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UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett | MMA DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays & Process · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

0:05
Speaker 1: All systems going clear. We lift.
0:36
Speaker 2: We're back talking some fights UFC three twenty four with
0:40
Speaker 2: my man Big Marley. After a month and I mean
0:44
Speaker 2: five weeks, I think it was. We are back finally
0:47
Speaker 2: talking some fights. It wasn't along five weeks. We're talking
0:49
Speaker 2: a little pre show. I always I'm indifferent about it.
0:54
Speaker 2: We do a lot of work, put in a lot
0:56
Speaker 2: of effort every single week in MMA with all of
0:58
Speaker 2: our slate, plan, rankings, projections, ownership, watching all these fighters,
1:03
Speaker 2: a lot of them, you know. But the roster is huge,
1:06
Speaker 2: so it definitely has a lot of work throughout the week.
1:08
Speaker 2: So getting a little break during the busiest time New Year's, Christmas, traveling,
1:12
Speaker 2: that's nice. But man, saturdays are not the same without UFC.
1:16
Speaker 2: But hey, it makes you appreciate it even more when
1:18
Speaker 2: you don't have it every week, you get a little break,
1:20
Speaker 2: it comes back, you appreciate it more, at least I do.
1:22
Speaker 2: So I'm pumped to watch some fights T Mobile Arena
1:25
Speaker 2: Capital Fight, Capital of the World, thirteen fights, UFC three
1:29
Speaker 2: twenty four paramount It is the first week there. So
1:32
Speaker 2: if you have ESPN plus and not paramounts just for UFC,
1:36
Speaker 2: get rid of you or ESPN get yourself some paramounts. Yeah,
1:40
Speaker 2: all pay per views, They're not even such a thing anymore.
1:43
Speaker 2: Every single card you will be able to watch with
1:45
Speaker 2: that subscription, Big Marley, how is your break good? To
1:48
Speaker 2: see what's going on?
1:50
Speaker 3: It was good.
1:50
Speaker 4: Yeah, a little too long, but it was good. I
1:53
Speaker 4: always like having that break, especially after a bunch of
1:56
Speaker 4: cards having a little burnout. I know the year didn't
1:59
Speaker 4: end well for me, so I was ready for the break.
2:03
Speaker 4: But man, I was ready for fights like two weeks ago.
2:06
Speaker 4: So hopefully next year is not gonna be that long.
2:09
Speaker 4: But yeah, I just signed up for Paramount Plus today.
2:13
Speaker 4: Can't wait for it. Man, I'm looking forward to I mean,
2:15
Speaker 4: I think it's a pretty solid card. But I would
2:17
Speaker 4: have been excited for really any card that they would
2:19
Speaker 4: have given us this week. To be honest with you,
2:21
Speaker 4: but we're starving for some star power, and we have
2:24
Speaker 4: Patty on this card. We have O'Malley on this card,
2:27
Speaker 4: So the UFC could really use a win from at
2:29
Speaker 4: least one of those too.
2:30
Speaker 2: I feel like, for sure in the UFC wasted no time.
2:33
Speaker 2: I mean, this is a good card. Patty Gachie is
2:36
Speaker 2: supposed to be aman in Nuniaz Kayla Harrison. There's gonna
2:39
Speaker 2: be two five rounders. Unfortunately that fights off, but we
2:42
Speaker 2: still have thirteen fights again one to five rounder, but
2:45
Speaker 2: thirteen fights is good when it comes to dfs. A
2:48
Speaker 2: couple big favorites, but it's priced efficiently. Outside of the
2:51
Speaker 2: main event DraftKings, they're never gonna change. I don't think
2:54
Speaker 2: FanDuel gets it right accounting for the five rounds in
2:57
Speaker 2: the pricing DK it does not, but Umar minus fifty
3:00
Speaker 2: ninety nine hundred, Gattier ninety seven hundred minus eight hundred,
3:05
Speaker 2: so at least they do have the really hot big
3:07
Speaker 2: favorites priced all the way up, so I'm excited. I
3:11
Speaker 2: do expect some dogs to be barking as well. We'll
3:13
Speaker 2: go fight by fight like always, we gotta bring the noise.
3:16
Speaker 2: Nate Wyas and Marquee th appreciate everyone hanging out watching
3:21
Speaker 2: live watching on playback. Oh we asked, is hit the
3:24
Speaker 2: like butt hit the subscribe button helps us out a
3:26
Speaker 2: ton and then next week they didn't waste any time either.
3:29
Speaker 2: UFC three twenty five Volk Diego Lopez, Benoad, Daniel or
3:34
Speaker 2: Daniel Hooker phyzebe hoofy I mean man yeah, we got
3:38
Speaker 2: we got some fights these next two weeks. I'm definitely
3:41
Speaker 2: pumped any broadside overview for you before we go fight
3:44
Speaker 2: by fight.
3:47
Speaker 3: No, not really.
3:48
Speaker 4: I have more of like a slate overview that I
3:51
Speaker 4: put in the notes over at ship in Nation, but
3:54
Speaker 4: I feel like it kind of just is more of
3:55
Speaker 4: a spoiler alert.
3:57
Speaker 2: All right, all right, uh before we do go live,
3:59
Speaker 2: so we do have a daily pass now here, let
4:01
Speaker 2: me go like this just real quick before we go live.
4:05
Speaker 2: So over here at chipination dot com, if you click
4:08
Speaker 2: Join the Nation, you want to get in with us.
4:10
Speaker 2: We did not have a daily pass prior, and I
4:12
Speaker 2: mean I think it was a big mistake for sports
4:14
Speaker 2: like in MMA, A NASCAR. If you want to get in,
4:18
Speaker 2: you don't play any other sports. You just want to
4:19
Speaker 2: get in for the MMA day, big car, big prizes.
4:22
Speaker 2: You can get in as low as nine dollars, get
4:24
Speaker 2: all of our content, get sabersim just no discord, and
4:27
Speaker 2: that does get you access to all the sports. But
4:30
Speaker 2: for just ten more dollars you get four more days.
4:33
Speaker 2: And I think this would be an awesome week to
4:35
Speaker 2: do it because NFL on Sunday obviously, I mean massive games,
4:39
Speaker 2: big boy prizes, get Showdown content as well. Love you
4:42
Speaker 2: covered in the NFL streets of course, you get MBA,
4:45
Speaker 2: you get NHL, you get PGA Showdown, and you get MMA.
4:49
Speaker 2: So a lot of sports going on right now. You
4:51
Speaker 2: can try us out for the day if you want
4:52
Speaker 2: all the MMA content, but just again, ten days, you
4:56
Speaker 2: get a lot more days, get your access to a
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Speaker 2: lot more sports, and gets you in the discord. Now
5:01
Speaker 2: I'm gonna flip screens back and I just logged in
5:04
Speaker 2: to stream Yard and I'm seeing this, so it looks
5:10
Speaker 2: like you also could get all Sorry I just eliminated
5:13
Speaker 2: Big Marley. I'll get Big Marley on here in a sec.
5:15
Speaker 2: But all access plus Sabersim free until the waste management
5:19
Speaker 2: using the code Vincerex, So you can check that out
5:23
Speaker 2: as well. I did not know about that. It was
5:26
Speaker 2: right on the stream Yard, so hey, you can give
5:29
Speaker 2: that a try as well. Nothing better than free in
5:31
Speaker 2: this world. So all access and Sabersim using that code.
5:35
Speaker 2: I would definitely make sure to check that out and
5:37
Speaker 2: get all of our content. Let's bring my man Big
5:40
Speaker 2: Marley back in. We'll go fight by fight, we go
5:42
Speaker 2: bottom to top like always, first fight of the night,
5:46
Speaker 2: ty Miller minus four to twenty five taken on Adam.
5:49
Speaker 2: If you get plus three fifty five minus two ten
5:51
Speaker 2: for this fight to finish, Miller minus one fifty inside
5:55
Speaker 2: the distance. F you get plus five fifty, I'm gonna
5:58
Speaker 2: throw it to Big Marley. I just want to note
6:00
Speaker 2: I put the money lines in on Monday, and then
6:05
Speaker 2: like the first half of the fights or like whatever
6:07
Speaker 2: they had up for the inside of the distance props,
6:09
Speaker 2: which was like seven of the thirteen I put in Monday.
6:12
Speaker 2: The rest I filled in on Tuesday. So yeah, when
6:15
Speaker 2: I'm going through, you can see the line movement differences.
6:17
Speaker 2: And I always updated Friday morning. But what are we doing?
6:20
Speaker 2: First fight of the night? Ty Miller a good size favored.
6:24
Speaker 3: I'm cool using this fight. I think it could be.
6:28
Speaker 4: Just fairly one sided either way that it goes Fuget.
6:31
Speaker 3: I don't know that he's like a grappler.
6:33
Speaker 4: He's more of a well rounded fighter, but in this
6:35
Speaker 4: fight he needs to be a grappler because I just
6:37
Speaker 4: don't see him having any success on the feet. Miller
6:40
Speaker 4: looks like a really good boxer MMA boxer especially. He
6:44
Speaker 4: uses his length really well, and I think it's gonna
6:48
Speaker 4: be all Miller while the fight is standing, but I
6:51
Speaker 4: think his weakness would be his takedown defense and possibly
6:55
Speaker 4: being on his back on the ground, and that is
6:57
Speaker 4: where Fugut could have success here. I mean, he could
7:00
Speaker 4: have so much success that he he should have looked
7:03
Speaker 4: like he was the favorite when I mean when the
7:05
Speaker 4: fight's over. So I definitely want some of this fight.
7:08
Speaker 4: I put it as four to Miller, but I could
7:12
Speaker 4: definitely switch that to a four to two Fuget by
7:15
Speaker 4: the time I'm done building my lineup, so I really
7:17
Speaker 4: have no real preference on this one.
7:19
Speaker 3: I'm picking Miller to win by knockout.
7:22
Speaker 4: I just think that he's gonna be able to keep
7:24
Speaker 4: the fight on the feed more so than Fugu will
7:26
Speaker 4: be able to get it to the ground. He's like
7:28
Speaker 4: twelve years younger than this guy. He looks pretty solid,
7:31
Speaker 4: So I'm picking Miller to get the win. I think
7:33
Speaker 4: the UFC wants Miller to win here as well, but
7:36
Speaker 4: for DFS purposes, Fugu could just break the slate right
7:39
Speaker 4: out of the gates. So I definitely want to be
7:41
Speaker 4: a little bit overweight to him, at least a little
7:44
Speaker 4: bit overweight to him, if not a lot of bit overweight,
7:46
Speaker 4: So we'll see how much I end up with, but
7:48
Speaker 4: I'll change it in the notes over a ship in
7:49
Speaker 4: nation if I do end up with a you know,
7:52
Speaker 4: a four to two type of leverage on fuge.
7:54
Speaker 2: Yeah, I did to play both sides of this fight
7:56
Speaker 2: as well. If you get the appeal to him is
7:59
Speaker 2: I do not like anyone else below seven k It's
8:02
Speaker 2: few gets six point nine Rows six eight Pully have
8:05
Speaker 2: six' Five davison sixty. THREE i don't plan on playing
8:08
Speaker 2: any of. Them If i'm playing a handful of. Lineups
8:10
Speaker 2: if he gets the cheapest ONE i want to go,
8:12
Speaker 2: to and if he, wins like you, said it's probably
8:14
Speaker 2: through wrestling on the, ground which scores twenty five years
8:17
Speaker 2: old making HIS ufc. Debut is Ty miller only six
8:20
Speaker 2: to oh striking looks? GOOD i, mean he probably. Wins
8:23
Speaker 2: but we see there's a lot more unknowns on guys
8:25
Speaker 2: like this than when we get to the upper like
8:29
Speaker 2: Gott here at minus eight, Hundred umar at minus fifteen.
8:32
Speaker 2: Hundred like these, guys especially Like, umar's they HAVE ufc.
8:35
Speaker 2: Experience they know What Davison. FIG eighto, is they know
8:38
Speaker 2: What umar. Is so the line feels a lot, SAFER i,
8:41
Speaker 2: guess or more accurate where there is guest work on
8:44
Speaker 2: Ty miller and. Stuff if you get two and three
8:46
Speaker 2: in THE, UFC i, mean he'll fight for your dollar
8:48
Speaker 2: you can. Ask you can't really ask for much more than.
8:51
Speaker 2: That So Derek lewis is only one hundred. More he'll
8:54
Speaker 2: also be a lot more. POPULAR i Think Arnold allen
8:56
Speaker 2: probably a decent bit more for two hundred more as.
8:59
Speaker 2: Well So i'm fine leaving the money From allen From
9:02
Speaker 2: lewis and playing. Fugits so definitely in on, there and
9:06
Speaker 2: Ty miller the nice thing about. Him SO i don't
9:08
Speaker 2: Like Natalia silva for one hundred. More at ninety four,
9:11
Speaker 2: Hundred gattier And umar definitely look. Better BUT i mean
9:15
Speaker 2: that's four hundred dollars we're talking up To gattier and
9:19
Speaker 2: six hundred up To, umar so you get a big
9:21
Speaker 2: price difference, there at least some savings with Ty. MILLER
9:25
Speaker 2: i wouldn't leave six hundred and do a one v
9:28
Speaker 2: one pivot To miller To. UMAR i don't like that as.
9:31
Speaker 2: Much i'm fine with doing it To gadier Though it's
9:34
Speaker 2: still not my favorite way to go about, it BUT
9:37
Speaker 2: i DO i Mean gadia gets a second round knockout
9:40
Speaker 2: for one oh, two very very. POSSIBLE i Think miller
9:43
Speaker 2: could outscore that in a way to get. Different so a,
9:46
Speaker 2: Fight i'm it's. Fine like your three STAR i think
9:49
Speaker 2: is pretty. Accurate i'm gonna play Some, Miller i'm gonna
9:51
Speaker 2: play Some, fugitt But i'll definitely have fight Fades. MILLER
9:54
Speaker 2: a second round ko might not be enough just to,
9:57
Speaker 2: strike or third round probably isn't. Decision most def not
10:00
Speaker 2: anyfe you get WIN i would, take but obviously a big.
10:03
Speaker 2: Dog so, yeah solid fight to, start not one That
10:07
Speaker 2: i'm overly Or i'm gonna be too overweight. Too another interesting.
10:11
Speaker 2: Fight you have it a three. STAR i. Agree Cameron
10:13
Speaker 2: smotherman taking On Ricky tertios minus one eighty. Two smotherman
10:17
Speaker 2: plus one fifty seven Is ricky plus one ninety five
10:20
Speaker 2: for this fight to. Finish Smother man plus three ten
10:23
Speaker 2: inside the Distance tertios plus four eighty. Five SO i
10:26
Speaker 2: like this fight a lot less THAN i did On.
10:29
Speaker 2: Tuesday you remember WHEN i was talking THAT i did
10:30
Speaker 2: Odds monday and inside the Distance. Tuesday it was plus
10:34
Speaker 2: one sixty for this fight to finish On. Tuesday now
10:36
Speaker 2: it's plus one ninety. Five that's a good amount of
10:39
Speaker 2: steam in just a couple of. Days on the. OVER
10:43
Speaker 2: i mean it's dog or pass mainly for me When
10:45
Speaker 2: i'm seeing, That ricky's my preferred play because eighty two
10:49
Speaker 2: might be enough at seventy six, Hundred BUT i think
10:52
Speaker 2: Smother man has the striking. Advantage Hopefully ricky. Wrestles do
10:55
Speaker 2: you see it the.
10:55
Speaker 4: Same, yeah if it goes to, DISTANCE i think it's
10:59
Speaker 4: It's ricky Or. PASS i just don't see How smotherman
11:02
Speaker 4: is gonna score well in a decision. Win he's gonna
11:06
Speaker 4: need to keep the fight on the. Feet he's not
11:07
Speaker 4: gonna blow you away with. VOLUME i do think he
11:10
Speaker 4: could Knockout ricky in really any round, here and it
11:14
Speaker 4: could be one where the volume is just adding up
11:16
Speaker 4: over time and he puts him way in the second
11:18
Speaker 4: or the third.
11:19
Speaker 3: Round maybe the third. Round i'm thinking it's too. Late
11:21
Speaker 3: we're probably looking at a.
11:22
Speaker 4: First or a second round knockout for him to break
11:27
Speaker 4: the slate be you, know or have a good chance
11:30
Speaker 4: at the optimal over guys like An umar or A
11:33
Speaker 4: tiba or who do we just talk About? Miller SO
11:37
Speaker 4: i DON'T i don't Love, smotherman BUT i do think
11:40
Speaker 4: he could knock Out ricky, here So i'm gonna get
11:42
Speaker 4: a little bit of him and Then ricky on the cheap.
11:44
Speaker 4: Side he's scored over one HUNDRED i think over one
11:47
Speaker 4: hundred and ten in both of his wins in THE
11:50
Speaker 4: ufc one hundred and nineteen and one hundred and, thirteen
11:52
Speaker 4: and his two, wins it's just so so much action
11:55
Speaker 4: once he gets the fight to the, ground and he
11:57
Speaker 4: could have his way with Smother man if he's able
11:59
Speaker 4: to get the fight to the. Ground so he's one
12:01
Speaker 4: of those, underdogs kind of like a, fugate but a
12:04
Speaker 4: little bit more reliable in his wins that he should
12:07
Speaker 4: put up a big score if he's able to get
12:08
Speaker 4: his hand raised. Here SO i could see me changing
12:11
Speaker 4: this one as well to a two On smotherman and
12:13
Speaker 4: a four On ricky FOR, dfs but my ultimate pick
12:18
Speaker 4: Was smotherman by like a third ROUND tko or. DECISION
12:22
Speaker 4: i just think he's going to be able to keep
12:23
Speaker 4: the fight on the feet long enough to get his hand,
12:26
Speaker 4: raised so might be a two star overall since you
12:29
Speaker 4: mentioned it being plus one ninety five now to end
12:32
Speaker 4: inside the distance that definitely makes me like it, less
12:35
Speaker 4: But i'm definitely cool with either.
12:36
Speaker 2: Side, yeah that was big for. Me this fight was
12:40
Speaker 2: already going to be low, owned SO i, thought, okay
12:42
Speaker 2: Like smotherman was plus two eighty FIVE i think to,
12:46
Speaker 2: finish And tertio's was plus four hundred solid inside the
12:49
Speaker 2: distance for their. Ownership but, man that thirty five cents
12:52
Speaker 2: in two days for the over really makes The smotherman
12:55
Speaker 2: side just a primary striker a lot harder to. CLICK
12:58
Speaker 2: i still will play Some. Ricky let me know if
13:01
Speaker 2: this is You Tyler, hicks or if this is someone,
13:03
Speaker 2: Else BUT i can promise You i'm not one minus
13:05
Speaker 2: one fifty over anybody in the men's division in THE,
13:09
Speaker 2: ufc probably not anyone in the woman's. Either i'd be
13:12
Speaker 2: like a plus a. Million SO i appreciate your it's
13:15
Speaker 2: not even a compliment to. Me you're Dissing. Tertios but,
13:18
Speaker 2: yeah that man would do whatever he wanted to me
13:21
Speaker 2: at the end of the, day like all these other guys.
13:23
Speaker 2: Were but, YEAH i mean, yeah he had a, crazy
13:26
Speaker 2: crazy fight In The Ultimate fighter too. Him he came
13:29
Speaker 2: in it seemed like he was gonna be the one
13:30
Speaker 2: of the dfs, goats just like always doing. Something then
13:33
Speaker 2: he got the most boring staring match of all time
13:37
Speaker 2: With amen's a hobby and, yeah from then it wasn't
13:39
Speaker 2: A it hasn't been, great but he's seventy six hundred
13:42
Speaker 2: good money line for the. PRICE i think he's gonna
13:45
Speaker 2: try and. Wrestle you can do worse spots on this,
13:47
Speaker 2: card so you dogger pass for me in this. One all? Right,
13:50
Speaker 2: good good to see, It. Tyler, yeah shot up shadow.
13:54
Speaker 2: Box that's all you would need to. Do i'd be,
13:56
Speaker 2: Running i'd be on my. Bike i'd be scared of the.
13:58
Speaker 2: Jab all, right we'll keep it. Rolling good fight right.
14:01
Speaker 2: Here Anthony hernandez minus One Anthony Hernandez Alexander hernandez minus
14:06
Speaker 2: one forty nine taking On Michael. Johnson actually did? That just?
14:10
Speaker 2: Update let me refresh quick minus one Forty. Okay taking
14:16
Speaker 2: these on fight odds Dot. Io looking at bet. Online
14:19
Speaker 2: they're usually the ones that put out odds. First one
14:21
Speaker 2: of the sharper ones out. There Alexander hernandez minus one
14:24
Speaker 2: Forty Michael johnson plus one twenty minus one oh five
14:27
Speaker 2: for this fight to. Finish hernandez plus two twenty inside
14:31
Speaker 2: the Distance johnson plus two eighty five another fight minus
14:35
Speaker 2: one thirty to finish On tuesday now plus one oh.
14:38
Speaker 2: Five that's thirty five cents to the. Over not, Great
14:42
Speaker 2: and HOW i see, IT i Think hernandez strikes very.
14:46
Speaker 2: Confident Michael johnson just, Strikes so if it is a
14:49
Speaker 2: just a striking, match over two and a half is
14:51
Speaker 2: minus one. SIXTY i don't love this. FIGHT i really.
14:54
Speaker 2: Don't there is only two mid tier fights on the.
14:56
Speaker 2: Card this is one of. Them the other one is
14:59
Speaker 2: Uh bukalkis And, kreelov way way better. Fight one of
15:03
Speaker 2: the best fights on the. Car but, YEAH i Think
15:05
Speaker 2: i'm in agreement with your two. STAR i like it
15:07
Speaker 2: less THAN i did On. Tuesday give me the eight
15:09
Speaker 2: hundred savings And johnson is my preferred.
15:11
Speaker 4: Play, Yeah I'm i'm gonna try and avoid this. Fight
15:16
Speaker 4: my pick Is hernandez to win twenty nine to twenty
15:19
Speaker 4: eight in a okay fight where maybe he lands one
15:24
Speaker 4: or two takedowns along the. WAY i think it's his
15:26
Speaker 4: power on the feet Against johnson's, speed AND i just
15:29
Speaker 4: think it's gonna be a back and forth striking match
15:31
Speaker 4: that neither one of them are gonna put up a
15:33
Speaker 4: big score and a win if it is just that
15:36
Speaker 4: back and, forth and, Sure i'd rather save the money On,
15:39
Speaker 4: johnson BUT i Think johnson is more likely.
15:42
Speaker 3: To get knocked.
15:42
Speaker 4: OUT i also Think hernandez is more likely to, Wrestle
15:46
Speaker 4: so he's my slight lean FOR dfs and my lean
15:49
Speaker 4: to win the. Fight but this is a Fight i'm
15:52
Speaker 4: trying to get away. From i'm trying to get away
15:54
Speaker 4: from the one star for, sure and then the other two.
15:57
Speaker 4: Star those are gonna be my, fades AND i think
15:59
Speaker 4: That i'm fine with pieces on all these other.
16:01
Speaker 2: Fights come, On, phil you're talking About Arnold allen, fight
16:06
Speaker 2: which is the fourth fight down the. List right, here
16:09
Speaker 2: we're going fight by, fight bottom the. Top if you
16:12
Speaker 2: want to cancel, yourself you can cancel. Yourself and when
16:14
Speaker 2: we get to, THAT i don't even know what question you're.
16:16
Speaker 2: Asking is it really someone who THINKS i, mean of
16:19
Speaker 2: course people think he's, live but, like we're gonna get
16:21
Speaker 2: to our thoughts on that card in six fights or.
16:25
Speaker 2: Whatever but, YEAH i, mean come, on come, On, phil
16:28
Speaker 2: let's get to the next fight on the. CARD i
16:30
Speaker 2: got nothing more to. Add, michael give me the eight
16:32
Speaker 2: hundred savings or pass more, So hernandez has. Power That
16:37
Speaker 2: Chase hooper knockout was, nice SO i don't think it
16:39
Speaker 2: has to be a full. Fade but he falls down
16:41
Speaker 2: my list. Again that's two fights back to back where
16:44
Speaker 2: the over is taken thirty five cents in two. Days
16:46
Speaker 2: that's SOMETHING i look at heavily AND i.
16:49
Speaker 3: Do not like it.
16:49
Speaker 2: Much next fight on the, card the first of two heavyweight,
16:53
Speaker 2: Fights josh Poke it minus two Twenty Denzel freeman plus
16:57
Speaker 2: one eighty five minus two hundred for this fight to,
17:00
Speaker 2: finish Hok it minus one oh five inside the Distance
17:02
Speaker 2: freeman plus two eighty. Five many will Remember Denzel freeman
17:08
Speaker 2: as one of the most boring fights you will. See
17:10
Speaker 2: back In, NOVEMBER i thinky. Landed was it forty seven significant?
17:14
Speaker 2: STRIKES i mean something is as awful as it. Gets
17:17
Speaker 2: now finds himself as a dog against Hok. It usually
17:20
Speaker 2: WHEN i don't have anything, here it means it's THEIR ufc,
17:23
Speaker 2: debut but that's not the. Case it's just both have
17:26
Speaker 2: had one fight in THE ufc and the numbers are very.
17:28
Speaker 2: Misleading IF i put them up there like Hoke, it
17:31
Speaker 2: let me, SEE i wrote it down with two knockdowns,
17:37
Speaker 2: yep fifty six seconds two, knockdowns and His Contender series,
17:40
Speaker 2: fight he landed six takedowns in two. Rounds so like
17:45
Speaker 2: when you combine those his significant strikes per minute five
17:47
Speaker 2: point one two takedowns twelve point, eight it's just a
17:50
Speaker 2: misleading stat And freeman's is really really bad since he landed.
17:54
Speaker 2: Nothing so this is both their second fights in THE.
17:56
Speaker 2: UFC i want to mention that first of two heavyweight
17:59
Speaker 2: fights on this, card it is minus two hundred now to,
18:01
Speaker 2: finish and it was minus two, twenty so again little
18:04
Speaker 2: money coming in on the over break this one.
18:06
Speaker 4: Down, Yeah freeman is just gonna be Somebody i'm trying
18:12
Speaker 4: to get away from at all.
18:13
Speaker 3: TIMES i am not a big fan of this guy at.
18:15
Speaker 4: ALL i didn't really like him going into THAT ufc,
18:18
Speaker 4: fight and that was one of my least favorite fights
18:19
Speaker 4: of all time BECAUSE i THINK i was pretty close
18:22
Speaker 4: to all in on it FOR dns purposes AND i
18:25
Speaker 4: KNEW i was, dead like first fight of the. Night,
18:27
Speaker 4: yeah and he's just not somebody who's a good. Striker
18:30
Speaker 4: he could hit you hard and knock you. Out he's
18:33
Speaker 4: a better wrestler than he is a, striker but he's
18:36
Speaker 4: not somebody WHO i think is gonna wrestle heavily. Either
18:39
Speaker 4: if this is a slow paced, FIGHT i think It's
18:42
Speaker 4: freeman's fight to. Win But, hockey in my, opinion is
18:46
Speaker 4: better everywhere Than. FREEMAN i think he's gonna be the
18:48
Speaker 4: better wrestler, here the higher paced, wrestler the guy who
18:50
Speaker 4: will actually do work in top. CONTROL i think he's
18:53
Speaker 4: the better striker who's going to be more dangerous and
18:55
Speaker 4: pushing the. Pace SO i Like hockey quite a bit
18:58
Speaker 4: in this. Fight my biggest worry would Be hockey on his.
19:02
Speaker 4: BACK i Think freeman could do some work, there but
19:05
Speaker 4: he's just he's so. BAD i Show hockett ruins him
19:09
Speaker 4: in the first round and we never See freeman. Again
19:11
Speaker 4: to be honest with, you So i'll be heavy On
19:13
Speaker 4: hockett NINE. K i'll probably have More hockett than than
19:17
Speaker 4: those nine point seven to nine point NINE k, fighters
19:22
Speaker 4: And i'll.
19:22
Speaker 3: Be hoping he gets another quick win.
19:24
Speaker 2: Bonus to be, honest, YEAH i MEAN i think just
19:26
Speaker 2: you alone saying that you'll have more Hoke it than
19:28
Speaker 2: you Will gattier Or umar is a pretty hot. Take
19:32
Speaker 2: we're looking at. OWNERSHIP i guess we got all of.
19:34
Speaker 2: Them all three of those guys relatively, similar but With
19:38
Speaker 2: patty being one hundred less eighty nine, hundred obviously people
19:41
Speaker 2: are gonna Pick patty over Hoke it if deciding on
19:43
Speaker 2: one can easily play, two which people will. Do but,
19:47
Speaker 2: YEAH i mean a heavyweight fight that's minus two hundred to.
19:50
Speaker 2: Finish hope it's some. WRESTLING i Think freeman might be
19:52
Speaker 2: the better, striker maybe he's. Not i'm gonna play both
19:55
Speaker 2: of this, though at the end of the, Day freeman
19:57
Speaker 2: has some of the most upside in the lower. Tier
19:59
Speaker 2: good money line inside the distance prop for his price hok,
20:02
Speaker 2: it same thing can be said about him inside the
20:04
Speaker 2: distance minus one oh five maybe some. Wrestling expected to.
20:08
Speaker 2: Finish definitely gonna play this. Fight definitely not an all
20:11
Speaker 2: in fight, though because if it stays on the feet
20:14
Speaker 2: and it gets outside of the first, round who, knows
20:17
Speaker 2: the hok it second round finish might not be. Enough
20:19
Speaker 2: third round it feels like you're drawn very. Thin so
20:22
Speaker 2: it's a solid. Fight better than the last fight we talked,
20:25
Speaker 2: about better than The smotherman, fight and better than The
20:28
Speaker 2: miller fight in my, Opinion so the best we've talked
20:30
Speaker 2: about thus. Far ownership probably will follow most definitely not
20:34
Speaker 2: an all in fight for, me, though next fight on the,
20:37
Speaker 2: Card i'm excited for this. One in real, Life Charles
20:40
Speaker 2: johnson minus won, Seventy Alex perez plus one forty five
20:43
Speaker 2: plus one thirty for this fight to, Finish johnson plus
20:46
Speaker 2: one seventy inside the, Distance perez plus six, Hundred SO
20:50
Speaker 2: i was a little. Surprised johnson opened plus one eighty
20:54
Speaker 2: inside the, distance went to plus one ninety now is
20:57
Speaker 2: plus one, seventy While perez open five hundred inside the
21:01
Speaker 2: distance and is plus six. HUNDRED i mean WHEN i
21:04
Speaker 2: look At Charles, JOHNSON i don't just think of him
21:07
Speaker 2: as a finishing. SPECIALIST i think he has good, cardio
21:10
Speaker 2: a well rounded fighter definitely can but, man plus one
21:14
Speaker 2: seventy to finish is a really really good number for
21:17
Speaker 2: eighty seven, Hundred so, yeah what are your thoughts? There
21:20
Speaker 2: And i'm definitely Playing Alex. Perez talk about a guy
21:22
Speaker 2: that feels like he's ran bad recently in some, fights
21:25
Speaker 2: Beating almabayev as a dog gets, guillotine or beating in
21:29
Speaker 2: the first two rounds gets. Guillotine competitive Against tyra hurts
21:33
Speaker 2: his Knee like, man he's he's in, Fights he's fought
21:36
Speaker 2: really good, competition but he just can't find a way
21:38
Speaker 2: to win and complete. It but seventy five, Hundred i'm
21:41
Speaker 2: definitely gonna play. SOME i think he does try and
21:43
Speaker 2: wrestle a. Bit how do you see it?
21:44
Speaker 3: Going, yeah FOR, DFS i do Like.
21:49
Speaker 4: Perez he should have a wrestling edge, here and If perez,
21:52
Speaker 4: WINS i like him to put up a pretty decent.
21:55
Speaker 4: SCORE i think it'll be over ten x for NO
21:58
Speaker 4: i mean an about for, sure but a good chance
22:00
Speaker 4: it's over ten, x but it could also be closer to.
22:03
Speaker 4: Ninety if he puts up a win and, Ninety i'm
22:05
Speaker 4: definitely good with it seventy five, hundred BUT i just
22:09
Speaker 4: don't know if he's gonna be able to put it
22:11
Speaker 4: together for three full, rounds and he's got a wrestle
22:14
Speaker 4: in my, opinion to have the full. Edged he's a decent,
22:17
Speaker 4: striker BUT i think the best striking from.
22:19
Speaker 3: Him will come in round.
22:20
Speaker 4: One AND i actually like this as a live betting
22:24
Speaker 4: spot BECAUSE i Think perez does win the first, round
22:26
Speaker 4: whether it be striking or. Wrestling johnson's a slow, starter
22:32
Speaker 4: but then once he gets, going WHICH i think will
22:34
Speaker 4: be round two For. JOHNSON i think he'll be getting
22:36
Speaker 4: up from those, takedowns AND i think the volume will
22:39
Speaker 4: start coming a lot Stronger on The johnson.
22:41
Speaker 3: Side perez has durability. Issues he can be.
22:45
Speaker 4: Subbed SEE i think a third Round JOHNSON tko is
22:49
Speaker 4: WHAT i, have or submission third round finish By johnson
22:52
Speaker 4: is WHAT i.
22:52
Speaker 3: Have BUT i also think he could just.
22:54
Speaker 4: Win the second and the third rounds on the, Cards
22:57
Speaker 4: So i'm not trying to pay like minus two hundred
23:00
Speaker 4: for him right now WHEN i think we could get
23:01
Speaker 4: plus money on him after round. One so that's the
23:04
Speaker 4: WAY i would look to be betting this fight and
23:06
Speaker 4: THEN dfs. Purposes johnson does put up some pretty good
23:10
Speaker 4: scores when he, wins So i'm fine playing, him but
23:13
Speaker 4: it does suck in the eighty seven hundred dollars, salary
23:17
Speaker 4: especially IF i think he's gonna lose round. One SO
23:19
Speaker 4: i don't know how Much i'm gonna get two of,
23:20
Speaker 4: him AND i might end up with. More perez just
23:23
Speaker 4: hoping that he can put together a three round wrestling heavy,
23:26
Speaker 4: performance because if that's the, CASE i could see him
23:29
Speaker 4: having like seven eight takedowns and scoring really really well.
23:32
Speaker 3: In this, one but, yeah fun. Fight like you, MENTIONED
23:35
Speaker 3: i could see it going either.
23:36
Speaker 2: Way, Yeah i'm. DOUGH i, Mean prez is a really
23:38
Speaker 2: easy click for. Me But i'm gonna play a decent
23:41
Speaker 2: amount Of, JOHNSON i, think and the reason for that
23:44
Speaker 2: IS i just hate like his. Range one hundred More sean,
23:47
Speaker 2: O'Malley give Me Charles johnson and his upside in this
23:50
Speaker 2: spot all day long for, me and then one hundred
23:53
Speaker 2: Less Cameron, smotherman give Me Charles johnson all. Day two
23:56
Speaker 2: hundred Less Alexander hernandez give Me Charles johnson all day
23:59
Speaker 2: and that WHEN i think he has more upside or
24:02
Speaker 2: more likely to hit his ceiling than all of. Them
24:05
Speaker 2: so just because of the nature of, that then It's
24:07
Speaker 2: patty two hundred dollars more than. Him OBVIOUSLY i Like patty,
24:10
Speaker 2: more but just BECAUSE i like him more than someone
24:13
Speaker 2: who's one hundred, more and then the next two fighters below,
24:16
Speaker 2: Him i'm just naturally gonna Play Charles, johnson and man
24:19
Speaker 2: that plus one seventy inside the distance is calling my.
24:22
Speaker 2: NAME i was surprised to. SEE i. WASN'T i. Wasn't
24:25
Speaker 2: the subprop For johnson when. Open when it opened was
24:29
Speaker 2: plus two ninety and this koprop was plus five. Fifty
24:33
Speaker 2: that felt Wide Like Charles, JOHNSON i don't think of
24:35
Speaker 2: him as a submission. Guy it was almost all to
24:38
Speaker 2: do With Alex perez finished time time six of them by,
24:41
Speaker 2: sub two BY ko two by. Decision, now with all that,
24:45
Speaker 2: said the MARKET i think is adjusted. Properly HIS ko
24:48
Speaker 2: prop has went plus five to fifty to plus four twenty,
24:51
Speaker 2: five his subprop plus two ninety to plus three, fifty
24:55
Speaker 2: which is kind of HOW i see it. More that's
24:57
Speaker 2: shrinkinging closing the. GAME i don't know if shrinkinging is a.
25:01
Speaker 2: Word it definitely doesn't sound like it to. Me but
25:04
Speaker 2: you know What i'm trying to. Say, yeah you guys
25:06
Speaker 2: know What i'm trying to. Say but if it goes a,
25:09
Speaker 2: decision Like phil, Said perez can get there in the.
25:13
Speaker 2: Decision harder to See johnson getting. There but, yeah plus
25:16
Speaker 2: one seventy to. Finish this fight's favored to go the,
25:18
Speaker 2: distance but almost all the finish equity on one, side
25:21
Speaker 2: which Is. Johnson so, yeah at, OWNERSHIP i like this
25:24
Speaker 2: fight quite a. BIT i think it could BE i don't,
25:27
Speaker 2: know sneaky fighter the, night but IF i saw odds
25:29
Speaker 2: On fight of The. NIGHT i bet you this one
25:31
Speaker 2: falls down the. LIST i definitely like it more than
25:33
Speaker 2: the public real life and FOR. Dfs all, right we'll
25:37
Speaker 2: keep it. Rolling appreciate everyone hanging. Out always ask again
25:40
Speaker 2: like button and. Subscribe button helps us out a, Ton
25:42
Speaker 2: and if you want to join us at The, nation
25:45
Speaker 2: definitely try this all access Plus aberson for free using
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Speaker 2: the Code. Vincerex, yeah that definitely should. Work that was
25:54
Speaker 2: up here at Stream yard BEFORE i. Came if that doesn't,
25:57
Speaker 2: again you can get it in as low as nine
25:59
Speaker 2: dollars for the, day nineteen dollars for five. Days but,
26:02
Speaker 2: yeah definitely use that Code vicerex right here because, yeah
26:06
Speaker 2: that should get you free access all the way to waste,
26:08
Speaker 2: management WHICH i believe is like the fifth six two.
26:11
Speaker 2: WEEKS i believe that is. So, yeah we'd love to
26:14
Speaker 2: have you at The. Nation next fight on the. Cards
26:18
Speaker 2: second biggest favorite and second highest Price Ativa gattier minus eight,
26:21
Speaker 2: hundred taken On Andre puoliev plus five. Fifty this fights
26:26
Speaker 2: minus one thousand to finish by far the most likely
26:28
Speaker 2: on the. Card here we go At tiva minus six
26:31
Speaker 2: fifteen inside the distance and minus where Is it's one
26:37
Speaker 2: seventy five in round one open minus one fifteen now
26:40
Speaker 2: minus one seventy, Five pullya plus seven hundred inside the distance.
26:45
Speaker 2: Himself easy for me crossing Off puliev Playing gattier WHERE i,
26:49
Speaker 2: cam But i'm not forcing. It just one of those
26:52
Speaker 2: spots where IF i had ten, Percent i'm holding my
26:56
Speaker 2: breath for the first minute and THEN i feel fine after.
26:58
Speaker 2: That IF i had, fifty Well i'm locked into THE
27:01
Speaker 2: tv screaming give me that first minute. Bonus and if he,
27:05
Speaker 2: doesn't you really Hope pulia gets up when he's knocked
27:08
Speaker 2: down because you probably need more than. One but, YEAH
27:11
Speaker 2: i like the. FIGHT i do Prefer umar for two
27:14
Speaker 2: hundred more of choosing in a, vacuum just because man
27:17
Speaker 2: like you wanted to go to decision in its favor
27:20
Speaker 2: to go to. Decision but his takedown upside is just.
27:23
Speaker 2: Stupid so it's. Close i'm curious on you to hear
27:26
Speaker 2: your Take umar Versus. GADIER i would be fine leaving
27:30
Speaker 2: the two hundred, though as a way to get different in.
27:32
Speaker 2: Lineups but, yeah what do you see those Guys umar
27:34
Speaker 2: Versus gadia and the breakdown this?
27:36
Speaker 4: Fight, yeah it's almost LIKE i, mean we can really
27:39
Speaker 4: talk about those guys rather than each of the, fights
27:41
Speaker 4: Because i'm not gonna play any. Pooliev i'm not gonna
27:43
Speaker 4: play ANY figuredo perfect lump it. In, Yeah umar smashes
27:47
Speaker 4: And ativa gets a Knockout atiba round.
27:50
Speaker 3: One you said that number was it was like sixty three.
27:53
Speaker 4: Percent THAT'S i, mean that's pretty, high even if it's
27:57
Speaker 4: a late round. ONE i think he has an okay.
27:59
Speaker 4: SHOT i don't know THAT i feel good about. It
28:01
Speaker 4: at ninety seven hundred. DOLLARS i think he has an okay,
28:04
Speaker 4: shot but that it goes away If umar puts up one.
28:07
Speaker 4: Forty ativa doesn't have one forty in his, game so
28:11
Speaker 4: we would really need a great, performance like a top
28:13
Speaker 4: tier performance From.
28:15
Speaker 3: Umar but he.
28:16
Speaker 4: Has probably the highest ceiling on this, card SO i
28:20
Speaker 4: really JUST i don't, KNOW i don't. CARE i think
28:22
Speaker 4: you're paying two hundred dollars extra for that, ceiling but
28:25
Speaker 4: IF i can't get, THERE i can't get. There AND
28:27
Speaker 4: i also kind of want Any umar. LINEUP i just
28:31
Speaker 4: want that duplicated to have A. Tiva SO i feel
28:34
Speaker 4: Like i'm gonna end up with More atiba for that,
28:36
Speaker 4: reason because he's. CHEAPER i can make more lineups with
28:39
Speaker 4: him and Then. FOMO i would just be pissed IF
28:41
Speaker 4: i could have won the freaking optimal, lineup.
28:44
Speaker 3: BUT i Had umar and Not. Aziva SO.
28:48
Speaker 4: I think that's just How i'll be attacking. It but
28:51
Speaker 4: at the same, TIME i don't know how Much i'll
28:53
Speaker 4: be able to afford these, guys BECAUSE i do want
28:54
Speaker 4: a good amount of. HOCKET i definitely Want patty in
28:57
Speaker 4: the main. Event so if you get both of those,
29:00
Speaker 4: guys and you might not be able to get either
29:03
Speaker 4: one of these guys unless you start dumpster diving for
29:07
Speaker 4: at least two or three guys after.
29:08
Speaker 3: THAT i really haven't even made a lineup.
29:10
Speaker 4: YET i SPENT i don't know five minutes trying to
29:14
Speaker 4: handbuild SOMETHING i, liked AND i was like a. GOAD
29:17
Speaker 4: i think this is a this is a terrible handbuilding.
29:19
Speaker 4: Week i'm just gonna have to throw a bunch of
29:20
Speaker 4: lineups IN m and me and hope that one.
29:22
Speaker 2: Hits, YEAH i, mean story of my life and every.
29:25
Speaker 2: Slit i'm so bad at single. Entry it's so, HARD
29:28
Speaker 2: i think IN, MMA i, mean you can go six
29:30
Speaker 2: and oh not only are you parlaying almost every card
29:32
Speaker 2: picking six, winners, right which is always very. Difficult you
29:36
Speaker 2: can go six and, oh but if two of your
29:37
Speaker 2: you got a fifty five score and they're a, seventy
29:40
Speaker 2: or you don't have the one thirty, five, like you're just.
29:43
Speaker 2: Dead SO i mean It's i'm definitely AN mmme person
29:46
Speaker 2: trying to get my exposures my individual team's. RIGHT i
29:50
Speaker 2: don't really have much more to. ADD i think you,
29:51
Speaker 2: Covered like the REASON i Prefer umar To gattier is
29:54
Speaker 2: just the one forty, Piece like you, SAID i just
29:57
Speaker 2: don't Think gadia really has that in his, bag where
30:00
Speaker 2: just with all the takedowns he's so, like, again we'll
30:03
Speaker 2: lump that fight. In we're not PLAYING, puliv we're not
30:06
Speaker 2: playing Fig not much has change on the money line
30:08
Speaker 2: or the. Props minus fifteen hundred Is umar plus one
30:11
Speaker 2: twenty for this fight to, finish he's plus one twenty
30:15
Speaker 2: inside the distance and minus won twenty five to win by.
30:17
Speaker 2: Decision you want the fight to go to decision or
30:20
Speaker 2: YOU i, mean you want a third round buzzer beater
30:23
Speaker 2: more than, likely but man like An umar decision is
30:26
Speaker 2: where you really get. IT a second round submission like
30:28
Speaker 2: one of the worst outcomes for you because you want
30:32
Speaker 2: all the extra takedowns and top control and whatever it may.
30:35
Speaker 2: Be so because this fight's favorite to go the, DISTANCE
30:38
Speaker 2: i like that WHEN i am Playing umar And i'm
30:41
Speaker 2: higher than you on The Umar, gattie LIKE i think
30:44
Speaker 2: dogs come. THROUGH i don't like Below, fugitt but after,
30:47
Speaker 2: That i'm Playing, Fuget Derek, Lewis, Arnold Allen, Freeman, Gaechee
30:51
Speaker 2: Songy Dong Perez, Tertios Michael, johnson Kree lov Like i've
30:55
Speaker 2: interest in all of. THEM i do think we see dogs,
30:57
Speaker 2: bark AND i think their upside is. MUCH i don't
31:00
Speaker 2: Love Jean Silva. WALDO i can go both ways on.
31:04
Speaker 2: Sure i'm fine With Ty, miller BUT i don't think
31:06
Speaker 2: the upside is even comparable To Gatier. Umar LIKE i
31:09
Speaker 2: Think Tim miller is like plus two seventy five in round.
31:12
Speaker 2: One that's way worse than minus one seventy. Five so
31:16
Speaker 2: BECAUSE i think dogs come through more times than, Not
31:19
Speaker 2: i'm gonna be playing one of. GOD i don't know for,
31:21
Speaker 2: SURE i shouldn't say, that BUT i do Like Gadier
31:24
Speaker 2: umar quite a. Bit When i'm Playing, Gaechee i'm Almost
31:27
Speaker 2: i'm gonna play them in at least one Of Umar
31:30
Speaker 2: gattia majority of lineups WHEN i Played. PADDY i still
31:33
Speaker 2: think there's enough value AND i like dogs enough to
31:35
Speaker 2: play one of them. Together it does get a little more, difficult,
31:38
Speaker 2: though BUT i think ownership's a little lower on those
31:41
Speaker 2: pairings than maybe A Waldo paddy or something like, that
31:45
Speaker 2: just because of. Salary so any other thoughts when grouping
31:48
Speaker 2: in those two, Fights.
31:51
Speaker 3: Nah not, REALLY i would like to afford, them but.
31:56
Speaker 2: A salary based, game, yeah shout out to drafts getting it.
32:00
Speaker 2: Right If umar was ninety six, Hundred gadie was ninety five,
32:04
Speaker 2: hundred and Then silva ninety, four, like that'd be. Bad
32:07
Speaker 2: their ownership would be a lot lot higher than maybe
32:10
Speaker 2: we'll see this. Week and it's still gonna be, high
32:12
Speaker 2: there's no doubt about, that but it makes it a
32:14
Speaker 2: little more. Difficult so shout Out. DraftKings they did get it.
32:17
Speaker 2: Right next fight on the, card arguably the best fight
32:21
Speaker 2: outside of the main event to target FOR, dfs the
32:23
Speaker 2: second of two mid tier. Fights Medestas bukaukis minus one
32:27
Speaker 2: forty Two Nikita kreelov plus one twenty two minus six
32:30
Speaker 2: hundred for this fight to Finish modestas minus one oh
32:33
Speaker 2: five inside the distance Kre lov plus one forty run
32:37
Speaker 2: one Props medestas plus two seventy five inside the distance
32:40
Speaker 2: Kre lov plus three seventy. FIVE i miss is just
32:43
Speaker 2: the hammer. Fight you only have two five star, fights
32:46
Speaker 2: this one in the main. EVENT i couldn't agree. More
32:49
Speaker 2: and it's not only just minus six hundred to finish
32:51
Speaker 2: in the, pricing it's there's just no other mid tier
32:54
Speaker 2: fight besides one And Hernanez. Johnson that got less and
32:58
Speaker 2: less appealing as the days went. On not much competition
33:01
Speaker 2: in the. Range you need value heavily favored to. Finish,
33:04
Speaker 2: yeah sign me up on both. Sides do you have a?
33:06
Speaker 2: Lien and how do you see it?
33:07
Speaker 3: Going, Yeah so this was My Slate.
33:10
Speaker 4: Overviews IT'S i think we get one of these guys
33:13
Speaker 4: in our, Lineup we get one Of Patty gaetchee in our,
33:17
Speaker 4: lineup and then we try to get one of A
33:20
Speaker 4: Tieba Lumar hocket in there and then see what we could.
33:23
Speaker 3: Do because this this is gonna be one that's really.
33:27
Speaker 4: IMPORTANT i think it's gonna either end early with A
33:30
Speaker 4: bukowskis knockout Because kryloff's chin is, cooked or if we're
33:36
Speaker 4: turning knockouts. OFF i Think cryloff's better Than bukowskis. EVERYWHERE
33:39
Speaker 4: i think he could beat him on the. FEET i
33:41
Speaker 4: think he could knock him out. THERE i think he
33:43
Speaker 4: could get takedowns for three, rounds beat him in a.
33:45
Speaker 4: DECISION i think he could submit him ground and pound
33:48
Speaker 4: for a. Finish So i'm hoping that's what's gonna, happen
33:53
Speaker 4: is that the chin can hold up and if, In
33:56
Speaker 4: krylovs should be better. Everywhere if that's the, case so
34:00
Speaker 4: going to be one of my highest probably my highest
34:02
Speaker 4: tone underdog on this. Card BUT i ALSO i do
34:06
Speaker 4: think his chin might be absolutely, cooked AND i WANT
34:09
Speaker 4: i don't want to be completely burned if he does
34:12
Speaker 4: get knocked out in the first. ROUND i want to
34:14
Speaker 4: be at least close to the field On, bukowskis So
34:17
Speaker 4: i'll be close to.
34:19
Speaker 3: All in on this. Fight i'd imagine let's say fifty.
34:21
Speaker 4: Cry off thirty Five, bukowskis something along those. Lines but
34:26
Speaker 4: this will be one That i'm really targeting, heavily AND
34:29
Speaker 4: i think we get a big.
34:29
Speaker 2: SCORE i, AGREE i think we get a big. SCORE
34:32
Speaker 2: i don't have a lean like you. DO i really.
34:36
Speaker 2: Don't medesta has looked a lot better as of. Lake
34:38
Speaker 2: kreelov might be stone dust right now with that. CHIN i,
34:41
Speaker 2: mean he's one of the oldest thirty three year olds
34:42
Speaker 2: you'll see in fighting years thirty to eleven pro like
34:46
Speaker 2: that's a lot of. Damage knocked out twice in his
34:48
Speaker 2: last or his last two, fights but knocked out like,
34:50
Speaker 2: that that's a. Concern there's no doubt about. THAT i will,
34:54
Speaker 2: say the line movement in this But medesta's opened. Up
34:58
Speaker 2: let me see what it was minus two hundre hundred
35:00
Speaker 2: and now he's minus one forty, Two so a lot
35:02
Speaker 2: of line movement has come in on The kreelov. SIDE i.
35:04
Speaker 2: AGREE i mean minus two hundred feels a little wide
35:07
Speaker 2: in this. Fight crelaw very. DANGEROUS i just love Tarding krelav.
35:11
Speaker 2: FIGHTS i think it's only four of his forty one
35:14
Speaker 2: fights pro fights have gone or gone to, decision so
35:18
Speaker 2: almost every other fight is. Finishing a lot of those
35:20
Speaker 2: are in round one. Two he can grapple a little,
35:23
Speaker 2: bit he can, strike and, YEAH i Mean i'm worried
35:25
Speaker 2: about the. Chins so if he gets knocked, out, great
35:28
Speaker 2: if he doesn't and he gets to the map gets a. Submission.
35:31
Speaker 2: GREAT i just want a ton of this. Fight don't
35:34
Speaker 2: really care WHO i have more of at the end
35:36
Speaker 2: of the. Day the six hundred savings does go a long.
35:38
Speaker 2: Way but, yeah MAYBE i do just tail my Man
35:41
Speaker 2: Big marley and force myself to get More. Kreelov that's
35:44
Speaker 2: a four to. Two that's a pretty big. Gap BUT
35:47
Speaker 2: i don't. Know i'll have a lot of this. FIGHT
35:49
Speaker 2: i do know that WHERE i end up, individually we'll.
35:52
Speaker 2: See but and this is our mid range.
35:54
Speaker 4: Fight you don't get any more mid range than a
35:55
Speaker 4: eight four and seventy eight on this, card which almost
35:59
Speaker 4: forces you to play this. Card even if it wasn't
36:01
Speaker 4: a minus six hundred inside the, distance you still got
36:05
Speaker 4: to focus on this one.
36:05
Speaker 2: Heavily, yeah what's the ownership on this? Fight? Again we
36:08
Speaker 2: will always have ownership projections posted On friday we're looking
36:13
Speaker 2: at right. NOW i think it's going to be roughly
36:16
Speaker 2: thirty five percent probably of. Each that's How i'm seeing it,
36:21
Speaker 2: again with not much competition, AROUND i do think it's
36:24
Speaker 2: pretty similar owned Because bedessa's the. Favorite but the six
36:28
Speaker 2: hundred savings for Kree, LOVE i think it'll be about
36:30
Speaker 2: thirty five percent on both. Sides next fight on the
36:34
Speaker 2: card one of the worst fights in my, Opinion rose
36:37
Speaker 2: Nonm unis And. Italia silva minus three fifty Is silva
36:41
Speaker 2: plus two eighty five Is rose plus three hundred for
36:44
Speaker 2: this fight to, Finish silva plus three fifty inside the,
36:46
Speaker 2: Distance rose plus nine hundred this fight open plus two
36:51
Speaker 2: seventy five to, Finish now plus three hundred over two
36:54
Speaker 2: and a Half open minus four, hundred now minus four.
36:56
Speaker 2: FIFTY i, mean when you're Clicking silva at ninety four,
36:59
Speaker 2: hundred it's hard to. Click Patty waldough Hockets Umar gattier
37:05
Speaker 2: just no. Thanks and on The rose, SIDE i Guess
37:09
Speaker 2: i'd Rather rose Than natalia for up or for just her.
37:15
Speaker 2: Pricing like maybe sixty eight's, enough but, like what is
37:18
Speaker 2: her upside in this? Fight she's gonna try and. Wrestle
37:21
Speaker 2: Probably silva is ninety two percent takedown. Defense like on the,
37:25
Speaker 2: feat she's really out. MATCHED i don't know what volume she.
37:28
Speaker 2: Lands are you just hoping she wins in sixty twos?
37:31
Speaker 2: ENOUGH i. DON'T i didn't plan on really playing any
37:33
Speaker 2: of this, fight BUT afc did mention, that uh he
37:37
Speaker 2: will play Some rose even with the little. Upside so,
37:39
Speaker 2: yeah what's your take on this? Fight and really interested
37:43
Speaker 2: to see what you're gonna say About.
37:44
Speaker 4: Rose, yeah exit Out silva for. SURE i am fine
37:48
Speaker 4: Getting rose into some lineups because of her, price but
37:52
Speaker 4: that would probably mean That i'm forcing them To tiba
37:55
Speaker 4: Or umar into my lineup and it ends up with
37:58
Speaker 4: like A gaechee and A rose or something, there Which
38:00
Speaker 4: i'm okay. With BUT i Think roses upside is like
38:03
Speaker 4: seventy five. Points that's like her ceiling in this in this,
38:07
Speaker 4: FIGHT i mean in this, yeah in this. Matchup but
38:10
Speaker 4: if a Tiba in Or umar do get it, done
38:13
Speaker 4: like if they're both on the optimal, lineup then maybe
38:16
Speaker 4: a seventy five From roses what you.
38:18
Speaker 2: Need So i'll take seventy five IF i know she's
38:21
Speaker 2: having seventy.
38:22
Speaker 4: FIVE i, mean if you say she's gonna win right
38:25
Speaker 4: now AND i have to pick her, Score i'm gonna
38:27
Speaker 4: say it's like sixty.
38:28
Speaker 3: Four, yeah not.
38:30
Speaker 4: Great BUT i mean If umar And atiba are on,
38:33
Speaker 4: there then she she has a chance.
38:35
Speaker 2: At ten eleven. Percent IF i knew she was getting sixty,
38:39
Speaker 2: FOUR i Guess i'd take a chance she's gotten. Money
38:42
Speaker 2: that's another. Thing it was minus four ten On, monday
38:45
Speaker 2: now it's minus three, fifty SO i do like to see.
38:48
Speaker 4: That, yeah If i'm gonna bet this, fight it's It's
38:52
Speaker 4: rose for. SURE i think the line is way too,
38:54
Speaker 4: wide BUT i have it as a one star Because
38:56
Speaker 4: i'm picking To talia to win And i'm not interested in,
38:59
Speaker 4: her So i'd prefer not to Have. Rose but a
39:05
Speaker 4: tea By numar is what makes it interesting for. ME
39:07
Speaker 4: i feel LIKE i don't Need rose in A patti
39:08
Speaker 4: And hocket, lineup but to get to in a t Bar,
39:12
Speaker 4: Numar rose comes into.
39:13
Speaker 3: Play So i'm definitely gonna leave her in the pool
39:16
Speaker 3: for my.
39:17
Speaker 4: Mmes but IF i do end up, HANDBUILDING i just
39:20
Speaker 4: don't Think i'm gonna be clicking on A.
39:21
Speaker 2: Rose one hundred percent agree with. That no. Chance when i'm,
39:24
Speaker 2: Handbuilding i'm Clicking. Rose but after talking, through after seeing
39:28
Speaker 2: the line movement on the money, Line i'm fine playing
39:31
Speaker 2: Some rose IN mmm WHEN i do, player, THOUGH i
39:33
Speaker 2: probably want to leave very little, salary is How i'm seeing.
39:36
Speaker 2: It All, right four fights, left good fight right. Here
39:41
Speaker 2: we'll get to your your. Question, Phil we Got Gene
39:44
Speaker 2: silva minus two to, fifty taking On Arnold allen plus
39:48
Speaker 2: two ten minus one thirty for this fight to, Finish
39:50
Speaker 2: silva excuse, me plus one oh five inside the Distance
39:54
Speaker 2: allen plus six. Fifty looking at h ricing on this,
40:00
Speaker 2: fight ninety one seventy one. Hundred, oh that's WHAT i
40:02
Speaker 2: was gonna. Say so the opposite of a couple earlier.
40:05
Speaker 2: Fights this fight, opened or this fight On, monday it
40:09
Speaker 2: was plus one oh five to. Finish now it's minus
40:12
Speaker 2: one thirty and all of that finished equity went to one,
40:15
Speaker 2: guy and That's. Silva he opened plus two fifteen inside
40:18
Speaker 2: the distance now plus one oh. Five Arnold allen opened
40:21
Speaker 2: plus five fifty inside the distance now plus six. Fifty
40:25
Speaker 2: so a lot of money is coming on the under
40:27
Speaker 2: and almost all of that has been on The Gen silva,
40:30
Speaker 2: side which makes. ME i, mean this is a fight
40:33
Speaker 2: THAT i just don't want to burn. Me regardless of what,
40:36
Speaker 2: HAPPENS i already Know i'm Playing Arnold. ALLEN i think
40:38
Speaker 2: the odds are. Disrespectful to Answer phil's, question one hundred
40:41
Speaker 2: percent Think Arnold allen's. Live, however the fight Goes Gen.
40:45
Speaker 2: Silva i've been trying to go against him LIKE i
40:47
Speaker 2: was On Diego. LOPEZ i THINK i picked against some
40:50
Speaker 2: another fight too where he burned. Me but he's definitely
40:53
Speaker 2: a wild, man but that can go to his. Detriment
40:56
Speaker 2: like The Arnold Allen Dan hooker. Fight will never leave my.
40:58
Speaker 2: Mind part of the REASON I i ship that card
41:01
Speaker 2: thanks To Tom asmall Against volkov And alan. Late but,
41:05
Speaker 2: man if someone wants to get in a dog fight
41:07
Speaker 2: with them and just not care about their own, safety
41:10
Speaker 2: Which Geene silva definitely can. Do alan showed he's down
41:13
Speaker 2: for a fight like, that and you want that because
41:16
Speaker 2: he's otherwise a boring, fighter like he's very, tactical bounces
41:20
Speaker 2: around the outside and, strikes so it could be. Boring
41:23
Speaker 2: it's all up To. SILVIA i think on how he
41:24
Speaker 2: approaches this. Fight if he, forces if he walks him,
41:27
Speaker 2: down hands down and Forces alan to, fight it could
41:29
Speaker 2: be a phenomenal. Fight both guys very live for the.
41:32
Speaker 2: Optimal If alan it bounces, Around silva's doing his, thing
41:36
Speaker 2: But alan's sticking them And silva just doesn't get over,
41:39
Speaker 2: AGGRESSIVE i think we could be in for a boring
41:41
Speaker 2: fight Where silva just lands like a big shot and
41:44
Speaker 2: it's like few and far between but really bad for,
41:47
Speaker 2: Dfs SO i Prefer alan for the TWO k savings
41:50
Speaker 2: because of the, Range like seventy five could be Enough,
41:54
Speaker 2: silva you actually need a real. Score but with him
41:57
Speaker 2: getting all that inside the distance steam and just knowing
42:00
Speaker 2: how like his one shot, power how stupid it. IS
42:03
Speaker 2: i do think he's an, interesting pretty contrariant spend in
42:06
Speaker 2: the upper. TIER i do think he's going to be
42:08
Speaker 2: relatively low owned compared to The, patties The, umar's, guadiers.
42:12
Speaker 2: Etc So alan my prefer. POINT i think the odds
42:15
Speaker 2: are two, wide But i'm definitely have been eyeing that
42:18
Speaker 2: money line or that inside the distance movement to the silver.
42:21
Speaker 2: Side break it down for, Me.
42:26
Speaker 4: YEAH i MEAN i pretty much agree with everything you.
42:28
Speaker 4: SAID i think that if this fight is going to end,
42:32
Speaker 4: early it's gonna be on the silver.
42:34
Speaker 3: Side But alan has never been finished.
42:36
Speaker 4: Early But silva was also not gonna be as owned
42:39
Speaker 4: as he would on another card because of these other
42:42
Speaker 4: guys we've been talking about so, Far so he is
42:44
Speaker 4: a way to get, different Which i'm not. Against BUT
42:47
Speaker 4: i also don't like targeting knockouts on guys who have
42:50
Speaker 4: never been knocked out, before And ALAN i do think
42:55
Speaker 4: can could win this fight. ANYWHERE i think he could
42:58
Speaker 4: win a striking. Match he's not the better, striker but
43:00
Speaker 4: he could win a striking match because he is a technical.
43:03
Speaker 4: Fighter he's a smart, fighter but where his edge would
43:06
Speaker 4: come in would be on the ground if he if
43:07
Speaker 4: he can mix in a takedown or two in each,
43:10
Speaker 4: ROUND i think he could steal a. DECISION i pick
43:13
Speaker 4: Is alan to, win SO i do think he's similar To,
43:16
Speaker 4: rose WHERE i don't think he's gonna put up a big,
43:18
Speaker 4: score probably a little bit more Than, rose But i'm
43:21
Speaker 4: picking him to win And i'm Picking rose to, Loose
43:23
Speaker 4: SO i like him more for that.
43:25
Speaker 3: Reason for.
43:25
Speaker 4: Sure seventy one hundred sign me. Up i'm not gonna
43:29
Speaker 4: be jamming him in Like i'll try to jam in
43:31
Speaker 4: a cry, love because even If allen does, win he
43:35
Speaker 4: could score sixty points and it just might not cut.
43:39
Speaker 4: It So i'd Imagine i'm gonna be well over the,
43:43
Speaker 4: Field like let's say the field's at fifteen, Percent i'm
43:46
Speaker 4: gonna Guess i'm closer, to you, know twenty twenty five.
43:48
Speaker 4: RANGE i just won't feel great about, it And i'll
43:53
Speaker 4: be sweating that first round for. Sure the second round
43:56
Speaker 4: Because silva is a scary, fighter he's a good, striker
44:00
Speaker 4: and if he knocks Out allen in the first, round
44:02
Speaker 4: you're probably gonna get a lot less dupes if you're clicking.
44:05
Speaker 3: On him over A newmar Or. Nativa one hundred.
44:09
Speaker 2: Percent, yeah you AND i see it very similar to this.
44:12
Speaker 2: FIGHT i will say that online it's one of the
44:17
Speaker 2: plus four hundred For silvan round. One some other Sites
44:20
Speaker 2: i'm seeing like plus three, fifty plus three, hundred even
44:23
Speaker 2: plus three twenty, five so it has one of the
44:25
Speaker 2: better numbers on the. Market but it did open plus five,
44:27
Speaker 2: hundred now plus four, hundred so money has come in
44:30
Speaker 2: On silva to finish in every which, way but a
44:34
Speaker 2: second round finish might not be. Enough LIKE i do
44:36
Speaker 2: Prefer Ronold. Allen he's my. PICK i think the odds are,
44:39
Speaker 2: disrespectful But i'm going to play Some. Silvan chalk your
44:41
Speaker 2: lineups with. That inside the Distance steam three fights, left
44:47
Speaker 2: the second of two heavyweight. Fights Waldo Cortez acosta wasting
44:51
Speaker 2: no time in twenty twenty six to get back at
44:54
Speaker 2: it after being very active last, year taking on The
44:57
Speaker 2: Black beast And Derek lewis minus three Thirty waldough plus
45:00
Speaker 2: two seventy For lewis minus two to sixty for this
45:03
Speaker 2: fight to finish A coasta plus. One where is? It
45:10
Speaker 2: i'm not seeing inside The, oh it's on a different.
45:14
Speaker 2: Book they don't have none better. Online i'm seeing minus
45:16
Speaker 2: one twenty For coast inside the Distance Derek lewis plus
45:19
Speaker 2: three to FIFTY A COAST a round one open plus
45:22
Speaker 2: three hundred now plus two eighty Five Derek luis open
45:25
Speaker 2: plus five to fifty nolh plus five. Hundred, yeah just
45:28
Speaker 2: take this one. Away, Heavyweights Derek. Lewis what do you
45:30
Speaker 2: see going?
45:31
Speaker 3: On knockout or bust For?
45:34
Speaker 4: Lewis but he can knock out any human, alive so
45:37
Speaker 4: you gotta keep him in your. Pool he could get
45:40
Speaker 4: up one hundred and ten points in this matchup and
45:43
Speaker 4: you're gonna need, them So i'm fine with.
45:46
Speaker 3: It BUT i just don't think he's the better. STRIKER
45:48
Speaker 3: i THINK A coast is better.
45:50
Speaker 4: Everywhere and if he doesn't get knocked, out he wins this,
45:53
Speaker 4: fight and it could be by knockout in any. Round
45:56
Speaker 4: it could just be him cruising to a three round.
45:58
Speaker 4: Victory trying to avoid big. Shots he could be afraid
46:01
Speaker 4: of the power land one, takedown stay in top control
46:05
Speaker 4: and do. Nothing so there's a wide range for a
46:08
Speaker 4: coastas points in this. One BUT i don't think that
46:10
Speaker 4: the ownership will be too wild on, him So i'm
46:12
Speaker 4: okay getting overweight on. Him it's another one Where i'm
46:16
Speaker 4: just gonna Let saberson figure it out for. Me IF
46:19
Speaker 4: i end up with fifteen percent Of, Costa i'm cool with.
46:21
Speaker 4: That IF i end up with thirty five percent Of,
46:23
Speaker 4: Coast i'm cool with that as. Well and same On.
46:26
Speaker 4: Lewis I'm i'm pretty much from ten to thirty percent
46:30
Speaker 4: on The lewis side as. Well but When i'm, HANDBUILDING
46:33
Speaker 4: i just feel Like lewis is a little bit too
46:34
Speaker 4: owned for. Me i'm trying to get a little. Different
46:36
Speaker 4: i'd rather click On An allen or who else do
46:41
Speaker 4: we talk about down in that?
46:42
Speaker 2: Area, Alex Alex, Perez yeah you get, yeah either one
46:46
Speaker 2: of those.
46:46
Speaker 3: Guys, Yeah perez, too for.
46:47
Speaker 4: Sure IF i IF i could get up To, PEREZ
46:49
Speaker 4: i definitely That Freman.
46:52
Speaker 3: Perez, No i'm not gonna Play, Freeman, OKAY.
46:55
Speaker 2: I Prefer freeman. PERSONALLY i prefer all these. GUYS i,
46:58
Speaker 2: yes kind of not really it's Mainly Justin, gaechee and
47:03
Speaker 2: THEN i Think Derek lewis probably gonna be the second.
47:05
Speaker 2: Highest BUT i do think it's it's relatively spread. OUT
47:08
Speaker 2: i think people are gonna Click, Freeman Arnold, Allen Alex
47:11
Speaker 2: perez Song You dong like people are gonna click those.
47:14
Speaker 2: NAMES i don't think will be crazy From lewis to
47:17
Speaker 2: all those, guys BUT i do think you will See
47:19
Speaker 2: Justin gaichie clearly the highest own of, them and even
47:23
Speaker 2: Just Derek lewis being the second highest. OWN i think
47:25
Speaker 2: at like twenty five, PERCENT i just think it's. BAD
47:28
Speaker 2: i THINK i plan to be underweight as a knockout
47:31
Speaker 2: or bus guy against a coasta who's showing a great
47:34
Speaker 2: chin like pamelvich. H it's really. Hard he couldn't get
47:37
Speaker 2: a coast out of there at the end of the.
47:38
Speaker 2: DAY i just think the downside is too much For
47:42
Speaker 2: Derek lewis at twenty five percent, ownership if that's what
47:44
Speaker 2: he's gonna be, WHERE i don't love it at that
47:47
Speaker 2: ownership at. ALL i think, AGAIN i like a lot
47:49
Speaker 2: of the. Dogs if you get an, Above i'm fine
47:51
Speaker 2: playing any of those SEVEN k. Fighters So i'm gonna
47:55
Speaker 2: be mixing, in trying to mix in like the lower own.
47:57
Speaker 2: Ones so give Me Freeman perez as Gae, Chie Arnold
48:02
Speaker 2: allen Obviously gegee's not low And Arnold, Allen Ricky, tertios
48:06
Speaker 2: maybe even, like give me these guys Over Derek lewis
48:08
Speaker 2: obviously The lewis seven, K tertios seventy. Six we're talking
48:12
Speaker 2: a different. Ballgame but, yeah if you get for half
48:14
Speaker 2: the Ownership allen one hundred, More freeman two hundred, MORE
48:17
Speaker 2: i like. IT i do Think Derek lewis is over
48:20
Speaker 2: owned when it's all said and. Done, YEAH i think
48:23
Speaker 2: his ownership or his name will help. Him we'll get
48:26
Speaker 2: him a little. Steam but also just the inside the
48:28
Speaker 2: distance prop relative to the guys in that range as
48:31
Speaker 2: well is what's gonna get it there and the fight
48:34
Speaker 2: minus two sixty to. Finish people don't Click waldough up
48:36
Speaker 2: top because there's a lot of. Options they're, like, oh
48:38
Speaker 2: give me a cheap dog like with a name like you,
48:41
Speaker 2: said in a fight expected to finish at seven k
48:44
Speaker 2: makes a lot of sense that, way WHICH i think
48:47
Speaker 2: does lead him to be over. Owned So WALTHOUGH i
48:50
Speaker 2: prefer play in that, Fight i'm hoping it's gonna go over,
48:53
Speaker 2: though and at the fight, BUS i would love a.
48:55
Speaker 2: DECISION i probably more than likely will come in.
48:58
Speaker 3: Underweight that's WHAT i picked a coastal by a decision.
49:02
Speaker 2: Perfect hopefully it comes. True two fights. Left, again appreciate
49:06
Speaker 2: everyone hanging, out a lot of people watching live and
49:09
Speaker 2: No thursday night. Football that's what it, Is big Mar
49:11
Speaker 2: lea football not on, anymore so people tuning in and
49:14
Speaker 2: people miss some. Fights so we appreciate it. All we
49:17
Speaker 2: ask again like, button, subscribe, button help us out a.
49:20
Speaker 2: Ton we'd love to have you at The nation as.
49:22
Speaker 2: Well comaine. Event this was fight was moved to The.
49:25
Speaker 2: Komaine it's only three rounds after noon As harrison was
49:28
Speaker 2: out shook A shawn minus two hundred taking on Song
49:31
Speaker 2: you don plus one seventy plus one ninety for this
49:34
Speaker 2: fight to finish O'Malley plus three hundred inside the distance
49:37
Speaker 2: song plus four fifty easily easy for. Me No sean
49:42
Speaker 2: O'Malley in a handful of teams song You, Dong i'm
49:46
Speaker 2: gonna play. SOME i think he's a really good. FIGHTER
49:49
Speaker 2: i just think it's a really tough. Matchup seawan just
49:51
Speaker 2: so good at distance management in the big. Cage he's
49:54
Speaker 2: even better AT i think the, FAINTS i think the,
49:57
Speaker 2: jab AND i just think the movement will be too
49:58
Speaker 2: much For. Song, well he'll just outpoint him and it'll
50:02
Speaker 2: be tough For song to land a big. One SO
50:04
Speaker 2: i Hope i'm wrong Because i'm gonna play some More
50:06
Speaker 2: Song You. Dong but, man the matchup is pretty. Tough so,
50:11
Speaker 2: yeah song You dong preferred, play maybe seventies enough in the.
50:15
Speaker 2: Decision tough for me to click. On, malley don't think
50:17
Speaker 2: the upside's really there as just a striker in a
50:20
Speaker 2: fight pretty heavily favored to go the. Distance last. Thing,
50:23
Speaker 2: actually this fight was plus one sixty five to finish On.
50:26
Speaker 2: Monday it's now plus one ninety so another fight with
50:29
Speaker 2: a good amount of money coming in on the over
50:32
Speaker 2: take it.
50:32
Speaker 4: Away, YEAH i, Agree i'm not gonna be playing this
50:35
Speaker 4: fight too. Much IF i, do it's gonna be on
50:38
Speaker 4: The You dong, side BECAUSE i do think this is
50:41
Speaker 4: gonna be a close. FIGHT i think it's closer than
50:42
Speaker 4: the odds. Indicate i'd slightly leen, O'Malley BUT i Picked
50:47
Speaker 4: You dong by split just based on. It IF i
50:49
Speaker 4: had to bet this fight on the money, line give
50:52
Speaker 4: me Your.
50:52
Speaker 3: DONG i think it'll be back and.
50:54
Speaker 4: Forth You dong has the better chance of, wrestling though he's,
50:58
Speaker 4: powerful but he's got more power were in his, HANDS
51:00
Speaker 4: i think than. O'Malley but O'Malley's just a more well
51:02
Speaker 4: rounded fighter with a lot of speed and you, know
51:07
Speaker 4: more tools in a striking. Arsenal But i'm looking forward
51:10
Speaker 4: to this one from a watching. Purpose BUT i think
51:12
Speaker 4: we could put up sixty five from either guy and
51:15
Speaker 4: just really not need. It AND i also think their
51:17
Speaker 4: names will soak up more ownership Than i'm willing to.
51:20
Speaker 4: Give so get me away from this, fight AND i
51:23
Speaker 4: hope it pays the rake and. More but, YEAH i
51:26
Speaker 4: just hope it's a sixty point win from a fun striking, match.
51:30
Speaker 2: One hundred percent with, You i'd feel pretty good If
51:33
Speaker 2: i'm going into the last two fights with what looks
51:36
Speaker 2: like to be the nuts with just one Of Patty.
51:38
Speaker 2: Gaechee obviously i'd Rather. Patty the heads about would be
51:41
Speaker 2: easier if you want to go that, Way but kind
51:43
Speaker 2: of reminds me of the CARD i made some money
51:45
Speaker 2: The serroukian card co main. EVENT i needed to fade
51:48
Speaker 2: it and no better faide Than Ian gary fight as
51:51
Speaker 2: a big. Favorite just hoping he wins a. DECISION i
51:53
Speaker 2: feel really good the similar, situation just Hoping sean O'Malley
51:57
Speaker 2: wins a. Decision so yeah, month Song You, DONG i
52:01
Speaker 2: hope you win OR i think O'Malley wins a. Decision
52:03
Speaker 2: my PREFERRED dfs play is Song You? Doong there you
52:07
Speaker 2: go left hook for two hundred, K, yeah two undred
52:10
Speaker 2: k up. Top this week is, awesome awesome. Stuff so we're.
52:12
Speaker 2: Back we absolutely are. Back excited for this Weekend Saturday,
52:17
Speaker 2: Fights Sunday. Football it's time to make some. Money next
52:22
Speaker 2: fight on the. Card the main Events Patty pinblet minus
52:25
Speaker 2: two twenty, Two Justin gaichee plus one eighty seven minus
52:28
Speaker 2: two seventy five for this fight to, Finish patty minus
52:31
Speaker 2: won fifty five inside the Distance Gai chee plus four.
52:34
Speaker 2: Hundred i'll throw it to you right. Away clash of styles,
52:37
Speaker 2: First i'll just say Or i'll ask you the have
52:39
Speaker 2: you seen like the staff, infection the rumor On gaichie's. Neck,
52:44
Speaker 2: yeah a lot of a lot of people have talked
52:46
Speaker 2: about it does not look very. GOOD i don't know
52:49
Speaker 2: if that does anything for you in this. One but,
52:52
Speaker 2: yeah it's a clash of style striker gaechee grappler And.
52:55
Speaker 2: Patty Can geichie keep it on the on the feet
52:57
Speaker 2: or Is patty going to get a? Takedown it'll be
52:59
Speaker 2: overly after.
53:02
Speaker 3: AND i could see it going either. Way i'm just
53:04
Speaker 3: gonna be.
53:06
Speaker 4: Pretty all in on the, fight not gonna force it all,
53:09
Speaker 4: in But i'll be pretty close to it with my
53:11
Speaker 4: Lean on The patty, SIDE i think it's more his.
53:14
Speaker 4: TIME i think THE ufc needs A patty win here
53:17
Speaker 4: over a crazy exciting guy like Gai chie to build
53:20
Speaker 4: that star status because they really have no superstars right.
53:22
Speaker 4: NOW i, mean it's bad when your biggest superstar Is Dana.
53:25
Speaker 4: White he's not even a. Fighter So patty is somebody
53:29
Speaker 4: who could be that. Guy Gai chie his times is running.
53:33
Speaker 4: Out he is one of the most exciting fighters of all,
53:36
Speaker 4: time if not the most exciting fighter of all. Time
53:39
Speaker 4: he Probably, Yeah i'd say he has the best highlight.
53:41
Speaker 4: Reel if you're just going and looking at people's highlight,
53:43
Speaker 4: reels Justin gaigie's the ONE i would point you. Towards
53:48
Speaker 4: and he could go out there and knock Out patty
53:50
Speaker 4: because he's that much better on the, feet BUT i
53:52
Speaker 4: think he is ticking down And patty's ticking.
53:56
Speaker 3: Up he's looking really. GOOD i think he.
53:57
Speaker 4: Could hang on the feet at this point in his,
53:59
Speaker 4: career but he is gonna need to get the fight
54:02
Speaker 4: to the ground in order to look like a minus
54:04
Speaker 4: two twenty five. Favorite So i'll be playing him pretty
54:08
Speaker 4: heavily expecting that that is the. Outcome but When i'm
54:13
Speaker 4: trying to click on A umar or on A, Tiba
54:16
Speaker 4: gate's gonna have to be in those. Lineups SO i
54:19
Speaker 4: would imagine with those, HANDBUILDS i click On geichie quite
54:22
Speaker 4: a bit and it's just gonna put me on pretty
54:25
Speaker 4: pretty all, in if not all into this.
54:26
Speaker 2: FIGHT i do think when you do handbuild you start
54:31
Speaker 2: your team With, gaichi one Of Boz's Kaukis, kreelov and
54:34
Speaker 2: then one Of Umar, gadier that you should really be
54:37
Speaker 2: has it or really be cautious on what you do
54:39
Speaker 2: on your next three, spots BECAUSE i do think a
54:41
Speaker 2: lot Of gaichee teams will play one Of Umar, gadier
54:45
Speaker 2: if not, both and then that mid tier fight In Bukaukis.
54:47
Speaker 2: Krelov anytime you click that name with the main event.
54:51
Speaker 2: FIGHTER i, mean just know you're you're eating two of
54:54
Speaker 2: the chalkier, spots AND i think it's. Good there's thirteen.
54:56
Speaker 2: Fights there's enough ways to get different on this. Card
54:58
Speaker 2: that's when you can plug in a Chart Arles johnson
55:00
Speaker 2: or A freeman or A fuget or something like that
55:03
Speaker 2: to get. DIFFERENT i, Agree i'm On. PATTY i plan
55:06
Speaker 2: to have More patty Than, gaechee But i'm gonna play
55:10
Speaker 2: a lot of this. FIGHT i don't Think i'm gonna
55:11
Speaker 2: make a. Rule are you gonna make a? Rule?
55:14
Speaker 3: NO i pretty much never make.
55:16
Speaker 4: RULES i just more so price them to where it
55:20
Speaker 4: basically puts them in all My.
55:22
Speaker 2: Yeah, No i'm. Similar i've got burned enough Like charles
55:25
Speaker 2: olivera and uh and matteas gameron like IF i you just, think,
55:30
Speaker 2: like how does it? Fail it scores like eighty five
55:32
Speaker 2: and it's nowhere on the. Winner when you don't play
55:34
Speaker 2: a fight like, this obviously more times than not you're
55:37
Speaker 2: gonna be. Wrong but when you're right is when you
55:39
Speaker 2: can win the two hundred k. Solo that's the appeal,
55:41
Speaker 2: obviously not how how much you win when you. Win
55:45
Speaker 2: it's not how often you. Win when you. Win how
55:46
Speaker 2: much do you win not playing this? Fight when it
55:49
Speaker 2: busts and you don't play, it you have a lot
55:51
Speaker 2: better chance to win a lot more money because you
55:54
Speaker 2: don't have to be nearly as. Different but it's, Hard
55:56
Speaker 2: like it's really hard on DraftKings because they don't take
55:59
Speaker 2: into consider ration the five. Rounds, yeah it's Pat it's
56:04
Speaker 2: The patty side For surety second round Gae chee wins
56:07
Speaker 2: and isn't on.
56:07
Speaker 4: The optimal, lineup But patty can score ninety five AND.
56:11
Speaker 2: I make second round sub third round sub just ran
56:16
Speaker 2: a nut kick or ipoke that can't be. Continued we've
56:19
Speaker 2: seen random, stuff for, sure so But i'm on The patty.
56:23
Speaker 2: SIDE i will have a bunch of this fight for.
56:24
Speaker 2: Sure good luck to, You. JOANNE i always appreciate you hanging.
56:28
Speaker 2: Out that's ALL i. Got any final thoughts before we
56:31
Speaker 2: get on out of. HERE ufc three twenty. Four we're
56:33
Speaker 2: Back Timobile arena, now, man.
56:35
Speaker 3: Good to be.
56:36
Speaker 4: Back it was fun talking these fights with. You miss
56:40
Speaker 4: talking about these fights AND i miss watching. Them so
56:42
Speaker 4: hopefully we start this year. BIG i could use it
56:46
Speaker 4: after my my into last, year especially man NFL's kicking
56:50
Speaker 4: my ass. Too SO i feel Like i'm. Due hopefully
56:52
Speaker 4: it's this. Card hopefully it's a fun. One good luck
56:54
Speaker 4: to you, Title good luck to everybody. Listening let's ship.
56:57
Speaker 2: It, Hey i'm in the same boat as the NFL's
56:59
Speaker 2: kicking as. To let's get fights back on the. Screen
57:02
Speaker 2: let's get hot to start the. Year appreciate everyone hanging
57:05
Speaker 2: out again like button on your way. Out helps us
57:07
Speaker 2: out a. Ton enjoy your, Weekend saturday, Fights sunday. Football
57:11
Speaker 2: you can't draw it up any better than. That five
57:13
Speaker 2: days for nineteen, dollars get you all of our, content, projections,
57:17
Speaker 2: ownership ALL mma. Contents we'll be up. Tomorrow we'll be
57:21
Speaker 2: back next week TALKING ufc three twenty. Five another stack.
57:24
Speaker 2: Card you can find all everything on paramounts, again NOT
57:28
Speaker 2: espn anymore For Big marley untitled. Town good luck this
57:32
Speaker 2: week and be, safe enjoy the. Fights, peace.
58:01
Speaker 1: Most haste ans