Latest / Pod Save America / Iowa Episode 2: The history and the rules
Transcript
- 0:02Speaker 1: It's a pretty bottle. This is how I think most
- 0:05Speaker 1: Americans pick wine. We sort of like what it looks like.
- 0:08Speaker 1: Back in August, I went to a Cabernet for Corey
- 0:10Speaker 1: house party in Urbandale, Iowa, which is just a few
- 0:13Speaker 1: minutes outside of Des Moines. Obviously, I wasn't going to
- 0:18Speaker 1: show up empty-handed.
- 0:20Speaker 2: Do you want a round back.
- 0:22Speaker 3: For that?
- 0:23Speaker 4: That's okay.
- 0:23Speaker 5: This is great.
- 0:25Speaker 1: Thank you very much. So we leave the Hy-Vee grocery store,
- 0:29Speaker 1: moderately priced bottle of wine in hand, and head over
- 0:31Speaker 1: to Urbandale. Oh, I see some Corey signs. Here, you
- 0:35Speaker 1: want to carry the wine?
- 0:37Speaker 6: Hi.
- 0:37Speaker 3: Hello.
- 0:38Speaker 1: How are you? We brought some Cabernet. Hi. We wanted
- 0:41Speaker 1: to get in the spirit. There are five potential caucus
- 0:45Speaker 1: goers sitting in a circle in Dave and Cheryl Jensen's
- 0:47Speaker 1: living room. It's a nice scene. There's some jazz on
- 0:50Speaker 1: in the background, and their big fat cat keeps wandering
- 0:53Speaker 1: in and out of the room. They all introduce themselves.
- 0:56Speaker 3: I'm Lauren, born and raised on the south side of Chicago,
- 0:59Speaker 3: in a Democratic home.
- 1:00Speaker 1: Mitch Smith, the field organizer we met last week, set
- 1:03Speaker 1: up this event. Besides Mitch, everyone here is in their
- 1:06Speaker 1: 60s or 70s, and all but one are longtime Democrats.
- 1:09Speaker 1: Two of the people in the room are already committed
- 1:11Speaker 1: to caucus for Cory Booker. They like the way he speaks,
- 1:14Speaker 1: they like his energy, they like his optimism.
- 1:16Speaker 3: In the end, we want somebody who can rock us
- 1:19Speaker 3: to sleep, too.
- 1:21Speaker 7: Make us feel good at night when we go to bed,
- 1:22Speaker 7: and we'll get up in the morning and things will
- 1:25Speaker 7: still be okay.
- 1:26Speaker 6: Yeah.
- 1:27Speaker 1: That sounds nice. I miss that.
- 1:29Speaker 6: Oh boy.
- 1:30Speaker 2: Oh boy, do I miss it.
- 1:32Speaker 1: The rest of the people there are undecided, including the hosts,
- 1:35Speaker 1: Dave and Cheryl. And that is just classic Iowa. Most
- 1:37Speaker 1: of the country is paying no attention to this primary,
- 1:40Speaker 1: but this couple invited a bunch of strangers into their
- 1:43Speaker 1: home to talk about a campaign that they have not
- 1:45Speaker 1: endorsed yet. It's a pretty casual conversation.
- 1:47Speaker 3: Well, I paid for my kids' college and, you know,
- 1:50Speaker 3: we took out student loans and paid it back and
- 1:53Speaker 3: Why should we as a country be paying millionaires' kids'
- 1:57Speaker 3: student loans?
- 1:59Speaker 1: Mitch is mostly listening, but he occasionally jumps in to
- 2:01Speaker 1: talk about Corey's record.
- 2:07Speaker 4: If Mitch didn't know something, he promised to follow up.
- 2:13Speaker 1: Just one more item for his massive to-do list. If
- 2:17Speaker 1: I were trying to replace you in writing your job description,
- 2:20Speaker 1: I would say you are... friend, organizer, party planner, sounding board,
- 2:26Speaker 1: policy expert, communications expert, Booker expert. Is that about right?
- 2:31Speaker 1: It's hard to disagree with that.
- 2:32Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 2:33Speaker 4: I think that's the fun part of this job is
- 2:35Speaker 4: like having so many of those responsibilities and, you know,
- 2:38Speaker 4: meetings like this are the most fun part.
- 2:44Speaker 1: Mitch joined the Booker campaign early. He saw Corey speak
- 2:47Speaker 1: in Des Moines on the day Brett Kavanaugh was confirmed
- 2:49Speaker 1: to the Supreme Court in October of 2018. Mitch decided
- 2:52Speaker 1: that day that if Cory Booker ran for president, he
- 2:55Speaker 1: wanted in. Now he's working one small but crucial patch
- 2:58Speaker 1: of Polk County. There are 99 counties in Iowa, but Polk,
- 3:02Speaker 1: which includes Des Moines, will deliver almost a fifth of
- 3:05Speaker 1: the state's delegates. We checked in by phone this fall.
- 3:08Speaker 4: I am definitely lucky that I only have one corner
- 3:11Speaker 4: of one county. You know, what I appreciate is that
- 3:14Speaker 4: my ability to connect with folks who live there has
- 3:19Speaker 4: changed dramatically since I moved in. It's not just asking them,
- 3:23Speaker 4: you know, hey, can we grab coffee? It's asking them
- 3:25Speaker 4: like how their dog is doing or how their kids
- 3:29Speaker 4: little league game went.
- 3:30Speaker 1: Yeah, you're not meeting relatives and kids the first time.
- 3:33Speaker 1: You know that their baseball team is like six and
- 3:35Speaker 1: four and that they're really vying for the playoffs.
- 3:39Speaker 4: If they make the playoffs, then the grandma can't host
- 3:42Speaker 4: the debate watch party that I want her to host.
- 3:44Speaker 4: So I'm like, you know, rooting for the kids team,
- 3:46Speaker 4: but also sort of not at the same time.
- 3:47Speaker 6: Yeah.
- 3:50Speaker 1: I'm Tommy Vitor, and this is episode two of a
- 3:53Speaker 1: special Pod Save America series from Iowa. Today, we're going
- 3:59Speaker 1: to talk about how Iowa became the first contest in
- 4:02Speaker 1: the Democratic presidential primaries. But first, let's take a second
- 4:05Speaker 1: to nerd out on the mechanics of the caucuses, because one,
- 4:08Speaker 1: I think it's really interesting. And two, I think it
- 4:10Speaker 1: helps explain why campaigning in Iowa tends to feel less
- 4:14Speaker 1: nasty and terrible than it does everywhere else. I'm not
- 4:21Speaker 1: from Iowa, so I've never caucused myself, but I did
- 4:24Speaker 1: get to visit one back in 2008 with Obama.
- 4:27Speaker 8: Those couple nights before the caucuses were the coldest nights
- 4:31Speaker 8: of the year. And we got inside, and it was
- 4:34Speaker 8: just this sea of people.
- 4:37Speaker 1: This is President Obama describing that 2008 caucus to Chris
- 4:41Speaker 1: Liddell Westefeld for his book, They Said This Day Would
- 4:43Speaker 1: Never Come.
- 4:45Speaker 8: Every age, different backgrounds. You had farmers... and overalls and,
- 4:53Speaker 8: you know, seed hats. And you had young African-American kids,
- 4:59Speaker 8: Latino moms. You know, the fact that people had brought
- 5:04Speaker 8: their kids and there were a lot of families who
- 5:05Speaker 8: had shown up gave it this festive feeling. I still
- 5:09Speaker 8: remember there was a guy who looked like Gandalf. He
- 5:15Speaker 8: was dressed in this white gown. robe and he had
- 5:19Speaker 8: this long white beard and he had this white staff.
- 5:23Speaker 8: And at the top of the staff, he had jerry-rigged
- 5:27Speaker 8: this little video screen that was playing my JJ speech
- 5:32Speaker 8: looped over and over again.
- 5:35Speaker 1: So the Gandalf thing was a little weird, but seeing
- 5:38Speaker 1: all of those people showing up and joyfully participating in
- 5:41Speaker 1: democracy was actually pretty inspiring. And this was long before
- 5:44Speaker 1: we knew the results. But I bet you're wondering why
- 5:47Speaker 1: everyone was just hanging out at a caucus location. To
- 5:50Speaker 1: understand that, we have to understand why a caucus itself
- 5:53Speaker 1: is different.
- 5:54Speaker 9: I think the simple way to think of it is
- 5:57Speaker 9: that we're used to voting as people, individuals. When you
- 6:01Speaker 9: participate in a caucus, you are voting as a community.
- 6:04Speaker 1: Rob Sand is the state auditor in Iowa. He is
- 6:06Speaker 1: a young star of the state Democratic Party. He's a
- 6:09Speaker 1: highly coveted endorsement. And strangely, he looks a lot like me.
- 6:13Speaker 1: I'm not kidding. I actually got stopped for a photo
- 6:15Speaker 1: by a woman in Iowa who thought I was Rob.
- 6:17Speaker 9: Really, fundamentally, what it comes down to is you're there
- 6:19Speaker 9: together to decide how we are going to govern ourselves together, right? Ultimately,
- 6:24Speaker 9: we're picking someone who is going to lead us, and
- 6:27Speaker 9: so us picks that person.
- 6:31Speaker 1: Iowa has been picking its candidates by caucus since the 1800s,
- 6:34Speaker 1: and it kind of feels like a holdover from another era.
- 6:37Speaker 1: In a primary, you can just show up at any
- 6:39Speaker 1: time on election day, you pull your lever, and you
- 6:41Speaker 1: walk out. In some states, you can vote early, you
- 6:43Speaker 1: can vote by mail, but it's a secret, solitary act.
- 6:47Speaker 1: Not in Iowa. On caucus night, you have to be
- 6:50Speaker 1: in line to get into your caucus location by 7 p.m.
- 6:53Speaker 6: Sharp.
- 6:54Speaker 1: If you're late, you don't get to caucus. If you're
- 6:56Speaker 1: on time, you then go into the school gym or
- 6:58Speaker 1: the public library or whatever the location is, and you
- 7:01Speaker 1: go and you physically stand in a corner with everyone
- 7:04Speaker 1: else supporting your candidate. Or, and honestly, this is incredible
- 7:08Speaker 1: to me, You might show up still undecided. Here's Rob Sandigan.
- 7:14Speaker 9: I think one of the reasons that Iowa is really
- 7:17Speaker 9: good at doing this is that there's a lot of
- 7:18Speaker 9: Iowans who agree with the idea that you don't know
- 7:20Speaker 9: what you don't know. And, you know, you might have
- 7:23Speaker 9: a favorite, but until you've actually stood in someone's corner,
- 7:27Speaker 9: you might learn something new about them. You might learn
- 7:30Speaker 9: something new about someone else. And you keep your mind
- 7:33Speaker 9: open until the moment where you have to commit.
- 7:37Speaker 1: There are a lot of critiques of the Iowa caucuses.
- 7:39Speaker 1: A big one, and Julian Castro has been talking about
- 7:41Speaker 1: this lately, is that the state is really white. We'll
- 7:44Speaker 1: talk about that and all the other knocks on Iowa
- 7:47Speaker 1: in our next episode. But for now, Iowa is still
- 7:50Speaker 1: the first contest. Iowa still reigns supreme. And candidates go
- 7:53Speaker 1: all out in Iowa because winning or even just doing
- 7:55Speaker 1: better than expectations can get you a ton of media
- 7:58Speaker 1: attention and momentum. And they will need it because the
- 8:01Speaker 1: New Hampshire primary is just a week after the Iowa caucuses. Technically, though,
- 8:05Speaker 1: what you're competing for on caucus night are delegates. So
- 8:09Speaker 1: come with me into the weeds of the delegate selection process.
- 8:15Speaker 1: Iowa has 1,678 precincts. So that means there are 1,678
- 8:18Speaker 1: mini elections happening on caucus night. At each precinct, people
- 8:24Speaker 1: elect delegates to the county conventions. Every precinct awards at
- 8:27Speaker 1: least one delegate, even if just a couple people show
- 8:30Speaker 1: up to that caucus location. That's why campaigns try to
- 8:33Speaker 1: be competitive everywhere, like David Plouffe mentioned in the last episode.
- 8:37Speaker 1: And to get those precinct delegates, a candidate has to
- 8:39Speaker 1: meet what's called a viability threshold. This is very important. Generally,
- 8:44Speaker 1: viability means you have to have support from at least
- 8:48Speaker 1: 15% of the people in the room on caucus night.
- 8:51Speaker 1: That math changes a little bit in some of the
- 8:52Speaker 1: really small precincts, but basically the gist is if 100
- 8:56Speaker 1: people show up to a caucus location and 14 of
- 8:58Speaker 1: them are supporting candidate X precincts, That candidate, candidate X,
- 9:02Speaker 1: is not viable because they didn't meet the 15% threshold.
- 9:05Speaker 1: So the people that are supporting candidate X either get
- 9:07Speaker 1: to pick someone else or go home. That part's called realigning.
- 9:11Speaker 1: And that realignment means that campaigns really care about being
- 9:15Speaker 1: your first and your second choice. And it's also what
- 9:17Speaker 1: makes Iowa so different. Okay, so I know I just
- 9:22Speaker 1: threw a bunch of rules and numbers at you, but
- 9:24Speaker 1: I promise it's worth understanding and ultimately not that complicated.
- 9:28Speaker 1: So take 2016, for example. Here's what it sounded like
- 9:31Speaker 1: at one caucus location in Polk County.
- 9:34Speaker 10: Good evening and welcome to the 2016 Iowa Democratic Party
- 9:39Speaker 10: Precinct Caucuses. Congratulations. As a participant in one of our
- 9:43Speaker 10: state's most storied traditions, you are now a part of
- 9:46Speaker 10: both Iowa and U.S. history.
- 9:50Speaker 1: I'm sure you all remember 2016, unfortunately, that general election result,
- 9:53Speaker 1: but the Democratic primary was Bernie, Hillary, and Martin O'Malley.
- 9:58Speaker 1: Here's Team Bernie making their K for their candidate.
- 10:03Speaker 7: Do we carry on as we are or do we
- 10:06Speaker 7: fight for fairness?
- 10:07Speaker 1: We fight for fairness! And here's some folks who supported
- 10:11Speaker 1: Hillary Clinton.
- 10:12Speaker 2: She has the most experience and the most qualified on
- 10:15Speaker 2: both sides of the aisle. She takes this very seriously.
- 10:18Speaker 2: She's supported women and children her entire life. And as
- 10:20Speaker 2: a mother of three daughters, it's high time we elect
- 10:23Speaker 2: a female president.
- 10:25Speaker 1: And here's Martin O'Malley's guy valiantly making his case.
- 10:28Speaker 3: As a Democrat, I feel blessed that we have three
- 10:32Speaker 3: fantastic candidates. And I'm not going to beat around the bush.
- 10:37Speaker 3: It has been a very, very hard choice for me.
- 10:41Speaker 1: After the first count, here's how it's stacked up.
- 10:43Speaker 10: There are eight uncommitted. 26, O'Malley.
- 10:49Speaker 1: 218, I believe.
- 10:50Speaker 4: No.
- 10:51Speaker 10: 215 for Sanders and 210 for Clinton.
- 10:55Speaker 5: I was trying to do it from memory. My apologies.
- 11:03Speaker 10: All right, listen up. One more thing to say. In
- 11:06Speaker 10: order to be viable, your group has to have at least.
- 11:12Speaker 1: So O'Malley was not viable in that precinct. O'Malley's voters
- 11:18Speaker 1: could get behind somebody else, or they could just call
- 11:21Speaker 1: it quits and go home. Sanders and Clinton supporters started
- 11:24Speaker 1: making their case. Three people left. Everyone else ended up realigning.
- 11:32Speaker 7: Okay, so all of the.
- 11:34Speaker 1: Undecided. Undecided. And all O'Malley... Realigned.
- 11:40Speaker 9: Realigned.
- 11:41Speaker 1: And now commencing recounts for Clinton and Sanders. After realignment,
- 11:49Speaker 1: Clinton ended up having more supporters in the room than
- 11:51Speaker 1: Bernie did.
- 11:52Speaker 10: Here's where we now stand. Uncommitted, zero. O'Malley, zero. Clinton, 232. Sanders, 224.
- 12:03Speaker 10: For a total of, hold on, hold on, 456. We
- 12:09Speaker 10: lost three people in the melee, apparently.
- 12:13Speaker 1: So when it got totaled up, Hillary Clinton got five
- 12:16Speaker 1: delegates from that precinct and Bernie Sanders got four. Like
- 12:19Speaker 1: I said, people, second choices matter. And by the way,
- 12:22Speaker 1: this whole process took like two and a half hours.
- 12:25Speaker 1: Another thing about realignment. In the past, it was an
- 12:29Speaker 1: easy way for campaigns to sort of spin their loss.
- 12:31Speaker 1: They could say, you know, we did really well on
- 12:33Speaker 1: the first count. We're this close to being viable, but
- 12:36Speaker 1: it just didn't work out. This year, they're not going
- 12:38Speaker 1: to be able to do that. The Iowa Democratic Party
- 12:41Speaker 1: is going to be recording what they call the first
- 12:43Speaker 1: expression of preference, which is basically that first count we
- 12:46Speaker 1: all heard. Then they'll record that final expression of preference,
- 12:49Speaker 1: which is the count after the realignment. Here's Troy Price,
- 12:53Speaker 1: the chair of the Iowa Democratic Party. Yeah, that's right.
- 12:56Speaker 11: So we're releasing the numbers on first alignment and the
- 12:59Speaker 11: numbers on second alignment or final alignment, I should say.
- 13:02Speaker 11: So it's going to be able to tell a better
- 13:05Speaker 11: story of what happens on caucus night. You know, there's
- 13:07Speaker 11: campaigns who don't do well, like to say, oh, well,
- 13:11Speaker 11: you know, the raw result would say this, that or
- 13:13Speaker 11: the other thing. but we've never actually had that information.
- 13:16Speaker 11: Now we're going to be able to have that information,
- 13:17Speaker 11: which is good. I think it helps bring greater transparency
- 13:20Speaker 11: to the process.
- 13:21Speaker 1: It will be fascinating to see what these new results
- 13:24Speaker 1: mean for how campaigns spin their win or their loss
- 13:27Speaker 1: or how the media covers the results. Because these little
- 13:30Speaker 1: rule changes, these little tweaks could have a big impact
- 13:33Speaker 1: on the expectations game. Another interesting wrinkle is that this year,
- 13:37Speaker 1: just because there are so many candidates running, every precinct
- 13:40Speaker 1: is just going to have a bunch of candidates that
- 13:42Speaker 1: aren't viable. The math just doesn't work out any other way.
- 13:46Speaker 1: So that means in every precinct, you're going to have
- 13:48Speaker 1: a swarm of neighbors trying to convince people who are
- 13:51Speaker 1: supporting a non-viable candidate to come over to their side.
- 13:54Speaker 1: Here's Rob Sandigan.
- 13:56Speaker 9: And so they say, well, hey, who's your second pick?
- 13:59Speaker 9: And here's all the reasons why I really like this candidate.
- 14:02Speaker 9: And it's a way that I think can actually be
- 14:04Speaker 9: a better way to do it because you end up
- 14:07Speaker 9: at the end of the caucus saying, Having felt like
- 14:10Speaker 9: you all made some choices together where you listen to
- 14:14Speaker 9: each other, you make your pitch for everybody. And then
- 14:17Speaker 9: as you realign, again, you're able to make pitches for
- 14:20Speaker 9: why people should come realign in your direction. And I
- 14:23Speaker 9: think that that's something that can actually sort of de-escalate
- 14:26Speaker 9: tensions because you're all in the room doing it together.
- 14:29Speaker 1: I've heard from a lot of Iowans that in 2016,
- 14:31Speaker 1: the realignment process was pretty contentious.
- 14:34Speaker 11: I mean, I was in my caucus and it was,
- 14:36Speaker 11: you know, the room was split. There was no mixing
- 14:38Speaker 11: and mingling. It was a very divided night.
- 14:41Speaker 1: That's Troy Price again.
- 14:42Speaker 11: And I'll tell you, like, that was tough. I mean,
- 14:45Speaker 11: there was at the county level, I mean, friendships were lost.
- 14:48Speaker 11: People were screaming at each other. People who had been
- 14:50Speaker 11: in each other's weddings were no longer friends anymore.
- 14:52Speaker 1: Like, it was really a rough period. This year, though,
- 14:55Speaker 1: things feel a lot more fluid. A recent Des Moines
- 14:58Speaker 1: Register poll of likely Iowa caucus goers showed Mayor Pete
- 15:02Speaker 1: leading Warren, Biden, and Sanders. But only 30% of those
- 15:06Speaker 1: polled said they are firmly decided on their choice. 62%
- 15:10Speaker 1: say they have a first choice, but they could still
- 15:11Speaker 1: be persuaded. Back at the Cabernet for Cory House party,
- 15:15Speaker 1: that's exactly what Mitch Smith, Cory Booker's field organizer, was
- 15:18Speaker 1: trying to do. Shift hearts and minds. Like David Jensen's. Hi.
- 15:25Speaker 5: Yeah, I'm David Jensen.
- 15:26Speaker 12: Politics has always been a part of my life.
- 15:30Speaker 1: I was gassed at the 68th convention.
- 15:32Speaker 7: It's very nice.
- 15:35Speaker 12: I listened to Joan Baez sing. That was nice, too.
- 15:38Speaker 1: When he says gassed, he means tear gassed. And funnily enough,
- 15:41Speaker 1: that convention, and particularly the chaos outside of that convention,
- 15:45Speaker 1: is the reason why Iowa goes first. In 1968, the
- 15:50Speaker 1: Democratic Party held its annual nominating convention in Chicago, and
- 15:53Speaker 1: it had been a traumatic year. President Lyndon Johnson had
- 15:56Speaker 1: announced he wouldn't be seeking re-election. The Vietnam War was
- 15:59Speaker 1: still raging, and then Martin Luther King Jr. and Robert F.
- 16:03Speaker 1: Kennedy were both assassinated. The contenders for the nomination were
- 16:06Speaker 1: Hubert Humphrey, who was LBJ's vice president, Senator Eugene McCarthy,
- 16:10Speaker 1: who was the anti-war candidate, and George McGovern, a senator
- 16:13Speaker 1: from South Dakota. Inside the convention hall, the party bosses
- 16:18Speaker 1: were lining up behind Humphrey. Outside, thousands of young people
- 16:21Speaker 1: were protesting the party's sidelining of McCarthy and support for
- 16:24Speaker 1: the war in Vietnam. The Chicago police tear-gassed the protesters,
- 16:28Speaker 1: including David. Humphrey won the nomination, and Nixon won the
- 16:32Speaker 1: White House. For most of our history, the nominees were
- 16:36Speaker 1: chosen by elected officials and party leaders, while the rest
- 16:39Speaker 1: of us just watched. But the chaos in Chicago was
- 16:42Speaker 1: a terrible look for the party. So the Democrats formed
- 16:45Speaker 1: a commission to come up with a new way to
- 16:47Speaker 1: choose their nominee. This commission was headed by George McGovern,
- 16:50Speaker 1: who just lost the nomination, and Donald Frazier, a representative
- 16:54Speaker 1: from Minnesota. The whole idea of the thing was to
- 16:56Speaker 1: engage more grassroots Democrats and give them real power in
- 16:59Speaker 1: the nominating process. That plan did not, however, specify that
- 17:04Speaker 1: Iowa had to go first. David Yepsen is a veteran
- 17:08Speaker 1: political reporter in Iowa. Back in 2007 and 2008, I
- 17:11Speaker 1: read every single word he wrote. I tried and failed
- 17:14Speaker 1: to spin him all the time. And I basically woke
- 17:17Speaker 1: up every day terrified that he would write something negative
- 17:20Speaker 1: about Barack Obama. Before retiring from the Des Moines Register
- 17:23Speaker 1: in 2009, David was the unofficial dean of the Iowa
- 17:27Speaker 1: Press Corps. The 1972 race was the first contest that
- 17:30Speaker 1: he covered.
- 17:31Speaker 12: That's where it begins, the streets of Chicago. The party
- 17:34Speaker 12: tore itself apart over Vietnam. It came out of that convention,
- 17:39Speaker 12: and the loss to Richard Nixon and the party said,
- 17:43Speaker 12: we have to reinvigorate ourselves. So when the Iowans started
- 17:47Speaker 12: thinking about how they were going to set up their
- 17:49Speaker 12: selection process, they spread out the contest. If we're going
- 17:52Speaker 12: to have a national convention in August... and you have
- 17:55Speaker 12: a chance to run for delegates, and we're going to
- 17:57Speaker 12: do our state convention in June, and that means we
- 18:00Speaker 12: really have to start this process in, oh my gosh,
- 18:03Speaker 12: February or March. The people who put it together, they understood, well,
- 18:07Speaker 12: this is going to be an early place where it starts.
- 18:10Speaker 12: But it's also true that there were staffers at the
- 18:13Speaker 12: state Democratic Party who literally understood how long it took
- 18:17Speaker 12: an old Gestetner mimeograph machine to print thousands of platform
- 18:22Speaker 12: resolutions and copies of the platform. And they had it timed.
- 18:27Speaker 12: Richard Bender was an activist who was working at the
- 18:29Speaker 12: party at the time, actually timed it. So they understood, gosh,
- 18:32Speaker 12: if we're going to get all this information out to
- 18:35Speaker 12: all over Iowa to thousands of people, we've got to
- 18:37Speaker 12: have time to get it printed.
- 18:40Speaker 11: Okay, it's really an accident, a historical accident.
- 18:45Speaker 1: That is Richard Bender. And kids, a mimeograph machine is
- 18:49Speaker 1: like a copier before Xerox. It involved a crank, purple
- 18:52Speaker 1: ink that smelled funny, And it took a while to
- 18:54Speaker 1: print out the forms for each stage of the election process.
- 18:57Speaker 1: It was not just like the famous tale about the
- 19:00Speaker 1: mimeograph machine.
- 19:01Speaker 6: It was all these factors.
- 19:03Speaker 11: Admittedly, we kind of thought it would be nice to
- 19:06Speaker 11: be first.
- 19:07Speaker 1: So it's 1972. Iowa's going first in the process. Nixon's
- 19:12Speaker 1: running for a second term. The war in Vietnam and
- 19:15Speaker 1: the draft are both ongoing. And Democrats are lining up
- 19:18Speaker 1: to take on Nixon. There's McCarthy. There's Ed Muskie, the
- 19:22Speaker 1: anti-war senator from Maine. And then there was the first
- 19:24Speaker 1: black woman to ever run for president, the legendary Shirley Chisholm.
- 19:28Speaker 1: This feels wild and awful to say right now, but
- 19:31Speaker 1: the segregationist governor of Alabama, George Wallace, also sought the
- 19:35Speaker 1: Democratic nomination. And the man who came up with this
- 19:39Speaker 1: new nominating order, he also got in the race, George McGovern.
- 19:43Speaker 1: Here's David Yepsen.
- 19:44Speaker 12: I give, you know, the credit or blame for these
- 19:47Speaker 12: caucuses to George McGovern and to his campaigners. manager, Gary Hart,
- 19:51Speaker 12: who in 1972 figured out that, well, these Iowans are
- 19:56Speaker 12: starting their process in February. And, you know, we could
- 20:00Speaker 12: go out there and get a little splash of attention
- 20:03Speaker 12: headed into New Hampshire. So that prototype of using Iowa
- 20:07Speaker 12: as a springboard to later events. It was really started
- 20:10Speaker 12: by them.
- 20:11Speaker 1: Gary Hart ran George McGovern's campaign in 1972. There were
- 20:15Speaker 1: a handful of us trying to put together a national
- 20:19Speaker 1: campaign for a not very well-known candidate.
- 20:22Speaker 6: So we began to look at the calendar, and we
- 20:25Speaker 6: had a very smart guy named Rick Stearns. And so
- 20:29Speaker 6: one day in, I think, the fall of 71, I
- 20:32Speaker 6: asked Rick if there were any process, any delegate selection
- 20:35Speaker 6: process that began before New Hampshire. He said, yes, Iowa
- 20:39Speaker 6: has caucuses, but no one has ever paid attention to them.
- 20:44Speaker 6: So I said, OK, we're going to organize Iowa for McGovern.
- 20:48Speaker 6: And that's what we did. And that's what, if I
- 20:50Speaker 6: may say so, put Iowa on the electoral map.
- 20:55Speaker 1: McGovern didn't win Iowa. Ed Muskie did. But McGovern did
- 20:58Speaker 1: better than anyone expected. He won the expectations game. More
- 21:02Speaker 1: on that later. But it was such a big deal
- 21:04Speaker 1: that Gary Hart still remembers the lead of The New
- 21:07Speaker 1: York Times that next day.
- 21:09Speaker 6: The lead sentence was, the muskie bandwagon slid off an
- 21:15Speaker 6: icy road in Iowa tonight.
- 21:18Speaker 1: That's great.
- 21:21Speaker 6: I memorized it. So that's when Iowa began to be important.
- 21:26Speaker 1: McGovern went on to win the nomination and then lost
- 21:29Speaker 1: badly to Nixon that November. Like, really badly. He didn't
- 21:32Speaker 1: even win his home state of South Dakota. But Hart
- 21:34Speaker 1: is still a fan of the Iowa caucuses.
- 21:37Speaker 6: Caucuses... tend to reward candidates who organize at the grassroots.
- 21:44Speaker 6: Primaries tend to reward candidates who are better known. And
- 21:49Speaker 6: I think a balance of both is a good thing.
- 21:52Speaker 6: Primaries themselves did not begin to be important until John
- 21:56Speaker 6: Kennedy ran in, I think, six or eight primaries in
- 22:02Speaker 6: 60 to demonstrate to party leaders who up to that
- 22:06Speaker 6: time had selected the nominee that he had a following
- 22:09Speaker 6: across the country in the grand scheme of things primaries
- 22:13Speaker 6: themselves have not kind of existed forever they were a
- 22:18Speaker 6: kind of an invention of john kennedy's campaign in sixty
- 22:22Speaker 6: as we invented caucuses in seventy two i really believe
- 22:26Speaker 6: in grassroots politics because for two reasons one it gives
- 22:32Speaker 6: less well-known candidates a chance second it gives real people
- 22:38Speaker 6: in early states particularly, a chance to render a judgment
- 22:44Speaker 6: or form a judgment of candidates up close and personal.
- 22:50Speaker 6: And that's very powerful.
- 22:52Speaker 1: Gary Hart actually went on to run for president himself,
- 22:55Speaker 1: and that's a different story for another day. But today
- 22:58Speaker 1: he lives in the mountains of Colorado, and he actually
- 23:00Speaker 1: has a blog. He was one of the first politicians
- 23:02Speaker 1: to start blogging back in 2003. And he writes a lot,
- 23:05Speaker 1: thoughtfully and pretty beautifully, about the state of our politics.
- 23:09Speaker 6: It has to turn around in 2020. It really does.
- 23:12Speaker 6: And that's why, in a way, the selection of candidate
- 23:16Speaker 6: to go against Trump is going to be one of
- 23:19Speaker 6: the most critical choices of our lifetime and perhaps a
- 23:23Speaker 6: long couple of lifetimes. But what happens next year is
- 23:28Speaker 6: going to be, in a way, the future of our country.
- 23:32Speaker 1: But the big question is, will Iowa pick someone who
- 23:35Speaker 1: can beat Donald Trump? More on that when we come back.
- 23:47Speaker 1: And we're back. I'm Tommy Vitor, and this is a
- 23:49Speaker 1: special Pod Save America series from Iowa. I mentioned this
- 23:55Speaker 1: in the last episode, but there's a saying that there
- 23:57Speaker 1: are three tickets out of Iowa, meaning basically, if you
- 24:00Speaker 1: don't finish in the top three, your campaign is toast.
- 24:03Speaker 1: Here's Richard Bender.
- 24:05Speaker 7: I think actually it was Jebson that coined that phrase,
- 24:09Speaker 7: three tickets. I have known him since he was a
- 24:13Speaker 7: high school student, by the way.
- 24:15Speaker 1: It's not that big, Iowa. Have I mentioned that yet?
- 24:17Speaker 1: Here's David Yepsen.
- 24:18Speaker 12: I said there's three tickets, first class, coach, and standby.
- 24:22Speaker 12: Because the nominee of either party usually came out of
- 24:25Speaker 12: those top three finishers. Well, John McCain changed that. So
- 24:30Speaker 12: you've sort of got to say first class, coach, standby,
- 24:33Speaker 12: and baggage.
- 24:36Speaker 1: One quirky thing about the Iowa caucuses is that you
- 24:38Speaker 1: don't necessarily have to win the Iowa caucuses to be
- 24:42Speaker 1: perceived as a winner coming out of the Iowa caucuses. Right.
- 24:45Speaker 12: It's called the expectations game. How well are you expected
- 24:48Speaker 12: to do? And this race is sort of like 1983.
- 24:53Speaker 12: Walter Mondale is ahead. The former vice president is ahead.
- 24:57Speaker 12: Can he win big enough? And then who among the
- 24:59Speaker 12: rest of the candidates will come in second? Who will
- 25:02Speaker 12: be the alternative to Mondale? Boy, this race feels a
- 25:05Speaker 12: lot like it. Is Biden going to win? Can he
- 25:07Speaker 12: win enough? And who among these others becomes the next
- 25:10Speaker 12: Gary Hart?
- 25:11Speaker 1: That's right.
- 25:11Speaker 12: Can Iowa still sling somebody all the way to the
- 25:15Speaker 12: White House? I'm just not sure it can. And interestingly enough,
- 25:19Speaker 12: I think this cycle, it's so big that it has
- 25:23Speaker 12: driven the Democratic National Committee to change debate rules about
- 25:27Speaker 12: who gets in. And they're setting the threshold for who
- 25:31Speaker 12: gets in to these debates. But it strikes me that
- 25:35Speaker 12: the Democratic National Committee, by doing that, is really becoming
- 25:40Speaker 12: the great winnower, if you will, of candidates that Iowa
- 25:43Speaker 12: used to play.
- 25:47Speaker 1: Power to regular people and voters asking questions in their
- 25:50Speaker 1: backyard to a bunch of party operatives in Washington?
- 25:53Speaker 12: I think, no, it's not bad that party operatives are involved.
- 25:58Speaker 12: This is a political process. You're electing a president of
- 26:01Speaker 12: the United States. I think that person ought to be
- 26:03Speaker 12: somebody who has some command of politics. We treat politics
- 26:07Speaker 12: like a dirty word. I want somebody who can do
- 26:10Speaker 12: the job. You can make a case looking at Trump's presidency,
- 26:14Speaker 12: electing someone who has no political electoral experience.
- 26:17Speaker 1: Has been a mistake. So Iowa obviously has an outsized
- 26:20Speaker 1: role in the political process from the way we select
- 26:23Speaker 1: a president. Has Iowa earned it?
- 26:26Speaker 12: Well, I may not be the most objective person. I mean,
- 26:28Speaker 12: we all can think of better ways to run a
- 26:31Speaker 12: presidential nominating process. And you can do one on the
- 26:34Speaker 12: back of a cocktail napkin. So it is what it is.
- 26:39Speaker 12: Iowa is important because Iowa is first. But the alternatives,
- 26:43Speaker 12: it keeps going Tommy, because of inertia. It stays in
- 26:47Speaker 12: motion because there's not something that counteracts it. Secondly, that
- 26:51Speaker 12: inertia always means that somebody is planning a strategy for
- 26:55Speaker 12: four years from now. Somebody who runs, doesn't do well,
- 27:00Speaker 12: but runs a credible race. And the same is true
- 27:02Speaker 12: in the Republican Party right now. Mike Pence is out here,
- 27:05Speaker 12: you know, visited the same flood twice.
- 27:07Speaker 6: Oh, no.
- 27:09Speaker 12: And, you know, the evangelical community, hosting protests, Republicans like
- 27:14Speaker 12: Tom Langford, Tim Scott, these people are showing up at
- 27:19Speaker 12: events here already. So this is all about a 2024 campaign.
- 27:22Speaker 12: And so that's how it happens.
- 27:25Speaker 1: But also it's worth noting that this is a weird year.
- 27:28Speaker 1: The field is huge already. It seems to be growing
- 27:30Speaker 1: by the week. And that's led some people to think
- 27:32Speaker 1: that there could be more than three tickets coming out
- 27:34Speaker 1: of Iowa. And you have people like former New York
- 27:36Speaker 1: City Mayor Mike Bloomberg getting into the race late and
- 27:39Speaker 1: seemingly planning to just skip the state entirely. While we
- 27:43Speaker 1: can't predict who's going to win, it is still clear
- 27:45Speaker 1: that Iowa is going to play its traditional role of
- 27:47Speaker 1: winnowing down the field and giving a big boost to
- 27:50Speaker 1: those who do well in the state. Olivia Ellis, who
- 27:54Speaker 1: we met last time, is working hard to make sure
- 27:56Speaker 1: that Elizabeth Warren has one of those tickets out of Iowa.
- 28:00Speaker 1: Olivia didn't have much growing up, but she was valedictorian
- 28:03Speaker 1: of her high school and got a scholarship to college
- 28:04Speaker 1: in Massachusetts. She worked two jobs with a full-time course
- 28:07Speaker 1: load because she didn't want to graduate with a ton
- 28:10Speaker 1: of debt. Olivia volunteered on Warren's Senate campaign, and now
- 28:13Speaker 1: is taking a year off to work on the presidential.
- 28:17Speaker 1: I first met Olivia back in August. We were at
- 28:19Speaker 1: the Warren Field office in Ames, which is in central Iowa,
- 28:22Speaker 1: about 45 minutes north of Des Moines. Spending time with
- 28:25Speaker 1: Olivia is like freebasing hope and enthusiasm.
- 28:29Speaker 7: I literally picked up my life and moved out here
- 28:32Speaker 7: for Elizabeth because I did fall in love with her
- 28:35Speaker 7: in Massachusetts originally, and I feel like that energy is contagious.
- 28:39Speaker 1: Back then, she was having a lot of one-on-one coffees
- 28:42Speaker 1: with people who were just kind of curious about Elizabeth
- 28:44Speaker 1: Warren and door knocking and phone calls and generally just
- 28:47Speaker 1: building out relationships. In October, things were pretty much still
- 28:50Speaker 1: the same, but the intensity of the door knocking had increased.
- 28:53Speaker 1: In fact, the Warren campaign started calling it Knocktober.
- 28:56Speaker 7: Knocktober is just a time when we create a massive
- 29:01Speaker 7: voter contact operation where we train volunteers to go out
- 29:05Speaker 7: and knock on the doors of of their neighbors to
- 29:08Speaker 7: get them to commit to caucus for Elizabeth Warren.
- 29:11Speaker 1: So, okay, when we were hanging out in August, I
- 29:13Speaker 1: felt like it was that preliminary phase. There were a
- 29:15Speaker 1: lot of like half-hour coffees with potential supporters. You're getting
- 29:19Speaker 1: to know people. You're hearing at issues, like genuine good
- 29:22Speaker 1: faith listening tours. Now we're in Noctoberfest. What's your day-to-day like?
- 29:27Speaker 1: Has it changed a lot?
- 29:29Speaker 7: The only difference I would say is Iowans are really
- 29:31Speaker 7: feeling the urgency now. February is just around the corner
- 29:34Speaker 7: and we've Want to make sure we have as many
- 29:36Speaker 7: people in our corner on caucus night as possible. So
- 29:39Speaker 7: in October. is definitely definitely in effect. But we're just
- 29:42Speaker 7: giving more responsibility to those people that we did have
- 29:46Speaker 7: coffees with beforehand, making sure that they are trained and
- 29:49Speaker 7: able to talk to their neighbors about about Elizabeth.
- 29:52Speaker 1: So those like early coffees, they really bear fruit.
- 29:55Speaker 4: Oh, yeah.
- 29:55Speaker 7: Yeah, it's definitely necessary. Definitely necessary because the saying is
- 30:00Speaker 7: come for the candidate, stay for the organizer. So we
- 30:02Speaker 7: want to make sure that they're bought into a little bit,
- 30:04Speaker 7: but also.
- 30:05Speaker 4: Us as well.
- 30:06Speaker 1: So you got a one the other day from a
- 30:09Speaker 1: woman who sold you deodorant at CVS. How'd that interaction go?
- 30:14Speaker 1: How do you get from like Old Spice to caucuses?
- 30:20Speaker 7: Well, I just think that every moment is an opportunity
- 30:22Speaker 7: to organize things. every single person we talk to is a,
- 30:25Speaker 7: is a potential supporter of ours. So yeah, I, I
- 30:28Speaker 7: wear my sticker around every, everywhere I go, my Elizabeth
- 30:31Speaker 7: Warren sticker in the hopes that someone will, someone will
- 30:34Speaker 7: notice me. And so I, um, yeah, I was just
- 30:38Speaker 7: replenishing my, my dove deodorant. And one of the, the
- 30:42Speaker 7: woman checking me out was like, Oh, Elizabeth Warren, like I've.
- 30:44Speaker 6: Heard of her.
- 30:45Speaker 7: And I'm like, really, what do you think? Um, and
- 30:49Speaker 7: so we just, sort of engaged in a conversation that way.
- 30:51Speaker 7: And by the end of it, she was all in
- 30:53Speaker 7: and committed and ready to participate in Noctober and knock
- 30:58Speaker 7: on some of her neighbor's doors.
- 31:00Speaker 1: Were there people behind you at line at CVS being like, yo,
- 31:02Speaker 1: can you just pay for the fucking deodorant? And like,
- 31:04Speaker 1: we're trying to get out here.
- 31:05Speaker 7: Actually, the person behind me committed as well. Yeah, it's
- 31:11Speaker 7: pretty awesome. And I think that Iowans are used to
- 31:14Speaker 7: it a little bit. It's a unique place. I organized
- 31:16Speaker 7: in Massachusetts for a little bit, and I'm not sure
- 31:18Speaker 7: if if that shit would fly.
- 31:21Speaker 1: I also noticed you got a precinct captain. I believe
- 31:25Speaker 1: your first precinct captain, a guy named Roy. You found
- 31:28Speaker 1: Roy riding his bike around Ames. Were you just sprinting
- 31:32Speaker 1: after this dude on a bike? How's that happen?
- 31:36Speaker 7: Now that we hired on more organizers and my turf
- 31:40Speaker 7: has sort of narrowed, I kind of see the same
- 31:42Speaker 7: people around quite often. He has this huge beard and
- 31:46Speaker 7: he always rides his bike around. And I was like,
- 31:48Speaker 7: this guy, I feel like I know he's liberal. Like,
- 31:52Speaker 7: I just had this sense. And so one time I
- 31:54Speaker 7: yelled out to him at a stoplight. And I was like,
- 31:58Speaker 7: do you like Elizabeth Warren? He was like, gave me
- 31:59Speaker 7: a thumbs up. So then I followed him to his destination.
- 32:07Speaker 6: Sorry, Roy.
- 32:07Speaker 7: I followed him to his destination. And this was about
- 32:10Speaker 7: the time of the second debate. So I invited him
- 32:12Speaker 7: to a debate watch party. And he kind of showed
- 32:14Speaker 7: up and we hit it off. And he became a
- 32:18Speaker 7: pretty consistent volunteer, very bought into Noctober, I will say.
- 32:22Speaker 7: And yeah, I recently made him my precinct captain for
- 32:27Speaker 7: caucus night, all because I found him riding his bike
- 32:30Speaker 7: around Ames. So yeah.
- 32:31Speaker 1: What is a precinct captain and why do they matter?
- 32:35Speaker 7: So we have roughly 1,700 precincts in Iowa and we
- 32:40Speaker 7: have to have leadership in each of those corners on
- 32:44Speaker 7: caucus night because we don't have 1,700 field organizers. And
- 32:48Speaker 7: so the people we meet and the relationships we form,
- 32:51Speaker 7: these are the people that are going to be representing
- 32:53Speaker 7: Elizabeth in our campaign on caucus night and persuading their
- 32:56Speaker 7: neighbors to come over to our corner.
- 32:58Speaker 1: So it's your unpaid army?
- 33:01Speaker 5: Yeah.
- 33:02Speaker 3: I mean, yeah.
- 33:03Speaker 1: So when I was there in August, everybody I talked
- 33:07Speaker 1: to was focused on electability, even though none of them
- 33:10Speaker 1: really know what it means. Are you still hearing a
- 33:13Speaker 1: lot of that, like, what I care about first, second,
- 33:16Speaker 1: and third is beating Trump and then issues? Or how
- 33:20Speaker 1: is that breakdown these days?
- 33:22Speaker 6: Yeah.
- 33:23Speaker 7: I mean, I will say people are really concerned with
- 33:26Speaker 7: beating Trump, and they want a candidate who's able to
- 33:30Speaker 7: do it. And for some reason, they think that the
- 33:32Speaker 7: only person who can go up against a straight white
- 33:35Speaker 7: man is a straight white man. And it's about... convincing
- 33:38Speaker 7: them that Elizabeth is the woman for the job. And
- 33:41Speaker 7: there's a huge percentage of the population that is not
- 33:44Speaker 7: politically engaged, specifically students who I organize. And the candidates
- 33:50Speaker 7: that I see exciting them are the progressive candidates like Elizabeth.
- 33:53Speaker 7: And I think those are the pockets of the electorate
- 33:56Speaker 7: that are going to change things. But I think people
- 33:58Speaker 7: are really, really scared. And they really want a candidate
- 34:03Speaker 7: who's going to be Trump.
- 34:04Speaker 6: Yeah.
- 34:06Speaker 1: So last time we talked, you know, This is a
- 34:08Speaker 1: big election. It's weighty stuff. You told us there were
- 34:11Speaker 1: times you felt like the weight of the world was
- 34:13Speaker 1: on your shoulders. Do you still feel that way? How
- 34:15Speaker 1: are you doing personally as this thing heats up?
- 34:19Speaker 7: I mean, it's hard. We all come at this for
- 34:22Speaker 7: deeply personal reasons. And I feel like I am in
- 34:26Speaker 7: a unique position where I was able to take a
- 34:29Speaker 7: year off of college and move out to Iowa to
- 34:32Speaker 7: fight for this. And I have a responsibility to leverage
- 34:36Speaker 7: my privilege to... provide opportunities for people who grew up
- 34:40Speaker 7: in similar situations as me. And, you know, so yeah, no,
- 34:43Speaker 7: I still feel like that. I still feel, you know,
- 34:46Speaker 7: like the weight of the weight of the world is
- 34:49Speaker 7: kind of on our shoulders. And a lot of America
- 34:52Speaker 7: is relying on us.
- 34:55Speaker 1: Olivia is 20 years old. Mitch Smith on the Booker
- 34:58Speaker 1: campaign is 24. They're working seven days a week. And
- 35:01Speaker 1: these are long days because what happens in Iowa could
- 35:04Speaker 1: determine who wins the 2020 election. This marathon primary has
- 35:08Speaker 1: turned into a sprint until the February 3rd caucuses. And then,
- 35:12Speaker 1: hopefully for all these campaigns, beyond that. Every time I
- 35:17Speaker 1: talk with a field organizer, whether it's Mitch or Olivia
- 35:20Speaker 1: or the folks I've met on the Harris campaign or
- 35:22Speaker 1: Mayor Pete's campaign or Biden's or anyone else, I just
- 35:26Speaker 1: keep feeling like I want them all to win. Which
- 35:29Speaker 1: I said to Norm Sterzenbach, who is Beto O'Rourke's state
- 35:31Speaker 1: director in Iowa. Yeah, and.
- 35:36Speaker 5: Knock on wood, at the end of the day, they
- 35:38Speaker 5: all will because it's about where we end up next year.
- 35:43Speaker 5: I mean, one of these candidates is going to be
- 35:46Speaker 5: our nominee and that candidate is going to be stronger
- 35:49Speaker 5: because they've gone through all of this. And then when
- 35:53Speaker 5: all of these kids then go work for that candidate
- 35:56Speaker 5: in whatever state or whatever capacity, it's going to be
- 35:59Speaker 5: an army of amazing people.
- 36:04Speaker 1: Next time, we're going to join that army We'll keep
- 36:07Speaker 1: hanging out with these field organizers, and we'll get a
- 36:09Speaker 1: better understanding of what it really takes to get Iowans
- 36:12Speaker 1: to commit to a candidate. And we'll talk about why
- 36:15Speaker 1: Iowa going first might actually be a terrible idea. I'm
- 36:21Speaker 1: Tommy Vitor. This series is produced by Kat Aaron. Production
- 36:24Speaker 1: help from Justine Daum and Agarenish Ashagre. Joel Lovell is
- 36:28Speaker 1: our editor. Music and mixing by Hannes Brown. The executive
- 36:32Speaker 1: producers at Pineapple Street Studios are Jenna Weiss-Berman and Max Linsky.
- 36:36Speaker 1: Thanks to Elena Schwartz and Nancy Rosenbaum. The audio of
- 36:39Speaker 1: the 2016 caucus in Polk County, Iowa is courtesy of C-SPAN.
- 36:43Speaker 1: A special thank you to Tanya Sominator, Sarah Wick, Michael Martinez,
- 36:47Speaker 1: Kyle Seglin, Ryan Semel, Nikki Fancy, and Jordan Silver from
- 36:50Speaker 1: the Crooked Media team. Tune in next week. We'll be
- 36:53Speaker 1: back in Iowa.