Latest / The President's Daily Brief / October 28th, 2026: Russia Secretly Helping Iran Attack American Bases & Jordan Launches Strikes In Syria
Transcript
- 0:12It's Wednesday,
- 0:13the twenty-eighth of October.
- 0:15Welcome to the President's Daily Brief.
- 0:17I'm Mike Baker,
- 0:18your eyes and ears
- 0:19on the world stage.
- 0:21All right,
- 0:22let's get briefed.
- 0:23First up,
- 0:23a new investigation reveals evidence that Russian
- 0:26spy satellites may be helping Iranian proxies
- 0:30carry out precision strikes against Saudi
- 0:32oil infrastructure and military installations.
- 0:36And officials say Moscow's intelligence
- 0:38may have also played a role in attacks on American targets.
- 0:41Now I'd have my shocked face on,
- 0:43but I'm
- 0:44not shocked.
- 0:45Later in the show,
- 0:47Jordan launches air strikes against Islamic State militants in southern Syria,
- 0:51killing more than 20 fighters in retaliation for a deadly church attack.
- 0:55Plus,
- 0:56an Israeli technology company is suspected of using digital advertising.
- 1:01To secretly track users of Elon Musk's Starlink satellite Internet service,
- 1:07and in today's back of the brief,
- 1:08British authorities charged two men in
- 1:10connection with an alleged Iran-linked terror plot
- 1:13targeting a military base used by American forces.
- 1:17But first,
- 1:18today's PDB spotlight.
- 1:20Russia may be playing a much larger role
- 1:23in the Middle East conflict than previously understood.
- 1:26A new investigation by the Associated Press suggests
- 1:29Moscow has been using its network of spy satellites
- 1:32to help Iranian-backed militias carry out precision attacks
- 1:36against Saudi Arabia's oil infrastructure and military installations,
- 1:40and according to officials familiar with the intelligence,
- 1:42that assistance may have extended to attacks against American facilities as well.
- 1:47The investigation centers on a series of drone and
- 1:50missile strikes carried out over the past several months.
- 1:54One of the most significant occurred on the 10th of September
- 1:57when drones launched from Iraq
- 1:59struck three pumping stations along Saudi Arabia's east-west pipeline.
- 2:04Now
- 2:04the 746 mile pipeline carries Saudi crude from the kingdom's eastern oil fields
- 2:10to export terminals on the Red Sea.
- 2:12It's become a critical alternative to the Strait of Hormuz,
- 2:15where Iranian attacks on commercial shipping
- 2:18continue to disrupt oil traffic
- 2:21by targeting the pipeline's pumping stations.
- 2:23The attackers struck infrastructure essential to keeping that oil moving,
- 2:27temporarily interrupting operations.
- 2:30Then roughly a week later,
- 2:32another attack hit King Fad Air Base in the Saudi city of Taif.
- 2:36The Houthi attack on the air base damaged several hangars,
- 2:39and an Italian Eurofighter typhoon parked inside one of them.
- 2:43Two attacks days apart
- 2:46against very different targets.
- 2:48But investigators examining the strikes say they discovered
- 2:50something remarkable happening in the skies above both locations.
- 2:54According to the Associated Press,
- 2:56a Geneva-based intelligence firm called Aurora Geosignal Intelligence.
- 3:01Tracked Russian reconnaissance satellites operating over Saudi
- 3:04Arabia in the days surrounding the attacks.
- 3:07The firm's founder,
- 3:08Nawaf Abeid,
- 3:09says researchers examined 40 missile and drone strikes
- 3:13conducted by Iranian-backed militias between July and October.
- 3:17In every case,
- 3:18they identified a corresponding pattern of Russian satellite activity over
- 3:22the targeted areas both before and after the attacks.
- 3:27For the September pipeline strikes,
- 3:29researchers tracked 11 Russian satellites,
- 3:31concentrating on the sections of the pipeline
- 3:34that were eventually hit.
- 3:36And around both the pipeline and the air base,
- 3:38the firm observed a roughly 50% increase
- 3:41in Russian satellite activity during the relevant 3-day periods
- 3:45compared with July.
- 3:47Obeid believes the evidence points to Russian intelligence being used
- 3:51to identify targets and assess the damage afterward.
- 3:55Now the researchers did not intercept any intelligence being
- 3:58transferred from Russia to Iran or its allies.
- 4:00Their findings establish a pattern of satellite activity rather than direct proof
- 4:06of Russian participation in designing the attacks or choosing the targets.
- 4:10But the Associated Press also spoke with officials who
- 4:13described how that intelligence allegedly reaches the militants.
- 4:17A senior Houthi leader told the news agency that Iranian advisers with the IRGC,
- 4:22the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps operating inside Yemen,
- 4:27have been providing the group with targeting information
- 4:29derived from Russian satellites.
- 4:31A Saudi official familiar with investigations
- 4:33into the attacks described similar findings.
- 4:36And a private intelligence analyst said Iranian advisers use Russian
- 4:40reconnaissance information to develop target lists and operational guidance.
- 4:45In other words,
- 4:46the alleged arrangement works something like this
- 4:49Russian satellites collect information about potential targets.
- 4:52Iranian advisers analyze that intelligence and pass it along to allied militias.
- 4:58Those groups then use the information
- 5:00to guide their missiles and drones.
- 5:02Saudi officials have also raised concerns about
- 5:05intelligence assistance coming from Chinese sources,
- 5:08although the evidence presented in the AP investigation
- 5:11focuses primarily on Russia.
- 5:14And the allegations extend beyond attacks on Saudi oil facilities.
- 5:18According to a Saudi official cited in the investigation.
- 5:21Russian satellite intelligence also helped Iran carry out strikes
- 5:25earlier this year against Prince Sultan Air Base,
- 5:28where an American surveillance aircraft was severely damaged.
- 5:31The official also alleged
- 5:33that Russian intelligence contributed to an Iranian strike
- 5:36against a CIA unit inside the American embassy complex in Riyadh.
- 5:41Those specific allegations have not been independently verified,
- 5:44and Russian officials offered no immediate response.
- 5:47Well,
- 5:47that's surprising to the Associated Press when asked about the findings.
- 5:52Russia and Iran,
- 5:53of course,
- 5:53already maintain extensive military cooperation,
- 5:56including the transfer of drone technology,
- 5:59but providing targeting intelligence would
- 6:01represent another potentially important dimension
- 6:04to that relationship.
- 6:05They could allow Iranian-backed groups to strike sensitive
- 6:09infrastructure and military assets with much greater accuracy
- 6:12without possessing the sophisticated reconnaissance capabilities
- 6:16needed to locate those targets themselves,
- 6:18and it could give Moscow a way to influence the
- 6:21conflict and threaten Western interests without openly entering the fight.
- 6:26All right.
- 6:26Coming up next,
- 6:27Jordan launches deadly air strikes against ISIS militants in Syria,
- 6:32and an Israeli technology company is suspected of using digital advertising
- 6:36to spy on Starlink users.
- 6:39You know,
- 6:39the shenanigans of 2026,
- 6:41they just keep on piling up.
- 6:43I'll be right back.
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- 8:05Welcome back to the PDB.
- 8:07The Kingdom of Jordan has launched air strikes
- 8:09into neighboring Syria targeting suspected Islamic State militants.
- 8:13In retaliation for a deadly attack on a Christian church,
- 8:16Jordanian officials say the operation killed more than 20 ISIS fighters,
- 8:21but the strikes also left Syrian civilians dead and
- 8:24triggered a diplomatic dispute between the two countries.
- 8:27The Jordanian military carried out the strikes Monday evening,
- 8:30targeting what it described as
- 8:32terrorist hideouts in the southern Syrian provinces of Deraa
- 8:36and Suweidah
- 8:37near the Jordanian border.
- 8:39According to Jordanian officials,
- 8:41the operation was based on
- 8:42intelligence connecting militants operating inside Syria
- 8:45to a massacre that took place in Jordan just 3 days earlier.
- 8:49That attack occurred Friday
- 8:51when gunmen opened fire on mourners attending a funeral at a Greek Orthodox church
- 8:58in Jordan's Karak governo southwest of the capital Amman.
- 9:01The attackers reportedly fired on people gathered for the funeral,
- 9:05killing 9 and wounding dozens more.
- 9:07The assault shocked Jordan,
- 9:09a country that's remained relatively stable despite years of
- 9:12conflict and instability in neighboring Syria and Iraq.
- 9:16Attacks against Jordan's Christian minority
- 9:18are particularly rare.
- 9:20King Abdullah II condemned the massacre and
- 9:23ordered security forces to respond forcefully.
- 9:26By Monday,
- 9:26Jordanian authorities
- 9:28announced they had arrested 3 suspects,
- 9:302 brothers and their brother-in-law following
- 9:33a confrontation with security forces.
- 9:35Police reportedly tracked the men to an abandoned house where
- 9:38they refused to surrender and opened fire.
- 9:40All 3 were wounded and taken into custody.
- 9:43Authorities recovered firearms and ammunition
- 9:46while investigators continued examining the suspect's
- 9:48possible connections to extremist organizations,
- 9:52and that brings us back to Monday's air strikes.
- 9:55Jordan says its investigation uncovered links between the church attackers
- 9:59and the terrorist groups operating across the Syrian border.
- 10:02Its air force subsequently struck several suspected militant positions,
- 10:06with the government officials announcing Tuesday that more
- 10:09than 20 Islamic State fighters had been killed.
- 10:12Now one important note,
- 10:13while Jordan identifies the militants it targeted as ISIS members,
- 10:17no organization has actually publicly claimed
- 10:20responsibility for the church massacre.
- 10:23There are also unanswered questions about the intelligence behind the operation.
- 10:28Jordanian security officials
- 10:29initially indicated they had found no evidence
- 10:32connecting the arrested suspects to other terrorist cells,
- 10:35while subsequent military statements
- 10:38described links to groups inside Syria.
- 10:40Meanwhile,
- 10:41the air strikes have reportedly produced significant civilian casualties.
- 10:45According to Syrian civil defense,
- 10:477 civilians were killed in the bombardment,
- 10:50including 3 children and a woman.
- 10:535 of the victims reportedly belonged to the same family
- 10:55whose home was struck in southern Syria.
- 10:572 elderly men were killed in separate locations.
- 11:00A Jordanian government spokesman Mohammad
- 11:02al Momani acknowledged the civilian deaths
- 11:05and expressed regret
- 11:07while maintaining that the operation targeted confirmed terrorist threats.
- 11:11The strikes have also created tensions between Amman and Damascus.
- 11:15Jordan's military initially claimed the operation
- 11:17was coordinated with the Syrian government,
- 11:20but Syrian officials disputed that account,
- 11:22insisting they received no advance notification or approval.
- 11:26Syria's Foreign Ministry condemned the strikes as
- 11:28a violation of the country's sovereignty,
- 11:30while authorities temporarily closed the main
- 11:33border crossing between the two countries.
- 11:35Both governments have since indicated that they
- 11:37intend to strengthen their security coordination.
- 11:40Including efforts to prevent terrorist activity along their shared border,
- 11:45the confrontation comes as Syria's new government led by President Ahmad al-Shara
- 11:49attempts to restore stability following the overthrow,
- 11:52of course,
- 11:52of Bashar al-Assad
- 11:54in December of 2024.
- 11:57For Jordan,
- 11:58the threat posed by ISIS is hardly new.
- 12:01The kingdom has been a longtime American counterterrorism partner
- 12:04and has repeatedly confronted extremist networks operating along its borders.
- 12:09You may recall back in 2015
- 12:12ISIS murdered captured Jordanian fighter pilot Muath al-Kasasbeh,
- 12:16burning him alive in a propaganda video
- 12:19that provoked widespread outrage across the kingdom
- 12:22and throughout the world.
- 12:23A year later,
- 12:24ISIS militants carried out another deadly attack in Kak,
- 12:27killing security personnel and civilians.
- 12:30And although the terrorist organization lost
- 12:32its territorial caliphate years ago,
- 12:34its surviving networks remain active across parts of Syria and Iraq,
- 12:39and that is the larger security concern
- 12:42behind this week's developments.
- 12:44Jordan is determined to prevent extremist groups
- 12:46from using Syrian territory
- 12:49to organize further attacks against its citizens.
- 12:53All right.
- 12:54Next up,
- 12:54an Israeli advertising technology company is
- 12:57suspected of using online advertising networks
- 13:00to track users of Elon Musk's Starlink satellite Internet service.
- 13:05According to cybersecurity researchers,
- 13:07the company's unusual advertising activity across more than 100 countries
- 13:12suggests it may have been conducting a surveillance operation
- 13:15rather than a conventional advertising campaign.
- 13:18The company is called DiscoverTech.
- 13:21It operates in advertising technology,
- 13:23but researchers suspect its business here was surveillance.
- 13:27An exclusive Reuters report details the findings,
- 13:30drawing on six people familiar with the research by Trend AI,
- 13:34that's a unit of Tokyo-based cybersecurity company Trend Micro.
- 13:38Using digital advertising data,
- 13:40researchers identified DiscoverTech as one of the biggest
- 13:43sources of ads shown to Starlink users.
- 13:46In more than 100 countries,
- 13:47it ranked first among bidders for that advertising traffic,
- 13:51including
- 13:51places where the service was banned or restricted.
- 13:55Researchers concluded that the activity was likely intended
- 13:58to locate or otherwise monitor those users.
- 14:01In other words,
- 14:01they suspected DiscoverTech was using online advertising infrastructure
- 14:06to spy on people.
- 14:07So
- 14:08what made this look like a surveillance operation?
- 14:11Well,
- 14:11well,
- 14:11let's start with where it was buying ads.
- 14:14Trend AI's 15th October report
- 14:17described the operation as Shadow Earth 79.
- 14:21It did not name DiscoverTech,
- 14:22but all six sources told Reuters
- 14:24that that was its internal designation for the company.
- 14:27The report described a obvious skew toward ads aimed at Starlink users.
- 14:33The operation was the top buyer of ads in,
- 14:35get this,
- 14:36Syria,
- 14:37Libya,
- 14:37Yemen,
- 14:38and South Sudan,
- 14:39and the second largest in Afghanistan.
- 14:42So you may be asking what was the commercial payoff supposed to be.
- 14:46Well,
- 14:46Trend AI said,
- 14:47quote,
- 14:47The demand for legitimate Western advertising
- 14:50in sanctioned or active conflict states
- 14:53is effectively zero,
- 14:54end quote.
- 14:56Yet the operation dominated those markets.
- 14:58Researchers also found what they called quote
- 15:00an implausibly dominant share of winning bids in Hungary,
- 15:04Israel,
- 15:05Egypt,
- 15:05Azerbaijan,
- 15:06and Venezuela.
- 15:08Their assessment,
- 15:09this looked like quote targeting and tracking
- 15:11infrastructure rather than a commercial advertising operation.
- 15:16So
- 15:16how does an advertising auction become a tool for spying?
- 15:19Well,
- 15:19that's a good question,
- 15:20and I'm glad you asked.
- 15:22When you open a website or an app,
- 15:24advertisers can compete almost instantly to put an ad on your screen,
- 15:28and during that bidding process,
- 15:30information about you
- 15:31can flow back to the participating companies.
- 15:34Researchers at Canada's Citizen Lab and
- 15:36New York advertising technology firm Confient.
- 15:39Say bidders can collect that data and combine it
- 15:42with other records to identify otherwise anonymous users,
- 15:46follow them around the web,
- 15:48and in some cases target them with surveillance software,
- 15:51and that is the infrastructure that Discover Tech is accused of exploiting.
- 15:55Citizen Lab and Confient
- 15:57publicly named DiscoverTech the same day that Trend AI released its report.
- 16:02They said ads associated with the company
- 16:04had appeared inside dozens of sensitive government,
- 16:07media,
- 16:07and technology networks,
- 16:08although
- 16:09that does not establish that those networks were breached.
- 16:12The Starlink Focus carries particular stakes.
- 16:16SpaceX's satellite service
- 16:17allows users to bypass local internet restrictions,
- 16:21communicate in hostile areas,
- 16:22and coordinate battlefield operations.
- 16:25Reuters describes efforts to track its users
- 16:27as a growing cottage industry.
- 16:30In May,
- 16:30the Israeli newspaper Haaretz and the outlet Intelligence Online
- 16:34separately reported that Israeli-owned companies were marketing
- 16:37ways to identify and track Starlink users.
- 16:41Haaretz said advertising data appeared to play a key role,
- 16:44but if Trend AI believed DiscoverTech was responsible,
- 16:48then why did they withhold its name?
- 16:50Well,
- 16:505 sources told Reuters that executives raised legal concerns,
- 16:54leading researchers to drop plans to identify the company.
- 16:58Trend AI did not directly explain that decision.
- 17:01It said its attribution practices
- 17:03aimed to reduce mistakes and avoid labels that
- 17:05could mislead security teams or trigger inappropriate responses.
- 17:10Industry experts told Reuters
- 17:11that fear of retaliation also drives self-censorship
- 17:14in cybersecurity.
- 17:16But as for who commissioned the suspected operation.
- 17:19Whether a government directed it and which users were successfully identified,
- 17:24well,
- 17:25all that remains unanswered.
- 17:28Finally,
- 17:28in today's back of the brief,
- 17:29an update
- 17:30on the terrorism investigation in the UK involving RAF Fairford.
- 17:35More on that when we come back.
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- 20:13In today's back of the brief,
- 20:14two British men now face national security charges
- 20:18following their arrests in the suspected Iranian plot
- 20:21at RAF Fairford.
- 20:22The six other men remain out on bail
- 20:25as investigators work to establish who was involved
- 20:28and to what degree the trail leads back to the Iranian regime.
- 20:31British prosecutors announced the charges on Tuesday.
- 20:34The two men are Mohammad Abdul Karimm and Numan Esgir.
- 20:38Now both are 24 and
- 20:40both are British nationals living in London.
- 20:42They're charged under the United Kingdom's 2023 National Security Act.
- 20:46That's a law designed to combat espionage,
- 20:49sabotage,
- 20:50and
- 20:50other threats involving foreign powers.
- 20:53The case goes back to that September security scare
- 20:56at RAF Fairford in western England.
- 20:58That's the base that has hosted American long range bombers for years.
- 21:02During the war against Iran,
- 21:04it supported B-1 strikes against the regime.
- 21:07Tehran meanwhile had repeatedly warned that
- 21:10any base used to attack Iranian territory
- 21:12would be considered a legitimate target.
- 21:15On September 27th,
- 21:17authorities detained five men near an entrance
- 21:19to Fairford after reports of suspicious activity.
- 21:23Several vehicles were parked nearby,
- 21:24and
- 21:25the response brought armed police and bomb disposal specialists to the scene.
- 21:30Inside,
- 21:30three vans driven by the suspects,
- 21:32officers found quantities of gasoline.
- 21:35But they did not report finding any explosives.
- 21:37All 5 men were initially released on bail,
- 21:40but police said they remained under investigation and would be monitored.
- 21:44Now this is where the sequence of arrests matters.
- 21:47Esker was among those 5 men originally detained near Fairford.
- 21:51Police subsequently arrested other suspects,
- 21:53including
- 21:54a 25-year-old British-Iranian dual national
- 21:57detained on October 1st and later released on bail.
- 22:00Then on October 20th,
- 22:02police re-arrested Esgir and the 25-year-old British-Iranian dual national
- 22:07this time on suspicion of assisting Iranian intelligence.
- 22:11Well,
- 22:11the 25-year-old has since been released without charge
- 22:14over the suspected intelligence offense.
- 22:16He remains on bail in connection with the broader investigation.
- 22:20Abdul Karim meanwhile was also arrested last week,
- 22:23and now he and Esker of the two men prosecutors have charged.
- 22:27Abdel Karim is accused of assisting a foreign intelligence service in September
- 22:32through conduct likely to materially assist
- 22:35that service
- 22:36in carrying out activities related to the UK.
- 22:40The allegation against Esgir
- 22:42concerns a protected location.
- 22:44Prosecutors say he approached or was near it for
- 22:46a purpose that he knew or reasonably should have known
- 22:49was prejudicial to the safety or interests
- 22:53of the United Kingdom.
- 22:54You just have to love legalese.
- 22:56Prosecutors have not publicly named the Foreign
- 22:58Intelligence Service in Abdul Karim's charge.
- 23:01Police,
- 23:01however,
- 23:02have linked the arrests to suspected assistants to Iranian intelligence.
- 23:07British officials have already pointed toward Tehran.
- 23:09Prime Minister Andy Burnham has said his government believes Iran played a part
- 23:14in the Fairford incident.
- 23:16The Iranian embassy,
- 23:17no surprise in London,
- 23:18has rejected that accusation.
- 23:21And following the incident outside the base,
- 23:23the US Air Force removed all of its B-1 bombers
- 23:27from RAF Fairford.
- 23:29And that my friends is the president's daily Brief for Wednesday,
- 23:32the 28th of October.
- 23:33If you have any questions or comments,
- 23:35please reach out to me
- 23:36at PDB@hefirsttv.com.
- 23:39I'm Mike Baker and I'll be back later today
- 23:41with the PDB afternoon bulletin.
- 23:43Until then,
- 23:44stay informed,
- 23:45stay safe,
- 23:47stay cool.