Latest / Kvetch & Release / Keeping up with China's EV industry
Transcript
- 0:16With news that Ford has delayed the start of eed production at its Oakville plant
- 0:22by two years until twenty twenty seven, it felt apt to check in on
- 0:25the state of the ED industry as a whole. In Canada. We've of
- 0:29course seen billions of dollars of investment in both public and private dollars into building
- 0:34out a brand new industry, the EV industry, with an integrated end to
- 0:38end supply chain from minerals to vehicles and everything in between. In Windsor,
- 0:42where I am located, we've seen the announcement of the next our EV battery
- 0:47plants, which is going up now, and a new associated supply chain because
- 0:50of that, the retooling of Stillantis's Windsor assembly plant, which will begin production
- 0:55of the world's first and only electric muscle car, the New Charger, as
- 1:00well as yesterday a sixty million dollar investment of a new one hundred thousand square
- 1:07foot facility to manufacture components for electric vehicle batteries. It's a fast time right
- 1:14now, especially in Windsor, where we have been known for you know,
- 1:19we've seen a declining auto industry over the past couple decades, so everything is
- 1:25changing and going very fast. Right now. Joining me to help break down
- 1:27the state of the industry today, strength and weaknesses of North American ev companies
- 1:33and the challenges faced by the emerging Chinese evy market is the CEO and publisher
- 1:40of Energy Media, Markham Hisslop. How you doing today, Markham, I'm
- 1:44just fine, John. How are you doing very well? Thank you.
- 1:47I really appreciate your time and your knowledge on this one. So what brought
- 1:53me into this conversation with you was a anecdote that you had shared from Flogg
- 2:00Volpei, who is the head of the Automotive Parts Manufacturers Association. And I'll
- 2:05just say the summary that you put up and I'll let you build on it.
- 2:07But this is from your Twitter. I refuse to refer to it by
- 2:10the new name. By the way, we don't have to. We're gonna
- 2:13let Twitter stand exactly. It says the CEO of Stillantis, which is what
- 2:17I just referenced here in Winzard, the Jeep and Dodge thinks that any legacy
- 2:23automakers not ready now to manufacture evs will be buried by China's EV makers.
- 2:30Flavio Volpe agrees Markham. That seems like as good a place as any to
- 2:36start this conversation. Wow. Yeah. I was interviewing Flavio in early February
- 2:40for an episode of the Energy Talks podcast. I think it's episode two hundred
- 2:45and sixty one for anybody who wants to google it, and I started off
- 2:49with the Carlos Tavaris quote. So let me give it to you for your
- 2:53listeners. If the automotive industry doesn't move, this industry will dis appear under
- 3:00the offensive of the Chinese industry. The magnitude of the Chinese offensive, the
- 3:06competitiveness that they can demonstrate, and the massive arrival of all of their best
- 3:10carmakers is a significant change. So I read that to Flavio and his response
- 3:19was it kind of caught me off guard. He said, Okay, interviews
- 3:23over, Carlos has said everything that needs to be said. He nailed it.
- 3:27This is exactly what is happening. And the reason Flavio is important here
- 3:31is because his association represents about seven hundred parts makers in Canada, which it's
- 3:38a big industry, and you know many of them are you know, people
- 3:43like Magna International. These are big players. And on top of that,
- 3:47in his position, he gets to talk to all the big OEMs so like
- 3:51the gm Ford, Honda and Toyota and many of whom have operations around the
- 3:57Windsor area. So when he says this is what the industry is worried about,
- 4:02and I agree with Carlos Tavares, that really means something and we should
- 4:09in here in Canada, we need to pay attention to this. It's almost
- 4:14incomprehensible to think of legacy auto makers disappearing overnight. But we've also seen at
- 4:20the same time the emergence of Tesla out of you know, relatively a short
- 4:26period of time, becoming such a fast growing automaker. But Tesla itself is
- 4:30facing issues right now from the Chinese EV market, which I'm sure Elon Musk
- 4:36was not expecting to occur when he made his decision to invest in China looking
- 4:43for the subsidies that he was able to get. And I just want to
- 4:46set the table here with you Marka one more time before we dive into the
- 4:48Chinese side of things with their manufacturing. And it was in twenty thirteen in
- 4:55Windsor when an exclusivity agreement between our city here in the City of Windsor and
- 5:00electric bus manufacturer then byd expired. The City of Windsor was looking to purchase
- 5:06ten electric buses at the time, add at least two of them into our
- 5:11transit fleet, and the agreement would see that BID would stop looking for a
- 5:15North American municipality in which to manufacture the buses. That deal blew up.
- 5:23BID has now emerged on a global stage as much bigger than just an electric
- 5:29bus manufacturer, Markham. When we look at the advantages that the Chinese market
- 5:34has and why they are such a concern and a threat for legacy automakers,
- 5:40can you explain why what's going on over there? I can actually, so
- 5:45there's some historical context here that's really important. Over the last forty or fifty
- 5:51years, the Chinese government has actively pursued what's called industrial policy, which means
- 5:59that the government basically gets in and leads economic development in particular industries and to
- 6:04build up national champions and we you know, Canada has pursued this. We
- 6:09had Nortel as an example, BlackBerry Hyundai in South Korea as an example of
- 6:15this. It's been used by many countries, including the United States, since
- 6:18World War Two. What China did in late the late nineteen nineties is they
- 6:27looked around their economy and they said, you know what, we have a
- 6:31big automotive industry already with the internal combustion engine. We're never going to catch
- 6:38the North Americans and the Europeans. We're just not going to be able to
- 6:43become as sophisticated and low cost as they are. They've got too much of
- 6:46a head start. So the government made the decision. They said, you
- 6:48know, there is this emerging technology what they call new energy vehicles and what
- 6:54we would call, you know, just electric vehicles, and we're going to
- 7:00put are We're going to put tremendous resources into all aspects of new energy and
- 7:06that means batteries, wind, wind turbines, solar panels, the evs themselves,
- 7:16and all of the supply chains. And they've done that and allowed them
- 7:21those industries to both become more technologically proficient, but also, and this is
- 7:28the important thing, to scale up operations. When you scale up operations,
- 7:32this technology benefits from what are called learning curves. So as you double production
- 7:38costs come down by you know, maybe ten percent, fifteen, twenty percent.
- 7:43And if you look at the cost curves for all of those technologies starting
- 7:47in about twenty about a decade. Twelve years ago, they started falling off
- 7:51a cliff. You know, they would be one thousand dollars a kilowatt hour
- 7:55or megawat hour or something like that, and now they're down to one ten
- 7:59or even eight, you know, five to six percent of that, which
- 8:01is what is enabling the rapid expansion of all of this. And where we
- 8:07are now is that companies like byd which you know, overtook Tesla in the
- 8:13last quarter of last year to become the largest ev maker in the world.
- 8:20They are scaling up with big subsidies from the Chinese government. Of course,
- 8:26you know, as you can imagine, this is ticked off governments in the
- 8:30US and Europe to no end, and there's there are big fights over over
- 8:35those anti dumping by the Chinese. But essentially they've got to the point where
- 8:41they have learned how to make reasonably good quality and in some cases very good
- 8:46quality electric vehicles in the ten thousand to thirty thousand dollars range. And in
- 8:52North America and in Europe we can't even build anything for under fifty thousand.
- 9:00We have a few in the thirty thousand dollar range, like the Bolt,
- 9:03the Chevy Bolt and now the Chevy Bolty EUV, but you know, those
- 9:09are outliers, they're not the norm. Mostly what we're building is fifty to
- 9:16one hundred thousand dollars vehicles, premium vehicles at the top of the market.
- 9:20And the Chinese are now moving out into export markets like the Europe and Latin
- 9:26America and Africa and so on, and they're expanding. They're building manufacturing plants,
- 9:33they're setting up dealers and showrooms, they're entering into agreements with national governments
- 9:37like they are in Brazil. It is crazy. It's an all out assault.
- 9:41And the problem in Canada is that we're so busy looking inward and having
- 9:48these silly arguments over carbon taxes and so on, and the energy world and
- 9:52the automotive world around us is being dramatically changed in a very short period of
- 10:01time. And I have argued you and I have discussed in previous interviews that
- 10:05we Canada so desperately needs to get its head out of wherever it's posterior and
- 10:13start grappling with the world as it is not the world as we remember it,
- 10:16you know, twenty thirty forty years ago. It really does sound like
- 10:22there's two markets. Then there's the Chinese market of evs, which are incredibly
- 10:31cheap. Might not be as technologically advanced in terms of having all the bells
- 10:35and whistles, but they're able to put out very cheap vehicles on the road,
- 10:39and as you said, they're exporting. So there's there's that market,
- 10:43and then it seems like there's the rest of the world, and they all
- 10:46exist in their own side of things as well. It's incredible how China has
- 10:52become such a competitor. It absolutely is, and we're only recognizing it in
- 10:58you know, we only recognize in the life past few years just what a
- 11:01competitive they are. And I read an interview about eighteen months ago and it
- 11:07was about how Chinese consumers think of evs very differently than we do. They
- 11:13because in China, their culture revolves around mobile phones. Everything they do,
- 11:20they're banking, so much of their social life takes place on their phone,
- 11:24and they see their automobiles their transportation as an extension of that digital culture.
- 11:31And so the Chinese EV makers have designed their vehicles over time to incorporate to
- 11:37be part of that digital culture, and they call them, you know,
- 11:43rolling iPhones is basically what they are, and so the Chinese, while their
- 11:52products are much lower cost, are actually pretty technologically sophisticated. And when it
- 11:58comes to this, you know, the interface what's called now in the industry,
- 12:03the software defined vehicle. They lead and we are scrambling to catch up,
- 12:09and not very good. I mean, look at the problems that GM
- 12:11had with its Blazer and other vehicles around software. The CEO of Volkswagen was
- 12:18fired a year or so ago because the software department in the in Volkswagen was
- 12:22just a disaster and they couldn't get their vehicles out the door because of that.
- 12:28So we're now in the uncomfortable position of the OEMs being playing catchup.
- 12:35We're not the leaders anymore. We are now in the position that the Chinese
- 12:41were twenty years ago, where we're looking at basically an industry that's coming to
- 12:45eat our lunch, and the industry knows it, and unfortunately the public is
- 12:50for the most part unaware. So, you know, absent the country flipping
- 12:56into a Donald Trumpy in speech where we're going to put up massive trade barriers
- 13:03and block imports of these vehicles, which I can't see, you know,
- 13:07the decoupling of a global economy like that actually occurring. Do you think that
- 13:13an eed transition in North America will happen if costs aren't able to come down
- 13:18from our domestic producers here. Or is it simply that the Chinese EV companies
- 13:26are going to win and we're just going to be seeing Chinese vehicles on North
- 13:28America streets. No. I think Flavio has the right view on this.
- 13:31He said, you know what, what we need in North America and Europe
- 13:35is moving in this direction for sure, and that is the kind of support
- 13:39that the Chinese EV makers get from government. We need to begin to do.
- 13:43And this is why remember the kerfuffle that erupted a year or so ago
- 13:50because the federal government decided to subsidize a couple of battery plants. I think
- 13:54Volkswagen was one with ten billion dollars, and there was there were another one
- 13:58or two that were in the billion dollar range. And the economists on my
- 14:03social media accounts just were outraged. You know that we would spend this kind
- 14:09of public money and this was not a good use of our money. And
- 14:13I disagreed. I said, look, this is the technology of the future,
- 14:16the transportation technology, and there are two ways to go about this.
- 14:20You can pay at the beginning like the Chinese have, and you can build
- 14:24these industries and scale them up and fund the innovation that's required and then reap
- 14:31the benefits. But if you don't do that, which Canada has not done
- 14:33and North America has not done, then you have to pay to buy in.
- 14:39That's the price of playing in this game. And the alternative, the
- 14:43third option, is you don't play at all, and you just open your
- 14:46markets up to the new technology and the chips fall where they may, which
- 14:50is everybody agrees unacceptable. So what Flavio says is absolutely correct. We need
- 14:56to start investing in our OEMs. We need to in invest in these new
- 15:00technologies, scale up battery plants we need. But there's a whole range of
- 15:05related technologies. They're not very sexy, but they're absolutely critical. AI is
- 15:11one, Artificial intelligence software is another. The parts you know that go critical
- 15:18minerals, that would be a big one. Canada, according to Bloomberg and
- 15:20Ef, has emerged as the number one country in the world with the potential
- 15:28to be a critical mineral supplier for these new technologies. And you know,
- 15:33so that's lithium and copper and nickel and all sorts of other less well known
- 15:39minerals, and we have them here. We have a big mining industry in
- 15:43Canada. We need to now reform our approval processes and support our domestic industry
- 15:52to extract, but not just extract. The big opportunity here is refining,
- 15:58turning back battery minerals into battery metals which then become the component parts for battery
- 16:06cells. And the reason why I put a lot of emphasis on refining and
- 16:10processing is China controls ninety percent of that global capacity, which means that if
- 16:15you extract lithium in Canada, the odds are you have to ship it to
- 16:19China to be refined and processed. Then you have to ship it back and
- 16:23that's just not economic. So there are all these opportunities that we need to
- 16:29build political support for in Canada so that our governments feel that they have the
- 16:34mandate to go out and spend public dollars to build these industries up so that
- 16:40we get our employment and we get the economic benefits of them. And that's
- 16:45where we're falling down in my opinion. Well, China is a economic competitor.
- 16:52China is also a security competitor with us, right now, And you
- 16:57could make the argument that ensuring that this industry builds up as quickly as it
- 17:03can domestically so that there isn't a reliance upon China for there as you said,
- 17:08refining, or even just for cheap vehicles, it puts us on a
- 17:11stronger national security footing. Shifting back to our footprint here in North America,
- 17:18what are some of the advantages would you say that we have outside of just
- 17:23critical minerals when it comes to looking at this emerging fight with China not emerging.
- 17:29I mean, we're in it right now, right I'm happy to answer
- 17:32that. I want to back up just a little bit to address the point
- 17:34that you raised about the national security. There's there are great speeches by American
- 17:41leaders, and I'm the one I'm thinking of is Gina ray Munda, who
- 17:45is the US Secretary of Commerce, and speeches that she gave in twenty twenty
- 17:48two. Your listeners can google them. They're very instructive, and she tells
- 17:52the story about how in the you know, the Americans spent the night from
- 17:57the nineteen eighties up until the pandemic basically offshoring all of their manufacturing. You
- 18:03know, Matt in the US used to be a major manufacturing power, and
- 18:07then over time it shifted all of that stuff to low cost centers, particularly
- 18:11in China. China became the factory to the world. And she says,
- 18:15you know, in the first year of the pandemic, we discovered, to
- 18:19our chagrin how vulnerable we were to Chinese supply chains basically if we wanted,
- 18:26you know, certain technologies and products and so on. They came out of
- 18:30China, which has now emerged as the major geopolitical competitor for the US,
- 18:37and it was like a revelation for them. There was like a thunderbolt,
- 18:41thunderclap, you know. And so they and that's why they started putting,
- 18:45you know, hundreds of billions of dollars into the Infrastructure Act, and then
- 18:48the two hundred and eighty billion in the Chips Act, and then up to
- 18:52maybe a trillion dollars in the Inflation Reduction Act. All of those are in
- 18:57response to the re ignit. Finally the recognition in the US that China had
- 19:04them is a major competitor and they had a major national security vulnerability in these
- 19:12new energy supply chains, and so they're going to build that. So where
- 19:18are the opportunities for Canada. I argue that they we you know, I
- 19:22was around for the free trade debates in the late nineteen eighties and the argument
- 19:27against moving closer to the US was that it made us more vulnerable having one
- 19:33big customer, one big market that we serve. Unfortunately, I think we're
- 19:37going to have to double down on that. I think that as the Americans
- 19:41scale up their battery manufacturing, they're going to switch their auto manufacturing to electric
- 19:47vehicles. Electric transportation buses will be a huge opportunity. There's six hundred thousand
- 19:52electric buses in China, five or ten thousand in North America. I mean,
- 19:56there's a huge opportunity there, and we we need governments, both federal
- 20:02and provincial, who recognize the opportunities, work with decision makers in the US,
- 20:07work with industry in Canada, put in place the strategies. It's not
- 20:12just the policies. You need strategy. The Americans are brilliant at strategy and
- 20:18they now have one or multiple strategies depending on how you look at it,
- 20:22and we are we are not leading in that respect. So in order for
- 20:29Canada to take the pivot from where we're you know, traditionally hewers of wood
- 20:33and drawers of water. It's our oil and gas and our forests and our
- 20:37minerals. And to make that pivot so that we're providers of finished materials and
- 20:45technology and technologically based products like electric vehicles, but do it at a bigger
- 20:51scale than we've ever done before, but enjoy the economic benefits that come along
- 20:55with that investment and job creation. That is in my mind, the biggest
- 21:00imperative political imperatives in this country. And again I can't say there's enough times
- 21:06John, and I will probably say it again during this interview that this is
- 21:10where Canada is falling down well, and you don't want to be falling down
- 21:14with this occurring, because again, things are moving as quickly as they are.
- 21:18We don't have time. We have to be catching up right now,
- 21:19and falling down will just be putting us further behind. You know, I
- 21:23wanted to ask about the strengths of the North American market, but you tapped
- 21:27into that right there as well, sort of into one response, which was
- 21:32great. I want to shift to the last point of your tweet that you
- 21:34had put out in regards to this statement from the CEO of Stalantis. You
- 21:41say Alberta, this is your demand, this is demand for your oil,
- 21:45waving goodbye, bring shut down. There is some great work done by Colin
- 21:52Mccherricter bloomberg Enif, who is, by the way, a good Canadian boy.
- 21:56You grew up on Quadri Island in British Columbi. But now he's based
- 22:00out of Oslo, Norway, and he leads up their Active Transportation team,
- 22:07and their analysis is that transportation at the global level is being electrified so quickly
- 22:17that they expect peak road transportation oil demand to peak into like twenty five,
- 22:23twenty twenty five or twenty twenty six. And let me explain that a little
- 22:26bit. Break it down a little bit. So we use currently about one
- 22:30hundred and four million barrels a day, one hundred and five million barrels a
- 22:33day of oil, and just under fifty percent of that goes to road transportation.
- 22:38So we're talking about not just passenger cars, but we're also talking about
- 22:42freight trucks. We're talking about medium duty delivery vans, those kinds of vehicles.
- 22:49And it's the light duty vehicles and the medium duty vehicles that are set
- 22:56that are already electrifying in a big way and are set for that to take
- 23:00off in an even bigger way in the next few years. And once we
- 23:04hit peak road transportation oil demand, then the curve down begins to bend very
- 23:11sharply, and we're going to and according to the Bloomberg and EFS analysis,
- 23:18we're going to see demand fall and the rise in other areas like petrochemicals and
- 23:26aviation will not be able to offset that fall in road transportation demand. So
- 23:30what does that all mean. What it means is we're likely to hit peke
- 23:34oil demand before twenty thirty. From this point of view, that means then
- 23:41that you've got more supply chasing less demand in the oil market, and that
- 23:48means lower prices, and that means then and we saw what happened in twenty
- 23:52fourteen, the last time we had a big bust in the oil industry,
- 23:57and Alberta was just a state. I mean it. You know, the
- 24:03industry is since then has lost forty or fifty thousand employees. And at that
- 24:07time, you know the government was running ten billion dollars a year deficits,
- 24:11and it was just it was carnage all over Calgary and all over rural Alberta.
- 24:18That's the prospect of what Alberta is looking at. Now, that's a
- 24:22worst case scenario. But Alberta has a very bad habit and this is the
- 24:27root of a lot of the conflict between Alberta and the federal government these days.
- 24:32But it has a very bad habit of planning for the absolute best outcome
- 24:37and not caring about the absolute worst outcome. And you know, it's like
- 24:41I'm fond of saying, you know, what did mom tell us? You
- 24:45know, hope for the best, plan for the worst. That's not what
- 24:48Alberta does. And there's a very good chance that Alberta is going to be
- 24:53caught unawares and that oil demand and prices are going to fall far sooner,
- 24:59like years, maybe even decades sooner than they're planning on, and they're going
- 25:03to be unprepared. And that now, say, you know, if you're
- 25:07sitting in Windsor, Ontario and you thinking, well, what do I care
- 25:08about Western Canada? Oil and gas exports are Canada's biggest exports. And I
- 25:17mean by like a factor of two, automotives come in. Automotive exports come
- 25:21in around sixty billion dollars, oil and gas around one hundred and twenty billion
- 25:25dollars. They're a big, big part of the national economy. They generate
- 25:30a lot of revenue for the federal government, which then gets distributed around to
- 25:33other provinces. They do the industry does a lot of business and other provinces,
- 25:38particularly in Ontario because of the manufacturing. What happens in Alberta matters a
- 25:45lot to the rest of Canada. And it's you know, I know,
- 25:48it's hard to feel sympathy because we're sniping with them all the time over these
- 25:52you know, climate policies and carbon taxes and stuff. But that's that's the
- 25:56truth of the matter, and it really behooves us as Canadian to figure this
- 26:00out and come to some kind of common understanding so that we're not at loggerheads
- 26:06all the time. This is not this is the absolute worst time for us
- 26:11to not be rowing all in the same direction. Alberta sounds a lot like
- 26:17Windsor to be honest, because I think back to when the Oshawa GM plant
- 26:23closed down. It was the night that we had our municipal elections and our
- 26:29mayor, who's our current mayor right now, still Drew Dilkins, gave his
- 26:33speech at the victory night and tore up his speech and he said, I
- 26:37had something written, but we can't rely on that. It's time for us
- 26:40not to rely on going the way that we've always gone. We need to
- 26:44start diversifying our industries. What if something like INSA were to occur here,
- 26:49Well, flash forward five six years. We are all back in on the
- 26:55automotive train. And I've even had some people try to convince me that you
- 27:00are not actually automotive. It is a diversification, and it's like, Okay,
- 27:06well I suppose, but right now they're making they're making batteries for cars.
- 27:10Maybe they'll start making them for you know, the refrigerators or something else
- 27:12down the road. But we're all in on this one, and I can
- 27:17appreciate the concerns of something like that. One of the last times that we
- 27:21spoke, though, Alberta had just paused or suspended renewable energy licensing at the
- 27:29time. So where do things stand right now? Because based on what you
- 27:33just said to me about, you know, they're completely off with they're forecasting.
- 27:37I wouldn't be surprised if you were to say it's still still suspended or
- 27:41they're moving away from it. Do they have a renewables plan. No,
- 27:48And that's the short answer and the longer answer which requires some context. So
- 27:55Alberta and Saskatchewan had and this is in the southern part of the province,
- 27:57have the best wind and solar resources in Canada. And Alberta, because of
- 28:03its open it's deregulated wholesale market, has allows basically anybody who is an approved
- 28:10developer, like if you want to build a wind or solar farm in Alberta
- 28:14connected to the grid, you don't have to ask anybody for permission, You
- 28:17have that right to do it and you can then offer your product into the
- 28:21wholesale market and compete with other generators like utilities. So that Alberta has seen
- 28:26far and away the most wind and solar investment in Canada in the last number
- 28:32of years. So what happened though, is that they're you know, the
- 28:37local The current UCP government is very pro oil and gas, doesn't like renewables
- 28:42at all. It's political bases in the rural areas where they don't aren't always
- 28:48fond of oil and gas or sorry, wind and solar either. They worry
- 28:51about things like, you know, a wind turbine ruining the pristine viewscape of
- 28:56the rocky mountains, that sort of thing. So in August, the Alberta
- 29:00government and announced a pause on wind, on new wind and solar development while
- 29:07they sorted all of a sudden So February twenty ninth they announced the new rules,
- 29:12and the new rules were horrendous. Even though they lifted the hard moratorium.
- 29:17Many observers said, no, this is this is basically a sophom moratorium.
- 29:21And I interviewed Dan Balaban, who's the one of the big developers of
- 29:26wind and solar in Alberta, and he said, Okay, it's not it's
- 29:30not great, and you're going to will still be development, but there'll be
- 29:34a lot less of it because there's so much uncertainty. We just don't trust
- 29:37the regulator and the government and and so on. So they've kind of they
- 29:44haven't kiwa washed it, but they've really hobbled it. Now here's the problem
- 29:48with that. We are moving to electrify our economies in response to competition from
- 29:56the Chinese, in response to the client crisis and the need to reduce greenhouse
- 30:02gas emissions. So everywhere that you look, even in China, which still
- 30:07burns a lot of coal, but it's also true in Europe, and now
- 30:11it's even true in the United States. Wind and solar are basically all of
- 30:17the new generating capacity that's being added to power grids, and countries are spending
- 30:22hundreds of billions of dollars in order to modernize their power grids to handle all
- 30:29of this new technology. So I interviewed Atta Ramont, who is the senior
- 30:34grid planner for the Alberta Electric System Operator right folks who operate the power grid,
- 30:41and his message was different. He said, look, we understand here
- 30:45at the ASO that there is a technology revolution going on in the power sector.
- 30:53And it's not just wind and solar, which are intermittent resources pushing out
- 30:59coal and natural gas. It's not just that there are a whole range of
- 31:03you know, techie stuff that we don't have to talk about here that are
- 31:07revolutionizing how we work in the electricity sector. He said, we're on top
- 31:12of that, and we expect a lot more wind and solar in the future.
- 31:17We expect that we're going to be investing in these new digital technologies and
- 31:21grid technologies to modernize our POA grid in Alberta. All of that is in
- 31:26the planning process. We've got you know, reports and blah blah blah,
- 31:30all of that kind of stuff, and this is the inherent conflict. The
- 31:34people in the know, the people who are working in these areas know what's
- 31:38coming and they're doing their very best to accommodate it and prepare for it.
- 31:44But the political culture and the policies that then flow from the government are it's
- 31:48like it's back in the nineteen eighties. And Alberta is not alone. I
- 31:53mean, Saskatchewan is doing the same kind of thing. We've seen a little
- 31:56bit of this in Ontario with the Ford govern men's preference for gas for you
- 32:01know, gas power plants. We're seeing it in a little bit in some
- 32:07of the maritime provinces. So it's not like Alberta is alone. But again,
- 32:10we're not all rowing in the same direction. And we you know,
- 32:16this is going to come back to bite us. It's not obvious today,
- 32:20well it's obvious to some of us today, but with every month, every
- 32:24year that goes by, it's going to be increasingly obvious that we're going to
- 32:29pay a price if we don't keep up. And I think that is a
- 32:32point that is not it's clearly not understood in Alberta, but it's not also
- 32:37well understood out of albert Outside of albert we're going to pay a price if
- 32:44we don't keep up. You know, it's pretty sobering when you hear that,
- 32:49but I mean it makes perfect sense, and I think that's probably a
- 32:53perfect place for us to actually leave this as well, because like the ASO
- 32:58said, I suppose it's sort of and see for all of us right now
- 33:01in terms of how things continue to go. Markham, I really appreciate you
- 33:05taking some time away with me today on a Friday afternoon. I hope you
- 33:10enjoy your weekend and thanks for sharing your knowledge. Always a pleasure to chat.
- 33:15John, you know my number. Markham Hyslop is the CEO and publisher
- 33:21of Energy Media