Latest / Toadstool Sports / MLB NLCS + NHL + NCAAF Best Bets Tuesday 10/14/25

Transcript

MLB NLCS + NHL + NCAAF Best Bets Tuesday 10/14/25 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Yep.
• 0:01
  Speaker 2: Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on Own seven
• 0:06
  Speaker 2: run over the last two days after tonight.
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: It was just complete bullshit. So that's that's what I'm
• 0:11
  Speaker 1: gonna start off this show. Horrible Sunday one and five.
• 0:14
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what to tell you about that.
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: I just don't want to do this anymore.
• 0:18
  Speaker 2: I have never seen anything like this, Man, with the
• 0:22
  Speaker 2: slump continuing.
• 0:23
  Speaker 1: Two straight losses, not a good day at all. Own four,
• 0:27
  Speaker 1: I have not had a good season.
• 0:31
  Speaker 2: Man, with bookends the slump that I'm on, and the
• 0:35
  Speaker 2: slump continues.
• 0:36
  Speaker 1: I've reached a new peak.
• 0:38
  Speaker 2: Actually, I'm gonna burn my Bruins hack Man, I don't
• 0:42
  Speaker 2: know what is going on with the Bruins.
• 0:44
  Speaker 1: March eight, Is that what it is? I don't even
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: know it's It's March ninth. I think who even knows?
• 0:50
  Speaker 2: Man, I don't know what data is anymore. But I
• 0:53
  Speaker 2: don't even know what data is anymore. Man, back with
• 0:55
  Speaker 2: you after the worst day that I could possibly have,
• 0:59
  Speaker 2: Back with you as I always am until I die,
• 1:02
  Speaker 2: at least oh and two. Yesterday and yesterday it did
• 1:06
  Speaker 2: not go well for me.
• 1:07
  Speaker 1: Own five.
• 1:09
  Speaker 2: The worst month that I've ever had in my eighteen
• 1:12
  Speaker 2: years doing this.
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 1:15
  Speaker 2: Slump, the slump discontinuous, the slump continues.
• 1:20
  Speaker 1: Somebody fucking kill me, please.
• 1:22
  Speaker 2: I don't even know what I should do at this
• 1:25
  Speaker 2: point other than potentially end it all.
• 1:32
  Speaker 1: What's up or about? It's towed back with you? Better
• 1:35
  Speaker 1: off dead? Tuesday, October fourteenth, Uh, not a good day.
• 1:41
  Speaker 2: Yesterday we were a half and two and a half
• 1:45
  Speaker 2: basically because I the Tampa Bay Lightning. I mean that
• 1:49
  Speaker 2: probably should have been a winter Although the Bruins did
• 1:52
  Speaker 2: outshoot and out hit them in the game, but part
• 1:54
  Speaker 2: of the reason they outshot them is because they were
• 1:56
  Speaker 2: way behind, so they started getting in desperation mode, and
• 1:58
  Speaker 2: they actually almost came back at Tampa had a three
• 2:02
  Speaker 2: and a nothing lead, and then a four to one lead.
• 2:05
  Speaker 2: Bruins actually cut it to four to three, and then
• 2:07
  Speaker 2: neither team scored in the third period. So Tampa did
• 2:10
  Speaker 2: win on the money line. So you took the money line,
• 2:12
  Speaker 2: which I think got a little bit cheaper after I
• 2:14
  Speaker 2: did the show. You would have won the way that
• 2:17
  Speaker 2: I did it with a split bet was still a
• 2:19
  Speaker 2: winner because you won on the money line. Prior of
• 2:22
  Speaker 2: Wach was like the bigger chunk of the bet, so
• 2:25
  Speaker 2: it was a slight winner. So we did start out
• 2:27
  Speaker 2: with a small win on that one if you did
• 2:29
  Speaker 2: it the way that I did, although I should have
• 2:32
  Speaker 2: done it differently. Something that I just I don't know,
• 2:35
  Speaker 2: I haven't gotten in the mindset of doing it, which
• 2:37
  Speaker 2: I've I have done it before though, is we probably
• 2:40
  Speaker 2: should have gone with Tampa Bay to win in regulation.
• 2:42
  Speaker 2: That's another way to do it in hockey. When you
• 2:45
  Speaker 2: have a big favorite, you could take them to win
• 2:48
  Speaker 2: in regulation, and then of course that means if it
• 2:50
  Speaker 2: goes into overtime, you lose your bet. Even if they
• 2:52
  Speaker 2: wind up winning an overtime they got a win in regulation,
• 2:54
  Speaker 2: which Tampa did, but that is a way to get
• 2:57
  Speaker 2: a big favorite and like cut the price way down
• 3:00
  Speaker 2: because you're gonna pay less money for that to happen, right,
• 3:03
  Speaker 2: So like for Tampa, I think it was close to
• 3:04
  Speaker 2: like a pick em price. If he wanted to do
• 3:06
  Speaker 2: that's probably the way we should have done it. That
• 3:08
  Speaker 2: would have been a win.
• 3:10
  Speaker 1: If we did it that way. So that's probably what
• 3:12
  Speaker 1: I should have done.
• 3:13
  Speaker 2: But I tracked myself on Action Network and like Action
• 3:16
  Speaker 2: network has issues trying to track that unless you like
• 3:19
  Speaker 2: go through their like interface that actually interfaces through like
• 3:22
  Speaker 2: the actual book that you're using, which you can do.
• 3:25
  Speaker 2: But yeah, it is definitely annoying. And then everything else
• 3:29
  Speaker 2: about the day was annoying. Is the Toronto Blue Jays.
• 3:32
  Speaker 2: They were down three to nothing in the first inning,
• 3:35
  Speaker 2: which was ridiculous, and they actually they got screwed by
• 3:38
  Speaker 2: the umpire, the home played umpire. There should have been
• 3:41
  Speaker 2: a called strike three I think on the first bat
• 3:44
  Speaker 2: or of the game, and it was a ball, and
• 3:46
  Speaker 2: then everything.
• 3:47
  Speaker 1: Just unraveled after that.
• 3:49
  Speaker 2: You Savage was not as good as he should have been,
• 3:53
  Speaker 2: or as good as he was. That was his worst
• 3:55
  Speaker 2: outing of his career. Man, I mean he gave up
• 3:58
  Speaker 2: three runs in the first inning. After that call, he
• 4:01
  Speaker 2: did settle down, and Seattle actually tied the game.
• 4:03
  Speaker 1: They scored right away, They scored two.
• 4:05
  Speaker 2: Back in the bottom of the first I'm pretty sure,
• 4:07
  Speaker 2: and then they tied it in the second, and so
• 4:09
  Speaker 2: it was three to three going all the way into.
• 4:11
  Speaker 1: The fifth inning. So I'm like, Okay, this is gonna
• 4:13
  Speaker 1: be at worst a push here.
• 4:15
  Speaker 2: Maybe we should have gone full game on Toronto's what
• 4:17
  Speaker 2: I was thinking at the time.
• 4:18
  Speaker 1: Then Y Savage just lost it.
• 4:21
  Speaker 2: Man. I think he was still in there in the
• 4:22
  Speaker 2: fifth inning, and he gave up three more runs in
• 4:25
  Speaker 2: the fifth inning, or at.
• 4:26
  Speaker 1: Least he put some guys on base. Some of those
• 4:28
  Speaker 1: guys scored.
• 4:28
  Speaker 2: I forget if they took him out at that point
• 4:30
  Speaker 2: and put somebody else in, but it was bad. Seattle
• 4:33
  Speaker 2: pushed it to a six to three lead and they
• 4:35
  Speaker 2: never looked back. Man, this Seattle team, they're doing this
• 4:38
  Speaker 2: without Brian wooing the rotation. They they're doing it after
• 4:41
  Speaker 2: they had to play fifteen innings on Saturday night or whatever,
• 4:44
  Speaker 2: and now they've won both games on the road at Toronto,
• 4:47
  Speaker 2: even though they're not even a good road team.
• 4:49
  Speaker 1: I think the series is over, dude.
• 4:51
  Speaker 2: I know in baseball it's easier to come back from
• 4:53
  Speaker 2: down two to ozho than in other sports because it's
• 4:55
  Speaker 2: a closer sport, baseball, hockey. I guess I'm both a
• 5:01
  Speaker 2: little bit easier, certainly easier than basketball.
• 5:04
  Speaker 1: Baseball maybe the easiest to do it.
• 5:05
  Speaker 2: But when you're down two losing twice at home, yeah,
• 5:09
  Speaker 2: it's it's not a good situation. I think I think
• 5:11
  Speaker 2: it's pretty much over for the Blue Jays here and then,
• 5:15
  Speaker 2: and they wound up losing that game I think ten
• 5:17
  Speaker 2: to three or something like that, and then we lost
• 5:20
  Speaker 2: on the Columbus Blue Jackets as well. Columbus on Columbus
• 5:24
  Speaker 2: Day can't get it done. I think they were the
• 5:26
  Speaker 2: right side. Still, they were a home underdog and the
• 5:28
  Speaker 2: game was close the whole way they were.
• 5:33
  Speaker 1: They had the stats in the game.
• 5:35
  Speaker 2: It was a slight stat advantage for Columbus in the game,
• 5:37
  Speaker 2: I think with the shots with the hit advantage, and
• 5:40
  Speaker 2: they were never losing by enough that it was like, oh,
• 5:43
  Speaker 2: they're in like desperation mode.
• 5:45
  Speaker 1: Now, No, they were never losing by well, they were
• 5:48
  Speaker 1: losing by two goals.
• 5:49
  Speaker 2: In the final minute of the game, but besides that,
• 5:51
  Speaker 2: it was either tied or they were losing by one
• 5:54
  Speaker 2: for the entire the entirety of the game. Besides that,
• 5:57
  Speaker 2: they gave up a late goal to make it three
• 5:59
  Speaker 2: to one, which I think wasn't actually an empty net
• 6:02
  Speaker 2: or I think they didn't pull their goalie, and then
• 6:04
  Speaker 2: Columbus actually scored to make it three to two after that,
• 6:07
  Speaker 2: So if they hadn't given up that other goal, we
• 6:09
  Speaker 2: could have been looking at maybe an overtime situation and
• 6:12
  Speaker 2: maybe they would have gotten there. It sucked, but we
• 6:15
  Speaker 2: move on to today. Although today I actually don't have
• 6:17
  Speaker 2: anything for today. I don't like the board at all today. Jeffrey,
• 6:21
  Speaker 2: what's up man? Thanks for hanging out? Yes, correct the
• 6:26
  Speaker 2: Tampa and Bruins. Yeah, you had Tampa as a road favorite,
• 6:29
  Speaker 2: and the records looked completely disparate from what the odds were,
• 6:35
  Speaker 2: So that is something something to look at. Yeah, winning
• 6:38
  Speaker 2: regulation probably should have been the way to do it.
• 6:41
  Speaker 1: Moving forward, maybe I'll give up more regulation. Hockey plays.
• 6:45
  Speaker 1: The over, Yeah, the overhit easily.
• 6:47
  Speaker 2: I mentioned I did agree with it, even though the
• 6:50
  Speaker 2: market was disagreeing with it. I wasn't like my favorite
• 6:53
  Speaker 2: look in that game obviously, but yeah, the over happened
• 6:56
  Speaker 2: pretty easily. And Seattle and Toronto, I mean, you had
• 6:59
  Speaker 2: five runs in the first inning, so at that point
• 7:01
  Speaker 2: it was like, you're pretty much good at that point
• 7:04
  Speaker 2: unless something really crazy.
• 7:06
  Speaker 1: Jordan, what's up, Thans for hanging out? I just started.
• 7:09
  Speaker 2: Man, I'm not gonna have any plays today, but I
• 7:11
  Speaker 2: am gonna cover the card today or the board. I
• 7:15
  Speaker 2: should say, let's do it. Let's get into it. It
• 7:18
  Speaker 2: is the breakdown. Surprisingly, I don't have any plays. Like,
• 7:22
  Speaker 2: I'm not surprised that I don't have any college football
• 7:24
  Speaker 2: plays in this slate. I'm not surprised that I'm passing
• 7:26
  Speaker 2: on one baseball game because I just don't really see
• 7:29
  Speaker 2: an angle I like. But NHL we have a decent
• 7:32
  Speaker 2: amount of games, saying, I just don't love the board
• 7:34
  Speaker 2: at all, man, so I'm passing. We do have Game
• 7:37
  Speaker 2: two of the NLCS here tonight, Dodgers one last night
• 7:41
  Speaker 2: two to one, So I'd mentioned I did lean to
• 7:45
  Speaker 2: the Dodgers, and I was correct by the way that
• 7:47
  Speaker 2: Milwaukee used Quinn Priester as their main pitcher yesterday, although
• 7:52
  Speaker 2: they had an opener pitch before him, and then they
• 7:54
  Speaker 2: used Priester and he wasn't bad, but they still lost
• 7:58
  Speaker 2: the game two to one. Snell was very good. Snell,
• 8:01
  Speaker 2: I think when eight innings and had like ten strikeouts.
• 8:04
  Speaker 2: So yeah, Snell was really good. Pretty much well, I
• 8:07
  Speaker 2: would say he kind of saved the Dodgers' bullpen. The
• 8:09
  Speaker 2: Dodgers actually used two relief pitchers to I believe, just
• 8:13
  Speaker 2: pitching the ninth inning. Unless it wasn't extra dings, right,
• 8:17
  Speaker 2: I don't think it was. Let me look real quick, no,
• 8:19
  Speaker 2: it wasn't so I don't know.
• 8:22
  Speaker 1: Whatever.
• 8:22
  Speaker 2: For whatever reason, the Dodgers mixed and matched, I guess,
• 8:25
  Speaker 2: and they used two relievers to close the game out.
• 8:28
  Speaker 2: So the Dodgers have the more rested bullpen here because
• 8:31
  Speaker 2: Milwaukee went with sort of a bullpen game yesterday with
• 8:34
  Speaker 2: an opener and then Prestar went like three or four innings.
• 8:37
  Speaker 2: Then they used some of their other guys, they used
• 8:39
  Speaker 2: their clotheser. So even though Milwaukee has the better bullpen,
• 8:44
  Speaker 2: the bullpen edge in this game is kind of negated
• 8:46
  Speaker 2: a little bit because they used more relief pitchers and
• 8:50
  Speaker 2: for more pitches. So that's not great if you're looking
• 8:53
  Speaker 2: at Milwaukee here. Yeah, of course the Dodgers. They're the
• 8:58
  Speaker 2: better offense at Hockey's offense is pretty good, Milwaukee not
• 9:01
  Speaker 2: quite as good at home. Starting pitching here, it looks
• 9:06
  Speaker 2: like a good starting pitching matchup. Like on the surface,
• 9:08
  Speaker 2: I was looking at this and thinking, maybe an under
• 9:10
  Speaker 2: is gonna make sense here. Yoshinobu Yamamodos pitching for the Dodgers.
• 9:15
  Speaker 2: Good season for him, two point four to nine ERA
• 9:19
  Speaker 2: point nine to nine whip. The one thing you have
• 9:21
  Speaker 2: to be aware of with him is It's only his
• 9:23
  Speaker 2: second season in the majors, and he threw way more
• 9:25
  Speaker 2: innings this year than he did last year.
• 9:27
  Speaker 1: So the question.
• 9:27
  Speaker 2: Is is he wearing out yet? And I'm gonna say
• 9:31
  Speaker 2: he's not. I mean, he had a point.
• 9:33
  Speaker 1: Six seven e RA in September, so even though.
• 9:35
  Speaker 2: His walk number did increase, it was mostly one game
• 9:38
  Speaker 2: against San Francisco where that happened. His strikeout rate was
• 9:41
  Speaker 2: still really high, well over one per innings, so he
• 9:44
  Speaker 2: was still good.
• 9:45
  Speaker 1: I guess a two point.
• 9:46
  Speaker 2: Five to three ERA in the playoffs so far eleven
• 9:48
  Speaker 2: to three strike a walk ratio in two outings. Wasn't
• 9:51
  Speaker 2: as good against Philly last time out, but he's been
• 9:55
  Speaker 2: pretty good in the playoffs. He's good on the road
• 9:57
  Speaker 2: two point one to three road to the RA. So
• 10:00
  Speaker 2: I'm not gonna say he's gonna he's wearing down.
• 10:01
  Speaker 1: I don't think he is.
• 10:04
  Speaker 2: He is good on the road. The problem is he's
• 10:06
  Speaker 2: not good against the Brewers. It's only seven at bats,
• 10:09
  Speaker 2: but a lot of other guys have faced him. He
• 10:12
  Speaker 2: has no strikeouts against them, two walks, a five to
• 10:15
  Speaker 2: seventy one batting average allowed, one eight to ten OPS,
• 10:19
  Speaker 2: and a home run from Vaughn against him, so he.
• 10:22
  Speaker 1: Really has struggled against the Brewers.
• 10:24
  Speaker 2: I know it was only one outing though against him,
• 10:27
  Speaker 2: I think it was just one outing, but this is
• 10:29
  Speaker 2: what it was. It was at Milwaukee, which is where
• 10:31
  Speaker 2: we are today in July.
• 10:33
  Speaker 1: He went two thirds of an inning.
• 10:35
  Speaker 2: He gave up three earned runs, so the defense hurt
• 10:38
  Speaker 2: him as well because there are two Honron runs. But
• 10:40
  Speaker 2: he allowed four hits, a home run, two walks, no strikeouts.
• 10:44
  Speaker 1: Bad, very bad.
• 10:45
  Speaker 2: So I don't know how much we trust yam Modol,
• 10:47
  Speaker 2: though I know it was a very small stample size,
• 10:49
  Speaker 2: so maybe there's not a whole lot to take away
• 10:51
  Speaker 2: from that, but I do worry about that a bit.
• 10:54
  Speaker 2: He's going up against Milwaukee's ace, Freddy Peralta, who had
• 10:58
  Speaker 2: a really good season two point seven one point eight whip.
• 11:01
  Speaker 1: I mean, if you're the.
• 11:02
  Speaker 2: Brewers and you're down one here at home, he's the
• 11:05
  Speaker 2: guy that you want. He was really good at home,
• 11:07
  Speaker 2: one point seven to seventy RA at home. Hasn't been
• 11:10
  Speaker 2: that good in the playoffs though, fifteen to five strike
• 11:13
  Speaker 2: a walk ratios all right, but he's allowed five earned runs,
• 11:18
  Speaker 2: so he has a four point six six ERA and
• 11:19
  Speaker 2: two outings, though they were both against the Cubs, so
• 11:23
  Speaker 2: he may do better in this outing. He's also thrown
• 11:26
  Speaker 2: more innings than he has ever before. He topped last
• 11:30
  Speaker 2: year's innings pitched total now by three innings. So well,
• 11:34
  Speaker 2: I think that was just in the regular season, but uh,
• 11:37
  Speaker 2: something to be aware of. I mean, Paralta is a veteran,
• 11:39
  Speaker 2: though he's been around for such a long time.
• 11:41
  Speaker 1: I don't know that it's really going to affect him.
• 11:43
  Speaker 2: But he wasn't good against the Cubs in the playoffs,
• 11:45
  Speaker 2: at the very least against the Dodgers.
• 11:47
  Speaker 1: Generally, he is quite good. One hundred and thirty nine career.
• 11:50
  Speaker 2: At bats, thirty four to fourteen strike a walk, racio
• 11:53
  Speaker 2: two sixteen average allowed, six sixty nine ops allowed. So
• 11:58
  Speaker 2: par Alta does look like he's probably gonna lot. He
• 12:00
  Speaker 2: lines up to pitch pretty well here. I would say
• 12:04
  Speaker 2: the money is coming in on the Dodgers, though they're
• 12:06
  Speaker 2: up or down for minus one twenty five to minus one.
• 12:08
  Speaker 1: Twenty two is a road favorite.
• 12:10
  Speaker 2: Fifty four percent of tickets on Milwaukee, eighty two percent
• 12:12
  Speaker 2: of the cash on the Dodgers. I'm not quite sure
• 12:15
  Speaker 2: that I see that, although I do think the Dodgers
• 12:18
  Speaker 2: because of the way that the bullpen usage worked out yesterday.
• 12:21
  Speaker 2: I might say that they do have a little bit
• 12:23
  Speaker 2: of a bullpen edge year, but I think Paralta has
• 12:26
  Speaker 2: the edge and the starting pitching, so I would actually
• 12:29
  Speaker 2: kind of disagree with that market read. And I was
• 12:31
  Speaker 2: slightly leaned to a to Milwaukee in the first five
• 12:35
  Speaker 2: innings only might be the way I would lead in
• 12:36
  Speaker 2: this one, just playing with Peralta out there. But yam
• 12:40
  Speaker 2: Mamoto might do fine here. I mean that one start
• 12:43
  Speaker 2: could have been a bit of an outlier, but I
• 12:45
  Speaker 2: don't know. It is a little bit of a cause
• 12:47
  Speaker 2: for concern there. And ya Momoto, I mean he's still
• 12:50
  Speaker 2: not that experience with pitching in the playoffs. I think
• 12:53
  Speaker 2: he was there last year, though I think I don't
• 12:55
  Speaker 2: know if he made starts in the playoffs last year
• 12:57
  Speaker 2: if he was in the bullpen, But I think he
• 12:59
  Speaker 2: has made a bull He has made other playoff appearances,
• 13:03
  Speaker 2: I think, including last year, So I don't think he's
• 13:06
  Speaker 2: going to be like, you know, he's not going to
• 13:09
  Speaker 2: be like he's not going to succumb to the pressure
• 13:12
  Speaker 2: of the stage. And then I was thinking about maybe
• 13:15
  Speaker 2: an under in this game in the first five innings,
• 13:17
  Speaker 2: but you're looking at a very low total of seven
• 13:20
  Speaker 2: because it is the playoffs. And yeah, I mean I
• 13:24
  Speaker 2: worry a little bit about Yamamoto's numbers against Milwaukee. Uh
• 13:27
  Speaker 2: fifty four take us fifty eight percent of cash on
• 13:30
  Speaker 2: the over. If you do want to go over in
• 13:32
  Speaker 2: this game, I think you got to do it a
• 13:33
  Speaker 2: full game though, and just roll with the bullpens in
• 13:36
  Speaker 2: there too, because both bullpens there are reasons to kind
• 13:39
  Speaker 2: of not trust either of them in this one, with
• 13:42
  Speaker 2: the Dodgers having a mediocre bullpen in Milwaukee having used
• 13:46
  Speaker 2: a lot of their guys yesterday. So that's kind of
• 13:48
  Speaker 2: the way that I look at that game. I don't
• 13:50
  Speaker 2: love the game, to be honest, Red Wings plus one
• 13:53
  Speaker 2: and a half.
• 13:57
  Speaker 1: Only needed to work on one or two fundamental I don't.
• 13:59
  Speaker 2: I don't like that statement because that's like that's almost
• 14:02
  Speaker 2: the coach like overvaluing his players, like saying like.
• 14:05
  Speaker 1: Oh, like we're this good, except we just have to
• 14:08
  Speaker 1: fix like this one thing. I mean, I don't know,
• 14:10
  Speaker 1: I don't like that.
• 14:11
  Speaker 2: I like it when a coach says like, we have
• 14:13
  Speaker 2: a lot to still work on here, you know, like
• 14:17
  Speaker 2: basically the mindset, like you know, like you're chasing perfection. Basically,
• 14:21
  Speaker 2: I did not like the Red Wings in that game
• 14:23
  Speaker 2: at all. I'm pretty surprised that they won. To be honest,
• 14:25
  Speaker 2: I like Toronto in that game, in the quick revenge spot.
• 14:30
  Speaker 2: I thought the Toronto side made sense in that game.
• 14:33
  Speaker 2: Hockey today, I don't even know where to begin with
• 14:36
  Speaker 2: this hockey slate. To be honest, we do have Toronto,
• 14:40
  Speaker 2: of course, lost that game yesterday at home. They're playing today,
• 14:43
  Speaker 2: so we do a situation where they're on a back
• 14:45
  Speaker 2: to back. Toronto outshot Detroit in this game forty to fifteen,
• 14:50
  Speaker 2: by the way, and out face off them with sixty
• 14:53
  Speaker 2: two point three percent of the face offs and out
• 14:55
  Speaker 2: hit Detroit. So again I will repeat that I think
• 14:59
  Speaker 2: Toronto was the right side in this game. Just based
• 15:01
  Speaker 2: on the stat line here. It was actually complete domination
• 15:04
  Speaker 2: from the Toronto side in this game. Still absolutely shocked
• 15:08
  Speaker 2: that they didn't win this game. And I don't think
• 15:10
  Speaker 2: like the amount of shots was just because they were
• 15:12
  Speaker 2: losing two to nothing like they were mostly they were
• 15:15
  Speaker 2: losing one to nothing until the third period, so it
• 15:17
  Speaker 2: wasn't like they were just in total desperation until maybe
• 15:21
  Speaker 2: they were down until maybe they were down two to
• 15:23
  Speaker 2: nothing in the third period, but even then, I don't
• 15:25
  Speaker 2: know if you quite go into that mode. I mean,
• 15:27
  Speaker 2: to me, I think Toronto dominated that game. But Toronto,
• 15:32
  Speaker 2: they're on a back to back now, which I don't love,
• 15:34
  Speaker 2: obviously playing a Nashville team who sucks. But Nashville, I
• 15:41
  Speaker 2: think as a day off. Toronto's playing a third game
• 15:43
  Speaker 2: in four days. Although at least they are playing at home.
• 15:46
  Speaker 2: It's still a difficult spot.
• 15:47
  Speaker 1: Though.
• 15:48
  Speaker 2: Nashville is two and zero, but I mean or two
• 15:51
  Speaker 2: zero to one. But I don't think they're as good
• 15:53
  Speaker 2: as they look. I mean, they beat Columbus, they lost
• 15:55
  Speaker 2: a Utah and ot they played yesterday too, though actually
• 15:58
  Speaker 2: I thought they were off yesterday and then from Ottawa
• 16:00
  Speaker 2: to Toronto back to back road games two, they're about
• 16:05
  Speaker 2: three games in four days, four games. It's six days.
• 16:08
  Speaker 2: That's a difficult spot for Nashville as well. I mean,
• 16:12
  Speaker 2: I just don't I don't love anything. And I'm seeing
• 16:14
  Speaker 2: these games, man, I really don't. I looked at these
• 16:16
  Speaker 2: games earlier. I'm like, I don't know, man, Toronto's a
• 16:18
  Speaker 2: big favorite. They're don for minus two eleven of minus
• 16:21
  Speaker 2: one ninety one eighty four percent of tickets, only seventy
• 16:24
  Speaker 2: one percent of cash on them, So money's coming out
• 16:27
  Speaker 2: of Nashville.
• 16:29
  Speaker 1: For what it's worth, I don't.
• 16:30
  Speaker 2: Think I love it, And you're you might be looking
• 16:32
  Speaker 2: at two backup goalies in that game, too, and I
• 16:34
  Speaker 2: haven't looked at the starting goalies because I just I
• 16:36
  Speaker 2: didn't see anything that I liked at all here, So
• 16:40
  Speaker 2: I kind of shouldn't even talk about that game, to
• 16:42
  Speaker 2: be honest, I don't really see anything here Seattle. I
• 16:45
  Speaker 2: actually kind of see an angle where I kind of
• 16:47
  Speaker 2: wanted to fade Seattle.
• 16:49
  Speaker 1: Here.
• 16:50
  Speaker 2: Seattle coming off an overtime win over Vegas, which is
• 16:53
  Speaker 2: a pretty big win that. Yeah, they've had two days off,
• 16:55
  Speaker 2: so they are rested, and they are starting a road trip,
• 16:57
  Speaker 2: and usually you are focused when you start road trip,
• 17:00
  Speaker 2: but it is their first road game of the season.
• 17:02
  Speaker 2: They're having to travel all the way east to face Montreal,
• 17:05
  Speaker 2: and they're coming off that big win over Vegas. And
• 17:08
  Speaker 2: sometimes when you have extra rest and you're on a
• 17:10
  Speaker 2: win streak like that, it can kind of stop your
• 17:12
  Speaker 2: momentum a little bit and you're just kind of basking
• 17:15
  Speaker 2: in that win. So I don't like Seattle in this game. Montreal,
• 17:19
  Speaker 2: they don't really have any great wins yet. I mean,
• 17:21
  Speaker 2: they beat Detroit and Chicago. They played a lot better
• 17:24
  Speaker 2: against Toronto than it looked on the final score, though
• 17:27
  Speaker 2: there were two empty net goals in that game. Montreal
• 17:29
  Speaker 2: I still think is a decent team. I mean, they
• 17:31
  Speaker 2: made the playoffs last year. They've had multiple days off,
• 17:35
  Speaker 2: but they're yes, they're returning home from a road trip,
• 17:37
  Speaker 2: which normally I would say you want to fade a
• 17:39
  Speaker 2: team returning on from a road trip because they might
• 17:41
  Speaker 2: get distracted have to get back to family life. But
• 17:44
  Speaker 2: this is their home opener, so I actually don't think
• 17:46
  Speaker 2: that's gonna be the case in this game. So I
• 17:49
  Speaker 2: actually like Montreal in that game. But the money does
• 17:51
  Speaker 2: not agree with me. They're off for minus one forty
• 17:54
  Speaker 2: five minus one forty seven seventy tickets on them, only
• 17:57
  Speaker 2: sixty one percent of the cash.
• 18:00
  Speaker 1: So I'm disagreeing with the market on some of these games.
• 18:02
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 18:02
  Speaker 1: It's just I don't know.
• 18:04
  Speaker 2: I don't understand the market opinion on that one, to
• 18:08
  Speaker 2: be honest, except for the fact I guess maybe it's
• 18:10
  Speaker 2: because it's a road trip return where usually you do
• 18:12
  Speaker 2: want to fade a team and they return off from
• 18:14
  Speaker 2: a road trip, but it was a road trip to
• 18:16
  Speaker 2: start the season. It wasn't a very long road trip.
• 18:18
  Speaker 2: I still think the home opener is a boost. Charles,
• 18:21
  Speaker 2: what's up man? Thanks for hanging out. Edmonton and the
• 18:26
  Speaker 2: Rangers is actually a pretty good game. But it is
• 18:28
  Speaker 2: interesting that I do think the Rangers are better than
• 18:31
  Speaker 2: people think they are. But Edmonton is actually a road
• 18:33
  Speaker 2: favorite here off of minus one thirteen to minus one
• 18:35
  Speaker 2: thirty five, sixty seven percent of ticket seventy eight percent
• 18:38
  Speaker 2: of the cash on them, So Edmonton is taking the
• 18:41
  Speaker 2: money here. Interesting to see. I don't think either team
• 18:45
  Speaker 2: played yesterday. Am I right about that?
• 18:47
  Speaker 1: I don't. I get everything confused now, Yeah.
• 18:49
  Speaker 2: Edmonton's been off since the eleventh where they got their
• 18:51
  Speaker 2: first win against Vancouver. They're starting a road trip and
• 18:55
  Speaker 2: in this case, yeah, it's a first road game, I mean,
• 18:58
  Speaker 2: but again, it is a focused spot when you on
• 19:00
  Speaker 2: the road, and the Rangers still carry a lot of
• 19:02
  Speaker 2: weight behind their name.
• 19:03
  Speaker 1: So I do think both teams are gonna show up
• 19:05
  Speaker 1: for this.
• 19:06
  Speaker 2: The Rangers they lost in that isolated Sunday game, but
• 19:09
  Speaker 2: they're now playing a third game in four d's though,
• 19:12
  Speaker 2: and they actually.
• 19:13
  Speaker 1: Are own two at home so far, which is ridiculous.
• 19:15
  Speaker 2: But Quick played in that last game, so you're gonna
• 19:18
  Speaker 2: get just sterk and back in net in this one
• 19:20
  Speaker 2: for the Rangers. So you're gonna get their started goalie
• 19:23
  Speaker 2: in this one. So the Rangers should have a goaltending
• 19:25
  Speaker 2: edge in this one. Kind of difficult, man. And the
• 19:29
  Speaker 2: fact that they not only do they own two at home,
• 19:31
  Speaker 2: they haven't even scored a goal at home yet. I mean,
• 19:34
  Speaker 2: it almost seems to be like something's got to give here, man,
• 19:37
  Speaker 2: Where I think the Rangers will play a better game here. Yeah,
• 19:41
  Speaker 2: I mean, I don't know if I totally agree with
• 19:43
  Speaker 2: the market read on this one either. To be honest
• 19:45
  Speaker 2: on Edmonton, I don't have much of a read on
• 19:47
  Speaker 2: the side. It almost seems like you're getting a bit
• 19:49
  Speaker 2: of value on the Rangers as the home underdog here
• 19:51
  Speaker 2: with the fact that they underperformed their talent level last year.
• 19:55
  Speaker 1: Edmonton.
• 19:56
  Speaker 2: Everybody just knows Edmonton is good and they score a lot.
• 20:01
  Speaker 2: You know, I might in this one. I might actually
• 20:03
  Speaker 2: lead to a Rangers over their team total in this one,
• 20:06
  Speaker 2: because you got to think that's what they're focusing on
• 20:08
  Speaker 2: and they haven't even scored a goal yet at home.
• 20:10
  Speaker 2: You got to think they're just like, we have to
• 20:12
  Speaker 2: improve this offense. And Edmonton they're not a very good
• 20:15
  Speaker 2: defensive or goal attending team and having to go on
• 20:18
  Speaker 2: the road here. So I might actually go Rangers over
• 20:21
  Speaker 2: their team total in that one. I don't know what
• 20:23
  Speaker 2: their team total is in the game, but you probably
• 20:24
  Speaker 2: would need them to score over two and a half
• 20:27
  Speaker 2: maybe in that one, something along those lines, so that
• 20:30
  Speaker 2: that actually might be the way I would.
• 20:31
  Speaker 1: Look at that game.
• 20:32
  Speaker 2: I don't do a whole lot with totals or team totals.
• 20:34
  Speaker 2: Though in Not Hockey Jeffrey likes the Flyers. They had
• 20:40
  Speaker 2: two empty net goals. I haven't looked at that one yet.
• 20:43
  Speaker 2: I might be looking to go against the Flyers in
• 20:45
  Speaker 2: their next game that they pulled off an upset Tampa
• 20:48
  Speaker 2: Bay at Washington.
• 20:49
  Speaker 1: Of course, we know Tampa played yesterday.
• 20:50
  Speaker 2: They beat the Bruins and should have beaten them more
• 20:54
  Speaker 2: easily in a way, but the Bruins actually did outstat
• 20:56
  Speaker 2: them like I mentioned, although some of it was because
• 20:59
  Speaker 2: they were down three to not think so. I do
• 21:00
  Speaker 2: think the Bruins started just firing a bunch of shots,
• 21:03
  Speaker 2: but timpa Bay.
• 21:05
  Speaker 1: By the way, they didn't go with.
• 21:06
  Speaker 2: Vassilevski, so the predicted starting goalie matchup didn't actually happen
• 21:10
  Speaker 2: in that when they went with Johansson. So Tampba is
• 21:14
  Speaker 2: gonna have Vassilevski back in net for this one. But
• 21:16
  Speaker 2: they are playing a third game in four days. They're
• 21:19
  Speaker 2: playing back to back road games, having to travel to Washington.
• 21:22
  Speaker 2: It's still a big game though, because Washington's been good
• 21:25
  Speaker 2: recently and they still have a Vegkan there by, the
• 21:27
  Speaker 2: old Vegkin what is he forty two?
• 21:29
  Speaker 1: He's got a gray beard.
• 21:31
  Speaker 2: He looks like he's like three hundred pounds now, and
• 21:33
  Speaker 2: he's still just out there, like even though he's not
• 21:35
  Speaker 2: even fast anymore, he's just out there just.
• 21:38
  Speaker 1: Just destroying dudes, just hitting them.
• 21:42
  Speaker 2: I mean, it's just I don't know, it's just insane, man.
• 21:44
  Speaker 2: Washington's coming up a nice win over the Rangers in
• 21:47
  Speaker 2: that isolated Sunday game, which is a pretty big win.
• 21:50
  Speaker 2: Now they're returning home, although they were only on the
• 21:52
  Speaker 2: road for the weekend and they just went to New
• 21:54
  Speaker 2: York Saturday Sunday, so kind of a quick trip back home.
• 21:59
  Speaker 1: This game.
• 22:00
  Speaker 2: Money coming in on Tampa Bay sixty two tickets, fifty
• 22:02
  Speaker 2: four percent of cash.
• 22:04
  Speaker 1: On Washington.
• 22:04
  Speaker 2: They're down for minus one twenty one to minus. Want
• 22:06
  Speaker 2: to wait, I think the reasoning for that is just
• 22:08
  Speaker 2: the I think some of it is the record disparity. Again,
• 22:12
  Speaker 2: the oddspeakers are kind of telling you these teams are
• 22:13
  Speaker 2: close to even the matched. I think you could argue
• 22:17
  Speaker 2: Tampa might actually be the slightly better team while they're
• 22:19
  Speaker 2: looking at their record. You wouldn't realize that because they're
• 22:22
  Speaker 2: one and two and Washington's two and one. I do
• 22:25
  Speaker 2: think Washington was a bit overvalued last year. I think
• 22:28
  Speaker 2: they overperformed a bit, and then of course I picked
• 22:30
  Speaker 2: against them in the playoffs. I had them losing in
• 22:32
  Speaker 2: the second round of the playoffs, which is what happened.
• 22:37
  Speaker 1: So yeah, I mean all that going on here.
• 22:38
  Speaker 2: Washington used their backup goalie yesterday or two days ago, Lingren,
• 22:42
  Speaker 2: So you're gonna get both starting goalies in this game.
• 22:44
  Speaker 2: I would imagine Thompson against vast Levski. It looks like
• 22:48
  Speaker 2: is what it's going to be in this one.
• 22:50
  Speaker 1: Tough game to read. Man.
• 22:51
  Speaker 2: The money is saying, Tampa Bay, I'm not going to
• 22:55
  Speaker 2: necessarily disagree with it on that one because I just
• 22:57
  Speaker 2: don't have a strong read on it. So I guess
• 22:58
  Speaker 2: I would maybe slightly with that, but it's it's a
• 23:02
  Speaker 2: difficult read on that one. What am I talking about
• 23:05
  Speaker 2: every game now here? I don't know if I want
• 23:06
  Speaker 2: to talk about every single one.
• 23:07
  Speaker 1: Of these games.
• 23:08
  Speaker 2: Minnesota at Dallas is the last, like actual good game
• 23:11
  Speaker 2: here Dallas. You gotta think they could be in a
• 23:14
  Speaker 2: little bit of a letdown spot here, which is what
• 23:16
  Speaker 2: I was thinking. I looked at this game and I
• 23:18
  Speaker 2: was thinking I was gonna go against Dallas again because
• 23:20
  Speaker 2: I went against them in their first two games and
• 23:22
  Speaker 2: we lost both of them by five to four margin,
• 23:25
  Speaker 2: including the overtime one. But Dallas went on the road
• 23:28
  Speaker 2: and they beat Winnipeg and Colorado.
• 23:30
  Speaker 1: Those are both big wins. Man.
• 23:32
  Speaker 2: Now they're at home against Minnesota, but it is their
• 23:34
  Speaker 2: home opener, So I mean, they did have a bit
• 23:37
  Speaker 2: of a travel situation there that they went all the
• 23:39
  Speaker 2: way up to Winnipeg and they were out. They were
• 23:41
  Speaker 2: away from home for almost a week. So in this case,
• 23:44
  Speaker 2: it does look like it is a little bit of
• 23:45
  Speaker 2: a letdown slash return home possible distraction spot here for Dallas.
• 23:50
  Speaker 2: So it doesn't look like a good spot to me
• 23:52
  Speaker 2: for Dallas. Whether they do have two days off, but
• 23:55
  Speaker 2: those are huge road wins to start the season, man,
• 23:57
  Speaker 2: and they do have Vancouver next, and I actually Vancouver
• 24:00
  Speaker 2: might be a team that kind of takes more of
• 24:03
  Speaker 2: your focus than Minnesota does. Even though Minnesota was fairly
• 24:06
  Speaker 2: good last year as far as like they made the
• 24:08
  Speaker 2: playoffs and whatever, but I still think Minnesota overperformed. Minnesota's
• 24:12
  Speaker 2: off to a two and one start. They just wanted
• 24:15
  Speaker 2: to shootout yesterday though, over the Kings. So I don't
• 24:18
  Speaker 2: love the Minnesota situation either. So they're actually doing similar
• 24:22
  Speaker 2: travel to Dallas here because Dallas just was up in
• 24:25
  Speaker 2: Winnipeg and then Colorado and they're coming back home with
• 24:28
  Speaker 2: two days off. Minnesota is having to travel down from
• 24:30
  Speaker 2: Minnesota to Dallas.
• 24:32
  Speaker 1: Although it's a.
• 24:33
  Speaker 2: Start of a long road trip and you do want
• 24:34
  Speaker 2: to get the road trip off on the right foot.
• 24:36
  Speaker 2: It's against one of the best teams in hockey, Dallas.
• 24:39
  Speaker 2: You know Minnesota is going to be focused on this game.
• 24:42
  Speaker 2: Minnesota used wallstet in net last night, so it will
• 24:45
  Speaker 2: be gustosin again this time in nets, so they will
• 24:49
  Speaker 2: go with their starting goalie this time. I think Ottinger
• 24:52
  Speaker 2: will be in there for Dallas as well because they
• 24:54
  Speaker 2: had multiple days off, so I would imagine it's both
• 24:57
  Speaker 2: starting goalies in this one as well. I don't love
• 25:00
  Speaker 2: the spot for either team, man. I mean, I would
• 25:03
  Speaker 2: probably slightly lean to Minnesota, even though they're on a
• 25:05
  Speaker 2: back to back, which sounds crazy.
• 25:07
  Speaker 1: The money does kind of agree with that.
• 25:09
  Speaker 2: Dallas is a big favorite, up for minus one eighty
• 25:12
  Speaker 2: four to minus one eighty six. Again, the odds makers
• 25:14
  Speaker 2: basically telling you the Minnesota is just kind of an
• 25:17
  Speaker 2: overrated team again because they're this big of an underdog.
• 25:20
  Speaker 2: I know Dallas is one of the absolute best teams,
• 25:22
  Speaker 2: though eighty nine percent of tickets only eighty one percent
• 25:25
  Speaker 2: of the cash on Dallas, so the money's coming in
• 25:29
  Speaker 2: against Dallas there.
• 25:32
  Speaker 1: You get a big underdog price in Minnesota if you
• 25:34
  Speaker 1: do want that. I mean, my hesitation is mostly back
• 25:37
  Speaker 1: to back with travel. I don't love that spot.
• 25:40
  Speaker 2: It is a third game in four days as well,
• 25:42
  Speaker 2: although they had two of them at home. That's about
• 25:47
  Speaker 2: it for the analysis on this. I don't really love
• 25:49
  Speaker 2: the last two games there either. Carolina just a huge favorite.
• 25:53
  Speaker 2: Against this pathetic San Jose team, although San Jose is
• 25:56
  Speaker 2: only lost in overtime so far, and then Pittsburgh and
• 25:59
  Speaker 2: Anahig was just an ugly fucking game, man. I mean
• 26:02
  Speaker 2: sometimes you do find angles on ugly games like that,
• 26:04
  Speaker 2: but I really don't see one in that game, So
• 26:07
  Speaker 2: I just don't have anything there. So we'll go to
• 26:11
  Speaker 2: college football. Rangers over three and a half at plus
• 26:14
  Speaker 2: one eighty two. That's pushing it, man, I mean, hockey
• 26:18
  Speaker 2: goals are a lot in hockey. I would if if
• 26:21
  Speaker 2: the line is two and a half at like close
• 26:24
  Speaker 2: to a pick them price, That's the way that I
• 26:26
  Speaker 2: would probably do it.
• 26:27
  Speaker 1: I expect the Rangers to at.
• 26:28
  Speaker 2: Some point improve offensively, but yeah, I'll look at what
• 26:33
  Speaker 2: did the Flyers do yet?
• 26:34
  Speaker 1: So I'll just look at that real quick. They beat
• 26:36
  Speaker 1: Florida five to two.
• 26:37
  Speaker 2: Yeah, so I think we'll be looking at fade potentially
• 26:41
  Speaker 2: faded the Flyers in their next game. What did this
• 26:44
  Speaker 2: game look like statistic I never looked at it. It
• 26:48
  Speaker 2: was two two in the third period and then yeah,
• 26:50
  Speaker 2: they got two empty net goals, so it was not
• 26:52
  Speaker 2: a blowout like it looked on the score. But again,
• 26:54
  Speaker 2: you do have to dive into that, like five to
• 26:56
  Speaker 2: two looks crazy, but when it's two empty net goals,
• 26:58
  Speaker 2: it starts meeting a lot less.
• 27:01
  Speaker 1: Florida was way more physical.
• 27:02
  Speaker 2: Look at the hit disparity in this game twenty four
• 27:05
  Speaker 2: to eight, and Florida did have more shots and more
• 27:08
  Speaker 2: more of the face sauce two So looks like it
• 27:10
  Speaker 2: looks to me like it was a misleading result in
• 27:13
  Speaker 2: that one. So I think Philadelphia is going to be
• 27:14
  Speaker 2: a fade in their next game. Don't know who it's against,
• 27:18
  Speaker 2: but something to look at. It's against Winnipeg. Winnipeg's a
• 27:23
  Speaker 2: good team, so you might not get a ton of
• 27:24
  Speaker 2: value in Winnipeg, but something to think about.
• 27:26
  Speaker 1: Looking forward there.
• 27:28
  Speaker 2: Over two was over two and a half is at
• 27:30
  Speaker 2: minus one forty two, so they have like other alternate lines.
• 27:34
  Speaker 2: Can you get it at over two instead of two
• 27:36
  Speaker 2: and a half or do they not allow that. I'm
• 27:38
  Speaker 2: trying to just find whatever the prices that's closest to
• 27:41
  Speaker 2: like or can you get it at over three, I mean,
• 27:44
  Speaker 2: instead of two and a half for three and a half.
• 27:45
  Speaker 2: Over three seems like it's gonna be the closest to
• 27:48
  Speaker 2: being like an even money type of situation.
• 27:54
  Speaker 1: Over six and a half. Yeah, that's not gonna happen.
• 27:57
  Speaker 2: I don't think, but yeah, I mean, I I do
• 28:00
  Speaker 2: think in some way it over makes sense in that
• 28:02
  Speaker 2: one for Ranger team total, just because you're kind of
• 28:06
  Speaker 2: fading what has happened in their first two home games.
• 28:10
  Speaker 1: College football, we actually have three games.
• 28:12
  Speaker 2: The Tuesday college football has begun and it's not the MAC,
• 28:17
  Speaker 2: which I thought it was the MAC. Usually the MAC
• 28:20
  Speaker 2: usually has some action on Tuesday later later in the season,
• 28:23
  Speaker 2: but not this time. We have conference to USAY and
• 28:26
  Speaker 2: Sun Belt games. It's all hooks on them. That sucks, man.
• 28:31
  Speaker 1: They're they're hooking you. They're all hookers.
• 28:33
  Speaker 2: Maybe if you look at different books, maybe they'll have
• 28:35
  Speaker 2: some other options.
• 28:36
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 28:37
  Speaker 2: The over two and a half of minus one forty
• 28:39
  Speaker 2: five doesn't seem terrible to me, though it's a little
• 28:43
  Speaker 2: bit of a price, but I don't know. Tonight seven pm,
• 28:47
  Speaker 2: we do have New Mexico State at Liberty in this
• 28:50
  Speaker 2: first game up, and this one a little bit of
• 28:53
  Speaker 2: a misleading uh like line versus what the team's records are.
• 28:57
  Speaker 2: New Mexico States three and two to start the season.
• 29:00
  Speaker 2: Liberty is two and four, so you're gonna be looking
• 29:02
  Speaker 2: at that, and then you see Liberty is almost a
• 29:05
  Speaker 2: double digit favorite here, and it's like, well why because
• 29:07
  Speaker 2: they're a below five hundred team against it above five
• 29:10
  Speaker 2: hundred team, but they're a ten point favorite. They're down
• 29:13
  Speaker 2: from ten and a half to nine and a half here,
• 29:15
  Speaker 2: so it kind of looks like a misleading line here
• 29:18
  Speaker 2: on Liberty. So that kind of has me looking towards
• 29:21
  Speaker 2: the Liberty side, just because the line looks too big
• 29:24
  Speaker 2: as far as like the perception would be concerned. The
• 29:26
  Speaker 2: money looks like it's coming out of New Mexico State though,
• 29:29
  Speaker 2: even though they're public as well, seventy percent of tickets
• 29:32
  Speaker 2: in eighty seven percent of the cash on New Mexico State,
• 29:35
  Speaker 2: the money's kind of coming into New Mexico State. So
• 29:38
  Speaker 2: that gives me a little bit of pause because I
• 29:40
  Speaker 2: would be looking at the Liberty side. I think a
• 29:42
  Speaker 2: Liberty is a team that can run the football. In
• 29:44
  Speaker 2: New Mexico State is bad at stopping the run. New
• 29:47
  Speaker 2: Mexico State throws the football mostly, and Liberty is good
• 29:51
  Speaker 2: at stopping the past.
• 29:52
  Speaker 1: So I think Liberty on both sides of the ball.
• 29:54
  Speaker 2: I think Liberty strength matches up pretty well against New
• 29:57
  Speaker 2: Mexico State.
• 29:59
  Speaker 1: I think the only is because New Mexico State throws
• 30:01
  Speaker 1: the ball.
• 30:02
  Speaker 2: That means there's more like potential they can back to
• 30:04
  Speaker 2: where that cover at the end, like because they're gonna
• 30:07
  Speaker 2: be just airing it out if they're behind in the
• 30:09
  Speaker 2: end of the game. But to me, I mean, I
• 30:11
  Speaker 2: kind of do still need to Liberty in this one.
• 30:13
  Speaker 2: On the side, looking at the scheduling dynamics, I mean
• 30:18
  Speaker 2: Liberty they played the more difficult schedule, man, I mean
• 30:21
  Speaker 2: they've played four road games in their five FBS games.
• 30:25
  Speaker 1: Yes, they finally got an FBS win.
• 30:26
  Speaker 2: They played in the middle of the week last week
• 30:28
  Speaker 2: on Wednesday, so yeah, they're on a short week. So
• 30:30
  Speaker 2: maybe that's part of the reason why the money's coming
• 30:32
  Speaker 2: on in New Mexico State because Liberty does not have
• 30:34
  Speaker 2: a rest edge here. But people might have watched that
• 30:37
  Speaker 2: game on Wednesday night because it was one of the
• 30:39
  Speaker 2: only football games on Wednesday, and it was a horrendous game.
• 30:42
  Speaker 1: It was ugly.
• 30:43
  Speaker 2: They beat UTEP nineteen to eight, So I think that
• 30:46
  Speaker 2: might have people kind of not wanting Liberty, Like, how
• 30:48
  Speaker 2: could you lay ten points with the team that only
• 30:51
  Speaker 2: won nineteen to eight in their last game. Their only
• 30:53
  Speaker 2: other wins against FCS Maine. But I mean, look at
• 30:56
  Speaker 2: their schedule, man. They had to go on the road
• 30:58
  Speaker 2: to Jacksonville State Bowl and Green Note that those are
• 31:01
  Speaker 2: great teams, but those still aren't exactly easy matchups. They
• 31:05
  Speaker 2: lost to James Madison. It was a legitimately good team,
• 31:07
  Speaker 2: although I know what happened to them over over the weekend.
• 31:11
  Speaker 2: They didn't look great, and then they lost to Old
• 31:13
  Speaker 2: Dominion on the road. Old Dominion's legit as well. And
• 31:15
  Speaker 2: it looks like Vasco either didn't play or got hurt
• 31:19
  Speaker 2: in that game because Murderinger Murdinger was the murderer was
• 31:25
  Speaker 2: Liberty is that quarterback of note in that game, even
• 31:28
  Speaker 2: though the stats weren't even good. I think Vasco looks
• 31:30
  Speaker 2: like he got hurt against jam U actually, because he
• 31:32
  Speaker 2: only had thirty seven yards in that one. In a
• 31:35
  Speaker 2: game where you're losing, that seems unlikely. But it looks
• 31:39
  Speaker 2: like he came back in their last game. So whatever
• 31:41
  Speaker 2: happened to Vasco.
• 31:41
  Speaker 1: He is back.
• 31:43
  Speaker 2: He played in the UTEB game, so their starting quarterback
• 31:46
  Speaker 2: for Liberty is back here. As far as New Mexico State,
• 31:49
  Speaker 2: they do have rest here so that's like the one
• 31:52
  Speaker 2: advantage that they might have is they haven't played since
• 31:54
  Speaker 2: Thursday of the second so I think they had a
• 31:56
  Speaker 2: bye week in here. But they did go into the
• 31:58
  Speaker 2: buying a good note. They beat Sam Houston going into
• 32:01
  Speaker 2: the buy although Sam Houston not a good team, but
• 32:04
  Speaker 2: New Mexico State did handle them at home on a
• 32:07
  Speaker 2: primetime Thursday game.
• 32:09
  Speaker 1: But that almost has me still kind of.
• 32:10
  Speaker 2: Looking towards Liberty because if people watch that game, they
• 32:12
  Speaker 2: saw New Mexico State look really good on an isolated
• 32:16
  Speaker 2: Thursday game and Liberty.
• 32:17
  Speaker 1: Looked awful last week.
• 32:19
  Speaker 2: So to me it, I mean that's why the public
• 32:21
  Speaker 2: is on New Mexico State, other than the fact the
• 32:23
  Speaker 2: record is better than Liberties too.
• 32:25
  Speaker 1: Even though the money.
• 32:26
  Speaker 2: Looks like it's slightly coming out of New Mexico State,
• 32:28
  Speaker 2: I slightly disagree with it. I would lean to the
• 32:31
  Speaker 2: Liberty side slightly on the side here New Mexico State. Also,
• 32:34
  Speaker 2: they've played a weeker schedule than Liberty has. The best
• 32:38
  Speaker 2: team they faced was Louisiana Tech on the road and
• 32:40
  Speaker 2: they got annihilated in that game. They lost on the
• 32:43
  Speaker 2: road to a fairly weak New Mexico team, and they
• 32:45
  Speaker 2: beat Tulsa and Sam Houston at home. Those teams are
• 32:48
  Speaker 2: not good, so they also have not done well on
• 32:50
  Speaker 2: the road. They're own two on the road, so there
• 32:53
  Speaker 2: is definitely a reason why Liberty is favored.
• 32:55
  Speaker 1: Here.
• 32:57
  Speaker 2: Jeffrey is saying he likes the Oh the I liked
• 33:00
  Speaker 2: the under on the one last week. Yeah, correct, I
• 33:02
  Speaker 2: did Liberty and UTEP. I'm not a huge college football
• 33:06
  Speaker 2: totals guy, but that.
• 33:08
  Speaker 1: One was correct. No one calls it old.
• 33:12
  Speaker 2: What do you mean, oh, old dominion Odu? Yeah, odu.
• 33:18
  Speaker 2: I'm not from Virginias. Yeah, so I don't know. I
• 33:20
  Speaker 2: call him old Dominion Odu. I call FAU Florida Atlantic too,
• 33:25
  Speaker 2: and I call fi U Florida Illinois when they're playing
• 33:29
  Speaker 2: tonight too.
• 33:31
  Speaker 1: In this New.
• 33:32
  Speaker 2: Mexico State Liberty game, I probably also leed to an under.
• 33:35
  Speaker 1: The money is strongly coming in on the under here. Again.
• 33:39
  Speaker 2: I don't do a whole lot with totals, but we're
• 33:40
  Speaker 2: looking at the lowest total of the night by far.
• 33:43
  Speaker 2: It is up a little bit from forty five and
• 33:44
  Speaker 2: after forty six and a half, especially if it hits
• 33:47
  Speaker 2: that key number of forty seven, I think taking a
• 33:50
  Speaker 2: shot with the under kind of makes sense here, fifty
• 33:53
  Speaker 2: two tickets on the over, but seventy percent of the
• 33:55
  Speaker 2: couch on the under. The public kind of going with
• 33:57
  Speaker 2: the fact that you've seen New Mexico State score some
• 34:00
  Speaker 2: decent point totals here. But I don't think New Mexico
• 34:02
  Speaker 2: State matches up well against Liberty. Like I said, New
• 34:05
  Speaker 2: Mexico State can't. They cannot run the football and they
• 34:09
  Speaker 2: don't even really try to, and Liberty is good at
• 34:11
  Speaker 2: stopping the past. So I think New Mexico State might
• 34:14
  Speaker 2: struggle to score in this one. Liberty at the very least,
• 34:17
  Speaker 2: even though they've been ugly so far, they've been decent defensively.
• 34:20
  Speaker 2: Their offense has some issues though, But Liberty their offense
• 34:24
  Speaker 2: is a little bit more balanced too. But I mean,
• 34:27
  Speaker 2: I don't know if their offense is going to be
• 34:28
  Speaker 2: terrific in this game necessarily, So I do think it
• 34:30
  Speaker 2: under kind of makes sense in that one. Yeah, I
• 34:33
  Speaker 2: gotta sound cool, o du fiu and Fau. Yeah, well,
• 34:40
  Speaker 2: I do it so that there's no there's no confusion.
• 34:43
  Speaker 1: As to what I'm talking about.
• 34:46
  Speaker 2: The second game up on ESPN two year is Arkansas
• 34:48
  Speaker 2: State at South Alabama. We got a Sun Belt game
• 34:52
  Speaker 2: here Arkansas State. I'm like, I'm looking to go against
• 34:55
  Speaker 2: Arkansas State in this game, and I was actually considering
• 34:58
  Speaker 2: this to be a I was considering giving out a
• 35:00
  Speaker 2: play on South Alabama, but the market is completely against it,
• 35:04
  Speaker 2: so I'm just.
• 35:04
  Speaker 1: Gonna leave it alone.
• 35:06
  Speaker 2: So unfortunately, I don't have an actual play today. But
• 35:09
  Speaker 2: my strongest opinion in college football is laying the points
• 35:12
  Speaker 2: with South Alabama and this one Arkansas State. They finally
• 35:15
  Speaker 2: got their first FBS win. They lost all four of
• 35:18
  Speaker 2: their FBS games. Granted, yeah, they faced Arkansas and Iowa State.
• 35:22
  Speaker 2: You didn't expect them to win those games. Iowa State
• 35:24
  Speaker 2: is a bit overrated though in Arkansas State did actually
• 35:27
  Speaker 2: play really well against them and only lost by eight.
• 35:30
  Speaker 2: But this Arkansas State team, they're not good.
• 35:32
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 35:32
  Speaker 2: We went against them on my show the week after
• 35:35
  Speaker 2: that because I thought it was a big hangover spot
• 35:37
  Speaker 2: after that huge performance. They lost outright at Kenesaw, which
• 35:41
  Speaker 2: is not a good sign, and we got that one
• 35:42
  Speaker 2: right on the show. Then they lost at ul Monroe
• 35:45
  Speaker 2: as well. So this Arkansas State team, they're bad. They're
• 35:49
  Speaker 2: own three on the road. They're coming off a huge
• 35:52
  Speaker 2: win over Texas State too. Like if you look at
• 35:54
  Speaker 2: this game, this was last week, Arkansas State at home.
• 35:57
  Speaker 1: They were thirteen and a half fourteen a point underdogs
• 35:59
  Speaker 1: act actually, and they upset Texas State, huge upset win.
• 36:04
  Speaker 2: But if you dig into the stats here, they got
• 36:06
  Speaker 2: outgained by over one hundred yards by Texas State in
• 36:09
  Speaker 2: this game. Arkansas State was turnover free in the game,
• 36:12
  Speaker 2: but it looks like kind of a misleading result. They
• 36:15
  Speaker 2: kind of got outplayed in this game. I don't know
• 36:17
  Speaker 2: if maybe they had some fluke touchdown or something. They
• 36:20
  Speaker 2: won with a touchdown right at the end too, so
• 36:22
  Speaker 2: it was a very dramatic win for Arkansas State at
• 36:25
  Speaker 2: the end. So I think they're in a bad spot
• 36:27
  Speaker 2: after that win. That was last Saturday, so they haven't
• 36:30
  Speaker 2: played since last Saturday. I think the same is the
• 36:33
  Speaker 2: case with South Alabama though, So I think even though
• 36:36
  Speaker 2: South Alabama is a pretty big opponent to be facing
• 36:38
  Speaker 2: because they're usually pretty good in the Sun Belt, since
• 36:43
  Speaker 2: like the conference realignments and whatever, Arkansas State coming up
• 36:45
  Speaker 2: the huge win, I just don't know they can put
• 36:47
  Speaker 2: in another effort like this again South Alabama. I mean,
• 36:50
  Speaker 2: you look at their record, they're one in five and
• 36:52
  Speaker 2: like who's gonna want to lay eight seven points with
• 36:55
  Speaker 2: South Alabama when they're one and five. Well, if you
• 36:57
  Speaker 2: look at their schedule, it has not been easy. They
• 36:59
  Speaker 2: played Hulane, Auburn, North Texas, and then last week against Troy,
• 37:04
  Speaker 2: and South Almama was an underdog in every one of
• 37:06
  Speaker 2: those games.
• 37:07
  Speaker 1: For sure.
• 37:08
  Speaker 2: They were a double digit underdog at home against Tulane.
• 37:11
  Speaker 2: So they've played almost all good teams. They only haven't
• 37:14
  Speaker 2: win against an FCS team Morgan State, which is not
• 37:18
  Speaker 2: a good sign. But South Albmama, I mean, they're not
• 37:20
  Speaker 2: that bad of a team. They're fairly balanced on offense,
• 37:22
  Speaker 2: even though they're passing attack isn't great because they lost
• 37:25
  Speaker 2: Gio Lopez to North Carolina. As he's doing great over
• 37:29
  Speaker 2: there with Bill Belichick. South Albama can run the ball decently.
• 37:34
  Speaker 2: They're coming up in overtime. Lost to Troy last Saturday,
• 37:37
  Speaker 2: which that was a close matchup. South Almama was actually
• 37:41
  Speaker 2: a road favorite in that one's they were not an
• 37:43
  Speaker 2: underdog in that one.
• 37:43
  Speaker 1: They were an underdog and.
• 37:44
  Speaker 2: The other losses they took except for the Coastal Carolina one.
• 37:48
  Speaker 2: But if you remember I talked about that game on
• 37:50
  Speaker 2: my show. They lost at home to Coastal Carolina. But
• 37:52
  Speaker 2: South Alabama was coming up that monster game against Auburn
• 37:56
  Speaker 2: where they came within sixteen points at Auburn. They played
• 38:00
  Speaker 2: their guts out in that game against Auburn, an in
• 38:02
  Speaker 2: state big brother. That was like their biggest game of
• 38:04
  Speaker 2: the season, so I knew they were like right for
• 38:06
  Speaker 2: a hangover spot in that Coastal Carolina game, and they
• 38:09
  Speaker 2: got upset by Coastal Carolina, so you can kind of
• 38:12
  Speaker 2: explain that bad performance. And they had North Texas next,
• 38:15
  Speaker 2: which was another big game, so you can kind of
• 38:18
  Speaker 2: explain that South Alabama is the better team here. They've
• 38:20
  Speaker 2: played the more difficult schedule, they're back at home, they
• 38:23
  Speaker 2: get to host a game on ESPN two on prime time.
• 38:27
  Speaker 2: They're still looking for their first FBS wins. So I
• 38:29
  Speaker 2: do think South Alabama is going to be hungry in
• 38:32
  Speaker 2: this one. I think they're the better team. Arkansas State
• 38:35
  Speaker 2: could be in letdown mode, even though I know they're
• 38:37
  Speaker 2: gonna be pumped up a bit to play on ESPN
• 38:39
  Speaker 2: two on an isolated game, but still, I don't know
• 38:43
  Speaker 2: if they could put in that effort two games in
• 38:45
  Speaker 2: a row, man when they're not a very good team.
• 38:47
  Speaker 2: And they just the way that they the way that
• 38:49
  Speaker 2: they won that game, pulled off that upset against Texas State,
• 38:53
  Speaker 2: they seem to be ripe to be picked off in
• 38:55
  Speaker 2: this one. South Alabama has sixty nine percent of tickets
• 38:58
  Speaker 2: on them than the cash is on Arkansas State. So
• 39:02
  Speaker 2: the money's coming in in Arkansas State. So I don't
• 39:05
  Speaker 2: like that the market is completely disagreeing with me on this,
• 39:09
  Speaker 2: because I don't agree with that. I would lay the
• 39:10
  Speaker 2: points with South Alabama. Other're down from eight to seven
• 39:13
  Speaker 2: and a half year. You might be able to find
• 39:15
  Speaker 2: a seven, which of course would be preferable because you
• 39:17
  Speaker 2: don't really necessarily want to lay the hook, especially when
• 39:20
  Speaker 2: the market is disagreeing with you. If you can find
• 39:22
  Speaker 2: a seven, that would be a lot better on the
• 39:24
  Speaker 2: South Alabama side, and you might get it. I mean,
• 39:27
  Speaker 2: especially if the professional money is going to drill the
• 39:30
  Speaker 2: line down.
• 39:31
  Speaker 1: Towards Arkansas State, you might find it. We'll see.
• 39:34
  Speaker 2: But I just don't understand the professional money coming in
• 39:37
  Speaker 2: in Arkansas State.
• 39:38
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 39:38
  Speaker 2: Again, it is also not only is it a fade
• 39:40
  Speaker 2: spot for Arkansas State and a letdown, but for South Alabama.
• 39:45
  Speaker 2: I mean the fact that their favorite like this and
• 39:48
  Speaker 2: they're one to five. Also is kind of telling you something.
• 39:50
  Speaker 2: The auesmakers are telling you they're the better team. So
• 39:54
  Speaker 2: that's the way that it is. What am I doing
• 39:58
  Speaker 2: the rest of the day, I don't know, jaw job hunting,
• 40:02
  Speaker 2: trying to network call people because I'm like basically banned.
• 40:07
  Speaker 2: I mean, yeah, I'm disagreeing with the money on some
• 40:09
  Speaker 2: of these games here, which I don't I don't love
• 40:11
  Speaker 2: that situation. I'm not giving out a play on any
• 40:13
  Speaker 2: of these. And then the last game of the night
• 40:15
  Speaker 2: at eight pm, maybe the ugliest game is Florida International
• 40:20
  Speaker 2: FIU Florida Illinois for you old timers from my show
• 40:24
  Speaker 2: here at Western Kentucky at eight pm on ESPNU. Western
• 40:30
  Speaker 2: Kentucky is up from seven and a half to ten here,
• 40:33
  Speaker 2: ten point favorite. They're definitely the better team, but they
• 40:35
  Speaker 2: might be a little bit overvalued here. Fifty percent of
• 40:38
  Speaker 2: tickets on them, seventy nine percent of the cash coming
• 40:40
  Speaker 2: back on FIU, So the money is coming in on
• 40:43
  Speaker 2: FYU after the number was driven way up. I don't
• 40:45
  Speaker 2: know if there's like a quarterback issue or what's going on.
• 40:48
  Speaker 2: I don't really know why the line moved up like that.
• 40:51
  Speaker 2: By the way too high totals here too. In the
• 40:53
  Speaker 2: Arkansas State South Alabama game is all the way up
• 40:55
  Speaker 2: to fifty eight, but we have fifty eight percent of
• 40:58
  Speaker 2: tickets on the over fifty eight percent of the on
• 41:00
  Speaker 2: the under in that game, so money is coming back
• 41:02
  Speaker 2: and taking the under. All though, I tend to hesitate
• 41:05
  Speaker 2: to play unders in games with high totals like that,
• 41:08
  Speaker 2: but that total does seem.
• 41:09
  Speaker 1: Kind of high to me.
• 41:10
  Speaker 2: Man, For I mean a game where maybe both defenses
• 41:14
  Speaker 2: are just that bad Arkansas State and South Alabama, though
• 41:16
  Speaker 2: I'm not sure because I don't think either offense is
• 41:19
  Speaker 2: really that good either, So it seems like a weirdly.
• 41:22
  Speaker 1: High total to me in that one. Though.
• 41:25
  Speaker 2: Tough read there, but again I'm not really a totals guy.
• 41:27
  Speaker 2: The total in this one has dropped. The one in
• 41:30
  Speaker 2: FIU in Western Kentucky has dropped from fifty seven and
• 41:33
  Speaker 2: a half to fifty six. Seventy tickets only sixty two
• 41:36
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash on the orders, so the money's
• 41:37
  Speaker 2: coming in in the under in.
• 41:39
  Speaker 1: This game too. I can kind of see the argument
• 41:42
  Speaker 1: for that FIU.
• 41:44
  Speaker 2: I mean, they're just not a very good team in general.
• 41:49
  Speaker 2: Their schedules so far. I mean, it hasn't been the
• 41:52
  Speaker 2: most difficult schedule. I mean, obviously they play Penn stage.
• 41:55
  Speaker 2: You didn't expect them to win that game, even though
• 41:57
  Speaker 2: maybe you should have expected them now now not really
• 41:59
  Speaker 2: pay I mean, I think Penn State just collapsed after
• 42:03
  Speaker 2: they lost that game.
• 42:04
  Speaker 1: They just stopped putting an effort.
• 42:06
  Speaker 2: This Penn State team is not actually as bad as
• 42:08
  Speaker 2: they look now, So FIU obviously couldn't expect them to
• 42:12
  Speaker 2: win that game, but the rest of their schedule has
• 42:14
  Speaker 2: been somewhat easy. And they lost pretty badly to Delaware
• 42:18
  Speaker 2: in really badly to Yukon last time out, which was
• 42:21
  Speaker 2: last Saturday, so they've had the typical time off. You know,
• 42:25
  Speaker 2: they didn't play this Saturday because they got shifted. Their
• 42:28
  Speaker 2: game was shifted to a Tuesday game. Second straight road game.
• 42:32
  Speaker 2: They'ugh going to Western Kentucky. It's not gonna be easy.
• 42:35
  Speaker 2: And it does look like they have some quarterback situation
• 42:38
  Speaker 2: here because Jenkins, who was their quarterback I think all
• 42:41
  Speaker 2: of last year. For the most part, he's a decent quarterback.
• 42:44
  Speaker 2: It looks like he got hurt because they had Pizanski
• 42:47
  Speaker 2: playing against Yukon, which was a terrible game for them,
• 42:51
  Speaker 2: so Jenkins might be hurt, so that might be why
• 42:53
  Speaker 2: Western Kentucky is moving up from a seven and a
• 42:56
  Speaker 2: half to ten point favored here. So something to keep
• 42:57
  Speaker 2: in mind. If Jenkins is hurt, that's gonna hurt FIU's
• 43:00
  Speaker 2: offense even more. In their offense really isn't that great
• 43:03
  Speaker 2: to begin with. It doesn't look like a great spot
• 43:07
  Speaker 2: for them. Western Kentucky is the better of the two teams.
• 43:10
  Speaker 2: They're five and one, though they might be a little
• 43:12
  Speaker 2: bit overvalued. People are gonna see both teams.
• 43:15
  Speaker 1: Just play Delaware.
• 43:16
  Speaker 2: They both just played Delaware on the road and Delaware
• 43:19
  Speaker 2: annihilated FIU. But Western Kentucky beat Delaware, and of course everybody,
• 43:25
  Speaker 2: I mean, we all know Western Kentucky is the better
• 43:27
  Speaker 2: of these two teams though, But I think people are
• 43:29
  Speaker 2: gonna look at that and maybe get the wrong impression
• 43:31
  Speaker 2: and think Western Kentucky is that much better, and maybe
• 43:35
  Speaker 2: there is just you know, there is maybe a little
• 43:37
  Speaker 2: bit of live on FIU, especially if if it is
• 43:40
  Speaker 2: that injured player situation, like if they lost Jenkins in
• 43:43
  Speaker 2: their last game, which I guess we could look at
• 43:45
  Speaker 2: real quick just to see if it's the injured player
• 43:46
  Speaker 2: spot and let me look at the box score for
• 43:49
  Speaker 2: them against Delaware here.
• 43:53
  Speaker 1: No Jenkins played in that game, so I don't know.
• 43:55
  Speaker 1: Maybe Jenkins. Did Jenkins get hurt.
• 43:57
  Speaker 2: In the Yukon game then, which then would actually make
• 44:00
  Speaker 2: this game the injured player spot. Yeah, it looks like
• 44:04
  Speaker 2: he did, or they just took him out because because
• 44:07
  Speaker 2: it was a blowout. I'm not really sure, but if
• 44:10
  Speaker 2: Jenkins is hurt now coming into this one, it does
• 44:12
  Speaker 2: make it an injured player spot on Florida International, which
• 44:15
  Speaker 2: would mean the team I would look to see if
• 44:17
  Speaker 2: that is the case, which would mean that FIU is
• 44:20
  Speaker 2: going to maybe like step up their effort a little
• 44:22
  Speaker 2: bit because their quarterback is now injured. So I mean,
• 44:26
  Speaker 2: that would explain the line move at the very least,
• 44:29
  Speaker 2: and it would explain why the money's kind of coming
• 44:31
  Speaker 2: in on the FIU side. So some I'm gonna look
• 44:34
  Speaker 2: into maybe that is the case. Western Kentucky and they've
• 44:37
  Speaker 2: had a pretty easy schedule though they've beaten SAM Houston,
• 44:40
  Speaker 2: they beat FCS North Alabama. I think that's an FCS team, right,
• 44:45
  Speaker 2: Isn't are the FBS now, Yeah, they're FCS. They're in
• 44:48
  Speaker 2: the UAC or whatever the hell that conference is. They
• 44:51
  Speaker 2: lost to Toledo on the road. Toledo is a solid team,
• 44:54
  Speaker 2: maybe the best team in the MAC and then they've
• 44:56
  Speaker 2: beaten the vat On, Missouri State and Delaware. Missouri State
• 44:59
  Speaker 2: and Delaware both new to FBS this year. They've been
• 45:02
  Speaker 2: playing pretty competitively though, and Western Kentucky only beat each
• 45:06
  Speaker 2: of them by a little bit, but still Western Kentucky
• 45:09
  Speaker 2: they have that a fairly easy schedule so far. They've
• 45:11
  Speaker 2: been playing well, but they're mostly a passing attack, so
• 45:13
  Speaker 2: they're pretty one dimensional on offense. They don't run the
• 45:16
  Speaker 2: ball very well. Their offense centers on Maverick mcgiver, who
• 45:22
  Speaker 2: is one of the best quarter He has one of
• 45:23
  Speaker 2: the best quarterback names in college football.
• 45:26
  Speaker 1: I mean, he's the guy. He does everything for them.
• 45:29
  Speaker 2: But it is possible that FIU is able to slow
• 45:31
  Speaker 2: them down a little bit. FIU's defense is not that bad,
• 45:35
  Speaker 2: so I wouldn't necessarily disagree with an under in this
• 45:38
  Speaker 2: one either, which is the way that it looks like
• 45:40
  Speaker 2: the money is kind of coming in, and if it's
• 45:42
  Speaker 2: gonna be a lower scoring game, maybe it does make
• 45:44
  Speaker 2: sense to maybe look towards taking the points with FU
• 45:46
  Speaker 2: as well, So I would slightly lean that way. Western
• 45:50
  Speaker 2: Kentucky does have one extra day off because they played
• 45:52
  Speaker 2: last Friday, but I don't think that really matters. And
• 45:56
  Speaker 2: I actually thought that was a bad spot. I actually
• 45:58
  Speaker 2: thought Delaware was was the right side to cover that number,
• 46:01
  Speaker 2: and Delaware was a favorite. So Delaware did not cover
• 46:04
  Speaker 2: that number. But you know, just all things to keep
• 46:08
  Speaker 2: in mind. I actually probably prefer under in this game
• 46:11
  Speaker 2: the to playing the side in this one, but I
• 46:13
  Speaker 2: think FIU might make sense with the side there if
• 46:16
  Speaker 2: they can kind of keep this game.
• 46:18
  Speaker 1: Low scoring, keep it in check.
• 46:20
  Speaker 2: But yeah, definitely I got to see what's going on
• 46:23
  Speaker 2: with the FIU quarterback situation with Jenkins, because I actually
• 46:27
  Speaker 2: like the Florida International side a bit more.
• 46:29
  Speaker 1: If Jenkins is.
• 46:32
  Speaker 2: Out right, like if it's an insured player spot, I
• 46:34
  Speaker 2: think you'll get more effort out of them. And if
• 46:38
  Speaker 2: Jenkins is playing, I actually probably like the under more
• 46:41
  Speaker 2: because I think that will affect the total a little
• 46:43
  Speaker 2: bit and like they might just kind of like take
• 46:46
  Speaker 2: their foot off the gas a little bit offensively. Although
• 46:48
  Speaker 2: it's a big game for FU though, like they get
• 46:50
  Speaker 2: to play at Western Kentucky in primetime. Western Kentucky is
• 46:53
  Speaker 2: more used to playing isolated games like this than FIU
• 46:57
  Speaker 2: is FIU.
• 46:57
  Speaker 1: I don't think it's to do.
• 46:58
  Speaker 2: It very often. So even though they're the road team,
• 47:01
  Speaker 2: it might still pump them up a little bit. So
• 47:05
  Speaker 2: that's it, man. I don't have any best bets say,
• 47:06
  Speaker 2: but that's that's gonna do it. Yes, sir, Good luck
• 47:11
  Speaker 2: to all of you for whatever your plays are today.
• 47:14
  Speaker 2: George Costanza, Yeah, insult Craig Breslo the Red Sox.
• 47:19
  Speaker 1: I could do that.
• 47:21
  Speaker 2: You know, when George insulted Steinbrenner, he was just firm
• 47:24
  Speaker 2: and matter of fact, and he wasn't like actually like
• 47:28
  Speaker 2: necessarily well, he was insulting, but he did it in
• 47:30
  Speaker 2: like a productive way.
• 47:32
  Speaker 1: Well, I don't know, it was just a funny scene. Man.
• 47:34
  Speaker 1: We're just sir. You know what you've done with this,
• 47:37
  Speaker 1: you know, incredible organization.
• 47:39
  Speaker 2: You know, he's just terrible. Whatever the hell you said
• 47:42
  Speaker 2: you Steinbrenner, hire this man a man be the undertaker tonight.
• 47:49
  Speaker 2: You're gonna parlay the unders. Good luck with that. I
• 47:52
  Speaker 2: recommend against parlays, but I mean you're just doing it
• 47:54
  Speaker 2: for recreational purposes.
• 47:56
  Speaker 1: I like it.
• 47:56
  Speaker 2: Brian, what's up man? Thanks for checking in here. Well
• 48:01
  Speaker 2: you should you should still get excited to me. We're
• 48:03
  Speaker 2: talking about sports here, you know, Hopefully people get something
• 48:07
  Speaker 2: out of it.
• 48:07
  Speaker 1: Hopefully people like it. Brian, maybe maybe you do like
• 48:10
  Speaker 1: this and maybe you'll come back. I don't know. Jordan,
• 48:12
  Speaker 1: good to see you again as well.
• 48:13
  Speaker 2: Thanks for hanging out right, That's what That's why they
• 48:16
  Speaker 2: wanted to They wanted to hire George yet because he
• 48:18
  Speaker 2: was genuine although it was like just insulting enough for
• 48:21
  Speaker 2: like the comedic effect where it was like you think
• 48:24
  Speaker 2: that steinbren is gonna like be like what, like who
• 48:27
  Speaker 2: is this guy? Like what the fuck is he talking about?
• 48:29
  Speaker 2: Then hire this man?
• 48:31
  Speaker 1: Oh Man.
• 48:31
  Speaker 2: Seinfeld amazing show. One of the best shows ever made.
• 48:34
  Speaker 2: Actually first like it was actually realistic. Like most sitcoms
• 48:39
  Speaker 2: are just not realistic. Some of the good ones are
• 48:43
  Speaker 2: realistic at least in that they like they point out
• 48:46
  Speaker 2: like very real things about life. But Seinfeld maybe one
• 48:50
  Speaker 2: of the most realistic, even though there was a lot
• 48:51
  Speaker 2: of absurdity, just because like it was the show about
• 48:55
  Speaker 2: nothing where it was like every show, like all the
• 48:57
  Speaker 2: characters just focused on like minute shot in life and
• 49:02
  Speaker 2: like blew it out of proportion, and that is what
• 49:04
  Speaker 2: people do and basically every one of the characters is
• 49:07
  Speaker 2: a horrible person except for Kramer. Kramer's just kind of
• 49:10
  Speaker 2: a dumb ass. But like that's I mean, that is
• 49:13
  Speaker 2: kind of the way that life is. Like, like these
• 49:15
  Speaker 2: are all just kind of bad people, Like they're all
• 49:17
  Speaker 2: pretty much manipulative and whatever. It's it's more more realistic
• 49:22
  Speaker 2: peak TV. It was the nineties. Things were better than
• 49:25
  Speaker 2: back then. You could get away with more stuff back
• 49:27
  Speaker 2: then too, you know, like they were allowed to make
• 49:32
  Speaker 2: like gay jokes and you know, jokes about rape and whatever.
• 49:37
  Speaker 1: I guess I'm were allowed to say that on YouTube.
• 49:39
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 49:40
  Speaker 2: Hopefully it's buried in the show and off hopefully that hopefully,
• 49:42
  Speaker 2: I nobody'll we'll see it. Three psychopaths and a skitze.
• 49:48
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 49:48
  Speaker 2: And Newman was also a very bad guy as well.
• 49:51
  Speaker 2: Kramer is a Skitze.
• 49:53
  Speaker 1: I guess yeah, I mean yeah, Kramer was the mark
• 49:58
  Speaker 1: random of the show. That's gonna do it Man.
• 50:01
  Speaker 2: Learn a tone on Twitter, and learn a tone on Instagram, Like,
• 50:04
  Speaker 2: subscribe to the show here on YouTube. Tell your friends
• 50:07
  Speaker 2: you know we're on an audio that helps out if
• 50:09
  Speaker 2: you listen on audio and review on audio. As well
• 50:11
  Speaker 2: on iTunes and Spotify or Apple and Spotify covered.
• 50:16
  Speaker 1: In you because my yuke channel on YouTube, gotta keep
• 50:19
  Speaker 1: that up to date.
• 50:20
  Speaker 2: That one is up to date right now, but my
• 50:21
  Speaker 2: Patreon feed is. And so I'm I'm screwing the supporters man,
• 50:25
  Speaker 2: which I shouldn't be doing obviously. I gotta get back
• 50:27
  Speaker 2: to the pagren It's just it's a lot of effort, man,
• 50:29
  Speaker 2: It kind of I don't know. Everything starts to pile up,
• 50:32
  Speaker 2: and I'm trying to do a bunch of shit. Pagreon
• 50:34
  Speaker 2: dot com, slash will learn to tone. Gotta get some
• 50:37
  Speaker 2: more stuff there for the supporters, man. We'll see what
• 50:40
  Speaker 2: I can do. It's bonus yuke content right now. Maybe
• 50:43
  Speaker 2: I'll do like bonus live uke streams.
• 50:45
  Speaker 1: It's Tuesday.
• 50:46
  Speaker 2: I was thinking Tuesday night uke live request streams. Should
• 50:50
  Speaker 2: I actually start that? Should I do it tonight? I
• 50:53
  Speaker 2: gotta think about it would be another thing on my.
• 50:55
  Speaker 1: Plate, but I'll consider it. We'll figure it out. That's
• 51:00
  Speaker 1: gonna do. And I forgot to mention if people missed it.
• 51:02
  Speaker 2: On a Friday night, I was on Tyler Yankees Show,
• 51:05
  Speaker 2: The Libertarian Podcast Review or whatever the hell he's calling
• 51:08
  Speaker 2: it now so you can check that out. Uh.
• 51:11
  Speaker 1: So that was that was a fun time. That was
• 51:14
  Speaker 1: a good show Friday night.
• 51:15
  Speaker 2: He might have that up on the channel now and then, Yeah,
• 51:20
  Speaker 2: what else do we have we have upcoming? I think
• 51:23
  Speaker 2: next Monday, I'm gonna be on Nephlun Desk Squad. I'm
• 51:26
  Speaker 2: gonna be on neft to America whatever their current event
• 51:30
  Speaker 2: show is, or we're just gonna riff on current events.
• 51:33
  Speaker 2: So I'm gonna be on their show next Monday, I
• 51:35
  Speaker 2: believe sometime in the afternoon Eastern time.
• 51:39
  Speaker 1: So that's gonna happen as well. I'll get some merch.
• 51:43
  Speaker 2: I think there is actually some merch if you go
• 51:45
  Speaker 2: to top Lobster site is the best.
• 51:46
  Speaker 1: I think he has a better off dead shirt. Is
• 51:49
  Speaker 1: it still up there? I don't know.
• 51:50
  Speaker 2: I think he took the tower ganging stuff down, which
• 51:53
  Speaker 2: was very sad. I want Tower gant back. Marshall, what's
• 51:56
  Speaker 2: up man? Thanks for hanging out.
• 51:57
  Speaker 1: Marshall are uh October Overall winner? Dude? It's October this
• 52:04
  Speaker 1: month and we have no more cocks to rate. Man.
• 52:06
  Speaker 2: So Marshall was the second and final winner of Coctober
• 52:10
  Speaker 2: and the winner of Overall Coctober, I'll give it to you.
• 52:13
  Speaker 2: I'm sorry to rave him, but Marshall nailed the creativity
• 52:17
  Speaker 2: of that, so we got I think Raven would still agree.
• 52:20
  Speaker 1: We got to give it to Marshall.
• 52:21
  Speaker 2: And if you guys read you guys would have seen
• 52:25
  Speaker 2: Marshall's entry live.
• 52:26
  Speaker 1: You went to a Bohemian grove Number two is where
• 52:31
  Speaker 1: we are.
• 52:31
  Speaker 2: We did the reveal in front of a room of
• 52:34
  Speaker 2: about one hundred people.
• 52:36
  Speaker 1: Thank you, Charles.
• 52:38
  Speaker 2: Yes, sir, the Tyler of Tyler's show where Neflim Desk Squad.
• 52:43
  Speaker 2: Tyler should be out now because it was Friday. The
• 52:46
  Speaker 2: Neflim Desk Squad want will be next Monday, I believe.
• 52:50
  Speaker 1: Yep. Yeah, the hot dog, the.
• 52:52
  Speaker 2: Big thick, juicy wiener, that's right, all right, and a
• 52:57
  Speaker 2: hot dog as well.
• 52:59
  Speaker 1: That's gonna do it. Man.
• 53:01
  Speaker 2: Everybody have a good Tuesday and we'll be back, you know.
• 53:04
  Speaker 2: I mean, I don't skip too many days. Like I
• 53:06
  Speaker 2: really thought I was gonna have at least one hockey
• 53:08
  Speaker 2: play today, but I just don't love the board man,
• 53:10
  Speaker 2: so don't want to force anything. So we're gonna pass
• 53:13
  Speaker 2: and move on to tomorrow. And that'll do it for now.
• 53:15
  Speaker 2: Enjoy the games. Good luck with all your bets and
• 53:19
  Speaker 2: peace for now. Are you gonna You're gonna You're gonna
• 53:23
  Speaker 2: post one?
• 53:24
  Speaker 1: Oh my god?
• 53:26
  Speaker 2: I said I was gonna post mine my my entry
• 53:29
  Speaker 2: into I was gonna post my entry from number one,
• 53:32
  Speaker 2: uh the original year of Cocktaber I entered myself into it.
• 53:37
  Speaker 2: I said I was gonna post it when I hit
• 53:39
  Speaker 2: twenty thousand off Twitter followers.
• 53:43
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 53:44
  Speaker 2: I don't know, man, maybe if, maybe Marshall and I
• 53:47
  Speaker 2: will both post stars. I don't know, We'll figure something out.
• 53:50
  Speaker 2: I don't I don't want to get people's hopes about
• 53:53
  Speaker 2: I don't know if I really want to do it.
• 53:55
  Speaker 2: Rangers Team Total over, Yeah, I mean that that is
• 54:00
  Speaker 2: the way that I would play that game. But that's
• 54:01
  Speaker 2: just I mean, I'm not really much of a team
• 54:03
  Speaker 2: totals guy, so hopefully I'm not way off on that.
• 54:06
  Speaker 1: All right, guys, thanks for hanging out this morning. Peace,