Latest / ANGLES. / Big Tech/AI Massacre.
Transcript
- 0:01SPEAKER_00: Big Tech AI Massacre.
- 0:04SPEAKER_00: My Weekly Market Review, November the 1st, 2026.
- 0:10SPEAKER_00: The Federal Reserve was widely expected to hold the Fed funds rate steady in
- 0:14SPEAKER_00: a pivotal week where key data releases were set to collide
- 0:18SPEAKER_00: with mega cap tech earnings during the final days of campaigning before
- 0:22SPEAKER_00: the US midterm elections.
- 0:25SPEAKER_00: Things got off to a bright start on Monday morning.
- 0:28SPEAKER_00: Dominated by the announcement officially confirming
- 0:30SPEAKER_00: the upcoming blockbuster Anthropic IPO,
- 0:35SPEAKER_00: after just five years of existence,
- 0:37SPEAKER_00: the firm's quarterly revenues are now higher than those of Intel,
- 0:42SPEAKER_00: Uber, Coca-Cola, Netflix, or Nike.
- 0:47SPEAKER_00: Stocks and bonds both shifted higher as interest rates continued to ease and
- 0:51SPEAKER_00: the price of oil pulled back from its multi-month highs.
- 0:54SPEAKER_00: The stock indexes all advance to close nicely in the green.
- 1:00SPEAKER_00: After a solid Asian session and further energy price drops,
- 1:04SPEAKER_00: mostly decent earnings reports from UPS,
- 1:07SPEAKER_00: SoFi and Coca-Cola kept the party going on Tuesday,
- 1:11SPEAKER_00: although Boeing plunged after announcing more losses and a dismal outlook.
- 1:16SPEAKER_00: Tech and particularly the beaten down chip stocks took the lead and
- 1:20SPEAKER_00: the NASDAQ 100 had a very good day.
- 1:24SPEAKER_00: Fed decision day dawned on a huge Wednesday, with major earnings on deck for after the close.
- 1:32SPEAKER_00: Stocks remained in a holding pattern going into the 2pm Eastern announcement,
- 1:36SPEAKER_00: despite a sensational earnings report from the world's second largest chipmaker,
- 1:41SPEAKER_00: SK Hynix, with the market-driven probability rate hike steady at less than 10%.
- 1:50SPEAKER_00: As expected,
- 1:50SPEAKER_00: the Fed Funds rate was left unchanged at 3.875%,
- 1:55SPEAKER_00: with two dissents out of 12 votes, both of whom wanted a quarter point hike.
- 2:01SPEAKER_00: The market consensus was that inaction in October could well mean action
- 2:06SPEAKER_00: in December,
- 2:08SPEAKER_00: and the probability of a rate increase at the final meeting of
- 2:11SPEAKER_00: the year remains high.
- 2:14SPEAKER_00: It was also announced that the Fed will meet less frequently in the future
- 2:17SPEAKER_00: to adjust interest rates,
- 2:19SPEAKER_00: down from the current eight meetings a year to six by 2028.
- 2:25SPEAKER_00: An evasive Chairman Walsh admitted in the press conference
- 2:28SPEAKER_00: that inflation is too high,
- 2:31SPEAKER_00: but that the committee wants to see more data before pulling the trigger
- 2:35SPEAKER_00: on another increase,
- 2:37SPEAKER_00: inevitably sparking speculation that
- 2:40SPEAKER_00: the decision had been politically influenced ahead of the midterms by pressure
- 2:44SPEAKER_00: from Trump, who apparently thinks that interest rates should be below 1%.
- 2:51SPEAKER_00: Alphabet Google's stock price got brutalized after hours on much worse
- 2:56SPEAKER_00: than expected revenue and sales.
- 2:58SPEAKER_00: Robinhood, Samsung, and ServiceNow also underwhelmed.
- 3:03SPEAKER_00: But Microsoft, Oracle, Ford, and T-Mobile all surprised to the upside.
- 3:09SPEAKER_00: Wall Street set fire to half a trillion dollars of Alphabet Google's value when
- 3:15SPEAKER_00: the stock crashed by over 13% the moment the real markets opened
- 3:20SPEAKER_00: on Thursday morning.
- 3:21SPEAKER_00: And it barely recovered,
- 3:23SPEAKER_00: dragging down the large-cap indexes,
- 3:25SPEAKER_00: especially the NASDAQ 100, which crapped out by 2% in a matter of minutes.
- 3:32SPEAKER_00: U.S.
- 3:33SPEAKER_00: third quarter GDP increased at an accelerating 3.4% annualized rate according to
- 3:39SPEAKER_00: the preliminary estimate.
- 3:42SPEAKER_00: But the closely watched PCE inflation rate climbed to 3.6% annualized,
- 3:49SPEAKER_00: so way above the Fed's supposed 2% target.
- 3:54SPEAKER_00: The stock indexes stabilized somewhat as the session wore on,
- 3:58SPEAKER_00: but still ended up deep in the red.
- 4:02SPEAKER_00: The concentrated source of the problem was highlighted by the fact that fewer
- 4:06SPEAKER_00: than 20% of the S&P 500 companies,
- 4:10SPEAKER_00: mostly tech names,
- 4:11SPEAKER_00: closed lower on the day,
- 4:13SPEAKER_00: but they did so by so much that the overall index was pulled significantly lower.
- 4:20SPEAKER_00: After the bell,
- 4:21SPEAKER_00: Amazon and Intel fell well short of expectations with their reports and outlook,
- 4:27SPEAKER_00: but Eli Lilly and Sandisk impressed with theirs.
- 4:31SPEAKER_00: The big tech AI massacre snowballed dramatically on Friday,
- 4:36SPEAKER_00: with index heavyweights Amazon and especially Intel,
- 4:39SPEAKER_00: which lost 30% of its value,
- 4:43SPEAKER_00: getting butchered in response to their earnings and was not helped by
- 4:47SPEAKER_00: a massive theft of over $6 billion of client crypto assets at Binance
- 4:53SPEAKER_00: by North Korean hackers.
- 4:55SPEAKER_00: Money flooded out of tech stocks and into the only perceived safe haven of bonds,
- 5:02SPEAKER_00: and this sent interest rates spinning lower.
- 5:05SPEAKER_00: The Nasdaq 100 car crash,
- 5:07SPEAKER_00: which capped a brutal month for the index,
- 5:10SPEAKER_00: took it into official correction territory just three and a half weeks
- 5:15SPEAKER_00: after celebrating a new all-time high on October 6.
- 5:20SPEAKER_00: Crypto and gold's supposed role as useful hedges
- 5:24SPEAKER_00: to equities was once again completely undermined
- 5:27SPEAKER_00: as both asset classes got pounded even harder than stocks.
- 5:33SPEAKER_00: The S&P 500 and the NASDAQ 100 large cap indexes
- 5:38SPEAKER_00: and international stocks all ended lower for both the week and the month.
- 5:43SPEAKER_00: But US small caps ended October with fractional gains.