Latest / Targeting Winners: A College Football Betting Podcast / Championship Weekend Chaos: Betting Picks & Playoff Analysis
Transcript
- 0:02What's up guys? Welcome to Conference
- 0:04Championship weekend. This is targeting winners 8
- 0:07college football betting podcast I am Darren, joined as always by
- 0:11Tim MP. Tim, how are we doing today?
- 0:14I'm doing good, still licking my wounds from rivalry weekend.
- 0:19Well, you still have a long way to go before you match my 2020.
- 0:22Fewer futility, so I don't feel bad.
- 0:25How are you doing, man? Well, you know, after last
- 0:28weekend, which was not not surprising at all, I'm I'm doing
- 0:31OK. So I was just hoping to be
- 0:34searching for a coach ourselves this week and unfortunately we
- 0:37are not. So I with Michigan, we're a
- 0:39little conservative. We have to wait to really suck
- 0:42before we actually fire somebody.
- 0:43So by about mid next season, we'll be lamenting the fact that
- 0:47that Jackass is still here. But until then, here we are.
- 0:50I do see your special teams coach was let go.
- 0:53So I mean, you know, it's. Yeah, great.
- 0:54Yeah, Yeah, he was, he was the problem.
- 0:56He he was definitely the problem, not the fact that we
- 0:58have virtually no talent at the skill position because he can't
- 1:02recruit anybody. That's not the problem at all.
- 1:04That's. All his fault.
- 1:05It's all his special teams fault.
- 1:07All right, guys, we're going to talk about a few things here.
- 1:10First, we're going to clean up a little bit of housekeeping.
- 1:12First of all, we know we have some podcast listeners from
- 1:15Missouri. And if you're a resident of the
- 1:17Show ME State, congratulations. Welcome to sports betting.
- 1:20As of December 1st, you can suffer with the rest of them.
- 1:23There you go. Applause to Missouri.
- 1:26So yeah, if this is your first time joining us, you're looking
- 1:28for some little bit of info on college football.
- 1:31Welcome. If you've been listening to us
- 1:32all, now you can. Now you can blow some money like
- 1:35we do. Second thing, for the third year
- 1:38in a row, we are running a bowl game pick em contest through
- 1:42ESPN. It's their Capital One Bowl
- 1:44Mania pick em contest is set up. We got a couple of you in there
- 1:48already. Basically, you're going to pick
- 1:49every bowl game against the spread.
- 1:51Once that schedule comes out, the lines come out.
- 1:53ESPN does not change them. You just need to make sure you
- 1:56get your pick in before the kick off of each particular game.
- 2:00Probably going to throw at least a couple $100 in there depending
- 2:03on how many people show up and sign up.
- 2:06Usually we just it's winner take all, but if we get enough
- 2:08people, maybe we'll play second, maybe 3rd.
- 2:11I'm going to put the link is up. If you're part of the Facebook
- 2:13group, you check it there. If you check out our YouTube
- 2:15home page, it is there on the post tab and I will also put a
- 2:19link to the contest in the description.
- 2:22It's private. The password is TW2025I don't
- 2:25think you need that. If you click the link, but sign
- 2:28in, join up, it's free. You get to win Tim's money
- 2:30because you know he's the one with the profitable only fans
- 2:33account. So that's where it all comes
- 2:34from. But yeah, sure.
- 2:38Yeah, I mean, whatever pays the bills, right?
- 2:43All right, so before we get into the nine games, guys, I don't
- 2:46know if you'd noticed this or not, but there was one or two
- 2:49coaching changes on Sunday, a couple dozen.
- 2:54I mean, some of them within like minutes of each other.
- 2:57We're not going to get into them all here because that's that's
- 3:00another show for for the offseason.
- 3:02And Tim actually put out a video with Mark from
- 3:04coacheshotseat.com where they went over some of those
- 3:06openings. The thought process by and
- 3:09keeping a guy by and firing a guy.
- 3:10Have some video. Check it out if you get a
- 3:12chance. All right, guys, we've gone
- 3:14through them. You know, you've seen them all.
- 3:17Pete, we'll start with you. What is your favorite hire so
- 3:21far and why? Well, I mean, we talked about
- 3:24James Franklin already, which I think was a really good one, but
- 3:26that happened before this weekend.
- 3:28All right. So to me, I think, I think Pat
- 3:31Fitzgerald that Michigan State is really interesting, right?
- 3:34So I, I think the Big 10 is served well by Michigan State
- 3:38being at least serviceable, if not better than serviceable.
- 3:41I mean, the writing was on the wall for a while that Jonathan
- 3:43Smith was going to be out, right.
- 3:44No surprise there. You know, Pat Fitzgerald, a guy
- 3:48that knows the Big 10 did a did a good job at Northwestern.
- 3:52Obviously with the, you know, stuff that happened there,
- 3:55which, you know, in retrospect, with the, you know, with the
- 3:57hazing, the stuff that happened and all that, it turns out in
- 3:59retrospect that he didn't know what was going on.
- 4:01At least he was cleared of knowing what's happening.
- 4:03So it looks like he was in the clear, at least I hope he was.
- 4:08But I think he will do a good job at Michigan State.
- 4:10It's a good place for him to land.
- 4:11It's a good program or can be a good program.
- 4:14And they showed this in the past.
- 4:15So, yeah, I mean, I think he can do well.
- 4:18I mean, it was funny. We were talking about it,
- 4:19Darren. Like that name popped up
- 4:21immediately. I mean, it was like that was
- 4:23ready to go. It's it's it's not a big
- 4:25surprise to me. It it fits the profile of who
- 4:28that team is. So, so yeah, I think it makes a
- 4:31heck of a lot of sense for them. I mean, they didn't give
- 4:34Jonathan Smith a chance. I mean, that was another to me,
- 4:37that was their rich rod at Sparty.
- 4:39It's like they just never gave the guy a chance and they could
- 4:41bring in a guy from outside the conference and it just never, it
- 4:44never had traction. So whatever, that's fine.
- 4:46But yeah, I think I think that could work out well, at least to
- 4:50stabilize things that that program's been a mess for a
- 4:53while now. So if nothing else, I think
- 4:55they'll stabilize the program, get things under control, you
- 4:58know, so I think they're going to start winning nine games
- 4:59anytime soon. I do not, but I but I do think
- 5:02they can be a serviceable program.
- 5:03So for that program, I like that higher.
- 5:07I think it's a good one. Dan, what's your favorite?
- 5:10Well, I mean, it's real easy to, you know, to pick the obvious
- 5:14one that sent shockwaves through the coaching, the coach, the
- 5:18college football world, if you will.
- 5:20I mean, obviously I'm talking about Jim Mora to Colorado
- 5:22State, but I'm not going to talk about that one because there was
- 5:26someone named Norville fired, but not the one everyone thought
- 5:28that it was. Jay Norville.
- 5:31My favorite is also a good qualifier is my least favorite
- 5:36because of where he went. But John Sumrall to Florida, I
- 5:39think he was the best group of five coach available to and the
- 5:43fact that he's might actually make Florida good makes me sick
- 5:49to my stomach a little bit. But I really, as I covered in
- 5:53the coaching episode, you can go back and check it on YouTube.
- 5:55Ding So but yeah, it's my favorite.
- 6:00Could be my least favorite. At the same time, yeah, he might
- 6:04do good things. Or Florida.
- 6:05And that, that upsets me greatly.
- 6:10Well, there, there was, there was, there was about 5 or 6 that
- 6:12I actually did like. But I think when I looked at
- 6:14everything together, I think James Franklin is actually still
- 6:17my favorite one just from a recruiting standpoint.
- 6:21He's familiar with that area of the country.
- 6:23I mean, say what you want about him, the guy did win.
- 6:26I mean, you always talk about Penn State being contended for
- 6:29the Big 10 title. You know, they did get to the
- 6:31final four in the initial 12 team playoff.
- 6:35And Tim, I was talking with you on the phone the other night.
- 6:37What's the big knock on him? Well dude can't beat the top
- 6:39five or top ten team. I don't know if anybody's
- 6:41checked the. ACC.
- 6:44He's certainly going to the right conference if he's looking
- 6:47to avoid top ten team because the ACC does not have any.
- 6:51So you can strike that from from the knock against him.
- 6:54Even today, signing day was yesterday.
- 6:57He took a ton of early commits to Penn State and flipped them
- 7:00over to him. I think the portal opens on
- 7:03January 2nd. He's probably going to get some
- 7:05more Penn State players to come and join him and we all know
- 7:08that team's bad as their record was, there's still a lot of
- 7:11talent on that squad. So everything considered, he
- 7:15eeks out some of the other guys I had written down as my
- 7:18favorite. So I'm going to I'm going to
- 7:20stick with with our boy big game.
- 7:22James. Tim, we'll start with you.
- 7:24If you have a different one than some are all that you hated or
- 7:28don't like for a certain program, what which one is that?
- 7:32Well, I mean, yeah, obviously the one I already said, the one
- 7:36that you were just talking about, as well as that makes
- 7:38Virginia Tech good, that also affects the Florida State a
- 7:41little bit. So I really don't like that too
- 7:42much. But if it does, maybe get some
- 7:44more coaches to come to the ACC and make the conference better
- 7:47as a whole, because I don't think any teams going anywhere,
- 7:52just not one I don't see, one that I really just hate.
- 7:55Another one that I kind of like, this addition by subtraction,
- 7:58would be Auburn, get rid of Hugh Freeze.
- 8:00So we'll see what the goal is like does over there in Auburn,
- 8:05but I can't think one that I really hate, you know, 'cause
- 8:10they haven't really done anything yet.
- 8:12But yeah, if I had to pick another one to hate, it would be
- 8:15James Franklin making that good. So that's.
- 8:18Right. If Florida State is good, they
- 8:23could. Really, it's another team that's
- 8:25going to beat Florida State. That's the only.
- 8:26Reason. Yeah.
- 8:27So, you know, I think. What's the one?
- 8:29What's the one you don't like? And before I say that, I mean,
- 8:32you mentioned Jim Mora. I thought that was a pretty good
- 8:34hire for that program as well. I mean, I think he'll he'll
- 8:36stabilize that program. I think he'll do a good job
- 8:38there. So that was a good that was a
- 8:39good hire. The two that I just don't quite
- 8:41think are going to do anything, Stanford, DaVita Pritchard, that
- 8:44guy wasn't getting a coaching job anywhere else.
- 8:46So I don't know what where that's going at all.
- 8:49I mean, that was the only place that guy was going to get a
- 8:50coaching job. So I don't I don't know what
- 8:52that is that that I think is a dud.
- 8:54And then Oregon State going with Jamarcus Shepard.
- 8:57Hell, they could have got Jonathan Smith back.
- 9:00I mean, who did a great job. Then why not go bring him back?
- 9:02I mean, that doesn't make any sense at all to me when you
- 9:04could have got Jonathan back. So that that one I don't get.
- 9:07But those are the two that I just a bit a bit baffle me, but
- 9:10those are that those two. Yeah, no, I agree with that.
- 9:14The one I didn't like, I wasn't thrilled with the whole way that
- 9:18Arkansas kind of handled everything they did.
- 9:22Like somebody leaked out early last week that they had gotten
- 9:26goalish and then goalish came out last Friday and was like,
- 9:29that didn't come from me or any of my people, you know?
- 9:32Then goalish goes to goes to Auburn.
- 9:35And then I feel like they kind of just settled on Ryan
- 9:39Silverfield from Memphis. I mean, yeah, I mean, you won at
- 9:42Memphis. That's great.
- 9:43But in all those years there, you never won a conference
- 9:45title. It's not like the American was
- 9:47loaded with high quality teams top to bottom.
- 9:51Then again, Hunter Eurocheck is their AD.
- 9:53If you've watched him on the college football rankings show,
- 9:56you know, he's a complete tool. So I mean, it doesn't really
- 9:58surprise me, but yeah, I I wasn't a fan of that one at all.
- 10:04I don't know who he's going to get to follow him.
- 10:05Taylen Green is supposedly out of eligibility, so I don't know
- 10:09who he's going to, you know, what he's doing at the
- 10:11quarterback position. I mean, obviously between now
- 10:14and the portal opening, a lot can change with these rosters.
- 10:17But yeah, I just think how that was handled I think already kind
- 10:23of sets it up for for kind of felt like he was like the fourth
- 10:25or fifth choice and that's who they got.
- 10:29And I'm not so sure he's going to succeed there, at least not
- 10:31initially. But we didn't, we didn't, we
- 10:34didn't mention Lane Kiffin, which was a foregone A
- 10:37conclusion for a while, right? So, yeah, yeah.
- 10:41While I was driving, I was listening to Colin Coward and he
- 10:46had Joel Klatt on, I believe who's and he's not like a Skip
- 10:49Bayless, Stephen A Smith type. He kind of like more.
- 10:53He was meant talking about the Penn State opening and he was
- 10:57saying that one of the reasons that they haven't had a coach
- 11:00yet is that that coach is still coaching and he went through the
- 11:05process of elimination. Now here's the scenario he he
- 11:08mentioned, he says he has no proof of this, but I want this
- 11:12to happen is that he thinks that one, one of the coaches Penn
- 11:16State may be going after, we've got Manny Diaz, Caitlin de Boer.
- 11:21So could you see a scenario where Caitlin de Boer takes the
- 11:25Penn State job? Alabama comes open Lane Kiffin 2
- 11:30weeks over there to Alabama. I want that to happen so bad,
- 11:35no? Not, not going to rain on your
- 11:37parade, but de Boer already came out today and said he's got no
- 11:39interest in the Penn State job. Nobody's contacted him.
- 11:42His people haven't reached out to them, so I don't think that's
- 11:45going to happen. He's.
- 11:47Going to pray on it like Glenn Kiffin did before.
- 11:49No, we're not praying. Maybe he's some kind of devil
- 11:52worshiper. I have no idea, but maybe he.
- 11:54Cranks up the White Zombie always tell the truth.
- 11:57I mean, maybe he just cranks up the White Zombie and lets the
- 11:59the voices in his head tell him what to.
- 12:01Who knows. Apparently the two odds on
- 12:03favorite are the guy currently coaching them right now, whose
- 12:07name escapes me, and our boy Ray's favorite head coach of all
- 12:11time, Brian Dayball, apparently are the 2.
- 12:13Great. Yeah, I heard that.
- 12:15From you. So we'll see how that goes.
- 12:18All right, but enough about that.
- 12:19We're going to have a whole show on that once all these vacancies
- 12:22get filled, probably sometime in February or early March or
- 12:26whatever. But we're all here for one
- 12:28reason. Well, nine reasons actually.
- 12:30So Tim, I'm assuming you have these in chronological order.
- 12:34We've got bets like. I think I have.
- 12:38Well, you've got 8 and then you have BYU to win the conference.
- 12:41That's the only game you didn't bet on.
- 12:43Well, technically I did, but yeah.
- 12:45That's what I'm saying. Not today.
- 12:47So get it going, man. All right.
- 12:51First one, we got Conference USA, Jacksonville State, the
- 12:55line opened at Jack's 8 -, a point and a half they're
- 12:59actually getting. It's shifted over to the last
- 13:01time I checked on Hard Rock, they were getting 2 1/2.
- 13:04I got them just money line to win this game.
- 13:09They do have a rushing advantage and the turnover favor.
- 13:14This is something we're looking for, the turnovers.
- 13:16This game is actually played in Alabama.
- 13:17This is one of those better record gets the home field
- 13:23turnover advantage is +9 to a -, 2.
- 13:26So that's going to be, I'm thinking a couple extra
- 13:28possessions for Jacksonville State.
- 13:31The edge on special teams, I guess are slightly better for
- 13:34Kennesaw, but I'm that's not going to I'd rather have the
- 13:38turnover differential than the kicking game advantage.
- 13:42I think Kennesaw State will keep it interesting.
- 13:45I think it's going to be a one score game, so I'm looking at it
- 13:48and I think it's going to be something like, you know, 2724
- 13:51or something. But I think Jacksonville State
- 13:53can actually pull this one out here and so I went with that on
- 13:56the money line. I got plus 115 Jack State to win
- 13:59Conference USA. You got it.
- 14:07Yeah, I like it. I mean, I looked over under 58
- 14:091/2. I looked at it.
- 14:10You know, I think the score might be a little more than
- 14:12that, but I like where you're going with that.
- 14:14So, and I was considering the over on this play on this thing.
- 14:17I didn't pull the trigger on it, but I did consider it because I
- 14:20think there's going to be some scoring here.
- 14:22So I do, I do like your bet. I think this is going to be an
- 14:26offensive forward offense forward game.
- 14:29I would not be surprised. It's a bit of a shootout here,
- 14:31so it should be kind of fun. That 58 1/2 is not absurdly
- 14:34high, especially for a game like this.
- 14:35So I think this is a very achievable number.
- 14:39And so that's what I think. So I was leaning on this over
- 14:41said I didn't play it, but I would not be surprised at all
- 14:44this thing went over. So those are my thoughts.
- 14:46I, I, I got a strong lean to the over as well.
- 14:48Kennesaw State, man, they play with some serious tempo.
- 14:51If, if you're, if you're a Mac guy from back in the day when
- 14:53Sean Lewis ran the Kent State Golden Flashes and they ran a
- 14:56play like every second and a half.
- 14:59It's basically Kennesaw State is almost kind of the same thing.
- 15:03Two decent quarterbacks. This could be.
- 15:06I got a feeling this is this is going to be in the mid 60s, but
- 15:09I didn't bet it either. Totals aren't really my thing,
- 15:12but just looking at pace of play, yeah, Kennesaw State's
- 15:15going to run these boys up and and Jacksonville State's going
- 15:19to have to do everything they can to keep up, and I think they
- 15:21will. But yeah, seriously into the
- 15:24over on this one. Interesting.
- 15:29Well, should we just keep on going?
- 15:30Run right through. Absolutely all.
- 15:32Right. What we got now we got James
- 15:35Madison and Troy. You guys have any thoughts on
- 15:37this game? You just want me to just keep on
- 15:38running. You guys only put in a couple
- 15:40bets. I thought we were betting on all
- 15:41of them. That's why I just went ahead and
- 15:43looked into these for. Yeah, why would we ever force a
- 15:46bet just to have a bet on every game?
- 15:47I hope Troy wins because Pete's got them in the future to win
- 15:50the Sunbelt. So I'm exactly.
- 15:53That's what I. Do I don't care how much learned
- 15:56on Troy is I'm pulling for Troy? OK, well, money.
- 15:59Line, Troy. That's the bet here.
- 16:01Go for it. Come on, Troy.
- 16:04Well, I did not bet on a on a winner here.
- 16:06I did bet. I took a, went to the Pete
- 16:08playbook. The over under was 47 1/2.
- 16:13I mean, just by looking at the points per game, I mean James
- 16:16Madison, they're averaging in the 30s and Troy's averaging in
- 16:19the mid to high 20s. So just right there.
- 16:21But I also like the third down efficiency for James Madison or
- 16:27they stay on the field an awful lot.
- 16:29I think Troy's defense bulls, I think it's going to struggle a
- 16:34little bit because James Madison's a little more
- 16:37balanced. I think that Troy can still
- 16:39reach, you know, about 20 to 25 points.
- 16:43I think James Madison will take the ticket from there.
- 16:46So I like this. I like James Madison probably
- 16:49getting into the 30s by themselves, like 30-5, maybe
- 16:51even 38 on this. So, and I was originally looked
- 16:54at it before I looked at the lines.
- 16:56I was thinking the overrunner would have been like 56 or
- 16:58something, and I thought it was 47.
- 17:00So that's when I really looked into it.
- 17:02And yeah, so I think look at it this way.
- 17:05I'm getting about eight points in this and I probably, if it
- 17:09was still in the 50s, I'd probably still bet the over.
- 17:11So I'm going to bet the over at 47 1/2, Darren.
- 17:18I'm, I'm obviously pulling for you, but I don't know how Troy's
- 17:22going to even score 14 points in this game.
- 17:24I mean, Goose Crowder is supposedly back working his way
- 17:27back from an injury. James Madison's defense is
- 17:29legit, but they could certainly get into the 40s on their own
- 17:32here. But yeah, I just, I I want Troy
- 17:37to win for the sake of Pete's futures bet.
- 17:39But this is going to, this might be the the ugliest game of the
- 17:43weekend. I, I, I fear for Troy.
- 17:46Plus, I mean, James Madison, they need some style points.
- 17:48I mean, if they want to, you know, if they want to get into
- 17:51the into the 12 team, it would not hurt them to to put a
- 17:56whooping on if the opportunity presents itself.
- 17:58But yeah, I wouldn't touch this game vote.
- 18:02Troy. Yeah, exactly.
- 18:04But yeah, in summary, absolutely go Troy.
- 18:07Absolutely. Troy.
- 18:09So any final thoughts, Peter, other than go Troy?
- 18:14No, just go, Troy. OK, All right, the ACT.
- 18:21Anybody else got a bet on this one?
- 18:23Is it just me again going solo? Yeah, I'm going too, but you can
- 18:26go first. Oh, OK.
- 18:28For this one, I got North Texas that are giving up two and a
- 18:32half. They are a scoring machine.
- 18:35I like how both coaches seem to be sticking around for this
- 18:38game. So they're not going to.
- 18:40I guess with the Power 5 going up, it's not a big deal as you
- 18:42know, going to one of your rivals into another different
- 18:46conference. So yeah, I think Tulane's going
- 18:49to struggle to keep up with the offense a little bit.
- 18:52I think 2 1/2, if it was 3 1/2, I might have a difference.
- 18:56But yeah, I'm expecting some big, big plays, fast scoring and
- 19:00even on the road, I think North Texas can cover this.
- 19:03They are 10 and two against the spread this year.
- 19:05I just like the way it's thinking.
- 19:07And yeah, over under is pretty enticing as well.
- 19:11Be I'm I'm guessing you bet on that.
- 19:13So let me have it. What you got?
- 19:15Indeed I did. I agree with you what you said.
- 19:17There's going to be some scoring total of 66 1/2 that I got.
- 19:20You got 67 1/2 on a slide, but I got 66 1/2.
- 19:23Yeah, there's going to be some scoring for sure.
- 19:25North Texas is going to light it up.
- 19:26I think Tulane is going to try to light it up along with them.
- 19:29I think you can get a bit of a shootout here, which you know,
- 19:31happens in these championship games quite a bit other than the
- 19:34SEC and such. So we'll talk about that later.
- 19:37But yeah, I expect there's going to be some scoring and
- 19:40especially in a game like this, some late game aggression if
- 19:43it's close. So they're going to be flinging
- 19:45a ball around. I think it's going to, I think
- 19:47we're going to see a lot of a lot of touchdowns here.
- 19:49So explosive plays on both sides could be fun to watch.
- 19:52The total is high, but it's not ridiculous.
- 19:54I mean, easily, I mean, I can see 30s on both sides.
- 19:57I could easily see this thing going over.
- 19:59So once again, it could be a fun game to watch.
- 20:01It's in obviously it's in New Orleans.
- 20:03The weather is not a factor. I mean, so it's it's set up to
- 20:06be a shootout. You got one team that's
- 20:08definitely going to score North Texas.
- 20:10So and and Tulane can I've watched them do it this year.
- 20:13So I expect that they will try to do so as well.
- 20:15So could be a fun game and I am going on the over here of 66
- 20:201/2. So those are my thoughts.
- 20:24I agree with everything you guys said.
- 20:25Nothing to add over then enjoy Drew Mestenmaker before he goes
- 20:28to Oklahoma State with Eric Morris and leads them to a three
- 20:32and nine season next year. I like the North Texas play.
- 20:36Yeah. I don't know Tulane can score.
- 20:38I don't know if they can keep up, man.
- 20:40I mean they're. Going to try.
- 20:42Like on a different level, it seems you've never thought I'd
- 20:44be saying that about anybody in the in the American.
- 20:47But yeah, I like North Texas to win and cover here.
- 20:52OK oh and you guys with me on this one.
- 20:56I got the Mountain West. I am not on that one.
- 21:00All right, well. You are but not into Go UNLV
- 21:06another one of futures bets for. Pete.
- 21:09To win this game. Yeah.
- 21:11All right. Well, Boise State taking on
- 21:13UNLV, it's going to be cold and rainy conditions at home.
- 21:16It's going to be city rain throughout the night.
- 21:19The passing edge for UNLV is going to be diminished a little
- 21:23bit by by that. I think boys are taking control
- 21:25of the clock. They got to the good ground
- 21:27game. It'll be fewer big plays.
- 21:30There still be a couple, but there's not going to be a lot
- 21:32more. If it were a clear, you know,
- 21:34Army 40° or something like that, this is going to be probably
- 21:37about 33° with steady rain at kickoff.
- 21:41I did double check what the weather is like in Nevada since
- 21:46we were there in the winter time before a few years ago, Pete.
- 21:49And yeah, it was kind of cold there.
- 21:52It's all 60s all week, so it's like a 30° difference with the
- 21:55slick rain and everything. I think that will play a factor
- 21:59in this instead of betting on the line.
- 22:03I got the under of 58 1/2, opened up at 57 1/2, went to 58,
- 22:08so I took the extra point. I'm taking the under 58 1/2.
- 22:12This would be a muck up game, lower scoring.
- 22:17Yeah, interesting. I mean, first of all, go UNLV.
- 22:19But outside of that, yeah, I mean, I, I would if the weather
- 22:24was going to be good, if this were like, you know, in a Dome
- 22:26somewhere, whatever, I would go over.
- 22:29But that that weather is definitely a factor, right.
- 22:32And I think if it is going to be like that, I like that play.
- 22:35I mean, definitely leading that under if it's going to be a
- 22:37steady rain. And that's kind of what I tried
- 22:40to do with the Michigan, Ohio State thing last year.
- 22:41I was expecting the snow to start earlier and the snow would
- 22:44have helped and it would have been, you know, it would have
- 22:45helped my play. So, yeah, if it's going to rain,
- 22:49I like your under bet so good. Good bet.
- 22:51Otherwise, I don't care what the hell it does go.
- 22:53You went. I'll be.
- 22:54Yeah. It did say steady rain and a
- 22:55high was 38, so I believe by the end of the game it's probably
- 22:58going to be down, you know, later.
- 23:00Right now it'd be 3332 losing. Rain.
- 23:02Cold, slick ball. Yeah.
- 23:03That would. Lead to an under right.
- 23:06Yeah, a lot less third down conversion.
- 23:08I'm thinking a lot of punting. Hopefully they don't pull.
- 23:11What was that punter for the Giants at one time?
- 23:14He just went to punt the ball on the ball, just like.
- 23:16Whipped on the ball. Yeah, hopefully none of that
- 23:19happens at least so any quick scores, but I'm taking Yeah, I
- 23:22like the under here tear us apart.
- 23:24I I effed up this open at 3 1/2, and I should have taken Boise at
- 23:28the time because now it's 4 1/2 and I don't want any part of
- 23:31that again. Pulling for UNLV for the sake of
- 23:34Pete. Yeah.
- 23:35I mean, they've never won in Boise.
- 23:37They've been playing a little bit better since the start of
- 23:40the season. Maddox Madison is supposed to be
- 23:43back for Boise State here, which might have something to do with
- 23:47the line going up. But yeah, I missed 3 1/2, so
- 23:51shame on me. I want UNLV but I think Boise is
- 23:56going to get this done here. Probably the case.
- 24:01Moving on, oh America's conference, the Mac, Well, it's
- 24:09a rematch, so we got the Western Michigan's taking revenge for
- 24:12their only Mac loss opened up at Western Michigan -3 1/2 over
- 24:17under 43 1/2. Either of you guys got a bet on
- 24:20this one? I do not.
- 24:22Oh, Darren chimes in. Yeah, this line drop, I don't
- 24:27really understand. I took Western Michigan -1 1/2
- 24:31here. Maybe I'm biased because I
- 24:33watched a few Western Michigan games in November.
- 24:36Didn't really check out Miami. Statistically, a lot of
- 24:39similarities here, but you have to remember Miami, Ohio
- 24:42offensive numbers that they had. Most of that I was with the Quan
- 24:45Finn as the quarterback. He quit because apparently he
- 24:49needs to prep for the next level.
- 24:52Bro, I know you're not listening, but if you are, you
- 24:55spent seven years in college. The only thing you need to prep
- 24:58for is putting the fries in the bag.
- 25:00If you were going to the NFL, you wouldn't have spent your
- 25:03last four years in college. But I digress.
- 25:07You know, I mean they got a 2 headed monster running Brock
- 25:10Lowry at QB, Jayden Buckley running back.
- 25:14I mean both these defenses are excellent.
- 25:15I mean, obviously with a total of 43 1/2, but all these teams
- 25:19are going to try and hang out the ball as long as humanly
- 25:20possible. But I love the Lowry, Buckley
- 25:24combination. Western Michigan statistically
- 25:26does have a little bit better defense.
- 25:27Or second, the back. Miami of Ohio was third.
- 25:31You know, the quarterback, they tried this Hessen, whatever he
- 25:33was asked, they brought in Thomas Gostkowski, I believe is
- 25:37how you pronounce his last name. He's had a couple of good games,
- 25:394 TDs, no picks, but that's Buffalo and Ball State.
- 25:43I mean, the three of us can get 8 viewers and probably put up 4
- 25:45touchdowns and no picks on Buffalo or Ball State.
- 25:48So you do have to consider the the opposition there.
- 25:53Yeah. I don't know why this line went
- 25:54down. Obviously, people smarter than
- 25:56me know what they're doing. But I took Western Michigan
- 25:59minus the 1/2 to avenge their loss and be your 2025 Mac
- 26:02winners. OK.
- 26:04Well, I want a different route one with the the Pete were here
- 26:07and I took the the over under bet here.
- 26:11Well they got the back and quarterback as we as we
- 26:13mentioned earlier, but they can still generate yards.
- 26:17So I think both teams have positive turnover margins and
- 26:23you know, I think there's going to be a few and that creates a
- 26:25short field. So the over underline was 43
- 26:281/2. That seemed a little bit low to
- 26:31me. So I am betting the over of 43
- 26:331/2. I think the the rushing attack,
- 26:36especially in the red zone is going to help Western Michigan
- 26:38out a lot. So despite the backup QB, these
- 26:43two are going to light up the scoreboard a little bit.
- 26:45I think the score gets into the 50s.
- 26:48That's techni. It's not North Texas by any
- 26:50means, but I'm seeing a final score, you know, you know, 3121,
- 26:56something like that. So.
- 26:58I'm going to do one more stat that I that I didn't read
- 27:01because I was going from memory and shows you how good that
- 27:04works out. You know, guys, I love me some
- 27:053rd and 4th down success rate Miami offensively on 3rd and 4th
- 27:10down, they're 113th in the country in offensive success
- 27:14rate, defensively, 3rd and 4th down success rate, they're 110th
- 27:18in the country. So they're not good at
- 27:19converting. They're not good at stopping
- 27:21other teams from converting, which was another reason I'm
- 27:24rolling with Western Michigan here.
- 27:28Iris. Yeah, screw you, Jaquan Finn put
- 27:34the fries in the bag. That's.
- 27:41Sorry, you got any thoughts on this?
- 27:43And do you want fries? Yeah, I'd like some fries with
- 27:46that, please. Thank you.
- 27:47Very. Much.
- 27:47We'll get them all in the bag for you.
- 27:49Yeah, Tim, I like, I like your bet.
- 27:51Usually with a game like this, I would lean under.
- 27:53However, right there is something weird about Mac
- 27:57championship games at Ford Field where they just tend to score
- 28:01more than they usually do. There's just something about
- 28:04that place. I've gone to a few of those
- 28:06games because obviously I live in in Michigan.
- 28:08It's something weird about it. I don't know what it is.
- 28:09They just tend to score more even if they don't normally
- 28:12score does not. So it would not surprise me if
- 28:15this thing total ended up around 50 or something little north of
- 28:19there. Not surprised me at all.
- 28:20So love that bet. So yeah, I would go over just
- 28:24because of where it is and that it's a match championship.
- 28:27Yes, you do not have to worry about the weather.
- 28:28It's indoors. As I'm saying, it's dry in
- 28:30there. There's no Blizzard or hurricane
- 28:32or typhoon or all three going on at the same time.
- 28:34So yeah. Right.
- 28:36So all right, where's the truck? Oh, here we go.
- 28:42I did not place a bet on this game, but I do technically have
- 28:46a money line bet on BYU. So go Cougars.
- 28:51Here we go. You know, coach is staying.
- 28:54He was also in line for the Penn State job.
- 28:57He's the crumble cookie company billionaire said no, you're not
- 29:01going anywhere. So I guess they send them a
- 29:03whole bunch of money and free cookies for life.
- 29:05I guess. Texas Tech 11 and one against
- 29:08the spray. That is scary.
- 29:09So. But yeah, I'll be, if for no
- 29:12other reason if BYU wins, you know, I hit my bets and it'll
- 29:16put the final nail in the coffin for Miami.
- 29:18They will not be in the playoff and that'll make me double
- 29:21happy. Considering what happened to me
- 29:23last week, I think I deserve some happiness this week.
- 29:26So I'm hoping BYU delivers. Give me my future bed, knock
- 29:30Miami out once and for all. And that's all I got to say
- 29:33about that. What do you guys think?
- 29:35I'll go even quicker than that, but again, for you, go BYU and
- 29:40watch like in the other games. I don't know man, they got
- 29:45smoked by Texas Tech last time and it wasn't even as close as
- 29:47the final score was like 29 to 6 or something horrible like that.
- 29:5227 to 9 I think I want. To say was it, maybe it was, it
- 29:54was ugly, whatever it was. But you know what, they, they
- 29:57know what's at stake. So I would expect a better
- 29:59effort. But man, Texas Tech, good for
- 30:03you guys. You went in all in on the
- 30:05portal. It's paying benefits.
- 30:06You guys are legit. And I, I haven't looked to see
- 30:10what the futures like. Usually if I'm making a national
- 30:12championship bet at this point because I didn't have one at the
- 30:15start of the season. When the bracket comes out, I am
- 30:18going to look at Texas Tech's odds.
- 30:22Yeah, I mean that they they certainly are good enough to to
- 30:25at least get to the Final Four and present a little hedge
- 30:29opportunity. God, that defense is ridiculous.
- 30:33But pulling for BYU? Go Cubs for Tim.
- 30:40Go #47 Bear, Brockmire Quarterback Edwards #47 How do
- 30:47you not love that? Probably his IQ.
- 30:50I have no idea how many tries Dequan Quinn needs to put in the
- 30:54bag. 47 Get ready for the next level, Dequan.
- 31:00What do you think about the over here?
- 31:02Pete, out of my my concern, 49 1/2 is what I saw as the total.
- 31:07Yeah, Texas Tech is going to score.
- 31:09I I just don't know what BYU is going to do.
- 31:11That's why I didn't touch it. Right.
- 31:12Like if BYU does something like like they can do, then the over
- 31:16is in play. But I don't trust BYU.
- 31:19Texas Tech could come out here and just blow them out.
- 31:21I don't, I don't know. So I did not touch it for that
- 31:24reason. I just don't know what BYU is
- 31:25going to do. Right, we're getting down to the
- 31:29nitty gritty here. Oh, it just means more Alabama,
- 31:35Georgia, Alabama. Any of you guys got anything on
- 31:37this one? I do.
- 31:39All. Right.
- 31:42Well, total is 47 1/2. So Georgia Bama screams all day
- 31:48to be a blood gore, choke each other out kind of fast, right?
- 31:52This is like an MMA kind of game.
- 31:55That's the way I see these things.
- 31:56That's the way these things quite often turn out, right?
- 31:58Elite defensive talent on both sides of the ball.
- 32:01That's the way these games tend to play themselves out.
- 32:04They're going to pound the hell out of each other.
- 32:05So every yard is a bloodbath. This is like, you know, it's SEC
- 32:08now. It's like old school Big 10 kind
- 32:10of thing. That's what I expect to see in
- 32:12these games. So, you know, these games can
- 32:14get weird. I wouldn't be surprised.
- 32:16It was like 17 or 7 or something weird, who knows, right?
- 32:19So to me, that 47 1/2 is high, like, like high, high.
- 32:25So I mean, this to me is an under all day long.
- 32:27Now, of course I say that and somebody don't come out and
- 32:31score 40 points or something ridiculous the way this season
- 32:34is going because you can't read anything this year.
- 32:36But to me that number is really high with a game like this.
- 32:38I mean, they're going to play conservative, run the ball, play
- 32:41great defense is what I expect to see.
- 32:45Yeah, I mean that that's this type of game.
- 32:47So I would expect nothing other than that.
- 32:50It should be an excellent game if you like defensive football.
- 32:54So yeah, it's be fun to watch in that respect.
- 32:57But yeah, to me this isn't under all day long.
- 32:58So under 47 and a. Half, Darren.
- 33:03I bet Georgia all day long twice on Saturdays, oddly enough is
- 33:08the day this game is being played.
- 33:10So just a couple things to take from the first game.
- 33:12We know Alabama went into Georgia 124 to 21.
- 33:15Wonderful. Good for them.
- 33:17If y'all remember 2023 Michigan, and I'm Pete, I'm sure you do.
- 33:21One of the things they were really good at was making
- 33:24halftime adjustments. They only allowed like 7 points
- 33:27a game or in the half in the second-half.
- 33:29I mean whatever they were doing at halftime, they were just
- 33:32dominating teams in the second-half.
- 33:35Well, George has kind of done the same thing.
- 33:37Alabama's 24 points in that first game all came in the first
- 33:40half and then they got shut out after that.
- 33:42And George is actually only allowing 7.1 points in the
- 33:45second-half of games this year. So we've been ripping their
- 33:48defense and rightfully so because, you know, God forbid
- 33:51they don't have 60 sacks already on the year.
- 33:54But I mean, they lose so much NFL talent every year.
- 33:56At some point it was going to have to catch up to them.
- 33:58But Georgia, excellent at those half time adjustments.
- 34:01Now you look at Alabama that that first game, you know, they
- 34:06had, they had their full offensive line this game, two of
- 34:09their offensive tackles have already been ruled out.
- 34:11Georgia in that first game, they had two of their tackles that
- 34:14were injured as well. They're both back now.
- 34:16They are losing their center, the offense coordinator's kid.
- 34:19He, he is out here. So that may hurt a little bit.
- 34:21But Alabama has not been able to run the ball all year long.
- 34:24Their leading rusher doesn't even have 500 yards, Jim Miller,
- 34:27and he's questionable. So even if he plays, he's
- 34:29probably not going to be 100%. I think Alabama comes into this
- 34:33kind of 1 dimensional. And even though Georgia can't,
- 34:37you know, they're having some trouble getting sacks, they're
- 34:40still excellent at stopping the run.
- 34:41They're like second in the in the conference that run defense.
- 34:44So they'll be able to play their normal defense, maybe have an
- 34:47extra safety in there to help with the pass.
- 34:49But you know, I have been super impressed with Alabama.
- 34:52I mean, that Iron Bowl, you know, they got out to 17 nothing
- 34:55lead and that which apparently was really impressive to the
- 34:57committee, but not impressive that they ended up tied 1717
- 35:02before finally winning that game.
- 35:03But I think Georgia's has been playing better ball the last
- 35:06month. Alabama, not so much.
- 35:08And I know Kirby Smart can't beat Alabama.
- 35:10He's like 1 and 11 or whatever the hell he is.
- 35:13But in a game like this where the spread is under 3, now, kind
- 35:17of take a peek at special teams. Alabama's field goal kicker, 13
- 35:20of 20, that's 65%. Georgia's field goal kicker, 15
- 35:26of 16. And that includes eight of nine
- 35:28for 40 yards or more. So in a game with a spread of 2
- 35:311/2, a field goal could be huge here.
- 35:34So give me Georgia, give me Kirby to finally, you know, beat
- 35:39his demons and beat Alabama. Here.
- 35:42I laid 2 1/2. Obviously I didn't get it,
- 35:44didn't get the 1 1/2 because I bet a little bit late, but.
- 35:47Give me that as well. Love it, love it.
- 35:50Love that bet. By the way, every score you just
- 35:52mentioned, every scenario you just mentioned screams under,
- 35:55right? Yeah, yeah.
- 35:59Yeah, I too. I also took Georgia -2 1/2, the
- 36:02same thing. I started looking at all these
- 36:04games. I did them pretty much in order.
- 36:06So it opened up at 1 1/2, and by the time I got done with
- 36:08Conference USA and all the ones we already did, it went up to 2
- 36:111/2. So I still don't mind, you know,
- 36:14laying a 2 1/2. Alabama does, I believe, have
- 36:18the better quarterback. But you know, where there's
- 36:20smoke, there's fire, and where there's Kirby Smart, there's a
- 36:22pass rush, and Georgia's got a good one.
- 36:25I think they can get to him a lot during this game.
- 36:29They can to defend the run on the way to the quarterback.
- 36:33So I like Georgia here. Not to mention with all the
- 36:35things that you said, they're also 73% on 4th down.
- 36:38So if it gets to that point where they have to start getting
- 36:41a four down territory, they're confident enough to convert on
- 36:46that. So I like Georgia laying the 2
- 36:481/2 as well. I'm starting to get nervous.
- 36:52We agree. I don't like that.
- 36:53So am I. Yeah, we're oh boy, is this a Oh
- 37:03no, this one, the one that everybody's talking about.
- 37:10I, I think if Duke wins, I think that also keeps Miami out.
- 37:15So I I think is that is that right?
- 37:17I don't know if you put an ACC team in if Duke wins, I mean.
- 37:21Seriously, I'd be OK with that as long as Miami's not in.
- 37:23I'm not one of those conference Hawks like all the in the the
- 37:26Big 10 in the SEC. Like I don't care if any of
- 37:28these teams get in. So maybe we'll root for Virginia
- 37:32because then they don't, you know, they don't want to, you
- 37:36know, give two ACC teams. So.
- 37:39But I like how Duke gets here with a five way tiebreaker.
- 37:43Because college football, that's why.
- 37:46This conference is ass, that's why.
- 37:50So well, as much as a Virginia victory would keep Miami out,
- 37:55I'm thinking I did bet on this. I did bet on Duke.
- 38:00I took the money line on this one.
- 38:01The opening line was Virginia giving 2 1/2.
- 38:06You know, I think with the quarterback play, they do have
- 38:08some explosive plays over there at Duke.
- 38:10He'll have the defense playing well.
- 38:14For what it's worth, I think Duke's played a tougher schedule
- 38:18this year than Virginia, so we'll put say, whatever that is.
- 38:22But they're going to have more explosive plays.
- 38:24They're very efficient in the passing game.
- 38:28The quarterback plays really well.
- 38:31They have twice as many touchdowns as passing touchdowns
- 38:34as Virginia does so on 1st down. They're also very effective.
- 38:40So I like the explosive playability and I like Duke here
- 38:44just to win this game outright and confirm the ACCSL laughing
- 38:49stock everyone thinks it is so go Duke oh Duke I'd get the plus
- 38:571:40 on that. So that's a nice, nice pick this
- 39:01out I. Think you want to go first
- 39:06because I'm going to respectfully.
- 39:08I couldn't have less interest in a game this weekend.
- 39:10Every other game is more interested, including the Mac,
- 39:12than this thing. I I will not watch this game.
- 39:16Yeah, well, that's because there's another, there's an
- 39:17actual promising game Saturday at 8:00 that I think most people
- 39:21will be watching. Yeah, I, Tim, I'm pulling for
- 39:23you. But Duke's defense is asked this
- 39:25year. This this is not 2024, Duke.
- 39:27I mean, they're giving up 400 yards a game.
- 39:29Virginia usually has no defense, only giving up like 300 yards a
- 39:33game. I love Chandler Morris.
- 39:35I may love Darian Mensa too. If anything, I would go over
- 39:38here because neither of these teams scream the 85 Bears.
- 39:43But yeah, I I would, I would lean the other way just because
- 39:47Duke's defense isn't what I feel.
- 39:49That's weird because Manny Diaz is usually like a defensive guy.
- 39:52And last year their defense was really, really good.
- 39:56I'm not sure what have they lose a bunch of people, the
- 39:58graduation or the portal, I don't know.
- 40:00This is not the Duke, the Duke defense from from 2024, but.
- 40:07That's just my thought, but they bought themselves a nice
- 40:10quarterback, so they certainly do have a chance.
- 40:12Oh yeah, their defenses? I asked.
- 40:17Any final thoughts where it just means more Pete in the ACC?
- 40:25Oh boy. Yeah OK, guess we'll just kick.
- 40:28That's horrible. They got final conference so
- 40:34well. I think people will be watching
- 40:36this game. Number one against #2 Indiana
- 40:42seven and five against the spread.
- 40:43Ohio State ten, 1:00 and 1:00. Wow.
- 40:50Kind of like North Texas fives here.
- 40:52Do you guys got any play on this or is it just me again?
- 40:55Nope, I got one but you can go first.
- 40:57All right. Well, the over under is 48 1/2.
- 41:00I actually got it at 47 1/2. I bet the over both of these
- 41:06offenses, great quarterback play, great receivers.
- 41:09They're both pretty balanced. This came to be, you know, don't
- 41:15overthink this one. So Indiana scores and everybody,
- 41:18Ohio State scores and everybody. Neither of these defenses seem
- 41:22built to slow either one of these offenses down, so I'm not
- 41:25going to overthink it too much. 47 1/2, I love that number.
- 41:30I thought it would be up, you know, 5859, somewhere around
- 41:33there, given the quarterback play and the receivers and the
- 41:35offense and all that. You know, 56% on 3rd down.
- 41:40Both teams are 56% on 3rd down. They're going to stay on the
- 41:42field a lot. I thought this game would be a
- 41:45lot higher. Swearing this game is indoors.
- 41:49Indianapolis. We've been there.
- 41:50They don't think they've taken the roof off of Luke Sorrow
- 41:52Stadium, have they? Have your Colts done anything to
- 41:55the stadium? No.
- 41:57Well, they could. Open it, but they're not going
- 41:58through this time of. Year well they better not open
- 42:00it that would that would really put a so that.
- 42:03'D be fun. I'd like to see that.
- 42:05But yeah, I like 47 1/2. I like the over here.
- 42:08I almost spent 2 units on this one, but I'm like 1 and four and
- 42:10two unit plays this year, so I'm going to stop doing that.
- 42:13But yeah, this is my strongest confidence one which is doomed
- 42:17to sink it. So over 47 1/2 in this game.
- 42:22Let's hear it, Darren. The line draw.
- 42:25I was going to leave this game alone, but DraftKings yesterday
- 42:27morning dropped Ohio State -4 and I, I hopped on the Buckeyes
- 42:31here. Again, looking at the stats,
- 42:34there's nothing that you can differentiate these two teams
- 42:36with. They're both really good
- 42:37offensively. They're like top two in the
- 42:39country defensively. So there really isn't any stat
- 42:42that would lead me to favor one team or the other here.
- 42:46But I did take Ohio State for a couple reasons.
- 42:48You remember last year we kind of banged on their offensive
- 42:51line and it turned out to be kind of like unfairly soaked.
- 42:54They actually played really well.
- 42:56They'll end up giving up 17 sacks last year.
- 42:59Well, if you've watched any Ohio State games and watched the
- 43:03networks interview Julian saying after and you're like wow, did
- 43:06he just change his jersey? No, he's been sacked 6 times in
- 43:1012 games. That why that dude looks
- 43:12Immaculate at the end of the fourth quarter.
- 43:14He's never getting hit. Bo Jackson, not the Bo Jackson,
- 43:19but the other Bo Jackson currently runs for Ohio State.
- 43:23He's kind of established himself as the go to guy in that
- 43:25backfield. So I'm going to give an
- 43:27offensive line edge here to the Buckeyes.
- 43:30And also I heard some reports saying that like, well, you
- 43:34know, Ohio State kind of went through this last year.
- 43:37They played all these playoff games.
- 43:38They kind of know what it takes. They want to be healthy.
- 43:41They haven't really been showing everything every week.
- 43:44I don't really believe that. Yeah.
- 43:47But I also heard, well, they finally beat Michigan.
- 43:50You know, they hadn't done that in four years, Man, there's
- 43:53going to be a little bit of a let down.
- 43:55You know what else they haven't done in four years?
- 43:57Win the freaking Big 10. So don't tell me that there's
- 44:00going to be a let down here. Ryan Day will have these guys
- 44:02focused and ready to go. Now, on the flip side, does the
- 44:05loser really get hurt here? No, they're probably still
- 44:08getting a bye week regardless of what happens.
- 44:12But the the three best players on the field, Jeremiah Smith,
- 44:17Carnell Tate and Caleb Downs, they're all on the same team.
- 44:19So you know what, call it a hunch.
- 44:23I don't know, man. It dropped a four.
- 44:25That's a nice number for me. I'm going to expect this to go
- 44:27back up if it's four where you play Snagit because I think it's
- 44:32going to win by 7 or more. I could see that.
- 44:37Any thoughts Pete on your? Yeah, Pete's the big 10 guy.
- 44:40That's why we were wrap it up with with him because I'd.
- 44:43I'd like to disagree. I really, really like to
- 44:46disagree. I mean.
- 44:47We're doing that a lot on this show.
- 44:50I, I, I'd like to see Indiana do something and, and they could
- 44:53right, really good team. I'd like to see what they can do
- 44:55here. Yeah, I wasn't all that
- 44:57impressive. Ohio State, Michigan's largely
- 44:59inept at this point. They're one-dimensional team, no
- 45:01pass rush. I don't think Ohio State looked
- 45:04all that good against Michigan. And Michigan's not all that
- 45:05good, period, Right. I mean, we don't have any skill
- 45:07players. I mean, I don't think we're all
- 45:09that good. So.
- 45:11But then it's a rivalry game. You got to throw that out,
- 45:13right? So it's always going to be close
- 45:15no matter what. I mean, I remain not overly
- 45:19impressed with Ohio State. But then again, you know, they
- 45:23keep winning and they're going to keep winning until somebody
- 45:26actually, you know, holds them down and beats them.
- 45:29And I'm not sure Indiana's A-Team to do that.
- 45:32Now, do I think they're going to roll through the playoffs this
- 45:34year? No, I don't.
- 45:35I think somebody will beat them, but it's probably not going to
- 45:38be Indiana. So I think, you know, I think
- 45:42this could be a pretty high scoring game though, which would
- 45:46be a little bit odd for the Big 10, but it's the right place for
- 45:49it. So yeah, it could be an
- 45:50interesting game. I look forward to it.
- 45:52I'd love to see Ohio State lose, but the problem with that is
- 45:56that'll just piss them off. Then they'll probably win the
- 45:58national championship again. So I'd rather see them win here
- 46:01and then losing a playoff honestly.
- 46:02So that would be the ideal scenario.
- 46:05So just win the damn game, go to the playoff and lose somebody
- 46:08else. I'm good with that so.
- 46:11I'm just going to say this. We know Ohio State's defense is
- 46:13legit, but how legit do they have to be for Matt Patricia not
- 46:17to come in and screw them up You.
- 46:19Know. If Patricia can't screw this up,
- 46:22this might be the best. This defense might be better
- 46:24than last year's. Yeah, this defense is killer.
- 46:27They have those players in that team.
- 46:28I mean, that defense is killer. I mean, they're really, really
- 46:30good. Yeah, So what?
- 46:34Michigan will get another crack at Ohio State?
- 46:36What, 300 and 300 and? $60.00 Oh, it's going to be
- 46:39worse. They're going.
- 46:40To get 360 dollars. They got to go to the two next
- 46:43year. If any of those Blues think they
- 46:44have a chance next year, that's already a loss.
- 46:47These morons don't know what the hell they're thinking.
- 46:49They're going to get slaughtered.
- 46:50Does Sharon Moore coach that game next year?
- 46:52No, he won't. He'll be gone.
- 46:53He's well, actually. Michigan doesn't fire coaches in
- 46:55the middle of the season, so he'll.
- 46:57I think he does coach that game next year.
- 46:59Yeah, they don't fire coaches in the middle of the season, but
- 47:01he'll be gone right after it. The day after, he'll be gone.
- 47:03It was nice to see him guard their their 50 yard line.
- 47:06At least they played some defense at some point.
- 47:08Yeah, I mean, that was beautiful coaching.
- 47:10That wasn't him. I mean, that was Wayne Ku.
- 47:13It's you leave so best player in the field you single cover him
- 47:17on brilliant, although that was that was also a touchback.
- 47:21But besides that. It was.
- 47:24It was a. Touchback.
- 47:25Yes, I saw that after work. Yeah, that was touchback.
- 47:28You got here, Yeah, let's single.
- 47:30I would have triple covered it. I would have.
- 47:31I would have bumped them in a line.
- 47:32And if somebody offered somebody in the back, like there's no way
- 47:35I let him beat me there. No way.
- 47:36But whatever. You can have adjustments.
- 47:40Ohio State makes them too, just like Georgia.
- 47:41You look at their their close games.
- 47:43I mean somewhat close against Michigan, shut Michigan down in
- 47:46the second-half, close game against Penn State in the first
- 47:49half, shut Penn State down in the second-half.
- 47:51I'm telling you, man, Michigan was better.
- 47:54Don't get me wrong, Indiana is a lot better and I have a soft
- 47:57spot in my heart for Indiana as they catch my over 8 1/2 nine
- 48:00games into the season. But I think Ohio State's better,
- 48:03too. Yeah, they're better.
- 48:04They're better. But Michigan has inferior
- 48:06coaching in their one-dimensional.
- 48:07So they don't count because we can't.
- 48:09We have no, we have no receivers.
- 48:10What are you going to do? We have no tight end.
- 48:11Who are you going to throw to? You can't throw it a ball.
- 48:14So yeah. Whatever.
- 48:15No time to get on the phone to Larry Ellison's wife again.
- 48:18See if we can find a couple of receivers for you.
- 48:19Yeah, we. Need some money?
- 48:21We need We need a check? We got to go get some.
- 48:23Guys, Oh, this is terrible. Well, college football's
- 48:25becoming. It's just so any final thoughts
- 48:30on that? Should we wrap this up?
- 48:31We'll go to our review, wrap it. Do we have to?
- 48:35Yeah, sadly. God damn.
- 48:38Look at all those bets. All right.
- 48:44You want to go first since I got the the main, yeah.
- 48:48We'll go 1st and then sign off and you just finish in like 30
- 48:51minutes and we'll send me the video when it's done
- 48:54downloading. Let me just do my 2:00 so that
- 48:57way I can take a nap while you're talking.
- 48:58So so yeah, North Texas 2 lane over 66 and a half one unit.
- 49:05And then Georgia and Alabama under 47 1/2 one units.
- 49:09Those are my 2 plays this week. I only have three.
- 49:13I got Western Michigan land a point and a half over Miami.
- 49:16I've got Georgia laying 2 1/2 over Bama and Ohio State laying
- 49:204 over Indiana. All right, the Hindenburg
- 49:25landing went more smoothly than my champion.
- 49:27My rivalry week last week was horrible.
- 49:31Oh, my God, I'm going to do this quick so I don't have to look at
- 49:32this. So we got the Jacksonville State
- 49:34money line over Kennesaw State. I have Duke also money line over
- 49:39Virginia, UNLV, Boise State under 58 1/2.
- 49:44I have North Texas -2 1/2 over Tulane, Ohio State and Indiana
- 49:49over 47 1/2, Georgia -2 1/2 over Alabama and Troy, James Madison
- 49:57over 47 1/2, and last but not least, Miami, Western Michigan
- 50:03over 43 1/2. Any final thoughts, John?
- 50:08We'll wrap this up. Go BYUUNLV and Troy.
- 50:13Troy, UNLV. Yeah.
- 50:18All right, well, that's going to thank you all for listening.
- 50:22Don't forget to like and subscribe to our channel.
- 50:24It helps us out and it's easy and it's free.
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- 50:31get your podcast. Please, like us, review us,
- 50:35leave a couple comments, let us know who you're betting on, and
- 50:38we hope you enjoy it. We'll be back.
- 50:39We'll begin next week, We'll wrap this up and we'll look into
- 50:42the offseason and into the playoffs.
- 50:44So don't forget to sign up for our Bowl Bracket challenge.
- 50:48What's it called again, Darren? Capital One Bowl Mania Bowl.
- 50:53Mania. Targeting winners if the link
- 50:55doesn't work. That's right.
- 50:57Thanks again for listening and we'll see you next week.