Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 247 - 4/1/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum
Transcript
- 0:19Hello, and welcome to episode 247 of the All Systems Go Sports
- 0:25Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
- 0:28I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on everyone?
- 0:36Happy Tuesday, Happy 1st day in the month of April.
- 0:41Of course, we flipped the page and you know what we're going to
- 0:43do? We're going to really focus
- 0:44because we got a few days until March Madness returns with the
- 0:47Final Four, but we're really going to focus today's episode
- 0:50of the ASG Pod on Major League Baseball.
- 0:54That's right. You know, we kind of dabble in
- 0:55some MLB and really today we're going to do is focus on MLB
- 1:00specifically and in particular. No other sports today, it's all
- 1:03MLB. I got 4 plays for you guys.
- 1:06These are all favorites and I must say again, I like to play
- 1:08dogs as well, but I would say favorites to start the year have
- 1:12done very, very well. 41 and 2661 percent, 3% ROI doesn't
- 1:17mean you play every favorite because of course you're laying
- 1:19the juice, so you got to win at a higher rate to overcome the
- 1:21juice and have a winning record. But we're going to look at some
- 1:24favorites with some sharp line moves, some good system matches,
- 1:27you know, favorite low total spots, you know, non division
- 1:30favorites, favorites, awful loss.
- 1:32Bounce back spots have been very good as well.
- 1:34So we're going to have 4 plays for you today guys.
- 1:37And then I also want to say it's MLB day in the Rhythm app
- 1:41because rhythm, we are waiting and waiting and waiting to my
- 1:43buddy James Santor, He's a, he's a big Philadelphia everything
- 1:47fan Eagles and of course the Phillies and you know, the
- 1:50Sixers aren't that great. But with the, with the rhythm
- 1:53app, I noticed that he was at the game yesterday and he did a
- 1:56little tease. He was showing the the MLB
- 1:59Rhythm app live with MLB predictions for game bets,
- 2:02player props, side total, run line, everything.
- 2:05So that is now actually available in the Rhythm app.
- 2:08So make sure you download Rhythm if you haven't done it yet,
- 2:10RITHMM and you'll get those updated MLB predictions every
- 2:14day. There used to be a tab at the
- 2:15top that said MLB coming soon. Well, guess what?
- 2:18There's no more coming soon. MLB is live.
- 2:20You click MLB, you'll get all the predictions for today and
- 2:23we're going to lean on them throughout the entire regular
- 2:26season. So it's all MLB today guys, but
- 2:28there will be some college later today.
- 2:30Of course, it is a Tuesday and Tuesdays I host the rhythm live
- 2:34stream, college basketball sweat live stream.
- 2:36So we'll be talking about some final four early, early line
- 2:39moves. And then of course, I'll be hit
- 2:41also be hitting on some MLB today.
- 2:43So if you'd like to tune in, I would love to see you guys.
- 2:45I always like seeing some some, you know, handles and and
- 2:48usernames that I'm familiar with.
- 2:50Whether you're a friend of mine on Twitter or you are a all
- 2:53systems go listener, it's always great to see you guys in the
- 2:56live stream. So you can always TuneIn 4:00
- 2:59today and every Tuesday just go to Twitter at Josh under score
- 3:03insights. Give me a follow.
- 3:04You'll see they'll basically have my profile picture lit up
- 3:07and it'll say something like Josh is live or something like
- 3:10that. Click it.
- 3:11Boom, you'll be right into the live chat.
- 3:12You can ask questions and we'll walk through the new MLB
- 3:15predictions together. So hope to hope to see you guys
- 3:18there. So aside from our 4 plays
- 3:20yesterday, man, last night was a perfect example of why sports
- 3:24betting is extremely frustrating.
- 3:26So obviously win, loss, O and 4 -, 4 units, golden sombrero,
- 3:30pathetic, terrible, embarrassing, disgusting night.
- 3:33But aside from just, you know, 4 plays and you lose them all, it
- 3:36was kind of the way we lost these plays.
- 3:38I was really frustrating to me, which is a test case of having
- 3:41thick skin when you're betting sports.
- 3:42You know, I go O and four, you know, 10 years ago when I was a
- 3:45young pup, you know, I, I would, I would, you know, want to smash
- 3:47something or, you know, go nuts or flip out.
- 3:50I guess I got thicker skin now. And I try to just, you know, let
- 3:53it let it just kind of kind of, you know, water off a duck's
- 3:56back. Just move on.
- 3:57There's nothing you can do about it.
- 3:58But what's frustrating is that three of the games were up for
- 4:02pretty much the entire time. Arizona State, they're up by
- 4:04like 10 points with like 10 minutes left.
- 4:07Not only do they lose the game, but they don't even cover, they
- 4:09end up losing by 8. So we had a good number there
- 4:13where we had a good angle late with Arizona State, they're
- 4:16winning straight up. They lose and don't even cover.
- 4:18Absolutely imploded down the stretch.
- 4:20That was frustrating. Utah.
- 4:22Utah, we got great CLV. We money lined them at -2 1/2.
- 4:26They closed at 3 1/2 and they were up late in the game and
- 4:29then blew it against Butler. Had a chance to score late,
- 4:31couldn't do it. So both games were winning late
- 4:34and then losing and not even covering.
- 4:37To make matters worse, the Cardinals 3 to one lead deep
- 4:39into the game. They blow it.
- 4:41They lose an extra inning. So that stunk.
- 4:43And then the one that really was annoying, the fact that we not
- 4:46only did we lose the NBA play there on that over with the
- 4:49Rockets and Lakers, but the fact that we crushed the closing
- 4:52line. We got over 224 1/2 with
- 4:54Rockets, Lakers, it closed 226 1/2.
- 4:57You beat a closing line by two points.
- 4:59We perfectly, you know, found that low watermark of 224 1/2,
- 5:03beat the closing line by two points.
- 5:05What happens? You know, they barely cracked
- 5:07200 points, I think at one point.
- 5:08And This is why sports betting to me is frustrating because it
- 5:10feels personal. It's like, hey, I'm having a
- 5:13rough night. And there was a time up at one
- 5:14point where it's like, hey, you know, if we can get Utah, then
- 5:17we got Arizona covering Cardinals looking at three in
- 5:19one night. Instead, it's O and four.
- 5:21So that's just the razor's edge. When you're betting on sports,
- 5:23how you know a good night can turn into a bad night.
- 5:26You know, it can go the other way.
- 5:27You can have a bad night where you're losing and things go your
- 5:29way, flip it to a winning night. But that Rockets Lakers game, I
- 5:32feel like the score was like 13 to 11, like almost at the end of
- 5:36the first quarter. So what are you going to do?
- 5:39We had teams that were up looking good and blew it.
- 5:41We beat closing lines and and hey, you know, the teams didn't
- 5:45come through for us. So that's why betting is hard.
- 5:47That's why betting is frustrating.
- 5:48But I think the worst thing you can do after you have AO14 night
- 5:51is to one say betting aid. For me, it's too hard.
- 5:54I quit. I'm not a quitter, I'm a
- 5:56grinder. The other thing is when you're
- 5:58pissed off, you just say screw it.
- 6:00I'm betting 10 games tonight. I don't care what happens, I'm
- 6:02getting it all back. Don't do that either.
- 6:04Don't chase, don't go on tilt until is basically when you let
- 6:07your emotions take hold of you and just say screw it and start
- 6:11firing off bets. So as boring as it is, as cliche
- 6:14as it sounds, we just got to stick to the model, stick to the
- 6:16blueprint and again, teams collapse for us, beat closing
- 6:20lines and lost. Sometimes that happens.
- 6:22That's why betting is so frustrating.
- 6:24But hopefully tonight we can turn it around and claw back
- 6:26some of those lost units. So with that being said, it's
- 6:29all MLB guys. Let's dive right in.
- 6:32Big 13 game slate today. I have four plays for you, so
- 6:35let's see if we can get some winners for tonight.
- 6:37So first, I'm looking at 7 O 5:00 PM Eastern Time interleague
- 6:40game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and the Tampa Bay Rays.
- 6:43Let's set the stage. Talk to starting pitchers, talk
- 6:46line movement, and I'll give you my play for this one.
- 6:48So the Rays come in three and one.
- 6:50They won last night's interleague series opener
- 6:52against the Pirates 6 to one cash as a -, 175 home favorite.
- 6:56Remember, they're playing at Steinbrenner Field, the outdoor
- 6:58stadium, which is not the the Trop, which got screwed up and
- 7:02and damaged in the the bad hurricane there over the over
- 7:06the winter. Now today's pitching rematch
- 7:09here, the Pirates who are one and four.
- 7:11They're going to go with Thomas Harrington.
- 7:12If you've never heard of him, you know, don't feel ashamed.
- 7:15This kid is making his MLB debut.
- 7:17He's 23 years old. He was a first round pick.
- 7:19He was pretty good in the minors, 7 and three 2.61 ERA.
- 7:23Meanwhile, Tampa Bay is going to go with Shane Baz.
- 7:26He went four and three with a 2 point O 6 ERA in 2024.
- 7:29So what have you seen across the market here?
- 7:31Well, this came open with Tampa Bay around a -, 155 home
- 7:35favorite Pittsburgh around a + 130 row dog.
- 7:38And one thing that always look toward is when you have a a
- 7:41pitcher making his debut, where does the line move?
- 7:44You know, is it hey, this kids good and he's going to surprise
- 7:47the opponents. They never seen him.
- 7:48He's going to pitch well, wise guys are going to tail him.
- 7:51Or is it, hey, maybe he's good in the minors, maybe your first
- 7:53round pick, but you're in the big leagues now, kid and you're
- 7:56going to face competition that is the best you've ever seen.
- 7:59Let's fade this kid with, you know, maybe nerves and maybe
- 8:02maybe some some goosebumps going into his debut.
- 8:05Well, pretty clear here that wise guys have sided with the
- 8:08fade, the kid, the rookie kid making his debut because this
- 8:12line has moved toward Tampa Bay, open Tampa Bay again around -155
- 8:16now you're up to around -165 some shops even as high as -170
- 8:21so pretty clear movement toward Tampa Bay.
- 8:24At circa, the Rays are getting 80% of money line bets and 96%
- 8:29of money line dollars. So a really good heavy one way
- 8:32split in favor of Tampa Bay. Now we get into some system
- 8:35matches. The first thing that jumped out
- 8:37to me is inter league favorite. Inter league favorite?
- 8:40Really that's an angle here with based on the lack of familiarity
- 8:43benefiting the better team. Cream typically rises to the top
- 8:46when you don't really know each other.
- 8:47Typically the better team performs better the familiarity
- 8:51aspect. Divisional opponent.
- 8:52That's when you actually look toward dogs more often.
- 8:55But in particular, good system match here on Tampa Bay if you
- 8:58are a favorite with $0.10 of steam or more in a non division
- 9:02game. Those teams have been very, very
- 9:04good this year to start 12 and 571% if you're a non division
- 9:08home favorite off a win with steam. 9:00 and 2:00 to start
- 9:11this year. And I mentioned playing some
- 9:13chalk favorites here, but favorites on the year, 61
- 9:15percent, 3% ROI. Home favorites are 29 and 1467
- 9:21percent, 12% ROI. So all matching with Tampa Bay.
- 9:24The Rays do have the edge at the plate.
- 9:26They're hitting 292. I know it's early in the season,
- 9:29but hitting almost 300 as a team.
- 9:31Pirates are only hitting $1.74. Tampa Bay is also better
- 9:34pitching staff to ERA versus 3.86 for Pittsburgh.
- 9:38And again, Razor at home there at Steinbrenner Field.
- 9:41At least you're outside. You're no longer in the Dome.
- 9:44But there are three in one at home this year.
- 9:45Pittsburgh is just one in four on the road.
- 9:48So we have a interleague, non division favorite steam system
- 9:51match line going to Tampa Bay. We got the Rays with a really
- 9:54good bet split, low bets, higher dollars.
- 9:56I'm taking Tampa today guys, seeing if we can get a winner
- 9:59here. Shop around.
- 10:00I got Tampa -165. Now let me make one comment.
- 10:03In terms of MLB, it's going to be mostly a money line sport.
- 10:06We'll mix in some totals as well, but it's very important
- 10:09that you bet to risk, not that to win.
- 10:11So what that means is betting to risk is you're always risking
- 10:14your one unit, whatever that means for you.
- 10:16I would recommend 3% of your bankroll per play.
- 10:18So if you only have 100 bucks, you're risking $3 a game.
- 10:21Every game you're risking $3.00 with $100 bankroll, regardless
- 10:25of the price. So it's very important here
- 10:27because if Tampa Bay loses and you bet to win, you would lose
- 10:311.65 units. If they lose, which you don't
- 10:34want them to lose, of course you want to win, but you would only
- 10:37lose 1 unit. So it's very important here.
- 10:39You always bet to risk, not win, especially the favorites.
- 10:41If you lose on favorites, it can really, you know, dig a hole if
- 10:44you bet to win versus bet to risk.
- 10:46But I like to raise here tonight, see if they can get a
- 10:49win for us next game. 7:45 PM Eastern Time.
- 10:52Hopefully some revenge because Tampa, Saint Louis let us down
- 10:56last night. I'm going right back to all the
- 10:58Cardinals here tonight. So going into it, we have the
- 11:00Angels three and one. Unfortunately, they did win last
- 11:03night in extra innings 5:00 to 4:00 as a + 140 Rd. dog.
- 11:07And the rematch tonight. LA is going with the ready Kyle
- 11:09Hendricks. Remember he was with the Cubs
- 11:11forever four and twelve 5.92 ERA last year.
- 11:14He didn't pitch very well. Cardinals by the way, three and
- 11:17one. They're going to go with the
- 11:18lefty Matthew Liberator 3 and four 4.4 O ERA last season.
- 11:23So what have you seen across the market here?
- 11:25Well, it looks like pro money is banking on Saint Louis to bounce
- 11:28back. Saint Louis open this game as
- 11:30low as -130 we've now seen Saint Louis get up to -140 -, 145 some
- 11:36shops even -150 so pretty clear 1015 even 20 cent steam move in
- 11:41favor of Saint Louis. Now if we look at DraftKings,
- 11:44the Cardinals are getting 82% of money line bets, 86% of money
- 11:49line dollars. At Circa, 94% of money line
- 11:52bets, 97% of money line dollars. That tells me both nationally at
- 11:57DraftKings and out in the desert at Circa.
- 12:00Yet heavy, heavy betting and a line move in favor of the
- 12:02Cardinals tells me the bigger, sharper wagers, more respected
- 12:05money is going with Saint Louis. Now we get into some system
- 12:08matches here. Same thing with Tampa Bay.
- 12:12We have a interleaf favorite, lack of familiarity benefiting
- 12:14the better team. But we also have the Cardinals a
- 12:17favorite off a loss. So favorites off a loss this
- 12:20year off to a great start. 16 and 673 percent, 24% ROI.
- 12:26You also look at that non division favorite with steam
- 12:28$0.10 or more 71% this year. Again, home favorite 67%.
- 12:33We got a lot of a lot of systems lighting up here on Saint Louis.
- 12:36Also bank on the Cardinals bats. They didn't come through last
- 12:39night when we needed them to. They're hitting three O one this
- 12:42year with 23 runs scored. Angels only hitting $1.85 with
- 12:4510 runs scored. I would mention I was intrigued
- 12:48by this under. It opened 8 1/2.
- 12:50I really got juiced up and now it's down to 8.
- 12:52At a lot of shops. You have a pretty good bet split
- 12:55only about half the tickets, but 90% of the money is on this
- 12:58under. And we got to pay attention to
- 13:00the weather. The wind is blowing in at Busch
- 13:02Stadium. It's going to be about 10 to 15
- 13:04mile per hour winds blowing in from right field.
- 13:06So I lean under 8 1/2. But if you if you can't get the
- 13:09hook in time, it's down to 8. It it's really a lot, you know,
- 13:13a no play for me. You know, you got to get these
- 13:14hooks because of Saint Louis wins five to three, you know,
- 13:17which would be hopefully great for our money line.
- 13:19You want to catch the under 8 1/2, not the 8:00.
- 13:22But I, I did kind of think long and hard about that under 8 1/2.
- 13:24But I ended up just playing Saint Louis and you can shop
- 13:27around. I got Saint Louis at -145 next
- 13:31one for you at 9:40 PM Eastern Time game.
- 13:34Let's go out to San Diego. Cleveland guardian, San Diego
- 13:36Padres. Padres come in five and O
- 13:39playing very well to start the year.
- 13:41They just won last night's interleague series opener seven
- 13:43to two, cruising as a -, 135 home favorite pitching match up
- 13:48Tonight we got the Guardians who are two and two going with the
- 13:50lefty Logan Allen. He went eight and five with a
- 13:535.73 ERA last year. He'll be opposed by the righty
- 13:57Michael King now. King was awesome last year.
- 14:00He only made one start. This year wasn't great.
- 14:02They still won the game, but technically is ERA is 10.13,
- 14:06which doesn't really give you a lot of confidence.
- 14:08But remember it's one start. If anything, hopefully we're
- 14:11buying low on Michael King now. What are we seeing across the
- 14:14market? Good steam here laying it with
- 14:17San Diego. San Diego open this game as well
- 14:20as a -, 140 -, 145 -, 150 home favorite.
- 14:24We're now seeing wise guys say, you know what, if it ain't
- 14:27broke, don't fix it. They're playing the Padres here.
- 14:29Lay in the wood. I've seen San Diego now, now get
- 14:32bet up to around -165 even -175 across the market.
- 14:36So good steam in favor of the fathers at circa Padres. 88% of
- 14:41money line bets 99% of money line dollars.
- 14:44A huge low bets, higher dollars, sharp split in favor of San
- 14:48Diego. Now the Padres.
- 14:50One thing we want to layer in if we're making a bet, not just the
- 14:53line move in the splits, but system matches and other
- 14:55supplementary factors. One thing I like if you're on a
- 14:58kind of a bigger favorite, you know -150 or more is a low total
- 15:02total in this one is 7 1/2. So the theory here is the
- 15:05thought process and the data proves it out.
- 15:08If you're expected run scored, more likely to come from quote
- 15:10UN quote the better team who's favorite in the game, which
- 15:13would be the Padres here. Padres would be 1 system match,
- 15:17you know, or at least the home favorites who have done great
- 15:1967% this year. Interleague favorite again, lack
- 15:23of familiarity. Padres also better hitting
- 15:27overall hitting 290 versus 258 for Cleveland and really
- 15:30pitching well. Knock on wood. 1.8 O ERA versus
- 15:343.86 for San Diego and San Diego is a perfect five and O at home
- 15:39this year and it looks like maybe a lower scoring game.
- 15:42Some books are juicing up under 7 1/2.
- 15:45The split looks pretty good. 28% bets 55% dollars on the under at
- 15:50DraftKings and 33% bets 43% dollars on the under at Circa.
- 15:54I didn't play the under but I did notice the wind is blowing
- 15:57in about 10 to 15 mph from left field.
- 16:00But you got it all up. This is another kind of home
- 16:03steam non division interleague favorite system match.
- 16:07Playing the San Diego pods tonight, I was able to get them
- 16:09around -165 last bet of the night.
- 16:13This is the ultimate value. Play a very good, extremely good
- 16:17team at a pretty cheap price. Now let's look toward 10:10 PM
- 16:22Eastern Time, the Braves and the Dodgers.
- 16:25Now going into it, we got Chris Sale on the bump for Atlanta.
- 16:28Remember, he won the Cy Young as a Red Sox fan.
- 16:30Super annoying because he could never stay healthy.
- 16:32And then boom, gets traded. Vaughn Gresham with the Sox, got
- 16:35for Sale, can't even crack the big leagues and Sail wins the Cy
- 16:38Young. So don't remind me as a Red Sox
- 16:40fan so far this year, Sale O&O 5.4 O ERA.
- 16:44He'll be opposed by Dustin May now, he set out the entire
- 16:48season last year. He had Tommy John surgery, so
- 16:51it's his first start back. Atlanta O and five to start the
- 16:55season. O and five on the road.
- 16:56Dodgers 6 and O four and O at home this year.
- 16:59So really tale of, you know, 2 completely different starts to
- 17:02these teams. Now, what are we seen across the
- 17:04market? Will this game open at a very
- 17:07low LA Dodgers around -130 ish? And they're basically still -130
- 17:13ish. So this is not a big steam move
- 17:15in favor of the Dodgers. But this is a value play for me
- 17:18to play the Dodgers. And I'll give you a couple
- 17:20reasons why #1 Dodgers value. I literally have a system called
- 17:25Dodgers value when the Dodgers are a favorite of -150 or less.
- 17:30And why is this value? Because Dodgers have been so
- 17:32good for so many years now, they're usually -200 you know
- 17:36-250 when they're a low number here -150 or less.
- 17:41They are since 20/22/85. And 4366%, you'd be up $2200
- 17:48risking 100 bucks on every Dodgers game when they're -150
- 17:51or less, 17% ROI. And I believe to start the year
- 17:57this year in this spot -130 or less, they're two and O Yeah,
- 18:00they're two and O. So last year there were 32 and
- 18:0317/20/23, there are 34 and 19. 2022, they were 17 and seven.
- 18:09And they've actually been, you know, winning previous years
- 18:11too. But really, if you isolate since
- 18:122022, when you get the Dodgers at a very short number, it may
- 18:16not be the sharp play. You know, to me, it's a value
- 18:19play. It's very rare.
- 18:20It's like you're getting the Chiefs.
- 18:21You know, maybe it's a bad example because Chiefs lost the
- 18:25Super Bowl, but you know, I don't know the eagles -2 -. 3
- 18:29something like that. So I'm going to play the Dodgers
- 18:32here. I do like to split at circa 61%
- 18:34bets, 74% dollars. They have the better average to
- 18:37start the year. They're hitting 234.
- 18:39Doesn't sound great, but Atlanta's only hitting 144.
- 18:43Dodgers have scored 45 runs versus only 22 for Atlanta.
- 18:46Better team ERA 2.62 versus 5.18.
- 18:50We do have favorite low total total.
- 18:52This one is 7 1/2 with the favor of the Dodgers around -130 -.
- 18:56135 non division favorite as well.
- 19:00We also have a home favorite system match.
- 19:01A lot of angles here with that Dodgers value play.
- 19:05Also, Elena struggled and, you know, jerks and Profar just got
- 19:09popped for PEDs. So I don't know, to me that's,
- 19:13you know, a bad sign, bad for the locker room.
- 19:15Who knows, But he's a good player who's not going to play.
- 19:17So Long story short, this is not a massive steam move.
- 19:20You know, it's not a, you know, insane bet split, But this is a
- 19:24play on a really good team that if you're giving me this cheap
- 19:27price, I feel like I got to take it and the data proves it out.
- 19:30So I'm playing the Dodgers late night.
- 19:32Got them at -134 that was at FanDuel.
- 19:36So Rays, Cardinals, Padres, Dodgers, can we at least go two
- 19:40and two? Can we find a way to go 3 and
- 19:43one or better? That would be that would be
- 19:44fantastic. And you know what?
- 19:46I think we deserve some breaks after last night when we got
- 19:49zero breaks. But anyway, guys, that about
- 19:52wraps it up for episode 247 of the All Systems Go Sports
- 19:56Betting podcast. I want to remind you all how
- 19:59much I appreciate you. Thank you for tuning in
- 20:01listening. I know, I know it's not a great
- 20:03start to the week after last night, but win, lose or draw,
- 20:06you know, I see the numbers, I see the stats.
- 20:08You guys keep tuning in. That means the world to me.
- 20:10Just the fact that we continue to grind up, up or down.
- 20:14We continue to stick to the model, stick to the blueprint.
- 20:16We've created this data-driven community, which I'm very, very
- 20:19proud of. Well, that being said, if you do
- 20:22enjoy the pod, let me know you enjoy it by giving the podcast a
- 20:25five star review. If you're listening on Spotify
- 20:27or iTunes, you can just go to rate and review five stars.
- 20:30If you want to leave a nice comment, that would be very much
- 20:33appreciated. If you want to recommend the pod
- 20:35word of mouth to a friend, that would also be great.
- 20:38Next, if you enjoy the style of betting breakdowns, data-driven,
- 20:42no opinion, no bias, going off what the market is telling us,
- 20:46trying to make sure we're betting games that are on the
- 20:48sharp side and against the public.
- 20:50That's the ultimate goal in trying to be closing lines.
- 20:52But if you enjoy the style of betting breakdown and you want
- 20:54to learn more about data-driven betting, I wrote a book you
- 20:57should check out. Just go to Amazon.com, type in
- 21:00the everything guide to sports betting.
- 21:02It is really great for brand new betters.
- 21:04People aren't completely new to betting.
- 21:06Don't even know what a you know what a player prop is or what a
- 21:09spread or versus a total or how to set a bankroll management
- 21:13plan, how to read line movement. But it's also pretty good for
- 21:16intermediate betters as well. I got a lot of betting systems
- 21:18and Nuggets in there. So if you want to pick up a copy
- 21:21of the everything guide to sports betting on Amazon, I
- 21:24would I would very much appreciate that.
- 21:26Also, if you want to make my day, go pre-order my new book.
- 21:29It comes out August 12th. You can go to Amazon.com and
- 21:33type in the NFL sharp betting playbook, pick up a copy on
- 21:36Amazon and might even see you at a book tour at a bookstore near
- 21:41you or a sports book near you. More on that as we get deeper
- 21:44into the summer. But next now, if you haven't
- 21:48done it yet, you got to go download rhythm and juice reel
- 21:51rhythm, of course for their AI back models for game bets and
- 21:53player props. We got MLB live in the app.
- 21:56You love seeing it, still got NBA, still have of course
- 21:59college basketball and then also with juice Rail where you can
- 22:03get the all systems go best bet picks for $4.99 a week.
- 22:07Again, this pod is free. Hopefully you feel like the the
- 22:10insights I provide on a daily basis, even though the results
- 22:13were not what we wanted last last night.
- 22:15Hopefully you value the insights and you feel like hey, it's a
- 22:18tip jar. You know, you tip your waiter,
- 22:20tip your bartender, tip your podcast host.
- 22:23That would be great. I would love for you guys to
- 22:24sign up and get those best bets on the all systems go juice reel
- 22:29social tab and always tweeted out.
- 22:31I can always find it on my Twitter page at Josh under score
- 22:33insights, but not only the ASG pod best bets, but you're also
- 22:37going to get the robo Jackson plays the AI driven best bets
- 22:40that come out a pair each day at noon.
- 22:42You also get the sharp motion indicators arbitrage
- 22:45opportunities shop for the best line futures sync up your sports
- 22:48books and you can bet on yourself too.
- 22:51If you feel like you're a a pretty good capper and you want
- 22:53to sell your place for, you know, $4.99 or 999 or $1.99,
- 22:58there's the option there, which really brings a lot of
- 23:01transparency to the betting world because you can't fake it
- 23:05because you got to sync up your sports books.
- 23:06So you can't delete it. You can't change it after the
- 23:08fact. That's something that I value
- 23:11absolutely with with Juice Reel. So download Rhythm, download
- 23:14Juice Reel and make sure you give him a five star review in
- 23:17the App Store. Next, if you're betting on
- 23:20sports, you need a live odds page.
- 23:22If you don't have 1:00, you got to have it.
- 23:24You got to look at what the lines open that you got to have
- 23:26access to all the games that day.
- 23:27Track the lines throughout the day.
- 23:28Shop for the best number and I would highly recommend giving
- 23:31Odds Logic a shot. It's the best and most valuable
- 23:35live odds page around. It cost you 99 bucks a month,
- 23:39but you can get a 7 day free trial and half off your first
- 23:41month if you go to oddslogic.com/josh 123 and make
- 23:46sure you have that slash Josh 123 at the end. 99 bucks sounds
- 23:50like a lot. I admit it is.
- 23:52But if you're betting on sports daily, you know there's a lot of
- 23:54live odds pages that are 203 hundred 405 hundred 600 bucks a
- 23:58month. So it's a great value.
- 23:59And again, you got to get, that's really your blueprint.
- 24:01It's your Bible. That's the page where you're
- 24:03staring at the numbers all day and picking off good ones and
- 24:06discovering which direction the line is moving and finding out
- 24:09where the smart money's at. But again, give Odds Logic a
- 24:12shot. Odds logic.com/josh 123 So that
- 24:16about does it for episode 247 of the ASG pod.
- 24:19Hopefully Bounce back night here tonight guys.
- 24:22As always, I'll leave you with a couple things.
- 24:24One, whether I see you at the Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin
- 24:27River in Rhode Island, the Brooklyn, New Hampshire,
- 24:29Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun down in Connecticut at the Encore in
- 24:32Boston or Plain Ridge Park Casino, R.E.M.
- 24:34Gem Springfield in Massachusetts or of course, the Nash, my new
- 24:38local sports book in Nashua, NH. We're out in the desert where
- 24:41the true grinders get down where Billy Walters sends his number
- 24:43runners with lowest juice possible is found at the South
- 24:46Point or sweat and sharp contrarian plays jumping in the
- 24:49stadium swimming pool. When you catch a big ticket at
- 24:51Circa, wherever it may be, you're going to walk up to me.
- 24:54You're not going to show me those tickets from last night
- 24:56teams blew up for us. CLV couldn't didn't come
- 24:58through. We're just going to shake our
- 25:00heads, toss those those tickets in the trash or make sure you
- 25:04recycle them. And you know what, we're going
- 25:05to get it back here for tonight. So as always, guys, O and four,
- 25:10four and O, you know, one and 133 and 1-2 and two.
- 25:14We continue to grind but never get too high.
- 25:16If you want four and O, we never get too low and down on
- 25:18ourselves. We go O and four.
- 25:20Sometimes that happens. We got to keep grinding thick
- 25:22skin marathon, not a Sprint. And of course, manage our
- 25:25bankroll with discipline really, really important whether you're
- 25:28up or down. But of course, we'll stick to
- 25:30the model, good batter and different against the public
- 25:33with the sharps, with the House getting that CLV, you know, if
- 25:38we can do that, if we can be with the sharp movement against
- 25:40the public, beat the closing line long term, we're going to
- 25:44be successful sports bettors. So have a great Tuesday,
- 25:47everybody. Hope you have a great April
- 25:50first. By the way, the April Fools
- 25:53stuff, I'm so over it. I mean, if you guys have been
- 25:55seeing that, Oh no, no, no April Fools.
- 25:57Yeah, yeah. Funny.
- 25:58I'm not into that today. Hope you have a good, good day.
- 26:01No April Fools go your way and hopefully this I will see you
- 26:04guys at 4:00 for the Rhythm College Basketball live stream.
- 26:08But have a great night everybody.
- 26:09I appreciate you. Let's see if we can cash some
- 26:11tickets and I'll see you tomorrow for episode 248 of the
- 26:14All Systems Go Sports Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
- 26:18Good luck everybody and have a great Tuesday night.