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PGA Round 3 Showdown - RBC Heritage | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays & Process | 04/18/26 · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

• 0:03
  Speaker 1: All systems go clear. We lift up. Good evening.
• 0:36
  Speaker 2: We are live two days of golf complete at Harbortown.
• 0:40
  Speaker 2: Here to talk the weekend, Here to talk Round three
• 0:44
  Speaker 2: Showdown of the twenty twenty six RBC Heritage. We have
• 0:48
  Speaker 2: a nice little leaderboard at the top. Shout out the Euro.
• 0:51
  Speaker 2: Shout out Luke Donald, got Victor, Matt Fitz up top
• 0:54
  Speaker 2: with Pat and step chasing them all right, sorry, Pat
• 0:58
  Speaker 2: and Harris, Harris English in them little Ryder cup action
• 1:01
  Speaker 2: set and Ludig right behind them.
• 1:04
  Speaker 1: Looking at today's round. We saw a.
• 1:06
  Speaker 2: Few really interesting, really fun rounds and shout out us
• 1:10
  Speaker 2: for being on. Matt Fitz had one of the rounds
• 1:12
  Speaker 2: of the day and he was a core play in
• 1:15
  Speaker 2: this slate plan yesterday.
• 1:16
  Speaker 1: So hopefully you're listened to yesterday show.
• 1:17
  Speaker 2: Hopefully you went to the site, used code boots and
• 1:20
  Speaker 2: got that Matt Fitzpatrick core play, so we had that.
• 1:23
  Speaker 2: Hopefully you got paired him with someone from the Showdown Stone,
• 1:27
  Speaker 2: someone from the projections and landed on a nice little lineup.
• 1:31
  Speaker 2: So Matt Fitzpatrick, Ox Shavit, Patrick Cantley, Victor Hoblin, Kirk
• 1:35
  Speaker 2: Kadiama and Jacob Bridgman all shot rounds of sixty five
• 1:40
  Speaker 2: or better here on my screen looking at.
• 1:43
  Speaker 1: How they did it.
• 1:45
  Speaker 2: A majority of them was all just primal approach play,
• 1:48
  Speaker 2: and that makes a ton of sense for Harbortown. That's
• 1:50
  Speaker 2: what we looked for yesterday and that's what we got.
• 1:54
  Speaker 2: So all of them except for Bob McIntyre and Jacob
• 1:58
  Speaker 2: Bridgman them them two had kind of not anomaly but
• 2:03
  Speaker 2: just flashed in the pan high short game days. I
• 2:06
  Speaker 2: mean not that Bridgman hit it bad, but it was
• 2:07
  Speaker 2: just like very short game driven. This is kind of
• 2:10
  Speaker 2: how Jacob Bridgman does it when he does play well.
• 2:12
  Speaker 2: And then Bob Mack had a really really solid uh
• 2:15
  Speaker 2: whereas Bob Mack, Oh, he actually ended up booting down later. Wow,
• 2:20
  Speaker 2: Holy I did my research and like Bob max on
• 2:25
  Speaker 2: sixteen he's good. And then I had to go run
• 2:27
  Speaker 2: an errand I come back this is insane. So that
• 2:30
  Speaker 2: totally checks out. Because when I was looking at what
• 2:33
  Speaker 2: Bob Mack was doing well, I was like, oh, this
• 2:34
  Speaker 2: is just all short game then it get a horrible approach.
• 2:37
  Speaker 1: Totally checks out.
• 2:38
  Speaker 2: So that makes me happy because I was gonna fade
• 2:41
  Speaker 2: Bob Mack going forward and he just faded up. He
• 2:44
  Speaker 2: did it for himself, he did it for us. We
• 2:46
  Speaker 2: don't have to do it crazy. So I yeah, I
• 2:49
  Speaker 2: go out for five minutes and Bob Mack plays three
• 2:51
  Speaker 2: holes and that's hilarious.
• 2:54
  Speaker 1: I'm actually laughing.
• 2:56
  Speaker 2: Nonetheless, all the guys that played the really good rounds
• 2:59
  Speaker 2: were great approach players. So we're going to try to
• 3:01
  Speaker 2: find some golfers later in the show who fit that
• 3:04
  Speaker 2: bill what we were looking for. Looking at the wave
• 3:06
  Speaker 2: split today, we can give ourselves a pat in the
• 3:08
  Speaker 2: back because we got that right. Bringing my screen back up,
• 3:12
  Speaker 2: you can see that the PM played a little bit
• 3:16
  Speaker 2: harder than the AM. And I said, don't chase that
• 3:20
  Speaker 2: wave split later in the week. Let's get ahead of
• 3:21
  Speaker 2: it tomorrow.
• 3:22
  Speaker 1: And we did. We got ahead of it.
• 3:24
  Speaker 2: Two and a half in the afternoon, or sorry, in
• 3:26
  Speaker 2: the morning, one point one in the two point one
• 3:29
  Speaker 2: in the morning, one point one in the afternoon. So
• 3:31
  Speaker 2: if you definitely, if you stacked, a few of those
• 3:33
  Speaker 2: guys could have led you on the right golfer and
• 3:35
  Speaker 2: paired that with the fits who was in the slate plan,
• 3:37
  Speaker 2: you could have had a really, really nice day. So
• 3:41
  Speaker 2: with that being said, looking at the weather for tomorrow.
• 3:44
  Speaker 2: I'm not so sure, guys. I'm not so sure we're
• 3:48
  Speaker 2: going to get this another AMPM split. It looks a
• 3:53
  Speaker 2: little bit calmer in the morning, but it's not anything
• 3:56
  Speaker 2: to write home about because so it's still going to
• 3:59
  Speaker 2: gust upwards to fifteen sixteen. Here it's blowing a little
• 4:03
  Speaker 2: harder guswards from seventeen to twenty. But the AM golfers
• 4:07
  Speaker 2: are abjectively playing worse golf than the PM golfers. So
• 4:11
  Speaker 2: I think this very, very very slight difference is not
• 4:14
  Speaker 2: enough to outweigh these better golfers in the afternoon.
• 4:16
  Speaker 1: So if people are.
• 4:18
  Speaker 2: Like, damn it, I missed that am AM stack yesterday,
• 4:21
  Speaker 2: they might chase it tomorrow and leave us some nice
• 4:24
  Speaker 2: ownership over here with some objectively better golfers. So I'm
• 4:28
  Speaker 2: not necessarily saying stack the PM, but I'm not going
• 4:31
  Speaker 2: crazy with an AMPM stack for tomorrow.
• 4:34
  Speaker 1: So that's where my head is at. In terms of weather.
• 4:37
  Speaker 2: I think there's a yeah, there's gonna be some guys
• 4:40
  Speaker 2: that go out and shoot rounds, but I don't think
• 4:42
  Speaker 2: there's a reason that you can't do that in the afternoon.
• 4:44
  Speaker 1: We saw it happening today.
• 4:46
  Speaker 2: The golfers is getting a little hot, harder, So I'll
• 4:49
  Speaker 2: talk some some key stats we're looking for. We're going
• 4:51
  Speaker 2: to change it up a little bit for today once
• 4:53
  Speaker 2: we get to it. But first I want to talk
• 4:54
  Speaker 2: about contest selection. I'm really loving this fifty five dollars
• 4:58
  Speaker 2: twelve max. Whenever they this contest comes up, I really
• 5:01
  Speaker 2: like to mention it four k up top four hundred
• 5:04
  Speaker 2: to tenth perfect payout structure in my opinion.
• 5:07
  Speaker 1: And I like this because you can enter twelve lineups.
• 5:09
  Speaker 2: So fifty five times twelve is what six hundred six
• 5:12
  Speaker 2: sixty six sixty not the end of the world if
• 5:16
  Speaker 2: you want to enter three lineups. Only four hundred and
• 5:19
  Speaker 2: thirteen people are in this contest, there's gonna be some overlaight.
• 5:22
  Speaker 2: Not everyone's gonna enter twelve lineups. I think you have
• 5:24
  Speaker 2: a really good chance to have a nice payout in
• 5:27
  Speaker 2: this contest. So this is my favorite one. I remember
• 5:29
  Speaker 2: this contest was my best one of the year. It
• 5:31
  Speaker 2: was Round four at Pebble Beach. So this is my
• 5:33
  Speaker 2: favorite contest of the showdown slates. So going with that,
• 5:38
  Speaker 2: looking at some key site information, we're gonna use that
• 5:43
  Speaker 2: code that's scrolling at the top of the of the
• 5:46
  Speaker 2: of the screen. I'm not gonna show this late the
• 5:48
  Speaker 2: stone because you can get it for free. Use that
• 5:50
  Speaker 2: code boots and get to the showdown stone. Everything that
• 5:53
  Speaker 2: you could ever want is highlighted.
• 5:55
  Speaker 1: True approach. True approach delta.
• 5:58
  Speaker 2: Is massive today, massive this week because this it's right here,
• 6:03
  Speaker 2: true approach delta. This is going to take away the
• 6:07
  Speaker 2: three worst approach shots, two or three worst approach shots
• 6:09
  Speaker 2: on golf course like this where there's a lot of water.
• 6:11
  Speaker 2: Think Corey Connors who went in the water again on
• 6:14
  Speaker 2: number four, is gonna have a bad stroke skin approach number.
• 6:17
  Speaker 2: But that's just one shot to not gonna I don't
• 6:19
  Speaker 2: think one shot is worthy to outweigh a really solid
• 6:23
  Speaker 2: approach day. So what this is gonna do is take
• 6:26
  Speaker 2: out the worst shot of the day, the worst approach
• 6:28
  Speaker 2: shot of the day, and give a delta based on
• 6:31
  Speaker 2: the rest of your shots. We don't want one percent
• 6:33
  Speaker 2: of your shots really outweighing all of your good shots.
• 6:39
  Speaker 2: So this is gonna look at it, and more than anything,
• 6:41
  Speaker 2: it's just a different way to look at approach.
• 6:43
  Speaker 1: Everyone's gonna look at approach, which is.
• 6:45
  Speaker 2: Fine, but this is simply we'll get you on Good Golfer,
• 6:47
  Speaker 2: So use that code find that stat. You'll also get
• 6:51
  Speaker 2: the PGA projections, the showdown projections, as well as my
• 6:56
  Speaker 2: slate plan which is already up. I have my golfers
• 6:58
  Speaker 2: already on there, so go to the site. Use code
• 7:02
  Speaker 2: boots help me help you. Now let's talk about some
• 7:06
  Speaker 2: players who and some key stats that we are looking for. So,
• 7:11
  Speaker 2: as you could see Fitzpatrick, Lea's a way and they're
• 7:14
  Speaker 2: doing it in kind of different ways. Actually that was
• 7:16
  Speaker 2: just around two still kind of different ways, all putting good,
• 7:20
  Speaker 2: all hitting good approach shots. But it's I mean, at
• 7:23
  Speaker 2: the end of the day, it's not really different. It's
• 7:25
  Speaker 2: the profile that we are looking for. It is good
• 7:27
  Speaker 2: approach paired with some solid putting, but at the end
• 7:30
  Speaker 2: of the day, just solid approach. So what I'm looking
• 7:33
  Speaker 2: for for tomorrow is golfers who, yes, are having good
• 7:36
  Speaker 2: approach rounds, good approach Thursday, Friday, trending with the irons.
• 7:40
  Speaker 2: But I want to see something with the short game, honestly,
• 7:44
  Speaker 2: and that is not because I think short game is
• 7:49
  Speaker 2: important here. I just think tomorrow is gonna be a
• 7:50
  Speaker 2: little bit tougher. Guys are already talking about the golf
• 7:53
  Speaker 2: courses getting a little dry. The short game is easy here,
• 7:56
  Speaker 2: but I do think they're good short game players are
• 7:58
  Speaker 2: going to have advantage from which I did not expect
• 8:01
  Speaker 2: to be saying at this point in Harbor for the
• 8:05
  Speaker 2: Harbor Town Show. So let's look at some players who
• 8:07
  Speaker 2: fit that bill. Like it's a golfer we're not gonna
• 8:09
  Speaker 2: go to tomorrow. Michael Brennan, uh, Sammy Vellamachi. Now this
• 8:15
  Speaker 2: is a golfer that I think we can go to tomorrow.
• 8:17
  Speaker 2: Scotty Trufler. I didn't even know it's gonna be Scotty Chefler,
• 8:20
  Speaker 2: but this is he's primed for a pop.
• 8:22
  Speaker 1: Look what he's doing.
• 8:23
  Speaker 2: Zero point four off the tee, zero point two on approach,
• 8:26
  Speaker 2: zero point four around the greens, zero point nine on
• 8:28
  Speaker 2: the greens.
• 8:29
  Speaker 1: If one of those pops, and he's still.
• 8:32
  Speaker 2: Shooting minus four and minus three, he's gonna shoot seven
• 8:35
  Speaker 2: under tomorrow, if and he has great round three in
• 8:37
  Speaker 2: round four scoring. So if one of these can pop
• 8:39
  Speaker 2: for Scotty, look out, let's find some more golfers who
• 8:43
  Speaker 2: fitting that bill. I don't mind going to Ryan Fox.
• 8:46
  Speaker 2: I know we kind of wanted to fade him at
• 8:48
  Speaker 2: in round two and that worked. But his iron plate
• 8:51
  Speaker 2: is not that bad, Like minus three minus point three
• 8:55
  Speaker 2: is not awful. Like this can pop to even a
• 8:58
  Speaker 2: plus point three, and he he keeps that short game up.
• 9:01
  Speaker 2: We know he can make some birdies and have some
• 9:03
  Speaker 2: luck box chippens, and we'll take that and show down
• 9:05
  Speaker 2: all day long. I like to fade him in round two,
• 9:08
  Speaker 2: but I might be back in with him in round three.
• 9:12
  Speaker 2: Xander's short game is really worrying me right now because
• 9:14
  Speaker 2: it's been constantly read, which is not what I like
• 9:16
  Speaker 2: to see this profile. Brian Harmon had a nice bounce
• 9:20
  Speaker 2: back round today and which we kind of figured. We
• 9:22
  Speaker 2: talked about him yesterday and he yet the pop. We
• 9:26
  Speaker 2: know this is a great course fit for him. He's
• 9:27
  Speaker 2: very popular golf of this week. People might have a
• 9:29
  Speaker 2: jumped ship, but he is yet to pop on approach
• 9:32
  Speaker 2: the short game is there.
• 9:33
  Speaker 1: I like that a lot. This is a nice profile.
• 9:35
  Speaker 1: Michael thorpe Jurnson.
• 9:36
  Speaker 2: Anytime he's doing good around the green is a good
• 9:39
  Speaker 2: sign because he's generally losing strokes around the green. I
• 9:41
  Speaker 2: don't necessarily love this putter, but the iron player is
• 9:44
  Speaker 2: in the right direction. We know he's a great iron
• 9:46
  Speaker 2: player as well, so this point four in two rounds
• 9:49
  Speaker 2: can double. He can gain a full stroke on approach
• 9:52
  Speaker 2: would not surprise me at all. Who else down the
• 9:55
  Speaker 2: board a little bit has a nice profile, Brian Campbell.
• 9:58
  Speaker 2: I don't mind he's always gonna lose strokes up the
• 10:00
  Speaker 2: The approach play isn't that bad.
• 10:02
  Speaker 1: The short game is solid. Who else?
• 10:04
  Speaker 2: I don't want to chase Jason Days losing too much
• 10:07
  Speaker 2: on approach. It's crazy, Like you see how as we
• 10:09
  Speaker 2: scroll down this column right here, this is approach. It's
• 10:14
  Speaker 2: so corollary to success. It's crazy how corollary to approach
• 10:18
  Speaker 2: is to success on this golf course. So down here
• 10:21
  Speaker 2: it really gets bleakd. But we might need some guys
• 10:23
  Speaker 2: down here, so I'll try to give you someone. Alex Norn.
• 10:28
  Speaker 2: I don't want to chase minus two around the green.
• 10:29
  Speaker 2: But Alex Norton is generally a really good short game player,
• 10:32
  Speaker 2: a really good chipper, So gaining strokes on approach, I
• 10:35
  Speaker 2: don't mind that at all. And then right here, David
• 10:39
  Speaker 2: Lipsky's he's about a zero one approach a zero around
• 10:44
  Speaker 2: the green. Those are the two stats I'm kind of
• 10:45
  Speaker 2: looking for. So that stat profile is really solid in
• 10:49
  Speaker 2: my opinion for David Lipsky. So that's kind of what
• 10:52
  Speaker 2: I'm looking for. Short by approach, short by around the green.
• 10:56
  Speaker 2: Use those stats to find the players that you that
• 10:59
  Speaker 2: you're constantly looking for tomorrow. So the one player that
• 11:03
  Speaker 2: I am on, I know this segment that we all love,
• 11:05
  Speaker 2: the segment that we are waiting for. I like to
• 11:08
  Speaker 2: scroll up and down from good player to bad player
• 11:11
  Speaker 2: to like price trains, and this is a golfer that
• 11:14
  Speaker 2: I like a lot. I kind of play him a
• 11:17
  Speaker 2: decent bit.
• 11:19
  Speaker 1: Guest.
• 11:20
  Speaker 2: Who do you think I'm on this week on tomorrow?
• 11:22
  Speaker 2: Sorry Tommy Fleetwood. Now this profile doesn't really make sense
• 11:30
  Speaker 2: based on what I am talking about. Minus one point
• 11:32
  Speaker 2: four off the t minus one point two around the green.
• 11:36
  Speaker 2: But look where he was after round one. Tommy Fleetwood
• 11:39
  Speaker 2: lost two and like almost five strokes ball striking in
• 11:42
  Speaker 2: one round. That that's to be one of his worst
• 11:44
  Speaker 2: ball striking rounds of his career, truthfully, but it's all
• 11:48
  Speaker 2: it's in round two he got it back to where
• 11:51
  Speaker 2: to a much better number. That tells me the ball
• 11:53
  Speaker 2: striking is trending in a very very solid direction. The
• 11:57
  Speaker 2: around the green play has also came back. It's great
• 12:00
  Speaker 2: in there. The putter is what it is. I'm not
• 12:02
  Speaker 2: really worried about the putter. I just see this ball
• 12:04
  Speaker 2: striking trending in the right direction for Tommy lad pairedly
• 12:08
  Speaker 2: in my short game, he is at plus one. He's
• 12:13
  Speaker 2: gonna go out with no pressure. He and Tommy loves
• 12:15
  Speaker 2: the back door thing. So I love Tommy Fleetwood tomorrow.
• 12:18
  Speaker 2: I think he's a great candidate for to position himself
• 12:22
  Speaker 2: for a backdoor top ten on Sunday. Maybe ride him
• 12:25
  Speaker 2: on Saturday and Sunday. Yeah, Tommy Fleetwood definitely can make
• 12:29
  Speaker 2: eight birdies like I wouldn't. I'm not saying he's going
• 12:31
  Speaker 2: to make great berdies. I hope he is because he
• 12:33
  Speaker 2: keep playing it because I'm gonna play him. But he
• 12:35
  Speaker 2: can go super low. He can win and do it
• 12:38
  Speaker 2: in difficult conditions.
• 12:40
  Speaker 1: Is there gonna be eight birdies out there tomorrow? Yes?
• 12:43
  Speaker 1: Is it gonna be as often as it was today,
• 12:44
  Speaker 1: I'll say no.
• 12:45
  Speaker 2: But Bogey Voidings I think is going to be more
• 12:48
  Speaker 2: crucial tomorrow than it was today. And Tommy I trust
• 12:51
  Speaker 2: in that regard, So that does it. Song of the
• 12:56
  Speaker 2: Day for today is Bulls in the Bronx by Pierce
• 13:00
  Speaker 2: de Veal, generational band, generational song.
• 13:03
  Speaker 1: As always, Let's ship it.
• 13:05
  Speaker 2: I'll catch you guys tomorrow night with the Round four
• 13:08
  Speaker 2: Showdown preview and yeah, any questions you don't find me,
• 13:11
  Speaker 2: peace out,