Latest / The Paul Barron Crypto Show / Bitcoin Short-Squeeze Coming?📈Altcoin Technical Analysis with The Trading Parrot
Transcript
- 0:07Speaker 1: Today we're going to be doing a trading video that'll
- 0:09Speaker 1: be breaking down Bitcoin ethereum avalanche. We'll take a look
- 0:13Speaker 1: at some other tokens that I think you guys might
- 0:14Speaker 1: be interested in as we near possibly a big September,
- 0:18Speaker 1: don't miss it. My name is Paul Barre. Welcome back
- 0:20Speaker 1: in a tech path. I do want to thank our
- 0:22Speaker 1: sponsor today, and that is I Trust Capital. If you're
- 0:24Speaker 1: looking at long term holding of your crypto and you
- 0:26Speaker 1: want to do it in an IRA, this is one
- 0:28Speaker 1: of the best places to check it out. Just go
- 0:30Speaker 1: over to I trustcapital dot com. If you do use
- 0:33Speaker 1: our link, you're going to get one hundred dollars funding reward.
- 0:35Speaker 1: And the cool thing here is you can get into
- 0:37Speaker 1: almost everything, all coins, bitcoin ethereum as well as precious metals,
- 0:43Speaker 1: all available in an IRA. Remember always seek tax advice
- 0:48Speaker 1: as you're doing in kind of these things. If you're
- 0:49Speaker 1: rolling one over or if you're starting a brand new one,
- 0:51Speaker 1: just use our link down below. All right, So I
- 0:54Speaker 1: want to get into some tokens today. Of course we're
- 0:56Speaker 1: going to lead off here with bitcoin and talk about it,
- 0:59Speaker 1: and of course, of course we have traders on the
- 1:03Speaker 1: show occasionally and we like certain ones that we think
- 1:07Speaker 1: do a really good job on explaining not only trades
- 1:10Speaker 1: and how markets are moving. So we always invite the
- 1:13Speaker 1: best of the best back and joining us again today
- 1:16Speaker 1: is of course Mariano from Trading Parrot. If you've never
- 1:19Speaker 1: been over to his YouTube channel, check it out. It's
- 1:22Speaker 1: right over here. You're setting on thirty two thousand subs here. Mariano. Congratulations,
- 1:28Speaker 1: thank you, thank you both. I like it, man, I
- 1:30Speaker 1: like it. So let's get into it today and let's
- 1:33Speaker 1: talk about bitcoin. A couple of points I want to
- 1:36Speaker 1: hit on first. Is this right here. Many people are
- 1:39Speaker 1: looking at possibly a short squeeze coming in. Bulls are
- 1:42Speaker 1: pressuring around sixty two K. We saw a little bit
- 1:44Speaker 1: of movement yesterday and a couple of things are lining
- 1:47Speaker 1: up here. We saw employment employment data revisions which was
- 1:51Speaker 1: only kind of zoom in on that for everybody, which
- 1:54Speaker 1: were pretty much a big disappointment I think in the
- 1:57Speaker 1: markets in general, for traditional markets, many end up helping
- 2:01Speaker 1: crypto on some of the risk markets as well. If
- 2:04Speaker 1: you look at that and you look at what you
- 2:06Speaker 1: guys are seeing on the chart, we're seeing that possibly
- 2:10Speaker 1: there could be a little bit of movement here possibly
- 2:13Speaker 1: meaning could going up to around sixty four to sixty five.
- 2:17Speaker 1: What are your thoughts right now on the current chart
- 2:19Speaker 1: the way you're seeing bitcoin move.
- 2:21Speaker 2: So today, Paul I have prepared quite interesting information about Bitcoin,
- 2:26Speaker 2: some signals and some things that are indicating we are
- 2:29Speaker 2: starting to pile up the bi signals. Is incredibly how
- 2:34Speaker 2: this area around here in the chart in terms of
- 2:37Speaker 2: number of signals and reliable signals is starting to remind
- 2:42Speaker 2: me all the Parish signals that we were getting at
- 2:45Speaker 2: seventy three point five k back in the day. So
- 2:48Speaker 2: I want to do a very quick summary for you.
- 2:51Speaker 2: So we've been talking about this megaphone that it's quite
- 2:54Speaker 2: the typical pattern that you see around the event of
- 2:58Speaker 2: the helfing. What we were looking initially at a very
- 3:03Speaker 2: positive and very quick recovery outcome this white trajectory in here.
- 3:08Speaker 2: Of course that got invalidated with this big red candle,
- 3:13Speaker 2: and then we were looking for the plan B the
- 3:15Speaker 2: yellow trajectory and we went back to the bottom. So
- 3:18Speaker 2: what we are looking now into doing next is to
- 3:22Speaker 2: challenge the bull market support plan. It's been three weeks
- 3:25Speaker 2: that we are below it and we're starting to gain
- 3:29Speaker 2: some momentum to potentially break about that, so I want
- 3:33Speaker 2: to show some information additional to just TA. For example,
- 3:38Speaker 2: the long term holders are becoming really confident here in
- 3:43Speaker 2: their move of accumulation, whereas the shorter holders, which typically
- 3:47Speaker 2: are doing the wrong thing compared to the other ones,
- 3:51Speaker 2: are starting to sell capitulate, and this is actually something
- 3:55Speaker 2: very positive for the market. I'm also seeing, after a
- 3:59Speaker 2: long period of large wells depositing, how the deposits are
- 4:05Speaker 2: starting to step back and leave some more gap for withdrawals.
- 4:10Speaker 2: This is very positive. We are ready below trend line.
- 4:13Speaker 2: We broke below the May and we're getting very close
- 4:16Speaker 2: to that sweet spot, which is the ratio of one.
- 4:19Speaker 2: Anywhere below that one means that there's so many withdrawals
- 4:23Speaker 2: that the price just has to squeeze back up. And
- 4:27Speaker 2: at the moment I have a cheating code here on
- 4:30Speaker 2: the ASI daily. We have had these head and shoulders
- 4:35Speaker 2: around July that was telling us early that there was
- 4:39Speaker 2: going to be a pullback, and actually an actual big
- 4:44Speaker 2: pullback comparable to the one we have around the seventy
- 4:48Speaker 2: three point five, which was also then shoulders right there.
- 4:52Speaker 2: Then we came back to the bottom when the price
- 4:55Speaker 2: of pitcoin crashed to forty nine K, and since then
- 4:58Speaker 2: we've been building this moment to the up side. With
- 5:01Speaker 2: this momentum to the up side, my fear has been
- 5:05Speaker 2: all the time, is this going to be just a
- 5:07Speaker 2: dead cut bounce? Are we just bouncing to the fifty
- 5:10Speaker 2: fibonacchi just to see our rejection? So we were looking
- 5:14Speaker 2: to get in at ANTHERSI of fifty three. Since the
- 5:17Speaker 2: moment we were here, we were tracking this and finally
- 5:20Speaker 2: we are at fifty three. So this is the moment
- 5:23Speaker 2: where we need to see this momentum on the other
- 5:26Speaker 2: side to understand whether we are going to break out
- 5:29Speaker 2: here to the upside above an others I fifty three
- 5:33Speaker 2: and holding there for a day will be impressively bullish.
- 5:37Speaker 2: But at the same time, if we break down here
- 5:40Speaker 2: with an aggressive move, then things could get very shaky.
- 5:44Speaker 2: I'm gonna share some levels that I'm looking in case
- 5:48Speaker 2: we break out to the upside of the or the upside.
- 5:51Speaker 2: So here we have a triangle pattern that many people
- 5:54Speaker 2: are monitoring. We are being held by the CPR levels
- 5:58Speaker 2: of the monthly. We'd be one, two, three, four, five, six,
- 6:03Speaker 2: seven times trying to attempt to break above sixty two K.
- 6:07Speaker 2: So what I'm looking for is a breakout above this
- 6:11Speaker 2: triangle will be extremely bullish. Of course, retesting back above
- 6:16Speaker 2: sixty one point five will guarantee us or increase the
- 6:20Speaker 2: chances that we go for the next liquidation levels. And
- 6:23Speaker 2: very quickly I'm going to show you those liquidation levels
- 6:26Speaker 2: in the upside. We have this tool here that shows
- 6:30Speaker 2: where are all the stop losses and all the accounts
- 6:33Speaker 2: of big institutions get liquidated as well. And the closer
- 6:38Speaker 2: we want, the closer we have above. The price starts
- 6:43Speaker 2: from sixty two eight to sixty three. Then we have
- 6:46Speaker 2: sixty five and sixty seven. And if you notice there
- 6:51Speaker 2: are three levels of big liquidations right above us below us, yes,
- 6:56Speaker 2: we do have fifty five, and we have a little
- 6:59Speaker 2: bit of liquidations here fifty seven. If the price will
- 7:03Speaker 2: still tend to go and grab that. My thesis is
- 7:08Speaker 2: if we hold this momentum to the upside, and we
- 7:11Speaker 2: break the triangle and we hold, it's going to be
- 7:15Speaker 2: very fast move because we have lots of wood to
- 7:19Speaker 2: put in the fire there as a fuel to get
- 7:22Speaker 2: to the higher levels and as a trick to start
- 7:27Speaker 2: speculating which side is going to be. I'm looking very
- 7:31Speaker 2: closely at the dollar index. Of course, this is influence
- 7:35Speaker 2: influenced by the rate cards, by the monetary policies. But
- 7:39Speaker 2: if you notice what happened right before the last leg
- 7:43Speaker 2: up in the previous bull market the dollar index, they
- 7:47Speaker 2: crash from ninety nine all the way to eighty nine,
- 7:52Speaker 2: and that is what many investors are at the moment
- 7:56Speaker 2: looking into. Are we going to see the dollar index
- 8:00Speaker 2: breaking down this triangle possively closing this week below one
- 8:04Speaker 2: hundred dollars That will be extremely bullished for all the
- 8:09Speaker 2: bull case And at the same time, we are already
- 8:12Speaker 2: done on the weekly with three consecutive bullish crosses on
- 8:17Speaker 2: the stochastic sign higher lows on the adside. Potentially a
- 8:23Speaker 2: weekly breakout here coming in. I think all of this
- 8:27Speaker 2: is just waiting for the monetary policies to get the
- 8:31Speaker 2: final go ahead, so we get there this one is
- 8:35Speaker 2: not a fake out, and then we get a breakout
- 8:38Speaker 2: from the ADSI as well. And my suspicion is if
- 8:43Speaker 2: that happened, it's going to be very quick. So if
- 8:46Speaker 2: you're not in a position already on bitcoin, you might
- 8:49Speaker 2: miss the train, because this move could be really exploded. Also,
- 8:53Speaker 2: as many people are referring to as a short squeeze,
- 8:56Speaker 2: we had the funding fees at extreme red numbers, which
- 9:02Speaker 2: we haven't seen in quite a long time in binance.
- 9:04Speaker 2: All of that together with many signals for example, this
- 9:08Speaker 2: v one on the viixpi that before gay one and
- 9:14Speaker 2: eighty percent just trigger a couple of days ago. So
- 9:17Speaker 2: we are starting to accumulate so many signals that are
- 9:21Speaker 2: positive for the market that I'm prepared for that if
- 9:25Speaker 2: things delay a little bit longer, I'm also ready to
- 9:29Speaker 2: buy lower levels as well.
- 9:31Speaker 1: All right, So I mean this is quite very polish
- 9:34Speaker 1: right now, Mariano, based on a lot of these strengs
- 9:36Speaker 1: you're outlining here, what about ethereum, Because there's a couple
- 9:39Speaker 1: of people looking at ethereum and looks good, but it
- 9:41Speaker 1: needs to continue its climb. Right now. It has been
- 9:45Speaker 1: getting a little bit of adjustment, but there's nothing between
- 9:47Speaker 1: around twenty seven and thirty one when you look at
- 9:52Speaker 1: the trigger for ethereum to get into back to a
- 9:55Speaker 1: three K. Is there anything you're seeing in your charts
- 9:58Speaker 1: that would indicate that it m being that in that loop.
- 10:02Speaker 2: For evidium, I'm looking into the weekly chart and I'm
- 10:06Speaker 2: looking specifically at the other side the movement below this
- 10:10Speaker 2: trend line, and as you can see, it's been printing
- 10:14Speaker 2: lower laws and lower highs in the momentum. But we
- 10:17Speaker 2: are reaching a level where we could positively start finding
- 10:22Speaker 2: some support at the level of forty. Let's remember we
- 10:25Speaker 2: are in a bull market, so getting on the weekly
- 10:28Speaker 2: on another side below forty puts us back in a
- 10:32Speaker 2: bear market territory. So my thesis is that we should
- 10:35Speaker 2: be expecting some sort of bounds from this forty and
- 10:39Speaker 2: potentially start challenging this trend line. For me, the go
- 10:43Speaker 2: ahead on IFIDIUM in terms of expecting a big move
- 10:48Speaker 2: to the up site is once we break this line. Also,
- 10:52Speaker 2: if we look at the price action around this time
- 10:56Speaker 2: in the market, around twenty twenty, and we were also
- 11:01Speaker 2: waiting for the dollar index to come back down, we
- 11:04Speaker 2: were waiting for cutting the raids monetary policies, kind of
- 11:09Speaker 2: same story just repeating every four years. Interestingly, but at
- 11:13Speaker 2: this point in times there were also people saying, oh,
- 11:16Speaker 2: if video instead, nothing is going to happen, And I
- 11:19Speaker 2: just want us to appreciate how fast can it be
- 11:24Speaker 2: once it starts, once all the conditions are met. In
- 11:27Speaker 2: terms of monetary policy, timing in the market, exiting the summertime,
- 11:34Speaker 2: and eventually it just enters around that you know, leaves
- 11:38Speaker 2: everybody behind if you are not already in a position,
- 11:42Speaker 2: and I will expect that that will trigger once we
- 11:46Speaker 2: get the breakout on the Weekly in here.
- 11:50Speaker 1: So watch the Weekly right now on eight. That will
- 11:52Speaker 1: give you guys a little bit of an insight, you know,
- 11:54Speaker 1: going forward on this. And this is a strong talking
- 11:56Speaker 1: that we you know, we obviously talked about a lot
- 11:58Speaker 1: here on the show because it has such a vibrant ecosystem.
- 12:03Speaker 1: I do want to also recommend you guys jump over
- 12:05Speaker 1: to our Diamond Circle. This is our own private member group.
- 12:08Speaker 1: You guys can jump right in there. It's free. We
- 12:11Speaker 1: do additional trading concepts, but we also do a lot
- 12:14Speaker 1: more in the way of research, So check it out.
- 12:17Speaker 1: It's free. Just go over to Paul Baron Network. You'll
- 12:19Speaker 1: find us over there. I want to go over to
- 12:21Speaker 1: Tron real quick, Mariano, and one of the things I
- 12:24Speaker 1: want to hit on with Tron is justin sun now
- 12:27Speaker 1: part of this. We did a video yesterday and we've
- 12:29Speaker 1: been talking about the transaction fees on Tron they're coming down.
- 12:32Speaker 1: Justin promised that, you know, with this bump in interest
- 12:36Speaker 1: in Tron due to some of the meme token ecosystem
- 12:39Speaker 1: that's starting to build up and sun Pump which is
- 12:44Speaker 1: kind of the pump dot me version for Tron. But
- 12:46Speaker 1: he's talking about currently transaction fees are down on the
- 12:50Speaker 1: Tron network have been reduced to two point seventy six
- 12:52Speaker 1: so per transaction average fee, very low on per transaction,
- 12:57Speaker 1: very competitive fee rate. He says, let's they're.
- 13:00Speaker 2: Ready to go.
- 13:00Speaker 1: But he goes on further in another tweet, and it's
- 13:03Speaker 1: still early, so do the math. If you look at
- 13:07Speaker 1: the market it can create with over sixty billion in liquidity,
- 13:10Speaker 1: so we could see a lot of liquidity in there.
- 13:12Speaker 1: Total market cap of Tron meme is still less than
- 13:15Speaker 1: two hundred millions, so we could see a lot of
- 13:18Speaker 1: breakouts on this and the obvious soaken much like an eth,
- 13:22Speaker 1: not saying that it's compared TOEP, but when you look
- 13:25Speaker 1: at breakouts within these meme ecosystems, usually the mother token
- 13:30Speaker 1: like Solana and possibly like Toron, could be on a breakout.
- 13:33Speaker 1: What do you think Tron looks like right now in
- 13:36Speaker 1: terms of your chart?
- 13:38Speaker 2: Well, I've been quite happy with the price section of
- 13:41Speaker 2: I'm a tron holder from a long time, so seeing
- 13:44Speaker 2: that we are approaching a new to high at this
- 13:47Speaker 2: time in the market is really impressive. It shows that
- 13:51Speaker 2: it's being used in their use cases. And one of
- 13:54Speaker 2: the things that it's very interesting to see in the
- 13:59Speaker 2: price action on the weekly is all this area of
- 14:02Speaker 2: twenty twenty one and that looks to me like some
- 14:06Speaker 2: sort of fractal of what we are seeing in this
- 14:09Speaker 2: bull market. So one thing that I pay attention was
- 14:15Speaker 2: that in here we have a bull pattern. This is
- 14:18Speaker 2: an inverse head and shoulders, and typically an inverse head
- 14:22Speaker 2: and shoulders breakout breaks out calculating the high of the head,
- 14:28Speaker 2: and then when you project this, that is how much
- 14:32Speaker 2: it broke out. So we could repeat the same approach
- 14:36Speaker 2: in here and considering this some sort of deformed head
- 14:41Speaker 2: and shoulders. Here you have the shoulder, another shoulder and
- 14:45Speaker 2: the head. We have this high from here. So one
- 14:49Speaker 2: target that we could be achieving in this bull market
- 14:52Speaker 2: if we see something similar, if there's this use case
- 14:55Speaker 2: and this progresses, is to get somewhere around the seat
- 14:59Speaker 2: of four three level.
- 15:01Speaker 1: That'd be a three x Mariana.
- 15:03Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, and I think that will be to get
- 15:05Speaker 2: started because at that point, when we have this increase
- 15:10Speaker 2: in the price, we didn't have this narrative of using
- 15:14Speaker 2: it for mim coins or using it in the reverse
- 15:18Speaker 2: use cases. I think the way I learned about Tron
- 15:22Speaker 2: was just to hold USDT to make very quick transfers,
- 15:26Speaker 2: and that was the reason I opened my wallet. But
- 15:28Speaker 2: now seeing and exploring new use cases as got me
- 15:33Speaker 2: a lot more bolish in Tron.
- 15:35Speaker 1: Yeah. I was looking at justin tweet here is everything
- 15:38Speaker 1: is just getting started.
- 15:39Speaker 2: Storm.
- 15:39Speaker 1: This is just a warm up. This weekend is going
- 15:42Speaker 1: to be unbelievable. So he's definitely a showman when it
- 15:45Speaker 1: comes to pumping Tron. So if you okay, so let's
- 15:49Speaker 1: assume if you look at the Tron chart, maybe you
- 15:52Speaker 1: missed this little bit of move that we're in. I
- 15:54Speaker 1: shouldn't say little bit. It's a nice twenty percent move
- 15:56Speaker 1: right now. Is now a good time or would you oh,
- 16:00Speaker 1: no way for maybe a rech racement or do you
- 16:02Speaker 1: feel like this is maybe Tron's opportunity to run.
- 16:06Speaker 2: Yeah, that's a good point. Actually, I'm happy that you
- 16:09Speaker 2: mentioned that poll because at the moment we have a
- 16:12Speaker 2: breakout above this ranch at seat of fourteen, and we
- 16:16Speaker 2: are getting some very signals. And don't get scared that
- 16:21Speaker 2: the signals means that it's the end for TRON or
- 16:24Speaker 2: anything like that. These are just signals that I use
- 16:27Speaker 2: to time a little bit better my entries when I'm
- 16:31Speaker 2: in the context of running a swing trade. And this
- 16:34Speaker 2: one in particular that we're getting here is called a
- 16:37Speaker 2: delta signal, and I want to show you what it means.
- 16:41Speaker 2: It means that the moment there are an excessive amount
- 16:46Speaker 2: of lungs in a position on TRON, and as a trader,
- 16:51Speaker 2: you don't want to be in the majority sign You
- 16:53Speaker 2: want to be the one that enters early when there
- 16:56Speaker 2: are a very little number of lungs and then there
- 16:59Speaker 2: is a rever So that's how you gain the largest
- 17:02Speaker 2: move for a swing trade. And this timing, at least
- 17:05Speaker 2: on the daily, it's a very hot period to enter.
- 17:09Speaker 2: So what I will do is I will wait to
- 17:12Speaker 2: see if we hold above zero fourteen. We are allowed
- 17:16Speaker 2: to go slightly below it the zero fourteen, but hopefully
- 17:20Speaker 2: on the daily we close above that level. We don't
- 17:23Speaker 2: want to be a liquidity graph and just allow those
- 17:27Speaker 2: shorts to squeeze us back into the ranch and then
- 17:31Speaker 2: be forced to close our swing trade in order. If
- 17:35Speaker 2: we were to hold in the next days the zero
- 17:37Speaker 2: fourteen and let's look at the weekly as well, we
- 17:42Speaker 2: could say that that could be a good opportunity to
- 17:45Speaker 2: enter at zero fourteen, but that is subject to holding
- 17:49Speaker 2: that level for one day. And if you are on
- 17:51Speaker 2: the conservative side, see the full week. How we close
- 17:55Speaker 2: on Sunday on tron and if we are still above
- 17:58Speaker 2: the range of zero fourteen, and it means that this
- 18:01Speaker 2: was here to stay and that will be a great
- 18:04Speaker 2: opportunity to buy as long as you manage your risk.
- 18:07Speaker 2: In case we still go inside the wrench.
- 18:09Speaker 1: Well, I want to go quickly over to unicewap because
- 18:12Speaker 1: there's some things happening on uniswap. We saw a big
- 18:15Speaker 1: move yesterday weekly number of pools now creating on uni swap.
- 18:18Speaker 1: Optimism is up, Arbitrum is flying, polygon getting ready to
- 18:22Speaker 1: move in. Of course, ethereum all sliding up base. Look
- 18:26Speaker 1: at that number five hundred and twelve base is exploding
- 18:29Speaker 1: right now, and of course unicewap is seeing some benefits
- 18:32Speaker 1: to this. If you look at the uniswap token and
- 18:35Speaker 1: you kind of look at the potential here. Forget about
- 18:38Speaker 1: what's happening on the legal front, forget about even regulation
- 18:42Speaker 1: for a second. Let's just talk about DeFi the power
- 18:44Speaker 1: of it and what it can do. When you look
- 18:46Speaker 1: at your chart, Mariano, do you like unie swap as
- 18:50Speaker 1: a long term play or is this more of a
- 18:52Speaker 1: swing play for you? How are you playing this one?
- 18:55Speaker 2: That's how I look at the chart, and I'm going
- 18:57Speaker 2: to focus on the weekly. I think in the area
- 19:00Speaker 2: where we are on UNISWAB is great for accumulation, for
- 19:06Speaker 2: holding long term, not necessarily for a swing trade. So
- 19:11Speaker 2: if you enter today you might see some downside, but
- 19:14Speaker 2: if you are planning to accumulate and hold strong throughout,
- 19:19Speaker 2: hopefully the remaining of the bull market that we are
- 19:21Speaker 2: assuming is here to stay. But of course nothing is
- 19:26Speaker 2: guaranteed in trading. But if we were to do a
- 19:29Speaker 2: position for long term, we're in a very very good
- 19:33Speaker 2: position in my humble opinion. Here we are on the
- 19:38Speaker 2: other side weekly, and I love seeing that this is
- 19:43Speaker 2: breaking out in here. This is a move that started
- 19:46Speaker 2: from March and we are here in August and just
- 19:50Speaker 2: now we are breaking out about that and we are
- 19:53Speaker 2: breaking out from a position of other side forty, which
- 19:57Speaker 2: I also like. We didn't go that law as we
- 20:01Speaker 2: went in the bear market where we went to thirty.
- 20:04Speaker 2: So being at forty, still healthy and breaking out about
- 20:07Speaker 2: this line is telling me that we are preparing for
- 20:11Speaker 2: the rest of the wood market for higher prices. And
- 20:15Speaker 2: I would prefer to enter on the weekly close. On
- 20:21Speaker 2: the weekly close seeing no rejection here on this trend
- 20:24Speaker 2: line at ansa of forty four on the weekly. Let's
- 20:27Speaker 2: say we close at forty five or forty six, that
- 20:30Speaker 2: will be very boolish for UNISWAP. It will mean that
- 20:33Speaker 2: this move on the weekly was genuine, that we can
- 20:36Speaker 2: trust it. But let me cover the daily as well.
- 20:40Speaker 2: Let's see how those lungs are, because if they are
- 20:43Speaker 2: too overextended, you may want to wait a little bit
- 20:46Speaker 2: more for support maybe to enter. And you can see
- 20:50Speaker 2: that yesterday we were way beyond the highest number of
- 20:54Speaker 2: longs that we have seen in the past one hundred
- 20:58Speaker 2: and fifty days, wow, which is quite high, and that
- 21:02Speaker 2: got a rejectional. Obviously, you enter at that moment, you
- 21:05Speaker 2: are following, and then they start taking profits, and they
- 21:09Speaker 2: took as many profits as it went, I, that's kind
- 21:12Speaker 2: of the expected move. But the good thing is that
- 21:15Speaker 2: we are holding strong on the breakout on the daily,
- 21:19Speaker 2: so this actually is right there at the resistance. So
- 21:24Speaker 2: I will wait to see on the daily a breakout
- 21:28Speaker 2: on fifty six on the other side, okay, holding up
- 21:32Speaker 2: of it, and the weekly doing this on another side
- 21:39Speaker 2: above forty five forty six. Those two things will convince
- 21:44Speaker 2: me that we are not just going to continue putting
- 21:47Speaker 2: new laws.
- 21:49Speaker 1: One thing that is happening though, is over on polygon
- 21:51Speaker 1: Big News there a reminder that maddk the token is
- 21:55Speaker 1: getting ready to flip over the pole. This doesn't happened
- 21:58Speaker 1: on September fourth, so you're most likely you'll see all
- 22:01Speaker 1: that start to move. And I think this will be
- 22:05Speaker 1: interesting because it could give new interest in the token
- 22:10Speaker 1: itself just by in general within crypto Twitter. But if
- 22:13Speaker 1: you look at Polygon Matic the token right now, would
- 22:19Speaker 1: you wait till all of this kind of flows into
- 22:21Speaker 1: the new token and see how things start to flow
- 22:24Speaker 1: up on some of the exchanges, or how would you
- 22:26Speaker 1: play this one.
- 22:27Speaker 2: I'm actually a Matic holder. I'm holding strong with Matic
- 22:32Speaker 2: as well. I actually hold all these coins, all these
- 22:34Speaker 2: coins that we have mentioned are coins that I like. Particular,
- 22:39Speaker 2: this one o Matic has something in common with tron.
- 22:42Speaker 2: It also has some sort of fractal that we can
- 22:46Speaker 2: relate from the previous cycle. We have this area in here,
- 22:50Speaker 2: and then it kind of catapulled to a new ranch
- 22:53Speaker 2: from the zero zero one. It went all the way
- 22:56Speaker 2: to over a toller and at the moment where we
- 23:00Speaker 2: are is a very interesting place. I actually want to
- 23:04Speaker 2: highlight three things in here. Number one, there's a number
- 23:09Speaker 2: that is calling for attention from confluence from three different things.
- 23:14Speaker 2: If we place a v web, an anchor v web
- 23:18Speaker 2: from the end of the previous market at December twenty
- 23:23Speaker 2: twenty the law here, and we place an anchor v
- 23:26Speaker 2: web at the top of the price at two point
- 23:29Speaker 2: six dollars, and then we also look at the point
- 23:31Speaker 2: of control of the volume. The three of them are
- 23:35Speaker 2: calling for zero nine, zero nine dollars. And there's a
- 23:40Speaker 2: fourth thing actually that is calling also for zero nine dollars,
- 23:44Speaker 2: which is this trend line that is restricting the price
- 23:48Speaker 2: with a breakout from this week that is pushing there.
- 23:52Speaker 2: If we were then to see our rejection at this
- 23:56Speaker 2: neckline and come back here for a retest, we will
- 23:59Speaker 2: form a head and shoulders with a neckline at zero
- 24:03Speaker 2: fifty four, and the high of the head if we
- 24:07Speaker 2: project this target takes us again to zero nine. So
- 24:12Speaker 2: it's four things that are pointing to this zero nine
- 24:15Speaker 2: I would like to see. Of course, I might be
- 24:18Speaker 2: wrong in two ways. In number one, maybe we break
- 24:21Speaker 2: out straight away right now. Maybe things are too bullish
- 24:25Speaker 2: and we just start going to higher prices, or maybe
- 24:30Speaker 2: we get to the shoulder or at zero forty three
- 24:34Speaker 2: and we continue going lower. So that depends on what's
- 24:39Speaker 2: your play at the moment. I'm already in a position
- 24:42Speaker 2: on MATIC, and I'm hoping for higher prices in the
- 24:46Speaker 2: rest of the would market. So if we were to
- 24:48Speaker 2: continue or coming down, I'm not going to do any action.
- 24:51Speaker 2: I'm already invested in MATIC. But if you are sitting
- 24:55Speaker 2: on your hands and thinking, Isthmatic a good opportunity. And
- 24:59Speaker 2: there are two points. Whether we break out from set
- 25:02Speaker 2: of fifty five right now and we come for a
- 25:05Speaker 2: retest from above to the seat of fifty five, and
- 25:09Speaker 2: that could be calling for those higher prices. And second
- 25:13Speaker 2: entry is if we see a rejection a seat of
- 25:15Speaker 2: fifty five today and we start coming down in the
- 25:19Speaker 2: next weeks and we form the right shoulder, and then
- 25:23Speaker 2: later we have a breakout from serio fifty five. That
- 25:26Speaker 2: could be the second triggering point to confirm that those
- 25:30Speaker 2: higher prices are coming. And why are we going to
- 25:32Speaker 2: zero nine? Well, this is just back to the medium.
- 25:36Speaker 2: The median with a volume is calling for the price
- 25:40Speaker 2: to come back there, it's like a magnet.
- 25:42Speaker 1: Let's move on to Avalanche today in the organization, Franklin
- 25:46Speaker 1: Templeton brings its money market fund to Avalanche, representing a
- 25:52Speaker 1: big component of their move and of course this is
- 25:55Speaker 1: very similar to what Biddle is the black rock if
- 25:58Speaker 1: you think about, and of course is Ethereum. But a
- 26:02Speaker 1: global investment firm one point six trillion assets under management
- 26:05Speaker 1: now explaining to one blockchain footprint to Avalanche, So big
- 26:10Speaker 1: news for Avalanche. Not only that, but also a gray
- 26:13Speaker 1: Scale unveils their investment trust for Avalanche the token as well.
- 26:18Speaker 1: So beyond the lookout, we've got a little bit of movement,
- 26:20Speaker 1: and of course Avalanche did move. It's one of the
- 26:23Speaker 1: top movers of the day. Do you like Avalanche at
- 26:26Speaker 1: the current price right now if you are looking at
- 26:28Speaker 1: a long term because we get a lot of people
- 26:30Speaker 1: that say this token is possibly still in a frame
- 26:33Speaker 1: of a ten x in this bull market, what is
- 26:36Speaker 1: your position?
- 26:38Speaker 2: I would say in terms of timing, Avalanche is a
- 26:43Speaker 2: little bit behind what we are seeing today automatic And
- 26:46Speaker 2: just to prove that, if we look at the Avalanche chart,
- 26:50Speaker 2: we can see that regardless of this bullish green candle
- 26:53Speaker 2: that we are seeing straight into the twenty four resistance,
- 26:58Speaker 2: it still hasn't broken about the trend line. Where Asthmatic,
- 27:02Speaker 2: for example, the one that we were just reviewing before,
- 27:05Speaker 2: has already printed a massive green candle showing a breakout.
- 27:11Speaker 2: So Avalanche at the moment, what it needs to do
- 27:16Speaker 2: next is to break out from this trend line. And
- 27:19Speaker 2: what I normally do is I don't expect the price
- 27:22Speaker 2: to break out first. What I expect is momentum. Always,
- 27:28Speaker 2: momentum precedes the price action, and what we are seeing
- 27:32Speaker 2: right now on the momentum in this case, I'm using
- 27:35Speaker 2: a site for momentum is on the trend line. On
- 27:39Speaker 2: the weekly, we are currently on a candle in progress
- 27:44Speaker 2: breaking out. So if again by Sunday we hold about
- 27:49Speaker 2: a level of forty three on Avalanche, that will mean
- 27:53Speaker 2: a lot in terms of forecasting. That the price is
- 27:58Speaker 2: soon going to fall up with the same catch up
- 28:01Speaker 2: with the momentum and also breakout. I will say price
- 28:06Speaker 2: follows the momentum at least above eighty percent of the cases.
- 28:10Speaker 2: So I take that and I start getting bullish as
- 28:13Speaker 2: well on a potential breakout here on the price for
- 28:17Speaker 2: the upcoming weeks and months. The next targets to look
- 28:22Speaker 2: at is this order block at thirty two. But I'm
- 28:25Speaker 2: sure that if we continue with the bull market pitcoin
- 28:29Speaker 2: pumping towards October November, hopefully, then you're gonna see an
- 28:35Speaker 2: old coin season following up after that, following the flow
- 28:39Speaker 2: of the money pit coin first, then a higher cup
- 28:44Speaker 2: and then the lower cup. So eventually the flow hits
- 28:48Speaker 2: these coins and then we no longer look just for
- 28:51Speaker 2: thirty two, thirty nine or forty four, but we start
- 28:54Speaker 2: talking about two x three x four x. Yeah.
- 28:56Speaker 1: Yeah, Mariano, will always fun having you on the show again.
- 29:00Speaker 1: Just as a reminder, go over to Trading Parrot The
- 29:02Speaker 1: Trading Parrot over on YouTube. You can catch Mariana's latest
- 29:06Speaker 1: videos over there, so make sure and check it out.
- 29:08Speaker 1: I just watched this one on are you ready for
- 29:11Speaker 1: some extra volatility? On that one. So that's a good one,
- 29:16Speaker 1: and that'll be interesting because I think bitcoin right now
- 29:19Speaker 1: we could see a little bit of moment this week
- 29:21Speaker 1: as we go into September, which is going to lead
- 29:23Speaker 1: us into possibly a rate cut month, which could get
- 29:26Speaker 1: very exciting for bitcoin. Mariona, great having you on. Thanks
- 29:28Speaker 1: so much for coming in today. We appreciate it.
- 29:31Speaker 2: Cheers, thank you both. You bet all right.
- 29:34Speaker 1: So make sure guys, as I said, always like the video.
- 29:37Speaker 1: It's one of the ways that other people discover, you know,
- 29:40Speaker 1: things about crypto. Maybe they're just getting into trading for
- 29:43Speaker 1: the very first time, they haven't even maybe bought their
- 29:47Speaker 1: first token. This is how you can help others start
- 29:50Speaker 1: to really learn more about it. Just smash the like button.
- 29:52Speaker 1: That's all you have to do, and of course follow
- 29:54Speaker 1: me out there on Twitter x app. Paul Baron, we'll
- 29:57Speaker 1: catch you next time right here on tech Path, Mutt