Latest / Nate's Daily Wager / Nate's Super Bowl Prop Pick Extravaganza
Transcript
- 0:06Welcome to nature daily wager. I ain't picking winners but I am
- 0:10making wagers. Time to put my money where my
- 0:13mouth is. This is Nates Daily Wager for
- 0:21February 7th, 2026 and it is time for Nates Daily Wager Super
- 0:28Bowl prop BIC Extravaganza. We've got a whole plethora of
- 0:34prop bets come in your direction.
- 0:35Anybody, that's anybody that knows anything about anything
- 0:39when it comes to the gambling game, when it comes to the prop
- 0:42bet game, we got your guys here today.
- 0:44If you know anything about him, you're gonna know these names.
- 0:47We've got cousin Vinnie, Of course, we're gonna have
- 0:50longtime mainstay Jersey John. And of course, of course, we got
- 0:54to have this man. He's infamous High limit Higgy
- 0:57these guys bringing you some heat all right we'll start off
- 1:01with my picks right off the bat. You know you know how I am we
- 1:05got to bet heads tails. We got to bet the coin flip I'm
- 1:08going tails You got to shop that around I'm getting it at -1 O3.
- 1:12You can get it at -1 O 5 and get it at -1 O1.
- 1:15You just do some shopping around, but I'm going tails all
- 1:17right next prop that I got I like any order to be scoreless
- 1:22so any one of the four is going to be scoreless getting that at
- 1:25plus 260. I like that odds.
- 1:27Now, I know you got some offenses and if is definitely
- 1:31geared towards the offense, towards the scoring points.
- 1:33We also got 2 good defenses and two suspect quarterbacks.
- 1:37So I can very well see some lemon booty happened out there
- 1:41and people getting a little tight, defenses tightening up,
- 1:44offense is just not quite making the grade.
- 1:46And we get us at least one scoreless quarter.
- 1:49So we're doing that next one, Seattle to convert 1/4 down
- 1:53that's sitting at -125 I mean, that's you.
- 1:55That's them telling you this is more likely than not in today's
- 1:58NFL. But the way things these are,
- 2:01the way Seattle does, they're going to end up in 1/4 down
- 2:03position. They're going to go for it,
- 2:04They're going to get it. This could go for either team,
- 2:07take your pick, Seattle or New England.
- 2:09There's going to be a fourth down conversion.
- 2:11You can grab that one too. But I'm going specific with
- 2:14Seattle making it. That's -125 all right now I'm
- 2:18getting into another one here. It's our running back to rush
- 2:23for a touchdown less than 4 yards.
- 2:25Will there be a rushing touchdown by a running back that
- 2:28is under 4 yards? I think this is a given -125 on
- 2:32the VIG, we've been having lots of these pass interferences,
- 2:36these Pi catches in the end zone down near the end zone, boom,
- 2:40all of a sudden you're on the 1 yard line, you're giving it to
- 2:43the running back, they're pounding it in.
- 2:45That's what it is. I see that happening.
- 2:47That's an easy one. Now here we're going to a little
- 2:51one of the more crazy ones that I like here.
- 2:53All right, so this is a defensive player to record both
- 2:57a sack and an interception. They don't have to on the same
- 3:00play, obviously, but I like one of these.
- 3:03We got some athletic defensive lineman out there, especially on
- 3:06Seattle side, but I could see getting a sack early and then
- 3:09having to drop back in coverage, grabbing that interception,
- 3:12being close and that's all it's going to take and that's playing
- 3:15plus 1000. I like that as a nice little
- 3:17prop. Remember, these are prop bets.
- 3:19These are for fun. This is something you're looking
- 3:21at to just have a little fun while you're watching some
- 3:23football, right? And now here's one.
- 3:25This is this is 1. This is a prop bet that they
- 3:28didn't have 20 years ago. They didn't have 10 years.
- 3:31This is a modern day one, right? This is for a good old Jackson
- 3:34Smith in Jigba. So this is his fastest ball
- 3:38carry speed. So how fast will he be going
- 3:40while he's carrying the ball? I'm actually going to take the
- 3:43under top speed of 18 1/2. I think he's going to be under
- 3:4718 1/2 mph. That's paying it +105.
- 3:50They think he's going to go over that.
- 3:51I think he's going to get slowed down just enough that he's not
- 3:54going to get it all the way up to 19.
- 3:55So there we go. Quick recap.
- 3:57We're taking tails any quarter scoreless Seattle to convert
- 4:00under fourth down player to record a sack and an
- 4:02interception. Running back rushing TD under 4
- 4:05yards and Smith and Jigba top speed under 18 1/2.
- 4:10All right, I'm going to hand it over to the experts.
- 4:13We're going to have Jersey, John High Limit Higgy and of course,
- 4:16Cousin Vinny bringing up the rear boys.
- 4:19Give them what you got. Hey, it is Super Bowl Sunday
- 4:24down here in sunny Florida, and we got high limit higgies picks.
- 4:31Here we go. Let's get after.
- 4:33We're going to make up some money.
- 4:35All right, we had a tough playoffs, but here we go.
- 4:39Listen guys, we're going to start off with some pregame
- 4:42bets. We do this every year, all
- 4:45right? The thinking is take 2 pregame
- 4:49bets. If you hit them both, you're up
- 4:51some money. If you're losing both, you got
- 4:54the losses out of the way before the game starts.
- 4:58And if you split them, well, you got some action.
- 5:01Love the action. So if the national anthem, 120.5
- 5:07seconds, we're going to take the under.
- 5:09It's Charlie Plouplop. We don't know he's a Jersey boy.
- 5:12That's all we know. He's going to get it done quick.
- 5:15Have a drink. Jersey boys like to have a
- 5:17little cocktail and then we're going to go with towels.
- 5:20Never fouls 2 the last three times towels has hit, so get
- 5:24that action in the early. So we're feeling good.
- 5:29All right, here's our prop bets. The Higgy's high limit prop
- 5:33bets. Love our prop bets.
- 5:36Fun quick story, 2018 Birds, Patriots birds in the over all
- 5:42day. Higgy got too excited, lost all
- 5:46his prop bets and didn't make any money on the Super Bowl.
- 5:49What are you going to do anyway? First prop bet number one and
- 5:56anytime pick 6 + 700 happened last year, Coupa de Jean.
- 6:03We like that pick because that that can happen almost any play
- 6:06of the game. You know, we like that action
- 6:09because we like any play of the game.
- 6:11That leaves us to #2 anytime flea flicker attempt also could
- 6:16happen almost any play of the game.
- 6:17That's plus 210. Lock that in there too.
- 6:21All right, so we got action almost every play of the game #3
- 6:26an octopus. Now, if you don't know what
- 6:28octopus is, it's the same guy that scored a touchdown and then
- 6:31a successful 2 point conversion at plus 1500, maybe Cooper Cup,
- 6:35maybe JSN, you know Henry, we don't know.
- 6:40So that's our 3 plays during the game.
- 6:45Now after the game, we're going to go with what are they dumping
- 6:50on the winning coach? Now the smart money is on orange
- 6:55or purple, but Hickey's going to go with the long shot and
- 6:59sprinkle it at plus 1100 for water or clear.
- 7:04Love water, you got that Frost, Arctic, Gatorade, don't matter.
- 7:09You know, let's go with a long shot and see what happens.
- 7:12Rebel wins. You don't want to mess up his
- 7:13hair. You know, maybe give him a
- 7:14little water action, but he might not win because our fifth
- 7:19and last prop bet, it's going to be Koopa MVP plus 9000 Koopa
- 7:28Cup. He's already got an MVP
- 7:30underneath his belt, All right, so we can get him in.
- 7:34Maybe a flea flicker, he throws one.
- 7:35We don't know, Maybe he gets an octopus and the MVP.
- 7:40Then we hit all our fucking pets.
- 7:42He couldn't write a better script, could not write a better
- 7:45script. So we got Cooper MVP plus 9000 +
- 7:499000. All right, we're down in sunny,
- 7:52flat California. We don't know where.
- 7:54Sunny Florida, I'm sorry. We don't know where we're going
- 7:56to watch the game at, but we like Seattle -4 1/2.
- 8:03Log it up, log it in later. You it's called some mini.
- 8:10It's Super Bowl 60 LX so you don't have to look that up on
- 8:13Google. Yeah, Super Bowl 60 and it's
- 8:15Saturday and it's our prop bet edition.
- 8:18Every year Nate and I come with it with five prop bets that we
- 8:22like and we are taking tomorrow for the game.
- 8:25And usually as cousin Ben likes to roll, we like our high value
- 8:29prop bets in the front end. And then towards the back end
- 8:32you're looking at your scratch off and lottery tickets.
- 8:34So let's hop right in here. Prop bet #1 the jersey number of
- 8:40the first TD score right now the over under on that number is 10
- 8:451/2, right? And so let's break this down.
- 8:47You know, with these days we have the league wearing single
- 8:49digits, QB, wide receivers, running backs, a lot of them one
- 8:52through nines, right? And So what does the under give
- 8:55you here? The under kind of give you Kenny
- 8:57Walker's dig strike May. And then you over obviously had
- 9:01a bunch of dudes in this game too.
- 9:03Henderson, Steverson, JSM, but Cousin Vinny, just going to take
- 9:08a little more value here and do the under at plus 120.
- 9:15We're looking for bread, not chalk here.
- 9:18We're going to go with Diggs, May and Boot and Walker to give
- 9:22you plus 1/20 as the first touchdown score of the game.
- 9:28Moving on, bet #2 Matt Collins over 29 1/2 receiving yards.
- 9:33Listen, cousin baby just likes Matt Hollins.
- 9:36He's the easy guy to like. He played in Philly, he played
- 9:38in Buffalo, 2 great franchises. He shows up the game wearing
- 9:41games, wearing no shoes. He's a big guy.
- 9:44He's always kind of in a mix. Listen, 29 1/2 points.
- 9:49We're not looking for a career day from this guy.
- 9:51We just need one good drive, one decent, decent ball.
- 9:55That's a low bar, big body guy. Cash it on and move, move on,
- 9:59cash it out. 29 1/2 take the over on Mac Hollands receiving
- 10:03yards. Prop bet #3 This is where it
- 10:06gets interesting. If you want a little action
- 10:08before the Super Bowl starts, then this prop bet is for you.
- 10:12For this prop bet, what we're looking at is Scotty Scheffler's
- 10:16fourth round score at the Waste Management round #4 and for
- 10:22those of you not keeping up, Scotty made the cut with a
- 10:24heroic 65 around 2. All right, and what they're
- 10:30looking at is JS NS receiving yards -23 1/2.
- 10:35So let's do some quick math here.
- 10:37Chalk on JSN overrunners at 93 1/2 -, 23 1/2 and you got 70.
- 10:44My money is that JSN at 70 is going to be well over Scotty's
- 10:50fourth round score, which Scotty is still very much in the mix,
- 10:55only 7 strokes behind and sitting at +1000 on most on most
- 10:59sports books to to win it outright.
- 11:01So Scotty's going to be in the mix.
- 11:03He's definitely going to drop a score of 65 or lower in the
- 11:07fourth round. And that gets you.
- 11:08That's going to get you well under whatever JS NS total is
- 11:13-23 1/2 in my, my opinion. So we're going to take this one,
- 11:17add even money, go with JSN receiving.
- 11:20Your total -23 1/2 will exceed Scotty Scheffler's round 4 score
- 11:26at the Waste Management #4 here we are.
- 11:29We're working our way into lottery ticket scratch off kind
- 11:34of zone here. It's an unlikely one, but it's a
- 11:37fun one. And the bet is, will any kick
- 11:39attempt hit the upright or cross bar?
- 11:41And Cousin Vinny is going to go yes, at plus 450.
- 11:45This is the kind of bet you make when you believe in chaos and
- 11:48Cosminty is a chaos agent. All right, listen, we just need
- 11:52one kick, one doink, one ping. That's it.
- 11:56We all know about kickers and we all know about kickers and big
- 12:00games. Sorry, Nate.
- 12:02And you know, we're just going to go over and have some fun
- 12:04here. Let's put some money on plus 450
- 12:07for one ping, one doink. That's it.
- 12:10So moving on from our scratch off ticket into a lottery ticket
- 12:16zone, this is actually my favorite bed of the day.
- 12:19George Helani Most carries plus 10,000.
- 12:23That's right, plus 10,000. Again, this is a lottery ticket,
- 12:26not a mortgage. Here's the deal.
- 12:29Running backs typically get hurt one out of every 15 games, and
- 12:32anyone who is owned Kenny Walker in fantasy football knows that
- 12:36The guy is made of glass. All right?
- 12:38The guy is made of glass. I've never dressed him again.
- 12:42Listen, here's what you need to happen.
- 12:44Kenny Walker needs to get hurt early in the game and Georgia
- 12:47Line just need to take over. Maybe the game script plays out
- 12:51in that favor where he's going to get a lot of carries.
- 12:53Maybe Seattle gets up by a lot of points and they're just
- 12:56pounding the rock with George Helani to to eat up clock.
- 13:00Hey, listen, at 10,000 and one Kenneth Walker goes down all of
- 13:04a sudden in the first quarter and you're paying attention, all
- 13:07right? So sprinkle $10 on that.
- 13:09Why the heck not? That's a lottery ticket, but a
- 13:12fun one. And not that I ever want to root
- 13:14for anybody to get hurt, but as, like I said, a fancy owner of
- 13:17Kenny Walker the third, you know, the guy gets hurt all the
- 13:19time. So that's my little sprinkle for
- 13:22your lottery ticket. Dollar to dream.
- 13:24Take it to the bank and lock it up.
- 13:26We'll be back tomorrow with our final picks for Super Bowl 60.
- 13:30Until tomorrow, this is Cousin Vinny with your lock of the day.
- 13:44Don't forget to rate, review, subscribe, follow on Spotify,
- 13:48iTunes, or your favorite podcast application, and check out the
- 13:51show notes for some other great podcasts.
- 13:54Whether you're looking for general sports discussion,
- 13:56something team specific, or good old wrestling, you're sure to
- 13:59find something you'll love. Check them out and I'll see you
- 14:02tomorrow with another wager.