Latest / Three For The Money / NFL Week 6 Gambling Picks, London Jags, Bengals Must Win
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- 0:40Okay, okay, okay, we're here. In fact, it's 3 for the Money, new episode every Thursday per
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- 1:01And they're a fantastic sponsor and we love working with them. But yes, it is week six of the NFL.
- 1:09Week five is over. Now we move on to week six. The Titans are off a buy. So now we can watch
- 1:16football again. Yippee. Anyway, Chris, how did you do last week?
- 1:24I did all right. After two straight weeks going six and four, I went four and six. So,
- 1:31you know, whatever, one muster fire. So that was nice. I've won three of those in a row. So
- 1:36getting a little hot. But nothing, nothing special. It looked like it was going to be really bad.
- 1:44I was like two and five on Sunday. And or two and five in the news slate, I should say.
- 1:53And I was like, uh-oh, this is going to be bad. But ended up not being awful. So four and six
- 2:01will live with it on the week six. Oh, yes. John, what about you? I went about as okay as you can.
- 2:11I went seven, seven and one. So, oh yeah, what's that? Very cool. For a second there,
- 2:20I thought you were going to say seven, seven and seven, which would have been crazy.
- 2:24Seven pushes. 21 bets. Seven pushes. You're lucky to get one, I feel like.
- 2:35That one, that one push being the Jags minus three, man, they had that in the bag. But the
- 2:42winning streak still continues and I pushed. So it's okay, I guess.
- 2:48Man, just sorry, one thing real quick. Well, fuck the Jags. I had three and a half. So,
- 2:56fuck them. Sorry, continue. It's okay. I also had the Jags and they pushed for me.
- 3:05So I, sorry, I mean, I'm just saying. Good for you. I ended up going five, three and one,
- 3:12winning my surefire as well. And so, had a pretty good, pretty good little week here.
- 3:21It, I was, I think at one point I was one and three and then I ended up going, winning my next four,
- 3:28which was sick. So, yeah, not a bad, not a bad week. Fortunately, I didn't really get to watch
- 3:35a lot of football. Really any this past weekend, me and John were in Colorado for a wedding.
- 3:40But, but yeah, times run by and it didn't matter. So, all right, on to the, on to week six,
- 3:49on to week six. Okay, first game we're going to talk about the London game. The Jacksonville Jaguars
- 3:57are playing the Chicago Bears and the Bears are favored by two currently. I don't know if
- 4:05they're already there yet. I would hope so. But, but yeah, I am going to start this one off.
- 4:12This is an easy Jags plus two pick. I mean, there's this bears bears are looking pretty good,
- 4:19but this is a home game. This is a home game for the Jags and their home dogs.
- 4:26Well, it is not, not technically, not, no, not technically, but like they've claimed
- 4:33London is what I'm saying. Oh, I mean, I thought you meant like the way that they're structuring
- 4:40the game because technically the Jags are away and the bears are the home team. No,
- 4:48this is technically a home game for the Jags because the Jags have claimed London or the,
- 4:52or London has claimed the Jags either way. I'm taking Jags plus two. Keep it simple.
- 4:58Sean, what do you got? I have the opposite. I have the bears minus one and a half.
- 5:08I'm just going to say it. I hate that I am, but I think the bears are starting to figure it out.
- 5:13And I really like the bears in this spot. New kid on the block first international game going up
- 5:20against the unofficial yet official London team, but I think the defense is what mostly motivates
- 5:30me to bet on the bears. The Jags defense is terrible. It's so bad. Bears have stacked up some
- 5:37yardage over the past three games and the bears defense is superior to the Jags offense. So that
- 5:44is mainly why I'm taking the bears minus one and a half year. Chris, I agree with everything you
- 5:50said, Sean. I got bears minus two. They're like you said, their defenses. This is probably the
- 5:57best defense the Jags have played all season. Colts didn't get after him whatsoever. I don't
- 6:03think I, Trevor Lawrence could have smoked a cigarette back there. He had so much time.
- 6:08He's not going to have any time in this one. He's going to be running for his life.
- 6:10Yeah. I like the, I think the bears, I mean, honestly, offensively too are better. They're
- 6:17offensive line sucks. Other than that, they have everything else is pretty much better.
- 6:22So I assume the bears are a better team. So yeah, bears minus two.
- 6:26Okay. Moving on. Regular games. Cardinals at the Packers. Packers are favored by five and a half.
- 6:35Jordan Love with an absolute bozo play last week. Just immediately throwing a just just
- 6:43tossing it to a defender for a pick six. But yeah, Packers are favored by five and a half.
- 6:50I'm going to throw it to Chris. What do you think?
- 6:54I'm second the Cardinals and I got a little stat for you.
- 6:57Kyler Murray in his career as an underdog of four plus points is 13, six and two against the spread.
- 7:05If that sounds familiar, I gave it out last week when it was 12, six and two against the spread
- 7:10and the Cardinals covered and one outright. So I'm taking Cardinals plus five and a half.
- 7:16Yeah. Jordan Love, man, I Packers were my surefire last week. And when he threw that
- 7:22intercept, I was like, this guy is terrible. I was like, that was a Will Leviss play. And he,
- 7:28that was, oh, I was livid, but they ended up covering, but I'm riding with the Cardinals again,
- 7:34plus five and a half. I don't know. Just I feel like the Cardinals are spunky. They'll keep it
- 7:40within the number. I don't know if they'll win outright, but they'll keep it within the number.
- 7:44No real more in-depth analysis on that. But Sean, what do you got?
- 7:48I've got the Packers minus five. And I think the Cardinals are kind of due for a blowout, to be
- 8:01honest. They got, I think they got pretty lucky in San Fran on Sunday. This is how the game went
- 8:09down towards the end. Interception, turnover on downs, fumble, another interception to set up the
- 8:16kick to win the game. Cardinals had to travel to Lambeau for a noon kickoff game. One, they play
- 8:23indoors and two, they play in Arizona. That is, this is not going to be the same weather that
- 8:28they're used to in Green Bay. It's going to be a little cold. I looked up the weather. It's going
- 8:32to be a little rainy as well. And on top of the weather conditions, the Cardinals defense is
- 8:38terrible. They rank 32nd. They have the worst defense in the league. So I think, I personally
- 8:46think the spread should be a little higher, but I will gladly take the Packers minus five here.
- 8:52Will, what you got? I also have the Cardinals. I am riding with the birds. Plus five and a half.
- 9:02It just, this feels like a flip-flop play. Like, of course, like the Packers can beat the
- 9:08shit Cardinals by six. So that's why you take the Cardinals. I think the Packers have, you know,
- 9:15outside of the Titans game, they really haven't put a lot of their opponents away. And they've kind
- 9:23of let them kind of either come back or kind of hang around, wait till the last minute.
- 9:29I mean, they barely covered against the shitbag Rams. Like, I'm taking the Cardinals. I think,
- 9:39I think Kyla Murray is definitely going to throw an Interception, but I think Jordan Love might
- 9:45throw two Interceptions. It's, he's also Interception happy. I don't know. I'm taking,
- 9:53I'm taking the points here. But yeah, that's that game. All right. So next game, we have the
- 10:00Washington Manders playing the Ravens. Ravens at home. Ravens favored by six and a half points.
- 10:09Sean, what do you think about this game?
- 10:11Give me points. I am addicted to betting both of these teams overs. Both of these teams are
- 10:24averaging over 29 points per game, as well as averaging over 54 total points per game.
- 10:32Both teams are four and one on the over this season, and have hit over 40, or I'm sorry,
- 10:37have it hit over 52 and a half in their last two of their last three second highest total this weekend.
- 10:45I love this over over 41 and over 51 and a half. I cannot get enough of this over. This was like
- 10:52the easiest play to me this this week was this over. I can't wait to watch this game.
- 11:01Will, what you got? I also have the over over 51 and a half.
- 11:05What'd you say? I said, thank God.
- 11:12I said, well, like y'all have been. I feel like we've been flip flopping a lot. We haven't been
- 11:18agreeing, which is okay. But it makes me feel I'm like, Oh, no, am I making the wrong decision?
- 11:24Oh, no, I'm stupid. I always feel that. But no, I'm taking the over.
- 11:29I'm both these teams has been putting up massive numbers. The commander's defense stinks.
- 11:39And the Ravens defenses, I don't know. It's mid. It's not nothing to write all about. It's fine.
- 11:48And I think fuck, who's the quarterback for the Manders? Jane Daniels. Jane Daniels. He's
- 11:55figured it out. He looks great. So I'm taking them taking the points here. I'm taking the over
- 12:0451 and a half points. Yeah, just, you know, some simple as that, Chris. Yeah, three for three over
- 12:1351 and a half. This feels like a square as a bet could possibly be. I don't care. I want this game
- 12:20to rock. I'm pissed that I'm going to have to watch the shitbag Titans instead of this game.
- 12:28It's everything you've just said. The commander's defense is atrocious. The two of the three teams
- 12:34they've played that have a real quarterback, they've allowed 30 plus points. The Ravens could get
- 12:4050 again this week. Yeah, over. I just want to rock. Simple as that. Hell yes. Okay, next game.
- 12:54Probably the game of the week. Because it's the Cowboys.
- 12:59This should, Manders, Ravens, they should have flexed that Sunday night football.
- 13:03I mean, you can't do it. I know you can't flex that early. I agree. I agree. I agree. Why can't
- 13:13like, we get to dog shit teams. It's the way the world works. It's the way that the televisions
- 13:19decide that it works. It would benefit the television companies to have this game instead
- 13:25because nobody cares about we're getting into it, but nobody cares about the Sunday night game this
- 13:30week. This should be Sunday night football. I don't even know who gave them this Sunday night game
- 13:35if I'm being real. I mean, who looked at this slate and was like, that game, that game, that game's
- 13:41gonna rock. Anyway, yeah, anyways, it's okay. Lions at the Cowboys Cowboys home dogs by three points.
- 13:54I gotta be honest. I don't really have a play for this game. It has kerfuffled me.
- 14:02It put my brain in a pretzel. So I was hoping I could look towards the peanut gallery to maybe
- 14:12guide my decision here. Chris? Well, I'll try to guide you. This was probably my second favorite
- 14:22game. I think I'm gonna play against Lions minus three. They're better almost at every position.
- 14:29They are better in the trenches where this game will be decided. They have one of the best offensive
- 14:35lines going up against one of the worst defensive lines. They're going to run the ball down Dallas's
- 14:39dick. They're going to hold on to the football. They're going to score points and Dallas can't do
- 14:44anything. Like their offense other than CD lamb has nobody. So it seems easy, but maybe it's
- 14:54because it is easy. It's Lions minus three. This one, it won't get ugly because the Cowboys always
- 14:59find a way I feel like to keep to hang around like they did on Sunday night when they really
- 15:04had no business winning that game. Yeah, Lions minus three though. I think they won this handily.
- 15:10Sean, what are you taking? 100% agree. Lions minus three. This spread to me doesn't make sense.
- 15:21Why are the Dallas Cowboys home dogs by three points? And you might think, but let's,
- 15:30so let's take the Cowboys. No, Cowboys barely scraped by Pittsburgh in a tough,
- 15:36tough, delayed Sunday night game. They now come home to face a well rested Lions team coming off
- 15:43of by week. Detroit may have been not like their best in the first four games, but they have way
- 15:50more offensive weapons than the Cowboys do. And the Cowboys defense is struggling, like missing
- 15:58key players and getting dominated on the run game. You know, like you said, Chris on offense,
- 16:03Dallas doesn't offer much outside of the DactyCD connection. Lions defense has the ability to
- 16:09pressure the quarterback with Aidan Hutchinson leading the league in sacks. Don't overthink it.
- 16:15It's Lions minus three. Okay, I'll take Lions. I'll take Lions minus two. It just, it felt too easy,
- 16:26but if, if, if y'all are taking it all right, I just, I can't, I can't bet the Cowboys.
- 16:37I just can't do it. And I thought that even before y'all's explanations, but it was just like,
- 16:45I'm fighting with myself here. Anyway, okay, moving on Sunday night football.
- 16:49This game kind of stinks. Bangles at the Giants. Giants are home dogs by three and a half points.
- 17:00I guess I'll lead this one off. There's a little phrase that we coined here on the, on the show,
- 17:07and that's Danny Dimes is afraid of the dark. He has a horrible against the spread record
- 17:13in prime time games, especially when they're after six PM. I will be taking the bangles
- 17:21plus three, minus three and a half. The bangles, if they want any chance of, you know,
- 17:29doing anything, maybe making the postseason, they have to win this game. They have to,
- 17:36they have to be better. More than four points better. Yes. I'm taking the bangles minus,
- 17:44minus four, right now, minus three and a half. Jesus Christ will.
- 17:48John. Yeah, bangles minus three and a half. Daniel Jones is afraid of dark. That's what I
- 17:55wrote down. One in 12 straight up on prime time and one in four against the spread at home on
- 18:02prime time. Only thing that might be a little bit of concern to me is the bangles defense. They are
- 18:09struggle in the other bed. They just continue to struggle and they're just not getting any better.
- 18:17So I'm hoping burrow has another almost 400 yard, five TD performance in them.
- 18:23But yeah, it's, it's going to be bangles minus three and a half either way. Chris.
- 18:27Chris. Three for three again. That's the first thing I'd written down. Danny Dimes is afraid of
- 18:33the dark. Yeah, that's, I agree with you Sean. The one thing that gave me a little pause was the
- 18:39bingles defense. I mean, struggling is putting it politely. They fucking suck. I mean, this is
- 18:45the worst bingles defense I think I've seen since Joe Burrow has been there. I mean, they're, they're
- 18:51awful, but the Giants aren't good. I don't like, yeah, they'd be, they'd be, did they win last week?
- 18:59Seahawks visit. I think it was the Seahawks. Yeah. I don't buy it. Malik neighbors, I think has
- 19:04concussion. So he's questionable. Yeah, the bingles that you said it will also like they need,
- 19:13like the Giants don't care. The Giants weren't trying to win this season. The bingles need this
- 19:19game. If this is a, this is a kitchen sink game. Oh, if they lose this season, yes, over, over,
- 19:25like more so than it already is. But then I haven't gone to the trend center much to this episode. So
- 19:31we'll go with this one. Joe Burrow in his career on the road versus teams with a less than 33%
- 19:38win percentage on the season. Where is it? 31, 11 and two against the spread.
- 19:44Give me Joe Burrow. It's Joe Burrow against Daniel Jones.
- 19:53What are we doing? Like, yeah, what, like, three and a half.
- 19:59If the bingles defense had some sort of a backbone, this spread would be at least five
- 20:03and a half or six. Yes. Yes. 100%. 100%. Okay. Three for three again. Okay. Moving on.
- 20:13One last game we're really going to dive into here. Monday night football,
- 20:19bills at the Jets. Jets just fired their head coach, Robert Salah. The Jets are home dogs by two
- 20:28and a half. See, Chris, what do you think? All right. Under 41 and a half, both these
- 20:41offenses are not, they don't look good. I mean, the Jets, their offense is just like Nathaniel
- 20:49Hackett, how he still has a job in the NFL is mind boggling. This is how bad he is. Robert Salah
- 20:56wanted to get the play calling duties to Todd Downey. Boo. That would have been hilarious.
- 21:02Yeah. That would have been really funny. So funny. It could still happen. If like,
- 21:08if, uh, what's Hackett lays another egg on Monday night football, it could very well happen. But
- 21:15yeah, I mean, the Jets offense is atrocious. We know that the bills offense, I mean, last couple
- 21:21weeks looks lost. I mean, I watched that Houston game and I mean, I know Khalil Shakir is hurt.
- 21:30I don't know if I think he's still questionable for this one. I mean, he's not really that good.
- 21:36No offense. Like he's not like a number one, like a top echelon receiver and they just look lost without
- 21:43so I mean, if they can't put up points against the Texans, I don't think they're going to put
- 21:48up points against the Jets who have a good defense. I think this game much like Sunday night is going
- 21:54to suck. So get me under 41 and a half. Will, what do you take? I am also on the under. Sure. Yeah.
- 22:02Yeah. I mean, yeah. But this game also had me in a little bit of a pretzel again, because, you know,
- 22:11I was like, should I take the Jets because they just got a new coach,
- 22:16you know, maybe some new coach magic, something like that. Then I was like, but it's
- 22:22the Jets stink and like, I'm like, I'm going to take the bills and then I'm like, but the bills
- 22:29haven't looked great either. Like I couldn't pick a side. So did the old default under let's go 41?
- 22:41Just kind of, you know, keeping it simple. I'm already counting this as a win. I feel like
- 22:46I feel like Monday night football has kind of been not great for this year. I don't know. I'd
- 22:53have to go back and look. But I feel like these unders have been just cashing in prime time.
- 23:03So yeah, under 41. John.
- 23:08All right. This is a pure new coach bounce back play. It's Jets plus two and a half.
- 23:16And I found some stats to back me up on this NFL teams that have fired their coach mid season
- 23:25have seen a 14% increase in win rate the first week after firing a head coach and covering the
- 23:32spread 18% more the first week and 54% of the time after firing. The bills do like to beat up on bad
- 23:45teams, but bad teams have bad defenses. While the Jets are only two and three, their defense is still
- 23:55putting up numbers. I found some numbers, but they don't really make sense. And they're really long
- 24:01to list because they're all bunch of stats. But I believe I also believe in Mr. Monday night
- 24:08football Aaron Rogers himself. He is 10 and one against the spread on Monday night since 2014.
- 24:17Even though his last two Monday night football starts have not gone exactly to plan being his
- 24:23Achilles tear and the 49ers loss. In short, goodbye, Salah. Thanks for the dub.
- 24:30All right. I respect it. If Nathaniel Hackett also got fired, I would be betting the Jets,
- 24:39but I can't bet on a team where he leads the offense.
- 24:46Like I get I get exactly what you're saying. If I was going to pick a side, it would be the Jets,
- 24:51but I just I couldn't do it. I feel you I'll probably play the under as well because it's
- 24:57Monday night. You know, it's whatever. But yeah, let's let's see. Let's see if this works out.
- 25:06Only one way to find out.
- 25:09That's a hell of a way to sell it. Yeah. Let's see what happens.
- 25:14Why not?
- 25:16Let's put money on something and see what happens. Okay, moving on.
- 25:19Sean. Okay, surefire picks of the week double unit guarantee not to lose.
- 25:28Moving on. Who wants to go for Sean? You do your surefire first.
- 25:34All right. It's a game that we've already talked about. But I went back and checked the tapes.
- 25:40And I have hit my last three surefire picks in a row as well. So don't sleep on this one.
- 25:47It's the Lions minus three. Like I said, the spread doesn't really make sense. I don't get it.
- 25:55We talked about before this. I think week two it was where the before the Saints game that the
- 26:00Cowboys were the pinnacle of home teams last year and terrible on the road. Well, it seems the
- 26:07opposite is happening where they are undefeated on the road and have not won at home yet. So let's
- 26:15keep this street going. I also got a couple stats to share. The Lions are 19 and nine against the
- 26:23spread on the road under Dan Campbell, as well as 10 and two against the spread when the Lions
- 26:30have more days of rest than their opponent. It's also worthy to note that our friends at
- 26:36Trend Center have 15 trends for this game, nine being in favor for the Lions and four being in
- 26:44favor of the under, leaving only two in favor of the Cowboys. So it looks like numbers and
- 26:51science don't have faith in the Cowboys and you shouldn't either. Lions minus three.
- 26:57Chris, what you got?
- 27:00I love that. I'm taking another minus three spread, but I'm taking the Chargers minus three
- 27:06against the Denver Broncos. Broncos been getting a lot of love in the media the last couple weeks.
- 27:12They're like, oh, they're not as bad as we thought. Like they're sneaky good. Bonic,
- 27:16Champagne, putting it together. Not buying it. I think Champagne is one of the most overrated
- 27:21coaches in football right now. I think Bonic's blows. I just don't buy it. I think they, last
- 27:30two weeks, they easily could have lost to the Jets. If that game was not played in a month soon,
- 27:35they would have lost and they beat the Raiders who are falling apart at the seams. Congratulations.
- 27:40I don't buy what they're selling. I'm not scooping what they're pooping, as the kids say.
- 27:49I think Harbaugh and the Chargers, they got a weak arrest. I think Harbaugh's going to
- 27:55cook up something that's going to put Bonic's mind in a blender. Also a trend to back it up from
- 28:03Trends Center. Road favorites coming off of a buy whose last game before the buy was at home.
- 28:1141, 16, and three against the spread. Give me the Chargers all day long. They
- 28:18won this game comfortably. So yeah, let's make it four in a row with these things.
- 28:23Will, what are you taking? I love both of your spiels. I also checked the tape for me. I lost
- 28:34my previous two Sheriff Fires before this week, so I am not on a roll. But that doesn't mean we
- 28:39can't start one. It's a game we've already talked about. It's the Bengals. It's the Bengals minus
- 28:47three and a half. They need this win. They need it. They need it bad. They needed air. I'm taking
- 28:54the Bengals. I have no stats to back this up. This is kind of like a, almost like a hungry dog
- 29:04runs faster, but they're not underdogs. They're favored, but they're right to be favored. I
- 29:12don't know. I don't know where I'm going with this. They need it more. They actually have
- 29:19actual aspirations for the season. That's it. I'm keeping it simple. All right. Moving on from
- 29:30the Surefire picks. We have our extra plays. We have our extra plays for the week. I'm going to
- 29:36start off this one. I have three extra plays. One that I could not resist, even though everything
- 29:46in my brain was telling me not to. It's the Saints plus three and a half. They're home dogs.
- 29:52They're playing the Bucks. This is a divisional home dog. The numbers just say, take them.
- 30:00And I guess, Christopher, you know who's starting quarterback for the Saints, right?
- 30:08No, not a clue. Spencer Rattler. You know, Therry Carr is out for like multiple weeks.
- 30:16No, I didn't know that. Yeah. This is a betting show, Will. You should know those things.
- 30:21Oh, we didn't watch football last week. All right. We're going to scratch that play.
- 30:27I mean, I still kind of like it if I'm being honest, because why the hell is that three and a half?
- 30:36All right, fuck it. I'll take it. I'll take it if you take it.
- 30:40Add it to my car. Where's my pen?
- 30:44I mean, that was it. I mean, for that one. But home divisional dog. Let's go.
- 30:51Crazy shit happens in divisional games. Next game. Oh, I mean, my next two games, they stink.
- 31:01And I think you know what they are, Chris. I think I got a hunch.
- 31:07I know what one of them is. And I think I know what the other one is.
- 31:11I think I know it both, Martin. I think I have them both written down on my card as well.
- 31:14I know I've got one of them written down. What's the under, Will? It's Chargers Broncos under 35 and a half.
- 31:25And Steelers Raiders under 36 and a half. Those games are going to stink.
- 31:34I think maybe the Raiders might stink too bad and the Steelers take advantage of that.
- 31:41But it's also a Steelers under. And even though it's lost a couple of times,
- 31:48I think I've vowed for every game this year that the Steelers play, I will be taking the under.
- 31:57They're one of my underteams. Not a bad strategy.
- 32:00Yeah. It's worked out so far. I think it's like three and two. Something like that.
- 32:06I know my Sunday went over, but I think just barely. Yeah, I'd say it was 40 something, wasn't it?
- 32:17Well, they won 20 to 17. 2017. I thought it was 21. No, the under did hit.
- 32:23The under did hit. Never mind. I don't know anything. Yeah, it was the under's 44 last week.
- 32:28Oh, I thought it was a different score. So my bad.
- 32:31Yeah. Yeah, good. Yes, I think the Steelers could take advantage of the Raiders, but also
- 32:41I think I'm just going to take every Steelers under. I think that's the move. I think that's the play.
- 32:47And I think the Chargers defense is pretty good. And I also think the Broncos defense is pretty good.
- 32:52Both offenses are kind of off. I don't know how to put it.
- 33:00They haven't really quite figured it out yet. The Chargers aren't really a throwing offense anymore.
- 33:07Another day of hardball here and there. And then the Broncos,
- 33:14people are saying that they figured it out. I don't think they are figuring it out.
- 33:20Under 35 and a half and under 36 and a half. Those are my three plays.
- 33:24Chris. All right. Well, all three of mine are pretty stinky. Well, I guess for another added
- 33:33Saints plus three and a half. That line makes no sense. Why is why are the Bucks only favor by three
- 33:40and a half? Explain that to me. I can't exactly. I didn't watch football last week. So I mean,
- 33:46Saints plus three and a half all day. Maybe not all day, but I'm taking it. I got Steelers minus
- 33:52three. I think they are just too much for the right. The Raiders are done. That nobody wants to
- 33:59play their Garden of Mention is terrible. I think the Steelers, I would say when it comfortably,
- 34:06just because I don't think they really have the offense to do it. But the other one this game
- 34:11by like 10, seven or 10, then stinky under Texans Patriots under 38. The Drake May era is beginning.
- 34:22And I don't think he's very good. If the Texans can hold Josh Allen in check, I think they'll be
- 34:29okay against Drake May. And the Texans offense on the road under CJ Stroud only averaging 19
- 34:37points a game. So I think this game is going to suck. I think this is at most 20 to 13. And
- 34:46then that's being generous. And then I thought you were going to go with this one. Well, when you
- 34:52said he had stinky plays, the Carolina Panthers plus six half against the Falcons. Falcons haven't
- 35:00won a game by more than six all season. So I know it's the Panthers. Panthers might sneaky be not
- 35:08awful. They're not good, but they're not as tear of ever since they've been just price young.
- 35:16It's like, okay, they have some sort of identity. It's a pulse. Yeah. So yeah, like I said, Falcons
- 35:24haven't won a game by more than six all season. So laying more than six, laying six and a half
- 35:31on the road in the division. A little too tough for me. I hate that I wrote the Panthers down, but
- 35:40yeah, six and a half. That's all I got. Sean, what else you got?
- 35:46All right. Yeah, let's start off with some NFC South matchups. Unlike you, Chris, I had the Falcons
- 35:53minus six. Kirk may be back. He may be back. Panthers still pretty bad. It's also really weird
- 36:04that they gave the Panthers a 330 home start time. That doesn't sit right with me. So I'm going to
- 36:11fade him. I don't like that. I don't like that they have an afternoon game. Yeah, they're not an
- 36:18afternoon. That's not an afternoon matchup at all. This is like barely a Thursday night matchup at
- 36:28best. I'll just say that. But yeah, falcon minus six. I've also got the Buck Saints over 41 and a
- 36:36half. I think this game has the potential to be the best game you won't watch. Spencer Rattler
- 36:45is starting his first game. Bucks have gotten some rest after playing last Thursday. Bucks defense is
- 36:53very hit or miss. So let's have some fun. It's week six. There's only so many NFL games left. So
- 36:59let's bet some points. Then I've got the Texans minus seven. Houston Texans are four and one.
- 37:07That's really hard to grasp because of how close these games have been. They are four and
- 37:17zero and won score games. But they're only lost being to that blowout in Minnesota. But none of
- 37:28that really matters because they're facing the Patriots and they're probably the worst team in
- 37:32the NFL. The Patriots rank 31st in EPA, 28th on offense and 21st on defense. All around,
- 37:44the Patriots are just bad. So give me the Texans minus seven all day. And like we said,
- 37:53Chargers Broncos under 35 and a half. Like I said before, I'm addicted to betting,
- 37:59manders, Ravens overs. I'm just as addicted to betting Chargers unders. They are four and
- 38:06zero on unders this season. They have yet to hit an over. Both defenses are first and second in
- 38:12terms of points allowed. And neither offense is averaging more than 19 points per game.
- 38:19This game is going to be gross. I can't wait. This game will be disgusting.
- 38:25But that's it. I think that's all I have. Yep, that's all I have.
- 38:32Hell yeah. Cool. Well, that's the slate. We didn't even talk about the Titans.
- 38:41That'll be an interesting game. I mean, the game's probably going to suck.
- 38:47Yeah. The game's probably not going to be fun.
- 38:50No, it's not going to be fun. This is the Tennessee Titans. Even when they win,
- 38:55it's the most painstaking thing ever. Yeah. All right, well, I'll move on then.
- 39:06Do you have a Titans play? Well, no. Okay. I don't think I should talk about.
- 39:12I don't know. I just, you know, or Titans fans. Talk about something. I don't know.
- 39:20Okay. Will Leviss or Mason Rudolph? Who's going to start this week? It's Will Leviss.
- 39:28It will be Will Leviss. Who should start this week? Will Leviss. Okay. Yeah.
- 39:35All right. Well, okay. But here, I was talking Titans. Okay. Well, okay. If you want to talk
- 39:40Titans, we can talk Titans, but here's the thing. Would you guys rather have the third pick overall
- 39:47or the eighth pick overall? Because either way, you're not going to be very good with either
- 39:53quarterback, but you're going to be a little bit worse and have a better draft spot with one of them.
- 40:00No, I, you're 100%. Yeah. And he could figure it out. He could figure it out. It could be a win-win
- 40:05scenario, you know? Yeah. He could figure it out. Probably not, but he could. Who knows? Only God knows.
- 40:19Yeah. Okay. That was talking Titans. No more to add to that. I don't. That's, I mean,
- 40:26that's kind of what I thought. I mean, it's just kind of like, what is, what is benching?
- 40:30Will Levis get us? Nothing. Exactly. It gets us literally nothing. We're not paying him anything.
- 40:36He's a second round pick. He's not getting first round money. So just let him go out there and
- 40:42get hurt like he does and let him figure it out. Maybe it'll work out. Maybe it won't. Yeah.
- 40:50Yeah. Anyway, hockey's back. Started last week in Europe. And then now the, you know,
- 41:04the regular NHL is back yesterday. Been kind of, been kind of slowly trying to get back into that.
- 41:12I bet on the Kraken that did not work out. Kraken suck. I also bet on the Kraken. That was rough.
- 41:23Yeah. And I was very, very tempted to take that over that Utah class night, Chris, but I didn't
- 41:28end up doing it. That was a sweat. Two empty netters in the last minute. I actually saw the
- 41:36recap. The last one was not an empty netter. Oh, it wasn't. I had turned it off. I just assumed
- 41:42it was an empty netter. No, it was. Okay. Well, then what happened? They scored on the goalie
- 41:48after they put the goalie back in. I don't have to see. I don't have to find that then. That's
- 41:52awesome. I know I turned it off like I'm gonna start the therapy or I just went to bed. I was
- 41:57like this ain't hitting whatever. So I saw a notification that they got, they pushed it was
- 42:04four to two. And I was like, you know what, I'll take that whatever. And then yeah, like 10 seconds
- 42:10later, they scored again. So I actually assumed it was two empty netters, but let's go. That makes,
- 42:16I need to find that footage then. That's awesome. Yeah. And then the games today,
- 42:25I don't know. It feels so weird betting like a, like either side, like this early in the season,
- 42:33because you know, it's very much like any, either team can win. Obviously, one team is better than
- 42:39the other, but it just seems like, I don't know. It's any given day of hockey, whatever.
- 42:49And then I'm normally like a hockey over under guy, but it's so weird trying to get a read on that
- 42:57when there hasn't been any games played. So it's like, but I ended up taking the avalanche
- 43:06tonight. I think MGM gave me a profit boost for a hockey pick. So I picked the avalanche. There was
- 43:14pretty much even money for the boost Vegas. Interesting. And we stole Jonathan Marchismo. So
- 43:25that's true. We, they're worse, probably, hopefully. And
- 43:30as a lot on our game come out yet tomorrow or today, I guess, when this airs, surely it has.
- 43:39You're just wondering. I haven't, I haven't, I think we're, I think we're like favored one,
- 43:45one out, no, wait, we're underdogs minus 105 and Dallas is minus one 15.
- 43:54Interesting. Yeah. I mean, Dallas is probably the predator's biggest up this season.
- 44:02Yeah. That's a, I mean, they're, they're the avalanche. That's not going to lead the division.
- 44:11And so for us, yeah, yeah, for us, I was going to say, what the, what the hell?
- 44:17I don't know, man. I'm just a Tennessee sports fan. It's fair. I'm used to pain.
- 44:27But anyway, and then I took the, the, the trend center had a, had like the, the first five of
- 44:38their, their trends for NHL today were all the Canucks, but the Canucks moneyline was minus
- 44:45210. And I was like, well, like that's two, I'm not, that's not worth it. And so I had a free bet
- 44:54and I put it on the Canucks minus one and a half. So we'll see what happens there. That'll be a,
- 45:00at least like plus 125, something like that. So that's what I'm doing.
- 45:06Anything else to add, fellas?
- 45:11Where's Devate Adams getting traded to?
- 45:13Probably the Jets or Ravens.
- 45:22Raven is going to suck for me being a, a Zay flowers fantasy owner.
- 45:29I mean, he already, he already throws it to her shot, Bateman way too much, but
- 45:33I think, I think the Jets like, the Jets have guys already. Like they're not amazing,
- 45:43but they have like, they have their wide receiver set. The, yeah, the Ravens are like
- 45:47anyone. They have Zay flowers and Bateman's fine, but yeah, other than that, unfortunately,
- 45:54yeah, the Ravens probably do make the most sense.
- 45:56I heard a theory that if the, the Chiefs could grab Devante Adams, I mean, the Chiefs are kind of a,
- 46:07what? Just, just all they need. It's all they need. Just one more weapon to get over the hump.
- 46:14I'm not, I'm not like scoffing at you. No, I'm scoffing at that. Just, yeah. Fuck that.
- 46:20Yeah. I mean, you know, when you think about the teams that are in a win now mode that can give
- 46:27up like a, a second and like maybe a third or like a fourth or something. Cause that's what
- 46:33they're looking for. Looking for a second and like, you know, something to sweeten it, I guess.
- 46:39I mean, it's just kind of like, if they're in win now mode,
- 46:42if the Chiefs, I mean, the Chiefs are always going to be in win now mode.
- 46:46If the Chiefs get them, just give them the fucking, just give it to them. I mean,
- 46:53just go ahead and have the parade, get it over with. Cause what, what the hell's the point?
- 46:58Yeah. They're already going to, they're probably already going to win it anyway.
- 47:02Why not just give them a top five, three receiver in football? Yeah. Why not?
- 47:09Well, I thought the, I thought the Jets connection could be valid just the Aaron Rogers.
- 47:15I mean, I could be, could be a thing, but no, that may, I mean, it's probably,
- 47:22I guess the other Chiefs that could be in the market, but the NFL should step in and like,
- 47:28guys, like, come on. I don't know how they have any cap space, but it obviously doesn't exist. So
- 47:39though, I mean, my homes is deal for, for how much it is, is the way it's structured as
- 47:47cap, as cap friendly is a half a billion dollar deal can be, but really other than him,
- 47:52like Kelsey's getting paid, but like other than that, who else on the team are they like
- 47:58giving like fistfuls of cash to Chris Jones? Yeah. Yeah. I forgot about that. Yeah.
- 48:05Yeah. I don't remember how much that deal was for though. In that misogynist.
- 48:13Well, but I already said Travis Kelsey.
- 48:24Get wrecked. Yeah, man. Suck it.
- 48:27Do you see that? Was it E or Bravo or someone's having a
- 48:36wives and girlfriends of the Kansas City Chiefs show?
- 48:42You know, who's not going to be on it?
- 48:44Taylor Swift or Brittany Mahomes? Oh, really? Yeah. I heard Brittany Mahomes.
- 48:48Oh, I thought Brittany Mahomes would have been on it for sure. That's why I was like,
- 48:52I like that's what we need. I think I read like a headline or something that said
- 48:57she wasn't going to be on it because apparently she's already in the spotlight enough, I guess.
- 49:04I mean, for real, like Patrick probably was like, yeah, you're not doing this.
- 49:09Who's it going to be like that chick that cream hunt beat up? Like who's going to be on this?
- 49:19Harrison Bucker's wife, like bacon and apple pie.
- 49:21Oh, Lord. Has a bed in the kitchen?
- 49:31This sounds more like a sitcom that I would watch.
- 49:36I mean, if we're being real, but.
- 49:39But yeah, I just I saw that neither of them were going to be on obviously Taylor,
- 49:42so it wasn't going to be on it. But who the hell else would they put without them to like who gives
- 49:52a shit? Bro. God, yeah.
- 49:58Man. That makes me just incredibly sad. Just I mean, it was it was bound to happen eventually.
- 50:08I feel like who's going to watch that stupid people. I'm not even sure chiefs fans would
- 50:14watch that. Oh, God. They would. They would watch that. Are you kidding me? I don't think.
- 50:18If the Titans like dudes and girlfriends came out, I would I'd maybe watch a couple episodes,
- 50:24but like, let's see what's going on. But after that, I'd be like, OK, this is this is stupid.
- 50:28Yeah, I don't think the dudes would watch or these continue watching.
- 50:38I don't know. Maybe one of them's got like a like a.
- 50:41Well, OK, well, there. Well, there is an influx of of chiefs fans because of the Taylor Swift
- 50:52connection. So like I know that Taylor Swift won't be on it. But like there are enough
- 51:01people that have the Taylor Swift like chiefs connection that love trashy reality TV
- 51:10that they will watch that it'll be canceled soon. But people will watch it over and under two and
- 51:18a half seasons. I'd probably go over two and a half. I'd say three would probably be the max.
- 51:28I think they overplayed their hand by saying that Taylor Swift wasn't going to be on it.
- 51:34Just don't say it like because then you probably get at least built in like massive viewers for
- 51:40the first three to three episodes. Like, hey, maybe. I mean, she'll probably make like
- 51:46after that. Yeah, I mean, yeah, they'll probably have some like B role of her. But I don't think
- 51:52she will. Well, they'll probably like do some like, you know, game game footage or something
- 51:58where she's there and just yeah. Or like, yeah, it's something like, oh, the wives love hanging
- 52:03out at the games and it's just like a montage of them throughout the season. And she would be in it.
- 52:08Yeah, she's not going to have like a talking head thing. Gotcha. I don't know. I kind of hate that.
- 52:19Oh, yeah.
- 52:22I don't know. I'm gonna check it out.
- 52:26I didn't even know he still made television shows. I think it was one of those.
- 52:33E TLC Bravo. Let me look it up.
- 52:44I don't think of what else happened.
- 52:49I don't know. I think that I think that might be it for I mean, solid is gone.
- 52:53Yeah. I mean, we already kind of we touched on that. But I mean,
- 52:55apparently I was playing touchdown in London. It was like, all right, this guy's gone.
- 53:03What? It was like, they got back from London. Then I think the next day they fired.
- 53:08Oh, yeah. I thought the way that my brain interpreted that was they landed in London.
- 53:19That's the way that that is the way that Chris said touchdown from London.
- 53:25Yeah. Yeah. Sorry. That was my no, that's on me. Okay.
- 53:31I was like, that's an interesting series of events. All right. Well, then I'm gonna,
- 53:36I'm gonna wrap this up. Okay. Is that fine? That's very fun. Yeah.
- 53:42All right. I'm my brain is clearly working at half capacity right now.
- 53:44Yeah. Yeah. So thanks for watching. Thanks for listening. We really, really appreciate it.
- 53:55Check out the link in the bio for a 15% off a premium subscription to the Trend Center app,
- 54:02the greatest tool for sports betters, combining science, numbers and history.
- 54:08It can help us stack some wins and trend upwards with our with our bankroll.
- 54:17Yes. Thank you. Thank you to the Trend Center. Check out them link in the bio. Follow us on
- 54:22everything. Like is in the bio for bandits, all dog parlay and his Thursday night pick.
- 54:29Unfortunately, he was on the run last week. And so he he was unable to put out a parlay or Thursday
- 54:37night pick. So I'm sure that, you know, being left to your own devices is quite the challenge. So
- 54:45he'll be back. Don't worry. Don't worry. He's got you. But yes, thank you so much for listening.
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