Latest / Best Betting Show Ever / Friday MLB Slate, NFL Preseason, Predictive Markets & More!
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: All right, welcome in. It is a Friday and a
- 0:02Speaker 1: Prais free zone today. You gotta love that. We certainly
- 0:06Speaker 1: look forward to it. It's the best betting show ever
- 0:09Speaker 1: here on wader Talk TV. I'm joing area alongside the
- 0:12Speaker 1: great Art Deceasa here and we got a lot to
- 0:16Speaker 1: bestow upon you here today. We've got uh, well, we
- 0:20Speaker 1: got some sharp bets, We've got some UFC talk, we
- 0:23Speaker 1: got preseason football, Major League baseball, a little something for everyone.
- 0:28Speaker 1: I believe the FedEx Cup in golf is also happening
- 0:33Speaker 1: as well, Art, So a little something for everyone to
- 0:36Speaker 1: tickle their fancy and t minus what two and a
- 0:39Speaker 1: half weeks now until Week zero of the college football season,
- 0:45Speaker 1: and I'm having a hard time with that one too
- 0:47Speaker 1: as well. Week zero. I can't believe we're fourteen days
- 0:51Speaker 1: into August already. But let's talk about how the books
- 0:56Speaker 1: did last night there as the Dodgers and Edward. How
- 1:00Speaker 1: much do you think the Mets miss Edwin Diaz right now?
- 1:03Speaker 1: You think they miss him at all? I don't think so.
- 1:06Speaker 1: Here Art unbelievable.
- 1:09Speaker 2: Well, the Dodgers keep finding ways to lose. The Yankees
- 1:11Speaker 2: lost a squeaker won nothing. There were six unders in
- 1:16Speaker 2: the in the preseason games. Every game went under at
- 1:19Speaker 2: closing lines. Obviously, if you got in on some opening
- 1:22Speaker 2: lines you won. You won some sides as well. But hey,
- 1:25Speaker 2: we've talked about it for weeks. In the predictive market.
- 1:28Speaker 2: Fade the Dodgers, right, how could you go lay minus
- 1:30Speaker 2: one twenty for them to win the NL?
- 1:32Speaker 1: Yeah, it's crazy, so true, It's so true. Art, It's
- 1:36Speaker 1: like it just you have to grin and bear it here.
- 1:39Speaker 1: But Dodgers losing, Yankees losing Field of Dreams last night,
- 1:44Speaker 1: I gotta tell you, I thought the opening was great.
- 1:46Speaker 1: The game sucked, but that hole coming out of the
- 1:49Speaker 1: cornfields and then they brought in all the old timers.
- 1:52Speaker 1: I mean that was cool. The rest of it was atrocious.
- 1:56Speaker 1: Quite honestly, watching the Twins play baseball makes you away.
- 2:00Speaker 1: But I thought that was pretty well done last night.
- 2:03Speaker 3: I don't disagree, Listen.
- 2:05Speaker 2: I was happy I had the Phillies, So yeah, I'm
- 2:07Speaker 2: never gonna be never gonna be mad at a game
- 2:09Speaker 2: like that. But you're right, the presentation MLB did on
- 2:12Speaker 2: that was really good, because usually MLB drops the ball
- 2:15Speaker 2: on a lot.
- 2:16Speaker 3: Of those things.
- 2:17Speaker 1: Yeah, it was good Netflix. I mean it didn't. Yeah,
- 2:20Speaker 1: it all went off, went out a hitch. That was
- 2:22Speaker 1: pretty cool. Some of the guys and Boyd LaRussa looks
- 2:25Speaker 1: like he died three years ago, and they were like,
- 2:27Speaker 1: he looked like, who is not looking not looking good here?
- 2:33Speaker 1: But it was. It was good to see Ripkin and
- 2:36Speaker 1: some of the old guys there hanging out with the
- 2:39Speaker 1: with the new guys. So we've got more Major League Baseball.
- 2:43Speaker 1: Both those teams have off today art, which means fourteen
- 2:46Speaker 1: games on the slate in the MLB. Let's talk about
- 2:50Speaker 1: some of the sharp bets here. What are you seeing
- 2:53Speaker 1: thus far or anything on the board.
- 2:55Speaker 3: Absolutely, they're on three sides.
- 2:57Speaker 2: They're on the Nationals, they're on the Rockies, and they're
- 3:00Speaker 2: now back on the Red Sox. They were off on
- 3:02Speaker 2: the Red they were off the Red Sox a couple
- 3:03Speaker 2: of days. Back on the Red Sox.
- 3:05Speaker 1: Now and now they're back on the Red Sox. Here
- 3:09Speaker 1: preseason football here tonight. We're gonna get to anything if
- 3:14Speaker 1: you've seen. I won't get to the odd movement there,
- 3:16Speaker 1: but UFC three thirty I believe also coming up. I
- 3:21Speaker 1: don't is there any WNBA today, I don't know if
- 3:24Speaker 1: there is here or now. Oh two games they have
- 3:27Speaker 1: as well.
- 3:28Speaker 2: Yeah there is, and they moved on one of the games.
- 3:30Speaker 2: They bet the storm over overnight at.
- 3:32Speaker 3: Two and a half.
- 3:32Speaker 2: It's now four, so laid two and a half of
- 3:35Speaker 2: the storm up to four right now.
- 3:37Speaker 1: Up to four as far as that goes there, All right?
- 3:40Speaker 1: Any UFC we should know about over the weekend here
- 3:44Speaker 1: before the chat room goes bonkers, because apparently they love
- 3:48Speaker 1: watching a bunch of terrible fighters go out it each
- 3:51Speaker 1: week here. What do you think?
- 3:53Speaker 2: Yeah, I tell everyone every week in the chat I've
- 3:55Speaker 2: never It's not that I'm not giving out UFC because
- 3:57Speaker 2: I don't want to. I just I'm not gonna ever
- 3:59Speaker 2: just give out false information. But this is a card
- 4:02Speaker 2: that has a number, So anytime you have, you know,
- 4:04Speaker 2: UFC three thirty, there's going to be some action. They're
- 4:07Speaker 2: on a couple of fighters here. They're on Coaway Fernandez.
- 4:10Speaker 2: They took them at plus one forty he's now plus
- 4:12Speaker 2: one twenty. And they took Vincent Luke at plus one twenty.
- 4:17Speaker 2: He's now minus one oh five. Where basically pick them
- 4:19Speaker 2: at a lot of spots.
- 4:21Speaker 1: Interesting Luke, I got a thousand years old. Unbelievable that
- 4:25Speaker 1: he's still in that too as well. But that's what
- 4:29Speaker 1: makes it so much fun. At least you don't have
- 4:30Speaker 1: to pay ninety nine to ninety nine for it anymore,
- 4:33Speaker 1: and you're good to go. Just get your paramount plus
- 4:36Speaker 1: and you are ready to roll there. All right, Art, Well,
- 4:40Speaker 1: we'll talk about those three preseason games coming up here.
- 4:44Speaker 1: We have, of course at Parlay of the Day that
- 4:48Speaker 1: we got to get to a little two team action here?
- 4:50Speaker 1: Was there anybody you circled on the on the board
- 4:53Speaker 1: here tonight?
- 4:56Speaker 2: So normally for our parlay, obviously we try to give
- 4:58Speaker 2: out today. But I'm going to give out a game tomorrow.
- 5:00Speaker 3: It's a football game.
- 5:01Speaker 2: So I'm gonna say Brown's money line is my leg
- 5:06Speaker 2: of the two team parlay.
- 5:08Speaker 1: You're going Browns. Oh wow. That is probably not something
- 5:13Speaker 1: you're gonna hear very often out of Art's mouth all
- 5:16Speaker 1: season long. There. That is just not something that I
- 5:20Speaker 1: would I would consider. Uh yeah, listen, you're gonna go Browns.
- 5:25Speaker 1: I'm gonna go. I'm gonna go San Diago. I'm gonna
- 5:29Speaker 1: go with the Padres and Michael King over Cleveland and
- 5:33Speaker 1: Gavin Williams. I know Agan Williams has been very good,
- 5:36Speaker 1: but the Guardians there, these two world these two teams
- 5:39Speaker 1: are worlds apart offensively, and Michael King's been a lot
- 5:43Speaker 1: better than people realize. So yeah, I'm gonna take the
- 5:46Speaker 1: plus money with the Padres here tonight, just since you're
- 5:50Speaker 1: going with the Browns. It can't get any worse than that.
- 5:53Speaker 1: That art so love that. Yeah, all right, predictive market time.
- 5:57Speaker 1: We talked yesterday about some of the the NFL exact
- 6:02Speaker 1: finishing position in the divisions. That was fun yesterday. We
- 6:07Speaker 1: did have a chance last night to see three of
- 6:10Speaker 1: the teams in action in this AFC South right, because
- 6:15Speaker 1: we saw Houston last night, We got to see Indy,
- 6:18Speaker 1: we saw Tennis Ce. I think Jacksonville right still still
- 6:22Speaker 1: coming here at some particular point. But what do you
- 6:26Speaker 1: think here AFC South? Is it just Jacksonville or Houston
- 6:30Speaker 1: at the top? I mean, who it feels like this
- 6:33Speaker 1: market the pricing is a little bit higher, and its
- 6:36Speaker 1: centers around Jacksonville and Houston, and it looks like the
- 6:39Speaker 1: marketer is just shifting everything else around those two guys.
- 6:44Speaker 2: Yeah, absolutely, I mean those are obviously the two teams
- 6:47Speaker 2: that everyone is pretty much picking. I think the more
- 6:49Speaker 2: interesting thing is the bottom. Can Tennessee get out of
- 6:52Speaker 2: the fourth slot? Can they have gained enough with their signings,
- 6:58Speaker 2: with their draft picks? Cam Mooretons another step? You know,
- 7:01Speaker 2: there are people who like Robert sala as a head coach,
- 7:04Speaker 2: So I mean, can they be you know, because I
- 7:06Speaker 2: think if you're doing the exact order, most people would say, right,
- 7:10Speaker 2: this is one, two, three, but everyone would start with
- 7:12Speaker 2: Tennessee at four. Can you get Tennessee out of the basement?
- 7:15Speaker 1: Right?
- 7:16Speaker 3: Can you know? Are the Colts maybe the fourth team?
- 7:19Speaker 3: Is it?
- 7:19Speaker 1: Maybe?
- 7:20Speaker 3: You know, pick who you like?
- 7:21Speaker 2: You go Houston, Jacksonville, Tennessee and Indye yep, So you know,
- 7:26Speaker 2: I think that's the more intriguing thing. I think most
- 7:29Speaker 2: people would say it's Jacksonville or Houston. You know, you know,
- 7:32Speaker 2: if you're trying to pick who your winner is there.
- 7:35Speaker 2: I know Pres said he liked Jacksonville. I'm still on
- 7:37Speaker 2: Houston because of the defense. I think the defense is
- 7:40Speaker 2: obviously still top top notch, probably the best defense in
- 7:43Speaker 2: the league, if not top three.
- 7:45Speaker 3: So yeah, interesting this division.
- 7:48Speaker 1: It's it is injury because it I mean, look at
- 7:51Speaker 1: these prices on the board here, Art, So it looks
- 7:54Speaker 1: like the market is saying, all right, Jacksonville, Jacksonville, Jacksonville, Jacksonville,
- 8:01Speaker 1: and then they do the same with Houston. So they're
- 8:04Speaker 1: really just alternating Jacksonville with Indy, Jacksonville Houston. That seems
- 8:11Speaker 1: to be the other group that is going on there,
- 8:15Speaker 1: and I think is there another Jacksonville. There is a
- 8:18Speaker 1: couple of Indies, So yeah, they're really just mix and
- 8:22Speaker 1: matching with whatever team is up on top. And then
- 8:25Speaker 1: what do you got The Houston market, I think is
- 8:27Speaker 1: also interesting here. What's that last one there? At sixteen? Houston, Jacksonville,
- 8:33Speaker 1: Tennessee and Indy. So my big question is do we
- 8:38Speaker 1: see Indy pull on an upset here and end up maybe?
- 8:44Speaker 1: Oh I don't know, Art, could they That's the way
- 8:48Speaker 1: I tend to look here. I know Indy has not
- 8:50Speaker 1: won it since Andrew Luck might be the last time,
- 8:54Speaker 1: but they actually won the division, which is probably why
- 8:57Speaker 1: you're seeing them at the prices you're seeing here. So yeah,
- 9:01Speaker 1: you know, I worry about Houston, Art. I don't know
- 9:05Speaker 1: that Houston has got enough. I don't like Stroud. The
- 9:10Speaker 1: defense is okay, but that's another team that got away
- 9:14Speaker 1: with a whole lot last year, especially down to stretch.
- 9:19Speaker 1: At some point Stroud's got to grow up, and I
- 9:21Speaker 1: just don't know that they got enough around him in
- 9:24Speaker 1: order to make that happen.
- 9:27Speaker 2: I would think you would get a lovely price on
- 9:29Speaker 2: the Colts winning the division.
- 9:30Speaker 1: That's what I'm thinking. Look at it right now. I mean, yeah,
- 9:33Speaker 1: the Colts winning the division to me is where the
- 9:36Speaker 1: money is. And why not? I mean, you can see
- 9:39Speaker 1: him up at the top here. The only ones that
- 9:40Speaker 1: Indy at the top Indy Jacksonville Houston Tennessee or Indy
- 9:46Speaker 1: Houston Jacksonville. Say, oh, they're both the same market here,
- 9:50Speaker 1: are they not? Or what am I missing? Indy wins Jacksonville.
- 9:54Speaker 1: Oh no, it's Indy Houston jackson so Houston and Jacksonville
- 9:57Speaker 1: who finished his second and who finished his third here.
- 10:01Speaker 1: But listen, I like Tennessee and I like Sala. I
- 10:05Speaker 1: doubt very much they're taking this division. But we did
- 10:08Speaker 1: see Indie start what seven and one, eight and one
- 10:11Speaker 1: last year?
- 10:12Speaker 2: They had an incredible start last year. Obviously, they made
- 10:15Speaker 2: the crazy trade for Sauce Gardner. He gets hurt. They
- 10:18Speaker 2: had a ton of injuries, obviously, Jones knows out. But
- 10:20Speaker 2: I mean, even if you just look at the wind
- 10:22Speaker 2: totals got pretty close from the top of the top
- 10:25Speaker 2: of the heap, which is Houston, to the bottom which
- 10:27Speaker 2: is Tennessee. I mean, what are we talking about? Six
- 10:29Speaker 2: and a half juice to the over to nine and
- 10:31Speaker 2: a half juice to the under. I mean pretty tight division.
- 10:35Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't mind Jacksonville. Listen, Goldilocks, can he can
- 10:42Speaker 1: he actually punch through here. I think they got the
- 10:45Speaker 1: right coach. I think they've got players on both sides
- 10:47Speaker 1: of the ball. But they you know, they find ways
- 10:52Speaker 1: to shit the bed at some point. Art They always
- 10:55Speaker 1: tend to do that. So your number one team, know
- 10:58Speaker 1: you it's either what Houston or Giante for you.
- 11:01Speaker 2: Yeah, and don't forget Jacksonville made the playoffs last year
- 11:04Speaker 2: and got nothing. Anna Travis Hunter. They got nothing out
- 11:08Speaker 2: of him. I mean they traded up to draft him
- 11:12Speaker 2: and he was I mean, he was nothing. He got hurt,
- 11:14Speaker 2: he missed half the year. I mean, if he comes
- 11:16Speaker 2: back and he's productive on either side or both sides
- 11:18Speaker 2: of the ball, listen, he's got to pick the side.
- 11:21Speaker 2: But man, Jacksonville, it's like it's like having another top
- 11:24Speaker 2: five pick. Just okay, let's throw this guy in there, Jackson.
- 11:29Speaker 1: Indy, Houston, Tennessee. Look at that one at fourteen since
- 11:32Speaker 1: that's interesting too. There. Yeah, I'm kind of with you here.
- 11:37Speaker 1: I just don't Tennessee finishing third would blow a lot
- 11:41Speaker 1: of tickets up. But again, we are looking for any
- 11:46Speaker 1: combination to get We're betting the repricing here, right, So yes,
- 11:50Speaker 1: the idea that Jacksonville early on in the season can
- 11:54Speaker 1: rattle off some some wins. I think houston schedule is
- 11:58Speaker 1: brutal to start with here, art if I'm not mistaken.
- 12:01Speaker 1: I mean, it's not like they've got some sort of
- 12:04Speaker 1: cake walk happening here. So whoever has the easier schedule,
- 12:09Speaker 1: the easier start to the season, Let's say, you know,
- 12:13Speaker 1: four winnable games right off the top. You know Tennessee
- 12:17Speaker 1: is gonna have a much more favorable schedule, right, So yeah,
- 12:21Speaker 1: maybe maybe anything with Tennessee finishing second, any combination there
- 12:26Speaker 1: is gonna give you is gonna give you a pretty
- 12:29Speaker 1: good return on the money by the time you get
- 12:30Speaker 1: the October. And I think that's how you have to
- 12:33Speaker 1: look at some of these markets.
- 12:35Speaker 2: And great Cauldjroe I mean, obviously there's seventeen games now,
- 12:38Speaker 2: but you gotta look at it in quadrants, right, Yes,
- 12:40Speaker 2: you gotta look at it like, hey, these four games
- 12:42Speaker 2: and these four games, and then you go in any
- 12:44Speaker 2: of these exact markets, and then you can really piece
- 12:47Speaker 2: the schedule together. Hey do they play each other in
- 12:49Speaker 2: these spots, which you know, I'm sure a lot of
- 12:51Speaker 2: divisions have those inner division games, and then you can
- 12:55Speaker 2: kind of piece it out like that quadrant by quadrant.
- 12:57Speaker 2: But we always say this, and we're gonna continue to
- 12:59Speaker 2: say this about the these predictive markets. It's not about run,
- 13:02Speaker 2: you know, carrying this to January, right, you know, you
- 13:05Speaker 2: could you could be cashing out by October.
- 13:07Speaker 3: So that's what that's the main thing here.
- 13:10Speaker 1: So you've got first four games for Houston, you ready, Buffalo,
- 13:16Speaker 1: Cincinnati at Indy, versus Dallas. Three of their first four
- 13:21Speaker 1: games are home for them. Jacksonville, on the other side,
- 13:27Speaker 1: is going to be very very interesting because they are
- 13:31Speaker 1: going to start versus Cleveland at Denver, at home against
- 13:38Speaker 1: New England on the road at Cincinnati. So outside of Cleveland,
- 13:45Speaker 1: that's not a that's not an easy You're flying to
- 13:49Speaker 1: Denver in week two you got New England at home.
- 13:53Speaker 1: In week three, you got Synth, you got to go
- 13:55Speaker 1: back out to Cincinnati, then Philly in Houston that before
- 13:59Speaker 1: you you're by in week seven. That is interesting. First six,
- 14:06Speaker 1: first six games there, and I'll tell you real quick
- 14:09Speaker 1: on Indy. Indy is going to start at home versus Baltimore.
- 14:15Speaker 1: Then they got to go to Kansas City. They're back
- 14:19Speaker 1: home to Houston and back on the road to Washington.
- 14:26Speaker 1: I mean, does Houston have the inside track after the
- 14:28Speaker 1: first four weeks.
- 14:32Speaker 2: Wow, I'll say, I'll say this, and I know the
- 14:34Speaker 2: Titans start with the Jets. That makes me think in
- 14:37Speaker 2: that first if I'm just looking at can I cash
- 14:39Speaker 2: out by October?
- 14:41Speaker 3: I'm not putting the Titans last?
- 14:42Speaker 1: No, I agree, I agree. I mean the Jets, well,
- 14:48Speaker 1: this is interesting. Jets home, Philly home at Giants at Baltimore,
- 14:55Speaker 1: and then Houston and Indy.
- 14:59Speaker 3: So they listen, I'm a Giant fan, but they could be.
- 15:02Speaker 1: They could win that, I agree, one of them. And
- 15:04Speaker 1: both games are at home. So their first two games
- 15:07Speaker 1: against the Jets and Philly are at the.
- 15:08Speaker 3: Jets of the Yeah, they could be both. They could
- 15:12Speaker 3: be both New York teams.
- 15:13Speaker 1: I agree, and listen, why not they finished two and
- 15:16Speaker 1: two in the first four games.
- 15:18Speaker 3: Yep.
- 15:20Speaker 1: Yeah, there's a repricing happening somewhere a little, but Houston
- 15:23Speaker 1: might just go four and oh, at which point anything
- 15:26Speaker 1: with Houston on top is going to be through to
- 15:29Speaker 1: the order. That Indian Jacksonville schedule is brutal to start
- 15:33Speaker 1: the season, So that is.
- 15:35Speaker 2: You got to kind of pick maybe who do you like,
- 15:38Speaker 2: you know, least pair it with the schedule and put
- 15:40Speaker 2: one of those teams last.
- 15:41Speaker 1: Correct, Yes, I agree, yep, And that's where you can
- 15:45Speaker 1: get the repricing and check right out of it and
- 15:48Speaker 1: then reinvest it based upon the next quadrant. Not a
- 15:51Speaker 1: bad way to go there, all right, guys, don't forget
- 15:54Speaker 1: hit the like at that subscribe button. Become part of
- 15:56Speaker 1: the wager Talk TV family, aren't and I are going
- 15:59Speaker 1: to talk about some of these preseason games coming up
- 16:01Speaker 1: here tonight. We'll throw out of college football future play
- 16:05Speaker 1: for you, will run down Major League Baseball, and don't
- 16:09Speaker 1: forget I got a four percent top play over at
- 16:12Speaker 1: wager talk dot Com on one of the late games
- 16:15Speaker 1: here tonight. You can get that plus the free plays
- 16:19Speaker 1: all written up in for you at wt dot Buzz
- 16:22Speaker 1: forward Slash j R. All Right, Art, we've got some
- 16:27Speaker 1: preseason games coming up here tonight in the NFL three
- 16:31Speaker 1: to be in FA, and of course it's one of
- 16:33Speaker 1: those gonna involve my Jets. But Miami, Washington, Tampa at
- 16:37Speaker 1: the Jets, Denver at Atlanta. Big line movement. What have
- 16:41Speaker 1: you seen so far here?
- 16:43Speaker 2: Well, the Jets have been a big move you know,
- 16:45Speaker 2: they were basically a slight dog Bucks maybe one pick
- 16:48Speaker 2: them in that game. Bucks have a lot of quarterback issues.
- 16:52Speaker 2: Jets are gonna have some quarterbacks people know who are
- 16:54Speaker 2: gonna play Jets now six and a half. Totals obviously
- 16:57Speaker 2: come down now as well, from thirty six and a
- 16:59Speaker 2: half to thirty four and a half.
- 17:00Speaker 3: When he looked at that Dolphin game.
- 17:02Speaker 2: They were a minus one minus one and a half.
- 17:04Speaker 2: They are now up to three and a half. In
- 17:06Speaker 2: that game, total stayed pretty steady pretty much, thirty six,
- 17:09Speaker 2: thirty six and a half, thirty seven kind of been
- 17:11Speaker 2: floating in between that, you know, point point and a
- 17:14Speaker 2: half kind of move. And then Denver, the total's really
- 17:18Speaker 2: gone up in that game. That's gone from thirty seven
- 17:20Speaker 2: and a half to forty one never's pretty much been
- 17:23Speaker 2: a you know, three three and a half point favorite
- 17:25Speaker 2: here the last couple of days.
- 17:27Speaker 1: Well, i'll tell you the game that's fascinating to me
- 17:30Speaker 1: is going to be this Atlanta Denver game. Given the
- 17:32Speaker 1: fact that Stefanski has played coy with who the quarterback
- 17:36Speaker 1: is going to be for week one? We know Pennis
- 17:38Speaker 1: Junior is not going to be available. Two is playing tonight, right,
- 17:43Speaker 1: but so we've refused as an ame two at the starter.
- 17:46Speaker 1: He keeps playing like there's going to be some sort
- 17:48Speaker 1: of you know, if it ain't too who is a
- 17:51Speaker 1: Cooper Rush, which it may be. I think he's gonna
- 17:55Speaker 1: get likely a lot of the a lot of the
- 17:59Speaker 1: snaps here tonight, I think after Tua and then it's
- 18:04Speaker 1: I kind of light that spot for him because Cooper Rush,
- 18:07Speaker 1: to me, is not a guy that is going that
- 18:12Speaker 1: I would stick a fore and be like, oh God,
- 18:13Speaker 1: you're not gonna get it. No, he's gonna go out there.
- 18:16Speaker 1: And you got a Denver team that has not They
- 18:19Speaker 1: got injuries up the wazoo. Have you seen how many,
- 18:22Speaker 1: I mean, everybody is hurt with Denver? So what are
- 18:26Speaker 1: we gonna get from Sean Payton? We're not getting? Is
- 18:29Speaker 1: it skin him? Like who's taking the snaps to an Ellinger? Yeah?
- 18:35Speaker 1: I tend to lean towards Atlanta, although I mean Ulbrick
- 18:41Speaker 1: is still the DC in Atlanta, so there's gonna be
- 18:45Speaker 1: some familiarity there. A lot of the same guys are
- 18:47Speaker 1: on the defensive side of the ball. I don't call
- 18:50Speaker 1: me crazy. Home team here getting what now three three
- 18:54Speaker 1: and a half? We're getting?
- 18:56Speaker 2: Yeah, and you mentioned to Cooper Rush is a real
- 18:57Speaker 2: quarterbacks in this league? You know, when you're a team
- 19:01Speaker 2: like Denver. I always feel like when you're a team
- 19:03Speaker 2: like that, who you know, was minutes away from going
- 19:06Speaker 2: to the super Bowl, you get your quarterback hurt late
- 19:08Speaker 2: in the season, like you.
- 19:10Speaker 3: You're trying to get to Week one?
- 19:11Speaker 2: Yeah, like what you know, what's the evaluation pressor Sean
- 19:14Speaker 2: Payton's been around the block? It's all and honestly, even
- 19:17Speaker 2: if you're worried a little bit about Bonix in his foot,
- 19:20Speaker 2: like why would you have stid him out there that long?
- 19:22Speaker 3: Yeah, you might need him at some point this year.
- 19:24Speaker 2: So yeah, I can't hate taking over a fuel goal
- 19:29Speaker 2: with a home team who.
- 19:30Speaker 3: Probably is gonna have a lot more to prove here
- 19:32Speaker 3: than Denver.
- 19:33Speaker 1: Yeah, and listen, Denver both have said starters are going
- 19:37Speaker 1: to play U Tua, Drake London, Bijon Kyle Pitts about
- 19:42Speaker 1: ten plays the Vanski said, then Cooper Rush is basically
- 19:46Speaker 1: coming in here. The Broncos said ten to fifteen plays
- 19:51Speaker 1: somewhere in that ballpark for their starters minus you know
- 19:56Speaker 1: bow Nick. So Jared Stenham and Sam Ellinger are gonna
- 19:59Speaker 1: be your two quarterbacks against Tua. Mind you is on
- 20:03Speaker 1: a one year deal here and Cooper Rush. Now, I
- 20:08Speaker 1: will say this, Stidham has had some time to get
- 20:10Speaker 1: comfortable with, you know, Sean Payton's offense. So you know
- 20:14Speaker 1: two en Rush are learning a whole new scheme under Stefanski.
- 20:18Speaker 1: So I get why Denver is the road favorite here,
- 20:21Speaker 1: but call me crazy, I think Atlanta could might be
- 20:25Speaker 1: able to surprise him a little bit. Here. Everyone's betting
- 20:28Speaker 1: the Jets and I cannot figure out why. I just
- 20:31Speaker 1: I get Tampa is all over, But you do realize
- 20:34Speaker 1: it's the Jets, right? Are we all on the same
- 20:36Speaker 1: page with that art?
- 20:39Speaker 3: Yeah?
- 20:39Speaker 2: I mean, now, lay it's six six and a half
- 20:41Speaker 2: with the Jets. You can count me out of that
- 20:43Speaker 2: once again. I know the Bucks obviously Baker and not playing,
- 20:46Speaker 2: but you know, they have a lot of issues with
- 20:47Speaker 2: their quarterback room. Very low total. I think thirty four
- 20:50Speaker 2: to thirty four and a half. Yeah, there's no way
- 20:53Speaker 2: I can put any money on the Jets, even if
- 20:55Speaker 2: it is a preseason game.
- 20:57Speaker 1: Tampa brought in and I hated that Zach Robinson who
- 21:02Speaker 1: used to be a quarterback in Oklahoma State. He was
- 21:05Speaker 1: awful there. Then he was an awful coordinator with Atlanta
- 21:09Speaker 1: and then they canned him there, And yeah, this is
- 21:13Speaker 1: a whole new They got a lot of new coaching
- 21:16Speaker 1: faces Tampa does here, so you know, but they did
- 21:21Speaker 1: have a pretty good draft defensively, and I just feel
- 21:24Speaker 1: like they're setting Todd Bowles up here in a big,
- 21:26Speaker 1: big way. I mean a big big way. But Todd
- 21:29Speaker 1: Bowles is a guy that defensively in this kind of
- 21:34Speaker 1: he's not gonna make it easy for no matter who
- 21:36Speaker 1: the Jets put under center, which I'm thinking, we're gonna
- 21:40Speaker 1: see a lot of kid clubnick, Are we not here?
- 21:42Speaker 2: A lot of a lot of Clubnick. It's gonna look
- 21:44Speaker 2: like a Clemson football game, no doubt about it. And listen,
- 21:48Speaker 2: you know, having you know, basically just shout all over
- 21:50Speaker 2: the Jets. Aaron Glenn in his second year, he's got
- 21:53Speaker 2: to get off to a good start year. Yes, I
- 21:55Speaker 2: know it's a preseason game, but it was a disaster
- 21:58Speaker 2: last year, and you know, the Ye's have all this
- 22:00Speaker 2: draft capital here in the next couple of years. But
- 22:03Speaker 2: you know, we talked about maybe Glenby in the first
- 22:05Speaker 2: coach fired, and he's the odds on favorite to be that.
- 22:08Speaker 2: So it feels very important for the Jets to get
- 22:10Speaker 2: off to a good start here and get a w
- 22:12Speaker 2: under their belt.
- 22:13Speaker 1: Yeah, I got I'm interested to see Rubin Bain tonight
- 22:17Speaker 1: in Tampa to see exactly what we're gonna get there
- 22:20Speaker 1: and what are we gonna get with Washington and Miami here.
- 22:23Speaker 1: This one is another fascinating game tonight the Dolphins. Everybody's
- 22:28Speaker 1: gone right, whole news start over, push the reset button
- 22:33Speaker 1: in Miami. Jeff Haley getting his first reps as a
- 22:37Speaker 1: you know, preseason reps as a new head coach. Here.
- 22:40Speaker 1: He brought Malik Willis with them. What are do we
- 22:44Speaker 1: trust the commanders? I don't know, but I do think
- 22:49Speaker 1: Willis and the backup is going to be Quinn yours right,
- 22:52Speaker 1: and I think it then Cam Miller is going to
- 22:54Speaker 1: be the the other quarterback combination there. They have some
- 22:58Speaker 1: injuries on the offense of line to Dolphins already in camp.
- 23:04Speaker 1: I mean, is Jayden Daniels gonna sniff the field or
- 23:07Speaker 1: is he still too pissed off that LSU dare give
- 23:11Speaker 1: a jersey number five to a new player like three
- 23:14Speaker 1: years after he graduated?
- 23:16Speaker 2: Just saying this is Yeah, that's a wacky story out
- 23:20Speaker 2: of the three preseason games, and I think this is
- 23:22Speaker 2: what I have the least interest in. I know, I
- 23:25Speaker 2: think just looking at it, I would take the under.
- 23:28Speaker 2: This feels like a fourteen game. I agree, that's what
- 23:32Speaker 2: it looks like to me.
- 23:33Speaker 1: Both offensive lines are banged. Tunsil's already done right for Washington,
- 23:39Speaker 1: which is not good. So I'm with you. I think
- 23:44Speaker 1: this game's in Washington. Thirty six thirty six and a
- 23:47Speaker 1: half feels like way too many points here tonight. But
- 23:51Speaker 1: I am going to be interested to see what we
- 23:54Speaker 1: get here from from a couple of quarterbacks tonight, some
- 23:58Speaker 1: backup quarterbacks that I think are going to make it
- 24:01Speaker 1: very interesting in these games, especially with the Jets and
- 24:05Speaker 1: Cake Club nicking company who's backing up GINO this year.
- 24:09Speaker 1: I think there are some things to figure out here
- 24:12Speaker 1: tonight in just a three game slate. Now, in the meantime,
- 24:17Speaker 1: we do have some college football also on our mind
- 24:20Speaker 1: here Art, and we've done a pretty good job here
- 24:24Speaker 1: over the last couple of weeks rolling out some of
- 24:27Speaker 1: our favorite future bets win totals. Who makes the postseason,
- 24:32Speaker 1: who doesn't? What do you think? What team you circle
- 24:35Speaker 1: in here today? For US?
- 24:38Speaker 2: I'm going to Conference USA. I'm going to go to Liberty.
- 24:41Speaker 2: I think they're gonna win Conference USA. I think it's
- 24:43Speaker 2: a bounce back. I found as high as plus two
- 24:45Speaker 2: eighty at bet three sixty five. Most places are about
- 24:48Speaker 2: plus two fifty plus two sixty. Listen, they're gonna bounce
- 24:53Speaker 2: back here. They were bad last year. They were four
- 24:55Speaker 2: and eight, but they have four one loss games by
- 24:58Speaker 2: one score. I think that will kind of change here.
- 25:02Speaker 2: They had twenty one turnovers, a lot of turnovers last year.
- 25:05Speaker 3: Didn't like that.
- 25:06Speaker 2: So I know they are basically the odds on favorite
- 25:09Speaker 2: here to win Conference USA, but I think they will
- 25:12Speaker 2: get it done. So give me Liberty half a unit
- 25:15Speaker 2: play a plus two eighty to win Conference Usa.
- 25:19Speaker 1: Ooh, I like that all right. One of the first
- 25:22Speaker 1: plays that I gave folks here on the show for
- 25:25Speaker 1: a future bet, as I said, bet the Oklahoma State
- 25:27Speaker 1: Cowboys win total over because good things are coming from
- 25:31Speaker 1: coach Morrison company. There the flip side of that art,
- 25:35Speaker 1: we might as well talk as well, and that's of
- 25:38Speaker 1: course the team that coach Morris left, and that would
- 25:41Speaker 1: have been North Texas who was sitting around five and
- 25:45Speaker 1: a half I think for a win total, and they
- 25:47Speaker 1: won twelve games and they were in that three way
- 25:50Speaker 1: tie if you remember in the American Conference. They lost
- 25:53Speaker 1: to Tulane in that title game and that was it.
- 25:57Speaker 1: But the problem is Eric Marris not all left with
- 26:00Speaker 1: the quarterback, he left with the coaches, He left for
- 26:03Speaker 1: pretty much everybody in that program. So they are returning
- 26:09Speaker 1: just eight percent of their total snaps from last season.
- 26:15Speaker 1: So I mean, Neil Brown, it'll be his first season there.
- 26:18Speaker 1: He's always been a lot of fun. But they got
- 26:20Speaker 1: games against Indiana UNLV, Texas State. No, not going to
- 26:27Speaker 1: happen here. This is gonna be a transition year. I
- 26:31Speaker 1: think for North Texas under the five and a half
- 26:34Speaker 1: wins is likely good to schedules brutal, and yeah, that's
- 26:39Speaker 1: a lot to lose in a season and expect that,
- 26:42Speaker 1: you know, going from twelve wins. I counted four wins
- 26:47Speaker 1: at most for North Texas this year, so under their
- 26:50Speaker 1: win time makes sense. You go from one, you gotta
- 26:52Speaker 1: go to the other. Not all rebuilds are created the same, right.
- 26:55Speaker 3: Art, no doubt about it.
- 26:58Speaker 1: Awful, absolutely awful. Right, So we give you liberty in
- 27:01Speaker 1: North Texas. You guys got to be excited about that.
- 27:04Speaker 1: Let's talk some major League baseball art. We'll go around
- 27:08Speaker 1: the horn here. You got Saint Louis at the Cubs,
- 27:11Speaker 1: little afternoon action, lebratoor against homes. Which way you leaning
- 27:15Speaker 1: towards in this one?
- 27:19Speaker 3: Saint Louis has been bad, but I think i'll lean
- 27:24Speaker 3: Saint Louis.
- 27:25Speaker 1: Leaning Saint Louis here.
- 27:28Speaker 3: Lean Saint Louis.
- 27:28Speaker 1: I'll take a chance, all right, lean in Saint Louis. Here.
- 27:31Speaker 1: I've got Sandy a Contra taking on Burns in Cincinnati.
- 27:36Speaker 1: Miami got destroyed yesterday by Pittsburgh, but outside of that,
- 27:40Speaker 1: they've been actually a pretty darn good here down the stretch,
- 27:45Speaker 1: and Burns is kind of regressing here and that's a problem.
- 27:49Speaker 1: They also got into a firefight, had to use the
- 27:51Speaker 1: entire back end of that bullpen against the White Sox yesterday. Yeah,
- 27:55Speaker 1: I'm gonna take Miami at just about even money in
- 28:00Speaker 1: this one there, Art, You got the Red Sox at
- 28:02Speaker 1: the Pirates. Bennett taking off Bubbat Chandler. What are you
- 28:05Speaker 1: thinking there? Yeah?
- 28:07Speaker 2: I mean listen, I told you Sharps are back on
- 28:10Speaker 2: the Red Sox here the Pirates. Yeah, they won a
- 28:12Speaker 2: game yesterday, but they have been awful. You got a
- 28:15Speaker 2: lean Boston.
- 28:16Speaker 1: Here, laning Boston there, all right, White Sox taking on
- 28:19Speaker 1: the Tigers newcome versus job job actually pitched pretty well
- 28:24Speaker 1: last time after a guy that hadn't pitched in two years,
- 28:28Speaker 1: like the Tigers at home here at a fairly decent price.
- 28:31Speaker 1: Chris Bassett is back art. Did you know that he's
- 28:34Speaker 1: pitching for Baltimore? Gotaking on Stephen Mattz. The Rays are
- 28:39Speaker 1: at home for this one.
- 28:42Speaker 2: The Rays are always good at home. I know it's
- 28:44Speaker 2: a big price, but they beat up on bad pitching.
- 28:47Speaker 1: Raise Padres and the Guardians. I already told you I
- 28:51Speaker 1: like the Padres in that one. For the parlay of
- 28:55Speaker 1: the day, Nats and Mets Alvarez against Stock here. What
- 28:59Speaker 1: are you think of Art?
- 29:00Speaker 3: I'm taking over.
- 29:02Speaker 1: Yeah, it's the only way I can go. At City
- 29:04Speaker 1: Field too. Brandon Fought versus Chris Sale, Diamondbacks on the road,
- 29:09Speaker 1: taking on the Braves. I'm thinking about taking that run
- 29:13Speaker 1: and a half with the Diamondbacks here Art in that one.
- 29:17Speaker 1: Yankees Blue Jays Bieber against Cole What do you think?
- 29:22Speaker 3: I like the Yankees and I like the under.
- 29:25Speaker 1: Under his sittin out there's eights available, Art, So that's
- 29:28Speaker 1: not a bad way to go. Mariners at the Astros
- 29:31Speaker 1: Lambert versus Kirby Mariners. I mean one run team total under.
- 29:35Speaker 1: That's the way I'm going. They're Royals and the Angels
- 29:39Speaker 1: Lugo versus Grayson Rodriguez. Angels just beating up Texas all week.
- 29:44Speaker 3: Oh that's a brutal series by Texas.
- 29:47Speaker 2: By the way, I wouldn't touch this game at all,
- 29:49Speaker 2: but yeah, Angels are kind of hot.
- 29:51Speaker 3: I'll take the Angels, all right.
- 29:52Speaker 1: Taking the Angels there. Rangers against the Athletics in Sacramento.
- 29:57Speaker 1: Maybe the Rangers can score some runs. I doubt that,
- 30:00Speaker 1: though Kumar rock are going for him. I'm gonna take
- 30:04Speaker 1: the under because even the Texas Rangers will figure out
- 30:07Speaker 1: a way to score a few runs in that ballpark.
- 30:10Speaker 1: Brewers Dodgers Round two, Art, what do you think in
- 30:12Speaker 1: Gasa versus Yamamoto?
- 30:15Speaker 2: Well, yesterday I said take a shot with the Brewers
- 30:17Speaker 2: because it's plus money. I'm gonna continue to do that.
- 30:19Speaker 2: If you're gonna continue. I know Yamamoto is amazing, but
- 30:22Speaker 2: I'll take the run and a half. I'll take plus money.
- 30:24Speaker 1: I'll take shots with the brus They used all their
- 30:27Speaker 1: arms last night too, and that loss with Diaz in company.
- 30:32Speaker 1: And finally Rockies and the Giants Freeland versus Roop. I
- 30:37Speaker 1: still can't get to an over here, but I think
- 30:40Speaker 1: the Giants. I trust them at Oracle more than I
- 30:43Speaker 1: trust the Rockies. And that is your Major League Baseball rundown.
- 30:48Speaker 1: So good stuff. Art got a little heading into a
- 30:51Speaker 1: weekend with some UFC. We got baseball, We've got preseason football.
- 30:56Speaker 1: College will be here before we know it. It's what
- 30:59Speaker 1: they say, it's a beautiful time of year, and I
- 31:02Speaker 1: am looking very very forward to it. You are back
- 31:05Speaker 1: on Monday. Unfortunately, the pres we'll be back as well.
- 31:08Speaker 1: Brian Powell will be here in the meantime, hit that like,
- 31:12Speaker 1: hit that subscribe button. Become part of the way to
- 31:14Speaker 1: talk TV family, and make sure you come back and
- 31:17Speaker 1: join us for another edition of the best betting show
- 31:20Speaker 1: ever on Monday. Have a great weekend, guys. We'll talk
- 31:23Speaker 1: to you then