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NFL Week 4 Gambling Picks, Danny Dimes is Afraid of the Dark, Zach Wilson Stinks · Three For The Money

0:00
Okay, okay, okay.
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We're here.
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We're back.
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It's three for the money.
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New episodes every Thursday.
0:23
Week three is done.
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I might be done.
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This is one of my worst weeks.
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At least it felt like it.
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My record doesn't really show it, but it just felt like I just took a bait in this week.
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I, oh man, after the New Slay, I only won one bet.
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That was very, very, very depressing.
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So I guess I'll go ahead and-
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You're not alone.
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You're not alone.
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Yeah.
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Yeah, but my surefire was easily the biggest miss that probably I've ever done.
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I mean, I took it, so I can't, like, I'm not gonna shit on you, but oh my God, that was
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the worst.
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That's like you, Chris, with betting the over in the lowest scoring Super Bowl of all time.
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Yeah, honestly, you get to tell your grandkids one day, I bet the Broncos in the second worst
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ass kicking in NFL history.
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That's something you should be proud of.
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Yeah, I'm not.
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I bet the over in the lowest scoring Super Bowl ever.
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And I will one day get to tell my grandkids, I did that.
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Chris Pop Pop sticks to his guns.
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If it's a Super Bowl, Chris is betting the fucking over.
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Yeah, it does.
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But I mean, I bet the Broncos too, I thought it was a sexy dog and hopefully fuck.
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Yeah, that's-
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That was not fun, but it was-
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It ended up going-
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I would say it was kind of fun, sorry, once it got to like, okay, there's no way they're
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covering this, just it was like every time I check my phone, well, Dolphins scored again.
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So that part was kind of fun, but-
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It became comical at one point where I was just laughing.
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She's like, oh, the Dolphins are in the red zone.
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Oh, they scored again.
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Yeah, that-
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I didn't share that probably because not only my bet, but also I was facing someone with
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Rahim Mostard in fantasy football, so he just took a massive fucking huge sky dump all over
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my chest and it did not go great for me.
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But you know what?
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It's week four, we're going to move on.
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My record was three and five, it felt like I lost all my bets.
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I think that's because I take the bandit parlay and then on Sunday morning, I'm like, you
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know what, I'm going to throw in some of these games, some more of these games.
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So it feels worse and I thought I did give out Bengals minus three on Monday night,
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but I ended up giving out Bengals minus two and a half.
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So that bet did hit.
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So either way, I would have pushed whatever.
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We're moving on.
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Chris, how did you do?
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I mean, I would count in the same boat as you.
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I went five and six, but I was two and six after the afternoon slate on Sunday and it
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felt like just everything I did was wrong.
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It was so bad.
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I mean, I've got the under and Sunday night.
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I had the Eagles and Bengals.
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I had Bengals money line on Monday night.
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And then I had my, if you follow me on Twitter, my parlayed over three and a half field goals
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for both Monday night games that cashed.
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So what was a dog shit Sunday turned into like an all right week, honestly.
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So we'll take it still pretty down on the on the year, 16, 21 and one.
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But you know what?
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It doesn't feel like it.
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And that's all that matters.
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Vibes are all that matters.
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That's, I mean, that's, I don't want to look at, I'm covering up for that record right
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now.
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Who cares about it?
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Let's go.
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Yeah.
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I am, I'm one terrible Sunday away from, from pulling a full Costanza.
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But you're one great Sunday away from being all the way back.
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You're right.
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I am.
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I'm saying, but we have pretty much the same record right now where we're fine.
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This week's, we're getting back this week.
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We're, we're working, we're working towards it.
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We're going to work.
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Sean, how did you do?
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Um, not great.
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Not very good.
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I was four and seven.
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I didn't get this out on Twitter because one of our buddies sent it to us literally two
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minutes before the game started, but told us that as everyone knows, Taylor Swift was
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at Arrowhead and he said to bet Travis Kelsie anytime touchdown.
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So I just emptied the bankroll onto Travis Kelsey any time touchdown.
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And God, thank God she was there because if not for that, I would be in a hole if I'm
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being honest.
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It happened late too.
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That was like late third quarter.
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Yeah.
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Yeah.
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We were just out of a sweater.
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We were just sitting on the couch.
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Oh, good.
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I was, I think I was taking a nap.
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Like I had my eyes closed and I just hear Will go, Travis Kelsey scored.
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And I just like, what?
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But an hour.
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Yeah.
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I got the Steelers money line, which was plus money, which was, it was always meant to
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be.
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And I don't know why I put my faith in the bucks, but I did.
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But I did get Bengels minus two and a half.
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So I did get the win there.
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So thank God.
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But yeah, pretty disappointing week and I'm just kind of ready to get into week four because
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I kind of like these plays, but I don't like the slate.
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Does that make sense?
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It makes perfect sense.
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Last week I was in love with the slate and I was in love with all of my picks.
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And if you've ever bet anything consistently, you know that when you love your picks, it's
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most of the time always trash.
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It's terrifying.
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Yeah.
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I think I came into week three a little too high because, you know, I've been, I've been
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doing pretty well and I was like, Oh, I don't have to worry about any of these wrong.
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I had to worry about all of these except for the Texans.
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Surprisingly, which that was the best.
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That got me through.
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What a just what a snipe.
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What a snipe by me.
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First off, it was because you said it and I was like, Yep, taking it.
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So all credit to you.
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I called that and I'm patting myself on the back for that one because I don't think a
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lot of people tailed that one.
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To be honest, I did.
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Well, it's for you.
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See, that's why I'm talking.
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I just stayed away, but all right.
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Well, let's get into these games.
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This is the first week of the European series of the NFL NFL European edition.
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First London game Falcons Jaguars Jaguars there.
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I guess we can call them home favorites by three points.
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They essentially live there at least a week every every year.
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They're the London's team.
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They're living there for two weeks this year.
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Yeah.
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Chris, what do you what do you think about this game?
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I mean, it's not essentially a home game.
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It is a home game.
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The Jags are London's team.
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Also, the Falcons are terrible on the road.
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So I mean, this is as much of a road game as it gets.
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You're going to another continent.
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Jags minus three and I got a stat to back it up.
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What?
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Go ahead.
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Go ahead.
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What?
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No, go ahead.
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Go ahead.
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International favorites all time are 25 and 14 against the spread.
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So Jags minus three.
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I also think they're just better.
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I don't think the Falcons like Falcons on the Falcons at home are a completely different
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animal than Falcons on the Falcons on the road are bitches Falcons like they I thought
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they're going to roll into Detroit and run it down their dicks and they were terrible.
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So Jags minus three, they need this get right game after getting blown out.
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Not blown out, but getting their shit handed to them by Houston.
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So give me Jags minus three bounce back spot.
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I yeah, that I mean, that's my pick to this is this is when they show out.
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So and I did see like those like London stats.
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Sean, what do you think?
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Well, I don't agree really, but I just want to preface this by saying this is a pure Arthur
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Smith play.
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Arthur Smith owns the Jaguars.
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Ah, damn it.
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He owns the Jaguars.
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I think he's like six in one against the Jags all time as the offensive coordinator for
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the Titans and as the Falcons head coach.
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Yeah, this is just a pure vibes.
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A s play Falcons plus three.
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And that's really all that I have to back it up.
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I mean, like the Jags also have not really impressed me all that all that much.
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I mean, they haven't played well at all.
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No, I mean, who do they beat week one?
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Colts Colts Colts, they they're not very good.
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Yeah.
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And then yeah, they lost the chiefs, which wasn't as bad as I thought it would be.
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But then yeah, getting railroaded by the Texans isn't good.
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Yeah.
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So, I mean, don't get me wrong, I have doubt.
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And you know, if the Jags end up covering this game, I won't be surprised at all.
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But this is just a pure vibes Arthur Smith play at Falcons plus three Falcons like to
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keep it close.
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They didn't keep it close last week.
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But the past, you know, week one week two, they've kept it pretty close.
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So I like them plus three here.
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So that's my pick and I'm sticking with it.
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Arthur Smith is the sexiest head coach in the NFL.
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So no, that's what we're talking about here.
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Come on.
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He could be your sexiest.
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He could be your personal.
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You guys are lying to yourselves.
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You seen that mustache?
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Have you seen that chin?
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Yeah, there's nothing wrong with it.
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Yeah, there's multiple.
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A chin only a mother could love.
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Take a look at Sean McVeigh.
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He's a perfectly perfectly lined up beard.
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Oh man.
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He's too hot.
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All right.
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He's trying to.
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This is a different pod.
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I think this might be a separate pod.
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Tune in.
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Power rank.
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The hottest head coaches in the NFL.
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All right.
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All right.
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So the next game should be a barn burner, at least that I just see the see the names
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on the on the on the paper and it just screams barn burner to me.
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We got the dolphins at the bills, divisional matchup.
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Hmm, this one's a tough one.
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I do have a pick, but I'm going to throw it to Sean.
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This isn't hard.
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What are you talking about?
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All right.
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This is the easiest pick in the world.
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It's over 54 and a half.
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It has to be like, what more do you want from a division game like this from these two explosive
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offenses?
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I looked at this game when we were texting about what games we were going to talk about.
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I saw that and I was like, oh, that's the over.
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I don't care what it is.
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It's the over.
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And I looked it up on the book and it was 54 and a half.
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And I was like, yeah, I'll still bet it.
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So I'm going over here.
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This is going to be like one of the best games.
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And unfortunately it's being played at noon for whatever reason.
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And we've got a we've got chiefs and jets Sunday night for.
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I mean, they should have flexed that game.
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I don't know if they can, but this is a crime that this game isn't primetime.
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If I'm being honest, it's a crime.
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It is.
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No, you're right.
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Why can't they flex games in them?
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Like every just should have been flexed out of every prime time game.
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Yeah.
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As soon as as soon as and Rogers Achilles snapped, Roger Goodell should have on the phone.
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Hey, we're not doing this.
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Like Zach Wilson, God bless him is the worst quarterback I've ever fucking seen.
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So why are like, what do you do into us?
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But we'll get to that game later.
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But so I agree.
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This is the best game to sleep.
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So yeah, is that your pick also you're going over?
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No, no, I wanted I wanted to.
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All right, what's your I'm going bills minus two and a half.
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I think it's just a comeback to earth moment for the dolphins.
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I think the public's going to be all over the dolphins.
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Oh, they scored 70 points last week.
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They're plus money right here.
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I'm just this is fading the public and like dolphins just, I mean, they're not going to
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score on obviously they're not going to score 70 points again, but I don't think they'll
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score 30 points.
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Like that's just to be that revved up after going all out two weeks in a row.
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I don't see it.
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I also I wanted to bet this over, but I bet this over the first time they played last
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year and I thought the same thing is like, oh, this is going to cruise.
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I thought it was like 50 something.
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And I was like, oh, this is going to cruise no problem.
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And it was like 20 to 24 20.
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I think it was the week of the butt pump.
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If y'all remember that.
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So that's why I was like, I can't pull the trigger on this over.
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Even though I did want to, but I'm going to take those months to work.
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Okay.
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Well, what you I'm going to take the dolphins.
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I I don't know.
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I don't know what it is.
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I mean, I thought about changing it to the over because Sean's argument was just so convincing.
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And I don't know.
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I I feel like that I've been fading the bills pretty much every week this season.
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And I think it's gone 50 50 for me.
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But there is something about this dolphins team.
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Like they're they're essentially calling this game a pick them because as we know, like
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home field advantage is three points.
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So if you take home field advantage out of it, it's a pick them.
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I this is this is a divisional matchup and crazy thing can happen.
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But I think I think the dog comes loose in this one.
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I think the dolphins take this one and Josh Allen has been kind of been kind of crazy
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the past this season.
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I don't know.
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He's just such a wild card and two has been playing amazing.
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The dolphins team like I've just been seeing like a couple of videos over the past week
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of just the dolphins just being bros just having a great time just just being a team
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and I'm going to write it.
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I'm going to write dolphins plus three and I kind of hate it.
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I kind of hate all the picks for this game.
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I hate the line I hate the teams playing and I hate the over under but I'm just going dolphins
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call me reason see bias.
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Everyone knows I'm part of two and on but that's true.
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I don't know.
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You should have got your head out.
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Yeah, but it's got a lot of work.
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It's downstairs.
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It's a piece of tinfoil.
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Yeah.
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And I have to open a drawer to get it.
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Oh my God.
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All right.
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Well anyway, so next game Pat's Cowboys Cowboys home favorites six and a half on the book
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that I saw.
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I'm going to take this one.
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I'm going to take this one.
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I'm going Pat's plus six and a half here.
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I think the Pat's defense can can hold them to a close game.
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I think that everyone's going to be on the Cowboys.
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They'll be like, Oh yeah, Cowboys about perfect bounce back game for for them because they
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lost to the Cardinals.
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That dog shit team that's actively tanking publicly actively tanking.
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So I'm taking the pay the Patriots here and I don't feel great about it.
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I don't feel great about any of these picks, which at the same time gives me hope because
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I felt great about all my picks last week.
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So I'm taking the Pat's.
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I wouldn't feel great about taking the Cowboys either.
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I'm taking the Pat's.
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Their defense this this year has just has been really good.
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Yeah, that's it.
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Pat's plus six and a half defense.
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Chris, I agree.
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I think the Pat's will keep it close.
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I just I couldn't pull the trigger on the spread.
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So I'm going to go under 43.
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The past defense is is very is really good.
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I also think their their offense is very mediocre.
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So I think they'll be able to hold the Cowboys and I don't think I'm going to score a lot
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of points.
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So under 43.
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Simple as that.
20:19
So what do you think?
20:23
This is a game of the week.
20:26
Yes.
20:27
Oh, yeah.
20:28
Yeah.
20:29
Yeah.
20:30
To both of America's teams going head to head.
20:33
I mean, I guess.
20:35
Yeah.
20:36
Makes sense.
20:37
Yeah.
20:38
I hate to do this to you, Chris, but I'm going over 43 and a half here.
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Pat scored 20 on the Eagles.
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They scored 17 on the Dolphins.
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I think they keep it close with the Cowboys.
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But I do see a decent amount of points being scored in this game.
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It was just another like I think I've been riding Cowboys unders for a little bit and
21:04
they haven't really worked out all that well.
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So I'm switching it up this week.
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It's just that's kind of all it is, if I'm being honest, is just it's more fading myself
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from weeks past to not make the same mistakes.
21:29
So I'm going to I'm going to I'm going to ride with the over on that one.
21:34
I get that.
21:36
What was the total?
21:37
Was it week?
21:38
Yeah, week two against the Jets.
21:40
Do you remember?
21:41
I'd had to be low.
21:42
I mean, yeah, it was like 40.
21:47
Was it 40?
21:48
They scored 40 or was it 30?
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I can't remember.
21:50
It was probably 30.
21:52
It was 25 total.
21:54
It was 15 to 10.
21:57
No, I was talking about the Cowboys.
21:59
Sorry.
22:00
Oh, the Cowboys.
22:01
Yeah.
22:02
I forgot they both played the Jets.
22:06
Yeah, it was 40.
22:08
Okay, so that probably went over because that was probably in the 30s.
22:12
So I mean, yeah, I get that is a low total.
22:14
So it could honestly just accidentally go over.
22:17
Yeah, I think this is the hold on.
22:21
Let me see.
22:24
So this is the same over under as the Cardinals pretty much because theirs was 43.
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And this one is 43 and a half.
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So yeah, I'm not going to make the same mistake twice here.
22:39
Just going to rock the over it and like God, I had so many unders last week that I felt
22:47
I think I did too.
22:48
Yeah, I felt sick rooting for these unders because we were literally sitting there and
22:53
just being like, okay, nothing else has to happen.
22:57
And it's the middle of the third quarter, I think I had, I'm going to have to go back
23:04
and look at this.
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I think I had three unders and one over all three unders or two of the three unders lost
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and the over wasn't even close or two overs.
23:16
I had two overs and they both weren't even close.
23:20
Was one of the overs the Titans Browns.
23:22
I had three overs.
23:23
Yeah, exactly that and I had Falcons Lions was was a 20 to six or something like that.
23:30
Yeah, it's 20 to seven 20, whatever.
23:33
And then I had Oh yeah, the bills, mangers, which if the commanders could fucking done
23:41
anything that probably would have hit but scored a touchdown instead of that pussy feel
23:48
goal.
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God, Ron Rivera should be fired for that alone.
23:53
Yeah, whatever.
23:56
He's the anti Sean McVeigh.
23:59
Yeah, he's not hot.
24:03
So what I meant, but you're right.
24:10
But I say we move on to Sunday night.
24:12
What do you guys think?
24:16
I think you're correct.
24:17
Yeah.
24:18
I think that Sunday night football this game before the season probably would have rocked
24:25
but this game this week for this season kind of stinks.
24:31
It's the chiefs at the Jets at MetLife Jets are home dogs by nine and a half.
24:40
God, this game.
24:44
This game.
24:45
I don't.
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I know what I know what I'm picking, but I don't know.
24:50
This game just kind of stinks to me.
24:52
This is just a heavy favorite and a heavy underdog.
24:55
Sean, what do you think?
24:56
Well, I was just about to volunteer to take it.
25:00
So I'm glad you threw it to me.
25:02
I'm going chiefs minus nine and a half here.
25:04
I mean, chiefs like to lay their dick out on the table against terrible teams and the
25:11
Jets are definitely a terrible team.
25:14
Like you said, Chris, Zach Wilson is the fucking worst quarterback I've ever seen in my entire
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life.
25:21
I don't.
25:22
I think they just put a wampin on him.
25:25
On prime time, you know Taylor's going to be watching.
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He's got to show out again.
25:31
So give me the chiefs minus nine and a half here.
25:34
I mean, it's this was another one where I looked at the text thread and I was like,
25:39
yeah, I'm taking the chiefs spread.
25:42
It's probably high, but I'm going to take it.
25:46
Where is this game?
25:49
No, I mean, I will.
25:50
But where is this game?
25:51
It's in New York or MetLife.
25:53
I was just curious.
25:55
I didn't know.
25:56
I mean, Taylor Swift can still go, but it's not like she just can't go to New York.
26:03
I'm going to take the house there.
26:06
Probably.
26:07
She's like a multi-billionaire.
26:09
So probably.
26:10
I'm going to take under 42 and a half.
26:15
The chiefs have struggled against defenses with a pulse.
26:20
So everyone not the Bears.
26:23
They just dummied.
26:25
But the jets are a they do have a really good defense.
26:29
Obviously their offense is God awful.
26:31
I think the chiefs might struggle again, honestly, just to put up points.
26:35
I think they will dominate this game, but they won't.
26:38
They're not going to let the scoreboard if that makes sense.
26:41
Like they're just going to hold on to the ball.
26:42
They're going to squeeze it.
26:43
They're going to get their points, but I just don't think the jets scored all.
26:47
So I just the spread made me nervous because my home is, is just not good with these big
26:54
numbers.
26:55
So I'm going to take under 42 and a half.
26:58
I honestly, this is a snoozer.
27:00
This is a Sunday night date night game.
27:03
Honestly.
27:04
This like, Hey, like you're more important than football this week.
27:09
Let's go out.
27:10
But oh, it's the chiefs.
27:14
Are you sure?
27:15
No, actually, I just thought this in my head.
27:19
She's going to want to watch it because she's going to see Taylor Swift is there.
27:23
Damn it.
27:24
Well, you could always go to like a bar and grill, you know, have the game on there.
27:31
So she leaves.
27:32
Yeah.
27:33
She leaves bar and grill.
27:38
Get some sizzling fajitas in a night.
27:41
Get a nice skillet cookie.
27:43
Have the game on like on like the third TV over there.
27:46
Actually, yeah, I might pitch that.
27:48
That sounds like a phenomenal idea.
27:49
That sounds like a wonderful night.
27:50
If I'm being honest.
27:53
Now I just want some chips and salsa.
27:58
Will what's your play here?
28:00
So as we all know, the jets are going to pick up Trevor Simeon.
28:09
And you know what that means?
28:12
What does that mean?
28:13
Well, it means nothing because I'm taking the cheese.
28:16
Nine is nine and a half.
28:19
Trevor Simeon is a bum.
28:21
We all know that he's not going to change.
28:25
We don't know that.
28:27
I guess it's fair.
28:28
Like, yeah.
28:29
I don't know.
28:30
Listen, the jets are down bad.
28:33
They got Joe Namath insulting Zach Wilson on every chance he gets.
28:41
It's the jets are on a downward spiral.
28:45
The jet is going down.
28:48
Oh, it's yeah.
28:50
That was a good line.
28:54
The jet is falling to the ground.
28:57
Cheese minus nine and a half.
29:00
Let's go.
29:01
We're going to lay the number.
29:03
Yeah.
29:04
I mean, like, cheese are going to win by two touchdowns.
29:09
It's don't overthink it.
29:11
Keep it simple.
29:12
I just want to say one thing.
29:18
I've been thinking about this all week.
29:21
I feel so bad for Zach Wilson.
29:26
He plows his dude's moms.
29:29
Who cares?
29:30
He's so bad at his job.
29:34
If I were him, I would retire in the middle of the sea.
29:38
Like I would have retired after last week.
29:40
Did you see that?
29:41
He's so bad.
29:43
Did you see that video of that fan heckling him about he was coming off the field and
29:51
that fan who sits like sideline?
29:54
He was just shouting like, hey, Zach, these tickets aren't cheap.
30:01
Which is just like, man, I felt a little bad for him there, but also like, I don't know,
30:08
like just cut him loose.
30:10
Like he's obviously not good.
30:12
Like just.
30:13
I mean, yeah, also like, what like Robert solid, what are you doing?
30:17
Like this is inhumane.
30:19
This is malpractice.
30:20
Yeah.
30:21
Like in the normal working class, if you're in the normal working class, if you're not
30:27
good at your job, you get fired, but they just continue to let him, you know, perform.
30:32
And like everyone in that locker room has to hate him.
30:37
Yeah.
30:38
So like he has no, he might have like a couple of friends like the backup long snapper or
30:44
something, but just I feel so bad for him that everyone hates him.
30:49
He's so bad.
30:50
He's not get, he's not going to get any better.
30:54
So just I would retire right now if I was just like, you know what?
30:59
I'm still young.
31:00
I'm like 24, 25.
31:02
Let's go sell like real estate back in Utah or something like this.
31:05
Like it, he can't be having fun.
31:08
Like, yes, he's getting paid probably a lot of money, but still this cannot be enjoyable.
31:15
Just retire.
31:16
Go.
31:17
Well use cars do something, anything else.
31:21
I feel genuinely bad for him.
31:25
I feel that.
31:26
I mean, it's a tale as old as time for, for Jets quarterbacks.
31:30
It's never been this bad.
31:33
Well, I mean, I don't think it's like Sam, Sam Darnold was atrocious, but I mean, at
31:42
least like he could do something.
31:44
Zach Wilson can't do anything.
31:48
I say this, you'll probably drop three touchdowns this week, but I mean, good Lord, he's so
31:53
bad, but maybe I just wanted maybe Zach will see this and this will light the fire underneath
32:01
him.
32:02
I was also thinking about this.
32:03
They all know Zach Wilson is a big fan of free for the money.
32:07
We don't like to advertise that as we actively shit talk him on.
32:13
I will say this.
32:15
I was thinking about this early in the week too.
32:17
Do you remember when, when they played the Titans two years ago?
32:23
Yes.
32:24
And he looked like a completely different person.
32:28
I remember he was like scrambling out of the pocket, like directing guys where to go.
32:34
And it was like that one game also the Titans, I mean, the defense was good, but the Titans
32:37
were dog shit.
32:40
And but we had a bunch of injuries that game.
32:43
Where did that guy go?
32:45
Like he showed like somewhat of a dog, like half a dog for like a three legged dog for
32:52
a game.
32:53
And then was just that was gone.
32:57
And it hasn't been remotely seen since.
33:00
Well it's like, I don't know, I feel like he might have lost some of his confidence after
33:07
like, you know, being the backup.
33:10
Like he's no like as soon as they traded for Aaron Rodgers, it was like, Oh, well, I'm
33:16
not the starter.
33:17
They don't believe in me.
33:19
He could have lost some of his confidence, but.
33:21
I don't know.
33:22
Even like going back to that year, like he was terrible.
33:26
Like he's always been terrible except for like that game and maybe like another one.
33:30
So I'm just, I don't want to turn this into the shit on Zach Wilson fest.
33:34
But I mean, but I will, if I just retire.
33:38
If I were him, I would retire mid season.
33:41
Like this is, has to be the worst.
33:43
It's like, you look like a bitch doing that though.
33:46
You know, like the, the opinion of him cannot get lower.
33:53
Like no one's sitting here and be like, like holding out on Zach Wilson and like, Oh, your
33:57
tires is like, Oh, well that's it.
34:00
Like I'm like, he's the worst.
34:02
Like no, if like, if he retired right now, I'd be like, good for you, man.
34:07
Just get out of this.
34:10
Word.
34:11
Yeah.
34:12
But sorry, that was just my thing.
34:14
No, I mean, you're, you're right.
34:18
You know, like, I genuinely feel bad.
34:21
He's not just genuinely feel sorry for him.
34:25
Not sorry because like that implies that I pity him and I like, I don't because again,
34:32
he is like going to be a multimillionaire for being the worst at his job.
34:37
Yeah.
34:38
Yeah.
34:39
Just, just retire.
34:42
All right.
34:44
Slamming Zach Wilson aside, let's move on to Monday night football.
34:48
This game also stinks.
34:51
It's the Seahawks at the Giants second night in a row at MetLife.
34:58
Giants are surprisingly favored by one and a half.
35:03
Monday night football, no more, no more double headers, no more double headers.
35:08
Chris, what do you think?
35:10
Um, I, I get it is surprising.
35:16
Actually it's very surprising that Giants are favorite considering Daniel Jones is afraid
35:20
of the dark.
35:21
It's a tale of the time.
35:22
What is he like one and 14 now in games that take place after his bedtime?
35:27
11.
35:28
Yes.
35:29
One and 11.
35:30
Sorry.
35:31
One and 11.
35:32
I just want to be back.
35:33
I just want to be back.
35:34
You are.
35:35
You are.
35:36
You are.
35:37
Seahawks money line.
35:38
Uh, if this play, if this game was being taken place during the day, I would be taking
35:43
the Giants, but it's that night.
35:47
Daniel Jones is afraid of the dark Seahawks money line.
35:49
Like, how do you not at this point?
35:52
Yeah.
35:53
It's, uh, that, that's also going to be my play.
35:55
I mean, listen, we coined the phrase here on the, here on the show, you know, is it
36:02
everyone else saying it?
36:04
No, it's us.
36:05
We're the only one saying it because we like it.
36:09
And we know that Daniel Jones is afraid of the dark Seahawks money line is the play.
36:16
Uh, there's really not much to say.
36:19
Also, uh, I was also scared of like taking the under in this game.
36:24
Uh, you know, just, just because I feel like we would all take the Seahawks here.
36:30
I was like, maybe I should take the under to be different, but like the Seahawks have
36:33
put up 30 points the past two weeks and they let in 30 points.
36:41
They, they played some high scoring games.
36:44
And so, you know, obviously like prime time, anything can happen, but most of the time
36:50
nothing happens in prime time.
36:55
But I'm, I'm, I'm, I'm sticking with, with Seahawks money line.
36:57
What do you want, Chris?
36:58
I was going to say, um, you know, it does happen in prime time game field goals over
37:04
three and a half field goals.
37:06
Also doing that for the Sunday night game too.
37:09
I think, uh, I probably won't do that for Sunday night.
37:13
I'm doing that with touchdowns.
37:16
I'm doing that with every prime time game.
37:18
That's fair.
37:20
It's been working.
37:21
Yeah.
37:22
I will never deny that.
37:26
John got a role with it.
37:30
Well, um, this is going to be a smooth transition because not only is this my surefire pick,
37:37
but we all agree on this pick.
37:40
It's Seahawks money line.
37:41
I mean, listen, God, I, I feel like I'm beating a dead horse here with what y'all just said,
37:50
but Danny Dimes is afraid of the dark.
37:55
He just cannot win when the game is passed.
38:00
What is it like eight PM in New York or wherever he is?
38:04
It's like, like five.
38:06
He just can't.
38:07
The sun is down.
38:08
Yeah.
38:09
If the sun is down, he cannot win.
38:11
It's just that simple.
38:14
Why they keep giving, why the giants have two prime time games within like, you know,
38:21
two weeks of each other is beyond me.
38:26
I don't know.
38:27
I don't make the schedule, but you have to go Seahawks money line here.
38:32
The line does not make sense.
38:34
I don't know why the Seahawks are underdogs here.
38:38
I really don't.
38:41
Seahawks are a better team than the giants.
38:44
And that's, that felt like bleach coming out of my mouth.
38:49
That, that felt gross to say, but they are the giants are not good.
38:58
They are not the giants from last season.
39:01
He just, this, this doesn't make sense to me, but if they're going to give me plus
39:06
odds on the money line, I'm definitely going to take it.
39:10
So Seahawks money line, lock in my surefire pick as well, which would be a great transition
39:18
because I would like to know what y'all surefire picks are.
39:22
Oh, oh, my surefire pick.
39:26
Oh, I would, I would love to give my surefire pick.
39:30
So divisional matchup.
39:34
What's up?
39:35
You're going to win one this week.
39:38
I fucking hope so.
39:41
I would really, really like to win one.
39:46
It's been kind of murdering my bankroll here.
39:50
My surefire pick this week.
39:53
AFC North matchup Ravens at the Browns.
39:59
I'm taking Ravens plus three.
40:02
I might even take Ravens money line, but I think I'm just going to give out three right
40:06
now.
40:07
And do you know why I'm taking the Ravens here?
40:11
It is because Harbaugh, when he is an underdog is 24 and one against the spread in the past
40:22
25 games.
40:24
Wow.
40:26
I mean, wow.
40:28
I think this, I think this Browns line screams trap.
40:34
So I think you're very smart for taking the Ravens here.
40:37
I mean, I know the Browns are at home, but, and I know the Ravens just lost to the Colts
40:47
as a, what they, they opened as a, like nine and a half point favorite.
40:52
I think it was, I think it closed the double digits.
40:55
I think.
40:56
They lost outright to the Colts and overtime.
41:00
You know, Browns just Molly Wopt the Titans.
41:04
I think you're very smart for taking the Ravens here.
41:07
This is a very bounce back game for the Ravens.
41:10
And this is a very overconfident game for the Browns.
41:14
Yes.
41:16
This is, this was easily a, a look ahead game from last week.
41:23
Last week they were like, they were looking ahead to this game because this game obviously
41:28
means a lot more than, than playing, than winning against the Colts.
41:33
Obviously they want to win each game, but this was a look, that was a look ahead game.
41:38
All right.
41:40
This is the game that they want to win.
41:42
Divisional matchup.
41:44
Let's roll Chris.
41:45
What is your short fire?
41:46
Thanks for asking.
41:48
I already touched on it a little bit earlier, but I'm going bills, months, two and a half.
41:55
Like I said, I think the dolphins are going to be like they're, they're overconfident right
41:59
now.
42:00
They're coming into Buffalo.
42:01
Their shit don't stink.
42:03
Buffalo is really good.
42:05
They're also really good at home.
42:08
Obviously everyone knows they're really good.
42:09
They've won their last, they've actually, excuse me, they're 13 and two in their last
42:14
15 home games.
42:15
And they've won seven straight home games against the dolphins.
42:19
So you know what?
42:20
It's less than a score.
42:22
Give me the bills, minus two and a half.
42:24
I love this play.
42:25
I think everyone's going to be on the dolphins.
42:27
I'm so excited for the bills just to crush them.
42:30
And everyone on first take back, oh, the dolphins, frauds, because like they won, they won 70
42:36
to 20 and now they lost by 10 to Buffalo.
42:39
Are they frauds?
42:40
No, bills all the way minus two and a half.
42:43
I love it.
42:44
Hell yeah.
42:45
All right.
42:46
Well, that's our surefire picks.
42:48
Let's go over the other plays we got real quick.
42:52
Chris, when you said you took the bills and dolphins over the last time they played, was
42:59
that the game that was in Buffalo and the winds were like 50 miles an hour and there
43:07
was like a snowstorm?
43:08
Was that the snowball game?
43:10
Was that that game?
43:11
No, it wasn't.
43:14
I realized as soon as I said it, I wanted to correct myself.
43:16
I took this in the same spot.
43:17
It was the first time they played last year.
43:19
It was in Miami.
43:20
Okay.
43:21
And it was like the same thing.
43:23
Like both teams have been scoring like 40 points a game.
43:26
Okay.
43:27
Yeah, over like 50 and a half easy and they didn't even sniff it.
43:30
Okay.
43:31
Well, I was trying to, because I had like a locked memory that was just like awakened
43:38
just now.
43:39
No, no.
43:40
Yeah.
43:41
As soon as I said it, I was like, that wasn't the last time they played.
43:43
I think they also played in the playoffs.
43:45
So they played twice.
43:47
That might have been the playoff game.
43:49
The playoff game.
43:51
That was Skyler Thompson coming out party.
43:54
Yeah.
43:55
Oh, that might have been.
43:57
Yeah.
43:58
Okay.
43:59
That's the game I was thinking of then.
44:00
Yeah.
44:01
But I think they also did play when it was like, yeah, when it was like legitimately
44:06
like 10 feet of snow and Buffalo.
44:08
Yeah.
44:09
Something crazy.
44:10
Yeah.
44:11
But all right.
44:12
Well, Chris, what are the rest of your plays?
44:15
Okay.
44:16
I got Vikings minus three and a half against the Panthers.
44:21
Panthers are on my list.
44:23
They suck.
44:24
I'm finally fully embracing it.
44:26
I knew they weren't going to be good, but they're terrible.
44:30
The Vikings got to get one.
44:33
They need this game.
44:36
So Vikings minus three and a half.
44:38
I think they should roll.
44:40
The three and a half makes me a little nervous, but I'm taking it.
44:46
Ravens Browns under 41.
44:48
I think this is a stinky, stinky, stinky game.
44:51
I just think both defenses show out.
44:53
And you know what?
44:54
Well, I'm just going to, I'm going to jump in your foxhole every day until you get one
44:58
of these right.
44:59
Ravens plus three.
45:02
If they lose by 50 points, I'm done.
45:09
I'm done with you.
45:11
That's fair.
45:13
You're on the list.
45:14
I'm going to fade everything you take.
45:19
Yeah.
45:20
I mean, but no, Ravens plus in all seriousness.
45:23
That's serious pick show.
45:26
Ravens plus three.
45:27
What are you doing?
45:30
Eagles first half against the, against the managers, excuse me, minus four and a half.
45:36
It worked last week.
45:37
The manager starts slow as hell.
45:38
So let's go four and a half with the Eagles.
45:42
And then another under kind of stinky buck saints under 40 and a half.
45:49
The Tola has gone under in five of the last six games in this series and it's gone over
45:54
in five straight saints home games.
45:58
So give it to me under 40 and a half.
46:03
Oh, excuse me.
46:04
I have one more charges minus five and a half against the Raiders.
46:07
The Raiders suck.
46:08
The chargers need a layer nuts on the table game.
46:11
And I think this is it.
46:12
I think they went by 20.
46:14
So charge my five chargers minus five and a half.
46:18
And yep, that's the rest of the bunch.
46:20
Let's let's win them all.
46:22
Honestly.
46:23
Yes.
46:24
Yes.
46:25
Let's let's win all of our bets.
46:26
I only have two more plays.
46:30
Responsibly.
46:31
Listen, I got, I got Steelers minus three at the Texans.
46:36
All right.
46:37
The Steelers are, they got a great defense.
46:43
They just Mollie Wop the Raiders and can you pick it just through for two touchdowns in
46:50
a game for the first time?
46:52
You know, good for the good for him.
46:54
This is, this is a changing of the guard.
46:56
The Steelers are back.
46:58
Texans stink.
46:59
Everyone's high on the Texans because they beat the Jags outright.
47:03
That's why they're only three point dogs at home.
47:06
Taking the Steelers elite defense.
47:10
CJ Stroud is a rookie.
47:13
That's it.
47:14
Pretty much for the Steelers game.
47:17
And then I'm, I also have the Saints bucks under 40 and a half.
47:23
I mean, I remember a year or two ago, they had a game in like two to three or something.
47:31
It's nine to six.
47:33
Yeah.
47:34
That's, that's just ridiculous.
47:35
That can't, that can't, I mean, that has been happening since then, but that can't happen
47:42
again.
47:43
I'm going to bet on it.
47:44
I'm going to bet on it to happen again.
47:46
Cause we bet patterns.
47:48
That's it.
47:49
Sean, what do you think?
47:51
What do you got?
47:52
Well, I also have the bucks Saints under 40 and a half.
47:56
Let's go.
47:57
This is the annual, you know, Marshawn, Latimore and Mike Evans getting a fight game.
48:05
Someone's going to get kicked out.
48:10
Something weird's going to happen and also same as you will the last time that I remember
48:18
these teams playing, it was one of the worst games I've ever watched in my entire life,
48:22
which also was when Marshawn, Latimore and Mike Evans got.
48:29
So let's run it back under 40 and a half.
48:34
I also have the 49ers minus 14 against the Arizona Cardinals do not fall into this trap.
48:42
Do not fall into this Cardinals hype.
48:45
49ers are going to steamroll the Cardinals.
48:51
Cardinals are coming off a big win against the Cowboys for them for a team that's active
48:57
the season.
48:58
Maybe for a team that's actively tanking.
49:02
This is a big win for them and you know what they're not going to do it again and 49ers
49:08
are just better.
49:10
It's just like they I think the 49ers are the probably the best team in the league.
49:15
They're definitely the most complete team in the league.
49:18
So I'm not falling into the trap.
49:21
I'm not taking the cheese.
49:22
I'm not eating the peanut butter, whatever you want to call it.
49:25
Take the Niners minus 14 and a half here.
49:28
I also have the Manders and Eagles over 44 and a half.
49:34
I like this over probably the Eagles are going to score most of those points.
49:39
But you know, Manders start slow and they'll get points in the second half at some point.
49:45
We'll see maybe.
49:46
I don't know.
49:47
But yeah, I like that over.
49:50
I've also got the Rams money line against the Colts, which that's a pick them.
49:58
If you didn't see the line, it's it's even.
50:03
So I don't know if I don't know if Tony Richardson is going to play.
50:14
I hate that.
50:16
I hate that.
50:20
Yeah, I haven't seen anything.
50:22
He's been out the past or he was out last week.
50:27
But I do like the Rams here.
50:30
They just lost in a pretty devastatingly fashion to the Bengals on Monday night.
50:39
It's a short week for the Rams, but come out strong again and just roll over the Colts.
50:48
And I think that's what's going to happen.
50:51
And that's it.
50:52
I don't have a very long card this week because I'm trying to limit myself because
50:57
if I limit myself, I don't have as many losses.
51:00
Yes.
51:01
You also don't have as many wins.
51:06
Theoretically, that is true.
51:09
But also the same could be said for about losses.
51:13
So.
51:14
Scared money don't win money.
51:16
Oh, well, I'm I'm in the same boat, but I know I'm going to wake up one Sunday and
51:21
be like, oh, I like this too.
51:24
Oh, yeah.
51:25
Yeah.
51:26
Yeah.
51:27
Let me add this.
51:28
Yeah.
51:29
Yeah.
51:30
That's how my Sunday mornings are.
51:33
And then that's how I get ready for football.
51:37
Yeah.
51:38
Give me that.
51:39
Yeah.
51:40
Go to the farmer's market.
51:44
All right.
51:48
All right.
51:52
Stay tuned to the Twitter in case we change any picks, follow us on Instagram.
51:58
We make a little nice graphic where we post all of our picks.
52:01
Follow us on Tik Tok.
52:04
We post the bandit bandit Thursday night play and also the bandit parlay, the all dog parlay,
52:13
which I think zero legs hit last week.
52:17
So he's been sleeping outside since then.
52:20
But, you know, he's going to make that up.
52:23
He's going to make that up like this video.
52:25
So then he gets to sleep inside this week.
52:28
Yes.
52:29
He's right here.
52:31
Yeah, but he's going right outside.
52:35
He's sleeping right now.
52:38
It's not right now.
52:43
Just can we do like this video.
52:46
Don't come at us, Peter.
52:47
Actually, no, Peter, come at us.
52:48
I want that smoke.
52:49
Let's go.
52:50
Yes.
52:51
Actually, if we got recognized, if we got recognized by Peter, that'd be huge.
52:54
Yeah, maybe we should be pretty big.
52:57
All right.
52:59
Let's just end it before we say something wrong.
53:01
Yeah, you're probably right.
53:05
Like this video so bandit can eat today.
53:08
Jesus Christ.
53:10
All right.
53:12
All right.
53:13
Thank you so much for listening.
53:14
Thank you so much for watching.
53:18
Also everything like is in the bio like comment subscribe and we'll see you next time.
53:24
There's three of us now.
53:26
Thank you so much.