Latest / Toadstool Sports / Saturday BEST BETS | Small Dog Day Afternoon | MLB & NHL | 4/11/26

Transcript

Saturday BEST BETS | Small Dog Day Afternoon | MLB & NHL | 4/11/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Yep.
• 0:01
  Speaker 2: Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on OWN seven
• 0:06
  Speaker 2: run over the last two days after tonight.
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: It was just complete bullshit. So that's that's how I'm
• 0:11
  Speaker 1: gonna start off this show. Horrible Sunday one and five.
• 0:14
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what to tell you about that.
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: I just don't want to do this anymore.
• 0:18
  Speaker 2: I have never seen anything like this. Man with the
• 0:22
  Speaker 2: slump continuing.
• 0:23
  Speaker 1: Two straight losses, not a good day at all. Own
• 0:27
  Speaker 1: four that have not had a good season.
• 0:31
  Speaker 2: Man with wookends the slump that I'm on, and the
• 0:35
  Speaker 2: slump continues.
• 0:36
  Speaker 1: I've reached a new peak. Actually, I'm going to burn
• 0:40
  Speaker 1: my Bruins hat man. I don't know what is going
• 0:43
  Speaker 1: on with the Bruins. March eight, is that what it is?
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: I don't even know it's it's March ninth. I think
• 0:49
  Speaker 1: who even knows? Man, I don't know what data is anymore.
• 0:52
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what data is anymore.
• 0:54
  Speaker 2: Man, back with you after the worst day that I
• 0:58
  Speaker 2: could possibly have, Back with you as I always am.
• 1:01
  Speaker 1: Until I die at least oh and two.
• 1:04
  Speaker 2: Yesterday and yesterday did not go well for me. Own
• 1:07
  Speaker 2: five the worst month that I've ever had in my
• 1:11
  Speaker 2: eighteen years doing this.
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 1:15
  Speaker 1: To the Slumpyes, the slump disconvenience, The slump continues. Somebody
• 1:20
  Speaker 1: fucking kill me, please. I don't even know what I
• 1:24
  Speaker 1: should do at this point other than potentially end it all.
• 1:33
  Speaker 1: What's up, everybody, It's towed back with you.
• 1:35
  Speaker 2: Toadstool Sports, Saturday, April eleventh, two and one on the
• 1:41
  Speaker 2: show yesterday.
• 1:43
  Speaker 1: Some of it was close. Detroit Tigers.
• 1:48
  Speaker 2: When they wanted to shut out, but they only won
• 1:50
  Speaker 2: two and nothing, so they did cover. They covered regardless
• 1:53
  Speaker 2: of which way you played it. If you went split
• 1:56
  Speaker 2: that one and a half run line money line. They
• 1:59
  Speaker 2: hit four as well, so.
• 2:01
  Speaker 1: We got it. Uh, yeah, we all got it right,
• 2:04
  Speaker 1: So there you go. Uh. Colorado was tied scoreless.
• 2:09
  Speaker 2: Into the bottom of the fifth inning, and then they
• 2:11
  Speaker 2: had to give up two runs in the bottom of
• 2:13
  Speaker 2: the fifth to blow that, uh because otherwise.
• 2:15
  Speaker 1: That wouldn't happened.
• 2:16
  Speaker 2: Then they tied the game in the eighth inning, and
• 2:18
  Speaker 2: then they lost anyway, So if you played full game,
• 2:22
  Speaker 2: you took a loss on it as well.
• 2:24
  Speaker 1: Looked like we were.
• 2:25
  Speaker 2: Gonna have that one and then Memphis, Utah Hopefully you
• 2:29
  Speaker 2: got the two forty seven and a half. It was
• 2:31
  Speaker 2: out there, like the line was just hovering two forty
• 2:34
  Speaker 2: seven and a half, two forty eight. You better and
• 2:36
  Speaker 2: not have gotten a bad number on that one man,
• 2:38
  Speaker 2: because yeah, I mean two forty eight. At least you
• 2:42
  Speaker 2: pushed on that. I'm surprised that even pushed. I mean
• 2:44
  Speaker 2: it got to a point where you only needed like
• 2:46
  Speaker 2: four more points in the final minute and a half
• 2:48
  Speaker 2: or something. I don't know how that didn't go over
• 2:51
  Speaker 2: more easily than it did. Utah had some ridiculous historic
• 2:56
  Speaker 2: offensive performance as far as how they like dispersed the
• 3:00
  Speaker 2: offensive stats out across their team whatever. They scored a
• 3:04
  Speaker 2: ton of points in that game. Memphis didn't hold up
• 3:06
  Speaker 2: there end of the bargain, Like Utah had seventy something
• 3:10
  Speaker 2: points in the first half.
• 3:11
  Speaker 1: So I'm like, yeah, Memphis is the team. It's not
• 3:15
  Speaker 1: carrying the weight here. It went over.
• 3:17
  Speaker 2: It landed to forty eight. Uh so the two forty
• 3:20
  Speaker 2: seven and a half was a winner. Again, I saw
• 3:23
  Speaker 2: it out there like minus one fifteen maybe better than
• 3:27
  Speaker 2: that when the game went.
• 3:27
  Speaker 1: Off, So hopefully you did that to forty eight.
• 3:30
  Speaker 2: If you got that, it was a push, so not
• 3:32
  Speaker 2: the end of the world there at least, although I
• 3:35
  Speaker 2: guess if it pushed, maybe you had a losing day
• 3:37
  Speaker 2: as opposed to a winning day, which I apologize for that,
• 3:41
  Speaker 2: but I mean the importance of the number. Man, So
• 3:44
  Speaker 2: two forty seven and a half was available though for
• 3:47
  Speaker 2: the entire night.
• 3:50
  Speaker 1: Charles, what's up, mister Pinzy? What's up?
• 3:54
  Speaker 2: No, the opposite, big boob, small areola is the worst.
• 4:00
  Speaker 1: It makes no sense. No, small boob, big ariola is
• 4:04
  Speaker 1: the best. I don't know what we're even what we're
• 4:07
  Speaker 1: even talking about here? What do I want?
• 4:10
  Speaker 2: Like, dude, like big boob, small aerole like it basically
• 4:14
  Speaker 2: looks like there's no ariole at all. Why would I
• 4:16
  Speaker 2: want that? No, it's just fucking weird. I don't want
• 4:19
  Speaker 2: that shit. Kyle, what's up?
• 4:24
  Speaker 1: You had a you were three and one yesterday? Nice?
• 4:27
  Speaker 2: All right, let's get into today. Man, Uh, there's no
• 4:32
  Speaker 2: NBA today. But this is gonna take a while because
• 4:35
  Speaker 2: we have a full complement of hockey and baseball. Of course,
• 4:39
  Speaker 2: starting with baseball, as I usually do. All the hockey
• 4:42
  Speaker 2: actually starts a little bit earlier. Hopefully we'll just get
• 4:44
  Speaker 2: it all done before it all well we'll get it
• 4:46
  Speaker 2: done before it all happens. Arizona Philadelphia is the first
• 4:50
  Speaker 2: game on the baseball board here. I'm only gonna have
• 4:53
  Speaker 2: one baseball play. I don't like this board very much.
• 4:56
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna have two hockey plays as well, so there
• 4:59
  Speaker 2: you go. And every play is a small money line underdog.
• 5:02
  Speaker 2: So this is really a bread and butter type of
• 5:06
  Speaker 2: day here.
• 5:07
  Speaker 1: This game.
• 5:09
  Speaker 2: I mean, my first instinct of this game is over
• 5:12
  Speaker 2: the total, and I don't think I am gonna.
• 5:14
  Speaker 1: Disagree with that on this game. This is on Fox
• 5:16
  Speaker 1: Sports One.
• 5:18
  Speaker 2: Both offenses I think are actually good, even though they
• 5:21
  Speaker 2: haven't really been so this year. I just don't think
• 5:23
  Speaker 2: that's going to continue to be the case. They're both
• 5:26
  Speaker 2: in the bottom third right now kind of, but I
• 5:28
  Speaker 2: think they're both better than what they've shown so far.
• 5:30
  Speaker 1: Philadelphia does have a bullpen edge.
• 5:33
  Speaker 2: They've been pretty good so far this year, and Arizona's
• 5:35
  Speaker 2: is just not that good notorious. So though they're actually
• 5:39
  Speaker 2: their whip makes them look better.
• 5:41
  Speaker 1: So I don't know.
• 5:42
  Speaker 2: It's hard to gauge what Arizona's bullpen is, but I
• 5:45
  Speaker 2: can tell you based on the personnel, it's not really
• 5:47
  Speaker 2: that good. In their era is still really high. As
• 5:51
  Speaker 2: far as the usage, yesterday, Arizona used three relief pitchers.
• 5:58
  Speaker 1: Yesterday Philadelphia used four.
• 6:00
  Speaker 2: That's not gonna take me away from Philadelphia having a
• 6:03
  Speaker 2: bullpen edge in this game starting pitching, although I still
• 6:06
  Speaker 2: don't really trust either bullpen. Like I said, Brandon fott
• 6:10
  Speaker 2: Is pitching for Arizona last year, he had insane home
• 6:14
  Speaker 2: road splits. Or he was horrific on the road last year.
• 6:17
  Speaker 2: Seven point seven to one ROADIRA last year compared to
• 6:21
  Speaker 2: three point twenty four at home.
• 6:22
  Speaker 1: Now.
• 6:22
  Speaker 2: I'm not sure I expected to be that extreme again,
• 6:25
  Speaker 2: but he was completely fade material on the road last year.
• 6:29
  Speaker 2: Might be the case again this year. Material, I can't talk.
• 6:33
  Speaker 2: He's been bad this year to His strikeout rate is down.
• 6:35
  Speaker 2: He only is a five to three strikeout walk ratio
• 6:38
  Speaker 2: in ten and two thirds innings pitched.
• 6:41
  Speaker 1: Not good.
• 6:41
  Speaker 2: It's a low strikeout rate, man, that's been the problem
• 6:44
  Speaker 2: with him. Yeah, he just hasn't been good so far
• 6:47
  Speaker 2: this year, even though I think he's not quite that bad.
• 6:51
  Speaker 2: Against Philadelphia's numbers are I would say mediocre and fifty
• 6:55
  Speaker 2: one a bat seventeen to four strike out walk ratio
• 6:57
  Speaker 2: is good. Two thirty five average allowed as good at
• 7:00
  Speaker 2: seven fifty five ops is not quite as good. I
• 7:05
  Speaker 2: still don't really trust him though. He's not in good
• 7:07
  Speaker 2: form right now. Taiwan Walker pitching for Philadelphia.
• 7:10
  Speaker 1: He stinks. He's been bad this year.
• 7:13
  Speaker 2: He's only gone nine to two thirds innings the two
• 7:15
  Speaker 2: starts so far. I guess you can give him a
• 7:18
  Speaker 2: little bit of a pass for giving up three on
• 7:20
  Speaker 2: the runs at Course Field because it's a home run,
• 7:23
  Speaker 2: conduce the ballpark.
• 7:24
  Speaker 1: But still six to five strike out walk ratio this year.
• 7:27
  Speaker 1: He lives up to his name. Walker. He's been bad for.
• 7:31
  Speaker 2: Multiple seasons now. I mean, I don't think he's good
• 7:34
  Speaker 2: at all. His numbers against Arizona are also bad. In
• 7:37
  Speaker 2: forty one a bats six y five strike out walk
• 7:39
  Speaker 2: ratio three forty one batting average allowed, nine to ninety
• 7:43
  Speaker 2: eight ops. That's not good at all. The money is
• 7:48
  Speaker 2: coming out of Philadelphia. I don't understand it. There's no
• 7:51
  Speaker 2: way I would lay a favorite price with Walker on
• 7:54
  Speaker 2: the mound unless there's some other extenuating circumstances.
• 7:58
  Speaker 1: No.
• 7:58
  Speaker 2: I mean, if you want to Arizona, though, I think
• 8:01
  Speaker 2: you got to focus on the starting pitching matchup because
• 8:03
  Speaker 2: Walker is just absolutely horrible.
• 8:05
  Speaker 1: So I would go I would lean Arizona.
• 8:08
  Speaker 2: In the first five innings, Philadelphia is up to minus
• 8:11
  Speaker 2: one thirty one, sixty nine percent of the tickets ninety
• 8:13
  Speaker 2: two percent of the cash of Philadelphia. However, like I said,
• 8:16
  Speaker 2: I think the better look in this game is to
• 8:19
  Speaker 2: go over the total because I just still I don't
• 8:22
  Speaker 2: think either bullpen is really that good.
• 8:24
  Speaker 1: Even though Philly has been fine so far, Walker could
• 8:28
  Speaker 1: be out of this game pretty early. Man.
• 8:30
  Speaker 2: Both starters are just untrustworthy year, so that lends itself
• 8:34
  Speaker 2: to an over type of game.
• 8:35
  Speaker 1: In my opinion.
• 8:36
  Speaker 2: Both offenses can hit, even though we haven't totally seen
• 8:39
  Speaker 2: it yet, so I think over is the best way
• 8:42
  Speaker 2: to look at this game. Although the money has come
• 8:44
  Speaker 2: in towards the under, it looks like flipping the total
• 8:47
  Speaker 2: all the way down from nine and a half juice
• 8:49
  Speaker 2: to the over to eight and a half juice to
• 8:51
  Speaker 2: the under. That is a significant move, but you're getting
• 8:55
  Speaker 2: a better number now you're below the key number nine.
• 8:58
  Speaker 2: I lean over in this one more strongly than the side,
• 9:01
  Speaker 2: but slightly. In Arizona first five innings as well, ninety
• 9:05
  Speaker 2: three percent of the tickets ninety five percent of the
• 9:07
  Speaker 2: cash on the over, So, I mean the over might
• 9:11
  Speaker 2: be a public play, but I mean I would not
• 9:15
  Speaker 2: want to be sitting on an underticket in that game.
• 9:17
  Speaker 1: There's no way. Hindian, what's up? Thanks for hanging out.
• 9:20
  Speaker 1: I was on, Uh, well, I will be on Hindian show.
• 9:23
  Speaker 1: We recorded last night.
• 9:25
  Speaker 2: This is comedy, so you guys could check that out
• 9:27
  Speaker 2: whenever that's released.
• 9:30
  Speaker 1: Are there gonna be more overs? With the AB?
• 9:33
  Speaker 2: I still don't even what is the What does ABS
• 9:35
  Speaker 2: even stand for? It's challenging balls and strikes right, well,
• 9:39
  Speaker 2: it's I guess it's the automated balls and Strikes system.
• 9:42
  Speaker 1: I don't know what the fuck I don't know.
• 9:45
  Speaker 2: I don't know how it's gonna affect totals. I have
• 9:48
  Speaker 2: no idea, or if it will at all. I really
• 9:50
  Speaker 2: have no idea.
• 9:54
  Speaker 1: I have no clue. It depends on how narrow the
• 9:57
  Speaker 1: strike zone is with that system, and I just have
• 9:59
  Speaker 1: not paid any attention to it. I don't like it.
• 10:03
  Speaker 2: I mean, I don't like bad umpiring, but the human
• 10:07
  Speaker 2: element is part of the game, man, This is all stupid.
• 10:10
  Speaker 2: The pitch clock, the ghost Runners. Ghost Runners are absolutely atrocious.
• 10:14
  Speaker 2: Stop changing the fucking game. That's what I gotta say
• 10:17
  Speaker 2: about it. Abs is bad too. Miami at Detroit, Detroit
• 10:24
  Speaker 2: finally broke their losing streak.
• 10:25
  Speaker 1: We got the win with that yesterday.
• 10:27
  Speaker 2: They won only two to nothing yesterday, though Detroit, I
• 10:32
  Speaker 2: still think they're not as.
• 10:32
  Speaker 1: Bad as what they've looked like so far this year.
• 10:34
  Speaker 2: These three relief pitchers yesterday, Miami only is one, so
• 10:38
  Speaker 2: Miami does have a rested bullpen, and based on the numbers,
• 10:42
  Speaker 2: Miami has had.
• 10:43
  Speaker 1: A top five offense so far this year.
• 10:45
  Speaker 2: In ops, they've been better than Detroit, who's been middle
• 10:48
  Speaker 2: of the pack.
• 10:49
  Speaker 1: Miami has been a.
• 10:50
  Speaker 2: Top six bullpen as well. Detroit has also been somewhere
• 10:54
  Speaker 2: middle of the pack. I think, yeah, we're slightly worse than.
• 10:58
  Speaker 1: That, I guess, but I still don't.
• 11:00
  Speaker 2: I don't consider Miami to be that much better than Detroit,
• 11:02
  Speaker 2: although again that was part of the handicap yesterday.
• 11:05
  Speaker 1: We went with Detroit yesterday.
• 11:08
  Speaker 2: As far as the starting pitching here, though, I mean,
• 11:11
  Speaker 2: it's it's tough to gauge this. Jansen Junk has been
• 11:14
  Speaker 2: the better of the two pitchers so far he's pitching
• 11:17
  Speaker 2: for Miami. He went pretty deep into his last outing
• 11:20
  Speaker 2: seven and a third against Cincinnati. Not a high strikeout rate,
• 11:24
  Speaker 2: but his command has been pretty good. He has eight strikeouts,
• 11:27
  Speaker 2: two walks, and eleven and two thirds inning so far.
• 11:29
  Speaker 2: Those are the types of numbers I look at like
• 11:31
  Speaker 2: he's not mowing guys down, but he's not walking guys either.
• 11:35
  Speaker 2: Up against Detroit here mediocre numbers, small sample size twenty
• 11:40
  Speaker 2: three at bats, three to one strikeout walk ratio two
• 11:43
  Speaker 2: sixty one average allowed, seven to twenty six ops. Nothing
• 11:46
  Speaker 2: bad about it, Nothing great about that either. Casey Miyes
• 11:51
  Speaker 2: is pitching for Detroit. He got lit up in his
• 11:54
  Speaker 2: last start. He was really good in his first starting
• 11:56
  Speaker 2: against Arizona, and then typically he does well against Minnesota.
• 12:00
  Speaker 2: Minnesota lit him up. I don't know what happened in
• 12:03
  Speaker 2: that start, man Myze. I mean, I don't think he's
• 12:06
  Speaker 2: a great pitcher, but I don't think he's terrible either.
• 12:09
  Speaker 2: That last start was really bad. Now the question is
• 12:12
  Speaker 2: he in bad form all of a sudden. Is he
• 12:14
  Speaker 2: gonna bounce back from that? It's hard to gauge that.
• 12:16
  Speaker 2: We have a small sample size to work with. Thirteen
• 12:19
  Speaker 2: strikeouts and ten to third inning so far is pretty good.
• 12:22
  Speaker 2: Five walks, it's too many walks. Obviously, he's putting too
• 12:26
  Speaker 2: many guys on base right now. Again, he's not as
• 12:30
  Speaker 2: bad as his overall numbers look right now, and he
• 12:32
  Speaker 2: does have an advantage here where Miami has never faced
• 12:35
  Speaker 2: it before except auto.
• 12:36
  Speaker 1: Lopez is zero for two, often with.
• 12:38
  Speaker 2: A strikeout the auto auto balls and strike system.
• 12:43
  Speaker 1: There you go.
• 12:45
  Speaker 2: I think that does give myes a little bit of
• 12:47
  Speaker 2: an advantage here. The fact that he's unfamiliar to the
• 12:50
  Speaker 2: opposing hitters. I do think that gives him somewhat of
• 12:52
  Speaker 2: an edge here. The money is indicating on Detroit they're
• 12:55
  Speaker 2: up to minus one thirty three for minus one twenty five,
• 12:57
  Speaker 2: seventy six percent of the tickets, four percent.
• 13:00
  Speaker 1: Of the cash on them. I don't really disagree. I'd
• 13:03
  Speaker 1: probably need Detroit as well here. If you wanted to
• 13:07
  Speaker 1: cut out the bullpens and just focus on the mis
• 13:10
  Speaker 1: potential advantage where Miami hasn't seen him before, you could
• 13:13
  Speaker 1: go first five inning on that. I'm not putting this
• 13:15
  Speaker 1: on my card. Money is indicating on the under in.
• 13:18
  Speaker 2: That game as well, but your totals all the way
• 13:20
  Speaker 2: down to seven and a half juice to the under,
• 13:23
  Speaker 2: Now that's a bit of a stretch. I think Detroit
• 13:26
  Speaker 2: did move their outfield walls in a few years back,
• 13:29
  Speaker 2: I think as well. So it's not the most pitcher
• 13:32
  Speaker 2: friendly park, but it looks like it's expected to be
• 13:35
  Speaker 2: kind of a pitching duel here, So I wouldn't necessarily
• 13:38
  Speaker 2: disagree with that either. Yeah, I mean, I'm not gonna
• 13:44
  Speaker 2: disagree with an under I think maybe Detroit money line
• 13:47
  Speaker 2: first five inning makes a little bit more sense than
• 13:49
  Speaker 2: that based on where I think there might be an advantage,
• 13:52
  Speaker 2: And it might be a little bit hidden too, because
• 13:54
  Speaker 2: people are just gonna look and see Mice as like
• 13:56
  Speaker 2: a five something era right now and not want to
• 13:59
  Speaker 2: do anything with it as a favorite. But he is
• 14:01
  Speaker 2: better than that, and he has maybe an advantage specifically
• 14:05
  Speaker 2: against this lineup that hasn't seen him before.
• 14:07
  Speaker 1: So there is that. Zach, what's up? Thanks for hanging out?
• 14:13
  Speaker 1: You hate? Yeah? All the all the changes, I assume, Yeah,
• 14:16
  Speaker 1: it's chit changes, automate the balls, it strikes changes all right.
• 14:25
  Speaker 1: Pittsburgh at the Cubs here. The Cubs lost two.
• 14:29
  Speaker 2: Or nothing yesterday and it was return a return home spot.
• 14:32
  Speaker 2: So a lot of times a team struggles in the
• 14:35
  Speaker 2: return home spot. As I always point out it's kind
• 14:37
  Speaker 2: of a bad spot. A lot of times it will
• 14:40
  Speaker 2: potentially distract you. You have to get back to home life, whatever.
• 14:43
  Speaker 2: And a lot of times when that happens, that team
• 14:46
  Speaker 2: is a lot better in the second game because now
• 14:48
  Speaker 2: they've kind of done what they need to do, put
• 14:50
  Speaker 2: the distractions out of the way. You're focused back on baseball. Also,
• 14:55
  Speaker 2: when you get shut out at home as a favorite
• 14:57
  Speaker 2: and whatever, I think you tend to bounce back from
• 15:00
  Speaker 2: that too. Imon Naga actually had a no hitter through
• 15:03
  Speaker 2: six innings in that game, and they took him out
• 15:06
  Speaker 2: and then they lost the game.
• 15:07
  Speaker 1: So that's just great for the Cobs Pittsburgh.
• 15:11
  Speaker 2: I mean, they've been better than expected. I know I
• 15:13
  Speaker 2: said I didn't really buy into the hype, but they've
• 15:15
  Speaker 2: played pretty well so far. The Cubs have been a
• 15:18
  Speaker 2: mediocre bullpen so far.
• 15:21
  Speaker 1: Pittsburgh.
• 15:22
  Speaker 2: I don't think it's been that much better. Where's Pittsburgh at.
• 15:24
  Speaker 2: I don't even see them in here?
• 15:28
  Speaker 1: Where the hell are they?
• 15:30
  Speaker 2: Oh yeah, Cubs are slightly better than Pittsburgh in the
• 15:33
  Speaker 2: bullpen right now.
• 15:34
  Speaker 1: Both bullpens have been very mediocre so far.
• 15:37
  Speaker 2: Pittsburgh has actually had a decent offense so far better
• 15:40
  Speaker 2: than the Cubs so far. I don't really expect that
• 15:44
  Speaker 2: to totally continue, but that is the case so far
• 15:47
  Speaker 2: as far as yesterday is concerned the Cubs. Looking at
• 15:52
  Speaker 2: bullpen usage, I mean, the Cubs used three relief pitchers
• 15:55
  Speaker 2: four for Pittsburgh, so maybe you do have to give
• 15:59
  Speaker 2: the Cubs a slight edge here. I do think we
• 16:01
  Speaker 2: have a pretty good starting pitching matchup here, like I
• 16:04
  Speaker 2: like both starters, and we have a very low total
• 16:07
  Speaker 2: in this game, which also means the wind is blowing
• 16:09
  Speaker 2: in again in Chicago, so the total is like I
• 16:12
  Speaker 2: would lean to the under in this game, but it's
• 16:14
  Speaker 2: almost like too low, you know me, Like a lot
• 16:17
  Speaker 2: of the professional betters will say that the six and
• 16:19
  Speaker 2: a half is just so you don't bet it, and
• 16:22
  Speaker 2: that you should, but I just can't get there with
• 16:24
  Speaker 2: it because seven is just such a key number in baseball.
• 16:27
  Speaker 1: I just never touched the six and a half.
• 16:29
  Speaker 2: I wouldn't go over, but you know, I'm I just
• 16:32
  Speaker 2: stay off the total when it's six and a half,
• 16:34
  Speaker 2: even if I agree with the under. Brax And and
• 16:38
  Speaker 2: Ashcraft pitching for the Pirates. Good season for him so
• 16:41
  Speaker 2: far in two starts, eleven to four strike at walk ratio,
• 16:44
  Speaker 2: twelve innings pitched, eight hits, a lot of three runs.
• 16:47
  Speaker 2: All of that is pretty good. He's gone six innings
• 16:49
  Speaker 2: in both starts, and these days you don't see that
• 16:52
  Speaker 2: many pitchers even going that deep into games. So I
• 16:55
  Speaker 2: think he's good. I think he's it's a pretty talented
• 16:57
  Speaker 2: young pitcher. Not the best, but saw against the Cubs.
• 17:01
  Speaker 2: His numbers are not great though. In thirty four bats
• 17:04
  Speaker 2: seven to two strikeout walk ratio is fine too. Sixty
• 17:08
  Speaker 2: five batting average a lot isn't that bad either. Seven
• 17:11
  Speaker 2: to seventy six ops is getting a little bit on
• 17:13
  Speaker 2: the higher range. But I guess mediocre numbers.
• 17:16
  Speaker 1: You could say. But he's also not unfamiliar to the
• 17:19
  Speaker 1: Cubs because he's been in their division for a while.
• 17:22
  Speaker 2: Edward Cabrera pitching for the Cubs. He hasn't allowed to
• 17:25
  Speaker 2: run yet this season. He's a solid pitcher as well, man,
• 17:29
  Speaker 2: but he's been wild sometimes. His wildness is his undoing,
• 17:33
  Speaker 2: and he did walk five guys in his last outing,
• 17:36
  Speaker 2: but it was also one hit performance against Cleveland.
• 17:39
  Speaker 1: I mean that's kind of what he does. I still
• 17:41
  Speaker 1: think he's good.
• 17:43
  Speaker 2: You know, his wildness will vary though from time to time,
• 17:45
  Speaker 2: but he's allowed two hits in eleven and two thirds
• 17:48
  Speaker 2: innings so far, so he's been completely unhittable, but he's
• 17:52
  Speaker 2: walked too many guys. His strike out rate is maybe
• 17:55
  Speaker 2: a little bit down from what you want from him.
• 17:57
  Speaker 2: He is also pretty good historically against Pitchburg and thirty
• 18:00
  Speaker 2: at bats. Again, too many walks though, nine to five
• 18:03
  Speaker 2: strike a walk ratio, two hundred batting average though, and
• 18:07
  Speaker 2: five eighty one ops allowed. Those are good numbers. Again,
• 18:11
  Speaker 2: I think both pitchers look pretty good here. Cabrera is
• 18:16
  Speaker 2: the more established pitcher. I don't necessarily disagree with the
• 18:19
  Speaker 2: Cubs here. Again, I like the situation for the Cubs
• 18:22
  Speaker 2: to bounce back after a shutout loss in a return
• 18:25
  Speaker 2: home spot, So I actually due lean to the Cubs
• 18:28
  Speaker 2: in this game.
• 18:28
  Speaker 1: And I think you could make.
• 18:29
  Speaker 2: The argument Cabrera does have a little bit of an
• 18:31
  Speaker 2: advantage here the bullpens. There's not that much of a
• 18:34
  Speaker 2: difference between the two, and you could make the argument
• 18:36
  Speaker 2: the Cubs have the better one sixty percent of the
• 18:39
  Speaker 2: tickets fifty one percent of the catch on the Cubs,
• 18:41
  Speaker 2: though they moved all the way up to minus one
• 18:43
  Speaker 2: forty five minus one twenty seven. It looks like the
• 18:46
  Speaker 2: money is indicating against the Cubs now, so I do
• 18:51
  Speaker 2: think the under is probably preferable here, But again, six
• 18:54
  Speaker 2: and a half it's just not something I really want
• 18:56
  Speaker 2: to deal with because again, if.
• 18:59
  Speaker 1: It's a three to three time, you'll lose. So and
• 19:02
  Speaker 1: but everybody knows that.
• 19:03
  Speaker 2: Again, the professionals will tell you to not be that
• 19:06
  Speaker 2: scared of a six and a half and going under it,
• 19:08
  Speaker 2: and that you pretty much should go under it if
• 19:11
  Speaker 2: you're gonna play the total.
• 19:13
  Speaker 1: So I will agree with.
• 19:14
  Speaker 2: That at least sixty percent of ticket seventy percent of
• 19:17
  Speaker 2: the cash on the under. Again, it looks like you're
• 19:19
  Speaker 2: gonna have wind blowing in it Wrigley. Both starting pitchers
• 19:22
  Speaker 2: are pretty good, the bullpens are not in horrible shape.
• 19:25
  Speaker 2: If you wanted to limit it to the first five
• 19:27
  Speaker 2: I would not disagree with you there either. But you're
• 19:29
  Speaker 2: probably looking at under three in the first five innings
• 19:32
  Speaker 2: there or something like that. But I would not disagree
• 19:34
  Speaker 2: with the game being low scoring throughout it and including
• 19:38
  Speaker 2: in the first five innings. Right that you do have
• 19:40
  Speaker 2: two pretty good starters there, Although Ashcraft, I mean he
• 19:43
  Speaker 2: does not have numbers that blow you away against the
• 19:46
  Speaker 2: Cubs though, So yeah, there are some indicators towards the
• 19:50
  Speaker 2: Cubs as far as how I break down the game
• 19:52
  Speaker 2: as well, but the market read is against that.
• 19:58
  Speaker 1: Oh what is this?
• 20:01
  Speaker 2: Oh we're talking about bringing steroids back in Yeah, I
• 20:05
  Speaker 2: agree with that, Josh, what's up man?
• 20:09
  Speaker 1: Yeah? I agree with Yeah.
• 20:12
  Speaker 2: The steroid era was way more fun to watch, but
• 20:15
  Speaker 2: the rules are also better than Valverde. Yeah, Jose Valverde?
• 20:23
  Speaker 2: You mean was that his name? I don't remember a
• 20:27
  Speaker 2: lot about him. I remember Jim Leland, the manager for
• 20:30
  Speaker 2: Detroit there when he was managing. Yeah, I think it
• 20:32
  Speaker 2: was Jose Valverde, But yeah, I don't remember that much
• 20:35
  Speaker 2: about him.
• 20:37
  Speaker 1: All right.
• 20:38
  Speaker 2: Minnesota at Toronto. Toronto did get a blowout win yesterday
• 20:42
  Speaker 2: ten to four. Both teams were kind of in a
• 20:44
  Speaker 2: letdown spot yesterday, but Toronto kind of establishing themselves fine,
• 20:48
  Speaker 2: and I think they are a better team than Minnesota,
• 20:51
  Speaker 2: especially on the offense. But pitching wise, I mean, Minnesota
• 20:55
  Speaker 2: has been an atrocious bullpen, which was kind of expected.
• 20:58
  Speaker 2: Toronto's has been bad too, so you do have two
• 21:00
  Speaker 2: pretty bad bullpens here. Minnesota's is worse though, Toronto. You
• 21:05
  Speaker 2: got to give him all excuse eight starting, excuse me
• 21:08
  Speaker 2: eight hitting edge. They're actually up tenth in the league
• 21:12
  Speaker 2: now ops wise, or in Major League Baseball. I should
• 21:16
  Speaker 2: say Minnesota has not been as bad as you would
• 21:19
  Speaker 2: think at twelve, but I think Toronto does have the
• 21:22
  Speaker 2: better hitting here. Bullpen used to yesterday. Minnesota use three
• 21:26
  Speaker 2: relief pitchers. It looks like Toronto used four. I don't
• 21:31
  Speaker 2: trust either bullpen though, but I think Toronto's is probably
• 21:34
  Speaker 2: slightly better. Starting pitching looks like a decent matchup here.
• 21:38
  Speaker 2: Joe Ryan is pitching from Minnesota.
• 21:40
  Speaker 1: He is their ace.
• 21:42
  Speaker 2: His era doesn't look great so far this year in
• 21:44
  Speaker 2: the fours, but he is better than that. His whip
• 21:47
  Speaker 2: in the one twos, you'd like to see it a
• 21:48
  Speaker 2: little bit lower than that, but he has not been awful.
• 21:51
  Speaker 2: His strikeout rate is pretty good at seventeen and fourteen
• 21:54
  Speaker 2: to third innings. Five walks not a bad ratio there.
• 21:59
  Speaker 2: He's been five this year. I mean, we pretty much
• 22:01
  Speaker 2: know what he is at this point. He is the
• 22:03
  Speaker 2: best pitcher in the Twins rotation. His numbers against the
• 22:06
  Speaker 2: Blue Jays are not that good though. In eighty five
• 22:08
  Speaker 2: at bats really good twenty one to three strikeout walk ratio,
• 22:11
  Speaker 2: but to eighty two batting average allowed that's too high.
• 22:15
  Speaker 2: Seven fifteen ops is not that bad, so a lot
• 22:18
  Speaker 2: of the hits he's allowed to have been singles. But
• 22:22
  Speaker 2: it's not exactly the greatest matchup for him. He is
• 22:25
  Speaker 2: going up against Eric Lauer, who had a good season
• 22:28
  Speaker 2: last year.
• 22:28
  Speaker 1: He has not been very good to start this season,
• 22:30
  Speaker 1: though he only lasted two winnings.
• 22:32
  Speaker 2: At his last start against the White Sox, walked three
• 22:35
  Speaker 2: guys and had no strike cuts.
• 22:37
  Speaker 1: That is not a good sign.
• 22:40
  Speaker 2: You would expect Lauer to kind of continue what he
• 22:42
  Speaker 2: did last year, but you could make the argument last
• 22:45
  Speaker 2: year was a little bit out of the ordinary for
• 22:48
  Speaker 2: him and maybe a fluke, because I mean, he was
• 22:50
  Speaker 2: gone awful the year before that, well two years prior
• 22:53
  Speaker 2: to that, but he got hurt I think from Milwaukee,
• 22:55
  Speaker 2: so last year he was coming back from injury.
• 22:57
  Speaker 1: Change his scenery definitely did well for him, but he.
• 23:00
  Speaker 2: Did have two good seasons with Milwaukee a couple of
• 23:03
  Speaker 2: years prior to that. So I think we still don't
• 23:05
  Speaker 2: really know exactly what we're gonna get out of Lour
• 23:08
  Speaker 2: this year.
• 23:09
  Speaker 1: But it hasn't been good so far this year.
• 23:11
  Speaker 2: His strikeout rate is still there because he had nine
• 23:13
  Speaker 2: strikeouts in his first outing but none in his most
• 23:16
  Speaker 2: recent outing against a White Sox lineup.
• 23:18
  Speaker 1: It's not that good.
• 23:19
  Speaker 2: Is not a good sign, and it's not a good
• 23:22
  Speaker 2: sign that his numbers against Minnesota are pretty bad. In
• 23:25
  Speaker 2: fifty five at bats ten to two strike out walk
• 23:27
  Speaker 2: ratio is good. Three forty five batting average A lotta's
• 23:30
  Speaker 2: not good. Oney twenty seven ops not good. So I
• 23:35
  Speaker 2: think Ryan probably does actually have the upper hand in
• 23:38
  Speaker 2: this matchup. Here we're going to two bad bullpens. Maybe
• 23:42
  Speaker 2: a bounce back spot from Minnesota here. The money's indicating
• 23:46
  Speaker 2: on Minnesota. Here, Toronto did flip from plus one oh
• 23:48
  Speaker 2: four to minus won twelve. I think maybe some respect
• 23:52
  Speaker 2: for Joe Ryan in the market here, But the public
• 23:56
  Speaker 2: is gonna come in on Toronto man, because they saw
• 23:57
  Speaker 2: the blowout from Toronto yesterday. Toronto looks like they're back
• 24:01
  Speaker 2: on track. Minnesota is not a team the public wants
• 24:04
  Speaker 2: to bet on, and normally I would say rightfully so
• 24:07
  Speaker 2: because they're not good. But Joe Ryan getting him as
• 24:10
  Speaker 2: an underdog man, it gets a questionable lour here who
• 24:13
  Speaker 2: has worse matchup numbers two. I'm not gonna disagree with
• 24:16
  Speaker 2: Minnesota here sixty eight percent of tickets around Toronto sixty
• 24:20
  Speaker 2: four percent of the cash on Minnesota.
• 24:22
  Speaker 1: I would limit it to the first five probably, though.
• 24:24
  Speaker 2: I just think Minnesota's bullpen is so bad that maybe
• 24:28
  Speaker 2: you just want to cut them out of the equation.
• 24:30
  Speaker 2: Although Toronto's is also bad, so if you wanted to
• 24:33
  Speaker 2: go full game on Minnesota, I still do agree with that.
• 24:37
  Speaker 2: The money is strongly indicating that way. First five might
• 24:41
  Speaker 2: make a little bit more sense with Minnesota there.
• 24:44
  Speaker 1: But probably you'll get less of a good price there though.
• 24:47
  Speaker 2: Because obviously the oddsmakers know Minnesota has more of an
• 24:50
  Speaker 2: edge with Joe Ryan on the mount so it might
• 24:53
  Speaker 2: even be a slight favorite if you go in Minnesota
• 24:55
  Speaker 2: first five.
• 24:57
  Speaker 1: So maybe going full game and.
• 24:58
  Speaker 2: Getting him as an underdog, you do get a little
• 25:00
  Speaker 2: bit of a better price that way. I wouldn't really
• 25:03
  Speaker 2: disagree with doing that if you really wanted to. Yeah, yeah,
• 25:10
  Speaker 2: I already read that one. Yeah, Wild Pitchers, Yeah all right,
• 25:14
  Speaker 2: uh Anaheim at Cincinnati.
• 25:17
  Speaker 1: This it's a weird series. You know, these interleague series
• 25:20
  Speaker 1: are pretty weird.
• 25:21
  Speaker 2: It was a high scoring game yesterday Anaheim one ten
• 25:24
  Speaker 2: to two. Uh solaire, I know hit a grand Slam
• 25:27
  Speaker 2: late in the game. Apparently Chase Burns did bad in
• 25:30
  Speaker 2: the game, which I'm surprised by because I think he's
• 25:33
  Speaker 2: really good.
• 25:34
  Speaker 1: He did not have a good owning.
• 25:35
  Speaker 2: Yesterday, though, Dude, who would expect that Kohanowitz would outpitch
• 25:41
  Speaker 2: Burns in that game? What is going on? It's like
• 25:44
  Speaker 2: backwards world. Admittedly, I think it was a bad spot
• 25:47
  Speaker 2: for Cincinnati.
• 25:48
  Speaker 1: Though, like the situational spot wasn't good.
• 25:50
  Speaker 2: And apparently that was enough for a horrendous pitcher. Well,
• 25:54
  Speaker 2: at least I still think he's horrendous. It was it
• 25:56
  Speaker 2: was enough for him to completely outpitch a much better pitcher,
• 26:02
  Speaker 2: whatever man we're looking at today. Though, Cincinnati they used
• 26:06
  Speaker 2: three relief pitchers yesterday, which isn't that bad. They have
• 26:09
  Speaker 2: the better bullpen. Anaheim only is one relief pitcher though,
• 26:12
  Speaker 2: and it was a kind of long relief guy, Mitch Farris.
• 26:16
  Speaker 2: So Anaheim does have a bullpen rest edge here, but
• 26:19
  Speaker 2: their bullpen still stinks. Although they're actually eight no this
• 26:23
  Speaker 2: is hitting.
• 26:23
  Speaker 1: They're eighteenth and hitting.
• 26:25
  Speaker 2: Reds have been pretty bad. Reds are twenty eighth in offense,
• 26:29
  Speaker 2: Reds have not done well offensively so far. Bullpens Anaheims
• 26:33
  Speaker 2: is better than you would think right now, but the
• 26:36
  Speaker 2: whip kind of indicates that they're worse than their era
• 26:38
  Speaker 2: would tell you. I don't think Anaheim's bullpen is good,
• 26:41
  Speaker 2: but they do have a rest edge in the bullpen.
• 26:43
  Speaker 2: Like I said, at least the Reds have been a
• 26:44
  Speaker 2: better bullpen though their thirteenth year Anaheim was whatever twenty first,
• 26:51
  Speaker 2: not that the Reds have an elite, elite bullpen or
• 26:54
  Speaker 2: anything like that. George Klass and his pitcher for Anaheim,
• 26:58
  Speaker 2: he's a young guy and I think we still don't
• 27:01
  Speaker 2: know what we're gonna get out of him. The jury
• 27:02
  Speaker 2: is out on him. He's made one major league start.
• 27:05
  Speaker 2: I think it was a spot start as well. Like
• 27:08
  Speaker 2: I think he came in for like an injured pitcher
• 27:10
  Speaker 2: or something because he was not listed as a starter.
• 27:12
  Speaker 2: I don't think because I didn't handicap him in this
• 27:15
  Speaker 2: game against Seattle, he didn't do well.
• 27:17
  Speaker 1: He only lasted two or two thirds.
• 27:19
  Speaker 2: It was in Anaheim, so it was not in the
• 27:21
  Speaker 2: pitcher friendly confines of Seattle, Safeco or whatever the hell
• 27:26
  Speaker 2: it's called now, tea mobile.
• 27:28
  Speaker 1: Is that what it is? Now? Four walks?
• 27:30
  Speaker 2: Excuse me, five walks, fourth strikeouts, way too many walks, man,
• 27:34
  Speaker 2: But you could argue he was nervous in his first start.
• 27:37
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 27:37
  Speaker 2: Now, I looked up his stats and they're really really
• 27:41
  Speaker 2: hard to read. He did not do particularly well in
• 27:44
  Speaker 2: Triple A this year, I don't think, but they called
• 27:46
  Speaker 2: him up anyway last year. He actually was bad in
• 27:50
  Speaker 2: Double A last year, and then he pitched better in
• 27:52
  Speaker 2: Triple A last year. Again, his numbers are just kind
• 27:56
  Speaker 2: of all over the place, man, Because minor league numbers
• 27:58
  Speaker 2: worry me because yeah, I don't know, he just didn't
• 28:01
  Speaker 2: do that well in the minors for the most part.
• 28:03
  Speaker 2: But Anheim obviously sees something in him. He was like
• 28:07
  Speaker 2: a decently touted prospect. Basically, it seems like his ceiling
• 28:11
  Speaker 2: is like a mid rotation major league starter. He does
• 28:15
  Speaker 2: throw hard, like he has an upper nineties fastball, and
• 28:18
  Speaker 2: he's got a few other pitches that he mixes in
• 28:20
  Speaker 2: I think slider, curveball, like kind of a typical mix there.
• 28:26
  Speaker 2: It's just really really difficult to handicap a guy like this, man,
• 28:28
  Speaker 2: because you don't know what exactly you're gonna get out
• 28:31
  Speaker 2: of him. But you do know that he's at least
• 28:33
  Speaker 2: unfamiliar just Cincinnati, so maybe he has an advantage there.
• 28:36
  Speaker 2: But it's a hitter friendly ballpark. He wasn't very good
• 28:39
  Speaker 2: in his first start, but again, maybe that he has
• 28:42
  Speaker 2: that out of the way, the nerves are out of
• 28:43
  Speaker 2: the way, maybe he'll pitch better here. Brandon Williamson is
• 28:46
  Speaker 2: pitching for Cincinnati. Really tough to gauge what he is too,
• 28:51
  Speaker 2: because he's had such a small sample size in his career.
• 28:54
  Speaker 2: He had one full season in twenty twenty three and
• 28:58
  Speaker 2: it was mediocre, and then he pitched better in twenty
• 29:00
  Speaker 2: twenty four, got injured. Now he's trying to make a
• 29:03
  Speaker 2: comeback here and he's been actually okay so far this year.
• 29:07
  Speaker 2: I know, we faded him in his first outing and
• 29:09
  Speaker 2: we got a win. He got beaten up in that start,
• 29:12
  Speaker 2: but he pitched a lot better in his second start
• 29:14
  Speaker 2: against Miami after Pittsburgh beat him up. He had a
• 29:17
  Speaker 2: six inning shot out against Miami. So maybe Williamson will
• 29:22
  Speaker 2: be okay this year. I mean, he doesn't seem to
• 29:24
  Speaker 2: be much of a strikeout guy. Not a high strikeout rate,
• 29:28
  Speaker 2: his walk rate maybe slightly high.
• 29:31
  Speaker 1: But not horrible.
• 29:32
  Speaker 2: His whip is not bad, so he's not putting too
• 29:33
  Speaker 2: many guys on base, and Anaheim is not familiar with him. Really,
• 29:37
  Speaker 2: they only have three hitters have seen him before two
• 29:40
  Speaker 2: for seven lifetime. Solaire does have a home run off him,
• 29:43
  Speaker 2: and Candelario has a double off of him.
• 29:47
  Speaker 1: Condelario. It's a me, Condolario. So yeah, this is a
• 29:53
  Speaker 1: very very difficult game.
• 29:54
  Speaker 2: This game is so hard to handicap, dude, because on
• 29:57
  Speaker 2: the one hand, you could say, well, both starting pitchers
• 29:59
  Speaker 2: are unfamiliar, they both have some upside here, like an
• 30:03
  Speaker 2: under might even make sense in this game. Total did
• 30:07
  Speaker 2: drop from nine and a half to nine. On the
• 30:09
  Speaker 2: other hand, both of these pictures could also get rocked,
• 30:12
  Speaker 2: like we have no idea what's gonna happen in this game.
• 30:16
  Speaker 2: Cincinnati is at minus one thirty down for minus one
• 30:18
  Speaker 2: forty five, seventy six percent of tickets ninety three percent
• 30:21
  Speaker 2: of the cash on Cincinnati. So the money is indicating
• 30:24
  Speaker 2: on Cincinnati.
• 30:27
  Speaker 1: Looks like the over is public.
• 30:31
  Speaker 2: Hard to gauge the total, man the market read on
• 30:33
  Speaker 2: the total is very difficult for me. Here, it does
• 30:36
  Speaker 2: look like the money is indicating on Cincinnati. So if
• 30:38
  Speaker 2: you want to do what you want with that information,
• 30:40
  Speaker 2: they do have the better bullpen, Like I said, so
• 30:43
  Speaker 2: there is that advantage once the starters are out of
• 30:45
  Speaker 2: the game.
• 30:46
  Speaker 1: Other than that, I.
• 30:47
  Speaker 2: Don't have a whole lot. You could make the argument
• 30:49
  Speaker 2: though that Cincinnati. Now, there is the argument, like I
• 30:52
  Speaker 2: mention with the Cubs, which you don't want to overlook
• 30:55
  Speaker 2: the fact that Cincinnati return home from the from the
• 30:57
  Speaker 2: road yesterday. They were in a bad spot. These return
• 31:01
  Speaker 2: home spots are bad, dude.
• 31:03
  Speaker 1: It's just I.
• 31:03
  Speaker 2: Can't bring myself to play those spots when the pitching
• 31:06
  Speaker 2: matchup is so against it, you know what I mean,
• 31:09
  Speaker 2: which is the case in so many of those games yesterday.
• 31:11
  Speaker 2: But I think the situation won out more often than
• 31:14
  Speaker 2: it didn't. Yeah, I mean, I hate baseball, man, for
• 31:18
  Speaker 2: that reason. It's just so much easier to do it
• 31:22
  Speaker 2: with like these team sports where you don't have to
• 31:24
  Speaker 2: worry about the starting pitchers and whatever, and you can
• 31:26
  Speaker 2: just go, yep, this teams are.
• 31:28
  Speaker 1: Turning over from a road trip. Fade them. That's it.
• 31:31
  Speaker 2: Anyway, it could be a bounce back spot for Cincinnati
• 31:34
  Speaker 2: now because of that ugly loss yesterday and knowing that
• 31:37
  Speaker 2: it was a bad spot and then the second game
• 31:39
  Speaker 2: back home. If you do bad in the first game,
• 31:42
  Speaker 2: usually you're less distracted and you play better. So that
• 31:45
  Speaker 2: argument does apply to Cincinnati here, dirty sock, what's up man?
• 31:51
  Speaker 1: Thanks for hanging out.
• 31:55
  Speaker 2: Twins are still an underdog first five decent value there
• 31:59
  Speaker 2: getting Joe Ronan as an underdog man, although I'm not
• 32:03
  Speaker 2: ready to say that. Yeah, I'm not gonna say that
• 32:07
  Speaker 2: lour is necessarily bad right now, but I do think
• 32:09
  Speaker 2: Ryan is the more stable pitcher right now.
• 32:14
  Speaker 1: He's the more proven pitcher throughout his career. Let's put
• 32:16
  Speaker 1: it that way.
• 32:21
  Speaker 2: As at the Mets, the Mets lost four to nothing yesterday,
• 32:25
  Speaker 2: they were not returning home, but still the better team
• 32:29
  Speaker 2: coming off a home shutout. A lot of times they
• 32:31
  Speaker 2: will bounce back and have a better performance here. So
• 32:34
  Speaker 2: I'm kind of looking towards the Mets right off the
• 32:36
  Speaker 2: bat here and seeing like, do we have a reason
• 32:38
  Speaker 2: to actually do it here? This is not my play,
• 32:41
  Speaker 2: and obviously I said I have an underdog, So if
• 32:43
  Speaker 2: I lean to the Mets, you know the Mets are
• 32:45
  Speaker 2: a favorite here. The Mets only us two relief pitchers yesterday.
• 32:48
  Speaker 2: They clearly have the better bullpen. The A's bullpen stinks
• 32:52
  Speaker 2: and the use four relief pitchers, so there's definitely an
• 32:54
  Speaker 2: advantage in the bullpen for the Mets here. The A's
• 32:58
  Speaker 2: hitting hasn't been good either this year, so I think
• 33:00
  Speaker 2: they are better than what they look like so far.
• 33:03
  Speaker 1: The Mets have had the better offense so far, so
• 33:05
  Speaker 1: they do have that advantage as well, even though they
• 33:07
  Speaker 1: haven't exactly been good so far this year.
• 33:10
  Speaker 2: There's sort of mid tier on offense, even slightly worse
• 33:13
  Speaker 2: than that. So far this year, Mets have been a
• 33:15
  Speaker 2: top ten bullpen so far and Whip A's have been
• 33:18
  Speaker 2: bottom five. So all that information for you there. Jacob
• 33:23
  Speaker 2: Lopez pitching for the A's. He had an interesting season
• 33:26
  Speaker 2: last year. He was getting a lot of strikeouts with
• 33:29
  Speaker 2: his curveball. For the most part, I think a lot
• 33:31
  Speaker 2: of moving pitches that he's got there.
• 33:33
  Speaker 1: He doesn't throw that hard.
• 33:35
  Speaker 2: He hasn't been good this year so far though, five
• 33:38
  Speaker 2: walks in each of his starts, including a no strikeout
• 33:41
  Speaker 2: performance against Atlanta. I know he had six in his
• 33:44
  Speaker 2: most recent outing against Houston, but he hasn't even made
• 33:46
  Speaker 2: a five innings and either starts. This is not a
• 33:48
  Speaker 2: good sign, dude, ten strikeouts to six walks overall, or excusely,
• 33:54
  Speaker 2: ten walks to six strikeouts overall.
• 33:57
  Speaker 1: This is bad, dude, very very bad. I don't trust
• 34:00
  Speaker 1: Lopez right now.
• 34:01
  Speaker 2: I know he had glimpses last year, but his numbers
• 34:04
  Speaker 2: have been awful so far this year. Not a big
• 34:07
  Speaker 2: sample size against the Mets. They're not that familiar with him.
• 34:10
  Speaker 2: Fourteen at bats, but they've hit him well. Three to
• 34:13
  Speaker 2: three strike out walk ratio, three fifty seven average allowed,
• 34:16
  Speaker 2: nine to seventy one ops. So I do not trust
• 34:18
  Speaker 2: Lopez here the Mets in that small sample size.
• 34:22
  Speaker 1: I know it's a small sample size.
• 34:23
  Speaker 2: You don't want to weigh that too heavily, but they
• 34:26
  Speaker 2: have done damage against him when they have seen him.
• 34:29
  Speaker 1: Code. I Sanga pitching for the Mets.
• 34:30
  Speaker 2: I mean, I think he's an overrated pitcher, but he's
• 34:33
  Speaker 2: been better than Lopez this year. Sixteen to five strike
• 34:36
  Speaker 2: out walk ratio is actually pretty good. That's a high
• 34:39
  Speaker 2: strike out rating eleven and two thirds innings as well.
• 34:42
  Speaker 2: He's gone more than five innings in both of his starts,
• 34:45
  Speaker 2: so he has been better, although it was against two
• 34:48
  Speaker 2: pretty bad offenses, San Francisco and Saint Louis.
• 34:52
  Speaker 1: Still, he's definitely been the better pitcher here.
• 34:55
  Speaker 2: A is only a fifteen at bats against him, so
• 34:57
  Speaker 2: they're not familiar with him longo years as a home
• 35:00
  Speaker 2: run offen, But other than that, there's a two to
• 35:02
  Speaker 2: one strike a walk ratio here to sixty seven batting
• 35:05
  Speaker 2: average allout overall eight forty six ohps is a little high,
• 35:08
  Speaker 2: but it's just because of that home run. Pretty much,
• 35:13
  Speaker 2: Seng Guy, I think, is the better pitcher here. I'm
• 35:15
  Speaker 2: not gonna disagree with the Mets in this game. They're
• 35:17
  Speaker 2: a public side, ninety two percent of the tickets, ninety
• 35:20
  Speaker 2: seven percent of the cash on them. I still agree
• 35:23
  Speaker 2: with the Mets, though. They're up to minus one fifty
• 35:24
  Speaker 2: nine on the money line though, up from minus one
• 35:27
  Speaker 2: forty three, so it might be one of those spots
• 35:28
  Speaker 2: where you go minus one run line there. I think
• 35:33
  Speaker 2: the Mets have the advantage everywhere in that game, starting pitching, bullpen,
• 35:37
  Speaker 2: bullpen rest, and hitting. So you know, it might be
• 35:41
  Speaker 2: one of my better leans of the day, really, like,
• 35:43
  Speaker 2: I just don't see the Mets losing that game, and
• 35:45
  Speaker 2: it's a bounce back spot off a shuttle.
• 35:47
  Speaker 1: Although yeah, this is not my play.
• 35:49
  Speaker 2: I know, but I just think maybe the line is,
• 35:52
  Speaker 2: you know, you're paying a little bit much for it.
• 35:55
  Speaker 2: Senga just worries me slightly, and again the public nature
• 35:58
  Speaker 2: of it kind of worries me a little bit as well.
• 36:01
  Speaker 2: Money also indicating pretty strongly in the under in that game,
• 36:03
  Speaker 2: for what it's worth, with the way Lopez is pitching
• 36:06
  Speaker 2: so far in the A's bullpen, can't there's no way
• 36:09
  Speaker 2: that I would do that.
• 36:11
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't like it. I don't like it. Man.
• 36:14
  Speaker 2: I'm not gonna disagree necessarily with the under, but it
• 36:17
  Speaker 2: seems very very risky to me. Eighty two percent of tickets,
• 36:20
  Speaker 2: fifty eight percent of the cash on the over.
• 36:23
  Speaker 1: Yeah, get me more subs. We gotta monetize, thank you, sir.
• 36:28
  Speaker 1: All right? Uh.
• 36:30
  Speaker 2: White Sox at Kansas City for zak here Kansas City
• 36:34
  Speaker 2: after getting shut out two to nothing by the White Sox.
• 36:37
  Speaker 2: They shut out the White Sox two to nothing yesterday,
• 36:40
  Speaker 2: so they flipped the script yesterday. I thought they would
• 36:43
  Speaker 2: win the previous game and they did not. Kansas City
• 36:46
  Speaker 2: used two relief pitchers yesterday, the White Sox used one,
• 36:50
  Speaker 2: so the bullpen's arrested here.
• 36:53
  Speaker 1: Don't know if that's enough. The bullpens have both been
• 36:55
  Speaker 1: bad this year.
• 36:57
  Speaker 2: They're both in the bottom several bullpens, so we got
• 37:00
  Speaker 2: some pretty bad bullpens here. Royal's mediocre offense here better
• 37:05
  Speaker 2: than the White Sox, though, who are dead last in
• 37:07
  Speaker 2: ops so far. So offensive edge does go to Kansas
• 37:11
  Speaker 2: City here. Eric Fetti is pitching for the White Sox.
• 37:15
  Speaker 2: I spent last year making fun of him the whole season.
• 37:18
  Speaker 2: He's not that good, but I don't know, man, maybe
• 37:21
  Speaker 2: being back on the White Sox maybe is helping him.
• 37:23
  Speaker 2: He hasn't been that bad this season so far. His
• 37:26
  Speaker 2: whip is below one point two, which is pretty good,
• 37:28
  Speaker 2: so eight to two strike at walk ratio. I mean,
• 37:31
  Speaker 2: he's not striking out a lot of guys, but he's
• 37:33
  Speaker 2: not walking a ton of guys. He's gone five innings
• 37:35
  Speaker 2: in both of his starts, at least five. I should
• 37:38
  Speaker 2: say he's been fine so far the season. Against Miami Baltimore,
• 37:43
  Speaker 2: I mean, Kansas City's not exactly a team that tears
• 37:46
  Speaker 2: the cover off the ball either. His numbers against them
• 37:49
  Speaker 2: are not good though, in fifty eight at bats nine
• 37:52
  Speaker 2: to five strike out walk ratio.
• 37:53
  Speaker 1: That's pretty bad.
• 37:54
  Speaker 2: Two to ninety three batting average allowed eight eighty four ops.
• 37:58
  Speaker 2: Those are not good numbers. So yeah, I mean I
• 38:02
  Speaker 2: worry about Fetti, dude. I mean, maybe there is some
• 38:04
  Speaker 2: regression in store for him. I know he's off to
• 38:06
  Speaker 2: a good start this season. Last season was pretty miserable
• 38:10
  Speaker 2: for him, but it was in a different environment. It's
• 38:12
  Speaker 2: hard to gauge, but his matchup numbers against Kansas City
• 38:15
  Speaker 2: are bad. He's going up against Michael Waka, who I
• 38:19
  Speaker 2: think is the more stable pitcher here, Like I think
• 38:22
  Speaker 2: he's a little bit more predictable. He's been really good
• 38:25
  Speaker 2: so far this season. He is a guy that gives
• 38:27
  Speaker 2: you a lot of innings. He threw a hundred pitches
• 38:29
  Speaker 2: in his last outing, though, so he might worry about
• 38:31
  Speaker 2: that a little bit. Like when a guy throws a
• 38:33
  Speaker 2: hundred pitches, maybe he'll be a little bit tired coming
• 38:35
  Speaker 2: off that because pitchers don't really do that anymore.
• 38:38
  Speaker 1: But the good thing about.
• 38:39
  Speaker 2: That is that Waka is not a hard thrower, So
• 38:42
  Speaker 2: that takes a little bit less out of you when
• 38:44
  Speaker 2: you're not like a high velocity guy, you know what
• 38:47
  Speaker 2: I mean, Walka, I mean, he's been around for a while,
• 38:49
  Speaker 2: he's a grinder, He's not too old yet either, so
• 38:53
  Speaker 2: I mean I like him for the most part.
• 38:55
  Speaker 1: He's gone third. I think he was on the Red
• 38:56
  Speaker 1: Sox at one point too. I don't think it worked
• 38:59
  Speaker 1: out that well.
• 38:59
  Speaker 2: But he's gone thirteen innings so far this season ten
• 39:02
  Speaker 2: to four strike out walk ratio.
• 39:04
  Speaker 1: The walks are a little bit high.
• 39:05
  Speaker 2: He did walk three guys in his last nime, but
• 39:07
  Speaker 2: he's only allowed one run and he's gone six plus
• 39:10
  Speaker 2: innings and both starts, so he has been good for
• 39:13
  Speaker 2: the most part. And he hasn't allowed a lot of
• 39:15
  Speaker 2: hits either. He's got good numbers against the White Sox
• 39:18
  Speaker 2: as well, and forty four at bats eleven to one
• 39:20
  Speaker 2: strike out walk ratio, two h five average allowed, five
• 39:23
  Speaker 2: to forty oh ps allowed. So you gotta say that
• 39:27
  Speaker 2: Walker's got walka. Excuse me, He's got not ti one Walker.
• 39:31
  Speaker 2: They're both pitching a WALKA does have the upper hand
• 39:34
  Speaker 2: in this matchup. I don't disagree with Kansas City here.
• 39:36
  Speaker 2: It is a bit of a price to lay them,
• 39:39
  Speaker 2: but I think you can make the argument they got
• 39:41
  Speaker 2: the better bullpens still as well, even though they have
• 39:44
  Speaker 2: stunk so far. I think there is more upside with
• 39:46
  Speaker 2: who they have in their bullpen. They're up to minus
• 39:48
  Speaker 2: one eighty five minus one seventy five. It looks like
• 39:51
  Speaker 2: the money is agreeing with their side there, but they're
• 39:53
  Speaker 2: public as well. They're a bit heavily priced, ninety three
• 39:57
  Speaker 2: percent of tickets ninety eight percent of the cash on them.
• 40:01
  Speaker 2: I'm staying off the game, but I do lean to
• 40:03
  Speaker 2: Kansas City. I think they do have the starting pitching
• 40:05
  Speaker 2: edge there. The matchup numbers look good. Fetti is in
• 40:08
  Speaker 2: fine form right now at the very least. But Walka,
• 40:12
  Speaker 2: I mean, yeah, I just still think he does have
• 40:14
  Speaker 2: the upper hand here. So those are my thoughts on that.
• 40:19
  Speaker 2: Walk I think is on schedule again too, because I
• 40:21
  Speaker 2: think his last start got delayed by a day or
• 40:24
  Speaker 2: two because he was sick or something. But I think
• 40:27
  Speaker 2: he's back on the right schedule again, So that could
• 40:29
  Speaker 2: explain why he had some extra walks there, man, because
• 40:32
  Speaker 2: they think.
• 40:32
  Speaker 1: His schedule's a little bit thrown off.
• 40:34
  Speaker 2: And when you do that to a pitcher, it does
• 40:35
  Speaker 2: affect them sometimes a little bit, although maybe not with
• 40:38
  Speaker 2: him as much because he's a veteran. But you know,
• 40:41
  Speaker 2: just a lot of things to think about there. But
• 40:43
  Speaker 2: with Kansas City, you'd have to go like a run line.
• 40:46
  Speaker 2: Play that well. I would like it would be like
• 40:47
  Speaker 2: a minus one run line or make your own minus.
• 40:50
  Speaker 1: One run line.
• 40:51
  Speaker 2: You've you've seen me enough to know what I'm talking about.
• 40:57
  Speaker 2: Views to watch time. What are the numbers for that?
• 40:59
  Speaker 2: I haven't even looked at I should be looking at
• 41:01
  Speaker 2: my numbers, but I really kind of don't. I see
• 41:03
  Speaker 2: what the number of views are and it's not really
• 41:05
  Speaker 2: that high, so I don't know. It is going up
• 41:07
  Speaker 2: very slowly. Yankees at Tampa Bay. Tampa Bay got the
• 41:12
  Speaker 2: win yesterday. I'm happy about it because if the Red
• 41:15
  Speaker 2: Sox are gonna suck ass, at least we can, you know,
• 41:19
  Speaker 2: bask in the Yankees losing. Although the Yankees are still
• 41:21
  Speaker 2: gonna win this division. I think there's no question about that.
• 41:24
  Speaker 1: Good win for Tampa yesterday, though I was unsure about it.
• 41:29
  Speaker 2: Man, you know, I slightly leaned to the Yankees in
• 41:32
  Speaker 2: that one, but maybe I shouldn't have. Tampa was at
• 41:36
  Speaker 2: a nice underdog price yesterday. I had that one wrong.
• 41:41
  Speaker 2: Wasn't a strong opinion for me, though, But Tampa got
• 41:43
  Speaker 2: the win, five to three. Tampa's bullpen actually has been
• 41:46
  Speaker 2: pretty bad to start the season. Which kind of surprises me.
• 41:49
  Speaker 2: That they used four relief pitchers yesterday. The Yankees used
• 41:53
  Speaker 2: four as well Tampa Both teams actually were kind of
• 41:55
  Speaker 2: rested coming into yesterday's game bullpen wise, But the Yankees
• 41:59
  Speaker 2: have had the better bullpens so far this year.
• 42:01
  Speaker 1: They're eleventh in bullpen whips so far.
• 42:05
  Speaker 2: Still, they're they're better than last year, like by a
• 42:07
  Speaker 2: significant margin. I think because they got rid of some
• 42:10
  Speaker 2: of the guys that sucked, and I'm not happy about it.
• 42:13
  Speaker 2: Tampa Bay's bullpen has been pretty atrocious. They're in the
• 42:15
  Speaker 2: bottom third. Maybe a little bit better than their era
• 42:19
  Speaker 2: would suggest, but they've been bad. Tampa Bay's offense has
• 42:22
  Speaker 2: been good, which is also pretty surprising. Seventh in ops
• 42:26
  Speaker 2: so far, and the Yankees are down at twenty second.
• 42:29
  Speaker 1: Who would ever think this would be the case.
• 42:33
  Speaker 2: Yankees at twenty second, Red Sox twenty fourth in overall.
• 42:37
  Speaker 1: Offense so far.
• 42:38
  Speaker 2: But you got to think with the hitters that these
• 42:40
  Speaker 2: two teams have, that's not gonna say the case for
• 42:43
  Speaker 2: that long. This Red Sox offense, I can't believe they're
• 42:46
  Speaker 2: performing as badly as they have been Yankees. I mean
• 42:50
  Speaker 2: probably kind of the same could be said with them,
• 42:53
  Speaker 2: although it just feels like they haven't been as bad
• 42:56
  Speaker 2: just recently. They're they're in a bad They're in a
• 42:58
  Speaker 2: slump right now. The Yankees are the Red Sox. They
• 43:01
  Speaker 2: just can't hit anybody right now. It's pitiful. I don't
• 43:04
  Speaker 2: know what they're doing. They got a fire Alex Korra. Man,
• 43:07
  Speaker 2: they're losing all these close games. Fundamental suck on that team.
• 43:11
  Speaker 2: They got good enough talent. They should be way better
• 43:13
  Speaker 2: than this. Fuck Alex Korra Yankees. I mean their manager's
• 43:17
  Speaker 2: not that good either, by the way, Aaron Boone. I
• 43:20
  Speaker 2: mean I don't just hate him because of you know,
• 43:22
  Speaker 2: the Aaron fucking Moon situation with the home run against
• 43:26
  Speaker 2: Tim Wakefield. Yeah that's a thing, but you know, in
• 43:28
  Speaker 2: the three Alcs, but traumatize me for life. I remember
• 43:34
  Speaker 2: watching that in college freshman year. But still, Aaron Boone's
• 43:39
  Speaker 2: not a good manager, dude. But the Yankees, they do
• 43:41
  Speaker 2: also have some weaknesses on their offense, like they're the back,
• 43:45
  Speaker 2: Like the bottom third of their order is pretty bad.
• 43:48
  Speaker 2: So I will say that, like those guys are not
• 43:50
  Speaker 2: hitting at all, and I don't know how good they
• 43:52
  Speaker 2: really are. But anyway, Yankees they're the better team though,
• 43:56
  Speaker 2: and they have the better starting pitcher on the mound
• 43:59
  Speaker 2: here with Max three. He's having a good season of
• 44:01
  Speaker 2: those strike gout rate is not that high fourteen and
• 44:04
  Speaker 2: twenty innings not a really high strike out rate. Fourteen
• 44:07
  Speaker 2: to five strike out walk ratio is actually not really
• 44:09
  Speaker 2: that good. But he also has gone six and a
• 44:12
  Speaker 2: third innings or more in every start. He's only allowed
• 44:14
  Speaker 2: three runs on ten hits, so he's been good overall,
• 44:18
  Speaker 2: no question about that. He's faced some fairly weakish offenses
• 44:23
  Speaker 2: though San Francisco, Seattle, I mean, those teams have not
• 44:26
  Speaker 2: been hitting at all, and then Miami has been a
• 44:29
  Speaker 2: little bit. But Miami did get to Freed a little
• 44:32
  Speaker 2: bit more than those other teams did. However, Tampa Bay
• 44:35
  Speaker 2: might not Freed has kind of dominated them in the past.
• 44:38
  Speaker 2: Sixty eight at bats, eleven to four strike a walk ratio,
• 44:41
  Speaker 2: one forty seven batting average allowed. He does not allow
• 44:45
  Speaker 2: a lot of hits and four to seventy four ops,
• 44:48
  Speaker 2: so his numbers are pretty dominant against Tampa Bay. He's
• 44:52
  Speaker 2: going up against Nick Martinez, who's not a horrible pitcher,
• 44:55
  Speaker 2: and he's off to a good start this year. He's old,
• 44:58
  Speaker 2: but he is, you know, kind of a wiley veteran.
• 45:01
  Speaker 2: I guess you could say he's got a seven to
• 45:03
  Speaker 2: one strike out walk ratio so far this year, which
• 45:06
  Speaker 2: is good on he's walked very few hitters. Of course,
• 45:09
  Speaker 2: he's gone six innings at both of his starts. One
• 45:11
  Speaker 2: was against Milwaukee, so that's pretty impressive. Good offense there,
• 45:15
  Speaker 2: the other was against the not so good Minnesota offense.
• 45:18
  Speaker 2: But he's only allowed seven hits in twelve and he's
• 45:21
  Speaker 2: pitched good strike out walk ratio though not a lot
• 45:24
  Speaker 2: of strikeouts, but he's not along a lot of hits
• 45:26
  Speaker 2: or walks.
• 45:27
  Speaker 1: He's been good to start the season.
• 45:29
  Speaker 2: But he's going up against the Yankees, and generally I
• 45:33
  Speaker 2: would say they could hit, but they are slumping right now,
• 45:36
  Speaker 2: and he does have pretty good numbers against them, sixty
• 45:38
  Speaker 2: three at bats to twenty two batting average allowed six
• 45:41
  Speaker 2: thirty seven OPS. Can't really complain about doing that against
• 45:44
  Speaker 2: this lineup, But sixteen to nine strike out walk ratio
• 45:48
  Speaker 2: is kind of questionable. Too many walks, and again a
• 45:50
  Speaker 2: ton of them are Goldschmidt. He just draws a lot
• 45:53
  Speaker 2: of walks, and it seems like guys pitch around him
• 45:55
  Speaker 2: a lot too, So I like the under in this game, man,
• 46:00
  Speaker 2: that would be the way I would lean here. The
• 46:03
  Speaker 2: bullpens are a little bit used, though, which is my
• 46:05
  Speaker 2: worry here. The totals at seven and a half for
• 46:07
  Speaker 2: the full game, which is probably warranted, but I worry
• 46:11
  Speaker 2: about the bullpens. So first five inning under might make
• 46:14
  Speaker 2: sense here, but then you're looking at under three and
• 46:16
  Speaker 2: a half.
• 46:18
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I just couldn't.
• 46:19
  Speaker 2: I couldn't find a way to get there with it, man.
• 46:21
  Speaker 2: I just worry that the bullpens are not as rested
• 46:24
  Speaker 2: as they need to be here to go full game under.
• 46:27
  Speaker 2: All though, I'm not really gonna disagree with it either.
• 46:30
  Speaker 2: Sixty four percent of tickets, sixty two percent of the
• 46:32
  Speaker 2: cash on the over. The Yankees are too heavy of
• 46:35
  Speaker 2: a favorite. I think up to minus one eighty five
• 46:37
  Speaker 2: for minus one sixty five. I know Fred has really
• 46:39
  Speaker 2: good numbers here, but yeah, I don't know. Eighty seven
• 46:42
  Speaker 2: percent of tickets ninety four percent of the cash on them.
• 46:45
  Speaker 2: I think you're always paying at tax with the Yankees
• 46:48
  Speaker 2: and with Freed, like that's like a double tax to
• 46:50
  Speaker 2: try to play the Yankees there, So there might be
• 46:53
  Speaker 2: even be some values still on looking towards the Tampa
• 46:55
  Speaker 2: Bay side there, maybe in the first five innings because
• 46:58
  Speaker 2: their bullpen has been a rain wreck, so maybe in
• 47:01
  Speaker 2: the first five innings.
• 47:02
  Speaker 1: Well, that's the other thing. I can't really get.
• 47:04
  Speaker 2: On board with a full game under because Tampa's bullpen
• 47:07
  Speaker 2: has sucked ass, so I can't really do it. First
• 47:10
  Speaker 2: five inning Tampa Bay run line maybe makes sense, but
• 47:14
  Speaker 2: I still think the best approach is first five inning under.
• 47:18
  Speaker 1: I do kind of like.
• 47:18
  Speaker 2: That, but it's like three three and a half probably,
• 47:21
  Speaker 2: so maybe a little bit difficult to get there with it,
• 47:24
  Speaker 2: but I do kind of like that one. Washington at Milwaukee.
• 47:28
  Speaker 2: Both these offense have been good so far. Washington kind
• 47:31
  Speaker 2: of a surprised their offense has been good. Milwaukee not
• 47:34
  Speaker 2: really a surprise that theyve been hitting. Milwaukee lost yesterday
• 47:37
  Speaker 2: seven to three. But remember return home spot. All these
• 47:40
  Speaker 2: teams lost in the return home spot yesterday. Man, even
• 47:43
  Speaker 2: though I didn't like the pitching matchup to fade any
• 47:47
  Speaker 2: of those spots yesterday, but like every one of those
• 47:50
  Speaker 2: spots worked out yesterday. Milwaukee took the loss, but now
• 47:54
  Speaker 2: I think it could be a bounced back spot for
• 47:56
  Speaker 2: them because they took that loss, and that.
• 47:58
  Speaker 1: Return home spot could be better. Here we're looking at
• 48:02
  Speaker 1: bullpen usage.
• 48:04
  Speaker 2: Milwaukee used a ton though they used five relief pitchers yesterday.
• 48:08
  Speaker 2: But the good news is Washington's bullpen is terrible. They
• 48:11
  Speaker 2: used four, So it's not like I'm gonna say that
• 48:13
  Speaker 2: Washington's bullpen is and an advantage here.
• 48:16
  Speaker 1: I don't think they are.
• 48:18
  Speaker 2: Washington is somehow fourth in overall ops right now, though
• 48:22
  Speaker 2: Milwaukee's sixth. Both offense have been good bullpen wise, what
• 48:28
  Speaker 2: are we looking at here? Washington, They've been bottom several bullpens.
• 48:32
  Speaker 1: They're not good. We know this.
• 48:34
  Speaker 2: Brewers are actually kind of middle of the pack, although
• 48:36
  Speaker 2: their era looks a little bit better. But the whip
• 48:40
  Speaker 2: indicates they're not as good as maybe you think. But
• 48:42
  Speaker 2: still Milwaukee does have the better bullpen, but they're slightly
• 48:45
  Speaker 2: less rested. Foster Griffin is getting the start for Washington.
• 48:50
  Speaker 2: He hasn't been that bad, dude. I mean, I know,
• 48:52
  Speaker 2: he's a thirty year old kind of journeyman pitcher who
• 48:55
  Speaker 2: hasn't really done much in the majors at all, but
• 49:00
  Speaker 2: he can't exactly argue with an eleven to three strike
• 49:02
  Speaker 2: A walker issue intended. He's pitched against Philly on the
• 49:05
  Speaker 2: road and the Dodgers, and he pitched pretty well in
• 49:08
  Speaker 2: both those starts.
• 49:09
  Speaker 1: I mean, I'm not really yet. I mean, you can't
• 49:11
  Speaker 1: really say anything bad about that.
• 49:13
  Speaker 2: His whip is still a little bit too high. But
• 49:15
  Speaker 2: Griffin has gone up against two pretty good offenses and
• 49:18
  Speaker 2: done fine. So interesting he's going up against another good
• 49:23
  Speaker 2: offense here in Milwaukee, but maybe has a little bit
• 49:25
  Speaker 2: of an edge because they've never faced him before. But
• 49:28
  Speaker 2: there's there is like some game film on this guy though,
• 49:31
  Speaker 2: because he's not young.
• 49:32
  Speaker 1: So I don't know.
• 49:32
  Speaker 2: Man, these guys, like I really hesitate to think that
• 49:37
  Speaker 2: a guy who has never really pitched in the majors
• 49:41
  Speaker 2: for any significant amount of time and now they're thirty,
• 49:44
  Speaker 2: I hesitate to say all of a sudden they're like
• 49:46
  Speaker 2: some great pitcher or something like that.
• 49:48
  Speaker 1: I don't think that's the case.
• 49:50
  Speaker 2: Kyle Harrison, the Red Sox never should have gotten rid
• 49:52
  Speaker 2: of him.
• 49:55
  Speaker 1: He's pitching well to start the season. Man.
• 49:57
  Speaker 2: People were making fun of the Dever's trade. I thought
• 49:59
  Speaker 2: it was good. Harrison and Tibbs both look really, really
• 50:02
  Speaker 2: good right now. The Red Sox traded both of them.
• 50:05
  Speaker 2: Red Sox traded TIBs for Dusty fucking May, who's an
• 50:08
  Speaker 2: absolute piece of garbage. Can't pitch against anybody except the
• 50:12
  Speaker 2: Red Sox. Can't fucking hit him at all. But anyway,
• 50:15
  Speaker 2: Kyle Harrison good pitchers so far this year, and Man
• 50:18
  Speaker 2: fourteen to three strike out walk rasio and ten to
• 50:21
  Speaker 2: third only seven hits allowed. These are good numbers, dude, Yeah,
• 50:26
  Speaker 2: I mean against Tampa Bay Kansas City. Tampa Bay has
• 50:28
  Speaker 2: hit pretty well so far this year, though Kansas City
• 50:31
  Speaker 2: hasn't been horrible.
• 50:33
  Speaker 1: On offense either, so yeah, give him credit.
• 50:35
  Speaker 2: Harrison's pitch well so far this year, but Washington has
• 50:38
  Speaker 2: blown him up a bit. It's a small sample size
• 50:41
  Speaker 2: twenty four at bats four zero strike out walker ratio,
• 50:44
  Speaker 2: but a four to seventeen batting average, one thy sixty
• 50:47
  Speaker 2: seven ops against him, So the matchup numbers don't look good,
• 50:51
  Speaker 2: but it's a small sample size that was earlier in
• 50:54
  Speaker 2: his career. Man Harrison had some struggles earlier in his career.
• 50:57
  Speaker 2: I think he is a different pitcher now. I would
• 51:00
  Speaker 2: lean towards him pitching well in this game more so
• 51:03
  Speaker 2: than I would lean against that being the case.
• 51:07
  Speaker 1: So I mean, it's a stay away from you in
• 51:08
  Speaker 1: this game.
• 51:09
  Speaker 2: But Milwaukee is a huge favorite for minus one forty
• 51:14
  Speaker 2: three and minus one seventy I don't disagree with Milwaukee
• 51:17
  Speaker 2: in this game, but you do have to pay a
• 51:19
  Speaker 2: pretty heavy price for it. Ninety four percent of tickets,
• 51:22
  Speaker 2: ninety nine percent of the cash on them. You know,
• 51:26
  Speaker 2: if you wanted to go split bet and run line,
• 51:28
  Speaker 2: money line whatever, minus one run line. That's probably still
• 51:32
  Speaker 2: my opinion here. I think Harrison probably is better than Grippin.
• 51:35
  Speaker 2: I mean, he's younger, does have the more just raw
• 51:39
  Speaker 2: talent going on here. Once we get to the bullpens,
• 51:42
  Speaker 2: I do think there is still an edge with Milwaukee.
• 51:44
  Speaker 2: They're better hitting as well, so I'm not gonna disagree
• 51:46
  Speaker 2: in a bounce back spot for Milwaukee. So I'm not
• 51:48
  Speaker 2: gonna disagree with that. The money is also coming in
• 51:51
  Speaker 2: on the under fifty eight percent of tickets, seventy eight
• 51:53
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash on the under. If I was
• 51:56
  Speaker 2: gonna go under here, I would I would limit it
• 51:58
  Speaker 2: to the first five innings. I don't want anything to
• 52:00
  Speaker 2: do with two unrested bullpens in Washington's trash bullpen. I
• 52:04
  Speaker 2: don't want that, So under first five innings might make sense.
• 52:09
  Speaker 2: I still think Griffin is a total mystery, though he's
• 52:11
  Speaker 2: in good form right now, so maybe it's like catch
• 52:14
  Speaker 2: him while he's hot type of thing. I like Harrison,
• 52:17
  Speaker 2: even those matchup numbers are bad, but his matchup numbers
• 52:21
  Speaker 2: give me a little.
• 52:21
  Speaker 1: Bit of pause there as well.
• 52:23
  Speaker 2: As far as the under is concerned, I probably still
• 52:25
  Speaker 2: prefer on the Milwaukee side there, but slight lean for
• 52:29
  Speaker 2: me on the under in the first five innings as well.
• 52:31
  Speaker 2: The next game up is my actual play here, man,
• 52:39
  Speaker 2: and I hope the market is still agreeing with this one.
• 52:42
  Speaker 1: It better be, dude, Yeah, it is all right.
• 52:45
  Speaker 2: We're going with the Cleveland Indians money line at plus
• 52:49
  Speaker 2: one hundred. We're just gonna go Cleveland to win the
• 52:51
  Speaker 2: game against Atlanta.
• 52:54
  Speaker 1: The Braves have been hot, I.
• 52:55
  Speaker 2: Get it, but you know, this specific match, I mean
• 52:58
  Speaker 2: think he does have some advantages for Cleveland here. Atlanta
• 53:03
  Speaker 2: they just beat Cleveland eleven of five yesterday. They were
• 53:05
  Speaker 2: the one team in the return home spot that I
• 53:08
  Speaker 2: thought was maybe more worthy of fading yesterday and they
• 53:11
  Speaker 2: won eleven of five. I don't know what am I
• 53:13
  Speaker 2: even doing here, man, I don't know, but maybe it's
• 53:15
  Speaker 2: a bounced back spot for Cleveland here. Now, maybe Atlanta
• 53:18
  Speaker 2: has a little bit of a road trip return delay
• 53:21
  Speaker 2: after that, because they certainly were not bad at all yesterday,
• 53:24
  Speaker 2: and in.
• 53:24
  Speaker 1: Fact, they look too good.
• 53:26
  Speaker 2: They've scored twenty six runs in the last three games,
• 53:30
  Speaker 2: so yeah, their offense is clicking right now. But Cleveland,
• 53:35
  Speaker 2: you know, if anybody's gonna be able to slow down
• 53:38
  Speaker 2: this Atlanta offense, I think it might be a pitching
• 53:41
  Speaker 2: situation like Cleveland has going on in this one.
• 53:44
  Speaker 1: Now.
• 53:44
  Speaker 2: As far as what's going on so far this year,
• 53:45
  Speaker 2: I understand the Braves have been very good on offense.
• 53:48
  Speaker 1: Cleveland is middle of the pack, though, so better than
• 53:51
  Speaker 1: you would think.
• 53:52
  Speaker 2: So there's not as much of an advantage to Atlanta
• 53:54
  Speaker 2: hitting wise as you would think. But I think the
• 53:56
  Speaker 2: pitching encounter that. And yes, Atlanta's had the best bullpen
• 53:59
  Speaker 2: in baseball so far, that's true that I get it.
• 54:03
  Speaker 1: But you know, Cleveland's is not horrible either. They're also
• 54:05
  Speaker 1: middle of the pack.
• 54:06
  Speaker 2: Their eerra doesn't look that good, and I know their
• 54:09
  Speaker 2: whip isn't even that good. But Cleveland's bullpen is a
• 54:13
  Speaker 2: little bit better than that. So I think we can
• 54:14
  Speaker 2: leave this as a full game play here. Uh, looking
• 54:17
  Speaker 2: at the usage yesterday, Atlanta used a lot of relief pitchers.
• 54:21
  Speaker 1: They used six relief pitchers, yes, to know theough.
• 54:24
  Speaker 2: Granted they didn't use that many of them for that
• 54:25
  Speaker 2: many pitches, so some of these guys might pitch again,
• 54:28
  Speaker 2: and they didn't pitch the day before that, but still
• 54:31
  Speaker 2: you have guys that might be coming into a second
• 54:33
  Speaker 2: straight game here. That's not ideal, I would say. And
• 54:37
  Speaker 2: Cleveland kind of just used like some mop up guys
• 54:39
  Speaker 2: out of their bullpen yesterday, like Allard whatever you want
• 54:42
  Speaker 2: to however you want to say his name. So Cleveland's
• 54:45
  Speaker 2: better bullpen arms are available here for the most part
• 54:48
  Speaker 2: in this one, and they used three relief pitchers yesterday,
• 54:50
  Speaker 2: so I think there was a little bit of a
• 54:52
  Speaker 2: bullpen rest edge there. And they didn't use anybody the
• 54:54
  Speaker 2: day before that either, so I think Cleveland does have
• 54:57
  Speaker 2: a little bit of a bullpen rest edge. That kind
• 54:59
  Speaker 2: of nega the fact that Atlanta has the better bullpen.
• 55:03
  Speaker 2: And looking at the starters. Parker Messik is pitching for Cleveland,
• 55:07
  Speaker 2: I think he's still under the radar. Dude, we're getting
• 55:09
  Speaker 2: this guy as an underdog. I think he's a talented
• 55:12
  Speaker 2: young pitcher.
• 55:13
  Speaker 1: Dude.
• 55:13
  Speaker 2: He made his major league debut last year. He made
• 55:15
  Speaker 2: seven starts and he was pretty good. What was really
• 55:18
  Speaker 2: impressive was he had a thirty eight to six strikeout
• 55:21
  Speaker 2: walk ratio last year. That is a great ratio. He
• 55:24
  Speaker 2: just wasn't walking guys. The problem was he was too
• 55:26
  Speaker 2: hit a ball. He gave up too many hits. So
• 55:29
  Speaker 2: stop putting it over the plate, you know, and then
• 55:31
  Speaker 2: he'd be good. His era was still low. All those
• 55:33
  Speaker 2: whip indicates that should have been a little bit worse.
• 55:35
  Speaker 2: But looking at this year so far, he seems to
• 55:39
  Speaker 2: kind of have that under control a bit. He shut
• 55:41
  Speaker 2: out the Dodgers in six innings, and then he held
• 55:44
  Speaker 2: the car and that was on the road, and then
• 55:46
  Speaker 2: he held the Cubs to one are and run of
• 55:47
  Speaker 2: five innings.
• 55:49
  Speaker 1: That's pretty solid stuff, dude.
• 55:50
  Speaker 2: Those are pretty good offenses there, even though I know
• 55:53
  Speaker 2: the Cubs have struggled a bit, but the Dodgers have
• 55:55
  Speaker 2: the best offense in baseball and they have been hitting
• 55:57
  Speaker 2: this year. Messek was able to shut those offenses is down.
• 56:01
  Speaker 2: I think he could do it.
• 56:01
  Speaker 1: To Atlanta, man.
• 56:02
  Speaker 2: I think Atlanta, once the season goes on, they won't
• 56:05
  Speaker 2: be an elite offense. Let's just I mean, they don't
• 56:08
  Speaker 2: even have Profar in their lineup, man, and they got
• 56:10
  Speaker 2: rid of Ozouna. Although I know he hasn't been pitched,
• 56:13
  Speaker 2: he hasn't been hitting well this year. But whatever, Man,
• 56:15
  Speaker 2: I think Messik might be the real deal. Eleven to
• 56:18
  Speaker 2: three strike a walk ratio so far this year is
• 56:20
  Speaker 2: fine as well.
• 56:22
  Speaker 1: I like it. And of course he has the unfamiliarity
• 56:25
  Speaker 1: ed here.
• 56:25
  Speaker 2: So you have a young pitcher that's proven that he
• 56:28
  Speaker 2: has talent here and he's going up against an offense
• 56:30
  Speaker 2: that's never faced before.
• 56:31
  Speaker 1: I think that is an extra edge here. I like it.
• 56:35
  Speaker 2: And he's going up against the old man, Martin Perez.
• 56:39
  Speaker 2: I mean again, like I said, you got to give
• 56:40
  Speaker 2: him credit for what he's.
• 56:41
  Speaker 1: Done so far.
• 56:42
  Speaker 2: He's been in the league for a long time. He's
• 56:44
  Speaker 2: still there, he's still out there doing it. He's not
• 56:47
  Speaker 2: a guy that throws hard, So you know, I'm gonna
• 56:49
  Speaker 2: go with young talent over the old you know, kind
• 56:53
  Speaker 2: of old reliable if you want to call him that,
• 56:56
  Speaker 2: you know what I mean. And there is something to
• 56:57
  Speaker 2: be said about the old reliability stuff. But I don't
• 57:00
  Speaker 2: think Perez is that great really. I mean, he's kind
• 57:03
  Speaker 2: of like a guy that he's stuck around because he's
• 57:06
  Speaker 2: a guy that can pitch. Okay, you know what I mean,
• 57:08
  Speaker 2: that's pretty much what he does. There's just a much
• 57:11
  Speaker 2: higher ceiling with Messek here, and I think he has
• 57:13
  Speaker 2: an advantage in this specific matchup too.
• 57:15
  Speaker 1: Now people are.
• 57:16
  Speaker 2: Gonna look at this and maybe not want to play
• 57:19
  Speaker 2: Cleveland here because everybody loves how Lanta has been hitting
• 57:22
  Speaker 2: the ball. Everybody loves offense, you know what I mean.
• 57:25
  Speaker 2: So they're gonna go with Atlanta for that reason. They
• 57:27
  Speaker 2: kind of know who Perez is, they see that his
• 57:29
  Speaker 2: numbers look good this year, and they'll go with him
• 57:31
  Speaker 2: over the unknown Parker Messik. By the way, it's MP
• 57:34
  Speaker 2: versus PM in this game. Perez, I mean he's been
• 57:39
  Speaker 2: a little bit less good. I mean, there are some
• 57:41
  Speaker 2: indicators that aren't so good with him this year. Even
• 57:43
  Speaker 2: those overall numbers look pretty good, and he has not
• 57:45
  Speaker 2: put that many guys on base, but he didn't go
• 57:48
  Speaker 2: five innings at his first outing.
• 57:50
  Speaker 1: He did shut out the A's for four and a third, so.
• 57:53
  Speaker 2: Yeah, give him credit for that, but he's gone less
• 57:55
  Speaker 2: deep into his outings. His last outing was a little
• 57:58
  Speaker 2: bit more questionable. I know it was at Arizona, which
• 58:01
  Speaker 2: is a difficult part to pitch in, and they're still
• 58:03
  Speaker 2: a pretty decent offense. I think once the season gets going,
• 58:06
  Speaker 2: we'll see that. But he give it four and runs
• 58:08
  Speaker 2: in that.
• 58:09
  Speaker 1: I don't know. He only had one strikeout and one walk.
• 58:12
  Speaker 2: The one walk is fine, but his strikeout stuff, I mean,
• 58:15
  Speaker 2: he doesn't really have it.
• 58:16
  Speaker 1: I mean, that's not really his thing. Like he doesn't
• 58:18
  Speaker 1: blow guys away.
• 58:19
  Speaker 2: He just he throws junk, but and usually gets guys
• 58:22
  Speaker 2: to hit into like soft contact and stuff gets out
• 58:25
  Speaker 2: that way. But you know, I mean the one strike
• 58:29
  Speaker 2: out to one walk, it's not a great indicator. And
• 58:31
  Speaker 2: Cleveland has been able to hit him, okay, they're familiar
• 58:34
  Speaker 2: with them. At fifty two at bats two fifty batting
• 58:37
  Speaker 2: average is not that bad, but the other numbers are
• 58:39
  Speaker 2: kind of damning here where he's a lot of four
• 58:41
  Speaker 2: home runs to them for different hitters of homeward off
• 58:44
  Speaker 2: him nine to fourteen strikeout rock walk strike out rock
• 58:48
  Speaker 2: strike out walk ratio.
• 58:49
  Speaker 1: That's not good.
• 58:51
  Speaker 2: Nine walks from Hoskins though, So I mean he's basically
• 58:54
  Speaker 2: kind of pitched around him. But that's still a bad ratio,
• 58:57
  Speaker 2: and an eight to ninety ops is not that good.
• 58:59
  Speaker 2: So I think the starting pitching edge does go to
• 59:02
  Speaker 2: MESSI here, and the money's agreeing with me here, we're
• 59:04
  Speaker 2: getting Cleveland a little bit of a dog price. Atlanta's
• 59:07
  Speaker 2: at minus won twelve. Atlanta maybe has overperformed so far
• 59:11
  Speaker 2: this season. I think, you know, as far as the
• 59:14
  Speaker 2: market value is concerned, I think there definitely is somewhe
• 59:17
  Speaker 2: on Cleveland here where Atlanta's kind of at the peak
• 59:19
  Speaker 2: of their market value right now, or the peak of
• 59:23
  Speaker 2: their market price, I should say, or you're not getting
• 59:26
  Speaker 2: value on them here. Fifty tickets, seventy percent of the
• 59:29
  Speaker 2: cash on Cleveland. I like Cleveland here. If you want
• 59:31
  Speaker 2: to go first five innings and just focus on the
• 59:33
  Speaker 2: starting pitching, you can do that as well.
• 59:36
  Speaker 1: You'll get them as.
• 59:37
  Speaker 2: An underdog there too, probably I think, maybe less of
• 59:40
  Speaker 2: an underdog though if you do that, it might be
• 59:42
  Speaker 2: like a small like it might be like minus one
• 59:44
  Speaker 2: oh five or something. But we'll go full game on
• 59:48
  Speaker 2: it for me, with a little bit of a bullpen
• 59:50
  Speaker 2: rest edge there as well. Hopefully we get it done there. Yes, correct,
• 59:56
  Speaker 2: that's true. Both teams are Indians, Yes, Indians and Braves. Yeah,
• 1:00:02
  Speaker 2: I don't like it, dude. These streams are way too long. Yeah,
• 1:00:07
  Speaker 2: it's difficult. It takes a lot out of me.
• 1:00:09
  Speaker 1: I can't do it, man. We still have to do NHL, though.
• 1:00:11
  Speaker 2: NHL is going to be faster because I don't do
• 1:00:13
  Speaker 2: as much of matchup breakdowns and shit.
• 1:00:16
  Speaker 1: San Francisco at Baltimore.
• 1:00:17
  Speaker 2: I kind of liked this game and I almost put
• 1:00:20
  Speaker 2: it on my card, but the market read is going
• 1:00:22
  Speaker 2: against me, so I'm staying off of But this is
• 1:00:24
  Speaker 2: a Fox game for anybody who cares. Fox has two
• 1:00:27
  Speaker 2: games going on at the same time. This game might
• 1:00:30
  Speaker 2: actually be the better of the two games because Red
• 1:00:33
  Speaker 2: Sox in Saint Louis that is just ass. That's an
• 1:00:36
  Speaker 2: ass game. San Francisco and Baltimore might be a little
• 1:00:39
  Speaker 2: bit more interesting now.
• 1:00:42
  Speaker 1: This game.
• 1:00:42
  Speaker 2: San Francisco won yesterday six to three. Again, it was a.
• 1:00:45
  Speaker 1: Return home spot. Baltimore lost.
• 1:00:48
  Speaker 2: All the teams except for Atlanta lost in the return
• 1:00:50
  Speaker 2: home spot yesterday Baltimore. That could mean it's a bounce
• 1:00:54
  Speaker 2: back spot for Baltimore here. So the situation is all
• 1:00:57
  Speaker 2: right for Baltimore because again you return home, you get caught,
• 1:01:01
  Speaker 2: you get the bad game out of the way, then
• 1:01:03
  Speaker 2: a lot of times you pitch better or you play better,
• 1:01:05
  Speaker 2: excuse me, in the next game. I don't think they're
• 1:01:07
  Speaker 2: pitching is gonna be good in this game, I'll tell
• 1:01:09
  Speaker 2: you that right now. But you play better in the
• 1:01:12
  Speaker 2: next game, you know what I mean. You bounce back
• 1:01:14
  Speaker 2: from that a lot of the time. I'm looking at
• 1:01:17
  Speaker 2: the bullpen's year, Baltimore mid middle of the pack, better
• 1:01:21
  Speaker 2: than they were last year, at least so far, so
• 1:01:23
  Speaker 2: that's not horrible. San Francisco they're a little bit worse
• 1:01:27
  Speaker 2: than that. They're a below average bullpen right now, worse
• 1:01:29
  Speaker 2: than Baltimore's. But last year San Francisco had a top
• 1:01:33
  Speaker 2: tier bullpen and they have a lot of the same guys.
• 1:01:35
  Speaker 2: So I don't actually think that the Giants bullpen is
• 1:01:39
  Speaker 2: as bad as maybe we think they are right now. Offensively, yeah,
• 1:01:42
  Speaker 2: the Giants are not very good. Their bottom five offense
• 1:01:46
  Speaker 2: right now, that was the case last year. I don't
• 1:01:47
  Speaker 2: think they're a good offense. Baltimore's eighth right now. I
• 1:01:51
  Speaker 2: do agree Baltimore has the better offense, So I'm not
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 2: gonna question.
• 1:01:54
  Speaker 1: That bullpen usage.
• 1:01:59
  Speaker 2: Baltimore used three relieved pitchers yesterday, didn't use any On Thursday,
• 1:02:03
  Speaker 2: San Francisco almost the same.
• 1:02:04
  Speaker 1: They used four, but they.
• 1:02:05
  Speaker 2: Only use Gauge for two pitches. Yesterday also didn't use
• 1:02:09
  Speaker 2: anybody yesterday. So the bullpens you gotta give. I think
• 1:02:12
  Speaker 2: you got to give the edge to San Francisco to
• 1:02:14
  Speaker 2: be honest. Even though Baltimore's has been better so far
• 1:02:18
  Speaker 2: this year, I just don't buy it completely and started pitching.
• 1:02:21
  Speaker 2: I think you have a huge advantage for a Logan
• 1:02:23
  Speaker 2: web here in my opinion, Logan Webb, he doesn't look
• 1:02:26
  Speaker 2: good to start the season.
• 1:02:27
  Speaker 1: With a five ERA, but.
• 1:02:29
  Speaker 2: Dude, I mean it's fitting that he's from Rockland, California,
• 1:02:34
  Speaker 2: because he is kind of a rock out there. He's
• 1:02:36
  Speaker 2: one of the steadiest pitchers out there, and I know
• 1:02:38
  Speaker 2: he is better at home. It's a more pitcher friendly
• 1:02:41
  Speaker 2: park at home in San Francisco. He's not as good
• 1:02:43
  Speaker 2: on the road, but he's usually pretty solid man. He
• 1:02:45
  Speaker 2: goes out there and grinds, gets a lot of innings,
• 1:02:48
  Speaker 2: and his numbers are pretty consistently pretty good. He's the
• 1:02:53
  Speaker 2: best pitcher in the Giants rotation so far this year.
• 1:02:56
  Speaker 2: I know he struggled a little bit, but it was
• 1:02:59
  Speaker 2: mostly his first out against the Yankees. He gave up
• 1:03:02
  Speaker 2: six runs and that's skewing a era, But we know
• 1:03:04
  Speaker 2: the Yankees, I mean, they they have a good offense.
• 1:03:06
  Speaker 2: It was the first game of the season and he's
• 1:03:08
  Speaker 2: still had a seven to one strike out walk ratio,
• 1:03:10
  Speaker 2: so I think give him a little bit of a
• 1:03:12
  Speaker 2: pass for that. And yeah, he had four walks against
• 1:03:14
  Speaker 2: San Diego. That's not great, so overall fifteen to six
• 1:03:18
  Speaker 2: strike out walk ratio. But Web, I mean he's been
• 1:03:21
  Speaker 2: He's been in the league long enough. We know exactly
• 1:03:23
  Speaker 2: who he is though pretty much, and he's showing signs
• 1:03:26
  Speaker 2: that he's coming back into form because he bitched well
• 1:03:29
  Speaker 2: against the Mets seven innings. It was his best start
• 1:03:31
  Speaker 2: of the season so far. One on and run against
• 1:03:34
  Speaker 2: the lineup that is pretty good in the Mets, so
• 1:03:36
  Speaker 2: I think Webb is trustworthy. And against the Orioles, he's
• 1:03:39
  Speaker 2: been good in the past fifty before at bats sixteen
• 1:03:42
  Speaker 2: to two strike out walk ratio, one to eighty five
• 1:03:45
  Speaker 2: batting average allowed, five to twenty nine ops. That is
• 1:03:49
  Speaker 2: pretty good. So Web has good matchup numbers against Baltimore.
• 1:03:53
  Speaker 2: He's going up against Chris Bassett, and I seem to
• 1:03:56
  Speaker 2: disagree with like the professional betters that I listened to
• 1:03:59
  Speaker 2: and whatever they like Chris Bassett and I do not.
• 1:04:04
  Speaker 2: There's seems to be a big disparity, you know, between
• 1:04:08
  Speaker 2: us what we think about Chris Bassett. I don't think
• 1:04:11
  Speaker 2: he's good dude, And I think I'm being proven right
• 1:04:13
  Speaker 2: so far this season. The professionals will tell you, oh, Bassett,
• 1:04:17
  Speaker 2: he's really good at home. He's been good at home
• 1:04:19
  Speaker 2: throughout his career. I look at like his overall numbers
• 1:04:22
  Speaker 2: and like his whip last year finishing in the one threes,
• 1:04:25
  Speaker 2: and I'm like, no, I don't think Bassett is that good.
• 1:04:28
  Speaker 2: Is his career numbers are just not that good. If
• 1:04:31
  Speaker 2: you look at his overall career, I mean they're fine,
• 1:04:35
  Speaker 2: one point two five whip, that's all right. I mean
• 1:04:37
  Speaker 2: he's had a good career, that's fine. But last couple
• 1:04:40
  Speaker 2: of seasons his whip was like in the high one threes.
• 1:04:44
  Speaker 1: I mean that's not good in two full seasons.
• 1:04:46
  Speaker 2: So no, I'm not a fan of Bassett really, And
• 1:04:49
  Speaker 2: this season, like I was saying, I mean, he hasn't
• 1:04:52
  Speaker 2: been good at all.
• 1:04:53
  Speaker 1: This season.
• 1:04:53
  Speaker 2: He has three strikeouts, six walks, horrible ratio, he's allowed
• 1:04:57
  Speaker 2: almost two hits an inning. He's allowed way over one
• 1:05:01
  Speaker 2: runn an inning. Hasn't made it five innings and either
• 1:05:03
  Speaker 2: start so far, and it was against Texas, Texas and Pittsburgh.
• 1:05:07
  Speaker 2: Those are not the best lineup so far. Man, those
• 1:05:09
  Speaker 2: are not the best lineups. And I know the Giants
• 1:05:11
  Speaker 2: are not either. But Bassett has done nothing to inspire
• 1:05:15
  Speaker 2: any confidence in him so far. And the Giants have
• 1:05:17
  Speaker 2: actually hit him fairly well. In seventy three at bats,
• 1:05:20
  Speaker 2: seventeen to four, strikeout walk ratio three ZH one average allowed,
• 1:05:24
  Speaker 2: eight seventeen ops.
• 1:05:25
  Speaker 1: Those are not very good numbers.
• 1:05:27
  Speaker 2: So I like the Giants in this game, but the
• 1:05:30
  Speaker 2: money is not agreeing with me. The Giants are a
• 1:05:32
  Speaker 2: public side, sixty five percent of the tickets, sixty two
• 1:05:35
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash on them. They're down from minus
• 1:05:37
  Speaker 2: one twenty to minus one thirteen here. The money's coming
• 1:05:41
  Speaker 2: in very strong than the under for what that's world.
• 1:05:43
  Speaker 2: So the market read is saying Baltimore and under. And
• 1:05:48
  Speaker 2: you know, while I see the argument that it is
• 1:05:49
  Speaker 2: a bounce back spot for Baltimore, like, the situation does
• 1:05:53
  Speaker 2: favor Baltimore. So I'm gonna stay off the game. But
• 1:05:56
  Speaker 2: pitching matchup wise, I like the Giants and I think
• 1:05:59
  Speaker 2: that might overcome the situation. But I don't know, man,
• 1:06:03
  Speaker 2: I don't know how much like that second game back
• 1:06:06
  Speaker 2: home bounce back spot, I think is a less strong
• 1:06:08
  Speaker 2: situation than the return home spot being very bad. So yeah,
• 1:06:13
  Speaker 2: I disagree with the market in that one. I like
• 1:06:15
  Speaker 2: the Giants in that game. If you wanted to go
• 1:06:18
  Speaker 2: first five inning Giants, I think that makes sense to
• 1:06:21
  Speaker 2: and just focus on the starting pitching. But I do
• 1:06:23
  Speaker 2: think the Giants are gonna have a resurgence out of
• 1:06:26
  Speaker 2: their bullpen as well.
• 1:06:28
  Speaker 1: This year.
• 1:06:30
  Speaker 2: Red Sox at the Cardinals, this is just bad, dude.
• 1:06:33
  Speaker 2: Connolly Early. Another good start out of Connolly Early yesterday.
• 1:06:37
  Speaker 2: He's a very talented young pitcher for the Red Sox,
• 1:06:40
  Speaker 2: and it gets wasted because he gets no run support,
• 1:06:43
  Speaker 2: and then the Red Sox bullpen also blows the game.
• 1:06:46
  Speaker 2: I think when Early left the game, I think he
• 1:06:47
  Speaker 2: was winning two to one.
• 1:06:50
  Speaker 1: It's just pathetic, dude.
• 1:06:51
  Speaker 2: This Red Sox offense not even being able to hit
• 1:06:54
  Speaker 2: fucking Dustin.
• 1:06:55
  Speaker 1: May, who is absolute trash. I don't get it at all.
• 1:06:59
  Speaker 2: This Red Sox offense, major major problems right now. Although
• 1:07:03
  Speaker 2: it's not like Saint Louis's offense is good Red Sox
• 1:07:07
  Speaker 2: as far as their bullpen, their bullpen has been okay
• 1:07:09
  Speaker 2: this year. I'm looking at hitting right now though, Red
• 1:07:12
  Speaker 2: Sox bottom third hitting right now, that's pretty bad.
• 1:07:17
  Speaker 1: Saint Louis I think might be above them. Where are
• 1:07:19
  Speaker 1: they at?
• 1:07:22
  Speaker 2: Yeah, Saint Louis is eleventh in offense right now, which
• 1:07:25
  Speaker 2: I don't really buy that. I mean, Saint Louis, this
• 1:07:28
  Speaker 2: is kind of a rebuilding year for them, so I
• 1:07:30
  Speaker 2: don't buy that Saint Louis's offense is going to continue
• 1:07:32
  Speaker 2: to do that. Their bullpen is worse than the Red Sox.
• 1:07:35
  Speaker 2: Saint Louis has have a bottom third bullpen here. Red
• 1:07:38
  Speaker 2: Sox have been middle of the pack, not too bad.
• 1:07:41
  Speaker 2: So you know, just we're trying to, you know it,
• 1:07:45
  Speaker 2: just analyze every piece of this game here. As you know,
• 1:07:48
  Speaker 2: Red Sox used four relief pitchers yesterday though, which is
• 1:07:50
  Speaker 2: not that great. Cardinals only used three and it was
• 1:07:53
  Speaker 2: pretty light usage. So bullpen rest wise is not really
• 1:07:57
  Speaker 2: in favor of the Red Sox here. I think they
• 1:07:59
  Speaker 2: do have the better bull It kind of gets negated
• 1:08:02
  Speaker 2: a little bit to the point where the bullpen's kind
• 1:08:04
  Speaker 2: of become a bit of a wash starting pitching wise,
• 1:08:07
  Speaker 2: if you just look on the surface, like you gotta think,
• 1:08:10
  Speaker 2: the Red Sox do have the better starting pitcher on
• 1:08:12
  Speaker 2: the mound here with Ron your Suarez, even though he's
• 1:08:15
  Speaker 2: off to a really bad start as a Boston Red Sox. Dude,
• 1:08:19
  Speaker 2: I don't know what's going on with him. Maybe just
• 1:08:21
  Speaker 2: pitching in this huge, you know, sports market where the
• 1:08:25
  Speaker 2: fans are this intense. Maybe Suarez is u is up
• 1:08:29
  Speaker 2: against it. I'm not ready to say that he sucks
• 1:08:32
  Speaker 2: right now that because we've seen him pitch multiple seasons
• 1:08:34
  Speaker 2: where he was good. I liked the offseason move. I
• 1:08:37
  Speaker 2: thought it was one of their best moves they made.
• 1:08:40
  Speaker 2: Don't prove me wrong, man, Come on, Ron Your let's
• 1:08:43
  Speaker 2: fucking go now. He had a bad start against Houston.
• 1:08:46
  Speaker 2: Houston's been lighting it up offensively for the most part though.
• 1:08:48
  Speaker 1: So I don't know.
• 1:08:50
  Speaker 2: But then he did not really bounce back well against
• 1:08:52
  Speaker 2: San Diego against an offense that really has had a
• 1:08:55
  Speaker 2: bad season. So that is pretty bad. So Suarez is
• 1:08:59
  Speaker 2: definitely in bad for right now. Just his overall numbers
• 1:09:02
  Speaker 2: are bad. Five to three strike out walk ratio eight
• 1:09:05
  Speaker 2: and a third innings pitch hasn't gone five innings in
• 1:09:07
  Speaker 2: either outing. You expect a lot better out of him,
• 1:09:10
  Speaker 2: But I do expect him to start doing better at
• 1:09:13
  Speaker 2: some point.
• 1:09:14
  Speaker 1: Thirteen hits allowed. When is he gonna start doing better?
• 1:09:17
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 1:09:17
  Speaker 2: I mean maybe here Saint Louis only has twelve at
• 1:09:20
  Speaker 2: bats against him. They have no extra base hits against him,
• 1:09:23
  Speaker 2: one strikeout, no walks, two fifty average five hundred ops.
• 1:09:27
  Speaker 1: So Suarez has done pretty well against them.
• 1:09:30
  Speaker 2: Maybe he starts doing better right here, right now, man,
• 1:09:33
  Speaker 2: it's a more pitcher friendly park here. Come on, man,
• 1:09:36
  Speaker 2: let's go. Let's get something done. He's going up against
• 1:09:40
  Speaker 2: Kyle Lahey, who has mostly been a reliever throughout his career.
• 1:09:44
  Speaker 2: His numbers are not particularly good this year. He's gone
• 1:09:47
  Speaker 2: ten innings, thirteen hits allowed, five to five strikeout walk ratio,
• 1:09:50
  Speaker 2: so somewhat similar to us Suarez, except that he's gone
• 1:09:54
  Speaker 2: a little bit deeper into his outings. He's got five
• 1:09:56
  Speaker 2: innings in each, and he did face the Mats, who
• 1:09:59
  Speaker 2: are pretty good offense to a little bit better in
• 1:10:01
  Speaker 2: his most recent start against Detroit lay He I mean still,
• 1:10:06
  Speaker 2: I don't think he's the better starting pitcher here, man.
• 1:10:08
  Speaker 2: I mean, he's twenty eight years old at this point
• 1:10:11
  Speaker 2: in his career, has been mostly coming out of the bullpen.
• 1:10:15
  Speaker 1: Red Sox has seen a little bit of him.
• 1:10:16
  Speaker 2: They only have four guys who have seen him before
• 1:10:19
  Speaker 2: seven at bats, one strikeout, no walks, but they do
• 1:10:21
  Speaker 2: have a four to twenty nine average off him and
• 1:10:24
  Speaker 2: one thousand oh ps, so not a big sample size.
• 1:10:27
  Speaker 2: He is unfamiliar to them, to them, but the Red
• 1:10:28
  Speaker 2: Sox have been able to hit him when they have
• 1:10:32
  Speaker 2: seen him. So I think the Red Sox have advantages
• 1:10:36
  Speaker 2: throughout this game. Like, I think the Red Sox should
• 1:10:38
  Speaker 2: win this game, but the money is completely fading them.
• 1:10:41
  Speaker 2: I don't get it, man, Like to me at some point,
• 1:10:45
  Speaker 2: like the Red Sox are clearly better than the record
• 1:10:47
  Speaker 2: would suggest, and the oddsbreakers are telling you the better
• 1:10:50
  Speaker 2: team here minus one thirty seventy eight percent of tickets
• 1:10:54
  Speaker 2: on them, though fifty four percent of the cash on
• 1:10:56
  Speaker 2: Saint Louis the money indicating on Saint Louis. I don't
• 1:10:59
  Speaker 2: like it money coming on in the under in this
• 1:11:01
  Speaker 2: game as well. I mean I could see that as
• 1:11:05
  Speaker 2: far as you know the fact that I just don't
• 1:11:07
  Speaker 2: think either offense. I mean Red Sox bad form from
• 1:11:10
  Speaker 2: their offense right now. In Saint Louis's offense, I just
• 1:11:13
  Speaker 2: don't think it's good. So, I mean, I could see
• 1:11:15
  Speaker 2: some arguments for that, but this game just really really
• 1:11:18
  Speaker 2: confuses me. Man, Like, the Red Sox better fucking win
• 1:11:21
  Speaker 2: this game, That's all I have to say. But the
• 1:11:23
  Speaker 2: money is completely fading them. So market, Reid says Saint
• 1:11:26
  Speaker 2: Louis and under so do what that would you want?
• 1:11:29
  Speaker 2: Baseball handicapping sucks, dude. It's so difficult because I disagree
• 1:11:32
  Speaker 2: with the market often, more often in this sport than
• 1:11:36
  Speaker 2: any other. What I don't get it a drunk trailer parks.
• 1:11:44
  Speaker 2: I have no idea what we're talking about. Trailer park supervisor,
• 1:11:48
  Speaker 2: no clue. Colorado at San Diego. This is a weird
• 1:11:52
  Speaker 2: match up here. San Diego's won both games in the
• 1:11:55
  Speaker 2: series so far, but both games were close. One was
• 1:11:58
  Speaker 2: extra innings in San Diego had a walk off grand Slam.
• 1:12:01
  Speaker 2: Then Colorado almost got it, got it through five innings
• 1:12:05
  Speaker 2: for US. Yesterday it was a tiede game going into
• 1:12:08
  Speaker 2: the bottom of the fifth and they allowed two runs
• 1:12:10
  Speaker 2: and lost us The bet in a dramatic fashion there.
• 1:12:15
  Speaker 1: Then San Diego tied the game, and then they lost still.
• 1:12:17
  Speaker 2: In I think the ninth inning last night. I think
• 1:12:19
  Speaker 2: it was not an extra inning game.
• 1:12:21
  Speaker 1: Yeah, so San Diego was close to winning both or
• 1:12:23
  Speaker 1: excuse me, Colorado was close to winning both these games.
• 1:12:27
  Speaker 2: So maybe San Diego will take Colorado lightly now, but
• 1:12:30
  Speaker 2: maybe not because Colorado has played them really close. Maybe
• 1:12:33
  Speaker 2: Colorado's in a hangover spot because they put in so
• 1:12:35
  Speaker 2: much effort in those two games and almost pulled off
• 1:12:37
  Speaker 2: the upset twice.
• 1:12:40
  Speaker 1: It's hard to gauge this game.
• 1:12:42
  Speaker 2: Man, I don't know if San Diego is gonna overlook
• 1:12:43
  Speaker 2: Colorado this time or not. As far as the hitting
• 1:12:47
  Speaker 2: is concerned, San Diego's hitting has been awful so far
• 1:12:49
  Speaker 2: this year.
• 1:12:51
  Speaker 1: Where are they at?
• 1:12:53
  Speaker 2: Yeah, their bottom four right now. Colorado, believe it or not,
• 1:12:55
  Speaker 2: is somewhere.
• 1:12:57
  Speaker 1: Yeah, top half. But I don't know, man, I don't
• 1:12:59
  Speaker 1: know if I'm ready to say the Colorado's offense is
• 1:13:01
  Speaker 1: that good. I think both offenses might have some issues.
• 1:13:06
  Speaker 2: Bullpen wise, Colorado actually hasn't been as bad as you
• 1:13:10
  Speaker 2: would think.
• 1:13:11
  Speaker 1: Where are they at here?
• 1:13:14
  Speaker 2: Padres I think are still clearly better though, although at
• 1:13:16
  Speaker 2: Colorado actually has the fourth best bullpen whip wise so far,
• 1:13:20
  Speaker 2: which makes no sense. San Diego right behind them. But
• 1:13:23
  Speaker 2: I think San Diego is the better bullpen. I think
• 1:13:25
  Speaker 2: there's no question about that, so I'm not really gonna
• 1:13:28
  Speaker 2: dig into it too much. San Diego used four relief
• 1:13:31
  Speaker 2: pitchers yesterday, though, which is not great, but still don't
• 1:13:34
  Speaker 2: think Colorado's bulpmen is that good. They used three, but
• 1:13:38
  Speaker 2: I'm still not sold on Colorado's bullpend being any good
• 1:13:40
  Speaker 2: at all. Ryan Feltner's picture for Colorado. He's one of
• 1:13:45
  Speaker 2: their better pitchers, but he's still not exactly good. His
• 1:13:48
  Speaker 2: whip is definitely too high. He's only gone eight in
• 1:13:51
  Speaker 2: the third innings over two starts. So far, He's been fine,
• 1:13:55
  Speaker 2: but his last start against Houston. I know they've been
• 1:13:57
  Speaker 2: a good offense this season, but two walks, one strike up,
• 1:14:00
  Speaker 2: four earned runs and five and a third seven hits.
• 1:14:03
  Speaker 2: That's not a good outing five to three streke a
• 1:14:05
  Speaker 2: walk ratio really, really mediocre stuff from Feltner, and he
• 1:14:10
  Speaker 2: hasn't been good against San Diego really.
• 1:14:12
  Speaker 1: In forty six at bats, eleven to six streke.
• 1:14:14
  Speaker 2: A walk ratio three forty eight average, allowed eight to
• 1:14:17
  Speaker 2: fourteen ops.
• 1:14:19
  Speaker 1: Not good.
• 1:14:21
  Speaker 2: Herman Marquez is kind of the more interesting thing here
• 1:14:24
  Speaker 2: because he's pitching for San Diego and he's going up
• 1:14:27
  Speaker 2: against his former team.
• 1:14:28
  Speaker 1: The Rockies.
• 1:14:29
  Speaker 2: He used to pitch for the Rockies and he was
• 1:14:31
  Speaker 2: not that good. But maybe he should be a little
• 1:14:34
  Speaker 2: bit better pitching in San Diego. It's a pitcher friendly park.
• 1:14:37
  Speaker 2: But maybe he's gonna be a little bit more motivated
• 1:14:40
  Speaker 2: here because he's gonna go up against the team and
• 1:14:42
  Speaker 2: got rid of him. But he might be happy to
• 1:14:44
  Speaker 2: just be out of Colorado, so maybe maybe he won't
• 1:14:47
  Speaker 2: be that motivated. His numbers are not very good to
• 1:14:50
  Speaker 2: start the season. His whip is really bad at two.
• 1:14:53
  Speaker 2: But again it is a small sample size. But I
• 1:14:56
  Speaker 2: still don't trust the fact that he got absolutely lit
• 1:14:58
  Speaker 2: up in his first start against the Sar Cisco team
• 1:15:00
  Speaker 2: that can't hit. He I mean he did better. Maybe
• 1:15:04
  Speaker 2: he was just shaky first start with San Diego. He
• 1:15:06
  Speaker 2: did better against Pittsburgh. He shut them out for five innings.
• 1:15:09
  Speaker 2: Give him credit for that for sure. Overall numbers not
• 1:15:13
  Speaker 2: good five to two, strike a walk, Racio fourteen hits
• 1:15:15
  Speaker 2: an eight innings pitch. But did pitch better against Pittsburgh,
• 1:15:18
  Speaker 2: so maybe, I mean he is at least trending in
• 1:15:21
  Speaker 2: the right direction, and Colorado has not really faced him
• 1:15:24
  Speaker 2: in a real game environment because he was on their team,
• 1:15:27
  Speaker 2: so they probably know his tendencies, they know about him,
• 1:15:31
  Speaker 2: but they haven't faced him in an actual game really,
• 1:15:34
  Speaker 2: So it's an interesting scenario where I think the edge
• 1:15:36
  Speaker 2: does go to the pitcher a little bit and the
• 1:15:38
  Speaker 2: motivation kind of is on his side. When that's the case,
• 1:15:42
  Speaker 2: they only have nine at bats against them. Some of
• 1:15:44
  Speaker 2: the guys have faced him in other games before three
• 1:15:47
  Speaker 2: to two strike a walk ratio McCarthy as a home
• 1:15:50
  Speaker 2: run off him two twenty two average nine to nineteen ops.
• 1:15:53
  Speaker 2: Not gonna put much weight into a small sample size
• 1:15:56
  Speaker 2: like that, though. This is a really difficult game to
• 1:15:59
  Speaker 2: handicap for all all the reasons I just said. San
• 1:16:01
  Speaker 2: Diego dropped for minus won seventy five to minus one,
• 1:16:04
  Speaker 2: fifty seven, eighty percent of tickets, eighty four percent of
• 1:16:06
  Speaker 2: the cash on them. I have no good read on
• 1:16:10
  Speaker 2: the side, man, just there are arguments for both sides
• 1:16:13
  Speaker 2: here that.
• 1:16:14
  Speaker 1: I could see.
• 1:16:15
  Speaker 2: The money is kind of indicating on San Diego after
• 1:16:17
  Speaker 2: an initial drop in the live but they are also public.
• 1:16:21
  Speaker 2: Perhaps I think the better approach here is actually an over,
• 1:16:25
  Speaker 2: even though you could argue that Marquez is going to
• 1:16:27
  Speaker 2: be motivated here. I just don't trust either of these starters, man,
• 1:16:30
  Speaker 2: and I know you got to dodge of these two bullpens.
• 1:16:33
  Speaker 2: San Diego's bullpen is good, but I think Colorado's is
• 1:16:36
  Speaker 2: not good. So even though they have been good so
• 1:16:39
  Speaker 2: far this year, the total did flip to eight and
• 1:16:41
  Speaker 2: a half juice to the under, but now we see
• 1:16:43
  Speaker 2: seventy five percent of tickets ninety one percent of the
• 1:16:45
  Speaker 2: cash on the over, so the money seems to be
• 1:16:47
  Speaker 2: indicating on the over. That is kind of the way
• 1:16:51
  Speaker 2: that I lean in that game is maybe the better
• 1:16:53
  Speaker 2: way to play it. But it is also a picture
• 1:16:55
  Speaker 2: friendly park there too, but that is factoring into the line.
• 1:16:58
  Speaker 2: And both games the series have been kind of high
• 1:17:01
  Speaker 2: scoring so far. We had well ten runs and then
• 1:17:04
  Speaker 2: seven runs, so not exactly, but one of the games
• 1:17:07
  Speaker 2: was fairly high, but again it actually wasn't, so that's
• 1:17:10
  Speaker 2: the other thing that first game was misleadingly Both games
• 1:17:14
  Speaker 2: are kind of misleadingly high scoring because they were both
• 1:17:18
  Speaker 2: pretty low scoring games very late into the game. But
• 1:17:21
  Speaker 2: also what you have seen is that Colorado's bullpen has
• 1:17:23
  Speaker 2: failed in both those games, so clearly they're not the
• 1:17:26
  Speaker 2: better bullpen. Leahy is the Trailer Park Supervisor and Trailer
• 1:17:34
  Speaker 2: Park Boys.
• 1:17:35
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm not familiar with it. I know of the show,
• 1:17:37
  Speaker 1: but that's about it. I think the actor who plays
• 1:17:40
  Speaker 1: Bubbles is a pedophile or something.
• 1:17:42
  Speaker 2: Colorado, Yeah, they're gonna regress. They're not really that good.
• 1:17:48
  Speaker 2: I still think they're probably a last place team in
• 1:17:50
  Speaker 2: that division. Texas at the Dodgers. Kind of interesting game here.
• 1:17:56
  Speaker 2: Dodgers won eight to seven yesterday in a return home spot.
• 1:17:59
  Speaker 2: They didn't exact do well, but they won the game.
• 1:18:02
  Speaker 2: I think as a big favorite. A lot of runs
• 1:18:04
  Speaker 2: came home in that game. Hitting wise, the Dodgers have
• 1:18:07
  Speaker 2: had the best offensive baseball they probably do.
• 1:18:09
  Speaker 1: I mean that's not anything shocking.
• 1:18:12
  Speaker 2: Rangers have been middle of the pack, although I don't
• 1:18:14
  Speaker 2: think their offense is that good. Dodgers had the better
• 1:18:16
  Speaker 2: offense here. Both bullpens have been pretty good so far
• 1:18:19
  Speaker 2: this year, but I think Texas is actually better. Same
• 1:18:22
  Speaker 2: whip and better era for Texas. So I'm gonna rank
• 1:18:25
  Speaker 2: Texas the better bullpen here, which I think is not
• 1:18:29
  Speaker 2: that surprising anyway, and probably not wrong.
• 1:18:32
  Speaker 1: Texas has used.
• 1:18:33
  Speaker 2: Four relievers yesterday, though Dodgers used three, so Dodgers' bullpen
• 1:18:38
  Speaker 2: is a little bit more arrested, So maybe that cancels
• 1:18:41
  Speaker 2: off the edge a little bit there. As far as
• 1:18:44
  Speaker 2: the starting pitching, Jack Lighter is pitching for the Rangers.
• 1:18:47
  Speaker 2: He's off to a good start the season. Man maybe
• 1:18:50
  Speaker 2: finally becoming what we thought he might. He's he's a
• 1:18:53
  Speaker 2: pretty talented young pitcher man. High ceiling for Lighter.
• 1:18:57
  Speaker 1: We did play I.
• 1:18:57
  Speaker 2: Believe the under in his last game. We got the
• 1:19:00
  Speaker 2: win on that. I mean it was it under first five.
• 1:19:03
  Speaker 2: Maybe I forget whatever it was. I think it was
• 1:19:06
  Speaker 2: a winner.
• 1:19:06
  Speaker 1: On the show.
• 1:19:08
  Speaker 2: But he's actually been excellent so far this year against
• 1:19:10
  Speaker 2: Baltimore and Cincinnati. I know Cincinnati hasn't been good offensively
• 1:19:14
  Speaker 2: so far this year. Baltimore's okay, but eleven in he's
• 1:19:17
  Speaker 2: pitched so far, seventeen to two strike out walk ratio
• 1:19:20
  Speaker 2: is really good, So his strikeout stuff is very much there.
• 1:19:24
  Speaker 2: He's not walking guys, and that's kind of been the
• 1:19:26
  Speaker 2: concern with him, I think is that he's walked too
• 1:19:28
  Speaker 2: many guys in the past. But that's not the case
• 1:19:30
  Speaker 2: right now. He hasn't allowed too many hits. He's in
• 1:19:32
  Speaker 2: very good for him right now, and the Dodgers have
• 1:19:34
  Speaker 2: never seen him before, so a lot of edges for
• 1:19:37
  Speaker 2: Lighter here in this one memory. I think he has
• 1:19:39
  Speaker 2: an extra edge because the Dodgers have not faced him before.
• 1:19:43
  Speaker 2: Dodgers have a young pitcher going as well, Emmett she
• 1:19:46
  Speaker 2: and I think it's better than his numbers look so
• 1:19:49
  Speaker 2: far this year. But he's not in good form right now.
• 1:19:51
  Speaker 2: Man eight strikeouts, five walks. He had more walks than
• 1:19:54
  Speaker 2: strikeouts in his most recent outing against Washington. He struggled there.
• 1:19:58
  Speaker 2: He hasn't gone six any in either of his starts
• 1:20:01
  Speaker 2: he's got. He's given up four and runs in each
• 1:20:03
  Speaker 2: of them more hits than innings pitch. So yeah, right now,
• 1:20:07
  Speaker 2: and it's against Washington and Arizona. I mean Washington has
• 1:20:10
  Speaker 2: somehow hit well this year so far. In Arizona does
• 1:20:13
  Speaker 2: have an okay offense. But still Sheen has obviously been
• 1:20:17
  Speaker 2: the way worse of the two pitchers here against Lighter
• 1:20:20
  Speaker 2: so far. So you do have to worry man, Even
• 1:20:22
  Speaker 2: though I think if you look at Shean's career numbers,
• 1:20:25
  Speaker 2: he doesn't have a huge sample size, but he's been
• 1:20:28
  Speaker 2: way better than this. Like, I think he's a pretty
• 1:20:30
  Speaker 2: talented pitcher to be honest, career. Like you know, last
• 1:20:34
  Speaker 2: year he had a four strikeout walk ratio, which is
• 1:20:36
  Speaker 2: really good.
• 1:20:37
  Speaker 1: His whip was below one. He made twelve starts, so
• 1:20:40
  Speaker 1: I don't think Sheen is actually that bad.
• 1:20:42
  Speaker 2: But as of right now, he's not that good and
• 1:20:44
  Speaker 2: Texas has seen him a little bit. Seventeen of bats
• 1:20:47
  Speaker 2: four to two strike out walk ratio. McCutcheon has a
• 1:20:50
  Speaker 2: home runoff him two thirty five. Batting average allowed seven
• 1:20:54
  Speaker 2: eighty six ops, so.
• 1:20:57
  Speaker 1: Good.
• 1:20:58
  Speaker 2: Batting average allowed, small samples. You can't really read too
• 1:21:01
  Speaker 2: much into this. By the way, Josh Smith shout out
• 1:21:03
  Speaker 2: to him, I thought he was running for senate out
• 1:21:06
  Speaker 2: of Iowa or something, but apparently he's playing four other
• 1:21:09
  Speaker 2: Texas Rangers now. Seven eighty six ops allowed by she
• 1:21:15
  Speaker 2: and two Texas. I kind of like Texas in this game, man.
• 1:21:19
  Speaker 2: I think current form means something, and I'm gonna kind
• 1:21:22
  Speaker 2: of lean towards Jack Lighter's side here, man. I think
• 1:21:25
  Speaker 2: Texas has the better pen as well, even though they're
• 1:21:27
  Speaker 2: a little bit less rested. I might take the shot
• 1:21:30
  Speaker 2: with Texas run line here, maybe split bet run line
• 1:21:33
  Speaker 2: money line. Dodgers are up to minus one pint eighty
• 1:21:36
  Speaker 2: here they are a little bit public. Seventy seven percent
• 1:21:38
  Speaker 2: of tickets, eighty seven percent of the cash on them.
• 1:21:41
  Speaker 1: Money is kind of indicating on them. But I think
• 1:21:43
  Speaker 1: Texas might be a lean here.
• 1:21:45
  Speaker 2: I also don't disagree with an under all though he
• 1:21:47
  Speaker 2: sees sixty three percent of tickets, sixty seven percent of
• 1:21:50
  Speaker 2: the cash on the over you don't have to worry
• 1:21:51
  Speaker 2: a little bit about bullpend usage. But both bullmens have
• 1:21:55
  Speaker 2: been good so far. The total drops slightly to the
• 1:21:57
  Speaker 2: eight and a half, I could see it going under.
• 1:22:00
  Speaker 2: I think both starting pitchers might be able.
• 1:22:02
  Speaker 1: To duel in this game.
• 1:22:03
  Speaker 2: But I kind of give the edge a little bit
• 1:22:05
  Speaker 2: to lighter here, man, So I think my preference is
• 1:22:08
  Speaker 2: probably Texas as a big underdog there to maybe be
• 1:22:13
  Speaker 2: able to get the job done, or at least maybe
• 1:22:16
  Speaker 2: stay within the run there. So maybe a split bet
• 1:22:19
  Speaker 2: on the money line and run line.
• 1:22:21
  Speaker 1: There was it?
• 1:22:24
  Speaker 2: Ellen Page was on that show. I didn't even know that.
• 1:22:26
  Speaker 2: Don't you mean Elliott Page? Stop dead naming her?
• 1:22:29
  Speaker 1: Oh wait? Oh? Why just misgender? I don't know.
• 1:22:33
  Speaker 2: ESPN has a night game. He the ESPN Saturday night game.
• 1:22:37
  Speaker 2: Is that a thing now?
• 1:22:38
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 1:22:39
  Speaker 2: There are a lot of night games though. But the
• 1:22:40
  Speaker 2: late game is Houston and Seattle. It's an interesting game.
• 1:22:44
  Speaker 1: It is on ESPN.
• 1:22:45
  Speaker 2: We have wide disparity between these two teams in hitting
• 1:22:49
  Speaker 2: and bullpen right now, as we have Seattle the second
• 1:22:53
  Speaker 2: best bullpen, Houston the worst, so pretty ridiculous. And then
• 1:22:58
  Speaker 2: the opposite is the case with the offense, Houston the
• 1:23:01
  Speaker 2: second best offense, Seattle now the second worst offense to
• 1:23:06
  Speaker 2: the White Sox or yesterday they were absolutely dead last.
• 1:23:10
  Speaker 2: But Seattle was able to hit yesterday. So Emi had
• 1:23:14
  Speaker 2: a really, really bad outing. Man, I'm surprised by that.
• 1:23:16
  Speaker 2: I thought Emi was gonna be a lot better yesterday.
• 1:23:19
  Speaker 2: He's very difficult to gauge right now. Seattle won the
• 1:23:22
  Speaker 2: game nine to six. Houston's on a five game losing streak.
• 1:23:26
  Speaker 1: Now do they bounce back here? I'm not so sure. Man.
• 1:23:31
  Speaker 2: Houston's bullpen is horrendous, so you gotta give Seattle to
• 1:23:34
  Speaker 2: the edge there. I think better pitching is better pitching
• 1:23:37
  Speaker 2: overcomes better hitting. Seattle did use five relief pitchers yesterday, though,
• 1:23:41
  Speaker 2: Houston used three, No, excuse me, four, So I think
• 1:23:44
  Speaker 2: you still but there's such a wide gap there. I
• 1:23:46
  Speaker 2: think Seattle you got to still give them the bullpen
• 1:23:49
  Speaker 2: edge here. I think it's not that close. Lance mccullors
• 1:23:52
  Speaker 2: is pitching for the Astros. Lance mccullor's junior maybe having
• 1:23:57
  Speaker 2: a little bit of a resurgence here. Thirteen to four
• 1:23:59
  Speaker 2: strike a ratio, eleven innings pitch, nine hits a lot
• 1:24:02
  Speaker 2: so far, but he dominated this Red Sox offense that's
• 1:24:06
  Speaker 2: been really struggling. And then he went to the A's
• 1:24:08
  Speaker 2: Park and struggled quite a bit, gave up three walks,
• 1:24:11
  Speaker 2: had four strikeouts, four innings pitch.
• 1:24:13
  Speaker 1: That was not a good outing from him. So now the.
• 1:24:16
  Speaker 2: Question is is mccullars actually still struggling here because he's
• 1:24:20
  Speaker 2: trying to come back from injuries Tommy John surgery did
• 1:24:23
  Speaker 2: not have a good season last year. He does have
• 1:24:26
  Speaker 2: really good stuff though, like his ceiling I think is
• 1:24:29
  Speaker 2: still really high, and he has still shown signs of that.
• 1:24:31
  Speaker 2: Even since coming back from injury. He's had a few
• 1:24:34
  Speaker 2: really good starts, including this first.
• 1:24:36
  Speaker 1: One this year. Now the question is, as I was
• 1:24:39
  Speaker 1: about to say, is he falling out a form here
• 1:24:42
  Speaker 1: or is it just that the A's Park is a
• 1:24:44
  Speaker 1: terrible park to pitch in and was that a blip.
• 1:24:46
  Speaker 2: I don't know yet, man, I really don't know. Mccullors
• 1:24:49
  Speaker 2: is still kind of a mystery. We need to see
• 1:24:52
  Speaker 2: him pitch more against Seattle. He actually hasn't been that
• 1:24:55
  Speaker 2: good though, even this is a pitcher friendly park.
• 1:24:57
  Speaker 1: But generally against Seattle he hasn't been good.
• 1:25:00
  Speaker 2: Sixty three at bats, nineteen to nine strike a walk
• 1:25:03
  Speaker 2: ratio is not good. To eighty six batting average allott
• 1:25:05
  Speaker 2: is not that good. Seven to seventy two, oh ps,
• 1:25:08
  Speaker 2: not that good.
• 1:25:09
  Speaker 1: He's going up.
• 1:25:10
  Speaker 2: Against Luis Castillo, who is the more predictable pitcher. I
• 1:25:14
  Speaker 2: think right now, he's the more proven pitcher.
• 1:25:16
  Speaker 1: Now.
• 1:25:16
  Speaker 2: He had a good outing in his first outing against
• 1:25:18
  Speaker 2: the Yankees at home. Of course, all these Seattle pitchers
• 1:25:21
  Speaker 2: are better at home. It's a more pitcher from the park.
• 1:25:24
  Speaker 2: He did pretty poorly against Anaheim on the road in
• 1:25:27
  Speaker 2: his most recent start, but still had a four to
• 1:25:28
  Speaker 2: one strike out walk ratio. So he got hit a
• 1:25:31
  Speaker 2: little bit. But I'm not ready to say that he's bad.
• 1:25:34
  Speaker 2: I mean, we know who he is at this point.
• 1:25:35
  Speaker 2: He's had a long career. He's pretty solid, especially at
• 1:25:39
  Speaker 2: home where he is here eleven to three strang Aut
• 1:25:42
  Speaker 2: walk ratio nine to two thirds.
• 1:25:43
  Speaker 1: In he's pitch.
• 1:25:44
  Speaker 2: That's not bad. I mean he's a solid pitcher. And
• 1:25:47
  Speaker 2: again he is better at home than on the road.
• 1:25:50
  Speaker 2: And against Houston his numbers are pretty good. They have
• 1:25:53
  Speaker 2: a lot of experience against him, one hundred and sixty
• 1:25:55
  Speaker 2: one at bats and they still haven't hit him well.
• 1:25:57
  Speaker 2: Forty to six streke a walk ratio is really really
• 1:26:00
  Speaker 2: good for Castillo two forty eight batting average allowed, six
• 1:26:04
  Speaker 2: to twenty nine ops. So his overall numbers in this
• 1:26:06
  Speaker 2: matchup are quite good. So I gotta lean to Seattle
• 1:26:09
  Speaker 2: in this one, man.
• 1:26:11
  Speaker 1: I think that's the.
• 1:26:12
  Speaker 2: Way I would play it better, pitching throughout the entire game.
• 1:26:14
  Speaker 1: I think they're up to.
• 1:26:15
  Speaker 2: Minus one forty three, though for minus one twenty once
• 1:26:18
  Speaker 2: you could have gotten them at a much cheaper price
• 1:26:21
  Speaker 2: sixty five percent of tickets eighty three percent of the
• 1:26:23
  Speaker 2: cash on Seattle, so the money is agreeing with me
• 1:26:26
  Speaker 2: on Seattle. I could see McCullers pitching well here. Again,
• 1:26:30
  Speaker 2: though the money is coming in on the under as well.
• 1:26:32
  Speaker 2: I don't disagree with the under, but you gotta dodge
• 1:26:35
  Speaker 2: this bad Houston bullpen, so first five inning under might
• 1:26:39
  Speaker 2: make more sense. Though the total has gone up to
• 1:26:41
  Speaker 2: seven and a half juice to the over, so you
• 1:26:42
  Speaker 2: get the better of that.
• 1:26:44
  Speaker 1: Key number in the full game.
• 1:26:46
  Speaker 2: So if you wanted to do it that way, maybe,
• 1:26:48
  Speaker 2: but again, Houston's bullpen is bad. But then again, Seattle's
• 1:26:51
  Speaker 2: offense has been really bad. Maybe under first five inning
• 1:26:55
  Speaker 2: makes more sense. But I think Seattle is the better
• 1:26:58
  Speaker 2: way to play that, one man, So that's the way
• 1:27:00
  Speaker 2: I would go there, first five inning. You're probably looking
• 1:27:03
  Speaker 2: at three three and a half there too, so but
• 1:27:05
  Speaker 2: we only have the one play. The market is still
• 1:27:07
  Speaker 2: agreeing with me on that, so we're sticking to one
• 1:27:09
  Speaker 2: play there, and I will have two in hockey, which
• 1:27:11
  Speaker 2: I'll come back in a second. We got a lot
• 1:27:14
  Speaker 2: of hockey to talk about here, man, and one of
• 1:27:16
  Speaker 2: the games is coming up in like an hour and
• 1:27:18
  Speaker 2: a half probably, so zoom out a little bit more.
• 1:27:22
  Speaker 2: Here's the hockey board. You could study it. Guess what
• 1:27:26
  Speaker 2: my players are, and I'll be back. All right, we
• 1:28:54
  Speaker 2: have a huge hockey board today.
• 1:28:55
  Speaker 1: I think there's uh, I don't know.
• 1:28:58
  Speaker 2: I think I think every team is playing today in hockey,
• 1:29:01
  Speaker 2: maybe two teams aren't. I don't know. We have like
• 1:29:04
  Speaker 2: fifteen games here, and there's no NBA today, I believe
• 1:29:07
  Speaker 2: at all.
• 1:29:07
  Speaker 1: So NBA, there was no NBA. There was no NHL yesterday.
• 1:29:13
  Speaker 2: NBA resumes tomorrow with a big board tomorrow, so we
• 1:29:17
  Speaker 2: got a lot of NBA to look at tomorrow. There's
• 1:29:20
  Speaker 2: gonna be a full baseball card tomorrow or board and
• 1:29:23
  Speaker 2: hockey tomorrow.
• 1:29:24
  Speaker 1: So tomorrow is.
• 1:29:25
  Speaker 2: Gonna be a long show, and I'm probably gonna, you know,
• 1:29:29
  Speaker 2: jump off a bridge or something.
• 1:29:31
  Speaker 1: It's gonna be real, real bad, real ugly.
• 1:29:33
  Speaker 2: This is actually, well, actually it's not that much hockey tomorrow,
• 1:29:37
  Speaker 2: all right, hockey again. It comes down to motivation at
• 1:29:40
  Speaker 2: the end of the season. So maybe I should have
• 1:29:41
  Speaker 2: shown the standings instead, but you gotta know who's playing
• 1:29:45
  Speaker 2: who here.
• 1:29:46
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna have two plays here.
• 1:29:47
  Speaker 2: There is an ABC afternoon doubleheader Tampa Bay at Boston
• 1:29:51
  Speaker 2: starting at twelve thirty. My Boston Bruins need to get
• 1:29:55
  Speaker 2: a win here, man. Now, I think the motivation is
• 1:29:58
  Speaker 2: on the Bruins side. They're fairly safe right now in
• 1:30:03
  Speaker 2: this wildcard spot here, they might they could fall to
• 1:30:06
  Speaker 2: the two in the wildcard. It looks like it's unlikely
• 1:30:08
  Speaker 2: they're going to drop out of the playoffs, but it's
• 1:30:10
  Speaker 2: still possible. They have a five point lead over Detroit
• 1:30:13
  Speaker 2: and the Islanders. Bruins got to do something here, man.
• 1:30:17
  Speaker 2: They haven't gotten to win in quite a while. They've
• 1:30:19
  Speaker 2: had a very difficult recent schedule though. But Tampa Bay
• 1:30:22
  Speaker 2: has almost nothing to play for here. They're already in
• 1:30:25
  Speaker 2: the playoffs. They've clinched a playoff spot. Now. You could
• 1:30:27
  Speaker 2: argue they're trying to play for seeding here, trying to
• 1:30:30
  Speaker 2: move up a little bit. I don't really think some man,
• 1:30:32
  Speaker 2: I just don't think Tampa has a lot of motivation here.
• 1:30:35
  Speaker 2: Playing for seeding is not really a thing. Whereas the
• 1:30:38
  Speaker 2: Bruins are trying to make sure they make the playoffs.
• 1:30:41
  Speaker 2: Tampa looks like they've gone on cruise control too, as
• 1:30:43
  Speaker 2: they've lost three games in a row. They're finishing a
• 1:30:46
  Speaker 2: road trip here, they're playing. You know, they've played a
• 1:30:49
  Speaker 2: lot of games, kind of a quick succession here. It's
• 1:30:53
  Speaker 2: a fifth game in the last eight days, all in
• 1:30:55
  Speaker 2: different cities, including beating Boston in Dampa Bay. But the
• 1:31:00
  Speaker 2: Ruins last two times they played Tampa. They lost in
• 1:31:03
  Speaker 2: Tampa both times, and one was in that outdoor stadium
• 1:31:05
  Speaker 2: not the Winter Classic, but whatever the hell that other
• 1:31:08
  Speaker 2: one was. But the Bruins played them really well in
• 1:31:11
  Speaker 2: both games. The Bruins debatably should have won both of
• 1:31:14
  Speaker 2: those games. The Bruins had a huge lead in the
• 1:31:17
  Speaker 2: first one, and then in this most recent game they
• 1:31:19
  Speaker 2: had I think the Bruins won almost seventy percent of
• 1:31:22
  Speaker 2: the face offs in this game. I don't know how
• 1:31:24
  Speaker 2: they lost, So there might be some hidden value on
• 1:31:27
  Speaker 2: the Bruins here.
• 1:31:27
  Speaker 1: Plus, they do have the.
• 1:31:29
  Speaker 2: Motivational edge here, and the Bruins are really good at
• 1:31:31
  Speaker 2: home Tampa Bay, you know, finishing out this road trip
• 1:31:35
  Speaker 2: here not a whole lot to play for. It might
• 1:31:37
  Speaker 2: be a little bit tired here. I am going to
• 1:31:40
  Speaker 2: lean to the Bruins in this one. It's not on
• 1:31:41
  Speaker 2: my card. Bruins are coming up. They're returning over from
• 1:31:44
  Speaker 2: a road trip. So that's one reason why I can't
• 1:31:46
  Speaker 2: quite do it with the Bruins. They've been away since
• 1:31:49
  Speaker 2: my birthday, the second, but they have had a lot
• 1:31:52
  Speaker 2: of time off. They haven't played since Tuesday. Although you know,
• 1:31:54
  Speaker 2: I talk about these road trip returns sometimes you return home,
• 1:31:57
  Speaker 2: and you do get distracted, and you get settled back
• 1:32:00
  Speaker 2: in at home and get stuck doing stuff at home.
• 1:32:02
  Speaker 2: So the extra rest sometimes actually doesn't help you. And
• 1:32:05
  Speaker 2: they do have to go back out and play Columbus tomorrow.
• 1:32:09
  Speaker 1: But they gotta get a win. Man three games left,
• 1:32:12
  Speaker 1: they gotta like one more win is basically gonna ensure
• 1:32:14
  Speaker 1: that they're gonna make the playoffs here pretty much, so
• 1:32:17
  Speaker 1: they got to get it. They gotta get the three
• 1:32:19
  Speaker 1: points or whatever the hell it is here, get the win.
• 1:32:23
  Speaker 2: But they're coming off a huge game against Carolina where
• 1:32:26
  Speaker 2: they at least got a point.
• 1:32:27
  Speaker 1: They took Carolina at overtime.
• 1:32:28
  Speaker 2: But I don't love the spot for those couple of reasons,
• 1:32:32
  Speaker 2: return home, plus coming off a big game, So this
• 1:32:35
  Speaker 2: one doesn't make my card. But the motivation to me
• 1:32:37
  Speaker 2: seems to be all on the Bruins side. They do
• 1:32:40
  Speaker 2: have more rest at the very least, and they are
• 1:32:42
  Speaker 2: quite good at home. The money seems to be agreeing
• 1:32:46
  Speaker 2: with me. Tampa drop for minus one twenty five to
• 1:32:48
  Speaker 2: minus one thirteen, sixty two percent ticket sixty six percent
• 1:32:52
  Speaker 2: of the cash on the Bruins money slightly agreeing with
• 1:32:57
  Speaker 2: me on that It's hard to read some of these
• 1:33:00
  Speaker 2: market percentages early on, but yeah, I would lean Bruins
• 1:33:02
  Speaker 2: in that one. Next game, Ottawa at the Islanders. This
• 1:33:06
  Speaker 2: is an interesting when both teams are trying to make
• 1:33:08
  Speaker 2: the playoffs here. Ottawa is in the last wildcard spot
• 1:33:11
  Speaker 2: right now, the Islanders are three points behind them, so
• 1:33:14
  Speaker 2: there is motivation for both teams here.
• 1:33:17
  Speaker 1: It'll be an interesting game.
• 1:33:18
  Speaker 2: Ottawa on a three game win streak here, so maybe
• 1:33:22
  Speaker 2: there could be a bit of a let down here.
• 1:33:24
  Speaker 2: I mean, I don't think you really have a letdown
• 1:33:25
  Speaker 2: when you're trying to make the playoffs. Right now, they're
• 1:33:28
  Speaker 2: in the playoffs and they're coming up being Carolina at
• 1:33:31
  Speaker 2: Tampa Bay and then the returning champs Florida, even though
• 1:33:33
  Speaker 2: I know Florida is not that good this year, but
• 1:33:36
  Speaker 2: those are all big wins, so there could be a
• 1:33:38
  Speaker 2: little bit of a let down here in ol Mark
• 1:33:40
  Speaker 2: has played a bunch of games in a row, six
• 1:33:43
  Speaker 2: in a row, so I don't know if they're gonna
• 1:33:44
  Speaker 2: rest him, possibly in this game or not. I have
• 1:33:47
  Speaker 2: no idea, but if they do, or if it's a
• 1:33:51
  Speaker 2: more tired oh Mark, I don't think that's the greatest
• 1:33:53
  Speaker 2: thing for Ottawa. Here, Islanders just ended a losing streak
• 1:33:58
  Speaker 2: with a win over a pretty bad Toronto team, ending
• 1:34:01
  Speaker 2: a four game losing streak. I think that's a This
• 1:34:03
  Speaker 2: is a better spot for the Islanders, dude. They ended
• 1:34:06
  Speaker 2: a losing streak that will give you a momentum. You're
• 1:34:08
  Speaker 2: not gonna be in a letdown spot for being a
• 1:34:11
  Speaker 2: bad Toronto team. They they have more urgency here because
• 1:34:15
  Speaker 2: they're not even in the playoff picture right now. I
• 1:34:18
  Speaker 2: like the Islanders in this one. The money seems to
• 1:34:22
  Speaker 2: agree pretty strongly with that. Ottawa up to minus one
• 1:34:25
  Speaker 2: twenty eight fifty tickets on them, sixty four percent of
• 1:34:28
  Speaker 2: the cash on the Islanders.
• 1:34:29
  Speaker 1: I agree with that side.
• 1:34:31
  Speaker 2: That one is not on my car, though, And in fact,
• 1:34:33
  Speaker 2: this next one is the second ABC game here, and
• 1:34:42
  Speaker 2: I think I'm actually fading the market read a little
• 1:34:44
  Speaker 2: bit here. I told you we have some underdogs here.
• 1:34:47
  Speaker 2: The Islanders would have been a decent guess, but this
• 1:34:50
  Speaker 2: is one of not Pittsburgh. Holy crap, I gotta change that. No, Washington, Sorry,
• 1:34:56
  Speaker 2: don't play Pittsburgh, Washington. We're playing Washington, my mistake. Washington
• 1:35:01
  Speaker 2: is the underdog here. We're taking Washington as an underdog here.
• 1:35:05
  Speaker 2: I do not like Pittsburgh in this game for a
• 1:35:07
  Speaker 2: number of reasons. Firstly, Pittsburgh just clinched a playoff spot
• 1:35:11
  Speaker 2: and they have not been to the playoffs for multiple
• 1:35:13
  Speaker 2: years now, and you know the history behind Pittsburgh, like
• 1:35:17
  Speaker 2: they're a proud team, they make the playoffs most years,
• 1:35:21
  Speaker 2: and having not made the playoffs for so long and
• 1:35:23
  Speaker 2: now being back there clinching a playoff spot, that's huge.
• 1:35:27
  Speaker 2: So that alone could be a letdown spot here because
• 1:35:29
  Speaker 2: they clinched that with their previous win.
• 1:35:31
  Speaker 1: But they also have almost nothing to play for here.
• 1:35:34
  Speaker 2: They're ten points behind Carolina, so literally they can't win
• 1:35:38
  Speaker 2: their division, so they can't move up and overtake Carolina here,
• 1:35:42
  Speaker 2: and it's highly unlikely they're gonna move down either because
• 1:35:45
  Speaker 2: Philadelphia is six points behind them, so Pittsburgh is effectively
• 1:35:48
  Speaker 2: locked into the two seed in the Metro Division here,
• 1:35:51
  Speaker 2: so they really can't even change their position. So motivationally,
• 1:35:55
  Speaker 2: there's almost none there for them. And we know Washington
• 1:35:58
  Speaker 2: they're on the version of a limit nation here. They're
• 1:36:00
  Speaker 2: five games out of the wildcard right now, five points
• 1:36:03
  Speaker 2: excuse me, five games. They'd be eliminated five points, so Washington.
• 1:36:08
  Speaker 2: All the urgency is on Washington here.
• 1:36:10
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 1:36:11
  Speaker 2: They're the only team with a ton of motivation in
• 1:36:13
  Speaker 2: this one, man, So I like it for those reasons alone.
• 1:36:18
  Speaker 2: We did play Washington in their last game.
• 1:36:20
  Speaker 1: We got the win. They beat Toronto.
• 1:36:22
  Speaker 2: Yeah it was a four to nothing shutout, but again,
• 1:36:25
  Speaker 2: Washington had a couple of days off and they're fighting
• 1:36:27
  Speaker 2: for their lives here, so they're not gonna be in
• 1:36:29
  Speaker 2: a letdown spot. And they beat a bad Toronto team,
• 1:36:32
  Speaker 2: who cares. That'll just give them some momentum confidence coming
• 1:36:36
  Speaker 2: into this one. I'm fine with all that. In Pittsburgh again,
• 1:36:39
  Speaker 2: they won three games in a row, but again, that
• 1:36:41
  Speaker 2: last game locked up the playoff spot for them for
• 1:36:44
  Speaker 2: the first time in quite a while. So normally I
• 1:36:45
  Speaker 2: would say, well, beating New Jersey is not a big deal,
• 1:36:48
  Speaker 2: but in this case, it was.
• 1:36:50
  Speaker 1: And they looked way too good in.
• 1:36:51
  Speaker 2: Their last three games, beating the returning champs Florida in
• 1:36:55
  Speaker 2: blowout fashion both times.
• 1:36:57
  Speaker 1: And look at that, they scored nineteen goals in the
• 1:36:59
  Speaker 1: last three games.
• 1:37:00
  Speaker 2: Nobody's gonna want to fade Pittsburgh here, but that's what
• 1:37:03
  Speaker 2: we're doing. We're gonna fade them here. I don't think
• 1:37:06
  Speaker 2: it's a good spot for them. The only thing is
• 1:37:08
  Speaker 2: it is their last home game. But I don't think
• 1:37:10
  Speaker 2: that's good enough. And in fact, I'm gonna fade two
• 1:37:13
  Speaker 2: teams in their final home game today, So that is
• 1:37:16
  Speaker 2: like the one maybe issue, But it's just the motivation
• 1:37:19
  Speaker 2: is just not there, dude, Like you know, Pittsburgh, they're
• 1:37:22
  Speaker 2: gonna start looking ahead to the playoffs. Pittsburgh's down for
• 1:37:25
  Speaker 2: minus one thirty to minus one twenty five here, sixty
• 1:37:28
  Speaker 2: percent of tickets, seventy four percent of the cash on them.
• 1:37:30
  Speaker 2: But I think we are fading the public with this play.
• 1:37:34
  Speaker 2: The cash percentage is not huge. It's not a huge
• 1:37:38
  Speaker 2: disparity here, and it's not you know, one side versus
• 1:37:40
  Speaker 2: the other. So yeah, I'm not as concerned about that
• 1:37:43
  Speaker 2: market reab But yeah, I like Washington with all that
• 1:37:46
  Speaker 2: motivation lining up there and getting them as a dog.
• 1:37:48
  Speaker 1: Let's go Washington is the play.
• 1:37:53
  Speaker 2: All three of these players are small underdogs today, which
• 1:37:55
  Speaker 2: is why I put that in the description as well.
• 1:37:59
  Speaker 2: All right, Edmonton at the Kings, This is a weird game.
• 1:38:03
  Speaker 2: What's going on in the West is really weird because
• 1:38:06
  Speaker 2: you have Edmonton leading the Pacific division and they have
• 1:38:09
  Speaker 2: not clinched a playoff spot yet. Meanwhile, Utah is the
• 1:38:13
  Speaker 2: top wild card and they did clinch a playoff spot already.
• 1:38:17
  Speaker 2: It's one of the most insane things that I've seen
• 1:38:20
  Speaker 2: because Utah is in the Central Division where all the
• 1:38:22
  Speaker 2: top teams are really good. This specific division not quite
• 1:38:26
  Speaker 2: as much, although I think Edmonton in Vegas are still
• 1:38:28
  Speaker 2: pretty good though, although Edmonton, you know, not really on
• 1:38:32
  Speaker 2: the defensive goaltending side, and I think maybe they're did
• 1:38:35
  Speaker 2: didn't Edmonton lose one of their best players for the season? Two?
• 1:38:39
  Speaker 1: Hold on?
• 1:38:42
  Speaker 2: Yeah, that's what I thought. Dry sidle hooevery pronounce his name.
• 1:38:45
  Speaker 2: That's right, he's one of their best players. Although I
• 1:38:47
  Speaker 2: guess he's not out for the season.
• 1:38:50
  Speaker 1: Is he back yet? I don't know. I haven't paid attention. Man,
• 1:38:55
  Speaker 1: My apologies.
• 1:38:55
  Speaker 2: He's not back yet, but it looks like he might
• 1:38:57
  Speaker 2: actually be back at some point. But anyway, both teams
• 1:39:02
  Speaker 2: kind of need this game. Even though Edmonton is leading
• 1:39:04
  Speaker 2: their division, I mean, they're at least fairly safe as
• 1:39:08
  Speaker 2: far as like the worst they're gonna get. It's probably
• 1:39:10
  Speaker 2: a wild card here because they're five points ahead of
• 1:39:13
  Speaker 2: their opponent here. The Kings, so the desperation is still
• 1:39:16
  Speaker 2: more on the King's side. You gotta say that the
• 1:39:19
  Speaker 2: Kings are only one point ahead of Nashville right now,
• 1:39:22
  Speaker 2: so I think there is more urgency on the side
• 1:39:24
  Speaker 2: of the Kings. Still, Kings are not a very good
• 1:39:26
  Speaker 2: home team though, as I keep saying, they're not particularly
• 1:39:29
  Speaker 2: good at home. Edmonton to just crush San Jose. They've
• 1:39:33
  Speaker 2: had a couple of days off here, they got Colorado
• 1:39:35
  Speaker 2: on deck at home. Is it possible they overlook the
• 1:39:40
  Speaker 2: Kings here. I don't know if I'd go that far,
• 1:39:42
  Speaker 2: but I do think the Kings are gonna be the
• 1:39:43
  Speaker 2: team to look at in this game because they are
• 1:39:46
  Speaker 2: gonna have more urgency here.
• 1:39:47
  Speaker 1: They're staying at home.
• 1:39:49
  Speaker 2: They just meet Vancouver, which is not a big deal,
• 1:39:51
  Speaker 2: so the momentum I think will carry into this game.
• 1:39:54
  Speaker 2: I don't really have much else to say about that,
• 1:39:56
  Speaker 2: but I'm gonna lean to the Kings in this one.
• 1:39:58
  Speaker 2: And they are an anti public home favorite here, so
• 1:40:01
  Speaker 2: I do like that Edmonton's a public underdog here. You know,
• 1:40:04
  Speaker 2: the public's gonna see it, Oh, Edmonton the better team,
• 1:40:06
  Speaker 2: and I'm getting them as an underdog. You know, the
• 1:40:09
  Speaker 2: public is gonna want that, and I would say, do
• 1:40:12
  Speaker 2: not do that. Uh, you got to pick the right underdogs.
• 1:40:15
  Speaker 2: Man sixty four percent of the tickets and only sixty
• 1:40:18
  Speaker 2: three percent of the cash on Edmonton, so they're a
• 1:40:21
  Speaker 2: public underdog. I like the public underdog situation to fade
• 1:40:25
  Speaker 2: that team because that means you're getting the team that
• 1:40:28
  Speaker 2: is favored to win the game and the public doesn't
• 1:40:30
  Speaker 2: want them, you know what I mean. I feel like
• 1:40:32
  Speaker 2: I say that a lot, but yeah, it's a decent
• 1:40:34
  Speaker 2: situation to look at.
• 1:40:35
  Speaker 1: So I will lean to the Kings.
• 1:40:36
  Speaker 2: There not one that I'm gonna put on my card,
• 1:40:38
  Speaker 2: but King's money line makes sense to me. There they
• 1:40:41
  Speaker 2: do a more urgency, but you're paying a little bit
• 1:40:43
  Speaker 2: for it as a minus one twenty three favorite now
• 1:40:46
  Speaker 2: at for minus one fifteen. But that money has gone
• 1:40:49
  Speaker 2: against what the public is doing. So New Jersey at Detroit.
• 1:40:53
  Speaker 2: Detroit is the only one of these two teams that
• 1:40:55
  Speaker 2: has motivation. But the thing about that is this is
• 1:40:58
  Speaker 2: a situation where there the better of the two teams,
• 1:41:01
  Speaker 2: so you're paying for it. Like everybody knows, Detroit is
• 1:41:03
  Speaker 2: the first game, the first team out of the playoffs
• 1:41:06
  Speaker 2: right now, so everybody knows the Detroit needs to win
• 1:41:09
  Speaker 2: and they're better than the Devils, so they're gonna be
• 1:41:12
  Speaker 2: more of a public side here. So this is the
• 1:41:14
  Speaker 2: type of situation I don't usually want that team, even
• 1:41:17
  Speaker 2: though they do have urgency. Detroit just beat Philadelphia. They
• 1:41:22
  Speaker 2: do have Tampa Bay on deck, which might be a
• 1:41:23
  Speaker 2: bigger game. This is their final home game. I think
• 1:41:27
  Speaker 2: they should still win, and they are the better team,
• 1:41:29
  Speaker 2: they are the favorite. But maybe the Devils will want
• 1:41:32
  Speaker 2: to come in and play spoiler or something like that
• 1:41:34
  Speaker 2: against an original six team whatever. Devil's just lost two games,
• 1:41:37
  Speaker 2: but I combined ten to three score, so maybe it'll
• 1:41:40
  Speaker 2: help them just go out on the road. Maybe they'll
• 1:41:42
  Speaker 2: focus on a game, maybe show up and try to
• 1:41:45
  Speaker 2: play spoiler.
• 1:41:46
  Speaker 1: Here.
• 1:41:46
  Speaker 2: The Devils can play loose because they're eliminated and Detroit
• 1:41:50
  Speaker 2: is laying what looks like kind of a cheap price.
• 1:41:52
  Speaker 2: Man at minus one thirty seven eighty nine percent of
• 1:41:55
  Speaker 2: tickets ninety seven percent of the cash on them. I
• 1:41:58
  Speaker 2: do not like Detroit in this one. I think you're
• 1:42:00
  Speaker 2: probably overpaying for them. I would lean to the Devils
• 1:42:03
  Speaker 2: and that when anytime you have a team that it's
• 1:42:05
  Speaker 2: known that they're like you know, in must win territory
• 1:42:09
  Speaker 2: urgency mode and you're having to pay a favorite price
• 1:42:11
  Speaker 2: on them, and they're the team that everybody knows is
• 1:42:13
  Speaker 2: the better team. I think you kind of want to
• 1:42:15
  Speaker 2: look to not play on that team. So those are
• 1:42:18
  Speaker 2: my thoughts on that game. Saint Louis at Chicago, both
• 1:42:22
  Speaker 2: I mean, well not these teams are not eliminated.
• 1:42:24
  Speaker 1: Chicago's eliminated. Saint Louis is not.
• 1:42:26
  Speaker 2: Actually Saint Louis is six points back or seven points
• 1:42:30
  Speaker 2: back of the Kings though, so Saint Louis is almost eliminated.
• 1:42:34
  Speaker 1: Chicago.
• 1:42:35
  Speaker 2: They were turning on from a road trip, and you know,
• 1:42:36
  Speaker 2: I don't like teams are turning over.
• 1:42:38
  Speaker 1: Or no, they already did. My mistake.
• 1:42:39
  Speaker 2: They were a turno from a road trip. On Thursday,
• 1:42:41
  Speaker 2: they got blasted by Carolina. So they're actually in a
• 1:42:44
  Speaker 2: better spot year because again, when you have that return
• 1:42:46
  Speaker 2: home spot and you get annihilated, sometimes you'll come out
• 1:42:49
  Speaker 2: with a better sense of pride in the next game.
• 1:42:52
  Speaker 2: So maybe Chicago will actually play better in this game
• 1:42:55
  Speaker 2: and they can play loose because again they're already eliminated
• 1:42:58
  Speaker 2: Saint Louis. The pressure's on them, but they do need help.
• 1:43:01
  Speaker 2: So I'm not gonna say they're gonna be playing like
• 1:43:03
  Speaker 2: a tight team here, but going out on the road,
• 1:43:07
  Speaker 2: I don't know, man, I mean, this is a game.
• 1:43:08
  Speaker 2: I don't really have a good gauge on the side
• 1:43:10
  Speaker 2: in this game. Saint Louis does have more urgency here.
• 1:43:13
  Speaker 2: They're up to minus one thirty eight, but they're a
• 1:43:15
  Speaker 2: public side. Eighty six percent of the tickets, only eighty
• 1:43:18
  Speaker 2: five percent of the cash, so the money is kind
• 1:43:20
  Speaker 2: of indicating against them.
• 1:43:21
  Speaker 1: I would not want to play in a team that has.
• 1:43:23
  Speaker 2: That, that's that heavy of a road favorite, really, and
• 1:43:27
  Speaker 2: does Saint Louis even deserve to be a road favorite
• 1:43:30
  Speaker 2: like that against really anybody.
• 1:43:31
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 1:43:32
  Speaker 2: Chicago could be in a bounced back spot there. I'd
• 1:43:35
  Speaker 2: probably slightly lean to Chicago there. I think an over
• 1:43:38
  Speaker 2: makes sense in this game as well. The total's gone
• 1:43:40
  Speaker 2: up a little bit to six juice to the over
• 1:43:43
  Speaker 2: now eighty two percent of tickets, ninety nine percent of
• 1:43:45
  Speaker 2: the cash on the over. I don't really buy that
• 1:43:48
  Speaker 2: money on the you know that percentage really on the over,
• 1:43:50
  Speaker 2: but I think there is some actual money on the over,
• 1:43:53
  Speaker 2: and it's again because you kind of have two teams
• 1:43:55
  Speaker 2: that just don't have a ton to play for at
• 1:43:57
  Speaker 2: this point, which is usually when you see the deepfense
• 1:43:59
  Speaker 2: being a little bit less intense. So over kind of
• 1:44:03
  Speaker 2: makes sense to me there Minnesota at Nashville. This is
• 1:44:07
  Speaker 2: a game where you look at it and you're like, well, Minnesota,
• 1:44:10
  Speaker 2: Like what do they have to play for here? Because
• 1:44:12
  Speaker 2: Minnesota already has a playoff spot clinched. They're six or
• 1:44:16
  Speaker 2: excuse me, four points backup Dallas. They could they could
• 1:44:20
  Speaker 2: overtake Dallas, but it's highly unlikely. They're already in the playoffs,
• 1:44:24
  Speaker 2: so they're very close to being locked into the three
• 1:44:26
  Speaker 2: seed in the Central.
• 1:44:27
  Speaker 1: So Minnesota does not have a ton to.
• 1:44:28
  Speaker 2: Play for, whereas Nashville clearly has all the urgency here
• 1:44:32
  Speaker 2: as they're one point out of the last wildcard spot
• 1:44:35
  Speaker 2: right now, so that has been looking towards Nashville. Minnesota
• 1:44:40
  Speaker 2: also just lost a four game win streak, so that
• 1:44:43
  Speaker 2: could also result in a.
• 1:44:44
  Speaker 1: Hangover when you lose a win streak here.
• 1:44:47
  Speaker 2: And they played Dallas, which is a big game, and
• 1:44:50
  Speaker 2: we already know that they're playing Dallas in the first
• 1:44:53
  Speaker 2: round of the playoffs.
• 1:44:54
  Speaker 1: It's just a matter of who the home team is.
• 1:44:56
  Speaker 2: Gonna be, which looks like it will be Dallas now.
• 1:44:58
  Speaker 2: So that was a pretty big game man playoff preview.
• 1:45:02
  Speaker 2: And now they're playing another road game here where they've
• 1:45:05
  Speaker 2: played a bunch of road games recently. They're playing a
• 1:45:08
  Speaker 2: what is this a fifth game in eight days, all
• 1:45:11
  Speaker 2: in different cities, So Minnesota the spot is not very
• 1:45:14
  Speaker 2: good for them. So I'm thinking, Okay, Nashville might actually
• 1:45:17
  Speaker 2: be a play for me here. Problem is Nashville's returning
• 1:45:21
  Speaker 2: on from a road trip and they've been on the
• 1:45:22
  Speaker 2: road since March twenty ninth. I can't deal with it,
• 1:45:25
  Speaker 2: man like, at least with the Bruins. The Bruins have
• 1:45:28
  Speaker 2: had some extra time off and they stayed in the
• 1:45:29
  Speaker 2: Eastern time zone.
• 1:45:31
  Speaker 1: Nashville, that is not the case. Nashville went to Tampa.
• 1:45:33
  Speaker 2: Bay, and then they went all the way to the
• 1:45:34
  Speaker 2: Pacific Coast, then into Elevation another finally back home. This
• 1:45:39
  Speaker 2: is a very difficult spot for Nashville, even though obviously
• 1:45:42
  Speaker 2: they can't overlook anybody right now, they're not gonna overlook Minnesota.
• 1:45:45
  Speaker 1: Who's a good team.
• 1:45:47
  Speaker 2: Nashville needs to win to get back into the wildcard
• 1:45:49
  Speaker 2: spot there. Obviously they have motivation here, but this is
• 1:45:53
  Speaker 2: a huge problem still returning home from a road trip
• 1:45:55
  Speaker 2: like that, I can't do it, man, So this game
• 1:45:58
  Speaker 2: also could be potentially an over look here, just one
• 1:46:03
  Speaker 2: team with not a lot to play for the other
• 1:46:05
  Speaker 2: team in what could be a distracted spot. Returning back home.
• 1:46:09
  Speaker 2: Total did drop from six and a half to six,
• 1:46:11
  Speaker 2: but it was heavily juiced to the under on the
• 1:46:13
  Speaker 2: six and a half to juice to the over on
• 1:46:16
  Speaker 2: the sixth, So I don't consider that to be a
• 1:46:18
  Speaker 2: real move there of any significant note. I'm gonna lean
• 1:46:23
  Speaker 2: over here, but I also do still lean Nashville here,
• 1:46:26
  Speaker 2: and the money is agreeing with that. Minnesota down for
• 1:46:28
  Speaker 2: minus one thirty five to minus one twenty nine. I mean,
• 1:46:31
  Speaker 2: you're still getting Nashville as an underdog as the only
• 1:46:34
  Speaker 2: one of the teams with real motivation here, So that
• 1:46:37
  Speaker 2: is still the case.
• 1:46:37
  Speaker 1: But I can't do it.
• 1:46:39
  Speaker 2: Seventy percent of tickets fifty nine percent of the cash
• 1:46:42
  Speaker 2: on Minnesota, so the money is agreeing with Nashville. They're
• 1:46:45
  Speaker 2: an anti public side. But again the situation is not
• 1:46:48
  Speaker 2: good enough. In fact, that return home spot is a
• 1:46:52
  Speaker 2: massive negative, especially from a.
• 1:46:54
  Speaker 1: Really long road trip like that.
• 1:46:55
  Speaker 2: So that game is a stay away from me, and
• 1:46:59
  Speaker 2: I'm not really in the totals here, you know. I
• 1:47:01
  Speaker 2: know I did one last night, we barely got the
• 1:47:03
  Speaker 2: win in the NBA, but not doing it Rangers at Dallas.
• 1:47:07
  Speaker 2: I mean, these teams both kind of have not much
• 1:47:10
  Speaker 2: to play for here, but it's on opposite ends of
• 1:47:12
  Speaker 2: the spectrum where the Rangers are eliminated. Dallas is close
• 1:47:17
  Speaker 2: to being locked into the two spot in the West.
• 1:47:21
  Speaker 2: The Rangers, maybe they're gonna show up with some motivation
• 1:47:23
  Speaker 2: here because they get to play a good team here
• 1:47:25
  Speaker 2: in Dallas. The problem is, and they do have a
• 1:47:27
  Speaker 2: couple of days off, which is good and starting a
• 1:47:29
  Speaker 2: road trip a lot of times you're focused. The problem is,
• 1:47:31
  Speaker 2: the Rangers put up a big effort in this game
• 1:47:33
  Speaker 2: against Buffalo, and there was an empty net goal at
• 1:47:36
  Speaker 2: the end of that game.
• 1:47:36
  Speaker 1: That game was tied in the third period against Buffalo.
• 1:47:39
  Speaker 2: So the Rangers did put in a big effort in
• 1:47:42
  Speaker 2: that game against Buffalo. So it could be a bit
• 1:47:43
  Speaker 2: of a hangover spot here for Dallas. They're coming up
• 1:47:46
  Speaker 2: a pretty big win o from Minnesota and they don't
• 1:47:49
  Speaker 2: have a whole lot to play for here though, so
• 1:47:51
  Speaker 2: I don't think the spot is good for Dallas. It
• 1:47:54
  Speaker 2: is their final home game, but again with not a
• 1:47:57
  Speaker 2: lot to play for them, we know the Rangers are
• 1:47:58
  Speaker 2: actually better on the row. I'm gonna lean to the
• 1:48:01
  Speaker 2: Rangers here, but I do worry about them coming off
• 1:48:04
  Speaker 2: that big game against Buffalo, but they do have an
• 1:48:05
  Speaker 2: extra day off compared to Dallas.
• 1:48:07
  Speaker 1: Dallas down for.
• 1:48:08
  Speaker 2: Minus one ninety five to minus went eighty three, eighty
• 1:48:10
  Speaker 2: percent of the tickets seventy seven percent of the cash
• 1:48:13
  Speaker 2: on Dallas, so the money is agreeing with fading Dallas there.
• 1:48:17
  Speaker 2: Dallas is a public side again public on a team
• 1:48:20
  Speaker 2: that has almost no motivation. So yeah, I'm gonna lean
• 1:48:24
  Speaker 2: Rangers there, but not a play Carolina at Utah. Carolina
• 1:48:28
  Speaker 2: does not have really any motivation here. Carolina is ten
• 1:48:32
  Speaker 2: points ahead of Pittsburgh. Like I said, they're already locked
• 1:48:34
  Speaker 2: into the one seed in the division.
• 1:48:36
  Speaker 1: The only thing is.
• 1:48:37
  Speaker 2: They might not get home ice throughout conference play because
• 1:48:42
  Speaker 2: they are still battling with Buffalo and maybe Montreal for
• 1:48:45
  Speaker 2: that and I guess maybe Tampa Bay. But so Carolina,
• 1:48:49
  Speaker 2: they have the first overall seed to play for it,
• 1:48:52
  Speaker 2: but I don't think that's enough motivation like that's really
• 1:48:55
  Speaker 2: not enough, Like teams don't really care that much about that.
• 1:48:59
  Speaker 2: There's a tough spot for them going into elevation. They're
• 1:49:02
  Speaker 2: playing a fourth game in what is this a fourth
• 1:49:06
  Speaker 2: game in seven No? Fifth game in seven days?
• 1:49:10
  Speaker 1: I think is what this is? Right? Did I get
• 1:49:12
  Speaker 1: that right? No? It's a fifth game in eight days? Yeah,
• 1:49:16
  Speaker 1: my mistake.
• 1:49:16
  Speaker 2: Fifth game in eight days with travel between all of them,
• 1:49:19
  Speaker 2: coming off a blowout win of Chicago. Utah, though, I
• 1:49:23
  Speaker 2: don't know what Utah's motivation is gonna be because, yeah,
• 1:49:26
  Speaker 2: they can move up out of the wildcard I wait,
• 1:49:29
  Speaker 2: could they?
• 1:49:31
  Speaker 1: No they can't. No, Utah can't.
• 1:49:34
  Speaker 2: Utah's almost locked into the number one wildcard man, So
• 1:49:37
  Speaker 2: Utah doesn't have a ton of motivation here either, even
• 1:49:39
  Speaker 2: though they might get up because it's a home game
• 1:49:41
  Speaker 2: against Carolina. But Utah might be really celebrating because they
• 1:49:45
  Speaker 2: just clinched a playoff spot for the first time as
• 1:49:48
  Speaker 2: the Utah Mammoth. Since they've been the Utah franchise, they
• 1:49:51
  Speaker 2: haven't made the playoffs, and everybody's like, oh, it's the
• 1:49:53
  Speaker 2: first playoff birth for this franchise, which is not really
• 1:49:57
  Speaker 2: the case if you consider the fact that they still
• 1:50:00
  Speaker 2: were Arizona Phoenix, you know, and the Winnipeg Jets before that,
• 1:50:04
  Speaker 2: so you know that team made the playoffs, but it's
• 1:50:07
  Speaker 2: been a while, so yeah, it was probably a big celebration.
• 1:50:10
  Speaker 1: So I don't love Utah in the spot.
• 1:50:13
  Speaker 2: And again, they're kind of locked into this spot, the
• 1:50:15
  Speaker 2: top wildcard spot, because they can't really move up. They're
• 1:50:18
  Speaker 2: twelve spots by Minnesota, so they can't. They actually can't
• 1:50:21
  Speaker 2: get out of the wildcard spots. I think they could
• 1:50:24
  Speaker 2: fall to the two or they Yeah, they could fall
• 1:50:27
  Speaker 2: to the two, but they've already clinched, so who cares
• 1:50:30
  Speaker 2: which wildcard spot you get. So Utah's motivation is in
• 1:50:32
  Speaker 2: question here too. That was a big win for them
• 1:50:36
  Speaker 2: over Nashville. They beat Edmondson the game before that, so
• 1:50:40
  Speaker 2: you know, again the motivation is in question here. This
• 1:50:44
  Speaker 2: game is a game where I would not oppose the
• 1:50:45
  Speaker 2: over either because I think both teams.
• 1:50:47
  Speaker 1: Are in questionable spots.
• 1:50:49
  Speaker 2: The money is agreeing with May seventy five tickets, ninety
• 1:50:52
  Speaker 2: four percent of the casual on the over totals at
• 1:50:54
  Speaker 2: six and a half with less juice on the under.
• 1:50:56
  Speaker 2: Now money is still agreeing with the Utah they're up
• 1:50:59
  Speaker 2: to minus one thirty for minus one to fifteen, sixty
• 1:51:02
  Speaker 2: nine percent of tickets eighty three percent of the cash
• 1:51:04
  Speaker 2: on them.
• 1:51:04
  Speaker 1: I don't disagree with Utah. I would slightly lean that way,
• 1:51:08
  Speaker 1: but I really have my concerns about.
• 1:51:10
  Speaker 2: It, you know, so I think it over makes more
• 1:51:12
  Speaker 2: sense there with both teams kind of with questionable motivation there.
• 1:51:17
  Speaker 1: Florida at Toronto.
• 1:51:19
  Speaker 2: These two teams are both eliminated, so this seems like
• 1:51:21
  Speaker 2: it would be a game where it'd also lead to
• 1:51:23
  Speaker 2: the over. I don't give unders in hockey, man, I'm sorry.
• 1:51:26
  Speaker 2: Florida is also on the road here and this is
• 1:51:28
  Speaker 2: gonna be their fifth game in eight days, all in
• 1:51:32
  Speaker 2: different cities, I think, so that's pretty difficult.
• 1:51:34
  Speaker 1: They got blown out by Auto on their last game.
• 1:51:36
  Speaker 2: It's still the travel is kind of difficult for Florida
• 1:51:39
  Speaker 2: here Toronto. Maybe Toronto will get up for a little
• 1:51:42
  Speaker 2: bit more because Toronto did just lose their last game
• 1:51:45
  Speaker 2: as well. They're they're on a four game losing streak.
• 1:51:48
  Speaker 2: They don't have Austin Matthews anymore. I don't think not
• 1:51:51
  Speaker 2: their final home game, but maybe they'll get up for it.
• 1:51:53
  Speaker 2: But it is a third game in four days for them,
• 1:51:55
  Speaker 2: which is not that easy either, although they had rest
• 1:51:59
  Speaker 2: before that, and they're they've been at home for two
• 1:52:02
  Speaker 2: of these three games at least, so they are coming
• 1:52:04
  Speaker 2: back from New York.
• 1:52:05
  Speaker 1: Here. I'm gonna lean slightly to Toronto. I think the
• 1:52:08
  Speaker 1: motivation might be a little bit more for.
• 1:52:09
  Speaker 2: Them because Florida, I mean, they expected to at least
• 1:52:12
  Speaker 2: make the playoffs this year and they're not gonna be.
• 1:52:14
  Speaker 2: There might be a little bit more exciting of a
• 1:52:17
  Speaker 2: game for Toronto. They're up to minus one thirty two
• 1:52:19
  Speaker 2: for minus one twenty money, agreeing with Toronto sixty two
• 1:52:22
  Speaker 2: percent of tickets eighty one percent of the cash on them.
• 1:52:24
  Speaker 2: The public is probably not gonna want Toronto. Oh, Florida
• 1:52:27
  Speaker 2: is an underdog. Let me take them, you know that
• 1:52:31
  Speaker 2: type of thing. I would not do that. I would
• 1:52:33
  Speaker 2: lean to Toronto. But I also do like the over
• 1:52:35
  Speaker 2: we've seen like no movement or real percentages on that.
• 1:52:38
  Speaker 2: It's at six and a half, which is one of
• 1:52:40
  Speaker 2: the highest totals to getting hockey. So the odds makers
• 1:52:43
  Speaker 2: kind of telling you the over seems correct. There Columbus
• 1:52:48
  Speaker 2: in Montreal, this is the other game I got. We're
• 1:52:55
  Speaker 2: gonna play this other underdog here. We're gonna play the
• 1:52:57
  Speaker 2: Columbus Blue Jackets at plus one twenty five on the
• 1:53:00
  Speaker 2: money line here.
• 1:53:01
  Speaker 1: I mean, if you wanted to do a.
• 1:53:02
  Speaker 2: Split bet to try to mitigate the risk a little bit,
• 1:53:05
  Speaker 2: you could, but I think just the price is at
• 1:53:08
  Speaker 2: a point where it's it's close enough to pick the winner,
• 1:53:11
  Speaker 2: or it's just like, yeah, just fire on the underdog.
• 1:53:14
  Speaker 1: Man. And I always say, you bet to win.
• 1:53:17
  Speaker 2: The same amount, you know what I mean, Like, say
• 1:53:18
  Speaker 2: my unit size is three hundred or whatever, I'm gonna
• 1:53:22
  Speaker 2: bet two hundred whatever to win three hundred on this,
• 1:53:25
  Speaker 2: you know what I mean. So that's why, like betting
• 1:53:28
  Speaker 2: these money line underdogs is fun in a way because
• 1:53:30
  Speaker 2: you think you have the you know, you find an
• 1:53:31
  Speaker 2: advantage with a team it's an underdog, and you get
• 1:53:34
  Speaker 2: to pay less to win more on it, you know
• 1:53:35
  Speaker 2: what I mean. So we get to do that in
• 1:53:37
  Speaker 2: baseball hockey. You know we're gonna do it here. The
• 1:53:40
  Speaker 2: money's agreeing with me. By the way, Montreal at minus
• 1:53:42
  Speaker 2: one thirty six eighty eight percent of tickets on them,
• 1:53:45
  Speaker 2: but fifty three percent of the cash on Columbus, So
• 1:53:48
  Speaker 2: the money is pretty strongly agreeing with me on this
• 1:53:50
  Speaker 2: more strongly.
• 1:53:51
  Speaker 1: Than it was before.
• 1:53:53
  Speaker 2: I like this, man, Columbus is coming off getting shut
• 1:53:56
  Speaker 2: out by Buffalo, so I think it's a bounce back
• 1:53:58
  Speaker 2: spot for Columbus here. They've had some days off in
• 1:54:01
  Speaker 2: the mix here, so it's not as bad. The fact
• 1:54:04
  Speaker 2: they're playing another road game here. It's a rubber game
• 1:54:06
  Speaker 2: on the road here where they're one and one on
• 1:54:08
  Speaker 2: the road trips, So that might motivate them a little
• 1:54:10
  Speaker 2: bit more as well. And you know, as if they
• 1:54:13
  Speaker 2: don't need any more motivation, they're trying to make the playoffs, man,
• 1:54:15
  Speaker 2: so that's a huge motivating factor here. They're three points
• 1:54:19
  Speaker 2: back of the last or four excusing four points back
• 1:54:22
  Speaker 2: of the last wildcard. Right now, you're gonna get motivation
• 1:54:24
  Speaker 2: out of Columbus here, man.
• 1:54:26
  Speaker 1: The fact that they've fallen like.
• 1:54:28
  Speaker 2: They were pretty safe, like not safely, but they were
• 1:54:31
  Speaker 2: in the playoffs for quite a while and now it
• 1:54:33
  Speaker 2: looks like it's highly unlikely they're gonna make it.
• 1:54:35
  Speaker 1: But I think that means they.
• 1:54:36
  Speaker 2: Can play looser too, because they gonna win and they
• 1:54:38
  Speaker 2: need help here, so they have more urgency. They're an
• 1:54:42
  Speaker 2: underdog and it's not control your own destiny for them either.
• 1:54:46
  Speaker 2: So I think it's a good spot for Columbus here
• 1:54:49
  Speaker 2: for a lot of reasons, and for Montreal. It's not Montreal.
• 1:54:52
  Speaker 2: I mean, you could argue, oh, Montreal is playing for
• 1:54:55
  Speaker 2: seating here. They could overtake Buffalo still for the number
• 1:54:58
  Speaker 2: one seed in the Atlantic. Again, that's not really that
• 1:55:01
  Speaker 2: much of a motivating motivating factor, man, it's really not
• 1:55:03
  Speaker 2: that much of a thing.
• 1:55:05
  Speaker 1: Montreal has already clinched a playoff spot.
• 1:55:07
  Speaker 2: They clearly have less to play for here, and they're
• 1:55:09
  Speaker 2: coming up a big win over Tampa Bay.
• 1:55:12
  Speaker 1: After beating Florida.
• 1:55:13
  Speaker 2: Still big because it's the returning champs beating Tampa Bay.
• 1:55:16
  Speaker 2: That's a big win, which allowed Montreal to be two
• 1:55:19
  Speaker 2: points ahead of them right now. And they're playing, you know,
• 1:55:22
  Speaker 2: the Islanders. I don't know if that's bigger or not,
• 1:55:24
  Speaker 2: but the Islanders are closer in the playoff race at
• 1:55:28
  Speaker 2: least than the Columbus is, though only by one spot.
• 1:55:31
  Speaker 1: So I don't know if that's really that big of
• 1:55:32
  Speaker 1: a deal.
• 1:55:32
  Speaker 2: But still, everything else, like, everything lines up pretty much
• 1:55:35
  Speaker 2: for me for Columbus here.
• 1:55:36
  Speaker 1: So we are doing.
• 1:55:37
  Speaker 2: That Blue Jackets Bjay's money line.
• 1:55:41
  Speaker 1: That's the last play I have. Yeah, yeah, it's.
• 1:55:48
  Speaker 2: It's a well that's not that big of a unit.
• 1:55:50
  Speaker 2: That's still a pretty small unit. A lot of these
• 1:55:53
  Speaker 2: professionals bet like ten times that Philadelphia at Winnipeg interesting game.
• 1:56:00
  Speaker 2: These teams have motivation. They're both trying to make the
• 1:56:02
  Speaker 2: playoffs still, I believe Philadelphia. It's weird because they're in
• 1:56:06
  Speaker 2: the last Metro divisional spot here, but they're below both
• 1:56:11
  Speaker 2: wildcard spots, so kind of a similar thing going on
• 1:56:14
  Speaker 2: in the East that's going on in the West here
• 1:56:16
  Speaker 2: where Philadelphia, Yeah, I mean, who's the next closest team
• 1:56:20
  Speaker 2: to them in their division though, I don't know. It
• 1:56:22
  Speaker 2: might be Detroit though, So yeah, Philadelphia, they're trying to
• 1:56:26
  Speaker 2: hang on to this playoff spot, so they're still definitely
• 1:56:28
  Speaker 2: motivating here.
• 1:56:29
  Speaker 1: It's just weird that both wildcards are.
• 1:56:31
  Speaker 2: Ahead of them, but similar thing going on to the west,
• 1:56:33
  Speaker 2: and then in Winnipeg is only three points out of
• 1:56:36
  Speaker 2: the last wildcard spot in the West, so both teams
• 1:56:39
  Speaker 2: are trying to win here.
• 1:56:42
  Speaker 1: When Philadelphia did just lose to Detroit, but third.
• 1:56:46
  Speaker 2: Straight game on the road here, I don't know, man,
• 1:56:48
  Speaker 2: they lost a that was a pretty big game against Detroit.
• 1:56:51
  Speaker 2: They lost the game. They got Carolina Montreal all up,
• 1:56:54
  Speaker 2: those are big games too. Philadelphia is in the playoffs
• 1:56:58
  Speaker 2: right now, whereas Winnipeg isn't. So Winnipeg might have some
• 1:57:02
  Speaker 2: slight advantages here. Winnipeg has a little bit of momentum,
• 1:57:05
  Speaker 2: I guess, because they're on a three game win streak
• 1:57:07
  Speaker 2: and they only beat Seattle and Saint Louis in the
• 1:57:09
  Speaker 2: last two games, barely beat Saint Louis.
• 1:57:12
  Speaker 1: They are returning home.
• 1:57:13
  Speaker 2: They do a Vegas up next, which is a bigger game,
• 1:57:15
  Speaker 2: and then Utah. But yeah, both teams, you know, some
• 1:57:20
  Speaker 2: similar things about the spots here, but I look Winnipeg here.
• 1:57:25
  Speaker 2: You know, I actually think Winnipeg might be the slightly
• 1:57:27
  Speaker 2: better team here, which people might not realize because there's
• 1:57:29
  Speaker 2: a reason why Winnipeg's favored, even though I think they.
• 1:57:31
  Speaker 1: Have the worst looking record here.
• 1:57:33
  Speaker 2: They're at minus one twenty nine. The money slightly indicating
• 1:57:36
  Speaker 2: in Philadelphia. But I think Philadelphia might be a little
• 1:57:39
  Speaker 2: bit of a public dog here. Fifty four percent of
• 1:57:41
  Speaker 2: tickets fifty seven percent of the casual on them right now.
• 1:57:43
  Speaker 2: But I lean Winnipeg slightly there. But I don't have
• 1:57:46
  Speaker 2: a good read on that game at all. Maybe because
• 1:57:48
  Speaker 2: that's a game where both teams are showing up. Maybe
• 1:57:50
  Speaker 2: that is an undergame.
• 1:57:52
  Speaker 1: The totals fairly low at five and a half, fifty
• 1:57:54
  Speaker 1: eight percent of tickets, fifty nine percent of the causual
• 1:57:56
  Speaker 1: on the over I wouldn't want to do it, but
• 1:57:58
  Speaker 1: you do Winnipeg.
• 1:57:59
  Speaker 2: If hell Book is in net, you do get him there.
• 1:58:02
  Speaker 2: I don't know if he's gonna be or not.
• 1:58:04
  Speaker 1: But.
• 1:58:05
  Speaker 2: Yeah, it's hard to say because he just plays so
• 1:58:07
  Speaker 2: many games in a row. You never know when he's
• 1:58:09
  Speaker 2: gonna rest, so kind of a risk there.
• 1:58:12
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 1:58:13
  Speaker 2: Calgary at Seattle, I mean Seattle kind of might as
• 1:58:16
  Speaker 2: well be eliminated at this point. They're technically not, but
• 1:58:19
  Speaker 2: they're seven points or excuse me, no, they're eight points
• 1:58:23
  Speaker 2: back of LA right now. So yeah, they're trying to
• 1:58:26
  Speaker 2: stay alive. Maybe there's urgency there, but it also means
• 1:58:28
  Speaker 2: Calgary could play loose. Calgary doesn't have anything to play
• 1:58:32
  Speaker 2: for at this point. Calgary is on a long road
• 1:58:35
  Speaker 2: trip though, and they just played in Colorado, took Dallas
• 1:58:38
  Speaker 2: into overtime the game before that, didn't play horribly at Colorado.
• 1:58:42
  Speaker 2: Maybe they're gonna run out of Steam at the end
• 1:58:44
  Speaker 2: of the road trip. That is a concern here. Seattle
• 1:58:47
  Speaker 2: just beat Vegas, though, so they could be in a
• 1:58:49
  Speaker 2: letdown spot. That was a big win over Vegas. They
• 1:58:52
  Speaker 2: got La Vegas a Colorado to finish the season. Those
• 1:58:55
  Speaker 2: are all kind of bigger games as well. I mean,
• 1:58:58
  Speaker 2: they're trying to stay alive, so they can't lose. Was
• 1:59:00
  Speaker 2: any game here, But yeah, I don't know, man. I
• 1:59:03
  Speaker 2: think Calgary they're the team that can play a little
• 1:59:04
  Speaker 2: bit looser here. I think I do lean to Calgary here.
• 1:59:07
  Speaker 2: The money is pretty strongly agreeing with it. I don't
• 1:59:09
  Speaker 2: really have that strong of an opinion on it. I
• 1:59:11
  Speaker 2: mean I told you my concerns with Calgary, but Seattle
• 1:59:14
  Speaker 2: down for minus one fifty five to minus one twenty
• 1:59:16
  Speaker 2: eight here fifty five percent of the tickets on them,
• 1:59:19
  Speaker 2: ninety three percent of the cash on Calgary. Money is
• 1:59:21
  Speaker 2: indicating on Calgary, I'll agree with it. And then we
• 1:59:24
  Speaker 2: do have an ABC night game, so it's I guess
• 1:59:27
  Speaker 2: technically a triple header, but there's a gap, so there's
• 1:59:30
  Speaker 2: two afternoon games and then a night game Vegas and Colorado.
• 1:59:33
  Speaker 2: The problem is Colorado has like nothing to play for
• 1:59:37
  Speaker 2: it dude, they already clinched the conference today. They already
• 1:59:39
  Speaker 2: clinched the one seed. They're eight points ahead of Dallas.
• 1:59:42
  Speaker 2: So Colorado does not have a lot to play for
• 1:59:45
  Speaker 2: Vegas does. Vegas is in a crazy spot where they're
• 1:59:49
  Speaker 2: actually behind Utah, who's in the top wildcard spot in
• 1:59:53
  Speaker 2: Vegas is sitting in the second spot in their division
• 1:59:55
  Speaker 2: right now. Vegas trying to hold on to a playoff
• 2:00:00
  Speaker 2: spot here and it's a big game for them. I
• 2:00:02
  Speaker 2: think the motivation is pretty clearly on the Vegas side
• 2:00:05
  Speaker 2: here more than it is in Colorado. I mean Colorado
• 2:00:07
  Speaker 2: literally that has like nothing to play for here. Vegas
• 2:00:10
  Speaker 2: just took an ugly loss to Seattle here it ended
• 2:00:12
  Speaker 2: a win streak for them, which sometimes didn't hang you over.
• 2:00:15
  Speaker 2: But I think they were looking ahead because this game
• 2:00:17
  Speaker 2: against Colorado is so big. That would be my guess
• 2:00:20
  Speaker 2: that they got caught looking ahead here. So I think
• 2:00:22
  Speaker 2: Vegas also, I think Vegas is better than their record looks.
• 2:00:25
  Speaker 2: I think there's gonna be some value here on Vegas Colorado.
• 2:00:28
  Speaker 2: They're playing out the stretch. They just beat Calgary, who cares.
• 2:00:32
  Speaker 2: I mean, yeah, it's a TV game, but again, how
• 2:00:35
  Speaker 2: much motivation are you gonna get out of a team
• 2:00:37
  Speaker 2: that already has clinched the spot. But the oddsmakers know that,
• 2:00:40
  Speaker 2: and they're lying in Colorado pretty cheap at minus one
• 2:00:43
  Speaker 2: thirty here. But you know the public's gonna come in
• 2:00:45
  Speaker 2: and think, oh my god, I get Colorado this cheap
• 2:00:47
  Speaker 2: of price, and they're way better than Vegas, man, which
• 2:00:51
  Speaker 2: I actually don't think so. I think Vegas is under
• 2:00:53
  Speaker 2: the raidar. I think Vegas is a lot better than
• 2:00:55
  Speaker 2: the record makes them look. Sixty percent of the tickets
• 2:00:59
  Speaker 2: on Colorado, team that's favored and has basically nothing to
• 2:01:02
  Speaker 2: play for sixty nine percent of the money on Vegas. Clearly,
• 2:01:05
  Speaker 2: I agree with Vegas there. It would be a money
• 2:01:08
  Speaker 2: line play underdog there. I like it not on my card,
• 2:01:11
  Speaker 2: but I lean Vegas there, and then Vancouver at San Jose.
• 2:01:18
  Speaker 2: Oh the wait a minute, why did I just yeah,
• 2:01:20
  Speaker 2: why is it not on my card?
• 2:01:23
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't know. I mean, this is definitely in consideration.
• 2:01:29
  Speaker 1: I'll leave it alone, but you know that that would
• 2:01:31
  Speaker 1: probably be the next one I would add. Would be Vegas,
• 2:01:35
  Speaker 1: Vancouver and San Jose.
• 2:01:36
  Speaker 2: I mean, San Jose is the only team with anything
• 2:01:38
  Speaker 2: to play for. But like I said, with Detroit. The
• 2:01:41
  Speaker 2: problem is they're playing a team that's very bad and eliminated.
• 2:01:45
  Speaker 1: So San Jose is.
• 2:01:45
  Speaker 2: Gonna be too heavy of a favorite, probably because everybody
• 2:01:49
  Speaker 2: knows they're fighting to make the playoffs.
• 2:01:51
  Speaker 1: They're four points back of LA.
• 2:01:53
  Speaker 2: Now, obviously San Jose has the urgency here, but it's
• 2:01:57
  Speaker 2: gonna be baked into the line. They're playing a third
• 2:01:59
  Speaker 2: game in four d's, which isn't exactly great. They just
• 2:02:02
  Speaker 2: got blown out by Edmonton and Anaheim. Looks like unfortunately
• 2:02:06
  Speaker 2: they're not gonna make the playoffs here. They should win
• 2:02:09
  Speaker 2: against Vancouver, but then again, they got a big game
• 2:02:11
  Speaker 2: against Nashville next, gotta go out on the road. Yeah,
• 2:02:15
  Speaker 2: they could bounce back from these blowout losses, but again
• 2:02:17
  Speaker 2: I think they're gonna be favored by too much here
• 2:02:19
  Speaker 2: in Vancouver. Yeah, there's nothing left for them to play
• 2:02:22
  Speaker 2: for because they're playing.
• 2:02:23
  Speaker 1: Out the stretch. They get chances to play spoiler whatever,
• 2:02:26
  Speaker 1: maybe play for a little bit of pride here at
• 2:02:28
  Speaker 1: the end of the season. This isn't quite like the NBA, where.
• 2:02:32
  Speaker 2: You know, teams are benching all their starters or anything
• 2:02:35
  Speaker 2: like that. It's not really exactly like that, so you
• 2:02:38
  Speaker 2: might get an effort out of the Canucks in this one,
• 2:02:41
  Speaker 2: I would lean that way.
• 2:02:43
  Speaker 1: This one's I don't have that strong of a feel
• 2:02:45
  Speaker 1: for it.
• 2:02:45
  Speaker 2: But san Jose is all the way up from outus
• 2:02:47
  Speaker 2: one forty five to minus two to twelve. I don't
• 2:02:49
  Speaker 2: know what moved the line like that, but I really
• 2:02:52
  Speaker 2: don't think San Jose should be that substantial of a
• 2:02:54
  Speaker 2: favorite against anybody. I think there's probably some value in
• 2:02:58
  Speaker 2: going against that. Per tickets, fifty percent of the cash
• 2:03:01
  Speaker 2: on san Jose's the money is agreeing with me. With
• 2:03:04
  Speaker 2: fading san Jose, you'd be able to get a plus
• 2:03:06
  Speaker 2: one and a half puck.
• 2:03:07
  Speaker 1: Line on that at a pretty decent price. And that
• 2:03:09
  Speaker 1: is it.
• 2:03:10
  Speaker 2: That's gonna do it. I gotta get out of here. Man,
• 2:03:13
  Speaker 2: too long of a show. Here plays one more time.
• 2:03:16
  Speaker 2: I think they're all night time places. Tonight Cleveland, Actually
• 2:03:20
  Speaker 2: Cleveland might be an afternoon game. Cleveland Indians money line
• 2:03:23
  Speaker 2: and baseball money line, Washington Capitals in hockey money line,
• 2:03:27
  Speaker 2: Blue Jackets, Columbus Hockey. That's gonna do it. Learn it
• 2:03:32
  Speaker 2: tone on Twitter, learn it tone on Instagram. Let's get
• 2:03:35
  Speaker 2: this show, Let's get him monetized. Man, Tell everybody boost
• 2:03:38
  Speaker 2: it up like subscribes to get the notifications here, leave
• 2:03:42
  Speaker 2: me good comments here. We're on audio as well, Apple
• 2:03:45
  Speaker 2: Spotify on Spreaker, we get boosted for the listeners over there,
• 2:03:50
  Speaker 2: so that helps as well.
• 2:03:51
  Speaker 1: Check it out.
• 2:03:52
  Speaker 2: Over there covering you because my Yuke channel. I'm thinking
• 2:03:55
  Speaker 2: about merging the two in some way though, like calling
• 2:03:58
  Speaker 2: this the Toad or something and having all Toad material here.
• 2:04:03
  Speaker 2: I don't know what you guys think about that, but
• 2:04:04
  Speaker 2: maybe talked about that with Hindi and yesterday.
• 2:04:07
  Speaker 1: I don't know if I'm gonna do that or not,
• 2:04:08
  Speaker 1: but maybe, uh, but I don't know. I don't know
• 2:04:10
  Speaker 1: if i'd be.
• 2:04:11
  Speaker 2: Able to take all the Yuke stuff I over over
• 2:04:13
  Speaker 2: there and transfer it over. I might just, you know,
• 2:04:15
  Speaker 2: maybe just try to start uploading, like the newer ones
• 2:04:18
  Speaker 2: that I have there.
• 2:04:19
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I don't know what I want to
• 2:04:20
  Speaker 1: do yet, but I don't know. We'll see. And then
• 2:04:26
  Speaker 1: what else do I have?
• 2:04:26
  Speaker 2: Patreon dot com, slash learn to Toad where I'm trying
• 2:04:29
  Speaker 2: to come up with some Patreon ideas because I'm not
• 2:04:31
  Speaker 2: nice to the supporters at all, really, but I appreciate
• 2:04:34
  Speaker 2: the support, man, I really do. And Loser Cast will
• 2:04:38
  Speaker 2: be back with me on Tuesday night. That's gonna do it.
• 2:04:42
  Speaker 2: Have a good one, everybody. Let's get some wins today.
• 2:04:45
  Speaker 2: Thank you, sir, Thank you everybody. Uh toad diverse, I
• 2:04:50
  Speaker 2: don't know, I gotta I gotta think of some names here.
• 2:04:52
  Speaker 2: Where's Jeffrey. Jeffrey came up with Toadstool Sports. I would
• 2:04:56
  Speaker 2: still use the Toads Little Sports Moniker for all the
• 2:04:58
  Speaker 2: sports content, but the name of the overall channel might change.
• 2:05:04
  Speaker 1: Thank you everybody. I'll be back out.
• 2:05:06
  Speaker 2: Tomorrow and it's gonna be a brutal long show tomorrow.
• 2:05:09
  Speaker 1: So peace for now.