Latest / Daniel and Kelly’s Extraordinary Universe / Why haven't we seen a Milky Way Supernova in 400 years?
Transcript
- 0:09Speaker 1: Katie, if you want to learn more about some creature
- 0:12Speaker 1: you're planning to feature, what's a good way to get started? Well,
- 0:16Speaker 1: I use this obscure technology called Google, or I could
- 0:21Speaker 1: find one and observe it. That's it. You just read
- 0:24Speaker 1: about it or observe it. You don't like poke it
- 0:27Speaker 1: or anything. I mean, in general, I think in the
- 0:30Speaker 1: field of evolutionary biology, they discourage poking wild animals. Yes.
- 0:35Speaker 1: Does that mean therefore that you also, like, never smashed
- 0:38Speaker 1: two of them together at high speeds? Pretty strongly discouraged. Interesting?
- 0:42Speaker 1: I mean, in my experience, that's a pretty good way
- 0:45Speaker 1: to learn what something's made out of. I think that
- 0:47Speaker 1: someone needs to find some advocacy organization or pro bono
- 0:52Speaker 1: lawyers to represent the protons you guys have been smashing. Oh,
- 0:55Speaker 1: we are facing the biggest class action lawsuit in history. Hi,
- 1:15Speaker 1: I'm Daniel. I'm a particle physicist and a professor at
- 1:19Speaker 1: UC Irvine, and I am not prepared for a lawsuit
- 1:22Speaker 1: from ten to the thirty protons. Hi. I am Katie Golden.
- 1:26Speaker 1: I host the podcast Creature Feature, and I am boning
- 1:31Speaker 1: up on my lawyerism to try to sue the pants
- 1:36Speaker 1: and particles off of Daniel, how are you going to
- 1:39Speaker 1: manage all of those clients? I mean, what if they
- 1:41Speaker 1: disagree about how much money to ask for or you know,
- 1:44Speaker 1: whether to send me to prison or something. I mean,
- 1:46Speaker 1: tended the thirty clients is a lot to wrangle. I mean,
- 1:48Speaker 1: I think I'll just send out a general mailer or
- 1:51Speaker 1: do an ad on TV. That's like, if you're a particle,
- 1:54Speaker 1: and you are a loved particle were involved in a
- 1:57Speaker 1: smashing well, I hope that all the protons out there
- 2:00Speaker 1: are not mad at us for all the times we've
- 2:02Speaker 1: been smashing them together to try to learn about the
- 2:05Speaker 1: nature of the universe. And Welcome to the podcast Daniel
- 2:08Speaker 1: and Jorge Explain the Universe, a production of I Heart
- 2:12Speaker 1: Radio in which we do encourage people to smash stuff
- 2:16Speaker 1: together in order to learn about how the universe is
- 2:20Speaker 1: put together. We try to ask and answer some of
- 2:22Speaker 1: the deepest questions about the very nature of the universe,
- 2:26Speaker 1: the fundamental fabric of reality. What in the end is
- 2:30Speaker 1: the universe made out of our space and time, fundamental
- 2:34Speaker 1: our particles, the basic building blocks of the universe, Or
- 2:37Speaker 1: is it something even weirder, even deeper, even stranger than
- 2:41Speaker 1: our little minds can suppose, and we don't just smash
- 2:44Speaker 1: particles together. We look out into space to see other
- 2:47Speaker 1: things that Mother Nature or Grandpa Universe has smashed together
- 2:52Speaker 1: on our behalf, so that we can ask huge questions
- 2:55Speaker 1: about how those things are put together. The moral of
- 2:58Speaker 1: the story is smash stuff, learn a lot, but of course,
- 3:02Speaker 1: watch out for people's rights and be careful about applying
- 3:06Speaker 1: this to wild animals. My co host and friend Jorge
- 3:09Speaker 1: can't be here today. He is traveling through Spain and Portugal,
- 3:13Speaker 1: so we are delighted to have our regular co host,
- 3:15Speaker 1: Katie Golden. Katie, thanks very much for joining us. Yeah,
- 3:18Speaker 1: of course, I think it is a little bit suspicious
- 3:21Speaker 1: that Jorge is missing when we are talking about smashing
- 3:24Speaker 1: things together to learn more about them. But okay, and
- 3:28Speaker 1: you know, astronomers are always delighted when stuff smashes into
- 3:31Speaker 1: other stuff in outer space. They're not capable of building
- 3:35Speaker 1: a collider like we can. You know, we can smash
- 3:37Speaker 1: protons together to learn about what's inside of them, but
- 3:40Speaker 1: astronomers can't build a black hole collider for example. Yes,
- 3:46Speaker 1: they got dreams, they got plans, but sometimes they get
- 3:50Speaker 1: lucky anyway, and the stuff just sort of happens out
- 3:52Speaker 1: there in the universe for them to watch, and they
- 3:56Speaker 1: don't have to worry about the black holes rights or
- 3:58Speaker 1: it's legal fees or or whether he gets mad because
- 4:01Speaker 1: they're just taking notes. And I wonder, Katie, if the
- 4:03Speaker 1: same thing happens for you. I mean, sometimes I watch
- 4:06Speaker 1: these nature shows about like giraffe battling by slamming their
- 4:10Speaker 1: next together, or you know, big horn rams being in
- 4:12Speaker 1: themselves together. You guys also learn a lot, don't you
- 4:15Speaker 1: when animals smash themselves together. Yeah, I mean, to be fair,
- 4:19Speaker 1: I am not currently doing research, but when I was
- 4:22Speaker 1: a little undergrad, I was definitely involved in some of
- 4:26Speaker 1: these research projects. And one of them was just going
- 4:29Speaker 1: out and watching squirrels and taking notes, and it made
- 4:33Speaker 1: us very popular among the school body, just sitting there
- 4:36Speaker 1: being the squirrel people, watching the squirrels, writing down what
- 4:40Speaker 1: the squirrels were doing. But yes, observing wildlife, observing animals
- 4:44Speaker 1: is extremely instructive for revolutionary biologists. It can be very
- 4:49Speaker 1: difficult because, of course, when you're observing things in nature,
- 4:52Speaker 1: it is not a laboratory environment, so you know, eliminating
- 4:56Speaker 1: the variables that are inevitable when you have sort of
- 5:00Speaker 1: this chaotic natural environment can pose a kind of tricky
- 5:04Speaker 1: thing for research, But yeah, it is. It is a
- 5:06Speaker 1: hugely important side of evolutionary biology is just looking at
- 5:11Speaker 1: what an animal is doing and hoping it doesn't notice
- 5:15Speaker 1: you looking at it. All right, But I want to
- 5:17Speaker 1: clear answer here. Do squirrels smash themselves together or not?
- 5:22Speaker 1: They smash acorns into their little faces, but they don't
- 5:27Speaker 1: smash acorns against each other's no, like squirrel acorn Collision
- 5:31Speaker 1: research program, not exactly. They may smash it into the
- 5:35Speaker 1: ground a little bit to get that buried in there,
- 5:38Speaker 1: but they don't have a squirrel acorn hadron collider quite yet. Well,
- 5:44Speaker 1: you know, there's just a limitation to how much you
- 5:46Speaker 1: can learn by observing stuff. We were just looking at protons,
- 5:50Speaker 1: for example, we never would have understood what was inside
- 5:53Speaker 1: them and seeing this incredible dance of the corks and
- 5:56Speaker 1: the gluons that are all tied together to make this
- 5:59Speaker 1: crazy thing we call a proton. And so it's these
- 6:01Speaker 1: dramatic events when protons smashed together or when larger objects
- 6:05Speaker 1: smashed together. Squirrels black holes for example, a list nobody
- 6:10Speaker 1: has ever made before in the history of time that
- 6:11Speaker 1: consists only of squirrels and black holes seems pretty complete
- 6:16Speaker 1: to me. What else could there be onside a list?
- 6:19Speaker 1: But when these things do happen, you have an incredible
- 6:21Speaker 1: opportunity to learn something about the nature of what's inside
- 6:25Speaker 1: these objects. I mean, we know something about what's inside squirrels,
- 6:29Speaker 1: but we have deep questions about what's at the heart
- 6:31Speaker 1: of neutron stars, what's inside black holes? Hey, what's going
- 6:35Speaker 1: on even inside normal stars? Stars like our sun have
- 6:39Speaker 1: incredible convection zones of plasma slurping and slashing and making
- 6:44Speaker 1: magnetic fields that flip every eleven years, we still don't
- 6:48Speaker 1: even understand what's going on inside a normal star. To
- 6:51Speaker 1: be fair, if you want to know what's going inside
- 6:55Speaker 1: of a squirrel, you can't really do that just by
- 6:58Speaker 1: watching the squirrel. Uh. It involves the process that I
- 7:03Speaker 1: may not want to describe to people right now, but
- 7:06Speaker 1: I imagine it is quite difficult to know in a
- 7:09Speaker 1: similar way what is going on inside something like a
- 7:12Speaker 1: star when you can only look at it and not
- 7:15Speaker 1: dissect it on a table. Yeah, and even star collisions
- 7:20Speaker 1: are pretty rare, But astronomers are lucky that there's another
- 7:23Speaker 1: way to see inside of stars. You don't have to
- 7:26Speaker 1: smash them together. Sometimes they just blow up on their own.
- 7:30Speaker 1: They erupt and deposit all of their innerds now on
- 7:33Speaker 1: their outers, so that we can study them and see
- 7:36Speaker 1: what was inside that star, just like squirrels, just like
- 7:41Speaker 1: got to one too many acorns, right exactly, I'm stuffed.
- 7:46Speaker 1: And when stars do go boom, it's an incredible opportunity
- 7:50Speaker 1: to learn about the processes that are going on inside
- 7:53Speaker 1: the star, why they suddenly got imbalanced. Plus it's a
- 7:56Speaker 1: pretty dramatic light show. Now you say that, but I
- 8:00Speaker 1: have never gotten to see a star explode, and I
- 8:03Speaker 1: would really like to. So where can I sign up? Well,
- 8:06Speaker 1: one problem is that we don't even really understand why
- 8:09Speaker 1: it happens and when it happens. We don't have a
- 8:12Speaker 1: scientific model that can predict when a given star is
- 8:15Speaker 1: going to go supernova. So all we can do is
- 8:18Speaker 1: scan the night sky. And you know, to me, that's
- 8:21Speaker 1: fascinating because the night sky seems pretty stable. If you
- 8:24Speaker 1: like looking at the stars, you probably are looking at
- 8:27Speaker 1: the same stars that looked pretty much the same as
- 8:29Speaker 1: your parents did, and your grandparents and their ancestors did.
- 8:34Speaker 1: The night sky does not change very much, but when
- 8:37Speaker 1: it does, when that happens, when a supernova goes boom,
- 8:40Speaker 1: it's very dramatic. These things can be as bright as
- 8:43Speaker 1: an entire galaxy, so it's a pretty exciting event when
- 8:47Speaker 1: it does happen. But you know, you're right, it's not
- 8:50Speaker 1: something that we've been able to see very recently, and
- 8:53Speaker 1: even though supernovas are expected to be rare, something of
- 8:57Speaker 1: a mystery about why we haven't seen more supernovas. In fact,
- 9:01Speaker 1: it's been over four hundred years since we have seen
- 9:05Speaker 1: a supernova in our galaxy. It seems strange to me
- 9:09Speaker 1: because even if it's rare, it seems like there's so
- 9:12Speaker 1: much stuff in the galaxy that you would at you know,
- 9:17Speaker 1: you are increasing your odds. Like when they say an
- 9:20Speaker 1: infinite number of monkeys on an infinite number of typewriters.
- 9:23Speaker 1: It's like an infinite maybe not infinite, but many many
- 9:26Speaker 1: exploding monkeys who once in a while explode. You would
- 9:30Speaker 1: think you'd catch a monkey explode. I'm so sorry to
- 9:36Speaker 1: everybody out there who just had the mental image of
- 9:38Speaker 1: an exploding monkey put into their head. I hope that's
- 9:41Speaker 1: a positive addition to your day. Whatever else is going on,
- 9:44Speaker 1: which we don't condone. We do not condone it. We
- 9:47Speaker 1: simply describe it exactly scientifically. We're just observing super monkey nova's.
- 9:52Speaker 1: You know, it's not our fault. We're just you know,
- 9:54Speaker 1: doing our best to learn something from it. So that's
- 9:56Speaker 1: exactly what we're gonna be talking about today. The title
- 9:59Speaker 1: of today's AT episode is why haven't we seen a
- 10:07Speaker 1: Milky Way supernova in more than four hundred years? Have
- 10:11Speaker 1: we just not looked up? Like, has anyone you know,
- 10:15Speaker 1: just kind of checked it out? You mean, have we
- 10:17Speaker 1: been so self involved for the last four hundred years
- 10:19Speaker 1: that we haven't noticed incredible explosions in our sky? Right?
- 10:23Speaker 1: It's these kids with their noses and their smartphones all
- 10:26Speaker 1: the time. They just don't notice them. Well, I think
- 10:29Speaker 1: that the last person to see a supernova in the
- 10:32Speaker 1: Milky Way was Kepler, himself, famous man of astronomy, of course,
- 10:37Speaker 1: and I'm pretty sure that he didn't have a smartphone,
- 10:39Speaker 1: and that in most of the intervening four hundred years,
- 10:43Speaker 1: astronomers have not been distracted by their smartphones. So that's
- 10:47Speaker 1: a good idea. But I think we're gonna have to
- 10:48Speaker 1: look for other explanations for why we haven't seen any
- 10:51Speaker 1: supernovas from the Milky Way in our sky in four
- 10:55Speaker 1: hundred years. It's something of a cosmic mystery that we're
- 10:58Speaker 1: going to dig into today, but before we do, we
- 11:01Speaker 1: were wondering what our listeners thought about this question. People
- 11:04Speaker 1: understand why there hasn't been a supernova in our galaxy
- 11:08Speaker 1: that we've spotted in several hundred years. So thanks very
- 11:12Speaker 1: much to everybody who volunteered to answer random questions. They
- 11:15Speaker 1: heard this question without any chance to prepare, and we
- 11:18Speaker 1: asked them to just speak from the top of their head,
- 11:21Speaker 1: so we get a sense for what you, dear listener,
- 11:24Speaker 1: are thinking about as you listen to this podcast episode.
- 11:27Speaker 1: What you know, what you don't know? What the ideas
- 11:29Speaker 1: are out there. If you'd like to hear your voice
- 11:31Speaker 1: speculating on the podcast for a future episode, please write
- 11:34Speaker 1: to us. We'd love to have you on the show.
- 11:36Speaker 1: Just drop us an email to questions at Daniel and
- 11:39Speaker 1: Jorge dot com. Here's what our listeners had to say.
- 11:43Speaker 1: If I remember rightly, there are a couple hundred billion
- 11:47Speaker 1: stars in the Milky Way, and supernovas are made from
- 11:50Speaker 1: stars that last much shorter than ours. So if they
- 11:55Speaker 1: were all eligible, there the right kind to be a
- 11:59Speaker 1: super nova and being produced at a constant right throughout
- 12:04Speaker 1: the life of the universe, we'd be seeing about one
- 12:08Speaker 1: every two and a half years, if I've done my
- 12:11Speaker 1: math right. Since we haven't seen one in at least
- 12:14Speaker 1: four hundred years, which is about a hundred and sixty
- 12:18Speaker 1: times as long as expected, my guess is that only
- 12:23Speaker 1: about one in a hundred and sixty stars is the
- 12:27Speaker 1: right kind to end up as a supernova. I've actually
- 12:30Speaker 1: thought about this question a couple of times, because, like
- 12:33Speaker 1: most people, I would love to see a supernova in
- 12:36Speaker 1: broad daily. I keep asking beetle juice, but it doesn't listen.
- 12:40Speaker 1: So I think that in individual galaxies they are just
- 12:45Speaker 1: a rare event. Um, there's only so many stars in
- 12:48Speaker 1: a galaxy, so I think they're pretty rare on a
- 12:51Speaker 1: galaxy scale, but on a universal scale, because there's countless galaxies,
- 12:56Speaker 1: they become common events. So that's my guess. Years is
- 13:00Speaker 1: like a blink of an eye in the galactic time scales.
- 13:04Speaker 1: So I think we just haven't seen a supernova in
- 13:08Speaker 1: our Milky Way yet. We haven't seen a Milky Way
- 13:12Speaker 1: supernova in more than four hundred years, because supernova are
- 13:16Speaker 1: not just that frequent. Quite a bit of the Milky
- 13:21Speaker 1: Way galaxy is hi didn't behind various gas clouds and
- 13:27Speaker 1: the central budge, so we don't see what's happening on
- 13:31Speaker 1: the other side of the lisk. But what is the
- 13:33Speaker 1: rate of supernova occurrence? I have no idea. I think
- 13:37Speaker 1: the answer to this is that there's probably a statistical
- 13:40Speaker 1: anomally that if the Sun has been around for five
- 13:44Speaker 1: billion years and there's like a billion stars in our
- 13:48Speaker 1: galaxy or a couple of billion stars in the galaxy,
- 13:52Speaker 1: and that not every star turns into a supernova, you
- 13:55Speaker 1: might just seduce the statistics suggests that one might not
- 13:59Speaker 1: have during this time, that one might happen in a
- 14:03Speaker 1: reasonable period of time. But four under views is not
- 14:05Speaker 1: a reasonable period of time in terms of the galaxy.
- 14:09Speaker 1: This question reminds me of the question that I asked
- 14:13Speaker 1: my grandmother when she was trying to tell me about
- 14:17Speaker 1: God and angels and all that good stuff. And I
- 14:23Speaker 1: would ask her, but Grandma, why can't we see angels?
- 14:28Speaker 1: Why can't we see these things that you're talking about
- 14:31Speaker 1: that used to be a long time ago? And she
- 14:36Speaker 1: was telling me that the reason is that people are bad,
- 14:41Speaker 1: not the people used to be good before then, and
- 14:44Speaker 1: that's why we could see all that stuff. Now we
- 14:47Speaker 1: are bad and they won't. We cannot see them anymore.
- 14:51Speaker 1: They won't appear before our eyes. So with the milk,
- 14:55Speaker 1: keep with supernova. Could say, also, it's a combination of
- 14:59Speaker 1: dus distance and dumb luck that we cannot see them,
- 15:03Speaker 1: but also might be because we are bad. I love
- 15:08Speaker 1: the idea that we've just been too naughty to see
- 15:12Speaker 1: a supernova. This is our punishment. It's like some kind
- 15:16Speaker 1: of galactic council has like, oh, humans destroying your environment, naughty, naughty,
- 15:22Speaker 1: no supernovas for you. I know, like we don't deserve
- 15:25Speaker 1: a supernova. You know, we haven't earned it. It's for
- 15:28Speaker 1: like the good aliens, not for us. Right, we got
- 15:31Speaker 1: to clean our rooms and rainforests before we get a supernova. Yeah, exactly.
- 15:38Speaker 1: I like the idea that the universe is judging us.
- 15:40Speaker 1: But I think that the rest of the listener has
- 15:42Speaker 1: really put their finger on sort of the spectrum of
- 15:44Speaker 1: ideas here. You know, it's true that we haven't seen
- 15:46Speaker 1: one in four hundred years, but is that unexpected? Do
- 15:49Speaker 1: we think we should have seen one in four hundred years,
- 15:52Speaker 1: because it's true that four years feels like a long
- 15:56Speaker 1: time to us humans, but it's just a blink on
- 15:59Speaker 1: cosmic iron scales or processes play out over millions and
- 16:03Speaker 1: billions of years. So it's a fair question whether or
- 16:06Speaker 1: not we should have expected to see one, right, because
- 16:08Speaker 1: like if you're you know, if you live in England,
- 16:12Speaker 1: you expect to see rain all the time, but if
- 16:15Speaker 1: you live in Southern California you never see rain ever,
- 16:19Speaker 1: So the different environments between Southern California and England, you
- 16:25Speaker 1: will have kind of a different expectation for these phenomenon. So,
- 16:29Speaker 1: you know, when we don't see stuff in the Milky Way,
- 16:32Speaker 1: I guess I'm asking is the Milky Way like, should
- 16:35Speaker 1: it be exploding all the time? Is it more of
- 16:37Speaker 1: a southern California? What is the weather of the Milky Way? Well,
- 16:42Speaker 1: you know, meteorologists are famously bad at predicting supernovas. You know,
- 16:46Speaker 1: they say they're going to come on Tuesday afternoon and
- 16:48Speaker 1: then boom Wednesday afternoon. When you make your picnic, that's
- 16:51Speaker 1: when all the supernovas come. And I'm always dressed the
- 16:54Speaker 1: wrong way. What is your supernova outfit look like Katie.
- 16:59Speaker 1: It's very shiny, lots of lots of frills and shoulder pads.
- 17:05Speaker 1: Of course, well, I think you put your finger on
- 17:07Speaker 1: the question, and so we are going to talk about
- 17:09Speaker 1: that today. How often we expect to see supernovas in
- 17:13Speaker 1: our galaxy and then ideas for why we are not
- 17:15Speaker 1: seeing as many as we expect. But first maybe we
- 17:18Speaker 1: should talk about the basics, for example, like what is
- 17:21Speaker 1: a supernova, how does it work, what do we know
- 17:23Speaker 1: about it? And why is it even possible to see
- 17:26Speaker 1: one from so far away? I mean from the name,
- 17:29Speaker 1: it sounds like it's a nova, but really big and
- 17:33Speaker 1: super they are in fact the nova and nova is
- 17:35Speaker 1: a Latin word that means new, and so the name
- 17:38Speaker 1: supernova actually comes from another famous man of astronomy, Tico
- 17:43Speaker 1: bra Hey, who observed one in the fifteen hundreds, and
- 17:46Speaker 1: he wrote a book about them, whose title is in
- 17:48Speaker 1: Latin but includes the words nova and stella as in
- 17:52Speaker 1: new star. And the word nova was later used to
- 17:55Speaker 1: describe new things in the sky, including supernova super new
- 17:59Speaker 1: things in the sky. That's really interesting because I think
- 18:02Speaker 1: of a star exploding is kind of like the death
- 18:06Speaker 1: of a star, the violent death of a star. But yeah,
- 18:09Speaker 1: nova being like it's something new, some kind of new thing,
- 18:14Speaker 1: is I guess a nicer way to think about it. Yeah. Well,
- 18:18Speaker 1: often these things that are blowing up are in other galaxies,
- 18:22Speaker 1: really far away things that we couldn't see. The star
- 18:24Speaker 1: that exploded was individually way too dim for us to
- 18:28Speaker 1: see with the naked eye. But once it becomes a supernova,
- 18:31Speaker 1: it can outshine the entire galaxy that is in becoming
- 18:35Speaker 1: visible and bright in the sky. So you're right that
- 18:38Speaker 1: when a star goes supernova, it's at the end of
- 18:40Speaker 1: its life, so it's not really new. It's new to
- 18:43Speaker 1: us because it went from totally invisible in the sky,
- 18:47Speaker 1: one star out of billions in a distant galaxy, to
- 18:50Speaker 1: something that is now visible, so it's new in the sky.
- 18:54Speaker 1: That's interesting to me that it's so bright, because when
- 18:56Speaker 1: I think of something dying, I think of it's sort
- 19:00Speaker 1: of fading, you know, like when a light bulb dies,
- 19:03Speaker 1: it kind of fades, it flickers out, or when a
- 19:05Speaker 1: candle dies, it flickers out. But if it's really bright,
- 19:09Speaker 1: if after it dies it explodes and creates something really bright,
- 19:13Speaker 1: it sounds like it's releasing a huge amount of energy.
- 19:16Speaker 1: It seems counterintuitive to it being a dying star. That's
- 19:21Speaker 1: a good point, and it shines a light right on
- 19:23Speaker 1: what's going on in the supernova, because supernovas are not
- 19:26Speaker 1: like fires that burn gently for a long time and
- 19:29Speaker 1: then eventually just sort of flicker out and fade. They're
- 19:33Speaker 1: more like a bomb, right where the fuse is going
- 19:36Speaker 1: for a long time and then most of the energy
- 19:38Speaker 1: is released at the very very end. Right, it's very
- 19:41Speaker 1: dramatic sort of ending of the life of an object.
- 19:44Speaker 1: And you know, interestingly, the same thing is sort of
- 19:46Speaker 1: true of black holes. Black holes evaporate, you leave them
- 19:50Speaker 1: out in the middle of space, and they do so
- 19:52Speaker 1: by giving off hawking radiation. And the hawking radiation they
- 19:56Speaker 1: give off is brighter as the black hole gets small.
- 20:00Speaker 1: So as the black hole gives off radiation gets smaller
- 20:03Speaker 1: and smaller, it starts to give off more and more radiation.
- 20:06Speaker 1: So the last gasp of a black hole would actually
- 20:09Speaker 1: be very bright. You would like go off in a
- 20:11Speaker 1: bang of glory. That's I love that, that's I'm proud
- 20:15Speaker 1: of them, that's good for them. Is that how you
- 20:17Speaker 1: want to go out, Katie, You don't want to just
- 20:19Speaker 1: podcast to the end, dribbling out a few last words.
- 20:22Speaker 1: You want to have like one dramatic podcast at the
- 20:25Speaker 1: very end of your career. Exactly. Yeah, if I could
- 20:29Speaker 1: go the way a black hole goes, and you know,
- 20:32Speaker 1: just like shootout podcast rays everywhere all at once, that'd
- 20:37Speaker 1: be great, right, the super podcast nova. Well, in order
- 20:41Speaker 1: to understand why supernovas are so bright and so dramatic,
- 20:45Speaker 1: we have to think a little bit about what's going
- 20:48Speaker 1: on inside them. Now, like everything out there in the universe,
- 20:51Speaker 1: it's not something that we understand very well, but we
- 20:54Speaker 1: do have something of a reasonable cartoon description of what's
- 20:58Speaker 1: going on why supernovas are o dramatic. And remember, the
- 21:01Speaker 1: context is how a star works at all, Like why
- 21:05Speaker 1: are there stars anyway? You know? Which you have is
- 21:08Speaker 1: a huge blob of gas and dust in the universe
- 21:10Speaker 1: which gravity has gathered together into a compact, dense object,
- 21:15Speaker 1: and squeezing it together makes it hot. And then because
- 21:19Speaker 1: it's so hot and so dense, it triggers fusion in
- 21:22Speaker 1: the heart of the star. So you squeeze hydrogen together,
- 21:25Speaker 1: for example, and you get helium. You get those two
- 21:28Speaker 1: protons to overcome their positive charges and to pop together
- 21:32Speaker 1: into a new kind of thing. That helium gets fused
- 21:35Speaker 1: together into something even heavier. And the cool thing about
- 21:38Speaker 1: fusion is that it doesn't just make heavier stuff. It
- 21:41Speaker 1: also releases a lot of energy. So gravity pulls this
- 21:44Speaker 1: stuff together and then creates the conditions necessary for fusion,
- 21:48Speaker 1: which pushes back out. So the energy from fusion, the particles,
- 21:52Speaker 1: the photons, pushes back out on the star. And that's
- 21:55Speaker 1: why the star can burn for billions of years. That's
- 21:58Speaker 1: why you get like a stable, say, situation, like why
- 22:01Speaker 1: do stars even happen? Because there's this incredible balance between
- 22:05Speaker 1: gravity pushing in on the star, trying to make it
- 22:08Speaker 1: into a black hole, and fusion pushing out on the star,
- 22:12Speaker 1: basically a bomb blowing the star up. And these two
- 22:15Speaker 1: things can stay in balance for billions of years, depending
- 22:18Speaker 1: on how massive the star is. But one thing I
- 22:21Speaker 1: know about stars, since we have one, and it's called Mr.
- 22:25Speaker 1: Sun or Mrs Son, it gives off heat. So this
- 22:28Speaker 1: to me seems to indicate that, like, you know, this
- 22:31Speaker 1: is not like a self contained system. If I can
- 22:34Speaker 1: feel the Sun, feel the warmth from it, and it
- 22:37Speaker 1: doesn't that mean it is losing energy at some kind
- 22:40Speaker 1: of rate, Like, is it in the same way as
- 22:43Speaker 1: like a fire burns fuel, is it running out of
- 22:46Speaker 1: fuel as it burns? The star definitely is giving off energy.
- 22:50Speaker 1: It's not self contained, so it is using up fuel,
- 22:54Speaker 1: and the fuel four fusion are light elements, so mostly hydrogen.
- 22:58Speaker 1: Hydrogen is the most plentiful thing in the universe. Most
- 23:01Speaker 1: of the universe that's made out of baryonic matter like
- 23:03Speaker 1: protons and neutrons and our kind of stuff is hydrogen.
- 23:06Speaker 1: So there's no shortage of hydrogen around. And most of
- 23:09Speaker 1: the life of a star is burning that hydrogen and
- 23:12Speaker 1: turning it into something heavier helium, and then if it's
- 23:14Speaker 1: big enough and heavy enough, it can create the conditions
- 23:17Speaker 1: to burn that helium into something heavier, and if it's
- 23:20Speaker 1: then hot enough to burn the results of that fusion,
- 23:23Speaker 1: it can just keep going heavier and heavier and heavier
- 23:26Speaker 1: until it gets up about too iron. In each case, though,
- 23:29Speaker 1: You're right, it's using up some of the energy stored
- 23:32Speaker 1: in those light elements to turn into heavier elements and
- 23:35Speaker 1: give up some of that energy, right, So, like where
- 23:38Speaker 1: does that energy come from? It comes from the original
- 23:40Speaker 1: energy of that hydrogen. You know, you have that hydrogen,
- 23:43Speaker 1: it's floating around in the universe. You now squeezed it
- 23:46Speaker 1: down to a very compact object a star. It's buzzing around,
- 23:50Speaker 1: it's very high temperature. Now you've captured those protons into
- 23:53Speaker 1: helium and in doing so, they give up some of
- 23:55Speaker 1: that energy, which then gets radiated away into space to
- 23:59Speaker 1: make you have a nice summer southern California day. I
- 24:02Speaker 1: don't know about nice, but yes, uh, given how hot
- 24:06Speaker 1: it has been, thanks Son. So I guess like I'm curious,
- 24:10Speaker 1: like when a star dies, is it running out of
- 24:14Speaker 1: fuel or is it like collapse and getting too heavy,
- 24:18Speaker 1: because it seems like that one of those things would
- 24:22Speaker 1: quote unquote kill the star right exactly. It's definitely not
- 24:25Speaker 1: running out of fuel. When a star dies and go supernova,
- 24:28Speaker 1: there's still an enormous amount of hydrogen left over, and
- 24:32Speaker 1: that's why the star doesn't die in a quiet fizzle.
- 24:34Speaker 1: It's not just like burning through all of its fuel.
- 24:37Speaker 1: But what's happening is that this balance between gravity and
- 24:40Speaker 1: fusion is getting upset. And there's really two different kinds
- 24:44Speaker 1: of supernova is that we should talk about. One of
- 24:46Speaker 1: them is called core collapse, and what happens there is
- 24:49Speaker 1: that the star is making this ash, this product of fusion,
- 24:54Speaker 1: making heavier and heavier elements which then settle at the
- 24:57Speaker 1: heart of the star. And if the star is not
- 24:59Speaker 1: heavy enough to create the high temperatures needed to burn
- 25:02Speaker 1: that into something even heavier than it's like inert material
- 25:06Speaker 1: at the heart of the star. So now at the
- 25:08Speaker 1: heart of the star you are no longer producing a
- 25:10Speaker 1: lot of energy, and so this balance between gravity and
- 25:13Speaker 1: fusion tips towards gravity, and gravity rushes in and collapses
- 25:18Speaker 1: the star. The star collapses, but it doesn't just like
- 25:20Speaker 1: suddenly go out. Collapse makes it super dense and so
- 25:24Speaker 1: super hot inside the star and quickly burns through a
- 25:28Speaker 1: huge amount of fuel. So first gravity is the upper
- 25:32Speaker 1: hand to cause this collapse, but then fusion surges back
- 25:35Speaker 1: and blows it outwards again, and it leaves behind a
- 25:38Speaker 1: very dense core which is gonna be a black hole
- 25:40Speaker 1: or a neutron star. So you mentioned earlier that it
- 25:43Speaker 1: is it's this push and shove kind of where gravity
- 25:48Speaker 1: is trying to push it inwards like almost to create
- 25:51Speaker 1: like a black hole, and then there's the push out.
- 25:53Speaker 1: And so once that outward pushing is like outweighed by
- 25:57Speaker 1: the inward pushing, the heaviness of the inward pushing. Why
- 26:01Speaker 1: doesn't it just become a black hole all the time? Right?
- 26:05Speaker 1: So gravity wants to make everything a black hole. Right.
- 26:07Speaker 1: Gravity can only do one thing, which is pulls stuff together,
- 26:10Speaker 1: and if there was only gravity in the universe, eventually
- 26:13Speaker 1: it would just make everything into a black hole. The
- 26:16Speaker 1: reason that things aren't a black holes that there's some
- 26:18Speaker 1: way to resist it. Like why isn't the Earth a
- 26:21Speaker 1: black hole? It's a big blob of mass. Why doesn't
- 26:24Speaker 1: gravity squeeze it down into a peanut and make it
- 26:27Speaker 1: a black hole? The answer is that the Earth is
- 26:29Speaker 1: structurally strong enough to resist gravity. Gravity actually kind of
- 26:33Speaker 1: a weakling, not really a very powerful force. It's like
- 26:37Speaker 1: ten to the thirty times weaker than all the other forces.
- 26:40Speaker 1: So you just need something to be able to resist it.
- 26:43Speaker 1: So fusion can resist it for a long time, but eventually,
- 26:46Speaker 1: as the star gets more and more massive at its core,
- 26:48Speaker 1: gravity is winning and fusion is losing. So what happens
- 26:51Speaker 1: when a supernova collapse? Sometimes you do get a black
- 26:54Speaker 1: hole at its heart. It depends on the mass of
- 26:56Speaker 1: the original star. Sometimes you get a black hole. Sometimes, however,
- 27:00Speaker 1: there's another stage, like a neutron star can be formed,
- 27:03Speaker 1: So the incredible dense core that's left over after the
- 27:06Speaker 1: supernova happens can be another kind of matter which resists
- 27:10Speaker 1: collapse into a black hole. But again, neutron stars are
- 27:13Speaker 1: not something that we understand very well. We did an
- 27:16Speaker 1: episode recently about what's inside a neutron star. It's something
- 27:19Speaker 1: that scientists are still exploring. So it's sort of like
- 27:22Speaker 1: a ladder of ways that you can avoid black hole
- 27:25Speaker 1: collapse if you can make the right kind of matter,
- 27:27Speaker 1: or you can sort of like hold up against the
- 27:29Speaker 1: trash compactor of gravity trying to squeeze you down into
- 27:32Speaker 1: a black hole, So it could become a black hole,
- 27:35Speaker 1: could become something like a neutron star. Do we know
- 27:38Speaker 1: like why it becomes a supernova sometimes, like what would
- 27:41Speaker 1: cause that explosion rather than it just collapsing. So supernova
- 27:46Speaker 1: is when it starts to collapse. It's like an implosion
- 27:48Speaker 1: and you get this shock wave that's traveling towards the
- 27:51Speaker 1: center of the star and then it hits the core
- 27:53Speaker 1: and it bounces back and you get the supersonic shock
- 27:56Speaker 1: wave that comes out and blows out all of this material,
- 28:00Speaker 1: huge amounts of light are released because you have a
- 28:02Speaker 1: lot of fusion happening all at once. You know, a
- 28:04Speaker 1: star is like a very slow burn, using a very
- 28:07Speaker 1: tiny fraction of its fuel every year, and the supernovit
- 28:11Speaker 1: it can use of a big fraction of its fuel
- 28:13Speaker 1: all at once, which is how it can become brighter
- 28:16Speaker 1: than the entire galaxy around it. It also spews a
- 28:20Speaker 1: lot of that material out into space. So you have
- 28:23Speaker 1: this implosion that creates very high temperatures, very briefly, a
- 28:26Speaker 1: lot of really really rapid fusion, and then it blows
- 28:29Speaker 1: up and sends a lot of that energy in terms
- 28:31Speaker 1: of photons and protons and just like raw star stuff
- 28:35Speaker 1: out into space. So just a hypothetical, it'd be like
- 28:40Speaker 1: a kid throwing a ball against a wall really hard,
- 28:44Speaker 1: and again hypothetically the ball like shooting back out because
- 28:48Speaker 1: you threw it against the wall really hard and hitting
- 28:50Speaker 1: you in the face. But that times like a billion
- 28:54Speaker 1: with a billion children and a billion balls. Yeah, and
- 28:58Speaker 1: it's not something that we can under stand because there's
- 29:01Speaker 1: a lot of really strong forces involved and it's all
- 29:03Speaker 1: of very fast physics. So you know, we can't look
- 29:06Speaker 1: at a star and say this one's gonna go supernova
- 29:09Speaker 1: in forty two point two billion years, or this one's
- 29:12Speaker 1: gonna go supernova tomorrow. It's the kind of thing we
- 29:15Speaker 1: just sort of like see happening, and we're like, oh, everybody,
- 29:17Speaker 1: watch that one. Watch that one, and we're trying to
- 29:20Speaker 1: understand what goes on inside it. But modeling the process
- 29:23Speaker 1: of a supernova is not something we're capable of yet.
- 29:26Speaker 1: You know, when we want to understand something in physics,
- 29:28Speaker 1: either we find like a set of equations that describe
- 29:32Speaker 1: it very simply, like F equals m A that ignores
- 29:35Speaker 1: a lot of the details of the particles that's going
- 29:37Speaker 1: on inside, or we do like really complicated calculations using
- 29:41Speaker 1: a computer to model all of those details and see
- 29:44Speaker 1: if we can describe the sort of big picture that
- 29:46Speaker 1: comes out. So far, we haven't found a simple set
- 29:48Speaker 1: of equations to describe supernova, and we don't have the
- 29:52Speaker 1: computing power necessary yet to like come up with a
- 29:55Speaker 1: basic model of the innards and understand how that describes
- 29:59Speaker 1: a supernova. So we're still really learning about how this
- 30:01Speaker 1: stuff works. So it sounds like if we want to
- 30:04Speaker 1: catch a supernova, we have to kind of stay frosty
- 30:07Speaker 1: and keep watching the sky, which I mean, we haven't
- 30:10Speaker 1: done that in like half an hour, so we should
- 30:12Speaker 1: probably take a break and check just to make sure
- 30:15Speaker 1: one hasn't happened while we've been talking, right, absolutely, all right,
- 30:32Speaker 1: I looked outside, bad news, not yet, and you might
- 30:38Speaker 1: wonder maybe Katie missed her supernova? Right. The amazing thing
- 30:41Speaker 1: about a supernova is that they're not just a flash
- 30:44Speaker 1: like they last for sometimes weeks or months. I mean,
- 30:47Speaker 1: there's sort of a flash on the cosmic time scale,
- 30:51Speaker 1: but for a human they can really last for quite
- 30:53Speaker 1: a long time. So if there's a supernova in the sky,
- 30:56Speaker 1: you could miss it today, you could miss it tomorrow.
- 30:58Speaker 1: You might even be able to ignore for a week
- 31:00Speaker 1: and then eventually look up and catch it up there
- 31:03Speaker 1: in the sky shining its photons at you. So it
- 31:06Speaker 1: seems like if we have like billions of observers, we
- 31:10Speaker 1: should catch it if it happens. And have we ever
- 31:14Speaker 1: caught one? So we have seen supernova and in fact,
- 31:16Speaker 1: they are so dramatic that you don't even have to
- 31:19Speaker 1: just look at Like the recent period of modern astronomy,
- 31:22Speaker 1: when we have space telescopes and incredible ground based telescopes
- 31:26Speaker 1: and all these new digital technologies to see supernova. People
- 31:30Speaker 1: have been seeing supernova in the sky for thousands of
- 31:34Speaker 1: years because sometimes they're just obvious. You know, if all
- 31:37Speaker 1: of a sudden there's an incredible bright new star in
- 31:40Speaker 1: the sky outshining everything else, then people are gonna see that,
- 31:44Speaker 1: and they're gonna say something to each other, and it's
- 31:46Speaker 1: gonna show up in historical records that people have done
- 31:49Speaker 1: a deep dive into the history of astronomy and found
- 31:53Speaker 1: times when locals have looked up in the sky and
- 31:55Speaker 1: seen something they didn't understand and wrote it down, and
- 31:57Speaker 1: we can now reinterpret those writings as evidence for supernova.
- 32:03Speaker 1: I can't imagine what I would be thinking like before.
- 32:06Speaker 1: I mean, I mean, if I saw a supernova today,
- 32:09Speaker 1: let's be honest, I would also be surprised and scared.
- 32:12Speaker 1: But back then even more so. If I didn't have
- 32:14Speaker 1: physicists like you telling me what was going on, I'd
- 32:17Speaker 1: probably think this guy was like really angry at me. Yeah,
- 32:22Speaker 1: it's hard to put yourself in the minds of these folks,
- 32:24Speaker 1: which is why it's really interesting to read these things,
- 32:27Speaker 1: like what does it mean for them? How do they
- 32:29Speaker 1: describe it what questions were they asking about this kind
- 32:32Speaker 1: of thing. It gives you not just a picture into
- 32:35Speaker 1: what supernovas are doing and how often they happened, but
- 32:38Speaker 1: also you know what people are doing, what they are thinking,
- 32:41Speaker 1: their relationship with the night sky itself super fun. So
- 32:46Speaker 1: how do we know? Because, like we we have a
- 32:49Speaker 1: history of things. We have written and drawn histories and
- 32:53Speaker 1: also oral histories. But there's a lot I think lost
- 32:56Speaker 1: in translation. And if someone described something, they're not going
- 32:59Speaker 1: to say, oh, saw a supernova last week it was
- 33:02Speaker 1: pretty cool. You know, They're going to describe it in
- 33:04Speaker 1: terms that they understand at the time. So how do
- 33:07Speaker 1: we know what they're describing is something like a supernova?
- 33:11Speaker 1: So we can't always know, but it depends on sort
- 33:13Speaker 1: of the quality of the notes that we're looking at.
- 33:15Speaker 1: And some of these things are a little speculative, and
- 33:17Speaker 1: in other cases people took really good notes and they
- 33:19Speaker 1: described something that we really can't otherwise explain. You know.
- 33:22Speaker 1: It's like, let's get into the details of the earliest
- 33:26Speaker 1: record we have that might be a supernova comes from
- 33:29Speaker 1: forty five hundred b C. This is like sixty hundred
- 33:34Speaker 1: years ago. Is a rock carving found in Kashmir in
- 33:38Speaker 1: India that people think depicts what is a hunting scene
- 33:41Speaker 1: with two very bright objects in the sky. The idea
- 33:45Speaker 1: is that it looks like a sky with two sons.
- 33:48Speaker 1: I mean, if you were out hunting in the old
- 33:50Speaker 1: days and saw a second son in the sky, you
- 33:53Speaker 1: might also be inspired to make a drawing of it.
- 33:56Speaker 1: So it's not exactly a hundred percent, but this might
- 33:59Speaker 1: be the least record of a supernova observation. And then
- 34:03Speaker 1: note taking now I am looking at this drawing and
- 34:06Speaker 1: it does look like two really bright suns in the
- 34:10Speaker 1: sky or or hear me out giant eyeball like eyeball
- 34:16Speaker 1: aliens with tentacles. Yeah, exactly. It's far from something you
- 34:19Speaker 1: would accept is like figure one in a scientific paper,
- 34:23Speaker 1: you know, But it's fun to think about what these
- 34:25Speaker 1: folks were imagining and what it was like for them,
- 34:28Speaker 1: Like was this so bright that they could see it
- 34:30Speaker 1: in the daytime? Itself? Like really a second son in
- 34:33Speaker 1: this guy, It's possible, you know. The most reliable ancient
- 34:37Speaker 1: recording of a supernova comes from Chinese astronomers. They noted
- 34:41Speaker 1: it in one five the appearance of a bright star
- 34:45Speaker 1: in the sky, and they observed that it took about
- 34:48Speaker 1: eight months to fade from the sky, and it sparkled
- 34:51Speaker 1: just like a star, and it didn't move like a comet.
- 34:55Speaker 1: And so this scene really matches what we expect from
- 34:58Speaker 1: a supernova. It's very bright, it doesn't move like a comet,
- 35:02Speaker 1: it sparkles like a star. It fades on the timescale
- 35:04Speaker 1: of weeks or months. So this very likely was a
- 35:07Speaker 1: supernova captured by those Chinese astronomers. So when they're looking
- 35:11Speaker 1: at this doesn't look like just kind of an extra
- 35:14Speaker 1: bright star or is it just astoundingly bright, like almost
- 35:19Speaker 1: having a little sun in the sky at night or something.
- 35:23Speaker 1: It depends exactly on where the supernova is, and so
- 35:27Speaker 1: if it's in another galaxy, remember that our galaxy is
- 35:30Speaker 1: like a hundred thousand light years across, but other galaxies
- 35:33Speaker 1: are millions of light years away. So if a supernova
- 35:37Speaker 1: happens in another galaxy, then that star is going to
- 35:40Speaker 1: go from invisible to visible at night. If it happens
- 35:43Speaker 1: in our galaxy, then the supernova is going to go
- 35:46Speaker 1: from like a star you can see at night to
- 35:48Speaker 1: a star you might be able to see in the daytime,
- 35:51Speaker 1: depending exactly on how close it is so yeah, this
- 35:54Speaker 1: could appear like a second son if a nearby star
- 35:58Speaker 1: goes supernova, because remember us, supernova can be as bright
- 36:01Speaker 1: as the entire galaxy. It can be a hundred billion
- 36:04Speaker 1: times brighter than our sun. Would we be in trouble?
- 36:08Speaker 1: Are there any stars that would cause us a little
- 36:11Speaker 1: bit of trouble here on Earth if it went supernova?
- 36:14Speaker 1: Oh yeah, if Proximus Centauri went supernova, we would be
- 36:17Speaker 1: quite literally toasted because the amount of energy and radiation
- 36:20Speaker 1: would really fry at least one half of the Earth,
- 36:23Speaker 1: you know, the half the Earth that was in the
- 36:25Speaker 1: direction of that star at the time. The rest of us,
- 36:28Speaker 1: having like an entire Earth shielding us from the supernova,
- 36:31Speaker 1: would probably be fine until, of course, the Earth's one
- 36:34Speaker 1: around and roasted the other half. So we're sort of
- 36:37Speaker 1: like rotisserie Earth. We just have to kind of like
- 36:40Speaker 1: all move to that side and keep moving, you know,
- 36:43Speaker 1: like hamsters and a hamster wheel of death. While I'll
- 36:47Speaker 1: be adding that to my long list of things that
- 36:50Speaker 1: I cannot directly change but cause me existential dreads so great.
- 36:55Speaker 1: It also sounds like a great pitch for a Netflix show.
- 36:58Speaker 1: You know, entire cities on wheels rolling around the planet
- 37:01Speaker 1: to avoid the frying radiation. Yeah, like snow piercer, but
- 37:06Speaker 1: except it's like to escape the heat. Supernova piercer sounds good.
- 37:12Speaker 1: And so if we look back in the historical record,
- 37:14Speaker 1: there's like five of these things observed in like the
- 37:17Speaker 1: last thousand years. There was a time in a thousand
- 37:20Speaker 1: and six when people all over the world noticed one,
- 37:23Speaker 1: from China to Japan. Astronomers in Iraq and Egypt and
- 37:27Speaker 1: also in Europe noticed something they called a guest star
- 37:30Speaker 1: which appeared sorry they called it a guest star. Yeah,
- 37:34Speaker 1: like we have a sudden guest somebody said, another place
- 37:37Speaker 1: for dinner, welcome or not. I do like the idea
- 37:40Speaker 1: of like just on one of these night shows, you know,
- 37:43Speaker 1: Jimmy Fallon or whoever, it's like, oh, we got a
- 37:45Speaker 1: guest star, and then it's a supernova and everyone gets
- 37:48Speaker 1: fried exactly. Sometimes they just blow it all up. And
- 37:51Speaker 1: then as we enter in sort of like the more
- 37:53Speaker 1: modern historical period, we have folks whose names we know
- 37:57Speaker 1: well writing about these things. So Tico Bray noted one
- 38:01Speaker 1: in fifteen seventy two in the sky and took a
- 38:04Speaker 1: lot of great data. He's sort of famous for taking
- 38:06Speaker 1: meticulous notes about what he saw. What's interesting also about
- 38:10Speaker 1: this one is, like we said earlier, it helps us
- 38:12Speaker 1: think about what people thought about supernova at the time
- 38:15Speaker 1: and Europe around this time. Most people thought that the
- 38:18Speaker 1: cosmos beyond the moon and the planets couldn't change. They
- 38:22Speaker 1: thought it was just like out there static. You know,
- 38:24Speaker 1: the whole universe was a bunch of stars hung out
- 38:27Speaker 1: into space. They weren't even aware of the idea of
- 38:30Speaker 1: other galaxies, right. They thought the whole universe was infinitely old,
- 38:34Speaker 1: with stars not moving or changing. That was the idea
- 38:37Speaker 1: at the time, just kind of painted on a big
- 38:40Speaker 1: globe or something. Yeah, so this didn't really fit well
- 38:43Speaker 1: with the idea of supernova because this is like a
- 38:45Speaker 1: change in something. So they thought that probably of something
- 38:48Speaker 1: happening in the atmosphere. They thought supernovas were like weird
- 38:52Speaker 1: bright lights created like, you know, fifty miles above the surface,
- 38:56Speaker 1: instead of super duper far away swamp gas. Well ali exactly.
- 39:01Speaker 1: But you know, Bray took a lot of notes, and
- 39:03Speaker 1: he realized that this thing remains stationary from night tonight,
- 39:07Speaker 1: doesn't change. It's parallax, and so it has to be
- 39:10Speaker 1: really really far away, and so he wrote a book
- 39:13Speaker 1: with all of these details, and it's that book which
- 39:15Speaker 1: gave the name nova to things that appear in the
- 39:17Speaker 1: night sky. But then the last one that we've ever
- 39:20Speaker 1: seen coming from our galaxy was Kepler. He saw one
- 39:24Speaker 1: in sixteen o four, And so you know, here we
- 39:26Speaker 1: have to make a distinction. We are seeing supernova from
- 39:29Speaker 1: all over the universe because they are so bright that
- 39:32Speaker 1: we can also see them from other galaxies, but the
- 39:35Speaker 1: one we saw in sixteen o four was the last
- 39:37Speaker 1: one we've ever seen from the Milky Way itself. So
- 39:42Speaker 1: I haven't necessarily been keeping good track of the dates,
- 39:45Speaker 1: but had we been seeing them at a rate greater
- 39:49Speaker 1: than once every four hundred years before this point or no.
- 39:54Speaker 1: So we have some estimates for how likely it is
- 39:56Speaker 1: to create supernovas from watching other galaxies and from think
- 40:00Speaker 1: about the ones we've seen in our galaxy, and so
- 40:03Speaker 1: we estimate that in the Milky Way we should get
- 40:05Speaker 1: about one supernova every twenty years or so. The galaxy
- 40:09Speaker 1: of about a hundred billion stars should give us a
- 40:12Speaker 1: supernova every twenty years. So in the four hundred years
- 40:15Speaker 1: since Kepler's observation, we should have seen about twenty supernova
- 40:19Speaker 1: in the Milky Way, right, and you mentioned that we
- 40:22Speaker 1: saw like potentially saw like five in the past one
- 40:26Speaker 1: thousand years, So that'd be one every two hundred years, right,
- 40:30Speaker 1: not one every four hundred years. That's right. But we
- 40:33Speaker 1: don't think that the historical record is complete, right. We
- 40:36Speaker 1: don't think that we have found every written record of supernovas,
- 40:40Speaker 1: and also we don't think that people have seen all
- 40:42Speaker 1: the supernovas that were out there. But something we'll dig
- 40:45Speaker 1: into in a minute is like how often we expect
- 40:47Speaker 1: these things to happen, and how likely we are to
- 40:50Speaker 1: see one if it does happen in our galaxy. Right,
- 40:53Speaker 1: So we have this mystery of these missing supernovas, right
- 40:58Speaker 1: that if like we should be seeing one every maybe
- 41:01Speaker 1: twenty years, or at least more frequently than every four years.
- 41:06Speaker 1: But before we waste time trying to figure it out,
- 41:09Speaker 1: just a case it popped up while in the past,
- 41:13Speaker 1: like you know, fifteen minutes while we were discussing, I'm
- 41:15Speaker 1: gonna go out and check again, just make sure, because
- 41:18Speaker 1: then that that would settle it. Right. I'm so impressed
- 41:21Speaker 1: with how dutiful you are as a researcher. Yeah, yeah,
- 41:24Speaker 1: I'm gonna get up on the roof and stare right
- 41:27Speaker 1: into the sun for a little while. I will be
- 41:29Speaker 1: right back. Well, I am back. I stared right into
- 41:45Speaker 1: the sky directly at the Sun just so I wouldn't
- 41:48Speaker 1: miss the supernova if it happened, and I gotta tell
- 41:51Speaker 1: you was not one of my best ideas. I'm glad
- 41:54Speaker 1: that you're still back and you have everything you need
- 41:56Speaker 1: to continue podcasting, because you know, we don't really need
- 41:59Speaker 1: your eyeballs for podcast. Yes, the uh. I basically just
- 42:03Speaker 1: see a big glowing orb all the time, which is great.
- 42:07Speaker 1: So we were talking about there is this mystery because
- 42:11Speaker 1: it seems like we should be seeing these supernovas more often.
- 42:14Speaker 1: Not only in historical records, does it seem like there
- 42:17Speaker 1: were more supernovas, you know, not maybe one every two
- 42:21Speaker 1: hundred years or so, not one every four hundred years,
- 42:23Speaker 1: but also there was a calculation done to see how
- 42:27Speaker 1: often should we be seeing it, and that resulted in
- 42:31Speaker 1: about twenty years, right exactly. And remember we don't understand
- 42:35Speaker 1: supernovas very well, so it's hard to predict, sort of theoretically,
- 42:38Speaker 1: how often they should happen. But we can learn by
- 42:40Speaker 1: looking at all the other galaxies to try to get
- 42:43Speaker 1: a sense for the rate of supernovas. So remember, we
- 42:46Speaker 1: can see supernovas in our galaxy even just using the
- 42:49Speaker 1: naked eye, going back thousands of years. But in the
- 42:52Speaker 1: more recent era, because we have telescopes, we could now
- 42:54Speaker 1: study very thoroughly supernovas in other galaxies. So, starting in
- 42:59Speaker 1: the nine or so, people began these campaigns to scan
- 43:02Speaker 1: the sky for new stars appearing in other galaxies using telescopes,
- 43:07Speaker 1: and they saw dozens and so we have definitely seen
- 43:10Speaker 1: supernovas recently. For example, we saw one in seven that
- 43:15Speaker 1: came from a large Magellanic cloud. This was one you
- 43:18Speaker 1: could actually see with the naked eye, even though it
- 43:20Speaker 1: wasn't in the Milky Way, because a large Magellanic cloud
- 43:23Speaker 1: is a satellite of the Milky Way, so it wasn't
- 43:25Speaker 1: that far away. So we're seeing supernovas in other galaxies,
- 43:30Speaker 1: and that lets us estimate what we think is the
- 43:32Speaker 1: rate of supernovas we should expect in the Milky Way,
- 43:36Speaker 1: being about one every twenty years. You know, there's still
- 43:39Speaker 1: a lot of uncertainty in that number, and so then
- 43:41Speaker 1: the question is, you know, are they not happening in
- 43:44Speaker 1: the Milky Way, or are we just not seeing them,
- 43:47Speaker 1: are they hiding it from us? Or maybe the Milky
- 43:50Speaker 1: Way is super weird and doesn't make supernovas as often
- 43:54Speaker 1: as these other neighboring galaxies. Right these are like just
- 43:57Speaker 1: the basic questions we have about supernove is because we're
- 44:01Speaker 1: so clueless about the thing that triggers them, the moment
- 44:04Speaker 1: that the star decides to collapse, and exactly what's going
- 44:07Speaker 1: on inside. I mean, it seems odd though, for like
- 44:11Speaker 1: an entire galaxy to have different rules from another galaxy,
- 44:17Speaker 1: or is that not so odd? It would be odd,
- 44:19Speaker 1: But there are odd galaxies out there. There are galaxies
- 44:22Speaker 1: that have lots of dark matter and galaxies that have
- 44:24Speaker 1: very little dark matter. They're huge galaxies and little galaxies.
- 44:27Speaker 1: There are galaxies that are still making stars and galaxies
- 44:30Speaker 1: that are quenched that will no longer be producing stars.
- 44:33Speaker 1: And we just don't know if the Milky Way is
- 44:36Speaker 1: typical or not, the same way we don't know if
- 44:38Speaker 1: Earth is typical or if it's weird and rare in
- 44:41Speaker 1: the universe. These are the kind of questions we get
- 44:44Speaker 1: to ask as we look out deep into the universe
- 44:47Speaker 1: to try to figure out whether our context is normal
- 44:50Speaker 1: or really really weird. But we can do more than
- 44:53Speaker 1: just look for supernovas as they happen. We can actually
- 44:56Speaker 1: also look for supernovas that have happened that we might
- 44:59Speaker 1: have missed because we can see supernova remnants. When a
- 45:03Speaker 1: supernova happens, it's very bright, it's very dramatic, but also
- 45:06Speaker 1: it creates this shock wave that shoots out into the universe,
- 45:10Speaker 1: leaving a sort of interesting fingerprint that you can continue
- 45:13Speaker 1: to see four hundreds or thousands of years later. So
- 45:17Speaker 1: it's kind of like looking at a star's kind of
- 45:19Speaker 1: fossil record exactly. Because when a supernova happens, remember, it
- 45:23Speaker 1: shoots out like several solar masses worth of stuff, right, Like,
- 45:28Speaker 1: think about what that means. A solar mass is an
- 45:31Speaker 1: entire sun's worth of stuff. And so now you have
- 45:33Speaker 1: a supernova shooting out like several times the mass of
- 45:37Speaker 1: the Sun, just in plasma and hot gas out into
- 45:40Speaker 1: the universe and incredibly high speeds, like significant fractions of
- 45:45Speaker 1: the speed of light. So what happens is that it's
- 45:47Speaker 1: going to smash into all the stuff around it. Space
- 45:50Speaker 1: is not totally empty, it's filled with the interstellar medium.
- 45:53Speaker 1: Which is like a very dilute gas, but when the
- 45:56Speaker 1: supernova remnants smash into it, you get this expanding shell
- 46:00Speaker 1: of a shock wave. So that's what we call a
- 46:02Speaker 1: supernova remnant. It's very distinctive. And scientists have looked out
- 46:06Speaker 1: into the night sky and for example, in our galaxy
- 46:09Speaker 1: in Cassiopeia, they see a remnant which looks to be
- 46:13Speaker 1: about three hundred and twenty five years old, which means
- 46:17Speaker 1: they think there was a supernova there three hundred years
- 46:20Speaker 1: ago that everybody missed. Nobody saw it, but we can
- 46:23Speaker 1: see evidence that had happened, and it happened fairly recently,
- 46:27Speaker 1: so it's a It's an interesting thing because like as
- 46:30Speaker 1: kind of postmortem detectives of this star explosion, you can't
- 46:35Speaker 1: necessarily look just at the sight of where the star was.
- 46:39Speaker 1: You're looking at where the remnants go, right, So it's
- 46:42Speaker 1: this expanding force. It's not just like looking at where
- 46:47Speaker 1: the star died. You have to look far afield of
- 46:50Speaker 1: where the star has exploded to yeah, precisely. And this
- 46:53Speaker 1: stuff moves out, but it moves out much slower than
- 46:56Speaker 1: the speed of light. You know, it's pretty fast and
- 46:58Speaker 1: pretty energetic, but it sort of in the vicinity of
- 47:01Speaker 1: where it happened. It's not like looking at black hole collisions,
- 47:05Speaker 1: and we're getting evidence of that from gravitational waves that
- 47:08Speaker 1: travels at the speed of light directly to us. Now
- 47:10Speaker 1: we're looking at like stuff spewing out sideways from the
- 47:13Speaker 1: supernova ramming into something else and then sending us light
- 47:17Speaker 1: from that collision. So we're seeing this like shock wave
- 47:21Speaker 1: emanate from the supernova, and we're seeing light from that
- 47:24Speaker 1: shock wave as it bounces into gas and heats it up.
- 47:28Speaker 1: So it's pretty cool. You can tell that as supernova
- 47:30Speaker 1: was there. It's sort of like you missed an explosion,
- 47:32Speaker 1: but now you're looking at the burn marks on the
- 47:34Speaker 1: ground or something like that. Yeah, yeah, that's really interesting. Yeah,
- 47:38Speaker 1: and people have done scans for these kind of remnants
- 47:41Speaker 1: in our galaxies and they found a few. They found
- 47:44Speaker 1: this one in Cassiopeia. That found another one that they're
- 47:46Speaker 1: pretty sure happened at the end of the nineteenth century.
- 47:49Speaker 1: But you know, there's no records that anybody saw the
- 47:52Speaker 1: actual supernova. So all this kind of stuff lends credence
- 47:55Speaker 1: to the idea that maybe supernova's actually are happening in
- 47:59Speaker 1: our galaxy. We're just not seeing them right that they're
- 48:02Speaker 1: out there, they're blowing up, but we are missing the party.
- 48:06Speaker 1: But wait just a minute, because you said that they're
- 48:09Speaker 1: super bright. There's a lot of energy released, and our
- 48:13Speaker 1: galaxy isn't you know, too far away from us. So
- 48:16Speaker 1: how could we miss that? Did we podcast over it? This?
- 48:20Speaker 1: This is what I was worried about. It's because you
- 48:23Speaker 1: were napping. You know, you took a break, a nap
- 48:26Speaker 1: in a coffee, and you missed all the important datah
- 48:29Speaker 1: man I got like fomo on a galactic scale. Now, no, no,
- 48:33Speaker 1: don't feel bad. It's not because we're lazy. The issue,
- 48:36Speaker 1: like everything else, is probably location. You know, the galaxy
- 48:39Speaker 1: is not that big on a universal link scale, but
- 48:42Speaker 1: it's also not that transparent. You know, the galaxy is
- 48:45Speaker 1: a lot of gas and dust in it, and if
- 48:48Speaker 1: something happens on the other side of the galaxy, then
- 48:51Speaker 1: the center of the galaxy, which is a swirling maelstrom
- 48:54Speaker 1: of intensity and gas and dust and it's pretty opaque,
- 48:57Speaker 1: then we might not be able to see it. And
- 49:00Speaker 1: so some of these things might just be happening behind
- 49:02Speaker 1: big dust clouds or big gas clouds, and this dust
- 49:06Speaker 1: is really good at blocking the light. And unfortunately, the
- 49:10Speaker 1: places that have the most dust are the densest places,
- 49:13Speaker 1: which are also the places that supernova are most likely
- 49:17Speaker 1: to happen. So this really was a punishment for us
- 49:20Speaker 1: not cleaning our rooms. I knew it it might be.
- 49:24Speaker 1: You know, this is still really speculative. Is the kind
- 49:27Speaker 1: of explanation people are trying to understand if it works.
- 49:30Speaker 1: And I read a paper last week exploring this in detail,
- 49:33Speaker 1: trying to say, like, can we explain not having seen
- 49:36Speaker 1: supernova based on where the gas and dust are in
- 49:40Speaker 1: the galaxy? And they did a really interesting, very thorough study.
- 49:44Speaker 1: They have a model for where they think supernova should
- 49:47Speaker 1: happen based on where are the stars in the galaxy.
- 49:50Speaker 1: From that they get a sense for how much light
- 49:52Speaker 1: should have arrived on Earth from each of these supernova,
- 49:55Speaker 1: you know, how bright it was, how far away it was.
- 49:58Speaker 1: Then we have maps actually of where or the dust
- 50:00Speaker 1: is in the galaxy, right like where these clouds of
- 50:04Speaker 1: choking gas and dust that would obscure our view are sitting.
- 50:07Speaker 1: And then we can do a calculation and say where
- 50:10Speaker 1: do we expect to see supernova in our galaxy? And
- 50:13Speaker 1: where do we expect not to see them because the
- 50:16Speaker 1: gas and dust are blocking them, and drum roll, do
- 50:19Speaker 1: we have those results. We do have those results. I'm
- 50:21Speaker 1: looking at them right now from this paper, and interestingly,
- 50:25Speaker 1: the results are kind of a surprise. Most of the
- 50:28Speaker 1: supernova that we have seen in our galaxy actually land
- 50:33Speaker 1: in places where we didn't expect to see them because
- 50:36Speaker 1: either there actually was a lot of gas and dust,
- 50:38Speaker 1: which somehow they are mysteriously overpowering, or it's a place
- 50:41Speaker 1: where you don't expect to see many supernovas. So we
- 50:44Speaker 1: like saw a super rare supernova. It's not something that
- 50:47Speaker 1: we understand, and so it's the kind of moment in
- 50:50Speaker 1: science where we go, well, that didn't work. You know,
- 50:53Speaker 1: we have this data, have a basic model that doesn't
- 50:56Speaker 1: explain it. What's wrong? Probably something simple is wrong with
- 51:00Speaker 1: our model, our estimate of how often the supernova happen,
- 51:04Speaker 1: or our guests for where the dust is or how
- 51:07Speaker 1: transparent that dust is to the light from the supernova.
- 51:11Speaker 1: Something is going wrong with these models. But the upshot
- 51:14Speaker 1: is that we can't explain it. We do not understand
- 51:16Speaker 1: why we are seeing the supernova that we are seeing
- 51:19Speaker 1: and why we are not seeing supernova in some areas
- 51:22Speaker 1: of the galaxy. So the model was saying not necessarily
- 51:26Speaker 1: that the supernova was in the location where it couldn't happen,
- 51:31Speaker 1: but that it was unlikely for us to be able
- 51:33Speaker 1: to see it at this location. Some of the ones
- 51:36Speaker 1: that we have seen are happening in places where they
- 51:39Speaker 1: should be very very rare. Not impossible, but you know,
- 51:42Speaker 1: you should expect to see more supernova where there are
- 51:45Speaker 1: more stars. And if you look at the historical distribution
- 51:48Speaker 1: of supernova that we have seen in our galaxy, there's
- 51:51Speaker 1: a lot of them in places where there aren't very
- 51:54Speaker 1: many stars, which is kind of confusing. Are supernova more
- 51:57Speaker 1: likely to happen there, or maybe there's some structure to
- 52:01Speaker 1: the galaxy that we haven't described in our model, you know,
- 52:04Speaker 1: some like clusters of gas and dust that are creating
- 52:08Speaker 1: supernovas or blocking supernovas. Something else is missing from our
- 52:12Speaker 1: model to add to this recipe to give us a
- 52:14Speaker 1: depiction that matches what we actually see out there in
- 52:17Speaker 1: the night sky. Yeah, that's really interesting. Like I wonder
- 52:21Speaker 1: if it could even be something like, you know, if
- 52:23Speaker 1: a star that's more likely to go supernova is more
- 52:27Speaker 1: likely to be a loner. It could be because we
- 52:30Speaker 1: know also that there's a lot of difference in sort
- 52:33Speaker 1: of the wrong ingredients in the galaxy. You know, in
- 52:36Speaker 1: the center of the galaxy there are more heavy metals,
- 52:39Speaker 1: so the stars there are more metallic, and so the
- 52:41Speaker 1: galactic conditions are very different in the center of the
- 52:44Speaker 1: galaxy and the spiral arms, and then above the galactic plane.
- 52:48Speaker 1: So this is the kind of next round of research
- 52:50Speaker 1: is understanding, like what are the conditions to make supernova?
- 52:54Speaker 1: What are the conditions in the galaxy? Can we make
- 52:56Speaker 1: a model that explains why you might be getting more
- 52:59Speaker 1: supernova or maybe just why we're not seeing them? You know,
- 53:02Speaker 1: maybe this more structure to this gas and dust than
- 53:04Speaker 1: we thought we understood. But it's a great opportunity. Every
- 53:07Speaker 1: time you have something you don't understand is a chance
- 53:10Speaker 1: to refine your models and learn something new about the universe.
- 53:13Speaker 1: Maybe it's just something about the map of the gas
- 53:15Speaker 1: and dust, or you know, maybe like the discoveries of
- 53:18Speaker 1: dark matter, this is not something that we can resolve
- 53:21Speaker 1: with like a little tweak to our models. Maybe it's
- 53:23Speaker 1: gonna require something really big and new in our understanding
- 53:27Speaker 1: of the universe. Right, so you gotta double and maybe
- 53:30Speaker 1: even triple. Check your mouth first, make sure someone didn't
- 53:34Speaker 1: just forget to carry a one. And then maybe it's
- 53:37Speaker 1: a sign of some really interesting discovery or mystery about
- 53:42Speaker 1: the universe. And now we are lucky enough to have
- 53:44Speaker 1: other ways to see supernova, not just through light. Supernova
- 53:49Speaker 1: also produce a lot of radiation in new trinos for example,
- 53:53Speaker 1: In fact, most of the energy produced in a supernova
- 53:56Speaker 1: comes from new trinos something like that. The radiation from
- 54:01Speaker 1: the supernova is in the form of neutrinos, which are
- 54:04Speaker 1: these weird little particles that mostly pass through matter, ignoring us.
- 54:09Speaker 1: And in the supernova, we actually saw the new trinos
- 54:13Speaker 1: from the supernova first because they're produced at the heart
- 54:16Speaker 1: of the supernova. But then they fly right out through
- 54:19Speaker 1: the craziness and get to Earth before the photons do,
- 54:22Speaker 1: because the photons have to make their way sort of
- 54:24Speaker 1: through the star before they get to the surface and
- 54:26Speaker 1: can get emitted. So neutrinos are a new way to
- 54:30Speaker 1: see supernova. So now we have like new kinds of
- 54:32Speaker 1: supernova eyeballs, so that even when you're nappying, Katie, we
- 54:36Speaker 1: are watching the sky for supernovas. Thank you. That does
- 54:39Speaker 1: make me feel a little more relaxed. So I guess
- 54:42Speaker 1: you use some kind of like neutrino glasses so that
- 54:45Speaker 1: you can see these If these are not actual visible
- 54:48Speaker 1: light particles, Yeah, you cannot see new grina's very easily.
- 54:52Speaker 1: But particle physicists have neutrino experiments deep underground to try
- 54:56Speaker 1: to understand how neutrinos changed from one kind due to another,
- 54:59Speaker 1: or to do other kinds of neutrino experiments. We recently
- 55:03Speaker 1: did a whole episode about how neutrinos can teach us
- 55:06Speaker 1: about supernova, so go check that out. But one of
- 55:08Speaker 1: my favorite facts about neutrinos is that they used it
- 55:11Speaker 1: to take a picture of the Sun. Remember, neutrinos interact
- 55:15Speaker 1: very very rarely with us, but there's huge numbers of them,
- 55:18Speaker 1: Like a hundred billion neutrinos from our sun passed through
- 55:22Speaker 1: your fingernail every second. But you're lucky if you can
- 55:25Speaker 1: even detect one in a huge specialized device. So they
- 55:29Speaker 1: pointed this thing at the Sun for like months and
- 55:32Speaker 1: they got a picture of the Sun in neutrinos, which
- 55:34Speaker 1: is is kind of cool because it's like another way
- 55:37Speaker 1: to see the Sun. I just get really excited every
- 55:39Speaker 1: time humans build another kind of eyeball to look out
- 55:41Speaker 1: into the universe. I'm guessing though, like neutrino glasses that
- 55:45Speaker 1: I can wear and look and spot neutrinos myself are
- 55:48Speaker 1: a little bit far from the market, maybe another ten
- 55:52Speaker 1: years or so. Yeah. Currently these things have like thousands
- 55:56Speaker 1: of tons of heavy water in them, And so unless
- 55:59Speaker 1: you're very strong or willing to put on extremely large
- 56:03Speaker 1: glasses and you're not going to be seeing neutrinos with
- 56:06Speaker 1: your eyeballs. I'll work on my neck exercises. But in
- 56:10Speaker 1: the meantime, the universe continues to churn and burn, and
- 56:13Speaker 1: supernovas are happening out there, blowing out these incredible cosmic
- 56:17Speaker 1: engines of the night sky. You know, we are grateful
- 56:20Speaker 1: that stars last for as long as they do, that
- 56:23Speaker 1: they balance on this nice edge between gravity and fusion
- 56:26Speaker 1: for so many billion years to light up the night
- 56:29Speaker 1: sky and to provide life here on Earth, and just
- 56:32Speaker 1: to provide us with something nice to look at as
- 56:35Speaker 1: we shiver in front of the fire and sip our
- 56:37Speaker 1: hot coco on our camping trips. But eventually those stars
- 56:41Speaker 1: do give up their life and they do go out
- 56:43Speaker 1: in incredible cosmic explosions, which then give us another opportunity
- 56:47Speaker 1: to learn what's going on inside the heart of those stars.
- 56:51Speaker 1: And so the more things blow up, the more we
- 56:53Speaker 1: learn about them. A bunch of drama queens. So if
- 56:58Speaker 1: you're out there interested in supernova, to keep an eye
- 57:00Speaker 1: on the night sky. You might see one with the
- 57:02Speaker 1: naked eye. Or if you're excited about squirrels, keep watching
- 57:06Speaker 1: to see how many acorns they eat. Maybe you'll see
- 57:08Speaker 1: you one of those blow up. I do not endorse
- 57:12Speaker 1: that message. Well, thanks Katie very much for joining us
- 57:16Speaker 1: on this tour of cosmic catastrophes. Thanks for having me,
- 57:20Speaker 1: and thank you all for listening. Tune in next time.
- 57:30Speaker 1: Thanks for listening, and remember that Daniel and Jorge Explain
- 57:33Speaker 1: the Universe is a production of I Heart Radio. Or
- 57:36Speaker 1: more podcast from my Heart Radio, visit the I Heart
- 57:39Speaker 1: Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you listen to your
- 57:43Speaker 1: favorite shows.