371 :: Improve Your Decision-Making with Your Own Brier Score

The Construction Leadership Podcast: Executive Strategies to Build Elite Teams & Consistently Deliver On-Time, Under Budget · Oct 31, 2023 · 19m

In episode 371, Bradley discusses the history of weather forecasting during World War II, emphasizing the importance of accurate predictions in decision-making. He explains the Brier score, named after Glenn Brier, as a measure of the accuracy of forecasts. Bradley encourages leaders to document predictions, assign confidence intervals, review their accuracy, and adjust predictions accordingly. He provides an example of applying the Brier score to sales pipeline management for improving decision-making in business.

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