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NCAAB + NHL + NBA Best Bets Tuesday 1/20/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on Own
• 0:06
  Speaker 1: seven run over the last two days after tonight it
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna start
• 0:11
  Speaker 1: off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I don't
• 0:14
  Speaker 1: even know what to tell you about that. I just
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: don't want to do this anymore. I have never seen
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: anything like this, Man with the slump continuing. Two straight losses,
• 0:25
  Speaker 1: not a good day at all all in four I
• 0:29
  Speaker 1: have not had a good season. Man, with bookends the
• 0:33
  Speaker 1: slump that I'm on, and the slump continues, I've reached
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: a new peak. Actually, I'm going to burn my browins
• 0:41
  Speaker 1: hat man, I don't know what is going on with
• 0:43
  Speaker 1: the Bruins. Arch eight? Is that what it is? I
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: don't even know it's it's March ninth, I think who
• 0:50
  Speaker 1: even knows? Man, I don't know what day is anymore.
• 0:52
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what data is anymore. Man, back
• 0:55
  Speaker 1: with you after the worst day that I can possibly have,
• 0:59
  Speaker 1: Back with as I always am until I die at
• 1:03
  Speaker 1: least oh and two. Yesterday and yesterday did not go
• 1:07
  Speaker 1: well for me. Own five the worst month that I've
• 1:10
  Speaker 1: ever had in my eighteen years doing this. I don't
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: know what to even tell you about this anymore. To
• 1:15
  Speaker 1: the slumpers, the slump discontinuous, the slump continues. Somebody fucking
• 1:21
  Speaker 1: kill me, please. I don't even know what I should
• 1:24
  Speaker 1: do at this point other than potentially end it all.
• 1:35
  Speaker 1: What's up, everybody, It's towed back with you with Toadstool Sports.
• 1:39
  Speaker 1: It is Tuesday, January twentieth. Oh, we had a winning
• 1:46
  Speaker 1: day on the show yesterday, so at least there was that.
• 1:49
  Speaker 1: College basketball was the only really bad thing about it.
• 1:54
  Speaker 1: Iona did not get there. We started out pretty bad. Actually,
• 1:57
  Speaker 1: we started out I think oh and two with the
• 1:59
  Speaker 1: first cup plays. Iona. Yeah, I don't know what else
• 2:03
  Speaker 1: to say. They suck. Later in college basketball, we did
• 2:07
  Speaker 1: get the cover with Southeastern Louisiana, although they did not
• 2:10
  Speaker 1: win the game outright. They were winning the game outright
• 2:13
  Speaker 1: in the second half, but they did not win. They
• 2:17
  Speaker 1: did get the cover though on Northern Colorado did not
• 2:20
  Speaker 1: get it done either, unfortunately, because that was a money
• 2:22
  Speaker 1: line favorite there. So in that case you actually would
• 2:25
  Speaker 1: have been better off just having a spread beat on it.
• 2:28
  Speaker 1: But long term, it is better to play the money
• 2:31
  Speaker 1: line in ranges like that, so I thought they would
• 2:35
  Speaker 1: win the game. It didn't happen. They were way behind,
• 2:37
  Speaker 1: well not way behind me, they were in a whole
• 2:39
  Speaker 1: half at halftime, and they did come back. They had
• 2:43
  Speaker 1: some chances to win that game, but that didn't happen.
• 2:47
  Speaker 1: Hockey was two and zero. We won with the Pittsburgh
• 2:49
  Speaker 1: Penguins pretty easily and San Jose Sharks also really easy.
• 2:54
  Speaker 1: They're out to a three nothing lead, I think immediately,
• 2:57
  Speaker 1: so no sweat on that there was. The Sharks won
• 3:01
  Speaker 1: a goaltender fight in the game as well. I don't
• 3:03
  Speaker 1: know what Bobrovski was doing, man like, there was a
• 3:06
  Speaker 1: fight going on down to the other end. I don't
• 3:08
  Speaker 1: think I've ever seen this before, or at least it's rare. Bobrovski,
• 3:12
  Speaker 1: Florida's goalie is just like, I'm gonna just go all
• 3:15
  Speaker 1: the way across the ice and get involved in this
• 3:18
  Speaker 1: fight and pick a fight with the other team's goalie. Like,
• 3:21
  Speaker 1: what are you talking about? At this point, it's like
• 3:24
  Speaker 1: midway through the game, it's three to one San Jose.
• 3:28
  Speaker 1: I don't know what that was. And then he lost
• 3:30
  Speaker 1: the fight. Of course, Nadelkovich beat him, was able to
• 3:34
  Speaker 1: take him down. It was so stupid dude. Yeah, not
• 3:38
  Speaker 1: a fan of Bobrovsky. I'll tell you that that was ridiculous.
• 3:40
  Speaker 1: I don't know what he was doing. He deserved to
• 3:43
  Speaker 1: lose that fight and he did. He was also pulling
• 3:46
  Speaker 1: hair during the fight too, which is definitely a bitch move.
• 3:50
  Speaker 1: We did not get there with the Clippers. That was bad.
• 3:54
  Speaker 1: They couldn't shoot from three, for one thing, but they
• 3:57
  Speaker 1: didn't do enough to cover that game. They did win,
• 4:01
  Speaker 1: but they actually had a decent like later portion of
• 4:05
  Speaker 1: the game, but they never could really get margin in
• 4:08
  Speaker 1: that game, so that was bad. The Jazz did cover.
• 4:11
  Speaker 1: The Jazz were pretty much in that game for the
• 4:14
  Speaker 1: entire first half and then into the second half. Then
• 4:16
  Speaker 1: they wound up actually falling behind by probably more than twenty,
• 4:20
  Speaker 1: but they did get back within the number there and
• 4:23
  Speaker 1: then we did get the win with Miami in the
• 4:26
  Speaker 1: College Football Championship. Miami was able to cover. They were
• 4:30
  Speaker 1: able to keep that game low scoring enough. It was
• 4:32
  Speaker 1: pretty much what I sat, although I think if you
• 4:34
  Speaker 1: had the under, you had a fairly bad beat on that.
• 4:37
  Speaker 1: With the game I'm pretty sure went over the well.
• 4:40
  Speaker 1: It hit in landed on forty eight. I think the
• 4:43
  Speaker 1: number was forty seven and went over on that final
• 4:46
  Speaker 1: field goal. Man, that's brutal. Like. It came down to
• 4:50
  Speaker 1: a situation where maybe if I think if Miami didn't
• 4:52
  Speaker 1: have any timeouts left or whatever, then Indiana probably would
• 4:55
  Speaker 1: have been able to run the clock out at that
• 4:57
  Speaker 1: point and wouldn't have kicked again. You did I have
• 5:00
  Speaker 1: a chance in Miami actually had a chance to win
• 5:02
  Speaker 1: the game at the end after that field goal happened
• 5:04
  Speaker 1: and they were in Indiana territory, Beck throw an interception
• 5:08
  Speaker 1: to finish the game. It was just a miscommunication. I
• 5:11
  Speaker 1: talked about it last night. Thanks for people who hung
• 5:13
  Speaker 1: out from my bracketology show last night. Boring stuff, probably
• 5:17
  Speaker 1: not to me but maybe to everybody else. But yeah,
• 5:20
  Speaker 1: there was a miscommunication there. I think Beck and the
• 5:23
  Speaker 1: receiver like pretty clearly thought that it was gonna be
• 5:26
  Speaker 1: a different route or something. I don't know what that was.
• 5:29
  Speaker 1: You don't want to end the game on that, man,
• 5:31
  Speaker 1: but that was what it was. But at least Miami
• 5:34
  Speaker 1: did cover for us. They had a decent game plan, man,
• 5:37
  Speaker 1: I think they outgained Indiana and in the game, and they
• 5:40
  Speaker 1: had more yards per play in the game too. So
• 5:43
  Speaker 1: although as I mentioned last night. A lot of it
• 5:45
  Speaker 1: was because they had one huge running play for a touchdown.
• 5:48
  Speaker 1: But yeah, I mean, Miami was in that game, so
• 5:51
  Speaker 1: don't I think the handicap was right on for me
• 5:54
  Speaker 1: and that one, it seemed like nobody wanted Miami, like professionals, recreational.
• 6:00
  Speaker 1: I didn't hear anybody want Miami in that game, So
• 6:03
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I sometimes it's good to be on
• 6:06
  Speaker 1: an island. But we'll move on to today. I'm being
• 6:08
  Speaker 1: very selective today. Two college basketball plays in one hockey
• 6:13
  Speaker 1: play today, and that's it for today. Tyson, what's up? Jeffrey,
• 6:17
  Speaker 1: what's up? Kyle? What's up? MAVs blew out the Knicks. Yeah,
• 6:23
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I wasn't really paying attention to what
• 6:26
  Speaker 1: was going on in that game. The MAVs are without
• 6:28
  Speaker 1: like Anthony Davis there, without Washington. Did was it a
• 6:33
  Speaker 1: Brunson return game there? I don't know, uh, because I
• 6:37
  Speaker 1: don't know. I leaned to the MAVs covering, but there
• 6:40
  Speaker 1: were a lot of things going up, way too many,
• 6:42
  Speaker 1: like moving parts to that game that I wanted no
• 6:45
  Speaker 1: part of. It might fade Dallas in their next game, though, well,
• 6:49
  Speaker 1: actually I don't know. I think I saw who they
• 6:51
  Speaker 1: played next, and maybe that's not a good idea. Mister Pinsey.
• 6:54
  Speaker 1: What's up. Let's get into today. We have college basketball
• 6:58
  Speaker 1: up first. I gotta zoom in here. Obviously, all right,
• 7:01
  Speaker 1: we have a bunch of college basketball here. I'm gonna
• 7:03
  Speaker 1: try to not be labored. This Brunson played. Yeah, okay,
• 7:11
  Speaker 1: yeah it was even if he had a good game.
• 7:14
  Speaker 1: I don't know. The return home spot. There's a lot
• 7:16
  Speaker 1: of times there's just a chemistry issue, like the rest
• 7:18
  Speaker 1: of the team has a tendency to not play well,
• 7:21
  Speaker 1: like oh, our star players back whatever. So that was
• 7:23
  Speaker 1: definitely a factor in that game. Garrett, you gotta win
• 7:27
  Speaker 1: on Miami. There you go, nice, all right, first game up?
• 7:35
  Speaker 1: There really is of note here today? We have well,
• 7:37
  Speaker 1: I mean, if you want to talk about this isolated
• 7:39
  Speaker 1: six pm game, and I don't have a whole lot
• 7:41
  Speaker 1: to say, Toledo at UMSS in the mac here Toledo, Well,
• 7:46
  Speaker 1: they are coming up a pretty tough game against Kent State.
• 7:48
  Speaker 1: They've actually played Miami, Ohio, Ohio, and Kent State all
• 7:52
  Speaker 1: in a row, and now they're going from Ohio Kent State,
• 7:56
  Speaker 1: which is in Ohio over to Massachusetts, which is a
• 7:59
  Speaker 1: little bit of a weird travel spot. It's weird that
• 8:01
  Speaker 1: U Mass is in the mac here, and then Toledo
• 8:04
  Speaker 1: does have Bowling Green and Ack run up after this,
• 8:06
  Speaker 1: and those are decent teams too, so you could make
• 8:09
  Speaker 1: the argument this is kind of a sandwich spot here,
• 8:12
  Speaker 1: so I would probably be leaning too U Mass in
• 8:15
  Speaker 1: this one. U Mass just took a pretty ugly loss
• 8:18
  Speaker 1: on the road to Northern Iowa or in northern Illinois.
• 8:21
  Speaker 1: Excuse me now, they're coming back home off of that
• 8:23
  Speaker 1: Northern Illinois way worse than Northern Iowa. U Mass coming
• 8:27
  Speaker 1: back home. They've played mostly road games in conference so far.
• 8:30
  Speaker 1: Their only home conference loss I believe is one point
• 8:34
  Speaker 1: loss to Bowling Green, which is not that bad. Oh no, wait,
• 8:39
  Speaker 1: my mistake. They did lose to Kent State earlier in
• 8:41
  Speaker 1: the season. That's still not that bad either though, But
• 8:44
  Speaker 1: I would lean to you Mass in that game. U
• 8:46
  Speaker 1: Mass looks like they are getting some of the money.
• 8:48
  Speaker 1: They're one and a half point favorite, ninety nine percent
• 8:50
  Speaker 1: of the cash on them, seventy five percent of the
• 8:52
  Speaker 1: tickets on Toledo Public kind of ignoring you Mass for
• 8:57
  Speaker 1: the most part. Big ten Network at six thirty PM,
• 9:01
  Speaker 1: we have Minnesota and Ohio State in this Big ten
• 9:05
  Speaker 1: match up here. Minnesota, they did have a decent LOOKI
• 9:11
  Speaker 1: record until they started dropping games recently. They've lost three
• 9:14
  Speaker 1: in a row. They played competitive in all three games
• 9:17
  Speaker 1: pretty much kind of at least usc Wisconsin and then Illinois.
• 9:21
  Speaker 1: They only lost by ten on the road, which really
• 9:24
  Speaker 1: isn't that bad of a result. Now it's a second
• 9:26
  Speaker 1: straight road game though, and then they do have Nebraska
• 9:29
  Speaker 1: after this. Now Minnesota, I don't think they're really gonna
• 9:32
  Speaker 1: overlook anybody at this point, but it's kind of a
• 9:34
  Speaker 1: matter of how tired are they after having all these
• 9:38
  Speaker 1: big games. Now they've got to go to Ohio State.
• 9:42
  Speaker 1: Ohio State did just beat Ucla. They're staying at home.
• 9:45
  Speaker 1: They do have Michigan next. There's a possible look ahead here,
• 9:48
  Speaker 1: So it's possible they don't pay attention to Minnesota and
• 9:51
  Speaker 1: that would be the worry there. Beating Ucla is a
• 9:54
  Speaker 1: decent win. I mean, they're a program with a lot
• 9:57
  Speaker 1: of history obviously, and they've been decent this year. I
• 10:00
  Speaker 1: think they will be a tournament team when everything is
• 10:03
  Speaker 1: done here. The money is coming in on Ohio State
• 10:06
  Speaker 1: it looks like for what that's worth, they drop from
• 10:08
  Speaker 1: eight to seven and a half eighty percent of the
• 10:11
  Speaker 1: cash on Ohio State, fifty to fifty on the tickets.
• 10:16
  Speaker 1: I don't you know, I don't know if I agree
• 10:19
  Speaker 1: with laying it with Ohio State in this one. Total
• 10:21
  Speaker 1: is not really that high at one forty four and
• 10:23
  Speaker 1: a half. The money is saying that. I don't really
• 10:26
  Speaker 1: have a strong opinion though, one way or the other
• 10:28
  Speaker 1: in that game, So do with that information what you want.
• 10:31
  Speaker 1: But you know, I don't want to mislead people, so
• 10:33
  Speaker 1: sometimes I will if I don't have a strong opinion,
• 10:35
  Speaker 1: I will have to default to what the market is saying.
• 10:40
  Speaker 1: But I could see that not being the greatest spot
• 10:42
  Speaker 1: for well really either team there. But I guess if
• 10:44
  Speaker 1: that's the case, maybe maybe the better team does just
• 10:47
  Speaker 1: show up and get the job done. I don't know, UCF.
• 10:53
  Speaker 1: I'll talk about that whenever I get to it. Akron
• 11:00
  Speaker 1: at Buffalo is a somewhat interesting game in the Mac.
• 11:03
  Speaker 1: There's some interesting Mac games here Akron. I mean, they're
• 11:06
  Speaker 1: just on a roll, but they're kind of beating up
• 11:09
  Speaker 1: on the lower tier teams in the Mac. Except Bowling
• 11:13
  Speaker 1: Green was a pretty good win on the road. Acron's
• 11:15
  Speaker 1: coming off beating Western Michigan at home. Buffalo I just
• 11:19
  Speaker 1: don't really think is that good. Though Akron does play
• 11:21
  Speaker 1: Ohio next, which I guess there's a possible look ahead
• 11:24
  Speaker 1: component to that. But Buffalo's nowhere near as good as
• 11:27
  Speaker 1: their overall record looks. They had a really weak out
• 11:30
  Speaker 1: of conference schedule, and they're coming off a barn burner
• 11:33
  Speaker 1: against Miami Ohio. They went to overtime against Miami Ohio
• 11:38
  Speaker 1: at Miami Ohio, and they almost dealt Miami Ohio their
• 11:41
  Speaker 1: first loss, So Buffalo I would not want any part
• 11:44
  Speaker 1: of Buffalo after they do that, even though of course
• 11:46
  Speaker 1: they shouldn't overlook Akron because Akron I think is still
• 11:50
  Speaker 1: the best team in the MAC. But Buffalo also played
• 11:52
  Speaker 1: Kent State the game before that, in a pretty close
• 11:55
  Speaker 1: game as well, so I think I would have to
• 11:57
  Speaker 1: be on the Akron side if I was going to
• 11:59
  Speaker 1: play that game. But the money is not agreeing with that.
• 12:02
  Speaker 1: They dropped from nine to eight, sixty seven percent of
• 12:05
  Speaker 1: tickets on them ninety eight percent of the cash on Buffalo.
• 12:08
  Speaker 1: I don't agree with that market Reid, though I see
• 12:10
  Speaker 1: nothing to really like about Buffalo there other than the
• 12:13
  Speaker 1: fact that if they have any legs left, then you
• 12:16
  Speaker 1: have they'll try to show up in that game, but
• 12:19
  Speaker 1: it looks like a very tired spot. Indiana at number
• 12:23
  Speaker 1: three Michigan on Peacock at seven pm. Indiana's on a
• 12:27
  Speaker 1: three game losing streak and they couldn't get it done
• 12:29
  Speaker 1: at home against Iowa. I'm kind of pissed about that.
• 12:32
  Speaker 1: The score in that game is a little misleading. I
• 12:35
  Speaker 1: was a loss for us on the show, but like
• 12:37
  Speaker 1: Iowa went to the free throw line way morse, that
• 12:40
  Speaker 1: was one component to what happened there. Indiana had a
• 12:42
  Speaker 1: horrific shooting game. They actually had more field goal attempts
• 12:46
  Speaker 1: in the game. Usually when that's the case, you're not
• 12:48
  Speaker 1: gonna lose the game by seventeen points. But they shot
• 12:51
  Speaker 1: horribly all over the place in the game. So there
• 12:54
  Speaker 1: were definitely some outliers to that game where maybe there's
• 12:57
  Speaker 1: gonna be some regression on the part of well, positive
• 13:00
  Speaker 1: regression on the part of Indiana. Maybe they'll actually do
• 13:03
  Speaker 1: a little bit better here. So I don't mind Indiana
• 13:06
  Speaker 1: in this game. Plus the points Michigan. Michigan is not
• 13:11
  Speaker 1: exactly in a terrible spot. They are returning from the
• 13:14
  Speaker 1: Pacific Coast though, so they are having to travel multiple
• 13:17
  Speaker 1: time zones here. They swept the Pacific Coast trip Washington
• 13:22
  Speaker 1: and Oregon. Not great wins, but good enough. And they
• 13:26
  Speaker 1: do have Ohio State next to the Nebraska. But I
• 13:28
  Speaker 1: don't think they're really going to overlook Indiana. Although Indiana
• 13:32
  Speaker 1: is kind of in the middle of the pack here,
• 13:33
  Speaker 1: they're lower than Ohio State and the big ten standing,
• 13:36
  Speaker 1: so I don't know. But overall in that game, I
• 13:38
  Speaker 1: think the biggest component to that is that Indiana just
• 13:42
  Speaker 1: looked way worse than they actually were in their prior games.
• 13:44
  Speaker 1: So I would lean to taking the points with Indiana
• 13:47
  Speaker 1: and that one. Michigan down from seventeen and a half
• 13:50
  Speaker 1: to sixteen, so the line is moving in that direction.
• 13:54
  Speaker 1: Michigan extremely public, ninety two percent of the tickets, fifty
• 13:57
  Speaker 1: nine percent of the cash, so way less of the cash.
• 14:00
  Speaker 1: That's a huge cash disparity right now. Although these numbers
• 14:05
  Speaker 1: are still in flux CBS Sports, UCF is at number
• 14:10
  Speaker 1: nine Iowa State. UCF is coming off playing pretty close
• 14:15
  Speaker 1: against Arizona in their last game at home. They only
• 14:18
  Speaker 1: lost by seven, although if you look at how this
• 14:21
  Speaker 1: game went. Arizona had a pretty massive lead at various
• 14:26
  Speaker 1: parts of this game. They're way ahead early, they led
• 14:28
  Speaker 1: for most of the game. They the lead slipped, and
• 14:31
  Speaker 1: then Arizona built up the lead again to double digits
• 14:34
  Speaker 1: later in the game. And Arizona was still winning this
• 14:37
  Speaker 1: game by eleven with less than four minutes to go,
• 14:39
  Speaker 1: so it wasn't really as close as the final score. Look,
• 14:42
  Speaker 1: UCF just made a late run in garbage time when
• 14:45
  Speaker 1: the game was already over. So I don't know if
• 14:48
  Speaker 1: I want to really say that, Yeah, UCF like totally
• 14:50
  Speaker 1: took Arizona to the y or anything like that. They didn't,
• 14:54
  Speaker 1: But I still think you're getting the better team of
• 14:56
  Speaker 1: the Iowa State here in. Iowa State is coming off
• 14:59
  Speaker 1: a pretty ugly loss to Cincinnati, and I could kind
• 15:03
  Speaker 1: of explain that by talking about how Iowa State took
• 15:06
  Speaker 1: their first loss of the season in the game before
• 15:08
  Speaker 1: that at Kansas, and I talk about how when a
• 15:11
  Speaker 1: team loses their first when they take their first loss
• 15:14
  Speaker 1: of the season, sometimes that will hang them over into
• 15:16
  Speaker 1: the next game. They had to travel again. It was
• 15:19
  Speaker 1: a second straight road game, not a good setup for
• 15:22
  Speaker 1: Iowa State, but now they're gonna be back home here.
• 15:25
  Speaker 1: I think they will show up for this. I would
• 15:27
  Speaker 1: lay the points with Iowa State in this one. I
• 15:29
  Speaker 1: know Iowa State they have not faced a difficult conference
• 15:32
  Speaker 1: schedule yet, although West Virginia has been okay and they
• 15:35
  Speaker 1: destroyed them. They did win at Baylor, which is still
• 15:38
  Speaker 1: not that easy to do. Oklahoma State, yeah, I know
• 15:41
  Speaker 1: they're not as good as their record looks or whatever,
• 15:43
  Speaker 1: but they're not awful, so and then yeah, of course
• 15:46
  Speaker 1: we're trying to win at Kansas is never easy. So
• 15:49
  Speaker 1: I'm not gonna say that Iowa State's just like not
• 15:51
  Speaker 1: battle testing or anything like that, which I've heard that
• 15:54
  Speaker 1: argument being thrown around. Out of conference. They did beat
• 15:57
  Speaker 1: Saint John's Purdue. Of course, they wrecked Purdue at Purdue,
• 16:02
  Speaker 1: which was one of the reasons why they were way
• 16:04
  Speaker 1: up near the top of the rankings. Ken Ken Bam
• 16:08
  Speaker 1: Source of Truth still has Iowa stated in the top ten.
• 16:13
  Speaker 1: But yes, I would lay the points of the Iowa
• 16:14
  Speaker 1: State and this one. They're down from fourteen to thirteen.
• 16:18
  Speaker 1: Eighty six percent of the tickets, ninety nine percent of
• 16:20
  Speaker 1: the cash. There's no way that that's accurate. They might
• 16:23
  Speaker 1: be a public side here, but I don't think the
• 16:26
  Speaker 1: public is getting this one wrong if that's what they're doing.
• 16:28
  Speaker 1: I also don't think the public has a tendency to
• 16:30
  Speaker 1: really be heavy on like huge favorites like that, so
• 16:34
  Speaker 1: I do like Iowa State to bounce back in that one.
• 16:39
  Speaker 1: The next game up is LSU at number sixteen Florida.
• 16:42
  Speaker 1: This is one of my plays. Let's do it, man,
• 16:49
  Speaker 1: I'm being real, real selective here, man. We're gonna take
• 16:51
  Speaker 1: the points with LSU here against Florida. LSU. I know
• 16:55
  Speaker 1: they're not really as good as the record might make
• 16:58
  Speaker 1: them look, although ken Bom really does not have LSU
• 17:01
  Speaker 1: being that bad. He's got them forty fourth in the country.
• 17:04
  Speaker 1: They're better offensively than defensively, but they crack the top
• 17:08
  Speaker 1: eighty in both, which is not that bad. They're mid
• 17:11
  Speaker 1: tempo teams, so hopefully they won't be thrown off too
• 17:14
  Speaker 1: much by Florida being a fast paced team, which I
• 17:17
  Speaker 1: think they still are. Uh yeah they are, even though yes,
• 17:20
  Speaker 1: ken Bum as Florida being very unlucky. LSU's on the
• 17:24
  Speaker 1: unlucky side of things as well here, so I think
• 17:27
  Speaker 1: the number is just really really high in this one, man,
• 17:30
  Speaker 1: I think Ken Bomb has this number being close to
• 17:32
  Speaker 1: like eleven or twelve. LSU had a nice win against Missouri,
• 17:37
  Speaker 1: and why I think that's good is that they ended
• 17:39
  Speaker 1: a four game losing streak. So a lot of times
• 17:42
  Speaker 1: when a team ends a losing streak like that, it's
• 17:44
  Speaker 1: like they get the monkey off their back. LSU didn't
• 17:47
  Speaker 1: have a conference win until then as well, so it's
• 17:49
  Speaker 1: like that takes a load off your shoulders. You know,
• 17:54
  Speaker 1: when everything's going wrong, you can't win a game in conference,
• 17:57
  Speaker 1: you finally get that win. It can let you play looser,
• 18:01
  Speaker 1: just go out and play. So I think that's good
• 18:03
  Speaker 1: that that happened. Meanwhile, I do not like the spot
• 18:06
  Speaker 1: for Florida here, even though yes, I agree Florida might
• 18:09
  Speaker 1: actually even be the best team in the SEC. Still,
• 18:12
  Speaker 1: pretty much all their losses are to good teams. I
• 18:14
  Speaker 1: get it, although they did lose to Missouri. But look
• 18:18
  Speaker 1: at this run that Florida's on right now. Man. They
• 18:20
  Speaker 1: beat Georgia, they beat Tennessee. We tried to fade them
• 18:23
  Speaker 1: at Oklahoma, didn't work. They won anyway in that game.
• 18:26
  Speaker 1: They beat Vandy, and now that's what they're coming off of.
• 18:30
  Speaker 1: Florida just dealt Vandy their second loss of the season,
• 18:33
  Speaker 1: and that was really a battle for who's the best
• 18:35
  Speaker 1: in the SEC, if you think about it, because everybody
• 18:38
  Speaker 1: else is kind of behind. I know A and M
• 18:40
  Speaker 1: texas A and M is at the top of the
• 18:42
  Speaker 1: standings conference wise, but they're not even ranked. So pretty
• 18:46
  Speaker 1: much everyone's gonna agree it's between Florida and Vandy right now.
• 18:49
  Speaker 1: In Florida just beat Vandy. That was a big time
• 18:52
  Speaker 1: statement win man for Florida, and now they're coming off
• 18:55
  Speaker 1: of that and they host LSU. I just don't know
• 18:58
  Speaker 1: if they're gonna pay that much attention to as you
• 19:00
  Speaker 1: a team that has one conference win, and Florida plays
• 19:03
  Speaker 1: Auburn next, and well, I think that game means more
• 19:05
  Speaker 1: to Auburn because that's gonna be tournament revenge for Auburn
• 19:11
  Speaker 1: as Auburn lost in the it's final four revenge Auburn
• 19:16
  Speaker 1: lost in the final four to Florida last year. I
• 19:18
  Speaker 1: still think Florida is gonna see that as being a
• 19:20
  Speaker 1: bigger game as well because it's Auburn and it is
• 19:24
  Speaker 1: the rematch of that final four matchup. So I think
• 19:26
  Speaker 1: this does kind of set up like a sandwich spot
• 19:29
  Speaker 1: so I do like, yeah, I do like LSU in
• 19:33
  Speaker 1: this game, plus the points. I think there's line value
• 19:36
  Speaker 1: in it as well. I think Florida Florida is about
• 19:41
  Speaker 1: like I think there's still maybe slightly undervalue. Ken Bum
• 19:43
  Speaker 1: actually has them in the top ten, so I mean
• 19:47
  Speaker 1: they're slightly under ranked, I should say. But both of
• 19:50
  Speaker 1: the teams in this game are underrated right now, Florida
• 19:53
  Speaker 1: and LSU. So that's what I meant to say. And
• 19:57
  Speaker 1: then as far as the SEC Tournament revenge or anything
• 20:01
  Speaker 1: like that between Florida and Auburn, there isn't any Florida
• 20:07
  Speaker 1: won the SEC tournament last year. I believe that they
• 20:10
  Speaker 1: did not encounter Auburn during the tournament. So the money,
• 20:14
  Speaker 1: by the way, is on LSU. Here it looks like
• 20:16
  Speaker 1: a pros versus Joe scenario. You can get fifteen and
• 20:19
  Speaker 1: a half. Now on this it looks like sixty two
• 20:21
  Speaker 1: percent of the tickets are on Florida, seventy two percent
• 20:24
  Speaker 1: of the cash on LSUS. That's what we're gonna do.
• 20:26
  Speaker 1: I know it's a somewhat high total one eight. Of
• 20:29
  Speaker 1: course Florida is gonna play fast, but I like LSU
• 20:32
  Speaker 1: in that game. That is one of the plays. Yes, sir,
• 20:37
  Speaker 1: h thanks thanks for hanging out man. All right, NC
• 20:43
  Speaker 1: State at number eighteen Clemson on ACC Network. This is
• 20:47
  Speaker 1: an interesting game too, man. I think NC State's kind
• 20:50
  Speaker 1: of under the radar here, just because they fell out
• 20:52
  Speaker 1: of the rankings there. I have them as like as
• 20:55
  Speaker 1: easily getting into the tournament right now that we'll see.
• 20:58
  Speaker 1: But I think they're also in a bounce because they
• 21:00
  Speaker 1: just took a really, really hideous loss to Georgia Tech.
• 21:04
  Speaker 1: And if you think about that setup, NC State had
• 21:07
  Speaker 1: just played two road games. They put up one hundred
• 21:09
  Speaker 1: and thirteen points against Florida State on the road. I
• 21:12
  Speaker 1: know Florida State's terrible, but whenever you put up one
• 21:14
  Speaker 1: hundred and thirteen points, you're gonna be feeling pretty good, man.
• 21:17
  Speaker 1: And they had this Clemson game on deck. I think
• 21:20
  Speaker 1: it was a sandwich spot they got caught. I didn't
• 21:22
  Speaker 1: expect them to lose outright, but they did. And now
• 21:25
  Speaker 1: NC State's in a spot where they lost as a
• 21:27
  Speaker 1: double digit favorite. And you know I talked about when
• 21:30
  Speaker 1: double digit favorites lose, you're gonna get a lot of
• 21:32
  Speaker 1: focus out of them in the next game. I think
• 21:34
  Speaker 1: you will here Clemson just beat Miami. That's a nice win.
• 21:38
  Speaker 1: I don't think they're gonna overlook NC State, but Miami's
• 21:41
  Speaker 1: been hot this year, so that was a big win
• 21:45
  Speaker 1: for Clemson. As Miami's right near the top of the
• 21:48
  Speaker 1: conference right now, ahead of NC State. So I would
• 21:52
  Speaker 1: definitely prefer the NC State side in this one. And
• 21:55
  Speaker 1: Clemson's not really laying that much of a price three
• 21:58
  Speaker 1: and a half, so it looks almost too easy to
• 22:00
  Speaker 1: lay the points in my opinion, seventy six percent of
• 22:03
  Speaker 1: the tickets ninety percent of the cash on Clemson, but
• 22:05
  Speaker 1: I do not agree with that. If the cash percentage
• 22:09
  Speaker 1: even winds up being that way out, I don't know. Clemson,
• 22:11
  Speaker 1: I think is definitely gonna be a public side, though
• 22:13
  Speaker 1: I would take the points with NC State in this one.
• 22:17
  Speaker 1: Total is also pretty low, in the low one forties.
• 22:19
  Speaker 1: Clemson likes to slow it down, which makes it more
• 22:22
  Speaker 1: difficult to cover as a favorite. We have two newcomers
• 22:27
  Speaker 1: to the rankings, and it is I think one of
• 22:30
  Speaker 1: these teams is not really like the other. Number twenty
• 22:33
  Speaker 1: four Saint Louis has now cracked it to the rankings
• 22:36
  Speaker 1: and they are good. There's no doubt about it. Ken
• 22:39
  Speaker 1: Bom has them twenty ninth, so they're really not that
• 22:42
  Speaker 1: far from being ranked properly. Saint Louis is legit, man,
• 22:46
  Speaker 1: I think they're gonna get into the tournament even if
• 22:48
  Speaker 1: they do not win the A ten, as long as
• 22:50
  Speaker 1: they don't really screw up. They got Kareem Abdul Jabbar there, man,
• 22:55
  Speaker 1: we might finally get to see him in the tournament
• 22:57
  Speaker 1: after Drake ruined it for as all when he was
• 23:01
  Speaker 1: on Indiana State two years ago. I think is one
• 23:03
  Speaker 1: that was boy, I'm really starting to dislike the Drake.
• 23:09
  Speaker 1: I hate the Drake all right, Saint Louis is playing
• 23:15
  Speaker 1: at Ducane. This isn't really an interesting game. I just
• 23:18
  Speaker 1: think the only thing interesting about it really is that
• 23:21
  Speaker 1: Saint Louis is now in the rankings. And a lot
• 23:23
  Speaker 1: of times when a team first cracks into the rankings,
• 23:25
  Speaker 1: you want to look to go against that team because
• 23:28
  Speaker 1: that ranking number like puts a target on their back
• 23:31
  Speaker 1: to some extent, so teams get more focused to play them.
• 23:35
  Speaker 1: That can also make the team themselves more like complacent, like, hey,
• 23:39
  Speaker 1: we're ranked now, we're awesome. But Saint Louis, I mean
• 23:42
  Speaker 1: they're coming off beating Richmond. I mean, they destroyed Richmond,
• 23:45
  Speaker 1: so it's a satisfying win for sure. Now they have
• 23:48
  Speaker 1: to go on the road to Ducane, maybe not the
• 23:50
  Speaker 1: easiest spot, and they do have to face Saint Bonaventure next,
• 23:54
  Speaker 1: although Bonaventure doesn't even have a win in conference yet,
• 23:56
  Speaker 1: so it's not like that's gonna set up a look
• 23:58
  Speaker 1: ahead spot or anything. Ducaine isn't really a team it's
• 24:03
  Speaker 1: gonna draw your attention, though. Ducaine just bounce back with
• 24:07
  Speaker 1: a win over Fordam, which I actually thought was a
• 24:10
  Speaker 1: bad spot. I actually liked Fordham in that game because
• 24:13
  Speaker 1: Dukine had almost beaten Date in the game before then,
• 24:16
  Speaker 1: and they had this Saint Louis game on deck. But
• 24:19
  Speaker 1: they beat Fordham. With that will do is break a
• 24:21
  Speaker 1: losing streak for Ducaine, so I think that will give
• 24:24
  Speaker 1: them some momentum coming into this one. So I would
• 24:26
  Speaker 1: probably lean towards taking the points of Ducaine and this one.
• 24:29
  Speaker 1: The money does seem to agree. Saint Louis is a
• 24:32
  Speaker 1: nine and a half point favorite, sixty percent of the
• 24:34
  Speaker 1: tickets on them, eighty two percent of the cash on
• 24:38
  Speaker 1: Ducaine though, and then the other game, Miami, Ohio is
• 24:44
  Speaker 1: in the rankings at twenty fifth, Where does ken bomb
• 24:47
  Speaker 1: have them? By the way, Oh, let me see where
• 24:50
  Speaker 1: ken bom Where do you have Miami Ohio? Oh yeah,
• 24:52
  Speaker 1: ninety fourth? Okay, I mean, come on, man like, and
• 24:58
  Speaker 1: I know Miami Ohio, Like, maybe they're a little bit
• 25:00
  Speaker 1: better than we thought they were at the beginning of
• 25:02
  Speaker 1: the season, but they've still faced an extremely weak schedule.
• 25:06
  Speaker 1: Them being ranked twenty fifth is frankly a complete joke.
• 25:11
  Speaker 1: I think they're finally gonna lose today and I'll talk
• 25:14
  Speaker 1: about that now. They're playing at Kent State, which, first
• 25:16
  Speaker 1: of all, Kent State is one of the best teams
• 25:19
  Speaker 1: in the MAC along with Yes, Miami Ohio is also one.
• 25:22
  Speaker 1: I think Miami Ohio is slightly better than Kent State
• 25:25
  Speaker 1: as well. But there's a reason why Kent State is
• 25:28
  Speaker 1: a favorite in this game, and that's because they're at
• 25:30
  Speaker 1: home and they're not that much worse than Miami Ohio. Actually, exerisly,
• 25:34
  Speaker 1: Miami Ohio is a favorite. They're a small one and
• 25:37
  Speaker 1: a half point favorite, my mistake, but it's basically like
• 25:39
  Speaker 1: a pick the winner type of price. And you know,
• 25:42
  Speaker 1: the public, if they see this game, they're gonna be
• 25:44
  Speaker 1: coming in on the Miami Ohio side. But just like
• 25:46
  Speaker 1: I said with Saint Louis, Miami Ohio is ranked in
• 25:50
  Speaker 1: the top twenty five, and I think in the case,
• 25:53
  Speaker 1: it's the case with both of these teams that I
• 25:55
  Speaker 1: think even more so with Miami Ohio. But these are
• 25:57
  Speaker 1: programs that are not used to being in the rank.
• 26:00
  Speaker 1: I think Saint Louis might have been I don't know,
• 26:03
  Speaker 1: probably within the last decade or so. There was one
• 26:06
  Speaker 1: really good season for Saint Louis. If you guys remember that,
• 26:09
  Speaker 1: they were a four seed I think in the tournament.
• 26:12
  Speaker 1: It was a long time ago. It was back when
• 26:14
  Speaker 1: they still had Rick Majeris. Was that his name, rip?
• 26:20
  Speaker 1: He was their coach back then, former I think Utah
• 26:23
  Speaker 1: coach prior to that, if I'm getting that right, Rick Majeris, Yeah, whatever.
• 26:28
  Speaker 1: That was a really really good season for Saint Louis.
• 26:31
  Speaker 1: But I think they haven't been in the rank. He's
• 26:32
  Speaker 1: probably since then. Miami Ohio, I'm not even sure they've
• 26:36
  Speaker 1: ever been ranked, to be honest, I can't remember a
• 26:38
  Speaker 1: time where they were, so I think they're gonna be
• 26:40
  Speaker 1: feeling really high on themselves now having that ranking number
• 26:43
  Speaker 1: next to them. They're still undefeated. Things are getting a
• 26:46
  Speaker 1: little ridiculous here. They just beat Buffalo, but again, Buffalo
• 26:49
  Speaker 1: is not as good as their record looks. They're really
• 26:51
  Speaker 1: not that good of a team. Buffalo's had a very
• 26:54
  Speaker 1: weak schedule Miami Ohio also has. Now Miami Ohio is
• 26:57
  Speaker 1: coming off that win against Buffalo, the game I went
• 27:00
  Speaker 1: into overtime. Now they gotta go on the road to
• 27:03
  Speaker 1: a hostile environment at Kent State. Man, in Kent State,
• 27:07
  Speaker 1: these teams don't like each other. They're both in Ohio,
• 27:10
  Speaker 1: so this is gonna be a big game. Man, Kent
• 27:13
  Speaker 1: State just got by Toledo in their last game. Now
• 27:16
  Speaker 1: they're coming into this game staying at home. I think
• 27:18
  Speaker 1: the setup is a little bit better for Kent State,
• 27:20
  Speaker 1: and you want to make it a little bit better
• 27:22
  Speaker 1: for Kent State. Here. This game was close to making
• 27:25
  Speaker 1: my card. Man. I almost wanted to do it because
• 27:27
  Speaker 1: I want to be on that on that game where
• 27:30
  Speaker 1: Miami Ohio finally loses. I want to be on it, man,
• 27:33
  Speaker 1: I want to have it right. I have not tried
• 27:34
  Speaker 1: to step in front of Miami Ohio yet this season,
• 27:37
  Speaker 1: even though I have leaned against them repeatedly. But I
• 27:40
  Speaker 1: have not played a Miami Ohio game yet this season.
• 27:43
  Speaker 1: I don't believe this is the spot that I've been
• 27:47
  Speaker 1: the closest to doing it. Man, it is. This one
• 27:50
  Speaker 1: is very close to being on my card. Miami Ohio.
• 27:54
  Speaker 1: They knocked Kent State out of the MAC Tournament last
• 27:56
  Speaker 1: year in the semi finals, so this is a MAC
• 27:59
  Speaker 1: Tournament revenge spot for Kent State. Oh but it gets
• 28:02
  Speaker 1: better than that because Miami Ohio beat Kent State both
• 28:05
  Speaker 1: regular season matchups last year as well, including winning by
• 28:08
  Speaker 1: nine at Kent State, so this is a rematch of that,
• 28:11
  Speaker 1: and they won in overtime at Miami Ohio, so this
• 28:15
  Speaker 1: is a triple revenge spot for Kent State as well.
• 28:18
  Speaker 1: It's gotta be Kent State or Pass in this game, man,
• 28:22
  Speaker 1: That's what I would do. The public's not gonna do it.
• 28:25
  Speaker 1: They're just gonna be on this shiny new toy the
• 28:28
  Speaker 1: undefeated team. Kent State was favorite. Actually initially Miami Ohio
• 28:32
  Speaker 1: went from a plus one underdog to a minus one favorite.
• 28:36
  Speaker 1: Their public seventy seven percent of the tickets only sixty
• 28:38
  Speaker 1: one percent of the cash. The only way that I
• 28:40
  Speaker 1: would play this game is taking the points with Kent
• 28:42
  Speaker 1: State man. But one of the main thing is the
• 28:45
  Speaker 1: main things keeping me off of it is ken bomb
• 28:48
  Speaker 1: as Kent State as one of the absolute luckiest teams
• 28:51
  Speaker 1: in the cart. He has them literally the luckiest team
• 28:53
  Speaker 1: in the country, so that does worry me, even though
• 28:56
  Speaker 1: Miami Ohio was also very lucky. Both teams play fast,
• 29:00
  Speaker 1: so it's gonna be a fast paced game. Kent State
• 29:02
  Speaker 1: is very bad defensively, though, so that does worry me
• 29:05
  Speaker 1: as well. Miami Ohigh was also worse defensively than offensively,
• 29:10
  Speaker 1: but Kent State is a more lopsided team in that regard,
• 29:15
  Speaker 1: so that does worry me a little bit. And then
• 29:18
  Speaker 1: let me see Miami Ohio. Yeah, there's still nineteenth in
• 29:21
  Speaker 1: kemp Bum's luck index. They're very lucky as well. I
• 29:25
  Speaker 1: would also not disagree with an over in this game,
• 29:28
  Speaker 1: even though the number moved down to one sixty eight
• 29:30
  Speaker 1: and a half from one seventy two and a half
• 29:32
  Speaker 1: in the total. I would not want to be sitting
• 29:35
  Speaker 1: on an under ticket, even though you would tend to
• 29:37
  Speaker 1: want to maybe go towards I mean as a better
• 29:41
  Speaker 1: you tend to want to play unders in games that
• 29:43
  Speaker 1: are more like playoff type environments because the teams are
• 29:47
  Speaker 1: gonna be you know, it's almost gonna become more of
• 29:49
  Speaker 1: like a physical like playoff matchup. But this is a
• 29:52
  Speaker 1: case where you got two fast paced teams that don't
• 29:54
  Speaker 1: play defense. So you know, I would I would definitely
• 29:58
  Speaker 1: not want to be on an under in this one.
• 29:59
  Speaker 1: But I liked the Kent State side man, that's how
• 30:02
  Speaker 1: it would play that game. And close to me on
• 30:06
  Speaker 1: my card, Seaton Hall at Saint John's. Finally we're in
• 30:09
  Speaker 1: the We're already in the seven PM games Big East
• 30:14
  Speaker 1: matchup here on Fox Sports. Won Seaton Hall. We faded
• 30:17
  Speaker 1: them over the weekend. They were in a bad spot.
• 30:19
  Speaker 1: They took a loss to Butler, bad loss at home
• 30:22
  Speaker 1: to Butler. Seaton Hall as a favorite in that one,
• 30:25
  Speaker 1: but you remember the spot. Seaton Hall had just played
• 30:28
  Speaker 1: Yukon really close in the prior game, and they had
• 30:30
  Speaker 1: the Saint John's game on deck, so I thought it
• 30:32
  Speaker 1: was a Sandwich spot. That was one of our good
• 30:35
  Speaker 1: plays on Saturday, easy outright win for Butler. As an underdog.
• 30:39
  Speaker 1: Liked it. But part of that handicap, of course, was
• 30:42
  Speaker 1: that Saint John's excuse me, Seaton Hall would focus on
• 30:46
  Speaker 1: Saint John's in the next game, so I think they will.
• 30:48
  Speaker 1: I think they're in a nice bounced back spot here.
• 30:50
  Speaker 1: Whereas for Saint John's, they just had a good win
• 30:53
  Speaker 1: over Villanova. Man. Now, I don't know that they're really
• 30:56
  Speaker 1: going to overlook Seaton Hall, but that was a bigger
• 30:58
  Speaker 1: win against Villanova because Villain Nova is closer to them
• 31:01
  Speaker 1: in the conference standings. So this game is Seaton Hall
• 31:05
  Speaker 1: or pass in my opinion. Even though there is a
• 31:08
  Speaker 1: pacing disparity here, where Saint John's is gonna try to
• 31:11
  Speaker 1: go fast because that's what they do, Seaton Hall is
• 31:14
  Speaker 1: gonna play gonna try to play slow, So the teams
• 31:17
  Speaker 1: are gonna be It's gonna be kind of a weird
• 31:20
  Speaker 1: mismatch in that way. But both teams are better defensively
• 31:22
  Speaker 1: than offensively, which is weird. So I could see this
• 31:26
  Speaker 1: game being an under type of game as well. Now,
• 31:29
  Speaker 1: as far as the side, I like Seaton Hall. Saint
• 31:31
  Speaker 1: John's did drop from eleven to ten and a half here,
• 31:34
  Speaker 1: fifty three percent of the tickets sixty three percent of
• 31:36
  Speaker 1: the cash on Seaton Hall, so the money seems like
• 31:39
  Speaker 1: it's agreeing with that in a game where it seems
• 31:41
  Speaker 1: like it's gonna be defensive, not very high scoring. The
• 31:45
  Speaker 1: points are gonna be more to premium, so getting double
• 31:47
  Speaker 1: digits seems a little bit. Uh, seems like a better
• 31:51
  Speaker 1: idea in a in this style of game. Uh. The
• 31:54
  Speaker 1: total did go up a little bit though, a one
• 31:56
  Speaker 1: to forty five and a half, but it looks like
• 31:58
  Speaker 1: the money is actually coming in on the under. Now,
• 32:01
  Speaker 1: I would not disagree with an under in the game,
• 32:03
  Speaker 1: but I would be looking towards Seaton Hall plus the points.
• 32:07
  Speaker 1: You know me, I don't really do totals, and maybe
• 32:09
  Speaker 1: I should add that to my arsenal, but it's never
• 32:11
  Speaker 1: really been a great part of my arsenal. What I
• 32:14
  Speaker 1: need to do is because I keep saying this and
• 32:15
  Speaker 1: I don't really do it, I need to like just watch,
• 32:18
  Speaker 1: like I need to just pay attention to what I say, Like, oh,
• 32:21
  Speaker 1: I like this particular total. I want to just see
• 32:23
  Speaker 1: like if I get it right or not? You know
• 32:25
  Speaker 1: what I mean? All right, espn U. I don't know
• 32:30
  Speaker 1: why this game is Televisi. Well, I guess I do
• 32:32
  Speaker 1: know why. It's because it's a Florida rivalry game between
• 32:34
  Speaker 1: Florida State and Miami. But I don't know if this
• 32:37
  Speaker 1: is a very good game. I now, Florida State, they
• 32:40
  Speaker 1: did just take another loss to Wake Forest. They've lost
• 32:43
  Speaker 1: five games in a row. You gotta think they're at
• 32:45
  Speaker 1: least gonna show up for a game against Miami. Florida State.
• 32:49
  Speaker 1: I mean, they're bad. They don't even have a conference
• 32:51
  Speaker 1: win yet, but they're gonna be at least probably fighting
• 32:54
  Speaker 1: hard to try to get a conference win, And they're
• 32:57
  Speaker 1: probably gonna consider Miami to be a bigger brother to
• 32:59
  Speaker 1: them at this point in basketball, because Miami's just been
• 33:02
  Speaker 1: the better program over the last several years. Anyway, Miami,
• 33:07
  Speaker 1: I think, is in kind of a difficult spot because
• 33:09
  Speaker 1: they just took a loss to Clemson in a big game,
• 33:12
  Speaker 1: and they had not lost for a long time. Man
• 33:15
  Speaker 1: Like that was a big game. They did lose by
• 33:17
  Speaker 1: ten on the road. But I talk about when a
• 33:20
  Speaker 1: team is not lost for a long time. Miami had
• 33:23
  Speaker 1: not lost since around things giving time when they lost
• 33:27
  Speaker 1: to BYU. And when a team takes a loss after
• 33:30
  Speaker 1: a long win streak, they can effectively lose the same
• 33:33
  Speaker 1: game twice and lose again in the next game, you
• 33:36
  Speaker 1: know what I mean. So it is possible that happens here.
• 33:39
  Speaker 1: I know they're hosting a TV game, so sometimes that
• 33:41
  Speaker 1: helps the team get up for it. And that's that's
• 33:44
  Speaker 1: something that I actually maybe should I overlook it probably
• 33:48
  Speaker 1: too often, but that is maybe something to think about.
• 33:51
  Speaker 1: Although the thing that you really want to look for
• 33:53
  Speaker 1: is is an isolated TV game. And this is not
• 33:56
  Speaker 1: because we're talking about a Tuesday night where there are
• 33:58
  Speaker 1: a lot of games going on. It was like one
• 34:00
  Speaker 1: of those Friday games where there's not a whole lot
• 34:02
  Speaker 1: going on. Maybe that would be more of a factor. We're, oh,
• 34:05
  Speaker 1: that's gonna keep the team from overlooking their opponent. But
• 34:09
  Speaker 1: I would lean towards Florida State here. Miami does have
• 34:12
  Speaker 1: Syracuse next at Syracuse, big name in basketball, and they're
• 34:17
  Speaker 1: actually playing okay. This year. Miami is up to a
• 34:20
  Speaker 1: twelve and a half point favorite from ten and a half.
• 34:22
  Speaker 1: Eighty percent of the tickets seventy six percent of the
• 34:25
  Speaker 1: cash on them, so they look public with less of
• 34:28
  Speaker 1: the money on them, which doesn't surprise me. So yeah,
• 34:30
  Speaker 1: I would lean towards taking the points with Florida State
• 34:34
  Speaker 1: in that one. All right, I am talking about all
• 34:37
  Speaker 1: the TV games and such. SEC Network has somewhat of
• 34:41
  Speaker 1: an ugly SEC game. But I actually have a decent
• 34:44
  Speaker 1: opinion on this one to I have a lot of
• 34:46
  Speaker 1: opinions in these games today, man, so I'm being really
• 34:48
  Speaker 1: selective with my two plays. This one was close to
• 34:52
  Speaker 1: being a play for me. I'm gonna be honest. Oklahoma
• 34:54
  Speaker 1: at South Carolina. I was considering this. Oklahoma just had
• 34:59
  Speaker 1: a really difficult game against Alabama. Man. They hosted Alabama
• 35:02
  Speaker 1: and took them right to the limit. They only lost
• 35:05
  Speaker 1: by two. Now they go on the road to face
• 35:08
  Speaker 1: South Carolina, so I think they could be in a
• 35:10
  Speaker 1: little bit of a hangover spot here. Man. They have
• 35:12
  Speaker 1: Missouri up next. Missouri, you know, doesn't make it a
• 35:16
  Speaker 1: huge look ahead spot. Their Missouri's kind of middle of
• 35:19
  Speaker 1: the pack, their tournament bubble team right now. But South
• 35:22
  Speaker 1: Carolina is at the absolute bottom of the conference, so
• 35:25
  Speaker 1: it is possible to overlook them. But I guess one
• 35:28
  Speaker 1: issue that I have with that is an Oklahoma is
• 35:30
  Speaker 1: really going to be kind of desperate for some wins here.
• 35:33
  Speaker 1: So I don't know, but that game against Alabama tough game, man,
• 35:37
  Speaker 1: that might hang them over here. And they did have
• 35:39
  Speaker 1: to play Florida the game before that too, although unfortunately
• 35:42
  Speaker 1: for us, it wasn't close because I thought they caught
• 35:44
  Speaker 1: Florida at a good time for South Carolina here. South
• 35:49
  Speaker 1: Carolina did just have a pretty big game as well
• 35:51
  Speaker 1: though against Auburn. So that's my other hesitation with this
• 35:55
  Speaker 1: is that South Carolina is debatably not in a good
• 35:57
  Speaker 1: spot either because they were big underdogs Auburn, and South
• 36:00
  Speaker 1: Carolina didn't go away even though they were down fairly
• 36:04
  Speaker 1: big late in the game. They were down by nine
• 36:07
  Speaker 1: points with three and a half minutes left, South Carolina
• 36:10
  Speaker 1: closed to within one possession in the final thirty seconds
• 36:13
  Speaker 1: they got it down to three. So South Carolina put
• 36:16
  Speaker 1: in a big effort in that game, man, So both
• 36:19
  Speaker 1: teams are coming up big efforts. I like South Carolina
• 36:22
  Speaker 1: in the game, but it's not on my card. They
• 36:25
  Speaker 1: did flip from a one point dog well to a
• 36:27
  Speaker 1: pick them, so don't really see the percentages on that
• 36:30
  Speaker 1: one yet. It seems like maybe the early money is
• 36:32
  Speaker 1: agreeing with South Carolina there. That would be the way
• 36:35
  Speaker 1: that I would lean as well, to Paul at Butler.
• 36:40
  Speaker 1: A lot of these A lot of what we do here, man,
• 36:42
  Speaker 1: once you get into conference play, a lot of it
• 36:44
  Speaker 1: is like zig zagging. If that makes sense. You want
• 36:47
  Speaker 1: to just fade what happened in the last games, right,
• 36:50
  Speaker 1: Like if one team did well in their last game
• 36:52
  Speaker 1: and the other team didn't, you want to just do
• 36:54
  Speaker 1: the opposite in the next game, you know what I mean.
• 36:57
  Speaker 1: That's what we gotta do. Do the opposite, Babe. Always
• 37:01
  Speaker 1: do the opposite. Yeah, I should do the opposite. I should.
• 37:05
  Speaker 1: If every instinct you have is wrong, then the opposite
• 37:08
  Speaker 1: would have to be right. Yes, I will do the opposite.
• 37:16
  Speaker 1: I used to sit here and do nothing and regret
• 37:19
  Speaker 1: it for the rest of the day. So now I
• 37:20
  Speaker 1: will do the opposite, and I will do something. Do
• 37:25
  Speaker 1: the opposite, all right, to Paul? They just beat Marquette, Now,
• 37:30
  Speaker 1: I know it's not a great win. Marquette is a
• 37:34
  Speaker 1: bottom dweller unfortunately for them. In the Big East this year,
• 37:37
  Speaker 1: To Paul is actually in the middle of the back
• 37:39
  Speaker 1: in the Big East, believe it or not, very very
• 37:41
  Speaker 1: strange Big East this year, though. De Paul's wins are
• 37:44
  Speaker 1: against pretty bad teams Xavier, Marquette, and Georgetown. Now De
• 37:49
  Speaker 1: Paul's going on the road to Butler not gonna be
• 37:52
  Speaker 1: an easy, uh spot necessarily for to Paul to have
• 37:55
  Speaker 1: to go to all the well to Paul's in the
• 37:56
  Speaker 1: Chicago area, so you know, I guess it's not that
• 38:00
  Speaker 1: out of a travel spot. They're probably kind of used
• 38:01
  Speaker 1: to it. But I think Butler is in the worst
• 38:04
  Speaker 1: spot anyway you look at it, though, because Butler did
• 38:06
  Speaker 1: just pull off that big upset at Seaton Hall. So
• 38:10
  Speaker 1: for me, it would be to Paul or pass, and
• 38:12
  Speaker 1: this one, I think Butler's coming off the bigger game.
• 38:14
  Speaker 1: But Butler did break a losing streak, and Butler's face
• 38:17
  Speaker 1: some more difficult conference schedules so far, quite obviously, as
• 38:21
  Speaker 1: they've already played Yukon, Villanova, Creighton, Saint John's. They've already
• 38:25
  Speaker 1: played all the best teams in the conference. So Butler
• 38:29
  Speaker 1: might be maybe a little bit better than their record
• 38:31
  Speaker 1: looks right now. That was a good win against Seaton Hall,
• 38:33
  Speaker 1: though now it did break a losing streak, so sometimes
• 38:36
  Speaker 1: that gives you some new momentum. But I think I
• 38:38
  Speaker 1: would prefer to Paul in this one, although I actually
• 38:42
  Speaker 1: don't love the spot really for either team. But Butler's
• 38:45
  Speaker 1: down from eight to seven. The money seems to agree
• 38:47
  Speaker 1: with me on de Paul here fifty to fifty on
• 38:49
  Speaker 1: the tickets and ninety one percent of the cash on
• 38:52
  Speaker 1: to Paul. I don't disagree with it. So that's that.
• 38:59
  Speaker 1: Looking at the Missouri Valley here, Evansville caught my eye
• 39:02
  Speaker 1: because they did just play really tough against Bradley. Evansville
• 39:06
  Speaker 1: has had a few decent games in a row. That
• 39:09
  Speaker 1: was a pretty big game against one of the better
• 39:10
  Speaker 1: teams in the conference. But now I think they could
• 39:14
  Speaker 1: be in maybe possible hangover mode here or let down
• 39:16
  Speaker 1: mode off of that big game against Bradley having to
• 39:19
  Speaker 1: go to Illinois Chicago now, who actually seems like they're
• 39:23
  Speaker 1: not quite as bad as maybe we thought they were.
• 39:25
  Speaker 1: They've been pretty competitive in this conference, although I worry
• 39:28
  Speaker 1: because they just beat Drake, which I thought might be
• 39:32
  Speaker 1: a letdown spot because Illinois Chicago had beaten Illinois stayed
• 39:35
  Speaker 1: on the road and then Northern Iowa on the road
• 39:37
  Speaker 1: of the prior to games. But now they're on a
• 39:39
  Speaker 1: run of those three games and now beating Drake, who
• 39:41
  Speaker 1: won the conference last year. Even though they're a totally
• 39:43
  Speaker 1: different team this year, they have Bradley on decks. I
• 39:46
  Speaker 1: think this I don't know, man, I mean to me,
• 39:49
  Speaker 1: it looks like a sandwich spot that Illinois Chicago is
• 39:52
  Speaker 1: in here, so I think it's a bad spot for
• 39:53
  Speaker 1: both teams. I just thought it was interesting from a
• 39:56
  Speaker 1: handicapping perspective because when I first saw it, them like
• 39:58
  Speaker 1: Evansville's in a terrible spot here after that close call.
• 40:03
  Speaker 1: But then I looked at it and I'm like, well,
• 40:04
  Speaker 1: ILLINOI Chicago's in a sandwich spot, and do they really
• 40:07
  Speaker 1: deserve to be laying nine points? They're up from eight
• 40:10
  Speaker 1: to nine with juice, but we have fifty to fifty
• 40:13
  Speaker 1: on the tickets and ninety five percent of the cash
• 40:15
  Speaker 1: on Evansville, so money looks like it is maybe coming
• 40:18
  Speaker 1: back on Evansville. It's a low total in the high
• 40:20
  Speaker 1: one thirties, meaning the points are maybe more at a
• 40:23
  Speaker 1: premium in this game. I'd probably agree with leaning towards Evansville,
• 40:28
  Speaker 1: but man, I think both teams are in bad spots
• 40:31
  Speaker 1: in that one, so I might not disagree with that
• 40:34
  Speaker 1: tick up on the total where it's gone up a
• 40:36
  Speaker 1: little bit, even though low totals more often than not
• 40:39
  Speaker 1: go under, But that one has gone up three points,
• 40:42
  Speaker 1: and maybe it's because both teams are in bad spots.
• 40:46
  Speaker 1: We have Oklahoma State at TCU in the big twelve here.
• 40:51
  Speaker 1: Oklahoma State just beat Kansas State. Decent win for Oklahoma State,
• 40:56
  Speaker 1: and they do have Iowa State on deck, and that's
• 40:58
  Speaker 1: also actually gonna be a set matchup, so it's a
• 41:01
  Speaker 1: little bit of revenge maybe because Oklahoma State did lose
• 41:04
  Speaker 1: at Iowa statele though they played pretty respectably in that game,
• 41:07
  Speaker 1: so maybe the spot sets up a little bit better
• 41:10
  Speaker 1: for TCU here. TCU, I really don't think TCU is
• 41:14
  Speaker 1: as bad as their record looks, man. I mean, if
• 41:17
  Speaker 1: you look at their conference place so far, their conference
• 41:19
  Speaker 1: play has been pretty brutal. They beat Baylor and then
• 41:22
  Speaker 1: they had to go on the road to Kansas, they
• 41:24
  Speaker 1: took them to overtime. They played at home against Arizona,
• 41:28
  Speaker 1: not easy, and then they had to go to BYU
• 41:30
  Speaker 1: and they only lost by six in that game. So
• 41:33
  Speaker 1: this TCU team, I think they're better than they look, man,
• 41:37
  Speaker 1: better than the record looks. And they just took a
• 41:39
  Speaker 1: really ugly loss to ut Tahn. If you remember, I
• 41:41
  Speaker 1: liked Utah in that game that almost made my card.
• 41:44
  Speaker 1: I'm kind of pissed that and at it because TCU
• 41:47
  Speaker 1: was coming up just a brutal stretch man in that
• 41:50
  Speaker 1: game at BYU having to play back to back games
• 41:53
  Speaker 1: in elevation or two straight games in elevation off of
• 41:56
  Speaker 1: the big one against BYU and almost getting that win.
• 42:00
  Speaker 1: Pretty clear flat spot against Utah. Utah is not a
• 42:03
  Speaker 1: good team. That was a bad loss for TCU. Now
• 42:06
  Speaker 1: that they're back at home, I expect them to show
• 42:09
  Speaker 1: up in this game. I like TCU in this game,
• 42:12
  Speaker 1: and people, I think the public is not gonna want
• 42:15
  Speaker 1: to lay points here. Look at the number versus what
• 42:17
  Speaker 1: these teams records are. Oklahoma State's fourteen and four, TCU
• 42:21
  Speaker 1: is eleven and seven and they only have one Big
• 42:23
  Speaker 1: Twelve win. Who's gonna want to lay eight and a
• 42:26
  Speaker 1: half points with TCU? Right Like the line, it's one
• 42:29
  Speaker 1: of those misleading lines, like it makes no sense unless
• 42:31
  Speaker 1: you dig into it further and you see that TCU
• 42:34
  Speaker 1: has faced a way more difficult schedule out of conference,
• 42:38
  Speaker 1: and so far in the Big Twelve, TCU is way
• 42:41
  Speaker 1: more battle tested. I would lay the points if I
• 42:45
  Speaker 1: was gonna play it. TCU did drop from nine to
• 42:47
  Speaker 1: eight and a half, though the money looks like it's
• 42:49
  Speaker 1: kind of on the Oklahoma State side right now. Fifty
• 42:52
  Speaker 1: six percent of the tickets sixty six percent of the
• 42:54
  Speaker 1: cash on them. But to me, they look like they
• 42:56
  Speaker 1: set up as maybe being a potential public underdog in
• 43:00
  Speaker 1: this game though, And you know me, I really like
• 43:03
  Speaker 1: to fade public underdogs because when you do that, you're
• 43:06
  Speaker 1: fading the public and playing a team that you know
• 43:08
  Speaker 1: is supposed to be the better team in the matchup
• 43:10
  Speaker 1: at the same time. So yeah, I like TCU in
• 43:15
  Speaker 1: that one. Rutgers is at Iowa on the Big Ten
• 43:18
  Speaker 1: Network at eight thirty pm Eastern. Rutgers not a very
• 43:22
  Speaker 1: good team. They're coming off a decent performance, only losing
• 43:26
  Speaker 1: by nine at Wisconsin. I think that game was pretty
• 43:29
  Speaker 1: out of hand though, and maybe got a little bit
• 43:31
  Speaker 1: cosmetic for Rutgers at the end. Now another road game.
• 43:34
  Speaker 1: Three road games in four games. Rutgers has not looked
• 43:37
  Speaker 1: good on the road so far, so I don't know
• 43:40
  Speaker 1: if I trust them. And for Iowa, you know, I mean,
• 43:44
  Speaker 1: Iowa could still overlook Rutgers, though I would. Did just
• 43:47
  Speaker 1: get a nice win over Indiana, although it was also
• 43:49
  Speaker 1: a bounce back win after Iowa had lost three games
• 43:52
  Speaker 1: in a row, so they ended a losing streaks that
• 43:54
  Speaker 1: might propel them forward with some new momentum, and they
• 43:57
  Speaker 1: are in one of those spots where they're returning home,
• 43:59
  Speaker 1: and the last time they were at home, they lost.
• 44:01
  Speaker 1: So teams tend to do well in college basketball in
• 44:04
  Speaker 1: that particular type of spot. After they lost when they
• 44:07
  Speaker 1: were at home, they went out on the road. Now
• 44:09
  Speaker 1: they come back home, they're more focused in a spot
• 44:14
  Speaker 1: like that because they know they lost last time they
• 44:16
  Speaker 1: were on their home floor. So I don't really want
• 44:18
  Speaker 1: to fade Iowa here, but I'm you know, the money
• 44:23
  Speaker 1: is coming in on Iowa for now, and I guess
• 44:28
  Speaker 1: I would somewhat agree with that. I don't know. I mean,
• 44:30
  Speaker 1: they do have USC on deck. I mean, I was
• 44:32
  Speaker 1: not really a team that I really want to lay
• 44:34
  Speaker 1: points with, though they're up from eighteen and a half
• 44:36
  Speaker 1: to nineteen fifty to fifty on the ticket seventy eight
• 44:39
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash coming in on Iowa. Fairly strong
• 44:42
  Speaker 1: market read on Iowa for the time being, but total
• 44:44
  Speaker 1: also very low one point thirty eight. Both of these
• 44:47
  Speaker 1: teams to play slow. Rutgers is very very deficient offensively, though,
• 44:52
  Speaker 1: so Iowa might still be able to get that thing done.
• 44:54
  Speaker 1: But I don't know. I've mixed opinions on that game really,
• 44:58
  Speaker 1: so the market read is pretty strongly on Iowa for
• 45:02
  Speaker 1: the time being, though, so do with that information what
• 45:04
  Speaker 1: you want to, I guess, but that's what I will
• 45:08
  Speaker 1: say about that game. Oh man, oh my neck is
• 45:13
  Speaker 1: killing me right now. Yeah. I don't have a whole
• 45:16
  Speaker 1: lot else to say about that, but that is a
• 45:17
  Speaker 1: TV game there. But yes, Iowa plays really slow, so
• 45:20
  Speaker 1: laying huge points with Iowa's not really totally appealing to me.
• 45:26
  Speaker 1: Boise at Wyoming interesting game. I think Wyoming has been
• 45:30
  Speaker 1: a little bit better than we thought maybe in the
• 45:32
  Speaker 1: Mountain West so far, Boise just broke a long loss
• 45:35
  Speaker 1: street with a win over Colorado State. I still think
• 45:37
  Speaker 1: Boise's not as bad as they look. They had a
• 45:40
  Speaker 1: really ugly start to conference play, but they did have
• 45:42
  Speaker 1: some difficult games in conference place so far, so maybe
• 45:45
  Speaker 1: this will give them some new momentum here. They really
• 45:48
  Speaker 1: got to focus on winning games here, man, if they
• 45:50
  Speaker 1: want any shot at doing anything in the Mountain and West.
• 45:53
  Speaker 1: So though, of course it'll come down to the Mountain
• 45:55
  Speaker 1: West tournament of course as well. But I think the
• 45:57
  Speaker 1: bottom teams don't make it into the tournament, so Boise
• 46:00
  Speaker 1: needs to at least do that, although I think they will,
• 46:03
  Speaker 1: I don't think theyre as bad as they look. Wyoming, though,
• 46:07
  Speaker 1: did just lose that Fresno, so I think they might
• 46:09
  Speaker 1: have been looking ahead to Boise, so I think Wyoming
• 46:11
  Speaker 1: probably will show up as well for this game. Because
• 46:15
  Speaker 1: Boise has been such a big name in the conference.
• 46:18
  Speaker 1: Wyoming is flipped from a one point dodge to a
• 46:20
  Speaker 1: pick them. So it looks like the mark I Reed
• 46:22
  Speaker 1: is saying Wyoming in this one, which would be another
• 46:26
  Speaker 1: pretty bad loss for Boise. If that happens, fifty to
• 46:29
  Speaker 1: fifty on the tickets, seventy eight percent of the cash
• 46:31
  Speaker 1: on Wyoming for what that's worth. That is what the
• 46:34
  Speaker 1: market is saying you Team Martin at Southeast Missouri State.
• 46:38
  Speaker 1: I almost put this on my card on the Southeast
• 46:41
  Speaker 1: Missouri State side. He's look at the line in this game.
• 46:44
  Speaker 1: U Team Martin is fifteen and four overall, seven and
• 46:47
  Speaker 1: one in the Ohio Valley Conference. CIMO is nine and
• 46:51
  Speaker 1: ten overall in four and four in the Ohio Valley
• 46:53
  Speaker 1: and yet they're like a two and a half three
• 46:55
  Speaker 1: point favorite. Nobody is gonna think that that line makes
• 46:59
  Speaker 1: any sense, but obviously the oddsmakers are not throwing money away.
• 47:03
  Speaker 1: It looks way too easy to take UT Martin as
• 47:05
  Speaker 1: the underdog here, and I don't like the spot for
• 47:08
  Speaker 1: UT Martin as they did just beat lynden Wood, which
• 47:11
  Speaker 1: was a pretty big win ut Martin sitting atop the
• 47:14
  Speaker 1: conference now linden Wood was one of the teams in
• 47:16
  Speaker 1: the mix to win the conference. I still think CIMO
• 47:19
  Speaker 1: is too though, As I mentioned in my bracketology last night,
• 47:22
  Speaker 1: I think CIMO is way under the radar right now
• 47:25
  Speaker 1: and UT Martin might overlook them going on the road
• 47:29
  Speaker 1: here and up next they play Little Rock. Little Rock
• 47:32
  Speaker 1: is in the mix right now as one of the
• 47:34
  Speaker 1: six and two teams in the conference right now, right
• 47:36
  Speaker 1: behind UT Martin. And Little Rock is actually the team
• 47:39
  Speaker 1: that eliminated UT Martin from the Ohio Valley Tournament last
• 47:43
  Speaker 1: year as well, so there is a revenge mode of there.
• 47:46
  Speaker 1: So that makes it a pretty big look ahead spot
• 47:48
  Speaker 1: for UT Martin in this game because Little Rock is
• 47:51
  Speaker 1: the team that ended their season last year, so and
• 47:53
  Speaker 1: they haven't played them yet this year, I don't believe
• 47:55
  Speaker 1: so they're gonna want that game, man, So I think
• 47:59
  Speaker 1: it's a bad spot. I prefer CEMO in this game
• 48:01
  Speaker 1: for sure. Semo just lost at home to SIU Edwardsville.
• 48:05
  Speaker 1: They lost to Lindenwood the game before that. People are
• 48:07
  Speaker 1: gonna see that too. Oh, linden Wood beat Simo and
• 48:11
  Speaker 1: then U T Martin beat Lindenwood. So how am I
• 48:13
  Speaker 1: getting points with U Team Martin right? Like? It looks
• 48:15
  Speaker 1: so easy to play UT Martin here again, that is
• 48:19
  Speaker 1: not what I would do. I like Cemo in this game.
• 48:22
  Speaker 1: Problem I have with it is ken Bum's rankings are
• 48:25
  Speaker 1: like way different on this game. He's got UT Martin
• 48:29
  Speaker 1: in the top two hundred at least, so though he
• 48:31
  Speaker 1: has them very lucky tenth in the country in luck.
• 48:33
  Speaker 1: He has them a better defensive team than offensive team,
• 48:37
  Speaker 1: very significantly actually, and a slow team, so all of
• 48:40
  Speaker 1: that kind of checks out. But he has soelthiast Missouri
• 48:43
  Speaker 1: way worse, so I don't know what's going on. He
• 48:46
  Speaker 1: has them two sixty second. He's got them a fast
• 48:50
  Speaker 1: tempo team though, so they might actually speed the game
• 48:52
  Speaker 1: up a bit, and that's actually good for Cemo if
• 48:55
  Speaker 1: they could speed the game up and throw UT Martin
• 48:58
  Speaker 1: out of their element. Because UT Martin wants to play
• 49:00
  Speaker 1: very slow. Sell these Missouri is bat on both sides
• 49:04
  Speaker 1: of the ball though, offense and defense, so there is
• 49:07
  Speaker 1: a big defensive edge on the ut Martin side here.
• 49:10
  Speaker 1: He does have sel the Missouri as an unlucky team
• 49:13
  Speaker 1: though two fifty seven, so there is all that, but
• 49:16
  Speaker 1: he has them widely disparate in the rank. Is ken
• 49:18
  Speaker 1: Bumma think actually has Simo losing the game. So that's
• 49:22
  Speaker 1: what I worry about. The number is a little bit
• 49:25
  Speaker 1: wonky on this, but I would play Celteast Missouri if
• 49:27
  Speaker 1: I was gonna play it eighty percent of the tickets,
• 49:30
  Speaker 1: ninety three percent of the cash on celt East Missouri
• 49:33
  Speaker 1: money seeming to agree with it. You might be able
• 49:35
  Speaker 1: to get two and a half on this. Now money
• 49:38
  Speaker 1: line on the might make sense too. And then if
• 49:40
  Speaker 1: you do moneyline, actually it will take the points out
• 49:43
  Speaker 1: of the equation, and then that's actually more preferable depending
• 49:47
  Speaker 1: on the number that you can get on it. Let
• 49:48
  Speaker 1: me actually see him. I gonna add this one. Hold on,
• 49:53
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna look right now, because I think this might
• 49:56
  Speaker 1: be one where the numbers guys are gonna actually still
• 49:58
  Speaker 1: take the points with ut Martin because I think the
• 50:00
  Speaker 1: number is a little bit off here, Cimo, the money line.
• 50:05
  Speaker 1: The best you could do is like minus one forty five.
• 50:09
  Speaker 1: It's tempting, but I guess I'll stay off of it.
• 50:11
  Speaker 1: But that is the other way that I would lean
• 50:12
  Speaker 1: in that game. Number ten Michigan State is at Oregon
• 50:17
  Speaker 1: on Fox Sports one. Michigan State is doing the Pacific
• 50:21
  Speaker 1: Coast thing. They just beat Washington on the road, beat
• 50:25
  Speaker 1: them soundly. Now they play Oregon. They don't really have
• 50:28
  Speaker 1: anything upcoming. They play atrocious Maryland next when they come
• 50:32
  Speaker 1: back home. So it's not a horrible spot for Michigan State.
• 50:35
  Speaker 1: I wouldn't say they're adjusted to the time zone now whatever.
• 50:38
  Speaker 1: Oregon not playing well. Though Oregon did just lose to
• 50:41
  Speaker 1: Michigan at home, I don't believe the game was really
• 50:43
  Speaker 1: that close, So I do think Oregon should at least
• 50:46
  Speaker 1: show up for this game. They did just loose to
• 50:49
  Speaker 1: Nebraska horribly the game before that too. Oregon is gonna
• 50:52
  Speaker 1: be at least desperate for a win, man, and they're
• 50:55
  Speaker 1: a home dog here. The money looks like it is
• 50:56
  Speaker 1: coming in on Michigan State, up from ten to eleven
• 51:00
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets, ninety percent of the cash on Michigan State. Yeah,
• 51:03
  Speaker 1: they're the better team. You know the spot isn't horrible
• 51:07
  Speaker 1: for Michigan State, but I don't know, man, I think
• 51:09
  Speaker 1: it's gonna be kind of an ugly, low scoring game.
• 51:11
  Speaker 1: The total is low at one thirty seven. Money looks
• 51:14
  Speaker 1: like it's coming in on the under. To me, it
• 51:17
  Speaker 1: kind of makes sense to leaned towards taking the points
• 51:18
  Speaker 1: with the home dog and this one expecting the game
• 51:21
  Speaker 1: to be a bit ugly. Michigan State plays slow, they
• 51:24
  Speaker 1: played defensively. Oregon plays these low scoring games as well,
• 51:28
  Speaker 1: so probably I would lean towards taking the points in
• 51:31
  Speaker 1: that one, but I don't have a great opinion on
• 51:33
  Speaker 1: that at all. My next game, my final play in
• 51:36
  Speaker 1: college basketball, is this Peacock game number twelve, Texas Tech
• 51:40
  Speaker 1: at Baylor. Let's get it done, man, this is another
• 51:43
  Speaker 1: best bet we're gonna be on Baylor here. I'm almost
• 51:52
  Speaker 1: certain we're gonna be fading the public on this one.
• 51:55
  Speaker 1: This is a horrible spot for Texas Tech. Man ranked
• 51:58
  Speaker 1: twelfth in the country. Yeah, I mean Texas Tech is good. Obviously,
• 52:02
  Speaker 1: ken Bum has them being a little bit over ranked
• 52:04
  Speaker 1: because he has them at twenty first. They're a decently
• 52:07
  Speaker 1: balanced team. Again, they play kind of a mid tempo style.
• 52:10
  Speaker 1: They are lucky eightieth in luck in ken Bum's Luck Index,
• 52:14
  Speaker 1: even though they face a gauntlet as well, sixth in
• 52:17
  Speaker 1: strength of schedule, but Baylor's only twenty ranking spots behind them.
• 52:21
  Speaker 1: Not horrible. Baylor's almost as good offensively as Texas Tech
• 52:25
  Speaker 1: as they're just worse defensively, which I know there's a
• 52:27
  Speaker 1: big difference there. Texas Tech's better defensively significantly, but I
• 52:32
  Speaker 1: like the spot here. Baylor's lower in the Luck Index
• 52:35
  Speaker 1: at two thirty nine. Baylor's face a strong schedule as well, seventeenth.
• 52:39
  Speaker 1: They play a mid tempo style as well, so the
• 52:42
  Speaker 1: tempo is not going to be a concern. Both teams
• 52:44
  Speaker 1: play a similar tempo. This game is really all about
• 52:48
  Speaker 1: the spot though. That's usually what it comes down to
• 52:51
  Speaker 1: with me. Look at what Texas Tech has done. Man,
• 52:53
  Speaker 1: they just beat BYU by double digits at home. That
• 52:56
  Speaker 1: was a huge win against eleven ranked BYU. Texas Tech
• 53:01
  Speaker 1: beat them on Texas Tech's home floor. Huge win for
• 53:05
  Speaker 1: Texas Tech. Now they go on the road to face
• 53:08
  Speaker 1: Baylor and Baylor a little bit under the radar here,
• 53:10
  Speaker 1: maybe one in four in conference might be easy to overlook.
• 53:15
  Speaker 1: And who does Texas Tech play next. Oh yeah, on Saturday.
• 53:19
  Speaker 1: I believe they got to play Houston, which is a
• 53:21
  Speaker 1: monster game. Houston, I believe. I think they already played once. Yeah,
• 53:26
  Speaker 1: Texas Tech played them close and Houston beat them. It's
• 53:28
  Speaker 1: a monster game anyway, but it's an in season revenge spot,
• 53:31
  Speaker 1: a second meeting against Houston as well. I think Texas
• 53:34
  Speaker 1: Tech might consider themselves to be a little brother in
• 53:37
  Speaker 1: the state of Texas to Houston as well. Texas Tech
• 53:40
  Speaker 1: did beat Houston once last year, but that is a
• 53:43
  Speaker 1: monster game on deck man, So this is a sandwich
• 53:45
  Speaker 1: spot for sure. And if you look at what Texas
• 53:48
  Speaker 1: Tech has done on the road so far, they haven't
• 53:51
  Speaker 1: really been on the road that much. I mean, they
• 53:52
  Speaker 1: played competitively. They lost only by four at Illinois. That's
• 53:56
  Speaker 1: not a bad loss. They lost that game at Houston
• 53:59
  Speaker 1: only by four allso not a bad loss. But they
• 54:01
  Speaker 1: only beat Colorado by two on the road and those
• 54:03
  Speaker 1: are their only road games so far. So they're pretty
• 54:07
  Speaker 1: non road tested here. Although I know Baylor they're just
• 54:11
  Speaker 1: staying in the state of Texas here, but going from
• 54:13
  Speaker 1: Lubbock to Waco for this, I don't know, man. I
• 54:17
  Speaker 1: think it's a bad spot. I think it is a
• 54:19
  Speaker 1: sandwich spot. Going on the road for only the fourth
• 54:22
  Speaker 1: time is not that easy to do. I think Baylor's
• 54:25
  Speaker 1: gonna be up for this game, man, Baylor's gonna want
• 54:27
  Speaker 1: this thing. Baylor's coming back home, and Baylor just got
• 54:31
  Speaker 1: pretty much wrecked at Kansas. I mean, no real shame
• 54:34
  Speaker 1: in that, although I liked it, but we had Baylor
• 54:37
  Speaker 1: on the show in that game and Baylor did not cover.
• 54:40
  Speaker 1: But because of that, that sets up a better play
• 54:42
  Speaker 1: to take Baylor. Hearing man. That was that Friday night game.
• 54:45
  Speaker 1: Baylor just didn't didn't play well, and I think Kansas
• 54:49
  Speaker 1: got up for him more than I thought they would.
• 54:51
  Speaker 1: I thought Kansas is gonna be in a huge let
• 54:53
  Speaker 1: down off if I believe beating Iowa State. But whatever,
• 54:56
  Speaker 1: Baylor didn't get the job done. But now Baylor's back home,
• 54:58
  Speaker 1: coming off a loss. Last time they were at home,
• 55:01
  Speaker 1: they lost to Houston. And you know, I said, I
• 55:03
  Speaker 1: like that when a team in college basketball returns home
• 55:06
  Speaker 1: and the last time they were here they lost, they
• 55:08
  Speaker 1: usually step it up, man and play with a lot
• 55:10
  Speaker 1: of focus. They actually lost their two previous home games here,
• 55:14
  Speaker 1: but it was against Iowa State in Houston. I mean,
• 55:17
  Speaker 1: those are pretty much elite teams, so Texas Tech has
• 55:20
  Speaker 1: actually stepped down from those two teams. So that's what
• 55:24
  Speaker 1: Baylor's getting here. I think Baylor could definitely get this
• 55:26
  Speaker 1: thing done. Baylor getting a very small underdog price here.
• 55:31
  Speaker 1: Ken Bum basically has the number right in line with this,
• 55:34
  Speaker 1: so there's no real like the line is not way
• 55:38
  Speaker 1: off or anything like that. You might be able to
• 55:41
  Speaker 1: get a little bit of a better number on this
• 55:42
  Speaker 1: Texas Tech moving up a little bit one and a
• 55:45
  Speaker 1: half with juice, I see sixty percent of the tickets,
• 55:47
  Speaker 1: eighty four percent of the cash on Baylor. I think
• 55:50
  Speaker 1: it's going to be a pros versus Joe's type of
• 55:52
  Speaker 1: game where it looks way too easy to play Texas
• 55:55
  Speaker 1: Tech the team that's ranked, the team with the better record,
• 55:59
  Speaker 1: and you know when it looks too easy, it usually is.
• 56:01
  Speaker 1: But the spot also sets up very nicely I think
• 56:04
  Speaker 1: for Baylor. I think Baylor is also going to consider
• 56:06
  Speaker 1: themselves to be a little brother in the state of
• 56:09
  Speaker 1: Texas here and want this game even a little bit
• 56:11
  Speaker 1: more for that reason. And then I don't think there's
• 56:14
  Speaker 1: any big twelve Conference revel No, there is, oh my god,
• 56:19
  Speaker 1: it's even better than that. I didn't even look. I
• 56:21
  Speaker 1: didn't even see this. Baylor lost to Texas Tech in
• 56:25
  Speaker 1: the Big Twelve tournament last year, so let's add that
• 56:27
  Speaker 1: into the mix as well. I love Baylor in this game, man.
• 56:31
  Speaker 1: This is a revenge spot for last year when Texas
• 56:33
  Speaker 1: Tech was the team that ended well, they didn't end
• 56:36
  Speaker 1: Baylor season because both teams made the tournament, but still
• 56:39
  Speaker 1: Texas Tech was the team that bounced Baylor from the
• 56:41
  Speaker 1: conference tournament, so there is a little bit of a
• 56:43
  Speaker 1: revenge motive for that. And Baylor lost to Texas Tech
• 56:47
  Speaker 1: during the regular season. I think they only played once
• 56:49
  Speaker 1: during the regular season last year. Texas Tech won that
• 56:51
  Speaker 1: game as well, so it's double revenge for Baylor here
• 56:55
  Speaker 1: as well. We're all over Baylor in this game. Man.
• 56:59
  Speaker 1: That's the other play in college basketball today. That's probably
• 57:03
  Speaker 1: the best one. I love Baylor in that game, all right.
• 57:07
  Speaker 1: The ESPN Games is a pretty good one at nine
• 57:10
  Speaker 1: PM between number fifteen Vandy, who's starting to drop a
• 57:14
  Speaker 1: little bit, and number twenty Arkansas. Vandy is still pretty
• 57:17
  Speaker 1: legit though, man Ken Bomb has them twelveth and then
• 57:21
  Speaker 1: although they're more the rankings makers have them more correctly
• 57:24
  Speaker 1: ranked now and kem Bum's got Arkansas twenty third, so
• 57:29
  Speaker 1: rankings makers are not too far off with these two teams,
• 57:32
  Speaker 1: although there's a little bit of a disparity there where
• 57:36
  Speaker 1: ken Bum is Arkansas being a little bit over ranked
• 57:40
  Speaker 1: by the rankings Bakers and Vandy a little bit under
• 57:42
  Speaker 1: ranked by the rankings Bakers still, so maybe that means
• 57:44
  Speaker 1: there's gonna be a little bit of value on Vandy here.
• 57:47
  Speaker 1: This of course, is also the ESPN game because it's
• 57:49
  Speaker 1: gonna be two fast paced teams playing here. These teams
• 57:54
  Speaker 1: are gonna go up and down the floor man, so
• 57:56
  Speaker 1: and over might be an order in this game as well,
• 57:59
  Speaker 1: which is why ESPN likes this game. Man really high
• 58:02
  Speaker 1: total at one seventy four. I would not disagree with
• 58:05
  Speaker 1: an over in this one. Again, both teams are just
• 58:08
  Speaker 1: gonna be running the floor, playing fast. Vandy is the
• 58:11
  Speaker 1: fourth most offensive offensively efficient team in the country. There's
• 58:16
  Speaker 1: gonna be a lot of scoring going on. Both teams
• 58:18
  Speaker 1: are in the top ten and offensive both teams are
• 58:21
  Speaker 1: outside of the top twenty defensively. Arkansas in fact is
• 58:24
  Speaker 1: sixty third, so there's a huge defensive disparity here. Vandy's
• 58:29
  Speaker 1: the better defensive team here significantly so, but either way,
• 58:33
  Speaker 1: both teams are better offensively the defensively, So I don't
• 58:36
  Speaker 1: disagree with an over. The money seems to agree with that.
• 58:41
  Speaker 1: Under has fifty percent of the tickets, but ninety eight
• 58:44
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on the over. Now the money
• 58:46
  Speaker 1: has come in early on Arkansas. They're up from one
• 58:48
  Speaker 1: to one and a half, fifty four percent of tickets
• 58:50
  Speaker 1: on them, sixty six percent of the cash on them.
• 58:53
  Speaker 1: From like a numbers perspective, I don't think I agree
• 58:55
  Speaker 1: with Arkansas here, even though the cash is coming in
• 58:58
  Speaker 1: on them right now. We got to see what the
• 59:01
  Speaker 1: spot is. But I already said there's a huge defensive
• 59:06
  Speaker 1: disparity here between these two teams. So Vandy is the
• 59:08
  Speaker 1: better defense getting points here, and you know, I like
• 59:10
  Speaker 1: that the better defense getting points. Vandy is coming off
• 59:14
  Speaker 1: two losses now, though, But I think the spot is
• 59:17
  Speaker 1: actually pretty bad for Vandy because even though a lot
• 59:20
  Speaker 1: of times I'll expect a team to bounce back if
• 59:22
  Speaker 1: they lose the same game twice, but Vandy took their
• 59:25
  Speaker 1: first loss in an ugly loss at Texas. I forgot
• 59:28
  Speaker 1: to mention that in my bracketology last night. I have
• 59:30
  Speaker 1: Texas out of the tournament right now, but they did
• 59:33
  Speaker 1: have that win over Vandy, and I think they beat Alabama.
• 59:37
  Speaker 1: But yeah, Vandy did not bounce back, which made sense
• 59:42
  Speaker 1: to me because that was their first loss of the
• 59:44
  Speaker 1: season and sometimes you get hung over in the next game.
• 59:47
  Speaker 1: But in that game, they really really had a huge
• 59:49
  Speaker 1: game against Florida. Man, so I think both Florida and
• 59:53
  Speaker 1: Vandy are kind of in fade spots coming off a
• 59:56
  Speaker 1: game like that. I almost said in spade foughts in
• 1:00:00
  Speaker 1: fades spots. That was a tough game and enough Vandy
• 1:00:04
  Speaker 1: has to go back out on the road. So the
• 1:00:06
  Speaker 1: scheduling spot I think does actually favor Arkansas here. Arkansas
• 1:00:10
  Speaker 1: has had a pretty ugly loss at Georgia, so I
• 1:00:13
  Speaker 1: think they're more in a bounce backspoder. So numbers wise,
• 1:00:16
  Speaker 1: defensively I would lean I'd be leaning towards Vandy, but
• 1:00:19
  Speaker 1: the situational spot usually wins out for me, and that
• 1:00:22
  Speaker 1: has been leaning towards Arkansas. So do what you will
• 1:00:26
  Speaker 1: with that information. But I guess based on the situation,
• 1:00:28
  Speaker 1: I do have to slightly lean towards Arkansas, and I
• 1:00:32
  Speaker 1: do like the over in the game and the over
• 1:00:34
  Speaker 1: might be the better way to look at that game.
• 1:00:37
  Speaker 1: Number twenty one, Georgia at Missouri on SEC Network. Georgia
• 1:00:44
  Speaker 1: having a good season. Obviously, they just had that big
• 1:00:46
  Speaker 1: win over Arkansas. Now they're gonna go out on the
• 1:00:48
  Speaker 1: road to Missouri and maybe a spot where maybe Georgia
• 1:00:51
  Speaker 1: doesn't have full focus here in this one. Missouri. I
• 1:00:55
  Speaker 1: just took a loss at LSU in their last game,
• 1:00:59
  Speaker 1: but it was a tough game. I mean, LSU was
• 1:01:01
  Speaker 1: a favorite in this game. Missouri put up a fight
• 1:01:04
  Speaker 1: in the game. So I don't know if I really
• 1:01:05
  Speaker 1: love Missouri in this one, but I think I would
• 1:01:08
  Speaker 1: probably lean towards Missouri here anyway. But Missouri looks like
• 1:01:11
  Speaker 1: a public underdog, which you know, I don't like a
• 1:01:16
  Speaker 1: public home dog. I do not like that seventy five
• 1:01:18
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets, only sixty percent of the cash on them.
• 1:01:21
  Speaker 1: Georgia's flip from a one point dog to a one
• 1:01:24
  Speaker 1: point favorite. So the money looks like it is coming
• 1:01:26
  Speaker 1: in a Georgia. The market read says Georgia, But the
• 1:01:28
  Speaker 1: situation I don't love the situation there for Georgia. So
• 1:01:34
  Speaker 1: do with the information what you want Utah is at
• 1:01:37
  Speaker 1: Kansas State and on CBS Sports at nine pm, so
• 1:01:41
  Speaker 1: this game gets gets a TV spot for some reason.
• 1:01:46
  Speaker 1: Utah just got their first conference win. It was a
• 1:01:49
  Speaker 1: pretty decent win over TCUO that Utah was a dog
• 1:01:52
  Speaker 1: in that game at home and they won. But that
• 1:01:54
  Speaker 1: might actually give them some momentum as well, because Utah
• 1:01:57
  Speaker 1: did not have a conference win yet and that ended
• 1:01:59
  Speaker 1: a loose streak. And again, like I said, sometimes that
• 1:02:02
  Speaker 1: gets that monkey off your back and you play better
• 1:02:05
  Speaker 1: after you get a win like that. But they do
• 1:02:07
  Speaker 1: have the Holy War Part two up next against BYU.
• 1:02:11
  Speaker 1: BYU already beat Utah in Utah, so that does set
• 1:02:15
  Speaker 1: up as a pretty major look ahead potential there for
• 1:02:19
  Speaker 1: Utah looking ahead to that revenge game against BYU. So
• 1:02:22
  Speaker 1: I do have my concerns about Utah for that reason.
• 1:02:25
  Speaker 1: For Kansas State, they're coming off a loss at Oklahoma
• 1:02:29
  Speaker 1: State coming back home. Kansas State doesn't even have a
• 1:02:32
  Speaker 1: conference win yet, so I think they're gonna be pretty
• 1:02:34
  Speaker 1: desperate for one of They have a big game next
• 1:02:36
  Speaker 1: against Kansas so both teams have look ads here. Obviously
• 1:02:40
  Speaker 1: huge Kansas rivalry there, Kansas State playing the little brother.
• 1:02:45
  Speaker 1: But I don't think Kansas State could really overlook anybody
• 1:02:48
  Speaker 1: right now. I mean, Utah is coming up a bigger
• 1:02:50
  Speaker 1: performance beating TCU. Kansas can't afford to overlook anyone with
• 1:02:54
  Speaker 1: the fact that they've lost every conference game so far.
• 1:02:57
  Speaker 1: And if you look at the line here, both team
• 1:03:00
  Speaker 1: nine to nine, Kansas State doesn't even have a winning
• 1:03:02
  Speaker 1: conference yet they're laying nine and a half points, So
• 1:03:05
  Speaker 1: the oddsmakers are telling you Kansas State is actually the
• 1:03:08
  Speaker 1: better team. Utah is just not a very good team.
• 1:03:11
  Speaker 1: So the line just looks really, really odd. In the game,
• 1:03:14
  Speaker 1: I think I would have to lean towards laying the
• 1:03:16
  Speaker 1: points with Kansas State for that reason. It's expected to
• 1:03:19
  Speaker 1: be a fairly high scoring game as well. Kansas State
• 1:03:22
  Speaker 1: up from eight to nine here, total in the high
• 1:03:24
  Speaker 1: one sixties. Money looks like it is coming in on
• 1:03:26
  Speaker 1: Kansas State early. We got an ACC Network game at
• 1:03:30
  Speaker 1: nine pm SMU at Wick Forest. SMU might be in
• 1:03:35
  Speaker 1: a tough spot. Man. They were a loser for us
• 1:03:37
  Speaker 1: on Saturday, and I'm pretty frustrated about it because I
• 1:03:40
  Speaker 1: thought they caught Virginia Tech in a what was a
• 1:03:43
  Speaker 1: bad or excuse Virginia and what was a bad spot
• 1:03:46
  Speaker 1: for Virginia. SMU put up a big game in that game,
• 1:03:49
  Speaker 1: and they still fell short. Now they're gonna go on
• 1:03:51
  Speaker 1: the road to face Wake. Could be a bit of
• 1:03:53
  Speaker 1: a hangover spot for SMU. Here Man, and you look
• 1:03:55
  Speaker 1: what SMU did the last four games. They played five games. Really,
• 1:03:59
  Speaker 1: they beat North Carolina. I played tough against Clemson, tough
• 1:04:03
  Speaker 1: against Duke, both on the road. Beat Virginia Tech. That
• 1:04:06
  Speaker 1: was the one game, ReSm. You probably should have played
• 1:04:08
  Speaker 1: better than they did. We won with Virginia Tech plus
• 1:04:11
  Speaker 1: the points in that one. Still it's Virginia Tech, who
• 1:04:14
  Speaker 1: might be a tournament team. And then SMU had to
• 1:04:16
  Speaker 1: play Virginia after that. So they've had a really difficult
• 1:04:18
  Speaker 1: run of games here. Wake just barely got by Florida
• 1:04:22
  Speaker 1: State in the last game, but you can explain that
• 1:04:23
  Speaker 1: because Wake had close games against Miami and North Carolina
• 1:04:27
  Speaker 1: in the two prior games. So I think they were
• 1:04:29
  Speaker 1: in a sandwich spot man, going to Florida State. Florida
• 1:04:33
  Speaker 1: State I think did cover. Still, as long as you
• 1:04:35
  Speaker 1: got one of the better numbers in that one, I
• 1:04:38
  Speaker 1: thought Florida State might win the game out right. They didn't,
• 1:04:40
  Speaker 1: but not a great game. For Wake. It's definitely explainable
• 1:04:43
  Speaker 1: they had this SMU game on deck. They do have
• 1:04:45
  Speaker 1: Duke up next, though, which is a bigger game than
• 1:04:48
  Speaker 1: this game is. But I would lean to Wake in
• 1:04:52
  Speaker 1: this game. I think the spot does set up better
• 1:04:53
  Speaker 1: for them, That's what I would do here. They've gone
• 1:04:56
  Speaker 1: from plus one to a pick them here, so the
• 1:04:58
  Speaker 1: money doesn't go it's coming into Wake in this one,
• 1:05:01
  Speaker 1: and the public is probably gonna lean towards the team
• 1:05:04
  Speaker 1: with the better record, which is SMU. All Right, we
• 1:05:10
  Speaker 1: do have Auburn at Ole Miss here on ESPNU at
• 1:05:14
  Speaker 1: nine PM. Auburn coming into this game off of barely
• 1:05:20
  Speaker 1: getting by South Carolina. Auburn was a bigger favorite in
• 1:05:23
  Speaker 1: that game. Man, so Auburn didn't play well, so they
• 1:05:26
  Speaker 1: should be more focused coming into this game. However, as
• 1:05:29
  Speaker 1: I mentioned before, they have a huge revenge game against
• 1:05:32
  Speaker 1: Florida up next. Florida the team that bounced Auburn in
• 1:05:36
  Speaker 1: the final four of the tournaments, so that is a
• 1:05:39
  Speaker 1: major revenge game for Auburn coming up. Even though Auburn
• 1:05:42
  Speaker 1: does have different players this year and stuff like that.
• 1:05:44
  Speaker 1: But so there are different factors in this game. There
• 1:05:48
  Speaker 1: are negatives and positives for Auburn in this one. Ole
• 1:05:51
  Speaker 1: Miss just won on the road in an upset actually
• 1:05:55
  Speaker 1: at Mississippi State in their big rivalry against Mississippi State,
• 1:05:59
  Speaker 1: and they got kent up next. Kentucky's got that name
• 1:06:02
  Speaker 1: behind them, man, and Kentucky's ahead of them in the standings,
• 1:06:04
  Speaker 1: So it is possible ole Miss overlooks Auburn in this game. Man.
• 1:06:09
  Speaker 1: So I actually prefer Auburn in this game. But I
• 1:06:12
  Speaker 1: really worry that Auburn might be looking ahead to that
• 1:06:14
  Speaker 1: Florida again. That would be my one concern. But the
• 1:06:16
  Speaker 1: hope would be that Auburn playing really poorly against South
• 1:06:20
  Speaker 1: Carolina will refocus Auburn in this game. They're out from
• 1:06:24
  Speaker 1: two to three on the road here, which also looks
• 1:06:27
  Speaker 1: pretty weird, right, like, how could Auburn eleven and seven?
• 1:06:30
  Speaker 1: Both teams eleven and seven? Auburn worst conference record, but
• 1:06:33
  Speaker 1: they're laying three points on the road. That looks weird, right,
• 1:06:37
  Speaker 1: But the Audernakers are telling you Auburn's actually the better
• 1:06:40
  Speaker 1: of the two teams. I have them making the tournament
• 1:06:43
  Speaker 1: right now and ole Miss not even being close. So
• 1:06:46
  Speaker 1: I agree Auburn is the better team. I would lay
• 1:06:49
  Speaker 1: it with Auburn if I was gonna play it. Peacock
• 1:06:52
  Speaker 1: has Number four Purdue at Ucla at ten pm. Getting
• 1:06:58
  Speaker 1: really late here. Purdue is already out west, and Purdue
• 1:07:00
  Speaker 1: didn't play well in their first game there against USC
• 1:07:06
  Speaker 1: so Purdue might show some more focus in this game.
• 1:07:08
  Speaker 1: But they do face Illinois next when they come back home,
• 1:07:11
  Speaker 1: so there is the potential look ahead as well. Ucla
• 1:07:15
  Speaker 1: is coming back home and they just lost at Ohio State.
• 1:07:19
  Speaker 1: You gotta think they will be focused against Purdue. Although
• 1:07:22
  Speaker 1: UCLA is having to travel here is Purdue is already
• 1:07:25
  Speaker 1: in California, so there are some things that are better
• 1:07:29
  Speaker 1: for purdueing this game. Purdue is a six point favorite.
• 1:07:33
  Speaker 1: Does look too easy to lay the points with Purdue, though,
• 1:07:35
  Speaker 1: is the ranked team obviously sixty five percent of tickets
• 1:07:38
  Speaker 1: only fifty eight percent of the cash on produce, so
• 1:07:40
  Speaker 1: the money is fading Purdue. It's gonna be probably a
• 1:07:43
  Speaker 1: lower scoring game. Both these teams play pretty slow. One
• 1:07:48
  Speaker 1: is the total here, so that makes it more tempting
• 1:07:50
  Speaker 1: to take the points of the home dog. But there
• 1:07:53
  Speaker 1: are some things I don't like about it for Ucla. Man,
• 1:07:56
  Speaker 1: I like the Purdue is already out in California. I
• 1:07:58
  Speaker 1: like to produce, coming off a kind of a scare
• 1:08:01
  Speaker 1: against USC. I don't know, man, I think I would
• 1:08:06
  Speaker 1: not really want to be on UCLA in this one.
• 1:08:07
  Speaker 1: Ucla is having to travel back, so I would maybe
• 1:08:11
  Speaker 1: even slightly need to purduing that one. I don't know
• 1:08:15
  Speaker 1: that one. I could see like there might be a
• 1:08:16
  Speaker 1: bunch of sharps coming in on UCLA there, but I
• 1:08:18
  Speaker 1: definitely worry about it. Number nineteen Kansas at Colorado eleven PM.
• 1:08:24
  Speaker 1: Here's a late night game for you on ESPN in
• 1:08:28
  Speaker 1: the Mountain time, and it's this late. That's crazy. Kansas
• 1:08:33
  Speaker 1: just beat Baylor, nice satisfying win. I think conference win.
• 1:08:37
  Speaker 1: No letdown off of beating Iowa States, and now Kansas
• 1:08:40
  Speaker 1: is coming off of two big wins and now they
• 1:08:43
  Speaker 1: gotta go to Colorado. I know this is another ESPN game,
• 1:08:46
  Speaker 1: but I think gonna really care about an ESPN game
• 1:08:48
  Speaker 1: at eleven at night on a pretty pack Tuesday board
• 1:08:53
  Speaker 1: in elevation. I don't know, man, it looks bad to me.
• 1:08:56
  Speaker 1: Kansas has been bad on the road so far as well. Man,
• 1:08:58
  Speaker 1: look at what they've done on the road so far.
• 1:09:00
  Speaker 1: They lost at North Carolina. Although I know it's North Carolina.
• 1:09:03
  Speaker 1: They're good. They barely got by NC State in overtime,
• 1:09:07
  Speaker 1: lost at UCF, and lost at West Virginia. So Kansas
• 1:09:10
  Speaker 1: could very easily be owned four on the road so far,
• 1:09:13
  Speaker 1: so they have not been good on the road. I
• 1:09:15
  Speaker 1: know Colorado's not good, But Kansas also has their rivalry
• 1:09:19
  Speaker 1: game against Kansas State up next, so there's a potential
• 1:09:22
  Speaker 1: look ahead. Maybe Colorado's lost three in a row and
• 1:09:25
  Speaker 1: you got to think they're gonna be frustrated and looking
• 1:09:28
  Speaker 1: to bounce back here. They just lost at Cincinnati and
• 1:09:31
  Speaker 1: at West Virginia. Now coming back, they played pretty well
• 1:09:34
  Speaker 1: against Cincinnati, and then I think they were just in
• 1:09:36
  Speaker 1: a hangover spot at West Virginia. If you remember, I
• 1:09:39
  Speaker 1: liked West Virginia in that game, and I wish I
• 1:09:41
  Speaker 1: added it to my car, and I almost did. Now
• 1:09:45
  Speaker 1: Colorado's back home. They're hosting an ESPN game against the
• 1:09:48
  Speaker 1: ranked Kansas team. Colorado has been a little bit better
• 1:09:52
  Speaker 1: at home. They beat Utah at home, They almost beat
• 1:09:55
  Speaker 1: Texas Tech at home, So this is a team that
• 1:09:57
  Speaker 1: they're at least not a pushover at home. Man, So
• 1:10:00
  Speaker 1: I like Colorado in this game. Plus the points Kansas
• 1:10:04
  Speaker 1: only laying five looks really really easy to lay the
• 1:10:07
  Speaker 1: points with Kansas. Man, I know Kansas also did well
• 1:10:11
  Speaker 1: in a similar spot for their backers, not the Baylor game,
• 1:10:14
  Speaker 1: but I think the actually no, I guess, oh no,
• 1:10:18
  Speaker 1: they didn't. I guess because I was I might have
• 1:10:19
  Speaker 1: been thinking about that West Virginia game. But I think
• 1:10:21
  Speaker 1: I actually had West Virginia in that game if I remember.
• 1:10:24
  Speaker 1: I don't remember, actually, but whatever, or I think we
• 1:10:29
  Speaker 1: faded West Virginia in the game after that. I don't know,
• 1:10:31
  Speaker 1: I forget. But Kansas, I mean, they've been good pretty
• 1:10:34
  Speaker 1: much to their backers recently. I think, especially after that
• 1:10:37
  Speaker 1: win over Baylor, public is going to be heavily on
• 1:10:39
  Speaker 1: the Kansas side. I think the spot is actually okay
• 1:10:43
  Speaker 1: to play Colorado here ninety three percent of tickets, ninety
• 1:10:46
  Speaker 1: seven percent of the cash on Kansas. I would take
• 1:10:49
  Speaker 1: the points with Colorado in that one. And then Fox
• 1:10:53
  Speaker 1: Sports won as Utah State, who has dropped out of
• 1:10:58
  Speaker 1: the rankings up against UNL UNLV just beat San Jose State. Whatever.
• 1:11:03
  Speaker 1: Now it's a fourth road game in five games, though,
• 1:11:06
  Speaker 1: which is not gonna be easy for UNLV, and Utah
• 1:11:09
  Speaker 1: State did just take their first loss, which is what
• 1:11:12
  Speaker 1: dropped them out of the first conference loss, which is
• 1:11:15
  Speaker 1: what dropped them out of the rankings. Here, they lost
• 1:11:18
  Speaker 1: at Grand Canyon. Grand Canyon decent team, man, Utah State
• 1:11:24
  Speaker 1: probably overlooked them, kind of a weird spot to go
• 1:11:26
  Speaker 1: and play Grand Canyon. They kind of have like they're
• 1:11:32
  Speaker 1: almost like got like the Righteous Gemstones. They're like, I
• 1:11:35
  Speaker 1: don't know, like corporate conservative or corporate a Christian, if
• 1:11:39
  Speaker 1: you know what I mean. Like it's kind of like
• 1:11:41
  Speaker 1: that type of atmosphere there where it's, yeah, the program
• 1:11:44
  Speaker 1: has been built up and there's all this I don't know,
• 1:11:47
  Speaker 1: corporate Christian money that's put into the basketball arena and stuff,
• 1:11:52
  Speaker 1: and it's it is wild. You can go find videos
• 1:11:54
  Speaker 1: of it. It looks like a fun place to go
• 1:11:56
  Speaker 1: to a game. But yeah, Utah State lost there. Now,
• 1:12:00
  Speaker 1: I will say that even though that wasn't a good loss,
• 1:12:02
  Speaker 1: So the fact that it wasn't a good loss should
• 1:12:04
  Speaker 1: have Utah State bouncing back. But when teams lose a
• 1:12:07
  Speaker 1: long win streak like that, sometimes it does hang them
• 1:12:09
  Speaker 1: over into the next game. So I do have my
• 1:12:12
  Speaker 1: concerns about that. I don't think Utah State's gonna lose
• 1:12:15
  Speaker 1: either a seventeen point favorite now up from sixteen and
• 1:12:18
  Speaker 1: a half. It looks like some of the money has
• 1:12:19
  Speaker 1: come in on Utah State. But you know, I mean,
• 1:12:24
  Speaker 1: it's not a game that I want to get involved
• 1:12:26
  Speaker 1: in at all. Yeah, I just don't even know what
• 1:12:31
  Speaker 1: to do with the game, to be honest, I would
• 1:12:33
  Speaker 1: probably prefer I don't know, man, the road spot is
• 1:12:38
  Speaker 1: just really ugly for UNLV though, so I don't even know.
• 1:12:41
  Speaker 1: I mean, I would probably just lean with whatever the
• 1:12:43
  Speaker 1: market is saying though, and right now it is saying
• 1:12:45
  Speaker 1: Utah State. Butugh, man, I mean, there's no way that
• 1:12:48
  Speaker 1: I want to get involved in that game. All right,
• 1:12:51
  Speaker 1: We'll go to hockey in the NBA and then I'll
• 1:12:54
  Speaker 1: be out of here. I'll let's see here, kah. Although
• 1:13:01
  Speaker 1: hold on, im mann, I'm gonna I'll be right back. Man.
• 1:13:04
  Speaker 1: This is gonna be like a two hour video just
• 1:13:06
  Speaker 1: because of all this college basketball, and tomorrow is gonna
• 1:13:08
  Speaker 1: be even worse. I'm gonna die, alright, hang hang on
• 1:13:13
  Speaker 1: one second. All right, let's get to hockey here. One
• 1:14:26
  Speaker 1: playing hockey for me today? All right? We have all
• 1:14:32
  Speaker 1: evening games. Minnesota at Montreal is the first game. Up here.
• 1:14:35
  Speaker 1: Minnesota is on a back to back. They played yesterday.
• 1:14:40
  Speaker 1: They beat Toronto, but you remember they caught Toronto in
• 1:14:42
  Speaker 1: a really bad spot. That one almost made my card.
• 1:14:45
  Speaker 1: I was a little bit concerned about how the setup
• 1:14:48
  Speaker 1: was for Minnesota there, but they got the job done.
• 1:14:51
  Speaker 1: Toronto was returning over from a long road trip. It
• 1:14:54
  Speaker 1: was a terrible spot for Toronto. Really, Minnesota won the game.
• 1:14:57
  Speaker 1: Now they're on a back to back. They're going for
• 1:14:59
  Speaker 1: Toronto Montreal, which isn't a ton of travel. But yeah,
• 1:15:03
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I mean, they should still be focused
• 1:15:05
  Speaker 1: on Montreal, I would guess, But they're playing a third
• 1:15:09
  Speaker 1: game in four days, all in different cities, so that's
• 1:15:11
  Speaker 1: not easy. Montreal did not play yesterday. But Montreal, they're
• 1:15:15
  Speaker 1: coming off a win over Ottawa. That's not a big deal.
• 1:15:19
  Speaker 1: They've had a couple of days off. But the worst
• 1:15:21
  Speaker 1: thing from Montreal here's the returning home from a road trip.
• 1:15:24
  Speaker 1: And they've been on the road trip for a week now.
• 1:15:26
  Speaker 1: They stayed in the Eastern time zone Washington, Buffalo, Ottawa,
• 1:15:30
  Speaker 1: and they're already back in the area. I guess because
• 1:15:33
  Speaker 1: they just played Ottawa, so maybe that mitigates the return home.
• 1:15:37
  Speaker 1: Spot a little bit because they're already close to home.
• 1:15:39
  Speaker 1: But you know me, I worry about the return home
• 1:15:41
  Speaker 1: spot because it can be a distraction. Teams have to
• 1:15:44
  Speaker 1: get back to family life whatever, So there are some
• 1:15:48
  Speaker 1: concerns here, although I don't think they're gonna overlook a
• 1:15:50
  Speaker 1: team that's good like Minnesota, So I probably slightly lean
• 1:15:55
  Speaker 1: to Montreal in this one. The money does seem to
• 1:15:57
  Speaker 1: agree down for minus one revives him out as one
• 1:16:00
  Speaker 1: thirty five fifty three percent of tickets on the Wild
• 1:16:04
  Speaker 1: but ninety eight percent of the cash on the Canadians
• 1:16:07
  Speaker 1: on the Habs, the Canadian les ab les Abi Tom Anyway, Yeah,
• 1:16:15
  Speaker 1: I need to Montreal slightly in that one. The Habs
• 1:16:18
  Speaker 1: is such a stupid name. But I mean, Canadians is
• 1:16:21
  Speaker 1: a whatever. Okay, yeah, you support your country, all right, fine,
• 1:16:25
  Speaker 1: but yeah, the uh, the Habs is so stupid man
• 1:16:28
  Speaker 1: that the habit habitants, the habits. We are the people
• 1:16:31
  Speaker 1: who live here. Yes, thank you, we know, all right.
• 1:16:36
  Speaker 1: San Jose at Tampa Bay. San Jose of course got
• 1:16:38
  Speaker 1: us that nice win last night in a game that
• 1:16:41
  Speaker 1: really really got chippy with that huge brawl that happened
• 1:16:45
  Speaker 1: with the goaltender fight in the middle of it. So
• 1:16:47
  Speaker 1: I don't love san Jose at all. So I was like,
• 1:16:49
  Speaker 1: we gotta faate san Jose in the spot, right, And
• 1:16:53
  Speaker 1: I was thinking that until I saw the spot that
• 1:16:55
  Speaker 1: Tampa Bay is in, and then I'm like, yeah, I
• 1:16:57
  Speaker 1: guess not. We're staying away. But san Jose huge game
• 1:17:01
  Speaker 1: last night. They're playing it back to back. Now they
• 1:17:03
  Speaker 1: got the big win against the returning champs Florida. Now
• 1:17:06
  Speaker 1: they gotta go to Tampa Bay. Now. They might still
• 1:17:10
  Speaker 1: show up for a game against Tampa Bay. They should
• 1:17:12
  Speaker 1: at least because Tampa Bay is a really good team.
• 1:17:14
  Speaker 1: But that was a huge physical game against Florida last night, man,
• 1:17:18
  Speaker 1: So San Jose is definitely in a bad spot. I
• 1:17:20
  Speaker 1: would say they will have Askarov back in net as well,
• 1:17:23
  Speaker 1: or a scar off or even pronounce his name. He's
• 1:17:26
  Speaker 1: scarring you. They've lost his last two games, so that's
• 1:17:30
  Speaker 1: not a good sign for san Jose, although it's a
• 1:17:33
  Speaker 1: small sample size. Tampa Bay has been on fire though.
• 1:17:36
  Speaker 1: But here's the reason we can't play on Tampa Bay here, man.
• 1:17:39
  Speaker 1: They just beat Dallas for one thing on the road
• 1:17:42
  Speaker 1: Fourida once. That was a huge win for Tampa upset
• 1:17:45
  Speaker 1: win at Dallas or No, Actually I think Tampa was favored, right, Yeah,
• 1:17:48
  Speaker 1: I think we actually liked Tampa in that game here
• 1:17:51
  Speaker 1: on the show, although I worried that they were gonna
• 1:17:53
  Speaker 1: be in a hangover because they lost a long win streak.
• 1:17:55
  Speaker 1: But whatever, I believe they're actually favored. Crazy as it sounds.
• 1:18:00
  Speaker 1: Still a big win over Dallas though, But not only
• 1:18:04
  Speaker 1: does that set this up as maybe a letdown for
• 1:18:06
  Speaker 1: Tampa Bay, but they're returning on from a road trip
• 1:18:08
  Speaker 1: that they've been on since the tenth So they've been
• 1:18:11
  Speaker 1: on the road for a long time. Man. So Tampa's
• 1:18:13
  Speaker 1: returning on from a road trip. And what do I
• 1:18:15
  Speaker 1: always say when teams are turning on from road trips,
• 1:18:18
  Speaker 1: it's a distracted spot. They have to get back to
• 1:18:20
  Speaker 1: home life. They have stuff to do. They have to
• 1:18:22
  Speaker 1: go right back out on the road, although they have
• 1:18:24
  Speaker 1: the week basically before they do. They have to go
• 1:18:27
  Speaker 1: on the road on Friday to Chicago. But when you
• 1:18:30
  Speaker 1: have these weird single game homestands sandwiched in between two
• 1:18:33
  Speaker 1: road trips, yeah, I call it a road trip sandwich.
• 1:18:37
  Speaker 1: It's one of those sandwiches you gotta eat on the go, man.
• 1:18:39
  Speaker 1: But sometimes it gets the job done. It you know,
• 1:18:42
  Speaker 1: it nourishes you enough, it keeps you going forward. So
• 1:18:46
  Speaker 1: it's a horrible spot for Tampa Bay. Like those return
• 1:18:49
  Speaker 1: home distractions could get into play here. So both teams
• 1:18:53
  Speaker 1: in bad spots, you know. When that is the case,
• 1:18:56
  Speaker 1: I usually like to lean towards an over Tampa Bay.
• 1:18:59
  Speaker 1: Now from my minus three h five to minus two
• 1:19:01
  Speaker 1: eighty eight on the money line, ninety percent of tickets,
• 1:19:04
  Speaker 1: ninety six percent of the cash on Tampa Bay. Do
• 1:19:08
  Speaker 1: with that information what you want to. But I don't
• 1:19:10
  Speaker 1: even want to recommend a side in this one really
• 1:19:13
  Speaker 1: at all. I hate both sides, so I can't do
• 1:19:16
  Speaker 1: anything with the side here Tampa. I mean, if you
• 1:19:17
  Speaker 1: want me to tell you, I guess Tampa's probably in
• 1:19:19
  Speaker 1: the worst spot. San Jose is already in Florida, you know,
• 1:19:23
  Speaker 1: and at least there is that for San Jose. So
• 1:19:26
  Speaker 1: I probably I guess lean towards the San Jose puck line.
• 1:19:30
  Speaker 1: But I still like the better way to do this
• 1:19:31
  Speaker 1: is over. And I know it's over six and a half.
• 1:19:35
  Speaker 1: It's flipped to being juiced to the over a little bit.
• 1:19:37
  Speaker 1: Fifty six percent of tickets and seventy eight percent of
• 1:19:39
  Speaker 1: the cash on the over, but I see no other
• 1:19:41
  Speaker 1: way to look at it. Man, San Jose is gonna
• 1:19:43
  Speaker 1: have the worst goalie in net. The fatigue from yesterday
• 1:19:46
  Speaker 1: might affect their defense Tampa Bay, but the distractions coming
• 1:19:50
  Speaker 1: in that might affect their defense as well. So I
• 1:19:52
  Speaker 1: like the over in that one Ottawa at Columbus, and
• 1:19:57
  Speaker 1: that would have been one that probably would have been
• 1:19:58
  Speaker 1: on my card. Last year, I was dabbling in the totals,
• 1:20:01
  Speaker 1: but I'm being a little bit more selective this year,
• 1:20:04
  Speaker 1: though again I want to. I gotta keep an eye
• 1:20:07
  Speaker 1: on these things, right, I gotta remember what I said
• 1:20:09
  Speaker 1: about these totals, so hopefully I can remember. I'll remember
• 1:20:11
  Speaker 1: that one, the over in that one, and then I
• 1:20:14
  Speaker 1: think I said over in a couple of those basketball games,
• 1:20:16
  Speaker 1: and I'll have to remember. It means I have to
• 1:20:18
  Speaker 1: go back and watch this show, try to figure out
• 1:20:20
  Speaker 1: where I talked about this stuff. Oh God, maybe I
• 1:20:24
  Speaker 1: could do it. Ottawa at excuse Ottawa at Columbus. Ottawa's
• 1:20:30
  Speaker 1: playing a third game in four and a's in different cities,
• 1:20:33
  Speaker 1: which right away that worries me because I don't love
• 1:20:37
  Speaker 1: that as a travel spot that they're only going from
• 1:20:39
  Speaker 1: Detroit to Columbus here, which isn't that bad. But they
• 1:20:42
  Speaker 1: did play two overtime games Saturday Sunday, losing both to
• 1:20:46
  Speaker 1: Montreal and Detroit. But those are tough games, man, so
• 1:20:48
  Speaker 1: I could see this being a negative for Ottawa. Maybe
• 1:20:51
  Speaker 1: a hangover spot coming up those two games. Columbus coming
• 1:20:56
  Speaker 1: back home from a single game trip to Pittsburgh where
• 1:20:59
  Speaker 1: they did win shootout, that was a big win. They
• 1:21:01
  Speaker 1: do have Dallas and Tampa Bay on deck. Those are
• 1:21:03
  Speaker 1: big games as well, so I worry about maybe a
• 1:21:05
  Speaker 1: look ahead for Columbus here. They've had two days off,
• 1:21:09
  Speaker 1: but maybe that's actually not a good thing because they've
• 1:21:11
  Speaker 1: won four games in a row and when teams have
• 1:21:14
  Speaker 1: days off sometimes it will hurt winning momentum if they
• 1:21:17
  Speaker 1: have it. So this is a hard game for me
• 1:21:20
  Speaker 1: to read. I'm not gonna do anything with it. The
• 1:21:22
  Speaker 1: money is coming in a Columbus for what it's worth.
• 1:21:25
  Speaker 1: So basically think of that that scheduling for Ottawa, with
• 1:21:28
  Speaker 1: them travel between these games, a couple of overtime games
• 1:21:32
  Speaker 1: coming into this game, that the spot's a little bit
• 1:21:34
  Speaker 1: worse for Ottawa. I don't have too much of a
• 1:21:37
  Speaker 1: reason to disagree with it sixty tickets. Ninety one percent
• 1:21:40
  Speaker 1: of the cash on Columbus. Money is indicating on Columbus,
• 1:21:43
  Speaker 1: and Ottawa is a minus one ten favorite there, so
• 1:21:48
  Speaker 1: both teams basically get minus won ten. So probably yeah,
• 1:21:51
  Speaker 1: I would, I guess slightly agree with the market there,
• 1:21:55
  Speaker 1: but no strong opinion. My Boston Bruins are on TNT
• 1:21:59
  Speaker 1: and HBO man at seven thirty pm against the Dallas Stars.
• 1:22:05
  Speaker 1: Let's see here, the Bruins coming into this one on
• 1:22:09
  Speaker 1: a big win streak. They won six games in a row,
• 1:22:11
  Speaker 1: but really it's kind of an unimpressive win streak. I mean,
• 1:22:14
  Speaker 1: they beat the Rangers of the Yeah, they beat them
• 1:22:16
  Speaker 1: ten to two, so that's impressive, I guess, But they
• 1:22:19
  Speaker 1: beat a Pittsburgh team that I don't think is as
• 1:22:20
  Speaker 1: good as what their record looks like. Detroit was the
• 1:22:23
  Speaker 1: best win that they had over the stretch, and then
• 1:22:25
  Speaker 1: they beat Seattle all those games at home, and then
• 1:22:27
  Speaker 1: they went on the road at Chicago. These wins are
• 1:22:29
  Speaker 1: just not that impressive for the Bruins. Man another steven
• 1:22:33
  Speaker 1: way up in class to vas Dallas, So I do
• 1:22:35
  Speaker 1: worry about that. Bruins have had two days off, which
• 1:22:38
  Speaker 1: might hurt their momentum, like I talk about, So that
• 1:22:41
  Speaker 1: is a little bit of a worry as well, because
• 1:22:43
  Speaker 1: when you're winning games, you don't want to have days off,
• 1:22:45
  Speaker 1: although two days off I guess shouldn't be that much
• 1:22:48
  Speaker 1: of a concern. Dallas, though, has lost three games in
• 1:22:51
  Speaker 1: a row, and I think they're gonna be coming into
• 1:22:53
  Speaker 1: this game pretty angry. Dallas was on a long road trip,
• 1:22:58
  Speaker 1: which might be part of the reason why they've been
• 1:23:00
  Speaker 1: struggling recently, though they were struggling before that too at home.
• 1:23:03
  Speaker 1: But they returned home and they lost to Tampa Bay
• 1:23:06
  Speaker 1: and that was that game I just talked about. It
• 1:23:07
  Speaker 1: was a bad spot for Dallas because again, road trip
• 1:23:10
  Speaker 1: return sometimes you just fall into this major distraction spot
• 1:23:14
  Speaker 1: and you have to get back to home life whatever.
• 1:23:16
  Speaker 1: So they did not play well. But now they're in
• 1:23:19
  Speaker 1: their second game back home. Usually when that's the case,
• 1:23:23
  Speaker 1: when you return home, you have a really bad game
• 1:23:24
  Speaker 1: in the first game. Usually you focus a lot more
• 1:23:27
  Speaker 1: in the second game. So you know, I don't even
• 1:23:31
  Speaker 1: know what I want to do with this game though,
• 1:23:32
  Speaker 1: because I think the spot's a little bit better for Dallas.
• 1:23:35
  Speaker 1: But they've dropped for minus one ninety five to minus
• 1:23:37
  Speaker 1: one forty, which kind of leads me to believe that
• 1:23:39
  Speaker 1: they're not even gonna use Ottinger in net tonight because
• 1:23:42
  Speaker 1: the Bruins, I believe, will have Swayman back and next.
• 1:23:46
  Speaker 1: I think they used Corpasalo in their last game, right, Uh, yeah,
• 1:23:50
  Speaker 1: they did so almost definitely it's gonna be Swaying for
• 1:23:53
  Speaker 1: the Bruins, so they're better goalie Dallas. I was gonna
• 1:23:57
  Speaker 1: think it was gonna be Ottinger because he plays the
• 1:24:00
  Speaker 1: majority of their games, but it might be to Smith
• 1:24:02
  Speaker 1: and maybe that's why the line has moved down. I
• 1:24:05
  Speaker 1: don't know, ought ensure being their primary goalie. Obviously Dallas
• 1:24:09
  Speaker 1: down for minus one ninety five to minus one forty
• 1:24:11
  Speaker 1: though for some reason that I think is not just
• 1:24:13
  Speaker 1: market movement. Here, ninety four percent of tickets or excusely
• 1:24:17
  Speaker 1: seventy four percent of tickets and seventy three percent of
• 1:24:19
  Speaker 1: the cash on Dallas, so the market. Reid is saying
• 1:24:22
  Speaker 1: Boston as an underdog here, but I I still don't
• 1:24:26
  Speaker 1: really see it. I kind of disagree with it. Buffalo
• 1:24:30
  Speaker 1: at Nashville. This is the final play that we have here,
• 1:24:33
  Speaker 1: and Jeffrey is not around because he's gonna like this
• 1:24:36
  Speaker 1: three plays in a row that Jeffrey is gonna like
• 1:24:38
  Speaker 1: because for me, it's all about the spot. Even though
• 1:24:40
  Speaker 1: I think Nashville is terrible, I'm not a fan of Predators,
• 1:24:44
  Speaker 1: but I think Nashville is the right side in this game.
• 1:24:47
  Speaker 1: We're gonna be on Nashville on the money line, it's
• 1:24:49
  Speaker 1: around minus one twenty nine minus one thirty. We're gonna
• 1:24:53
  Speaker 1: fade Buffalo. First of all, Nashville being a favorite with
• 1:24:56
  Speaker 1: a weak record like they have against a team with
• 1:24:58
  Speaker 1: the better record like Buffalo, nobody's really gonna want Nashville
• 1:25:01
  Speaker 1: in this game. For that reason, Buffalo was pretty hot
• 1:25:04
  Speaker 1: recently until their last couple of games, and they lost
• 1:25:06
  Speaker 1: a couple of games. But this setup is just really
• 1:25:09
  Speaker 1: bad for Buffalo here and man, I think this is
• 1:25:12
  Speaker 1: a sandwich spot. And look at the games that Buffalo
• 1:25:15
  Speaker 1: has played recently, going back to Monday, January twelfth, Basically,
• 1:25:18
  Speaker 1: they lost to Florida by one, big game. There, they
• 1:25:21
  Speaker 1: beat Philadelphia five to two. Nice win against a team
• 1:25:25
  Speaker 1: that's been playing well. Beat Montreal by multiple goals. Nice win.
• 1:25:29
  Speaker 1: Those games around a back to back as well. Then
• 1:25:31
  Speaker 1: they played Minnesota at home and lost in overtime. Another
• 1:25:34
  Speaker 1: big game for Buffalo. Then yesterday they started the road
• 1:25:38
  Speaker 1: trip and went to Carolina and only lost two to one,
• 1:25:41
  Speaker 1: and that game was tied in the third period one
• 1:25:44
  Speaker 1: to one. So Buffalo had a huge game yesterday and
• 1:25:47
  Speaker 1: felt just short. And now they gotta go to Nashville
• 1:25:49
  Speaker 1: with no turnaround time, and on Thursday they gotta play
• 1:25:52
  Speaker 1: Montreal and that's a bigger game. Even though they just
• 1:25:54
  Speaker 1: beat Montreal. Montreal and then the Islanders, those teams are
• 1:25:58
  Speaker 1: just I think they're bigger game games man in Toronto
• 1:26:01
  Speaker 1: after that as well. I mean, we're talking about more
• 1:26:05
  Speaker 1: games that are just geographic rivals, teams that are just
• 1:26:07
  Speaker 1: better teams in their conference or whatever. So to me,
• 1:26:10
  Speaker 1: this looks like a sandwich spot big time where they
• 1:26:13
  Speaker 1: could easily overlook Nashville. Here they're playing a third game
• 1:26:16
  Speaker 1: in four and as all in different cities as well,
• 1:26:19
  Speaker 1: which is not easy to do it. For Nashville, they
• 1:26:21
  Speaker 1: just got smoked by Vegas in their last game seven
• 1:26:24
  Speaker 1: to two. It was a horrible game win for us
• 1:26:27
  Speaker 1: on the show because Nashville beat Colorado the game before that.
• 1:26:31
  Speaker 1: It was a back to back. It was a very
• 1:26:32
  Speaker 1: strange two game road trip for Nashville, and Nashville was
• 1:26:36
  Speaker 1: actually playing decently recently. They were stepping up against better opponents. Man,
• 1:26:41
  Speaker 1: they beat the Islanders back on the eighth, beat Washington,
• 1:26:44
  Speaker 1: both those games at home, beat Edmonton at Holmes. They've
• 1:26:47
  Speaker 1: been playing pretty well at home, other than an ugly
• 1:26:50
  Speaker 1: loss to Chicago that was kind of in a sandwich spot,
• 1:26:53
  Speaker 1: even though Chicago was a rival of theirs. But then
• 1:26:56
  Speaker 1: they went out on the road they beat Colorado. I mean,
• 1:26:58
  Speaker 1: this nationale team, I still I think they're asked, but
• 1:27:01
  Speaker 1: they have been competitive recently. Man, and then, of course,
• 1:27:04
  Speaker 1: predictably after that Colorado game, no turnaround time at all,
• 1:27:08
  Speaker 1: they had to go to Vegas and they got destroyed.
• 1:27:11
  Speaker 1: We predicted it. But now they're back home, and yes,
• 1:27:13
  Speaker 1: I know, returning home from a road trip. I usually
• 1:27:15
  Speaker 1: don't want to be in a team that's doing that.
• 1:27:16
  Speaker 1: But they only were on the road Friday Saturday, so
• 1:27:19
  Speaker 1: it's not like they really had a lot of time
• 1:27:20
  Speaker 1: for things to build up at home. So I don't
• 1:27:23
  Speaker 1: think they're gonna fall into that typical return home distraction
• 1:27:26
  Speaker 1: spot because they just haven't been away for that long.
• 1:27:29
  Speaker 1: And when you lose seven to two to like anybody
• 1:27:31
  Speaker 1: even though, yeah, they lost a win streak, only a
• 1:27:34
  Speaker 1: three game win streak. Though you lose seven to two,
• 1:27:36
  Speaker 1: I think you're gonna be angry and show up with
• 1:27:39
  Speaker 1: more focus in the next game. It was a predictable loss. Again,
• 1:27:44
  Speaker 1: it was a horrible spot. Sorrows should be back in
• 1:27:46
  Speaker 1: net for them, at least it's not Soros a lot
• 1:27:50
  Speaker 1: better than Soros. Sorrows should be back in net for them.
• 1:27:52
  Speaker 1: He is their better goalie. So yeah, that's good for
• 1:27:57
  Speaker 1: Nashville as well. Buffalo. I just don't care who their
• 1:28:00
  Speaker 1: goaltender riskcaus I don't think their goaltenders are that good regardless.
• 1:28:04
  Speaker 1: Nashville has dropped for minus one thirty five to minus
• 1:28:06
  Speaker 1: one twenty eight, but we see fifty to fifty on
• 1:28:08
  Speaker 1: the ticket count and ninety one percent of the cash
• 1:28:11
  Speaker 1: on Nashville. Let's make a Cashville baby, and let's get
• 1:28:15
  Speaker 1: a win with the Nashville Predators in that game. That
• 1:28:18
  Speaker 1: is my one play in hockey here. Saint Louis Is
• 1:28:21
  Speaker 1: at Winnipeg. Saint Louis just got killed by Edmonton five
• 1:28:27
  Speaker 1: to nothing a couple of days ago, so they should
• 1:28:29
  Speaker 1: be in bounced back mode after that. I was a
• 1:28:32
  Speaker 1: bad game with Saint Louis had just beaten Carolina and
• 1:28:35
  Speaker 1: Tampa Bay the two games prior to that, so I
• 1:28:37
  Speaker 1: think they maybe just ran out of a little bit
• 1:28:38
  Speaker 1: of steam there or something. I don't know. It was
• 1:28:40
  Speaker 1: a terrible game. Of course, Bennington was a net for
• 1:28:43
  Speaker 1: that one. He's been awful. I don't know what else
• 1:28:45
  Speaker 1: to say about it. They might put Hawfer back in
• 1:28:49
  Speaker 1: net for this one, hope for I don't know, but
• 1:28:51
  Speaker 1: I think Saint Louis will show up after losing five nothing,
• 1:28:54
  Speaker 1: which is really really ugly. I think Winnipeg is the
• 1:28:57
  Speaker 1: team that eliminated Saint Louis from the playoffs last year,
• 1:29:00
  Speaker 1: if I'm not mistaken. But they did beat Winnipeg once
• 1:29:03
  Speaker 1: already this year, so they got some revenge already, so
• 1:29:06
  Speaker 1: I don't really know if that's gonna be a factor
• 1:29:09
  Speaker 1: in this game. They do play Dallas next. You do
• 1:29:12
  Speaker 1: worry about the look ahead a little bit, but after
• 1:29:14
  Speaker 1: you lose five to nothing, I think you're gonna just
• 1:29:16
  Speaker 1: focus on your next game, regardless of where your opponent is.
• 1:29:20
  Speaker 1: Winnipeg had gotten back on a little bit of a role,
• 1:29:22
  Speaker 1: but now they've lost two games in a row. But
• 1:29:24
  Speaker 1: they did get shut out in the last game Againt Chicago,
• 1:29:26
  Speaker 1: but it was yesterday, so they're playing a third game
• 1:29:29
  Speaker 1: in four days with travel between all the games, and
• 1:29:32
  Speaker 1: they played Florida next, so that could be a bit
• 1:29:35
  Speaker 1: of a look ahead as well. So I think the
• 1:29:36
  Speaker 1: spot's not great for Winnipeg here, and it will probably
• 1:29:39
  Speaker 1: be calmery in that year because Hello, books played a
• 1:29:42
  Speaker 1: bunch of games in a row. So I don't love
• 1:29:44
  Speaker 1: it for Winnipeg year. I probably would have to lean
• 1:29:47
  Speaker 1: to Saint Louis. In this one. Winnipeg dropped for minus
• 1:29:52
  Speaker 1: one sixty and minus one twenty five. I think that
• 1:29:54
  Speaker 1: was because of the goaltender decision here. I don't know
• 1:29:59
  Speaker 1: why the line would have been out of minus one
• 1:30:00
  Speaker 1: sixty anyway, you could have pretty much anticipated that was
• 1:30:03
  Speaker 1: not going to be hell a bucking net here, but whatever,
• 1:30:06
  Speaker 1: I think that's why the line dropped sixty seven percent
• 1:30:09
  Speaker 1: of the tickets and ninety nine percent of the cash
• 1:30:11
  Speaker 1: on Winnipeg though, So it looks like the cash percentages
• 1:30:15
  Speaker 1: on Winnipeg, but I don't really agree with it. In
• 1:30:17
  Speaker 1: that one on New Jersey at Edmonton, New Jersey coming
• 1:30:24
  Speaker 1: into this game off of beating Calgary, yesterday in overtime.
• 1:30:28
  Speaker 1: Not an impressive win. They aren't a back to back now,
• 1:30:30
  Speaker 1: which does worry me for a New Jersey three games
• 1:30:33
  Speaker 1: in four days, all in different cities. That's a concern
• 1:30:36
  Speaker 1: as well. But they did escape against Calgary is not
• 1:30:40
  Speaker 1: a very good team, so maybe New Jersey was already
• 1:30:42
  Speaker 1: looking ahead. Maybe they will show up for this game still.
• 1:30:45
  Speaker 1: Edmonton didn't play yesterday though, and they're staying at home.
• 1:30:48
  Speaker 1: But they're off of two shutout wins, although it was
• 1:30:50
  Speaker 1: against Vancouver and Saint Louis, which isn't that impressive. But Edmonton,
• 1:30:58
  Speaker 1: you know, I don't know. I just yeah, they might
• 1:31:02
  Speaker 1: be feeling a little bit overconfident maybe after those wins,
• 1:31:06
  Speaker 1: is what I was thinking. O. They're up for minus
• 1:31:07
  Speaker 1: one fifty five to minus one seventy five here. Of course,
• 1:31:10
  Speaker 1: I think you might get a little bit of extra
• 1:31:12
  Speaker 1: value maybe on New Jersey because New Jersey is on
• 1:31:15
  Speaker 1: the back to back. Here, I kind of lean New
• 1:31:19
  Speaker 1: Jersey in this game despite being on the back to back.
• 1:31:21
  Speaker 1: I just think Edmonton might be feeling a little overconfident.
• 1:31:24
  Speaker 1: They got Pittsburgh next. That's still a big thing. Edmonton Pittsburgh,
• 1:31:28
  Speaker 1: as they did the goaltender switch. So that's the goaltender
• 1:31:31
  Speaker 1: rivalry upcoming for Edmonton, even though they've already played since then.
• 1:31:35
  Speaker 1: But I would lean to New Jersey slightly in this one,
• 1:31:39
  Speaker 1: all right. And then we have the Rangers at the Kings.
• 1:31:43
  Speaker 1: We have the two teams that have the most ridiculous
• 1:31:45
  Speaker 1: home road dichotomies here. So does that mean we want
• 1:31:49
  Speaker 1: to be on the road team here? Well, I'm not
• 1:31:50
  Speaker 1: so sure because even though, yeah, I know, the Rangers
• 1:31:53
  Speaker 1: are way better on the road and the Kings are
• 1:31:55
  Speaker 1: significantly worse at home. The Rangers just played yesterday. They're
• 1:31:58
  Speaker 1: playing a third game in four is all in different cities,
• 1:32:01
  Speaker 1: although they are only going from Anaheim to La here.
• 1:32:04
  Speaker 1: But still, they played yesterday and yes they lost. The
• 1:32:07
  Speaker 1: Rangers are without Shastarkin, which really hurting them. I don't
• 1:32:11
  Speaker 1: know when he's gonna be back. The Kings have lost
• 1:32:15
  Speaker 1: four games in a row and they've had time off,
• 1:32:18
  Speaker 1: so rest wise, the Kings have a huge advantage here.
• 1:32:21
  Speaker 1: Rest Wise, they haven't played since Saturday, and they're staying
• 1:32:24
  Speaker 1: at home here, and they were only in Anaheim, so
• 1:32:27
  Speaker 1: they really have been They've pretty much been in the
• 1:32:29
  Speaker 1: LA area for over a week. Now and they've lost
• 1:32:32
  Speaker 1: all of those games, so I think they're really going
• 1:32:34
  Speaker 1: to be focused on trying to get this game. As
• 1:32:37
  Speaker 1: bad as they are at home, a lot of the
• 1:32:38
  Speaker 1: games have been close, some of them gets good teams
• 1:32:41
  Speaker 1: as well, So I actually don't lean towards the home
• 1:32:44
  Speaker 1: road disparity in this one. I actually lean towards the Kings.
• 1:32:48
  Speaker 1: You're paying a little bit of a price, especially because
• 1:32:50
  Speaker 1: of the rest edge that they have, which has to
• 1:32:52
  Speaker 1: be factored in. But they're down for minus one seventy
• 1:32:55
  Speaker 1: to minus one sixty seven, eighty one percent of the
• 1:32:57
  Speaker 1: tickets and ninety five percent of the cash on the
• 1:33:01
  Speaker 1: La Kings. I agree with the Kings in that one.
• 1:33:05
  Speaker 1: You probably have to do like a split bet like
• 1:33:07
  Speaker 1: I do with the puck line of money line there,
• 1:33:09
  Speaker 1: all right, and then we'll finish it with NBA. I
• 1:33:12
  Speaker 1: don't like the NBA board at all, man, I don't
• 1:33:14
  Speaker 1: have anything in the NBA today. The first game up
• 1:33:17
  Speaker 1: seven PM is Phoenix at Philadelphia. Phoenix is coming into
• 1:33:23
  Speaker 1: this game up of beating Brooklyn. They're on a back
• 1:33:26
  Speaker 1: to back. They're playing a third game in four and
• 1:33:28
  Speaker 1: as fourth game in six days, a fifth game in
• 1:33:33
  Speaker 1: eight days. Yeah, fifth game in eight days and six
• 1:33:36
  Speaker 1: game in ten days, all in different cities. So it's
• 1:33:39
  Speaker 1: not easy for Phoenix having to play all these games
• 1:33:42
  Speaker 1: on the road. Man like this would travel between them,
• 1:33:44
  Speaker 1: So Phoenix, they're not gonna be a very well rested
• 1:33:48
  Speaker 1: team here. Philadelphia coming into this game off of beating
• 1:33:52
  Speaker 1: Indiana and an easy win yesterday. They're on a back
• 1:33:54
  Speaker 1: to back as well, but that was a much easier
• 1:33:57
  Speaker 1: win and they're staying at home, so to me, the
• 1:33:58
  Speaker 1: spot is a lot better Philadelphia here. They do play
• 1:34:02
  Speaker 1: Houston next, there's a potential look ahead there and then
• 1:34:04
  Speaker 1: the Knicks after that. But I don't think I could
• 1:34:08
  Speaker 1: possibly be on the Suns and this when the money
• 1:34:10
  Speaker 1: is coming in on the Suns and I just don't
• 1:34:12
  Speaker 1: really see it, Like this travel spot doesn't look good
• 1:34:15
  Speaker 1: at all to me. Fifty six percent of the ticket,
• 1:34:17
  Speaker 1: seventy four percent of the cash on the Suns. Sixers
• 1:34:19
  Speaker 1: down from one and a half to one there, So
• 1:34:22
  Speaker 1: the money is coming in on the Suns, but I
• 1:34:24
  Speaker 1: just don't really see it. The Clippers also played yesterday
• 1:34:28
  Speaker 1: and let me down, they're going to Chicago. Clippers better
• 1:34:32
  Speaker 1: than their record looks. They did still win last night,
• 1:34:34
  Speaker 1: so their momentum continues. They did have two days off
• 1:34:37
  Speaker 1: before that game, so they're not quite in as bad
• 1:34:41
  Speaker 1: of arrest spot as Phoenix is. They do play the
• 1:34:44
  Speaker 1: La Lakers when they come back home, though, so that
• 1:34:46
  Speaker 1: could be a potential look ahead because that's gonna be
• 1:34:49
  Speaker 1: a big game, the Battle of La and the Clippers
• 1:34:52
  Speaker 1: are like the little brother of La. Chicago just stayed
• 1:34:55
  Speaker 1: at home, didn't play yesterday, and beat Brooklyn, so the
• 1:34:58
  Speaker 1: spot I think is better for Chicago. Although they play
• 1:35:00
  Speaker 1: Minnesota and Boston next, the spot sets up way better
• 1:35:04
  Speaker 1: for Chicago. But one issue I might have here is
• 1:35:06
  Speaker 1: that Chicago might be in a reverse injured player spot
• 1:35:10
  Speaker 1: because it looks like Josh Giddy may indeed actually make
• 1:35:13
  Speaker 1: his return finally in this game, which is why the
• 1:35:15
  Speaker 1: Bulls are up from one to one and a half
• 1:35:17
  Speaker 1: to four. Here seventy seven percent of tickets only seventy
• 1:35:20
  Speaker 1: three percent of the cash on the Bulls. So even
• 1:35:23
  Speaker 1: though the scheduling spot I think does favor the Bulls,
• 1:35:27
  Speaker 1: that line move might be a little bit too much. Man.
• 1:35:29
  Speaker 1: You know what I always say, when your star player
• 1:35:31
  Speaker 1: comes back, he's been off for a while, he's been
• 1:35:33
  Speaker 1: off for like I think a month. Giddy's been out
• 1:35:35
  Speaker 1: for almost a month, and when he comes back, he
• 1:35:38
  Speaker 1: has to get back into game form, like you know,
• 1:35:41
  Speaker 1: he's got to get used to playing again. The team's
• 1:35:43
  Speaker 1: got to assume their new roles again. There could be
• 1:35:46
  Speaker 1: like a chemistry thing that needs to happen, so they
• 1:35:48
  Speaker 1: don't like necessarily gel right away, and the oddsmakers have
• 1:35:52
  Speaker 1: to move the line to account for him being back,
• 1:35:54
  Speaker 1: and usually they overreact to it. So because of that,
• 1:35:58
  Speaker 1: I guess I would probably agree with Fate Chicago if
• 1:36:01
  Speaker 1: Giddy is indeed coming back here, but I don't love it.
• 1:36:05
  Speaker 1: The scheduling spot just doesn't look good for the Clippers
• 1:36:08
  Speaker 1: to me, so I don't want the Clippers either here
• 1:36:11
  Speaker 1: the Battle of Texas in this NBC doubleheader, This is
• 1:36:14
  Speaker 1: a good game. Spurs at Houston. This is the best
• 1:36:17
  Speaker 1: game of the night for sure. These teams are pretty
• 1:36:20
  Speaker 1: much intact and healthy as well. Now Houston's a favorite
• 1:36:24
  Speaker 1: in this game, and the oss are telling you Houston
• 1:36:26
  Speaker 1: is the better team, So I think the public's gonna
• 1:36:28
  Speaker 1: have a tendency to want to grab the points with
• 1:36:29
  Speaker 1: the Spurs. Spurs are kind of the flashier new team
• 1:36:34
  Speaker 1: on the scene, Like the public doesn't really like Houston,
• 1:36:36
  Speaker 1: like doesn't really like the way that they play. They
• 1:36:39
  Speaker 1: kind of, I don't know, focus on defense, although Houston
• 1:36:42
  Speaker 1: does actually hit threes pretty well at home. But yeah,
• 1:36:46
  Speaker 1: I think Houston's being undervalued here. Man. Houston's really good
• 1:36:48
  Speaker 1: at home fourteen and three spurs only thirteen and eight
• 1:36:52
  Speaker 1: on the road. I know this is still in Texas,
• 1:36:54
  Speaker 1: but Houston is not that close to San Antonio. I
• 1:36:58
  Speaker 1: think Houston's Yeah, they're gonna have the advantage of the
• 1:37:00
  Speaker 1: home crowd here for the spot. San Antonio did just
• 1:37:04
  Speaker 1: beat Utah, though that was yesterday, so San Antonio did
• 1:37:07
  Speaker 1: have to play a game yesterday that we got the
• 1:37:09
  Speaker 1: cover with Utah in that game, san Antonio had that
• 1:37:12
  Speaker 1: sandwich in between this game and the Minnesota game that
• 1:37:15
  Speaker 1: they played before that. But still san Antonio did play
• 1:37:19
  Speaker 1: yesterday and they're still having to travel, although it's within
• 1:37:22
  Speaker 1: the state of Texas. But the rest spot is better
• 1:37:25
  Speaker 1: for Houston because they didn't play yesterday and Houston is
• 1:37:28
  Speaker 1: coming off a game where we actually had the New
• 1:37:30
  Speaker 1: Orleans Pelicans as well and they covered for us, and
• 1:37:33
  Speaker 1: Houston had played in Minnesota the game prior to that
• 1:37:36
  Speaker 1: as well, So we got wins with both fading. Both
• 1:37:39
  Speaker 1: of these teams against bad teams when these teams were
• 1:37:43
  Speaker 1: in a Minnesota slash Texas sandwich. Interestingly enough, but Houston
• 1:37:48
  Speaker 1: is already back at home. They're staying at home. They've
• 1:37:50
  Speaker 1: been at home since January thirteenth, so they've stayed put
• 1:37:54
  Speaker 1: for a week. So I think they're gonna be ready
• 1:37:56
  Speaker 1: for this. They're coming off kind of a bad game
• 1:37:57
  Speaker 1: against New Orleans and staying at home. I prefer Houston
• 1:38:01
  Speaker 1: in this game. That would be the way that I
• 1:38:03
  Speaker 1: would play it if I was gonna play it other
• 1:38:05
  Speaker 1: down from five and a half to four and a
• 1:38:07
  Speaker 1: half though, And the money looks like it's coming in
• 1:38:08
  Speaker 1: on the Spurs, but I do not agree with it.
• 1:38:11
  Speaker 1: To me, they look like they're gonna set up as
• 1:38:12
  Speaker 1: kind of a public road underdog here, which I don't like.
• 1:38:15
  Speaker 1: We'll see what the market looks like when the game happens.
• 1:38:18
  Speaker 1: Sixty percent of the tickets, seventy seven percent of the
• 1:38:20
  Speaker 1: cash on the Spurs, and yes, the total is low,
• 1:38:23
  Speaker 1: so taking the points is a little bit more tempting
• 1:38:26
  Speaker 1: when the total is low two twenty one, but again
• 1:38:28
  Speaker 1: it's the NBA points get scored, So I would lay
• 1:38:30
  Speaker 1: it with Houston if I was gonna play the game,
• 1:38:34
  Speaker 1: dirty sock. What's up man? Thanks for hanging out all
• 1:38:38
  Speaker 1: right Minnesota at Utah this game. I don't even know
• 1:38:45
  Speaker 1: what to say about this game. Minnesota, of course, did
• 1:38:48
  Speaker 1: just play Houston and San Antonio. They've had multiple days
• 1:38:51
  Speaker 1: off after that, though. They haven't played since the seventeenth,
• 1:38:55
  Speaker 1: coming off two big games though, so they could still
• 1:38:57
  Speaker 1: potentially be hungover and having to go out to Elevator here.
• 1:39:00
  Speaker 1: Having two days off might help them rest up a
• 1:39:03
  Speaker 1: little bit and break that losing momentum. So it's not
• 1:39:05
  Speaker 1: all negative from Minnesota, and maybe they will try to
• 1:39:08
  Speaker 1: even up the road trip and go two and two
• 1:39:10
  Speaker 1: on the road trip. But coming off those tough games
• 1:39:13
  Speaker 1: against Houston and San Antonio, I could still see this
• 1:39:15
  Speaker 1: being a bit of a hangover spot for the the
• 1:39:19
  Speaker 1: Tea Wolves here. Excuse me, but I also don't want
• 1:39:22
  Speaker 1: any part of the Jazz When the Jazz are returning
• 1:39:24
  Speaker 1: over from a road trip, and they played San Antonio
• 1:39:26
  Speaker 1: last night. It wasn't exactly a close game, although they
• 1:39:29
  Speaker 1: covered whatever, But they're returning over from a road trip, man,
• 1:39:33
  Speaker 1: and have no time off, So that's not something I
• 1:39:35
  Speaker 1: want to get involved in. They've been on the road
• 1:39:37
  Speaker 1: since last Monday. Yeah, and when you return home, of course,
• 1:39:41
  Speaker 1: it could be a distracted spot. Man. You have to
• 1:39:43
  Speaker 1: get back to home life. Whatever. Minnesota. They shouldn't really
• 1:39:46
  Speaker 1: overlook Minnesota. But Utah plays San Antonio again on Tuesday, Thursday.
• 1:39:51
  Speaker 1: Excuse me, So today's Tuesday on Thursday, So I worry
• 1:39:54
  Speaker 1: about that. They're in a spur sandwich here, a San
• 1:39:58
  Speaker 1: Antonio sandwich, which is probably I don't know, what the
• 1:40:00
  Speaker 1: fuck do they eat in San Antonio, some sort of
• 1:40:04
  Speaker 1: I don't know, like maybe even a Mexican a torta
• 1:40:09
  Speaker 1: is they're in a torta spot here, I don't know,
• 1:40:12
  Speaker 1: but yeah, I mean the return home spot's just bad.
• 1:40:15
  Speaker 1: I think in general, like teams are gonna be distracted.
• 1:40:17
  Speaker 1: They're playing a third game in four days, fourth game
• 1:40:20
  Speaker 1: in six days, fifth game in seven days, actually all
• 1:40:24
  Speaker 1: in different cities. That's a rare spot fifth and seven.
• 1:40:28
  Speaker 1: And it's also a sixth game in nine days, all
• 1:40:31
  Speaker 1: in different cities. Seventh and eleven as well. It is
• 1:40:34
  Speaker 1: a spot where I just don't want any part of
• 1:40:37
  Speaker 1: the jazz man. I think they might run out of steam. Here.
• 1:40:40
  Speaker 1: The te Wolves did go up from ten and a
• 1:40:41
  Speaker 1: half to twelve, eighty five percent of the tickets on them,
• 1:40:44
  Speaker 1: fifty eight percent of the cash coming back on the Jazz, though,
• 1:40:47
  Speaker 1: and I understand it because I think you could argue
• 1:40:49
  Speaker 1: that t Wolves are in a bad spot as well.
• 1:40:51
  Speaker 1: But I actually probably prefer the Tea Wolves in this game,
• 1:40:55
  Speaker 1: to be honest. The Jazz are just in a horrific
• 1:40:58
  Speaker 1: nightmare of a spot. So it might be one of
• 1:41:00
  Speaker 1: those spots where you shouldn't really be afraid to lay
• 1:41:03
  Speaker 1: points on the road in the NBA, although I don't
• 1:41:06
  Speaker 1: want to do it obviously because I think the Tea
• 1:41:08
  Speaker 1: Wolves are not in the greatest spot either. But generally,
• 1:41:11
  Speaker 1: like I say, there were some spots where you might
• 1:41:13
  Speaker 1: want to lay double digits in the NBA shouldn't be
• 1:41:16
  Speaker 1: a rule like in the NFL. It is kind of
• 1:41:18
  Speaker 1: a rule because it's a lower scoring game that you
• 1:41:20
  Speaker 1: really don't want to lay double digits on the road.
• 1:41:24
  Speaker 1: But NBA is a different animal. We do have the
• 1:41:28
  Speaker 1: Lakers at Denver as the other TV game here on
• 1:41:32
  Speaker 1: NBC and Peacock and unfortunately for the schedule makers, Jokic
• 1:41:37
  Speaker 1: you don't get Doncic versus jokicch in this game because
• 1:41:41
  Speaker 1: Jokic is still out, so you don't get the battle
• 1:41:43
  Speaker 1: of the White Boys in this game. Unfortunately for the
• 1:41:46
  Speaker 1: schedule makers, Luca is back for the Lakers. I think
• 1:41:49
  Speaker 1: he might have come back in the last game. He
• 1:41:51
  Speaker 1: missed a couple of games. Actually, I think he only
• 1:41:54
  Speaker 1: missed one game, the Portland game. He came back and
• 1:41:57
  Speaker 1: LA won the game easily against Toronto and covered so
• 1:42:02
  Speaker 1: there was no reverse injured player spot to be seen there.
• 1:42:06
  Speaker 1: Now LA is starting a road trip, I think they
• 1:42:09
  Speaker 1: will be focused because when you start a road trip,
• 1:42:11
  Speaker 1: you're usually focused to start the road trip. They're not
• 1:42:13
  Speaker 1: gonna overlook a team like the Nuggets, so seems like
• 1:42:16
  Speaker 1: a fine spot for the Lakers to me. For Denver,
• 1:42:20
  Speaker 1: they're staying at home off of a really, really bad
• 1:42:22
  Speaker 1: loss against Charlotte, which did break up win streak for them.
• 1:42:25
  Speaker 1: They'd won four games in a row, though they were
• 1:42:27
  Speaker 1: very unimpressive wins against pretty bad teams. So Denver, yeah,
• 1:42:32
  Speaker 1: they're struggling a bit without Jokich, although they're still keeping
• 1:42:34
  Speaker 1: up their record here and of course they're gonna make
• 1:42:36
  Speaker 1: a playoffs. And they're gonna have Yolkic back by then,
• 1:42:39
  Speaker 1: so you know, I wouldn't worry that much about Denver.
• 1:42:42
  Speaker 1: The spot is fine for Denver, though, man. I mean,
• 1:42:44
  Speaker 1: they're staying at home coming off that ugly, ugly loss
• 1:42:47
  Speaker 1: to Charlotte, So I probably do prefer Denver in this one.
• 1:42:52
  Speaker 1: The Lakers did flip from a two point favorite, two
• 1:42:54
  Speaker 1: point dog to a two and a half point favorite,
• 1:42:56
  Speaker 1: sixty tickets, sixty percent of the cash on the Lakers,
• 1:43:00
  Speaker 1: so the Lakers are actually a little bit of a
• 1:43:02
  Speaker 1: public side here, which seems a little bit crazy. Again,
• 1:43:05
  Speaker 1: the Nuggets would obviously be favored if Jokic was playing,
• 1:43:09
  Speaker 1: although he is not, of course, he's been out for
• 1:43:11
  Speaker 1: a while. I don't know why the line moved like
• 1:43:14
  Speaker 1: this on the Lakers because I looked at the injury
• 1:43:16
  Speaker 1: report and the other Nuggets injured players that are always
• 1:43:20
  Speaker 1: on the injury report, Aaron Gordon and Jamal Murray or
• 1:43:23
  Speaker 1: Jamal Murray are both playing in this game. They're day
• 1:43:27
  Speaker 1: to day, but they're both gonna play, so I don't
• 1:43:29
  Speaker 1: really know why the line moved up like that. I
• 1:43:31
  Speaker 1: probably prefer Denver plus the points in that one. Toronto
• 1:43:35
  Speaker 1: at Golden State here Toronto, like I said, just got
• 1:43:39
  Speaker 1: blown out by the Lakers on Sunday. Now they're staying
• 1:43:42
  Speaker 1: in the Pacific time zone here, going up to Golden State.
• 1:43:45
  Speaker 1: They lost a couple of games in a row. After
• 1:43:47
  Speaker 1: a blowout loss, Toronto might show up with some focus
• 1:43:50
  Speaker 1: against Golden State here. Problem with Golden State, as you
• 1:43:53
  Speaker 1: just saw there, I didn't want to give it away
• 1:43:55
  Speaker 1: what I'm about to do here. Golden State they did
• 1:43:58
  Speaker 1: just win yesterday against my and of course they caught
• 1:44:01
  Speaker 1: Miami in a good spot to catch them because Miami
• 1:44:03
  Speaker 1: had beaten the Thunder in the game prior. So I
• 1:44:07
  Speaker 1: told you I leaned it to Golden State. In the game,
• 1:44:09
  Speaker 1: they got it done. They blew out Miami, so it
• 1:44:13
  Speaker 1: was a good win for Golden State. They've Golden State's
• 1:44:16
  Speaker 1: playing better recently. Man, They've won six of their last
• 1:44:18
  Speaker 1: seven some games in there against good teams, mostly not
• 1:44:22
  Speaker 1: good teams. But they did beat the Knicks in Miami
• 1:44:24
  Speaker 1: and they're in Milwaukee. They did have Giannis when they
• 1:44:28
  Speaker 1: played them. But anyway, Golden State just beat Miami. But
• 1:44:31
  Speaker 1: that was yesterday, so they're on the back to back.
• 1:44:33
  Speaker 1: So looking at it just from a scheduling perspective, I
• 1:44:36
  Speaker 1: would prefer Toronto in this game plus the points. But
• 1:44:41
  Speaker 1: then I go and I look at the line, and
• 1:44:42
  Speaker 1: I'm like, oh, what's going on here? The Warriors dropped
• 1:44:45
  Speaker 1: from six and a half to three and a half.
• 1:44:47
  Speaker 1: Money is still coming in on the Raptors though, sixty
• 1:44:49
  Speaker 1: and a half percent of the tickets on the Warriors,
• 1:44:51
  Speaker 1: seventy five percent of the cash on the Raptors. But
• 1:44:53
  Speaker 1: why did the line move down from six and a
• 1:44:56
  Speaker 1: half to three and a half. Well, if you saw
• 1:44:58
  Speaker 1: what happened yesterday, you know it was a little something
• 1:45:02
  Speaker 1: like this. Jimmy's ready, Dude, got some new moves. Check
• 1:45:08
  Speaker 1: Jimmy out, Jimmy down. Jimmy is down, and it is
• 1:45:18
  Speaker 1: not good man. Jimmy Butler is out for the season
• 1:45:22
  Speaker 1: now with a torn acl that occurred last night. Uh So,
• 1:45:26
  Speaker 1: huge blow to the Warriors. He's been one of the
• 1:45:29
  Speaker 1: best players, obviously, and he's younger than pretty much the
• 1:45:33
  Speaker 1: rest of the team, even though he's not exactly young
• 1:45:36
  Speaker 1: compared to them. He is huge blow to the Warriors.
• 1:45:39
  Speaker 1: But that does mean that you're gonna get some line
• 1:45:41
  Speaker 1: value on the Warriors here. And you know what, I
• 1:45:42
  Speaker 1: always say, when one of your star players is injured
• 1:45:45
  Speaker 1: that first game, the team usually steps up their level
• 1:45:47
  Speaker 1: of play to account for that. They usually have a
• 1:45:50
  Speaker 1: good game in that first game, and you get line
• 1:45:52
  Speaker 1: value on it because the line has over adjusted. Usually
• 1:45:56
  Speaker 1: the money in this case is still coming in on
• 1:45:58
  Speaker 1: the Raptors, and I still think the scheduling spot does
• 1:46:02
  Speaker 1: favor the Raptor, so I'm staying away from the game.
• 1:46:05
  Speaker 1: But I got to play the Jimmies down Eclipse, so
• 1:46:08
  Speaker 1: there you go. So they were definitely conflicting handicapping scenarios
• 1:46:13
  Speaker 1: in this game, man, So I got to just stay
• 1:46:14
  Speaker 1: away from it. And then finally we do have Miami
• 1:46:17
  Speaker 1: at Sacramento. Boy, Sacramento at least does have simonas back though,
• 1:46:22
  Speaker 1: so they are more intact team now, and Levine, I
• 1:46:25
  Speaker 1: think it's still back. Miami just took that ugly loss
• 1:46:29
  Speaker 1: to Golden State. It was last night though, but of course,
• 1:46:32
  Speaker 1: as I said, they were in a letdown spot. They
• 1:46:34
  Speaker 1: played They beat in Oklahoma City the game before that,
• 1:46:36
  Speaker 1: so it was a letdown spot. Although I thought there
• 1:46:39
  Speaker 1: were maybe some reasons why they might still show up
• 1:46:42
  Speaker 1: focused in that game, but they just didn't have it
• 1:46:44
  Speaker 1: and Butler played a majority of that game too, so
• 1:46:47
  Speaker 1: he went down later in the game. I'm pretty sure
• 1:46:49
  Speaker 1: now Miami has to go up to Sacramento with no
• 1:46:51
  Speaker 1: time off, but they are staying in the Pacific time zone.
• 1:46:54
  Speaker 1: They are coming off a very ugly loss, so maybe
• 1:46:57
  Speaker 1: they will bounce back, but it is still a third
• 1:46:59
  Speaker 1: game in four days, all in different cities, which is ugly,
• 1:47:03
  Speaker 1: and Sacramento is coming off an ugly loss at home
• 1:47:06
  Speaker 1: to Portland. Now, they did lose a win streak, so
• 1:47:09
  Speaker 1: sometimes that will hang you over. But Sacramento is staying
• 1:47:11
  Speaker 1: at home, didn't play yesterday. They've been at home since
• 1:47:13
  Speaker 1: the eleventh, so I think Sacramento might actually be in
• 1:47:18
  Speaker 1: the better spot here. They definitely have more rests. I'm
• 1:47:21
  Speaker 1: still pissed at them for losing that game against Portland
• 1:47:26
  Speaker 1: with I think that was the second game with Sabonis back,
• 1:47:29
  Speaker 1: but whatever. So looking at the injury reporter, just making
• 1:47:32
  Speaker 1: sure what we have going on here to mostly clean
• 1:47:36
  Speaker 1: injury report. But Tyler hero is still out from Miami,
• 1:47:39
  Speaker 1: so he's not going to be back for a bit.
• 1:47:41
  Speaker 1: So that's the one main injury here in this game.
• 1:47:44
  Speaker 1: But he's been out for a while so it's not
• 1:47:46
  Speaker 1: going to affect the game to game. Here, the Heat
• 1:47:49
  Speaker 1: are getting all the money though they're down from four
• 1:47:51
  Speaker 1: to three and a half, but they have ninety two
• 1:47:53
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash and fifty two percent of the
• 1:47:55
  Speaker 1: tickets on the Kings. I don't understand that, Like what
• 1:47:57
  Speaker 1: public better is actually gonna be on the King. That
• 1:48:00
  Speaker 1: doesn't make any sense to me, Like I actually probably
• 1:48:03
  Speaker 1: prefer the Kings in this spot. But the money is
• 1:48:06
  Speaker 1: all coming in and the Heat, and again it's a
• 1:48:07
  Speaker 1: stay away from me. So that's gonna do it. Once again.
• 1:48:12
  Speaker 1: The play is today. Oh and of course Streamer has
• 1:48:15
  Speaker 1: to screw up here. There we go. There's my face
• 1:48:18
  Speaker 1: for you once again. The players are being super selective. Today.
• 1:48:21
  Speaker 1: We're gonna be on LSU plus the points in college basketball,
• 1:48:25
  Speaker 1: Baylor plus the one and a half or two. I
• 1:48:27
  Speaker 1: love this one, man, I think this is the best
• 1:48:29
  Speaker 1: play of the day. Baylor love it. And then in
• 1:48:32
  Speaker 1: hockey we're gonna be on the Nashville Predators on the
• 1:48:34
  Speaker 1: money line. Those are the only three plays today and
• 1:48:37
  Speaker 1: a pretty big board, but we're getting selective. After yesterday,
• 1:48:40
  Speaker 1: I think it was a smaller board and we kind
• 1:48:42
  Speaker 1: of splashed the board, but we did get a win yesterday.
• 1:48:46
  Speaker 1: Let's just keep it up, ma'am. This is just the
• 1:48:47
  Speaker 1: way that I the way that I see today. So
• 1:48:51
  Speaker 1: getting a little bit more selective, that's gonna do it.
• 1:48:53
  Speaker 1: Thanks for hanging out, everybody. Learn a tone on Twitter,
• 1:48:55
  Speaker 1: and learn a tone on Instagram like subscribe, give me
• 1:48:59
  Speaker 1: good comment on the channel here, listen on audio. We're
• 1:49:03
  Speaker 1: on Apple Spotify. That helps me out. Give me good
• 1:49:06
  Speaker 1: reviews there that helps me out. Covering UCA is my
• 1:49:08
  Speaker 1: yuke channel on YouTube. Paground dot com and learn it
• 1:49:11
  Speaker 1: to it. You get bonus yuke stuff, which I gotta.
• 1:49:13
  Speaker 1: I know, I gotta update the feed again. I haven't
• 1:49:16
  Speaker 1: done that many covers recently. Man, my voice just a
• 1:49:19
  Speaker 1: lot of times isn't up to it. So I'll get
• 1:49:23
  Speaker 1: back to it. I got to do a couple of
• 1:49:25
  Speaker 1: the requests, I know, and then Loser Cast will return
• 1:49:29
  Speaker 1: tonight at ten pm, so you can check that out.
• 1:49:31
  Speaker 1: The new comedy spectacle that I'm that I'm a part of.
• 1:49:36
  Speaker 1: That's gonna do it. I'll be back out tomorrow morning.
• 1:49:38
  Speaker 1: I suppose. Let me look real quick. I mean, Wednesday
• 1:49:41
  Speaker 1: is usually a big college basketball card and usually a
• 1:49:45
  Speaker 1: lot of the big conference is playing Tuesday Wednesday. Usually
• 1:49:48
  Speaker 1: that's the case. Yeah, I'll still do it in the morning.
• 1:49:52
  Speaker 1: It's not a gigantic card. It's a little bit bigger
• 1:49:54
  Speaker 1: than today's. I think are bored. I should say, that's
• 1:49:56
  Speaker 1: gonna do it. Peace for now, everybody. Six