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College Basketball Conference Tournament Best Bets · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

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1:17
Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites That Podcast from the Volume and
1:21
Speaker 1: Podcast Network. I am Chad Moment, Chief Content Officer of
1:25
Speaker 1: the Action Network. A huge, huge show today for a
1:29
Speaker 1: lot of people in sports, for a lot of sports fans,
1:32
Speaker 1: for people who are relatively new to this podcast over
1:34
Speaker 1: say the last eight nine months since we joined the Volume,
1:38
Speaker 1: and who might have come to Western football season. If
1:42
Speaker 1: you are a new better and you're just sort of
1:45
Speaker 1: experiencing the joys of being a casual better, March Madness
1:49
Speaker 1: is amazing. Conference Tournament Week might be even better because
1:54
Speaker 1: of that, because it is conference tournament week for the
1:57
Speaker 1: a C, c, SEC, Big Ten, Big Big East, plus
2:01
Speaker 1: all some other conferences that, like you might not have
2:04
Speaker 1: been paying attention to. We're going to dedicate this show
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Speaker 1: to betting the conference tournaments. Simon Hunter, my bff, my companion,
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Speaker 1: Mike and Padre. He's back from his world tour. We're
2:13
Speaker 1: gonna talk for a second. After he's done. We're gonna
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Speaker 1: bring in UH two of Action Networks college basketball analysts
2:22
Speaker 1: b J. Cunningham and the one name Wonder, the original
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Speaker 1: Action Network analysts Stucky. But first, Simon, we've had you
2:33
Speaker 1: in Cuba. We've had you in Belize. We've had you
2:37
Speaker 1: in Cosmel. We've had you from a balcony. We've had
2:41
Speaker 1: you from a beach, We've had you from your hotel room.
2:45
Speaker 1: You are now safely back in Southern Jersey, South Jersey,
2:49
Speaker 1: as they say, welcome home, brother, it's good to be back.
2:52
Speaker 1: Chat miss America little things. But as I got back here,
2:55
Speaker 1: it was overcast forty degrees in Philadelphia, and I was thinking,
2:59
Speaker 1: what am I on? Why did I come back? It's
3:01
Speaker 1: good to be back to reality. I felt like I
3:03
Speaker 1: felt it slipping away a little bit when I was
3:05
Speaker 1: out there, like I might never come back. I was
3:07
Speaker 1: going to pull a Vincent Chase and just disappear to
3:08
Speaker 1: some island and just live it up. But now it's
3:11
Speaker 1: good to be back, especially as it's about to be
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Speaker 1: March Madness. As a gamba, it's one of my favorite
3:16
Speaker 1: times a year. I lose a ton of money or
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Speaker 1: I one a ton of money. There's no in between. Well,
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Speaker 1: I'm glad you're back, Simon. It's funny you say it's
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Speaker 1: forty degrees and overcast in Philly. Yesterday it was sixty
3:26
Speaker 1: degrees and relatively overcast in Connecticut, and it was so nice,
3:32
Speaker 1: and I was so happy. I got I walked the
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Speaker 1: dog later in the day, and I came back and
3:36
Speaker 1: I told my wife, I need you to commit to
3:38
Speaker 1: me right now. I need you right now to commit
3:42
Speaker 1: Our younger son is finishing his freshman year in high school.
3:45
Speaker 1: That means three more years. That means three more winters,
3:48
Speaker 1: that means eighteen months of winter. I need you to
3:52
Speaker 1: commit to me right now that when he graduates, we
3:55
Speaker 1: can start living somewhere else for six months of the year.
3:58
Speaker 1: I cannot do winters. I can not do below fifty
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Speaker 1: degrees anymore. I'm getting older. I've always been sensitive to
4:05
Speaker 1: the cold. I can't function in this environment anymore. I
4:09
Speaker 1: don't know why you came back and I go to college,
4:11
Speaker 1: mL Man. Half the people that's what bid Dill. They're
4:13
Speaker 1: like New Yorkers are over for Connecticut. You're not the
4:15
Speaker 1: only one with that thinking pattern. All right, well, I'm
4:17
Speaker 1: glad you're back, Simon. Now I want to bring in B. J. Cunningham,
4:20
Speaker 1: who was one of our Action Network analysts. He covers
4:24
Speaker 1: literally everything. The guy used to be an accountant. Another
4:26
Speaker 1: one of these accountants that we saved from the trash
4:29
Speaker 1: heap of accountancy. Him and Chris Raybond. We saved their
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Speaker 1: lives and gave him a chance to do something smart
4:37
Speaker 1: with their numbers that they enjoy. That is betting aggressively
4:42
Speaker 1: and betting often and telling you about everything they do.
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Speaker 1: B J, another great college basketball year. How are you, buddy,
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Speaker 1: I'm wonderful. You know. It's funny that you mentioned the
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Speaker 1: accounting thing because I was moving some stuff around my
4:52
Speaker 1: house the other day and I found my old CP
4:56
Speaker 1: exam textbooks that are completely outdated, and I looked at them.
5:00
Speaker 1: I was like, man, I really hope that I never
5:02
Speaker 1: have to go back and doing that. So I guess
5:03
Speaker 1: I gotta say once again, I should be thanking every
5:06
Speaker 1: single day for for saving me from that. I'm really
5:08
Speaker 1: excited for conference tournament time, you know, for people who
5:11
Speaker 1: are just betting for the first time. There are so
5:14
Speaker 1: many games over this this next week to bet on.
5:16
Speaker 1: It's it's almost obviously the term is fantastic and the
5:19
Speaker 1: drama is great, but there is so much more action
5:22
Speaker 1: and chances to get bets in this week and it's
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Speaker 1: gonna be a ton, a ton of fun. Do you
5:26
Speaker 1: get itchy at this time of year because it's account
5:28
Speaker 1: it's a tax season? No. I I used to be
5:31
Speaker 1: an honorist. I didn't never had to do taxes, And
5:33
Speaker 1: actually I have somebody to do my own taxes because
5:36
Speaker 1: they're actually quite complicated. I don't really want to spend
5:38
Speaker 1: the time to try and figure them out nowadays because
5:40
Speaker 1: there's obviously so many new regulations and everything like that. Well,
5:43
Speaker 1: you're welcome, Stucky. It is great to have you on, brother.
5:46
Speaker 1: I need you to explain to people when we started
5:50
Speaker 1: Action Network. When I left ESPN in September of two
5:53
Speaker 1: thousand seventeen, my first week on the job, I went
5:57
Speaker 1: to New York on a Tuesday night. I had dinner
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Speaker 1: with this dude named Stucky who was like a quasi
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Speaker 1: analyst that had been hired before I was, before there
6:08
Speaker 1: was even a company. He was a guy that was
6:10
Speaker 1: discovered in message boards working in finance, and he was
6:15
Speaker 1: hiding under the cloak of darkness and a fake name.
6:18
Speaker 1: We're having dinner at a barbecue joined in the city
6:20
Speaker 1: and he looks at me and goes so who's gonna
6:22
Speaker 1: be my boss? I'm like, I guess that's gonna be me, buddy,
6:25
Speaker 1: where five years later, almost stuck. He continues to be
6:30
Speaker 1: the heart and soul of the Action Network and what
6:33
Speaker 1: I love is obviously stuck. He is not your real name,
6:36
Speaker 1: but you should explain to people how you got the
6:38
Speaker 1: name and why did germaine to this conversation. Yeah, I left.
6:41
Speaker 1: I left a job in finance for eight years, um
6:45
Speaker 1: when we were first starting to and uh, unfortunately it
6:49
Speaker 1: worked out. Um, still here and still kicking, and it's
6:52
Speaker 1: my favorite month of the year. I've been betting college basketball,
6:55
Speaker 1: I mean since I was in I mean almost daily
6:57
Speaker 1: during the season since uh I don't freshman year in
7:00
Speaker 1: high school and and back in two thousand three, I
7:03
Speaker 1: started posting on on like forums like I won't name
7:07
Speaker 1: any of them, but uh, you know you message boards,
7:09
Speaker 1: you post your picks and then you're reasoning for it,
7:12
Speaker 1: and then everyone kind of interacts like emojis. Before emojis,
7:15
Speaker 1: you post like money bags. We we a couple of us,
7:18
Speaker 1: started to try to start our own forum, so we
7:20
Speaker 1: got banned from this one forum. My original name on
7:23
Speaker 1: that was hilarious old a well named. But when I
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Speaker 1: came back to the forum mid two thousand's, Rodney Stucky
7:29
Speaker 1: was one of my favorite college BASKETBA players went to
7:31
Speaker 1: Eastern Washington University. So I just literally was creating a
7:37
Speaker 1: user name and I would won money on Eastern Washington
7:40
Speaker 1: UM that night. So I just created my accountant name
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Speaker 1: picked Stucky and that was that. I was at um
7:48
Speaker 1: now Stucky to on Twitter because someone took Stucky. That
7:51
Speaker 1: there's never tweeting like one time, like fifteen years ago,
7:54
Speaker 1: and then it just stuck one intended and you know,
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Speaker 1: now like all my friends like leagues that people, that's
8:00
Speaker 1: what people call me Um, and that's how it started.
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Speaker 1: And then you know, I built a big following up
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Speaker 1: on the forums and then you know they kind of
8:08
Speaker 1: got like toxics. So I was like, I'm just going
8:10
Speaker 1: to Twitter. I'll post my plays on Twitter. A lot
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Speaker 1: of people follow me, they're build to following. I was
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Speaker 1: a completely private and then now here we are talking
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Speaker 1: conference tournaments. I think it's appropriate that when we're talking
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Speaker 1: conference tournaments, and again we're gonna talk a c C SEC,
8:25
Speaker 1: Big ten, etcetera, we're gonna throw in a couple of
8:28
Speaker 1: wild cards there that go deeper. The fact that your
8:31
Speaker 1: nickname is now based on a guy who played for
8:35
Speaker 1: Eastern Washington and was playing for a team on which
8:39
Speaker 1: you want to bet, and twenty years later that's still
8:42
Speaker 1: your nickname. That shows you how deep we go into
8:45
Speaker 1: college basketball, the Action Network and the quality of the
8:48
Speaker 1: information you can count on on this podcast. Let's just
8:52
Speaker 1: let her rip. There's a Big five essentially a c
8:56
Speaker 1: c SEC, Big ten, Big twelve, pack twelve. Right, So
9:00
Speaker 1: this past Saturday, we had Duke North Carolina coach K's
9:03
Speaker 1: last game. The Iron Five from North Carolina played the
9:06
Speaker 1: entire second half. They come back, they have a twenty
9:10
Speaker 1: three point turnaround, they win that game. Stuck will start
9:13
Speaker 1: with you handicap the a CEC Atturney right now, I
9:16
Speaker 1: think that there's potential to maybe take a long shot,
9:21
Speaker 1: not none of the crazy long shots to play on
9:23
Speaker 1: the in the first day. There's the a CEC is
9:25
Speaker 1: very down this year. So if you're used to the
9:27
Speaker 1: a CEC being one of the best conferences in the country,
9:29
Speaker 1: it's not this year. You have Duke safely in and
9:32
Speaker 1: then it's like a bunch of teams that are on
9:34
Speaker 1: the bubble, like even Carolina. I think they're safely in now,
9:37
Speaker 1: but they were considered on the bubble like a week ago.
9:40
Speaker 1: The bottom of there's been a lot of injuries, there's
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Speaker 1: a lot of turnover in the conference. The bottom of
9:43
Speaker 1: the conference is just horrendous. And they play on Tuesday.
9:46
Speaker 1: Those teams would have to win five games in five days.
9:48
Speaker 1: Not happening. But the teams that play in the second round,
9:52
Speaker 1: you know, opposite of Duke. I think, Duke, after that
9:55
Speaker 1: Carolina loss, you're gonna come in here, I think with
9:58
Speaker 1: a sense of purpose. So when I look get this bracket, okay,
10:00
Speaker 1: I want to from a future spect, I want to
10:02
Speaker 1: attack the bottom half of the bracket, where Duke isn't
10:05
Speaker 1: and where Carolina is coming off of that huge Duke win.
10:09
Speaker 1: Is there an emotional letdown? And and and by the way, Carolina,
10:12
Speaker 1: Jackolan hide all your very inconsistent team they don't really
10:16
Speaker 1: defend consistently. Is a team that look went to Duke
10:19
Speaker 1: in one the spoil coach case party. They also lost
10:21
Speaker 1: at home to pit Um, you know, and I can
10:23
Speaker 1: go on and on for examples. I would look at
10:26
Speaker 1: one of the two Virginia schools, Virginia, Virginia Tech. They
10:29
Speaker 1: both play in the second round, and Virginia Tech if
10:32
Speaker 1: they win and get Notre Dame Virginia if they win
10:35
Speaker 1: with get North Carolina UM and both teams should advance
10:38
Speaker 1: to those games in the quarterfinals. I kind of prefer
10:42
Speaker 1: Virginia Tech. It's a team that can shoot, it's a
10:46
Speaker 1: team that has that is well coached. Now, winning four
10:49
Speaker 1: games in four days is not easy, but both of
10:52
Speaker 1: those teams playing extremely slow, and that's gonna help with
10:56
Speaker 1: legs because there's gonna be limited possessions. So it's not
10:58
Speaker 1: a team that's running up and down the court relying
11:00
Speaker 1: on athleticism limited possession games. Virginia Tech kind of underachieved
11:05
Speaker 1: this year, but the potential is there. I like their path.
11:09
Speaker 1: That's who I prefer. I could see the argument also
11:12
Speaker 1: for Virginia you can get them, I don't know, tend
11:15
Speaker 1: twelve to one. I think I actually four to one
11:18
Speaker 1: and get Virginia Tech around ten twelve to one, and
11:21
Speaker 1: you know, Virginia is gonna grind games down to a halt.
11:24
Speaker 1: Their defense isn't as good as the year's past, they're
11:26
Speaker 1: still well coached. They've competed with the best teams in
11:30
Speaker 1: the conference. I think that's where I would look from
11:32
Speaker 1: a futures perspective. I personally have a flyer on the
11:37
Speaker 1: hookies of Virginia Tech, who probably need to win this
11:41
Speaker 1: or get to the final two, get into the dance,
11:44
Speaker 1: and so they're gonna be super motivated, and I think
11:47
Speaker 1: that their path is is favorable. B J, you were
11:51
Speaker 1: shaking your head before you respond, I would like to know,
11:57
Speaker 1: if not the A C C, which is clearly not,
12:00
Speaker 1: what do we think is the best the best conference
12:03
Speaker 1: in college basketball this year? Well, personally, I would say
12:05
Speaker 1: the Big Ten, that's my heart, but it's probably the
12:07
Speaker 1: SEC The SEC IS. I would have imagine, you know,
12:11
Speaker 1: you know, you're welcome. Uh, you know, the four best
12:14
Speaker 1: teams in the SEC are clearly you know, way better
12:17
Speaker 1: than you know, the top four in the Big Ten
12:19
Speaker 1: right now. So I would say the SEC IS is
12:20
Speaker 1: far and away probably the best conference. But the reason
12:23
Speaker 1: I was shaking my head is because I literally had
12:25
Speaker 1: Virginia Tech in Virginia written down right here. So I'm
12:28
Speaker 1: gonna just you know, echo what stuck he said. You know,
12:30
Speaker 1: Virginia attack really good three point shooting team, shooting over
12:33
Speaker 1: thirty eight percent from behind the arc this season, they
12:36
Speaker 1: spaced the floor really well. They're really good shot selection,
12:38
Speaker 1: They're unbelievable in the half court, actually number one in
12:41
Speaker 1: the a s C in points per possession in the
12:44
Speaker 1: half court, both on offense and on defense. So it's
12:47
Speaker 1: a really really good team that you're getting a ten
12:49
Speaker 1: to one who, like Stuck he said, has been underachieving
12:52
Speaker 1: this season. They've gotten unlucky in a lot of a
12:54
Speaker 1: lot of games. That one game against North Carolina they
12:57
Speaker 1: lost at home. If you look at the analytics SciTE
12:59
Speaker 1: shock Qua, they they actually should have won that game
13:01
Speaker 1: even though they lost, based on the quality of their shots.
13:03
Speaker 1: So attend to one, they're they're a really good price,
13:06
Speaker 1: especially being in the bottom half of the bracket getting
13:08
Speaker 1: to avoid Duke and then obviously Virginia as well. What's
13:10
Speaker 1: weird about Virginia is they're not really taking very many
13:14
Speaker 1: threes this year. They actually have one of the lowest
13:15
Speaker 1: three point rates in the country, so that they've been
13:18
Speaker 1: banging teams downside pretty pretty well. So playing that slow
13:21
Speaker 1: pace getting the ball inside, uh, they could cause some problems.
13:25
Speaker 1: Sendable also in the bottom half of the bracket, and
13:28
Speaker 1: you know, you look at Wake Forest and Notre Dame. There,
13:30
Speaker 1: you know, a little bit of a paper tiger. Not
13:32
Speaker 1: really as good as their their ranking shows. So for me,
13:36
Speaker 1: I'm with Stucky. The two Virginia schools was where I'd
13:38
Speaker 1: go in the a SEC. By the way, a reminder,
13:41
Speaker 1: we've got a seven part conference attorney podcast, Big Bets
13:47
Speaker 1: on Campus. If you want to go even deeper on
13:51
Speaker 1: everything we're talking about, that is the place to go.
13:53
Speaker 1: Seven part Conference Stourney podcast, Big Bets on Campus. Alright,
13:58
Speaker 1: so we talked about the A C C are those
14:00
Speaker 1: who are listening. Simon, on his return from his international travels,
14:04
Speaker 1: is having incredible tech difficulties, so he has dropped out
14:07
Speaker 1: of the podcast. But the stars of the show anyways
14:09
Speaker 1: are b J and Stucky. B J, you mentioned the
14:12
Speaker 1: SEC is probably the best conference. Great at the top,
14:17
Speaker 1: you know, Auburn having an incredible year, Kentucky having an
14:21
Speaker 1: incredible year. Start with you handicap the SEC right now? Yeah.
14:25
Speaker 1: So obviously the top four seeds I believe are you know,
14:28
Speaker 1: kind of a notch above the rest of the conference.
14:31
Speaker 1: But if you're looking at the odds, I don't think
14:32
Speaker 1: there's really much value and taking one of the top
14:35
Speaker 1: four seeds instead. I think there's a couple chances you
14:38
Speaker 1: can take down the board on some teams to potentially
14:41
Speaker 1: get hot. Alabama is one of them at fifteen to one.
14:43
Speaker 1: I'm kind of targeting it's it's a really good offense there,
14:46
Speaker 1: twelfth in the country and adjusted defense or offensive efficiency.
14:49
Speaker 1: And the problem is with them is that they take
14:51
Speaker 1: a high number of three pointers, but they're only hitting
14:54
Speaker 1: around thirty one percent for the season and a lot
14:56
Speaker 1: of you know, the regression stats tell you that they
14:58
Speaker 1: should be shooting a little bit better. And if you
15:01
Speaker 1: look through all their results they've hung with these top
15:03
Speaker 1: four teams, you know, the first one that comes to
15:06
Speaker 1: mind is the game in kent at Kentucky in Lexington,
15:09
Speaker 1: where they just came out firing and hit a ton
15:12
Speaker 1: of threes the beginning, got a huge lead on Kentucky
15:14
Speaker 1: and then end up faltering down down the stretch. And
15:17
Speaker 1: even in that first meeting against Kentucky they lost by
15:19
Speaker 1: eleven at home, but you got three of thirty from
15:21
Speaker 1: behind the arc. So if shooting aggression comes back for
15:23
Speaker 1: them a little bit, they're gonna play Kentucky in the
15:26
Speaker 1: next round. After they get by either Vanderbilt or Georgia.
15:28
Speaker 1: If they have a good shooting night, they can get
15:30
Speaker 1: hot and they can run right through this tournament and
15:32
Speaker 1: really beat anybody at the top. But other than that,
15:36
Speaker 1: LSU is kind of interesting attend to one. I'd like
15:37
Speaker 1: a little bit of a better price. It's one of
15:39
Speaker 1: the best defensive teams in the country. Their fifth in
15:42
Speaker 1: UH just a defensive efficiency. They actually should have just
15:44
Speaker 1: beaten Arkansas and they play them UH in the next round.
15:48
Speaker 1: So for me, if you're looking for a team to
15:50
Speaker 1: get hot and run through this tournament, Alabama is there.
15:53
Speaker 1: The other top four seeds, look, they're obviously top four
15:56
Speaker 1: for a reason. They're all under tend to one for
15:57
Speaker 1: a reason. I really don't think there's much value in
16:00
Speaker 1: taking them because they've really just traded all all season long,
16:03
Speaker 1: UH and a lot of them. What's funny if you
16:06
Speaker 1: look at, for example, like Auburn and Tennessee, they've been
16:09
Speaker 1: if it looks if the entire tournament was played in
16:11
Speaker 1: Knoxville or Auburn, like one of those teams might win
16:14
Speaker 1: the actual n c A tournament, but that's not the case.
16:16
Speaker 1: They haven't been that great away from home. So for me,
16:19
Speaker 1: even though Kentucky's the three seed, they're clearly, in my opinion,
16:22
Speaker 1: I think, the best team in the conference. But at
16:25
Speaker 1: a price of plus one ninety, I'm definitely not playing them.
16:27
Speaker 1: So Alabama fifteen to one as a shot would be
16:30
Speaker 1: where I'm going in the SEC. Would you look? What
16:32
Speaker 1: do you want to look for? Long shots? Like Alabama
16:34
Speaker 1: would be the one. There's not enough, not enough for
16:37
Speaker 1: me there. I mean, they did hang with Kentucky. Kentucky
16:39
Speaker 1: was down two of their starters in Lexington and they
16:42
Speaker 1: shot three for thirty. But ALBA shoots a ton of threes, right,
16:44
Speaker 1: What do you want with some of these long shots
16:46
Speaker 1: is high variance teams, So either low possessions, which is
16:50
Speaker 1: going to create more variants and a tighter, you know,
16:52
Speaker 1: fewer possession game, or a lot of three pointers. So
16:54
Speaker 1: teams to shoot a lot of threes. Yeah, if you
16:57
Speaker 1: get hot, especially you're playing in the same building for
16:59
Speaker 1: a couple of days, as you can make a run
17:00
Speaker 1: from three. It's the great equalizer. But I don't see
17:03
Speaker 1: anyone make a run. This could be incredible, incredible semis.
17:07
Speaker 1: It could be the best semish of the week. You
17:10
Speaker 1: could have Kentucky Tennessee part three, they each blew each
17:14
Speaker 1: other out, and then you could have Auburn Arkansas part
17:18
Speaker 1: to Arkansas upset them in overtime like dunked on their
17:23
Speaker 1: face at the end of If some of you might
17:26
Speaker 1: have seen this clip, like the crowd storm the court,
17:30
Speaker 1: it was pretty wild. Could have those two semis. But
17:32
Speaker 1: something to keep in mind here, like Kentucky, I think
17:34
Speaker 1: it's clearly the best team in the conference. They're plus
17:37
Speaker 1: around plus two hundred two to one on So if
17:39
Speaker 1: you've got like, you know, a hundred hours and they
17:40
Speaker 1: wanted to be two hundred something to keep in mind,
17:43
Speaker 1: and this might be a little complex for some, but
17:47
Speaker 1: sometimes you want to look at what's called a money
17:49
Speaker 1: line rollover, like the odds being offered from a future perspective,
17:53
Speaker 1: it might actually make more sense to just bet that
17:57
Speaker 1: team on the money line in the first game, take
17:59
Speaker 1: what you want on and bet, and then do it
18:01
Speaker 1: in the second game. For example, Kentucky's plus two hundred, right,
18:05
Speaker 1: they're gonna have to be Alabama, then presumably Tennessee, and
18:09
Speaker 1: then Auburn. Those are three hardies and they're plus two hundreds,
18:13
Speaker 1: so they're probably like seven point favorites, and like three
18:16
Speaker 1: and a half point favorites, and then like, I don't
18:19
Speaker 1: know two point favorite So you're talking minus three d
18:22
Speaker 1: minus one sixty minus one thirty parlay them together, which
18:26
Speaker 1: was what you do with the money line roll over.
18:28
Speaker 1: It's three or one odds, so there's just no value
18:30
Speaker 1: of that number of plus two hundred. It's not that
18:32
Speaker 1: simple because there could be an upset elsewhere, but I
18:34
Speaker 1: don't see too many upsets here in the SEC. The top,
18:37
Speaker 1: the cream of the crop of this conference is excellent.
18:40
Speaker 1: They're gonna have to say come the actual tournament as well.
18:44
Speaker 1: I think Kentucky ends up beating Auburn in the final.
18:47
Speaker 1: It's chalky, so no features here for me. I like
18:50
Speaker 1: that idea, a money line roll over on Alabama. That's
18:54
Speaker 1: more fun than what b J said. BJ is just like, yeah,
18:57
Speaker 1: go ahead, take Alabama money line all over. Because of
19:01
Speaker 1: that answer, stuck, you get to start on my favorite conference,
19:07
Speaker 1: the Big Ten. Yeah. Big Ten is a really interesting
19:12
Speaker 1: conference because well it's it's deep, and it's it's one
19:15
Speaker 1: of the best that's b J alluded to, but there's
19:17
Speaker 1: a big question mark headed into it. If anyone watched
19:21
Speaker 1: the game's yesterday, one of the best players in the country,
19:26
Speaker 1: Johnny Davis wor Wisconsin, went down and with an injury
19:28
Speaker 1: didn't play. They got upset by Nebraska at home and
19:32
Speaker 1: they had a chance to clinch the one seed, and
19:33
Speaker 1: they just melted down. They scored two points over the
19:35
Speaker 1: final six minutes without him. This isn't an even an
19:38
Speaker 1: n I T team. I mean, they are horrendous. He's
19:41
Speaker 1: one of the best players in the country. I haven't
19:43
Speaker 1: heard anything on his status, but that's enormous. They're the
19:46
Speaker 1: two seed in the bottom half of the bracket. So
19:48
Speaker 1: when I first look at this bracket, I say, okay,
19:50
Speaker 1: I kind of want to attack this bottom half because
19:53
Speaker 1: Wisconsin is a very Week two I mean, but the
19:55
Speaker 1: market has adjusted their ten to one and they're the
19:57
Speaker 1: two seed. You know they're gonna play the winner in
20:00
Speaker 1: Michigan State Maryland. I don't really trust either one of
20:04
Speaker 1: those teams. Um, Michigan State Maryland just played each other.
20:09
Speaker 1: Ohio State has been struggling um of late, and then
20:13
Speaker 1: you have produced, So you know, I think Producers gonna
20:16
Speaker 1: walk to the final in the bottom half. But I
20:19
Speaker 1: just don't see a ton of value with them. So
20:21
Speaker 1: moving to the top. So I'm just really unfortunate how
20:24
Speaker 1: it worked out with Wisconsin because they're extremely vulnerable. They
20:26
Speaker 1: were already extremely vulnerable. They're very lucky team coming into
20:31
Speaker 1: this bracket on they might not have Davis. So we'll
20:33
Speaker 1: see top half. It's uh, you know, the Illinois the
20:38
Speaker 1: one seed they're gonna play the potential winner of Michigan Indiana.
20:41
Speaker 1: Michigan is very interesting and you can get them like
20:43
Speaker 1: uh one, They're gonna got to win four games in
20:46
Speaker 1: four days. They you know, they can compete with Illinois.
20:50
Speaker 1: They blew out Indiana at Indiana. But you know, I'm
20:54
Speaker 1: curious to get b j s thoughts because I'm actually
20:56
Speaker 1: conflicted on the big ten. I'm like years to me.
21:01
Speaker 1: You can get Rutgers about it the twenty one, and
21:05
Speaker 1: you can get Iowa at four to one. Now why
21:08
Speaker 1: that's so interesting? Like Iowa is the five seed, they
21:12
Speaker 1: have to play a game before playing Rutgers. Rutgers has
21:16
Speaker 1: the double buy and Rutgers it's not as good as
21:20
Speaker 1: i Whether or not even close, but they beat Iowa
21:23
Speaker 1: early in the season, they're gonna have the buy. Iowa's
21:25
Speaker 1: playing as well as anybody in this Conference, So that
21:30
Speaker 1: that's who I think is. They're gonna have to get
21:32
Speaker 1: through Rutgers. They're gonna get through Illinois. They should have
21:34
Speaker 1: beat Illinois on their home court last night playing and
21:37
Speaker 1: they one always playing for everything. They dis missed a
21:39
Speaker 1: bunch of pritos, which they never do. He get married
21:41
Speaker 1: one of the best players in the country. So I
21:43
Speaker 1: like Iowa to get it done here. But from a
21:46
Speaker 1: value perspective, it's like Rutgers, who's gonna grind the game
21:49
Speaker 1: to a halt. Right, They're gonna be in the game.
21:51
Speaker 1: They have a great defense. You get twenty to one,
21:54
Speaker 1: and they're they're you know, they're the four seed. And
21:56
Speaker 1: I was to play a game before playing them, So
21:58
Speaker 1: b J, curious to your thought on that dynamic. Yeah, Iowa, listen,
22:03
Speaker 1: I will. Before the odds came out, I was watching
22:06
Speaker 1: the game and I was like, man, with this loss,
22:08
Speaker 1: maybe we'll get iowat a decent number, maybe an eight
22:10
Speaker 1: to one or ten to one. But the market is
22:11
Speaker 1: clearly adjusted on Iowa. So with them having to play
22:14
Speaker 1: an extra game, uh, four to one, there's I just
22:17
Speaker 1: don't think there's really much value in taking the Hawkeyes.
22:20
Speaker 1: And I love them and they've obviously been playing tremendously
22:23
Speaker 1: and I'm very confident in how they're gonna, you know,
22:25
Speaker 1: give Illinois a lot of problems. But the thing with Rutgers,
22:28
Speaker 1: you know, they've obviously got a couple of road wins,
22:30
Speaker 1: but they're just unbelievable at the rack, uh anywhere. Away
22:34
Speaker 1: from there, they tend to struggle a little bit. So
22:37
Speaker 1: I was probably definitely gonna be favorite over them, and
22:39
Speaker 1: that one one is definitely a decent price for a
22:41
Speaker 1: team that's gonna get a buy in that round one.
22:44
Speaker 1: Team I'm kind of looking at is Chad, You're you're
22:46
Speaker 1: all modern Indiana one is is a little bit interesting
22:50
Speaker 1: to me. Uh, you know, their last game against Perdue,
22:54
Speaker 1: listen that. Throughout most of the season, I think what
22:56
Speaker 1: you could say is the body language from Indiana has
22:58
Speaker 1: been really bad, and it looks the players, you know,
23:00
Speaker 1: maybe don't care that much. There's been some off court issues.
23:04
Speaker 1: It's been kind of a little bit mess in Woodson's
23:06
Speaker 1: first season. But that game against Purdue, they actually showed something.
23:10
Speaker 1: They showed a little bit of hard They actually looked
23:12
Speaker 1: like they wanted to actually win the game. It's a
23:15
Speaker 1: real They're the number one team in the Big Ten
23:17
Speaker 1: in terms of adjusted defensive efficiency. It's just can the
23:20
Speaker 1: offense get it going? Can they find some rhythm. They
23:24
Speaker 1: aren't shooting the ball very well from behind the arc,
23:26
Speaker 1: but if you look at shock quality their number one
23:28
Speaker 1: in the Big Ten in open three point rate, they
23:30
Speaker 1: just have not been hitting them. They're only hanging around
23:33
Speaker 1: from behind the arc. So if the body language gets better,
23:37
Speaker 1: this is a team that definitely has a ton of talent.
23:38
Speaker 1: Trace Jackson Davis one of the best big men in
23:40
Speaker 1: the conference, Parker Stewart's an incredible three point shooter, and
23:43
Speaker 1: Davier Johnson's a really good point guards. So that first
23:46
Speaker 1: game against Michigan is gonna be very interesting if you
23:48
Speaker 1: kind of want to take one of these long shots.
23:50
Speaker 1: One of those two is where I'm kind of looking
23:53
Speaker 1: because I agre stuck. He produced probably just gonna walk
23:55
Speaker 1: to the final. But I definitely don't want to take
23:57
Speaker 1: them at plus two twenties. So Michigan or Indiana is
24:00
Speaker 1: definitely where I'm looking at here in the Big Ten,
24:03
Speaker 1: and I think they'll give Illinois definitely some problems in
24:06
Speaker 1: the next yeund Yeah, I I just saw try I
24:09
Speaker 1: just don't think it's a great matchup for Indiana. I mean,
24:11
Speaker 1: I think they lost twenty five at home because they
24:13
Speaker 1: their guards can't take advantage of Michigan's you know, lack
24:17
Speaker 1: of perimeter trouble on the defensive end um and then
24:21
Speaker 1: obviously Michigan can match Indiana inside. Chad, you're a big
24:26
Speaker 1: fan of the money line rollover, I think that I
24:28
Speaker 1: was the is the prime care for that. If you
24:30
Speaker 1: want to go IOA, I mean, I would have to
24:31
Speaker 1: win four games in four days. Now. They're deep, they
24:34
Speaker 1: have a really good bench. They're playing as well as anybody,
24:36
Speaker 1: but they're gonna be like Northwestern's decent team, Rutgers and
24:40
Speaker 1: then potentially Illinois and then Perdue. I mean, your your money,
24:45
Speaker 1: that the money that the Rover is gonna pay more
24:46
Speaker 1: than five to one on that um. But yeah, there
24:50
Speaker 1: might pick to win it. They're playing as uh as
24:52
Speaker 1: well and as anybody and be Jays and Iowa fan.
24:54
Speaker 1: We'll see. We'll see this year if a peeking Iowa
24:58
Speaker 1: team late in the season doesn't just take a big
25:01
Speaker 1: fat dump in the first game of the tournament. They
25:05
Speaker 1: haven't gone to the Sweet six team in my lifetime,
25:08
Speaker 1: so it would be very nice if they could finally
25:11
Speaker 1: do that, because last season was the time that they
25:13
Speaker 1: were supposed to do it and they laid a massive
25:16
Speaker 1: egg against Oregon. So I'm I really really liked this team.
25:20
Speaker 1: Keegan Murray is one of the more fun Iowa players
25:22
Speaker 1: in my lifetime. Uh So I'm very I'm weirdly way
25:27
Speaker 1: more confident them. Is like a seven or sixth seed
25:29
Speaker 1: this season than I was last year as a two seed,
25:34
Speaker 1: which has been enormous. Itally is one of those interesting
25:37
Speaker 1: teams where they keep they keep getting national credit and
25:41
Speaker 1: national attention. Is one of the better teams, and I
25:44
Speaker 1: feel like the only time I hear about them this
25:45
Speaker 1: year is when they have an unexpected loss. That the
25:49
Speaker 1: loss has pretty much all been on the road, like
25:50
Speaker 1: they obviously, you know, they lost the rack. They've had
25:52
Speaker 1: a couple of slip ups. It's a It's an interesting Obviously,
25:55
Speaker 1: Kofe's incredible, and they have a ton of three point
25:58
Speaker 1: shooters around him, and when they hitting those shots, they
26:01
Speaker 1: almost look unbeatable. But the problem is is that in
26:04
Speaker 1: Big Ten play their three point shooting has gone down
26:06
Speaker 1: and tick They're only shooting around thirty when in like
26:09
Speaker 1: non conference I'm pretty sure they were close to around
26:12
Speaker 1: So if that three point shooting isn't there, and you know,
26:15
Speaker 1: Kofi gets into foul trouble, then that's when things start
26:19
Speaker 1: to head kind of you know, snowballing downhill. UM. But
26:22
Speaker 1: I mean they're a price of plus three seventy there,
26:25
Speaker 1: there's I don't think there's really much value in taking them.
26:28
Speaker 1: But like you said, yeah, I mean they've had a
26:30
Speaker 1: couple of big wins, but you know, losing twice to
26:32
Speaker 1: Purdue UM and then a couple of other bad losses
26:36
Speaker 1: are kind of, you know, a little bit shocking, but
26:40
Speaker 1: you know, they're still one of the best teams in
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28:43
Speaker 1: Big twelve they've had a very inconsistent year. You're talking
28:46
Speaker 1: about Baylor, you're talking about Kansas. What is the handicap
28:50
Speaker 1: in the Big twelve b J Yeah, it's I don't
28:53
Speaker 1: really have much interest in taking the top four uh seeds.
28:56
Speaker 1: Kansas is very weird. They've had a ton of close
28:59
Speaker 1: call this season. They're they're obviously one of the best
29:03
Speaker 1: offenses in the country. But you know, at two to one,
29:05
Speaker 1: obviously this is a you know, they're gonna be playing
29:08
Speaker 1: in Kansas City, so that's essentially a home tournament for them.
29:11
Speaker 1: But at two to one, I have no interest in
29:13
Speaker 1: betting than Baylor. They lost their best interior defender to
29:16
Speaker 1: Chua the middle of the season, and they're also one
29:19
Speaker 1: of the worst teams in defending at the rim, so
29:21
Speaker 1: that's problematic for them. Texas Tech is starting to fade
29:25
Speaker 1: down the stretch. One team I'm kind of looking at
29:28
Speaker 1: as a long shot as Oklahoma at twenty one. They're
29:31
Speaker 1: starting to come on here. They've won three straight down
29:33
Speaker 1: the stretch and their first round match against Baylor is
29:35
Speaker 1: a really good one. So I just mentioned there's one
29:37
Speaker 1: of the five worst teams in defending at the rim. Well,
29:40
Speaker 1: Oklahoma sixth in the country in two point field goal
29:42
Speaker 1: percentage and around shooting around on shout attempts the rim.
29:45
Speaker 1: So it's a really good matchup for them here in
29:47
Speaker 1: the first round. And you know, you obviously look at Texas,
29:49
Speaker 1: then Texas I feel very similar to them. How I
29:53
Speaker 1: feel about Tennessee is that analytically they grade out really
29:56
Speaker 1: really well in terms of defense and offense. But there
29:58
Speaker 1: are just times where you watch Texas and they just
30:01
Speaker 1: go through these shooting slumps that just take them completely
30:04
Speaker 1: out of the game. So they're one of the teams
30:06
Speaker 1: I'm gonna potentially be avoiding. You know, Kansas also is
30:09
Speaker 1: one of the streak your teams in the in the
30:12
Speaker 1: whole country, so they could fall flat and loose here
30:15
Speaker 1: in the in the second round, or they could you know,
30:17
Speaker 1: breeze all the way through the tournament. But Oklahoma a
30:20
Speaker 1: team that's starting to kind of come on, especially at
30:22
Speaker 1: a good price of one, with a pretty good match
30:24
Speaker 1: against Taylor in the first round. I think the Sooners
30:26
Speaker 1: do have a little bit of value here in the tournament.
30:29
Speaker 1: Stucky agree or disagree, I probably would just year it's
30:33
Speaker 1: gonna be it's I think it's gonna be hard for
30:35
Speaker 1: Okahoma to get it done. Um and then I think
30:38
Speaker 1: Baylor ends up walking to the final because that there
30:40
Speaker 1: they must be salvating for another. They lost twice to
30:43
Speaker 1: Texas Tech this year in two close games in Texas
30:45
Speaker 1: Tech kind of headed and I just don't trust their offense.
30:49
Speaker 1: But Kansas is very vulnerable just if you watch them.
30:52
Speaker 1: There's just something that's just not right on the defensive
30:55
Speaker 1: end with this team. They can get bullied a little
30:58
Speaker 1: bit inside at times. Tease. You did that twice PC
31:02
Speaker 1: you beat them bad at at TCU. Then then that
31:05
Speaker 1: they played two games in a row. Kansas, after getting embarrassed,
31:08
Speaker 1: comes home. They come out with the crowd and staying
31:11
Speaker 1: one of the best home court advantage and all college best.
31:13
Speaker 1: But they go up double digit. CCU fights all the
31:14
Speaker 1: way back. That game went right down to the wire
31:17
Speaker 1: with Mike Miles, one of the best players in the country.
31:20
Speaker 1: If you haven't seen him for TCU, he was a
31:22
Speaker 1: massive fal trouble the entire game. Tc the number one
31:25
Speaker 1: offensive rebounding team in the country, just extremely physical. So look,
31:30
Speaker 1: I think that they can beat Kansas in the semifinals.
31:33
Speaker 1: It's a it's a good matchup for them. Miles is incredible.
31:37
Speaker 1: The problem is TCU, for whatever reason, it just didn't
31:41
Speaker 1: match up well with Texas during the regular season. They
31:44
Speaker 1: lost both meetings fairly easily. So it's like a little
31:47
Speaker 1: conundrum there. If you can find like thirty two one
31:51
Speaker 1: on TCU just three games in three days, I think
31:54
Speaker 1: that they can certainly make a run here. Um, because
31:58
Speaker 1: I think that they match up with well with Kansas,
32:00
Speaker 1: and who knows, Kansas could go down to Kansas State.
32:02
Speaker 1: Um if Kansas State is hitting their threes. So yeah,
32:05
Speaker 1: I think CCU is the sleeper. I think Baylor gets there, um,
32:09
Speaker 1: but Kansas is the vulnerable team. And you might hear
32:12
Speaker 1: a myth this year. You'll hear this every year around
32:15
Speaker 1: this time. It's hard to be the team three times
32:17
Speaker 1: in the conference tournaments teams that swept the regular season.
32:21
Speaker 1: Over the past thirty years, teams that swept the regular
32:23
Speaker 1: season have actually covered at fifty clip um in the
32:30
Speaker 1: conference tournament. So that is a myth. Just most time
32:35
Speaker 1: there's a reason the team got swept because it's maybe
32:37
Speaker 1: not a great match up. There are exceptions with injuries
32:39
Speaker 1: and things of that nature, but just thought i'd throw
32:42
Speaker 1: that out there. So, yeah, if you're looking for some
32:44
Speaker 1: of these are just fun. Like you know, thirty to
32:46
Speaker 1: one to one. Tc doesn't shoot a lot of threes,
32:50
Speaker 1: which I don't like, but they just get a ton
32:52
Speaker 1: of offensive rebounds. But some of these are fun. So
32:54
Speaker 1: if you want to throw a flyer on, you know,
32:57
Speaker 1: a four day tournament in the Big twelve, which should
32:59
Speaker 1: be fun. Um and for TCU it's gonna be a
33:02
Speaker 1: three day tournament, I go with Horn Frocks Jamie dickon Okay,
33:08
Speaker 1: rapid fire because there's three conferences I want to get
33:11
Speaker 1: to still one sort of a Big five in the
33:15
Speaker 1: Pac twelve. Um, actually there's four. I want to get
33:19
Speaker 1: to Pack twelve, Big East and then two wild cards
33:24
Speaker 1: uh B J one sentence and the Pack twelve. It's
33:28
Speaker 1: hard to look away from Arizona and minus one twenty.
33:31
Speaker 1: They are incredibly difficult to beat. And I don't see
33:33
Speaker 1: any really team uh competing with them in the Pack
33:37
Speaker 1: twelve Stucky Pack twelve. Yeah, it would have been Oregon,
33:41
Speaker 1: but they faded on the stretch. Richardson, the leading score
33:45
Speaker 1: might not even play. If you want to throw a
33:47
Speaker 1: dart Washington State, Big East Stucky, you start. I think
33:55
Speaker 1: Providence is being disrespected here. They're kind of like the
33:59
Speaker 1: team at everyone hates for good, you know, in the
34:02
Speaker 1: analytics community, for for good reason. They've been one of
34:04
Speaker 1: the luckiest teams in the country. They win every game
34:05
Speaker 1: by one to five points. But here's the thing, that's
34:08
Speaker 1: all we need to do in the conference. M win
34:10
Speaker 1: games I one to five points. That will work. And they,
34:13
Speaker 1: you know, they're like five to one. They're the they're
34:16
Speaker 1: the one seed, by the way, and like Yukon is
34:20
Speaker 1: three to like plus three fifty. Yukon's on the same
34:23
Speaker 1: side of the bracket as Villanova, who's the best team
34:26
Speaker 1: in this conference. And like, it just makes no sense
34:31
Speaker 1: to me because people hate I just people have started
34:34
Speaker 1: to absolutely hate Providence. So I think that you're potentially
34:37
Speaker 1: getting some value on them, and then in their half
34:40
Speaker 1: of the bracket, you have a bunch of teams that
34:41
Speaker 1: are either fading or dealing with injuries. So I think
34:44
Speaker 1: that their path to the final is incredible. If you're
34:48
Speaker 1: looking to take a flyer here, I would maybe look look. St.
34:54
Speaker 1: John's and DePaul are both going like this. It's really
34:57
Speaker 1: sad that they both at the play each other in
34:58
Speaker 1: the first round and one of them is gonna have
35:00
Speaker 1: to go on a big run here. Um. But St.
35:03
Speaker 1: John's is it really interesting team. They have incredible talent
35:07
Speaker 1: with Pash Alexander Chapaniah. I mean like they're they're really
35:09
Speaker 1: talented team. They kind of imposed their will on you,
35:12
Speaker 1: muck up the game with their pressure, and they've given
35:16
Speaker 1: Villanova fits in recent years. They took you know, they
35:20
Speaker 1: have two really close games against Connecticut this year. They're
35:24
Speaker 1: they're an interesting flyer. They'll have to win the tournament
35:27
Speaker 1: to get into the dance um. So if you're looking
35:29
Speaker 1: for a dart there, it's St. Johnson. I think the
35:32
Speaker 1: values of providence of five to one in that top
35:36
Speaker 1: half of the bracket as the one seed um with
35:40
Speaker 1: with a bunch of teams that are fading, like Crating
35:42
Speaker 1: lost their point guard, and um, so I think Providences
35:45
Speaker 1: the value St John's the dart b J. Yeah, I
35:49
Speaker 1: think the market has overreacted a tad bit to Providence.
35:52
Speaker 1: Ire is stucky that five new one there one team
35:54
Speaker 1: if they actually looked interest, if they looked interested. Xavier
35:58
Speaker 1: at twenty one is a little bit interesting. A team
35:59
Speaker 1: that can score at a high rate inside, defends well
36:02
Speaker 1: in the half court, but lost four or five down
36:04
Speaker 1: the stretch, especially in the game against St. John's. The
36:06
Speaker 1: body language is really really bad and even you, Travis
36:09
Speaker 1: Steele even said it in the press conference, So, uh,
36:13
Speaker 1: who knows. Maybe a conference tournament breeds new life into them. Uh.
36:16
Speaker 1: And they actually look like they want to play and
36:18
Speaker 1: if they can, they're they're one of the better teams
36:20
Speaker 1: in this conference. And definitely I think have a little
36:22
Speaker 1: bit of value at twenty one. The last two I
36:25
Speaker 1: want to talk about, uh, And I asked you guys
36:28
Speaker 1: before we came on. We can go through sort of
36:30
Speaker 1: the big players in college basketball. But the beauty of
36:33
Speaker 1: the conference tournaments is how exciting it gets with teams
36:37
Speaker 1: nobody's been paying attention to all year except for maybe
36:40
Speaker 1: you guys, these are great precursors to March madness where
36:44
Speaker 1: people can start to think about who are the teams
36:46
Speaker 1: that need to pay attention to for brackets, where are
36:49
Speaker 1: the opportunities for some of those sea teams that will
36:51
Speaker 1: be seated between you know, ten and sixteen um B J.
36:58
Speaker 1: Let's start quickly with the Mountain West. Yeah, it's a
37:03
Speaker 1: it's a probably one of the more interesting conference tournaments
37:05
Speaker 1: out there. You have about about five teams that I
37:09
Speaker 1: think really have a good chance of actually winning the tournament. Uh,
37:13
Speaker 1: if you love offense, you might want to stay away
37:15
Speaker 1: from this conference because there's a lot of teams in here,
37:17
Speaker 1: like Boise State, San Diego State that are just incredible
37:20
Speaker 1: defensive teams but just play slow paces and just muck
37:23
Speaker 1: up those type of games. Wyoming for a lot of
37:26
Speaker 1: the season was one of the luckier teams, but they've
37:28
Speaker 1: kind of started to regress towards where they should be
37:31
Speaker 1: and they're still one of the I think potentially the
37:33
Speaker 1: best team in this conference. You can get them at
37:35
Speaker 1: currently at six to one. They have an interesting match
37:37
Speaker 1: against UMLB in the first round, and then they'll play
37:39
Speaker 1: Boise State, who they did struggle with in one meeting,
37:42
Speaker 1: but they were without one of their leading scorers. So
37:45
Speaker 1: especially in the top half of the bracket, I think
37:47
Speaker 1: Boise State is the one seed is pretty vulnerable. Um,
37:50
Speaker 1: Colorado State is also interesting. They uh for a lot
37:53
Speaker 1: of the season, we're winning a lot of close games
37:55
Speaker 1: where Tad overrated as as a two seed. But uh,
37:59
Speaker 1: you know there's even teams like Utah State at eleven
38:01
Speaker 1: to one, who went through a lot of injuries and
38:03
Speaker 1: I have gotten a lot of those really a lot
38:05
Speaker 1: of their best players back, and they could definitely make
38:07
Speaker 1: a run. So if you want to take a long shot,
38:10
Speaker 1: I think Utah State is probably the play here. But
38:12
Speaker 1: if you want to go buy stuckies money line rollover system,
38:15
Speaker 1: I think any of the teams that you know are
38:18
Speaker 1: below six to one, definitely you're probably gonna get a
38:20
Speaker 1: better price at at rolling them over. Stuck Now he's
38:24
Speaker 1: now he's piggybacking off the money line rollover. Yeah. Well, Matt,
38:28
Speaker 1: what you mentioned some of the best players in the
38:29
Speaker 1: in the country. About West has some of them, Um,
38:32
Speaker 1: like David Roddy for Colorado stay is incredible. Matt Bradley
38:35
Speaker 1: for San Diego State Orlando Robinson for Fresnos the first
38:37
Speaker 1: round draft pick. Um, you know, Bryce Hamilton's for UNLV
38:41
Speaker 1: is amazing, could take over a game at any point
38:43
Speaker 1: in time. They're they're just up about. They have four
38:46
Speaker 1: teams that are in the tournament. They have four at large.
38:48
Speaker 1: Is if someone else that's not like you're gonna see
38:51
Speaker 1: Boise State, You're gonna see Colorado State, You're gonna see
38:54
Speaker 1: Wyoming in San Diego State, number one defense in the country. Um,
38:58
Speaker 1: they're already in. This could be a five big league tournament.
39:01
Speaker 1: Is gonna be incredible, But I think that it's worth
39:04
Speaker 1: taking a shot. There's a lot of teams that underperformed.
39:06
Speaker 1: Nevada for example, they took San Diego State to the
39:09
Speaker 1: wire and their two meetings. They're now healthy and a
39:13
Speaker 1: lot of people before the year thought that they could
39:15
Speaker 1: win this conference. Um, you know, you have two great
39:18
Speaker 1: guards in Sheffield and Cambridge. You have, you know, a
39:21
Speaker 1: couple of seven footers in their lineup, Warren Washington's back.
39:24
Speaker 1: They're dangerous. I think you can find like a one.
39:27
Speaker 1: I took some of that personally. U n l V.
39:30
Speaker 1: UNLV plays Wyoming in the first round. UNV has a
39:32
Speaker 1: real shot to win this and go to the Dance.
39:34
Speaker 1: They were twenty eight to one to win this two
39:36
Speaker 1: weeks ago. They're now nine to one, and they're they're
39:39
Speaker 1: gonna start with the Yoma team they just dominated at home.
39:42
Speaker 1: They're gonna play them again. I think they win that game. Um,
39:44
Speaker 1: and they're gonna get a Boise team that they can beat. So,
39:48
Speaker 1: you know, if you want to have some fun un
39:50
Speaker 1: l V I sprinkle a little on unv and a
39:52
Speaker 1: little on Nevada. They're both in the top half. Um.
39:55
Speaker 1: But I think that there's a real chance that the
39:57
Speaker 1: Mountain West gets another bid because you have the four
40:00
Speaker 1: teams that are really good that are already in and
40:02
Speaker 1: then you know these other teams that dealt with injuries
40:04
Speaker 1: and or are just surging late. Um. Just it's gonna
40:08
Speaker 1: be an incredible conference and actually the one I'm looking
40:10
Speaker 1: forward to more than any other one. Well, team No
40:13
Speaker 1: Sleep is gonna get a lot of training during conference
40:17
Speaker 1: championship week when you're staying up for the Mountin West.
40:20
Speaker 1: Jorney Stuck finish us off with the eight ten Yeah, ten,
40:25
Speaker 1: you're you're probably gonna get I think VC is gonna
40:29
Speaker 1: be in Davidson's gonna be in. I think the bet
40:32
Speaker 1: here is Bonnies from five six when you can find
40:36
Speaker 1: five to one or better. That's kind of my strike
40:38
Speaker 1: price this Bonnie's team. Before the year, people thought that
40:42
Speaker 1: they should be ranked clear favorite in the team in
40:45
Speaker 1: the conference, excuse me, and they just completely underperformed. Some
40:48
Speaker 1: teams just didn't have it this year. Buffalo is one
40:50
Speaker 1: of them. Bonnies all seniors like high expectations, a lot
40:56
Speaker 1: of talent didn't have it. But of late something happened
41:01
Speaker 1: and they figured it out that they're playing their best
41:03
Speaker 1: basketball the year. They need to win this uh the
41:05
Speaker 1: Agent Tournament to get in. You're getting a really experienced
41:08
Speaker 1: team that I think as a pretty favorable matchups against
41:13
Speaker 1: the teams that they're gonna face. A St. Louis team
41:15
Speaker 1: who can be tricky, looked good against them, they can
41:19
Speaker 1: beat Davidson kind of out physical them. This is kind
41:22
Speaker 1: of just like, all right, we're rolling right now, and
41:25
Speaker 1: this is our chance. A bunch of seniors on Bonnies. Um.
41:28
Speaker 1: I think that's the move in the eight ten J Yeah,
41:32
Speaker 1: I agree, it's either Bonnies or Richmond is also kind
41:34
Speaker 1: of interesting team. They have really good guard play. They've
41:36
Speaker 1: been under achieved a little bit. They're gonna play VCU
41:40
Speaker 1: in the in the quarterfinals, team that's pretty vulnerable, really
41:44
Speaker 1: good defensively, but struggles on the offensive. On the floor, Davidson,
41:48
Speaker 1: I think is the best team in this conference. They
41:49
Speaker 1: shoot the ball incredibly well. So if you see them
41:52
Speaker 1: in the tournament, uh there, they can just shoot the
41:55
Speaker 1: lights out on you. So Richmond at seven to one
41:58
Speaker 1: or seven and a half to one or same Bondaventry, Yeah,
42:01
Speaker 1: like a great stuff. Yet five ones probably the way
42:03
Speaker 1: to go in the Those are both. Those are both teams.
42:06
Speaker 1: The one problem with the bodies of zero depth, like
42:09
Speaker 1: like at all the three dead last and benchments, which
42:13
Speaker 1: can be a problem, you know over the course of
42:16
Speaker 1: a short period time you're playing a couple of games.
42:18
Speaker 1: But you know, I think that they rallied. But Richmond
42:21
Speaker 1: and say Bonavents are same story, like a bunch of seniors,
42:24
Speaker 1: really experienced team underperformed. A lot of people thought both
42:28
Speaker 1: were gonna be tournament teams. This is kind of their chat,
42:30
Speaker 1: So I like targeting a lot of those teams are
42:32
Speaker 1: kind of disappointed that our veteran teams underachieved and then
42:36
Speaker 1: you know this serves as a restart in the case
42:38
Speaker 1: of bodies. In addition to that, there you know you're
42:41
Speaker 1: seeing them kind of trend up and surging ahead of
42:45
Speaker 1: this tournament, which I like to see in their big
42:47
Speaker 1: man who got hurt, looked great last game, which is
42:50
Speaker 1: enormous because they basical only played with five guys. Guys
42:53
Speaker 1: is Howard s said, You've said it all. A CC down,
42:57
Speaker 1: SECU big ten and consistent big twelve down. Mountain West
43:01
Speaker 1: might be the best conference in all the land. Virginia
43:04
Speaker 1: Tech is a nice looking wrong shot. You've got some
43:07
Speaker 1: money line rollovers in Alabama and Iowa TCU maybe one
43:13
Speaker 1: Providence five to one. Zafer taking a little taste everywhere
43:18
Speaker 1: we can get it. That's what we're doing here at
43:20
Speaker 1: the Favorites podcast on the Volume podcast network for b
43:24
Speaker 1: J Cunningham for Stucky. Listen to more in depth college
43:29
Speaker 1: basketball coverage Big Bets on Campus podcast. We will be
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