the only concern
• 1:20:02
  Speaker 1: is he going to be in a letdown spot after
• 1:20:04
  Speaker 1: that one hitter against The, cubs who are you, know
• 1:20:08
  Speaker 1: one of their divisional rivals is a huge, game and
• 1:20:11
  Speaker 1: it was a game that kept them in the wildcard.
• 1:20:13
  Speaker 1: Race but he still needs to come out and focus
• 1:20:15
  Speaker 1: here and pitch well because The reds have motivation, here,
• 1:20:19
  Speaker 1: MAN i, mean they need to win to stay in
• 1:20:20
  Speaker 1: the wildcard, race and of Course pittsburgh doesn't really have
• 1:20:23
  Speaker 1: any motivation here other than the fact that they could
• 1:20:25
  Speaker 1: Spoil cincinnati. Season. Here The reds are now one game
• 1:20:30
  Speaker 1: back on The mets again for the last wildcard, spot
• 1:20:32
  Speaker 1: so they're still right. There green and sixty nine at
• 1:20:34
  Speaker 1: bats Against pittsburgh twenty two to ten strike a walk
• 1:20:37
  Speaker 1: ratio it is too many, walks but he sell them
• 1:20:40
  Speaker 1: way down pretty much otherwise two three batting average allowed
• 1:20:43
  Speaker 1: six to sixty six. Ops so he's evil as. Well
• 1:20:47
  Speaker 1: so we are going undering that. One hopefully the seven
• 1:20:51
  Speaker 1: is still out there at a decent, price because again
• 1:20:54
  Speaker 1: six and a, HALF i would just pass on It.
• 1:20:57
  Speaker 1: Cincinnati but of course IF i IF i os on the,
• 1:21:00
  Speaker 1: Game i'd wish That i'd passed on the six and
• 1:21:03
  Speaker 1: a half rather than, take rather than going with the
• 1:21:05
  Speaker 1: seven and giving out as a, Play so double edged.
• 1:21:08
  Speaker 1: Sword maybe the money's coming in On pittsburgh in this.
• 1:21:11
  Speaker 1: Game by the, way on the, Side cincinnati is up
• 1:21:13
  Speaker 1: for minus one ten to minus one. Twelve kind of
• 1:21:15
  Speaker 1: surprising That schemes is not getting more of the public play.
• 1:21:20
  Speaker 1: Here sixty six percent tickets are On, cincinnati but it's
• 1:21:22
  Speaker 1: Because cincinnati has the better record. EVERYBODY i, mean people
• 1:21:26
  Speaker 1: probably see at this point The green at least has
• 1:21:28
  Speaker 1: a good, era and they Know cincinnati's in the wildcard,
• 1:21:31
  Speaker 1: race so that's factoring into it. Too sixty six percent of,
• 1:21:35
  Speaker 1: tickets only fifty three percent of the cash On, cincinnati
• 1:21:38
  Speaker 1: so the money's coming in against, Them But i'm not
• 1:21:41
  Speaker 1: worried about the side in that. One the side THAT
• 1:21:44
  Speaker 1: i am going to give out is The. Mets, uh
• 1:21:46
  Speaker 1: they're in the wildcard race as. Well we're gonna go
• 1:21:48
  Speaker 1: with The mets plus one o. Five here we're fading
• 1:21:51
  Speaker 1: a very Public cubs, team AND i, know on the,
• 1:21:53
  Speaker 1: surface it's, like what the hell are you? Doing it
• 1:21:55
  Speaker 1: looks like The cubs have a big starting pitching, edge
• 1:21:57
  Speaker 1: BUT i don't think they actually do in this. Game
• 1:22:00
  Speaker 1: i'll show you in a, minute because that's obviously the
• 1:22:02
  Speaker 1: crux of this. Handicap eighty five percent of, tickets only
• 1:22:05
  Speaker 1: eighty percent of the cash on The. Cubs The cubs are,
• 1:22:08
  Speaker 1: public and the line is moving against, them down for
• 1:22:11
  Speaker 1: minus one twenty to minus one to. Fifteen The cubs
• 1:22:14
  Speaker 1: really don't have a whole lot to play, for and
• 1:22:15
  Speaker 1: they've been playing. Like The cubs have lost a bunch
• 1:22:17
  Speaker 1: of games in a. Row this is THE Espn Night,
• 1:22:21
  Speaker 1: game by the, way so you get to have some
• 1:22:22
  Speaker 1: action on and him watch it if you want. To
• 1:22:24
  Speaker 1: The cubs have lost five games in a. Row they
• 1:22:27
  Speaker 1: blew like a five to one lead, YESTERDAY i, think
• 1:22:29
  Speaker 1: blowing it to The. Mets but The, cubs, again they
• 1:22:31
  Speaker 1: don't really have a whole lot to play. For they're
• 1:22:33
  Speaker 1: not going to Catch milwaukee in The. Nlcentral The cubs
• 1:22:35
  Speaker 1: have a pretty sizable lead in the wildcard race, too
• 1:22:38
  Speaker 1: SO i don't think they're gonna fall out of the
• 1:22:40
  Speaker 1: first wildcard. Spot so they've been playing like a pretty
• 1:22:42
  Speaker 1: unmotivated team right now getting ready for the. Playoffs. Ers The,
• 1:22:47
  Speaker 1: mets of, course are gonna be one of the most motivated,
• 1:22:50
  Speaker 1: teams and you're getting them as an underdog, Here so
• 1:22:52
  Speaker 1: that's a big part of The sandicubs is the. Motivation
• 1:22:55
  Speaker 1: you're getting the motivated team as an. Underdog you gotta look.
• 1:22:58
  Speaker 1: That you got to at least sitter looking that. Way
• 1:23:02
  Speaker 1: The mets, are of course in the wildcard hunting. Here
• 1:23:04
  Speaker 1: they're trying to get the last wildcard spot because otherwise
• 1:23:06
  Speaker 1: they're not even gonna make the. Playoffs the, Bullpens, yeah
• 1:23:11
  Speaker 1: The cubs have the slightly better, bullpen ALTHOUGH i don't
• 1:23:13
  Speaker 1: think it's hugely. Significant they're twelfth and bullpen area The
• 1:23:16
  Speaker 1: mets are actually, fourteenth so that's not too bad for
• 1:23:20
  Speaker 1: this handicap. Here mets used a lot of relief. Pictures,
• 1:23:24
  Speaker 1: yes to say, so kind of, concerning but so do The.
• 1:23:27
  Speaker 1: Cubs SO i think the bullpens still kind of work.
• 1:23:29
  Speaker 1: Out SO i think we can still go full game on.
• 1:23:32
  Speaker 1: This if you want to go first, five you can
• 1:23:34
  Speaker 1: do that, Too but because of the motivation is also
• 1:23:36
  Speaker 1: part of the, handicap we're going full game on this.
• 1:23:38
  Speaker 1: One Jonah thong is pitching For New york AND i
• 1:23:41
  Speaker 1: know his numbers are. Bad five point nine FOUR era
• 1:23:46
  Speaker 1: one point four for a, whip, YEAH i, know not.
• 1:23:48
  Speaker 1: Good but he's a really talented young pitcher. MAN i,
• 1:23:51
  Speaker 1: Mean i've talked about him on the show. BEFORE i
• 1:23:53
  Speaker 1: BELIEVE i went with either him or the under twice so,
• 1:23:57
  Speaker 1: far AND i Think i'm oh one in one of
• 1:24:00
  Speaker 1: those games, though BECAUSE i think one of, them, yeah
• 1:24:03
  Speaker 1: was this first game that he. Pitched he did well
• 1:24:05
  Speaker 1: and the fielding failed behind him Against. Miami it was
• 1:24:08
  Speaker 1: just a complete implosion by, him AND i Think Yuri
• 1:24:11
  Speaker 1: perez maybe on the other. Side and THEN i BELIEVE
• 1:24:13
  Speaker 1: i went with an under and in The cincinnati game
• 1:24:17
  Speaker 1: and it. Pushed SO i KNOW i haven't done well
• 1:24:20
  Speaker 1: In tong's games so, far but he's a young talented pitcher.
• 1:24:22
  Speaker 1: Man this is his rookie. Season he does throw pretty,
• 1:24:27
  Speaker 1: hard even though he has you, know not a huge.
• 1:24:29
  Speaker 1: Frame he's not a huge. Pitcher he has a violent
• 1:24:32
  Speaker 1: wind up, though kind of Like Tim linsek is the
• 1:24:34
  Speaker 1: comparison he keeps, getting which is pretty. Accurate but if
• 1:24:38
  Speaker 1: you look at what he's done so, far he had
• 1:24:39
  Speaker 1: one really bad start Against. Texas it was just, inexplicable
• 1:24:42
  Speaker 1: AND i know it was at home in the, stadium
• 1:24:44
  Speaker 1: but three of his four starts have been in the,
• 1:24:46
  Speaker 1: stadium SO i won't take a whole lot away from.
• 1:24:49
  Speaker 1: That it was an awful start. Though he had three,
• 1:24:52
  Speaker 1: walks four, hits allowed six n, runs and two thirds
• 1:24:54
  Speaker 1: of an inning one strike. Up but the rest of
• 1:24:57
  Speaker 1: his starts he's given up four or fewer in, runs
• 1:24:59
  Speaker 1: gone least five innings in all of, them giving him
• 1:25:02
  Speaker 1: one or fewer e runs of two of. Them so
• 1:25:06
  Speaker 1: that's that starts looking not as. Bad and he's gonna
• 1:25:09
  Speaker 1: face The cubs, here and The cubs have never seen him,
• 1:25:11
  Speaker 1: before SO i, know of course that was the case
• 1:25:13
  Speaker 1: in these other outings, too where these teams have never
• 1:25:15
  Speaker 1: seen him. Before but it tends to be an advantage
• 1:25:17
  Speaker 1: of the picture more often than not with a young
• 1:25:19
  Speaker 1: talented pitcher going up against an offense that's never seen him.
• 1:25:22
  Speaker 1: Before AS i always, say the offense struggles a little
• 1:25:25
  Speaker 1: bit to try to figure him out the first couple of,
• 1:25:27
  Speaker 1: times and The cubs offense actually has kind of struggled
• 1:25:30
  Speaker 1: a little bit as of. Late they've dropped to. Ninth at,
• 1:25:33
  Speaker 1: least you, know, overall, ops The mets are actually ahead
• 1:25:36
  Speaker 1: of them at six then, ops The mets have the
• 1:25:38
  Speaker 1: better offense out of the. Two so that's something to
• 1:25:41
  Speaker 1: consider as well as far As tong by the way at,
• 1:25:46
  Speaker 1: home just looking at his splits real, quick he actually
• 1:25:48
  Speaker 1: has been slightly. Better five point nine win her is still,
• 1:25:52
  Speaker 1: bad BUT i think you could excuse. Me he's on
• 1:25:54
  Speaker 1: the road here my. Mistake he has a six. Road
• 1:25:56
  Speaker 1: he ra my, mistake but still it's not a huge.
• 1:25:58
  Speaker 1: Difference BUT i think he does have the ability to pitch.
• 1:26:02
  Speaker 1: Well in this, one he's going up Against Matthew, boyd
• 1:26:06
  Speaker 1: AND i know his numbers are good on the, season
• 1:26:08
  Speaker 1: so it's, like what are you, Doing, Toad, like how
• 1:26:10
  Speaker 1: could you fade the guy who's obviously the better of
• 1:26:11
  Speaker 1: these two? Pitchers boyd three point two era one point
• 1:26:15
  Speaker 1: one to one with for The. CUBS i get. It he's.
• 1:26:16
  Speaker 1: Good he's good at home two point four or five HOME.
• 1:26:19
  Speaker 1: Era but he's really looking like he's starting to wear. Down.
• 1:26:24
  Speaker 1: Man i've been talking about this With. Boyd he kind
• 1:26:26
  Speaker 1: of came from a little bit out of, Nowhere like
• 1:26:28
  Speaker 1: last season was kind of a ridiculous outlier where he
• 1:26:32
  Speaker 1: only made eight starts For cleveland and he had really good.
• 1:26:35
  Speaker 1: Numbers but if you look at like his overall career,
• 1:26:38
  Speaker 1: stats they've never really been quite as good as, this
• 1:26:42
  Speaker 1: and he's never where He's he hasn't thrown more than
• 1:26:44
  Speaker 1: the innings that he's pitched this, season one hundred and
• 1:26:46
  Speaker 1: seventy four and a. Third he hasn't reached that since twenty,
• 1:26:49
  Speaker 1: nineteen so it's been like six years basically since he's
• 1:26:53
  Speaker 1: thrown this many innings and that was the only time
• 1:26:56
  Speaker 1: he did that in his, career which was With detroit
• 1:26:59
  Speaker 1: and it was a decent season for. Him but he
• 1:27:01
  Speaker 1: got to worry that he's wearing down, here, man and
• 1:27:03
  Speaker 1: it's showing in his numbers because he had a four
• 1:27:05
  Speaker 1: point five to FOUR era last. MONTH i, know the
• 1:27:08
  Speaker 1: thirty two to eight strike a walk ratio is still pretty.
• 1:27:10
  Speaker 1: Good this, month SIX era and three, starts and he
• 1:27:13
  Speaker 1: wasn't facing great offenses Either, Washington, Tampa. Pittsburgh that's not
• 1:27:17
  Speaker 1: a good. Sign nine to four streke a walk ratio this,
• 1:27:20
  Speaker 1: month that's not. Good he's allowed four earned runs in
• 1:27:23
  Speaker 1: each of his last two starts in three of the last,
• 1:27:25
  Speaker 1: four only made it three innings last down Against. Pittsburgh so,
• 1:27:29
  Speaker 1: yeah he's not a good. Form he is a, concern
• 1:27:32
  Speaker 1: and against The, mets he does not do. Well in
• 1:27:34
  Speaker 1: sixty four at, bats thirteen to five strike a walk,
• 1:27:37
  Speaker 1: ratio three twelve batting, average allowed four home, runs allowed
• 1:27:40
  Speaker 1: two of them To, lindor who really wrecks. Him so
• 1:27:43
  Speaker 1: something to keep in. MIND a lot of this damage Is,
• 1:27:46
  Speaker 1: lind'or but still three twelve batting average allowed nine to
• 1:27:50
  Speaker 1: forty oh. PS i Think boyd is absolutely fatable in this.
• 1:27:53
  Speaker 1: Game so we will do that and go with the
• 1:27:56
  Speaker 1: Underdog mets. Here it looks like the wind is blowing
• 1:27:59
  Speaker 1: in by the way in this, game because we see
• 1:28:01
  Speaker 1: the total is just getting tons of money on the.
• 1:28:04
  Speaker 1: OVER i, mean the public Sees mets, cobs they go over.
• 1:28:06
  Speaker 1: Immediately ninety four percent of tickets on the, over only
• 1:28:09
  Speaker 1: ninety two percent of the cash in the. Over the
• 1:28:11
  Speaker 1: total just sitting at a very low, seven which you
• 1:28:14
  Speaker 1: know In wrigley, feel that means the wind is blowing
• 1:28:16
  Speaker 1: in most, likely so it's gonna keep the offenses to.
• 1:28:19
  Speaker 1: Check BUT i like. THAT i don't disagree with the
• 1:28:21
  Speaker 1: under in this. GAME i wouldn't really want to include
• 1:28:24
  Speaker 1: bullpends that are a little bit worn down, Though BUT
• 1:28:28
  Speaker 1: i would say that it helps our underdog play here
• 1:28:30
  Speaker 1: because if the game is expected to be a low,
• 1:28:33
  Speaker 1: total that means there's more value in playing the, underdog
• 1:28:36
  Speaker 1: because it means it's gonna be a closer game for
• 1:28:38
  Speaker 1: the most, part like it's gonna be harder for the
• 1:28:40
  Speaker 1: favor to separate themselves in the. Game so we will
• 1:28:43
  Speaker 1: go with that plus one of. Five that's that's the money?
• 1:28:49
  Speaker 1: Line what that's the money line on the on the full.
• 1:28:52
  Speaker 1: GAME i don't know what you're talking about with plus one.
• 1:28:54
  Speaker 1: Seventy what are you, doing, Man? Jordan figure it, out,
• 1:28:57
  Speaker 1: man the money line on The mets full game plus
• 1:29:01
  Speaker 1: one oh five or something in that. BALLPARK i don't
• 1:29:04
  Speaker 1: know what the hell the plus one seventy. Is, YEAH
• 1:29:08
  Speaker 1: i can't EVEN i can't even figure out what the
• 1:29:10
  Speaker 1: plus one seventy would. Be to be, HONEST i don't
• 1:29:13
  Speaker 1: know what you're looking. At you gotta just should be pretty.
• 1:29:16
  Speaker 1: Easy on. DraftKings they show like the run line and
• 1:29:19
  Speaker 1: the money line right next to each. OTHER i don't, know,
• 1:29:22
  Speaker 1: YEAH i mean it's a straight up money line on the.
• 1:29:24
  Speaker 1: Game and, finally hopefully our dude here, Ranger, carrie hopefully
• 1:29:31
  Speaker 1: you're still in, here, man because Here's Dodgers. ARIZONA i
• 1:29:34
  Speaker 1: know this is not a not an exciting way to
• 1:29:36
  Speaker 1: play this, game but we're gonna go under in the
• 1:29:38
  Speaker 1: first five innings in this game between The dodgers and The.
• 1:29:41
  Speaker 1: Diamondbacks and of Course Dodgers. DIAMONDBACKS i, mean these teams
• 1:29:45
  Speaker 1: both can, hit and we know. This, uh you're looking
• 1:29:48
  Speaker 1: at the second best offense in baseball against the fourth
• 1:29:50
  Speaker 1: best offense ops, Wise dodgers number, Two diamondbacks number. Four
• 1:29:54
  Speaker 1: it's a hitter friendly. Ballpark so, like what AM i
• 1:29:57
  Speaker 1: doing here? Right, well you, KNOW i like starting, pitching
• 1:30:00
  Speaker 1: AND i think this is a starting pitching. Matchup it's
• 1:30:01
  Speaker 1: going to get us a low scoring game in the
• 1:30:04
  Speaker 1: early parts of this. Game it looks like the money's
• 1:30:07
  Speaker 1: coming in on the. Under we have fifty eight percent
• 1:30:09
  Speaker 1: of tickets on the, over which surprises, me it's not
• 1:30:11
  Speaker 1: more than, that to be, honest because the public is
• 1:30:13
  Speaker 1: going to see these two teams to me and think
• 1:30:16
  Speaker 1: like this is an automatic over almost ALTHOUGH i guess
• 1:30:18
  Speaker 1: they know both these pitchers are, good so maybe that's
• 1:30:22
  Speaker 1: kind of why it's. Not that's why it's like tempered
• 1:30:25
  Speaker 1: a little, BIT i. Guess but eighty four percent of
• 1:30:27
  Speaker 1: the cash on the, under so the money's coming in the. Under,
• 1:30:30
  Speaker 1: REALLY i think the only market read that's a little
• 1:30:32
  Speaker 1: bit in disagreement with us is The Pittsburgh cincinnati. One
• 1:30:36
  Speaker 1: but the total did flip on the key number on that,
• 1:30:38
  Speaker 1: one so, uh we're agreeing with the market on almost
• 1:30:41
  Speaker 1: all four of the games basically except for the just
• 1:30:45
  Speaker 1: the cash percentage being off on That Pittsburgh reds game.
• 1:30:48
  Speaker 1: Here but back to this. Game as far as the
• 1:30:51
  Speaker 1: side by the, way The dodgers are down for minus
• 1:30:53
  Speaker 1: one fifty one forty five as a road, favorite eighty
• 1:30:55
  Speaker 1: one percent of, tickets only fifty one percent of the,
• 1:30:57
  Speaker 1: cash so money coming in on An ARIZONA i don't
• 1:31:01
  Speaker 1: necessarily disagree with. It arizona won the game. YESTERDAY i
• 1:31:04
  Speaker 1: think it's just about, motivation, MAN i mean The, Dodgers,
• 1:31:07
  Speaker 1: yeah they still should be motivated Because San diego is
• 1:31:09
  Speaker 1: pretty close to them in the. Division so that is
• 1:31:12
  Speaker 1: a motivating factor for The dodgers. Year But, arizona they're
• 1:31:15
  Speaker 1: fighting for the last wildcard. SPOT i think they're only
• 1:31:18
  Speaker 1: one game back of the wildcard. THERE i think they're
• 1:31:20
  Speaker 1: tied with The reds one game back of The, Mets So,
• 1:31:23
  Speaker 1: dbacks even though they sold off of the trade, deadline
• 1:31:26
  Speaker 1: they're right. There. Man it's just crazy to think. About
• 1:31:29
  Speaker 1: we're going first five innings, here by the, way because
• 1:31:31
  Speaker 1: the bullpens. Suck if that wasn't, Obvious arizona is especially,
• 1:31:35
  Speaker 1: bad but The dodgers isn't that good. Either they're fairly
• 1:31:38
  Speaker 1: well rested. Bullpen SO i, mean if you wanted to
• 1:31:41
  Speaker 1: try to take the shot full, GAME i wouldn't really
• 1:31:44
  Speaker 1: disagree with. It BUT i think first five we're kind
• 1:31:46
  Speaker 1: of isolating what we really like, here which is the
• 1:31:49
  Speaker 1: starting pitching. Matchup Blake snell is pitching for The. Dodgers
• 1:31:53
  Speaker 1: he's a good, pitcher, MAN i, mean he's back and.
• 1:31:55
  Speaker 1: Form he's bouncing back from injury pretty nicely. HERE i
• 1:31:58
  Speaker 1: think he actually might have Had Tommy john because everybody does.
• 1:32:01
  Speaker 1: Now but he's starting to look like his old. Self
• 1:32:03
  Speaker 1: he's still not really old yet at thirty two two
• 1:32:07
  Speaker 1: point four to FOUR era one point two eight. Whip
• 1:32:10
  Speaker 1: the whip needs to be a little bit. Better he's
• 1:32:11
  Speaker 1: walked too many, guys but still overall he's been. GOOD
• 1:32:13
  Speaker 1: i know his roadra is bad five point twenty. NINE
• 1:32:17
  Speaker 1: i know that's. Concerning he's way better at. Home but
• 1:32:20
  Speaker 1: look at what he's done this. Month man two point
• 1:32:22
  Speaker 1: FIVE era twenty nine to seven strike a walk. RATIO
• 1:32:25
  Speaker 1: i know he allowed five earned runs on the road At.
• 1:32:27
  Speaker 1: Pittsburgh you could worry about that a little. Bit but
• 1:32:30
  Speaker 1: last two outings two shutouts for six and seven innings
• 1:32:33
  Speaker 1: a piece Against, COLORADO i know they suck And philly
• 1:32:36
  Speaker 1: and he had double digit strikeouts in both of. Them
• 1:32:38
  Speaker 1: so he looks like he's really back and form right.
• 1:32:41
  Speaker 1: Now after, That, man and if you take out That pittsburgh,
• 1:32:44
  Speaker 1: game he allowed three or fewer in runs in every
• 1:32:47
  Speaker 1: other start that he's made this entire, season which has
• 1:32:49
  Speaker 1: been a shortened season because he came back from, injury
• 1:32:52
  Speaker 1: so he's not wearing down yet or anything like. That
• 1:32:55
  Speaker 1: good sign for The dodgers if they Have snell And Glass,
• 1:32:58
  Speaker 1: noo both healthy for the. Playoffs that's what they, need,
• 1:33:01
  Speaker 1: man because they're both gonna be a huge part of
• 1:33:03
  Speaker 1: that starting pigeon, rotation and that could definitely be a
• 1:33:07
  Speaker 1: ridiculous one two punch that helps them make a nice playoff.
• 1:33:09
  Speaker 1: Run and the people might start overlooking The dodgers when
• 1:33:13
  Speaker 1: it gets to the, playoffs especially if they wind up
• 1:33:15
  Speaker 1: being a wild, card just because they've underperformed on the.
• 1:33:18
  Speaker 1: Season but these pitchers were injured for a lot of.
• 1:33:21
  Speaker 1: It snell he has pretty good numbers against the D,
• 1:33:24
  Speaker 1: backs which is part of the Reason i'm doing. This
• 1:33:26
  Speaker 1: in ninety two career at bats thirty to eleven starting
• 1:33:29
  Speaker 1: a walk, race he isn't. GREAT i Know snell walks
• 1:33:31
  Speaker 1: too many, guys but to, seventeen batting average, allowed seven
• 1:33:34
  Speaker 1: to twenty. Five, Ohps he's done pretty well against The,
• 1:33:37
  Speaker 1: Diamondbacks SO i think we can go with. Him and
• 1:33:39
  Speaker 1: he's in the best form that he has been over
• 1:33:41
  Speaker 1: the last two. Starts, YEAH i, mean maybe you worry
• 1:33:44
  Speaker 1: a little bit about him on the, road, which by the,
• 1:33:46
  Speaker 1: way another thing indicating On arizona is That snell isn't
• 1:33:49
  Speaker 1: that isn't good on the. Road although it's a smaller sample,
• 1:33:52
  Speaker 1: size and he's going up Against Ryan, nelson who is
• 1:33:54
  Speaker 1: good at, home so the home road splits Favor Ryan.
• 1:33:57
  Speaker 1: Nelson nelson for the D bats one point excuse, me
• 1:34:01
  Speaker 1: three point three FOUR, era one point seven. Whip good
• 1:34:05
  Speaker 1: season for. Him he's been good at, home LIKE i,
• 1:34:07
  Speaker 1: said two point five, eighty, right even THOUGH i think
• 1:34:09
  Speaker 1: his numbers are inexplicable this, season AND i keep pointing
• 1:34:12
  Speaker 1: out the, little you, know the little pine tire thing
• 1:34:15
  Speaker 1: there that it looked like he might have had going on,
• 1:34:17
  Speaker 1: there but he's been. Good he's allowed three or few
• 1:34:19
  Speaker 1: runs in his last six starts in a. Row the
• 1:34:23
  Speaker 1: run support hasn't exactly been there for. Him two point
• 1:34:26
  Speaker 1: three FIVE era this. Month that's. Good. Obviously the strikeout
• 1:34:29
  Speaker 1: walk ratio hasn't been good, though fifteen to, Nine so
• 1:34:32
  Speaker 1: the strike out rate went a little bit, down the
• 1:34:34
  Speaker 1: walk rate went a little bit, up but he's still
• 1:34:37
  Speaker 1: pitching pretty effectively. Overall he had starts Against boston And
• 1:34:41
  Speaker 1: philly mixed in there at home and didn't allow more
• 1:34:43
  Speaker 1: of the touring runs in either of those. STARTS i
• 1:34:45
  Speaker 1: know the walk rate was, high but still he's pitching well,
• 1:34:49
  Speaker 1: overall and he does surprisingly well against The dodgers as
• 1:34:52
  Speaker 1: good of an offense as they. Are eighty at, bats
• 1:34:54
  Speaker 1: thirteen to nine strike a walk RATIO i know is not,
• 1:34:57
  Speaker 1: good but he's telled him to a two hundred batting
• 1:34:59
  Speaker 1: average and five sixty eight, ops so we will roll
• 1:35:03
  Speaker 1: with this starting pitching. MATCHUP i do like this. One
• 1:35:05
  Speaker 1: it looks like we're going with the market read on that,
• 1:35:07
  Speaker 1: one so that's gonna be an under in the first five.
• 1:35:09
  Speaker 1: Innings most of the NUMBERS i saw out there were
• 1:35:12
  Speaker 1: four and a, half, though because the books try to screw, you.
• 1:35:14
  Speaker 1: Dude LIKE i saw this the other day in that
• 1:35:16
  Speaker 1: first five inning under WHERE i gave out whatever it
• 1:35:18
  Speaker 1: was an under four even money, somewhere there was only
• 1:35:22
  Speaker 1: one book that had. It so this is why you
• 1:35:24
  Speaker 1: need multiple, outsmen because the rest of the books they're all, like,
• 1:35:27
  Speaker 1: no screw, You we're gonna go four and a half
• 1:35:29
  Speaker 1: and make you lay like minus one thirty on it
• 1:35:32
  Speaker 1: or minus one thirty. Five it's, like, no screw, you
• 1:35:34
  Speaker 1: screw you. ODDSMAKERS i know the odds makers are trying
• 1:35:38
  Speaker 1: to prevent you from winning, money but it's just, crazy.
• 1:35:41
  Speaker 1: Man SO i found. This. UH i think this one
• 1:35:43
  Speaker 1: was actually at Draft. Kings it might have been a.
• 1:35:45
  Speaker 1: FanDuel i forget which one it was that one of
• 1:35:46
  Speaker 1: the big. GUYS i saw this this. Morning so you
• 1:35:49
  Speaker 1: could do that if you see an under four and
• 1:35:50
  Speaker 1: a half for whatever reason at like minus one, twenty
• 1:35:54
  Speaker 1: WHICH i DOUBT i would do that as, well BUT
• 1:35:56
  Speaker 1: i would find the under four. Somewhere. Hopefully some of
• 1:35:59
  Speaker 1: the books must let you, have like they have the
• 1:36:01
  Speaker 1: slider thing On DraftKings or. Whatever they must let you
• 1:36:03
  Speaker 1: have alternate lines on the total and some of these, books,
• 1:36:05
  Speaker 1: Right so that's probably WHAT i. DO i know the
• 1:36:09
  Speaker 1: recreational betters are not making a play like. This they're
• 1:36:11
  Speaker 1: not looking at first five, unders especially in a game like,
• 1:36:14
  Speaker 1: this so that's really only gonna Be but that's probably
• 1:36:18
  Speaker 1: why they don't offer, it because they know that's probably
• 1:36:20
  Speaker 1: only a play that professionals are gonna. Make but it
• 1:36:22
  Speaker 1: is still out there, somewhere, okay, sir plus one oh, two,
• 1:36:27
  Speaker 1: YEAH i mean that's still. FINE i mean it's really
• 1:36:30
  Speaker 1: close to plus one on five under, yeah money line underdog.
• 1:36:33
  Speaker 1: Price that's basically what you want on the on the mets.
• 1:36:36
  Speaker 1: There just don't come kill, me, Please yes you're. Learning hell,
• 1:36:40
  Speaker 1: YEAH i like to teach. People, man Hopefully i'm good
• 1:36:43
  Speaker 1: AT i don't Think i'm good at teaching though under
• 1:36:47
  Speaker 1: minus one thirty or four and a half up to
• 1:36:51
  Speaker 1: it's up to your. Discretion, Man it's it's a little
• 1:36:53
  Speaker 1: bit to pay for, that BUT i. DO i like
• 1:36:55
  Speaker 1: it in. General but so you only have one, Book.
• 1:36:59
  Speaker 1: DraftKings if you have other books available in your, STATE
• 1:37:02
  Speaker 1: i don't know what state, here, RIGHT i WOULD i
• 1:37:03
  Speaker 1: would open an account to maybe see what they have for.
• 1:37:07
  Speaker 1: Those all, right, man, yes, sir well thanks for hanging. Out.
• 1:37:11
  Speaker 1: Man you already did it for fifteen, bucks all. Right
• 1:37:16
  Speaker 1: you're not gonna win that much on. It then if it,
• 1:37:18
  Speaker 1: wins it'll be a very small win because if you
• 1:37:20
  Speaker 1: put fifteen bucks on, it you're probably only gonna, win
• 1:37:22
  Speaker 1: like what is, it twelve? Bucks like thirteen bucks or?
• 1:37:26
  Speaker 1: Something not draft. Gas you won't good on The Super?
• 1:37:29
  Speaker 1: Bowl did you follow me on The Super? BOWL i
• 1:37:31
  Speaker 1: had a huge Super bowl this. Year it was all.
• 1:37:33
  Speaker 1: PROPS i went four and oh in The Super. BOWL
• 1:37:36
  Speaker 1: i think all. Props they all, hit including the tush
• 1:37:40
  Speaker 1: push one hit as. Well the length of shortest touchdown
• 1:37:44
  Speaker 1: under one or whatever or under one and a. HALF
• 1:37:48
  Speaker 1: i mean yards that WAS i liked that one with
• 1:37:51
  Speaker 1: the tush push, possible and it happened so early in
• 1:37:54
  Speaker 1: the game. Too the only one that got dice it
• 1:37:57
  Speaker 1: Was Xavier worthy over, receptions and they use them so
• 1:37:59
  Speaker 1: much late in the game that it worked out. Anyway, Grooming,
• 1:38:04
  Speaker 1: YEAH i may. Escape you're, right that's gonna do it for. Me.
• 1:38:07
  Speaker 1: Man so once again the plays, Today brewers padres under
• 1:38:11
  Speaker 1: the eight or seven and a half in that one
• 1:38:14
  Speaker 1: under the. Seven if you can still get it at
• 1:38:15
  Speaker 1: a decent price In, Pittsburgh, Cincinnati met's money line and
• 1:38:20
  Speaker 1: first five Under Dodgers, arizona hopefully you can find a
• 1:38:24
  Speaker 1: four out there because it's a cheaper price to do
• 1:38:26
  Speaker 1: it that. WAY i have a good day to you as, Well,
• 1:38:29
  Speaker 1: man little brother books Of. Football he's good at, football all.
• 1:38:33
  Speaker 1: Right oh you weren't watching my? Show Oh, Man, well
• 1:38:36
  Speaker 1: that kind of. SUCKS i did okay in THE. NFL
• 1:38:38
  Speaker 1: i usually do okay in THE. Nfl it's not like
• 1:38:40
  Speaker 1: a huge money maker because the lines are so. Tight
• 1:38:43
  Speaker 1: But i'm up in THE nfl over the course of
• 1:38:47
  Speaker 1: the time That i've been doing. It so not my best,
• 1:38:49
  Speaker 1: sport though my best IS. Nba ON nba is about to.
• 1:38:52
  Speaker 1: START i crushed THE nba for whatever. Reason baseball has
• 1:38:56
  Speaker 1: been my second, best but it hasn't been that good this.
• 1:38:58
  Speaker 1: Year SO, NHL i think it's kind of overtaken that
• 1:39:01
  Speaker 1: a little. Bit have a good. Day, everybody learn a
• 1:39:04
  Speaker 1: tone On twitter and learn it tone On. Instagram better
• 1:39:07
  Speaker 1: off dead leg, them subscribe to the channel. Here, man
• 1:39:10
  Speaker 1: let's get this thing monetized on. YouTube we'll do with
• 1:39:14
  Speaker 1: covering excuse. Me we do a better off den on
• 1:39:16
  Speaker 1: the audio as. Well, Spotify, apple you can give me
• 1:39:19
  Speaker 1: a review there that helps me out covering you because
• 1:39:23
  Speaker 1: my yuke channel on, YouTube so check that out as.
• 1:39:25
  Speaker 1: WELL i want to do some like late night yuke request.
• 1:39:29
  Speaker 1: Hours at some point we'll see WHAT i WHAT i
• 1:39:31
  Speaker 1: want to do with, that maybe potentially even. TONIGHT i don't,
• 1:39:34
  Speaker 1: know MAYBE i should consider. It and Then patreon dot
• 1:39:38
  Speaker 1: com slash learn the tone and there's bonus yuke content. There,
• 1:39:41
  Speaker 1: NINERS i don't know about. That. Man they're off to
• 1:39:44
  Speaker 1: a three and oh, start AND i said they would
• 1:39:45
  Speaker 1: go over their win, total so they're looking good to reach,
• 1:39:49
  Speaker 1: that but they have so many injuries right. Now Brot
• 1:39:51
  Speaker 1: purty is still. Injured. KITTLE i don't know if he's.
• 1:39:53
  Speaker 1: Back they should both be back, though but they just Lost.
• 1:39:56
  Speaker 1: BOSA i don't know how much it's gonna affect their.
• 1:39:59
  Speaker 1: DEFENSE i think they have some offensive line. Injuries that
• 1:40:02
  Speaker 1: is an injured team right, now, man so it's a
• 1:40:05
  Speaker 1: little bit. Difficult but they are off to the three
• 1:40:07
  Speaker 1: to zero, start so we will see it with. Them
• 1:40:10
  Speaker 1: with The, niners, Man i'm not as bullish on The
• 1:40:13
  Speaker 1: niners right now due to all those, injuries even Though
• 1:40:15
  Speaker 1: i'm not really a prety fan. Though The yuke is
• 1:40:19
  Speaker 1: covered in yuke that's on YouTube as. Well it's like
• 1:40:23
  Speaker 1: covered in puke because in the old day WHEN i,
• 1:40:25
  Speaker 1: STARTED i was drunk WHEN i did those. Covers so
• 1:40:29
  Speaker 1: purty as. Back, well we'll talk about that on my.
• 1:40:31
  Speaker 1: Show that's. True that was part of my. Handicap The
• 1:40:33
  Speaker 1: niners have the easiest schedule in the ENTIRE nfl because They,
• 1:40:37
  Speaker 1: yeah that's what you want for like an over with The.
• 1:40:39
  Speaker 1: Winters you want a team that's like really, competitive that
• 1:40:42
  Speaker 1: looked bad the year before that because of all the
• 1:40:44
  Speaker 1: injuries and because they had a bad year the year before,
• 1:40:47
  Speaker 1: that they get an easy. Schedule so that's it's like
• 1:40:50
  Speaker 1: the it's a perfect, storm, man so, yeah we'll see
• 1:40:53
  Speaker 1: if that. Happens IF perty is, back, THOUGH i kind
• 1:40:55
  Speaker 1: of like a fade of the forty nine ers this
• 1:40:58
  Speaker 1: week because it's the reverse injured play your, theory, man
• 1:41:00
  Speaker 1: we'll talk about it WHEN i get to MY nfl.
• 1:41:02
  Speaker 1: SHOW i already HAVE i think at least ONE nfl
• 1:41:05
  Speaker 1: playing one college play THAT i. LIKE i haven't really
• 1:41:08
  Speaker 1: done all the handicapping. Yet that'll start today Where i'll
• 1:41:11
  Speaker 1: get some more. Ideas i'll watching some of the professionals
• 1:41:14
  Speaker 1: THAT i. Watch that's gonna do it for, today, Man that's.
• 1:41:17
  Speaker 1: Right i'll see you later tomorrow. MORNING i will talk
• 1:41:20
  Speaker 1: about football being back. Tomorrow. YEAH i am excited about
• 1:41:23
  Speaker 1: n B a AND nba AND nhl is starting as,
• 1:41:27
  Speaker 1: well so we. Will we'll see. That that'll that'll be
• 1:41:31
  Speaker 1: good when those. Start so peace out for. Now have
• 1:41:33
  Speaker 1: a good, day. Everybody peace