Latest / Toadstool Sports / WEDNESDAY BEST BETS | College Basketball Conference Tournaments & NHL & NBA | 3/11/26

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WEDNESDAY BEST BETS | College Basketball Conference Tournaments & NHL & NBA | 3/11/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:01
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on Own
• 0:06
  Speaker 1: seven run over the last two days after tonight it
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: was just complete bullshit. So that's that's what I'm gonna
• 0:12
  Speaker 1: start off this show. Horrible Sunday one and five. I
• 0:15
  Speaker 1: don't even know what to tell you about that. I
• 0:18
  Speaker 1: just don't want to do this anymore. I have never
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: seen anything like this. Man with the slump continuing. Two
• 0:25
  Speaker 1: straight losses, not a good day at all. Own four,
• 0:28
  Speaker 1: I have not had a good season. Man with wookends
• 0:33
  Speaker 1: the slump that I'm on, and the slump continues, I've
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: reached a new peak. Actually, I'm going to burn my
• 0:41
  Speaker 1: Bruins hat man. I don't know what is going on
• 0:44
  Speaker 1: with the Bruins. Arch hate? Is that what it is?
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: I don't even know it's March ninth, I think who
• 0:50
  Speaker 1: even knows? Man, I don't know what data is anymore.
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: But I don't even know what data is anymore. Man,
• 0:55
  Speaker 1: back with you after the worst day that I could
• 0:58
  Speaker 1: possibly have with you, as I always am until I die,
• 1:03
  Speaker 1: at least oh and two. Yesterday and yesterday it did
• 1:07
  Speaker 1: not go well for me. Own five the worst month
• 1:11
  Speaker 1: that I've ever had in my eighteen years doing this.
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 1:15
  Speaker 1: To the slumperies, the slump discontinuous, the slump continues. Somebody
• 1:21
  Speaker 1: fucking kill me, please. I don't even know what I
• 1:25
  Speaker 1: should do at this point other than potentially end it all.
• 1:33
  Speaker 1: What's up, everybody, It's towed back with you with the
• 1:35
  Speaker 1: Toadstool Sports. It is Wednesday, March eleventh. Not a good
• 1:40
  Speaker 1: day on the show. Yesterday, it looked like we were
• 1:43
  Speaker 1: gonna get it done with Mercy Hurst. They were covering
• 1:45
  Speaker 1: I think pretty much the majority of that game. The
• 1:47
  Speaker 1: game was tied with four minutes to go. They wind
• 1:51
  Speaker 1: up not covering and losing my nine in a game
• 1:54
  Speaker 1: that long Island didn't really need to win, although they
• 1:58
  Speaker 1: did have the home crowd, you know, but still it's
• 2:02
  Speaker 1: like you're winning it in name only, you know. I
• 2:05
  Speaker 1: don't know. I'm pissed about that. And then we got
• 2:08
  Speaker 1: the win with the Islanders. And you might say, well,
• 2:11
  Speaker 1: we got lucky because they were down three to nothing
• 2:13
  Speaker 1: in that game. They wound up tying and winning in
• 2:16
  Speaker 1: overtime after they were down three to nothing in the
• 2:18
  Speaker 1: second period. But if you look at the game like
• 2:20
  Speaker 1: they dominated that game statistically. There was a point where
• 2:23
  Speaker 1: they were outshooting who are they playing in that game?
• 2:26
  Speaker 1: I don't even remember. Oh yeah, the Blues. They suck.
• 2:28
  Speaker 1: The Islanders are out shooting them twenty three to five
• 2:32
  Speaker 1: in the first period and they were losing the game
• 2:34
  Speaker 1: one to nothing. You got to be kidding me, dude.
• 2:37
  Speaker 1: There was a point where they had like a forty
• 2:38
  Speaker 1: to seventeen shot edge and they were losing three to one.
• 2:42
  Speaker 1: It's insane, the Islanders. The game should not have even
• 2:46
  Speaker 1: been close. Statistically, it was a blowout Islanders win. But
• 2:50
  Speaker 1: we did get we did get it right, We did
• 2:52
  Speaker 1: get the win. And then the Minnesota Timberwolves, I don't
• 2:55
  Speaker 1: know what they did. They're winning the game throughout the
• 2:57
  Speaker 1: first half and then they had the worst second half
• 3:00
  Speaker 1: that you'll ever see. I don't know what that was. Ah.
• 3:03
  Speaker 1: So I'm pissed about that. We're gonna move on it today.
• 3:06
  Speaker 1: I'm only gonna have one play. I'm trying to be
• 3:08
  Speaker 1: really really selective here. We're going to college basketball with
• 3:12
  Speaker 1: the one play today. I mean, there were only two
• 3:14
  Speaker 1: hockey games and six NBA games. I'm skipping all that,
• 3:18
  Speaker 1: trying to just pinpoint the one thing that I want
• 3:20
  Speaker 1: that I think gives us an edge with numbers and
• 3:23
  Speaker 1: pretty much with the situation, and it was one. It's
• 3:27
  Speaker 1: a situation. I was kind of eyeballing anyway, So we're
• 3:30
  Speaker 1: going with this one play in college of basketball. You know,
• 3:36
  Speaker 1: I was briefly gonna mention NFL stuff. I guess because
• 3:41
  Speaker 1: the free agent market is going crazy and everybody's talking about, Oh,
• 3:44
  Speaker 1: the Dolphins are idiots signing Malik Willis. I'm like, I
• 3:49
  Speaker 1: don't think they are. Dude, like Tua Is, he's not
• 3:53
  Speaker 1: good dude. Tua who is now I guess going to
• 3:56
  Speaker 1: be I guess the starter for the Falcons. I have
• 3:59
  Speaker 1: no idea. He's no good dude. I'm like the Dolphins.
• 4:03
  Speaker 1: They just got run to the ground. Tu O was terrible,
• 4:06
  Speaker 1: the organization was terrible, the coaching was terrible. With McDaniel.
• 4:11
  Speaker 1: Malik Willis, he's actually good. People just haven't seen that
• 4:15
  Speaker 1: much of him because he's always being a backup. But like,
• 4:18
  Speaker 1: I had that bet that I gave out on the
• 4:19
  Speaker 1: show on the Ravens against them against the Packers when
• 4:22
  Speaker 1: he was playing with the Packers towards the end of
• 4:25
  Speaker 1: the season. If he didn't get hurt in that game.
• 4:28
  Speaker 1: I mean, I don't know that bet might have been
• 4:30
  Speaker 1: a little bit different. We probably still would have won it.
• 4:32
  Speaker 1: But Willis was awesome in that game. Dude, he can
• 4:35
  Speaker 1: run all over the place. He had multiple like rushing
• 4:37
  Speaker 1: touchdowns in that game. I'm pretty sure that's what he does.
• 4:40
  Speaker 1: People make fun of his college career because they think
• 4:43
  Speaker 1: he played where did he play at Liberty maybe? And
• 4:48
  Speaker 1: you know, like his college numbers didn't look that good.
• 4:50
  Speaker 1: He like didn't really play that much or college. To
• 4:53
  Speaker 1: be honest, he did have a win in the cure
• 4:56
  Speaker 1: Ble where he ran all over the place against coach
• 5:00
  Speaker 1: Caroline if I remember correctly. Yeah, I think Willis is
• 5:04
  Speaker 1: not that bad. There's a reason why he's one of
• 5:05
  Speaker 1: the higher paid backups and he adds like a different
• 5:08
  Speaker 1: dynamic to the game with his legs. So yeah, I
• 5:12
  Speaker 1: don't know about any of that. I know there have
• 5:14
  Speaker 1: been some other signings and stuff. I know Max Crosby
• 5:18
  Speaker 1: that thing fell through. The Ravens were supposedly signing him
• 5:22
  Speaker 1: and then he failed as physical so I guess he's
• 5:25
  Speaker 1: still on the Raiders. I don't know, man, I have
• 5:28
  Speaker 1: no idea, but whatever I will do an NFL season
• 5:34
  Speaker 1: win total show because I did really well with that
• 5:36
  Speaker 1: last year. The three that I gave out is like
• 5:39
  Speaker 1: the ones that like you should actually bet all of
• 5:41
  Speaker 1: them won last year, so we might have I might
• 5:46
  Speaker 1: have some things to say about the about the season
• 5:49
  Speaker 1: win totals soon, but I like to let, you know,
• 5:54
  Speaker 1: let the free agent market kind of relax. I like
• 5:56
  Speaker 1: the draft to happen first and whatever, so that'll be
• 5:58
  Speaker 1: in April, and then come in to do the win
• 6:01
  Speaker 1: totals after that, because they think you can already bet them.
• 6:03
  Speaker 1: But I like to wait until we really know, like
• 6:05
  Speaker 1: what's going on with these teams. Even though obviously that's
• 6:09
  Speaker 1: gonna be information. It's gonna affect the line, but you know,
• 6:12
  Speaker 1: I don't think you want to bet this early without
• 6:14
  Speaker 1: having that information. So all right, let's get into college basketball.
• 6:18
  Speaker 1: We're in conference tournament week. The Atlantic Ten is kicking
• 6:23
  Speaker 1: off today with their opening round starting at eleven thirty
• 6:26
  Speaker 1: am on USA Network with Saint Bonaventure in LaSalle. There's
• 6:31
  Speaker 1: no doubt about it that Saint Bonaventure is the better
• 6:33
  Speaker 1: of these two teams. They are the favorite here, even
• 6:36
  Speaker 1: though they actually lost to Lasal during the regular season.
• 6:39
  Speaker 1: Believe it or not. I think they only played once.
• 6:42
  Speaker 1: They lost by four at LaSalle. LASAL is not the
• 6:46
  Speaker 1: better team though, I think besides Loyol Chicago, I think
• 6:49
  Speaker 1: LASAL is the worst team in this conference. I think
• 6:52
  Speaker 1: Saint Bonaventure has been an unlucky team and is better
• 6:56
  Speaker 1: than people think they are. Bonaventure is a five and
• 6:58
  Speaker 1: a half way favorite here. It looks like the money
• 7:01
  Speaker 1: is fading them here though, seventy one percent of tickets
• 7:03
  Speaker 1: and only fifty five percent of the cash on them.
• 7:06
  Speaker 1: So the market read is saying LASAL. I somewhat disagree
• 7:10
  Speaker 1: with that. I mean, I think Bonaventure will win the
• 7:13
  Speaker 1: game that I mean, they're the better team, so that's
• 7:17
  Speaker 1: what I have to go with. But like I don't
• 7:19
  Speaker 1: know about as far as covering, though I don't really
• 7:21
  Speaker 1: have a great read on the game. Bonaventure finished the
• 7:24
  Speaker 1: season bad with three losses in a row, So again
• 7:27
  Speaker 1: I kind of like how that sets up, because you
• 7:29
  Speaker 1: can sort of reset when you get into the conference tournament.
• 7:32
  Speaker 1: You know, for LASAL they did lose their last game
• 7:38
  Speaker 1: as well, so both teams are coming into this with
• 7:40
  Speaker 1: probably the ability to reset. I suppose the other thing
• 7:43
  Speaker 1: I like about St. St. Bonadventure is that they're one
• 7:46
  Speaker 1: game below five hundred. So that can kind of be
• 7:49
  Speaker 1: a mental motivator as well, like because you you know,
• 7:53
  Speaker 1: basically if St. Bonaventure, well, they'll have to win two
• 7:56
  Speaker 1: games to officially have a winning season because they can't win,
• 8:00
  Speaker 1: then lose, and then they'll you know, if that happens,
• 8:02
  Speaker 1: they'll still be below five hundred. But you know, I
• 8:05
  Speaker 1: think it motivates you a little bit more, like you
• 8:06
  Speaker 1: want to try to not have a losing season. So
• 8:09
  Speaker 1: that's what I'll say about that. The other game in
• 8:12
  Speaker 1: the Atlantic ten USA network, also an afternoon game, is
• 8:16
  Speaker 1: Loyola Chicago and Richmond. Loyal Chicago really bad season. They
• 8:21
  Speaker 1: finished the season on a good note. They beat George
• 8:23
  Speaker 1: Washington to finish the season, but I think that's bad
• 8:27
  Speaker 1: coming into the tournament because I don't like teams that
• 8:30
  Speaker 1: the last game they played before the tournament was a
• 8:33
  Speaker 1: big win, and that was I still don't think Loyol
• 8:36
  Speaker 1: in Chicago's very good. They actually beat Richmond two games
• 8:39
  Speaker 1: before that too, by three at home, which I assume
• 8:42
  Speaker 1: was an upset because Richmond is the better team and
• 8:46
  Speaker 1: probably enough so that they were actually a road favorite. Yeah,
• 8:49
  Speaker 1: they were two and a half in that game. I
• 8:51
  Speaker 1: think Richmond will remember that and we'll probably be able
• 8:54
  Speaker 1: to fix some things. And that began a three game
• 8:57
  Speaker 1: losing streak to end the season for Richmond. So yeah,
• 9:00
  Speaker 1: I would prefer Richmond in this one. They will be
• 9:02
  Speaker 1: favored though they are the better team. Not a whole
• 9:07
  Speaker 1: lot else to say about this. The money is coming
• 9:09
  Speaker 1: in on Richmond, for what that's worth. They're a five
• 9:11
  Speaker 1: and a half point favorite, sixty two percent of the
• 9:13
  Speaker 1: tickets on Loyola Chicago, ninety one percent of the cash
• 9:17
  Speaker 1: on Richmond. All these games are being played in Pittsburgh
• 9:20
  Speaker 1: for whatever reason, So you know, I don't know that
• 9:25
  Speaker 1: that's really a location edge for any of these teams.
• 9:28
  Speaker 1: I know LaSalle is in Philadelphia, but you know they're
• 9:32
  Speaker 1: across the state. Same Bonaventure might actually be closer location
• 9:36
  Speaker 1: wise because they're somewhere in like western New York. So
• 9:40
  Speaker 1: that's all I have to say about that. I don't
• 9:41
  Speaker 1: really have a whole lot with the A ten there,
• 9:44
  Speaker 1: but yeah, I mean they're gonna be ugly games for sure,
• 9:48
  Speaker 1: Dirty sock, what's up? Thanks for hanging out all right?
• 9:53
  Speaker 1: But yes, I like Richmond's ability to bounce back, you know,
• 9:57
  Speaker 1: reset basically after an ugly end of the season and
• 10:00
  Speaker 1: readjust and adjust stuff for those for losing it to
• 10:06
  Speaker 1: Loyal in Chicago the other time that Loyal in Chicago
• 10:09
  Speaker 1: team is bad. Dude. Peacock at noon is gonna kick
• 10:13
  Speaker 1: off the Big Ten. Day two of the Big Ten
• 10:16
  Speaker 1: Maryland and Iowa. In the first game, Maryland got the
• 10:20
  Speaker 1: win yesterday, which I was kind of surprised by. Oregon
• 10:23
  Speaker 1: had a horrible start to that game, and then Oregon
• 10:25
  Speaker 1: almost came back in that game, so Oregon looked a
• 10:29
  Speaker 1: lot better towards the end of that game. Maryland did
• 10:31
  Speaker 1: get the win, and I think it'll be helpful because
• 10:34
  Speaker 1: it did end a four game losing streak for them,
• 10:36
  Speaker 1: So now they have a little bit of momentum. And
• 10:39
  Speaker 1: one of the major factors here is Maryland already played
• 10:42
  Speaker 1: a game in this tournament, so now they're adjusted to it.
• 10:45
  Speaker 1: They shed the nerves, they got a win, They're used
• 10:48
  Speaker 1: to playing in this arena here with no more pinwheel logo.
• 10:52
  Speaker 1: By the way, for the Big Ten, dude, the pinwheel
• 10:54
  Speaker 1: logo was everything that was like the image of the
• 10:56
  Speaker 1: Big Ten tournament. And now we can't do it because
• 10:59
  Speaker 1: we have eighteen teams. Now, dude, just make an eighteen
• 11:02
  Speaker 1: fucking thing, eighteen a pinwheel with eight whatever whatever the
• 11:07
  Speaker 1: eighteen whatever the hell those things are instead of ten,
• 11:10
  Speaker 1: you know, eighteen pins. Anyway, that's all stupid Iowa. I
• 11:16
  Speaker 1: don't like how Iowa sets up in this game. Iowa
• 11:18
  Speaker 1: comes into this off two huge games against Michigan and Nebraska,
• 11:23
  Speaker 1: where they played really close in both of them. We
• 11:26
  Speaker 1: did get a win here on the show in Nebraska,
• 11:28
  Speaker 1: but it did happen in overtime, so we kind of
• 11:31
  Speaker 1: got lucky with that after Iowa actually I think hit
• 11:33
  Speaker 1: a three to send that game into overtime. So Iowa
• 11:36
  Speaker 1: was coming up two monster efforts there. They believe it
• 11:40
  Speaker 1: or not, they actually lost at Maryland earlier this year,
• 11:42
  Speaker 1: so maybe they'll have some adjustments, maybe take Maryland a
• 11:45
  Speaker 1: little bit more seriously than they would otherwise. But I
• 11:48
  Speaker 1: like that Maryland played already and got a game under
• 11:51
  Speaker 1: their belt. That is a factor. Like people will always think, oh,
• 11:54
  Speaker 1: they're not going to be rested because they played yesterday,
• 11:57
  Speaker 1: but that's not the case. Like these teams had a
• 12:00
  Speaker 1: days off before that, you know, and Maryland was coming
• 12:03
  Speaker 1: into that off a big game though against Illinois, which
• 12:06
  Speaker 1: is part of the reason I didn't like them yesterday.
• 12:08
  Speaker 1: But the fact that they got the win, they got
• 12:10
  Speaker 1: the job done. They're used to playing on this floor.
• 12:13
  Speaker 1: You get the nerves out of the way. I think
• 12:15
  Speaker 1: that's an advantage to Maryland. I like Maryland and this
• 12:18
  Speaker 1: one plus the points. Man, I don't think Iowa was
• 12:20
  Speaker 1: gonna lose, but they're up to a twelve and a
• 12:23
  Speaker 1: half point favorite. Iowa is not a team that covers
• 12:26
  Speaker 1: as a favorite like that. Really, they play the game
• 12:29
  Speaker 1: at an extreme slow pace. Totals at one hundred and
• 12:32
  Speaker 1: thirty four, Iowa looks like they are taking the money
• 12:35
  Speaker 1: though sixty five percent of tickets on Maryland fifty fifty
• 12:39
  Speaker 1: on the cash. But yeah, I would lean towards taking
• 12:41
  Speaker 1: the points with Maryland in that one. Also, in the
• 12:45
  Speaker 1: Big Ten we have USC and Washington in the afternoon
• 12:49
  Speaker 1: at two thirty. Very weird for that to be a
• 12:52
  Speaker 1: Big Ten game. I always have to say it, but
• 12:55
  Speaker 1: it is very strange if USC is gonna show anything,
• 13:00
  Speaker 1: and it's gonna be in a game like this. They
• 13:02
  Speaker 1: had a horrible end of the season, seven straight losses.
• 13:06
  Speaker 1: They're not gonna make the tournament or anything like that.
• 13:08
  Speaker 1: I mean unless they win this thing, but that's not
• 13:10
  Speaker 1: gonna happen. But you know, they're playing out the stretch now.
• 13:14
  Speaker 1: But if you have any sense of pride or anything
• 13:18
  Speaker 1: like that, you do not want to have the season
• 13:20
  Speaker 1: end like this. You know, they lost their last game
• 13:23
  Speaker 1: by thirty one points at home to their rival UCLA.
• 13:27
  Speaker 1: And like I said, the conference tournament could be a reset. Man,
• 13:30
  Speaker 1: So what you see at the end of the season
• 13:32
  Speaker 1: might be completely different than what you see here. Like
• 13:34
  Speaker 1: you might actually see USC you know, conference tournament time. Now,
• 13:39
  Speaker 1: maybe they're actually gonna show up and play a good game.
• 13:41
  Speaker 1: For once. They did just lose to Washington. Not that
• 13:44
  Speaker 1: long ago. Washington beat them by nineteen points in Washington.
• 13:49
  Speaker 1: Washington did lose their final game at a war again.
• 13:52
  Speaker 1: You know, I'm gonna lean to USC here. Washington is
• 13:57
  Speaker 1: a five and a half point favorite. I would lean
• 13:58
  Speaker 1: towards taking the points. You know, whenever I say I
• 14:01
  Speaker 1: leaned to some side, I do mean against the spread.
• 14:05
  Speaker 1: Seventy six percent of the tickets fifty seven percent of
• 14:07
  Speaker 1: the casual on Washington, so they're a public side. Interestingly,
• 14:11
  Speaker 1: because you would think USC would be public because they
• 14:13
  Speaker 1: have the better record, right, and they were in the
• 14:16
  Speaker 1: tournament picture like all year, So you'd think the public
• 14:19
  Speaker 1: could be like, oh, I'm getting five and a half points.
• 14:21
  Speaker 1: That seems awesome, but they're not even doing that. USC's
• 14:24
  Speaker 1: lost so many games in a row. The public is like, no,
• 14:27
  Speaker 1: I'm not touching that team. You know again, conference tournament time,
• 14:31
  Speaker 1: completely different scenario environment. Maybe USC shows up for once.
• 14:36
  Speaker 1: I would lean towards them getting the points. Do I
• 14:39
  Speaker 1: want to actually make it a play? No, No, I
• 14:41
  Speaker 1: do not, but I would lean that way. Mister Pinsey,
• 14:46
  Speaker 1: what's up? I did not like SMU yesterday and that
• 14:50
  Speaker 1: one overvalued team because everybody knows they're on the bubble.
• 14:53
  Speaker 1: I mean, one of those teams was gonna win, and
• 14:55
  Speaker 1: it happened to be them, but I didn't like it
• 14:57
  Speaker 1: at all. I did lean against though, in that in
• 15:02
  Speaker 1: that scenario because Santa Clara is coming up that huge win,
• 15:07
  Speaker 1: kase Zaga was coming off a very very bad looking win.
• 15:11
  Speaker 1: So yeah, all right, Big ten next game is I
• 15:16
  Speaker 1: think I skipped one Northwestern in Indiana on the Big
• 15:20
  Speaker 1: ten network at six thirty pm. I think they're Yeah,
• 15:23
  Speaker 1: I don't think I missed one, right, I think there
• 15:25
  Speaker 1: are four. Yeah, I don't think there are any more
• 15:27
  Speaker 1: than four at any well, I could see them here anyway. Yeah,
• 15:31
  Speaker 1: this is kind of an interesting one. I mean, you
• 15:35
  Speaker 1: gotta think Indiana is gonna be overvalued here, man, because
• 15:38
  Speaker 1: everybody knows Indiana is a bubble team. They're like one
• 15:41
  Speaker 1: of the first teams out in most of the bracketologies.
• 15:44
  Speaker 1: So I think Indiana, you're gonna be paying a price
• 15:46
  Speaker 1: if you want Indiana. Now. They did finish the season bad.
• 15:49
  Speaker 1: They lost five of six, so including losing it at
• 15:53
  Speaker 1: home to Northwestern, by the way. So there are some
• 15:55
  Speaker 1: things that I would like about Indiana here. The fact
• 15:58
  Speaker 1: that they close this season on a bad note. That
• 16:01
  Speaker 1: probably means you're gonna get a motivated effort out of them.
• 16:03
  Speaker 1: They lost that home to Northwestern as a favorite, so
• 16:06
  Speaker 1: that probably means you're gonna get an effort out of them.
• 16:08
  Speaker 1: They'll take them seriously. On the other hand, Indiana is
• 16:12
  Speaker 1: gonna be overvalued because everyone knows they're on the bubble.
• 16:15
  Speaker 1: Northwestern is a an undervalue team, man, as I keep saying,
• 16:19
  Speaker 1: they're not as bad as the record looks. Uh, they're
• 16:22
  Speaker 1: probably the unluckiest team in this entire conference. And they
• 16:26
  Speaker 1: played yesterday, so they already played on this floor. By
• 16:28
  Speaker 1: the way, all these games are in Chicago at the
• 16:31
  Speaker 1: United Center, the Bulls Arena. So in Northwestern the fact
• 16:35
  Speaker 1: that they played yesterday, they got an easy win against
• 16:37
  Speaker 1: Penn State, so they're familiar with the surroundings. Now they
• 16:41
  Speaker 1: get the nerves out of the way, familiar with the floor.
• 16:44
  Speaker 1: Whatever you want to say, Yeah, I lean in Northwestern. Here,
• 16:51
  Speaker 1: fifty four percent of the tickets are on Indiana. They're
• 16:53
  Speaker 1: all the way up to a five and a half
• 16:54
  Speaker 1: point favorite. Sixty three percent of the cash on Northwestern,
• 16:57
  Speaker 1: So the money's agreeing with me on that. Yeah, I
• 17:00
  Speaker 1: like Northwestern plus the points in that one. Yeah, Well,
• 17:05
  Speaker 1: the Islanders never should have been losing in that game.
• 17:07
  Speaker 1: They it was one of the most dominant statistical performances
• 17:11
  Speaker 1: you'll ever see. Like again, as I mentioned at the
• 17:14
  Speaker 1: top of the show, they at one point they had
• 17:16
  Speaker 1: like twenty more shots on goal, more than that and
• 17:20
  Speaker 1: they were still losing the game. Uh, Like, you almost
• 17:23
  Speaker 1: never see something like that. It's absolutely ridiculous. They should
• 17:27
  Speaker 1: have won that game in a complete blowout based on
• 17:29
  Speaker 1: the statistics that was like, Yeah, that was the game
• 17:33
  Speaker 1: that I got the most correct yesterday. And then the
• 17:38
  Speaker 1: last game in the Big Ten is Rutgers in Minnesota.
• 17:41
  Speaker 1: This is an ugly one. These teams both like to
• 17:43
  Speaker 1: play slow. An under might make sense in a game
• 17:47
  Speaker 1: like this. Now, one thing I forgot to mention yesterday
• 17:49
  Speaker 1: about totals. You want to look towards unders in like
• 17:53
  Speaker 1: these opening games, and maybe even in the first halfs
• 17:56
  Speaker 1: of opening games, because these teams have to get adjusted
• 17:59
  Speaker 1: to the venue, right, especially when they're playing in a
• 18:01
  Speaker 1: big NBA arena. It's different for these college teams, you
• 18:05
  Speaker 1: know what I mean, because the arena is bigger than
• 18:08
  Speaker 1: what they're used to do, so the site lines get
• 18:10
  Speaker 1: fucked up, so like three pointers a lot of times
• 18:12
  Speaker 1: they're not going down right away and whatever. So especially
• 18:16
  Speaker 1: you know these teams are coming in, they're not used
• 18:17
  Speaker 1: to the venue yet, you know what I mean. Like
• 18:19
  Speaker 1: these I don't think either of these teams played yet,
• 18:22
  Speaker 1: so you know what I mean. So the unders in
• 18:25
  Speaker 1: these first games make sense. But then once you get
• 18:27
  Speaker 1: like tired teams and whatever, as the tournament goes on,
• 18:30
  Speaker 1: I actually think the overs kind of make more sense
• 18:34
  Speaker 1: as teams get more adjusted to the venue. But then
• 18:36
  Speaker 1: in like the finals, I think the Unders are worth
• 18:39
  Speaker 1: a look again because teams really start focusing on deffense again.
• 18:43
  Speaker 1: So but this game, I think both these teams are
• 18:46
  Speaker 1: coming in not having played yet. This is Big Ten Network,
• 18:49
  Speaker 1: nine PM. Both teams play really slow, They're not very
• 18:52
  Speaker 1: offensively proficient. Minnesota into the season with a pretty good
• 18:56
  Speaker 1: win over Northwestern, so I don't that for them as
• 19:00
  Speaker 1: far as the side is concerned, and they blew out
• 19:02
  Speaker 1: Rutgers not that long before that, so they might take
• 19:05
  Speaker 1: Rutgers unseeriously. Rutgers coming into this they won as well
• 19:10
  Speaker 1: at the end of the season, but it was only
• 19:11
  Speaker 1: against Penn State, so I think I would probably lean
• 19:14
  Speaker 1: towards taking the points with Rutgers in this one as well.
• 19:17
  Speaker 1: Minnesota is a five point favorite. They are the better team.
• 19:21
  Speaker 1: Seventy five percent take is ninety percent of the cash
• 19:23
  Speaker 1: on Minnesota. I think Minnesota was dealing with some injuries
• 19:27
  Speaker 1: towards the end of the season. I don't know if
• 19:28
  Speaker 1: that's still the case or not. But you know, in
• 19:33
  Speaker 1: a game it looks like it points might be at
• 19:34
  Speaker 1: a premium. It really could get ugly, and it could
• 19:37
  Speaker 1: be pretty close, so you know, I would fade the
• 19:40
  Speaker 1: public that's on Minnesota that I would take the points
• 19:43
  Speaker 1: with Rutgers. Not a very strong opinion for me though,
• 19:47
  Speaker 1: to be honest, I think probably the best side in
• 19:49
  Speaker 1: the big tennis Maryland plus the points. But the money
• 19:53
  Speaker 1: is completely disagreeing with me on that. So yeah, I
• 19:56
  Speaker 1: don't love seeing that, but the money is agreeing with
• 19:58
  Speaker 1: me on the under and Rutgers Soda. It's only dropped
• 20:01
  Speaker 1: a point to one thirty six. You know, I would
• 20:04
  Speaker 1: definitely have that inconsideration in that game the under. All right,
• 20:11
  Speaker 1: ESPN two has the ACC. The first ACC game is
• 20:15
  Speaker 1: Pitt an NC State. Pitt. The way they won that
• 20:18
  Speaker 1: game yesterday, it was crazy. They bounced Stanford yesterday. Stanford
• 20:22
  Speaker 1: is done. They're not gonna make the tournament now, no chance.
• 20:27
  Speaker 1: Good win for Pitt yesterday. Good effort from them. It
• 20:29
  Speaker 1: was a close game. I watched the end of it,
• 20:31
  Speaker 1: the final possession where Pitt one was crazy, dude, like
• 20:34
  Speaker 1: they missed a three. The rebound bounced all the way
• 20:37
  Speaker 1: back out beyond the three point line. Pitt lost the
• 20:40
  Speaker 1: ball and it went past half court. But it wasn't
• 20:43
  Speaker 1: a backcourt because they lost possession, they got it back,
• 20:47
  Speaker 1: then got back. You know this is all like once
• 20:50
  Speaker 1: they got it back, there were like seven seconds left. Uh.
• 20:52
  Speaker 1: The dude like just took it and drove to the basket,
• 20:55
  Speaker 1: took a pretty defended shot at the basket, missed it,
• 20:59
  Speaker 1: got his own rebound somehow put it in with like
• 21:02
  Speaker 1: less than a second left. It was insane. Big win
• 21:06
  Speaker 1: for Pitt was an upset win. So you know, I
• 21:10
  Speaker 1: tend to not like teams that are coming off upsets
• 21:12
  Speaker 1: like that. But one thing that can be said about
• 21:15
  Speaker 1: Pitt is they already played in this arena. This is
• 21:18
  Speaker 1: in Charlotte, North Carolina, by the way, so Pitt is
• 21:21
  Speaker 1: adjusted to the venue at least, so they do have
• 21:23
  Speaker 1: that advantage with NC State here coming in cold now.
• 21:27
  Speaker 1: NC State they finished the season real bad though, including
• 21:31
  Speaker 1: losing to Stanford, so people might say, hey, Pitt beat
• 21:34
  Speaker 1: Stanford yesterday. NC State lost to them at the end
• 21:37
  Speaker 1: of the season, and maybe think that there might be
• 21:40
  Speaker 1: value taking Pitt plus the points here for that reason.
• 21:43
  Speaker 1: The fact that NC State lost four games in a
• 21:46
  Speaker 1: row to end the season, but you know one of
• 21:48
  Speaker 1: them was sandwiched in between Virginia and Duke didn't really
• 21:51
  Speaker 1: expect them to beat Virginia on the road or beat Duke,
• 21:54
  Speaker 1: although I expected a more competitive performance out of them.
• 21:57
  Speaker 1: I know we took a loss on the show with
• 21:59
  Speaker 1: that against Duke, but a team that ends the season
• 22:04
  Speaker 1: on a really bad note like that, a lot of
• 22:06
  Speaker 1: times they will come out and play a lot better
• 22:08
  Speaker 1: in the conference tournament. So there are some things to
• 22:12
  Speaker 1: like about NC State in this game. They actually went
• 22:15
  Speaker 1: up from a six and a half point favorite to
• 22:16
  Speaker 1: a nine point favorite. Here seventy four percent of tickets
• 22:20
  Speaker 1: eighty four percent of the cash on them, So the
• 22:21
  Speaker 1: money looks like it is laying it with NC State here.
• 22:28
  Speaker 1: You know, I guess I would lean that way slightly,
• 22:31
  Speaker 1: but there's no way that I would want to lay
• 22:33
  Speaker 1: nine when you could have laid six and a half.
• 22:35
  Speaker 1: I would not recommend it. Plus, you kind of know
• 22:39
  Speaker 1: NC State's gonna be a little bit overvalued because if
• 22:42
  Speaker 1: they lose this game, they're gonna be sweating it out
• 22:45
  Speaker 1: on Sunday. You know, like they've fallen enough that they're
• 22:48
  Speaker 1: sort of a bubble team right now, so they do
• 22:51
  Speaker 1: have to worry about that. They better at least win
• 22:53
  Speaker 1: this game for their purposes. But what that means is
• 22:56
  Speaker 1: the pressure is on them. It does mean they're probably
• 22:58
  Speaker 1: going to be an overvalued team in the market. So
• 23:00
  Speaker 1: I don't like that about NC State, even though I
• 23:04
  Speaker 1: really think Pitt is pretty bad. So yeah, I don't
• 23:08
  Speaker 1: know that. That's not a game that I would want
• 23:10
  Speaker 1: to touch in any capacity really, all right. The next
• 23:15
  Speaker 1: game up in the ACC is SMU and Louisville on
• 23:18
  Speaker 1: ESPN at two thirty pm. SMU did get the win yesterday.
• 23:23
  Speaker 1: They beat an inferior Syracuse team, so they had a
• 23:26
  Speaker 1: nice easy win. They got adjusted to the venue, so
• 23:29
  Speaker 1: that's a little bit of an advantage to them. What
• 23:31
  Speaker 1: maybe less advantageous is the fact that they beat Louisville
• 23:35
  Speaker 1: at home, not too far back there, so Louisville might
• 23:38
  Speaker 1: have some adjustments to make there. Louisville finished the season
• 23:43
  Speaker 1: actually on a good note. They won the last two,
• 23:45
  Speaker 1: including beating Syracuse, but they beat Miami to finish the season.
• 23:49
  Speaker 1: I don't love that that they finished the season with
• 23:52
  Speaker 1: a big win against Miami. So they come into this
• 23:55
  Speaker 1: they could have their momentum disrupted. They could be in
• 23:58
  Speaker 1: kind of a letdown spot here. Louisville is going to
• 24:01
  Speaker 1: be a favorite, And those are the types of situations
• 24:04
  Speaker 1: where you do want to look to the bubble team
• 24:06
  Speaker 1: like SMU, Like I would not have wanted them yesterday,
• 24:09
  Speaker 1: where you know that they're gonna be an overvalue team
• 24:11
  Speaker 1: because they're the favorite against an inferior team. But now
• 24:14
  Speaker 1: that they're an underdog and they have that game out
• 24:17
  Speaker 1: of the way under their belt, and you know that
• 24:19
  Speaker 1: they're motivated because they're trying to make the tournament, that's
• 24:22
  Speaker 1: the situation where I think you might want to be
• 24:24
  Speaker 1: looking towards them. So I would probably lean towards taking
• 24:27
  Speaker 1: the points with SMU. Here the line did drop below
• 24:31
  Speaker 1: that key number seven though, to six and a half
• 24:34
  Speaker 1: sixty five percent of ticket seventy percent of the cash
• 24:36
  Speaker 1: on SMU. I agree with that money though, although I
• 24:40
  Speaker 1: worry that SMU is a public side though people love these,
• 24:43
  Speaker 1: you know, like bubble stories and whatever. But I think
• 24:45
  Speaker 1: I would lean to taking the points with SMU in
• 24:47
  Speaker 1: that one. All right, continuing the ACC, what else we
• 24:54
  Speaker 1: got call in Florida State is the next game? Where's
• 24:57
  Speaker 1: that at? I keep getting thrown off because these like
• 25:00
  Speaker 1: Pacific Coast teams that are in the ACC. Now this
• 25:03
  Speaker 1: is on the espn U Network, Cal and Florida State.
• 25:07
  Speaker 1: It's an interesting one, man, at seven pm. Now, Just
• 25:12
  Speaker 1: like with Stanford, Cal is having to fly to the
• 25:14
  Speaker 1: East coast here again. But they might have stayed on
• 25:17
  Speaker 1: the East coast because they just played at Wake Forests.
• 25:19
  Speaker 1: So I said that with Stanford yesterday as well. I
• 25:22
  Speaker 1: think Stanford finished the season on the East coast two
• 25:24
  Speaker 1: against NC State. So my guess is these teams are
• 25:27
  Speaker 1: not flying back to California. I think they're staying on
• 25:30
  Speaker 1: the East coast. So that does help them a little bit.
• 25:33
  Speaker 1: But this Florida State team, man, they're actually pretty good
• 25:37
  Speaker 1: and pretty under the radar right now. And as I'll
• 25:39
  Speaker 1: show you in a minute, they're favored in this game
• 25:41
  Speaker 1: against Cal. Cal lost on the road at FSU by
• 25:46
  Speaker 1: two earlier this season. I would have put that much
• 25:49
  Speaker 1: weight into that game, really, but people are gonna look
• 25:53
  Speaker 1: at this. So Florida State. One thing that I worry
• 25:55
  Speaker 1: about is that they finished the season on a good
• 25:57
  Speaker 1: note then won three in a row, six of seven.
• 26:00
  Speaker 1: So I don't like hot teams coming into the tournament
• 26:02
  Speaker 1: usually because they have I think they have a little
• 26:04
  Speaker 1: bit too much rest and then they can have that
• 26:06
  Speaker 1: momentum snapped, especially with a big win over SMU at
• 26:10
  Speaker 1: home to finish the season. But one thing that I
• 26:13
  Speaker 1: do like about Florida State is people are gonna see
• 26:15
  Speaker 1: they're a four and a half point favorite, and everybody
• 26:18
  Speaker 1: knows Cal is a bubble team. People are gonna see
• 26:21
  Speaker 1: Cal is the team with the way better record, and
• 26:24
  Speaker 1: I think the public is gonna the public will have
• 26:26
  Speaker 1: a tendency to want Cal in this game. I think
• 26:29
  Speaker 1: like having the team with the way better record getting points.
• 26:33
  Speaker 1: It looks so good to take that team getting points.
• 26:35
  Speaker 1: You know. So there are a lot of conflicting factors here,
• 26:38
  Speaker 1: although it looks like the public is kind of on
• 26:40
  Speaker 1: Florida State. According to the market percentages right now, sixty
• 26:43
  Speaker 1: two percent of the tickets and cash on them. They
• 26:46
  Speaker 1: actually open two and a half and now they're four
• 26:48
  Speaker 1: and a half. I kind of like Florida State here
• 26:50
  Speaker 1: in general, but you know, there are some things I
• 26:53
  Speaker 1: don't like about it. It would be more of like
• 26:56
  Speaker 1: a market read that kind of leads you towards Florida
• 26:59
  Speaker 1: State here. That plus the unfamiliarity of California with this
• 27:03
  Speaker 1: venue here, but with it being at four and a half,
• 27:07
  Speaker 1: I don't think I could lay it at that point,
• 27:09
  Speaker 1: and you know, at two and a half, it would
• 27:10
  Speaker 1: have been a much different price, more tempting. I wouldn't
• 27:13
  Speaker 1: be on the game anyway. Probably, But Cal does fall
• 27:16
  Speaker 1: into that scenario where they're a bubble team and they're
• 27:18
  Speaker 1: getting points, so you know you're gonna probably get effort
• 27:20
  Speaker 1: out of them in a game where they're getting points.
• 27:23
  Speaker 1: But it also is the case that Florida State is
• 27:26
  Speaker 1: just free rolling here. Man. Nobody expected anything out of
• 27:29
  Speaker 1: this Florida State team this year, and they far exceeded
• 27:33
  Speaker 1: expectations and now they're here and you know, expectations are
• 27:37
  Speaker 1: still pretty low for this team, so they can just
• 27:38
  Speaker 1: kind of come in and play loose. So that is
• 27:41
  Speaker 1: a good thing for Florida State. The final ACC game
• 27:45
  Speaker 1: of the day is wake Forest and Clemson. Clemson is
• 27:48
  Speaker 1: a five and a half poay favorite. The money is
• 27:50
  Speaker 1: indicating on wake Forests here seventy three percent of the
• 27:53
  Speaker 1: tickets and only sixty percent of the cash on Clemson. Now,
• 27:56
  Speaker 1: there are some reasons why I would agree. One is
• 28:00
  Speaker 1: it it's a low total. Clemson slows the game way down,
• 28:04
  Speaker 1: so they don't cover as much as a favorite. Clemson
• 28:07
  Speaker 1: is also coming into this game cold in a way
• 28:11
  Speaker 1: because they haven't played yet in this tournament. Wake Forest
• 28:13
  Speaker 1: did play. Now the things I don't like about wake
• 28:17
  Speaker 1: Forest here. They pulled off a pretty nice upset yesterday
• 28:20
  Speaker 1: against Virginia Tech and it went to overtime, so they
• 28:23
  Speaker 1: did exert themselves a bit more than normal last night,
• 28:26
  Speaker 1: so that may be a little bit of an issue.
• 28:29
  Speaker 1: They beat Clemson the last time they played at home,
• 28:32
  Speaker 1: so Clemson probably will take them seriously this time. And
• 28:36
  Speaker 1: Clemson didn't look good at the end of the season,
• 28:39
  Speaker 1: even though they won their last game against Georgia Tech.
• 28:41
  Speaker 1: I gave Georgia Tech out as a play plus the points.
• 28:44
  Speaker 1: It was an easy cover for Georgia Tech there. Clemson
• 28:47
  Speaker 1: struggled in that game and almost lost. But I can
• 28:50
  Speaker 1: you could explain why they played Louisville and North Carolina
• 28:53
  Speaker 1: to the prior to games, two really close games, and
• 28:55
  Speaker 1: they were already looking ahead to this tournament, so it
• 28:58
  Speaker 1: was a sandwich spot. So you know, the market is
• 29:01
  Speaker 1: same wake Forest. Some things I do agree with about that,
• 29:05
  Speaker 1: but there are some things I don't agree with either,
• 29:08
  Speaker 1: and I just I don't know, man, I don't really
• 29:10
  Speaker 1: see Clemson losing this game either, although I think even
• 29:13
  Speaker 1: if they lose this game, I think they probably are
• 29:15
  Speaker 1: still going to make the tournament, so that would be
• 29:17
  Speaker 1: another reason and maybe look towards Wake. But I also said,
• 29:21
  Speaker 1: you know, Clemson, they're like a good tournament profile team
• 29:26
  Speaker 1: because they play deepfense and they play slow. So I
• 29:28
  Speaker 1: did say in my acc preview that they could be
• 29:31
  Speaker 1: a team that makes a decent run in this thing,
• 29:34
  Speaker 1: you know what I mean. So this Clemson team they have,
• 29:37
  Speaker 1: I think there's a wide variance of things that could
• 29:39
  Speaker 1: happen with them here, which you would think would be
• 29:42
  Speaker 1: the case with Louisville because they take a ton of threes,
• 29:44
  Speaker 1: so it all depends on whether they're hitting their threes.
• 29:48
  Speaker 1: But yeah, I don't know Clemson. There are some things
• 29:53
  Speaker 1: that are difficult about this spot for them, But if
• 29:54
  Speaker 1: they get their bearings and they get this game out
• 29:56
  Speaker 1: of the way, they might be able to make, you know,
• 29:59
  Speaker 1: a run at this in this tournament. By the way,
• 30:05
  Speaker 1: I will say for Louisville hitting threes and whatever in SMU,
• 30:09
  Speaker 1: this is a game where you know, I wouldn't necessarily
• 30:11
  Speaker 1: disagree with an over in this game either, even though
• 30:14
  Speaker 1: Louisville hasn't played yet on this floor, SMU, did you know,
• 30:20
  Speaker 1: and SMU at least might have a little bit of
• 30:22
  Speaker 1: tiredness from yesterday. Probably not yet though after one game.
• 30:25
  Speaker 1: But these teams both play offense. Louisville is okay on
• 30:29
  Speaker 1: the deepfense event actually, but Louisville jacks up a ton
• 30:32
  Speaker 1: of threes. SMU is basically all offense, so I could
• 30:36
  Speaker 1: see that game profile is kind of an over game
• 30:38
  Speaker 1: and the total is high in the one sixties, and
• 30:40
  Speaker 1: it's high for a reason. All right, next conference tournament
• 30:45
  Speaker 1: is the SEC starting at twelve or sorry, Big twelve
• 30:49
  Speaker 1: starting at twelve thirty on ESPN. Arizona State and Iowa State.
• 30:54
  Speaker 1: Arizona State got a game out of the way yesterday.
• 30:56
  Speaker 1: It wasn't upset, but it was a pretty easy win.
• 30:58
  Speaker 1: They won by four, but they were running away with
• 31:00
  Speaker 1: that game. Man, good win for Arizona State against Baylor,
• 31:06
  Speaker 1: you know, like I said, Arizona State, because Bobby Hurley
• 31:08
  Speaker 1: announced that he's leaving Arizona State. Seems like they're playing
• 31:12
  Speaker 1: with some motivation here now, trying to get some games done,
• 31:16
  Speaker 1: you know, get some wins for him here. I think
• 31:18
  Speaker 1: they'll show up for a game against Iowa State and
• 31:21
  Speaker 1: Arizona State's adjusted to this venue now, the Big Twelve
• 31:25
  Speaker 1: venue here, so that's an advantage of them, and I
• 31:27
  Speaker 1: think that advantage is bigger in the Big Twelve than
• 31:29
  Speaker 1: in other conferences. Because I forgot to mention this yesterday,
• 31:33
  Speaker 1: but I mentioned it on some of my other shows.
• 31:35
  Speaker 1: The Big Twelve is playing on a glass led floor.
• 31:39
  Speaker 1: If you guys saw it yesterday, like during the break,
• 31:41
  Speaker 1: like the lines on the floor like light up and shit,
• 31:44
  Speaker 1: it's insane, and people have said that playing on it,
• 31:48
  Speaker 1: the ball bounces a little bit differently, so players have
• 31:51
  Speaker 1: to get adjusted to that. So even though I liked
• 31:54
  Speaker 1: the over in the BYU Kansas State game yesterday, and
• 31:57
  Speaker 1: I was definitely correct on that one because it just
• 32:01
  Speaker 1: profiled as an over game to me, but normally, especially
• 32:06
  Speaker 1: these first games, that teams are playing on this floor,
• 32:08
  Speaker 1: although I know Arizona State already played here, but I
• 32:11
  Speaker 1: should have mentioned it yesterday. Like I mentioned in general,
• 32:15
  Speaker 1: you want to look towards unders in these opening games
• 32:17
  Speaker 1: and tournaments because you get these big stadiums and the
• 32:19
  Speaker 1: teams have to get used to the new site, lines,
• 32:22
  Speaker 1: the new venue have to get used to them, so
• 32:24
  Speaker 1: scoring can be down, especially early in these games. But
• 32:27
  Speaker 1: I think that's even more the case on this weird
• 32:30
  Speaker 1: glass floor because these teams have to get used to it,
• 32:32
  Speaker 1: and the floor itself can kind of mess with the
• 32:35
  Speaker 1: site lines too, So that's something I should have said yesterday.
• 32:38
  Speaker 1: But I think multiple of the games still went over
• 32:41
  Speaker 1: yesterday though, But that's something to consider. And I think
• 32:45
  Speaker 1: that does give Arizona State a little bit of an
• 32:47
  Speaker 1: extra edge because they played on this floor yesterday. And
• 32:51
  Speaker 1: you know, it's an edge anyway in general because they're
• 32:54
  Speaker 1: used to the new venue already get the nerves out
• 32:56
  Speaker 1: of the way, but in this venue with that new floor,
• 32:59
  Speaker 1: I think it's even more advantageous. And Iowa State might
• 33:03
  Speaker 1: not take Arizona State that seriously because they pummeled them
• 33:06
  Speaker 1: in the final game of the rego season, so literally
• 33:08
  Speaker 1: the last time Iowa State played, they beat Arizona State
• 33:11
  Speaker 1: by over twenty points, so Iowa State might not totally
• 33:15
  Speaker 1: take Arizona State seriously here Iowa State, they finished the
• 33:20
  Speaker 1: season on that note. They didn't end up losing streak,
• 33:22
  Speaker 1: so that was good for them. But I think I
• 33:25
  Speaker 1: would take the points of the Arizona State in this one.
• 33:27
  Speaker 1: I know it seems really dangerous to do that because
• 33:29
  Speaker 1: I said Iowa State could win this tournament. They are.
• 33:33
  Speaker 1: I think they're actually kind of an underrated team in general.
• 33:36
  Speaker 1: Right now. They're a very very good team, like a
• 33:39
  Speaker 1: top ten team in the country. They're laying eleven and
• 33:42
  Speaker 1: a half seventy three percent of tickets around Iowa State,
• 33:45
  Speaker 1: fifty nine percent of the cash on Arizona State, so
• 33:47
  Speaker 1: the money is coming in in Arizona State. I think
• 33:50
  Speaker 1: you might see Iowa State playing a slow game here,
• 33:53
  Speaker 1: which is gonna make it more difficult for them to
• 33:54
  Speaker 1: get over this number. The total is in the one forties,
• 33:58
  Speaker 1: not that high. Corn to Kenbom, Iowa State is a
• 34:02
  Speaker 1: pretty slow based team, and they're better on defense than offense.
• 34:05
  Speaker 1: Top seven in the country, but top seven I mean
• 34:09
  Speaker 1: ranking in the country, so the ranking is actually the
• 34:12
  Speaker 1: same as ken Bombs. But yeah, in this situation, I
• 34:16
  Speaker 1: think more advantages definitely go to Arizona State with the
• 34:19
  Speaker 1: adjustment to losing to Iowa State and to blow out
• 34:23
  Speaker 1: the last time they played, the fact that they're already
• 34:25
  Speaker 1: adjusted to this venue. They seem to be playing with
• 34:27
  Speaker 1: motivation for Bobby Hurley right now, So yeah, I would
• 34:30
  Speaker 1: lean to Arizona State plus the points in that one.
• 34:33
  Speaker 1: That one's not on my card though. The next game
• 34:37
  Speaker 1: up in the Big twelve is on ESPNU at three pm,
• 34:41
  Speaker 1: and this one is my game. Let's talk about it,
• 34:48
  Speaker 1: giving out my only bet of the day in the
• 34:50
  Speaker 1: middle of the show. Here, Cincinnati minus two and a
• 34:52
  Speaker 1: half is going to be the play here. There's a
• 34:55
  Speaker 1: reason why they're favored over UCF. Man and people might say, well,
• 34:58
  Speaker 1: Cincinnati clearly there than you see f UCF's been a
• 35:01
  Speaker 1: tournament team according to the bracketologies all year, and Cincinnati
• 35:05
  Speaker 1: had to play on the opening day. UCF is the
• 35:08
  Speaker 1: better team, No they aren't. Actually Cincinnati is actually the
• 35:13
  Speaker 1: better team. But people are gonna be misled, you know,
• 35:15
  Speaker 1: by the records. It looks like UCF is the better
• 35:18
  Speaker 1: team based on the records, but they're not. And Ken
• 35:21
  Speaker 1: bumb really kind of bears this out. Cincinnati. He's got
• 35:25
  Speaker 1: forty third in the country, you see, f fifty third,
• 35:28
  Speaker 1: so ten rings spots lower. UCF is definitely the better offense,
• 35:32
  Speaker 1: almost a top thirty offense, but Cincinnati. The bigger gap
• 35:36
  Speaker 1: is towards Cincinnati being close to a top ten defense.
• 35:40
  Speaker 1: Believe it or not, Cincinnati is a great defense. They
• 35:44
  Speaker 1: struggle to score, but you're not asking him to win
• 35:46
  Speaker 1: by too much here. If you want to money line this,
• 35:49
  Speaker 1: I think that's okay as well. I'll just get them
• 35:51
  Speaker 1: to win the game. But yeah, Cincinnati very very good
• 35:56
  Speaker 1: on defense. They're a sneaky good team. Actually, they're on
• 36:00
  Speaker 1: the bubble right now. And I know you Seef kind
• 36:02
  Speaker 1: of is as well, but you Seef has been more
• 36:04
  Speaker 1: like safely in the tournament all year, where Cincinnati they're
• 36:08
  Speaker 1: in that bubble picture. So I think they can kind
• 36:09
  Speaker 1: of just play a little bit looser because they didn't
• 36:11
  Speaker 1: really have expectations like that, you know, But now they're
• 36:16
  Speaker 1: kind of on the bubble, which does mean you're gonna
• 36:18
  Speaker 1: get motivation out of them. There's a huge luck disparity
• 36:23
  Speaker 1: here in ken Bum or ken Bum has Cincinnati three
• 36:25
  Speaker 1: hundred and twenty fifth in luck, which means they've underperformed
• 36:28
  Speaker 1: drastically compared to what they really are. That means they've
• 36:32
  Speaker 1: lost close games, et cetera. They're a bottom of forty
• 36:36
  Speaker 1: luck team, whereas you see f is twenty first in
• 36:38
  Speaker 1: the country in luck, So they have massively overperformed according
• 36:42
  Speaker 1: to ken Pum, which has been the case like all
• 36:44
  Speaker 1: year pretty much. There will probably be a little bit
• 36:47
  Speaker 1: of a contrast in styles here too. You Seef tries
• 36:49
  Speaker 1: to play fast. I think Cincinnati is going to try
• 36:52
  Speaker 1: to slow the game down. They're more of a mid
• 36:54
  Speaker 1: tempo team. But I think to throw UCF out of
• 36:57
  Speaker 1: what they want to do. I think Cincinnati wants to
• 36:59
  Speaker 1: slow blow this game down play defense. So I actually
• 37:03
  Speaker 1: like that as well because it is easier to slow
• 37:05
  Speaker 1: the game down. So I prefer that, and I prefer
• 37:08
  Speaker 1: better defense obviously, especially in a tournament environment. And let's
• 37:12
  Speaker 1: make it better. Cincinnati already played on this stupid glass
• 37:15
  Speaker 1: floor that you can see right here, so Cincinnati is
• 37:18
  Speaker 1: already used to it. They got to win over a
• 37:20
  Speaker 1: bad Utah team yesterday. But I think that's good because
• 37:23
  Speaker 1: they can use it as a tune up. And they
• 37:25
  Speaker 1: didn't look good in the game, right They only won
• 37:27
  Speaker 1: by seven, but they had a handle on that game,
• 37:29
  Speaker 1: and they won this game pretty easily. The game was
• 37:32
  Speaker 1: over and then they kind of took their foot off
• 37:34
  Speaker 1: the gas. But what I like about it is Utah
• 37:37
  Speaker 1: cut it to five with one minute to go, so
• 37:39
  Speaker 1: Cincinnati got a little bit of a scare there, which
• 37:42
  Speaker 1: will mean they do have to focus a little bit
• 37:44
  Speaker 1: more here because you know, I like teams that were
• 37:46
  Speaker 1: big favorites that didn't cover, and that Cincinnati also falls
• 37:50
  Speaker 1: into that category because they were like an eleven and
• 37:53
  Speaker 1: a half point favorite yesterday and they could have covered.
• 37:56
  Speaker 1: But again, they took their foot off the gas. They
• 37:58
  Speaker 1: got a little bit of a scare at the end.
• 38:00
  Speaker 1: It doesn't really look very uh, it doesn't look good
• 38:03
  Speaker 1: only beating Utah by seven, you know what I mean.
• 38:05
  Speaker 1: So the public is not going to be enticed by that,
• 38:09
  Speaker 1: but I like it. Again, they're used to the venue
• 38:12
  Speaker 1: UCF is not. This is also a weird like I mean,
• 38:15
  Speaker 1: it's kind of a weird place for both these teams
• 38:17
  Speaker 1: to have to play in Kansas City, but it's a
• 38:19
  Speaker 1: little bit weirder I think for UCF to have to
• 38:22
  Speaker 1: come up for more Lando to do that, although they
• 38:24
  Speaker 1: actually finished the season in West Virginia. The one thing,
• 38:28
  Speaker 1: the only thing like this would be like almost you know,
• 38:31
  Speaker 1: I would like almost every aspect of this play. I mean,
• 38:34
  Speaker 1: I do like almost every aspect of this play, but
• 38:36
  Speaker 1: I would like another aspect of it if you see
• 38:38
  Speaker 1: f finished the season on a good note, which unfortunately
• 38:42
  Speaker 1: they didn't. They lost three games in a row, including
• 38:45
  Speaker 1: losing to West Virginia. So that's the one thing I
• 38:46
  Speaker 1: don't like is that they finished the season cold, so
• 38:49
  Speaker 1: a lot of times teams will reset after that. But
• 38:51
  Speaker 1: everything else about this I like. Cincinnati is the play.
• 38:56
  Speaker 1: They look like a little bit of a public side,
• 38:58
  Speaker 1: which I don't love. Seventy two percent of tickets. It
• 39:00
  Speaker 1: looks like the actual money is on their side too,
• 39:03
  Speaker 1: I think, and you know the way that I handicap this,
• 39:06
  Speaker 1: hopefully I'm not totally out of line here pun and
• 39:09
  Speaker 1: ten died. I guess seventy four percent of the cash
• 39:12
  Speaker 1: on Cincinnati, so I think the real money is coming
• 39:14
  Speaker 1: in that way. The line is two and a half
• 39:16
  Speaker 1: and three at most spots, so find the two and
• 39:19
  Speaker 1: a half or you know, money line it maybe you
• 39:21
  Speaker 1: might be able to find a money line that's in
• 39:23
  Speaker 1: the minus one forties, which isn't too bad either there,
• 39:27
  Speaker 1: so that's that play. Usually I recommend money line in
• 39:30
  Speaker 1: college basketball if the team's minus one, minus one and
• 39:33
  Speaker 1: a half or minus two, though, but in a tournament
• 39:37
  Speaker 1: environment with a team that doesn't score that well, money
• 39:40
  Speaker 1: line is definitely an option with Cincinnati there as well.
• 39:43
  Speaker 1: All Right, the third game in the Big Ten we
• 39:48
  Speaker 1: get to the night slate is BYU in West Virginia.
• 39:52
  Speaker 1: BYU played yesterday and they won against Kansas State. Kansas
• 39:56
  Speaker 1: State pretty bad team, you know, bad enough that they
• 39:59
  Speaker 1: fired their coach. They're going through some turmoil. Now. The
• 40:04
  Speaker 1: good thing for BYU is that was a good matchup
• 40:06
  Speaker 1: for BYU because Kansas State plays fast and they don't
• 40:09
  Speaker 1: play deepfense, and that's what BYU does. BYU is just
• 40:12
  Speaker 1: just better at playing that style than Kansas State is.
• 40:16
  Speaker 1: Now BYU has to go from that game, an extreme
• 40:19
  Speaker 1: fast based game against against a team that plays no deepfense,
• 40:22
  Speaker 1: to a team that's gonna slow them down as much
• 40:24
  Speaker 1: as any team will and a team that plays deepfense,
• 40:27
  Speaker 1: which is West Virginia. So it's gonna be a real
• 40:30
  Speaker 1: shock to the system. I think a huge contrast in
• 40:33
  Speaker 1: styles here. Now. I know BYU is adjusted to the venues.
• 40:36
  Speaker 1: That's the one good thing they have going for them.
• 40:40
  Speaker 1: But a team like West Virginia that doesn't rely on
• 40:43
  Speaker 1: shooting as much and they rely on grinding the game down,
• 40:46
  Speaker 1: slowing it down coming into a game like this cold
• 40:49
  Speaker 1: is actually easier for a team like West Virginia to do. Now,
• 40:52
  Speaker 1: West Virginia they finished the season all right with a
• 40:54
  Speaker 1: few wins of two wins of the in their last three,
• 40:57
  Speaker 1: beating UCF and beating BYU by the way at West Virginia,
• 41:01
  Speaker 1: So I guess there will be maybe some adjustments to
• 41:03
  Speaker 1: b Why you can make off of that, like when
• 41:06
  Speaker 1: a team lost to a team and they're playing each
• 41:08
  Speaker 1: other again right away, a lot of times that team
• 41:10
  Speaker 1: will play better the next time out. But generally in
• 41:14
  Speaker 1: this game, I actually like West Virginia in this game,
• 41:17
  Speaker 1: believe it or not. West Virginia is also like sort
• 41:20
  Speaker 1: of a bubble team, like if they win this game,
• 41:22
  Speaker 1: they will actually be in the tournament talk believe it
• 41:26
  Speaker 1: or not. And I've had them kind of lingering around
• 41:29
  Speaker 1: that first four out in mind for a while, and
• 41:31
  Speaker 1: I have them in there right now. Excuse me, next
• 41:34
  Speaker 1: four out, Excuse me. They're not that close BYU. They're
• 41:38
  Speaker 1: struggling without Saunders, man like BYU. Basically you take away
• 41:42
  Speaker 1: their big three because they have dubonsa Saunders, then I
• 41:46
  Speaker 1: forget who the other guy is. They have like three
• 41:48
  Speaker 1: really good players, and you take that one guy out
• 41:50
  Speaker 1: of the mixed Saunders and it really throws them off
• 41:53
  Speaker 1: d They've been significantly worse since that injury, so that's
• 41:58
  Speaker 1: not good for them. And again it's a bad styling
• 42:02
  Speaker 1: contrast for them, where West Virginia is gonna really try
• 42:05
  Speaker 1: to slow the game down and you're gonna get points
• 42:07
  Speaker 1: with West Virginia. Here, BYU already dropped from six to
• 42:11
  Speaker 1: four and a half, so you already did lose some
• 42:13
  Speaker 1: value on this number here, eighty five percent of tickets,
• 42:16
  Speaker 1: it looks really easy to lay the points with BYU. Right,
• 42:19
  Speaker 1: everybody loves an offense, you know, Everybody's like, oh, well, BYU,
• 42:23
  Speaker 1: there's still a tournament team. There's still gonna be like
• 42:25
  Speaker 1: a six to seven seed West Virginia. Who cares about them?
• 42:29
  Speaker 1: The public hates these teams like West Virginia that play
• 42:31
  Speaker 1: super ugly, But I like them just because of that
• 42:34
  Speaker 1: because you will pretty much always get value with them
• 42:37
  Speaker 1: because the public hates them and the public likes these
• 42:40
  Speaker 1: teams that play all offense and no defense. But eighty
• 42:43
  Speaker 1: five percent of tickets, only sixty eight percent of the
• 42:45
  Speaker 1: cash on BYU. Yeah, this is one where I would
• 42:48
  Speaker 1: go against the team that actually got a game under
• 42:50
  Speaker 1: their belt. I would lean towards taking the points with
• 42:53
  Speaker 1: West Virginia in that game, all right, and hopefully since dude,
• 42:57
  Speaker 1: Cincinnati got us a win against Kansas in the Big
• 43:00
  Speaker 1: Tournament last year, so hopefully they can do it again.
• 43:04
  Speaker 1: I love the Cincinnati team if they keep getting wins
• 43:06
  Speaker 1: for US, unless they lose for US today and then
• 43:09
  Speaker 1: I'll hate them, all right. The final game for the
• 43:12
  Speaker 1: Big Twelve is Oklahoma State and TCU. TCU has moved
• 43:16
  Speaker 1: up to a five point favorite. It looks think the
• 43:18
  Speaker 1: money is coming in on TCU. Seventy nine percent takes
• 43:21
  Speaker 1: ninety seven percent of the cash on TCU. I actually
• 43:23
  Speaker 1: don't agree with it, though, even though I think if
• 43:26
  Speaker 1: TCU gets buy this game, I think they could give
• 43:28
  Speaker 1: Kansas some issues. TCU has been looking really good, but
• 43:32
  Speaker 1: at this point TCU is I would almost say they're
• 43:35
  Speaker 1: safe in the tournament even if they lose this game.
• 43:39
  Speaker 1: Oklahoma State is not the worst team that you could
• 43:42
  Speaker 1: lose to here for your resume. I don't think if
• 43:44
  Speaker 1: TCU won a bunch of games in a row now,
• 43:47
  Speaker 1: so I think TCU is actually safe. I think they're
• 43:49
  Speaker 1: gonna make the tournament even if they lose this game
• 43:51
  Speaker 1: because the bubble has been so bad TCU, I think
• 43:56
  Speaker 1: they should. Plus TCU does have a win over Florida
• 43:59
  Speaker 1: in their back pocket too, which is seemingly is not
• 44:01
  Speaker 1: helping Auburn. But yeah, but Oklahoma State they played yesterday.
• 44:06
  Speaker 1: They got the win against Colorado. I was I couldn't
• 44:09
  Speaker 1: read that game, man, And that was another game that
• 44:11
  Speaker 1: went over by the way, I'm pretty sure I was
• 44:14
  Speaker 1: going back and forth on that game. Those teams do
• 44:17
  Speaker 1: kind of play an overstyle though. I kept going back
• 44:20
  Speaker 1: and forth on it, man, because both teams had played
• 44:23
  Speaker 1: really tough games the game before that. But Oklahoma State
• 44:25
  Speaker 1: got the win. So now they are used to this venue,
• 44:28
  Speaker 1: the weird glass floor venue. Dude, I want to see
• 44:31
  Speaker 1: the floor shatter. Can that even happen? I don't know,
• 44:35
  Speaker 1: like a backboard shattering? Have shack do it? Oklahoma State?
• 44:41
  Speaker 1: And you know they have a game under their belts,
• 44:43
  Speaker 1: so that should be helpful to them a little bit. Here.
• 44:45
  Speaker 1: These teams did play this year twice. I thought, No,
• 44:49
  Speaker 1: I guess they only played once. No, they did play twice. Yeah.
• 44:52
  Speaker 1: The first game at TCU was really low scoring and
• 44:55
  Speaker 1: tc won. And then TCU also won on the road
• 44:58
  Speaker 1: in a much high scoring game, higher scoring game. Oklahoma
• 45:01
  Speaker 1: State does play pretty fast. TCU won by three in
• 45:05
  Speaker 1: both cases, so they didn't really blow Oklahoma State out. Yeah,
• 45:10
  Speaker 1: I would kind of lead to Oklahoma State here, man,
• 45:12
  Speaker 1: I think they got the jitters out of the way.
• 45:14
  Speaker 1: They're adjusted to the venue. TCU was not adjusted to
• 45:18
  Speaker 1: the venue. TCU finished the season really hot, like I said,
• 45:20
  Speaker 1: with five wins in a row. So I don't like
• 45:23
  Speaker 1: teams having a break and then having to go into
• 45:25
  Speaker 1: the conference tournament on a huge hot streak like that
• 45:28
  Speaker 1: because people think the momentum carries but any change like
• 45:32
  Speaker 1: changing your venue, going to an unfamiliar surroundings, whatever, going
• 45:36
  Speaker 1: to unfamiliar surroundings, having time off, whatever the case is,
• 45:39
  Speaker 1: that can hurt your momentum. Man. So I probably would
• 45:42
  Speaker 1: take the points of Oklahoma State in that one, but
• 45:45
  Speaker 1: not a strong opinion for me. Oh and I I
• 45:49
  Speaker 1: forgot to congratulate all the conference tournament winners that we
• 45:53
  Speaker 1: got yesterday, so we do have some new auto bids.
• 45:56
  Speaker 1: As of yesterday, we had four more auto bids clinched.
• 45:58
  Speaker 1: Congratulations to the Hofstra Pride. No, it's not what you think.
• 46:04
  Speaker 1: Their logo is a couple of lions. It sounds pretty
• 46:07
  Speaker 1: lame though, but yes, congratulations to them. They were the
• 46:11
  Speaker 1: best team in the Colonial this year power ratings wise,
• 46:13
  Speaker 1: so they got the job done yesterday. Congratulations to the
• 46:18
  Speaker 1: Sianna Saints. I told dude, that was one of my
• 46:21
  Speaker 1: futures that did actually come through that I recommended on
• 46:24
  Speaker 1: the show. I thought their path was a lot better.
• 46:27
  Speaker 1: They matched up well against Merrimac Man. Like I said
• 46:30
  Speaker 1: that previous matchup against them. Sianna was the better team
• 46:33
  Speaker 1: in that game. They won that game. But it's gonna
• 46:36
  Speaker 1: weaken the tournament field a little bit. I think Sianna
• 46:38
  Speaker 1: will wind up a sixteen seed. But congratulations to the
• 46:42
  Speaker 1: Saints of Sianna. They're actually Saint Bernard's. Their logo is
• 46:46
  Speaker 1: a Saint Bernard Dog, not the New Orleans Saints. There
• 46:52
  Speaker 1: were four who am I missing? There were four teams
• 46:54
  Speaker 1: a clinch last night. Oh, congratulations to the Right State
• 46:57
  Speaker 1: Raiders another football football name. They got the win in
• 47:02
  Speaker 1: the Horizon as the one seed. They were one of
• 47:04
  Speaker 1: the best teams in that conference. They finally were able
• 47:07
  Speaker 1: to end the season of the overrated Detroit Mercy. And
• 47:11
  Speaker 1: it wasn't easy. It was a close game, but congratulations
• 47:14
  Speaker 1: is a right state. They will be in as probably
• 47:17
  Speaker 1: a fourteen or fifteen seed, and then and Hastra, I
• 47:21
  Speaker 1: think it will actually be like a thirteen or maybe
• 47:24
  Speaker 1: a fourteen. They're actually a pretty solid team. They're in
• 47:27
  Speaker 1: Kenbum's top one hundred actually, so they're a bit of
• 47:29
  Speaker 1: a more dangerous team, especially because they got one of
• 47:32
  Speaker 1: their best players back recently, one of the better shooters.
• 47:37
  Speaker 1: And who's the fourth? Who am I missing? I'm missing
• 47:39
  Speaker 1: one team and it should be in my mind and
• 47:41
  Speaker 1: I'm missing it now. I gotta look. It wasn't the
• 47:49
  Speaker 1: American East because I think they finished over the weekend
• 47:52
  Speaker 1: after another break Big Sky. It was not because they
• 47:58
  Speaker 1: finished tonight. Maybe that was it. Yeah, I don't know.
• 48:05
  Speaker 1: Southland is finishing tonight as well, which I'm gonna talk
• 48:07
  Speaker 1: about those games. Conference USA is in the middle of
• 48:11
  Speaker 1: their tournament or they just started their tournament. Oh, Gonzaga,
• 48:16
  Speaker 1: I was like, who was it? Of course I forgot,
• 48:18
  Speaker 1: because it's like you think, you don't even think about it.
• 48:20
  Speaker 1: It's like, yeah, of course Gonzaga won again. Yes, congratulations
• 48:24
  Speaker 1: to the Gonzaga Bulldogs, who did win the West Coast Conference.
• 48:29
  Speaker 1: Yet again, I think Santa Clara is going to make
• 48:32
  Speaker 1: the tournament, though the bubble has not. Like teams on
• 48:34
  Speaker 1: the bubble are not doing themselves any favors. And Santa
• 48:39
  Speaker 1: Clara by beating Saint Mary's, nobody really expected them to
• 48:42
  Speaker 1: beat Gonzago, though they did. Obviously they have the auto bid,
• 48:45
  Speaker 1: but and Gonzaga would still be in obviously, but I
• 48:49
  Speaker 1: think Santa Clara is going to get in any way,
• 48:51
  Speaker 1: of course, although I do have them in the first
• 48:53
  Speaker 1: four in my bracket. Okay, that was a bit of
• 48:56
  Speaker 1: an aside there. We got to get through these games. Man,
• 49:01
  Speaker 1: the swack wait, sorry, the SEC starts at twelve thirty.
• 49:05
  Speaker 1: These bigger conferences play all throughout the day. Man, LSU
• 49:09
  Speaker 1: and Kentucky are in the first game here, these teams.
• 49:13
  Speaker 1: I think that the whole the SEC didn't even start yesterday.
• 49:16
  Speaker 1: I don't think so. I think this is the start
• 49:18
  Speaker 1: of the SEC tournament today. LSU finished the season losing
• 49:22
  Speaker 1: three games in a row, but they did play Texas
• 49:24
  Speaker 1: A and M close to finish the season, so that
• 49:26
  Speaker 1: was a pretty big game for LSU, almost upsetting A
• 49:30
  Speaker 1: tournament team. Probable tournament team, I should say, on their
• 49:34
  Speaker 1: home floor, so there could be a little bit of
• 49:36
  Speaker 1: a hangover effect here, but maybe LSU will try to
• 49:39
  Speaker 1: break that losing momentum and actually show up and play
• 49:41
  Speaker 1: better here. Now LSU is the last seed in this
• 49:45
  Speaker 1: entire tournament, but power ratings wise, they are not the
• 49:48
  Speaker 1: worst team in this conference. Man, They're like the third
• 49:51
  Speaker 1: or fourth worst, So they're better than people think they are.
• 49:56
  Speaker 1: Kentucky finished the season with the loss to Florida. That
• 49:59
  Speaker 1: game wasn't really close, even though they lost by seven.
• 50:03
  Speaker 1: Kentucky they're gonna get into the tournament. It's just kind
• 50:06
  Speaker 1: of a matter of seeding for them. So I don't
• 50:08
  Speaker 1: know how much motivation they really have here. They're up
• 50:11
  Speaker 1: from a seven point favorite to a nine point favorite.
• 50:13
  Speaker 1: I think they'll win, but you know, I don't know, man.
• 50:18
  Speaker 1: They played LSU earlier this year, the only one by
• 50:20
  Speaker 1: one on the road at LSU. I think that was
• 50:23
  Speaker 1: the only time they played this year, so they might
• 50:25
  Speaker 1: take LSU seriously, I guess for that reason. But the
• 50:28
  Speaker 1: money is indicating on LSU, and I kind of agree
• 50:30
  Speaker 1: with it. Again, I don't think LSU is as bad
• 50:33
  Speaker 1: as the sixteen seed that they have here, I think
• 50:36
  Speaker 1: Kentucky will win this game, but from a spread perspective,
• 50:39
  Speaker 1: I probably would have to lean to LSU. But no
• 50:41
  Speaker 1: strong opinion really for me on this one. Kentucky's sixty
• 50:44
  Speaker 1: one percent of tickets on them, fifty five percent of
• 50:46
  Speaker 1: the cash on LSU, So do with that information what
• 50:49
  Speaker 1: you want. The second game up in the afternoon is
• 50:53
  Speaker 1: the game that probably everybody's gonna be talking about on
• 50:56
  Speaker 1: the SEC network at three PM. Mississippi State and Auburn. Now,
• 51:00
  Speaker 1: Auburn should win this one because they are the better
• 51:02
  Speaker 1: team over Mississippi State. Of course, they actually lost the
• 51:06
  Speaker 1: last time they played against Mississippi State. That was one
• 51:09
  Speaker 1: of the losses that Auburn really should not have taken,
• 51:12
  Speaker 1: at least for them. It was a road game, but
• 51:14
  Speaker 1: that was bad losing to Mississippi State on the road.
• 51:17
  Speaker 1: Auburn is definitely the better team, so they might bounce
• 51:19
  Speaker 1: back from that. For that reason. They had a bad
• 51:22
  Speaker 1: end to the season against Alabama. They got kind of
• 51:25
  Speaker 1: blown out in that game. Really, they made it look
• 51:28
  Speaker 1: closer later in the game, but they were getting absolutely
• 51:31
  Speaker 1: manhandled in that game. So Auburn did not look good
• 51:33
  Speaker 1: down the stretch. Everybody's rooting against Auburn, man, which might
• 51:37
  Speaker 1: put a chip on their shoulder because all the bubble
• 51:39
  Speaker 1: discussion is, oh, this team has such a terrible record,
• 51:42
  Speaker 1: they shouldn't get in. So in a way, I think
• 51:44
  Speaker 1: that there might be a chip on Auburn's shoulder here
• 51:47
  Speaker 1: for Mississippi State, they had a closer game. Man. They
• 51:51
  Speaker 1: played really close against Georgia, so they almost got to
• 51:54
  Speaker 1: win against a tournament team to finish the season. And
• 51:57
  Speaker 1: while yeah, they ended the season on a five game
• 51:59
  Speaker 1: loose streak and a lot of times the team will
• 52:01
  Speaker 1: bust that losing momentum by getting into the tournament and
• 52:05
  Speaker 1: just having some new life, I don't know, because that
• 52:07
  Speaker 1: was such a tough game against Georgia. Are they almost
• 52:10
  Speaker 1: pulled off the upset there? You know? The money I
• 52:14
  Speaker 1: know is coming into Mississippi State here, but I don't
• 52:17
  Speaker 1: actually really agree with it. Auburn's down from nine and
• 52:19
  Speaker 1: a half to seven and a half. The one thing
• 52:21
  Speaker 1: I will agree with is that everybody knows Auburn is
• 52:23
  Speaker 1: on the bubble, So they are one of those teams
• 52:25
  Speaker 1: where they're probably gonna be overpriced because they're on the bubble,
• 52:29
  Speaker 1: but I don't know, man, situationally, and the fact that
• 52:32
  Speaker 1: they're the better team, I don't see them losing this game.
• 52:36
  Speaker 1: They better win this game. Fifty eight percent of tickets
• 52:39
  Speaker 1: around Auburn seventy percent of the cash on Mississippi State though,
• 52:42
  Speaker 1: so the actual money is coming into Mississippi State. You know,
• 52:48
  Speaker 1: I don't know, Man. A lot of conflicting factors in
• 52:52
  Speaker 1: this game, to be honest. So the market read a
• 52:54
  Speaker 1: same misssippis Mississippi State. I don't want to go against
• 52:58
  Speaker 1: the market read like that, but you know, the situation
• 53:01
  Speaker 1: kind of leads me in the other direction too, So
• 53:04
  Speaker 1: there's a lot going on in that game. Don't love
• 53:08
  Speaker 1: it at all. The next SEC game is at night
• 53:10
  Speaker 1: at seven pm and the SEC network Ole Miss and Texas.
• 53:14
  Speaker 1: By the way, all these games are in Nashville, Tennessee.
• 53:18
  Speaker 1: So as far as the venue is concerned, you know, Kentucky,
• 53:22
  Speaker 1: their crowd is definitely gonna show up in Nashville, so
• 53:26
  Speaker 1: they probably have the biggest location at year. But it's
• 53:28
  Speaker 1: also because their fan base is just so expansive, so
• 53:32
  Speaker 1: you know, probably the venue does actually help Kentucky a
• 53:34
  Speaker 1: bit Ole Miss not a very good team. Texas is
• 53:38
  Speaker 1: sort of on the bubble right now, so you know
• 53:41
  Speaker 1: Texas is gonna give you a motivated effort most likely,
• 53:44
  Speaker 1: But Texas is probably gonna be another overvalue team because
• 53:48
  Speaker 1: everybody knows they're a bubble team right now. Ole Miss
• 53:51
  Speaker 1: lost at Texas by eleven this season. I believe that
• 53:55
  Speaker 1: was the only time they played, I think, so you know,
• 54:00
  Speaker 1: you have one data point there. But we know Texas
• 54:03
  Speaker 1: is the better team, so that's not really a surprise.
• 54:06
  Speaker 1: Texas finished the season on a bad note. They lost
• 54:08
  Speaker 1: to Oklahoma at home, which that should not have happened,
• 54:11
  Speaker 1: so Texas might be able to bounce back from that.
• 54:14
  Speaker 1: They lost two games in a row, got blown out
• 54:16
  Speaker 1: by Arkansas, so you know, I think Texas will show
• 54:21
  Speaker 1: up with more effort here. Ole Miss did lose their
• 54:23
  Speaker 1: last couple of games as well, including pretty ugly losing
• 54:26
  Speaker 1: to South Caroline at home, so they might show up
• 54:29
  Speaker 1: with some effort as well in this one. And they're
• 54:31
  Speaker 1: playing loose. The pressure is not on them. The pressure
• 54:34
  Speaker 1: is all going to be on Texas here. Texas is
• 54:36
  Speaker 1: a six and a half point favorite, ninety two percent
• 54:39
  Speaker 1: of the tickets on them, and only eighty one percent
• 54:41
  Speaker 1: of the cash. So the public is definitely on the
• 54:44
  Speaker 1: Texas side here because again they are the better team,
• 54:47
  Speaker 1: but everybody knows that they got to win to continue
• 54:51
  Speaker 1: their their run here at trying to clinch a tournament bid.
• 54:55
  Speaker 1: I think they should be in if you look at
• 54:57
  Speaker 1: their metrics. Their offense is like a top ten offense,
• 55:00
  Speaker 1: even though their defense is not that good. They're they're
• 55:03
  Speaker 1: like almost a top thirty team in the country, like
• 55:05
  Speaker 1: they should get in. They should win this game, but
• 55:10
  Speaker 1: again the pressure's on. They're probably a little bit overvalued.
• 55:12
  Speaker 1: I'd probably lean to Ole Miss plus the points there,
• 55:15
  Speaker 1: and then we have the late game is South Carolina
• 55:19
  Speaker 1: and Oklahoma on the SEC Network at nine to thirty pm. Oklahoma.
• 55:26
  Speaker 1: I don't really necessarily love the spot for them here
• 55:29
  Speaker 1: because they did just beat Texas, so that was a
• 55:32
  Speaker 1: big win. That's a rivalry as well, not as big
• 55:34
  Speaker 1: as the football rivalry, but it's still the Red River
• 55:37
  Speaker 1: Shootout or whatever you're supposed to call it now. I
• 55:40
  Speaker 1: refuse to call it in anything else. Oklahoma finished on
• 55:43
  Speaker 1: a four game win streak too, so they put themselves
• 55:46
  Speaker 1: right on the bubble too, So everybody knows Oklahoma's on
• 55:49
  Speaker 1: the bubble. Now they're coming off a huge rivalry win
• 55:51
  Speaker 1: and a revenge win I think as well, because they
• 55:53
  Speaker 1: lost to Texas at home earlier in the season. So
• 55:57
  Speaker 1: I don't like teams coming into the tournament on a
• 56:00
  Speaker 1: note like that, because again, it's a reset, so you
• 56:03
  Speaker 1: might lose your momentum. You know, they're gonna be overvalued
• 56:06
  Speaker 1: because they're a bubble team. No one's gonna pay any
• 56:10
  Speaker 1: attention to South Carolina here. They did win that final
• 56:13
  Speaker 1: game of the season, which was an upset, but I
• 56:15
  Speaker 1: don't think they're really gonna be like in letdown mode
• 56:18
  Speaker 1: or anything like that just because they beat oh Miss,
• 56:20
  Speaker 1: although they were seven and a half point underdogs in
• 56:23
  Speaker 1: that game. But I would lean to South Carolina in
• 56:26
  Speaker 1: this one. Man. Oklahoma is a very public side. They're
• 56:29
  Speaker 1: an eight point favorite. That number is definitely big. Do
• 56:34
  Speaker 1: I think they'll lose, Probably not, but I would probably
• 56:37
  Speaker 1: need to taking the points in South Carolina there. Again,
• 56:40
  Speaker 1: these bubble teams, man, usually they're gonna be overvalued. I
• 56:44
  Speaker 1: just think the situation might not be quite as bad
• 56:46
  Speaker 1: for Auburn here. And now that I said that, you
• 56:49
  Speaker 1: know Auburn is gonna lose and then be out of
• 56:50
  Speaker 1: the tournament. Like obviously, if they lose this game, they're
• 56:53
  Speaker 1: definitely out. But so the pressure is on them. But whatever,
• 56:57
  Speaker 1: I would lean to South Carolina plus the points here
• 57:00
  Speaker 1: ninety two percent tickets, ninety seven percent of the cash
• 57:02
  Speaker 1: in Oklahoma, I don't buy much. I don't buy that
• 57:06
  Speaker 1: cash percentage that much. I think you just know the
• 57:08
  Speaker 1: republic side, man. So I would still probably fade all
• 57:11
  Speaker 1: three of them, Oklahoma, Texas, and Auburn. I think I
• 57:14
  Speaker 1: would lean towards taking the points against all of them.
• 57:16
  Speaker 1: But you see, you know how I weigh the strengths
• 57:19
  Speaker 1: of all of them. I think South Carolina might be
• 57:21
  Speaker 1: the best of those three. But yeah, not a whole
• 57:27
  Speaker 1: lot else to say about it. All Right, we're gonna
• 57:31
  Speaker 1: geto some of the smaller conferences next. We just finished
• 57:34
  Speaker 1: all the power conferences. I hope be right back. I'm
• 57:36
  Speaker 1: gonna take a break. It's about at the hour mark here,
• 57:39
  Speaker 1: and then I'll finish the show because we really don't
• 57:41
  Speaker 1: have much hockey or NBA to talk about. And you
• 57:43
  Speaker 1: already got my best bet, so I know nobody's watching anymore.
• 57:47
  Speaker 1: You got my bet. You guys get the best bet,
• 57:48
  Speaker 1: and you bail. I should wait for it until the
• 57:51
  Speaker 1: end of the show. Man, even though you'd know because
• 57:52
  Speaker 1: it would be the one game I hadn't talked about yet,
• 57:54
  Speaker 1: you'd know what game it is. Yep. Inside, I want
• 58:14
  Speaker 1: to kill myself. We're on oh and seven run over
• 58:18
  Speaker 1: the last two days after tonight. It was just complete bullshit.
• 58:22
  Speaker 1: So that's that's how I'm gonna start off this show.
• 58:24
  Speaker 1: Horrible Sunday one and five. I don't even know what
• 58:27
  Speaker 1: to tell you about that. I just don't want to
• 58:30
  Speaker 1: do this anymore. I have never seen anything like this.
• 58:33
  Speaker 1: Man with the slump continuing. Two straight losses, not a
• 58:37
  Speaker 1: good day at all. Oh in four, I have not
• 58:42
  Speaker 1: had a good season. Man with wookends the slump that
• 58:46
  Speaker 1: I'm on, and the slump continues. I've reached a new pink. Actually,
• 58:52
  Speaker 1: I'm going to burn my Bruins hat Man. I don't
• 58:54
  Speaker 1: know what is going on with the Bruins. March eight,
• 58:57
  Speaker 1: is that what it is? I don't even know it's
• 58:59
  Speaker 1: March ninth. I think who even knows? Man, I don't
• 59:03
  Speaker 1: know what day is anymore, but I don't even know
• 59:05
  Speaker 1: what data is anymore. Man, back with you. The worst
• 59:09
  Speaker 1: day that I could possibly have back with you as
• 59:12
  Speaker 1: I always am until I die at least oh and
• 59:16
  Speaker 1: two yesterday and yesterday it did not go well for me.
• 59:19
  Speaker 1: Own five the worst month that I've ever had in
• 59:23
  Speaker 1: my eighteen years doing this. I don't know what to
• 59:25
  Speaker 1: even tell you about this anymore. The slump, the slump, disconvenience,
• 59:30
  Speaker 1: the slump continues. Somebody fucking kill me, please. I don't
• 59:36
  Speaker 1: even know what I should do at this point other
• 59:37
  Speaker 1: than potentially end it all. All right, let's keep going, man,
• 59:47
  Speaker 1: We got the swack continuing here where the top teams
• 59:51
  Speaker 1: in the swack are jumping into the fray now I
• 59:53
  Speaker 1: think three days into the tournament. But Thune Cookman, the
• 59:56
  Speaker 1: one seed, is in action in the afternoon at two pm.
• 59:59
  Speaker 1: And Getst. Prairie View A and M. Prairie View A
• 1:00:02
  Speaker 1: and M. They played yesterday, they got the win. I
• 1:00:06
  Speaker 1: thought they might be right for well, maybe not an upset,
• 1:00:10
  Speaker 1: but I thought they wouldn't. I leaned towards them not
• 1:00:12
  Speaker 1: covering and Alcourt State was winning that game early in
• 1:00:15
  Speaker 1: the game, but they really fell apart. So sometimes when
• 1:00:19
  Speaker 1: you want to lean towards these teams that have played
• 1:00:22
  Speaker 1: in the tournament, already. Sometimes it makes sense to take
• 1:00:24
  Speaker 1: them in the first half because the better team, you know,
• 1:00:28
  Speaker 1: once they get adjusted to the venue, a lot of
• 1:00:30
  Speaker 1: times you'll see them play a lot better in the
• 1:00:32
  Speaker 1: second half, and that I think that's what Prairie View
• 1:00:34
  Speaker 1: did in this one. They just took over at see.
• 1:00:36
  Speaker 1: They were really bad in the first half, getting adjusted
• 1:00:39
  Speaker 1: to the venue. They were losing at halftime, but they
• 1:00:41
  Speaker 1: wound up completely pulling away in the second half. Sometimes
• 1:00:45
  Speaker 1: that first half is good enough, but sometimes you know,
• 1:00:47
  Speaker 1: good enough to give you the full game. Sometimes it's not.
• 1:00:51
  Speaker 1: But now Prairie View is the team that does have
• 1:00:53
  Speaker 1: the game under their belt. Here. They lost the one
• 1:00:56
  Speaker 1: time they actually I think, yeah, they only played with
• 1:00:58
  Speaker 1: Une Cookman once, it looks like this season and they
• 1:01:01
  Speaker 1: actually scared them. They only lost by six on the road.
• 1:01:05
  Speaker 1: So maybe Bethune Cookman will come into this with a
• 1:01:08
  Speaker 1: little bit of motivation just because well, I mean, motivation
• 1:01:12
  Speaker 1: obviously is there because these teams are trying to make
• 1:01:14
  Speaker 1: the tournament. But Bethune Cookman they were ten and a
• 1:01:17
  Speaker 1: half point favorites in that game and they got a scare,
• 1:01:19
  Speaker 1: so they might, I should say, the better way to
• 1:01:21
  Speaker 1: say it is that they might take prairie View seriously
• 1:01:24
  Speaker 1: because prairie View almost beat them, so Bethune Cookman might
• 1:01:30
  Speaker 1: not overlook them for that reason. Bethune Cookman lost their
• 1:01:33
  Speaker 1: last game of the season of Florida A and M.
• 1:01:35
  Speaker 1: I think that's a good thing for them, because you
• 1:01:38
  Speaker 1: don't want to go into this tournament on a huge
• 1:01:40
  Speaker 1: win streak, you know, And they took a loss, and
• 1:01:42
  Speaker 1: that loss doesn't mean much because Bethune Cookman was they
• 1:01:45
  Speaker 1: had a four game lead in the conference, so they'd
• 1:01:47
  Speaker 1: already wrapped up the one seed, so they had nothing
• 1:01:49
  Speaker 1: to play for. I told I gave you guys a
• 1:01:52
  Speaker 1: lean on Florida A and M in that one. Maybe
• 1:01:54
  Speaker 1: I should have added it to my card, but the
• 1:01:56
  Speaker 1: swack is usually not something I get involved in. But
• 1:02:00
  Speaker 1: Bethune cook when they're definitely the better team, They're up
• 1:02:02
  Speaker 1: to a six point favorite here, But because Prairie View
• 1:02:07
  Speaker 1: didn't have the greatest game yesterday and they still got
• 1:02:09
  Speaker 1: that game out of the way. These games are all
• 1:02:10
  Speaker 1: in Atlanta or somewhere near Atlanta, I'd probably still agree
• 1:02:15
  Speaker 1: with the market here and take the points. With prairie
• 1:02:17
  Speaker 1: View seventy eight percent of ticket sixty percent of the
• 1:02:19
  Speaker 1: cash on Bethune Cook win, so their public side with
• 1:02:22
  Speaker 1: less of the money on them, You know, I don't.
• 1:02:28
  Speaker 1: I don't disagree with the market read in that one.
• 1:02:31
  Speaker 1: And then the other game that we have going on
• 1:02:33
  Speaker 1: in that conference is Jackson State and Florida A and M,
• 1:02:35
  Speaker 1: who are the two seed in action. I think the
• 1:02:38
  Speaker 1: three and four might not play yet or something. I
• 1:02:40
  Speaker 1: don't know, like the the top two seeds play whoever
• 1:02:43
  Speaker 1: came out of like the first rounds. But then I
• 1:02:45
  Speaker 1: think there the three through six, I think we're already
• 1:02:50
  Speaker 1: set and they all play each other and that probably
• 1:02:52
  Speaker 1: happens tomorrow or something. I don't know. Florida A and
• 1:02:55
  Speaker 1: M's up from a four point favorite to a seven
• 1:02:58
  Speaker 1: point favorite. Looks like a lot of money he has
• 1:03:00
  Speaker 1: coming in Florida A and M already, But I don't
• 1:03:03
  Speaker 1: know how much I buy that, man. I mean Jackson State.
• 1:03:05
  Speaker 1: I'm surprised they won yesterday. They pulled off an upset.
• 1:03:08
  Speaker 1: They knocked out Grambling. I really thought Grambling would win
• 1:03:11
  Speaker 1: that game, and they were winning that game late in
• 1:03:13
  Speaker 1: the game, but they fell apart lost the game. This
• 1:03:17
  Speaker 1: game is where is it at? This game's at eight
• 1:03:19
  Speaker 1: thirty PM for Jackson State. Yeah, they pulled off the
• 1:03:25
  Speaker 1: upset yesterday. Now they do have a game out of
• 1:03:28
  Speaker 1: the way. They do have a game under their belt.
• 1:03:30
  Speaker 1: That was the only game they played in this tournament
• 1:03:32
  Speaker 1: so far, and that is an advantage having played on
• 1:03:35
  Speaker 1: this floor already, you know, So they have the game
• 1:03:39
  Speaker 1: out of the way, they're accustomed to the venue, whatever.
• 1:03:41
  Speaker 1: But they did pull off an upset, so that's a
• 1:03:43
  Speaker 1: little bit of a concern. They did actually beat Florida
• 1:03:47
  Speaker 1: A and M by twenty points though the last time
• 1:03:49
  Speaker 1: they play, they actually beat them both times. They beat
• 1:03:51
  Speaker 1: them by one on the road and then by twenty
• 1:03:54
  Speaker 1: at home. Now A and M is the better team though,
• 1:03:57
  Speaker 1: so it's kind of a double revenge spot for Florida
• 1:04:01
  Speaker 1: A and M here. But Jackson State is very battle tested.
• 1:04:04
  Speaker 1: Like I said, they went through a huge gauntlet at
• 1:04:06
  Speaker 1: the beginning of the season. They had one of the
• 1:04:08
  Speaker 1: most difficult out of conference schedules in the entire country.
• 1:04:11
  Speaker 1: So this but that's why, Like you want to be
• 1:04:14
  Speaker 1: battle tests, then when you get to a tournament like this,
• 1:04:17
  Speaker 1: you're not scared, you know. So Jackson State does have that,
• 1:04:20
  Speaker 1: and they have the advantage of having played already in
• 1:04:22
  Speaker 1: this venue, even though Florida A and M is the
• 1:04:25
  Speaker 1: better team and it is double revenge here. I don't know, man,
• 1:04:29
  Speaker 1: this line seems really high to me though, Like, what
• 1:04:31
  Speaker 1: were they favored by at home? Let me say the
• 1:04:34
  Speaker 1: game that they lost by one, they were seven and
• 1:04:37
  Speaker 1: a half, and you're basically asking them to lay the
• 1:04:39
  Speaker 1: same thing on a neutral. Now, Yeah, I don't know.
• 1:04:42
  Speaker 1: That line seems like it's a little bit too high
• 1:04:44
  Speaker 1: at this point. Man. I'd probably lead towards Jackson State
• 1:04:47
  Speaker 1: plus the points in that one. But you know, I
• 1:04:50
  Speaker 1: don't have a great read on the swack, so take
• 1:04:53
  Speaker 1: from that, you know, take it all with a grain assault.
• 1:04:56
  Speaker 1: I guess all right, on the Mountain West is happening
• 1:05:01
  Speaker 1: as well. Let me see, Oh yeah, I think I
• 1:05:05
  Speaker 1: mentioned where all the other conferences are playing their their tournaments, right,
• 1:05:10
  Speaker 1: I think I mentioned the location anyway, Yeah, I just
• 1:05:12
  Speaker 1: try to get all that out there. But yes, we
• 1:05:17
  Speaker 1: are onto the Mountain West, I guess, I think, yeah,
• 1:05:20
  Speaker 1: because I already did the A ten Mountain West begins
• 1:05:23
  Speaker 1: three pm Wyoming in UNLV. This is being played at
• 1:05:27
  Speaker 1: the Thomas and Mac in Las Vegas. That's just how
• 1:05:29
  Speaker 1: it always is. It is literally UNLV's home floor, so
• 1:05:34
  Speaker 1: UNLV is the home team basically in these games, even
• 1:05:38
  Speaker 1: though the crowds will show up for some of these
• 1:05:40
  Speaker 1: other teams. Interestingly, Wyoming actually beat UNLV by thirty two
• 1:05:46
  Speaker 1: points at home when they played them this year. I
• 1:05:49
  Speaker 1: think that was the only time they played. I think
• 1:05:50
  Speaker 1: they only played once this year. That is a ridiculous
• 1:05:54
  Speaker 1: result and I think it might be a little bit misleading,
• 1:05:58
  Speaker 1: So maybe UNLV will have some us with to make
• 1:06:00
  Speaker 1: after that. Although Wyoming is not a bad team though,
• 1:06:04
  Speaker 1: but they did finish the season with three loss three
• 1:06:06
  Speaker 1: wins in a row excuiously, so that might hurt them again.
• 1:06:09
  Speaker 1: You're momentum at the end of the season could get
• 1:06:11
  Speaker 1: a little bit disrupted UNLV, though they had a good
• 1:06:15
  Speaker 1: finish to the season too. They played three huge games
• 1:06:18
  Speaker 1: in a row against their rival Nevada, got the revenge
• 1:06:21
  Speaker 1: win there. They crushed the top team in the conference
• 1:06:24
  Speaker 1: Utah State, then they almost upset San Diego State on
• 1:06:27
  Speaker 1: the road, another one of the best teams in the conference.
• 1:06:30
  Speaker 1: So UNLV is coming up three huge games in a row,
• 1:06:33
  Speaker 1: so the setup for them really isn't that good here.
• 1:06:36
  Speaker 1: And you know, Wyoming may very well just be the
• 1:06:39
  Speaker 1: better team here. UNLV is gonna be a favorite because
• 1:06:43
  Speaker 1: they're playing literally on their home floor. They're actually up
• 1:06:46
  Speaker 1: to a four point favorite here. Let me see what
• 1:06:48
  Speaker 1: ken Bomb where does he have them ranked. He's got
• 1:06:50
  Speaker 1: UNLV one oh four and Wyoming ninety eight. Like I said, so,
• 1:06:53
  Speaker 1: ken Bomb actually has UNLV. Excuse me, he has Wyoming
• 1:06:57
  Speaker 1: is the better team. He has their offense is ranked
• 1:07:01
  Speaker 1: about the same, and he has Wyoming is the better
• 1:07:03
  Speaker 1: defense fairly significantly and the team that's gonna want to
• 1:07:06
  Speaker 1: slow everything down here. Both teams kind of unlucky according
• 1:07:10
  Speaker 1: to him. But yeah, I think I would lead to
• 1:07:12
  Speaker 1: Wyoming as well here. Man. I know it's kind of
• 1:07:15
  Speaker 1: unfair that UNLV gets to play on their home court
• 1:07:17
  Speaker 1: every time, but these other teams are used to it
• 1:07:19
  Speaker 1: as well. Wyoming has been you know, they've made some
• 1:07:22
  Speaker 1: noise in this tournament in the past. UNLV up from
• 1:07:25
  Speaker 1: three and a half to four here, fifty percent of
• 1:07:27
  Speaker 1: tickets in ninety three percent of the casual on Wyoming.
• 1:07:30
  Speaker 1: I actually do agree with it. I would lean to
• 1:07:31
  Speaker 1: taking the points with Wyoming as well. Not a strong
• 1:07:35
  Speaker 1: opinion for me though, air Force and Nevada. Air Force, man,
• 1:07:41
  Speaker 1: they're bad. You know, they just have no height, I think,
• 1:07:44
  Speaker 1: because in the air Force you actually can't even be
• 1:07:46
  Speaker 1: above a certain height. So even though they're a disciplined team,
• 1:07:49
  Speaker 1: they're just they're atrocious. They just don't have the talent.
• 1:07:53
  Speaker 1: On Nevada is a massive twenty and a half way
• 1:07:55
  Speaker 1: favorite against them. Here Nevada is playing in a familiar venue,
• 1:07:58
  Speaker 1: of course, because it's in Las Vegas, the venue of
• 1:08:01
  Speaker 1: Nevada's rival UNLV so they always play here, although air
• 1:08:06
  Speaker 1: Force I think pretty much always plays here too all
• 1:08:08
  Speaker 1: the I mean, all these teams do because it's you know,
• 1:08:11
  Speaker 1: it's the Mountain West Tournament, so these teams are all
• 1:08:13
  Speaker 1: used to playing here anyway. But yeah, seventy one percent
• 1:08:16
  Speaker 1: of tickets, seventy eight percent of the cash on Nevada
• 1:08:19
  Speaker 1: plus I think they pretty much all have to go
• 1:08:20
  Speaker 1: to UNL vidaor in the regular season at some point too.
• 1:08:23
  Speaker 1: The money is coming in a Nevada. I mean, I
• 1:08:27
  Speaker 1: wouldn't want to play air Force, I'll tell you that,
• 1:08:29
  Speaker 1: but I don't think I would want to lay twenty
• 1:08:31
  Speaker 1: something points here either man in a tournament setting. So
• 1:08:35
  Speaker 1: this is a complete stay away. These are the ugliest
• 1:08:37
  Speaker 1: games man. Nevada just played at air Force, by the way,
• 1:08:40
  Speaker 1: and they actually didn't cover. They were like twenty six
• 1:08:43
  Speaker 1: point favorites and they only only one by fifteen at
• 1:08:47
  Speaker 1: home to finish the seasons. Actually, maybe Nevada will actually
• 1:08:50
  Speaker 1: play better in this time. Who knows, man, But yeah,
• 1:08:53
  Speaker 1: I mean, obviously Nevada will win this game. It's just
• 1:08:57
  Speaker 1: a matter by how much hard to gauge. Who knows.
• 1:09:01
  Speaker 1: Nevada might start looking ahead to the next round though,
• 1:09:04
  Speaker 1: Like it's a tournament, so you know, you're not really
• 1:09:06
  Speaker 1: incentivice to win by a huge margin like that. You know,
• 1:09:10
  Speaker 1: like you get up by you know, seventeen points or
• 1:09:13
  Speaker 1: whatever late in the game, you're probably gonna take your
• 1:09:15
  Speaker 1: foot off the gas, you know. So that's what we
• 1:09:18
  Speaker 1: have going on there. Uh, we have Fresno and Colorado
• 1:09:21
  Speaker 1: State at nine pm in this Conferce tournament. It looks
• 1:09:24
  Speaker 1: like these games aren't even on ESPN Plus or whatever,
• 1:09:26
  Speaker 1: which is stupid. I think Colorado State's been good, I
• 1:09:32
  Speaker 1: believe it or not. Fresno did beat them at least
• 1:09:34
  Speaker 1: once this year. I know Fresno gave them problems. Actually,
• 1:09:38
  Speaker 1: Fresno beat them by ten at home, and at Colorado
• 1:09:41
  Speaker 1: State they only lost by four. Now, Colorado State is
• 1:09:44
  Speaker 1: the better team, so Colorado State might remember that and
• 1:09:47
  Speaker 1: might uh make the adjustments again, give a better effort
• 1:09:51
  Speaker 1: this time and take Fresno seriously. Fresno finished the season
• 1:09:55
  Speaker 1: bad though, they lost five of their last six games,
• 1:09:57
  Speaker 1: only beating San Jose State in there, so they might
• 1:10:01
  Speaker 1: show up with a little bit of a better effort
• 1:10:03
  Speaker 1: this time. Colorado State did finish the season with a loss.
• 1:10:07
  Speaker 1: I think it's actually kind of a problem though, because
• 1:10:09
  Speaker 1: they lost a long wind streak. They had eight wins
• 1:10:12
  Speaker 1: in a row and then finally lost to a Boise
• 1:10:14
  Speaker 1: State team. It's better than people think they are, but
• 1:10:17
  Speaker 1: I don't like that when you lose a win streak
• 1:10:19
  Speaker 1: like that, even though yeah, they ended the season on
• 1:10:21
  Speaker 1: a bad note, but when it ends, you know, a
• 1:10:24
  Speaker 1: huge win streak like that, it's basically like it just
• 1:10:26
  Speaker 1: totally disrupted your momentum. So I think that's actually gonna
• 1:10:29
  Speaker 1: throw off Colorado State's momentum here. I actually kind of
• 1:10:32
  Speaker 1: like Fresno plus the points here Colorado State's laying eight.
• 1:10:36
  Speaker 1: You know, I think Colorado State could make some noise
• 1:10:38
  Speaker 1: in this tournament. They're actually pretty good and they're one
• 1:10:41
  Speaker 1: of the hotter teams in the conference. But the way
• 1:10:45
  Speaker 1: this game sets up, I don't like it from them.
• 1:10:47
  Speaker 1: They got to get through it and then we'll see
• 1:10:49
  Speaker 1: what happens. But yeah, I would slightly lead to Fresno,
• 1:10:53
  Speaker 1: although the money looks like it did come in early
• 1:10:55
  Speaker 1: on Colorado State, driving them all the way up from
• 1:10:58
  Speaker 1: five to eight. And then now we have San Jose
• 1:11:03
  Speaker 1: State and Boise Boise. He's a fourteen and a half
• 1:11:05
  Speaker 1: point favorite here. I don't love laying points with a
• 1:11:08
  Speaker 1: team like Boise just because they do play really slow.
• 1:11:11
  Speaker 1: Now I think they should win this game. I think
• 1:11:13
  Speaker 1: Boise believe it or not. I actually think Boise has
• 1:11:16
  Speaker 1: a chance to win this tournament. They're they're not that bad,
• 1:11:20
  Speaker 1: like they had a season where they underperformed. But Ken
• 1:11:24
  Speaker 1: Bom I think probably as them as like a top
• 1:11:26
  Speaker 1: sixty team. Yeah, he has them fifty to fifth in
• 1:11:28
  Speaker 1: the country. That's pretty good. They're actually pretty balanced, believe
• 1:11:34
  Speaker 1: it or not. Although he doesn't have Boise as a
• 1:11:37
  Speaker 1: lucky team at this point, believe it or not. But Boise,
• 1:11:40
  Speaker 1: as always, they do play slow. That's the one thing
• 1:11:43
  Speaker 1: that's pretty constant with them. San Jose State's a bad team.
• 1:11:46
  Speaker 1: They did lose three games in a row to finish
• 1:11:48
  Speaker 1: the season. They lost to Boise on the road by
• 1:11:52
  Speaker 1: fifteen the last time they played, and they got really
• 1:11:54
  Speaker 1: embarrassed at home against them, losing by thirty one. But
• 1:11:59
  Speaker 1: Boise's clearly the better team here. But will Boise cover? Yeah,
• 1:12:03
  Speaker 1: I don't know, probably not, to be honest, Boise. He
• 1:12:07
  Speaker 1: finished the season with five wins in a row, including
• 1:12:09
  Speaker 1: beating San Diego State and Colorado State to finish the season.
• 1:12:13
  Speaker 1: Those are two pretty good wins there, so they're momentum.
• 1:12:16
  Speaker 1: I get a little bit disrupted. Now they gotta go
• 1:12:18
  Speaker 1: to Vegas. They gotta play a team they handle twice already,
• 1:12:23
  Speaker 1: and they play slow, So I would probably lean towards
• 1:12:25
  Speaker 1: taking the points of San Jose State. Sixty percent of
• 1:12:28
  Speaker 1: the tickets around Boise eighty eight percent of the cash
• 1:12:30
  Speaker 1: on San Jose State. Do I think Boise is gonna
• 1:12:32
  Speaker 1: actually lose this game? No, But you know, covering is
• 1:12:36
  Speaker 1: a different story, especially when you play slow like Boise.
• 1:12:40
  Speaker 1: Tournaments ecously, the total excuse me, is in the one
• 1:12:45
  Speaker 1: forties here, so low total do with that information? What
• 1:12:49
  Speaker 1: you want to Canadian stoner? What's up? Man? What are
• 1:12:54
  Speaker 1: we talking about? Great Shell? Who's that Chelsea? We're talking
• 1:12:57
  Speaker 1: about soccer now, we're talking about British football, talking about
• 1:13:01
  Speaker 1: the English Premier League? What's going on? Man? All right?
• 1:13:07
  Speaker 1: We got Where am I going here? Now? Oh? Big
• 1:13:11
  Speaker 1: East is beginning today on Peacock at four pm. Providence
• 1:13:15
  Speaker 1: and Butler. Oh NHL. Yeah, I give out a winner
• 1:13:20
  Speaker 1: in the NHL. That should have been a lot easier
• 1:13:22
  Speaker 1: of a winner. But I had a bad day yesterday. Man,
• 1:13:25
  Speaker 1: it looks even worse than that. Like that one looked
• 1:13:28
  Speaker 1: lucky too, even though statistically that was a dominant performance
• 1:13:31
  Speaker 1: from the Islanders yesterday. The other leans that I had
• 1:13:35
  Speaker 1: in hockey didn't work out really, so that was the
• 1:13:38
  Speaker 1: right pick man for me. I'm pissed that. Yeah, the
• 1:13:41
  Speaker 1: NBA game completely fell apart, and I thought that we
• 1:13:44
  Speaker 1: had the college basketball one in the bag and that
• 1:13:47
  Speaker 1: one lost really late. Not happy about it. Providence and Butler.
• 1:13:53
  Speaker 1: Providence beat Butler by ten at home and lost by
• 1:13:58
  Speaker 1: three on the road to Butler. And I think I'm
• 1:14:00
  Speaker 1: multi overtime game probably, Yeah, two overtimes, very high scoring
• 1:14:05
  Speaker 1: game there so the team split the season series, with
• 1:14:08
  Speaker 1: the home team winning each. Providence lost their last two games,
• 1:14:11
  Speaker 1: so maybe they come into this with a little bit
• 1:14:14
  Speaker 1: more effort here. You know, when teams lose their last
• 1:14:16
  Speaker 1: couple of games, a lot of times they will come
• 1:14:18
  Speaker 1: in and play better. Butler won their last game against
• 1:14:22
  Speaker 1: to Paul. Not really a big deal there either. This
• 1:14:25
  Speaker 1: is one of those ones where I think it just
• 1:14:26
  Speaker 1: comes down to who the better team really is here,
• 1:14:29
  Speaker 1: and I actually think it is Providence. They are a
• 1:14:31
  Speaker 1: slight favor here. All these games are being played in
• 1:14:34
  Speaker 1: Madison Square Garden, by the way, which that's helpful for
• 1:14:37
  Speaker 1: Providence as well because that's closer to them. They're more
• 1:14:40
  Speaker 1: used to playing in this venue than Butler is. Butler
• 1:14:43
  Speaker 1: has to come in from the Midwest. Providence is favorite.
• 1:14:47
  Speaker 1: They're one and a half point favorite, eighty percent of
• 1:14:49
  Speaker 1: tickets eighty seven percent of the cash on them. I
• 1:14:52
  Speaker 1: don't have a real strong opinion on this game at all,
• 1:14:55
  Speaker 1: but I would lean to Providence in this one. I
• 1:14:57
  Speaker 1: think they're a little bit of an underrated team right now,
• 1:15:00
  Speaker 1: and they've been fairly competitive against the better teams in
• 1:15:04
  Speaker 1: this conference, so I kind of prefer them here also
• 1:15:08
  Speaker 1: in the Big East Peacock at six point thirty PM
• 1:15:11
  Speaker 1: with Xavier and Marquette, and I actually prefer this game
• 1:15:14
  Speaker 1: to the other one. Now. Xavier played Marquette twice. They
• 1:15:18
  Speaker 1: beat Marquette by eight at home, and they lost them
• 1:15:21
  Speaker 1: by one on the road, so they each home team won.
• 1:15:24
  Speaker 1: Xavier lost their last two games and they didn't have
• 1:15:27
  Speaker 1: a They did not have a close call against Villanova,
• 1:15:29
  Speaker 1: So again, I like teams to kind of reset once
• 1:15:32
  Speaker 1: they make it into a tournament setting. Xavier does have
• 1:15:36
  Speaker 1: an experienced coach. At least they have Rick Patino's son,
• 1:15:40
  Speaker 1: Richard Patino. I won't play the Rick Patino drop again
• 1:15:45
  Speaker 1: right now, although I'm kind of tempted to do it Marquette.
• 1:15:48
  Speaker 1: I would fade Marquette here and almost entirely because look
• 1:15:51
  Speaker 1: at what they did to end the season. Man, they
• 1:15:53
  Speaker 1: basically played their super Bowl like they're not under any
• 1:15:56
  Speaker 1: delusion they're gonna be able to try to make a
• 1:15:57
  Speaker 1: run in this conference or whatever. But they finished season
• 1:16:00
  Speaker 1: with a home win against Yukon that was a huge
• 1:16:03
  Speaker 1: win on Senior Night. So I think they might actually
• 1:16:06
  Speaker 1: be in letdown mode, even though this is a tournament.
• 1:16:09
  Speaker 1: I know they did just lose their most recent game
• 1:16:11
  Speaker 1: against Xavier, so maybe that's reason to show up, But
• 1:16:15
  Speaker 1: I think the letdown is kind of a big component
• 1:16:17
  Speaker 1: of this. I'd probably lean towards Xavier now. The other
• 1:16:21
  Speaker 1: issue is Marquete's a four point favorite here and if
• 1:16:23
  Speaker 1: you look at if you look at the odds in
• 1:16:29
  Speaker 1: the other games that Marquete played against Xavier, this line
• 1:16:31
  Speaker 1: looks way too high. But I can tell you that
• 1:16:34
  Speaker 1: the reason for that is that I believe Xavier's best
• 1:16:36
  Speaker 1: player is injured Trey Carroll. He I believe he got
• 1:16:41
  Speaker 1: injured in the final against Villanova in their final game,
• 1:16:45
  Speaker 1: which they got. They they lost the game, but I
• 1:16:47
  Speaker 1: think he got injured in that game, and I'm pretty
• 1:16:49
  Speaker 1: sure he's not playing here. And I think that's why
• 1:16:52
  Speaker 1: because if you look at the like look at the
• 1:16:54
  Speaker 1: game where Xavier was at home, they were actually a
• 1:16:57
  Speaker 1: one and a half way favorite here at home in
• 1:16:59
  Speaker 1: the most recent so on a neutral that would mean
• 1:17:01
  Speaker 1: Marquette should probably be like a two point favorite. Four
• 1:17:06
  Speaker 1: might indicate that Carol's not playing here, man, But if
• 1:17:08
  Speaker 1: he doesn't play, I still like Xavier here because it
• 1:17:10
  Speaker 1: means they'll step up their game. Further, like they'll try
• 1:17:13
  Speaker 1: to play with intensity without him. So I do like
• 1:17:17
  Speaker 1: Xavier here. I think Marquette will be in a letdown
• 1:17:20
  Speaker 1: spot here. It is kind of a weird venue for
• 1:17:23
  Speaker 1: both teams because Xavier's in Cincinnati, Marquette is in Milwaukee,
• 1:17:28
  Speaker 1: so it's probably even weirder for Marquette to have to
• 1:17:30
  Speaker 1: come and play in Madison Square Garden. Of course, Marquette
• 1:17:33
  Speaker 1: does still have an experience coach shakas Smart, although I
• 1:17:36
  Speaker 1: think he is overrated as a coach. I mean, I
• 1:17:40
  Speaker 1: think he was a flash in the pan man with VCU,
• 1:17:42
  Speaker 1: with his havoc defense and whatever. I mean, his teams
• 1:17:46
  Speaker 1: really have not been great since. I know, Marquette's has
• 1:17:49
  Speaker 1: had some pretty good seasons under him, but still they've
• 1:17:53
  Speaker 1: really like failed when it's come to like the actual tournament.
• 1:17:56
  Speaker 1: Not necessarily in this tournament, but I like Xavier. I'm
• 1:17:59
  Speaker 1: actually tempted to put it on my card. You know,
• 1:18:06
  Speaker 1: I don't know, man, I mean, you're getting extra value
• 1:18:08
  Speaker 1: with this number because Marquette is a bigger favorite than
• 1:18:11
  Speaker 1: they normally would be here. I think because of the injury.
• 1:18:15
  Speaker 1: You know, I don't love the injury situations in college basketball.
• 1:18:18
  Speaker 1: Though I think playing those situations is less advantageous than
• 1:18:23
  Speaker 1: it is in like professional sports. But you know, we
• 1:18:26
  Speaker 1: are talking about Xavier's best player there, so yeah, do
• 1:18:30
  Speaker 1: with that information what you want to, I guess, But
• 1:18:32
  Speaker 1: I do like Xavier plus the points in that one.
• 1:18:35
  Speaker 1: All right, I think that's it for the Big East, right, No,
• 1:18:39
  Speaker 1: my mistake. No, there's another game. There's Georgetown and DePaul.
• 1:18:42
  Speaker 1: We have three games. Yeah, Georgetown, they come into this game.
• 1:18:48
  Speaker 1: They had broken a long losing streak with their final
• 1:18:51
  Speaker 1: game with the winner for Providence barely beating Providence and
• 1:18:54
  Speaker 1: not covering well depending on what number you got, I guess,
• 1:18:59
  Speaker 1: but I like that when a team ends they're losing momentum.
• 1:19:02
  Speaker 1: I think that does carry into this if you had
• 1:19:04
  Speaker 1: just ended along losing streak. So I don't mind Georgetown
• 1:19:10
  Speaker 1: coming into this game, but like the way that this
• 1:19:12
  Speaker 1: sets up for them. They beat DePaul at home by
• 1:19:14
  Speaker 1: nine this season, and they lost to them on the
• 1:19:16
  Speaker 1: road by six, so the home team won each game. Here.
• 1:19:21
  Speaker 1: De Paul was actually more competitive this year than they
• 1:19:23
  Speaker 1: usually are. They weren't bad. They didn't end the season
• 1:19:25
  Speaker 1: with two losses, which I think again, the conference tournament
• 1:19:29
  Speaker 1: serves as a bit of a reset, so teams that
• 1:19:31
  Speaker 1: lost towards the end actually do perform a little bit better.
• 1:19:34
  Speaker 1: I think in that first game of the tournament, DePaul
• 1:19:37
  Speaker 1: is favorite. They're up to a two point favorite here
• 1:19:39
  Speaker 1: from a pick them, sixty eight percent of tickets, eighty
• 1:19:41
  Speaker 1: two percent of the cash coming in A to Paul,
• 1:19:43
  Speaker 1: the money is coming in a de Paul. You know,
• 1:19:47
  Speaker 1: I don't have a great read on this game, so
• 1:19:49
  Speaker 1: I don't really have an opinion that that's that strong
• 1:19:52
  Speaker 1: one way or the other. I think it is a
• 1:19:53
  Speaker 1: little bit weirder for Chicago team like DePaul. They have
• 1:19:56
  Speaker 1: to play in Madison Square, though Georgetown is in decent,
• 1:20:01
  Speaker 1: so I don't know the money the market. Reaid is
• 1:20:03
  Speaker 1: saying to Paul, do with that information what you want to,
• 1:20:06
  Speaker 1: But I really don't have much of an opinion on
• 1:20:07
  Speaker 1: that game at all. All Right, we do have the
• 1:20:11
  Speaker 1: final in the Southland between the two teams. We thought
• 1:20:16
  Speaker 1: MacNeice and Steven have Austin, but both teams almost lost
• 1:20:20
  Speaker 1: yesterday and Steven of Austin very unfortunately for Macnice because
• 1:20:24
  Speaker 1: I think they're the better team here. Steveen of Austin
• 1:20:26
  Speaker 1: has a much better setup in this game because they
• 1:20:29
  Speaker 1: played the earlier game yesterday, the game they won in
• 1:20:32
  Speaker 1: regulation and they almost lost to A and M Corpus
• 1:20:35
  Speaker 1: Christy as a decent sized favorite six and a half.
• 1:20:38
  Speaker 1: And you know when a big favorite almost loses, they
• 1:20:41
  Speaker 1: get a scare. I think it might be because they
• 1:20:43
  Speaker 1: were kind of looking ahead, you know whatever. I like
• 1:20:46
  Speaker 1: that team in the next game. So I like that
• 1:20:48
  Speaker 1: for Steven of Austin and the fact that they played
• 1:20:50
  Speaker 1: earlier might really come into play here because MacNeice had
• 1:20:53
  Speaker 1: to play triple overtime last night to win the game
• 1:20:56
  Speaker 1: against Rio Grande Valley, and it was because MacNeice couldn't
• 1:21:00
  Speaker 1: any of their fucking free throws. They hit like fifty
• 1:21:02
  Speaker 1: percent of their free throws. It was one of the
• 1:21:05
  Speaker 1: most atrocious free throw performances you'll ever see out of
• 1:21:08
  Speaker 1: a team. It was unbelievable. Like making one of those
• 1:21:13
  Speaker 1: free throws, they would have won the game in regulation.
• 1:21:16
  Speaker 1: It was ridiculous that they had to do that. They
• 1:21:18
  Speaker 1: wound up having to go to three overtimes in the
• 1:21:20
  Speaker 1: late game. Now, the one positive is MacNeice did get
• 1:21:24
  Speaker 1: a scare as a big favorite, just like Steven V.
• 1:21:26
  Speaker 1: Austin did. They were eight and a half way favorites
• 1:21:28
  Speaker 1: and almost lost the game, so that should have them
• 1:21:30
  Speaker 1: a lot more focused here. You gotta think they're gonna
• 1:21:33
  Speaker 1: be going through free throw drills. That was terrible. They
• 1:21:36
  Speaker 1: had a horrible shooting game too, Like dude, they dominated
• 1:21:39
  Speaker 1: this game. Some of it was because of the turnover edge,
• 1:21:42
  Speaker 1: but MacNeice had eighty field goal attempts in the game
• 1:21:45
  Speaker 1: to Rio Grande Valley's fifty nine, and yet MacNeice only
• 1:21:48
  Speaker 1: had four more makes. That's insane that you can have
• 1:21:52
  Speaker 1: twenty something more field goal attempts in the game and
• 1:21:55
  Speaker 1: only make four more than your opponent. MacNeice should have
• 1:21:58
  Speaker 1: won this game so much easily, it's insane, and they
• 1:22:02
  Speaker 1: had the lead for sixty two percent of it. MacNeice
• 1:22:04
  Speaker 1: was up double digits in the middle of that game,
• 1:22:06
  Speaker 1: so they were pretty clearly the better team in this game.
• 1:22:09
  Speaker 1: It shouldn't have been that close. The rebounding battle was
• 1:22:12
  Speaker 1: close though, but yeah. The one good thing for macnice
• 1:22:15
  Speaker 1: I guess is that one of their best players fouled
• 1:22:18
  Speaker 1: out in regulation, so he didn't play any of the overtimes.
• 1:22:21
  Speaker 1: That was Jarrell Colbert, Colebear, Stephen Colbert, this guy, I mean,
• 1:22:30
  Speaker 1: he's one of their big men. He fouled out earlier
• 1:22:32
  Speaker 1: in the game in regulation, so he will be rested
• 1:22:36
  Speaker 1: at least to some extent after not having to play
• 1:22:38
  Speaker 1: the overtimes. And one of the other guys did get hurt,
• 1:22:42
  Speaker 1: although he came back into the game during the overtime.
• 1:22:45
  Speaker 1: So I don't know, man, but you know, it's very
• 1:22:49
  Speaker 1: unfortunate that macneese had to do that in last night's game.
• 1:22:52
  Speaker 1: So that really does give Steven v. Austin an edge here.
• 1:22:56
  Speaker 1: The money is coming in on Steven of Austin. MacNeice
• 1:22:58
  Speaker 1: is up to a two and a half away favorite,
• 1:23:00
  Speaker 1: fifty seven percent of tickets on them, sixty nine percent
• 1:23:02
  Speaker 1: of the cash that Stephen v. Austin. I have to agree. Unfortunately,
• 1:23:07
  Speaker 1: I have to lead to Steven v. Austin, even though
• 1:23:09
  Speaker 1: I want to see MacNeice get into the tournament again.
• 1:23:12
  Speaker 1: See what they could do with that ridiculous deep bets
• 1:23:14
  Speaker 1: that they play, where you know, they just really get
• 1:23:17
  Speaker 1: in your face on deepens, they don't even let you
• 1:23:19
  Speaker 1: get the ball over half court. They forced you into
• 1:23:21
  Speaker 1: really long possession times. So you know, there are games
• 1:23:25
  Speaker 1: a lot of times and undermakes sense here, and yes,
• 1:23:29
  Speaker 1: last night's game would have gone under from them if
• 1:23:31
  Speaker 1: it didn't go to triple O. I think the game
• 1:23:33
  Speaker 1: was still over after the first overtimes, still under, excuse
• 1:23:37
  Speaker 1: me after the first overtime period, and don't wound up
• 1:23:39
  Speaker 1: going over anyway because it went to triple OT absolutely ridiculous,
• 1:23:44
  Speaker 1: and undermakes sense in a game like this because of
• 1:23:47
  Speaker 1: the way MacNeice plays, but because they might be so
• 1:23:49
  Speaker 1: tired after last night, I don't think I would want
• 1:23:52
  Speaker 1: to go under in this one man. The money has
• 1:23:54
  Speaker 1: come in that way though, the total at one thirty four.
• 1:23:57
  Speaker 1: But I agree with Stephen F. Austin just because they
• 1:23:59
  Speaker 1: had a scare themselves and they played the earlier game
• 1:24:03
  Speaker 1: and they didn't have to play overtime, so unfortunately for MacNeice,
• 1:24:06
  Speaker 1: the spot sets up way better for Steven V. Austin there,
• 1:24:09
  Speaker 1: so I actually think they're probably gonna wind up winning.
• 1:24:12
  Speaker 1: This game. By the way, is actually in Macneice's arena,
• 1:24:16
  Speaker 1: which again I don't know why that's the case because
• 1:24:18
  Speaker 1: they're the two seed. It's in Lake Charles, Louisiana. It
• 1:24:21
  Speaker 1: is literally Macneice's home arena, so you know that should
• 1:24:25
  Speaker 1: be taken into consideration as well. But they're not being
• 1:24:29
  Speaker 1: lined like they're the true home team though, because it
• 1:24:31
  Speaker 1: is a tournament environment, because I think they'd be a
• 1:24:34
  Speaker 1: bigger favorite. But some of that has to do with
• 1:24:36
  Speaker 1: the fact that they played last night and had you know,
• 1:24:39
  Speaker 1: they barely rested last night. You know, like they were
• 1:24:42
  Speaker 1: actually ten and a half pay favorites in the game
• 1:24:45
  Speaker 1: at home the first time. That line is definitely too high.
• 1:24:47
  Speaker 1: That was out of control. But I think in a
• 1:24:49
  Speaker 1: normal home game they'd probably really be like a five
• 1:24:52
  Speaker 1: point favorite. Here. They won that game, but they only
• 1:24:56
  Speaker 1: won by two, by the way. They did lose on
• 1:24:58
  Speaker 1: the road by seven to Stephen of Austin. But I
• 1:25:01
  Speaker 1: think that they actually kind of outplayed Steven of Austin
• 1:25:03
  Speaker 1: statistically in that game, so I think it was a
• 1:25:06
  Speaker 1: little bit misleading, So you know, just taking all that
• 1:25:09
  Speaker 1: into consideration. Actually, I don't know, the rebounding battle was close.
• 1:25:12
  Speaker 1: Stephen of Austin had fewer field goal attempts. Actually, MacNeice
• 1:25:16
  Speaker 1: just again had a bad shooting game. But I mean,
• 1:25:20
  Speaker 1: I think that's kind of Macneice's thing. They don't really
• 1:25:22
  Speaker 1: shoot like at a high percentage. They just you know,
• 1:25:26
  Speaker 1: they try to disrupt you with their defense pretty much.
• 1:25:29
  Speaker 1: That's what they do. Stephen of Austin, Like, you know,
• 1:25:32
  Speaker 1: they're a team that is the better shooting team at
• 1:25:35
  Speaker 1: the very least. Yeah, so I don't know, but yeah,
• 1:25:38
  Speaker 1: take all that into consideration. But yes, I'll lead to
• 1:25:40
  Speaker 1: Stephen of Austin. I think I talked about that game
• 1:25:42
  Speaker 1: too much. All right. We have the MEAC in action
• 1:25:45
  Speaker 1: as well with Delaware State and Morgan State. Morgan State
• 1:25:49
  Speaker 1: I think might be the two seed, but I think
• 1:25:50
  Speaker 1: they're a little bit of a fraudulent two seed. I
• 1:25:53
  Speaker 1: don't think they're particularly good. I think they're worse than
• 1:25:56
  Speaker 1: Norfolk State at the very least, and Howard is way
• 1:25:58
  Speaker 1: better than all these teams. But Delaware State's a very
• 1:26:01
  Speaker 1: bad team. Morgan State is coming off a really bad
• 1:26:05
  Speaker 1: performance in their final home game against Coppin State, who
• 1:26:08
  Speaker 1: didn't even make this tournament. I think because they have
• 1:26:11
  Speaker 1: some academic issues or something. I don't know what's going
• 1:26:14
  Speaker 1: on with Coppon State, but they're a very bad team anyway.
• 1:26:17
  Speaker 1: Morgan State barely beat them, so they might show up
• 1:26:20
  Speaker 1: with more focus here. They did beat Delaware State not
• 1:26:23
  Speaker 1: that long ago at home by fourteen they beat them
• 1:26:26
  Speaker 1: on the road by one. But Delaware State, they are
• 1:26:28
  Speaker 1: a bad team, and you might actually get a focus
• 1:26:31
  Speaker 1: Morgan State team here in this one. Delaware State last
• 1:26:35
  Speaker 1: beating Maryland Eastern Shore on the road, which is a
• 1:26:38
  Speaker 1: little bit of an upset. That was a decent win
• 1:26:40
  Speaker 1: to finish the regular season for Delaware State. I don't
• 1:26:43
  Speaker 1: believe either of these season played yet in the conference tournament.
• 1:26:46
  Speaker 1: I think the conference tournament hasn't started yet. Actually, for
• 1:26:49
  Speaker 1: whatever reason, I don't know why, but we have one
• 1:26:52
  Speaker 1: game in the me Act today. I have no idea why.
• 1:26:55
  Speaker 1: The money looks like it is coming into Morgan State.
• 1:26:57
  Speaker 1: They're up to a three point favorite eighty five percent.
• 1:27:00
  Speaker 1: It's ninety percent of the cash on them. And while
• 1:27:02
  Speaker 1: I think Morgan State is overrated, I think they will
• 1:27:05
  Speaker 1: get bounced from this tournament somewhere, maybe even before the final.
• 1:27:10
  Speaker 1: I don't think it's gonna happen here because Delaware State
• 1:27:12
  Speaker 1: is quite bad. This game is in Norfolk, by the way,
• 1:27:15
  Speaker 1: So if this if this whole conference tournament's being played
• 1:27:18
  Speaker 1: in Norfolk, that's kind of lame too, because that gives
• 1:27:21
  Speaker 1: Norfolk State an advantage out of the four seed there.
• 1:27:24
  Speaker 1: So I don't know if that's the case or not,
• 1:27:25
  Speaker 1: but in this game, yeah, Delaware State's awful. I think
• 1:27:29
  Speaker 1: the fact that Morgan State's coming off a real scare
• 1:27:31
  Speaker 1: and Delaware State had an upset in their last game,
• 1:27:34
  Speaker 1: I'll agree with Morgan State, but I think they are
• 1:27:37
  Speaker 1: an overrated team as well. Okay, we got a Conference
• 1:27:41
  Speaker 1: USA in action here. That game is at six pm.
• 1:27:44
  Speaker 1: By the way, six thirty pm Eastern Missouri State and Liberty.
• 1:27:47
  Speaker 1: Missouri State already played yesterday in this conference tournament, so
• 1:27:51
  Speaker 1: they do have an advantage there. These games are in Huntsville, Alabama.
• 1:27:57
  Speaker 1: It is kind of a weird thing from Missouri State though,
• 1:27:59
  Speaker 1: because they're new this conference. A lot of times, if
• 1:28:01
  Speaker 1: you're new to a conference, you won't be that accustomed to,
• 1:28:05
  Speaker 1: you know, playing in that area, playing in the venue. Whatever.
• 1:28:08
  Speaker 1: But the good thing from Missouri State is they played yesterday.
• 1:28:10
  Speaker 1: They got the win. I think I had a lean
• 1:28:12
  Speaker 1: towards them in that game. Yesterday they beat FIU Florida Internationals.
• 1:28:16
  Speaker 1: So Missouri State they now have an advantage of having
• 1:28:19
  Speaker 1: played in this venue already. They got the win, they
• 1:28:23
  Speaker 1: got some momentum here. They're playing Liberty, who is the
• 1:28:25
  Speaker 1: one seed here. Last time they played Liberty, they scared
• 1:28:29
  Speaker 1: Liberty Man, but everybody in this conference pretty much scared Liberty.
• 1:28:32
  Speaker 1: Liberty has had so many close games, man, they're one
• 1:28:35
  Speaker 1: of the luckiest teams in the country. I think they're
• 1:28:37
  Speaker 1: not as good as people think they are. Now. Liberty
• 1:28:40
  Speaker 1: might take Missouri State seriously because that was the one
• 1:28:42
  Speaker 1: time they played and Liberty almost lost to them at home.
• 1:28:45
  Speaker 1: But Liberty hasn't played yet in the tournament. Yere. They
• 1:28:49
  Speaker 1: finished the season with a nice win at home Senior
• 1:28:51
  Speaker 1: Night against sam Houston's. I almost said San Jose State
• 1:28:56
  Speaker 1: h for Jose San Jose State, No, Sam Houston State,
• 1:29:01
  Speaker 1: Liberty beat them. They're the two seed, by the way
• 1:29:04
  Speaker 1: in this conference sam Houston State, so a pretty big
• 1:29:06
  Speaker 1: win for Liberty to finish the season. They actually season
• 1:29:09
  Speaker 1: swept Sam Houston, so they're coming off a nice win there,
• 1:29:13
  Speaker 1: and they have not played yet in this tournament, so
• 1:29:15
  Speaker 1: they're not yet adjusted to it. So I would probably
• 1:29:18
  Speaker 1: take the points here with Missouri State. Man. Liberty is
• 1:29:22
  Speaker 1: already up to a six point favorite, but they're very
• 1:29:24
  Speaker 1: public eighty three percent of the tickets and cash on them.
• 1:29:28
  Speaker 1: That line looks to me like it's getting a bit high.
• 1:29:30
  Speaker 1: Man Liberty plays all these close games. I would probably
• 1:29:34
  Speaker 1: only taking the points with Missouri State here, so that
• 1:29:39
  Speaker 1: would be my opinion in that one. And then at
• 1:29:41
  Speaker 1: nine pm, the number two seed is also in action
• 1:29:44
  Speaker 1: with Sam Houston. So I don't know why these conferences
• 1:29:47
  Speaker 1: set it up like this, But the two teams that
• 1:29:50
  Speaker 1: won in the opening round yesterday who play in basically
• 1:29:53
  Speaker 1: to play the one in two seeds, they play again
• 1:29:55
  Speaker 1: right away today, and then the four, five, three through
• 1:29:58
  Speaker 1: six don't play yet in this conference tournament, which is weird.
• 1:30:02
  Speaker 1: But whatever New Mexico State won last night is the
• 1:30:04
  Speaker 1: ten seed. They're playing Sam Houston now in this one. Now,
• 1:30:09
  Speaker 1: New Mexico State, I still I still think they're an
• 1:30:11
  Speaker 1: undervalue team. I don't remember if I gave them out
• 1:30:14
  Speaker 1: as a lean on in that game last night, But
• 1:30:17
  Speaker 1: you know me, I've liked New Mexico State because they've
• 1:30:20
  Speaker 1: been so unlucky this year, and I think at some
• 1:30:23
  Speaker 1: point I expected them to start turning it around. It's
• 1:30:25
  Speaker 1: just the free throw disparity has been awful against them
• 1:30:29
  Speaker 1: this season. They just they get they get called for
• 1:30:31
  Speaker 1: so many fowls they don't draw fouls. But at some
• 1:30:34
  Speaker 1: point that just becomes like a thing, you know what
• 1:30:36
  Speaker 1: I mean, Like it doesn't become an outlier when it becomes,
• 1:30:39
  Speaker 1: you know, an actual trend, you know. So it's a
• 1:30:41
  Speaker 1: little bit weird. But New Mexico State did get the
• 1:30:45
  Speaker 1: win yesterday. They won three games in a row. Now
• 1:30:47
  Speaker 1: they're now adjusted to the venue. They beat Jacksonville State
• 1:30:50
  Speaker 1: yesterday in Jacksonville State's home state of Alabama. By the way.
• 1:30:54
  Speaker 1: Now New Mexico State has that game out of the
• 1:30:56
  Speaker 1: way under their belt. Now they're playing Sam use in
• 1:31:00
  Speaker 1: here on. New Mexico State is used to the venue.
• 1:31:02
  Speaker 1: Now Sam Houston is not. Sam Houston finished the season
• 1:31:06
  Speaker 1: with that big game against Liberty. Now, they did lose
• 1:31:09
  Speaker 1: two games in a row, so you could say, well,
• 1:31:11
  Speaker 1: they're gonna bounce back, They're gonna have some new momentum,
• 1:31:14
  Speaker 1: you know, hit the reset button out they get to
• 1:31:16
  Speaker 1: play in the tournament. That's true, but I'd probably lean
• 1:31:20
  Speaker 1: in New Mexico State here man, because they're accustomed to
• 1:31:22
  Speaker 1: the venue now, even though I think Sam Houston has
• 1:31:25
  Speaker 1: a very legitimate shot to win this tournament. Seventy two
• 1:31:29
  Speaker 1: percent tickets, eighty five percent of the cash on New
• 1:31:31
  Speaker 1: Mexico State. Sam Houston's up to a five point favorite,
• 1:31:34
  Speaker 1: but it does look like the money's on New Mexico State.
• 1:31:37
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna agree with it. We'll see what happens. All right,
• 1:31:43
  Speaker 1: We're almost through the college basketball here, man. These shows
• 1:31:46
  Speaker 1: take forever during college basketball, as I talk about every
• 1:31:49
  Speaker 1: fucking game. All right, seven BMCBS Sports. We will have
• 1:31:55
  Speaker 1: another auto bit clinched. I haven't talked about either of
• 1:31:57
  Speaker 1: the finals yet, I don't think, but we have one year.
• 1:31:59
  Speaker 1: I talked about one with Southland. There are three though
• 1:32:03
  Speaker 1: three more bids will be clinched tonight. Boston University is
• 1:32:06
  Speaker 1: at Lehigh. The higher seed hosts all these games in
• 1:32:10
  Speaker 1: this tournament, and it's on CBS Sports. Is the Patriot League. Now,
• 1:32:15
  Speaker 1: bu is coming off of a ridiculous upset of Navy.
• 1:32:19
  Speaker 1: So that is kind of a reason to maybe not
• 1:32:21
  Speaker 1: love be You here because they pulled off such a
• 1:32:23
  Speaker 1: ridiculous upset against the one seed Navy, who people were
• 1:32:27
  Speaker 1: really talking about Navy, you know, maybe being kind of
• 1:32:30
  Speaker 1: a dangerous fourteen seed in the tournament. Now they're not
• 1:32:33
  Speaker 1: gonna get there at all, but be You might actually
• 1:32:36
  Speaker 1: show up with a chip on their shoulder because everybody's saying, B,
• 1:32:39
  Speaker 1: you shouldn't have won. And I'm saying that too. The
• 1:32:42
  Speaker 1: clock operator fucked Navy in that game. Dude, B, you
• 1:32:46
  Speaker 1: shouldn't have gotten that last shot off. The clock was
• 1:32:48
  Speaker 1: stopped for like four seconds with about three point eight
• 1:32:51
  Speaker 1: left in the entire game. I don't think B, you
• 1:32:53
  Speaker 1: would have gotten that shot off. And if they were
• 1:32:55
  Speaker 1: watching the clock, they would have had to take that
• 1:32:57
  Speaker 1: shot from further back. So it's really they got the
• 1:33:01
  Speaker 1: win on that buzzer beater. So I think BU because
• 1:33:04
  Speaker 1: they're hearing that all week, basically like they've had some rest. Now,
• 1:33:07
  Speaker 1: they've been hearing that since whenever that happened several days ago. Now, oh, B,
• 1:33:12
  Speaker 1: you shouldn't have won this game or whatever. So maybe
• 1:33:13
  Speaker 1: they will show up here. And I've been saying I
• 1:33:16
  Speaker 1: think Lehigh is not the second best team in this conference,
• 1:33:19
  Speaker 1: and in fact, I think they're actually worse than Navy, Colgate,
• 1:33:23
  Speaker 1: BU and American and maybe even some other teams here.
• 1:33:26
  Speaker 1: I don't think LEI is that close to even the
• 1:33:28
  Speaker 1: second best team here. Now, Lehi did get the win
• 1:33:31
  Speaker 1: over Colgate. That's a fine win for sure. That's how
• 1:33:34
  Speaker 1: they got here. Looking at the regular season, Leehig beat
• 1:33:38
  Speaker 1: Bu on the road by two, they actually swept them.
• 1:33:41
  Speaker 1: They beat them twice. They beat them at home by three,
• 1:33:43
  Speaker 1: But those are both really close games, and if you
• 1:33:45
  Speaker 1: dig into the games a little bit, the games are
• 1:33:48
  Speaker 1: actually misleading. The game at Bu, Lehi did lead for
• 1:33:52
  Speaker 1: most of the game, but if you look at what
• 1:33:54
  Speaker 1: happened in this game, Bu actually out rebounded them thirty
• 1:33:59
  Speaker 1: seven to thirty. It's just they lost the turnover battle.
• 1:34:02
  Speaker 1: So they handed Lei a bunch of extra possessions. And
• 1:34:05
  Speaker 1: Lei hit eleven three pointers, hit forty six percent of
• 1:34:08
  Speaker 1: their threes, whereas Bu only hit six. So that was
• 1:34:11
  Speaker 1: a bit of an outlier there too, So that game
• 1:34:13
  Speaker 1: wasn't totally what it looked like. And b you still
• 1:34:16
  Speaker 1: almost won the game, took them to overtime. Then the
• 1:34:19
  Speaker 1: later game at Lehigh, Bu was dominating this game. They
• 1:34:23
  Speaker 1: were winning this game almost the entire way on the
• 1:34:26
  Speaker 1: road here, so the last time they were in the
• 1:34:28
  Speaker 1: venue they're playing in tonight, Lei barely won the rebounding
• 1:34:31
  Speaker 1: battle on this one. B you actually won the turnover
• 1:34:33
  Speaker 1: battle in this one. Even though they were on the road,
• 1:34:36
  Speaker 1: BU had more field goal attempts in the game. They
• 1:34:39
  Speaker 1: were winning for seventy two percent of the game, but
• 1:34:41
  Speaker 1: they only went to the free throw line five times
• 1:34:44
  Speaker 1: and Lehigh went thirteen times and hit twelve of them.
• 1:34:47
  Speaker 1: So the free throw disparity pretty much decided the game here.
• 1:34:51
  Speaker 1: I don't think the free throw disparity is going to
• 1:34:52
  Speaker 1: be that crazy this time. BU. I'm I'm expecting them
• 1:34:56
  Speaker 1: to get to the line more than five times, let's
• 1:34:58
  Speaker 1: put it that way. I like BU in this game, man,
• 1:35:02
  Speaker 1: I think they're the better team. They're favorite on the road,
• 1:35:04
  Speaker 1: believe it or not, for a reason, of course, all
• 1:35:06
  Speaker 1: the bracketologies except me, because I do my own all
• 1:35:09
  Speaker 1: the bracketologies. Just you know, they're all idiots and they
• 1:35:13
  Speaker 1: don't analyze the game, and they just pencil in, you know,
• 1:35:16
  Speaker 1: the they pencil in the higher seeds. Oh, let's pencil
• 1:35:19
  Speaker 1: in Lee High here. That's not what I would do.
• 1:35:22
  Speaker 1: And the money's agreeing with me. BU is actually a
• 1:35:24
  Speaker 1: two point favorite here, And dude, they're a road favorite
• 1:35:28
  Speaker 1: for a reason. Man Osbegers is telling you they're actually
• 1:35:30
  Speaker 1: the better team here. They've actually been one of the
• 1:35:32
  Speaker 1: hotter teams in this conference too. If you look at
• 1:35:35
  Speaker 1: Ken Bomb. He has them as the better team as well.
• 1:35:38
  Speaker 1: He has them two fifty third in the country, which
• 1:35:40
  Speaker 1: I know isn't that good, and I know they're deep
• 1:35:42
  Speaker 1: bets actually really stinks, so that's the one drawback for
• 1:35:45
  Speaker 1: BU here. But Lei's defense isn't terrific and BU has
• 1:35:50
  Speaker 1: a significantly better offense. Both teams play slow in Lei,
• 1:35:53
  Speaker 1: by the way, is the nineteenth luckiest team in the country,
• 1:35:56
  Speaker 1: so I've been telling you they're not very good. They're
• 1:35:59
  Speaker 1: to ninety in ken BOM's rankings here, so they are
• 1:36:03
  Speaker 1: lower than be You, who is forty rankings spots higher. Basically,
• 1:36:07
  Speaker 1: BU is much less lucky at two fiftieth in the country,
• 1:36:10
  Speaker 1: and both teams like to play slow, so the the
• 1:36:14
  Speaker 1: pace won't really throw either team off in this one.
• 1:36:16
  Speaker 1: But yeah, I'm gonna lean to BU here, even though
• 1:36:18
  Speaker 1: they did pull off the big upset it's the final.
• 1:36:21
  Speaker 1: I think they're the better team. Fifty two percent of
• 1:36:23
  Speaker 1: the cash on BU sixty five percent of tickets on Lehigh. Though,
• 1:36:28
  Speaker 1: So the public, despite be You beating Navy, you think
• 1:36:31
  Speaker 1: the public would be like, well, if be You beat Navy,
• 1:36:33
  Speaker 1: they should be able to beat Lehigh. But the public
• 1:36:36
  Speaker 1: might be thinking, well, Lei's the higher seed, they're at home,
• 1:36:39
  Speaker 1: they already beat BU twice. Of course they're gonna win
• 1:36:41
  Speaker 1: this game. I don't agree. Sixty five percent of tickets
• 1:36:45
  Speaker 1: on Lee, fifty two percent of the cash on BU.
• 1:36:47
  Speaker 1: And we'll see if my parents Alma made or and
• 1:36:51
  Speaker 1: sisters will see if they get into the tournament. Man,
• 1:36:55
  Speaker 1: whoever wins this game will probably be playing a Dayton
• 1:36:57
  Speaker 1: though in a playing game for six. See that's how
• 1:37:01
  Speaker 1: awful this conference is. And you saw my bracketology. I
• 1:37:05
  Speaker 1: have BU in it right now, and I have them
• 1:37:08
  Speaker 1: is literally the last team in. Like, they're the worst
• 1:37:11
  Speaker 1: power rated team in the entire field, and Lehigh is
• 1:37:14
  Speaker 1: even worse than that. So there you go. So that's
• 1:37:18
  Speaker 1: the Patriot League. We do have some American Conference stuff
• 1:37:23
  Speaker 1: going on here. That tournament begins with Tulane and Memphis.
• 1:37:26
  Speaker 1: Here Memphis again. I Memphis like they're talented enough that
• 1:37:32
  Speaker 1: they could turn it on at some point and win
• 1:37:34
  Speaker 1: against most of the teams in this conference. Man, but
• 1:37:36
  Speaker 1: they're just been playing awful. I think Penny Hardaway is
• 1:37:39
  Speaker 1: a bad coach. Now. Interestingly, these teams literally just played
• 1:37:42
  Speaker 1: to finish the season and Tulane lost at home by
• 1:37:45
  Speaker 1: one point, so you know, I don't know how much
• 1:37:48
  Speaker 1: to really take away from that. I think Tulane's been
• 1:37:51
  Speaker 1: an overrated team all year. Though they actually beat Memphis
• 1:37:55
  Speaker 1: on the road by two earlier this year, so these
• 1:37:57
  Speaker 1: teams played two really close games and maybe this will
• 1:38:00
  Speaker 1: be another one. But I actually think it's more of
• 1:38:02
  Speaker 1: a positive for Memphis because they ended a long losing
• 1:38:06
  Speaker 1: streak with that win. So I kind of liked that, man,
• 1:38:08
  Speaker 1: But it is a little bit of a quick road
• 1:38:10
  Speaker 1: revenge angle for Tulane. I guess if they just lost
• 1:38:13
  Speaker 1: to Memphis on the road, now they get to play
• 1:38:14
  Speaker 1: on a well on a neutral this time they get
• 1:38:17
  Speaker 1: to try to make adjustments there. But again, it wasn't
• 1:38:20
  Speaker 1: a blowout loss or anything. Memphis ended along losing streak,
• 1:38:23
  Speaker 1: which I think is a positive. But for Tulane losing
• 1:38:26
  Speaker 1: four games to end the season, two of them were
• 1:38:28
  Speaker 1: against the best two teams in the conference, Tulsa and
• 1:38:31
  Speaker 1: USF South Florida, that one on the road, although Tulane
• 1:38:34
  Speaker 1: got annihilated in those games. But ending the season on
• 1:38:37
  Speaker 1: a four game losing streak sometimes you will, you know,
• 1:38:42
  Speaker 1: having that time off can break that losing momentum for you.
• 1:38:47
  Speaker 1: Memphis is a four point favorite here, but I gotta
• 1:38:49
  Speaker 1: lean to Memphis here. I think, man, I think Memphis
• 1:38:52
  Speaker 1: is the better team here. And I mean the Odswigers
• 1:38:54
  Speaker 1: are telling you that these games are all in Birmingham, Alabama,
• 1:38:57
  Speaker 1: which is kind of stupid because it means you a
• 1:39:00
  Speaker 1: be basically gets to play at home here and they're
• 1:39:02
  Speaker 1: not the one seed. Of course, Tulane sixty percent of
• 1:39:05
  Speaker 1: tickets on them, fifty three percent of the cash on Memphis. Dude.
• 1:39:09
  Speaker 1: I know I've been leaning to Memphis a lot and
• 1:39:10
  Speaker 1: it hasn't come through, but I do the tournament could
• 1:39:13
  Speaker 1: be a reset. I still think Memphis is on is
• 1:39:16
  Speaker 1: one of the more underrated teams in this conference. That
• 1:39:18
  Speaker 1: Julaane is one of the more overrated teams in this conference.
• 1:39:21
  Speaker 1: So that's the way I look at it. I would
• 1:39:23
  Speaker 1: probably lay it with Memphis here. Will what's up? I
• 1:39:29
  Speaker 1: talked about the football stuff a little bit. Uh you
• 1:39:32
  Speaker 1: Baseball I talked about on Loser cast last night. I
• 1:39:34
  Speaker 1: don't know what to say about baseball. Yeah, I mean
• 1:39:37
  Speaker 1: I don't really, dude, I don't care about the World
• 1:39:39
  Speaker 1: Baseball Classic whatever. The only thing I like, is that
• 1:39:43
  Speaker 1: the Red Sox players are all playing really well, Duran Roman,
• 1:39:47
  Speaker 1: Anthony Yoshida. They all look good right now, so I'm
• 1:39:50
  Speaker 1: happy about that. And Weisser, who's also on the Red Sox,
• 1:39:54
  Speaker 1: I'm pretty sure won that game for Italy because of
• 1:39:56
  Speaker 1: course Weisser, he's Italian, of course, right, what the fuck
• 1:40:00
  Speaker 1: he's like, he's Italy's closer. Totally makes sense, dude. The
• 1:40:04
  Speaker 1: World Baseball Classic is so fucking stupid, Like you have
• 1:40:07
  Speaker 1: all these guys who are American that are like, no,
• 1:40:09
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna play for this other country just because I
• 1:40:11
  Speaker 1: have this heritage, even if they're not even from that country.
• 1:40:15
  Speaker 1: And Weissert is like a fucking German name. I don't
• 1:40:17
  Speaker 1: know why he's on Italy. Yeah, oh well, I guess
• 1:40:20
  Speaker 1: he's playing for one of the Axis powers at least,
• 1:40:23
  Speaker 1: so there you go. I have no fucking idea. Max Crosby,
• 1:40:28
  Speaker 1: I dude, he's a great player. I don't know. He's
• 1:40:31
  Speaker 1: a head case though. I don't know what is going
• 1:40:33
  Speaker 1: on with him. I don't know what. I don't know
• 1:40:35
  Speaker 1: what caused him to fail as physical I don't know
• 1:40:37
  Speaker 1: what's going on with that. The eighty three points is bullshit.
• 1:40:41
  Speaker 1: I hate that shit. He went to the line forty
• 1:40:44
  Speaker 1: three times and it was against the fucking Wizards, And dude,
• 1:40:47
  Speaker 1: that game was like an All Star game. It was
• 1:40:49
  Speaker 1: like a scrimmage. Neither team was doing anything to try
• 1:40:52
  Speaker 1: to defend anything. It was a bullshit game, Like games
• 1:40:55
  Speaker 1: like that shouldn't even happen in the regular season. The
• 1:40:58
  Speaker 1: Wizards scored one hundred thirty in that fucking game and
• 1:41:01
  Speaker 1: they lost my twenty points. It's dude, it's awful. It's
• 1:41:05
  Speaker 1: fucking awful. And Miami as a team, besides Bam only
• 1:41:10
  Speaker 1: scored sixty seven. The rest of the team scored sixty seven.
• 1:41:13
  Speaker 1: So it's basically just like they just rigged the game,
• 1:41:16
  Speaker 1: just set it up, just keep passing it to him.
• 1:41:18
  Speaker 1: And then it was almost like Washington just kept intentionally
• 1:41:21
  Speaker 1: fouling him. Like it's so meaningless. And I dude, I'm
• 1:41:24
  Speaker 1: not a Kobe fan at all, like I hate the Lakers.
• 1:41:27
  Speaker 1: I'm a Celtic fan. But Kobe's eighty one point game
• 1:41:31
  Speaker 1: or whatever was more legit than that shit was last night.
• 1:41:33
  Speaker 1: That game should be an asterisk completely, it should be
• 1:41:36
  Speaker 1: thrown out completely. It's a complete bullshit game. It's so
• 1:41:41
  Speaker 1: fucking stupid. I absolutely hate it. I fucking hate it.
• 1:41:44
  Speaker 1: And Wilt Chamberlain never scored one hundred. By the way,
• 1:41:47
  Speaker 1: there's no evidence that it ever happened, So no, but no,
• 1:41:52
  Speaker 1: it's all fucking bullshit. And yet congratulations to the Heat
• 1:41:57
  Speaker 1: who will probably be playing in a play in game
• 1:42:00
  Speaker 1: or in the playing rounds or whatever. Who cares. The
• 1:42:04
  Speaker 1: other American League games Temple and Florida Atlantic here in
• 1:42:07
  Speaker 1: the late night slate game at nine pm Eastern, also
• 1:42:12
  Speaker 1: in Birmingham. Temple they're an okay team, but they aren't
• 1:42:17
  Speaker 1: coming off of a really close call. They almost went
• 1:42:19
  Speaker 1: into Tulsa and beat them to finish the season, so
• 1:42:22
  Speaker 1: I think they might be in a little bit of
• 1:42:23
  Speaker 1: a hangover spot off of a huge performance like that. Now,
• 1:42:26
  Speaker 1: they did just lose to FAU on the road by four.
• 1:42:30
  Speaker 1: They actually lost at home by six to them earlier
• 1:42:33
  Speaker 1: this year, so FAU did beat them twice. I think
• 1:42:37
  Speaker 1: FAU is getting healthier at the right time. They finished
• 1:42:40
  Speaker 1: the season playing a little bit better. They did lose
• 1:42:43
  Speaker 1: pretty ugly to Witchitah at the end of the season,
• 1:42:45
  Speaker 1: but you know, I like teams that are coming off
• 1:42:47
  Speaker 1: a bad performance in their final regular season game because
• 1:42:50
  Speaker 1: the tournament could be like a reset for them, whereas
• 1:42:52
  Speaker 1: Temple might be a little bit hungover. I think FAU
• 1:42:56
  Speaker 1: is a lot better than their seeding would suggest. I
• 1:42:58
  Speaker 1: think they're a lot better than their record makes them look.
• 1:43:00
  Speaker 1: I like FAU in this one. The money is not
• 1:43:06
  Speaker 1: agreeing with me, though, and they're really public. They're one
• 1:43:08
  Speaker 1: and a half point favorite here tickets eighty nine percent
• 1:43:12
  Speaker 1: of the casual and FAU they're extremely public with less
• 1:43:15
  Speaker 1: of the money on them. But I kind of lean
• 1:43:17
  Speaker 1: towards them in this game. Man, I don't know what
• 1:43:18
  Speaker 1: else to tell you. It would be a money line play, though.
• 1:43:21
  Speaker 1: It would be my recommendation on that one, because they're
• 1:43:23
  Speaker 1: one and a half way favorite. Any favorite in that range,
• 1:43:25
  Speaker 1: I would recommend money line instead of spread. So, just
• 1:43:30
  Speaker 1: like I said with some of the other some of
• 1:43:33
  Speaker 1: the other games here, by the way, like the money
• 1:43:35
  Speaker 1: has flipped on that Georgetown DePaul game now where the
• 1:43:37
  Speaker 1: money is now coming in a Georgetown So it's just
• 1:43:40
  Speaker 1: all fucking crazy, all right, man, this has taken so long.
• 1:43:46
  Speaker 1: I think we're actually oh no, we have Big West
• 1:43:48
  Speaker 1: and Big Sky and then we're done. I think, let
• 1:43:52
  Speaker 1: me see here. Oh no, we have to talk about
• 1:43:55
  Speaker 1: the Whack as well. Fucking god, damn it. All right, yeah,
• 1:43:59
  Speaker 1: the Whack. We Tarlatan State and Ablene Christian playing in
• 1:44:02
  Speaker 1: the opener in the Whack. Now, we got to figure
• 1:44:05
  Speaker 1: out what's going on with the Utah Valley and the
• 1:44:07
  Speaker 1: whack Man because there was something going on where yesterday
• 1:44:12
  Speaker 1: they had to the you know, the injunction that they had,
• 1:44:16
  Speaker 1: like the temporary restraining order, because here's what happened with
• 1:44:19
  Speaker 1: the Utah Valley. If you don't know, they're leaving the
• 1:44:21
  Speaker 1: Whack to go to the Big West. They didn't pay
• 1:44:24
  Speaker 1: the exit fee, and the Whack sued them and banned
• 1:44:27
  Speaker 1: them from this tournament. Utah Valley then sued the Whack
• 1:44:31
  Speaker 1: and the court gave them a temporary restraining order to
• 1:44:34
  Speaker 1: allow them to play because it's unfair to not let
• 1:44:36
  Speaker 1: them play in this tournament. It looks like they are
• 1:44:39
  Speaker 1: still in though, because they have a TBD on the
• 1:44:41
  Speaker 1: schedule here for the semi finals, so it looks like
• 1:44:44
  Speaker 1: they are still in the bracket. So Utah Valley then
• 1:44:47
  Speaker 1: yesterday the injunction oh so here it is. Yesterday the
• 1:44:52
  Speaker 1: injunction ended and Utah Value was still gonna have to
• 1:44:55
  Speaker 1: pay a million to the Whack in order to stay
• 1:44:58
  Speaker 1: in the tournament, but it looks like they actually did,
• 1:45:00
  Speaker 1: so whatever, fuck the Whack. It's all fucking stupid. But
• 1:45:04
  Speaker 1: Utah Valley they'll be in the tournament at least, so
• 1:45:07
  Speaker 1: that's fine. But hey, if they paid a million, that
• 1:45:09
  Speaker 1: tells you about the Utah Valley wants to be here though,
• 1:45:12
  Speaker 1: So there is that. But they're not playing tonight. The
• 1:45:15
  Speaker 1: bottom teams are playing. It's a very weird seventeen conference
• 1:45:19
  Speaker 1: of this one. I think the conference should just disband now.
• 1:45:22
  Speaker 1: Tarloton State, it looks like they're Coach jullispe this is
• 1:45:26
  Speaker 1: his last season with them, so I think he's gonna
• 1:45:28
  Speaker 1: coach them for as long as they remained in the tournament.
• 1:45:30
  Speaker 1: But a lot of times teams like that play with motivation. Man,
• 1:45:34
  Speaker 1: So when they know this is the last you know,
• 1:45:37
  Speaker 1: basically the last dance for their coach, a lot of
• 1:45:40
  Speaker 1: times the team, if they like the coach, they're gonna
• 1:45:42
  Speaker 1: show up for that coach. Tarloton also finished with four
• 1:45:45
  Speaker 1: losses in a row. They won their last game to
• 1:45:49
  Speaker 1: get to Abilee Christian at home by three. They lost
• 1:45:51
  Speaker 1: to them on the road by fourteen, and they played
• 1:45:54
  Speaker 1: them three times because this is the Whack. They lost
• 1:45:57
  Speaker 1: to them the first time at home, so they won
• 1:45:59
  Speaker 1: them recent matchup, but lost the previous two against them,
• 1:46:03
  Speaker 1: but losing the last four games. I think we'll actually
• 1:46:06
  Speaker 1: maybe help Tarleton here because I think the rest might
• 1:46:09
  Speaker 1: help to break that losing momentum. Abilene Christian came into
• 1:46:12
  Speaker 1: this also on a losing streak though, four losses in
• 1:46:15
  Speaker 1: a row, so both teams come into this on a
• 1:46:17
  Speaker 1: losing streak, so they might both readjust and come into
• 1:46:21
  Speaker 1: this game with a little bit more momentum here, or
• 1:46:23
  Speaker 1: you know, ending their losing momentum, let's say. But the
• 1:46:26
  Speaker 1: money's all coming in on Tarleton, and I actually agree
• 1:46:28
  Speaker 1: with it. I think they're gonna play with some effort
• 1:46:31
  Speaker 1: here for their coach man, so I like it. They're
• 1:46:33
  Speaker 1: up from one to two and a half here. Now
• 1:46:36
  Speaker 1: this game is in Las Vegas. By the way, the
• 1:46:38
  Speaker 1: Whack gets played at the Orleans as well. I think
• 1:46:42
  Speaker 1: the Wax starts right after the West Coast Conference finishes,
• 1:46:45
  Speaker 1: so I think they're playing in that same arena at
• 1:46:47
  Speaker 1: the Orleans. Abilene Christians sixty three percent of tickets on
• 1:46:52
  Speaker 1: them eighty six percent of the cash on Tarleton though,
• 1:46:54
  Speaker 1: so the money is all on Tarleton here. The public
• 1:46:57
  Speaker 1: is like, oh, I'm getting points with the team with
• 1:46:59
  Speaker 1: the better rec or whatever. I think it's the better record.
• 1:47:02
  Speaker 1: Maybe not, No, actually it isn't. Tarlaton has the better record.
• 1:47:08
  Speaker 1: But for whatever reason, the public is on Abilene Christian.
• 1:47:10
  Speaker 1: Maybe they remember back in twenty twenty one or whatever,
• 1:47:13
  Speaker 1: Abilene Christian won a tournament game in the NCAA tournament.
• 1:47:17
  Speaker 1: Maybe that's what they remember. I don't fucking know, but
• 1:47:20
  Speaker 1: I like Tarleton in that one. I think they'll play
• 1:47:22
  Speaker 1: hard for their coach there. I would lead to Tarleton.
• 1:47:25
  Speaker 1: All right, then we got that's the only whack game
• 1:47:29
  Speaker 1: I think tonight. Yeah, it's like the seven versus the
• 1:47:32
  Speaker 1: six or however they set up their tournament there. All right,
• 1:47:36
  Speaker 1: then all we got left is Big West and yeah,
• 1:47:41
  Speaker 1: the Big West opening round. Let's go to that cal
• 1:47:43
  Speaker 1: Poly and you see San Diego here. You see San
• 1:47:46
  Speaker 1: Diego is really actually pretty good. The Big West is
• 1:47:48
  Speaker 1: definitely a cluster, by the way. This tournament is in Henderson, Nevada,
• 1:47:52
  Speaker 1: by the way, so they're outside of Las Vegas here.
• 1:47:57
  Speaker 1: I don't know. If that venue really helps certain teams
• 1:47:59
  Speaker 1: over others. Now, cal Paly I never really liked them
• 1:48:03
  Speaker 1: because they just play fast, like that's all they do.
• 1:48:05
  Speaker 1: They play super fast. They're not good on defense. You
• 1:48:08
  Speaker 1: see San Diego's definitely the better team. But the problem
• 1:48:11
  Speaker 1: for you see San Diego here is they finished the
• 1:48:13
  Speaker 1: season super hot. They won six out of their last
• 1:48:16
  Speaker 1: seven games. That's usually not great coming into a tournament
• 1:48:20
  Speaker 1: again because whatever momentum you had could get disrupted. Their
• 1:48:24
  Speaker 1: second to last win was an easy win against cal
• 1:48:27
  Speaker 1: Pauly when they beat them by almost twenty points at home,
• 1:48:30
  Speaker 1: and they actually lost at cal Poly by two earlier
• 1:48:33
  Speaker 1: this year. But you know, the quick revenge, whatever you
• 1:48:37
  Speaker 1: want to call it, the quick adjustments will be on
• 1:48:39
  Speaker 1: the side of cal Poly. And you see San Diego
• 1:48:41
  Speaker 1: finish the season with a win over you see Santa Barbara.
• 1:48:44
  Speaker 1: That was a pretty good win. Although you see Santa
• 1:48:46
  Speaker 1: Barbara has dropped now in the standing, so you know,
• 1:48:50
  Speaker 1: maybe they won't be in a hangover spot after that,
• 1:48:52
  Speaker 1: at least because you see Santa Barbara's kind of falling
• 1:48:55
  Speaker 1: off to the point where they're actually playing tonight. Cal
• 1:48:59
  Speaker 1: Pauly might have the adjustments to make the off that
• 1:49:01
  Speaker 1: recent loss. They had an easy win to finish the
• 1:49:04
  Speaker 1: season after they lost to U see San Diego and
• 1:49:06
  Speaker 1: you see Irvine, who are both way better teams. But
• 1:49:10
  Speaker 1: they got to win to end that losing momentum against
• 1:49:12
  Speaker 1: a very bad Bakersfield team. The pimp coach that they
• 1:49:17
  Speaker 1: have there, who is not gonna be playing in this tournament. Yeah,
• 1:49:21
  Speaker 1: you know, now, cal Poly, Yeah, at least it sets
• 1:49:24
  Speaker 1: up a little bit better for them in this game.
• 1:49:26
  Speaker 1: The money is coming in on cal Poly. You see
• 1:49:29
  Speaker 1: San Diego's done from seven to five and a half here,
• 1:49:32
  Speaker 1: fifty five percent of tickets, eighty two percent of the
• 1:49:34
  Speaker 1: cas on cal Poly. I think, you see, San Diego
• 1:49:38
  Speaker 1: should win this game, because I think they're a threat
• 1:49:40
  Speaker 1: to actually win this tournament. To be honest, they're one
• 1:49:43
  Speaker 1: of the top three teams in this conference. It's just
• 1:49:45
  Speaker 1: that they have to play this opening game and it
• 1:49:47
  Speaker 1: is kind of a tricky spot. I think I would
• 1:49:49
  Speaker 1: lean to cal Poly though, plus the points in the
• 1:49:52
  Speaker 1: adjustment spot there, But I don't love you know, their
• 1:49:55
  Speaker 1: style is not really conducive to really any anything good.
• 1:49:59
  Speaker 1: Call col PAULI. They're number one in the entire country
• 1:50:04
  Speaker 1: and tempo dude, and their defense is like a bottom
• 1:50:06
  Speaker 1: one hundred defense, So I don't love that. The fact
• 1:50:10
  Speaker 1: that they played that fast, it's just fucking stupid. They're
• 1:50:14
  Speaker 1: in the mid mid tier in luck for you see
• 1:50:18
  Speaker 1: San Diego. They're also kind of a mid tier luck
• 1:50:20
  Speaker 1: team of the less lucky than cal Pauly I. You see,
• 1:50:23
  Speaker 1: San Diego will probably try to slow them down. We'll
• 1:50:26
  Speaker 1: see if they're able to do that. You see. San
• 1:50:27
  Speaker 1: Diego is the way better defense though, and you know
• 1:50:30
  Speaker 1: I usually do like the better defense, so they do
• 1:50:32
  Speaker 1: have that going for them. And they're almost the top
• 1:50:35
  Speaker 1: one hundred team and Ken Palm at least, so they
• 1:50:38
  Speaker 1: have that going for them. UNLV, what's up man? Thanks
• 1:50:42
  Speaker 1: for hanging out all right? I believe I already I
• 1:50:46
  Speaker 1: already talked about the Mountain West, so you might have
• 1:50:48
  Speaker 1: to go back to look at that. I already talked
• 1:50:50
  Speaker 1: about the UNLV game. You're not gonna like what I
• 1:50:52
  Speaker 1: have to say about it, though, I didn't give out
• 1:50:55
  Speaker 1: a play on it or anything. Though I'm being so selective.
• 1:50:57
  Speaker 1: I'm talking about all these games for two hours. Is
• 1:51:00
  Speaker 1: then I only have one actual play here. You see,
• 1:51:02
  Speaker 1: Santa Barbara is playing against you See Davis in the
• 1:51:05
  Speaker 1: other opening round in this tournament, other opening round game,
• 1:51:08
  Speaker 1: I should say, you see Santa Barbara finish the season
• 1:51:11
  Speaker 1: on five losses in their last six games, but they
• 1:51:14
  Speaker 1: played a lot of good teams in there, man, Hawaii,
• 1:51:17
  Speaker 1: you see Irvine, you see San Diego. North Ridge is
• 1:51:20
  Speaker 1: not that bad, so they were up against it. Man.
• 1:51:23
  Speaker 1: So usually I'll say, well, when a team finishes on
• 1:51:25
  Speaker 1: a bad note like that, they'll bounce back, you know,
• 1:51:29
  Speaker 1: and use the tournament as a reset. I'm not so
• 1:51:32
  Speaker 1: sure in this case because those last two games they
• 1:51:34
  Speaker 1: played really tough, close games against Irvine and you see
• 1:51:38
  Speaker 1: San Diego, so those are tough games, so they might
• 1:51:40
  Speaker 1: be hungover coming into this game against you See Davis.
• 1:51:44
  Speaker 1: They did lose most recently by ten at you See
• 1:51:47
  Speaker 1: Davis also lost at home by seven, though, So I
• 1:51:50
  Speaker 1: don't know I should have dug into those matchups. I
• 1:51:53
  Speaker 1: honestly I didn't though, because I didn't really you know,
• 1:51:57
  Speaker 1: I just didn't see enough in this game anyway to
• 1:51:59
  Speaker 1: really even want to care. But maybe you See Davis
• 1:52:03
  Speaker 1: does have a bit of a matchup edge of where
• 1:52:04
  Speaker 1: you see Santa Barbara beating them twice they also lost
• 1:52:08
  Speaker 1: more badly. Do you see Irvine in their final game here?
• 1:52:11
  Speaker 1: So I kind of like you see Davis in this game, unfortunately,
• 1:52:15
  Speaker 1: because I think Santa Barbara is good enough that they
• 1:52:18
  Speaker 1: should get through this game. They're a five and a
• 1:52:20
  Speaker 1: half way favorite. This plus four was that's a mistake
• 1:52:23
  Speaker 1: on this side. I think they might have been minus
• 1:52:25
  Speaker 1: four to open another minus five and a half. But
• 1:52:28
  Speaker 1: the money is coming in and you see Davis, and
• 1:52:30
  Speaker 1: I do agree with that. Fifty six percent of the
• 1:52:33
  Speaker 1: tickets on Santa Barbara, eighty nine percent of the cash
• 1:52:36
  Speaker 1: on Davis, though, So I do like the that side
• 1:52:39
  Speaker 1: you see Davis plus the points though though obviously you
• 1:52:43
  Speaker 1: know I kind of expect Santa Barbara to win the
• 1:52:45
  Speaker 1: game though, so you know, I don't love having those
• 1:52:48
  Speaker 1: thoughts where it's like, well, they should win this game,
• 1:52:50
  Speaker 1: but you know, I lean in the other direction against
• 1:52:53
  Speaker 1: a point spread that's not that big of a point spread.
• 1:52:57
  Speaker 1: Who's everyone though? I don't no, man, I don't know
• 1:53:01
  Speaker 1: if the public likes them us better, is like them moos?
• 1:53:05
  Speaker 1: Like the public is kind of on UNLV there, but
• 1:53:08
  Speaker 1: the actual money is on Wyoming, all right. And then
• 1:53:11
  Speaker 1: to finish it, off, we have to wait until very
• 1:53:13
  Speaker 1: late at night to see who wins the Big Sky
• 1:53:16
  Speaker 1: eleven thirty pm. I'll stay up to see who wins it. Man,
• 1:53:19
  Speaker 1: we have the seven seed Idaho and the four seed
• 1:53:22
  Speaker 1: Montana in this game, and Idaho, believe it or not,
• 1:53:26
  Speaker 1: is the favorite here. This game is in Boise, so
• 1:53:29
  Speaker 1: it is a little bit closer to where Idaho is. Well,
• 1:53:32
  Speaker 1: I mean it's in Idaho, but Idaho in Moscow, Idaho
• 1:53:35
  Speaker 1: is closer to Boise than where's Montana. Missoula, Montana, I
• 1:53:40
  Speaker 1: think is where they play, so it's yeah, this arena
• 1:53:43
  Speaker 1: is obviously closer to Idaho's campus. Anyway, the oddsweakers are
• 1:53:50
  Speaker 1: telling you Idaho's the better team, and when you watch
• 1:53:53
  Speaker 1: my Big Sky Conference breakdown, I did identify Idaho as
• 1:53:57
  Speaker 1: one of the more underrated teams in this tournament. They
• 1:54:00
  Speaker 1: also haven't been in this championship game for like a
• 1:54:02
  Speaker 1: decade probably or something like that. I actually do like
• 1:54:06
  Speaker 1: Idaho to win this game, even though they played the
• 1:54:08
  Speaker 1: later game last night. They had kind of an easy
• 1:54:10
  Speaker 1: win against Eastern Washington. I know Eastern Washington was the
• 1:54:14
  Speaker 1: three seed, but Idaho did not suffer a letdown after
• 1:54:17
  Speaker 1: they beat Montana State, so they bounced the best power
• 1:54:20
  Speaker 1: rated team in the conference, Montana State, from the tournament.
• 1:54:23
  Speaker 1: So Idaho has definitely been impressive. Man, Montana, you know,
• 1:54:28
  Speaker 1: they have decent balance, but they got a nice win
• 1:54:30
  Speaker 1: last night too, as an upset against Portland State. They've
• 1:54:34
  Speaker 1: pulled off two straight upsets in the tournament against Northern
• 1:54:37
  Speaker 1: Colorado and then Portland State, so they actually bounced the
• 1:54:40
  Speaker 1: one seed, even though I thought Portland State was actually
• 1:54:43
  Speaker 1: better than or excuse me, I thought Portland State was
• 1:54:46
  Speaker 1: not as good as Northern Colorado or Montana State, but
• 1:54:50
  Speaker 1: they were a slight favorite last night against Montana. I
• 1:54:53
  Speaker 1: actually kind of thought Montana was gonna get it done.
• 1:54:56
  Speaker 1: Portland State. They're a really good defense. At least as
• 1:54:58
  Speaker 1: far as big skies concerned, they're a pretty good defense.
• 1:55:01
  Speaker 1: But I don't know, man, I just thought they were
• 1:55:04
  Speaker 1: an imbalanced team and overrated team. I didn't love it.
• 1:55:07
  Speaker 1: I liked the fact that Montana had been tested. So
• 1:55:12
  Speaker 1: Montana has been battle tested, so there's no doubt about that.
• 1:55:14
  Speaker 1: But so is Idaho at this point. So you know,
• 1:55:19
  Speaker 1: Idaho's last couple of games were somewhat close, so you
• 1:55:21
  Speaker 1: don't have a team like Portland State was coming in
• 1:55:23
  Speaker 1: last night only having beaten like Idaho State or whatever,
• 1:55:26
  Speaker 1: so they hadn't really been battle tested both these teams have.
• 1:55:30
  Speaker 1: But yeah, I'm gonna lead to Idaho here, man, I
• 1:55:34
  Speaker 1: think they're the better team. I'll show you ken bomb
• 1:55:35
  Speaker 1: in a minute. Montana did beat Idaho the last time
• 1:55:38
  Speaker 1: they played them, I believe at home against them they
• 1:55:41
  Speaker 1: won by five, and then they lost on the road.
• 1:55:44
  Speaker 1: I know they won on the road against Idaho two
• 1:55:46
  Speaker 1: by six, so believe it or not. Yeah, in these
• 1:55:49
  Speaker 1: conference stuff finals, the two teams that I like be
• 1:55:52
  Speaker 1: you and Idaho. They both lost both regular season matchups
• 1:55:56
  Speaker 1: against their opponents, but I still like them both. Yeah.
• 1:56:00
  Speaker 1: I didn't really dig into these matchups though I dug
• 1:56:03
  Speaker 1: into the bu one. I didn't really dig into this though.
• 1:56:06
  Speaker 1: In fact, Idaho should have won the game at Montana, dude.
• 1:56:11
  Speaker 1: The rebounding battle was close, and Idaho had fourteen more
• 1:56:14
  Speaker 1: field goal attempts in the game, but they made the
• 1:56:16
  Speaker 1: same amount of them and they hardly went to the
• 1:56:18
  Speaker 1: line at all. Montana went to the line twenty times
• 1:56:22
  Speaker 1: to Idaho's twelve, and Idaho shot thirty eight percent from
• 1:56:24
  Speaker 1: the field, so that was definitely an outlier. In that
• 1:56:27
  Speaker 1: second game, Idaho probably should have won that game and
• 1:56:31
  Speaker 1: then the game at Idaho. What happened in this game.
• 1:56:34
  Speaker 1: Let's see, Montana did lead the whole game pretty much,
• 1:56:38
  Speaker 1: but Montana shot fifty percent. So again, Idaho had way
• 1:56:41
  Speaker 1: more field goal attempts in the game. They had twelve
• 1:56:45
  Speaker 1: more field goal attempts in the game. They won the
• 1:56:47
  Speaker 1: rebounding battle by nine too, So how the fuck do
• 1:56:49
  Speaker 1: they lose this game? I have no idea. They went
• 1:56:52
  Speaker 1: to the line morel though they didn't shoot well from
• 1:56:54
  Speaker 1: the line. Basically, I think it was like the three
• 1:56:57
  Speaker 1: point variants. Idaho shot seventeen percent from three, they only
• 1:57:01
  Speaker 1: shot thirty nine percent from the field. The Grizz shot
• 1:57:04
  Speaker 1: fifty percent from the field. So yeah, both these games
• 1:57:07
  Speaker 1: are outliers. I think they're actually both misleading results. So
• 1:57:10
  Speaker 1: I do like Idaho in this one, and Ken Bomb
• 1:57:14
  Speaker 1: does have them as the better team. That was Idaho State. No,
• 1:57:18
  Speaker 1: Idaho's better than that. He has Idaho one hundred and
• 1:57:20
  Speaker 1: fifty two in the country, pretty unlucky, bottom one hundred
• 1:57:23
  Speaker 1: luck basically decent balance, actually a top one fifty defense.
• 1:57:29
  Speaker 1: They play at a mid tempo and then from Montana.
• 1:57:33
  Speaker 1: He's got Montana like thirty ranking spots below them. Very lucky,
• 1:57:38
  Speaker 1: according to Kembum fifty six in luck, Montana's gonna try
• 1:57:41
  Speaker 1: to go a little bit faster and he actually, believe
• 1:57:43
  Speaker 1: it or not, Idaho is the better team on both
• 1:57:45
  Speaker 1: sides of the ball on offense and defense. Both teams
• 1:57:48
  Speaker 1: are a little bit better on defense and offense, but
• 1:57:51
  Speaker 1: Idaho beats Montana in both departments. So Idaho is the
• 1:57:55
  Speaker 1: better team here. Yeah, I like Idaho. You Daho. The
• 1:58:00
  Speaker 1: money is coming in on Idaho. They're two and a
• 1:58:02
  Speaker 1: half point favorite right now, sixty percent of tickets, ninety
• 1:58:04
  Speaker 1: one percent of the cash on them. I agree, I
• 1:58:07
  Speaker 1: like Idaho there. Yeah the betters, yes, and you know me,
• 1:58:12
  Speaker 1: I like when the when the underseeded team is actually
• 1:58:15
  Speaker 1: the favorite, Like people are gonna be like, how is
• 1:58:17
  Speaker 1: the seven seed favorite over the four? You know what
• 1:58:19
  Speaker 1: I mean? Everybody, like all people remembers a Montana team
• 1:58:23
  Speaker 1: wins this conference every fucking year, right like Montana won
• 1:58:26
  Speaker 1: it last year. Montana State wonted a couple of years
• 1:58:29
  Speaker 1: in a row prior to that. It seems like it's
• 1:58:31
  Speaker 1: always those two teams. So yeah, people are not going
• 1:58:34
  Speaker 1: to expect Idaho to win it, but that's what I'm
• 1:58:36
  Speaker 1: rooting for now. Idaho. Yeah, there'll be a nice fifteen
• 1:58:41
  Speaker 1: seed in the tournament or whatever if they get in.
• 1:58:44
  Speaker 1: All right, let's talk about the NHL here, man, this
• 1:58:47
  Speaker 1: is a long video today, it'll be I think it'll
• 1:58:51
  Speaker 1: be less long. You know, this will be the longest
• 1:58:53
  Speaker 1: one of the week, though, because we'll have fewer games
• 1:58:55
  Speaker 1: to talk about as teams start getting eliminated in these
• 1:58:58
  Speaker 1: tournaments or whatever. All right, even though the best teams
• 1:59:04
  Speaker 1: still haven't played. All right, some of the small conferences
• 1:59:08
  Speaker 1: will be over and whatever. Although actually I don't know,
• 1:59:11
  Speaker 1: because we'll have more hockey to talk about tomorrow probably,
• 1:59:14
  Speaker 1: so that's not gonna be good. Today we only have
• 1:59:16
  Speaker 1: two games. They're both at seven thirty pm Montreal and Ottawa.
• 1:59:21
  Speaker 1: Was the first game Montreal. They just beat Toronto last night.
• 1:59:26
  Speaker 1: I thought Toronto set up decently in that game. They
• 1:59:28
  Speaker 1: still didn't win. They did not even cover on the
• 1:59:31
  Speaker 1: puck line. Although I don't know if there was an
• 1:59:32
  Speaker 1: empty net at the end or something. There was of course,
• 1:59:35
  Speaker 1: So dude, if you took my recommendation, you had like
• 1:59:38
  Speaker 1: a puck line play on Toronto or whatever yesterday. That
• 1:59:42
  Speaker 1: is such bullshit. Losing that on an empty net. Fuck
• 1:59:45
  Speaker 1: that when they were down by one. So that's what
• 1:59:49
  Speaker 1: happened to Montreal. Montreal kind of barely escaped yesterday. But
• 1:59:53
  Speaker 1: they are playing on a back to back, but they
• 1:59:55
  Speaker 1: did have two days off prior to that, so they're
• 1:59:57
  Speaker 1: not totally unrested coming into this. Although we're gonna have
• 2:00:00
  Speaker 1: to switch back to Montembau and he's kind of been
• 2:00:02
  Speaker 1: struggling in net for them, which is why they switched
• 2:00:05
  Speaker 1: away from him into DoBeS for their primary goalie. Ottawa
• 2:00:10
  Speaker 1: hasn't played since Monday. Uh. They beat Vancouver, which is
• 2:00:14
  Speaker 1: an easy win. Whatever, But they're returning over from a
• 2:00:16
  Speaker 1: road trip and that's the real problem. They had a
• 2:00:19
  Speaker 1: long road trip that started on Saturday, February twenty eighth.
• 2:00:22
  Speaker 1: You know, I do not like teams returning over from
• 2:00:24
  Speaker 1: road trips. Autawa had to go all the way to
• 2:00:26
  Speaker 1: the Pacific Northwest for that. I don't like it, man,
• 2:00:29
  Speaker 1: because they have to cross the country, they have to
• 2:00:32
  Speaker 1: cross a bunch of time zones. They might get distracted
• 2:00:34
  Speaker 1: coming back home. You got family life to get back
• 2:00:37
  Speaker 1: to whatever now, Montreal is a team that should attract
• 2:00:39
  Speaker 1: your focus. But there's no way that I could play
• 2:00:42
  Speaker 1: a team that's returning over from a road trip like that.
• 2:00:44
  Speaker 1: Absolutely not. Ottawa is taking the money. They're all the
• 2:00:48
  Speaker 1: way up to minus one ninety fifty five percent of
• 2:00:50
  Speaker 1: tickets on them, eighty percent of the cash on them.
• 2:00:53
  Speaker 1: I don't like it, though. I actually probably lean to
• 2:00:55
  Speaker 1: Montreal here. I think you might even get some value
• 2:00:57
  Speaker 1: on them because they're like, how dude, how could Montreal
• 2:01:00
  Speaker 1: be this much of an underdog? It's the odsmakers are
• 2:01:04
  Speaker 1: telling you Ottawa was the better team out of these two. Really.
• 2:01:08
  Speaker 1: I mean, I know Montreal is on the back to back.
• 2:01:10
  Speaker 1: I know you have to downgrade them for Montebou being
• 2:01:13
  Speaker 1: a net, but this is ridiculous, and with Ottawa returning
• 2:01:16
  Speaker 1: off from a road trip, I would lean towards Montreal
• 2:01:18
  Speaker 1: in that one. Usually when the line's misleading, i'm gonna
• 2:01:21
  Speaker 1: say the osbakers are telling you something, and then that
• 2:01:24
  Speaker 1: means you should be taking my Autowa fifty five tickets
• 2:01:27
  Speaker 1: eighty percent of the cash on Autawa. But I just
• 2:01:29
  Speaker 1: don't agree. There's no way I'm gonna be on a
• 2:01:31
  Speaker 1: team returning over from a road trip like that, and
• 2:01:33
  Speaker 1: then Washington at Philadelphia is on TNT and HBO, Max
• 2:01:38
  Speaker 1: and True TV. Washington beat Calgary seven to three. I
• 2:01:42
  Speaker 1: think they caught Calgary after Calgary upset Carolina, so they
• 2:01:46
  Speaker 1: caught Calgary in a letdown spot and they absolutely destroyed them.
• 2:01:51
  Speaker 1: But coming off a win like that, that's usually pretty satisfying.
• 2:01:54
  Speaker 1: So even though this should be a game they should
• 2:01:56
  Speaker 1: get up for. I don't know, man, I don't know
• 2:01:59
  Speaker 1: if I love a team that just won seven to
• 2:02:00
  Speaker 1: three against anybody. These two teams just played a home
• 2:02:03
  Speaker 1: at home. One was at Philadelphia before the Olympic break
• 2:02:07
  Speaker 1: in Philadelphia won that game, but Washington won the game
• 2:02:11
  Speaker 1: coming out of the break and they got a quick
• 2:02:12
  Speaker 1: revenge there. So maybe the zigzag or whatever flips back
• 2:02:16
  Speaker 1: to Philadelphia here as far as the revenge motiv here,
• 2:02:19
  Speaker 1: and you're gonna get an effort out of Philly because
• 2:02:21
  Speaker 1: they're staying at home and they just had a bad
• 2:02:23
  Speaker 1: home loss to the Rangers. We know the Rangers were
• 2:02:26
  Speaker 1: better on the road, but losing six to two at
• 2:02:28
  Speaker 1: home to anybody, and they lost three nothing at home
• 2:02:31
  Speaker 1: the game before that, I don't think it's becoming a
• 2:02:34
  Speaker 1: trend when it's just two games. But yeah, I think
• 2:02:36
  Speaker 1: it's gonna motivate Philadelphia, Like when you lose that badly
• 2:02:39
  Speaker 1: at home, you're gonna be motivated. So I like Philadelphia
• 2:02:41
  Speaker 1: on this one. And the market's not agreeing with me
• 2:02:44
  Speaker 1: on that one either. Washington up to minus one twenty six,
• 2:02:47
  Speaker 1: seventy six percent of tickets, eighty eight percent of the cash,
• 2:02:49
  Speaker 1: and then the oddsmakers are telling you Washington is the
• 2:02:51
  Speaker 1: better team here. I do. I've been saying Philadelphia is overrated,
• 2:02:55
  Speaker 1: but they're starting to look worse now, like the record
• 2:02:58
  Speaker 1: is starting to look worse than whatever. Yeah, I would
• 2:03:00
  Speaker 1: lean towards Philadelphia as the home dog in that one,
• 2:03:03
  Speaker 1: but no strong opinion really. NBA. I don't want to
• 2:03:08
  Speaker 1: get involved in the NBA today either, but we have
• 2:03:09
  Speaker 1: an ESPN doubleheader. The first game of those is Cleveland
• 2:03:13
  Speaker 1: at Orlando. Orlando is still gonna be without Franz Wagner,
• 2:03:18
  Speaker 1: who is supposed to come back soon. I think Cleveland
• 2:03:21
  Speaker 1: got a win over for Philadelphia, a very injured Philadelphia
• 2:03:25
  Speaker 1: team in their last game. Cleveland was able to take
• 2:03:28
  Speaker 1: care of business there. Now they're starting a road trip.
• 2:03:31
  Speaker 1: Usually you are focused to start a road trip, though.
• 2:03:33
  Speaker 1: I don't think they're really gonna be in a letdown
• 2:03:34
  Speaker 1: spot off of Philadelphia. Orlando probably gonna get an effort
• 2:03:39
  Speaker 1: out of them too. But Orlando is returning home from
• 2:03:42
  Speaker 1: a road trip. But that was only a quick weekend
• 2:03:44
  Speaker 1: road trip Saturday Sunday. But they pulled up a huge
• 2:03:47
  Speaker 1: upset against Minnesota and then they absolutely destroyed Milwaukee, so
• 2:03:51
  Speaker 1: they might be feeling, you know, a little bit too
• 2:03:53
  Speaker 1: high about that returning home. You know it's not gonna
• 2:03:56
  Speaker 1: be the typical return home distraction spot. I don't think
• 2:03:59
  Speaker 1: we can. They haven't been away for that long, and
• 2:04:02
  Speaker 1: you're not really going to overlook Cleveland. But those were
• 2:04:04
  Speaker 1: really satisfying wins for Orlando, man, So yeah, the money
• 2:04:09
  Speaker 1: is coming into the Magic. I don't love it, though.
• 2:04:11
  Speaker 1: The calves are up to minus three and a half.
• 2:04:13
  Speaker 1: Sixty four percent of tickets on the calves, so they're
• 2:04:16
  Speaker 1: a little bit of a public side sixty four percent
• 2:04:18
  Speaker 1: of the cash on the Magic. I wouldn't do it.
• 2:04:21
  Speaker 1: I don't really love the Magic here, man. I mean,
• 2:04:23
  Speaker 1: they should get up for the game, I guess, but
• 2:04:25
  Speaker 1: when you're coming off of blowouts like that and Cleveland
• 2:04:28
  Speaker 1: didn't have a particularly great game against Philly. I almost
• 2:04:31
  Speaker 1: kind of lead to Cleveland in that one. Toronto and
• 2:04:34
  Speaker 1: New Orleans. Toronto's coming off getting destroyed by Houston yesterday,
• 2:04:38
  Speaker 1: but they're on a back to back. They lost by fourteen.
• 2:04:41
  Speaker 1: Now they're playing a third road a third game in
• 2:04:44
  Speaker 1: four d's in different cities, So that's not exactly easy
• 2:04:50
  Speaker 1: New Orleans. You got to figure out what you're getting
• 2:04:52
  Speaker 1: for effort out of them. But it looks like they
• 2:04:54
  Speaker 1: are giving you effort. I mean, they've won some recent
• 2:04:56
  Speaker 1: games here, so that's a sign that New Orleans is
• 2:04:59
  Speaker 1: still playing it out and giving you effort. Here. They
• 2:05:01
  Speaker 1: beat Washington despite being in a return home spot. That
• 2:05:04
  Speaker 1: Washington team is giving you no effort at all at
• 2:05:07
  Speaker 1: this point. So New Orleans in a bad spot returning
• 2:05:11
  Speaker 1: from a long road trip, still won by twenty points.
• 2:05:13
  Speaker 1: Now they've had a couple of days off to get
• 2:05:15
  Speaker 1: settled in at home. I think you will get another
• 2:05:18
  Speaker 1: reffort out of them here. But they do play Houston next,
• 2:05:20
  Speaker 1: which is a bigger game. So this game is a
• 2:05:22
  Speaker 1: very hard read as well. The public is on the
• 2:05:25
  Speaker 1: Raptors seventy eight percent of tickets on them, sixty five
• 2:05:28
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash the market is indicating on the Pelicans.
• 2:05:32
  Speaker 1: The Raptors are too and half way favorite. I think,
• 2:05:35
  Speaker 1: you know, you're probably getting a little bit less value
• 2:05:37
  Speaker 1: on the Pelicans because the Raptors are playing on the
• 2:05:39
  Speaker 1: back to back, So usually you get less value playing
• 2:05:42
  Speaker 1: against the team it's on the back to back, but
• 2:05:44
  Speaker 1: sometimes it makes sense to do it. And I don't
• 2:05:46
  Speaker 1: really disagree with the Pelicans here. I kind of agree
• 2:05:49
  Speaker 1: with the market in that one, So I guess do
• 2:05:51
  Speaker 1: with that information what you want to. The Knicks are
• 2:05:54
  Speaker 1: at Utah. The Knicks have kind of a difficult travel
• 2:05:57
  Speaker 1: spot here. They're playing a fourth game in six days,
• 2:06:02
  Speaker 1: fifth game in eight days, and actually a very dreaded
• 2:06:05
  Speaker 1: sixth game in nine days, all in different cities. That's difficult, man,
• 2:06:10
  Speaker 1: with one home game in the mix. They're against Oklahoma City.
• 2:06:13
  Speaker 1: It's a pretty difficult travel spot for the Knicks. Man.
• 2:06:17
  Speaker 1: But they did just lose both games in LA losing
• 2:06:20
  Speaker 1: to the Clippers in their last game, so maybe they'll
• 2:06:22
  Speaker 1: give you an effort now and being a bounced back spot,
• 2:06:24
  Speaker 1: but man, they could be getting tired after. This is
• 2:06:27
  Speaker 1: just a ridiculous travel spot here for them. For the Jazz.
• 2:06:31
  Speaker 1: They could be in a letdown spot because they did
• 2:06:33
  Speaker 1: just beat Golden State, could win at home in a
• 2:06:37
  Speaker 1: return home spot, no less, but they're probably gonna be
• 2:06:41
  Speaker 1: the more rested team because at least they get to
• 2:06:42
  Speaker 1: stay at home. And I don't think they're gonna overlook
• 2:06:45
  Speaker 1: the Knicks here. The money is coming in on the Knicks.
• 2:06:48
  Speaker 1: They're up to a fourteen point favorite, eighty percent of tickets,
• 2:06:51
  Speaker 1: ninety four percent of the cash. I wouldn't lay it.
• 2:06:54
  Speaker 1: I would probably lean to taking the point of the
• 2:06:56
  Speaker 1: Jazz in that one, although I know the Jazz are injured,
• 2:06:59
  Speaker 1: but it looks like they're still giving you better. You know,
• 2:07:01
  Speaker 1: they're still giving you some effort here at least, you know,
• 2:07:04
  Speaker 1: like they had that win over Golden State, that at
• 2:07:05
  Speaker 1: least tells you they're getting up for some of the
• 2:07:07
  Speaker 1: games against some of the better teams here. So yeah,
• 2:07:11
  Speaker 1: with the Knicks being in that yeah spot where they
• 2:07:14
  Speaker 1: played so many games in quick succession, there's no way
• 2:07:17
  Speaker 1: I would lay that on the road. So yeah, that's
• 2:07:20
  Speaker 1: that game. The second game of the doubleheader is the
• 2:07:22
  Speaker 1: best NBA game of the night on ESPN at ten PM,
• 2:07:25
  Speaker 1: which is Houston at Denver. Denver, they're not a very
• 2:07:31
  Speaker 1: good home team in and their defense has been pretty bad.
• 2:07:34
  Speaker 1: Although Aaron Gordon is back so their defense should start improving.
• 2:07:37
  Speaker 1: But as of now, Denver, they're not a very good
• 2:07:40
  Speaker 1: defense and they're an elite offense. That's just the way
• 2:07:43
  Speaker 1: they've been playing this year. Denver's coming off a tough
• 2:07:45
  Speaker 1: game where they went to Oklahoma City and almost beat them,
• 2:07:48
  Speaker 1: So Denver could be in a bit of a hangover
• 2:07:50
  Speaker 1: spot here, even though they are hosting Houston here. Houston's
• 2:07:54
  Speaker 1: coming off smacking Toronto and that was yesterday, so Houston
• 2:07:58
  Speaker 1: is on the back to back here to play a
• 2:08:00
  Speaker 1: third game in four and as all in different cities
• 2:08:02
  Speaker 1: and having to go into elevations, that's not exactly great
• 2:08:05
  Speaker 1: for Houston. It's a tough travel spot. But Denver's not
• 2:08:08
  Speaker 1: that good at home. Man, seventeen and thirteen. That's you again.
• 2:08:12
  Speaker 1: I always point out you think they'd be better at
• 2:08:13
  Speaker 1: home than they are. I think they're just I don't know, man,
• 2:08:16
  Speaker 1: I don't know what the deal is. But with that
• 2:08:19
  Speaker 1: elevation edge, it just hasn't been happening for them. Houston
• 2:08:22
  Speaker 1: above five hundred on the road is fairly impressive eighteen
• 2:08:25
  Speaker 1: and sixteen. I think last year they were better on
• 2:08:28
  Speaker 1: the road than that, but they're not a bad road
• 2:08:31
  Speaker 1: team at all. The Nuggets are a six point favorite here,
• 2:08:33
  Speaker 1: partially because Houston's on the back to back, sixty six
• 2:08:36
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets, eighty four percent of the cash on
• 2:08:38
  Speaker 1: the Nuggets, money coming in on the Nuggets. I kind
• 2:08:41
  Speaker 1: of lean towards Houston getting the points there. Man. I
• 2:08:45
  Speaker 1: don't like the spot that Denver's in off that huge
• 2:08:47
  Speaker 1: game against the Thunder, so I would kind of lead
• 2:08:50
  Speaker 1: towards taking the points plus Denver. Dude, Denver. I know
• 2:08:56
  Speaker 1: they covered as an underdog against Oklahoma City. I think
• 2:09:00
  Speaker 1: as a favorite, like they've failed to cover so many
• 2:09:03
  Speaker 1: games in a row as a favorite, Like, I don't know,
• 2:09:06
  Speaker 1: it's something crazy where like they're on this stretch where
• 2:09:09
  Speaker 1: they win games and don't cover them something like that.
• 2:09:12
  Speaker 1: I don't know, man, it's just wild. Anyway, Charlotte is
• 2:09:15
  Speaker 1: at Sacramento here. Charlotte's on a back to back. They're
• 2:09:18
  Speaker 1: playing a third game in four days, fourth and six days,
• 2:09:21
  Speaker 1: in a fifth game in eight days, all in different cities,
• 2:09:24
  Speaker 1: and actually a sixth and nine days, so they're playing
• 2:09:27
  Speaker 1: a six game in nine days as well, which is
• 2:09:29
  Speaker 1: not easy. With that first game being at home though,
• 2:09:33
  Speaker 1: but still that's not easy. Now they're going from Portland.
• 2:09:35
  Speaker 1: They won in Portland last night, didn't cover though I
• 2:09:38
  Speaker 1: was correct about leaning towards Portland. I think yesterday actually
• 2:09:42
  Speaker 1: did did I lead to Portland? I think I did.
• 2:09:44
  Speaker 1: I don't know, I don't remember. But now they're going
• 2:09:47
  Speaker 1: to Sacramento, and you got to try to figure out
• 2:09:49
  Speaker 1: are you gonna get an effort out of Sacramento here?
• 2:09:51
  Speaker 1: And it seems like maybe you will because they've won
• 2:09:53
  Speaker 1: two games in a row. It looks like they are
• 2:09:55
  Speaker 1: kind of putting an effort, although those are against other
• 2:09:58
  Speaker 1: teams that are just playing out the stretch. Now. Sacramento
• 2:10:00
  Speaker 1: played yesterday, but the good thing for them is they're
• 2:10:03
  Speaker 1: staying at home, so that is more helpful to them.
• 2:10:06
  Speaker 1: I'd probably lean to the Kings here. The Hornet's laying
• 2:10:09
  Speaker 1: this price on the road is kind of crazy. It's
• 2:10:11
  Speaker 1: dropped from fourteen to twelve and a half, seventy four
• 2:10:13
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets ninety percent of the cash on Houston.
• 2:10:17
  Speaker 1: I yeah, I would lean towards taking the points of
• 2:10:20
  Speaker 1: the Kings man and then finally closing the show with Minnesota. Yeah,
• 2:10:25
  Speaker 1: with the team that really really let me down to
• 2:10:27
  Speaker 1: the second half yesterday. I can't believe how bad that
• 2:10:29
  Speaker 1: second half was for them yesterday. They're on a back
• 2:10:32
  Speaker 1: to back now, at least for them, they had rest
• 2:10:34
  Speaker 1: before the Laker game last night, so they won't be
• 2:10:37
  Speaker 1: that tired. I don't think coming into this game staying
• 2:10:40
  Speaker 1: in La going to the Clippers. Now. The Clippers did
• 2:10:44
  Speaker 1: just beat the Knicks, so the Clippers are coming off
• 2:10:46
  Speaker 1: a nice performance. Could win against the Knicks on Monday.
• 2:10:50
  Speaker 1: I don't think they're gonna overlook Minnesota. They did lose
• 2:10:52
  Speaker 1: at home in a weird, low scoring game ninety four
• 2:10:55
  Speaker 1: to eighty eight to Minnesota back on February twenty six,
• 2:10:58
  Speaker 1: so I still don't think the Clippers are gonna overlook them.
• 2:11:00
  Speaker 1: The Clippers are a two point favorite. The public is
• 2:11:03
  Speaker 1: not going to play the Clippers, really because the Clippers
• 2:11:05
  Speaker 1: still have a bad records, Like, why would you play
• 2:11:07
  Speaker 1: a team with the worst record as a favorite? Right
• 2:11:10
  Speaker 1: seventy tickets eight and nine percent of the cash on
• 2:11:12
  Speaker 1: the Clippers. I don't know if I could, really, I
• 2:11:17
  Speaker 1: don't think I could recommend the Clippers though, coming off
• 2:11:20
  Speaker 1: that huge win. Though you know t Wolves are on
• 2:11:23
  Speaker 1: the back to back I almost kind of lean to
• 2:11:25
  Speaker 1: the t Wolves in this game though, to be honest.
• 2:11:28
  Speaker 1: So I don't know, man, that you can tell why
• 2:11:30
  Speaker 1: I'm not on the NBA at all today. That's gonna
• 2:11:33
  Speaker 1: do it, man, all that two plus hours just to
• 2:11:35
  Speaker 1: give you one play, which is on Cincinnati. And I
• 2:11:38
  Speaker 1: don't like the fact that now money looks like it's
• 2:11:40
  Speaker 1: coming in on UCF these percentages of flipping all over
• 2:11:44
  Speaker 1: the place. Dude, it's so difficult to figure out this shit.
• 2:11:46
  Speaker 1: So you got to rely on your situational capping, man,
• 2:11:49
  Speaker 1: And that is the only play we got today is
• 2:11:51
  Speaker 1: Cincinnati in the Big twelve tournament. They're already adjusted to
• 2:11:54
  Speaker 1: the venue, they're the way better defense, They're they have
• 2:11:57
  Speaker 1: a huge luck disparity in ken Bum. They're gonna be
• 2:12:00
  Speaker 1: motivated because they're on the bubble, and I think they're
• 2:12:03
  Speaker 1: gonna have the ability to play a little bit looser
• 2:12:05
  Speaker 1: than U Seef, who's fallen down a little bit, and
• 2:12:08
  Speaker 1: maybe the pressure's on you see have a little bit
• 2:12:10
  Speaker 1: of that. I think you Seef maybe is already like
• 2:12:12
  Speaker 1: they're gonna get into the tournament anyway, maybe at this
• 2:12:15
  Speaker 1: point because they're I think solidly enough in at this
• 2:12:19
  Speaker 1: point that they're gonna get in anyway. So and again
• 2:12:22
  Speaker 1: this is a crazy venue with a glass floor now,
• 2:12:25
  Speaker 1: so Cincinnati got to play on it last night, So
• 2:12:28
  Speaker 1: extra edge for them or yesterday in the afternoon, I
• 2:12:30
  Speaker 1: should say, little bit of an extra edge for them,
• 2:12:33
  Speaker 1: I think in this game for that reason. So a
• 2:12:36
  Speaker 1: lot of things we have going for us there with Cincinnati.
• 2:12:39
  Speaker 1: It's one of those like leverage flip spots. I think
• 2:12:42
  Speaker 1: we have the lesser seated team actually being the better
• 2:12:45
  Speaker 1: team there. That's gonna do it. Learn a tone on Twitter,
• 2:12:48
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• 2:12:51
  Speaker 1: man leg Subscribe to the show here, tell everybody about it,
• 2:12:54
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• 2:12:58
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• 2:13:01
  Speaker 1: my yuke channel on YouTube. You can check that out
• 2:13:03
  Speaker 1: as well. Patreon, dot com, slash and learn to toad
• 2:13:06
  Speaker 1: if you want to support me, get some bonus stuff maybe,
• 2:13:10
  Speaker 1: and uh Loser Cast. We had a new episode last
• 2:13:13
  Speaker 1: night of that. We were a little bit of a
• 2:13:15
  Speaker 1: shorthanded squad last night. For that you go check that out.
• 2:13:19
  Speaker 1: It was Yeah, that episode went to a lot of
• 2:13:22
  Speaker 1: different places, so go check that out. That's gonna do it.
• 2:13:24
  Speaker 1: I appreciate it. Guys. Let's enjoy the games they're starting
• 2:13:27
  Speaker 1: right now in the Atlantic ten piece