Latest / Three For The Money / NFL Week 8 Gambling Picks, Ghost Chris, Escaping the Horrors of Last Week
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- 0:28after a two -day free trial. Don't know well
- 1:11Chris isn't here and normally he answers all
- 1:13the baseball questions, but he was He's mysteriously
- 1:18disappeared Taken perhaps Maybe he's dead maybe
- 1:24And with Halloween right around in the corner.
- 1:27Hey, who knows? Probably ghost Yeah, he's he's
- 1:33gonna haunt. He's gonna haunt this episode. Yeah,
- 1:37he might as well have been haunting me last week
- 1:38because Last week was awful uh it was terrible
- 1:42college didn't go well um and also i went three
- 1:45and five on my picks um lost my surefire uh the
- 1:49panthers totally shit their pants and um i'm
- 1:53kind of glad last week is over uh when i tallied
- 1:57it up and i was three and five it felt a lot
- 2:00worse than three and five um i think because
- 2:04i i i think i took like a billion parlays last
- 2:08week and just throwing like half unit quarter
- 2:11unit on them just like throwing it at them seeing
- 2:15uh seeing what works but um that's a personal
- 2:18problem anyway shawn how are you um i i'm down
- 2:29pretty bad but let's see i went one two three
- 2:35four five six seven eight Went eight and three
- 2:45and like the picks I gave out But I think I got
- 2:48like wrapped up into into tight ends week like
- 2:51a little too much so I'm I am I am down like
- 2:58pretty bad, but tight ends tight end week It's
- 3:05not the holiday that we were promised It's gone.
- 3:09It's now it's gone. So yeah much like Chris George
- 3:16Kittle didn't even score on tight end week and
- 3:19that's his holiday yeah i feel like um i can't
- 3:26even i can't even name a titan that that scored
- 3:29if i'm gonna be real but that probably they probably
- 3:34did but uh i don't know i mean tucker craft scored
- 3:39there's one did harold fanden score no um darren
- 3:47waller scored i know that the only fucking player
- 3:52on the panthers that scored Mike Kasecki scored,
- 3:55Kyle Pitts scored, Trey McBride scored. So everyone
- 4:02I didn't choose. Yeah, but like George Kittle
- 4:07didn't score, Brock Bowers didn't score, Travis
- 4:10Kelsey didn't score. It was just a kind of a
- 4:15nightmare. Laporta didn't score, Likely didn't
- 4:21score. But it's in the past. as like down bad
- 4:32as I am, like I do kind of like the picks that
- 4:35I have for this week. I don't know about you.
- 4:38I do kind of like my picks. I am I, I feel like
- 4:43I'm doing a flip flop from last week. But we'll
- 4:48get into why that is the case there also ghost
- 4:51Chris sent us his pics from the beyond And so
- 4:56we we we do have his pics and a little bit of
- 4:59a of a description from from beyond the grave
- 5:04as well, so Well before we get into it Can I
- 5:10ask you a question? Before we get into like football
- 5:14since you know, the World Series is probably
- 5:17coming to an end before next week Let's pretend
- 5:22that we're baseball fans and we like baseball
- 5:25and our favorite team is in the World Series
- 5:28and we get to go and we catch a home run or like
- 5:34a foul ball or something but and This is like
- 5:40your favorite baseball team hit by like your
- 5:43favorite player in the World Series. And you
- 5:49catch the ball, but there is a child sitting,
- 5:57I don't know, down the row behind you, in front
- 6:00of you, whatever. You're not giving that ball
- 6:03to that child, are you? That's a tough one. I'm
- 6:13not, like... Yeah, that's... I'm probably not
- 6:19doing that. No. I'm, people are going to throw
- 6:23things at me, but it's, listen, if you're, I
- 6:29know, I mean, I know that the Brewers, I mean,
- 6:32historically have been not very good. If I'm,
- 6:36if I'm correct here, um, and to be in that position
- 6:42to catch a fly ball, being at the world series,
- 6:45like having a ticket to, to, to go and catching
- 6:49that ball. Um, I, I'm not. I'm not letting it
- 6:55go. That's that is a correct. That is the correct
- 6:59response. Yeah. I will, however, if it's like
- 7:04a if it's like a home run, I will keep it. But
- 7:08I will I will also wait for the Brewers. In this
- 7:13scenario, I'm a Brewers fan to be to be contacted
- 7:16by the Brewers and them offer me a large sum
- 7:20of cash for for that ball. And depending on how
- 7:24large that sum is, might be letting go of the
- 7:27ball. Right. That's fair. Listen, if you don't
- 7:32if you don't at least entertain an offer, you
- 7:34don't care about your family. Yeah. My thing
- 7:38is, is like, I'm not gonna give it to a like,
- 7:43three year old that doesn't even know what fucking
- 7:45day it is. No, you know, like, I do not care
- 7:48if like their parents are like, berating me.
- 7:52It's like, sorry i'm 32 years old i've liked
- 7:55this team for probably 32 years not letting it
- 8:01go i've waited this day my entire life yeah this
- 8:05kid doesn't even know what the color green is
- 8:08yeah did this happen there i mean i think it
- 8:12happened in like the i don't know if it like
- 8:14for real happened i saw it on instagram so i
- 8:18i have no idea but like i think it happened in
- 8:22like the one of the dodger series We're like
- 8:26this guy like refused to give it up and there
- 8:30was a kid sitting like three rows away or something
- 8:34something crazy We're like the whole section
- 8:36like kind of turned on him But you go to the
- 8:40comments and it's just like yeah, this this this
- 8:43man was correct Did I did I catch it? Did it
- 8:49did it bobble to me? No, you you caught it like
- 8:55straight up boom. Yeah If it's a regular season
- 9:00game, I will give that kid 20 balls. I will give
- 9:06that kid as many balls as he wants. World Series,
- 9:10different. That's like taking a puck at the Stanley
- 9:17Cup final that flies out of play. I'm keeping
- 9:22that puck. That's like if you're at the Super
- 9:24Bowl and your team is playing and you're in the
- 9:26end zone. they kick an extra point and it goes
- 9:30over the net which I don't know if that's ever
- 9:32really been done but and it goes right to you
- 9:38that's I mean come on yeah that's uh and I mean
- 9:45especially if like I caught it I probably broke
- 9:48my hand well let's just say you brought a glove
- 9:53like just because you were sitting in like the
- 9:55foul ball section listen bringing a glove as
- 10:01a grown man to an MLB park is not a good look.
- 10:11Yeah. Just throw that out there. It's also not
- 10:13like, you remember that like impractical jokers
- 10:16like punishment where, is it Joe? Was it Joe?
- 10:22I think it was Joe. Yeah, that had to get all
- 10:25those balls from the players and all those kids
- 10:27were just waiting. That's different. Would I
- 10:34feel bad? Yeah, I probably would but That's my
- 10:41ball. I'm keeping it. Yeah, I'll feel very guilty
- 10:45for like maybe a week and then after that I might
- 10:51have to leave, you know the game early or like
- 10:54watch it from somewhere else in the park, but
- 10:58Thames the breaks. Yeah, you know that is something
- 11:01that I Well, welcome. Yeah, I guess Yeah, I don't
- 11:07know I just wanted to get your opinion before
- 11:11we got into something because I was like No,
- 11:15that's stupid. Mm -hmm. Yeah, I'd like to hear
- 11:19ghost Chris's opinion, but he didn't He didn't
- 11:22send that message from beyond so Currently don't
- 11:26have we left our we left our Ouija board Now
- 11:30it's in the shop. Yeah ghost ghost Chris has
- 11:34taken a nap. So he's unable to communicate anyway
- 11:39Let's get on to the NFL week eight. So Week seven
- 11:44is gone. Now we're on to week eight first game
- 11:46We are talking about today is the Browns versus
- 11:49the Steelers AFC North divisional matchup Steelers
- 11:52favored by three points over under is thirty
- 11:55nine and a half I think that is appropriate that
- 11:57we start with this game to first formally apologize
- 12:01I did not know that here in America It is this
- 12:08this coming weekend is the is the time change.
- 12:12However, the time change was last week in France,
- 12:17which really makes no sense to me why a different
- 12:21right? I wouldn't everyone on the planet go to
- 12:25this specific time. Whereas France is now an
- 12:29extra hour ahead. I don't know. That baffles
- 12:33me. However, I still probably would have ended
- 12:38up betting the Saints even with the knowledge
- 12:43that This time change is is not Is not for for
- 12:51it's not for last week. It's for this week. So
- 12:54because Aaron Rodgers Daylight savings time.
- 12:58I guess it doesn't travel. Hey you live and you
- 13:01learn anyway That being said I'm taking the Browns
- 13:05plus three plus three and a half wherever your
- 13:08book has it. Because it is daylight savings time
- 13:12this weekend. And so the trend definitely 100
- 13:17% applies here. Do I have the numbers? No. But
- 13:23the Steelers coming back from Paris or France
- 13:26or wherever they played and not Off of a bye,
- 13:32they're gonna be hella jet -lagged. It's not
- 13:34gonna be a good time the Browns Might be a good
- 13:37team. I don't know Who's to say they keep staying
- 13:41in these games and they keep winning them and
- 13:43now they're first in their division So, I don't
- 13:45know. I don't know what to what to really say
- 13:48about that But I'm taking the Browns plus three.
- 13:51They've been keeping these games pretty close
- 13:53and their defense It's still pretty good. I mean,
- 13:56Tony Pollard diced him up, but like, that's really
- 13:58all we could do last week from the Titans. So
- 14:01I like the Browns. Sean, what do you think? Well,
- 14:06I'm going to read Chris's pick. Okay. Well, I
- 14:10was going to read Ghost Chris's pick after yours,
- 14:12but we can do whatever. Well, mine kind of goes
- 14:17into Ghost Chris's pick. So Ghost Chris is also
- 14:22on Browns plus three and a half. He says, keep
- 14:25fading teams coming back from Europe without
- 14:28a bye. Texans lost outright last week as 10 point
- 14:31favorites. Trends Center, road divisional dogs
- 14:35of less than seven and a half who won last game
- 14:38versus teams who also won last game are 50, 21
- 14:43and four against the spread since 2014. Seven,
- 14:47two and one in the last 10. Sorry, Ghost Chris
- 14:52and Will, I'm gonna fade you. Know that it's
- 14:57daylight savings time. We're getting to the dark
- 14:59ages, but an excellent stats all around but I'm
- 15:04gonna go with another one QB revenge is the name
- 15:08of the game and Aaron Rodgers is good No matter
- 15:12where he is in his career coming off the road
- 15:15coming back from the moon doesn't matter He is
- 15:1830 25 and 1 against the spread and a QB revenge
- 15:22game is a starter With the Steelers, he is five
- 15:28and two against the spread. Also have to bring
- 15:32this one up. Teams with 12 plus days of rest
- 15:36on deck. Steelers have a bye next week. Facing
- 15:41a team not in that spot are 56 % straight up
- 15:46and against the spread. Since the start of last
- 15:49year, they are 22, 15 and one straight up. 22
- 15:55and 16 against the spread. I don't love Steelers
- 15:58minus three and a half, but I'm gonna take it
- 16:01because I Don't know I I do like those stats
- 16:07over. I do like the revenge aspect of it Yeah,
- 16:10but they're not like, you know, like the the
- 16:1270s or 80s that I really like but so what they're
- 16:16like QB revenge Well, they QB will Aaron Rodgers
- 16:21and the Browns have played already this year
- 16:25And Aaron Rodgers and the Steelers lost to the
- 16:28Browns. Oh, okay. Because you made it sound like
- 16:34this the trend was from when they get back from
- 16:37somewhere and they get back home. Oh, no, I apologize
- 16:41for that. But like it's it's literally just like
- 16:45when Aaron Rodgers loses to a team to start off
- 16:49the season in his second game, he comes back
- 16:52stronger. Okay. Okay. So some sort of Hydra bit
- 17:00of a Hydra situation. Yes Chop one head off two
- 17:04more grow in its place. Yes kind of situation.
- 17:07Yeah, two more doobies for Aaron Rodgers All
- 17:14right, there it is, so me and Chris are on the
- 17:17Browns Sean's on the Steelers next game Another
- 17:22divisional matchup Vikings at the Lions Lions
- 17:26favored by three and a half points over under
- 17:28is 46 and a half I'm gonna let you take the lead
- 17:34on this one, Sean. What do you think about this
- 17:37game? Well, I just want to kind of start out
- 17:40by saying what an absolute travesty that last
- 17:43Lions game was that over was dead from the get
- 17:46-go. The game should have rocked, but it didn't.
- 17:50Pretty lackluster. We didn't deserve that. Anyways,
- 17:55stats. Next week, the Lions will travel to Miami.
- 18:01to face the Dolphins. Teams with the road game
- 18:04to Miami on deck are just 15 and 28 against the
- 18:10spread over the last five seasons, including
- 18:16four and 16 against the spread in the last 20
- 18:20games in this spot. But Jared Goff versus Kyler
- 18:28Murray. Kyler Murray has never won straight up
- 18:35or against the spread. in those five games versus
- 18:39Jared Goff. But Kyler Murray is absolute hot
- 18:48fucking garbage in his division in the first
- 18:53half. That's right, going to another first half
- 18:57bet right out of the gate. Kyler Murray is just
- 19:02five and 22 against the first half spread in
- 19:06divisional games. So. I will be going with the
- 19:10Detroit football Lions minus one and a half first
- 19:14half Will you look confused? No, there was just
- 19:19so much suspense there Yeah, and the stats were
- 19:23quite differing Those they are they are they
- 19:27are differing but it was to show that like While
- 19:31the Lions may not finish the game Completely,
- 19:35you know with Miami on deck. It does show that
- 19:39Kyler Murray is bad in division, in division
- 19:46and against Jared Goff. So, we just take the
- 19:51Lions on the front half, not on the latter half.
- 19:57Lions minus one and a half, first half. Okay.
- 20:01There it is. A ton of suspense there. Yes, it
- 20:04does make sense. I will say though, Kyla Murray
- 20:08is undefeated this season. I don't know if you...
- 20:11Great. Yeah, that that's only like three games,
- 20:16but that's full game. He's he's still hot garbage
- 20:20in the first half. There it is. OK, well, I I
- 20:28I kind of think the Vikings role here. I think
- 20:31I think they put Jared Goff in a in a spin cycle.
- 20:36This defense they got going on is is crazy. However,
- 20:41I do think that the over is still on the table
- 20:48But I but also like any game the Vikings play
- 20:51the under is definitely on the table I think
- 20:55this will be a test for the Vikings I mean, I
- 20:59guess I could have looked up who they've played
- 21:01this season but Dude like I did this Vikings
- 21:07defense is just it's just too good And it's too
- 21:11good for me to decide on a total so I'm rolling
- 21:14with the Vikings. I'm taking the the divisional
- 21:16dog Three and a half plus three and a half right
- 21:19there. I like it. I think I think they do keep
- 21:22it close either way Yeah, and the lines defense
- 21:29is totally ass This is like an unstoppable force
- 21:33meets in a movable object. So we don't see what
- 21:36happens But yeah ghost Chris His pick is Lions
- 21:42Vikings over 46 and a half not fazed by last
- 21:46week's Lions under game had plenty of chances
- 21:50to go over but multiple miss field goals and
- 21:52turnovers scores It's fuck. I carry. Yes period
- 21:57scores in this matchup are high even with Flores
- 22:01defense averaging 48 points per game since 2023
- 22:07So there it is. He likes the over I do think
- 22:12the Lions keep it close, but I really think it
- 22:16could go either way on this this over under here.
- 22:18This Vikings defense was nothing like last year's,
- 22:21at least to my knowledge. I don't know. It's
- 22:26been a long time. Anyway, next game Ravens at
- 22:30the Bills Bills home favorites by three and a
- 22:34half points over under is 54 and a half. Ghost
- 22:39Chris is going to go first on this this this
- 22:42pick here so his pick Ravens plus three and a
- 22:45half looking like Lamar will play Ravens desperately
- 22:49need this game buffalo defense bad allowed 29
- 22:54plus points in five of six games not a lot of
- 22:59uh not a lot of words a lot of incomplete sentences
- 23:03here it's not grammatically correct but yeah
- 23:07i think i think it i think we get the point He's
- 23:11taking the Ravens plus three and a half. Yes,
- 23:14Ghost Chris is taking the Ravens plus three and
- 23:16a half. They don't have very many, they don't
- 23:19have very many words to choose from in the beyond.
- 23:22So, but they do, they can gamble in the beyond
- 23:25as we've learned today. So that's, that's Christa's
- 23:29pick. I will go next. So when I look at this
- 23:33matchup, you know, is Lamar coming back? I don't
- 23:37know. Are the Bills kind of a freight train from
- 23:41hell on offense? Yes. Does their defense suck?
- 23:44Yes. What has been a constant between both of
- 23:49these teams? And it is the fact that the Ravens
- 23:54cannot, they cannot close out a game. And so
- 23:58for that reason, I'm taking Bills second half
- 24:02spread minus one and a half. Do the Ravens blow
- 24:07a lead or do they just are they just not in a
- 24:10game? I don't know. I don't think I think the
- 24:13Bills can definitely outscore the Ravens. Especially
- 24:17if Lamar is not at 100 % even if he does play
- 24:21if Snoop Huntley plays. I love this pick be even
- 24:25more. Give me bills second half minus one and
- 24:28a half. Sean, what do you think? I took a single
- 24:33glance at this game and I thought. Over. Over
- 24:3854 and a half. Like Ghost Chris said, Bill's
- 24:42defense sucks. Lamar is probably back. We're
- 24:46looking at a classic noon shootout against Josh
- 24:49Allen and Lamar Jackson. This may not need stats,
- 24:53but I'm gonna give you one anyways, because that's
- 24:56just who I am as a person. The Ravens are 13
- 25:01and two to the over. Off a loss. over the past
- 25:07three seasons, going over the total by three
- 25:10and a half points. I mean, I think Lamar's got
- 25:16to play this game. I mean, they're going to be
- 25:20dead in the water if he doesn't. Yeah, they're
- 25:22kind of on a free fall right now. Yeah. So, Lamar's
- 25:28got to get it together and just, I mean, we're
- 25:32not talking like Jalen Hurts level of like, hey,
- 25:35just go out and play, you'll be fine. But but
- 25:39like he's gotta Gotta show up and your life definitely
- 25:44isn't in danger Just yeah, just go out there
- 25:47play against the Jacksonville Jaguars And there's
- 25:50always that like one weird Ravens noon game where
- 25:56they just go ape shit for no reason You know
- 26:01what I'm talking about? Think so like I remember
- 26:05like a couple years ago. I think the Ravens were
- 26:07playing the Dolphins I think that total ended
- 26:08like 80 Was that was that the game that Oh, oh,
- 26:15I remember what you're talking about. I was thinking
- 26:18of a different game. It was like the game two
- 26:19years ago where Devon a Chan Had like yeah, he
- 26:24went ape shit. He had like 300 yards and like
- 26:27five touchdowns or something. Yeah. Yeah Yeah,
- 26:30but like I'm not saying that like the Ravens
- 26:34are gonna let him do it But like there's always
- 26:36that it Ravens were keeping up to if I recall,
- 26:40yeah So I think I think they lost by 30 but for
- 26:45a while there, I think the scoring did like 30
- 26:48to 50 something if I'm not mistaken But yeah,
- 26:55well, there's that Computer look that's what?
- 27:00Computer show me this guy's balls, please Okay,
- 27:05Sean pulls that up. I'm gonna know it was Miami
- 27:08Dolphins 19 Baltimore Ravens 56. Oh It was New
- 27:16Year's Eve, 2023. Wow. Wow. I remember being
- 27:22at the Yates' house for some reason. I think
- 27:26we were watching football. Well, yeah, but like,
- 27:30no, this is the game I'm thinking of. It was
- 27:34September 18th, 2022, Miami Dolphins 42, Baltimore
- 27:39Ravens 38. Yeah. Yeah, that was the game. That's
- 27:44the game I'm thinking of. Feel like the Ravens
- 27:49are always good for like a weird like shootout
- 27:53at noon So but this is not like a weird one I
- 28:01think this one should go over because these are
- 28:05that this Ravens team should be good But they've
- 28:09just been without their starting quarterback
- 28:11Yes Since the Titans took him out Yes, since
- 28:16the Titans took him out and also the Bills offenses
- 28:20Electric. Electric unstoppable. Yeah. Okay. Moving
- 28:26on from Ravens Bills. Next game is Chiefs at
- 28:29the Broncos. Another divisional matchup. Broncos
- 28:32home dogs by one and a half points. Over under
- 28:35is 40 and a half. I will go first on this one.
- 28:41I gotta take the home divisional dog in this
- 28:44one. I think the Broncos are slowly kind of putting
- 28:47it together on all three phases of the game right
- 28:50now. Their defense is obviously very good. As
- 28:55well, the Chiefs, it feels like whenever they
- 28:58play a good team, they shit their pants. They
- 29:01look great when they destroy the Raiders and
- 29:06a couple other teams. But when they start playing
- 29:09good teams, it's not working out the same. So
- 29:13I'm taking Broncos plus one and a half here.
- 29:16I don't have any fancy stats. Broncos are got
- 29:19a good defense. I think they can contain the
- 29:21Chiefs and Bo Nicks. Hopefully he can put it
- 29:26together and more than just the second half.
- 29:29But Sean, what do you think? Well, I'm going
- 29:32to read Ghost Chris's thing first. He is going
- 29:35with Chiefs Broncos first half under 20 and a
- 29:39half. Broncos first half unders have been an
- 29:42absolute cash cow. Kansas City offense better
- 29:46in first half but against an easy schedule. I'm
- 29:51going to piggyback off that because I'm taking
- 29:53the exact same thing. Just like Ghost Chris said,
- 29:55these are absolute money and I will be playing
- 29:59them until the wheels fall off. Where all else
- 30:01fails, Broncos first half unders are pretty much
- 30:04like death in taxes. They're, what's the word,
- 30:11inevitable. Automatic word automatic. Yeah tremendous
- 30:17the I mean Stupendous, I think I think we've
- 30:23taken these like the past like two or three weeks
- 30:25and they've hit with ease every single time so
- 30:32Just saying Okay, it's gonna be a quick. It's
- 30:36a quick one. But okay. Yeah That's all right.
- 30:41All right next game Eagles at the commanders
- 30:44another divisional matchup. Honestly, the rest
- 30:49of this late not that great. But anyway, commanders
- 30:53home favorites by five and a half points over
- 30:56under is 40 and a half. The Eagles lost to the
- 31:00Cowboys on Monday night football. The Eagles
- 31:02had to start Tanner McKee didn't look too bad.
- 31:09I mean, they just couldn't stop the Cowboys offense,
- 31:12which Honestly is kind of hit or miss these days
- 31:16But Eagles beat up bad. They are they're they're
- 31:21not They're going through it right now obviously
- 31:27So Actually Sean you go first okay well if you
- 31:37will and Ghost Chris if he can hear us from beyond
- 31:41the grave I made a trend from our friends at
- 31:45the Trends Center called NFC Eastovers. Week
- 31:51two, I think. Since 2021 or 2020, it is 44 -31
- 32:00-2 all time, but it has hit in the last 10, including
- 32:05every single NFC game so far this season. So,
- 32:12we're going back to my own curiosity. and we're
- 32:14just riding it till it loses. Give me the Eagles,
- 32:17Manders over 40 and a half. There it is. I'm
- 32:23on the same exact thing. The commanders, I mean,
- 32:26they're a little beat up too. Obviously, they
- 32:29lost scary Terry, but Dave Daniels is still really
- 32:35good. He's still a really good quarterback. Made
- 32:38some made made made a little bit of fuck ups
- 32:41this year, but that's OK. Their defense, not
- 32:44that good. Eagles if Saquon is healthy They can
- 32:51absolutely run the ball down the throats That
- 32:54is there's no question that that is a possibility
- 32:57I don't think the commander's defense is quite
- 33:00as bad as the Cowboys defense but the Cowboys
- 33:04handed handled them with ease I would say anyway
- 33:09I like the over over 40 and a half and ghost
- 33:12Chris his pick commanders minus four and a half
- 33:16Philly in freefall looked like they gave up in
- 33:19fourth quarter last night Wash Washington has
- 33:23rest advantage teams with rest advantage are
- 33:2622 8 and 1 against the spread this season and
- 33:2912 and 3 Against the spread at home. So there
- 33:34you have it Chris on the commanders and we're
- 33:36on the over alrighty It's time for everyone's
- 33:40favorite segment the guaranteed not to lose double
- 33:44surefire plays of the week Sean You you should
- 33:51go first Or maybe okay, maybe I should do ghost
- 33:55Chris's first. Yeah, let's do ghost Chris's All
- 33:58right ghost Chris his surefire pick double unit
- 34:01guaranteed not to lose play of the week is the
- 34:04Jags minus seven and a half Jags dominate indie
- 34:08at home 11 straight wins in Duval versus the
- 34:12Colts average margin of victory is 15 points
- 34:17He has a trend center stat teams who did not
- 34:21cover Previous games are 28 13 and 3 against
- 34:27the spread 8 straight Versus teams who did cover
- 34:32previous game this season. So there you have
- 34:35it I'm probably gonna add that to my card I'm
- 34:39just gonna write it down actually. Yeah But I
- 34:43do want to say that Ghost Chris before he passed
- 34:47away Didn't see the news Didn't see the news
- 34:52that the cults traded Quentin Nelson and DeForest
- 34:58Buckner today So that line has already moved
- 35:02to eight and a half. Yes But the cults are such
- 35:09ass now like and but if you get on it soon they
- 35:15might trade Jonathan Taylor so I think that get
- 35:19on it if you get on it right now when you're
- 35:24hearing this two days from when we're saying
- 35:25it yeah I'm mainly talking to you like yeah I
- 35:33got you yeah I uh I was gonna mention that they
- 35:37uh they've been tearing it down and like honestly
- 35:41good for them fuck them fuck them Yeah, yeah,
- 35:45also fuck them, but fuck them. They know who
- 35:51they are. They fired their GM. And, and yeah,
- 35:56so there it is. Sean, what is your double unit
- 36:00guaranteed? Surefire. dot to lose play the week.
- 36:05It is the Jets money line. Oh shit. That felt
- 36:11disgusting. I'm gonna need an explanation. But
- 36:17I will say I'm gonna need a good one. Yeah. The
- 36:22Raiders, they're playing the Raiders, got smoked
- 36:28by the Pats earlier this year and road trips
- 36:33out east have not been kind to the Raiders. They
- 36:38are just 10 and 24 straight up over the last
- 36:42decade out east in eastern standard time. Also,
- 36:50road teams Having to cross two or more time zones
- 36:55are six in 13 against the spread through week
- 37:00seven this season. Worst mark since 2006. Finally,
- 37:10from our friends at the Trend Center, a trend
- 37:13with six conditions, which are the opponent's
- 37:17losing streak is at least four at the time of
- 37:20the game. Raiders started three and oh, they're
- 37:23now three and four. Lost four in a row. The team
- 37:27lost their previous game, the Jets, to the Dolphins.
- 37:31The team was a favorite to win. The Jets were
- 37:34a favorite to beat the Dolphins. The team is
- 37:38playing an opponent in the same conference, the
- 37:40AFC. The over under is set at 50 and a half or
- 37:45below. The team spread is at least above one.
- 37:5329 and one, all time. 17 straight wins. Give
- 38:03me the Jets Wow on the money line Wow That is
- 38:09a good explanation I was thinking about taking
- 38:11the Raiders because I mean the Raiders are still
- 38:13kind of in it a lot of the Jets Fans right now
- 38:16the the common consensus is the season is over
- 38:18And yeah, I do think the Raiders can They've
- 38:25been able to kind of stay in games there the
- 38:27defense does them no favors But but also like
- 38:30Kirk Cousins throws the balls away kind of pretty
- 38:33frequently but But yeah, there's that. I like
- 38:39it. I'm going to parlay that right after the
- 38:42show. All right. Well, how much because like
- 38:47if you would have told me this parlay so far,
- 38:51at least like three years ago. So we got the
- 38:54Jags minus seven and a half and the Jets money
- 38:59line. How more disgusting can this parlay get?
- 39:05How well. Cuz I don't know we need your we need
- 39:10yours. I mean, I really like my picture I don't
- 39:13think it's too disgusting. It's but like if you
- 39:16if you think about it like four years ago four
- 39:18or five years ago Would this pick be disgusting?
- 39:24Yeah It'd be a little disgusting. Okay Okay,
- 39:30it is a game that we have already discussed it
- 39:33is not a pick That I have already discussed i'm
- 39:36double dipping on chiefs broncos i'm doing chiefs
- 39:40broncos under 40 and a half chiefs, uh brought
- 39:43to you by our friends at the trend center. Uh,
- 39:46I have a trend center pick that uh Has been i'm
- 39:50pretty sure we've said it before. Um, but uh,
- 39:53this is titled chiefs play under after away games
- 39:58And this trend is 162 117 and five Eight and
- 40:05two in the last ten and this is just after the
- 40:08Chiefs play an away game the under for the next
- 40:12game is 162 117 and five I love it this I guess
- 40:18like four or five years ago would be in that
- 40:20kind of range where like Patrick Mahomes is a
- 40:23god and why would you take an under? kind of
- 40:26in that realm, so it's You know, it kind of it
- 40:29kind of fits the the mold there of Did the past
- 40:33being disgusting? I don't know. What do you think?
- 40:37I mean, are you disappointed? No, I'm not disappointed.
- 40:44All right. I'm trying to think of like, three
- 40:48or four years ago, I feel like the Chiefs would
- 40:50have just probably hit that over themselves.
- 40:53Right. And also the Broncos were ass. With Russ?
- 41:00Yeah. Oh, yeah, that was terrible. Yeah. I was
- 41:07looking through like my old TikTok repost today,
- 41:11you know for a good laugh because I'm hilarious
- 41:13right and The the one tick -tock I made for the
- 41:20three for the money account. There's like Rocco's
- 41:25country. Let's ride like it's like that drunk
- 41:28driving commercial With the we channel music
- 41:39It didn't get taken down. It had like 44 and
- 41:44a half thousand likes. That's how crazy that
- 41:50thing was. No, I think it got taken down, dude,
- 41:54because I remember looking at it. No, it's still
- 41:56on my TikTok. Did you watch it? No, it had the,
- 41:59yeah, I watched it the day. Yeah. Okay. The only
- 42:03thing it had like the, do you want to skip this
- 42:07video because it's got like the... Oh, yeah,
- 42:10it has like, questionable, questionable content.
- 42:14Yeah. It didn't get taken down. But it was just
- 42:17like, hey, this might not be like, suitable for
- 42:21children. It was hilarious. Yeah, that's okay.
- 42:26That's what I remember. All right. Well, there
- 42:29it is. She sprung goes under Jags minus seven
- 42:32and a half, probably like eight and a half now.
- 42:34But you could take an old line. And then jets
- 42:37money line. There it is. Okay. I don't see that
- 42:41losing at all because we hit it. Jets are favorite
- 42:46to win. Jets are favorite to win. Jags are also
- 42:50favorite to win. The Colts are in shambles. The
- 42:53Broncos cannot figure it out on offense. And
- 42:58the Chiefs, whenever they play a good team. There
- 43:01it is. When the Chiefs play a good team, they
- 43:04kind of shit their pants a little bit. Well.
- 43:08I mean, I guess they've I guess they've only
- 43:09played one good team this year so far. So there
- 43:13it is. All right. So now we're on to the extra
- 43:17plays. I do not have any I'm probably going to
- 43:19end up taking the Jags spread whatever it is
- 43:23because culture and freefall. And they're blowing
- 43:27it up. And also the trend like the Jags just
- 43:30at home dominate the the Colts. So there it is.
- 43:33I'll probably take it up taking that. I'll give
- 43:36out Chris's Chris's extra plays here. So He has
- 43:40two First one Raiders Jets under 45 and a half
- 43:44New York offense is abysmal Garrett Wilson screaming
- 43:48at Gino on sidelines Las Vegas offense scored
- 43:52a lot of garbage time points last two weeks Las
- 43:56Vegas played outside just once this season scored
- 43:5917 points versus New England There it is Then
- 44:04the second one is a Dolphins plus seven and a
- 44:06half Will be pumping after the first will be
- 44:10pumped after the first win Jesus will New England
- 44:14is just 5 and 10 straight up in the last 15 at
- 44:19Miami Have not won by more than a touchdown since
- 44:22Brady was QB 2019 there you have it Where is
- 44:29it is it in Miami? No, it's it's at Miami. I
- 44:32mean, it's a home divisional dog. I don't hate
- 44:34it Not going to take it. Staying away. But anyway,
- 44:38Sean, do you have any extra plays? I do not,
- 44:42other than probably Jags minus eight and a half,
- 44:4611 and a half, 14 and a half, whatever it ends
- 44:50up being. OK. Well, there it is. OK. Well, what
- 44:55else is going on here? So check the Twitter.
- 44:59Obviously check the Twitter for all the updated
- 45:02picks. Yeah. Let's see what happens. So today
- 45:09as we're recording this they have traded Quentin
- 45:11Nelson and DeForest Buckner from the Colts Good
- 45:16see ya. See ya welcome both of them out of our
- 45:21division out of the conference and Yeah, that's
- 45:29like honestly like with Seattle not Seattle with
- 45:35the with San Francisco getting DeForest Buckner.
- 45:38I'm like damn That's a good dangerous. That's
- 45:43dangerous, bro. No, that's that's Quentin Nelson.
- 45:46No, Quentin Nelson went to Xerox. You said Seattle.
- 45:51Yeah, then I said I meant San Francisco. Oh,
- 45:54I see. I bet. Well, I think both are pretty dangerous.
- 45:59Yes, I both both went to teams that needed those
- 46:04positions. Right. And it's like, man, I like
- 46:12honestly, like, The Niners shit their pants last
- 46:16week against the Falcons but honestly like when
- 46:20you look at what the Falcons have done this season
- 46:23like They're they're star players on offense
- 46:27if they get going it's You're done. Like if Bijon
- 46:33gets rolling. It's you're you're done and like
- 46:38if like if anyone but Michael Pennex is the QB
- 46:42in Atlanta Atlanta's done. The Falcons are done.
- 46:48Yeah, but like Michael Pettix like He's funny.
- 46:51I mean they they drafted him when he was 25 He's
- 46:55fucking 30 probably. I don't know. That was a
- 46:57that was a joke, but It their defense not very
- 47:03good But like they stay in these games though
- 47:07I was really thinking about taking the under
- 47:09in the Bucks Falcons game because I did see a
- 47:12stat however The Bucs coming off that big win
- 47:17against the Panthers and the Bake Show being
- 47:21back. And Miyabuka is not back, but the Bucs
- 47:28offense might be back. I don't know. I might
- 47:32take the Falcons, plus two. Dude, I don't know.
- 47:37It's such an important game in that division.
- 47:41It's a very important game. Because the Bucs
- 47:44have only won two games. but one of them was
- 47:47a divisional game and like the Panthers have
- 47:50only won three games I think and so like everyone's
- 47:55still kind of like even on uh where they stand
- 48:00in the division so it's like well it's a tale
- 48:03as old as time the NFC south fucking sucks yeah
- 48:08like just all around like that division is just
- 48:10terrible yeah it is terrible um Man, I was really
- 48:17really bummed that the Panthers did not beat
- 48:20the Bucks. I was really bummed Yeah They got
- 48:31destroyed they got But fucked man. I was super
- 48:39sad. I was like man. I really wanted to win another
- 48:42surefire bet anyway But anyway, there's that
- 48:54They don't have too much else This is probably
- 48:57where I would lean on Chris and say They give
- 49:00us a baseball update because I think the Brewers
- 49:02are up three nothing in the series if I do I
- 49:06Do I say so myself? Also, the sports equinox
- 49:10was yesterday Yeah, I don't think I don't think
- 49:16anyone won their sports equinox equinox parlay
- 49:21Well, I know the Brewers beat the shit out of
- 49:23the Rays yesterday. Oh, the Rays are playing.
- 49:25They're playing right now. They're playing right
- 49:27now. Rays are up 2 -1. You know what? Do you
- 49:36know the Brewers are the affiliate for the Nashville
- 49:40Sounds? Yes. So it's good for everybody. Yes.
- 49:47Right? It's good for the city. Yeah. Haven't
- 49:53been to a sounds game since I was in high school
- 49:55I've never been to a Nashville sounds game there.
- 50:00I mean, they're great Yeah, it's my baseball
- 50:04team. Yeah, it's I've been like I'm saying though
- 50:10like I haven't been as an adult Where they where
- 50:14they serve beer for like a nickel? I don't know
- 50:20if anywhere does that I know I do know that like
- 50:24the sounds we'll have like happy hour like have
- 50:27like um like drink discount nights just to like
- 50:34fill seats you know there's a there's like go
- 50:40ahead yeah there's a tailgate right next to it
- 50:43yeah yeah yeah it's connected to brooklyn bowl
- 50:46which is next to the tailgate do you remember
- 50:52when we went to brooklyn bowl and like we went
- 50:54upstairs and we could see the sound stadium i
- 50:58think so I don't remember that being that wait
- 51:02a minute. I think I do remember that. Yeah, it
- 51:06was the pop muggle gun show that Marshall came
- 51:09to. Yeah. And nobody was up there. Nobody was
- 51:14up. We got there like super early. Yeah. Because
- 51:18like they were like Brooklyn Bowl was doing like
- 51:21their happy hour thing. It was like half off.
- 51:24Right? Yes, I remember that. Yeah. Yeah. Okay.
- 51:32Well, there it is. I don't Yeah, I've never been
- 51:34to a sounds game, but hey. Well, I don't think
- 51:38they're doing them right now. I think they're
- 51:40done. Yeah. The World Series is going on. Yeah.
- 51:47But also, like, this Tennessee summer was so
- 51:52hot. Like, it was just tough to, like, go outside.
- 51:57Yeah. Outside is hard. Well, it was, like, 100
- 52:02degrees, like, every fucking day in the summer.
- 52:07When it wasn't raining, yeah when it wasn't raining
- 52:11it was Blazing balls hot. Yeah It was like it
- 52:16rained for like a straight month in like June
- 52:20or July or something and then it was just like
- 52:24a million degrees and Then we and then now we
- 52:29haven't had rain in over 30 days again 425 the
- 52:36grease But now it's gonna rain on Halloween cool
- 52:41Was gonna rain on Halloween probably oh I'll
- 52:47ruin my makeup. Oh Yeah, I'll have makeup on
- 52:56okay, not like last year Okay, good It took a
- 53:03while to get off. It didn't take too long. I
- 53:07thought you had some trouble with it I mean it
- 53:10it took me like, you know, like 10 or 15 minutes
- 53:14like in the shower just like fucking It's just
- 53:23like rubbing my skin off my my face. Yeah, but
- 53:26uh, that's fine. Okay Well, I got nothing else
- 53:33you got anything wrong I Figured this was gonna
- 53:38be a short one since ghost creeling in here.
- 53:42Well, I feel like I did Oh Oh shit, you're not
- 53:51going forgot OV's last game in Nashville's tomorrow
- 53:58Well, oh well, yeah, sorry So it's okay You can
- 54:08surely like I think that'll just be like a really
- 54:12cool experience Yeah, it'd be really cool. I
- 54:18don't mean like if I was a caps fan. I'd definitely
- 54:21go Yeah, no matter what the cost But we got a
- 54:26we got it like a really good deal on it. Yeah
- 54:31But like I understand I get I get you're busy
- 54:35You know, you're good. It's kind of weird right
- 54:37now. Yeah, I got you Yeah, it's no worries. It's
- 54:41fine. Not I'm not like pressing you or anything.
- 54:45But yeah I mean we could talk hockey for a little
- 54:48bit. I mean, uh, connor hellebuck's on the the
- 54:50devils I don't know when the fucking cut No,
- 54:55they're not Probably not but no, they don't have
- 54:59defensemen. I hate the devils right now. I hate
- 55:03them because they have Jack Hughes and Connor
- 55:09Hellebuck and evangelista But yeah, it's just
- 55:14like where the fuck did they come from like getting
- 55:16all these fucking? Guys like they're just like
- 55:21oh, yeah, we have all these assets. We can trade
- 55:24of course where the fuck they get these guys
- 55:28So like where where did all this come from? So
- 55:33I don't know where it came from but I know that
- 55:34before they traded event that traded for evangelista
- 55:38They had four first -round picks in the next
- 55:41two drafts and we got one of them So now they
- 55:48have three in the next two drafts they didn't
- 55:51have to give up a first for Connor Hellebuck
- 55:54And word on the street is Tommy Fitz Tom Fitzgerald
- 56:00ex Predators captain Yeah Was was just like not
- 56:07making calls. We're just like not really doing
- 56:09too much was just kind of like stay and Pat and
- 56:12this new GM they got that is that's all he's
- 56:16doing is making calls. So I don't know, I guess
- 56:20it just comes down to drive and listen, he was
- 56:24on a shitty Nashville Predators team. He doesn't
- 56:25know what success looks like. So yeah, yeah.
- 56:36Don't blame a guy based on an environment. But
- 56:41but your GM you should make your team better.
- 56:45I do it all the time in NHL GM mode. I don't
- 56:53know. Anyway, I think we should call it. Yeah,
- 56:58I'm cool with wrapping this one up. I think solid
- 57:00episode, even though Chris died. It disappeared.
- 57:07He's gone. He was taken by the Bell Witch. The
- 57:12Bell Witch? Yeah, the Bell Witch. Do you mean
- 57:16the Blair Witch? No, the Bell Witch. What is
- 57:20that? The Bell Witch is like... Computer? the,
- 57:26it, do you not know the story about the, it's
- 57:28what the Blair witch is based off of, but it's
- 57:31based in like, uh, like North West Tennessee,
- 57:37I think it was like this whole town that's just
- 57:41like, almost like a ghost town. And it's just
- 57:44like a, a cave and it's like called the bell,
- 57:47which cave. So I went there during COVID. What
- 57:57are you doing over there? That was on a date.
- 58:02Oh Yeah, well the air was heavy I'll say that
- 58:09hmm cold Yeah, kind of a bit hmm. I didn't think
- 58:17the Blair Witch project was very good That is
- 58:21a pop take I thought 95 % of that movie was the
- 58:28most boring movie I have ever seen And then the
- 58:33last 5 % was like, whoa. And that's kind of it.
- 58:39It's almost like it was a suspense movie. Yeah.
- 58:44With no suspense. What are you talking about?
- 58:47The whole thing was suspense. Dude, they're just
- 58:50like walking around in the woods. That's why
- 58:53the last 5 % is so good. And that's why you think
- 58:57the last 5%. I'm like, fucking finally. Shit's
- 59:02gonna happen. people are gonna disappear. It's
- 59:06one of the scariest movies ever. This is terrifying.
- 59:09I watched that alone in the dark. Not scary.
- 59:17Maybe I'm just built different. I didn't think
- 59:21sinister was scary. I mean, there are a couple
- 59:24of jump scares. I'm not gonna front. Okay. But
- 59:28all right. Well, before we get out of here for
- 59:30for Halloween, top five scary movies or top three,
- 59:34we'll make it short. Really haven't seen too
- 59:38many scary movies. Honestly, I mean probably
- 59:41the scariest movie I've seen is The Conjuring
- 59:44that shit scared me That shit was scary So, yes
- 59:52Then my number two pick it's gonna have to be
- 59:56the saw franchise Kind of fascinated by it. There
- 1:00:01are some debt. There's definitely some stinkers
- 1:00:03in there like just not good movies But there's
- 1:00:09a lot of suspense and a lot of like, oh they're
- 1:00:11gonna make it most of the time they don't And
- 1:00:14it's you know, it's still pretty entertaining
- 1:00:16and it's not like super gory Let's see Well,
- 1:00:22like listen, I I saw a terrifying I saw like
- 1:00:27the three terrifying movies. Well, yeah terrifiers
- 1:00:29are are all gore Yeah, that's just it was just
- 1:00:32straight gore. It's just straight gore porn.
- 1:00:34Yeah, that's that's my that's what I'm comparing
- 1:00:37it to But my third pick, I mean, listen, Jaws
- 1:00:45is a horror movie. Yeah, I'm jealous. And it's
- 1:00:50a good Jaws might Jaws might be my number one,
- 1:00:54just from childhood trauma. And that's fair.
- 1:01:00I'd probably put the thing this the the carpenter
- 1:01:07one, because I don't like the dude that fucking
- 1:01:12dog. That fucking husky actor is probably the
- 1:01:17best actor I've ever seen in my entire life.
- 1:01:20That dog is so scary like The way it's just like
- 1:01:24creeping around before it like, you know Dude,
- 1:01:28that dog is terrifying. Yeah before it gets you
- 1:01:31like it's just like creeping around the base
- 1:01:34Didn't like that at all And then I'd probably
- 1:01:38go taking of Deborah Logan, which is probably
- 1:01:42a a film Not many people have heard of but it
- 1:01:48is truly terrifying Okay, look it up you'll be
- 1:01:56scared What was it again? Deborah fling the the
- 1:02:02taking of Deborah Logan? Okay, I was well I don't
- 1:02:12know It's funny how I just said it and you were
- 1:02:17just like deborah fling like what I don't I have
- 1:02:21no idea where that came from Anyway, well there
- 1:02:24it is. I don't know ghost chris didn't send his
- 1:02:27top three for horror movies, but that's okay
- 1:02:29Uh, that's off the cuff. He's we don't have the
- 1:02:32ouija board present. It's cool. Yeah, we don't
- 1:02:34have the time or the candles for that. So Uh,
- 1:02:38well, there it is. All right, uh follow the twitter,
- 1:02:41uh follow the x For the updated picks Follow
- 1:02:46the Trend Center on X as well. They give out
- 1:02:49picks all the time. Use the code TF10M at checkout
- 1:02:52for premium membership. 15 % off of premium membership
- 1:02:56for the Trend Center app. It is the greatest
- 1:02:58tool on the plan to force sports bettors. The
- 1:03:01NBA and the NHL is back. It's in full swing.
- 1:03:05This is the best time to invest in the Trend
- 1:03:10Center app. It's really going to help you out
- 1:03:13this NBA and NHL season. Okay in NFL and NFL
- 1:03:18also helps I mean we used it at least Seven times
- 1:03:23today. I think probably I don't know who's counting
- 1:03:26anyway between the three of us. Yeah. Yeah All
- 1:03:31right. Well, there it is. There's three of us
- 1:03:33now, let's make some money