Latest / Inside Politics / Coalition combust over net zero. Will the anti-climate action stance work?
Transcript
- 0:02S1: From the newsrooms of the Sydney Morning Herald and The Age.
- 0:05S1: This is inside politics. I'm Jacqueline Maley, it's Friday, September 19th.
- 0:11S1: This week, the government announced its 2035 emissions reduction target,
- 0:15S1: committing Australia to climate action despite a retreat from the
- 0:19S1: US and some other countries. Meanwhile, the coalition looked a
- 0:22S1: lot like it was about to take up arms in
- 0:24S1: the climate wars. Again, our federal political correspondent, Paul Circle
- 0:29S1: has come down with tonsillitis this week, so we're giving
- 0:32S1: him a much needed rest. And we warmly welcome chief
- 0:34S1: political commentator James Massola. Hi, James.
- 0:37S2: Hi, jacks. Good to be with you.
- 0:43S1: James. On Thursday, the government announced its emissions reduction target
- 0:46S1: for 2035. So this is an interim target to get
- 0:49S1: us to net zero by 2050. And it was 62
- 0:51S1: to 70% in reductions.
- 0:54S3: This is a responsible target backed by the science backed
- 0:58S3: by a practical plan to get there and built on
- 1:02S3: proven technology.
- 1:04S1: So what does it mean?
- 1:05S2: Look, I mean, this is something that's been much delayed,
- 1:08S2: the 2035 targets. When we signed up to the Paris
- 1:11S2: climate deal, part of what we signed up to was
- 1:14S2: to set targets each five years. That's what this is
- 1:16S2: basically the thinking being, Jack, that you can't go from
- 1:20S2: standard or current 2020 emissions levels or 20 tens emission
- 1:24S2: levels straight down to zero. You have to do it
- 1:27S2: as a sort of an orderly trajectory, if you like.
- 1:31S2: And so, you know, that's what we're seeing here today.
- 1:32S2: We've had a 43% by 2030. We now see 62%
- 1:36S2: to 70% reduction by 2035. What does it mean? It
- 1:41S2: means us signing up to do more things, more, take
- 1:45S2: more steps in different sectors of the Australian economy to
- 1:48S2: reduce emissions so that we don't sort of have to
- 1:51S2: go off a cliff in 2049, if you like, and
- 1:53S2: suddenly de-industrialized.
- 1:55S1: Yeah, like a journalist with a deadline who starts writing
- 1:58S1: at sort of five minutes to midnight. Well, you and
- 2:00S1: I have never done that. No. So obviously, the climate
- 2:03S1: and energy minister, Chris Bowen, and the Prime Minister and
- 2:06S1: the treasurer and the head of the Climate Change Authority
- 2:09S1: all gave this press conference on Thursday, and they announced
- 2:11S1: $7 billion in funds to put into a sort of
- 2:15S1: pool to help business and industry achieve the target. Jim
- 2:18S1: Chalmers said it was a golden economic opportunity. They said
- 2:21S1: it would be an orderly transition, very much in contrast
- 2:24S1: to what they said the coalition had done, which was
- 2:27S1: a disorderly, kind of chaotic transition that was no good
- 2:29S1: for anyone. I want to talk about the coalition because
- 2:33S1: even before the target was announced on Thursday, we saw
- 2:37S1: members of the coalition get right out in front of
- 2:39S1: it and start laying out their opposition not to the
- 2:42S1: interim target, but to the overall target of net zero
- 2:45S1: by 2050, which is what we've signed up to under
- 2:48S1: the Paris Agreement. Andrew Hastie, the shadow home affairs minister
- 2:51S1: and prominent WA conservative, was the first sort of cab
- 2:54S1: out of the rank. What did he have to say, James?
- 2:57S2: What? Andrew Hastie said, basically, Jack was if the coalition
- 3:01S2: remained committed to net zero by 2050, his position on
- 3:06S2: the frontbench would be untenable and he would have to resign.
- 3:09S4: If Susan Lee, though, supports net zero by 2050. Where
- 3:14S4: does that leave you?
- 3:17S5: That leaves me without a job.
- 3:20S2: Because he just couldn't ever bring himself to support that target.
- 3:23S5: Um, you know, I've nailed my colours to the mast.
- 3:26S5: I went on four corners and I said, the net
- 3:28S5: zero policy is a straitjacket for our economy and our country.
- 3:32S5: And I believe that I'm actually quite passionate about it.
- 3:34S2: In one sense, that's a statement of fact. We already
- 3:37S2: know as well that that's what Andrew Hastie thinks, in
- 3:40S2: the sense that he's been very vocal in his opposition
- 3:43S2: to the 2050 target for net zero target for some time.
- 3:46S1: He said it would be an economic straitjacket for the nation,
- 3:49S1: which is exactly the opposite of what Chalmers said.
- 3:52S2: Yeah. Look. Exactly. Chalmers modelling talked about billions or I
- 3:55S2: think even close to trillions in extra GDP generated through
- 3:59S2: to 2050. If we pursue the so-called orderly transition model,
- 4:03S2: which is what Labor's doing.
- 4:05S6: The baseline scenario would see our economy $2.2 trillion bigger
- 4:11S6: by 2050, an extra $36,000 per person wealthier with 5.1
- 4:17S6: million more jobs and investment up 80%. Now that's the
- 4:21S6: baseline scenario.
- 4:23S2: Which Hastie thinks it's a disaster, he says we should
- 4:25S2: be putting consumers first. He wants Australia to be an
- 4:28S2: energy superpower, he says. You know, we've gone from having
- 4:31S2: some of the cheapest electricity in the world to some
- 4:33S2: of the most expensive. He wants to reframe the debate around,
- 4:37S2: I guess, cost to household retail to manufacturing cost to business.
- 4:40S2: It's very retail. Yeah, exactly.
- 4:42S1: Yeah, yeah. And I want to get on to that
- 4:43S1: strategy later, because I think it's really interesting. And it
- 4:45S1: could be really effective for the coalition. But just so
- 4:48S1: Andrew Hastie comes out at the beginning of the week
- 4:49S1: and then he's backed up by Senator Jonathon Duniam of Tasmania,
- 4:54S1: who said that there would be a mass exodus from
- 4:57S1: the coalition if the coalition signed up to net zero
- 5:00S1: at any cost.
- 5:01S7: Well, look, if we just said net zero at any
- 5:04S7: cost by 2050, I think you'd find there'd be a
- 5:07S7: mass exodus. The reality is.
- 5:09S1: And then towards the end of the week, I just
- 5:11S1: started hearing this phrase a lot more at any cost.
- 5:13S1: We're not going to go for net zero at any cost.
- 5:16S1: Is this their new line, James? Because Sussan Ley also
- 5:18S1: trotted it out when she gave a talk this week
- 5:21S1: I think on Wednesday.
- 5:22S2: Yeah. Look I think that's right. Other MPs indeed have
- 5:26S2: come out and supported Hastie and Duniam as well and
- 5:28S2: said we need to junk this policy. Now, of course,
- 5:30S2: the context here, Jack, is that the coalition plan is
- 5:34S2: to have a year long review led by Dan Tehan
- 5:37S2: of climate policy, so they can all get together, hold
- 5:40S2: hands and agree on some. Well, you know, whatever the
- 5:43S2: policy might be. Yeah, there's a whole bunch of people
- 5:45S2: in the coalition who think the price of entry back
- 5:47S2: into metropolitan seats of which they hold almost none. Now
- 5:51S2: is to have a credible climate policy to stay committed
- 5:54S2: to 2050 and net zero emissions. And then there's a
- 5:57S2: whole bunch of people who think, no way this is
- 5:59S2: economic suicide. We cannot do this. I don't see how
- 6:02S2: that year long review, how it doesn't get crunched down
- 6:06S2: into a couple more weeks. And when we return to
- 6:08S2: Parliament in October, the coalition will have, I believe, I
- 6:12S2: understand they'll have to have some kind of a policy
- 6:16S2: to talk about, because at the moment they're trying to
- 6:18S2: reframe the debate as you as you've just touched on
- 6:20S2: the at any cost thing. And I think that's Susan
- 6:23S2: Lee recognising that the parameters, if you like, in which
- 6:26S2: within which she has to work, but they need they've
- 6:29S2: got they've got nothing to show.
- 6:30S1: Yeah. It's a question now of how long they can
- 6:32S1: repeat that line for. We are not going to go
- 6:34S1: for net zero at any cost. Well what is the cost.
- 6:37S1: Are you going to go for net zero at all.
- 6:39S1: Like they're going to be facing these questions again and
- 6:41S1: again and again, particularly when Parliament returns, as you say.
- 6:44S1: But it doesn't look like Hastie has done this coincidentally,
- 6:47S1: or just because, you know, he happened to be asked.
- 6:50S1: On the fly. It looks quite strategic. And his colleague
- 6:53S1: or his sort of factional colleague, Senator Duniam, has come
- 6:57S1: out very much in concert with him. And we've seen obviously,
- 7:00S1: the Nats come out in concert as well on this
- 7:03S1: issue and say that basically they're never going to support
- 7:05S1: net zero. So Sussan Ley is kind of in an
- 7:07S1: impossible position now isn't she?
- 7:09S2: She pretty much is. Look, there's a really interesting thing
- 7:11S2: that's happening inside the coalition at the moment that I'm
- 7:14S2: trying to keep track of and write about Jack. And
- 7:16S2: that's that. There's a real split in the national right
- 7:19S2: or conservative faction of the party between a younger generation
- 7:23S2: who want the party to be pragmatic. Some of these
- 7:26S2: guys actually do support having targets. And then there's a
- 7:28S2: sort of an older generation of MPs, if you like,
- 7:31S2: who are just not net zero. It can't happen at
- 7:34S2: any cost. It can't happen at all type thing. I
- 7:37S2: don't know how they're going to resolve this, but this
- 7:39S2: is the kind of at its heart, this is the
- 7:41S2: battle that's going on for the soul of the Liberal
- 7:43S2: Party at the moment. And Susan Lee. Unfortunately, sitting on
- 7:46S2: top of that much reduced pile of MPs. You know
- 7:50S2: that party room of MPs and it's a powder keg.
- 7:52S1: And she does not want to be the leader who
- 7:55S1: presides over basically a split in the coalition or even
- 7:58S1: a split in the Liberal Party over this issue. But
- 8:00S1: if she signs up to the net zero target, her
- 8:02S1: own leadership is going to be under threat. I mean,
- 8:04S1: that seems pretty clear. But if she doesn't, then, as
- 8:07S1: you've just said, the liberals are perhaps consigning themselves to
- 8:10S1: a very, very, very long period in opposition. I just
- 8:13S1: do want to note, though, that the liberals are kind
- 8:15S1: of getting a little bit more coherent, I would say,
- 8:17S1: in their arguments against net zero. So they're sort of now,
- 8:21S1: from what I can gather, they're saying, you know, it's
- 8:23S1: going to push up electricity costs. It already has the
- 8:26S1: race to to lower emissions. Emissions are not going down anyway.
- 8:30S1: You know, the government hasn't succeeded so far in pushing
- 8:33S1: down emissions. And why should we pinch our economy and
- 8:36S1: also our household budgets when Australia only accounts for 1%
- 8:39S1: of emissions? These are all arguments that they're using. Do
- 8:42S1: you think that if they repeat those arguments again and
- 8:45S1: again and again with really credible, strong voices, like maybe
- 8:49S1: your Andrew Hastie's, they're going to cut through. After a while.
- 8:54S2: I think there's a chance of that happening. I mean,
- 8:56S2: and you and I have both seen this happen before, jacki,
- 8:59S2: particularly that line, you know, Australia is only 1% of
- 9:01S2: the world's emissions. I mean, that is true. That was
- 9:04S2: used very effectively by Tony Abbott back in 2009 through
- 9:08S2: to 2013.
- 9:08S1: Whatever we do, it's not going to make. It's not
- 9:10S1: it's not going to make that much difference anyway. So
- 9:12S1: why would we bother? I mean, there's a lot of
- 9:13S1: counterarguments to that, but it is a strong argument.
- 9:16S2: Yeah. Look. Absolutely. I mean, I think one of the
- 9:18S2: most fascinating things here. Well, sorry, I'll make two points.
- 9:21S2: One is we've seen a fight in the coalition in
- 9:24S2: the last week over a number that we don't have
- 9:27S2: to reach for 25 years. They have no credible answer
- 9:30S2: to how to get there. Or should they get there,
- 9:31S2: or will they get there? Or will they try and
- 9:33S2: get there? But they can't even settle something as far
- 9:36S2: out down the track as that with, you know, potentially,
- 9:40S2: you know, policies that are a bit TBC. We're actually
- 9:44S2: seeing an orderly plan over the next ten years to
- 9:47S2: get to 62 to 70% emissions reductions, like they can't.
- 9:51S2: That's the harder question. What are they going to do
- 9:53S2: about do about on this? We have absolutely no idea
- 9:56S2: at all. And that's you know, that's that's where the
- 9:59S2: debate now moves.
- 10:00S8: The coalition is hopelessly divided on targets for 2050. So
- 10:04S8: how can the coalition have any credibility on targets for
- 10:06S8: 2035 ten?
- 10:08S9: And I have just come out of a shadow cabinet
- 10:10S9: meeting where I can assure you there was absolutely no
- 10:12S9: division in opposing Labor's latest piece of train wreck energy policy.
- 10:19S9: And we know that we're doing this on behalf of
- 10:22S9: hard working Australians who actually expect better.
- 10:25S1: Well, it depends how successful. I would say the coalition
- 10:27S1: is at reframing the debate and in pulling it back
- 10:30S1: onto their territory, because I just keep thinking about the
- 10:33S1: The Voice campaign. It's not a completely sort of pure analogy,
- 10:36S1: but the coalition signed up to the no Case for
- 10:40S1: the voice campaign, when the polling showed that the majority
- 10:44S1: of Australians supported The Voice and were going to vote
- 10:47S1: yes for it, and they basically threw a very effective campaign,
- 10:50S1: helped by various other elements and parties and lobby groups
- 10:53S1: were able to change a public opinion. So maybe they're
- 10:56S1: betting on being able to do the same thing here.
- 10:59S2: Yeah. Look, I think that's right. And even I actually
- 11:02S2: think your analogy is quite a good one, because if
- 11:05S2: you remember back to voice, who helped lead the decision
- 11:08S2: for the coalition, like it wasn't a joint decision. Yeah.
- 11:11S2: The Nats went first and they were helped by, you know,
- 11:14S2: led by Jacinta Price in that she's a strong opponent
- 11:17S2: of net zero. She's close to Andrew Hastie. Hastie has
- 11:21S2: just done arguably something in terms of similar damage to
- 11:25S2: what she did when she went out and took the
- 11:28S2: Nats with her ahead of the liberals. She dragged them
- 11:31S2: kicking and screaming, and we might see that again. Or,
- 11:33S2: you know, conversely, do we see. Yeah. Do we see
- 11:37S2: a split in the parties? I mean, it's not I'm
- 11:39S2: not saying it's an 80% chance, but I don't think
- 11:42S2: it's a it's a not zero chance.
- 11:44S1: If that makes sense. But I mean, the other the counter,
- 11:46S1: the counter argument I guess is that, that. Yeah, they
- 11:47S1: won the battle on on The Voice. But they didn't
- 11:50S1: win the war. I mean, it didn't it didn't help
- 11:51S1: them at all. In fact, you could almost say, you know,
- 11:54S1: it was sort of against their interest to win that
- 11:56S1: in terms of the overall party brand by the time
- 11:59S1: they got to the election.
- 12:00S2: I think they learned the wrong lesson from the voice
- 12:03S2: that by going hard, by opposing, by standing for something,
- 12:07S2: you know, opposing for opposing sake, by using that kind
- 12:09S2: of abbotonians, if that's a word.
- 12:12S1: Yeah.
- 12:13S2: Form of opposition that that would propel them to the
- 12:16S2: election victory. What I think actually happened with voice is
- 12:18S2: that people didn't like it. They voted against it, but
- 12:21S2: they didn't hold it against Anthony Albanese at all. They said,
- 12:24S2: this is the thing you believed in. You gave it
- 12:25S2: a go. You didn't go on about it after you lost,
- 12:28S2: you know. Good on.
- 12:29S1: You. And it was a discrete issue. It wasn't a
- 12:31S1: whole of economy, sort of globalized sort of issue. It
- 12:33S1: was just a discrete referendum vote. I mean, as you
- 12:36S1: referred to before, the coalition support has absolutely tanked in
- 12:39S1: key demographics, like really big demographics, like female voters, young voters.
- 12:44S1: So Gen Z and Gen Y voters. And in metropolitan
- 12:47S1: areas like they have less than a handful of metropolitan
- 12:50S1: seats now. And these voter cohorts are also the ones
- 12:53S1: who want to see, we know from research, also want
- 12:55S1: to see climate action. So even if they manage to
- 12:58S1: sort of the coalition takes a stand against net zero
- 13:00S1: and manages to keep the coalition or the liberals together
- 13:03S1: and even have a point of difference and maybe win
- 13:05S1: over some voters. How are they ever going to get
- 13:07S1: back those cohorts if they take a sort of anti-climate action,
- 13:12S1: if you like branding?
- 13:14S2: I tend to agree with that analysis. But the counterargument that,
- 13:18S2: you know, the sort of Andrew Hastie's of this world
- 13:20S2: will make and are making is that if we don't
- 13:24S2: stand for anything, if we're just Labour lite, then people
- 13:28S2: will just vote Labour. And if we're just a small,
- 13:30S2: smaller target version of them, they'll just vote for Labour.
- 13:32S2: Whereas if we come out as hastie's trying to do
- 13:35S2: reframe the debate, say it's about energy security and what
- 13:38S2: have you, that might work. Yeah, I wanted to read something.
- 13:42S2: You know, I touched before on this sort of divisions
- 13:44S2: within the party between the older and younger generations. I
- 13:47S2: noticed something on Tim Wilson, who's a Melbourne MP, his
- 13:49S2: Facebook page, how he's trying to reframe the debate about
- 13:53S2: climate in a different way to Andrew Hastie, the way
- 13:56S2: he's talking about this and he's not Robinson Crusoe in
- 13:59S2: the party room. His approach to energy policy should be
- 14:02S2: or he believes the coalition's approach should be, net zero
- 14:05S2: price increases and net zero outages. And then after that,
- 14:09S2: we work about how we get to net zero. Now
- 14:11S2: that there's a fair bit of colouring in to be
- 14:15S2: done there, like, you know, what are the policies you'll
- 14:17S2: actually implement. But that is a more, I guess, suburban friendly,
- 14:22S2: punter friendly pitch, if you like, that people could take up.
- 14:26S1: Yeah. So how would you I mean, how would you
- 14:28S1: sort of describe or characterize that pitch?
- 14:31S2: I think that's very much more saying he's on board
- 14:34S2: with net zero and the coalition should be on board
- 14:36S2: with net zero. It's obviously providing zero details about what
- 14:39S2: your mix of energy sources, for example, would be to
- 14:41S2: get there. But it's also appealing to Australians hip pockets
- 14:46S2: without saying I'm a dinosaur who doesn't believe in climate change,
- 14:51S2: which is, I think, what some people hear when they
- 14:52S2: hear Andrew Hastie or Barnaby or whoever talking about their
- 14:56S2: opposition to net zero. So it's he's in a different
- 15:00S2: spot on the pendulum or spectrum, if you like.
- 15:02S1: Yeah. What about the global situation? Because that's something that
- 15:05S1: the coalition MPs are bringing up again and again. And
- 15:08S1: they're kind of right, aren't they? They're saying, you know,
- 15:10S1: the US under Trump has pulled out of the Paris
- 15:12S1: Agreement entirely. People talk about Canada having sort of watered down,
- 15:16S1: even though they've got like a sort of centre left
- 15:18S1: government there. They've watered down their emissions reduction targets under
- 15:22S1: pressure from from the right, from the conservatives. I mean,
- 15:25S1: are we seeing a bit of a global retreat on
- 15:26S1: this issue, and could that leave Australia out on a
- 15:29S1: bit of a limb.
- 15:30S2: Look, we are seeing a global retreat. Absolutely. The war
- 15:34S2: in Ukraine has played a significant role in that, too, Jackie,
- 15:37S2: because you've seen countries like Germany who are on track
- 15:40S2: to decommission nuclear power stations, suddenly have to turn back
- 15:43S2: to coal fired power stations, which is obviously not a
- 15:46S2: solution for the long term. We've seen the UK start
- 15:49S2: to retreat in the form of the conservative opposition, from
- 15:52S2: its commitment to net zero and climate action. I think
- 15:54S2: China's target is net zero by 2060, so they're already
- 15:59S2: not on the same trajectory. As, you know, Western nations
- 16:02S2: have been. I think India is roughly in the same basket.
- 16:06S2: It's not just the US that this is happening in
- 16:08S2: that trade off, that eternal fight between do you want
- 16:11S2: to do something for the environment? Oh yeah, that sounds great.
- 16:14S2: Do you want to pay out of your own pocket
- 16:17S2: to do something for the environment? Yeah, I'm not so
- 16:18S2: sure about that. That's at the heart of what's going
- 16:21S2: on here, I think.
- 16:21S1: Yeah. So the government, we saw them on Thursday try
- 16:24S1: to particularly Chalmers I thought just try to be really
- 16:26S1: upbeat about it. And you know Chalmers was basically saying
- 16:28S1: there's going to be money in your pocket. Like they
- 16:30S1: talked about an analysis, which, you know, I mean, there
- 16:33S1: was a blizzard of numbers going around, but they talked
- 16:36S1: about their analysis being that each Australian would themselves sort
- 16:41S1: of be enriched by tens of thousands of dollars a
- 16:44S1: year under the economic modelling scenario. I mean, what are
- 16:48S1: the risks for the government here if they're making those
- 16:50S1: sort of promises and saying this is a golden economic opportunity,
- 16:54S1: this is going to be wonderful. We're going to have a,
- 16:55S1: you know, a brave new, a brave new dawn. And
- 16:58S1: then people are like, actually, my my electricity is really
- 17:01S1: expensive and we're having power outages or whatever the consequences
- 17:05S1: of this transition might be.
- 17:07S2: Yeah. Look, I haven't had a chance to go through
- 17:09S2: all the Treasurer's, um, or the Treasury's modelling yet. Jack. Well, you.
- 17:13S1: Can work on that over the weekend. I think there's.
- 17:15S2: A few graphs and stuff in my assignments. Due Monday. No, um,
- 17:18S2: I a few numbers that I did see that I've
- 17:20S2: read that sort of stood out to me, um, to
- 17:23S2: get to the 62 to 70% target. We need to
- 17:26S2: get about 50% of car sales to be EVs by 2035.
- 17:31S2: We need to double the number of solar panels on
- 17:34S2: residential roofs. We need to triple the amount of solar
- 17:38S2: in commercial buildings. Yeah, I think it's like, say 6%
- 17:42S2: cut in emissions. Agricultural emissions, about 15% more anticipated to
- 17:46S2: be needed in the electricity sector overall. A number that
- 17:50S2: I saw that I didn't understand at all. So 62
- 17:53S2: to 70% reduction means, I think it was a 72
- 17:56S2: to 81% reduction per capita or per Australian. Right. Which
- 18:01S2: is a lot. So in theory maybe Treasury. And again
- 18:04S2: I haven't read the modelling, but perhaps they're saying you'll
- 18:07S2: be better off because the chances are we'll all have
- 18:09S2: solar panels so we'll all have cheaper electricity. Yeah. Maybe
- 18:12S2: that's how they got to the number. Yeah, I don't know.
- 18:15S1: Yeah. We'll all be cycling to work. And, um, I
- 18:17S1: don't know exactly. Diligently, um, sorting our paper from our
- 18:22S1: tin in the recycling bin. That's not part of emissions.
- 18:25S1: But you know what I'm talking about.
- 18:26S2: Yeah.
- 18:27S1: Yes, yes. I mean, that was one of the interesting
- 18:29S1: things that Chris Bowen actually said was that he sort
- 18:31S1: of tried to almost do kind of like a this
- 18:33S1: is a war effort kind of thing. Like we're counting
- 18:35S1: on every Australian. It's not just the government. Private investment
- 18:39S1: is going to lead this, which was sort of a
- 18:41S1: liberal lite kind of line, I thought. Private investment is
- 18:43S1: going to lead this. And also individual Australians are all
- 18:46S1: going to have to do their part. And I suppose
- 18:49S1: that that is true, like all of us will have
- 18:50S1: to put our money where our mouth is if we
- 18:52S1: want emissions to come down, if we actually support this cause.
- 18:55S2: Yeah. Look, that's absolutely right. And if I can take
- 18:58S2: a step back, you just you touched on something there
- 19:00S2: that I don't think we've covered yet. The line of
- 19:03S2: the day or the catchphrase of the day was ambitious
- 19:05S2: but achievable, ambitious but achievable. You know, I think the
- 19:08S2: PM said at some point about we're not on a
- 19:10S2: crusade or whatever it might be like. We're not going
- 19:13S2: beyond 70%. We're doing what the the science and the
- 19:16S2: economic modelling says we can do in an affordable enough way,
- 19:20S2: essentially politically, What labor is doing is quite smart with this,
- 19:24S2: this rhetoric. They're playing themselves in the center. They're positioning
- 19:28S2: the greens out as a far left. The liberals and
- 19:31S2: the liberals are frankly helping this by fighting amongst themselves.
- 19:34S2: They're over on the far right where the sensible guys
- 19:36S2: in the middle. Trust us, you know, this will be orderly.
- 19:39S2: Here's the modelling. Let's see how it plays out over
- 19:42S2: the next ten years.
- 19:43S1: Yeah, absolutely. And you know, the global uncertainty and also
- 19:48S1: just the power of bill shock I think, you know,
- 19:50S1: is not to be underestimated. And the word that you
- 19:52S1: made up on this podcast earlier, Aberdonian politics has shown
- 19:55S1: us the power of Bill shock is strong and very
- 19:58S1: effective in the electorate. James, that's been so interesting. Thank
- 20:01S1: you for coming on. Thank you for inventing a new word.
- 20:03S1: We're going to take it up. We'll put it in
- 20:05S1: the Inside Politics dictionary.
- 20:07S2: On that, on that Aberdonian thought, I'll never forget driving
- 20:11S2: through Halls Creek in north western Western Australia in the
- 20:14S2: middle of that campaign, like two months before the 2010 election,
- 20:18S2: stopping in a pub to get a beer, and the
- 20:20S2: first thing the publican starts talking to me about is
- 20:22S2: the carbon tax and how it's pushed up his bills.
- 20:24S2: And Tony Abbott, to his credit, you know, in one sense,
- 20:28S2: had been campaigning so effectively that had permeated all the
- 20:31S2: way through to Halls Creek in far flung WA.
- 20:34S1: Yeah. There you go. Thanks, James. See you soon.
- 20:36S2: Thanks, Jack.
- 20:39S1: Today's episode was produced by Chee Wong. Our executive producer
- 20:43S1: is Tammy Mills, and Tom McKendrick is our head of audio.
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- 21:08S1: I'm Jacqueline Maley, thank you for listening.