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Bowl Season Best Bets! · Targeting Winners: A College Football Betting Podcast

0:01
Hello everybody, welcome to targeting winners to college
0:04
football betting podcast. Focus on the numbers here.
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I'm 10. I'm joined today by Darren and
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Peter. We got three different
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perspectives to try to help you build and maintain a bankroll.
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But before we get started, if you're watching this on YouTube,
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Please give us a follow, leave a five star review if you would.
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That's worth at least four stars right there.
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So Peter, how you doing out there in Mexico?
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Not too bad, not too bad. Merry Christmas to everyone,
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good to have you here. Excited to be ready for another
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week of some pretty good games. I think so.
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We had some pretty decent ones this past week and looking
0:57
forward to some some this week. So good to be here with all of
1:00
you and Darren still cold. Yeah, it's snowing.
1:05
Another coating to an inch today.
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P Shouldn't you be saying like Feliz Navidad or something
1:09
'cause you're A? Feliz Navidad, man Feliz Navidad
1:11
I'm. Ready to kick you out of the.
1:13
Country and send you back. The measure, yeah.
1:16
I've already kicked out of the Grundry, that's why I'm here.
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Oh, OK, that's fair. Yeah, like Pete said to to carry
1:22
on with that. Yeah, I mean, I still do love
1:24
bowl season. I'm not as enthralled with the
1:27
games as Pete is, but I'll take any college football over no
1:30
college football. So yeah, let's get to it.
1:33
Why not? You got that.
1:34
What do you think of the play offs this weekend?
1:38
We watched 2024 all over again. The Group 5 teams, you know, the
1:44
talent level just does not seem to be there.
1:47
Yeah, how's that shocking, right?
1:49
The transfer portal era, right? All the good players send up on
1:52
the larger teams with money. So we talked, we talked about it
1:55
in the summer. This is what's going to happen
1:57
over and over again, right? You, you, I mean, you might get
1:59
a good player or two on some of these, on some of these Group of
2:01
Five teams, but the depth is not there.
2:05
Any injuries, forget about it. And any really good players by
2:08
this point opt out right 'cause they're going to move on
2:11
elsewhere. Or they're going to move up.
2:13
And So what do you have, right? You have you have a group of
2:16
five teams that just can't compete.
2:17
It's no surprise. Until they fix this or do
2:20
something about it, it's going to be the same thing every year
2:23
into eternity. That's just what we got.
2:26
Yeah, I mean, in James Madison's defense, I don't think any team
2:29
was going to go up to Oregon and be competitive.
2:31
I don't think any of the teams, the other teams that lost this
2:34
weekend were going to go up there.
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And I don't even think Ole Miss could have went up there and won
2:39
or I don't think Miami or Oklahoma could have went up
2:41
there and won this weekend to to be perfectly fair to James
2:46
Madison. But it is like it, it is what it
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is. I mean, they're just a smaller
2:49
school. You know what that is?
2:51
It's a shame because well, before at least it was on a
2:53
neutral site. I mean, what is it?
2:56
Boise State beat Oklahoma and the Fiesta Bowl 1 here.
2:59
So it can't happen on neutral site.
3:00
I think when you ask a team to especially going from Virginia
3:04
to Oregon, I mean, you know, the whole two time zone thing, it
3:08
was a tall, tall order for them anyway.
3:11
So, but yeah, but they, they had a good year.
3:16
We'll see what they do next year.
3:17
They'll probably rig it some more.
3:18
So it'll be 11 SEC teams in Notre Dame next year.
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For there'll only be one Group of Five team in next year.
3:26
Somehow they'll fix. It I don't even think there'll
3:28
be 1. I think they'll they'll.
3:29
Fix it. There'll be 1.
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I think it's it's regulated. There has to be 1, but they'll
3:34
do. Everything.
3:35
That too. But who sets the regulations?
3:37
I mean, they set the regulations.
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They can just take it as they go.
3:40
They'll keep. It's not like anyone's got to
3:42
crack down on them or anything like that.
3:44
So it's it is what it is good run for the group of five that
3:49
they should just have their own playoff probably yeah I mean
3:53
this come with their own eighteen playoff 5 conference
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champions there and you know three at large and have their
3:59
own playoff I. Mean for James Madison, it was a
4:01
great year, but that's the best. You're going to see that you're
4:04
you're just not going to see anything better than that.
4:06
You're not going to go into a place like that and be, you
4:08
know, one of these big conference teams.
4:10
It's just not going to happen. I mean, it would take the team
4:13
falling on their face. Something like just unique would
4:16
have to happen. Even if they won that game, it's
4:19
not going beyond that. That's the end of it, right?
4:21
So it's just. It would have to be.
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A home team where there's just like some awful weather that
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time of year where you know, couple of.
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Turns. Here and there can swing it.
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But yeah, like pizza and the talent level is just, I mean, it
4:34
was closer to 3-4 years ago, but it's not.
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I mean, you know, these Group of Five teams came and sniffed the
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Power 4 at this point. It's.
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All like it's basketball where if you get like, you know, like
4:43
Davidson, that one year with Steph Curry, you know, shoot the
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lights out, it doesn't matter what how much the other guys, if
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you have one guy just can't miss and he can just carry a team
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like that, you know, but football's just different than
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so much different than basketball so.
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Yes, you can. You can plug in Patrick Mahomes
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and a quarterback at one of these schools.
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It doesn't matter. It's not good enough to carry
5:01
the whole team, right, 'cause yeah, Torch, then that's the end
5:04
of it. It doesn't matter, right?
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I mean, even I'm, I'm not talking to NFL here, but it was
5:08
kind of fun to watch my Colts last night and to watch, you
5:11
know, to watch my I had an old guy standing up for his old
5:13
dudes playing really well at quarterback.
5:15
But our defense stinks, right? But it was really fun to watch
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Phillip Rivers last night play at a really elite level for a.
5:21
44 year old guy. That was fun to watch, right?
5:24
That was cool to watch. And it was like watching Peyton
5:26
back in the day a little bit. But that's about the best you
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could expect from a, you know, from a group of five teams with
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a, with a elite quarterback. That'd be it, right?
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All right, well, we got a couple games.
5:37
Well, we got more than a couple for this week.
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We so going here. We got a couple that are going
5:42
today. I think Darren hasn't been on a
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couple of these. We'll review with you on AV
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against Ohio. Yeah, I posted.
5:50
I posted something on the YouTube community page there,
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like 6:00 this morning while I was slugging through a cup of
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coffee. We had touched on this one last
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week. It was one of the games we were
6:01
keeping an eye on. I just posted because this was
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going to kick off at 9:00. This video probably be up right
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at 9 or maybe shortly after. This line did move to 6 1/2
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before we had had done anything with this game.
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The Ohio head coaching situation not worked itself out.
6:17
It has as of today. Brian Smith officially relieved
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of his duties. The spread went up to 6 1/2.
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I thought it would go up a lot more than that.
6:25
Since it did not, I fired on UNLV laying the 6 1/2 here.
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Dan Mullen before when he coached in bowl games, he was
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seven and three. So there is a a fair amount of
6:36
data points there to show that he does kind of take these bowl
6:38
games a little bit seriously here.
6:41
And again, we we talk about motivation, mindset.
6:44
I don't know where Ohio's at at this point with everything
6:46
that's gone down with their coach.
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I would guess at this point they probably just want to get the
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season over, turn the page and and get working on 2026.
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The total is 62 1/2. Pete, I'm sure you you are aware
7:00
both of these defenses are complete ass an overplay.
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I I don't know what your thoughts are on that.
7:07
Wouldn't surprise me if you leaned over.
7:10
But yeah, give me UNLVI think they're the more motivated team.
7:14
Like I said, Dan Mullen does well in bowl games.
7:17
And since it did not reach 7, yeah, I took the six or I laid
7:20
the 6 1/2, I should say, with UNLV, one unit on the Rebels.
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Pete. Interesting right?
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So was he let go for it? I saw alcohol related reasons, I
7:29
didn't read into it. He, you know, like most Matt
7:32
coaches, he's probably got a little hooch in the desk.
7:34
Apparently he who gets. Ready.
7:37
I thought he had an affair with a student.
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Was that the right way too? There.
7:41
Was that too OK? I just saw alcohol related.
7:44
It was like who gets fired for that?
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I mean that half these guys probably have some hooch in the
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desk and. Sure, more than half.
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I thought that was really weird. I didn't have any time last I
7:54
would. Explain someone to play calling?
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Yeah, I mean, I can see him getting fired for well, I mean,
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the team was decent, so I I don't know, I mean, it was it
8:01
was weird to me. I read that I was like, that
8:03
doesn't make any damn sense to me.
8:04
So there had to be more to that. OK, so a fair whatever.
8:07
That makes more sense to me. Yeah. 62 1/2 leaning over.
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Yeah. I just don't know what.
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To your point, I don't know what Ohio's going to do.
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You don't know. You don't know if he's going to
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score. I don't know what the hell
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Ohio's going to do. I mean, I, I think it seemed
8:20
like they like the guy. So, I mean, they're probably
8:22
going to play for the guy and they're probably not very happy
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the guy got canned for whatever the hell went down.
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So I would imagine they're going to go out and play well.
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So yeah, I would not be surprised if this thing went
8:33
over. I mean, imagine Ohio's going to
8:35
lean to the run like they normally do.
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So yeah, I mean, I think this could be interesting.
8:40
I do like your bet quite a bit. I mean, if I had to bet anything
8:43
in this game, I'd follow you here.
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I mean, the over's a little tenuous, but yeah, I'm leaning
8:48
over. I, I would not, you know, I, I,
8:50
I would not blame anybody for going over here.
8:52
But it's just hard to read what Ohio's going to do here.
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But I do think they're probably going to play pretty well.
8:57
But that's that's my thought. All right, we'll move on to the
9:01
other game kicking off tonight. Pete's second team here.
9:03
We've got Hawaii hosting Cal Kimmy Tang against his his
9:10
predecessor here. So wide receiver Jackson Harris
9:13
is in the transfer portal. Did you have a bet on this,
9:16
Darren or Pete? I think Pete did.
9:17
We both did. But yeah, Pete, you can go
9:19
first. Well, it's my rainbow, so I got
9:21
I've got a I've been on my rainbows all year long here.
9:24
I bet him any chance that I get that looks enticing to me.
9:29
That 54 1/2 seemed a little soft the way why he's been scoring
9:33
points this year. You know, they're a little
9:37
consistent, but honestly, to me, they've been, they've been
9:40
relatively consistent scoring. So I do, I do like Hawaii's
9:45
ability to score and they're going to play fast because they
9:50
typically play fast. So it really just comes down to
9:53
what Cal's going to do here. But I, I, I do believe that
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Hawaii's going to score points and I do think Cal's going to
10:00
chase and score some points as well.
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So to me, that 54 1/2's a low number.
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So I do like the over here in this game quite a bit.
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I'm only going one unit. I thought about two, but I don't
10:11
trust myself enough this year to do 2 on anything, although I
10:14
really kind of want to. So I'm going one unit on the
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over of 54 1/2 for this Cal in Hawaii game.
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So that's my thought. Is that what?
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Is that what you got, Pete 54 1/2?
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When you I got Yeah, what did I get?
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I got actually a 52 1/2 when I bet.
10:30
OK. Because I was going to say, I
10:31
just, I was looking at DraftKings while you were
10:33
talking. It's down to 50 1/2 and I don't
10:35
understand that at all. This game screens like 3834.
10:40
I don't know what the hell we're missing, but like you said, the
10:43
the California quarterback he is supposed to play.
10:45
He's from Hawaii apparently. So I would expect him to
10:48
probably ball out and again, the the coach for California or I
10:52
should say the interim or no, no, he didn't get the job.
10:55
I can't remember that the guy Justin Wilcox left, all right,
10:58
He's a defensive minded guy. He's gone now.
11:00
So I expect Hawaii to do what they do and put up a lot of
11:04
points at home. And every time Pete has
11:06
mentioned Hawaii on the show this entire season about how
11:09
it's a different animal playing than at, he has been 100%
11:11
correct. So I finally decided, you know
11:14
what, I'm piling on Hawaii at home.
11:17
I now they're favored by a point and a half.
11:19
And again, this is just bowl games.
11:21
The spreads and the totals can swing so much so quickly.
11:25
So I'm actually laying a point and 1/2 here, although I'd much
11:28
rather be getting a point and a half.
11:30
But yeah, this is a home game for Hawaii.
11:33
I, I expect a ton of family and friends.
11:35
I expect the seniors to want to go out on top.
11:38
And I mean, we talk about who wants to go to Hawaii even
11:40
during the regular season and treat it like a business trip.
11:43
I don't know if these Cal kids where their minds at.
11:46
It's like, Yep, our season's done, our coach is gone.
11:48
But hey, we get to go to Hawaii. You know, I mean, like, I don't
11:53
know what version of Cal I'm going to get.
11:58
But yeah, I mean, they should certainly put up some points
12:00
with their with their QB. And so I don't understand why
12:02
this total is dropping. But not to jinx Pete.
12:05
I didn't bet that. I just went with the side I I
12:09
mean dude knows his rainbows and his big 10 so I rolled with
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Pete's knowledge. I'm laying the point and a half.
12:16
I did not go 2 units because something about that line still
12:19
doesn't make any sense. I expect Hawaii to win by by
12:22
more than a touchdown here, but because it's full season,
12:25
anything can happen. Maybe maybe Rolovich since he he
12:30
was a former Hawaii guy, he he wants to to show out or
12:33
something. But I I have one unit.
12:35
I am laying a point and 1/2 with Hawaii tomorrow Christmas Eve.
12:41
OK, now we're going to move on the Friday the 26th, the game
12:44
above Sports Bowl. We have got Central Michigan and
12:46
Northwestern. Opening line was northwestern
12:49
-12 1/2 with over under 44 1/2. Peter, we'll start with you on
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this one. Where'd you come down on this?
12:56
Yeah, I came down with two teams that I have a little interest
12:58
in. That's when I came down on.
12:59
I live relatively near Central and Northwestern is not being
13:05
all that great or fun to watch. Looking at this thing like a
13:09
game I would never watch in 1000 years.
13:11
So yeah, I don't. I wouldn't even know what to do
13:14
with this at 44 1/2, which is a really low number, but yeah, it
13:19
seems. Low.
13:20
Central doesn't score a lot. NI mean neither one of these
13:23
teams score a lot. Northwestern plays defense, but
13:27
still it's a low number. I, I couldn't.
13:28
That number is just, I know that's I'm out.
13:31
No idea what to do with that number or either one of these
13:33
teams. I'm out.
13:35
That's where I am. Any thoughts with Aaron?
13:37
Yeah, I have an idea, but I have no guts when it comes to this
13:41
game to actually back a Mac team in a bowl game, much less
13:46
playing a Big 10 squad. But the points intrigue me.
13:51
It's 10 1/2. Now they have this Wildcat
13:56
quarterback, Angel Flores, who's been out since October.
13:58
He's supposed to play. That gives Central Michigan a
14:02
little bit of a of AI Don't want to say an edge cause
14:06
Northwestern does ball out defensively, but this total is
14:09
even down. You got 44 1/2 there.
14:12
I think you said it was 42 1/2 Draftking.
14:14
Yeah, draftking just showing 42 1/2 as well.
14:18
If you're giving me 10 1/2 with a total that low, I would tend
14:23
to lean towards taking the points.
14:25
But there's just something about Mac teams in bowl games, Western
14:28
Michigan notwithstanding, they rolled Kennesaw State.
14:31
By the way, Congrats on putting the world's bowl performance on
14:34
film in the history of bowl games.
14:35
Good job, Kennesaw. But yeah, not enough guts to to
14:39
back the Mac here. But if I had to lean and and
14:42
somebody had to bet this, my slightest of leans would be to
14:47
take the points. I dig that play that that is,
14:50
you know that that is intriguing with this game, because I would
14:52
consider these teams relatively equally in I I mean, like I
14:59
could see this. I could see the Mac winning this
15:01
game. I could see this.
15:02
That would not be surprised at all.
15:03
I could see him winning it out right.
15:04
Honestly, I would not be surprised, much less the points,
15:07
honestly. Well, we got Minnesota and New
15:14
Mexico here. They're in the Rate Bowl Friday,
15:17
4:30 in Phoenix, AZ. The opening line Minnesota -3
15:21
over under a 49 1/2 Minnesota 8 bowl game-winning streak.
15:27
So Malkai Coleman and Kendrick Lanier are all out pretty thin
15:31
out wired receiver from Minnesota.
15:32
I think we sort of a pee last time.
15:35
Darren, what do you think about this game here?
15:37
Yeah, much like how peace started with the last game, I am
15:40
scared of death and have no clue what to do here.
15:42
I mean PJ Fleck in bowl games? You mentioned it Tim.
15:44
Man, the dude is unbeatable. But if you read and believed
15:48
everything that Jason Eck and New Mexico is spewing this week,
15:51
man, they are ready. That being said, I want no part
15:57
of this. I don't have a lean either, or
16:02
possibly under. I don't know how a Minnesota
16:06
game's got a total sitting close to 50, but that's even the
16:10
slightest of leans. But no opinion on side either
16:13
way here. I was leaning under myself, but
16:17
Pete, what are you thinking? I would lean under, but if I can
16:20
just have 30 seconds to just softly weep that PJ Fleck is not
16:23
going to be Michigan's next head coach, that's all I care about
16:26
in this game. I can give a shit about this
16:28
game. I just want PJ to just come to
16:31
Michigan, come home so I can spoon him for a little bit.
16:36
I'm not going to get to spoon PJ.
16:38
So I'm very unhappy about that. But yeah, I'm.
16:41
Unhappy with the visual of you spooning PJ?
16:43
I was going to say that visual is quite.
16:44
Disturbing. And by the way, before you get
16:48
too excited and you need time for yourself, the total is down
16:51
to 43 1/2, by the way. Yeah, that, that feels much
16:55
more. That's more like it.
16:57
Now I definitely am avoiding this game all again.
16:59
Because I would have definitely played that under on that 49 and
17:02
a half. 43 is getting more reasonable.
17:04
So yeah, I mean, yeah, I don't know.
17:06
I'd have nothing here other than that under and 49 1/2 be great.
17:09
43 1/2, no play here. So yeah, I'm out.
17:15
First Responders bowl our beloved UTSA Roadrunners take on
17:20
FIU. The opening line was UTSA -8 1/2
17:23
over under 57 1/2 game played in Dallas, TX.
17:28
The Roadrunners have two starting cornerbacks and two
17:30
defensive lineman are all in the transfer portal.
17:33
I'd imagine they're not playing. Some do enter the portal and
17:36
still play for some reason, but I think all four of these guys
17:39
are out. Peter, let's start with you.
17:43
I'm going to need a first responder after PJ doesn't come
17:45
to Michigan. But anyway, continuing forward
17:49
57 1/2 seems pretty steep to me right here.
17:52
I mean, I, you know, with people, not with, with just guys
17:55
not playing. I mean, I was leaning under in
17:58
this game. I mean, if everybody's playing,
18:00
I'd be leaning over. I think there's just two,
18:02
there's some key people not playing.
18:04
So I'd be leaning under. But this is another one of those
18:07
games that's really hard to read because of the people that are
18:09
not on the field. I mean, I don't know this, this
18:13
is a hard one to read for me. So I, I, I, I couldn't go
18:15
anywhere with this. So I, I punted.
18:17
So go ahead, Darren, you're up. Yeah, a ton of people out.
18:21
I believe the UTSA coach came out and said he's expected to be
18:24
down anywhere from 10 to 20 guys for this game.
18:29
FIU like 3 of their five starting secondary are already
18:33
out. Their quarterbacks dealing with
18:35
a groin injury. No idea on if he's going or not.
18:39
Owen McCown is supposed to play for UTSA and if Jenkins does
18:44
play for FIU with all the defensive losses, I would give
18:48
the overlook. It's actually up to 59 1/2.
18:52
I don't know if I would touch it if it gets to say like 61, but
18:57
if if Jenkins is a go, I mean, he's not the greatest
19:00
quarterback, but he's got experience with that offense, a
19:05
lean to the over just because there's so many starters on
19:09
defense on both sides of the ball that aren't going to be
19:11
there. You're you're talking backup
19:13
units pretty much. But again, until I know what's
19:17
going on with Jenkins, I would avoid this.
19:19
And the line doesn't even was it was 8 1/2 when when Tim got
19:22
this, it's down to 6 now. So a lot of FIU money coming in
19:27
on again total like I said, up to 59 1/2.
19:29
But you know, maybe it's down to 6, Maybe Jenkins is in.
19:34
I don't know. I haven't seen anything
19:35
confirming that or not. But if he plays, I would lean
19:37
over still even at 59 1/2. Peter oh, you did that.
19:43
I did it already. I'm done.
19:45
I need the first responder. All right, we're going to move
19:49
on to the Military Bowl to Annapolis, MD.
19:53
This is on the 27th at 11:00 AM. Early kickoff we got Pittsburgh
19:57
and East Carolina. Pittsburgh giving six with over
20:01
under a 59 1/2. Desmond Reed's opted out and the
20:05
all time series is tied at 2:00 and 2:00.
20:07
So Peter, now we'll go to you, Pittsburgh and East Carolina.
20:10
Yeah, We talked about these early starts not favoring
20:13
offense, right? They tend to favor defense.
20:15
That number's pretty high at 59 1/2.
20:17
I mean, you know, if this were a later in the afternoon game, I
20:20
might be leaning a little bit over, you know, I just, the pit
20:23
defense has been a little bit inconsistent later in the
20:26
season, so I'm kind of all over the place in this thing.
20:30
But then again, Pitt's offense, you know, when they're
20:32
pressured, which I think they will get pressured a bit here,
20:35
does tend to stall a little bit. So I am leaning under on this
20:40
just because of the time and the fact that I think the pit amp
20:44
offense is gonna get a little bit of pressure on them.
20:47
And I don't think they're gonna be able to move the ball the way
20:49
they think they're gonna be able to move the ball.
20:50
So I think they're gonna have some issues there with that.
20:53
I think that's gonna slow the game down a bit.
20:55
It's not gonna be a slow game, but I think it's gonna get
20:57
slowed down a bit enough to stay under that roughly 60 number.
21:01
So yeah, I'm leading on the under here, not playing it, but
21:05
I do think there's an opportunity here to play that,
21:07
to play that under. All right, Darren.
21:10
Yeah, this line's up to Pittsburgh by 10 and the total
21:12
is down to 55 1/2 if you're a DraftKings user.
21:16
I do kind of like Pitt here. I'm and you know, one of the
21:19
things that I do in bowl season because, you know, it's tough
21:21
enough to handicap these whenever you're losing a coach
21:24
or either or both coordinators, I tend to fade a little bit.
21:27
Now, granted, that doesn't always work.
21:29
I thought Utah State would have would have taken advantage of
21:31
Washington State losing all their coaches, except they
21:34
played like ass. It was funny that they were
21:35
wearing helmets with cow patches on them because they literally
21:38
played like cow manure. But you look at East Carolina,
21:42
both coordinators gone, quarterback Kate and Hauser is
21:45
out. I believe he is in the portal as
21:46
well. So you're losing the guys who
21:49
called the plays on both sides of the ball and your quarterback
21:51
probably explains why this line is up to 10.
21:53
I would still lead Pittsburgh here even with Desmond Reid out
21:55
all. Right, hold on, drop something
22:00
here. OK, we're going on to the bad
22:02
boy Mowers pin strike ball. The Yankee Stadium opening is
22:06
Penn State minus a point and a half over under at 48 1/2.
22:10
Lots of opt outs all over the place.
22:12
Kate Klubnick does expect to play.
22:14
I think they're going to have him play in this game.
22:17
Darren, where do you come down on this one?
22:20
Yeah, a ton of opt outs. Clemson losing a lot.
22:23
They've already had at least four players say they're going
22:25
to the draft. With that being said, I still
22:28
think they're going to win this game when the spread is 3.
22:31
I'm trying to get an update. It shifted.
22:32
It went to Clemson -3 1/2. I thought I was just pulling up.
22:35
OK, DraftKings got 3 and 48 1/2. No thoughts here on the total,
22:39
but I do kind of like Clemson here despite all their defensive
22:44
opt outs. I I kind of was not a club Nick
22:46
guy to start with, but I mean, if he's a go and like Tim said,
22:50
all, all reports seem to be that he's going to be going.
22:55
I like him a hell a lot better than what Penn State's got a QD.
22:58
So I'll as long as I say I I wouldn't feel comfortable.
23:01
Maybe like the 3 1/2, you know, maybe Penn State is like, oh,
23:05
hey, you know what, let's try and make something up this
23:06
season. Although the Pinstripe Bowl I'm
23:08
sure wasn't on their plans in August.
23:11
But yeah, as long as that stays three, I like Clemson here.
23:14
Not enough to bet it with, with all the defensive people going
23:17
to the NFL or at least declaring for the draft.
23:20
But yeah, as long as it stays three, I would lean Clemson
23:23
here. Peter yeah, I like that play
23:26
there. And I mean, so a total of 48
23:28
1/2. I mean, there are so many
23:30
skilled players out and full size of the ball.
23:33
Yeah. So I mean, I like Klubnick to
23:35
actually drag Clemson to a win here, sure, but this is going to
23:40
be a lower scoring game. This is going to be a snooze
23:42
fest. I don't think this thing is
23:44
going to be very exciting to watch because most of the talent
23:48
at the skill positions is not going to be on the field.
23:51
So this is a ripe opportunity to play the under here because it's
23:54
not going to be a high scoring game at all, I don't think.
23:58
I think it's going to be a snooze fest.
24:01
I think this is one of those opportunities where if you
24:03
wanted to play a little heavier on the under, this might be a
24:06
chance to play a little heavier on the under.
24:07
So I think that number at 48 1/2 is still a little inflated, you
24:12
know, for just for the vast number of players that are just
24:15
not playing here. So from my perspective, this is
24:19
a very ripe opportunity to play the under.
24:22
So I am playing one union. I'll be under 48 1/2.
24:25
That's my play. I was in that way myself, so,
24:30
and if we got a game at Yankee Stadium, we got to have one at
24:32
Fenway Park. So also have one at Fenway Park
24:35
on the 27th. 2:15 kickoff. Opening line is UConn -3 1/2
24:40
with the over under of 48 1/2. Got some opt outs for UConn as
24:45
predicted. No one's opting out for Army.
24:47
You stick to the very bitter end.
24:49
So we'll start with Aaron on this one.
24:51
Where are you coming down with this?
24:52
Well, thankfully, I can't bet on this game because Army being
24:55
based in New York here, but I think Army is favored by like 10
24:59
at this point. And P if you can verify that.
25:03
But I still like it if that's actually what it is.
25:05
Connecticut's got, I mean, Jim Mora, who by the way, did a
25:09
great job at UConn. Now he's going to try and
25:10
rebuild Colorado State. Good for him.
25:13
Quarterbacks out. The four of their running backs
25:15
are out. Three tight ends are out, three
25:16
offensive lineman are out. Like 3 starters on the defense
25:20
are out. I mean, if Army's favored by
25:21
anything less than 13 1/2, I would lay it with Army.
25:26
I don't know who the Hell's showing up for UConn here.
25:29
And you know, Army, they're always going to be motivated.
25:30
I don't know if UConn even cares to be here.
25:33
I'm surprised they didn't pull a Marshall from like last year.
25:35
But you know what? We just don't have enough
25:36
players. We're not going to go.
25:39
But yeah, Pete, whatever that spread is, as long as just 13
25:41
1/2 or less Army favored, I would be on the cadets here.
25:45
With Yeah, it went from Yukon -3 to army -8 and a.
25:51
Half, oh hell, all under 10. Send one of you guys money
25:55
before we're done here 'cause all it says under 10 who's got
25:58
PayPal? God damn.
26:01
You've got my PayPal and I've been my you've got all my stuff,
26:04
man, you. Might have heard from me before
26:06
kickoff. I love that bet.
26:09
Yeah. I mean, I mean, Army's going to
26:12
win this game period. Over under 40.
26:15
I mean, it's 48 1/2 on the slide.
26:17
I think it's what, 43 1/2 now or something.
26:20
It's it's down. I'm I what did I, what did I
26:24
get? I got, I got 43 1/2 when I
26:26
played it. I'm still the hunger on this
26:28
thing that Army's. Not scoring.
26:31
Because Uconn's not going to score.
26:33
They might score 3. Maybe they'll score a touchdown
26:35
somehow, so they might score 7. Army's going to run the ball all
26:39
day long, right? They're going to score, I don't
26:42
know, 24. It might be 24 to three or
26:45
something like that. They're going to win, they're
26:47
going to cover. They're going to be well under
26:50
this total. This is a beautiful place to
26:53
parlay those two things together.
26:54
We don't talk parlay's here, but if you wanted to magically under
26:59
lay those points with army, it's a beautiful thing because I
27:02
don't know what U Conn's going to do here at all.
27:05
But yeah, I am betting. Jeez, I really should go 2 units
27:09
on the under here. I'm going one unit on the under
27:12
of 43 1/2 on this game. All right, and now we're going
27:17
on to the bowl of all bowls, everybody's favorite, the Pop
27:19
Tarts Bowl in Orlando, 27330 kick off BYU -2 1/2 over under a
27:27
55 1/2 and they're playing Georgia Tech.
27:31
They're not playing Notre Dame, they're playing Georgia Tech.
27:34
Darren, do you want to start with you?
27:37
I believe BYU is up to 4 1/2 now.
27:40
And it is up to 4 1/2. Yeah, I, I, I really do kind of
27:44
like BYU here. I think the biggest loss for
27:47
Georgia Tech is going to be their offense coordinator
27:50
leaving. I believe he went to Florida.
27:53
Yeah, I mean, he he had that offense humming with Haines King
27:57
and the running back whose name is escaping me right now.
27:59
But no opt outs currently for for BYU.
28:03
Hey, yolks had mentioned when he when he brought up Notre Dame.
28:06
I mean, BYU is one of the handful teams that feels like
28:08
they should have been in the playoff.
28:10
And I got A and let's face it, the Pop Tarts Bowl is the
28:12
greatest non playoff bowl game of all time.
28:15
Yes, it is. As well, I don't know who does
28:18
the marketing, but give him or her a raise because that person
28:21
obviously is excellent at their job to make this game as popular
28:26
as it is. I do like BYU here.
28:29
I'm a little scared to death with the four and a half.
28:31
I would love to see 4 but you know I missed out on the number
28:34
here but I still think BYU rolls here.
28:38
Hi, Peter. Agreed, Yeah, I obviously I
28:41
usually play totals, but that total, I don't know what to do
28:43
with that total, honestly, because I don't know what
28:45
Georgia Tech is going to do. I love BYU in this game.
28:48
I would lay those. I would love to play those
28:50
points all day long. I think it's a great, I think
28:52
it's a great spot for them. I think it's a great match up
28:55
for them. Once again, this bowl is
28:57
awesome. I can't wait to see which pop
28:59
part pops out of there and who gets to eat the damn thing.
29:02
I cannot wait. I want that brown sugar one to
29:05
pop out there. That thing is the best pop tart
29:07
there is. I cannot wait so.
29:11
Guys obviously never had a smores pop tart in your life and
29:14
it shows you ever had one. I'm talking to cookie dough
29:18
s'mores, come on. Maple brown sugar is the way to
29:21
go to be. Fair, I haven't had a brown
29:23
sugar 1 so I can't really say but.
29:25
Alright, well, you got to. Try s'mores ones are excellent
29:27
life. Changing.
29:28
Wait. Well, BYU is going to be eating
29:29
that thing at the end. So anyway, yes, I love your
29:32
back. BYU all day.
29:33
I love it. But yeah, BYU is great.
29:34
I love it. OK, I got to play on this one
29:36
too. It comes down to, you know,
29:39
Hand's king in the offense. I think they can be a little bit
29:42
scary. But I think it comes down to,
29:44
like Darren touched on earlier, BYU, no one's opting out as far
29:50
as of now, as of, you know, Tuesday.
29:54
They like to shorten the game. I think they're going to win the
29:56
turnover battle. The turnover ratio is, I
29:58
believe, a + 9 in favor of BYU. If Georgia Tech can't force BYU
30:03
out of their game, I think they'll protect the lead.
30:06
I'm thinking it's going to come down to like a 3121 margin.
30:10
So I've got BYU laying the 4 1/2 against Georgia Tech and that's
30:16
3121. That's a good score.
30:18
I think that'd be wouldn't would mess with the with the under
30:23
there, but we're going to move on.
30:25
I wanted to bet on this one so bad this because it's a Snoop
30:27
Dogg Bowl, but Tucson, AZ on a 27th 430 kickoff.
30:32
Fresno State -3 1/2 over under 46 1/2.
30:37
Got some opt outs there from Miami for our Fresno State just
30:40
to safety. He's in the transfer portal.
30:43
I think we started with Darren. So Peter, we'll go with you on
30:45
this one. How do you like the Snoop Bowl?
30:48
Well, I mean, you got to look some Snoop Bowl.
30:50
I mean, you know, bring out the bong and everything's great.
30:52
I mean, it's a fantastic bowl at the end of the day.
30:54
I mean, it's a Snoop Bowl. He has a great bowl.
30:57
So anyway, should be very nice. Yeah.
31:00
So 46 1/2 with these teams, I mean, that feels about right,
31:06
which is why I didn't play it 'cause that feels pretty much
31:08
where this thing's going to land.
31:09
I think I do, I do kind of like Miami here in this game.
31:13
So I, you know, if I had to go, if I had to pick a side, I would
31:16
take the points in Miami. However, I tend to not play
31:20
those games. I tend to play totals.
31:21
That total feels about right. So I I didn't play it, but I
31:24
think it could be an interesting game.
31:26
I do like to watch Miami, Ohio play, so I may actually TuneIn
31:29
for this one. That's kind of kind of my jam.
31:31
So those are my thoughts on this one, Darren.
31:34
Yeah, I can't say any of these teams.
31:36
I can't figure out Fresno State for the life of me, so I stopped
31:39
trying. All I hope is I would love to
31:41
see Snoop go up to a concession stand and buy some fries from
31:45
Daquan Finn, who quit his program and hopefully will be
31:49
selling concessions in the Arizona Bowl because that's what
31:52
he deserves after seven years and quitting on multiple
31:55
programs. No opinion here.
31:57
The line's up to 5 1/2. Like Pete said, Miami can be
32:01
interesting, but their quarterback play since Daquan
32:04
quit has been, let's just say, subpar.
32:09
Not, not not good, Not good. I'm guessing for this whole
32:14
game, for the Snoop Bowl, the snack bar is going to be very
32:17
busy. Twinkies.
32:21
Well, you're. Assuming that like more than
32:23
like 2000 people are actually going to show up.
32:25
First of all because bowl games have not been very well
32:28
attended. This.
32:29
Year, the whole dog pound's going to be there.
32:31
It'd be great. What do you got to do?
32:33
I'm sure you've got a lot of things you can do in Arizona
32:35
besides go. To the passing out for example.
32:36
Is that going to be great? That's true.
32:40
Got North Texas, San Diego State and the New Mexico Bowl this
32:44
Saturday at 5:45 kickoff, opening line North Texas -6 1/2
32:48
with over under a 56 1/2. Got a couple, got a key one for
32:54
North Texas. Key opt out in the quarterback.
32:57
San Diego State's got a couple defenders in the transfer
33:00
portal. He started with Darren, I
33:03
believe last time. So, Pete, let's go back to you.
33:05
What are you thinking about this game?
33:07
Yeah, I wasn't sure the opt outs until now, right.
33:10
So with the North North Texas quarterback being out, that
33:12
number is too high. That 56 1/2 is too high.
33:16
If that 56 1/2 felt about right, if Drew was going to play, if
33:19
Drew's not playing, that's feels like an under to me.
33:23
I'd definitely be leaning the under because I would expect
33:26
Drew to be moving, you know, moving the ball and all and all
33:29
that. If he's not playing, I don't
33:31
know what's behind him. Actually, I have no idea what's
33:33
behind it, but it's not true. So yeah, that's going to be a
33:36
problem for North Texas. So yeah, I mean, I think that
33:39
suddenly became a potential playable under here unless that
33:43
numbers moved, right? I haven't looked at it.
33:45
So 56 1/2 when did he when did he opt out?
33:48
Is it? Has it been like recent recent?
33:50
I don't think he's opted out. He's definitely going to the
33:52
portal, but. He's in the portal, Yeah.
33:53
He didn't opt out. He's in the.
33:55
Portal playing, so he's been playing.
33:56
It's unclear. Last note I see is unclear.
33:58
If you yeah, that's what I'm saying.
34:00
North Texas. -3 1/2 now on Hard Rock Bet.
34:04
Yeah, right. So that would suggest they think
34:07
he's probably not going to play. I don't know.
34:09
Yeah, if he just. It's hard to bet this thing
34:11
because I would imagine if he's in a portal, we're not going to
34:14
play, which means the. Coach right isn't where's he
34:17
going? Where's the coach going?
34:18
I mean, the thought is he's going to Oklahoma State with his
34:21
head coach. But you know, like Pete said,
34:24
until you know what's going on with him, you know?
34:26
It's hard to. Do it.
34:28
The line movement, like Pete said, leads me to believe he's
34:30
not going to play and I don't see why he would.
34:32
I mean, if you're going to go to Oklahoma.
34:33
State, yeah, you don't want to get hurt.
34:35
Exactly. But I can't trust San Diego
34:38
State offensively either, so this would be an avoid for me at
34:42
all costs, Yeah. Or maybe just on a fly, just
34:46
play. Well, just an under.
34:47
I would assume he's not going to play, you know, I mean assumed.
34:50
Drew's not going to play in San Diego State.
34:51
We can't trust their offense and this is an under right.
34:54
Yeah, it's 53 1/2 now. So it's the it's come down a few
34:57
points as well. And again, that's probably mess
34:59
maker. Yeah, I'm sure.
35:01
All right. Next bowl on the 27th in my
35:04
backyard down here in Jacksonville, the Gator Bowl got
35:08
Missouri and Virginia. Missouri -7 with a opening line
35:12
of over under a 50 1/2. I've got 1 Virginia defender in
35:17
the transfer portal. Let me see if the line has moved
35:21
on this one. And I got -4 here, yeah, yeah, I
35:26
got 3 1/2 on hardware. So that's considerably there.
35:30
Dan, we'll start with you. What you got?
35:33
Again, this all comes down to what's Chandler Morris going to
35:36
do for Virginia. I mean, I'm not Hardy supposed
35:38
to play if that's the case, he's the best player on the field.
35:41
And that 3 1/2 at Hard Rock is enticing.
35:43
MC and four at DraftKings. But Virginia's defense is not
35:47
terrible at stopping the run. But then again, not too many
35:51
good run defenses have faced anything like I'm at Hardy
35:55
trivia like you got there. He's not playing.
35:57
That's their backup, I believe is Matt Zollers or Zolers or
36:00
something like that. He does not inspire confidence.
36:03
But as long as he can turn around and hand the ball off, I
36:07
think Missouri would cover here. But again, I think if Chandler
36:11
Morris decides he's not playing, I think you're going to see that
36:15
line tick back up closer to the opening line of seven, but lean
36:18
Missouri. But until I know what's going on
36:20
with Virginia's QB situation, I will stay away.
36:26
Peter. Yeah, more uncertainty leads,
36:29
leads me to believe under is the play again here.
36:32
Maybe I I don't know. It's just another one of these
36:36
games where it's just who the hell knows what's going on.
36:39
It's hard to bet these games when you just don't know who's
36:41
going to be on the field. I mean, these are like last
36:43
minute things. I don't know.
36:45
I mean, I, I tend to think the under is probably the play here.
36:49
I am not playing because I'm just, I'm just not sure.
36:51
But yeah, yeah, that's where I am.
36:55
I don't know. I'm uncertainty.
36:57
Yeah, I'm going to throw my phone over there because I just
37:00
made a pair. I bet while you guys were
37:02
talking, I took, I'm going to take Missouri.
37:04
It's only 3 1/2 now, so I'm going to put a unit on Missouri,
37:07
add that to my tally sheet, drive Darren crazy before the
37:10
end of the new year. So that's good.
37:12
We'll go with that. So.
37:13
Only one add on, so yeah, once once I get to do add-ons then I
37:17
lose my marbles. So as long as we're at one,
37:18
we're OK all. Right, so I can't do that for
37:20
this game. I threw my phone across the room
37:22
and now we've got, I think our final game for this episode.
37:26
They got a Texas Bowl this December 27th.
37:30
I do that Saturday, 9:15 in Houston.
37:33
Opening line is Houston -1 1/2 with over under a 45 1/2.
37:37
It has since moved to 2 1/2, at least on Hard Rock Bet LSU's got
37:42
a couple opt outs and a couple in the transfer portal starting
37:47
Center for Houston. He left the team, didn't see a
37:52
reason for that. It can't be good.
37:54
Peter, we'll start with you. Were you coming down on this
37:56
one? The fighting future Kippins,
37:59
Yes, All right. Well, very nice, yeah.
38:02
I mean, I don't like the total. That 45 1/2's a weird, weird ass
38:06
number to me with this game. I don't like that at all.
38:09
Now that's it. I kind of do like Houston laying
38:12
the 1 and I, I, I, I don't, I don't dislike that.
38:16
I think if I had to make a little move here, I think.
38:19
I would go. That direction I I think they're
38:21
gonna I think that Houston defense is gonna control LSU in
38:25
this game. I I can see yeah I could see
38:28
Houston taking control of this game keeping it close and and
38:32
winning this game. I I I could I could see that
38:34
playing out pretty nicely here. Said that total is gonna make a
38:37
lot of sense to me so I wouldn't touch that thing.
38:39
But I'm just curious what Darren has to say about this.
38:42
But I do. I am intrigued by Houston and
38:45
and that and that point and and that one on.
38:48
Half there. So you know, you know, I live
38:49
for some disagreements on this show, but I don't think I've
38:52
agreed with anything that you said outside of anything
38:55
involving the Hawaii rainbows any more than I agree here.
38:59
Houston is up to a 2 1/2 point favorite.
39:01
That total is down to 41 1/2. So I don't know if that changes
39:05
your thought on the total, but I mean, then this is like
39:09
Houston's playoff game. I mean, you get an SEC team
39:12
against a coach that most people can't stand in your home state.
39:17
I kind of think Houston's really going to be up for this game.
39:21
I mean, if if you're on LSU, I mean, you've got the new coach
39:25
hired now, so you could have left if you're staying.
39:28
Yeah. I don't know.
39:30
Do you have to prove anything to to Kevin at this point?
39:32
I mean, you're kind of on the roster going into next year.
39:36
I think the biggest thing with LSU is who's going to be there,
39:38
You know, who they going to buy in the in the portal coming up
39:41
in a couple weeks. But I think Houston is going to
39:44
be one of the most motivated teams this whole season and
39:48
getting it under 3 still. Pete, I, I agree with you 130%.
39:55
I did not bet it yet because again, we're still, you know,
39:59
four days away and a lot could change.
40:03
But yeah, Saturday night, 9/15. The short comes up on the
40:08
YouTube channel at 7:00. Don't be surprised, my ugly ass
40:11
is on there telling you to bet Houston 'cause I might be doing
40:14
the same thing. I love it.
40:16
I love that bet. All right.
40:19
Well, that went by pretty quick. Let's wrap it up.
40:23
Darren, what you got? I got UNLV laying 6 1/2 over
40:28
Ohio which will be kicking off probably as soon as this video
40:31
is uploading and I am riding with Pete.
40:34
I am taking the Hawaii Rainbows at home, laying a point and a
40:38
half now over the Cal Golden years.
40:42
OK, I've got BYU -4 1/2 over at Georgia Tech and I recently
40:47
added Missouri over Virginia -3 1/2 points, Peter.
40:52
Beautiful, Callum. I beloved Rainbows over 52 1/2 a
40:57
game where nobody's playing Penn State and Clemson under 48 1/2
41:01
and then Connecticut and Army. Who's going to run all over the
41:04
place under 43 and a? Half.
41:07
All right, that'll wrap it up. Thank you all for listening.
41:09
Please don't forget to like and subscribe to our channel.
41:12
Have a Merry Christmas, Happy Hanukkah, and we will see you
41:16
next week. We're a look ahead to the second
41:17
round of the playoffs and some more games, some more ball games
41:21
on New Year's. So thank you for listening and
41:23
we'll see you next week.