Latest / Targeting Winners: A College Football Betting Podcast / Exciting Week 13 College Football Predictions Revealed!
Transcript
- 0:01What's up, everybody? We have reached week 13 in
- 0:05college football. Hard to believe seeing the
- 0:07season just started last week, but we've got two weeks left in
- 0:10the regular season. Then conference championship
- 0:13week, we got a little Army Navy and the first bowl game actually
- 0:17takes place on the same day in about a month or so.
- 0:20So excited for that. I'm Darren.
- 0:22Welcome to targeting winners. I am joined today by Pete
- 0:26somewhere out of the country. Pete, how we doing man?
- 0:28I'm doing good, doing good, excited to be here.
- 0:31I cannot believe we're this deep in the season already.
- 0:33That's pretty, pretty incredible.
- 0:34The season goes by so quickly. It's it's just crazy.
- 0:37But happy to be here and happy to be talking some good old
- 0:40football again. So looking forward to moving
- 0:42forward here. Not not not super impressed with
- 0:45the with the slate of games. I mean, as a fan, I love college
- 0:47football any week we get it. But I was looking for some for
- 0:50some nice match ups and little little lacking this week.
- 0:54But. Yeah, I mean, I think, I think
- 0:58week zero was better, honestly. I mean, this is just a really,
- 1:00really kind of week, a week week, if you want to say it that
- 1:03way. But yeah, pretty, pretty
- 1:05underwhelming was it was hard to find anything that was too
- 1:07enticing. There was a couple, one team
- 1:09that I really love this year and outside of that, it was pretty
- 1:11tough. But we got some stuff to talk
- 1:13about. We should do.
- 1:14All right, So we know there is a game tonight.
- 1:16We're going to touch on that towards the end of the segment
- 1:19here 'cause there were not a ton of games to add to the Rapid
- 1:22Fire segment and two games on Friday, one we do not have a bet
- 1:26on, but one we actually do. And Pete, that's yours.
- 1:30So let me pull up this slide here.
- 1:32And we got the Hawaii UNLV game taking place on Friday.
- 1:36Where where you heading with this one?
- 1:38Well, I mean, this is a team that has done me really well
- 1:41this year. I love my Rainbow Warriors.
- 1:43I talked them up at the beginning of this year because I
- 1:46felt very confident in the team. You know the beginning, if you
- 1:49go back to the start here, I talked about them playing well
- 1:51at home and the, and they have played well at home.
- 1:54I I didn't quite expect them to play so well on the road.
- 1:58I've been really impressed by their offense and and the fact
- 2:01that they've got some quick strike stuff that's been
- 2:03happening that, you know, I thought was possible, but I
- 2:07really didn't expect it to be, you know, relatively consistent.
- 2:10It's not been entirely consistent, but it's been
- 2:12relatively consistent, which has been exciting.
- 2:14I mean, this team has been fun to watch.
- 2:16Great for this team, good for the program going forward.
- 2:19I think I mean, it might help them with recruiting going
- 2:21forward. So exciting.
- 2:22So total is 64 1/2, which is a which is a pretty big number at
- 2:27UNLV, but this is once again at a team that also can score some
- 2:31points. So I think there's going to be a
- 2:34whole lot of scoring. So for a late night game, a
- 2:37couple teams that can score defence optional.
- 2:41I think in a lot of ways here, man, this is going to be a fun
- 2:44game. So for one of those, you know,
- 2:45for a, for a pretty poor slated games in a weekend here, man,
- 2:50this is 1. When I saw this thing, I was
- 2:51like, Oh, I can't wait to watch this thing.
- 2:54So me being in Mexico this week hanging out, I'm going to kick
- 2:57back with a Margarita and watch this thing and enjoy watching my
- 3:00rainbow warriors. I'd love to see him win this
- 3:02game. I'm not, I'm not predicting
- 3:03they're going to win this game. I'd like to see it.
- 3:06I don't think they're going to they're going to win, but I do
- 3:08expect them to score a bunch of points.
- 3:10I do expect the over here. So I am going over 64 1/2 with
- 3:14my Warriors. Yeah, I don't like it, man.
- 3:17Shout out to Timmy Chang, man. I remember we were talking early
- 3:19in the season like this is his fourth year.
- 3:21He hasn't really brought results yet.
- 3:22I mean, is he somebody that could be on the hot seat?
- 3:25But shout out to him, man. They, they've had an awesome
- 3:28year. I guess they're going to play in
- 3:29the Hawaii Bowl. I don't know, maybe they'll get
- 3:31a better one if they pull this one off.
- 3:32But yeah, you, you said it perfectly.
- 3:35Defense optional. I, I don't know if UNLV even
- 3:37knows what that is. They look like they're playing
- 3:39with 9 guys on the field half the time when they're on
- 3:41defense. And if Hawaii can get into the
- 3:4440s on Air Force, you know, I'll talk about that a little later.
- 3:48But yeah, I mean, I I don't see how both these teams light up
- 3:50the scoreboard. Make sure all your bulbs are
- 3:52working in the scoreboard there. You only this could get ugly.
- 3:54This this could be one of those games where you're sitting at
- 3:57like 40 something at halftime. I'm just like, I'm moving on to
- 3:59the next game because this one, this one's a done deal.
- 4:02All right, moving on to Saturday.
- 4:05Here's one of the better games, Little Oklahoma, Missouri.
- 4:09Looks like Oklahoma, currently a 7 1/2 point favorite, total of
- 4:1241 1/2. And this is yours as well.
- 4:15What are your thoughts on this one?
- 4:16Yeah, another game that I think is actually a really good game,
- 4:19right? So we talked once again, poor
- 4:21slated games. But these two games are the
- 4:23first two games that I decided I wanted to bet on 'cause to me,
- 4:25they're both really interesting games.
- 4:27To me, this number was suppressed.
- 4:29I mean, Oklahoma has been scoring some points.
- 4:31They looked good last week. You know, to me, 42 is just low,
- 4:35especially unusually low for Oklahoma.
- 4:38I was trying to get my arms around this number, like, what
- 4:40am I missing? I've got to be missing
- 4:41something, right? You know, they, they play an
- 4:44aggressive style of offense. I expect that's going to
- 4:46continue. There's going to be some
- 4:47vertical stuff down the field. Tempo is going to be high.
- 4:51You know, Missouri's defense is good.
- 4:53They're certainly not elite, right?
- 4:55So, you know, I think they're going to be, you know,
- 4:57serviceable, but they're not going to stop Oklahoma.
- 4:59They might slow them down a bit. You know, I think Oklahoma will
- 5:03probably score something like, you know, 2730 points by
- 5:06themselves. So all I need Missouri to do and
- 5:09I was get me another, you know, 14 or something and we'll be
- 5:11good to go on this over. So to me, I mean, unless
- 5:15something that I'm just not seeing happens, I think this is
- 5:19I'm not going to say I'm not going to change spot though.
- 5:21This just feels like an over 42 all day long.
- 5:24So I am going over on the 42. Yeah, John Metier every week
- 5:29looks a little bit more and more like the John Metier we saw in
- 5:32September, which is great for Oklahoma.
- 5:34And we had talked about in the last game how Hawaii's been
- 5:36very, very good to you, Oklahoma cashing my 88 win total at least
- 5:42by shocking Alabama last week. So obviously I'm very happy with
- 5:47with what the Sooners have done. The only thing I think maybe
- 5:50you're wondering what what did I not see here?
- 5:52There was a report that Tribula might possibly be playing after
- 5:57that gross ankle injury. I believe that he got the
- 6:00Vanderbilt game, but he's doubtful.
- 6:01So maybe that's the one thing I'm thinking that maybe has this
- 6:04a little low, but I mean, we saw Missouri.
- 6:07I watched Missouri last week because I, I had laid the, the
- 6:09seven. Their defense did not look, I
- 6:13may look good, but not great. I mean, Oklahoma gets in the the
- 6:17high 20s, low 30s wouldn't surprise me, which means you
- 6:19only need what, 14 points from Missouri?
- 6:21I that should happen. I I don't see a problem.
- 6:24Either Well, it's not it's not like Bama's bad either.
- 6:26And and Oklahoma looked pretty good against them, right.
- 6:28So I mean that that was my thought process is I don't know
- 6:30how they're going to look worse against Missouri, but what do I
- 6:33know? Well, your plus units on the
- 6:35air, so you know something. I know a little bit.
- 6:39All right, so my two games, Speaking of horrible, horrible
- 6:44football, not that we have been, we're about to because I have a
- 6:47Mountain West play and I have this Conference USA play here.
- 6:52Liberty, the team we'd love to bash, but boy is it justified
- 6:56'cause they have fallen off the earth in the last two years here
- 6:59and this year, not any better at all.
- 7:03Playing Louisiana Tech, I bet you go through confidence USA
- 7:06stats, you look for good offenses, you're not going to
- 7:09find too many of them. So there's nothing here
- 7:11offensively on either side of the ball that leads me to
- 7:14believe that one of these teams has a big advantage over the
- 7:17other. Tech's going to be on their
- 7:18third string QB as their second string QB got hurt in the last
- 7:22game. He does have a little bit of a
- 7:23running threat, so maybe Tech could do a little something.
- 7:27But they do have two really good running backs and Clay Theven
- 7:29and Omari Wiggins, who I think will actually control this game.
- 7:33Liberty's defense, not very good.
- 7:35Louisiana Techs actually very, very good.
- 7:38They actually lead the Conference USA in points allowed
- 7:40per game. I don't see them giving up a lot
- 7:42of points here. I don't know if Liberty's quit,
- 7:45They sure look like it sometimes.
- 7:46But the even Vasco experiment has not worked out.
- 7:51The just the best unit on the field here is going to be the
- 7:53Louisiana Tech defense in a game with a low spread.
- 7:57I just went money line here minus one O 8 on tech money
- 8:01line. I'm not taking the point and
- 8:031/2. That was like juice to -115 So I
- 8:07mean a much better defense here. They should set up this offense
- 8:09to do a little something and hopefully liberty can't really
- 8:12plan for this third string guy. Trey Kukuk is his name.
- 8:15I'm probably pronouncing that wrong.
- 8:16Sorry, Trey, if you're listening.
- 8:18But yeah, I mean, give me give me a team with a defense going
- 8:22against a team that very well may have possibly just waiting
- 8:25for the season to end here. So I believe both these teams
- 8:27are five and five. So if you want to use a little
- 8:28motivation tactic, which I do kind of like to look at, you
- 8:32know, when there's one or two games left in the season, maybe
- 8:34you get some kind of effort from Liberty, but you should be
- 8:37getting that from law Tech as well.
- 8:38They're four and one at home. I expect their defense carrying
- 8:41to win here. So I've got 1 unit on Louisiana
- 8:43Tech with the money line minus one O 8.
- 8:46Yeah, love that bet. I actually kicked this one
- 8:49around for the over so that the total is 44 1/2.
- 8:52I thought about it just because of what you just said, right?
- 8:54You know, end of the season. Do we get a heartbeat out of
- 8:57liberty? Do they do something that they
- 8:59could they might they score some points It it could happen.
- 9:02They're not going to win this game.
- 9:03I love your bet here. But you know, and they they
- 9:06score a couple touchdowns. Could this easily go over?
- 9:08Yeah, it could. So I toyed with it.
- 9:10But then as we were talking via text, getting ready for this
- 9:14thing the other day, I was like, but it's Liberty and I just
- 9:16can't do it. Not this year, two years ago.
- 9:19Yeah, right now, Nope, can't do it.
- 9:23So I wanted to you watch the it'll probably be like a 60
- 9:26point game or something and I'll kick myself right in the
- 9:28backside. But so yeah, I thought about it.
- 9:31I wouldn't blame anybody for taking the over on this thing,
- 9:34but right now I just can't bet Liberty.
- 9:37So for me off the table. Don't blame you all right well
- 9:41let's go to your wheelhouse. It's usually something that is
- 9:44on your table big 10 action here the and I know this this game is
- 9:48probably important to you because you mentioned our group
- 9:51chat. I told you I was kind of
- 9:52updating the futures bets as we were going and A7 win Nebraska
- 9:57team. Somebody in this room that's not
- 10:00me has an over 7 1/2 win total on the Dylan Rayolas Cornhuskers
- 10:07here. So two shots to cash other
- 10:10futures bet here. What did you do in this one?
- 10:14Questioning myself already. Thanks, man.
- 10:18To be, I'll be 100% honest, right?
- 10:20I bet this thing because I've got that futures bet.
- 10:24So I want to watch this thing. I I want to see Nebraska get my
- 10:29eight wins. So I'm really want to see this
- 10:31happen. I'd like to see Penn State get
- 10:34pounded here. That'd be very nice.
- 10:36Listen, this, this is a tough one, right?
- 10:38Total is 44 1/2. It's, it's been difficult to see
- 10:44what Penn State is going to do post James Franklin, of course,
- 10:47right? That's once you lose your
- 10:49captain, IE your coach, really hard to see what's going to
- 10:52happen. Nebraska without their
- 10:54quarterback, right? That's tough as well.
- 10:57But this number is low, right? 44 1/2.
- 11:00These are two teams with talents.
- 11:02They've both shown they have talent this year.
- 11:05So lose your coach, lose your quarterback, But still, there's
- 11:08a lot of talent on that field. Nebraska's still capable of
- 11:12scoring points. Penn State at home is obviously
- 11:15still capable of scoring points. You know, games between these
- 11:19two teams generally land somewhere in the 40 to 50 point
- 11:23range. So this thing is right in the
- 11:26middle of it. So I'm playing a hunch here,
- 11:29right? I'm playing two things.
- 11:30So I'm playing a hunch and I'm playing my future's bet, right.
- 11:33So that is the really the only two reasons why I bet this game
- 11:37is right. So that's what I'm doing here.
- 11:39I'm playing the over 44 1/2. This is a hope and a dream, but
- 11:44I do believe that this will more than likely play itself out.
- 11:48I, I would not be surprised to see something like, you know,
- 11:51Penn State win this game, I don't know, 30 to 24 or
- 11:56something like that. So that would get me there.
- 11:58So that's what I expect to see. So one unit over 44 1/2.
- 12:04Yeah, I had looked at this one too, but I, I, I mean, Penn
- 12:07State seems like they're, they're kind of getting it
- 12:10together here. But I mean, you had such high
- 12:13goals at the start of the season.
- 12:14I mean, how, how many games can you come out there?
- 12:16And just like, I don't know, man.
- 12:19And then I don't even know what the Nebraska will look like
- 12:22really without Rayola against the Penn State defense.
- 12:24I mean, it's credit to you for even picking this.
- 12:27I I was trying to find something involving 2 teams that people
- 12:30have heard of and might bet, but I was just like duh I I don't
- 12:34even know. Just like let me move on to
- 12:36another game and try and find something.
- 12:37But yeah, credit to you for even playing this man, because I did
- 12:42not. I I am playing against
- 12:45probability here. I did a whole probability
- 12:47analysis and it says go under and I went over.
- 12:49So if we're good, we'll see how this plays itself.
- 12:52Trust those numbers, man. Excellent.
- 12:54All right. And my last game, because I only
- 12:56had two because I did not enjoy the schedule here.
- 13:00OK, you all remember when I bet Air Force to beat Hawaii and
- 13:03that was actually the biggest train wreck ever?
- 13:05Well, Air Force, Yeah, Rainbow War.
- 13:09I'm glad my bet could contribute to you cashing something.
- 13:14All right. But, you know, there's always,
- 13:15you know, we talk about it. There's a line you look at it
- 13:17doesn't make sense, but you fall for it anyway.
- 13:19Yeah, I'm falling for this one here.
- 13:22I I need someone to explain to me, and maybe you can, since,
- 13:24you know, you're the only other one in the room.
- 13:26So I'll ask you. We had a seven and three New
- 13:29Mexico's team, which actually is.
- 13:31I don't even think their wind total was anywhere close to 7 to
- 13:34start the year. You know, still playing for a
- 13:38shot at the Mountain West title game.
- 13:40Yes, they're on the road, but they're only laying 3 1/2
- 13:43against a team that is probably outside the top 125, keeping in
- 13:49mind there's only 136 FBS teams in most major defensive
- 13:53categories. So I started to look at this.
- 13:55Something's wrong. And then to confuse myself even
- 13:58more, if you followed Air Force football at all, God knows I
- 14:01wouldn't blame you if you haven't.
- 14:03A couple games into the season they made a QB switch and put in
- 14:06a fella by the name of Liam Zarca who has taken this offense
- 14:11to incredibly impressive levels considering you know that he
- 14:15didn't start the year as a starter.
- 14:18Not sure if people are aware of this or not because they're out
- 14:21West. Maybe because it's only Thursday
- 14:23afternoon he got hurt, broke his arm out for the year.
- 14:28So this would tell me that this line, as we get closer to
- 14:32kickoff, should hit 4, maybe 4 1/2.
- 14:36I was actually waiting because the plus 3 1/2's at Air Force
- 14:38actually juiced -115 I was hoping it would get down to
- 14:42three and make a bet. But then as the day went on, I
- 14:45saw the juice lessen a little bit and I'm like, oh crap, this
- 14:47is going to four. So I laid one unit here on New
- 14:51Mexico -3 1/2, and nobody's going to believe that New Mexico
- 14:57actually has a really good defense, if any stretch, but
- 14:59their run defense actually called giving up 106 yards per
- 15:03game. I would not have bet on that to
- 15:05start the season. But yeah, I mean, we watched
- 15:09them play Michigan way earlier in the year and after they fell
- 15:12down 14, nothing. They actually played pretty
- 15:14well, I thought in Ann Arbor. I agree.
- 15:17But yeah, their their head coach Jason Eck I believe is who it
- 15:20is, has done a very impressive job leading this team to seven
- 15:25wins. And then I look at Air Force,
- 15:27they had that four or five game stretch where they were giving
- 15:29up 40 points or more like every single game.
- 15:31I kind of took a look at their schedule, see if there was any
- 15:33improvement to maybe think why this line was was short.
- 15:37Yeah, their last four games they haven't given up more than 26.
- 15:41But then I looked at their opponents in those four games.
- 15:43Wyoming, who's only averaging 17A game, Army who's only
- 15:46averaging 22A game. San Jose State was only
- 15:49averaging 24 game and UConn was actually averaging 35, but they
- 15:53allowed 26 to UConn. So that was probably their best
- 15:56defensive ever. But I mean, when you take away a
- 15:59guy like Zarka, who also in his eight games leads the team in
- 16:02rushing almost 1000 yards rushing already and 13 rushing
- 16:05touchdowns, in addition to his 1300 yards passing and nine TDs
- 16:09through the air, he has got, you know, a ton to that offense.
- 16:14And I don't know if anybody can replace what he does.
- 16:17And when you have a defense this bad, I mean, you get two or
- 16:21three drives, don't go your way. I don't even know if if you can
- 16:24catch up with a backup at this point.
- 16:27So am I falling for this? Yeah.
- 16:31Hook, line and sinker, baby and it wouldn't surprise me if this
- 16:37was like a pick em, but you know what he's not.
- 16:40I got a feeling this line's going to move up.
- 16:44But, yeah, get get in on it now if you want, because I think
- 16:47this might actually hit. This could blow right through
- 16:49four, I think once the Zarka injury kind of gets out there.
- 16:52But, you know, impressed with what New Mexico's been doing,
- 16:55man, and not impressed at all with what the Air Force defense
- 16:58has been doing. So on the road, the only thing I
- 17:01worry about in New Mexico, they turn the ball over like it's
- 17:05it's got a disease of some sort. I mean, they've fumble 15 times.
- 17:08They've lost 12 of them. That is horrible turnover luck.
- 17:12That's the only thing that could derail this here.
- 17:14But their pass offense is excellent.
- 17:16Air Force's pass defense is terrible.
- 17:18They're allowing teams to convert third down just over 50%
- 17:21of the time, so I expect to pass.
- 17:24Happy Lobos offense here. I I don't see where they're
- 17:26going to have to run the ball too much and potentially fumble
- 17:29again though. One unit though, because I would
- 17:33have done 2. But something about this stinks.
- 17:35I'll I'll figure it out 7:00 Saturday night when I watch but
- 17:39a unit the lobos -3 1/2 over Air Force.
- 17:44I'm digging it now. You sold me on that.
- 17:46I mean, I, I thought both sides. So that total 55 1/2.
- 17:50Now I thought both sides of that while you were talking, right?
- 17:52My first thought was, so without their quarterback, is Air Force
- 17:56going to score 10? And if they're going to score 10
- 17:59is, are the Lobos going to score 45?
- 18:02Then I go, what do I do with that?
- 18:03Like, Nah, I don't know about that.
- 18:05And if they're going to turn the ball over, is it an under like I
- 18:08I you know, I think you might have talked me into the fact
- 18:12that the Lobos might blow them out, right.
- 18:14This could get, this could get ugly.
- 18:16I mean, if that's true and what you say is true, yeah.
- 18:21I mean, that's a great bet because I think this truly could
- 18:23get ugly. You know, is it ugly over 55
- 18:271/2? I, I don't, I don't, I don't, I
- 18:30don't know. I don't think so.
- 18:31Actually, what you just told me would make me think this is
- 18:34probably an under here where Air Force isn't going to score much
- 18:36at all. The Lobos are going to win by, I
- 18:38don't know, 25 points or something.
- 18:39We'll call it a day. I mean, it could easily be one
- 18:42of those games that would not be surprising.
- 18:45Yeah. And do the Lobos just like try
- 18:47and run clock in the third and fourth quarter?
- 18:49And if so, can Air Force even stop them?
- 18:51I mean. No, I mean first hand I would
- 18:55think not. No.
- 18:57Interesting. Yeah you pulled me in to be
- 19:00falling for this too as well because everything you said now
- 19:02is like this. This once again not jinxing us
- 19:05but wow that seems like a no brainer.
- 19:07I honestly think that injury may not be known by everybody
- 19:11because obviously, you know, we're on the East Coast, out
- 19:13West. Who's paying attention to the
- 19:15Mountain West at any point during the year, especially now
- 19:18with Boise State being not very good?
- 19:22But it's Thursday afternoon as we're sitting here as the day
- 19:26goes on, like we've already seen the juice on that 3 1/2 in the
- 19:30Air Force start to go away. I I just think this should be
- 19:35closer to 6 1/2, maybe even 7. I don't think it's going to get
- 19:38there. But if this blows through 4 to 4
- 19:401/2 winds probably one bit. And I just didn't want to be on
- 19:42that end because. No, that's a great, that's a
- 19:44great bet. I think that's a bet.
- 19:46That's a fantastic bet. Well, we'll find out because you
- 19:50know, you and I sit here finally reaching positive units on the
- 19:53air. There's certainly some kind of
- 19:54game like this to screw us and and drop us back out.
- 19:56And so we'll see how that goes. But anyway, let's get to the RPO
- 20:01segment. I know Tim likes some types of
- 20:03music, but I have so much crap on the screen I'm not even going
- 20:06to run the risk of kicking one of us out of the room.
- 20:09So. It feels like we should have
- 20:10Christmas music while we're doing this, Just saying.
- 20:13I have a tree that's the best I can look to see if there is
- 20:18Christmas music we're. Good.
- 20:21Yeah, I don't see any. So I mean, just sing amongst
- 20:24yourselves. All right, we'll do the RPO
- 20:28segment. A little short one this week
- 20:29because the schedule. But anyway, so tonight's game,
- 20:35there is one game tonight. It's not Mac related,
- 20:37unfortunately, the Louisiana Raging Cajuns getting free at
- 20:41Arkansas State, total of 53 1/2. Any thoughts on this at all?
- 20:46Don't watch it, do something else.
- 20:50Well, that's fair. The Bills and the Texans are on.
- 20:57So I mean, I guess if you want to watch that, I I don't, I
- 21:00didn't have a play on this. I mean, I, I had Western
- 21:03Michigan Tuesday. I went on our YouTube home page
- 21:07and I posted a few leans for last night.
- 21:09And of course, because I didn't bet them, they both hit.
- 21:13So I thought, yeah, well, maybe since we're on a little bit of a
- 21:15roll, I can play Sutton here. I read two different things
- 21:19about weather's not going to be a factor and it's going to pour
- 21:22like there's no tomorrow. So obviously I looked
- 21:26Louisiana's got a great running game.
- 21:27If weather was going to be a factor, I would lean them.
- 21:30Take the points. I would go the other way and
- 21:33since I don't know because I don't live in Arkansas, I have
- 21:37nothing to do with this game. Yeah, if it if weather's a
- 21:40factor, almost always take the points.
- 21:42If it's pouring, take the points.
- 21:44Yeah, thought I put this one for Tim, but he's he's he's working.
- 21:48So his favorite team of all time, Florida State Seminoles
- 21:51laying 5 1/2 at NC State, total of 60 1/2.
- 21:54Any thoughts here? I don't think it would lay
- 21:56points with Florida State against anybody at this point
- 21:59because I just don't trust them. They're just so volatile.
- 22:02I just don't know what they're going to do from game to game.
- 22:04So I wouldn't, I wouldn't never. I wouldn't touch that game with
- 22:06anything. Agreed.
- 22:08All right, Miami, the topic of college football ranking chaos,
- 22:13laying 17 1/2 at the newly head coached with your boy James
- 22:18Franklin, Virginia Tech, total of 48 1/2.
- 22:22Any thoughts on this one? Yeah, I mean, Miami laying those
- 22:28points, I would lay those points.
- 22:30James Franklin thing, what a great hire for that program.
- 22:34Agreed. I mean, I beat up James
- 22:36Franklin, but I beat up James Franklin because he was in the
- 22:39Big 10 at a premier program. And but I I always said the man
- 22:44can recruit. He just would have some gaffes
- 22:47at points and games that I did not quite understand.
- 22:52But recently he's been better. It seems like he's gotten better
- 22:55with those things, but his recruiting has been phenomenal.
- 22:59You put him at this program. Look out.
- 23:01I mean, if he can continue that, he is going to turn that program
- 23:05into a powerhouse in that conference.
- 23:08And so that is a fantastic hire. I truly thought he would end up
- 23:12at a better program than that. Not that I'm beating up BOTAC,
- 23:15but I, I, I mean, I was, I joked about it what, a couple weeks
- 23:17ago on this thing that I, I wasn't really joking.
- 23:20I thought he could end up in a place like Florida State and,
- 23:22and I still think in the future he could, but this is a good
- 23:25place for him to land right now. This is a great hire for them,
- 23:28so hats off to the program. Go get them James.
- 23:30Kick some butt, man, That's great.
- 23:32Yeah, and if you're interested in futures bets for next season,
- 23:36there's already one out there. The Virginia Tech win total
- 23:39slightly juiced at plus money, 7 1/2 if you believe half of Penn
- 23:44State's going to enter the transfer portal when their
- 23:46season ends and go to Virginia Tech.
- 23:50But I, I wouldn't. I already bet an early future
- 23:53last year with Bill Belichick over 7 1/2.
- 23:55We all know how that worked out. So.
- 23:57But like you said, I agree, great hire.
- 24:00He's still close enough to that Pennsylvania, Maryland, DC,
- 24:03Virginia area where he will have just as good a shot at getting
- 24:08the best talent as Penn State would.
- 24:10So I mean, yeah, like you said, dude can recruit.
- 24:14And I'm curious to see how many Penn State players that he got
- 24:21to go there. Follow him this December to go
- 24:25over there. So definitely something to look
- 24:26at. But yeah, I wouldn't.
- 24:27I would lay the points of Miami as well.
- 24:28I agree with you here. Arkansas getting 9 1/2 at Texas
- 24:33total 58 1/2. Any thoughts here are you?
- 24:43Thinking talk about that. No worries, they just nailed on
- 24:45me. OK, Are you Internet list now?
- 24:54Are you there? Are you?
- 24:56There Hi yeah, my, my, my headphones just completely
- 24:58crapped out on me so I'm back I'm good I was just.
- 25:01Asking what you thought about Texas laying 9 1/2 against
- 25:03Arkansas with a total OH. God, I got all kinds of thoughts
- 25:06on that. What did I talk about two weeks
- 25:07ago? First of all, Texas can't beat
- 25:08Georgia. They never will beat Georgia.
- 25:10Georgia's a better team, and they always get out.
- 25:12They always get out strategized. There's, there's.
- 25:15That'll never happen. They can play 100 times, they'll
- 25:17lose 100 times. It doesn't matter.
- 25:19I'm done with Texas. I would take those points all
- 25:22day long. I think that program is just,
- 25:25they need to, they need to, they need to make a change.
- 25:27That's not working. They've peaked.
- 25:29It ain't going any higher than it is, unfortunately.
- 25:32I hate to say Sark needs to go and they need to make a they
- 25:34need to make a change. Sadly, not what I expected would
- 25:37happen there, but yeah, they've, they've just completely
- 25:41flatlined, unfortunately. So yeah, I would take that.
- 25:43I would take those points. Yeah, I wouldn't touch this one.
- 25:47I can't. Like you said, I, you know, now
- 25:49that the ranks are out, Texas is pretty much out.
- 25:52Do they still try and make a case for themselves and if they
- 25:54can run it up, do they? On Arkansas's defense, you
- 25:57certainly could. But yeah, I I can't trust Texas
- 26:01at this point. I mean, guy, you couldn't even
- 26:03beat Florida, for God's sakes, and you look terrible getting
- 26:05beat in the process. So I agree with you man.
- 26:08Very anti Texas this year. Another 9 1/2 point spread in
- 26:12the SEC Kentucky playing some inspired football getting 9 1/2
- 26:17at Vanderbilt. Total of 52 1/2.
- 26:20Thought to hear well. I mean, if we just play off our
- 26:25Texas thing, Vanderbilt played Texas pretty close.
- 26:28If we think Texas is not very good, then what does that say
- 26:31about Vanderbilt? So that means that that 9 1/2
- 26:35looks a little enticing since Kentucky has been playing some
- 26:38inspired football. So I don't like that line and a
- 26:42half like that little hook on that thing right there, that 9
- 26:441/2. So that's pretty enticing to me.
- 26:46I I could be compelled to take those points right there.
- 26:50I would take it. I mean, I would hold out and see
- 26:51if maybe you get 10, but 9 1/2 looks good, man.
- 26:54Kentucky back-to-back weeks, even that Texas game when we
- 26:56were in Central Florida, they're watching that.
- 26:59They played good, man. They must want Stoops to stick
- 27:02around. Agreed.
- 27:04Agreed. No, I don't, I wouldn't mind
- 27:06that 9 1/2 at all. I agree with you there.
- 27:09All right, this one's here for you, man.
- 27:10I'm I'm curious to hear your thoughts.
- 27:12A couple of running back injuries and never know what
- 27:16you're going to get. Bryce Underwood LED Michigan
- 27:19Marines laying 2 touchdowns at Maryland 46 1/2.
- 27:23I'll sit back and let you ran. I pre empted this a few weeks
- 27:28ago with the fact that I see a quarterback that's not being
- 27:31developed. I still see a quarterback that's
- 27:34not being developed that concerns me.
- 27:38Laying 14 points for this team is a no no bueno for me.
- 27:42It's just I don't trust them to even score 14 points at times.
- 27:47Yes they can. I mean they could come out at
- 27:49any point and score 30 would not be a problem, but they don't
- 27:54seem to be able to do anything with any consistency.
- 27:57They can't run the ball with consistency, they can't throw
- 27:59the ball with any consistency, they can't not turn the ball
- 28:03over with any. There's nothing they do with any
- 28:05consistency. Hell even the defense which is
- 28:08generally good is not consistently good.
- 28:12Just this team is not consistent with anything they do for the
- 28:15most part. The defense being the closest
- 28:17thing to consistent, but on the offensive side of the ball.
- 28:20Yeah, I, I, I think we are really starting to see the
- 28:24coaching be a problem here. This is what happens when you
- 28:29hire a second tier coach at a premier program.
- 28:33That's, that's just what happens to you.
- 28:35You can't, you can't just hire an assistant because he was, you
- 28:38know, BFFS with the with the with the premier coach and keep
- 28:42them on. This is what happens.
- 28:43So they're going to have to make a tough decision at Michigan
- 28:46sometime soon because this is not working out that we're at
- 28:49you can't let this program slip back to be far behind OSU again.
- 28:52OSU is going to pound them. We it's time they're due.
- 28:57If we're due to get pounded, they're going to get pounded.
- 29:00They should get pounded. But yeah, I I just I'm not
- 29:03seeing I am not very pleased that the direction of this
- 29:06program said no. I would I would not touch this
- 29:09game for anything for any reason.
- 29:12Under over points nothing. I'm out.
- 29:15I agree. You know, we talk about the
- 29:17coach bump, you know, when a coach gets fired and and teams
- 29:20usually play really well after that.
- 29:23Maryland Twitter has wanted Mike Locksley gone all season long.
- 29:27They came out last week and said they're keeping him.
- 29:29So I guess we'll see if the players are pro Mike Locksley or
- 29:32not. We're going to speak about that.
- 29:35An actor. I want nothing to do with this
- 29:37game either. So I know you'll watch it 'cause
- 29:40that's your squad. But yeah, I I wouldn't touch
- 29:44this with Tim's money, you know? So, yeah, I agree totally.
- 29:48Game that is very interesting battle for for a potential spot
- 29:52in the ACC title game here. Georgia Tech looks like they
- 29:55have a spot. Why they don't trip up.
- 29:57They are at home laying 2 1/2 to Pittsburgh, total of 61 1/2.
- 30:02What do you think here? Yeah, I I like the home team.
- 30:05I like Georgia Tech at home here.
- 30:06I think they're gonna protect that home field they've looked
- 30:09good of of late, I think. Yeah, I think they're in a good
- 30:12position here. Right place, right time.
- 30:14They look good. Yeah.
- 30:15I, I, I would lay that 2 1/2 all day.
- 30:17I. Agree.
- 30:18I did see some articles that are like, oh, give Pittsburgh a
- 30:21look. But yeah, they benched Holstein.
- 30:23Their other quarterbacks played well.
- 30:24Still a freshman though. This may be a little a little
- 30:28too much to ask for him here, especially at under a field
- 30:31goal. So yeah, I agree, I expect lots
- 30:32of points I would lean over, but I would also lean Georgia Tech
- 30:36as well to get this done. Agreed.
- 30:39Tennessee, Joey Aguilar and the Volunteers laying fours, they go
- 30:43to Florida total of 57 1/2. I don't know, if you looked at
- 30:47the Florida injury report, it's basically like 1/3 of an actual
- 30:50college football team. So as long as this doesn't go to
- 30:544 1/2, I would play Tennessee here if I had to as this was the
- 30:58third game I crossed off. But then I remembered betting
- 31:01Florida games this year I'm O and four.
- 31:04However, betting Vanderbilt games I'm four and O but I left
- 31:06that alone as well. So I would take Tennessee and
- 31:09probably be wrong because I can't figure out Florida for the
- 31:11life of me. But yeah, I, I, I would take the
- 31:16balls. Here I I can't figure out
- 31:19Tennessee for the life of me. I mean, they're they're they're
- 31:21the good team that just can't sometimes they they they baffle
- 31:25me. I mean, Florida, yeah, coach
- 31:27gone. That whole thing.
- 31:28Half the team is injured. I wouldn't expect them to win
- 31:30this game. I mean, this should be to me.
- 31:33Lay the points. Tennessee all day long, you
- 31:35would think so that I would think, I would think Tennessee
- 31:38should win this game. Lay the points are great, but
- 31:41you know, sometimes they come out and they lose when they
- 31:43shouldn't. So I don't.
- 31:44I don't know. I'm baffled.
- 31:45But yeah, I mean I would be inclined to lay the points. 57
- 31:481/2 seems kind of high for a team with no offense like
- 31:51Florida, but that's probably a statement of how bad Tennessee's
- 31:54defense is. But.
- 31:55Exactly. I I would avoid this all.
- 31:57And from his jail cell, released after stealing a helicopter back
- 32:02in his own home while he's waiting for charges.
- 32:05Tim, welcome, buddy. How you doing?
- 32:07Hey, what I miss only like. 90% of the show, but I've got your
- 32:13slides up here. We can, after we do this last
- 32:16RPO segment, we'll pull up your three games and you can drop a
- 32:19little knowledge for us here. Actually don't.
- 32:24I may have to. I may have to dart out of here
- 32:26and like, who knows, I could get a phone call at any second.
- 32:30I may have to jump right back out.
- 32:31But we can keep going with the RPO if you'd like.
- 32:36So we'll let you kick it off in case you got a jet.
- 32:38Your BYU Cougars team that you have a futures bet on winning
- 32:42the conference, laying 2 1/2 at Cincinnati, total of 54 1/2.
- 32:45What do you think? I'm actually liking the under
- 32:49here. But as always, room for BYU.
- 32:52This will put them in the championship game.
- 32:55Then we'll start hopefully collecting on some of some more
- 32:57futures bets. So yeah, I like, I like the
- 33:00under, but I like BYU. Yeah, I've I've been bashing BYU
- 33:04every time I do. They kick somebody's ass so
- 33:06well. Keep bashing them please.
- 33:08Well, no, I actually like him this week as well, but I won't
- 33:10say that because, you know, then since then I win by like 20.
- 33:14So we don't need that for your futures.
- 33:15Pet Pete, what do you think? Also like BYU here, I think it's
- 33:19a good, good play. Any thoughts on your team this
- 33:21week? Tim, we just talked about FSU a
- 33:23few minutes ago. What do you think?
- 33:25Yeah, I don't know if that picture is still up there, but.
- 33:29We got to put the picture up there.
- 33:30You're. Still walking Florida State any
- 33:32of the last two seasons. Yeah, so there we are.
- 33:37That's that'll be meet by halftime.
- 33:40Hey, look, it's a Friday night game on the road at NC State,
- 33:45Virginia or Virginia Tech. Yeah, we're probably going to
- 33:47lose. So, you know, same as it ever
- 33:50was. Not expecting a loss but you
- 33:54know, just another Rd. Game, you know, on a Thursday or
- 33:59Friday, so. That's a nice coat, by the way,
- 34:03from like the 1981 season or whatever that you're you're
- 34:06rocking in that picture. That's great.
- 34:08Parson jacket 82. I love it.
- 34:10Yeah, like if MC Hammer made another video he would have that
- 34:13with magic pants or something. I have no idea how it's it's a
- 34:15beautiful. I actually have the matching
- 34:17pants so I know. You do.
- 34:18You're probably wearing them now, but I.
- 34:21Will save them for that video. Yeah, it's.
- 34:23Great. All right, let's recap our picks
- 34:25on this. Not so impressive slate of game.
- 34:28So Pete, you got a Friday game, so kick us off.
- 34:32Dude, I do. I love my Rainbow Warriors this
- 34:34year. Anytime I can bet them, I'm
- 34:36betting them. So Hawaii, UNLV, over 64 1/2,
- 34:39one unit. I also have Missouri and
- 34:41Oklahoma. Oklahoma's been looking good.
- 34:43So I don't have that number really low to me.
- 34:46So over 41 1/2, Nebraska, Penn State, because I have Nebraska,
- 34:50I've got that futures bet. So we're going Nebraska, Penn
- 34:52State under 44 1/2. Jimmy.
- 34:57I'm still trying to figure out how U mass scored 14 points the
- 35:01other night. But anyway I've got James
- 35:03Madison, Washington State over 42 1/2.
- 35:06I got 2 unit play on Louisville SMU over 53 1/2 and USC Oregon
- 35:12over 59 1/2. I took a page out of Pete's
- 35:14playbook. I'm just doing overs this week.
- 35:19I feel like I should I should do some too.
- 35:21We just won't give out any sides anymore for the rest of the
- 35:24year. That's fine.
- 35:26I I started off with a little Western Michigan going down 13.
- 35:29Nothing me being very upset, but then they remembered that they
- 35:34were a lot better in northern only.
- 35:35I put up like 35 straight. Thanks a little DK boost.
- 35:39We got a little plus money on that.
- 35:40So they did cover and I picked 2 horrible, horrible games that
- 35:45nobody would watch except me. Louisiana Tech on the money line
- 35:49holding the home fields minus one O 8 over Liberty and the
- 35:54trap game of the week that Pete and I sat here and talked
- 35:58ourselves into. No, Mexico laying 3 1/2 over the
- 36:02Zarkalis Air Force. Yeah, it was a rough slate, man.
- 36:10We, we discussed this earlier. It was it was it was bad.
- 36:14You know, we got it. All right, Tim, wrap it up.
- 36:17Tell them all where they can get in touch with us.
- 36:20All right, well, you can find us on YouTube.
- 36:22Please like and subscribe. We appreciate it very much.
- 36:25It helps us out and it's free. Like help us find us on Spotify
- 36:28and Apple or wherever you find your podcasts.
- 36:32Thank you all for listening. We'll be back next week and Yep,
- 36:35there's a call. I gotta go so.