Latest / Markets with Megan: A Quick Financial Markets Update / 049: The Housing Market's Complex Challenges
Transcript
- 0:04Megan Horneman: Hello, this is Megan Horneman, the Chief Investment Officer at Verdence Capital Advisors, coming to you today with our Markets With Megan, we're going to talk about the housing market and we've got a lot of information this week about the health of the housing market.
- 0:16Megan Horneman: First of all, home builder sentiment.
- 0:19Megan Horneman: That dropped pretty sharply in the month of August.
- 0:22Megan Horneman: It's now at a five-month low.
- 0:24Megan Horneman: When you look at prospective buyer traffic, that's basically a standstill.
- 0:28Megan Horneman: If you look at sentiment on both the present condition of the housing market as well as future expectations from home builders, that both fell to the lowest level we've seen this year.
- 0:41Megan Horneman: We also got building permits and housing starts.
- 0:44Megan Horneman: Building permits did rise, which that's a good leading indicator, but starts fell to the lowest level that we've seen since the pandemic.
- 0:52Megan Horneman: When you look at existing home sales, they're dangerously close to falling below that psychological four million pace.
- 1:00Megan Horneman: That's an annual pace.
- 1:01Megan Horneman: They're right above that right now, but you are looking at a pretty big decline there in existing home sales as well.
- 1:08Megan Horneman: So why are we seeing this?
- 1:10Megan Horneman: It's no surprise.
- 1:11Megan Horneman: Interest rates are higher.
- 1:12Megan Horneman: The mortgage rate is now back above a 7.3%.
- 1:16Megan Horneman: That's the highest level we've seen since 2000.
- 1:19Megan Horneman: Recovery remains low in existing homes as people don't want to give up the low mortgage rates they've had before.
- 1:25Megan Horneman: So you right now have this kind of combination of events here that is working against the housing market.
- 1:32Megan Horneman: It's people not wanting to move and interest rates high for new home buyers.
- 1:36Megan Horneman: We'll keep an eye on the housing market and what that means for the economy.
- 1:39Megan Horneman: That's all we have today.
- 1:41Megan Horneman: If you have any questions or comments, please feel free to reach out to podcasts at verde nce dot com.
- 1:45Megan Horneman: Thank you.