Latest / Bloomberg Intelligence / Bonus: Game Changers, Part 1
Transcript
- 0:05Speaker 1: Hello, and welcome to Game Changers. I'm Bloomberg producer Matt Goldman.
- 0:10Speaker 1: As the Earth is facing an increasingly consequential climate crisis,
- 0:14Speaker 1: inquisitive minds all over the globe are hard at work
- 0:17Speaker 1: trying to find solutions. Many of them have been able
- 0:20Speaker 1: to translate their Eureka moments into action at a greater
- 0:23Speaker 1: pace and scope than the sometimes gloomy headlines will have
- 0:26Speaker 1: us think. In this four part mini series, will meet
- 0:30Speaker 1: the visionary minds who attempt to sculpt the future of
- 0:33Speaker 1: sustainable energy and global resources. We'll get a peek behind
- 0:37Speaker 1: the curtains of their factory floors here of the sometimes
- 0:40Speaker 1: surprising origins of their ideas, and be introduced to a
- 0:44Speaker 1: potentially greener tomorrow. Episode one is all about transportation. Oh yeah, okay,
- 1:01Speaker 1: they want me to clap, They want me to clap? Hey,
- 1:06Speaker 1: pen too good? Are you? So? This is This is
- 1:10Speaker 1: our new drive train. It's called duo power. Our original
- 1:12Speaker 1: drive train was a single electric motor. Ryan Popple is
- 1:15Speaker 1: showing us around the Protera factory floor in Los Angeles, California.
- 1:20Speaker 1: He's a tidy man in his early forties, confidently determined,
- 1:24Speaker 1: always with the number or stat to counter any question
- 1:27Speaker 1: we might throw his way. He speaks of the place
- 1:29Speaker 1: with fondness and an unbridled enthusiasm, like he's treating us
- 1:33Speaker 1: to a glimpse of the global future. The place is huge,
- 1:37Speaker 1: meticulously clean, filled with worrying busy robots, and dotted with
- 1:41Speaker 1: enormous vehicles. For the uninitiated, the scene is at once
- 1:45Speaker 1: familiar and futuristic. At pro Terra, they build buses, electric buses.
- 1:51Speaker 1: That is, yes, so so pro Tera, I would say,
- 1:54Speaker 1: is a is a late stage technology, venture backed company.
- 1:58Speaker 1: We are several hundred ease um, We have over a
- 2:01Speaker 1: hundred enterprise scale customers, and we have orders across the
- 2:05Speaker 1: United States and in a couple of Canadian provinces. We
- 2:09Speaker 1: often get the question, is pro Tarra bus company? Orse?
- 2:12Speaker 1: Pro Terra technology company? I think pro Tear is probably
- 2:15Speaker 1: the first bus manufacturing company that is a technology company.
- 2:19Speaker 1: But I think in the twenty one century, if companies
- 2:22Speaker 1: are going to remain relevant, if they're going to survive,
- 2:24Speaker 1: they are going to have to become technology companies. Paints,
- 2:27Speaker 1: more rap What else do we look at? Oh, here's
- 2:33Speaker 1: l A D O T so this is this is
- 2:34Speaker 1: one of the first bodies that's going to start on
- 2:36Speaker 1: the line soon. And this sole this is a thirty
- 2:38Speaker 1: five ft bus. It's part of a series of electric
- 2:41Speaker 1: buses that are going to be built for the city
- 2:43Speaker 1: of Los Angeles and their teachers. Together, busses and freight
- 2:51Speaker 1: trucks generate of all global warming emissions that come from
- 2:54Speaker 1: the transportation sector, and there are a lot of them.
- 2:58Speaker 1: Almost one million registered buses roll around the streets to
- 3:01Speaker 1: the United States. Here Ryan sees an opportunity not only
- 3:05Speaker 1: to help the environment, but to take a robust share
- 3:07Speaker 1: of an almost untapped but potentially huge market. And we've
- 3:11Speaker 1: taken a long view and said, we know that the
- 3:14Speaker 1: future of this market is electric, and we're not going
- 3:18Speaker 1: to waste any of our time trying to be good
- 3:20Speaker 1: at diesel buses. The industry lifespan, or the remaining lifespan
- 3:25Speaker 1: of the diesel bus industry is very short. It's probably
- 3:28Speaker 1: less than ten years. So we're able to simply focus
- 3:32Speaker 1: on building and perfecting an electric bus and the charging
- 3:36Speaker 1: infrastructure associated with it. But his passion and ideas didn't
- 3:40Speaker 1: come out of nowhere. To trace his journey to this
- 3:43Speaker 1: futuristic factory floor, we have to travel back to a
- 3:46Speaker 1: different time in a very different place. I serve four
- 3:49Speaker 1: years on active duty. I UM had the pleasure of
- 3:52Speaker 1: serving as a as a tank commander, a tank platoon leader,
- 3:55Speaker 1: UM Humby platoon leader, and a couple of other functions
- 3:58Speaker 1: as well. UM and deployed to the Middle East in
- 4:01Speaker 1: early two thousand three and participated in Operation Iraqi Freedom.
- 4:06Speaker 1: You know, certainly got a lot of experience with vehicle
- 4:08Speaker 1: technology and heavy vehicles. UM. It was a remarkable experience
- 4:12Speaker 1: to be able to serve with other UM, other soldiers
- 4:16Speaker 1: and UM lead troops and work for some of the
- 4:18Speaker 1: best leaders I've ever encountered. At first, his interest in
- 4:21Speaker 1: sustainable energy was utilitarian rather than idealistic, But it also
- 4:26Speaker 1: was a pretty stark experience in terms of just seeing
- 4:29Speaker 1: how volatile some parts of the world are, in particular
- 4:32Speaker 1: parts that were very much dependent on FORUM for fuel
- 4:36Speaker 1: production or petroleum supply. So, you know, seeing UM depolling
- 4:40Speaker 1: into Kuwait and then UM operating in Iraq with with
- 4:44Speaker 1: an infantry division, you definitely get a sense that that
- 4:48Speaker 1: that there are a lot of parts of the world
- 4:49Speaker 1: that aren't necessarily the best places to underwrite for long
- 4:53Speaker 1: term energy supply. So When I finished up in the
- 4:55Speaker 1: army in two thousand four and went to business school,
- 4:58Speaker 1: I very much wanted to work on something related too.
- 5:00Speaker 1: I guess what would be referred to as energy security,
- 5:03Speaker 1: and as I looked into it, I was not convinced
- 5:06Speaker 1: that we were going to produce our way out of
- 5:09Speaker 1: the problem. If you if you really look into the
- 5:11Speaker 1: way the oil markets function, regardless of how much oil
- 5:15Speaker 1: the US produces, we really don't have control over the
- 5:18Speaker 1: price of oil we are. We are not the cheapest
- 5:21Speaker 1: marginal capacity that's Saudi Arabia UM. And so if we're
- 5:24Speaker 1: going to have some energy security or energy independence, we
- 5:27Speaker 1: have to create alternatives to petroleum. Armed with his new
- 5:32Speaker 1: ideas in perspective and a business degree to boot, Ryan
- 5:35Speaker 1: gravitated to a company that seemed to match his ideas, Tesla.
- 5:40Speaker 1: My reason for being at Tesla was not because I
- 5:43Speaker 1: was a sports car enthusiast. It was because of the
- 5:47Speaker 1: environmental sustainability, that the clean tech aspect of what Tesla did.
- 5:51Speaker 1: By moving over to an investing role for four or
- 5:53Speaker 1: five years, I really got to look broadly at the
- 5:56Speaker 1: entire carbon problem, the sustainability problem, and I was able
- 5:59Speaker 1: to find companies and technologies like pro Terra that took
- 6:04Speaker 1: the technology that I loved and appreciated from Tesla but
- 6:08Speaker 1: deployed it into a category that um that probably wouldn't
- 6:12Speaker 1: have access to clean car technology for a long time.
- 6:16Speaker 1: But eventually Ryan realized that even though electric cars seemed
- 6:20Speaker 1: like a huge step in the right direction, they still
- 6:22Speaker 1: came with insurmountable issues when we look at urban sustainability.
- 6:27Speaker 1: The concept of everyone being able to afford an electric
- 6:29Speaker 1: car and driving an electric car is a very bad
- 6:31Speaker 1: thing from a congestion and lifestyle perspective. You cannot solve
- 6:35Speaker 1: the congestion problems simply by making cars cleaner. So Ryan
- 6:40Speaker 1: envisioned a world with environmental stability but without the congestion.
- 6:44Speaker 1: The answer, he realized, was right under our noses, mass transit.
- 6:49Speaker 1: During his time at Tesla, he had been introduced to
- 6:52Speaker 1: pro Terra, a company that seemed to fit his evolving
- 6:55Speaker 1: sustainability philosophy. I joined pro Terra in twenty four seen
- 7:00Speaker 1: as the CEO when the company was just starting to
- 7:03Speaker 1: ship commercial product, and my role since then has been
- 7:07Speaker 1: perfecting the technology and really ensuring that e V can
- 7:10Speaker 1: become of the city bus market in North America. By
- 7:15Speaker 1: the way e V means electric vehicle, becoming one of
- 7:20Speaker 1: the market seems pretty grandiose, but if you zoom in
- 7:23Speaker 1: on the data, it doesn't actually seem like that crazy
- 7:26Speaker 1: of an idea. Replacing internal combustion busses with e busses
- 7:30Speaker 1: as well in the works, and electric buses will take
- 7:33Speaker 1: over half of the world's bus fleets. By the caveat,
- 7:37Speaker 1: almost none of this work is happening in the United States.
- 7:40Speaker 1: As of China already had a fleet of over four
- 7:44Speaker 1: electric buses, and counting in Europe, we're looking at just
- 7:48Speaker 1: over two thousand in the US about six hundred six hundred.
- 7:53Speaker 1: That's less than one percent of America's public transportation fleet.
- 7:57Speaker 1: So there's certainly a lot of room for growth. But
- 8:01Speaker 1: how is Ryan planning to seduce a market that clearly
- 8:04Speaker 1: hasn't been able to see the virtues of electric buses.
- 8:07Speaker 1: The benefits of going electric aren't always direct. Environmental improvements
- 8:11Speaker 1: can be slow and works in tandem with other technical
- 8:14Speaker 1: and philosophical changes, and perhaps more important for a potential buyer,
- 8:19Speaker 1: the buses with chargeable battery will last for about twelve years,
- 8:23Speaker 1: but that does come with an upfront cost for the
- 8:25Speaker 1: manufacturer and hence also the consumer. Back at the factory floor,
- 8:30Speaker 1: Ryan showed us how it works. Here's another set of battery,
- 8:33Speaker 1: or here's another look at the Praterra energy storage system.
- 8:36Speaker 1: So again, these are each ten kilo what hours. That's
- 8:38Speaker 1: over a megawatt hour of energy right there, just in
- 8:41Speaker 1: those ten packs. It's designed to be in a transit
- 8:44Speaker 1: application for twelve years. It's electrically and mechanically warranted for
- 8:49Speaker 1: that amount of time. We are trying to educate the
- 8:51Speaker 1: market to think about the fact that the battery represents
- 8:55Speaker 1: the energy that the vehicle is going to use over
- 8:58Speaker 1: a twelve year life. And when you buy a diesel bus,
- 9:01Speaker 1: you don't pay upfront for twelve years of diesel fuel.
- 9:04Speaker 1: That would be hundreds of thousands of dollars of capital expenditure.
- 9:08Speaker 1: The answer comes from the business side, not the factory floor.
- 9:12Speaker 1: Potera offers a kind of energy payment plan. So a
- 9:15Speaker 1: lot of the smaller cities that don't necessarily have the
- 9:17Speaker 1: capital for the switching cost, what we do is we
- 9:20Speaker 1: break the battery out of the cost of the vehicle,
- 9:23Speaker 1: and they pay for the vehicle for the same price
- 9:26Speaker 1: as a diesel bus and then they pay for the
- 9:28Speaker 1: battery over time like it was the fuel, and that's
- 9:31Speaker 1: enabled a lot of cities that that might not necessarily
- 9:33Speaker 1: have the capital to make the switch, to be able
- 9:35Speaker 1: to do so now. So we're there technically and financially.
- 9:40Speaker 1: The only thing Ryan c is holding us back is politics.
- 9:44Speaker 1: As an American, UM, I'm well aware of that. Our
- 9:47Speaker 1: tradition is that you know, it's that famous quote that
- 9:49Speaker 1: eventually Americans will do the right thing. Um. So I
- 9:53Speaker 1: think we're approaching that point where we are going to
- 9:55Speaker 1: wake up and then we will respond with an enormous
- 9:58Speaker 1: amount of energy and create UM. And technologically we are.
- 10:04Speaker 1: We are at the moment where we can start really
- 10:06Speaker 1: scaling clean energy. The energy balance of a solar panel,
- 10:10Speaker 1: as in the amount of energy you put in to
- 10:12Speaker 1: build a solar panel compared to the lifetime amount of
- 10:14Speaker 1: energy that'll it'll put out, exceeds that of fracking oil.
- 10:19Speaker 1: So we're we're at a point where the science and
- 10:22Speaker 1: the economics suggests that this is going to happen. The
- 10:24Speaker 1: only thing I worry about is if we hold back
- 10:27Speaker 1: or distort the markets and unnaturally extend the life of
- 10:31Speaker 1: the fossil fuel industry by another decade or two, once
- 10:34Speaker 1: Americans have come to their senses. Ryan has lofty ideas
- 10:37Speaker 1: and what the future holds for electric vehicles. So all
- 10:42Speaker 1: of the markets that share the same characteristics as the
- 10:45Speaker 1: city bus market, meaning markets where vehicles are driven a
- 10:49Speaker 1: lot of miles per year, and they're operating in an
- 10:52Speaker 1: urban or a fleet based region, and they're using a
- 10:55Speaker 1: lot of energy per mile, we think all of those
- 10:58Speaker 1: markets are great applications for EV. And that includes things
- 11:01Speaker 1: like school buses, like coach buses, refuse local delivery, construction,
- 11:08Speaker 1: mining vehicles. All of those applications are are going to
- 11:11Speaker 1: move to e V for the same reasons that the
- 11:14Speaker 1: city bus market moved to e V. I believe that
- 11:19Speaker 1: my my kids who are um, you know, grade school,
- 11:22Speaker 1: in high school, when they are adults and when they're
- 11:25Speaker 1: actually at a point in their career where they can
- 11:27Speaker 1: make a difference, it will be too late to have
- 11:30Speaker 1: made a difference. So they we will be in a
- 11:33Speaker 1: we will be in I guess an adaptation or mitigation
- 11:36Speaker 1: mode if our generation doesn't do more about this. So
- 11:40Speaker 1: I think that you know, when I look at my
- 11:42Speaker 1: own career trajectory and my peers were ideally positioned to
- 11:46Speaker 1: do something about this. This episode was produced by Magnus
- 12:04Speaker 1: Hendrickson and presented by Yours Trulli MATC Goldman. For a
- 12:08Speaker 1: visual experience of Game Changers and other video content, check
- 12:12Speaker 1: out YouTube dot com Slash Bloomberg special thanks to Francesca
- 12:17Speaker 1: Levie and Jordan Applinger. See you next time.