Latest / The Front / Is Canva actually profitable?
Transcript
- 0:03Speaker 1: From The Australian. He is was on the front. I'm
- 0:06Speaker 1: Claire Harvey. It's Thursday, April nine, twenty twenty six. Then
- 0:12Speaker 1: Roberts Smith will remain behind bars after he was arrested
- 0:16Speaker 1: on murder chargers. The VC Recipients lawyers didn't apply for
- 0:20Speaker 1: bail on Wednesday, meaning he'll be held on remand until
- 0:24Speaker 1: at least next Friday. Iranian civilians who were preparing for
- 0:30Speaker 1: further strikes by American forces now fear for their lives
- 0:33Speaker 1: under the regime after Iran and America agreed to a
- 0:37Speaker 1: two week ceasefire deal. That stories live right now at
- 0:41Speaker 1: the Australian dot Com dot a U. Australian design startup
- 0:47Speaker 1: Canva killed off graphic design as a career choice by
- 0:51Speaker 1: making everyone a designer. Now the ultimate disruptor is itself
- 0:56Speaker 1: being disrupted by the rise of vibe coding, where any
- 0:59Speaker 1: one can tell an AI tool to do something magical. Today.
- 1:05Speaker 1: Is Canva actually making money and can it survive this moment?
- 1:15Speaker 1: John Stenzel edits the list Australia's riches to fifty and
- 1:18Speaker 1: so he gets a great insight into what's really going
- 1:21Speaker 1: on at some of our most prominent companies. John, I
- 1:24Speaker 1: must admit I was kind of shocked to read a
- 1:27Speaker 1: story by you that said that Canva is not really
- 1:30Speaker 1: as profitable as we might think, and there's some technical
- 1:33Speaker 1: differences here. But first, just give me the big picture.
- 1:37Speaker 1: Is Canvas making a profit or not?
- 1:39Speaker 2: Well, you don't really want to get into gap accounting
- 1:41Speaker 2: and other various measurements because we'll be here all day
- 1:44Speaker 2: and I think they're listening smoke a little bit bored.
- 1:46Speaker 2: But yeah, absolutely, Look, it all depends on whether you
- 1:48Speaker 2: want to do it by the general accounting principles that
- 1:51Speaker 2: all the companies have got to use here in Australia,
- 1:53Speaker 2: whether you're talking whether they're cash flow cash flow profitable
- 1:55Speaker 2: or not so. In the latter which is offered a
- 1:58Speaker 2: measurement of how tech companies do these things. Now, the
- 2:00Speaker 2: reason they do these things because it looks better that way, right,
- 2:03Speaker 2: and also because they pay their they pay their employees
- 2:06Speaker 2: and the way of attracting employees through stock based compensation,
- 2:10Speaker 2: which means that they effectively go, we'll pay you some
- 2:12Speaker 2: in cash, we'll pay you some in shares, and then
- 2:14Speaker 2: when those shares explode on the stock exchange, you'll make
- 2:16Speaker 2: lots of money as a result. Now there's an accounting
- 2:19Speaker 2: measurement where they've got to compensate that on the balance
- 2:22Speaker 2: sheet and it makes their profits look less. But they're
- 2:25Speaker 2: basically saying that we are making a lot of money,
- 2:28Speaker 2: just not in the standard ways that you think we
- 2:30Speaker 2: might be doing it. We're doing it through other ways.
- 2:33Speaker 2: So yes in a way, but no in another way.
- 2:36Speaker 1: Yeah, I guess the test for any business, whether it's
- 2:38Speaker 1: a fish and chip shop or a giant tech startup,
- 2:41Speaker 1: is do you have enough money to kind of reinvest
- 2:43Speaker 1: in things that you need to be buying? In canvas case,
- 2:46Speaker 1: it's doing a massive renovation on a big city building
- 2:48Speaker 1: in Sydney and it's buying all sorts of other companies,
- 2:52Speaker 1: does it have the cash on hand to do those things?
- 2:55Speaker 2: As of December thirty one, twenty twenty four, which is
- 2:58Speaker 2: the last time that these accounts Resting Lodge with Assex show.
- 3:01Speaker 2: By the way, they're about fifteen months late, so I'm
- 3:04Speaker 2: not sure what Daykiva is doing to get things on
- 3:06Speaker 2: it in on time. But anyway, they had about six
- 3:09Speaker 2: hundred ninety nine million dollars in cash on its balance sheet,
- 3:13Speaker 2: so yes, they do have a lot of cash. Now
- 3:14Speaker 2: they've raised cash from investors, they've got to use it
- 3:17Speaker 2: for certain things. They've made acquisitions, they are doing that
- 3:20Speaker 2: property renovation as you say, they are expanding globally, they
- 3:23Speaker 2: are hiring a lot more people, they're having to deal
- 3:26Speaker 2: with AI, so they do have a lot of cash.
- 3:28Speaker 2: Not necessarily profitable in a normal sense.
- 3:31Speaker 1: Though I use Canva every day, so do so many
- 3:40Speaker 1: people across the Australian economy and the world, of course,
- 3:42Speaker 1: and it's meant that a huge productivity advance is available
- 3:47Speaker 1: for people like me who are not graphic designers but
- 3:49Speaker 1: need to use kind of graphic design elements. They really
- 3:52Speaker 1: helped businesses like ours make a big productivity leap. They
- 3:56Speaker 1: also decimated the job market for graphic designers overall. Has
- 4:01Speaker 1: Candra in that way been a success.
- 4:04Speaker 2: It's incredible how popular it is around the world. So
- 4:06Speaker 2: they're saying now they've got more than two hundred and
- 4:08Speaker 2: sixty five million monthly active views, so it's huge. I mean,
- 4:12Speaker 2: can you imagine that's what ten times the population of Australia, right,
- 4:16Speaker 2: I mean, it's incredible this success story that an Australian
- 4:19Speaker 2: based business has become on a global basis and how
- 4:23Speaker 2: easy it has made things for a lot of people.
- 4:25Speaker 2: Now you know, it's constantly evolving. They're going to have
- 4:27Speaker 2: to deal with competition as time goes on. But yes,
- 4:30Speaker 2: from a user point of view, it's staggering how popular
- 4:33Speaker 2: this is a company that was founded by a couple
- 4:36Speaker 2: of young Australians in Melanie Perkins and ow husband Quiff
- 4:39Speaker 2: obrack in Camera Addams as well, who's still there and
- 4:42Speaker 2: they're all billionaires in our list, But just it's hard
- 4:45Speaker 2: to think of what else has become so popular from
- 4:48Speaker 2: Australia so quickly. Now, obviously the Internet helps things grow quickly,
- 4:53Speaker 2: but the ease of their products and the amount of
- 4:56Speaker 2: people that use them from primary school level up whatever
- 4:59Speaker 2: it is is incredible. I mean, the success that they
- 5:03Speaker 2: have made in such a quick time in that way
- 5:05Speaker 2: has not been replicated by any Australian business ever.
- 5:08Speaker 1: It started out with basically templates, So if you were
- 5:11Speaker 1: designing a social media post for your business or a
- 5:14Speaker 1: birthday invitation for your kids, canvas designers would have designed
- 5:17Speaker 1: a template for you that you could adjust moving things around.
- 5:20Speaker 1: Then they very quickly saw that they needed to incorporate
- 5:23Speaker 1: AI into their products and that meant buying other businesses
- 5:27Speaker 1: that could do AI kind of things that then they
- 5:29Speaker 1: incorporated into the platform. One of those was a video
- 5:32Speaker 1: generation platform called Leonardo. Has that been a good purchase.
- 5:37Speaker 2: It's an incredible platform or technology that Leonardo users, but
- 5:40Speaker 2: I think the jury is definitely still out on that.
- 5:42Speaker 2: So a couple of my colleagues, David Ross and Tanzi
- 5:44Speaker 2: Hardcore reported a little while ago, now, about a month
- 5:48Speaker 2: or so ago, that Leonardo's acquisition hasn't gone as well
- 5:52Speaker 2: as what the Canvas executives, the owners would have hoped to.
- 5:55Speaker 2: They paid about three undred and sevny million dollars for
- 5:57Speaker 2: this company that's based in North Sydney. There's been layoffs,
- 6:00Speaker 2: there's been I guess a sort of recalibration of the
- 6:03Speaker 2: staff that are in there. They've had to be sort
- 6:05Speaker 2: of put in other places in Canvas, just you know,
- 6:07Speaker 2: to say things quite simply. So I think that that
- 6:11Speaker 2: maybe that technology is probably ahead of what people or
- 6:14Speaker 2: consumers are able to use or able to pay for.
- 6:17Speaker 2: So in that way, I think it probably hasn't been
- 6:20Speaker 2: a success yet. Now look, I mean, corporate history is
- 6:24Speaker 2: littered with acquisitions that don't work, and I think in
- 6:28Speaker 2: this situation, the jury is I said, the jury is
- 6:30Speaker 2: still out as to whether Cliff and mill have been
- 6:32Speaker 2: able to pull off a successful acquisition and integrated into
- 6:36Speaker 2: what Canva already has.
- 6:38Speaker 1: It sort of failed to anticipate the rise of what
- 6:41Speaker 1: they now call vibe coding, where you can type into
- 6:44Speaker 1: an AI something like in language, make me a birthday
- 6:47Speaker 1: party invitation that includes unicorns and balloons for a seven
- 6:50Speaker 1: year old girl called Katie, you know, or make me
- 6:53Speaker 1: a social post that speaks to my business audience about
- 6:56Speaker 1: why my fish and chip shop is growing in all
- 6:58Speaker 1: the right directions. That's what Canva kind of failed to anticipate,
- 7:03Speaker 1: isn't it. It thought that people would want to keep
- 7:05Speaker 1: doing what they were already doing on Canva, which is
- 7:07Speaker 1: moving things around manually themselves, adjusting things, and not necessarily
- 7:12Speaker 1: going elsewhere for that product. Did they assume that they
- 7:15Speaker 1: kind of owned the idea of designing things yourself.
- 7:19Speaker 2: Look, I don't think anyone in the software industry would
- 7:22Speaker 2: have been the forecast how quickly AI has grown and
- 7:24Speaker 2: impacted on their business, right, I mean, for now Cliff
- 7:29Speaker 2: in particular, Cliffobreck has been pretty out there, pretty vivise
- 7:32Speaker 2: about that you're saying, Look, AI is really good for Canvas.
- 7:35Speaker 2: Canvas is actually a disruptor. Look we're fine. You know,
- 7:38Speaker 2: our valuations still hold up. You know, the sixty billion
- 7:40Speaker 2: dollars valuation for the company is still there. Now, I
- 7:44Speaker 2: think maybe you're going to say, Claire, that we've heard
- 7:46Speaker 2: this before. There's a notable company called Atlasian. It's boss
- 7:49Speaker 2: mar Cannon Books made similar noses about only a couple
- 7:52Speaker 2: of months ago before laying off sixteen hundred workers recently.
- 7:56Speaker 2: So look, no one knows. I think how quickly AI
- 7:59Speaker 2: is going to do disrupt companies that were already disruptors themselves.
- 8:02Speaker 2: Now for now they're saying that it's good for them.
- 8:05Speaker 2: They haven't gone public on a stock exchange yet. Now,
- 8:08Speaker 2: how quickly that happens. Better be later this year or
- 8:11Speaker 2: by next year, probably the latest. Maybe if that's delayed,
- 8:15Speaker 2: it probably shows that there is some more issues behind
- 8:17Speaker 2: the scenes that we know of.
- 8:25Speaker 1: It might be that I don't own any shares in
- 8:27Speaker 1: any of these companies myself, John, but I do kind
- 8:29Speaker 1: of enjoy the disruptors being disrupted so quickly. When we
- 8:32Speaker 1: had you on the front to talk about this year's edition,
- 8:35Speaker 1: off the list Australia's Riches two fifty. You made the
- 8:37Speaker 1: point that one of Atlassian's issues is that the market
- 8:41Speaker 1: is saying to at Lassian, now, you know, growth is great,
- 8:44Speaker 1: but we actually need you to make some profit in
- 8:46Speaker 1: a very kind of old fashioned way. I feel like
- 8:49Speaker 1: there's been an expectation with tech companies, maybe in the
- 8:52Speaker 1: past decade, that we understand that it takes a long
- 8:54Speaker 1: time to get to profitability, and what they do for
- 8:56Speaker 1: the first part of their life is just grow and
- 8:58Speaker 1: grow and grow. Is that changing?
- 9:01Speaker 2: Absolutely, It's all been about growth, and I think when
- 9:03Speaker 2: you go as it lastin has for fifteen years without
- 9:07Speaker 2: making a decent profit, then people are going to start
- 9:09Speaker 2: asking questions, particularly when that growth levels off. So if
- 9:12Speaker 2: you're not growing, you need to be managing your costs
- 9:15Speaker 2: accordingly and making that profit and giving some sort of
- 9:17Speaker 2: a return to share or is whether it's dividends or
- 9:19Speaker 2: what have you. So I think that's a very big
- 9:21Speaker 2: test for a company like Camba. Now they're claiming a
- 9:24Speaker 2: four billion dollars in US and your revenue forty percent
- 9:27Speaker 2: and your growth, so that growth is still there for them,
- 9:30Speaker 2: and whether that growth is going to be there for
- 9:32Speaker 2: them next year and the year after. I think, look,
- 9:34Speaker 2: you time will tell clearly, but it'll be a fascinating
- 9:38Speaker 2: perspectus if they do go public as to what that
- 9:41Speaker 2: shows has been happening more recently and more importantly, what
- 9:44Speaker 2: they're projecting in the next few years after.
- 9:47Speaker 1: Is there a lesson there? Do you think, John, if
- 9:48Speaker 1: you and I were starting a startup in our garage today,
- 9:52Speaker 1: would you be saying, look, we need to get to
- 9:54Speaker 1: profit faster than previously we might have thought we did.
- 9:56Speaker 2: Well they are with the company like at Lasting, for example,
- 9:59Speaker 2: was very profitable very early days until when Global on
- 10:02Speaker 2: the stock exchange point of view, went on the NASDEK
- 10:03Speaker 2: and then the spending, the stock based compensation and other
- 10:07Speaker 2: expenses kept going up and up and haven't and the
- 10:10Speaker 2: growth in revenue hasn't kept up. So yeah, I think
- 10:12Speaker 2: if you're going to be both high growth and decently
- 10:15Speaker 2: profitable in your early days from that garage startup, you'd
- 10:17Speaker 2: have the best of both worlds. Now, it's a very
- 10:19Speaker 2: hard thing to pull off, obviously, it really is.
- 10:22Speaker 1: I'm also kind of fearful that Canva might collapse, like
- 10:24Speaker 1: I really need it now.
- 10:26Speaker 2: I'm not sure it's collapsing. I think it's just a
- 10:28Speaker 2: matter of where it will be valuation and financially wise.
- 10:31Speaker 1: Really, John Stenzel, thank you very much. Thanks John Stenzel
- 10:42Speaker 1: edits the least Australia's Riches two fifty. You can check
- 10:46Speaker 1: out how the billionaires really make their money right now
- 10:49Speaker 1: at Riches two fifty dot com dot au that's richest.
- 10:53Speaker 1: Two five zero dot com dot Au