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Episode 292 - 6/4/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

• 0:18
  Hello, and welcome to episode 292 of the All Systems Go Sports
• 0:24
  Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
• 0:28
  I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on everyone?
• 0:36
  Happy Wednesday. It's officially hump day halfway
• 0:39
  through our work week in the first week of June.
• 0:43
  Before you know, it'll be Thirsty Thursday, Friday, and
• 0:45
  then another big weekend here guys upcoming.
• 0:47
  And then again, I like to get ahead of myself, at least know
• 0:50
  what's going on. We're grinding baseball.
• 0:51
  It's what we love to do. We're going to do it again
• 0:53
  today. But you know what?
• 0:54
  4th of July, Nathan's hot dog eating contest.
• 0:57
  Yes, I'm one of those weird people who loves betting on the
• 1:00
  hot dog contest. So before you know it, we'll
• 1:02
  have some fireworks and hot dogs going on and then my new book
• 1:06
  will come out August 12th. And then of course, before you
• 1:09
  know, we're going to have NFL and college football here.
• 1:11
  So I don't want to get too ahead of ourselves.
• 1:13
  You do have a lot of baseball, you have some NBA and NHL
• 1:16
  Stanley Cup Finals and NBA Finals, so a lot to get to as
• 1:20
  always in the world of sports. But for today, I do have another
• 1:23
  3 pack of MLB plays for you, including one short favorite and
• 1:29
  a couple bigger favorites that had some big, big line movement.
• 1:31
  And one in particular that I thought was a great example of
• 1:34
  how to use the Odds logic live odds page to identify Steam.
• 1:38
  We're going to talk about what is Steam?
• 1:40
  It's OK, You might hear me say it all the time.
• 1:42
  They got steam, big steam moves coming in, yadda, yadda, yadda,
• 1:45
  for your Seinfeld fans. But what does it actually mean
• 1:47
  and how can you identify it and locate it and take advantage of
• 1:50
  it? So I do want to hit on that,
• 1:52
  which will be one of the plays here for tonight.
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  Then of course, just seeing if we can eke out another winning
• 1:56
  Day, 2IN1 last night, so we're able to kept our keep our
• 2:00
  winning vibes going. And again, chipping away at MLB.
• 2:04
  You know, you look at yesterday's podcast, what was
• 2:06
  it? 2 and 1 + 0.47 units.
• 2:09
  That's actually Monday, last night, another 2 and 1 + 0.41
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  units. So some people might scoff at,
• 2:15
  hey, 1/4 of a unit here, 1/4 of a unit there.
• 2:18
  I don't scoff at that. The goal of baseball is it's a
• 2:21
  volume sport. There's a lot of games every
• 2:23
  single day for a very long, long season.
• 2:25
  So if you can just consistently stack limit your big losing
• 2:28
  days, you know, hey, it's happened to us.
• 2:30
  O and three, O and five. That happens sometimes and you
• 2:32
  really get frustrated by it. But the goal is to just chip
• 2:35
  away at as many positive nights as you possibly can and then see
• 2:38
  where it all stacks up at the end of the year.
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  So as I mentioned, second straight winning day, we'll take
• 2:43
  it 2 and 1 + 0.41 units. Last night we had the Cubbies
• 2:47
  come through Bigley for the team.
• 2:49
  They poured it on late. They're actually down, I think
• 2:51
  were they down 1 nothing or two? Nothing there early and then
• 2:54
  their bats came alive. Cubbies got a nice win for us
• 2:56
  and then Tampa Bay Rays. Rays got it done.
• 2:59
  That was basically a nothing nothing game.
• 3:00
  One nothing game and then their bats came alive, I think 7th,
• 3:03
  8th inning. So I was great to see.
• 3:05
  Only loser was probably the game you didn't expect to lose.
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  Detroit Tigers, they've been so good this year.
• 3:10
  Lost 8 to 1. So what are you going to do?
• 3:12
  Hey, sometimes even a blind squirrel finds a nut with the
• 3:15
  White Sox in that one. And what are you going to do?
• 3:18
  Hey not doesn't happen often, but either way you make 3 bets,
• 3:21
  go 2 and one. That's always our goal.
• 3:23
  And I always see on Twitter like people are like, oh let's let's
• 3:26
  crush the box, let's sweep the board.
• 3:28
  I just think you set yourself up for disappointment there.
• 3:30
  It's always about grinding. Never be too arrogant or cocky,
• 3:34
  even when you're hot. You know, we're grinding some of
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  these two and one days winning days.
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  Doesn't mean we get cocky and then bet seven games a night
• 3:40
  because we want to get more money.
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  No, we just stick to what's working and continue to
• 3:44
  consistently sharp but disciplined grinders with
• 3:47
  blinders as an old friend of mine, Danner B, once said to me.
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  So anyway guys, 3 pack of plays for today and then we'll see if
• 3:54
  we can post another winning day, which is always the goal.
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  So without further ado, let's get right into it.
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  Doing what we love to do, betting on data-driven, sharp,
• 4:02
  contrarian MLB plays. I will mention just real quick
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  the NHL Stanley Cup opener today.
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  I didn't play it, but I did see you had Edmonton fall a little
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  bit. I think the Oilers were one
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  point -125 they're down to like -120 -, 115.
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  I did see a little bit of money hit under 6 1/2, saw that line
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  get back down to six. So whatever you do in the NHLI,
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  wish the best of luck to you As a Bruins fan, I'm rooting for
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  the Florida Panthers because I love Brad Marshall and I want
• 4:29
  him to host hoist another Cup. So again, whether you play a
• 4:33
  side or a total, good luck tonight, but I'm going to stick
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  to baseball here. So with that being said, let's
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  dive right in. First bet on the board for me,
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  6:45 PM Eastern Time. First pitch going right back to
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  the nation's capital, Washington Nationals hosting the Chicago
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  Cubbies. So let's set the stage here.
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  Talk some line movement. I'll give you my play for this
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  one. Now going into it, we have seen
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  the Cubs who are 38 and 22 take the opener last night for us,
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  which was great. 8 to 3 winner taking care of business as a -,
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  145 Rd. favorite. For tonight, we do have the Cubs
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  going with the lefty Matthew Boyd.
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  He's five and two with a three-point O 8 ERA.
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  I was good offseason pick up lefty and the Nationals, by the
• 5:13
  way, 28 and 32. They're going to counter with
• 5:15
  fellow young gun southpaw Mackenzie Gore.
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  He's two and five with a 3.16 ERA.
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  So what have you seen across the market for this one?
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  Well, we saw the Chicago Cubs open as low as a -, 125 Rd.
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  favorite Nationals around a + 110 home dog.
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  And you know what the wise guys are saying?
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  They're saying, hey, Cubs are a good team.
• 5:34
  That's a short number. Let's ride the hot hands.
• 5:36
  So we've seen some money hit the Cubbies here steaming up Chicago
• 5:39
  -125 up to -135 some shops even as high as -140 you should still
• 5:45
  be able to get a -, 135. I saw ESPN bet and Caesar's
• 5:49
  still have that number. But again, shop around because
• 5:51
  some books closer to -140 but I laid it with the Cubs -135 I
• 5:55
  like that line move to start with.
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  Now let's layer on a couple other factors here to support
• 6:00
  Chicago. Well, one good bet split.
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  If you look at DraftKings right now, the Cubbies 78% of money
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  line bets, 82% of money line dollars and then out at Circa in
• 6:10
  Vegas, 60% of money line bets, nearly 70% of money line
• 6:15
  dollars. So you have both DraftKings and
• 6:17
  Circa, the national public DraftKings as well as Sharp
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  Wiseguy book out in Vegas, which you never been a Circa.
• 6:24
  You got to get out there. It's awesome.
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  I've been there many times, but both low bets, higher dollar
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  splits, pro and Joe action in favor of Chicago, which also
• 6:31
  lines up with that line move toward Chicago.
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  Now we do have Chicago as a non division favorite.
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  So lack of familiarity benefiting quote UN quote the
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  better team. And also we have a sweet spot
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  non division Rd. favorite when you are between -135 and -160 as
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  a quote UN quote sweet spot when you're a non division favorite
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  like the Cubs in the spot. Those teams are 38 and 2066
• 6:54
  percent, 10% ROI this year. Chicago, I'm going to lean on
• 6:58
  their bats. I'm hoping Kyle Tucker is in
• 7:01
  this game tonight. I got nervous because he was not
• 7:03
  in the lineup yesterday, which is why you saw that line dip a
• 7:04
  little bit away to the Cubbies. I think he's got a finger issue
• 7:08
  again, I hope he plays tonight. But we do have Chicago with the
• 7:11
  better bats overall. They're hitting 262 on the year,
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  81 homers, 349 runs scored. You know, Washington hitting
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  24460 homers, 268 runs scored. Also, I did notice and it came
• 7:25
  through last night. Hope it comes through again
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  tonight. Cubbies hit very well on the
• 7:29
  road. We know they love Wrigley, very
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  carry. But we do have the Cubs hitting
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  277 on the road. That's the best in baseball.
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  Meanwhile, they're also hitting 261 against lefties.
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  Remember 2 lefties here tonight, Boyd and Gore, Cubs 261.
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  That's six best in baseball. That's only hitting 234 against
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  lefties. That ranks 17th.
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  Chicago also has the better bullpen team, ERA of 3.57.
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  Nice to see Presley, you know, hammer down the win last night
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  and not blow it as he did prior this year for us.
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  But we have Washington with a 5.93 bullpen area that is the
• 8:04
  second worst in baseball in particular the Cubs.
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  Hope this continues. Knock on wood, but they really
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  cleaned up against quote UN quote, bad teams #1 when they're
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  a favorite just against anybody, they're the best chalk team in
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  baseball. When they're laying a minus
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  number, they've gone 29 and 1271 percent, 14% ROI.
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  Or, sorry, that's the second best chalk team in baseball.
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  But as a favorite against a below 500 team, the games you're
• 8:29
  supposed to win, they're 17 and 674 percent, 13% ROI.
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  Home Rd. We do have the Nats 13 and 15 at
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  home, losing record. Cubs 18 and 11 on the road.
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  So we've seen some line movement toward Chicago.
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  We have some really good bet splits.
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  Got a system match that I love. Better offense, better against
• 8:47
  lefties, hit very well on the road, better bullpen, great as a
• 8:51
  chalk favorite and against bad teams.
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  And then lastly, nothing crazy, but I popped open the Juice Reel
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  app found a 5% sharp mush edge on the Cubs.
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  So 5% more of the sharper winning batters are going Cubs
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  as opposed to the more profit division betters who are leaning
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  more on Washington. So add it all up here guys.
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  Cubs are the good, good spot for us.
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  Hopefully in a data-driven play. I got the Cubs -135 next one for
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  you. Let's go to the Bronx.
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  Cleveland Guardians visiting the New York Yankees, 7 O 5:00 PM
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  Eastern Time, First pitch. We have the Yankees 37 and 22 on
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  the year. They won last night's series
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  opener three to two, cashed as a -, 200 home favorite.
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  So in the rematch here for tonight, we got the Guardians
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  who are 32 and 27, going with the righty Luis Ortiz.
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  He's two and six with a 4.4 OERA.
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  Yankees, meanwhile, are going to go with the righty Clark
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  Schmidt. He's two and two with a 3.95
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  ERA. So what have you seen across the
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  market here? Well, this game opened New York
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  around a -, 175 home favorite, Cleveland around a + 145 Rd.
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  dog. And even though that's a big
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  number, sharps don't seem to be scared off by that big number.
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  Sharps have been hammering the Yankees.
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  Yankees have gotten steamed up -175 all the way up to -190 Some
• 10:09
  shops even closing in on -200 now.
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  I jumped on the Yankees at -185 again.
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  Shop around. I think your best price I
• 10:17
  believe is -190 right now at Bet MGM.
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  But a couple things like about the Yankees.
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  Aside from that good steam in their favor.
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  They are getting 87% of money line bets and 90% of money line
• 10:29
  dollars at DraftKings and then at circa 91% of bets, 99% of
• 10:34
  dollars. So both books are showing a
• 10:37
  really good heavy one way low bets, higher dollars.
• 10:40
  Pro and Joe split in favor of the Yankees.
• 10:42
  Hopefully earn a win tonight. I have a lot of system matches
• 10:46
  on the Yankees. Again, I don't love laying -185
• 10:48
  -, 1 nineties, but I will lay them like the Dosakis guy.
• 10:51
  I don't always drink Dosakis because when I do, you know, I
• 10:55
  want to get get a big favorite that at least has a lot of
• 10:57
  system matches. So I have 9 system matches lit
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  up on the Yankees tonight. Here's some of the best ones.
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  Non division home favorites off a win with steam $0.05 or more.
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  Those teams are 96 and 49 this year, 66% with a 4% ROI.
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  Home favorites with a line move in their direction who also made
• 11:17
  the playoffs the previous year. Those teams are 141 and 5869%
• 11:23
  with a 10% ROI. And then if you isolate home
• 11:26
  favorites who made the playoffs the previous year in which
• 11:28
  they're laying a bigger number, so -185 or more, those teams are
• 11:32
  77 and 20 this year, nearly 80% with a 13% ROI.
• 11:37
  So those are all lighting up on New York.
• 11:40
  We do have the classic non division favorite value as well.
• 11:43
  Lack of familiarity benefiting quote UN quote.
• 11:45
  The better team who's expected to win.
• 11:47
  Yankees offense hopefully shows up tonight, gets to Ortiz.
• 11:51
  They're hitting 258 on the year, 97 homers, 322 run scored.
• 11:56
  Guardians are only hitting 234 with 61 homers and 237 run
• 12:00
  scored. I do want to fade Ortiz.
• 12:03
  He has a 6.39 ERA on the road versus 2.22 at home.
• 12:08
  So he's been good at home but just gotten roughed up on the
• 12:10
  road. Hope that continues tonight.
• 12:12
  And by the way, Cleveland is just one and four in his last
• 12:14
  five starts. I want to fade Ortiz, but I do
• 12:17
  want to back Clark Schmidt tonight.
• 12:18
  Clark Schmidt posted a 3.14 ERA in five May starts.
• 12:23
  Pitched well. You only give up tenor and runs
• 12:25
  in 28.2 and he's pitched and he's also been better at home
• 12:29
  than on the road. At home. 3.18 ERA versus 4.79 on
• 12:33
  the road. And we do have some home Rd.
• 12:35
  splits in favor of New York. I believe New York is the 6th
• 12:38
  best home team in baseball. They're 19 and 9 at home.
• 12:41
  The Guardians are just 15 and 16 on the road.
• 12:44
  So even though it's a big number, it's gotten steamed up
• 12:46
  further toward the Yankees. We got some system matches
• 12:49
  lighting up here and we do have the better bats and hopefully
• 12:53
  again, Schmidt greater than Ortiz.
• 12:56
  So add it all up here, guys. I got the Bronx bombers -185
• 13:00
  again, I think your best price is -190 but shop around because
• 13:03
  some books are inching toward -200 last bit of the night.
• 13:07
  The the game that I want to use as another example of why you
• 13:10
  have to give odds logic a shot because it's the best live odds
• 13:13
  platform around. But this is a 10 O 5:00 PM
• 13:16
  Eastern Time, first pitch, the Minnesota Twins visiting the
• 13:19
  Oakland Athletics. There you go, I did it again.
• 13:21
  The Sacramento A's before they become the Vegas A's, but
• 13:25
  setting the stage here for this one.
• 13:26
  The Twins 33 and 27 on the year. They won the first two games of
• 13:30
  this four-game series. They won the opener, 3:50 as a
• 13:34
  -, 165 Rd. favorite. Then they won again yesterday,
• 13:37
  2:50 as a -, 210 Rd. favorite. Pitching match up tonight we got
• 13:41
  the Twins going with the ready Zebby Matthews O and 16.43 RA.
• 13:46
  The A's who are 23 and 39 are going to go with the lefty
• 13:50
  Jeffrey Springs. He's five and four with a 4.72
• 13:53
  ERA. So we seen across the market in
• 13:56
  this one. Well, this is all about steam,
• 13:58
  baby. So let's talk a little bit about
• 14:00
  steam. Minnesota Twins open as a -, 135
• 14:04
  Rd. favorite. The A's around a + 115 home dog.
• 14:08
  And it looks like sharps very clearly are laying it with
• 14:11
  Minnesota to keep the good vibes rolling.
• 14:13
  Or good times rolling I should say.
• 14:15
  But they've gotten down hard on the Twins steaming Minnesota up
• 14:18
  -135 up to -175. That's when I wrote the Sharp
• 14:23
  report earlier today I jumped on Minnesota at -160 and right now,
• 14:29
  man, this is a good thing and a bad thing.
• 14:31
  Good thing that they keep getting hammered.
• 14:33
  Bad thing. If you haven't bet it yet, looks
• 14:35
  like your best number I believe is -188 at FanDuel, some shops
• 14:39
  as high as -195 but all that movement toward Minnesota tells
• 14:44
  me we got a ton of steam hitting the Twins.
• 14:46
  Now here's why I wanted to just again highlight and and talk
• 14:50
  about the odds logic live odds page because I talked about it
• 14:53
  with you guys every day. You know, you can always give it
• 14:55
  a 7 day free trial and 50% off your first month by going to
• 14:58
  oddslogic.com/josh 123. But here's the example.
• 15:04
  I was writing the sharp report for visen.com earlier today.
• 15:07
  I think it was maybe 10:30 in the morning.
• 15:09
  And I have, you know, my, my article that I'm writing with
• 15:12
  all my different tabs and then I have, I'll take you into my home
• 15:16
  studio a little bit. I got 2 monitors.
• 15:17
  You got to have two monitors. That just makes your life so
• 15:19
  much easier. But anyway, my monitor on the
• 15:21
  right, I have odds logic in front of me, all the baseball
• 15:25
  games. And I noticed that the Minnesota
• 15:29
  Athletics game, every single number got lit up in red.
• 15:33
  Like out of nowhere, Like I'm sitting there looking at the
• 15:35
  board, not much is going on. And then boom, all these numbers
• 15:39
  start to change. All the odds get lit up in red.
• 15:43
  So the first thing I noticed at the time I wanted to say they
• 15:46
  were around -160 and I saw every line or every odd from any book
• 15:52
  on Minnesota, immediately get up to -170 -, 172 -175 S as soon as
• 16:00
  you saw that. Like this is a great part of the
• 16:02
  Odds Logic live odds page. All these color-coded
• 16:05
  timestamps. So the page obviously is in real
• 16:08
  time, there's no delay. All these direct feeds are to
• 16:11
  the book. And as soon as the book changes
• 16:13
  the number, it gets lit up on your odds logic page.
• 16:16
  But as soon as I saw that, I said, OK, here we go, we got
• 16:18
  Steam hitting Minnesota. Steam, if you don't know, is a
• 16:22
  sudden overload of sharp action across the entire marketplace,
• 16:26
  forcing the entire market to move.
• 16:28
  Steam is not just when one book moves, it's when the entire
• 16:31
  market moves. That really tells you there's a
• 16:32
  consensus. You know, syndicates or wise
• 16:34
  guys are putting down big amounts, causing the whole
• 16:37
  market to adjust. So as soon as I saw that, I
• 16:40
  said, oh, Minnesota's getting hit.
• 16:43
  Now here's the key. Once it gets lit up and you know
• 16:45
  that it's moving, if you want to play the Steam.
• 16:48
  And the key with Steam is that it's it's an indication of smart
• 16:51
  money, but you got to get the triggering number.
• 16:54
  Like if you're late to the party, get the worst of it.
• 16:56
  That's not really the goal. The goal is to identify the
• 16:58
  steam and then with the odds logic, live odds page, look at
• 17:02
  every single number and find a number that hasn't moved yet.
• 17:04
  Because you're going to get your big books like Chris Pinnacle,
• 17:08
  you know, circa bet online, your big global ones, your sharp
• 17:11
  books, they're going to move first because they're the first
• 17:14
  ones getting hit because they have they cater to sharp betters
• 17:17
  who have, who have high limits. But then you look at the other
• 17:19
  books, your smaller books, you know, your, I'm not going to say
• 17:23
  FanDuel and DraftKings are small, but like books that are
• 17:26
  maybe not quite market setters, but quote UN quote move on air.
• 17:29
  So they're moving not because they got hit by money, but
• 17:31
  because the whole markets moving.
• 17:32
  They want to be with basically the herd.
• 17:35
  So you got to look for a book that hasn't adjusted yet.
• 17:37
  And at the time, when I saw Minnesota get steamed up -160 to
• 17:40
  -175 the whole board lit up. I found that bet MGM was still
• 17:45
  at -160 So that's what I did. I hopped on Minnesota at -160.
• 17:50
  Now, how would I have known that if I didn't have the odds logic
• 17:53
  live odds page, you know, again, I would have been behind the 8
• 17:56
  ball. That's how odds logic can help
• 17:57
  you win. Now, the Twins could still lose
• 17:59
  and it may not matter, but again, hopefully they win
• 18:01
  tonight. And that's really how you can
• 18:03
  take advantage of the the, the colors lighting up telling you
• 18:07
  that the markets moving. And if you want to play it, you
• 18:10
  have about a 32nd window before it gets adjusted.
• 18:13
  So again, another example of how to identify steam with the odds
• 18:16
  logic live odds page. Again, now this line is upwards
• 18:19
  of -190 so again, shop around, try to find the lowest number.
• 18:23
  I did notice that circa over 90% of money line bets in dollars
• 18:26
  around Minnesota. So heavy smart money hitting the
• 18:28
  Twins. Twins do have that non division
• 18:31
  favorite value, lack of familiarity benefiting quote UN
• 18:34
  quote the better team. And the Twins have done very
• 18:36
  well against quote UN quote bad teams.
• 18:39
  When they play a below 500 team, they are 13 and 4.
• 18:44
  When they're favored against a below 500 team. 77 percent, 23%
• 18:49
  ROI. Twins going to bank on their
• 18:51
  pitching here. Hopefully Matthews keeps us in
• 18:53
  this one. Has a team ERA that Minnesota
• 18:56
  does of 3.17 out of the bullpen. That's the 4th best bullpen in
• 19:01
  baseball. 6.34 for the A's. That's the worst in baseball.
• 19:05
  Also last 10 days team ERA of 3.79 for Minnesota.
• 19:10
  Athletics have a team ERA of 8.79.
• 19:14
  Look at night games. This is I just look for
• 19:16
  discrepancy, something that jumps out to me.
• 19:18
  I didn't notice. Minnesota is 18 and 10 at night.
• 19:21
  The A's are 15 and 24 at night. So hopefully, you know,
• 19:26
  Wednesday Night Lights in the Sacramento Stadium benefit
• 19:29
  Minnesota and the A's are only 9 and 21 at home.
• 19:33
  Second worst home record in baseball.
• 19:35
  And I put home in quotation marks because again, they're
• 19:37
  waiting to, you know, this is like AI don't know what do they
• 19:41
  call it? A halfway house before they go
• 19:43
  to Vegas and then lastly popped open Juice Reel 23% sharp mush
• 19:50
  edge in favor of the Twinkies here.
• 19:52
  So big steam that we identified from the odd logic live odds
• 19:56
  page. Good heavy splits on Minnesota
• 19:59
  system matches better pitching day night again like night
• 20:05
  performance really benefits the Twins.
• 20:06
  I'm going to continue to fade the A's here in this spot can be
• 20:09
  Minnesota again. I got the -160.
• 20:13
  Upwards of -190 now at this point, so 3 bets tonight, let's
• 20:16
  try to find a way to get 2 out of 3 eek out a winning night.
• 20:19
  That is the goal. So that about does it for
• 20:22
  episode 292 of the All Systems Go Sports Betting podcast
• 20:26
  powered by Rhythm. This is the part of the pod, of
• 20:28
  course, where we wrap things up. And I start first as always, by
• 20:31
  saying thank you. Thank you for taking the time
• 20:34
  out of your day, out of your busy lives to pull up a chair to
• 20:36
  the virtual bar and sweat some sharp data-driven breakdowns
• 20:39
  with me. If you do enjoy the pod, if it's
• 20:41
  become part of your daily handicap, whether you're on the
• 20:44
  bus or at home or doing whatever, and you just put it on
• 20:47
  the background or maybe you, you know, pick out a better two.
• 20:50
  You want to, you want a tail or you can fade.
• 20:52
  You do whatever you like. But if you listen, I appreciate
• 20:54
  you. If you value the insights and
• 20:56
  want to help us grow the pod, could you think about giving it
• 20:59
  a five star review on Spotify or iTunes?
• 21:02
  Would go a long way to helping us to continue to grow the pod.
• 21:05
  If you want to leave a nice comment under the review
• 21:07
  section, I'll take it. If you want to click the follow
• 21:09
  button on Spotify or iTunes, that way you'll get alerted as
• 21:12
  soon as it drops each day. That would be awesome as well.
• 21:16
  Next, if you enjoy this style of betting breakdown, data-driven,
• 21:20
  sharp, contrarian betting, people always ask me like, who
• 21:22
  do you like tomorrow? And I'll say I don't know.
• 21:23
  I like whoever's sharp based on what the market is telling me.
• 21:26
  So if this approach has maybe solidified some things for you,
• 21:29
  hopefully you're starting to see some benefits of leaving your
• 21:32
  bias at the door, betting based on what the market is telling
• 21:35
  you, looking at bet splits, line movement, taking a contrarian
• 21:38
  approach, flat betting, not parlaying.
• 21:40
  If this style of betting is intriguing to you, or maybe you
• 21:44
  want to support the pod, or maybe there's someone in your
• 21:46
  life who you know bets on sports or wants to get into sports
• 21:48
  betting but has no freaking clue where to start.
• 21:51
  You know you should do. You should go to Amazon.com and
• 21:54
  type in the everything guide to sports betting.
• 21:57
  That's my first book I ever wrote.
• 21:58
  Very proud of it. It's great for new betters
• 22:01
  especially, but it's got everything I've learned in the
• 22:03
  industry. I've been working in sports
• 22:06
  betting since 2011. I guess I'm a veteran at this
• 22:08
  point. But anyway, it'll tell you and
• 22:11
  show you basically looking at line movement, how and why and
• 22:14
  how to read line movement, how to locate sharp action, how to
• 22:17
  go contrary and how to place a bet in person or online, how to
• 22:20
  shop for the best line, how to set up a bankroll management
• 22:22
  plan. It's all included in the
• 22:24
  Everything Guide to sports Betting.
• 22:26
  While you're on Amazon, then you should type in the NFL sharp
• 22:30
  betting playbook. That's my new book comes out
• 22:32
  August 12th. Cannot wait for you guys to
• 22:34
  check it out. I'm very proud of it and I must
• 22:37
  say I put a lot into it. So that's why I'm kind of
• 22:39
  excited for everyone to check it out.
• 22:42
  But it's all based on you know, how to bet the NFL from a
• 22:45
  data-driven perspective. So if you want to pre-order a
• 22:47
  copy of the NFL sharp betting playbook, you would make me very
• 22:50
  happy. You would make my publishers
• 22:52
  very happy and you can bring the everything guide in the Sharp
• 22:55
  playbook to the sports book. You can meet me at the the Nash
• 22:58
  in Nashville, New Hampshire. That's my local book now.
• 23:01
  And guess what? I'll sign them for you.
• 23:02
  Buy a beer or ginger ale. We'll get some nachos.
• 23:05
  We'll sweat some baseball together next.
• 23:08
  Have you downloaded Rhythm and Juice Real yet?
• 23:10
  My two favorite sports betting apps, Rhythm.
• 23:13
  Great job powering this pod, giving us AI backed models and
• 23:16
  predictions for game bets and player props.
• 23:18
  They have their brand new power trends, which are great if you
• 23:21
  want to bet NBA, you know, player props or MLB or WNBA is
• 23:26
  here. Of course, all located within
• 23:28
  the rhythm app and then of course Juice Reel.
• 23:31
  Juice Reel basically has so many different great benefits to it.
• 23:34
  The first one is if you enjoy the pod, I'm going to pass the
• 23:36
  hat. Anyone got a $5.00 bill they
• 23:38
  want to throw into the pod? Well, for $4.99 you can sign up
• 23:42
  to get the official best bet picks of the all Systems Go pod
• 23:45
  exclusively and only on the Juice Reel app.
• 23:48
  So I tweet about it each afternoon at Josh under score
• 23:51
  Insights with a link to the ASG Pods page or picks page, I
• 23:56
  should say on Juice Reel. You can also just download Juice
• 24:00
  Reel, click buy, sell bottom right corner and search ASG
• 24:03
  under score podcast. But again, you'll get every play
• 24:06
  for $4.99 a week. I consider it a tip jar.
• 24:09
  You like the pot, it's free. I'd love for you guys to sign up
• 24:12
  for that and hopefully you get good numbers like maybe when I
• 24:15
  put in Minnesota -160 you liked it and got the 160 again,
• 24:18
  hopefully get some CLV, but also Robo Jackson.
• 24:22
  Best bet picks each day provided by Juice Reel.
• 24:24
  The arbitrage plays, the sharp mush indicators.
• 24:27
  Shop for the best line future syncing up your sports books and
• 24:30
  get a running record of your action.
• 24:32
  It's all included in the Juice Reel app, so download Juice Reel
• 24:36
  and download Rhythm, give them a five star view in the App Store.
• 24:39
  Lastly, I mentioned it in with the example of the Twins game,
• 24:42
  but you got to have a live odds page.
• 24:44
  It's super, super important. I don't know how people bet
• 24:46
  without a live odds page, but you got to know, OK, the most
• 24:50
  basic question, what games are being played today?
• 24:52
  What sports are in action? What are all the start times?
• 24:55
  Live scoring Live in game wagering odds as soon as the
• 24:58
  games get going. Opening column never changes all
• 25:01
  the current numbers to the right.
• 25:02
  Track line movement, Identify steam, pull up the line history
• 25:06
  shop for the best price. All included when you sign up
• 25:09
  for Odds Logic. So I mentioned the link earlier,
• 25:11
  but if you want to give it a shot it's Odds logic.com/josh
• 25:16
  123. Odds logic.com/josh 1237 day
• 25:21
  free trial. 50% off your first month.
• 25:23
  So that about does it for episode 292 on a Hump Day
• 25:26
  edition of the ASG Pod. Again, we'll wrap it up here.
• 25:30
  I'll give you 2 final thoughts. One, whether I see you at the
• 25:33
  Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin River in Rhode Island, the Brook
• 25:36
  of New Hampshire, Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun down in Connecticut
• 25:39
  at the Encore in Boston or Plain Ridge Park Casino or MGM
• 25:42
  Springfield in my neck of the woods in Massachusetts, or the
• 25:45
  Nash, of course, in Nashua, NH. Brand new sparkling Nash.
• 25:49
  It's pretty nice and not going to lie.
• 25:51
  Or also out in the desert where the true grinders get down, or
• 25:53
  Billy Walters sends his number runners where the lowest juice
• 25:56
  possible is found at the South Point.
• 25:58
  Or sweat and sharp contrarian plays jumping in the stadium
• 26:00
  swimming pool. When you catch a big ticket at
• 26:03
  Circa, wherever it may be, you're going to walk up to me.
• 26:05
  Show me a Cubbies ticket for Harry Carey.
• 26:08
  Show me a race ticket. Whatever you do.
• 26:11
  Tigers, man, I'm not. I'm not upset because it's a
• 26:13
  winning night. 2 and 1 + 0.41 units.
• 26:16
  But man, Tigers getting rolled by the White Sox.
• 26:18
  I know my guy Daroush out there somewhere smiling or crying.
• 26:22
  I'm not sure he's a White Sox fan.
• 26:24
  But anyway, guys, show me a Cubs ticket.
• 26:25
  Race ticket. First one's on me, next one's on
• 26:28
  you. A post about the book, sweatshop
• 26:29
  and train plays all night long. So wish you the best of luck,
• 26:33
  everyone. As always, Two and one, one and
• 26:35
  two, three and OO and three again.
• 26:38
  The previous night's results should not talk us into or out
• 26:41
  of a bet the next day. We got to continue to grind
• 26:44
  whether we're hot and we're feeling good.
• 26:46
  Still don't want to get arrogant or think we're better than we
• 26:49
  are when we're cold and things aren't going our way.
• 26:51
  Don't get down on yourself. Always continue to grind the
• 26:54
  blueprint because remember, always playing a long game.
• 26:57
  If we can find those games that fit our model against the
• 26:59
  public, with the house, with the pros flatbed, avoid parlays and
• 27:03
  get that CLV. If we can do that long term, I'm
• 27:06
  pretty confident we're going to be successful sports bettors.
• 27:09
  So have a great Wednesday, everybody.
• 27:10
  Let's get some winners on the diamond and then we'll be right
• 27:12
  back at it tomorrow for episode 293, Thirsty Thursday edition of
• 27:17
  the All Systems Go Sports Betting podcast powered by
• 27:20
  Rhythm. Good luck everybody and enjoy
• 27:23
  the sweats on the diamond.