Latest / The Paul Barron Crypto Show / Banks OUTPLAYED Crypto🚨CLARITY's September Vote Too Late?💥Anchorage Digital INTERVIEW
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: The banks of one again and that of course is
- 0:02Speaker 1: happening in DC all around. Clarity today will break it
- 0:05Speaker 1: down for you. There is a lot to be discussing
- 0:08Speaker 1: on how this strategy plays out. Before we get started,
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- 0:45Speaker 2: Just to get started.
- 0:46Speaker 1: I want to lead off before I bring on our guest,
- 0:48Speaker 1: Kevin Weisaki coming in from Anchorage Digital. I want to
- 0:52Speaker 1: lead off with this clip that kind of puts things
- 0:55Speaker 1: in perspective.
- 0:56Speaker 2: Take a look.
- 0:57Speaker 3: I'm having a beer. Why because today is a good day.
- 1:01Speaker 3: The good guys, won.
- 1:02Speaker 1: I teamed up with Indivisible and Americans for Financial Reform
- 1:06Speaker 1: and together we beat the corrupt crypto bill, the Clarity Act, a.
- 1:09Speaker 3: Few months ago.
- 1:10Speaker 2: The odds of it passing, we're seventy five percent. Now
- 1:13Speaker 2: it's dead. In fact, we beat it.
- 1:15Speaker 1: So bad they didn't even bring it up for a vote.
- 1:18Speaker 3: Cheers, all right.
- 1:21Speaker 1: So, and that, of course is Ben McKenzie has been
- 1:23Speaker 1: one of the actors that have been out there pushing
- 1:27Speaker 1: on this for quite some time, and I do say
- 1:28Speaker 1: that is as an actor for the industry. So I
- 1:32Speaker 1: wanted to bring on Kevin Weisaki to kind of talk
- 1:34Speaker 1: about this and take a look at the current situation.
- 1:38Speaker 2: Kevin, So, welcome back into the show. How are you.
- 1:40Speaker 3: I'm doing well. Thank you for having me. Paul.
- 1:42Speaker 1: Okay, so, last time we were on, you were very
- 1:46Speaker 1: pro this is going to happen. We are going to
- 1:48Speaker 1: see it. It's going to go through. Things didn't turn
- 1:51Speaker 1: out that way. Obviously. We are now seeing some pretty
- 1:56Speaker 1: I think interesting fallout within the industry and also I
- 1:59Speaker 1: think a lot of confused usion around that.
- 2:01Speaker 2: So we want to clear that up today.
- 2:03Speaker 1: I want to start off, first of all, what do
- 2:08Speaker 1: you feel in terms of how this landed for the Republicans,
- 2:13Speaker 1: if you look at Brendan Peterson, he.
- 2:14Speaker 2: Kind of hit it right here.
- 2:16Speaker 1: He says, hey, listen the community bankers who urged center
- 2:19Speaker 1: Republicans to slow down the Clarity Act, You'll notice that
- 2:22Speaker 1: it actually boiled down.
- 2:23Speaker 2: This was Brad.
- 2:24Speaker 1: Bolton, one of the CEOs of a small community bank
- 2:27Speaker 1: that came in and it was basically him saying, hey,
- 2:30Speaker 1: it took community bankers like me out of the middle
- 2:32Speaker 1: of nowhere, telling senators this is the real effect of it.
- 2:37Speaker 1: These were kind of the last ditch efforts of what
- 2:39Speaker 1: the banking industry was able to successfully do to get
- 2:43Speaker 1: this delayed.
- 2:44Speaker 2: First of all, what is your response on that?
- 2:47Speaker 1: Obviously that was effective, But do you think there's more coming?
- 2:52Speaker 4: I think it's still a little bit early. Right there's
- 2:54Speaker 4: a good chance we're going to get a vote on
- 2:55Speaker 4: this in September. The banks ironically need the Clarity Act
- 3:01Speaker 4: to pass right now. Basically, yield on stable coins through
- 3:05Speaker 4: genius is the law of the land, and any third
- 3:07Speaker 4: party can provide it. I think it's premature to say
- 3:10Speaker 4: that this is over. I think it's premature to say
- 3:12Speaker 4: either side is one I also think it's really interesting
- 3:15Speaker 4: in the marketplace where you're seeing the number of banks
- 3:17Speaker 4: actually get into the space through stable coins and certainly
- 3:20Speaker 4: tokenis deposits. So it's good's this isn't over and there's
- 3:25Speaker 4: a little bit more to be written on this, and
- 3:27Speaker 4: it'll be interesting to see how it all plays out well.
- 3:30Speaker 1: Of course, one thing you could consider right now is
- 3:32Speaker 1: that bureaucratic rules will start to make their way into
- 3:36Speaker 1: crypto because of non clarity that could come from the SEC.
- 3:41Speaker 2: But if you look at that.
- 3:43Speaker 1: I mean, Kevin, wouldn't you agree that the banks have
- 3:45Speaker 1: been pretty much the best in the game at being
- 3:49Speaker 1: able to manipulate how rules are written from a lot
- 3:52Speaker 1: of our bureaucrats, won't they be able to come in
- 3:54Speaker 1: and kind of force their own way through of getting
- 3:57Speaker 1: their way in the way of rule making versus in
- 4:00Speaker 1: the way of how Congress is trying to set this up.
- 4:03Speaker 4: I definitely have a lot of influence. But I think
- 4:06Speaker 4: even with the Genius Act right, there's going to be
- 4:07Speaker 4: a rulemaking unyield. I think because the lower bright they're
- 4:10Speaker 4: not going to be able to change that. It's still
- 4:13Speaker 4: going to be limited. They're not going to be able
- 4:15Speaker 4: to restrict yield.
- 4:16Speaker 3: So I don't know.
- 4:18Speaker 4: I think it's to be determined here. They do have influence,
- 4:21Speaker 4: but you look at some of the big fronts right
- 4:23Speaker 4: now on banks and crypto, whether it's access to fed
- 4:27Speaker 4: Master accounts, whether it's occ charters, whether it's stable cooin, yeald,
- 4:32Speaker 4: there's been a lot of success by the digital asset
- 4:34Speaker 4: community on all those fronts. So I don't have the
- 4:38Speaker 4: doom and gloom that some people have over this. I
- 4:41Speaker 4: think it's still early enough where we can write this ship.
- 4:44Speaker 4: And again, like I think the banks really need the
- 4:46Speaker 4: Clarity Act if they're concerned about yield.
- 4:49Speaker 2: All right, Well, okay, so I can't.
- 4:51Speaker 1: I can't quite get my head around this because they
- 4:54Speaker 1: have been fighting so hard and it's kind of even
- 4:57Speaker 1: evident right here. This was in reference to Mike Rounds,
- 5:01Speaker 1: who was kind of interesting because the statement here we
- 5:05Speaker 1: ask Senator Mike Rounds this morning that what bankers need
- 5:10Speaker 1: to appeel so strong they know us, and Rounds kind
- 5:14Speaker 1: of when in each of us knows the people personally,
- 5:16Speaker 1: So this gets into a very personal situation with many
- 5:21Speaker 1: of these lawmakers. The bankers seem to have kind of
- 5:24Speaker 1: the inside track not only to what's happening in the
- 5:27Speaker 1: local communities. They have the inside track on how to
- 5:30Speaker 1: attach to the bigger senators that have kind of led
- 5:33Speaker 1: the charge, and that means Warren Diego's senator, also Brooks,
- 5:37Speaker 1: many of which kind of have been in this position before.
- 5:40Speaker 1: I just don't know if, based on what I'm seeing
- 5:43Speaker 1: right now, if this actually goes to a vote, because
- 5:48Speaker 1: right now, explain to me what happens when they come back,
- 5:51Speaker 1: because my understanding that this is just a cloture vote, right,
- 5:54Speaker 1: not a vote on clarity, just a cloture vote.
- 5:57Speaker 3: That's exactly right.
- 5:57Speaker 4: It's a procedural vote to get on to discerning whether
- 6:02Speaker 4: or not the Senate will actually ultimately pass this bill.
- 6:04Speaker 3: So it's a procedural vote that just kicks us off.
- 6:06Speaker 3: But you need sixty votes.
- 6:08Speaker 4: So right now, I mean you need at least ten Democrats.
- 6:11Speaker 4: You might need more because they are about seven or
- 6:13Speaker 4: eight Republicans that may not be in favor of this
- 6:15Speaker 4: legislation at this moment. But I want to point out
- 6:19Speaker 4: right the biggest thing here is ethics. Right yield is
- 6:22Speaker 4: getting a lot of attention right now. But if we
- 6:24Speaker 4: can get to a bipartisan agreement on ethics. That's what
- 6:28Speaker 4: really opens the door for us to consider this legislation again.
- 6:31Speaker 4: Without the ethics deal, I don't think you can get
- 6:33Speaker 4: to sixty yield. I actually think there are a couple
- 6:36Speaker 4: of Senators that are definitely hearing out their constituents talking
- 6:40Speaker 4: through this, saying it might not be exactly what they want.
- 6:43Speaker 4: But if all of a sudden you have a by
- 6:45Speaker 4: Parson ethics deal, I could see some of these senators
- 6:47Speaker 4: that have expressed concern maybe coming back over to support
- 6:50Speaker 4: clarity without any changes on yield. I've talked to a
- 6:52Speaker 4: senator also Brooks office, right key negotiator on the Democrats
- 6:55Speaker 4: side for that yield provision and clarity, and they made
- 6:59Speaker 4: it very clear that they don't want to open this
- 7:01Speaker 4: back up.
- 7:01Speaker 3: Now.
- 7:02Speaker 4: There are a handful of senators Republican and Democrats that
- 7:04Speaker 4: are considering it, but I don't know that they have
- 7:06Speaker 4: a majority yet at this point.
- 7:09Speaker 1: All right, So if they don't, okay, So that's the
- 7:12Speaker 1: question right now, because I think the issue is being
- 7:14Speaker 1: able to get to that sixty And I don't know
- 7:16Speaker 1: how to trust these guys because you know, we've been
- 7:19Speaker 1: watching this for months, almost eighteen months now really following
- 7:23Speaker 1: it very closely full research. We've probably interviewed more people
- 7:28Speaker 1: on this topic than anybody maybe in the world in
- 7:32Speaker 1: terms of how this potentially will play out. And one
- 7:35Speaker 1: of the things that keeps haunting me is the way
- 7:37Speaker 1: that our lawmakers will promise something and even to the
- 7:41Speaker 1: point of where they were saying, hey, we're going to
- 7:43Speaker 1: stay late, we're going to you know, extend our session,
- 7:46Speaker 1: and we're going to get this across the line, and
- 7:47Speaker 1: then they end up going with a voice vote to
- 7:50Speaker 1: actually leave Congress and not get this underway last minute.
- 7:54Speaker 2: Thoon throws this.
- 7:55Speaker 1: On the cloture for possibly getting on the docket in September.
- 8:00Speaker 1: These are the kind of tactics that I'm I didn't anticipate.
- 8:04Speaker 2: Well I should have anticipated.
- 8:06Speaker 1: But I didn't as actually see them playing out the
- 8:09Speaker 1: way they are right now. Let's assume that we go
- 8:12Speaker 1: back in September and they go into a situation on
- 8:17Speaker 1: that first day, what are the true options that they
- 8:21Speaker 1: can get into, because my understanding, there's like five different
- 8:23Speaker 1: things that can actually occur here other than just a vote.
- 8:29Speaker 4: Well, one of the good things is that before the
- 8:32Speaker 4: Senate left, they got through a lot of the Senate nominations.
- 8:34Speaker 4: They got through the Russian sanction, so that clears uptime
- 8:36Speaker 4: in September.
- 8:37Speaker 3: Now there are other issues going on.
- 8:39Speaker 4: They have NBAA, they have the NIL deal, they might
- 8:43Speaker 4: do reconciliation three point zero, and of course clarity. So
- 8:46Speaker 4: that's roughly four things that are kind of on the
- 8:48Speaker 4: dock at for September. I really, Paul, I really think
- 8:53Speaker 4: that's like, if we're going to get a bill across
- 8:55Speaker 4: the finish line, we need to buy partisan ethics deal.
- 8:58Speaker 4: And it doesn't so much better matter what's in it.
- 9:01Speaker 4: What matters is there are enough Democrats that support it.
- 9:04Speaker 4: I think the yield issue, I think the Blockchain Regulatory
- 9:07Speaker 4: Certainty Act, some of the illicit finance finance issues, some
- 9:11Speaker 4: of the agriculture text issues, I think those are all secondary.
- 9:17Speaker 4: So I think there's actually a lot of pressure right
- 9:19Speaker 4: now to figure out a deal on that, and if
- 9:21Speaker 4: that can't be done, then I don't think we're going
- 9:25Speaker 4: to get the bill. So it really to me comes
- 9:28Speaker 4: down to ethics, and I think what we're going to
- 9:30Speaker 4: see in the not so distant future is some of
- 9:32Speaker 4: these agencies coming out with rulemakings on crypto very pro
- 9:35Speaker 4: crypto rulemaking. Obviously the administration has done a ton of
- 9:38Speaker 4: that with the various agencies.
- 9:39Speaker 3: But I think that's going to happen on steroids soon,
- 9:42Speaker 3: all right, So.
- 9:43Speaker 1: A couple of things to line it up for our audience.
- 9:45Speaker 1: September fifteenth is when they returned. That's when you know
- 9:48Speaker 1: Thune is kind of ear marked this to potentially go
- 9:51Speaker 1: in and remember this date is a vote for a vote.
- 9:55Speaker 1: It's simply just to say, you know, negotiations are over.
- 9:58Speaker 1: I guess they have agreed the negotiations are over and
- 10:01Speaker 1: that they would put this up for a vote. So
- 10:03Speaker 1: how are they negotiating anything with all of these senators
- 10:07Speaker 1: out of d C?
- 10:08Speaker 2: Now?
- 10:09Speaker 1: I mean you would assume that most of this stuff
- 10:11Speaker 1: is being done in person. I would think, how would
- 10:14Speaker 1: they be negotiating anything right now?
- 10:16Speaker 3: Yeah, it's a good question.
- 10:18Speaker 4: A lot of this is done at the staff level,
- 10:20Speaker 4: right it's Patrick from the White House. It's a key
- 10:24Speaker 4: staff for Senator Lovez Shumer having conversations, negotiating trade associations
- 10:33Speaker 4: working on this legislation. Also various companies weighing in on
- 10:38Speaker 4: it as well, So a lot still happens during the
- 10:41Speaker 4: August recess it's a bit of a misnomer calling it
- 10:43Speaker 4: a recess in my opinion. Staff are usually still there
- 10:47Speaker 4: and are they're pretty busy. So they're going to work
- 10:50Speaker 4: on this over the August recess and again hopefully we
- 10:53Speaker 4: can get a bipartisan deal on ethics.
- 10:57Speaker 2: What do you think the odds are right now? I mean,
- 10:59Speaker 2: if you look at it to I mean there's.
- 11:00Speaker 1: Been a little bit of movement right here on clarity,
- 11:02Speaker 1: actually quite a bit of a spike. This is the
- 11:04Speaker 1: one week from that low right there of about fourteen percent,
- 11:07Speaker 1: it's spiked up.
- 11:09Speaker 2: Why is that?
- 11:12Speaker 4: Well, I think it's all or nothing. Right, You're either
- 11:15Speaker 4: going to get a bill or you don't. And if
- 11:17Speaker 4: it truly is the ethics issue, that's the lynchpin to
- 11:20Speaker 4: force a vote where that's tough on the Democrats. I
- 11:24Speaker 4: like those odds if we get that, so I would
- 11:27Speaker 4: say without an ethics deal, it's it's probably zero. If
- 11:31Speaker 4: you get an ethics deal, I think you're at seventy
- 11:33Speaker 4: five percent.
- 11:35Speaker 3: Right. It really hinges on that. Yeah, everything is.
- 11:39Speaker 1: Hasn't the White House already come back and said that
- 11:42Speaker 1: with the Gagos provisions that they had agreed to that
- 11:46Speaker 1: second round of ethics. Hasn't that already been somewhat agreed upon.
- 11:52Speaker 4: I don't think they've agreed to the tillis Diego text,
- 11:57Speaker 4: and they've been relatively quiet. It would be great, though,
- 12:01Speaker 4: if if both sides continue to work on it and
- 12:04Speaker 4: they came to a resolution. I don't know that they
- 12:06Speaker 4: will for certain, and that's why I think you're going
- 12:08Speaker 4: to see a lot more activity at the agencies in
- 12:10Speaker 4: the near future.
- 12:12Speaker 3: We still might have a vote.
- 12:13Speaker 4: In the set of the culture vote, like the vote
- 12:15Speaker 4: to vote, like you said, but I would expect that
- 12:17Speaker 4: to fail if there's not an ethics thing I think.
- 12:19Speaker 4: I think from the Democrat offices I've spoken with, they're
- 12:22Speaker 4: thinking about it in this way. So they're like, look,
- 12:24Speaker 4: we have a various constituencies. Some of them are very
- 12:28Speaker 4: anti Trump. Trump allegedly has made a lot of money
- 12:31Speaker 4: off of digital assets. They're that constituency doesn't like it.
- 12:35Speaker 4: They're not going to do anything that is perceived supporting Trump.
- 12:38Speaker 4: So they feel that their hands are tied. They can't
- 12:40Speaker 4: do that, So they they're saying they need a stronger
- 12:42Speaker 4: ethics language. They also push back really hard on any
- 12:45Speaker 4: type of culture vote. Before they adjourned because they thought
- 12:49Speaker 4: it was a show vote. They thought, then when we
- 12:52Speaker 4: like then the packs would like load ups spend a
- 12:55Speaker 4: bunch of money Republicans and it would be quite unfair.
- 12:58Speaker 4: And I think Fuond ultimately decided, you know what, I
- 13:01Speaker 4: now have seven or eight Republicans that are at least
- 13:03Speaker 4: flirting with the idea of not voting for this.
- 13:05Speaker 3: I can't do the show vote anymore.
- 13:07Speaker 4: I can't show strong for this bill among Republicans because
- 13:11Speaker 4: there are a couple that are like probably like I said,
- 13:15Speaker 4: seven or eight, but a core maybe like three or
- 13:17Speaker 4: four that could be a problem. So that's where we
- 13:21Speaker 4: stand right now. And I think I'm saying the same.
- 13:25Speaker 4: I really do think it comes down to ethics.
- 13:27Speaker 3: All right.
- 13:28Speaker 1: So and I just want to make this clear for
- 13:30Speaker 1: everybody that this is a major I think this is
- 13:32Speaker 1: a major flaw right now in the Republican party in
- 13:36Speaker 1: the sense that we have that many people that are
- 13:38Speaker 1: going against this, in the sense of you know where
- 13:41Speaker 1: most Republicans are set up on this right now, and
- 13:43Speaker 1: that is to get you know, clarity through. And this
- 13:46Speaker 1: also makes me believe that there is something else at
- 13:50Speaker 1: work here.
- 13:51Speaker 2: I want to play a clip.
- 13:52Speaker 1: Because the anti crypto ads are already starting to run,
- 13:56Speaker 1: and we know who's behind this.
- 13:57Speaker 2: Let me show you this. Take a look. You have
- 14:00Speaker 2: a real choice.
- 14:01Speaker 5: Anti Craig voted to let Trump make billions selling crypto coins.
- 14:05Speaker 5: I won't, and Heggy Flanagan I approve this message. Minnesota
- 14:09Speaker 5: deserves a real fighter and a real Democrat.
- 14:12Speaker 3: Crypto's special interests published from me pals will create a
- 14:15Speaker 3: show of financial market.
- 14:16Speaker 4: If that is market case.
- 14:18Speaker 5: More fine infromuction for protections for your meaning, it's fretch
- 14:23Speaker 5: harboring people for all loss of life.
- 14:25Speaker 4: Retire mistakes, college savings, your family's feature.
- 14:29Speaker 5: It's all online the same Dusty check this crypto scam.
- 14:35Speaker 1: All right, So this is just the beginning of what
- 14:37Speaker 1: could be a full blown, you know, ad campaign that's
- 14:40Speaker 1: going to be heating up. Then you could go over
- 14:43Speaker 1: to investors for transparency. This is another one in reference
- 14:47Speaker 1: to financial innovation. The only problem is this course is
- 14:51Speaker 1: anti crypto. But the point is we can't figure out
- 14:54Speaker 1: who actually is behind it, nor do they even take donations.
- 14:58Speaker 1: So I'm assuming this is going to be another special
- 15:00Speaker 1: interest group that continues to push on this.
- 15:02Speaker 2: Then you look at.
- 15:04Speaker 1: The situation right now between fair shake, and obviously what
- 15:08Speaker 1: you guys are doing and you're you know, Blocksham Leadership
- 15:12Speaker 1: Fund obviously is kind of the repositioning of that. But
- 15:14Speaker 1: I think the point getting at is that this is
- 15:17Speaker 1: getting very tight. If there's not actions taken right now,
- 15:23Speaker 1: the like by any one of these lobby groups that
- 15:25Speaker 1: are out there, you know, trying to and I should
- 15:27Speaker 1: say support groups that are out there trying to defend
- 15:30Speaker 1: for crypto in general, and possibly you know, be able
- 15:35Speaker 1: to succeed in some way of getting some of these
- 15:37Speaker 1: lawmakers out of office that are voting against this. The
- 15:40Speaker 1: likelihood is all of this is going away before we
- 15:43Speaker 1: even get back in in September, because most of these
- 15:45Speaker 1: votes are probably going to be mailed in anyway. So
- 15:48Speaker 1: it's almost as though this is almost too late now.
- 15:51Speaker 1: No matter what happens, you can't threaten them for losing
- 15:55Speaker 1: office because it's likely that this won't get a show vote.
- 15:58Speaker 1: We won't know who even to you know, go in
- 16:00Speaker 1: and support and not to support. So how would you
- 16:03Speaker 1: answer that for the crypto industry in general, with all
- 16:06Speaker 1: that happening, Well.
- 16:08Speaker 4: I think you have to ask yourself, what if there
- 16:11Speaker 4: was a show vote, all the packs put their money
- 16:13Speaker 4: into Republicans, and then the rev they came back in
- 16:16Speaker 4: September and the Dems were like, you know what, We're
- 16:18Speaker 4: just going to vote no because you gave all the
- 16:20Speaker 4: money to the Republicans. Right, you have to think that
- 16:24Speaker 4: that would not be a good position for industry, That
- 16:26Speaker 4: would not be a good position for this bill. So
- 16:28Speaker 4: I think we have to be very prudent about you know,
- 16:31Speaker 4: which policymakers are really helpful here, which ones are not.
- 16:35Speaker 4: And I think when you're on the ground talking to
- 16:37Speaker 4: these folks, you have a clear pictures who's really behind
- 16:42Speaker 4: this stuff, who's on the fence, and who's opposed.
- 16:46Speaker 3: I think I do think.
- 16:47Speaker 4: If you did get to a point on this legislation
- 16:49Speaker 4: where you took the the ethics issue out and you
- 16:52Speaker 4: were just voting on policy, I think most members of
- 16:55Speaker 4: Congress in the Senate right would vote for this. And
- 16:58Speaker 4: I think that because of all the things that these
- 17:00Speaker 4: as just set for the most part, you want consumer protections, well,
- 17:04Speaker 4: there's registration and reporting requirements through the SEC and the
- 17:07Speaker 4: CFTC for centralizing intermedia is like exchanges and roker dealers.
- 17:11Speaker 4: Another consumer production that's great in there right now in exchange.
- 17:15Speaker 4: If it fails, you might not get your funds back.
- 17:17Speaker 4: The law and the clarity is that would become law,
- 17:19Speaker 4: it would say explicitly that those are customer funds, so
- 17:21Speaker 4: it's bankruptcy remote. That's a huge consumer protection with So
- 17:27Speaker 4: we'll have to see what happens with the pack stuff.
- 17:29Speaker 4: And it is getting late in the cycle on this
- 17:30Speaker 4: answer to your question, but I think it would have
- 17:32Speaker 4: been a mistake to deploy all those funds too early
- 17:35Speaker 4: and then potentially alienate anyem from supporting the legislation.
- 17:39Speaker 1: Okay, so too late, you know. I think this goes
- 17:42Speaker 1: back because it was way too late.
- 17:44Speaker 2: So really the war was lost.
- 17:46Speaker 1: I feel like months and months ago when the banks
- 17:49Speaker 1: were able to successfully put this on a derail path,
- 17:53Speaker 1: and now it's in a position where we as the industry,
- 17:56Speaker 1: we really don't have any choice.
- 17:57Speaker 2: You have to wait. You have to wait to see
- 17:59Speaker 2: how this plays out.
- 18:00Speaker 1: What coulse even at post on this in terms of
- 18:04Speaker 1: whether they don't push it through or even put it
- 18:05Speaker 1: up for a vote. Let's say it gets through cloture.
- 18:07Speaker 1: It doesn't mean it's guaranteed to get up for a vote.
- 18:10Speaker 1: Let's assume they just don't put it up for a
- 18:12Speaker 1: vote after cloture. At what point does the industry go, Okay, well,
- 18:16Speaker 1: it's too late to affect this midterm now. And now
- 18:20Speaker 1: you've got the House pretty much and most likely going
- 18:25Speaker 1: to be controlled by Democrats, and that's going to create
- 18:29Speaker 1: in its own way, probably a flurry of investigations. I
- 18:33Speaker 1: can't even imagine the amount of investigations that are coming
- 18:36Speaker 1: if the House is lost to the Democrats, because that's
- 18:38Speaker 1: typically where these investigations are sprung from. So that in
- 18:42Speaker 1: itself is only going to showcase crypto in another way,
- 18:46Speaker 1: possibly really bad again. So how would the industry be
- 18:50Speaker 1: able to defend against this? It just I'm looking at
- 18:52Speaker 1: it like they've been outplayed here almost every angle.
- 18:58Speaker 4: I would say it's already been baked for a while
- 19:01Speaker 4: that the House is going to go Democrat. Well we're
- 19:02Speaker 4: really talking about here is whether the Senate will stay
- 19:05Speaker 4: red or go blue. You know, often there's an October surprise,
- 19:10Speaker 4: if there's a voter, there's not a vote in September.
- 19:13Speaker 4: I think there's still an ability to influence the outcome
- 19:16Speaker 4: of those elections. And I think there are a number
- 19:19Speaker 4: of crypto voters. There are a number of people that
- 19:21Speaker 4: view this technology as advantageous to you know, make their
- 19:25Speaker 4: life better, at least on the margins. So I wouldn't
- 19:27Speaker 4: be surprised if there's still a way to influence at
- 19:31Speaker 4: least the Senate races in November.
- 19:35Speaker 1: All right, well, influence the Senate races in November. Obviously,
- 19:39Speaker 1: this is still going to be tight. I think most
- 19:41Speaker 1: of the votes are going to be in by November,
- 19:43Speaker 1: probably in by October, so a lot of this is
- 19:46Speaker 1: going to still be kind of ruminating around DC whether
- 19:49Speaker 1: or not we even get a vote or not. You
- 19:50Speaker 1: have Senator Lumis also putting in right now. She of
- 19:54Speaker 1: course is going after the editorial or at the editorial
- 19:56Speaker 1: board there in terms of the Clarity Act, which is
- 19:59Speaker 1: worth support. And then you had her and also moreno
- 20:03Speaker 1: actually going in together and trying to go against being
- 20:07Speaker 1: banks when it comes to protecting credit card you know, fees,
- 20:10Speaker 1: et cetera. So this is one of the things that
- 20:12Speaker 1: kind of slowed it down in the Genius Act was
- 20:14Speaker 1: when that was put up. When credit card fees were
- 20:18Speaker 1: attacked during the Genius Act, that was one of the
- 20:20Speaker 1: big deals I think that came off of the table
- 20:23Speaker 1: and helped the Genius Act get through that of course
- 20:25Speaker 1: now being potentially pushed on here.
- 20:28Speaker 2: So here we are.
- 20:29Speaker 1: Man, how much ground do you think that banks are
- 20:32Speaker 1: going to gain in the next thirty days.
- 20:33Speaker 2: I mean, we had thirty five days.
- 20:34Speaker 1: That's a lot of time between now and just the
- 20:37Speaker 1: cloture vote.
- 20:39Speaker 4: I don't think they gained anything unless clarity passes. Right,
- 20:42Speaker 4: Genius is the law of the land. You don't restrict
- 20:45Speaker 4: yields unless clarity passes. That's why we got a let
- 20:49Speaker 4: this play out at still too early. I know, like
- 20:53Speaker 4: we were talking about earlier, community banks have been very
- 20:55Speaker 4: active on this stuff, and there are a lot of
- 20:56Speaker 4: concerns about yield. If those concerns are true, you need clarity.
- 21:04Speaker 4: So we're gonna have to wait and see. Yet, there
- 21:08Speaker 4: are a lot of political factors. Again, ethics is the
- 21:10Speaker 4: most important piece. But you know, community banks should should
- 21:14Speaker 4: be in favor of this legislation.
- 21:18Speaker 3: Restricts it further.
- 21:19Speaker 2: Yeah, Kevin, I don't know. I just look at it
- 21:21Speaker 2: this way.
- 21:22Speaker 1: This let's just assume that it doesn't go through. And
- 21:26Speaker 1: to me, if I'm in the banking industry, it's.
- 21:30Speaker 2: The perfect plus. I mean, it's the perfect place for me.
- 21:32Speaker 2: To do this.
- 21:33Speaker 1: It's no longer even questioned what Congress had intended because
- 21:36Speaker 1: the Genius Act is the law of the land. Now
- 21:39Speaker 1: I can go directly into the CFTC and the SEC
- 21:42Speaker 1: work my magic as the banking industry, the ABA, and
- 21:45Speaker 1: start to correlate how to basically create rules around this that.
- 21:50Speaker 2: Are going to benefit me.
- 21:51Speaker 1: So I think it actually benefits them. If this doesn't
- 21:54Speaker 1: go through, they then can go in and do what
- 21:56Speaker 1: they do best, and that is manipulate how a lot
- 21:58Speaker 1: of this bureaucratic are work is done as law.
- 22:02Speaker 4: I think they would need an Act of Congress to
- 22:04Speaker 4: restrict yield. I don't think the OCC rulemaking will be
- 22:07Speaker 4: finalized in the coming months and will know the answer
- 22:10Speaker 4: on yield then, so they might be banking on the
- 22:15Speaker 4: fact that the OCC does something, but because of lower Bride,
- 22:17Speaker 4: I think that's impossible. So they're gonna have to find
- 22:20Speaker 4: a vehicle in the next Congress that's divided and deal
- 22:24Speaker 4: with the same struggle where we have with clarity getting
- 22:26Speaker 4: a super majority in the Senate and the majority in
- 22:27Speaker 4: the in the House, and then also the Republican president
- 22:31Speaker 4: to agree to a major change to his signature legislation
- 22:34Speaker 4: for cryptoh I don't think that's going to happen.
- 22:38Speaker 1: Interesting all right, Well, here's Gray Scale Zach Panel. He's
- 22:43Speaker 1: on our show quite a bit, and he says Crypto
- 22:45Speaker 1: can keep advancing in I Clarity Act fails, and he's
- 22:48Speaker 1: talking about what I'm getting at, which is the SEC
- 22:51Speaker 1: rule making. I'm concerned about this on the SEC rule
- 22:54Speaker 1: making side, especially with the bank influence there. You think
- 22:57Speaker 1: that we were talking about this pre show. You think
- 23:00Speaker 1: that the SEC might actually accelerate some rulemaking. Do you
- 23:03Speaker 1: think that's going to happen before September or do you
- 23:06Speaker 1: think they'll wait and to see how it plays out
- 23:09Speaker 1: in early September.
- 23:12Speaker 4: I think they're going to move on their own schedule now,
- 23:14Speaker 4: and I would expect it to be expeditiously. I think
- 23:17Speaker 4: they've been holding back. I also think this actually helps
- 23:20Speaker 4: with the Clarity debate in Congress. It puts pressure on
- 23:23Speaker 4: the nose or those that are on the fence if
- 23:25Speaker 4: they see the agencies acting, if they want to have
- 23:28Speaker 4: a greater hand and constructing the rules of the road
- 23:31Speaker 4: for Crypto, they should pass the Clarity Act. Otherwise it
- 23:34Speaker 4: will be the agencies that will be writing the rules
- 23:37Speaker 4: of the road.
- 23:38Speaker 1: Okay, So I mean that's an interesting angle in the
- 23:41Speaker 1: sense that the SEC forces Congress hand.
- 23:44Speaker 2: So that's one angle.
- 23:46Speaker 1: Maybe they were waiting for the recess to occur and say, Okay,
- 23:49Speaker 1: it's not going to happen, so we've got to go
- 23:51Speaker 1: ahead and implement this.
- 23:52Speaker 2: That's a possibility, or you have to go the other.
- 23:55Speaker 1: Option, and that is now, let's just wait and see
- 23:58Speaker 1: if Congress actually does what they say they're going to
- 24:01Speaker 1: do within exit thon exiting office and say we're going
- 24:04Speaker 1: up first thing two pm on September or in September,
- 24:08Speaker 1: and we're going.
- 24:08Speaker 2: To get this done. So it could roll it back
- 24:11Speaker 2: even further.
- 24:11Speaker 1: I don't know that delaying another thirty days would be
- 24:14Speaker 1: that much of an impasse for the industry, but it
- 24:18Speaker 1: would showcase the SEC's ability to at least maybe get
- 24:23Speaker 1: something in play for the industry around rulemaking.
- 24:26Speaker 2: So I'm kind of on the fence with this.
- 24:28Speaker 1: I'm intrigued with your angle that they may try it
- 24:31Speaker 1: that way, but so far I just haven't seen anything
- 24:35Speaker 1: out of them that has kind of implemented that for sure.
- 24:39Speaker 1: All right, let's talk about this because as we start
- 24:42Speaker 1: to see more negativity coming from the industry. How do
- 24:47Speaker 1: you think this is going to play out? As I
- 24:49Speaker 1: was talking about earlier, once the House is lost to
- 24:52Speaker 1: the Democrats, the likelihood is we're going to see all
- 24:55Speaker 1: sorts of things coming at the Trump family, most likely
- 25:00Speaker 1: around everything's from World Liberty five to you name the
- 25:03Speaker 1: entity that's been involved in it, you know, all the
- 25:05Speaker 1: way down to uh, you know, Wig Cops, all the
- 25:08Speaker 1: way down into Canter Fitzgerald. I mean, there's you could
- 25:11Speaker 1: go just start stacking this. Do you think that the
- 25:15Speaker 1: industry is prepared for that?
- 25:19Speaker 4: Uh, I've been expecting this for a long time. Again, like,
- 25:22Speaker 4: I think it's like I said, I thought it was
- 25:25Speaker 4: been baked for a while that the House is going
- 25:26Speaker 4: to turn blue, and I think this is a natural
- 25:29Speaker 4: place for Democrats to go.
- 25:32Speaker 3: So I think everyone is expecting this. It's gonna be difficult, though.
- 25:36Speaker 3: There's gonna be a lot of incoming.
- 25:38Speaker 4: So, yeah, there's gonna be hearings, there's gonna be uh investigations, right,
- 25:44Speaker 4: There's there's gonna be a lot of activity on this front.
- 25:46Speaker 4: And it'll be even worse if the if the Senate
- 25:48Speaker 4: is controlled by the Dems as well.
- 25:51Speaker 1: Yeah, well, the fact that it's gonna even let's assume
- 25:54Speaker 1: that the Senate holds right now, uh, and the House
- 25:58Speaker 1: is right now for the most part, the House looks
- 26:00Speaker 1: as though it's going to turn blue.
- 26:02Speaker 2: But this is going to.
- 26:03Speaker 1: Course create as we all know. I mean, it's like
- 26:05Speaker 1: what we're seeing with Fauci right now. I mean, this
- 26:07Speaker 1: is front and center news. So everybody's going to be
- 26:09Speaker 1: talking about this, even non crypto and non tech and
- 26:13Speaker 1: even non finance podcasts and shows are going to be
- 26:16Speaker 1: talking about this for months and months and months, which
- 26:19Speaker 1: is going to be I think it could end up
- 26:21Speaker 1: damaging crypto, maybe permanently, at least in the United States.
- 26:26Speaker 2: What do you think about that?
- 26:27Speaker 1: Do you think that if this does not land well
- 26:31Speaker 1: in September and the House turns blue and we start
- 26:34Speaker 1: to see this kind of craziness, what do you think
- 26:37Speaker 1: happens after that?
- 26:41Speaker 4: I think it's going to be challenging, but I think
- 26:44Speaker 4: there's only a small part of the industry that's affected
- 26:48Speaker 4: by this directly. Obviously, it brings up a lot of
- 26:53Speaker 4: topics that are that are difficult for the industry. But
- 26:57Speaker 4: one of the things that it's really great that I've
- 26:58Speaker 4: seen over the last eighteen months is just how much
- 27:01Speaker 4: digital assets and blockchain has been accepted broadly by traditional
- 27:05Speaker 4: financial institutions. So yes, there's gonna be some negative publicity,
- 27:09Speaker 4: but overall, I think we'll definitely be fine.
- 27:12Speaker 1: Yeah, all right, well listen, I'm glad that you still listen.
- 27:16Speaker 1: I look at all of these angles. I'm looking at
- 27:19Speaker 1: it from a political standpoint, but also from a technology standpoint.
- 27:22Speaker 1: Technology usually wins in the end, but at this point,
- 27:26Speaker 1: right now, there is a head wind that I think
- 27:30Speaker 1: is very challenging, and that, of course, I think is
- 27:32Speaker 1: the banks. The banks will continue to play hardball, pushing
- 27:36Speaker 1: in ways maybe we don't even understand just yet, and
- 27:39Speaker 1: that's going to be the thing that plays out maybe
- 27:41Speaker 1: over the next thirty days. Hey, Kevin, we're gonna get
- 27:44Speaker 1: you back on because in September, either you're right or
- 27:47Speaker 1: you're wrong on this. Okay, either I'm right or I'm wrong,
- 27:52Speaker 1: and we're going to find out in September. So I'm
- 27:53Speaker 1: going to bring you back and we can do a
- 27:55Speaker 1: victory dance or we can hand you your roses, whichever
- 27:59Speaker 1: is is uh is required at that time.
- 28:02Speaker 3: Okay, Yeah, that sounds fun.
- 28:05Speaker 2: All right, thanks, Thanks, for like Kevid. We appreciate it.
- 28:14Speaker 1: If you like this video, hit like and subscribe, drop
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