Latest / Money Grows on Trees / #254 - Financial Coach Reacts To WILD Australian Economic Predictions!
Transcript
- 0:00This is why you should sell your fucking house and go and
- 0:05So I understand this model implicitly. It's just that I've
- 0:09chosen not to buy property and leverage it. And rather than that, I rent
- 0:12where I live and I buy shares because there's tax effectiveness on the
- 0:19What will make this next crash significant is that because all
- 0:22of these retirement accounts, governments and other more serious
- 0:26entities are now invested, Once this crashes, this is going to
- 0:32The lessons haven't been learned. They're adopting rubbish into these retirement accounts
- 0:35and it's going to absolutely destroy returns in those pension funds and countries. The
- 0:39more it's adopted, the worse it's going to be. So I wholeheartedly agree with
- 0:44Hey, if you drive a paid off car, you're not driving a beater, you're driving a
- 0:47blessing. You do not realize how freeing not having a
- 0:53I 100% agree with that. It doesn't mean you have to drive a beater. It just
- 0:56means I'm Lloyd James Ross, seven figure investor and entrepreneur, and
- 1:00I've helped thousands of business owners and professionals turn financial stress
- 1:04into success. If you're stuck in old money habits, overwhelmed by
- 1:07investing or unsure where to start, This is for you. I'll
- 1:10give you the mindset and strategies to take control, grow
- 1:14your wealth and achieve financial freedom. It's time to make your
- 1:17money work for you. All right, now for some fun, we do some
- 1:20fun reaction videos here. So, so
- 1:24it's gonna shoot me some, some reels. I'm gonna react to them, make
- 1:44So Lububu's is by a company called PopMart. They get these mystery boxes,
- 1:47you buy them. I don't know how much they are, over a hundred bucks a box, I'm not sure. And
- 1:51there's a line there at the shops and tons of people buying
- 1:54them. I'm like, oh, my nieces are starting to talk about them. We caught on to
- 1:57this trend a few months back. It's been going on in China for a while. I've watched the stock
- 2:00for a bit. What's interesting is this lady has bought and
- 2:04spent money on 20 Lububu's in a month. Alternatively, we
- 2:07went out and we bought the stock of the company that compares to the
- 2:11LaBooBoo's. So that's a little different way to play it. Would you prefer to own the company or
- 2:14the LaBooBoo's? on
- 2:26a Costco cart. These guys are slaying it. It's interesting,
- 2:30isn't it? The way that they set up their business is to make
- 2:33it addictive to buy the lebubu. And
- 2:37now it's a trend. And these trends can go on for a long time
- 2:40and create massive overvaluation in the company, which is why we put a very
- 2:44small amount into the business in China. So there you go. Bang. Fun.
- 2:48If you buy a house now, I am predicting you
- 2:52could lose as much as 50%, give or take, in
- 2:56Are you truly saying that people's homes are going to fall by
- 3:04US already fell, average home 34% in the
- 3:09Okay, so in America right now, without a
- 3:13doubt, almost all states are falling and they're falling fast and
- 3:17there's a housing oversupply. In America, it
- 3:20seems to be like it's going to be double, a
- 3:23double double digit fall, so it looks bad. And
- 3:27so I would say in the States, yes. In Australia, can't
- 3:30see it growing. Don't know if it'll collapse, unlikely because
- 3:34of the immigration policy, but if that comes off the ball and the demand is a lot less,
- 3:38then you could see some catch up of supply and we
- 3:42could see, depends if people don't want to hold the hot
- 3:45potato, it depends on a lot of things. It depends on the interest rate. Going up
- 3:48or down depends on the immigration policy and depends on supply. So
- 3:51those three things in Australia look pretty solid I don't think it'll crash here by 50% But
- 3:56in America without doubt it looks like it's going to happen here. We probably just won't see
- 4:00The Australian dollar has tanked. Our reporter Luca Itamardi looked into why
- 4:04and what this means both for your online shopping habit and your group chat's
- 4:07trip to Bali. So since US President Donald Trump announced his... Alright,
- 4:13This would have been a little bit of time ago because it's now recovered to 65 US
- 4:17cents per Australian dollar. And the reason for that is because
- 4:20the United States, it looks like they're going to reduce their federal fund
- 4:24rate. Donald Trump is pushing hard for
- 4:28Powell to reduce the rates right back down. That would be bad
- 4:31news for their currency. U.S. dollar would fall. The Australian currency against
- 4:35the U.S. would rise and probably go beyond 70 cents, up to maybe 75 cents
- 4:39per U.S. dollar if they drop rates in America. But
- 4:42it also depends on what we do with rates here. If we drop them here, we
- 4:45drop the value of the Australian dollar back down. So we'll see what happens. But this was done a
- 4:51Crypto is going to cause the next Great Depression and ruin the global economy.
- 4:55So Bitcoin recently broke all-time highs at over $120,000 per coin.
- 5:00And Trump is about to make it legal for people to invest their retirement accounts
- 5:04in crypto. Now, we're at the stage where even governments are
- 5:07investing into Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. And I believe
- 5:11we're about to head a whole lot higher. So some of you are going
- 5:14to become fabulously wealthy. but the vast majority of you
- 5:20What will make this next crash significant is that because all
- 5:24of these retirement accounts, governments, and other more serious
- 5:27entities are now invested, once this crashes, this is going to
- 5:33It's kind of what happened with the bond market in 2008. Banks
- 5:37were buying these toxic assets. these
- 5:41mortgage bonds that were just rubbish, and they were being packaged
- 5:44up and sent and bought by whole countries in sovereign wealth funds.
- 5:48And Iceland went broke, Ireland almost went broke, Spain
- 5:52almost went broke, Greece went broke, all these countries went broke. It was
- 5:55very bad. And you can see the same The
- 6:00lessons haven't been learned. They're adopting rubbish into these retirement accounts,
- 6:03and it's going to absolutely destroy returns in those pension funds and
- 6:07countries. And the more it's adopted, the worse it's going to
- 6:13I'm 35 years old, I'm sleeping on a mattress on the floor at
- 6:17my friend's place because it's impossible to get a rental, or
- 6:20it's way too expensive. And my only options are sleep in my
- 6:24car, sleep on the floor at my friend's house, or try
- 6:27and find a room in a share house if I can afford it, if
- 6:30there's any available. Knowing my luck, I'll end up with some fucking weirdos. How
- 6:34are those my only options? How are those the only options of many
- 6:37Australians right now? Before anyone says, you're 35, why
- 6:41don't you own a house? I did own a house in my 20s. I owned a
- 6:44house with my ex for six years. We bought it a good time in 2012. Then we
- 6:48split. He paid me out. It wasn't enough to then go
- 6:52and buy another property. So I think I'm just going to have to start applying for
- 6:57I wonder how much she got from when her former
- 7:01spouse bought her out. It would be interesting to know. You can
- 7:05only guess at this point. If they bought well, maybe
- 7:08they made $200,000 net out of it, I'm just guessing, minimum,
- 7:13and so maybe she got $100,000. Now, if she
- 7:16had invested that into some sort of high-yield index fund, it would have paid her about $7,000 a
- 7:20year, and that $7,000 a year would have helped to
- 7:24pay for some of her rent. I wonder now what she does for a
- 7:27living if she can't afford a single studio rental. On
- 7:31an income plus some investments, what did she do with the money? You
- 7:35could have bought a studio back then for that price or
- 7:38close to that price. Back then in Service Paradise, they were selling two,
- 7:42yeah, double studio or two-bed studios in the middle of service for
- 7:46$150,000. Now, banks don't lend on the small studios,
- 7:49but she could have borrowed the balance from her friend and bought a whole place there. So I
- 7:52do wonder what mistakes she made in the past that have now forced
- 7:55her to probably potentially live in her current 35. can
- 7:59happen, but it's easier when you're seeing it with our family. Imagine
- 8:02families. Just quickly, if you're ready to take control of your finances but
- 8:05feel stuck on where to start, I have a solution. My
- 8:08book, Money Buys Happiness, simplifies investing and
- 8:12wealth building with practical steps to help you achieve financial peace.
- 8:16Get your copy via the link in the show notes and let's get your money working for
- 8:21I'm going to tell you this, my entire company, my entire team, if you don't have a six-pack, you don't work
- 8:24for us. No, I know. I know. It's
- 8:30How about we raise him? How about we raise him? How
- 8:34about we raise him? How about you guys quit getting civilized
- 8:38and you guys quit settling? You know, there's people in this room that said,
- 8:43It's funny, I saw Andy Elliott had lunch with some of his team when
- 8:47we were in Vegas earlier this year, and he was at the ClickFunnels event.
- 8:52And yeah, savage dude, has very high standards, obviously
- 8:55people's bodies. And what's interesting about that is how people treat their bodies
- 8:59is how they treat their bank accounts, how they treat, so it is about standards. That's why if
- 9:02you see someone who's in really good shape, they've got good discipline. and it's a very good
- 9:06way to spot what they're like in other things. Because as you do one thing, you do how
- 9:10you do one thing, how you do everything. So what he's saying is if we can't raise our
- 9:13standards in our six pack, how we raise our standards in our business, in our relationships. I
- 9:18agree with that. Am I all about the bro thing and the whole like,
- 9:21ah, I used to be more and I think I've mellowed. I think I've watched too
- 9:25much Goggins. So you don't have to be like brutal, but
- 9:28what it is is a great message to say, hey, raise your standards in your
- 9:31body, your bank account and your relationships. And I think that's a great message to
- 9:38This is why you should sell your fucking house and go
- 9:42and rent your home. So, the term rentvesting,
- 9:46here's how it works and here's why you should do it so
- 9:49you're less broke. Now, in this scenario, you're a single, you're
- 9:52a couple, you're whatever you are. you earn $200,000 a year. That
- 9:56could be two $100,000 salaries, that could be one $200,000 salaries, that
- 10:00could be you and your two partners earning $75,000 or
- 10:03whatever it is each. Now, you have a deposit of $200,000 in
- 10:07cash. You have two options.
- 10:11The most traditional option which is this side of the board is
- 10:15to use your $200,000 to go and buy a $1 million
- 10:19property, you get an $800,000 mortgage and you get
- 10:22a 30-year loan term. That loan cost
- 10:26you $58,000 out of pocket. The difference is
- 10:38You probably could still get a 5% rental yield somewhere. I dare
- 10:41say Jack finds those, but it is a bit trickier. Also,
- 10:45it's trickier because the interest rate is 5 point. For
- 10:49property investment, it could be even 6%, certainly late 5. If
- 10:53you're getting a rental yield of 5, but the interest rate is higher, it's
- 10:56costing you more in interest to have the property. I know it's a
- 10:59little bit less because of the deposit. So, you're probably going to find that
- 11:02property investment is negatively geared in cash flow. You do get some tax deductions
- 11:06from that but you can without a doubt rent in a place and
- 11:09buy in a place that's going to be more bullish on the growth and there are more tax
- 11:13incentives if you've got a high income and not a lot of tax deductions. So, I
- 11:16understand this model implicitly. It's
- 11:20just that I've chosen not to buy a property and leverage it and rather than
- 11:23that, I rent where I live and I buy shares because there's tax effectiveness on
- 11:27the dividend income, no operating costs. And I think it's
- 11:30more simple. So I've actually adopted this thinking into
- 11:33my own personal finances, but not with property, with shares. But
- 11:37I can, without a doubt, understand what he's trying to say here, and he does it in a fun way. I
- 11:41don't think getting a big personal mortgage for your
- 11:44PPR is a good idea. Yeah, for that reason as well. I agree. Fun
- 11:48Are the boo-boos an economic indicator for a recession? Besides being super,
- 11:52super cute, the rise actually ties into a larger pattern, how consumers
- 11:56adjust their spending in uncertain times. In economics, this is called the
- 11:59lipstick effect. It basically says that during a recession or an economic slowdown,
- 12:03people just stop buying big luxury items like cars, designer
- 12:06bags, or vacations, but they don't stop spending altogether. Instead,
- 12:11it shifts into smaller luxuries, emotional purchases, Tiny
- 12:15treats that feel special without feeling reckless. Like the $20 strawberries
- 12:18from Erewhon. You guys know exactly what I'm talking about. Or in this case,
- 12:21a little bit of boo. These dolls hit the sweet spot. It's just indulgent enough
- 12:25to feel like a luxury, but not so expensive that it triggers guilt. And
- 12:28when people feel financially anxious, they downsize their luxuries and not their
- 12:31desire for comfort. And if you really want to spiral, there's also rising tariffs
- 12:35on imports from China, as you guys already know. So yes, people are stocking
- 12:38up on all sorts of blind boxes, and this is just one of them. So
- 12:41yeah, this might be a toy, but it's also a micro-reflection of how we're coping with
- 12:48Yeah, so they're getting their dopamine hit, not from travel, not from planes. The lipstick
- 12:52effect, never heard of that before, but they're getting Lebooboos. But I think
- 12:55it's deeper than that. I actually don't think they're choosing to get Lebooboos. I
- 12:59think they're seduced into getting Lebooboos because of the company's marketing. Very
- 13:03powerful tactics in mystery boxes. A
- 13:06lot of FOMO and social proof there of other people buying
- 13:10them. And the way that PopMart's marketed these things is
- 13:13like incredible. That's why its stock has 10x in the last... I
- 13:17mean, it's actually up 645% in the last 12 months, I think. So
- 13:20you can see their marketing tactics are also hitting people at every level
- 13:24of the economy. It's not just the wealthy, it's everybody, because everybody
- 13:27can afford a mystery box. And it's actually playing on not
- 13:31just the lipstick effect of retail therapy at a different economy, speed
- 13:35of economy, but it's also actually triggering them to want
- 13:38to buy more of them over and over and over again. So I think it's a combination of
- 13:42things that's forcing this la-boo-boo craze. And it
- 13:49Hey, if you drive a paid off car, you're not driving a beater, you're driving a
- 13:52blessing, okay? Now I get it, you're looking at all your friends, they've upgraded
- 13:56their cars, they've got the 2024 edition automatic lane
- 13:59switching or whatever, but I'm telling you, comparison is the
- 14:02thief of joy. You do not realize how freeing not having
- 14:08My dad says that a paid off car drives better. What's
- 14:12funny about that is that, yeah, we, It
- 14:16does. Like I walk towards our car and it's debt free and it just feels so
- 14:19good knowing that it's debt free. And it can
- 14:22just completely destroy you mentally if you keep having to
- 14:26pay a car payment. You feel like you're driving a borrowed car. It's
- 14:29a weird thing. And I 100% agree with that. It doesn't mean you
- 14:32have to drive a beater. It just means pay the
- 14:35car off as fast as you can, if you can, and
- 14:39make sure you're not over-egging the car you get so you can keep up with
- 14:42your friends. It's just so much more freeing
- 14:47to have a paid-off car than to fit in with your friends. It
- 14:51really is. And a lot of the people who have cars that are
- 14:55that seem to be really nice have borrowed the money to get them. There's a great saying by
- 14:58Warren Buffett, you never know who's swimming naked until the tide goes out. We haven't seen the tide go
- 15:01out really since 2008. When there's a big market
- 15:05panic and a credit crunch and a lot of unemployment, you're
- 15:09going to see a lot of people selling their cars because they
- 15:13actually don't own them. I agree with that. It's a really good idea to
- 15:16drive a paid off car and over time have a paid off house for
- 15:19sure. All right, so there are the reactions. Hope you enjoyed those. Today,
- 15:23not so many controversial ones, which is good. I agree with a lot
- 15:26of those people. So yeah, be careful of how many Loubooboos you're buying.
- 15:30Hope you enjoyed it. See you in the next one. Thanks for listening to Money Grows on Trees.
- 15:34If you enjoyed the episode, leave a five-star review on Apple Podcasts and
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