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Episode 14 - 4/2/24 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

0:19
Hello and welcome to episode 14 of the All Systems Go Sports
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Betting podcast Powered by Rhythm.
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I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on everyone?
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Happy Tuesday? We have a lot to get to today
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guys, because I have one of my most jam packed cards here in
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quite a while. A 7 pack of sweats for you
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today, including the return of some college basketball.
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No, not March Madness where basically all you have to do is
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just take the popular chalk every time you'll be a
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millionaire. Nope.
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We got the NIT semifinals, 2 big games here, so I'm looking at a
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money line and a spread bet. Also big day in Major League
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Baseball. Across the board.
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We have I believe 14 games to choose from and I have 4 best
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bets for you. Including, we have, let's see,
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three money lines as well as a total.
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I also want to mention what we've seen here so far when it
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comes to totals in baseball, and I'm kind of regretting that I
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haven't been on more of these but overs overs in Major League
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Baseball. I know it's a very small sample
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size. I tweeted this out for my
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account earlier today at Josh under score Insights on Twitter.
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But basically, if you had played every over so far in Major
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League Baseball 43 and 2266%, that is a 26% ROI.
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You'd be up 18 units. If one unit is like 100 bucks,
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that means if you had risked 100 bucks on each over if you played
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every single one. Obviously that'd be a a big
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sample size, even though it's kind of a small sample size from
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a time perspective. But if you bet every over,
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you're up $1800 risking 100 bucks every game.
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So just goes to show you that overs have been a good bet here
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to start, which is a little bit off the historical norm.
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Typically you see unders actually do a little bit better
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early in the season, bad weather.
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Typically pitching is above, you know, kind of a little bit ahead
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of the hitting. But no, not so far this year,
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Major League Baseball, a lot of overs have been coming through
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66%. I do have an over play for you
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here tonight in Major League Baseball and then we're going to
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finish up with some NHL. Got a big bet here late in the
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night. It is a big match up between
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Vancouver and the Vegas Golden Knights so I'm excited to share
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with you my best bet for that one.
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Now looking back toward yesterday guys, unfortunately
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unlucky, unlucky #13 with pod #13 for all systems go, nothing
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went our way last night. One and 4 -, 3.3 units.
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Now looking at our winners, the only one was the Red Sox.
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They came through was never really in jeopardy.
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There a rocking chair. Winner rocking chair by the way,
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is when you pretty much roll from start to finish and never
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have to sweat. So got that one.
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But the Rays let us down. The Rays had a sharp line move
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against the Texas Rangers. They got down early, kind of
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made it a little bit interesting at one point but end up losing
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against Texas. Actually beat the closing line a
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little bit on that one too. That's what made it even a
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little bit more frustrating because I got Tampa Bay at -125,
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they close -130, they get rolled.
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Same thing there with the Mets. Mets were sharp play and I was
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just, I was stat tracking watching this game and I'm like
3:11
can you just put up a single run?
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Like obviously the under was a great bet if you play the under,
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but this was a game that was nothing.
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Nothing 00 going into extra innings.
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Multiple opportunities for the Mets to get going and score one
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run and win the game for us. But that's baseball.
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They can't do a single thing and then they give up five runs in
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the 10th inning and lose 5. Nothing.
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So that one was frustrating. And then the D backs late night
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Diamondbacks getting a little plus money against the Yankees.
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Yankees. I guess they're just unbeatable
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right now. They are.
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What are they four and O 5 and O now.
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But Yankees won five to two and then our buy low over with the
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Bulls and the Hawks could not come through either After 62
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points in the first quarter they could not catch that over 221.
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So it came up short on that one. So rough night last night guys
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but guess what shooter. Shoot this is sports betting
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when it's difficult. You know, obviously we had our
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three day win streak last week where again the goal was to
4:03
continue to stack winning days. Well, when things aren't going
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well for you, when you have a down night, you can't get too
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crazy about it. You can't say F this, I'm going
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to double down, triple down. I just don't care anymore.
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I'm going to try to get it all back in one swoop.
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I'm going to parlay everything. No, we just keep grinding.
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We keep sticking with it and that sports betting.
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Why it can be frustrating because there are a lot of ebbs
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and flows. You know, it can be hot for a
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few days, you can be cold for a few days.
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But I think the important thing is, as the wise philosopher once
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said, the great Young Jeezy, the great Socrates, Scared money
4:33
don't make no money. So I'm excited to get right back
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at it today and claw back some units here after a frustrating
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night last night. One and 4 -, 3.3 units.
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So with that being said, let's starve it into our sweats here
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guys. I'm excited to start off talking
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some college basketball. And as I joked earlier, Nope,
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it's not March Madness. We have to wait until what is
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it, Saturday for the return of March Madness.
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But we have a couple games tonight in the NIT.
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So if you haven't been paying attention, the NIT obviously the
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other tournament that's going on right now we're down to the semi
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finals. We have two games here tonight
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back-to-back. So let's and actually have plays
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on both of them. So let's start off with Utah and
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Indiana State 7:00 game here tonight.
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Now both these games tonight are both going to be played at
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Hinkle Field House Indianapolis IN home of the Butler Bulldogs.
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So Utah comes in 22 and 14 they just crushed VCU 74 to 54 in the
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quarter finals. Meanwhile, Indiana State, we all
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know they're big guy with the goggles and the tattoos.
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Robbie Avila, he's been pretty awesome.
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They're 31 and six. They just outlasted since he
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remember we had Indiana State on the money line there came
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through 8581. So what do we see across the
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market here? Well the early move was toward
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Indiana State, so this game opened at a lot of shops.
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Indiana State -2 1/2 immediately got steamed up to -3 1/2.
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Now they're at 3 1/2. Starting to see a little buy
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back on Utah. And what's notable to me is not
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only, you know will this thing get back down to three 'cause
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there are a few shops here that are, you know, plus 3, 1/2, -,
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115 toward Utah looking like it may get back down to three.
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But the other angle here is that Indiana State probably because
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of our guy, our guy Robbie Avila, He is the kind of the,
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you know, the go to guy that everyone wants to sweat.
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He's kind of AI don't know a mini celebrity here but the big
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public plays Indiana State. They're getting 75% of spread
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bets tonight and the most heavily bet game of the night.
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So just from a contrarian standpoint, you know I want to
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bet against that 75%. And think of it this way.
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Indiana State open -2 1/2, They're up to -3 1/2.
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If you're betting Indiana State now on the money line or laying
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the 3 1/2, you're getting the worst of the number.
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So here's what I'm going to do. I'm going to buy low and grab
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the points with Utah. Couple reasons why Utah #1 super
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contrarian. Only getting 25% of bets
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tonight. So as a bet against the public
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better, I want to bet against the drunk guys at the bar who've
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been beating us in March Madness who say, yeah, just lay it with
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Indiana State. Lay it with the Sycamores.
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Nope, 75% on Indiana State. So I'm going to be on the 25%
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side but also a little buy back here.
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Maybe some 3 1/2 getting down to three.
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But here's really the angle that I'm going to focus on.
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Ken Palm has Indiana State winning, but just by one point.
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Ken Palm has Indiana State winning 84 to 83.
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So if we are getting an inflated contrarian plus 3 1/2 when Ken
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Palm's got a one point game, that's 2 1/2 points of
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actionable value there. Also we have Utah with a couple
7:19
advantages. They have the better defensive
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efficiency, 36th in the country versus one O 9th for Indiana
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State, better offensive rebound percentage, hopefully, you know
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beat up the Sycamores on the boards 28% verse 24%.
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Now in terms of another angle I was looking at is a size
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advantage for Utah. If you've never seen Utah play,
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they have a pair of seven footers in their starting
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lineup. Indiana State's two small two
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tallest starters are 610 and six eight.
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So if you look at the starters here for Indiana State
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610-510-6463, six eight, Utah 717 foot 6766 and six foot.
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Also you look at Utah, they have 4 seniors in their lineup and
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you have a bunch of underclassmen there for Indiana
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State. So kind of the experience as
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well as the height would match here with Utah as an advantage
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now. Did see some under money come
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here felt quite a bit 166 down to 162 1/2.
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It was actually 163 a little bit earlier.
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Today, 70% of bets, 75% of money is going under here.
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But if you're giving me the most heavily back game of the night
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and everyone and their mothers on Indiana State, hey, I'm going
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to automatically look to go contrarian with Utah.
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But I'm really banking on the the height advantage as well as
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the experience advantage. But most of all, it's the fact
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that Ken Palm, Ken Palm has a one point game.
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So one thing I mentioned, you know before NITCBI, all these
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tournaments, Of course March Madness is trying to get a Ken
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Palm edge in a contrarian spot. That's what we have here with
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Utah only getting 25% of bets. Ken Palm's got him losing by
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one. We can get an inflated 3 1/2.
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So that's what I'm doing. Give me Utah.
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Let's go Utes at plus 3 1/2. Keep on cruising.
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Next bet here, 930 game. Second part of this double
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header for the NIT semifinals, Georgia and Seton Hall.
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Now, as I mentioned, this will be played at Hinklefield House
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as well. Seton Hall comes in 23 and 12.
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They just crushed UNLV 91 to 60 in the quarterfinals.
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Georgia by the way, 20 and 16 just upset Ohio State 79 to 77.
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So what have we seen across the board here?
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Well, this line's moving towards Seton Hall.
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Seton Hall opened as a four point neutral site favorite.
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We've seen Seton Hall gets teamed up to -4, 1/2.
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See a couple books that are juiced up like maybe it goes to
9:32
five, but either way it's pretty much one sided movement in favor
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of Seton Hall. Really haven't had any buy back.
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Unlike Utah where you're juiced up and coming back maybe toward
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Utah has been one way in favor of Seton Hall.
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Now Seton Hall has a great bet split here.
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They're only getting 64% of bets but nearly 90% of the money on
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the spread. So modest public support but
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also heavy sharp action in the form of a low bets higher
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dollars bet split. Now Seton Hall.
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Bunch of advantages. Offensively, better offensive
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efficiency, 74th in the country versus one O 5th for Georgia.
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Better defensive efficiency, 44 versus 51.
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Better offensive rebound percentage.
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Big advantage here, 36% versus 27% and better free throw
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shooting which could be big in a tight game, 78% versus 72%.
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Now Ken Palm is Seton Hall winning by three, so if we're
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laying a 4 1/2 now, really not actual value.
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You could make the case that Georgia would be a value play
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getting 4 1/2. Ken Palm's got him by 3 1/2, but
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I don't want to go against that sharp move and good bet split
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towards Seton Hall. So I'm going to go money line
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here. I got Seton Hall in the money
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line at -180. Again shop around, you know some
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books are closer to -201 book. Earlier today was that I want to
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say -176. So again, make sure you have
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those multiple outs so you can get the best number here.
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But anyway, we're talking about just some supplementary factors
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here when it comes to Seton Hall or we're talking about Utah and
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Indian state kind of the experience and the height
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advantage. Well, if we get the advantage
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for Seton Hall, it's that they are a more veteran team.
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Seton Hall, all five of their seniors or sorry, all five of
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their starters are seniors. If you look at Georgia, Georgia
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has three freshmen in their starting lineup.
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So a bunch of freshmen versus all seniors.
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I'm going to go with the all seniors here again with the
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experience and then again think about, you know, I remember when
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I, here's my story like, yeah, when I played, yeah, I played
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baseball in high school and grew up playing baseball with all my
11:25
buddies growing up through, you know, Little League.
11:27
Of course, you know Babe Ruth, you know American Legion, we did
11:30
it all together. But I remember at the end in the
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Western mass playoffs, you know that those are our last games
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actually lost to Palmer in the Western mass semi finals.
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So I'll never get over that. But anyway, when you play with
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your boys, you're all seniors. It's kind of like, hey we let's
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win it, let's go out on top. We don't want to lose and have
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our careers and this experience end.
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So I'm going to put a little bit of stock into the fact that
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Seton Hall again is all 5 seniors versus Georgia 3
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freshmen. Now we did see a little bit of
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money hit the over here 144 1/2. Some works are up to 145 and a
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half. 56% bet, 60% money is on the over.
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We Add all up here guys I want to be with the sharp move on
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Seaton. I'm not I don't want to lay the
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4 1/2 now because it's moved a little bit and Ken Palm has a
12:09
three-point win. So I'm going to go money line.
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I got Seton Hall let's go Pirates on the money line at
12:15
-180. Keep on cruising.
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Let's go over to MLB first but on the board here for Major
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League Baseball for me early game.
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So we got to get this pot out here in time so you can listen
12:25
to the cap and you know figure out whether you want to ride
12:27
with me or not. But Minnesota, Milwaukee, 4:10
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PM Eastern Time, first game here of the day in Milwaukee pitching
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match up here we have Varland going for Minnesota four and
12:40
three 4.63 ERA last year as a starter versus Jacob Junis going
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for Milwaukee who's four and three 3.87 ERA.
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What have we seen across the market here?
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Well dog to fave line move in favor of Milwaukee.
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I'm going brew crew here, let's make some beer.
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This game opened with the twins listed as a very short favorite
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twins about you know -110 -, 115.
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We've now flipped all the way to Milwaukee around -115.
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I see some looks even closer to like -120.
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So pretty good one sided movement in favor of Milwaukee
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here. Now if you look at, aside from
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the dog to fave line move, one good system match I have here is
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if both teams had the day off the previous day.
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Take the favorite. Very simple.
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But both Minnesota and Milwaukee did not play yesterday.
13:24
They're obviously playing today, but in that situation, both had
13:27
the day off. Take the favorite, it's four and
13:29
one this year and it is 443 and two 6463% since 2020.
13:35
Nothing huge but a 4% ROI. That has been a winning system
13:39
match. Now Milwaukee's getting around
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70% of bets but nearly 90% of the money.
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So kind of tells us maybe a pro and Joe Bets split on Milwaukee
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here. Milwaukee's off to a good start.
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They swept the Mets. But if you look at the Bats I'm
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going to bank on both the bats in the pitching of Milwaukee
13:53
hopefully showing up. The bats are hitting three O 3
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for the Brew Crew. Only 210 for Minnesota.
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Also good pitching staff here, 26 point 2.67 ERA verse 44.15
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for Minnesota. But we add it all up here guys.
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We got a good system match. Both had the day off.
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Take the favorite. We have a dog to fave line move.
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We got the better bats now. Would also be a system match
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here of a interleague play. Take the favorite lack of
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familiarity benefiting the benefiting the better team.
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Add it all up. Looks like the Brew Crew are
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sharp today. Guys.
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I want to be with this sharp line move.
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I'm riding Milwaukee, you got the Brew Crew at -115.
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Keep on cruising. Next one for you.
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KC Baltimore going with the OS here guys.
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Let's go. Baltimore saw a good sharp steam
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move on Baltimore they open as low as -150 up to around -165,
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some shops closer to -170. So pretty good steam in favor of
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Baltimore. Now the pitching match up.
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Here you have Alec Marsh going for KC three and nine 5.69 ERA
14:52
last year. Cole Irvin lefty going for
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Baltimore. He's one and four 4.42 ERA but
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Marsh high ERA. He's been getting knocked
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around. I'm hoping the bats of Baltimore
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really gets him here tonight. Around 90% of bets.
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So it's a public play. Again, baseball isn't as public
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of a sport but more than 95% of the money is on Baltimore and
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really it's that line move. You know that's what is that
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1520 cents team move in favor of Baltimore -150 closer to -170.
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They would match as a non division favorite.
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So non division favorite, especially non division favorite
15:23
off a win that also match with Baltimore.
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Lack of familiarity benefiting the better team, but I'm going
15:28
to bank on the bats once again here.
15:30
Really a big advantage with Baltimore.
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They're hitting 267 as a team. Only 2:30 for KC.
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Baltimore scored 31 runs this year, only 17 for Kansas City
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and I'm a little bit better of a team ERA 3.25 versus 3.82.
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Also good home plate up again. Umpires cherry on top.
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No, not the main reason you bet a game but Brian O'nora is about
15:51
55% historically to the home team.
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Solid match with Baltimore and then look a little looking at a
15:57
home Rd. advantage here in favor of Baltimore against KC.
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Baltimore last year was 49 and 32.
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At home Kansas City was 23 and 58.
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So we got a good steam move here toward the OS.
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O's are a team that, hey, I'm holding that over.
16:10
Win total over. Was it 89, 1/2 or 90?
16:14
They're off to a good start this year.
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Let's hope it continues. I'm on Baltimore shop round.
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I got the O's at -165. Next bet for you.
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The only team that came through for us.
16:25
If it ain't broke, don't fix it. I'm going back to the well with
16:28
the Boston Red Sox. Give me the Sox here guys.
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Now I'm not going to call the Red Sox a sharp bet.
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They're more of a value played to me because they don't have a
16:35
line move starting to creep back in their direction.
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The Red Sox actually opened at some shops as high as I saw
16:42
openers like -150. Somewhere around there it got
16:45
down to around -140, but now it's starting to creep back up
16:49
toward -150. So this has kind of been all
16:51
over the place, but doesn't change my opinion in terms of a
16:54
value play versus sharp bet. Now you look at the pitching
16:57
match up, big advantage here, hopefully to the Red Sox.
17:00
Brian Baio going for Boston. Young stud here.
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He's their ace. He's their young young starting
17:06
pitcher who just got a big contract for the season started
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but he is 1 and O 3.6 OERA so far to start the year.
17:13
He had a win on opening day. He's going up against Alex Wood
17:16
lefty for Oakland O and 116.2. OERA got lit up in his first
17:21
start. Now don't have a huge line move
17:24
but system match to the Red Sox non division Rd. favorite off a
17:28
win. It's a play that we actually
17:30
matched last night with Boston came through for us last night
17:33
let's see if we can do it again. But non division Rd. favorite
17:35
off a win four and one this year it is 518 and three 4160% here
17:41
and that is since I believe 2020 or actually 2021.
17:46
So it's been a good angle historically to back matching
17:48
here of course with the Red Sox now Red Sox much better hitting
17:53
234 versus 200. They've scored 23 runs versus
17:56
only 11 for Oakland and team ERA.
17:58
This is what's really surprised me about my Red Sox.
18:00
You're pitching great. I don't want to jinx them knock
18:03
on wood. But 1.42 ERA versus 6.4 O for
18:07
Oakland. So Sox coming off a big win last
18:10
night 9 nothing. Let's see if they can keep it
18:12
rolling. Another non division Rd.
18:13
favorite off win system match. Not a sharp bet because line did
18:16
dip a little bit toward Oakland but now it's starting to come
18:19
back toward the Red Sox. Shop around.
18:20
I got the Red Sox at -140 last bet of the night for you in
18:25
Major League Baseball and then I got a big bet here for a hockey
18:28
game tonight. But we're going to go to a 9:40
18:32
Eastern Time. First pitch here, Cleveland and
18:34
Seattle. Now this one.
18:36
Last night if you missed it, you had Seattle win 5 to 4 and
18:41
tonight pretty good pitching matchup.
18:43
Shane Bieber, the Biebs one and O 0.00 ERA.
18:47
He had a shutout in his first start or didn't give up a run in
18:51
his first start. He'll be all up against Luis
18:53
Castillo who's O and one with a 7.2 OERA.
18:57
Now the lines dipped a little bit toward Cleveland.
18:59
You know, some of these shops at one point I think were -120 ish
19:03
falling a little bit. Seattle favored.
19:06
No, now they're down to like -115 at some shops.
19:09
But I'm going to target the total in this one.
19:10
And I let off the pod telling you about obviously that that
19:14
crazy start to the season for overs.
19:16
Overs are 66%. Here's the over to me that is
19:19
the play of the night. Doesn't mean you bet 5 units on
19:21
it. No, it just means that, hey,
19:22
this is a system match. Let's give it a shot.
19:25
Let's try to get eight runs or more.
19:26
So why is this a system match? Number one, aside from just
19:29
these overs cashing 2/3 of the time?
19:32
Look at the juice on this one. Bieber and Castillo.
19:34
Yes, they're two good pitchers, but this total open at 7:00 and
19:37
it's been juiced up the entire time, 7 / -, 115, seven over
19:41
-120. There's never been any, you
19:44
know, dog to favour flip juice like they're juicing the under
19:47
7, under -115 -, 120. No, it's always been juiced up
19:51
pointing toward the over hinting at going to 7 1/2.
19:54
So we have some liability juice to the over.
19:56
Also, you look at the wind blowing out.
19:59
This is a wind blowing out system match as of right now,
20:01
Safeco or it's not Safeco anymore.
20:03
What's it called? T-Mobile Stadium.
20:06
It's going to be about 55°, a little bit cloudy, but the wind
20:10
is blowing out about 15 mph to dead center.
20:13
So hopefully the roof stays open, but we have wind blowing
20:15
out. We also have Cleveland, who is
20:18
one of the best over teams to start the season.
20:20
They're four and one to the over, and also, hopefully, a
20:22
taxed bullpen. If you look at last night,
20:24
Cleveland starter Mackenzie only went 3.1 innings.
20:28
Hancock went 5.1. So he's a little bit better,
20:30
obviously for Seattle, but hopefully some taxed bullpens.
20:35
Cleveland's a good over team winds blowing out.
20:37
We have juice liability over and overs are crushing it right now
20:41
in Major League Baseball. So I think we've built enough of
20:43
a case here to say, hey, let's take a shot on this over 7.
20:46
So that's what I'm doing. I'm going to Cleveland, Seattle
20:49
over 7. Shop around.
20:51
I found a / 7 at -115. So Cleveland, Seattle over 7.
20:56
Red Sox money line, Orioles money line, Milwaukee Brew Crew
20:59
money line. Now to finish up the pod, I got
21:02
one bet for you in the NHL. It is a late game, 10:00
21:06
Vancouver and VGK should be a great game here tonight.
21:10
And I'm going to go with VGK going with the Vegas Golden
21:14
Knights here. Guys, Knights have a couple
21:17
angles in their direction or kind of in their favor here,
21:19
which is why I want to take the Knights number one.
21:21
Always start with the line movement.
21:23
You know which direction is the line moving?
21:25
Where's the smart money leaning? Well, it's leaning on VGK, so
21:27
Vegas opened as low as like -120.
21:31
Some shops now are up to around -130, so some movement in favor
21:35
of VGK. You also look at the BET splits
21:39
5050 right down the middle. So 5050 theoretically the line
21:42
shouldn't move at all yet we're seeing it move in favor of of
21:44
Vegas school tonight. So tells us some smart money is
21:47
going Vegas nights. This is a really good rest first
21:50
tire system match because the Vegas Golden Knights last played
21:53
on Saturday the 30th of of March.
21:56
Vancouver played on Sunday the 31st, so one day rest advantage
21:59
in favor of Vegas. Now Vegas would also match a
22:02
rested favorite off a win. So if you are a favorite off a
22:06
win, which Vegas is, and you've had at least three days or more
22:11
between your last game in this game, that system is 130 and 74.
22:15
This year 64% it is 400 and two 1965% since the start of the
22:21
2021 season. Solid match with the Vegas
22:24
Golden Knights. Most looking at the goaltending
22:26
match up here. Thatcher Demco is hurt for
22:29
Vancouver so Casey de Smith is there.
22:31
Starter 2.71 goals against nine O one save percentage but he's
22:35
really Jekyll and Hyde home Rd. At home he's great 2.4 O goals
22:39
against on the road 2.99 he's on the road tonight and likely it's
22:43
going to be Thompson going for VGK.
22:47
Now Thompson 2.6 three goals against 9/11 save percentage,
22:50
but he's been really good in the month of March.
22:52
In the month of March he has a two point O, five goals against.
22:54
He's had six straight starts of giving up just one goal each
22:58
time and on the opposite work. I guess similar to the Smith but
23:01
in the favor of Thompson here tonight.
23:03
Home Rd. on the road. He's got a three O 6 goals
23:06
against at home 2.17. So VGK is a team that you know
23:10
picked up. Noah Hannifin, Jack.
23:11
Eichel's been back after getting getting hurt there for a bit.
23:15
Petrangelo is back. They're stud defenseman, the
23:17
team that's getting healthy going for a playoff push.
23:20
They're still fighting for a wild card spot and they are
23:23
rested with a little bit of a of a line move in a relatively
23:26
short price. Like how often you get VGK.
23:28
Only -130 at home doesn't happen a ton, so I'm going to take a
23:31
shot here on the Vegas Golden Knights.
23:33
I don't know if there's ATNT game, but hopefully we'll get at
23:37
least ESPN. Plus I can sweat it on my on my
23:40
on my tablet hopefully. But looking forward to sweating
23:42
the nights I'm on Vegas let's go Vegas, baby.
23:45
I got the Golden Knights at -130.
23:49
So that about does it for episode 14 of the All Systems Go
23:52
sports betting podcast. Now a reminder, the sports
23:55
betting pod, we are a tiny little sapling.
23:57
We're a tree We've just germinated.
23:59
We don't we're not a tree yet. But I keep making this analogy
24:01
because we have to continue to grow.
24:04
And by growing I mean doing what you can to spread the word about
24:08
the all systems Gopod easy thing you can do is just on Spotify or
24:12
iTunes. Give it five stars.
24:14
That would really go a long way. Tell your friends of course
24:16
about the All systems Gopod give a follow to the all Systems Go
24:20
Twitter page. I always tweet out the articles
24:22
from both my personal account. You can give me a follow at Josh
24:25
under score Insights. We can always find the pods on
24:29
the All Systems Go Twitter page at under score ASG under score
24:33
podcast. And of course if you enjoy these
24:37
breakdowns, obviously you maybe enjoy the breakdowns.
24:39
You didn't enjoy the results last night, Unlucky 13 one and
24:42
four was a rough night last night.
24:44
But if you enjoy the daily grind of, you know, hearing these
24:48
breakdowns, looking at betting from a different perspective,
24:51
looking at line movement, betting splits, you know, taking
24:54
a contrarian approach, betting systems, flat betting, avoiding
24:57
parlays. If this type of breakdown has
25:00
helped you to become a sharp better or you want to support
25:02
the team, let me know. You appreciate the hard work
25:04
that I put in grinding in the in the arena each day and I have an
25:07
ask of you. Can you go buy my book?
25:09
It's only 20 bucks. All you got to do is go to
25:11
Amazon.com, type in the everything guide to sports
25:14
betting, pick up a copy for you or for a friend will mean a lot
25:17
to me. Guys, got everything I've
25:18
learned in the industry. How lines are set, how and why
25:21
they move, how to read line movement, how to locate sharp
25:23
action, how to place a bet in person or online, how to shop
25:26
for the best line, how to set up a bankroll management plan
25:29
chapter on how to bet MLB. It's all included in the
25:31
Everything Guide to Sports Betting.
25:32
So if you want to pick up a copy, it would mean a lot to me.
25:35
And if you already have, thank you And can you do me one more
25:38
and give it five stars and a good review on Amazon, that
25:40
would really, really mean a lot to me guys.
25:42
Well, that being said, whether I see you at the Borgata in
25:45
Atlantic City, Twin River in Rhode Island, the Brook of New
25:47
Hampshire, Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun.
25:49
Down in Connecticut at the encore in Boston or Plain Ridge
25:52
Park Casino or MGM Springfield. Out in my neck of the woods.
25:56
Or, of course, out in the desert where the true grinders get
25:58
down. Where Billy Walters sends his
25:59
number runners. Where the lowest juice possible
26:01
is found at the South Point. Or, of course, sweating sharp
26:03
contrarian plays at circa, jumping in the pool at the
26:07
stadium swim. That's about as good as it gets.
26:09
If you never watched the game there, make it a point to, I
26:12
don't know, go with the wife. Go with the boys or or gals,
26:16
whoever you go with. Make it a trip out to Vegas.
26:19
The The Circa Sports book is incredible.
26:21
Wherever, wherever it may be. You're going to show me a Red
26:24
Sox ticket. I know it was a down night last
26:26
night. Show me a Sox ticket.
26:28
Don't show me a raised Mets D backs or a Bulls Hawks bile
26:31
over. We're going to rip those up.
26:32
Recycle them. Don't throw them away.
26:33
Recycle them. Be nice to the trees.
26:35
But guess what? We're going to keep grinding
26:37
here, guys, as always, I want to mention, of course, that the All
26:42
Systems Go podcast is powered by rhythm.
26:44
And if you don't know, you should know.
26:46
If you don't know now, you're going to know to all the Biggie
26:49
fans out there. If you don't know, now you know
26:51
Anyway. Rhythm is the ultimate AI sports
26:54
betting platform. It was formed in 2020 by a team
26:57
of mathematical quants, data scientists and machine learning
27:00
engineers from MIT. And Rhythm not only powers this
27:03
pod, but they do a great job giving you data backed picks,
27:07
both picks for game plays and for props.
27:10
They basically comb through their database.
27:12
They have their AI backed models, artificial intelligence
27:15
and they're going to give you the sharpest bets of the biggest
27:17
edge each day. So give it a shot.
27:19
It's a great resource to add to kind of your capping style.
27:23
Maybe you just play them blindly if you want the top system
27:26
matches with the biggest edges or you know, you do your
27:28
research, you see what rhythm has.
27:30
It's kind of another layer of confirmation, but however you
27:33
want to handle it, it is a great resource to use to your
27:36
advantage. So here's what I want you to do.
27:37
If you haven't done it yet, go sign up for a free seven day
27:41
trial of rhythm. Download the app.
27:43
All you got to do is go to my Twitter page at Josh under Score
27:46
Insights or the ASG Podcast Twitter page.
27:49
There'll be a pinned tweet at the very top of both accounts.
27:52
You'll see a little tweet there for rhythm, There'll be a custom
27:55
link. Click that, sign up so they know
27:57
that I refer to you and start playing around with rhythm
28:00
because it is fantastic and I'm really excited.
28:02
There's actually golf coming to rhythm soon.
28:04
So if you're in a golf, that's, that's music to your ears.
28:07
And then of course I can't wait for NFL to come back because
28:10
rhythm, when I really got into them, they were crushing their
28:12
NFL player props and I kind of got into player props this year.
28:15
So I'm looking forward to taking that to the next level this
28:18
year. But anyway, sign up for a rhythm
28:20
7 day free trial. That about does it everyone.
28:23
Of course my parting words as always, stay sharp, stay
28:25
contrarian, bet against the public, place yourself on the
28:28
side of the house. Always be with the smart money,
28:30
never against it. Will smart money win every time?
28:32
Of course not. But here's the thing, it will
28:35
win over the long haul. So that's why, as data-driven
28:37
contrarian betters, you know, have a bad night last night, a
28:40
great night last night doesn't matter.
28:42
Stick to the model, Stick to the blueprint.
28:43
Look for the system matches in which we are simultaneously
28:46
against the public, with the house, with the pros.
28:49
Flat bet. Avoid parlays.
28:51
No, same game parlays. And get some closing line value.
28:54
If we can do that, we're going to be successful sports bettors.
28:57
So, looking for a bounce back here tonight, guys?
28:58
Hope everyone has a fantastic Tuesday.
29:00
We'll be back at it tomorrow for episode 15 of the All Systems Go
29:04
Sports Betting Podcast. Good luck.