Latest / Yaron Brook Show / Netanyahu & 10/7; Houtis; Trade War; AI; Parenthood; PISA; Achievements | Yaron Brook Show
Transcript
- 0:02Speaker 1: The radical, fundamental principles of freedom, rational self-interest, and individual rights.
- 0:14Speaker 1: This is the Yaron Brook Show. All right, everybody. Welcome
- 0:21Speaker 1: to the Yaron Brook Show on this Tuesday, September 8th.
- 0:25Speaker 1: It's still in Barcelona, as you can see. Hope everybody's
- 0:29Speaker 1: having a fantastic, fantastic week. All right, today we've got
- 0:34Speaker 1: a bunch of different stories. We're going to start with Israel,
- 0:39Speaker 1: their new allegations that Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu personally received
- 0:44Speaker 1: warnings before October 7th and did not distribute them to
- 0:48Speaker 1: security establishment. I mean, if this is true, the government
- 0:54Speaker 1: failed in one of the tasks of which government is,
- 0:57Speaker 1: this is the job of government. protected citizens. The evidence
- 1:01Speaker 1: seems serious, not yet definitive. He is denying it. We'll
- 1:07Speaker 1: talk about it some more. Across the Red Sea, the
- 1:09Speaker 1: Houthi missiles and drones have hit Saudi cities, oil facilities, utilities,
- 1:14Speaker 1: and an air base, wounding at least 73, according to
- 1:17Speaker 1: the Saudi authorities. Regional war is no longer just around
- 1:21Speaker 1: the Strait of Hormuz. It now threatens the Red Sea
- 1:26Speaker 1: and the Bab al-Mandeb as well. And then we'll turn
- 1:30Speaker 1: for the trade war where Washington and Ottawa are taxing
- 1:35Speaker 1: their own citizens in the name of punishing one another
- 1:41Speaker 1: while just punishing themselves. And yeah, we'll look at OpenAI's
- 1:50Speaker 1: chief scientist calling for limits on AI development. A Virginia
- 1:54Speaker 1: mother turned into a criminal for letting her five-year-old letting
- 2:00Speaker 1: her five-year-old walk through the neighborhood. And we'll end with
- 2:06Speaker 1: a few positive stories. You know, we've got autonomous cars
- 2:12Speaker 1: on London streets with a pretend driver, but it's starting.
- 2:18Speaker 1: It's coming to London. ASML beginning a huge new manufacturing
- 2:22Speaker 1: campus in the Netherlands. And we've got financing closing on
- 2:27Speaker 1: a restart to an to a close down, shut down
- 2:31Speaker 1: nuclear power plant. So, yeah, we try to end on
- 2:37Speaker 1: some good news. So, yes, governments fail when they evade threats.
- 2:47Speaker 1: And when they initiate force, when they trade tax regime,
- 2:54Speaker 1: engage in tax wars with one another. Yeah. What a mess.
- 3:01Speaker 1: But then again, Waymos are coming to London. You got
- 3:06Speaker 1: to look at the bright side of life, guys. All right,
- 3:09Speaker 1: let's start with Netanyahu. So, you know, I've suspected this,
- 3:14Speaker 1: and there were rumors about this, but now we have
- 3:18Speaker 1: two separate reports coming out now, just a month before
- 3:21Speaker 1: the elections in Israel, that reports that Netanyahu received high-level
- 3:27Speaker 1: warnings before the October 7th massacre and did nothing. They're related,
- 3:33Speaker 1: the two reports, but they're not the same reports. They
- 3:36Speaker 1: come from different sources and they describe different events. Um,
- 3:43Speaker 1: none of this is to say that Netanyahu knew the
- 3:46Speaker 1: date or the targets of the operational plan. No, none
- 3:48Speaker 1: of that. So let's be careful on what we assert here.
- 3:53Speaker 1: It is interesting that it's coming out one month before
- 3:56Speaker 1: the election. Um, The first allegation comes from Haaretz. Now,
- 4:01Speaker 1: Haaretz is the left of the New York Times publication
- 4:07Speaker 1: in Israel. It's about as left as it gets in
- 4:08Speaker 1: Israel for a major publication. It is, in many of
- 4:15Speaker 1: its stories, it's anti-Israel. It's certainly very, very, very anti-Netanyahu.
- 4:20Speaker 1: So anything against Netanyahu that comes out here has to
- 4:23Speaker 1: be taken with a bit of a grain of salt.
- 4:25Speaker 1: But suppose the This is reporting coming out of a
- 4:29Speaker 1: forthcoming book, and how it really makes up stuff. It's
- 4:33Speaker 1: usually just the interpretation that is so unbelievably biased. Anyway,
- 4:39Speaker 1: according to the account in this forthcoming book, the president
- 4:43Speaker 1: of the UAE, Mohammed bin Zayed, spoke with Netanyahu about
- 4:49Speaker 1: 10 days before October 7th. He alleged that Yaha Sinwa,
- 4:57Speaker 1: was preparing a major operation that could cause bloodshed, destabilize
- 5:02Speaker 1: the region, and damage the Abraham Accords. The reported warning
- 5:08Speaker 1: was kind of broad. It was strategic. It wasn't specific.
- 5:12Speaker 1: No dates, no location, no specificity. And, you know, it
- 5:18Speaker 1: didn't say thousands of terrorists are going to cross the border,
- 5:22Speaker 1: which locations they were going to attack. None of that, right?
- 5:27Speaker 1: According to the report, Netanyahu responded calmly to it, said
- 5:31Speaker 1: Israel was prepared for any scenario, and suggested that the
- 5:37Speaker 1: real problems were in the West Bank. Indeed, at the time,
- 5:41Speaker 1: Netanyahu was very much focused on the West Bank and
- 5:43Speaker 1: unrest in the West Bank and believed that whatever would
- 5:49Speaker 1: happen would happen in the West Bank. But he did
- 5:54Speaker 1: not alert any other security officials to this conversation. He
- 6:02Speaker 1: did not alert the generals. He did not, you know,
- 6:06Speaker 1: engage with military intelligence that had intelligence that suggested that
- 6:11Speaker 1: something was happening in Gaza. He did not, you know,
- 6:16Speaker 1: share this information with people in security forces. Of course,
- 6:21Speaker 1: Netanyahu's office categorically denies that the conversation ever happened. It
- 6:26Speaker 1: calls the report an absolute lie. So hard to tell, right?
- 6:31Speaker 1: The UAE has not confirmed it publicly. Haaretz has not
- 6:36Speaker 1: received a call log or contemporaneous memo or testimony under oath.
- 6:45Speaker 1: So we don't know. Former Shin Bet director Rodin Bar
- 6:52Speaker 1: and a former IDF chief, Herzi Halevi, both told Alex
- 7:00Speaker 1: that they know nothing about the alleged Emirati warning. So, again,
- 7:06Speaker 1: still speculative, but I think it makes sense, and I'll
- 7:11Speaker 1: tell you why in a few minutes. The second litigation
- 7:14Speaker 1: is a separate one, and this comes from the Jerusalem Post,
- 7:20Speaker 1: not particularly left-wing, and it reports that Ronen Bauer, the
- 7:25Speaker 1: former Shin Bet, Shin Bet is the internal security operation
- 7:29Speaker 1: of Israel, that Oren Bar met Netanyahu on October 1st,
- 7:34Speaker 1: six days before the attack. An unnamed security source says
- 7:40Speaker 1: that Bar warned that Hamas was preparing something extreme, using
- 7:47Speaker 1: the word earthquake and recommending killing Sinois and other senior
- 7:52Speaker 1: Hamas leaders. According to the report, Netanyahu did not approve
- 7:57Speaker 1: the proposed action. Now, that account matters. You know, that
- 8:03Speaker 1: account places a warning inside Israel's own security system and
- 8:09Speaker 1: directly in front of the prime minister. And of course,
- 8:11Speaker 1: we know that there was a lot of information within
- 8:15Speaker 1: the security system suggesting a Hamas attack. Netanyahu has claimed
- 8:22Speaker 1: over and over again that that information never reached him.
- 8:27Speaker 1: But here again, public evidence is limited. Sources are named.
- 8:32Speaker 1: We have no document showing exactly what Baal said and
- 8:35Speaker 1: what intelligence supported it or how urgent it was or
- 8:39Speaker 1: what alternatives were actually discussed. A recommendation to assassinate Hamas's leaders,
- 8:45Speaker 1: I mean, we don't even know that that recommendation actually existed.
- 8:54Speaker 1: So what can we conclude? There's some evidence, and it's mounting,
- 9:00Speaker 1: of serious strategic warnings. Obviously, Antonio didn't know what was
- 9:06Speaker 1: going to happen. He didn't. But he was warned that
- 9:12Speaker 1: something big might be happening. At least that is what
- 9:15Speaker 1: is being suggested. Now, everybody's, you know, Netanyahu's people are
- 9:21Speaker 1: going to dismiss this and poo-poo it and claim that
- 9:24Speaker 1: none of it happened. And of course, we haven't heard
- 9:27Speaker 1: directly from the Shin Bet, from Baal at the Shin Bet,
- 9:31Speaker 1: who is now the former Shin Bet head, about this conversation. He,
- 9:34Speaker 1: of course, knows what happens. It'll be interesting if he
- 9:37Speaker 1: ever says anything or if he says something before the election.
- 9:41Speaker 1: It would be good for the Israeli people to know
- 9:43Speaker 1: before they go out and vote. But look, Netanyahu, for
- 9:53Speaker 1: 15 years, for more than 15 years, before October 7th,
- 10:00Speaker 1: had dismissed the threat of Hamas, had not dealt with it,
- 10:06Speaker 1: with the constant, ongoing threat of missile launches, and always
- 10:11Speaker 1: the existence of a threat of an October 7th-like event,
- 10:14Speaker 1: never dealt with it appropriately, believed, and I think seriously believed,
- 10:20Speaker 1: that Hamas was more interested in governing. Hamas was more
- 10:23Speaker 1: interested in money. This is why he let, approved, Qatari
- 10:28Speaker 1: money flowing into Gaza, in spite of the fact that
- 10:33Speaker 1: he knew that much of this money was being used
- 10:35Speaker 1: to build the tunnel system and to buy the weapons
- 10:39Speaker 1: and to build the missiles. He let it happen. It
- 10:43Speaker 1: was under his watch. I can't emphasize this enough, and
- 10:48Speaker 1: I have been emphasizing this, since October 7th. It was
- 10:54Speaker 1: under his watch that Hamas built the infrastructure that allowed
- 11:00Speaker 1: it to execute October 7th. It was under his watch
- 11:03Speaker 1: that they built the infrastructure that made it relatively difficult
- 11:08Speaker 1: for Israel to take Gaza. It was under his watch
- 11:14Speaker 1: that they built an oppressive regime that not only oppressed
- 11:17Speaker 1: their own people, that somewhat their problem but that regularly
- 11:23Speaker 1: attacked Israelis, regularly launched missiles into Israel. And yes, Israel
- 11:28Speaker 1: had developed this amazing technology to knock these missiles out
- 11:33Speaker 1: of the air, iron dome. That can't be an excuse
- 11:39Speaker 1: for taking no action to deprive Hamas of the ability
- 11:43Speaker 1: to launch these missiles to begin with. I mean, any
- 11:48Speaker 1: government's Why we function, really only function, is the protection
- 11:54Speaker 1: of its own citizens. This should have been at the
- 12:00Speaker 1: top of mind. But at the time, Netanyahu was busy
- 12:05Speaker 1: trying to do judicial reform. There were demonstrations in the street.
- 12:10Speaker 1: There were some problems in the West Bank, which I
- 12:13Speaker 1: wouldn't be surprised if Hamas created in order to distract
- 12:16Speaker 1: Israel from what they were planning for October 7th. And
- 12:21Speaker 1: the reality is that the Netanyahu government, the Netanyahu government,
- 12:28Speaker 1: failed Israel, failed the Israeli people on October 7th, and
- 12:32Speaker 1: failed them in the 20 years leading up to October 7th. Well, 15. So,
- 12:45Speaker 1: it's bad even if these reports are not true. Netanyahu
- 12:50Speaker 1: should have known better. He should have killed Senua years ago.
- 12:53Speaker 1: He should have taken out Hamas's capabilities years ago. He
- 12:59Speaker 1: should have stopped their building of missiles and building the
- 13:01Speaker 1: tunnels and buying the weapons. And years ago, he should
- 13:05Speaker 1: have stopped money flowing into Gaza years ago. But he
- 13:08Speaker 1: had convinced himself that he knew his arrogance was such
- 13:13Speaker 1: that he knew that Hamas was no longer interested really
- 13:16Speaker 1: in war with Israel, that Hamas was interested in money
- 13:19Speaker 1: and in ruling over Gaza. And for an Israeli prime
- 13:24Speaker 1: minister to lose sight of the fact that Hamas was
- 13:28Speaker 1: an ideological, is an ideological organization dedicated to an Islamic
- 13:33Speaker 1: agenda and to the complete and utter destruction of the
- 13:36Speaker 1: state of Israel, and that no money would ever change
- 13:39Speaker 1: their mind. For a prime minister to forget that, to
- 13:43Speaker 1: lose sight of that, is so irresponsible. I mean, he
- 13:48Speaker 1: should have been kicked out of office on October 8th.
- 13:55Speaker 1: And Israelis finally have a chance to kick him out
- 13:57Speaker 1: of office in a month. And I really, really, really,
- 14:00Speaker 1: really hope, no matter who the alternative is, that at
- 14:03Speaker 1: least Netanyahu is off the table. He has to be
- 14:07Speaker 1: held responsible. Somebody needs to be held responsible for what
- 14:11Speaker 1: happened on October 7th. Israel failed catastrophically. Now, if it
- 14:17Speaker 1: turned out that he did indeed receive an Emirati warning
- 14:21Speaker 1: and didn't let the security forces know. That would be
- 14:26Speaker 1: an unbelievable, extraordinary failure of judgment added to the list
- 14:33Speaker 1: of Netanyahu's failures of judgment that should exclude him from
- 14:39Speaker 1: being prime minister forever. Even if it was just a
- 14:46Speaker 1: broad warning, for a friendly Arab leader, but Sinois preparing
- 14:51Speaker 1: something big. You know, at least test it against your intelligence,
- 14:58Speaker 1: military intelligence, your Mossad, Shabak, whatever. And then if René
- 15:05Speaker 1: Barre actually won Netanyahu on October 1, a few days
- 15:08Speaker 1: after the UAW, the Emirati, that Hamas was preparing something big,
- 15:18Speaker 1: something extraordinary, extreme. Why did he ignore it? And he
- 15:25Speaker 1: didn't have to accept the idea of killing the leadership,
- 15:28Speaker 1: but why ignore it? Why not put the military on alert?
- 15:35Speaker 1: Why not, you know, again, talk about it, debate it,
- 15:39Speaker 1: discuss it, and do something about it? So, again, it
- 15:50Speaker 1: doesn't look good for Netanyahu. And I don't think it
- 15:53Speaker 1: looks good for Netanyahu whether these events actually happen or not.
- 16:00Speaker 1: Netanyahu needs to take responsibility. And the Israeli people, since
- 16:05Speaker 1: he won't, need to make him take responsibility. Need to
- 16:12Speaker 1: defeat him in this coming election. Now, Israel really needs
- 16:17Speaker 1: an independent commission to investigate what actually happened, to look
- 16:23Speaker 1: at the call logs, to actually examine the evidence, and
- 16:27Speaker 1: to find out what was said, when, by whom, and
- 16:32Speaker 1: to whom. You need an election. Netanyahu needs to be out.
- 16:38Speaker 1: And you need an objective evaluation of what happened. Netanyahu
- 16:48Speaker 1: is a failed prime minister. He has to be considered
- 16:51Speaker 1: a failed prime minister because October 7th is a failure
- 16:55Speaker 1: and it has to be a failure. It wasn't an
- 16:56Speaker 1: intelligence failure because the question of Hamas's willingness to do
- 17:04Speaker 1: an October 7th was never, should have been never in question.
- 17:08Speaker 1: It was a political failure. A failure to confront the
- 17:11Speaker 1: enemy and defeat him. A failure to do what was
- 17:14Speaker 1: necessary to protect Israeli citizens. To elect a prime minister
- 17:19Speaker 1: after a failure of that magnitude again is incompatible to me.
- 17:26Speaker 1: It just doesn't make any sense. Any sense. And the
- 17:33Speaker 1: fact that he has resisted any kind of independent commission,
- 17:36Speaker 1: any kind of real investigation into what happened is just
- 17:43Speaker 1: compounds his responsibility and makes it makes an election the necessary...
- 17:54Speaker 1: Kicking him out with an election makes it necessary. Now,
- 18:01Speaker 1: Netanyahu argued that security officials kept crucial information from him
- 18:05Speaker 1: because they feared it would put the military in alert.
- 18:08Speaker 1: That doesn't make any sense to me. I mean, if anything,
- 18:12Speaker 1: they probably feared that he would poo-poo the intelligence and
- 18:16Speaker 1: tell them to stop it. stop fear-mongering, stop crying wolf,
- 18:21Speaker 1: because he had this grander vision of what was going
- 18:23Speaker 1: on in Gaza. Military officials suggest that important warnings did
- 18:31Speaker 1: reach him. But again, somebody needs to dig out that evidence.
- 18:37Speaker 1: Somebody needs to prove this. Somebody needs to make this objective.
- 18:40Speaker 1: And for that, you need some kind of commission, some
- 18:42Speaker 1: kind of process to discover what really happened. Netanyahu doesn't
- 18:48Speaker 1: have immunity. And I know many of you like him.
- 18:52Speaker 1: I never have. I've always thought he was a fraud.
- 18:55Speaker 1: I've always considered him a great speaker and an awful,
- 19:00Speaker 1: awful prime minister. And people say, but who is the alternative?
- 19:07Speaker 1: I don't know. For the last 15 years, we haven't
- 19:10Speaker 1: known because no alternative was possible because Netanyahu has dominated
- 19:15Speaker 1: the political landscape in Israel. His followers, to a large extent,
- 19:18Speaker 1: are like Trump's followers. They will vote for him no
- 19:22Speaker 1: matter what. Even after October 7th, they still vote for him. So,
- 19:39Speaker 1: you know, we need to know the truth about what happened.
- 19:43Speaker 1: If Netanyahu... is right and all this is fabricated, then
- 19:47Speaker 1: a commission would exonerate him. So why resist the commission?
- 19:56Speaker 1: All right. And it's, it's, it's, it's not impractical to
- 20:04Speaker 1: do a commission. It's, Israel's a small enough country and, um,
- 20:09Speaker 1: You know, you could put together a group of people
- 20:12Speaker 1: that the Israeli public trusts, and they would actually be
- 20:15Speaker 1: willing to get to the bottom of this, to the
- 20:18Speaker 1: real truth. Somebody says Iran has been abducted by aliens.
- 20:24Speaker 1: What does that mean? I've always been anti-Bibi. I've always
- 20:31Speaker 1: said this about Bibi, so nothing has changed. Bibi is awful.
- 20:42Speaker 1: I mean, it was Bibi that released Sinois, right? The
- 20:45Speaker 1: only reason Sinois was Gaza was because Bibi decided that
- 20:48Speaker 1: one soldier's life was worth 2,000 terrorists released. I mean,
- 20:56Speaker 1: that was an impeachable offense. He should have lost the
- 20:59Speaker 1: election just for that. But of course, sadly, the Israeli
- 21:03Speaker 1: people agreed with it. So, all right. What is going on?
- 21:16Speaker 1: I'm trying to understand what Mike is about. What is
- 21:29Speaker 1: going on? All right. Questions. Don't forget questions, Super Chat questions.
- 21:36Speaker 1: Some of you might have questions about my views on
- 21:37Speaker 1: Netanyahu or what I just said about Netanyahu and why
- 21:41Speaker 1: I think He should lose, and he should lose in
- 21:44Speaker 1: a landslide. Super Chat is the way to do it.
- 21:48Speaker 1: Stickers are the way to support the show. Next story
- 21:53Speaker 1: is also from the Middle East, and that is about
- 21:55Speaker 1: the Houthis attacking the Houthis in Yemen. Launched today, dozens
- 22:07Speaker 1: of ballistic missiles and drones in southern Saudi Arabia. This
- 22:11Speaker 1: is a major escalation. of the conflict between Saudi Arabia
- 22:14Speaker 1: and the Houthis. And, you know, it's been a tit
- 22:19Speaker 1: for tat, a constant, you know, arguing that attack in
- 22:25Speaker 1: response to an attack in response to an attack. Nobody
- 22:28Speaker 1: is quite willing to go all out and actually fight
- 22:31Speaker 1: a war and win it. It looks like the Houthis
- 22:34Speaker 1: now have taken a step towards egging Saudi Arabia on
- 22:38Speaker 1: to actually engage in a more serious fight. Saudi authorities
- 22:44Speaker 1: say 73 people were wounded, including children, women and children.
- 22:49Speaker 1: Saudi Energy Secretary Minister says fires broke out in all
- 22:53Speaker 1: facilities and utilities, and some operations were temporarily suspended. The
- 23:00Speaker 1: Houthis said they targeted just the Jazan Industrial and Logistics Hub,
- 23:05Speaker 1: the Amaco facilities, so only industrial facilities and military bases.
- 23:13Speaker 1: So hard to tell. You know, the numbers come from
- 23:15Speaker 1: the Saudis and have not been independently confirmed. But we
- 23:27Speaker 1: do know that this was a major attack on Saudi Arabia,
- 23:31Speaker 1: maybe the largest attack on Saudi Arabia in a few years.
- 23:35Speaker 1: The Houthis, of course, are an Iran-backed militia. The Houthis
- 23:39Speaker 1: and Saudis were fighting a war until a few years ago.
- 23:43Speaker 1: a hot war, an intense war in which Saudi troops
- 23:46Speaker 1: were actually in Yemen fighting against the Houthis. Ultimately, Saudi
- 23:51Speaker 1: Arabia backed off. They couldn't defeat the Houthis, and they left.
- 23:55Speaker 1: They got a lot of flak from the international community
- 23:59Speaker 1: for civilian casualties on the side of the Houthis, for
- 24:04Speaker 1: civilian casualties suffered on the side of the Houthis, and
- 24:07Speaker 1: they ultimately ended the war and withdrew. Now, this is
- 24:14Speaker 1: important less over the Houthi-Saudi war and more over the
- 24:21Speaker 1: fact that we've already got a constricted traffic, significantly constricted traffic,
- 24:27Speaker 1: through the Strait of Hormuz. Saudi Arabia has been funneling
- 24:31Speaker 1: oil through a pipeline to a port on the Red Sea.
- 24:35Speaker 1: That Red Sea depends on ships being able to traverse
- 24:39Speaker 1: the Red Sea. to come through the Baba Mandab, which
- 24:44Speaker 1: is the strait at the bottom of the Red Sea
- 24:47Speaker 1: as it flows into the Gulf of Eden, Aden, not Eden, Aden.
- 24:53Speaker 1: And the route is, of course, by attacking Saudi oil infrastructure,
- 24:59Speaker 1: also directly attacking the ability to produce oil, to export oil,
- 25:05Speaker 1: and to export oil products, refined products, which are all
- 25:10Speaker 1: affecting oil prices all around the world, including here in
- 25:12Speaker 1: the United States. Brett Crude moved towards $ 100 a barrel
- 25:17Speaker 1: after these attacks. And that is because, you know, supply
- 25:25Speaker 1: routes across the world are now becoming more dangerous. Not
- 25:30Speaker 1: just the Strait of Hormuz, but now also the second
- 25:33Speaker 1: busiest strait for oil export is in play. The Houthis
- 25:41Speaker 1: say the strikes were retaliation. They blame Saudi Arabia for
- 25:45Speaker 1: airstrikes in Yemen. But again, it's been going tit for tat.
- 25:52Speaker 1: And the Houthis, I think at the egging of the Iranians,
- 25:56Speaker 1: are eager to heat things up and to create diversions
- 26:00Speaker 1: and to drive the dollar price of oil up. Because
- 26:04Speaker 1: higher the price of oil, the Iranians believe the sooner
- 26:09Speaker 1: Trump ends, He ends his presence in the Middle East and,
- 26:17Speaker 1: you know, leaves Iran alone. So ends the war. So,
- 26:24Speaker 1: you know, it's going to be interesting to see what
- 26:26Speaker 1: happens here if this evolves into a bigger military confrontation.
- 26:30Speaker 1: There are some already military developments inside Yemen that are positive,
- 26:35Speaker 1: if you are against the Houthis, which I am. The
- 26:38Speaker 1: Saudi allied government forces, for the north in Yemen, have
- 26:46Speaker 1: been attacking the Houthis and actually retaken some territory from
- 26:50Speaker 1: the Houthis. It's not clear how much territory, it's not
- 26:55Speaker 1: clear exactly when all this is happening, and it's not
- 27:00Speaker 1: clear if this is a strategic loss or just a
- 27:04Speaker 1: temporary tactical setback for the Houthis. But the reality is this.
- 27:10Speaker 1: As long as the Houthis control that part of Yemen,
- 27:14Speaker 1: as long as the Houthis have basically, through missiles and
- 27:21Speaker 1: through armed men, have the ability to disrupt traffic on
- 27:28Speaker 1: the Red Sea and the Bab al-Mandir, they are a
- 27:31Speaker 1: threat to civilization. And the United States should be helping
- 27:35Speaker 1: the Saudis and the Yemeni government to defeat and destroy
- 27:40Speaker 1: the Houthi regime as quickly and as effectively as possible.
- 27:46Speaker 1: A tit for tat, proportional exchanges are not gonna do anything.
- 27:52Speaker 1: Not gonna do anything. Saudi Arabia should, with the support
- 27:57Speaker 1: of the West, or at least with the support of
- 27:58Speaker 1: the United States, enter Yemen and destroy the Houthi armed forces.
- 28:04Speaker 1: And of course, that would be a massive setback for Iran,
- 28:08Speaker 1: and it would open up one of the two major
- 28:12Speaker 1: states that have oil and oil products flowing through them.
- 28:21Speaker 1: All right. So we will see. We'll keep an eye
- 28:26Speaker 1: on how this escalates. There is one other issue I
- 28:29Speaker 1: think that's worth bringing up. You know, Saudi Arabia signed
- 28:33Speaker 1: a defense agreement with Turkey and Pakistan, which basically stated
- 28:41Speaker 1: that an attack on Saudi Arabia will constitute an attack
- 28:44Speaker 1: on Pakistan and Turkey. Now, does this mean that Pakistan
- 28:48Speaker 1: and Turkey are now going to ally with Saudi Arabia
- 28:53Speaker 1: and go after the Houthis? I mean, that would be
- 28:56Speaker 1: a really interesting development. If we go so Turkey uses
- 29:02Speaker 1: F-16s to attack the Houthis, if we put Pakistan send
- 29:07Speaker 1: troops to help the Saudis take out the Houthis, that
- 29:14Speaker 1: would really be interesting. That would be fun to watch.
- 29:17Speaker 1: I suspect the Turkey-Pakistan-Saudi Arabia defense agreement is a meaningless
- 29:26Speaker 1: piece of paper. But it would be interesting if Saudi
- 29:35Speaker 1: Arabia called them up on it. I mean, they should
- 29:36Speaker 1: have called them up on it when Iran attacked Saudi Arabia.
- 29:41Speaker 1: It would be interesting to see Turkey attacking Iran. Won't happen.
- 29:46Speaker 1: All right. Paul, thank you for the sticker. We really
- 29:51Speaker 1: appreciate it. And yeah, guys, wake up. Stickers and questions.
- 29:58Speaker 1: It's a Iran book show. It's not just a value
- 30:03Speaker 1: for value, guys. Become traders and be traders. Talk about war.
- 30:12Speaker 1: Our trade war with Canada is continuing to heat up.
- 30:17Speaker 1: Canada's retaliatory tariffs against the United States, or really against
- 30:22Speaker 1: its own citizens, took effect at 12.01 Tuesday morning. Ottawa
- 30:28Speaker 1: says the measures cover $ 27. 6 billion Canadian dollars in American products.
- 30:36Speaker 1: The rates vary from 15%, 25%, or 50%. They concentrate
- 30:40Speaker 1: in steel, aluminum, dairy products, appliances, farm equipment, paper, plastics, electronics.
- 30:48Speaker 1: And existing Canadian tariffs on American autos also remain. Prime
- 30:54Speaker 1: Minister Mark Carney describes this as matching Washington dollar for
- 30:59Speaker 1: dollar and rate for rate. President Trump imposed a 50%
- 31:02Speaker 1: tariff on the same value of Canadian goods in August.
- 31:07Speaker 1: Trade negotiations collapsed in August 21, and each government now
- 31:12Speaker 1: presents its tax on domestic buyers a strength against the
- 31:16Speaker 1: other country. And taxing million people.
- 31:21Speaker 2: Yay!
- 31:24Speaker 1: Remember, tariffs is paid at the border by the importer.
- 31:29Speaker 1: The cost may be absorbed by the importer, passed to
- 31:33Speaker 1: the consumer, forced back onto the supplier, or divided among
- 31:39Speaker 1: them depending on market conditions. All the empirical data suggests
- 31:43Speaker 1: that a vast majority of the tariff, of the tax,
- 31:47Speaker 1: is passed on to the consumer. The law is cursing
- 31:54Speaker 1: a voluntary exchange A voluntary trade, it's discriminatory because it's
- 32:01Speaker 1: not taxing all trade. It's only taxing trade from Canada
- 32:06Speaker 1: or with Canada. In this case, taxing Canadians who want
- 32:11Speaker 1: American machinery, food, or electronics. Now, you know, retaliation is just,
- 32:22Speaker 1: it's dumb. It's economically dumb. It just extends the damage
- 32:27Speaker 1: that the initial tariffs caused. The initial tariff caused some
- 32:35Speaker 1: problems for some Canadian producers because demand for their products
- 32:40Speaker 1: will go down because they're more expensive because of the tariffs.
- 32:44Speaker 1: That's bad for those Canadian producers. The Canadian imposing tariffs
- 32:51Speaker 1: now places a burden on Canadian consumers. So tariffs on
- 32:57Speaker 1: Americans makes Americans poor. Tariffs on American goods makes Canadians poor.
- 33:09Speaker 1: So it's lose, lose, lose, lose. There are no winners.
- 33:15Speaker 1: I guess you can play some kind of negotiating strategy
- 33:22Speaker 1: in these situations, but there's no negotiating here. It's just
- 33:26Speaker 1: an imposed cost. It's just a way to lower the
- 33:29Speaker 1: quality of life, standard of living of your people, your
- 33:31Speaker 1: own people. And what's the next escalation going to be?
- 33:37Speaker 1: Trump has threatened to ban Bombardier airplanes from sale in
- 33:40Speaker 1: the United States unless the Canadian company builds the planes
- 33:45Speaker 1: in America. He said its products were not good enough
- 33:49Speaker 1: and accused Canada of using America as a piggy bank.
- 33:53Speaker 1: It just exposes his own outside ignorance of economics, of
- 33:59Speaker 1: just the basic, simplest concepts in economics. The threat was
- 34:05Speaker 1: made on a social media post, as always. And he
- 34:11Speaker 1: hasn't followed through with any of it yet. I mean,
- 34:18Speaker 1: Bombardier responded, showing the complete economic nonsense of Trump's claims.
- 34:24Speaker 1: The company says it buys from about 2,800 American suppliers
- 34:28Speaker 1: in 47 states. Its wings are made in Texas. Flight
- 34:34Speaker 1: control components come from Los Angeles area. Honeywell makes the
- 34:39Speaker 1: engines for some Bombardier jets in Phoenix. Collins Aerospace supplies
- 34:46Speaker 1: avionics from Iowa. More than a thousand Bombardier employees work
- 34:54Speaker 1: in Wichita, Kansas. It's just stupid. There's no national box
- 35:02Speaker 1: around the modern aircraft. This is made in Canada. Any
- 35:05Speaker 1: more than this iPhone is made in... I don't know.
- 35:12Speaker 1: I have no idea what it's made. How you want
- 35:14Speaker 1: to calculate what it's made. It's assembled in China. Who cares?
- 35:21Speaker 1: Since when does assembly... assembly is almost no value in
- 35:27Speaker 1: the assembly. Voluntary trade and globalization of the last 30,
- 35:38Speaker 1: 40 years has produced a network of specialized firms, division
- 35:43Speaker 1: of labor, each one of them doing some part of
- 35:47Speaker 1: the job really, really, really well. Abandon the canadian final
- 35:53Speaker 1: product just penalizes the network including american workers and american
- 35:59Speaker 1: investors and american companies the supply chain is part of
- 36:05Speaker 1: the mutual benefit of the trade and our production it's
- 36:10Speaker 1: part of the beauty of globalization but you know but
- 36:15Speaker 1: this is this is our ignorant president who uh you
- 36:19Speaker 1: know uh treats access to American customers as some kind
- 36:26Speaker 1: of favor he's granting people. The market doesn't belong to Trump.
- 36:32Speaker 1: It doesn't belong to America. The market belongs to individuals
- 36:35Speaker 1: participating in it, the buyers and sellers, the companies hiring workers,
- 36:41Speaker 1: the companies making stuff, the companies investing, the individuals investing,
- 36:45Speaker 1: the individuals buying, the individuals supplying. Our government's job is
- 36:53Speaker 1: to protect rights. It's to catch the fraudsters and the
- 36:59Speaker 1: criminals and the crooks, not to try to allocate where
- 37:03Speaker 1: each part is made and what's okay and what's not
- 37:07Speaker 1: okay in terms of where they're made. Now, if you
- 37:12Speaker 1: want another layer on this, if you look at China's
- 37:14Speaker 1: new data figures, in August, exports rose 25% from a
- 37:20Speaker 1: year earlier. And imports rose 28.2%. That's China's numbers. So
- 37:29Speaker 1: China's exporting more and importing more. The monthly surplus, exports
- 37:35Speaker 1: over imports, reached above $ 119. 1 billion, including roughly $ 29. 2 billion
- 37:39Speaker 1: just with the United States. Why does this matter? The
- 37:51Speaker 1: surplus doesn't mean China's winning. Indeed, China's facing real, big,
- 37:56Speaker 1: substantial economic problems. It's having to bail out some of
- 38:00Speaker 1: its banks because of real estate problems and because some
- 38:05Speaker 1: of these manufacturers are not actually making any money. Every
- 38:13Speaker 1: import means a buyer valued the product more than the price. Whoa, win-win.
- 38:19Speaker 1: Americans receive goods. Chinese sellers receive dollars, which ultimately must
- 38:24Speaker 1: be invested or spent or exchanged in America. The only
- 38:34Speaker 1: question with regard to trade is, is it voluntary or
- 38:37Speaker 1: isn't it? That's it. And by definition, trade is voluntary.
- 38:43Speaker 1: Are property rights protected? And the only question you might
- 38:49Speaker 1: ask is a national security one, which is a very,
- 38:52Speaker 1: very difficult and complicated question to ask, and one that
- 38:56Speaker 1: our politicians abuse constantly. Now, it's true. China subsidizes industries.
- 39:06Speaker 1: It restricts markets. It uses state power to do central planning,
- 39:14Speaker 1: industrial planning. But The way to protect intellectual property rights,
- 39:19Speaker 1: if that's the problem, and to get removal of barriers
- 39:24Speaker 1: on our own products and secure, you know, is not tariffs.
- 39:33Speaker 1: You know, let's work on intellectual property and how to
- 39:35Speaker 1: secure it with China. Let's get rid of barriers on
- 39:39Speaker 1: our own products. Let's figure out what the military supply
- 39:43Speaker 1: chain really is and secure it. Tariffs don't do that.
- 39:49Speaker 1: None of them. So we're in a trade war. One
- 39:55Speaker 1: tariff becomes the justification of another. Each side points to
- 39:58Speaker 1: the other's intervention, just like the Houthis and the Saudis.
- 40:02Speaker 1: Companies postpone investment because rules depend on the political threats.
- 40:08Speaker 1: Customers pay more. And politicians find scapegoats for the damage
- 40:17Speaker 1: that is being done. I mean, Canada was stupid to
- 40:22Speaker 1: retaliate They should have lowered tariffs. They should have made
- 40:25Speaker 1: a point of becoming a free trade Canada. That would
- 40:28Speaker 1: have been amazing. That would have been amazing. Not happening.
- 40:35Speaker 2: All right.
- 40:36Speaker 1: By the way, I think this is the longest we've
- 40:39Speaker 1: ever gone on a show without a single Super Chat question.
- 40:43Speaker 1: I don't know what's going on. Don't know what's going on.
- 40:48Speaker 1: So you guys have asked. Everything you've ever wanted to
- 40:52Speaker 1: ask from me. There's one. We just got one question.
- 40:57Speaker 1: It's a little strange. All right. AI. Open AI chief scientist,
- 41:06Speaker 1: Jacob Pachocki, has published an essay called An Alien Mind.
- 41:14Speaker 1: It is unusually direct. Well, not really unusually, right? Because,
- 41:18Speaker 1: I mean, the AI leaders have been calling for restraints
- 41:24Speaker 1: and regulations for a long time, so this is not
- 41:26Speaker 1: that unusual. He says in the essay that current AI
- 41:31Speaker 1: systems are becoming harder to understand as their capacities and
- 41:34Speaker 1: capabilities grow, that AI is increasingly helping to develop AI,
- 41:40Speaker 1: and that continued progress could lead to recursive self-improvement, systems
- 41:46Speaker 1: playing a larger role in creating their more capable successors.
- 41:52Speaker 1: His most quoted conclusion is that no AI laboratory has
- 41:59Speaker 1: solved alignment and monitoring alignment of interest between AI and
- 42:03Speaker 1: humans and monitoring over AI well enough to continue responsibly
- 42:09Speaker 1: scaling at maximum speed for much longer. He hopes voluntary
- 42:15Speaker 1: slowdowns will become common until the industry establishes shared safety standards.
- 42:21Speaker 1: He also wants frameworks like OpenAI's preparedness framework, anthropic responsibility,
- 42:26Speaker 1: scaling policy, turned into widely mandated rules enforced by auditors, governments,
- 42:33Speaker 1: and international bodies. I mean, there are two things going
- 42:39Speaker 1: on here. The first is that a company that's building
- 42:43Speaker 1: a powerful complex product like AI systems, they need to
- 42:47Speaker 1: understand the behavior. They need to test it. They need
- 42:49Speaker 1: to control access. and they need to protect customers, and
- 42:53Speaker 1: they shouldn't deploy if they can't manage the risk. If
- 42:58Speaker 1: these agents, AI agents, are going to break into companies,
- 43:04Speaker 1: they're going to wreak havoc on cybersecurity, are going to destroy,
- 43:08Speaker 1: are going to steal, are going to be used by
- 43:11Speaker 1: thieves to steal, and there's nothing to stop that, then
- 43:16Speaker 1: you need to really be cautious in how you deploy
- 43:19Speaker 1: this tool. That's just being responsible. And a private company
- 43:28Speaker 1: should slow down its work if it fears that its
- 43:34Speaker 1: tool might do things that could be dangerous. I mean,
- 43:40Speaker 1: if you're not sure exactly how the nuclear reactor is working,
- 43:43Speaker 1: and it might cause an implosion, a catastrophic one, then
- 43:48Speaker 1: you slow down and work it out and you make
- 43:50Speaker 1: sure before you deploy. Well, the same is true of
- 43:53Speaker 1: AI to the extent that AI has the capacity to
- 43:56Speaker 1: create real havoc. Not Terminator-like havoc, but real havoc. So, yeah,
- 44:06Speaker 1: private companies should not deploy models until they limit any
- 44:15Speaker 1: dangerous capabilities. And they figure out how to commission audits
- 44:21Speaker 1: and get the right kind of evidence from their engineers.
- 44:27Speaker 1: But the idea that we should give a government or
- 44:29Speaker 1: an international authority the power to decide when progress should
- 44:34Speaker 1: continue and when it shouldn't, that is very dangerous. And
- 44:40Speaker 1: it transfers. It transfers judgment from the people who actually build, test, insure, buy,
- 44:46Speaker 1: use this technology to political bodies that are motivated and
- 44:51Speaker 1: incentivized by very different things and not clear at all
- 44:55Speaker 1: that they have the technological know-how to deal with these issues.
- 45:02Speaker 1: I mean, make AI companies fully liable for the damage
- 45:07Speaker 1: AI does. Not if an evil human being deploys them
- 45:15Speaker 1: in an evil way, but If an AI does it itself, right?
- 45:24Speaker 1: You hear about these agents, AI agents, breaking out of
- 45:28Speaker 1: what they're supposed to do and going and doing stuff
- 45:31Speaker 1: that nobody asked them to do. Or nobody asked them
- 45:34Speaker 1: exactly that to do, but finding ways to break into
- 45:37Speaker 1: other companies' computers and things like that. Well, the AI
- 45:41Speaker 1: should be liable for stuff like that. AI companies should
- 45:43Speaker 1: be liable for stuff like that. And maybe they should
- 45:46Speaker 1: be liable for the information available. If somebody builds... a
- 45:50Speaker 1: biological weapon based on information provided by AI, maybe the
- 45:54Speaker 1: AI company should be liable for that. Maybe they should
- 45:56Speaker 1: have restrictions on that. This is where government could be useful,
- 46:00Speaker 1: setting guardrails, defining what AI companies are liable for. But
- 46:10Speaker 1: we don't want legally enforced rules of how fast you
- 46:15Speaker 1: should do it and what models are good and what
- 46:17Speaker 1: models are bad. Just make the penalty for the companies
- 46:24Speaker 1: significant enough, and they will align. Now, the real technical problems,
- 46:31Speaker 1: the real issues with AI, the real safety issue, and
- 46:38Speaker 1: cybersecurity being one, malicious agents, possible biological risks, they're not fantasies.
- 46:44Speaker 1: These are real things. They're also not necessarily apocalyptic either.
- 46:53Speaker 1: But these are things that the people best positioned to
- 46:56Speaker 1: deal with them are the AI companies themselves, without coercion,
- 47:01Speaker 1: without government. And again, intentional criminal misuse, punish the user
- 47:09Speaker 1: who deploys the system to hack, steal, threaten, or kill,
- 47:13Speaker 1: punish collaborators, and figure out what the liability of the
- 47:17Speaker 1: AI company should be. If a agent goes out and
- 47:23Speaker 1: does stuff without human intervention. Yeah, maybe maybe they are
- 47:30Speaker 1: companies responsible for that. But this all needs to be
- 47:35Speaker 1: researched and figured out. Government's not going to do that. So,
- 47:42Speaker 1: and more than that, right? I mean, Pachucky himself says
- 47:48Speaker 1: that more powerful AI is going to be necessary to
- 47:51Speaker 1: improve monitoring, and to defend computer systems from more powerful AI.
- 47:57Speaker 1: If advanced models are increasingly capable of attacks, the only
- 48:01Speaker 1: way to stop them is more advanced models. It's the
- 48:07Speaker 1: advanced models that will find the vulnerabilities and be used
- 48:11Speaker 1: to protect infrastructure. So, yeah, again, we don't want an
- 48:18Speaker 1: international body doing this. I mean, it might be a
- 48:21Speaker 1: voluntary body of the AI companies. But I want these
- 48:26Speaker 1: companies to do it themselves. I want them to take
- 48:28Speaker 1: these risks seriously. I want them to evaluate the models.
- 48:34Speaker 1: I want them to have strong controls, strong monitoring. I
- 48:41Speaker 1: want them to have liability. I want them to feel responsible.
- 48:48Speaker 1: But they have to You know, it's them. They have
- 48:52Speaker 1: to do it. Stop looking for government for a solution. Now,
- 48:58Speaker 1: the title, An Alien Mind, is revealing. AI is not
- 49:04Speaker 1: an alien, and it's not a mind. AI is a
- 49:09Speaker 1: manufactured system. It is code. It's complex, unbelievably complex, and
- 49:16Speaker 1: surprisingly powerful, and difficult. to interpret. But it didn't come
- 49:23Speaker 1: from a separate, different planet. It came from human beings
- 49:27Speaker 1: who designed the algorithms. People like the author of the
- 49:31Speaker 1: article himself. It runs on human-designed chips, on human-supplied data.
- 49:41Speaker 1: and human-supplied objectives. Algorithms have no objectives. Somebody has to
- 49:47Speaker 1: tell them what they're there for. So just describing it
- 49:52Speaker 1: as an alien and describing it as a mind suggesting
- 49:55Speaker 1: of its own will, not a good start. Now, just
- 50:01Speaker 1: as if to prove some of these points, the potential
- 50:07Speaker 1: problems of AI, the Palo Alto security firm called Calif, Calif, Calif, okay,
- 50:14Speaker 1: has discovered a remarkable proof of concept named WeWorm, WeWorm.
- 50:19Speaker 1: The company says its researchers, working with AI, found a
- 50:23Speaker 1: memory corruption flaw in WeChat's voice calling system and built
- 50:28Speaker 1: a zero-click worm that could spread across both iPhone and
- 50:33Speaker 1: Android phones. The victim did not need to answer the
- 50:38Speaker 1: call or touch the phone. In the demonstration, an attacker
- 50:42Speaker 1: called a WeChat friend, took over the account while the
- 50:47Speaker 1: phone was ringing, and used the compromised account to call
- 50:51Speaker 1: the next friend. The attacker could read and send messages,
- 50:55Speaker 1: place calls, and act as the victim. Declining the call
- 50:59Speaker 1: stopped that attempt, but the attacker could try again later.
- 51:02Speaker 1: It was an important limitation. The attacker had to be
- 51:07Speaker 1: the victim's WeChat friend. It has to be on the
- 51:10Speaker 1: friends list. But a worm is built to turn that
- 51:14Speaker 1: trust and make it a kind of distributed network. Once
- 51:19Speaker 1: one account is compromised, the worm can call the person's
- 51:22Speaker 1: contacts and affect the entire network. Khalif says AI helped
- 51:28Speaker 1: find the flaw and produced the first remote code execution
- 51:33Speaker 1: exploit in about two days. Building the worm took another week.
- 51:40Speaker 1: The company says a project that once might have acquired
- 51:43Speaker 1: a large team for months became possible in days with
- 51:47Speaker 1: a small human team directing AI tools. Now, again, this
- 51:53Speaker 1: is alarming. It lowers the cost of sophisticated offensive security work.
- 51:59Speaker 1: A criminal group, you know, can use AI and create
- 52:08Speaker 1: something like this in days. Khalif reported the bug to Tencent,
- 52:15Speaker 1: the owner of WeChat, in July. Tencent released mitigations in
- 52:21Speaker 1: August and confirmed the remote code execution risk in September.
- 52:26Speaker 1: Khalif says the exploit has been mitigated, server-side, for all
- 52:31Speaker 1: users before the research was published. Tencent says it has
- 52:35Speaker 1: no reason to believe users were affected. Now, of course,
- 52:40Speaker 1: you know, somebody has to verify all these claims. And, but,
- 52:46Speaker 1: you know, this is the potential of AI to do
- 52:51Speaker 1: this kind of stuff. And of course, the potential of
- 52:53Speaker 1: AI to discover it. And hopefully, this will mostly be
- 52:57Speaker 1: used to close these gaps, to close these holes, to
- 53:01Speaker 1: make it impossible in the future. So AI changes cybersecurity,
- 53:10Speaker 1: as Panchoki in his article says. But the critical question
- 53:16Speaker 1: is which institutional response makes us safer? I'd say restricting
- 53:21Speaker 1: the strongest models to a handful of government-approved actors is
- 53:27Speaker 1: going to concentrate the offensive capabilities and slow independent defenders.
- 53:33Speaker 1: I mean, at the end of the day, this company, Calif,
- 53:35Speaker 1: did us all a favor. And there are many more
- 53:38Speaker 1: companies like that that I think can make money by
- 53:41Speaker 1: finding these weaknesses and helping patch them. We need better security.
- 53:50Speaker 1: We need patch systems. And it's probably true that the
- 53:54Speaker 1: best patch systems are going to be designed by AI
- 53:59Speaker 1: to seal the openings that AI is discovering. So yeah,
- 54:09Speaker 1: the WeWarm is a warning, but it's not the end
- 54:12Speaker 1: of the world yet, yet. All right, here's a story
- 54:22Speaker 1: for you. Kyan Parkinson, a mother in Williamsburg, Virginia, allowed
- 54:30Speaker 1: her five-year-old son to walk about a half a mile
- 54:34Speaker 1: through their gated community to collect goose feathers at a
- 54:38Speaker 1: neighborhood pond. A security guard spotted him and escorted him home.
- 54:46Speaker 1: police and child protective services arrived. And two weeks later,
- 54:52Speaker 1: Parkinson was charged with contributing to the delinquency of a minor.
- 55:02Speaker 1: A judge convicted her and imposed a six-month suspended sentence.
- 55:08Speaker 1: She says the state has placed her and her son's
- 55:10Speaker 1: names on on Virginia's abuse and neglect registry for seven years.
- 55:18Speaker 1: That means a single disputed parenting decision can restrict her
- 55:22Speaker 1: ability to volunteer in a child's classroom for most of
- 55:25Speaker 1: his elementary school years. Now, the child was five, right?
- 55:37Speaker 1: The walk was about half a mile. And he crossed
- 55:42Speaker 1: several streets. Pond was involved, right? So there is a
- 55:47Speaker 1: real risk of drowning. You know, the parents say the
- 55:53Speaker 1: five-year-old is a competitive swimmer, knows the route, has visited
- 55:58Speaker 1: the pond hundreds of times, and was permitted to go
- 56:02Speaker 1: only to its shallowest area. I mean, I think this
- 56:08Speaker 1: is a ridiculous decision. Absolutely ridiculous. Even if it's a
- 56:15Speaker 1: bad parenting decision, even if you don't agree with the parents,
- 56:20Speaker 1: it doesn't make it a crime. I mean, parents have
- 56:25Speaker 1: to make decisions about, judgments about where the kids can walk, bike, swim, climb, cook,
- 56:31Speaker 1: stay home alone, make a cup of coffee. I don't know.
- 56:35Speaker 1: You want the state to be involved in the decision-making?
- 56:42Speaker 1: It's absurd. I mean, my mother would have been in jail.
- 56:45Speaker 1: I mean, I crossed streets at the age of five.
- 56:49Speaker 1: I walked to what was a preschool by myself. I
- 56:54Speaker 1: might have been even four, five. I mean, this is
- 56:59Speaker 1: how you grow up independent. Virginia adopted a reasonable childhood
- 57:07Speaker 1: independence law in 2023. The law says that a child
- 57:10Speaker 1: should not be considered abused and neglected merely for taking
- 57:13Speaker 1: part in independent activities without adult supervision when the activity
- 57:17Speaker 1: is age-appropriate and not so grossly negligent that it endangers
- 57:21Speaker 1: the child's health or safety. And yet, they still convicted her.
- 57:26Speaker 1: I find this ridiculous. And then we wonder why our
- 57:30Speaker 1: kids are so pampered and risk-averse. if that is even true.
- 57:38Speaker 1: Risks exist. Children should learn how to deal with risks early.
- 57:45Speaker 1: They should be encouraged to be independent early. You know,
- 57:52Speaker 1: I don't think that there is a role for the
- 57:56Speaker 1: state unless there is real abuse or the parent exposes
- 58:00Speaker 1: the child to a really ridiculous danger. I mean, no
- 58:08Speaker 1: harm occurred here. It was his own gated community. He
- 58:13Speaker 1: made it home. A conversation might have been appropriate. A
- 58:17Speaker 1: warning might have been understandable, but a suspended sentence, a
- 58:21Speaker 1: criminal conviction. I mean, what kind of culture do we have?
- 58:31Speaker 1: I mean, if you let your kid cross the street,
- 58:36Speaker 1: are you going to go to jail? It really is
- 58:42Speaker 1: a sad testament to where America is today. Talk about
- 58:46Speaker 1: sad testament about America. PISA, the PISA exams, these are,
- 58:56Speaker 1: you know, international test scores. They test 15-year-olds across participating countries.
- 59:06Speaker 1: This is an OECD, these advanced countries. The test in
- 59:12Speaker 1: the United States, 4,625 students from 144 schools took part
- 59:17Speaker 1: in the 2025 assessment. American reading performance fell from 2022
- 59:23Speaker 1: and is among the lowest recorded for the United States
- 59:27Speaker 1: since it began participating in 2000. Mathematics was also among
- 59:32Speaker 1: the country's lowest results, while science remained broadly stable. 2022
- 59:39Speaker 1: was already a bad year, but then it was all
- 59:42Speaker 1: explained as COVID. Now it's harder to justify, you know,
- 59:50Speaker 1: so many years removed from COVID that these negative results,
- 59:56Speaker 1: worse than 2022, can be blamed on COVID. Reading and
- 1:00:01Speaker 1: math scores are both below 2018 levels, not just 2022. Again,
- 1:00:06Speaker 1: 2022 is a big down year. And compared to 2015,
- 1:00:12Speaker 1: the share of American students below basic proficiency increased by
- 1:00:16Speaker 1: 7 percentage points in reading, 6 percentage points in math.
- 1:00:21Speaker 1: Only 65% of American kids reached at least level 2
- 1:00:25Speaker 1: in mathematics. In reading, 74% reached level 2. Now, American
- 1:00:35Speaker 1: students still scored above OECD average in reading and science
- 1:00:39Speaker 1: and close to the OECD average in math. 13% reached
- 1:00:44Speaker 1: the highest reading levels, more than twice the OECD average.
- 1:00:48Speaker 1: 8% reached the highest math levels, equal to the OECD average.
- 1:00:54Speaker 1: It's still a country that has outstanding students, but it
- 1:00:58Speaker 1: also has a large and sadly growing number of students
- 1:01:04Speaker 1: without even basic skills. Of course, the people, the countries
- 1:01:09Speaker 1: that are students that are far way ahead of the averages, uh,
- 1:01:15Speaker 1: Singapore and several Asian systems, uh, systems, particularly in mathematics,
- 1:01:21Speaker 1: 37% of Singaporean students reach the top math level compared
- 1:01:25Speaker 1: with 8% in the United States. Chinese results, um, from
- 1:01:31Speaker 1: select high-performing jurisdictions, right? The Chinese bias who participates to
- 1:01:38Speaker 1: do well in these things, which is not surprising, right?
- 1:01:48Speaker 1: So more than 40% of responding American students were not
- 1:01:59Speaker 1: given background questionnaires So the sampling here was not great.
- 1:02:06Speaker 1: You know, student and school participation fell short of PISA's
- 1:02:10Speaker 1: technical targets. Exclusions were above tolerance. And OECD says it
- 1:02:16Speaker 1: cannot rule out meaningful bias or determine its direction. So,
- 1:02:21Speaker 1: you know, they're placing a question mark on the U.S. results.
- 1:02:25Speaker 1: But they're not good. U.S. results are not good. And
- 1:02:28Speaker 1: the trend is dramatically negative. Now look, the conventional response is,
- 1:02:35Speaker 1: more money. But the United States already spends enormous sums
- 1:02:39Speaker 1: on education. You know, huge amounts of money on education,
- 1:02:44Speaker 1: more than most OECD. This is not an issue of money.
- 1:02:51Speaker 1: And of course, the money is spent by who? The
- 1:02:56Speaker 1: money is not spent by families to seek out quality.
- 1:03:02Speaker 1: The money is spent by government. Schools almost never lose customers.
- 1:03:09Speaker 1: Teachers are protected from performance consequences. And successful alternatives, like
- 1:03:16Speaker 1: some charter schools and private schools, face political barriers. Now
- 1:03:20Speaker 1: that's getting better in the United States, but it's still
- 1:03:22Speaker 1: not how it should be. We have a monopoly. We
- 1:03:27Speaker 1: have a tax-funded, government-controlled monopoly. that is run more than
- 1:03:35Speaker 1: anything else for the sake of the teachers' union. And
- 1:03:42Speaker 1: the consequence of that is failure. Failure of students, the
- 1:03:48Speaker 1: innocents here. Now, there's a lot of problems with curriculum.
- 1:03:53Speaker 1: There's a lot of problems with what is being taught
- 1:03:56Speaker 1: that you can blame the teacher colleges. But it's exactly
- 1:03:59Speaker 1: what you'd expect from a monopolized system. a system run
- 1:04:02Speaker 1: by the government. As I always say, why would you
- 1:04:05Speaker 1: think the schools would be better than the post office?
- 1:04:12Speaker 1: Neither one run particularly well, and for the similar reasons.
- 1:04:20Speaker 1: So what we need is more options in schooling. I
- 1:04:23Speaker 1: know school choice, as it's presented today, is not an ideal.
- 1:04:27Speaker 1: It's not what we fight for. We fight for complete
- 1:04:30Speaker 1: privatization of the school system, But it's better than nothing.
- 1:04:37Speaker 1: At least it gives parents some control. Some control, even
- 1:04:43Speaker 1: if not complete control. It still redistributes wealth, but it
- 1:04:47Speaker 1: makes the decision-maker about how that wealth is used the
- 1:04:51Speaker 1: parent and not a government bureaucrat. And as a transition
- 1:04:55Speaker 1: to complete privatization and the government completely separating itself from education,
- 1:05:01Speaker 1: I'll take it. Because in the meantime, the kids out
- 1:05:04Speaker 1: there are getting dumber and dumber, or not dumber and dumber, really,
- 1:05:08Speaker 1: less educated, which also makes them dumber. The piece of
- 1:05:15Speaker 1: result is also challenges the idea that smartphones can explain
- 1:05:20Speaker 1: the decline. You know, phones can distract students and schools,
- 1:05:26Speaker 1: you know, need to set some kind of rules around
- 1:05:28Speaker 1: their use. But here's a global technology, and yet it
- 1:05:33Speaker 1: doesn't affect everybody equally. The device is probably a factor,
- 1:05:39Speaker 1: but it's not an explanation. All right, let's cover a
- 1:05:45Speaker 1: few positive stories. All right. Uber and the British company Wavy,
- 1:05:55Speaker 1: something like that, have begun offering supervised autonomous rides to
- 1:06:00Speaker 1: paying customers in London. A rider requesting UberX, Uber Electric,
- 1:06:05Speaker 1: or Uber Comfort may be matched with a modified electric
- 1:06:09Speaker 1: Ford Mustang, machine Mach-E, using WayV's driving system. The rider
- 1:06:16Speaker 1: can accept it or switch to a conventional car. Now,
- 1:06:21Speaker 1: this is a commercial service, but it's not driverless yet.
- 1:06:26Speaker 1: There'll be a trained, licensed, private hire driver in the
- 1:06:31Speaker 1: driver's seat. And he can take control. And the initial
- 1:06:35Speaker 1: fleet is very small. The cars can travel across London
- 1:06:40Speaker 1: except to airports. They don't go on the highways. The
- 1:06:44Speaker 1: companies have not published enough disengagement and safety data, you know,
- 1:06:51Speaker 1: to verify that in London it's better than human drivers,
- 1:06:55Speaker 1: but we know from everywhere else it is. So we
- 1:07:01Speaker 1: will see, right? Again, the driver and the driver's seat
- 1:07:08Speaker 1: is just there for emergencies. And if this goes well,
- 1:07:15Speaker 1: the driver will go away. That's what's happening in other cities.
- 1:07:19Speaker 1: You know, what makes London launch interesting is that, you know,
- 1:07:26Speaker 1: customers are going to be paying for these rides. on
- 1:07:29Speaker 1: ordinary streets, London streets, with automated system doing the driving.
- 1:07:35Speaker 1: London is a demanding environment. Roads are narrow. They're old.
- 1:07:42Speaker 1: They're irregular. The system has to deal with buses and
- 1:07:46Speaker 1: bicycles and delivery vehicles and pedestrians and construction. And of course,
- 1:07:52Speaker 1: it has to deal with London weather. So this is
- 1:07:59Speaker 1: going to be interesting. And London, of course, is the
- 1:08:03Speaker 1: only city in Europe that I think is open to this.
- 1:08:06Speaker 1: So give them credit for that. Wavy's approach relies heavily
- 1:08:11Speaker 1: on machine learning rather than a complete set of hand-coded
- 1:08:15Speaker 1: rules and high-definition maps. It can transfer across vehicles and cities.
- 1:08:22Speaker 1: The economic payoff could be huge, right? Lower operating costs,
- 1:08:26Speaker 1: more available. Mobility, fuel crashes, and transportation. I mean, I'm
- 1:08:32Speaker 1: here in Barcelona that does not have Uber. Uber, never
- 1:08:37Speaker 1: mind Waymo. And I'm, you know, it's incredibly frustrating. Anyway,
- 1:08:45Speaker 1: we will see. But I'm excited. As you know, I
- 1:08:48Speaker 1: love autonomous cars. I've been in them. I've been in
- 1:08:51Speaker 1: Waymos in a bunch of places around the United States.
- 1:08:54Speaker 1: And we will see. We'll see if other companies enter
- 1:08:58Speaker 1: the London markets, supposedly. this is the WayV. But supposedly,
- 1:09:06Speaker 1: let's see. Oh, that was Uber and WayV. But supposedly,
- 1:09:15Speaker 1: Waymo and Baidu, the Chinese autonomous car, taxi company, are
- 1:09:21Speaker 1: also preparing to launch in London. And it'd be interesting
- 1:09:24Speaker 1: if Waymo launches with drivers, I mean, emergency drivers or not.
- 1:09:31Speaker 1: So great news. I'm super excited about this in London. ASML.
- 1:09:39Speaker 1: ASML is, of course, the company that makes the machines
- 1:09:43Speaker 1: that make the chips. The microprocessors, ASML is the only
- 1:09:49Speaker 1: maker of the machines that can make the high-end microprocessors. And,
- 1:09:54Speaker 1: you know, their main customer is TSMC, Intel, maybe a
- 1:09:59Speaker 1: couple of other companies around the world, Samsung, and a
- 1:10:01Speaker 1: few others. Well, ASML has formally begun construction on a
- 1:10:05Speaker 1: second large industrial campus in the Eindhoven region of the Netherlands.
- 1:10:12Speaker 1: It's a Netherland company. The project will be developed in phases.
- 1:10:16Speaker 1: The first buildings are due to open in 2029, and
- 1:10:19Speaker 1: they expect to house 3,000 employees in production, logistics, and offices.
- 1:10:24Speaker 1: At full build-out, the site could cover 350,000 square miles
- 1:10:29Speaker 1: and accommodate as many as 20,000 workplaces. We will see,
- 1:10:36Speaker 1: but they are expanding. The campus will include what ASML
- 1:10:42Speaker 1: calls a flow factory, Organizing production of lithography machines, these
- 1:10:47Speaker 1: are the machines that produce the microprocessors, more like continuous
- 1:10:51Speaker 1: systems used in automotive or aerospace manufacturing. These machines are
- 1:10:56Speaker 1: among the most complicated industrial products in the world, maybe
- 1:11:00Speaker 1: the most complicated. Extreme ultraviolet lithography allows chip makers to
- 1:11:05Speaker 1: produce the smallest and most advanced features at scale. This
- 1:11:13Speaker 1: is the digital economy in physical space. AI models, cloud services,
- 1:11:19Speaker 1: autonomous vehicles, modern weapons, they all depends on fabs. Fabs,
- 1:11:25Speaker 1: fabs mean the places where microprocessors are fabricated depend on equipment.
- 1:11:32Speaker 1: Equipment depends on lenses, lasers, precision stages, software, speciality materials,
- 1:11:42Speaker 1: thousands of suppliers. That's what the Dutch company does, puts
- 1:11:47Speaker 1: all that together, builds this machine. The Dutch government is
- 1:11:53Speaker 1: going to build the infrastructure for housing, roads, education, power grid,
- 1:11:59Speaker 1: but everything else is being built, as I understand it,
- 1:12:02Speaker 1: by ASML. So, yeah, this is good. This is... Important stuff,
- 1:12:12Speaker 1: progress in the making. Finally, in the United States, the U.S.
- 1:12:18Speaker 1: Department of Energy has closed a loan of up to $ 1. 9
- 1:12:22Speaker 1: billion to support NextEra Energy's proposed restart of the Dwayne
- 1:12:28Speaker 1: Arnold Energy Center in Linn County, Iowa. The plant stopped
- 1:12:32Speaker 1: operating in 2020. It is Iowa's only nuclear power plant.
- 1:12:36Speaker 1: Dwayne Arnold is rated at 615 megawatts, Energy departments said
- 1:12:41Speaker 1: that that is enough electricity for nearly 500,000 homes. NextEra
- 1:12:45Speaker 1: is targeting a return to service no later than the
- 1:12:48Speaker 1: first quarter of 2029. Google has agreed to buy power
- 1:12:52Speaker 1: from the plant under a 25-year contract while a local
- 1:12:57Speaker 1: cooperative is expected to take the remaining output. So data centers,
- 1:13:02Speaker 1: data centers, data centers bringing nuclear back. Now, In spite
- 1:13:09Speaker 1: of the fact it's a government loan, we don't like
- 1:13:11Speaker 1: government loans, this is good because it's in support of
- 1:13:14Speaker 1: nuclear power and we need nuclear power back online. Now,
- 1:13:20Speaker 1: all this still needs Nuclear Regulatory Commission approvals, inspections, engineering work, staffing.
- 1:13:25Speaker 1: This is why it's only 2029. And, you know, reactor
- 1:13:31Speaker 1: restart projects are running to delays. Let's hope this one doesn't.
- 1:13:36Speaker 1: But the economic logic here is strong. You know, electricity
- 1:13:39Speaker 1: demand is rising with data centers. And, you know, more
- 1:13:45Speaker 1: and more, I think, old nuclear power plants are going
- 1:13:47Speaker 1: to come back online. And hopefully, hopefully, hopefully, we will
- 1:13:51Speaker 1: actually get some new ones, some new ones being built.
- 1:13:56Speaker 1: I like this idea of Google writing a 25-year contract
- 1:14:00Speaker 1: to buy electricity. This is how you get electricity produced.
- 1:14:04Speaker 1: This is how you get new power come online is
- 1:14:07Speaker 1: by signing these long-term contracts. All right, my friends, that
- 1:14:12Speaker 1: is the news for this September 8th, 2026. It's a Tuesday.
- 1:14:22Speaker 1: Thank you. Thank you for joining me. Thank you for
- 1:14:24Speaker 1: being here. Thanks to Super Chatters. You kind of woke
- 1:14:27Speaker 1: up a little bit. Woke up a little bit. We're
- 1:14:30Speaker 1: still short a little bit for the second hour, but
- 1:14:33Speaker 1: much better than what it was like 40 minutes into
- 1:14:36Speaker 1: the show. It was scary. Scary, scary, scary stuff. All right.
- 1:14:42Speaker 1: Let me thank Paul and Darlene and Bonnie for their stickers.
- 1:14:48Speaker 1: Let's see. Who else do I need to thank for stickers?
- 1:14:51Speaker 1: That's it. No more stickers. Come on, people. Sticker people. Oh, Roland.
- 1:14:54Speaker 1: Roland's there. Of course Roland's there. Roland's always there. He's addicted.
- 1:15:00Speaker 1: I'm waiting for the lawsuit. Any day now, a letter
- 1:15:02Speaker 1: from his lawyer. He's addicted. All right. You can still
- 1:15:09Speaker 1: support the show with a sticker. Please do. You can
- 1:15:12Speaker 1: also support the show with a question. It's even better
- 1:15:16Speaker 1: that way, because that way I talk about what you
- 1:15:17Speaker 1: want me to talk about. I want to remind you,
- 1:15:23Speaker 1: Alex Epstein is a sponsor of the Iran Book Show
- 1:15:27Speaker 1: and is the world leading expert on all things energy. electricity,
- 1:15:33Speaker 1: you know, environmental regulations, and, of course, for self-fuel. And
- 1:15:36Speaker 1: Lakely is being really engaged with the whole issue of
- 1:15:39Speaker 1: data centers. So check him out. You can get Alex AI.
- 1:15:44Speaker 1: You can ask Alex questions and the AI answers. They're
- 1:15:47Speaker 1: really good. I use it all the time. And you
- 1:15:50Speaker 1: can actually read Alex, and you'll learn a huge amount
- 1:15:53Speaker 1: about all these topics. So check him out, alexepstein.substant.com. And
- 1:15:58Speaker 1: the Ironman Institute. ARU, next semester, starting soon, I am
- 1:16:05Speaker 1: teaching a class on civilization. What is Western civilization? What
- 1:16:10Speaker 1: are its origins? Where does it come from? And how
- 1:16:14Speaker 1: is it related, if any, if at all, to Christianity?
- 1:16:17Speaker 1: It'll be a 16-hour course. I'm really looking forward to it.
- 1:16:21Speaker 1: So please check it out. You can sign up at,
- 1:16:26Speaker 1: or you can get more information to sign up, einrand.org
- 1:16:29Speaker 1: slash YBS, einwand.org slash YBS. And you should, yeah, you
- 1:16:37Speaker 1: should become a.
- 1:16:40Speaker 2: Supporter of, not a supporter, you should become a student.
- 1:16:52Speaker 1: Now, I was supposed to tell you that if you're
- 1:16:55Speaker 1: a graded student in ALU, in the new ALU, you
- 1:17:00Speaker 1: will not have to pay tuition. Indeed, you'll pay $ 100
- 1:17:05Speaker 1: sign-up fee, but no tuition. And then if you get
- 1:17:08Speaker 1: a scholarship, they'll actually pay you for... They'll actually pay
- 1:17:18Speaker 1: you $ 500 for just being a student. So check it out. einrad.org
- 1:17:23Speaker 1: slash ybs. All right. Let's... Oh, to remind you, you
- 1:17:28Speaker 1: can become a monthly supporter of the Iran Book Show by...
- 1:17:33Speaker 1: by going to Patreon or PayPal and putting in your
- 1:17:37Speaker 1: on-book show and then signing up as a monthly contributor
- 1:17:41Speaker 1: to the show. And that way, if you're never live
- 1:17:45Speaker 1: and you never have an opportunity to do a super chat,
- 1:17:48Speaker 1: you know that you're trading with me. You're not just
- 1:17:52Speaker 1: receiving a value without paying for it. Alan, thank you
- 1:17:56Speaker 1: for the sticker. All right. Thank you, guys. We made
- 1:18:01Speaker 1: our target. We exceeded the target. That's good. It's a
- 1:18:04Speaker 1: new target, I guess. All right, let me deal with
- 1:18:07Speaker 1: Shazbat first, because he just did $ 250 here. But they're misapplied, Shazbat.
- 1:18:15Speaker 1: So he says, since Nikos doesn't have access, it falls
- 1:18:19Speaker 1: upon you to review Rick and Morty, season two, episode six.
- 1:18:23Speaker 1: The Rick must be crazy. Now, it turns out that
- 1:18:27Speaker 1: Nikos does have access. He actually watched the episode twice.
- 1:18:33Speaker 1: and is still trying to understand what it is about
- 1:18:37Speaker 1: the episode that you want him to review, because I
- 1:18:39Speaker 1: don't think he understands it. It was me who held
- 1:18:42Speaker 1: it up. It was me who held it up. Not Nikos.
- 1:18:47Speaker 1: So I haven't gotten access to it yet. I, will,
- 1:18:50Speaker 1: and I will watch it. Now, you've already paid for
- 1:18:53Speaker 1: this review. So I suggest you choose something else for
- 1:18:58Speaker 1: me to review so that you're not double paying for
- 1:19:05Speaker 1: the same reviews. I need to copy this over. Rick Morty,
- 1:19:09Speaker 1: Season 2, Episode 6. Edit, copy. Let me just open
- 1:19:16Speaker 1: a file and put it in there so that I
- 1:19:18Speaker 1: don't lose it. All right. So I will get a
- 1:19:23Speaker 1: hold of it, and hopefully in the next Euron and
- 1:19:26Speaker 1: Nikos Dialogue, we will review it together. I still owe
- 1:19:30Speaker 1: you a bunch of reviews of Star Trek and stuff.
- 1:19:33Speaker 1: all of that is on my list of to-dos to
- 1:19:37Speaker 1: be done soon. Soon, soon, soon. So, working on it. Sorry.
- 1:19:43Speaker 1: It really has been ridiculous how long it's taken me
- 1:19:45Speaker 1: to get to the reviews. I am, if John's out there,
- 1:19:49Speaker 1: John Glue, I'm finally listening to the book you asked
- 1:19:53Speaker 1: me to review, the one on Ford, on the turnaround
- 1:19:56Speaker 1: of Ford Motors. It's really good. And I will discuss
- 1:20:01Speaker 1: that probably in a couple of weeks once I finish
- 1:20:04Speaker 1: the book, but I'm, I'm, I'm pretty close to finishing it.
- 1:20:06Speaker 1: I'm probably two thirds, the three quarters into it. So, uh,
- 1:20:09Speaker 1: I will be reviewing that. After that, I will get
- 1:20:12Speaker 1: to Shazbot's various Star Trek. And I also owe Harrison,
- 1:20:18Speaker 1: I think, uh, reviews of music. So those are on
- 1:20:23Speaker 1: my agenda. I have not forgotten. All right. Selfie subscriber. Um,
- 1:20:31Speaker 1: Do you think Netanyahu is similar to Trump as a
- 1:20:33Speaker 1: kinder transactional spirit, as opposed to either of them being
- 1:20:37Speaker 1: more ideological towards an idealized future that doesn't include them
- 1:20:41Speaker 1: as being an all-powerful ruler? No, I really think Trump
- 1:20:45Speaker 1: and Netanyahu are very, very, very different people. They're very
- 1:20:49Speaker 1: different people. For one, Netanyahu is smart. I mean, he's
- 1:20:55Speaker 1: really smart. Trump is not. So Netanyahu in some sense,
- 1:21:01Speaker 1: is worse because he knows, he knows what he's doing.
- 1:21:06Speaker 1: He knows where the compromises are. He knows what should
- 1:21:10Speaker 1: be done. This is particularly true on economic policy, where
- 1:21:14Speaker 1: Netanyahu's being terrible. And he knows. He's Red Ayn Rand.
- 1:21:18Speaker 1: His brother, brothers, both brothers, Red Ayn Rand. He's had,
- 1:21:26Speaker 1: in the past, good economic advisers. When he was finance minister,
- 1:21:30Speaker 1: he was very good in economics. And he won't do it.
- 1:21:33Speaker 1: And he won't do it because this is the difference.
- 1:21:40Speaker 1: You know, Netanyahu is a real power luster. Like, you know,
- 1:21:46Speaker 1: Trump is a narcissist. Netanyahu is not a narcissist. Not
- 1:21:49Speaker 1: in the same way. It's not about people liking him.
- 1:21:52Speaker 1: It's about power. It's about sheer power. It's not about
- 1:21:57Speaker 1: being the center of attention. It's about power. So he's
- 1:22:01Speaker 1: compromised his beliefs in Israel's security for the sake of power.
- 1:22:05Speaker 1: He's compromised his beliefs in economics for the sake of power.
- 1:22:10Speaker 1: He's compromised his belief in a secular Israel for the
- 1:22:14Speaker 1: sake of power. Netanyahu is driven by one thing and
- 1:22:19Speaker 1: one thing only, and that is power. He relishes staying
- 1:22:24Speaker 1: in the position of prime minister. Now, he thinks he's
- 1:22:27Speaker 1: the smartest guy in the room as well. He thinks
- 1:22:29Speaker 1: he's the best, you know, so he's got all of
- 1:22:31Speaker 1: those elements. But he's character-wise very, very different, I think,
- 1:22:36Speaker 1: than Trump. He's also not, he doesn't do what Trump does.
- 1:22:39Speaker 1: He doesn't make these absurd, ridiculous statements. Now, he makes
- 1:22:44Speaker 1: actually really good statements and then doesn't live up to them.
- 1:22:47Speaker 1: And that's his pattern. His pattern is promising the moon
- 1:22:51Speaker 1: and not fulfilling on any of never living up to
- 1:22:56Speaker 1: his potential, never living up to his, the books he's written,
- 1:22:59Speaker 1: the statements he's made, the ideas he holds. So that's
- 1:23:05Speaker 1: the sense in which he is, you know, very different,
- 1:23:11Speaker 1: very different. And in some ways, because of the potential
- 1:23:15Speaker 1: he had, you know, he's really smart, really articulate. And
- 1:23:19Speaker 1: he knows a lot. He could have been a great
- 1:23:21Speaker 1: prime minister. And he chose to abandon principle for the
- 1:23:26Speaker 1: sake of power. And that I cannot forgive. All right, Lucretian.
- 1:23:36Speaker 1: Lucretian Objectivist from Sweden. Thank you, 50 American bucks. Well,
- 1:23:41Speaker 1: actually 70 if you count the two questions together. So
- 1:23:44Speaker 1: these are part one and part two. He says, thank
- 1:23:47Speaker 1: you and Nikos for the Mike Mensah discussion. Informative and
- 1:23:51Speaker 1: moving for X. I had no idea that, for example,
- 1:23:57Speaker 1: I had no idea that Mensah literally had to fight
- 1:24:00Speaker 1: his inner demons and still be the person that inspired
- 1:24:04Speaker 1: so many to read Rand. If Alex Epstein hadn't introduced
- 1:24:09Speaker 1: me to Rand, Mensah would have received the credit. And
- 1:24:13Speaker 1: to you for encouraging me as a viewer to attend
- 1:24:16Speaker 1: the ARC London 2022 conference. I'm glad you enjoyed it.
- 1:24:22Speaker 1: You should come to 2027 in vienna come on over
- 1:24:28Speaker 1: to vienna in 2027 and also you should invite me
- 1:24:32Speaker 1: to sweden to give a talk in sweden in uh
- 1:24:37Speaker 1: march of 2027 so let's do something in sweden together
- 1:24:41Speaker 1: all right thank you lucretion objectives i'm glad you enjoyed
- 1:24:45Speaker 1: the show yesterday and i really really appreciate the support
- 1:24:47Speaker 1: thank you michael just came in with 50 thank you
- 1:24:51Speaker 1: michael Is Ayn Rand largely to thank for why the
- 1:24:54Speaker 1: West has not collapsed into another dark age yet? No,
- 1:24:59Speaker 1: I don't think so. I mean, I think she's had
- 1:25:01Speaker 1: an influence. She's had an impact. But I don't know
- 1:25:05Speaker 1: how big of an impact, and I don't know if
- 1:25:07Speaker 1: she's solely responsible. I think the spirit of entrepreneurship, the
- 1:25:14Speaker 1: love of science and technology that Americans still, at least
- 1:25:17Speaker 1: to some extent, possess or possessed until recently, I think
- 1:25:24Speaker 1: Milton Friedman and other free market advocates played some role
- 1:25:28Speaker 1: in this. She was a part of it. She is
- 1:25:31Speaker 1: a part of it. But it's hard to tell how
- 1:25:37Speaker 1: exactly a culture absorbs these ideas and how a culture
- 1:25:42Speaker 1: exactly would evolve and develop. without Ayn Rand. And it's
- 1:25:55Speaker 1: hard to tell if Ayn Rand had more influence, what
- 1:25:57Speaker 1: it would look like exactly. So this kind of cultural
- 1:26:01Speaker 1: influence and how it, you know, it's very hard, particularly
- 1:26:06Speaker 1: when you're so close to it, to tell. I think
- 1:26:09Speaker 1: you have to have some historical perspective. It's better than
- 1:26:14Speaker 1: if she hadn't been? How much credit does she get
- 1:26:17Speaker 1: for not, the culture not descending into the Dark Ages?
- 1:26:20Speaker 1: I don't know, but I suspect that there are other
- 1:26:24Speaker 1: forces also involved in preventing it. She doesn't get, she
- 1:26:27Speaker 1: shouldn't get the sole credit. Raphael says, I would go
- 1:26:34Speaker 1: to Sweden, but not for a talk. I'm not even
- 1:26:38Speaker 1: going to ask why he would go. I will leave
- 1:26:43Speaker 1: it to all of your imaginations. All right, Thomas, are
- 1:26:49Speaker 1: you familiar with the works of Dutch author Frank He
- 1:26:54Speaker 1: is a leading historian on the subject of modern China.
- 1:26:58Speaker 1: He has many views that are very similar to yours
- 1:27:01Speaker 1: regarding China and economics. I am not familiar with him.
- 1:27:05Speaker 1: I'm copy-pasting this because I'm going to look for his stuff.
- 1:27:08Speaker 1: I assume he writes in English or his book is
- 1:27:12Speaker 1: translated into English, but I would be very interested in
- 1:27:15Speaker 1: finding some of it. Cool. I'll look him up. Thank you, Thomas.
- 1:27:23Speaker 1: I hope you're still enjoying Barcelona. We had lunch yesterday. Yesterday? Yeah,
- 1:27:27Speaker 1: it was yesterday at a nice restaurant. And it was cool.
- 1:27:31Speaker 1: It was great to meet face to face. He writes,
- 1:27:36Speaker 1: considering the AFD is gaining momentum in votes, Millet flirts
- 1:27:41Speaker 1: with the Argentinian nationalist populist. And I'm also afraid FRP
- 1:27:45Speaker 1: in Norway will follow suit as they have a large
- 1:27:48Speaker 1: subgroup of nationalists themselves. Do you think the culture... allows for,
- 1:27:55Speaker 1: is open to a principled free market type leader like
- 1:27:58Speaker 1: Millet or someone even better. As in the real world,
- 1:28:02Speaker 1: such a leader would face severe political obstacles. I mean,
- 1:28:06Speaker 1: I've said it many times. I think it's way too
- 1:28:08Speaker 1: early for a political leader. I don't think the world
- 1:28:10Speaker 1: is ready for us. I don't think the world is
- 1:28:13Speaker 1: ready for a true principled free market guy. I mean,
- 1:28:18Speaker 1: Millet in Argentina is kind of a fluke. And we'll see.
- 1:28:21Speaker 2: He is.
- 1:28:24Speaker 1: In the polls right now, he's struggling. His favorability numbers
- 1:28:28Speaker 1: are very negative. And I'll talk about him, I think,
- 1:28:36Speaker 1: tomorrow because there's an interview he did with The Economist
- 1:28:39Speaker 1: that I want to read. and comment on, but yeah,
- 1:28:44Speaker 1: I think it's too early. It's too early for politics.
- 1:28:47Speaker 1: The world, the culture is not ready. Politics is downstream
- 1:28:50Speaker 1: from culture. Catherine, um, stickers still don't work with my
- 1:29:01Speaker 1: broken iPhone. But iPhone 18 is coming out soon. Yes,
- 1:29:05Speaker 1: it is. And there's a foldable iPhone coming out. Exciting
- 1:29:12Speaker 1: time for iPhones. All right. Harrison says, sorry for my absence.
- 1:29:22Speaker 1: You usually stream while I'm at work. What do you
- 1:29:24Speaker 1: think of the Lindsay Clancy case? Oh, I've talked about
- 1:29:27Speaker 1: it quite a bit. Check out the past shows where
- 1:29:30Speaker 1: I talked about it. I don't buy the story that
- 1:29:37Speaker 1: she was such a psychotic state that she did not
- 1:29:40Speaker 1: know what she was doing. I don't buy that. You know,
- 1:29:46Speaker 1: she sent her husband out. She killed each child separately, slowly. Yeah,
- 1:29:54Speaker 1: it's just the details are horrific. I mean, she obviously
- 1:29:58Speaker 1: had a mental breakdown. A mother doesn't kill her children
- 1:30:00Speaker 1: just like that. But is she culpable? I think she's culpable.
- 1:30:05Speaker 1: I think she should have found guilty. But the jury didn't.
- 1:30:09Speaker 1: At least 11 of the jury didn't. It's a mistrial.
- 1:30:13Speaker 1: I don't think they'll try her again because 11 people
- 1:30:17Speaker 1: thought she was innocent. Or not innocent, but, you know,
- 1:30:20Speaker 1: not culpable. Michael, another $ 50. Thank you, Michael. what do
- 1:30:27Speaker 1: you make of the argument that holding onto hatred and
- 1:30:29Speaker 1: anger is a waste of energy and only hurts you,
- 1:30:32Speaker 1: but doesn't justice demand sustaining that anger and hate? Yeah.
- 1:30:36Speaker 1: I mean, I, I believe that anger and hatred are
- 1:30:39Speaker 1: legit important emotions. I mean, I don't know what you
- 1:30:42Speaker 1: mean by hanging onto them, but look, there are certain
- 1:30:45Speaker 1: people that I hate. It doesn't consume any energy. I
- 1:30:50Speaker 1: just know I hate them. That means I avoid them.
- 1:30:53Speaker 1: I don't have anything to do with them. Um, If
- 1:30:56Speaker 1: it's relevant, I denounce them, but I keep my distance.
- 1:31:02Speaker 1: And I certainly wouldn't interact voluntarily with them. So knowing
- 1:31:06Speaker 1: that I hate them is important, but hanging on to
- 1:31:08Speaker 1: the hatred as a constant and prevalent emotion in my life. Yeah,
- 1:31:14Speaker 1: I get that. What do I need that for? I
- 1:31:17Speaker 1: put it aside. I hate them. I put it aside.
- 1:31:19Speaker 1: Same with anger. I'm angry at somebody. But unless that
- 1:31:25Speaker 1: somebody is in my face all day long, you have
- 1:31:28Speaker 1: to be able to put that aside and go on
- 1:31:30Speaker 1: with your life. And when you see that person, you're
- 1:31:32Speaker 1: still angry with them. You're still expressing that anger or
- 1:31:38Speaker 1: you're still not dealing with them or whatever, however the
- 1:31:41Speaker 1: anger has manifested itself. So no, I don't think anger
- 1:31:45Speaker 1: and hatred should go away, but you should make sure
- 1:31:48Speaker 1: they don't dominate your life. They don't handicap you. from
- 1:31:52Speaker 1: your ability to live your life, because that would be unjust.
- 1:31:55Speaker 1: That would give the bad guy who caused your anger
- 1:31:59Speaker 1: and hatred way too much power over you. Anger and
- 1:32:04Speaker 1: hatred are primarily emotions to remind you, don't deal with
- 1:32:10Speaker 1: that person. That's it. And if you need more than that,
- 1:32:17Speaker 1: then you have to pursue more than that. It, again,
- 1:32:19Speaker 1: depends very much on the context. Thank you, Michael. All right,
- 1:32:29Speaker 1: have a sip. Anyone who's interested in relation between modern
- 1:32:33Speaker 1: AI and the neuroscience should look into the Golden Gate
- 1:32:37Speaker 1: neuron and Golden Gate clod. Modern AIs are simulated neural networks.
- 1:32:46Speaker 1: The implications are huge. Attributing a will or mind to
- 1:32:50Speaker 1: them is probably a bit far and philosophically fraught, but
- 1:32:53Speaker 1: they are simulations of brains. I don't know what that means.
- 1:32:59Speaker 1: I don't know that it means anything to say a
- 1:33:01Speaker 1: simulation of a brain. But yeah, they're pretty amazing things.
- 1:33:08Speaker 1: Harrison says, another news story is the Mississippi miracle. It
- 1:33:11Speaker 1: turns out that you can go from being one of
- 1:33:14Speaker 1: the worst educated states to one of the best in
- 1:33:17Speaker 1: a few years with just a few changes. Yes, Mississippi
- 1:33:21Speaker 1: has done a phenomenal job. They've changed their curriculum. They've
- 1:33:25Speaker 1: changed the way they deal with teachers and Mississippi has
- 1:33:30Speaker 1: skyrocketed on the, on the rankings in terms of reading
- 1:33:33Speaker 1: and math and, and the testing. So, uh, yeah, it,
- 1:33:37Speaker 1: it really is stunning. Mississippi school system is doing as well,
- 1:33:42Speaker 1: if not better than Massachusetts, which would be, was unthinkable
- 1:33:45Speaker 1: just a few years ago. So if it's a scribe
- 1:33:49Speaker 1: of $ 50, thank you. Thank you. Thank you. Um, being
- 1:33:52Speaker 1: a devil's advocate, do you think Netanyahu is as culpable
- 1:33:56Speaker 1: as Lindsay Clancy, Clancy, based on a standard of intent
- 1:34:01Speaker 1: to act. God, I mean, it's so different. I mean,
- 1:34:07Speaker 1: he's more in the sense that he, I mean, she
- 1:34:10Speaker 1: obviously went through depression and was psychologically, you know, unhinged.
- 1:34:17Speaker 1: Doesn't justify murder. He was not completely clear-minded. So he's
- 1:34:23Speaker 1: definitely culpable. But she literally, with her own hands, killed
- 1:34:26Speaker 1: three of her own children. That is monstrous. Netanyahu made really,
- 1:34:34Speaker 1: really bad judgments that we should preclude him from being
- 1:34:37Speaker 1: prime minister ever. But it's not in the same, it's
- 1:34:42Speaker 1: not the same kind of thing, I guess. It's not
- 1:34:47Speaker 1: the same kind of evil. I mean, he's responsible, but
- 1:34:52Speaker 1: he's not the one who actually killed Netanyahu. She's the
- 1:34:54Speaker 1: one who actually killed. Michael, are the people doing the
- 1:35:06Speaker 1: deregulation of the Trump administration influenced by Rand? I don't know.
- 1:35:11Speaker 1: You know, maybe to some extent. Chris Wright, I think,
- 1:35:17Speaker 1: has read Rand, is influenced by her, but is not
- 1:35:20Speaker 1: an objectivist. Maybe the Interior Secretary. I don't know who else,
- 1:35:25Speaker 1: but yeah, there are probably a few people. I mean, yeah. Michael,
- 1:35:36Speaker 1: is there a mood for deregulation across the West? I
- 1:35:40Speaker 1: don't think so. I mean, the Democratic Party certainly is
- 1:35:43Speaker 1: not in that mood. And Europe, while it keeps saying
- 1:35:48Speaker 1: that they need to deregulate, I haven't seen any indication
- 1:35:50Speaker 1: that they're actually going to do it. So no, I
- 1:35:55Speaker 1: don't see a general mood in the West. All right, Michael.
- 1:36:03Speaker 1: Despite the culture being saturated with altruism, the implicit egoism
- 1:36:06Speaker 1: in the culture seems to be able to override it. Yes,
- 1:36:09Speaker 1: I think people are implicitly eager to try to pursue
- 1:36:14Speaker 1: their own life and try to succeed in their own life.
- 1:36:17Speaker 1: And that is what drives the world in a positive direction.
- 1:36:21Speaker 1: They're productive. They're relatively rational at work, and they're not
- 1:36:26Speaker 1: quite willing to just lay down and sacrifice their lives.
- 1:36:29Speaker 1: That is the case, and I think to some extent
- 1:36:32Speaker 1: it's always been the case, but it's much more the
- 1:36:34Speaker 1: case since the Enlightenment and much more the case in
- 1:36:36Speaker 1: America than in other places. Michael, if you want to
- 1:36:44Speaker 1: control a population, create an imaginary enemy that appears more
- 1:36:47Speaker 1: dangerous than you, that presents yourself as their saver. then
- 1:36:52Speaker 1: present yourself as their savior. Yes, exactly. That's what Trump did.
- 1:36:56Speaker 1: That's what China does. It's what the Nazis did. It's
- 1:37:00Speaker 1: what the communists did. Absolutely. It's dictatorship, dictator 101. Okay, Roland,
- 1:37:12Speaker 1: you can relax. I prefer not to see the producers
- 1:37:14Speaker 1: of the stuff I'm addicted to. All right, good. I'm glad.
- 1:37:22Speaker 1: I was worried there for a moment. Lincoln says, be
- 1:37:25Speaker 1: talking to ARI about taking a lighter spring semester load
- 1:37:30Speaker 1: to join ALU as a graded student. Yes. Do it.
- 1:37:36Speaker 1: Do it, do it, do it. I'm excited. That would
- 1:37:39Speaker 1: be great. All right, guys. Thank you. It's late over here.
- 1:37:44Speaker 1: It's 1038. I'm off to bed. I will see you
- 1:37:50Speaker 1: guys tomorrow. I think tomorrow. What's the schedule like tomorrow? Tomorrow. Yeah,
- 1:38:00Speaker 1: it's a two o'clock, 2 p.m. East Coast time. So
- 1:38:03Speaker 1: not the later time. No show on Thursday. Yes, show
- 1:38:07Speaker 1: on Friday. No show Saturday and Sunday. Yeah. No, wait.
- 1:38:20Speaker 1: That's the following week. Yeah, no show on Saturday and Sunday.
- 1:38:25Speaker 1: Harrison says, a simulated neural network means a computer simulation
- 1:38:28Speaker 1: of many neurons hooked up. and interacting in roughly the
- 1:38:31Speaker 1: same way physical brain cells do. I'm very suspicious of
- 1:38:37Speaker 1: interacting in roughly the same way physical brain cells do
- 1:38:40Speaker 1: because I suspect we don't really know much about how
- 1:38:44Speaker 1: the physical brain cells interact with one another. think we
- 1:38:51Speaker 1: know very little about that we will know more in
- 1:38:54Speaker 1: the future so that's the sense in which i don't
- 1:38:56Speaker 1: think it's a real simulation it's a simulation of what
- 1:38:58Speaker 1: we think right now of maybe the best knowledge we
- 1:39:03Speaker 1: have right now of how brain cells interact with one
- 1:39:06Speaker 1: another but i think if you talk to neuroscientists the
- 1:39:12Speaker 1: the honest response is we don't know that much about
- 1:39:14Speaker 1: it all right guys i will see you tomorrow Bye, everybody,
- 1:39:20Speaker 1: and thank you, thank you, thank you to all the
- 1:39:22Speaker 1: Super Chatters who came through today big time.