Latest / Best Betting Show Ever / Best Betting Show Ever | Monday Night Football Picks, Predictive Markets, MLB Picks, Parlay & More!

Transcript

Best Betting Show Ever | Monday Night Football Picks, Predictive Markets, MLB Picks, Parlay & More! · Best Betting Show Ever

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: All right, Monday, fun day. Hope you guys recovered. Hope
• 0:03
  Speaker 1: you didn't have the Chargers in Survivor. It was one
• 0:07
  Speaker 1: wild weekend. Certainly, if you had Ohio State on Saturday night,
• 0:12
  Speaker 1: also a little crazy. It is the best betting show ever,
• 0:15
  Speaker 1: but we got one more game coming up tonight to
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: round out week one in the NFL, and we're going
• 0:19
  Speaker 1: to do it in a press-free zone here with, oh,
• 0:23
  Speaker 1: Brian Power.
• 0:24
  Speaker 2: Oh, Jesus.
• 0:25
  Speaker 1: Art DeCesar in the house as well. Always a pleasure
• 0:28
  Speaker 1: to see you, BP.
• 0:30
  Speaker 2: I'm kidding.
• 0:31
  Speaker 1: But we got a lot to get over, a lot
• 0:33
  Speaker 1: to go over, in fact, on what happened here this
• 0:36
  Speaker 1: past weekend. Art, to you, what's the thing that stuck
• 0:39
  Speaker 1: out the most here for you this weekend?
• 0:42
  Speaker 3: Well, obviously in the NFL, a lot of points, right?
• 0:45
  Speaker 4: I mean, a lot of overs, a lot of people,
• 0:49
  Speaker 4: especially the public with the favorites of the overs, probably
• 0:51
  Speaker 4: wasn't a good weekend, you know, or at least Sunday,
• 0:55
  Speaker 4: goes for bookmakers because whenever you get favorites and overs,
• 0:58
  Speaker 4: that is a recipe for disaster.
• 1:00
  Speaker 2: Yeah, it certainly is. BP, how about you? What stuck
• 1:04
  Speaker 2: out to you this weekend?
• 1:05
  Speaker 5: Well, Art, I concur. That's what I was going to
• 1:08
  Speaker 5: say about the NFL, all the points. Let's go to
• 1:10
  Speaker 5: Saturday in college. I wish I would have trusted my
• 1:12
  Speaker 5: power ratings a little bit more, Joe, because there were
• 1:14
  Speaker 5: a lot of games I left off and they would
• 1:17
  Speaker 5: have won. Nevertheless, I'll take a two-in-one Saturday in college.
• 1:23
  Speaker 5: unfortunately nfl didn't go as well um i assume we're
• 1:27
  Speaker 5: going to talk about the slater art but that texas
• 1:30
  Speaker 5: winning by one probably had to be a disaster for
• 1:33
  Speaker 5: the books i would imagine that was probably a what
• 1:38
  Speaker 5: we call a worst case scenario behind the counter i reckon.
• 1:41
  Speaker 4: I would totally agree with that because obviously all your
• 1:45
  Speaker 4: Texas money lines cover the people who took Ohio state
• 1:48
  Speaker 4: one and a half. They cover, I mean, listen, I'm
• 1:50
  Speaker 4: sure there were plenty of people who had Ohio state
• 1:52
  Speaker 4: on the money line as well. When you deal a one,
• 1:54
  Speaker 4: one and a half game in that range, you're going
• 1:56
  Speaker 4: to get, you know, both sides. And I'm sure, you know,
• 1:59
  Speaker 4: the action on the game was incredible to, so to
• 2:01
  Speaker 4: kind of get screwed on two sides of the.
• 2:04
  Speaker 3: Coin, not, not great.
• 2:06
  Speaker 2: Yeah. I, yeah.
• 2:08
  Speaker 1: For me in the NFL yesterday, I, I just, I'm sorry,
• 2:14
  Speaker 1: I didn't see 90 points in a Bears and Panthers game,
• 2:17
  Speaker 1: but there was more scoring, the most scoring we've seen
• 2:20
  Speaker 1: in week one in the history of the NFL. So
• 2:24
  Speaker 1: I don't know if that says more about, usually defenses
• 2:28
  Speaker 1: are better than offenses early on, but that's a trend
• 2:31
  Speaker 1: worth keeping an eye on. I have no explanation for it,
• 2:35
  Speaker 1: to tell you the truth, PP. Most of those guys
• 2:37
  Speaker 1: never even played in the preseason.
• 2:40
  Speaker 5: And what was so fascinating is the Wednesday and Thursday
• 2:43
  Speaker 5: games where you're talking about four of the better teams
• 2:45
  Speaker 5: in the league, they were all so low scoring. The
• 2:47
  Speaker 5: offensive execution was pretty pathetic. So it was the last
• 2:50
  Speaker 5: thing I was looking for. I was actually having a
• 2:52
  Speaker 5: bit of a battle with my brother-in-law on our unlimited streams.
• 2:56
  Speaker 5: That's a different story for a different day. So I
• 2:57
  Speaker 5: was missing all the scores. I had two TVs up
• 3:00
  Speaker 5: and I'm battling to get my last stream up. And
• 3:03
  Speaker 5: all I kept seeing was points, points, points on the TVs.
• 3:06
  Speaker 5: I'm like, oh my God, it was so hard to
• 3:07
  Speaker 5: keep up. In all seriousness, and I also took one
• 3:11
  Speaker 5: on the chin. My top play yesterday was the under
• 3:13
  Speaker 5: in the Packers-Vikings game. I felt like the one loser
• 3:18
  Speaker 5: I had Saturday in college was on the Syracuse-Cal game.
• 3:21
  Speaker 5: I thought Syracuse was the better side, just self-inflicted wounds.
• 3:24
  Speaker 2: That's a bet.
• 3:25
  Speaker 5: I always talk about this. I always go over after
• 3:27
  Speaker 5: the weekend or after any day my bets. Would I
• 3:29
  Speaker 5: have made this bet again? Did I see something wrong?
• 3:32
  Speaker 5: I would have made as bad as it ended up
• 3:34
  Speaker 5: that Packers-Vikings under. I don't think it was a bad bet.
• 3:37
  Speaker 5: It was just every time it seemed like we were
• 3:40
  Speaker 5: getting some momentum and the scoring halted, something would happen
• 3:44
  Speaker 5: to just turn the game on its head. And, Art,
• 3:47
  Speaker 5: congrats to you. I know that Vikings comeback, just the
• 3:51
  Speaker 5: way you drew it off with Carson Wentz, was.
• 3:54
  Speaker 2: Exactly what you needed, man.
• 3:56
  Speaker 1: God, when Mini-Me went out like the first two minutes,
• 3:59
  Speaker 1: I was like, it's, oh boy, Carson Wentz has got
• 4:02
  Speaker 1: to come in.
• 4:03
  Speaker 2: It's not going to be good here.
• 4:05
  Speaker 1: But it was a fun weekend, to say the least here.
• 4:09
  Speaker 1: So we had some great games, some chaotic games, which
• 4:12
  Speaker 1: means what does Monday Night Football have in store for
• 4:16
  Speaker 1: us here? Kansas City at home, taking on Denver, currently
• 4:20
  Speaker 1: seeing two and a half here.
• 4:22
  Speaker 2: Art, what are you hearing? What are you seeing here,
• 4:24
  Speaker 2: my man?
• 4:25
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean, obviously a really good Monday night game,
• 4:27
  Speaker 4: divisional game. Listen, you know, this thing at some point
• 4:31
  Speaker 4: was as high as three. Obviously a little bit of
• 4:34
  Speaker 4: Bronco money has come in, total of 43 and a half,
• 4:37
  Speaker 4: low total in.
• 4:38
  Speaker 3: A divisional game.
• 4:39
  Speaker 4: You know, I think there are plenty of people who
• 4:41
  Speaker 4: probably still have open-ended things, whether it's Broncos on teasers,
• 4:46
  Speaker 4: you know, there's probably some chief money line love. still
• 4:49
  Speaker 4: out there with the public because the public still loves
• 4:51
  Speaker 4: the Chiefs regardless. But this to me feels like public
• 4:54
  Speaker 4: will take the Chiefs. Sharps are already on Denver. That
• 4:56
  Speaker 4: kind of feels like the split.
• 4:58
  Speaker 2: Yeah. What are we thinking here, BP?
• 5:01
  Speaker 1: I mean, given all the scoring that we just watched yesterday,
• 5:06
  Speaker 1: does that continue with these two teams?
• 5:08
  Speaker 2: Is it more defensive? I don't know at this point.
• 5:11
  Speaker 5: Yeah, just real quick with the terms of the spread,
• 5:14
  Speaker 5: I'm looking here at the odd screen. I don't know
• 5:16
  Speaker 5: if Art's seeing the same thing. It looks like one
• 5:18
  Speaker 5: of the sharper books, if not the sharpest, has actually
• 5:20
  Speaker 5: moved that number to two already, which is pretty interesting.
• 5:24
  Speaker 3: Circa BP?
• 5:25
  Speaker 5: Yes, that's exactly what I was referring to. I want
• 5:27
  Speaker 5: to talk about the total, though, because I think it's
• 5:30
  Speaker 5: kind of fascinating here. If you look at the first
• 5:33
  Speaker 5: half total, that number has dropped below the key number
• 5:38
  Speaker 5: of 21. It's now 20 and a half is the
• 5:42
  Speaker 5: first half. And then the full game total, as we
• 5:46
  Speaker 5: bring that up, that has actually gone up to 43
• 5:48
  Speaker 5: and a half. My thought is, okay, the three, now
• 5:53
  Speaker 5: it might just be coincidence. The three primetime games have
• 5:55
  Speaker 5: stayed under so far. So I want to bet the
• 6:00
  Speaker 5: under here, but it's, it's very interesting. I ultimately laid
• 6:03
  Speaker 5: off the game. I don't have anything for the clients.
• 6:04
  Speaker 5: I'll be honest, but I think the most telling thing
• 6:06
  Speaker 5: here is the first half, is the unders taking money
• 6:09
  Speaker 5: for the first half, but the overs taking money for
• 6:12
  Speaker 5: full game. I don't know if Art has anything interesting
• 6:15
  Speaker 5: on that, but that's what stuck out to me when
• 6:16
  Speaker 5: I was handicapping the game and looking at the movement
• 6:18
  Speaker 5: this morning.
• 6:21
  Speaker 1: Listen, I don't know what we're getting from Mahomes and
• 6:26
  Speaker 1: Kansas City, and that to me is the biggest problem.
• 6:28
  Speaker 1: I lean, despite what we saw yesterday across the NFL here,
• 6:33
  Speaker 1: I mean, we didn't get it over in the Jets game,
• 6:35
  Speaker 1: and I had that. So I did have the Jets,
• 6:38
  Speaker 1: by the way, in one of my survivor picks. So
• 6:40
  Speaker 1: you can all laugh at me all you want there.
• 6:43
  Speaker 1: But I do think Denver is a little bit better
• 6:47
  Speaker 1: than what the market thinks they're going to be here.
• 6:50
  Speaker 1: And don't forget, I mean, new OC now. We've got
• 6:53
  Speaker 1: a new old OC here for Kansas City, right? You
• 6:56
  Speaker 1: move on from Matt Nagy.
• 6:58
  Speaker 2: Yeah. which is good.
• 7:01
  Speaker 1: Isn't Josh Simmons missing this game, the left tackle for
• 7:05
  Speaker 1: Kansas City?
• 7:05
  Speaker 2: I don't think he's going to be on.
• 7:08
  Speaker 1: They're expecting undrafted rookies to be on the offensive line
• 7:12
  Speaker 1: to replace him. I don't think they're getting him back
• 7:14
  Speaker 1: for another week or so. Weather-wise, BP, it looked like
• 7:19
  Speaker 1: it was going to be a pretty windy night here,
• 7:22
  Speaker 1: which will also be interesting to keep an eye on.
• 7:24
  Speaker 1: But I just, I'm not sure offensively what we're getting
• 7:28
  Speaker 1: from Kansas city. I think I know what we're going
• 7:31
  Speaker 1: to get from Denver here, which is going to be
• 7:34
  Speaker 1: a lot of moving the chains. If I'm Peyton art,
• 7:36
  Speaker 1: I don't want to shoot out.
• 7:37
  Speaker 2: Right.
• 7:39
  Speaker 3: No, no, definitely not.
• 7:40
  Speaker 4: And listen, all that might mean a Kansas city team
• 7:43
  Speaker 4: total under, you know, you could start, start looking that way.
• 7:46
  Speaker 3: Yeah.
• 7:47
  Speaker 4: I mean, obviously listen, Denver's whole thing is run the ball,
• 7:49
  Speaker 4: play good defense and, get their quarterback out in space,
• 7:52
  Speaker 4: little rollouts, dink and dunk a little bit. Now they
• 7:55
  Speaker 4: did add Waddle. So the offense eventually will get better.
• 7:58
  Speaker 4: But in a game like this, you go on the
• 8:00
  Speaker 4: road and want to win in week one.
• 8:01
  Speaker 3: That's how you're going to play.
• 8:02
  Speaker 2: Does it get to three? It doesn't look like it.
• 8:06
  Speaker 2: It looks like it might go to two instead of three. Yeah.
• 8:10
  Speaker 5: Yeah. Um, I'll say this. Let's not forget about this, guys. Obviously,
• 8:14
  Speaker 5: on the broadcast and all the lead-up to all the
• 8:17
  Speaker 5: analysis is going to focus primarily on Mahomes and his return.
• 8:20
  Speaker 5: We have two starting quarterbacks coming off injuries. Bo Nix, obviously,
• 8:24
  Speaker 5: hurt his ankle, missed the AFC Championship game. I just
• 8:27
  Speaker 5: think this is going to be a low-scoring game. For me,
• 8:30
  Speaker 5: the reason I couldn't get him up, I couldn't decide
• 8:32
  Speaker 5: if I liked the first half under or the full
• 8:35
  Speaker 5: game under.
• 8:36
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 8:36
  Speaker 5: Maybe split. Worst you do is one and one there.
• 8:40
  Speaker 5: So that's what I got off here. I do think
• 8:42
  Speaker 5: this will be a lower scoring game because Denver's not
• 8:44
  Speaker 5: going to win in the shootout and Kansas City's offense,
• 8:48
  Speaker 5: even if Mahomes is better than you expect, I mean,
• 8:50
  Speaker 5: it's not going to be the Chiefs of old, in
• 8:52
  Speaker 5: my opinion.
• 8:54
  Speaker 2: It can't be.
• 8:54
  Speaker 1: I mean, Tyreek Hill, Travis Kelsey, and their prime days
• 8:58
  Speaker 1: are long gone, and I just don't know that we're
• 9:01
  Speaker 1: going to see that again.
• 9:02
  Speaker 2: I do think it'll be a defensive battle. I would
• 9:04
  Speaker 2: lean to the under.
• 9:05
  Speaker 1: It's supposed to be double-digit wins there at Arrowhead tonight,
• 9:08
  Speaker 1: so We'll see how that lands and how that eventually goes.
• 9:12
  Speaker 1: But in the meantime, we've got some sharp bets here. Art,
• 9:16
  Speaker 1: a lot of Major League Baseball, of course, Monday Night Football.
• 9:20
  Speaker 1: What are you hearing right now?
• 9:23
  Speaker 3: Three sides in MLB. Cubs, Blue Jays, Diamondbacks.
• 9:29
  Speaker 2: Interesting. Blue Jays and Diamondbacks. Arizona, did they win enough
• 9:33
  Speaker 2: games this weekend? Probably not. No, they did not.
• 9:37
  Speaker 3: San Diego doesn't lose.
• 9:39
  Speaker 1: San Diego doesn't lose, and they can't beat the Rangers,
• 9:41
  Speaker 1: so I do not understand Arizona at all in that
• 9:44
  Speaker 1: spot there. All right, parlay of the day here, gentlemen.
• 9:49
  Speaker 1: Got some baseball, got the Monday night game, so BP.
• 9:53
  Speaker 2: Kick us off.
• 9:53
  Speaker 1: Where are we looking here for the first leg of
• 9:55
  Speaker 1: the parlay today?
• 9:57
  Speaker 2: And I should say, Art, did we not cash... our
• 10:00
  Speaker 2: college football parlay?
• 10:02
  Speaker 3: The college football parlay, we did cash.
• 10:06
  Speaker 2: Outstanding.
• 10:06
  Speaker 3: On Thursday.
• 10:07
  Speaker 2: On Thursday, yeah.
• 10:08
  Speaker 1: Thursday is the college football parlay. Friday is the NFL.
• 10:13
  Speaker 1: parlay and i don't know how the hell that worked
• 10:15
  Speaker 1: out uh so bp kick us off here what are
• 10:18
  Speaker 1: we thinking for a best bet.
• 10:21
  Speaker 5: Let's go angels in the first five are there some
• 10:24
  Speaker 5: concerns with the angels sure there are they're not a
• 10:26
  Speaker 5: good baseball team overall they're returning home from a nine
• 10:29
  Speaker 5: game road trip they got swept over the weekend uh
• 10:31
  Speaker 5: by the nationals bullpen's not that good but we're getting
• 10:35
  Speaker 5: them out of the equation by playing this in the
• 10:37
  Speaker 5: first five. Guys, this is all about one guy, Reed Detmers.
• 10:40
  Speaker 5: Over the last 10 starts, Reed Detmers has the lowest
• 10:42
  Speaker 5: ERA in all of Major League Baseball. Over the last
• 10:46
  Speaker 5: six starts, his ERA is below one. He's given up
• 10:50
  Speaker 5: three total runs in those six starts. Yes, the Angels
• 10:54
  Speaker 5: struggle to score, but I'm pretty confident Detmers can keep
• 10:57
  Speaker 5: Seattle off the board. Seattle is a corpse right now.
• 11:01
  Speaker 5: They lose in walk-off fashion on Sunday to the A's.
• 11:05
  Speaker 5: One of the worst offenses in baseball. As long as
• 11:09
  Speaker 5: Detmers doesn't give up a run, the worst we can
• 11:10
  Speaker 5: do is push in the first five. So Angels first
• 11:14
  Speaker 5: five money line to get things going.
• 11:15
  Speaker 2: Angels first five. Art, what are we thinking, my man?
• 11:19
  Speaker 4: Big series, biggest series this week. Guardians and White Sox.
• 11:24
  Speaker 4: White Sox, it is slipping away. Give me the Guardians
• 11:28
  Speaker 4: at home with the better pitching.
• 11:31
  Speaker 1: I'll take the Denver Broncos. I'll take them because I
• 11:34
  Speaker 1: think this does eventually go to two. I'll sprinkle them
• 11:37
  Speaker 1: on the money line here in a little three-legger and
• 11:41
  Speaker 1: make this a quality three-leg parlay.
• 11:44
  Speaker 2: Of the day there.
• 11:45
  Speaker 1: All right, predictive markets here. So we're getting to be
• 11:49
  Speaker 1: about that time, guys, where we've got to... Some of
• 11:54
  Speaker 1: the future markets are going to start coming to fruition,
• 11:57
  Speaker 1: especially in Major League Baseball here, right?
• 12:00
  Speaker 2: So we're going to have some fun... Are we still
• 12:05
  Speaker 2: sold on the Dodgers, BP?
• 12:07
  Speaker 1: Is it the Dodgers to win, to lose, even with
• 12:09
  Speaker 1: the issues of Otani? Or are there some question marks
• 12:13
  Speaker 1: in your mind still with Major League Baseball's not only
• 12:17
  Speaker 1: National League pennant winner, but World Series winner?
• 12:21
  Speaker 5: Well, I think it's... I don't know. Settled isn't the
• 12:25
  Speaker 5: right word, but I think it's kind of straightforward what
• 12:27
  Speaker 5: the National League is going to look like in the playoffs. Milwaukee,
• 12:29
  Speaker 5: it would appear, is going to have home field advantage again.
• 12:31
  Speaker 5: The concern always with the Brewers is you win with
• 12:35
  Speaker 5: home runs in the playoffs and the Brewers just don't
• 12:37
  Speaker 5: hit home runs, which is kind of their undoing. As
• 12:40
  Speaker 5: long as the Dodgers get a top two seed, you know,
• 12:42
  Speaker 5: they get that first round by, I would tend to
• 12:45
  Speaker 5: still say, yes, it is theirs to lose in the
• 12:48
  Speaker 5: National League. Atlanta should be the three seed. Cubs and Phillies,
• 12:52
  Speaker 5: That's going to be a tough wildcard series, and it
• 12:54
  Speaker 5: does look like San Diego will get the last wildcard spot. So, yeah,
• 12:57
  Speaker 5: Dodgers still a deserved favorite, even though Milwaukee's probably going
• 13:01
  Speaker 5: to earn home field, Joe.
• 13:03
  Speaker 2: What are you thinking? Are it still questions?
• 13:06
  Speaker 1: Because anybody but the Dodgers, for me, at this particular point.
• 13:11
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean, I remember talking probably a month ago
• 13:14
  Speaker 4: with you about this in this segment, and we kind
• 13:16
  Speaker 4: of felt, hey, look another way.
• 13:18
  Speaker 3: Listen, the Dodgers....
• 13:21
  Speaker 4: Should be the favorite, like BP said, but if you're
• 13:22
  Speaker 4: looking for value, maybe it's some other team, maybe one
• 13:25
  Speaker 4: of the central teams, Cubs or Brewers.
• 13:28
  Speaker 3: I don't mind that angle.
• 13:29
  Speaker 4: Hopping over to the American League, I got off my Yankees,
• 13:32
  Speaker 4: but now I'm back on them because I just think
• 13:34
  Speaker 4: the American League is so weak and the Yankee pitching
• 13:37
  Speaker 4: is so good, especially with the bullpen, especially with the
• 13:41
  Speaker 4: starters they can throw out there. schlittler freed and cole
• 13:44
  Speaker 4: that's your first three in a series home field you
• 13:48
  Speaker 4: know when they get home field and they get games
• 13:50
  Speaker 4: they won't have home field because they're gonna they won't
• 13:53
  Speaker 4: win the division but it just feels like the yankees
• 13:56
  Speaker 4: are gonna make it yeah i still see three to
• 13:57
  Speaker 4: one out there for them to win the pennant it
• 13:59
  Speaker 4: just feels like the yankees is good value yeah.
• 14:02
  Speaker 1: It's crazy let me see if i can uh if
• 14:04
  Speaker 1: i can get this up on the screen i'll show
• 14:06
  Speaker 1: you what uh what it looks like because that's a
• 14:09
  Speaker 1: very interesting market right now. And that's going to be
• 14:12
  Speaker 1: the American league champion. Look at those prices art for
• 14:16
  Speaker 1: the Yankees, Tampa and Boston right now. So 26, 24,
• 14:19
  Speaker 1: is it fair enough to say BP? Those are the
• 14:23
  Speaker 1: three teams really want one of those three.
• 14:26
  Speaker 2: Okay.
• 14:26
  Speaker 5: What's fascinating is the way the bracket is going to
• 14:29
  Speaker 5: break in the American league. Those three teams are going
• 14:31
  Speaker 5: to be in the same half of the bracket. Can you,
• 14:34
  Speaker 5: can you, can you show the rest of, Because what's
• 14:36
  Speaker 5: fascinating to me is between the Central and the West,
• 14:42
  Speaker 5: one of those teams gets to the ALCS. So if
• 14:44
  Speaker 5: there's somebody you like there, what do we always talk
• 14:47
  Speaker 5: about these predicted markets? It's not about winning. It's about
• 14:51
  Speaker 5: somebody just getting there and then you can sell off.
• 14:54
  Speaker 5: So if you like someone in that White Sox, Houston, Cleveland, Toronto,
• 14:58
  Speaker 5: Texas group, somebody's numbers can go way up. One of
• 15:01
  Speaker 5: those teams is getting to the ALCS this year. Oh,
• 15:04
  Speaker 5: by the way, Joe, I'm going to be at the
• 15:05
  Speaker 5: ballpark on Wednesday for that white Sox guardian series.
• 15:07
  Speaker 2: Are you really? Yes.
• 15:09
  Speaker 5: If you want to come up, I got a ticket
• 15:11
  Speaker 5: for you. Just like always Joe. But in all seriousness,
• 15:14
  Speaker 5: in all seriousness, yeah, you look Houston, their record against
• 15:19
  Speaker 5: playoff teams has been very good. They obviously dug themselves
• 15:21
  Speaker 5: a big hole. I do not trust the white Sox
• 15:22
  Speaker 5: in the playoffs at all. No, even if they do it, look,
• 15:26
  Speaker 5: I'm holding a five to one ticket on them to
• 15:28
  Speaker 5: win this division. So I'm going to be probably really
• 15:30
  Speaker 5: quiet when I'm at the ballpark on Wednesday because I'm
• 15:31
  Speaker 5: going to be rooting for the other team. So– but, yeah,
• 15:35
  Speaker 5: I mean, even if they win the division and get
• 15:38
  Speaker 5: a bye, I don't trust the White Sox in a
• 15:39
  Speaker 5: playoff situation. I think the Astros maybe at 10%. I
• 15:42
  Speaker 5: know you guys have talked about them on the show.
• 15:44
  Speaker 2: Yeah.
• 15:46
  Speaker 5: There might be worth some investment there at yes for
• 15:49
  Speaker 5: 10 cents.
• 15:50
  Speaker 1: I mean, my question is, Art– The Yankees have been
• 15:54
  Speaker 1: ended today, right? Yankees take on Boston. Is that how
• 15:57
  Speaker 1: that works? And then Tampa's got the bye. Yeah.
• 16:00
  Speaker 5: And they would have the winner of Yankees, Boston.
• 16:02
  Speaker 2: And they'd have the winner of Yankees.
• 16:03
  Speaker 1: So my question is Yankees play Boston Yankees win.
• 16:06
  Speaker 2: What do they then go to? Do we think that's
• 16:11
  Speaker 2: the question?
• 16:12
  Speaker 1: Cause it would just be what Yankees then take on Tampa, right?
• 16:16
  Speaker 1: And then a winner of that would take on whatever
• 16:18
  Speaker 1: is left on the other side. I got to think
• 16:21
  Speaker 1: there'd be at least a 10 cent jump here once
• 16:25
  Speaker 1: they beat Boston, no?
• 16:28
  Speaker 2: Well, yeah.
• 16:28
  Speaker 3: I mean, what is it right now? Is Boston sitting
• 16:30
  Speaker 3: there third?
• 16:31
  Speaker 2: 14 cents.
• 16:33
  Speaker 4: Okay, so you knock Boston out, you knock the third
• 16:35
  Speaker 4: team out, now you go play the one team. Now, listen,
• 16:37
  Speaker 4: Tampa's good and they give the problems, but Yeah, you
• 16:41
  Speaker 4: would think that'd be a pretty good move there because
• 16:43
  Speaker 4: I think there's probably people who feel Boston has a
• 16:46
  Speaker 4: better shot than maybe even Tampa. Maybe the odds don't
• 16:49
  Speaker 4: reflect that, but there could be people who feel the
• 16:52
  Speaker 4: winner of the Yankee-Boston series is going to win the pennant.
• 16:55
  Speaker 1: They're a two cent favorite over Tampa to win the
• 16:58
  Speaker 1: American League pennant. I mean, Tampa's 24 cents. Yankees are 26.
• 17:02
  Speaker 1: Yankees beat Boston, waiting Tampa. They're already the favorite. So
• 17:06
  Speaker 1: I don't know anything as crazy is going to change
• 17:08
  Speaker 1: between now and then. So if you like the Yankees,
• 17:10
  Speaker 1: jump on them now at this point, because if they
• 17:14
  Speaker 1: do make it to the pennant, right, against.
• 17:17
  Speaker 2: Whoever it is on the other side.
• 17:20
  Speaker 3: And they'll be a big favorite.
• 17:21
  Speaker 2: They'll be a huge favorite. Will they not be, Pete?
• 17:24
  Speaker 3: Huge.
• 17:25
  Speaker 2: Absolutely.
• 17:25
  Speaker 5: I mean, what do you guys think about that? The
• 17:28
  Speaker 5: also ran half of the bracket for last year.
• 17:30
  Speaker 2: That's a great point. That's a great point.
• 17:32
  Speaker 5: I mean, is there anybody in there, though, that you
• 17:35
  Speaker 5: guys would point to? Like, I just, it's tough. I
• 17:39
  Speaker 5: don't trust this guardians team at all. It looks like
• 17:41
  Speaker 5: maybe for a second straight September, they might prove me wrong.
• 17:44
  Speaker 5: But I mean, I think Houston might be the best
• 17:47
  Speaker 5: pick of the litter, so to speak in that group,
• 17:49
  Speaker 5: especially if they're able to get a first round by. Yeah.
• 17:52
  Speaker 1: Yeah.
• 17:53
  Speaker 2: It's so hard. I mean, it's like what? Cleveland, just
• 17:58
  Speaker 2: when you think it's... Oh, yeah, this team. They got no.
• 18:01
  Speaker 1: They win these 3-2, 2-1 playoff games, and next thing
• 18:05
  Speaker 1: you know, they play small ball better than anybody else.
• 18:08
  Speaker 2: I just don't know about... And they got two really
• 18:09
  Speaker 2: good pitchers. Yes. It's like.
• 18:12
  Speaker 1: And Houston's got the bats. I don't trust the starting pitching,
• 18:16
  Speaker 1: but I know they got the bullpen, so.
• 18:19
  Speaker 2: Yeah.
• 18:20
  Speaker 1: Experience matters here, and I think Vladdy finally hit a
• 18:23
  Speaker 1: home run in.
• 18:23
  Speaker 2: Toronto, so maybe... He did. Right? So.
• 18:27
  Speaker 1: But that other rant is that now is a great
• 18:29
  Speaker 1: time because somebody's coming out of that side.
• 18:33
  Speaker 2: Yeah, to the bottom half. And you know what?
• 18:36
  Speaker 1: They're going to be at a much better price than
• 18:37
  Speaker 1: the $ 0. 08 or $ 0. 09 that they are right now there.
• 18:41
  Speaker 1: So don't forget, still opportunities here to be able to
• 18:44
  Speaker 1: jump in on these predictive markets and cash out. You
• 18:48
  Speaker 1: don't have to have the event actually take place. You
• 18:51
  Speaker 1: don't need the Yankees to win something. You just need
• 18:54
  Speaker 1: them to win enough to be able to get repriced
• 18:56
  Speaker 1: and make yourself a pretty nice profit.
• 18:58
  Speaker 2: There, BP.
• 19:00
  Speaker 5: Yeah, and one more thing just to circle back to
• 19:01
  Speaker 5: the National League. I was thinking if you're looking for
• 19:04
  Speaker 5: anyone but the Dodgers, I think the Phillies have been
• 19:07
  Speaker 5: pretty fortunate this year with their record in one-run games.
• 19:10
  Speaker 2: But.
• 19:11
  Speaker 5: The Phillies, and I mentioned this months ago, I think
• 19:14
  Speaker 5: on Wager Talk today, they are a very dangerous team
• 19:16
  Speaker 5: when it gets to playoffs when you can shorten the rotation.
• 19:18
  Speaker 5: Remember their record when it's just Lizardo, Wheeler, or Sanchez
• 19:23
  Speaker 5: starting versus anybody else. It's demonstrably better.
• 19:26
  Speaker 2: And guess what?
• 19:27
  Speaker 5: When we get to the playoffs, it's basically going to
• 19:29
  Speaker 5: be Lizardo, Wheeler, and Sanchez starting for the Phillies. So
• 19:32
  Speaker 5: that's something to pay attention to in Philly.
• 19:35
  Speaker 2: Yep. Love it. All right.
• 19:37
  Speaker 1: So we've got predictive markets in the book. I think there's,
• 19:40
  Speaker 1: without having to tie up money for eight months, I
• 19:42
  Speaker 1: think there's some great opportunities in Major League Baseball. Now
• 19:46
  Speaker 1: that we're down to the final, 10 to 14 games,
• 19:49
  Speaker 1: somewhere in that ballpark should be fun. But we also,
• 19:53
  Speaker 1: we're going to take a look here at some of
• 19:55
  Speaker 1: these lines ahead in week two of the NFL. We'll
• 19:59
  Speaker 1: run down the baseball schedule here today. But first, of course,
• 20:03
  Speaker 1: it is time for some business, which means Brian Power.
• 20:08
  Speaker 1: Tell us what you got rolling over at wagertalk.com.
• 20:12
  Speaker 5: Look, I know everyone wants to bet the Monday Night
• 20:14
  Speaker 5: Football game, but I think the best bet on tonight's
• 20:16
  Speaker 5: board is a total in Major League Baseball. Guys, we're
• 20:20
  Speaker 5: up 86.2 units all sports since April 17th, 133 and
• 20:24
  Speaker 5: 94 overall record. And a big reason for that is
• 20:28
  Speaker 5: we're plus 48 units with Major League Baseball totals this season.
• 20:32
  Speaker 5: That is number two. So head on over to WT.buzz
• 20:36
  Speaker 5: slash BP. My only premium selection tonight is on a
• 20:39
  Speaker 5: Major League Baseball total. It is a 4% best bet.
• 20:42
  Speaker 2: Boom. Art, how about you, my man? Where are you
• 20:45
  Speaker 2: looking on the market here today?
• 20:47
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm like BP.
• 20:48
  Speaker 4: I passed on the Monday night game. I do have
• 20:50
  Speaker 4: a free play up as far as a prop goes.
• 20:52
  Speaker 4: So if you want to check that out. But I
• 20:53
  Speaker 4: do have a Major League Baseball play up. You know,
• 20:56
  Speaker 4: had one up yesterday. I don't think anyone paid attention
• 20:59
  Speaker 4: to it, but.
• 20:59
  Speaker 3: It was a winner. Listen, baseball is still cooking.
• 21:01
  Speaker 4: So let's continue to ride on this baseball and ride
• 21:03
  Speaker 4: out the last two weeks until we get to the postseason.
• 21:06
  Speaker 4: And listen, just check out everything I'm doing at my page, wt.buzz.com.
• 21:11
  Speaker 1: All right, well, I will have coming up here shortly
• 21:16
  Speaker 1: a 5% college football best bet that I am posting
• 21:18
  Speaker 1: here now that the number is exactly where I hoped
• 21:22
  Speaker 1: it would be. So our first 5% of the college
• 21:25
  Speaker 1: football season, that'll be up in my page this afternoon
• 21:28
  Speaker 1: at wagertalk.com. But let's look ahead to some of these
• 21:33
  Speaker 1: NFL games that we've got coming up on the board here, Art, especially.
• 21:40
  Speaker 2: after a very strange.
• 21:41
  Speaker 1: I will say this, and let's start it with this.
• 21:45
  Speaker 2: Do not overreact to anything you see in September. Please, please, please.
• 21:51
  Speaker 1: I promise you all of these teams will look differently
• 21:55
  Speaker 1: in November than they do in September.
• 21:57
  Speaker 2: So don't overreact to any of that.
• 21:59
  Speaker 1: But some of these games coming up, Bart, it's going
• 22:02
  Speaker 1: to be kind of hard to wash it from the memory,
• 22:06
  Speaker 1: to say the least. What are you seeing as far
• 22:08
  Speaker 1: as some of these games coming up? Anything standing out
• 22:11
  Speaker 1: to you?
• 22:12
  Speaker 3: Absolutely.
• 22:13
  Speaker 4: Got three sides that have kind of moved and I've
• 22:15
  Speaker 4: noticed on a total. Bills went from three and a
• 22:17
  Speaker 4: half to four. Panthers, who were a slight dog, catching one,
• 22:21
  Speaker 4: one and a half.
• 22:22
  Speaker 3: They're now favored. Minus one. Cardinals, no surprise. Overreaction.
• 22:26
  Speaker 4: They took money at five and a half. They're now
• 22:28
  Speaker 4: getting four. And then, listen, when you put up 59 points,
• 22:32
  Speaker 4: the bear total is going to go up. It was
• 22:34
  Speaker 4: 48 and a half.
• 22:34
  Speaker 3: It's now 49 and a half.
• 22:37
  Speaker 2: BP, what about you, man?
• 22:38
  Speaker 1: Some of these week two games that have opened here,
• 22:41
  Speaker 1: anything surprising to you?
• 22:44
  Speaker 5: I think that Seattle-Arizona line is the overreaction line, which
• 22:47
  Speaker 5: is funny because I never, ever like betting road favorites
• 22:50
  Speaker 5: in the NFL. But that number looks short to me.
• 22:53
  Speaker 5: Seattle's going to have the extra rest. I know no Darnold,
• 22:56
  Speaker 5: but they have extra rest. You know, Arizona caught a
• 22:59
  Speaker 5: lot of people mapping the Chargers in particular, but four
• 23:02
  Speaker 5: and a half. for Seattle that, that, that looks pretty short.
• 23:05
  Speaker 5: I love that art brought up the Minnesota Chicago game.
• 23:09
  Speaker 5: I remember a couple of years. Remember when it was
• 23:11
  Speaker 5: McDaniel in Miami, they put up some huge number in
• 23:15
  Speaker 5: week one. And then I faded him the next week
• 23:17
  Speaker 5: against Buffalo. And that was a winner for me. It
• 23:21
  Speaker 5: was a 5% winner for me actually. I want to
• 23:24
  Speaker 5: do the same with Chicago. Like, you know, 59 points,
• 23:28
  Speaker 5: Ben Johnson saying, oh, greatest offense of all time is
• 23:31
  Speaker 5: what we're going to have here. The public's going to
• 23:32
  Speaker 5: be buying it. Here's the problem. with betting against Chicago
• 23:37
  Speaker 5: this week. You got to go with Minnesota. We don't
• 23:39
  Speaker 5: know what Minnesota's quarterback situation is. And the Minnesota Vikings,
• 23:42
  Speaker 5: you talk about a fraudulent number of points, and all
• 23:46
  Speaker 5: due respect to your winner.
• 23:48
  Speaker 2: You're right.
• 23:49
  Speaker 5: The Vikings put up 39 points yesterday, despite averaging 3.9
• 23:55
  Speaker 5: yards per play. I don't know the last time that's
• 23:58
  Speaker 5: happened in the NFL. So there's no way they're getting
• 24:01
  Speaker 5: to 39. Now, that doesn't mean you should run and
• 24:03
  Speaker 5: bet the under here either, because... Who knows? Chicago could
• 24:05
  Speaker 5: put up points, but I don't know. If that total
• 24:07
  Speaker 5: gets above 50, Art, I might get a little interested
• 24:12
  Speaker 5: in the under on Chicago-Minnesota.
• 24:15
  Speaker 1: Anybody think that, and I had said this, I thought
• 24:21
  Speaker 1: they were going to wait for that first game to
• 24:23
  Speaker 1: come home because their first two games are on the road,
• 24:26
  Speaker 1: but Cleveland is traveling to Tampa Bay. And Tampa, it
• 24:30
  Speaker 1: took them a little while to get started there yesterday,
• 24:32
  Speaker 1: and they fell a little bit short to Cincinnati. But
• 24:37
  Speaker 1: call me crazy here. This has got double-digit numbers. blowout
• 24:42
  Speaker 1: written all over it here. You're already starting a game.
• 24:45
  Speaker 1: What are you going to make a switch now? I mean,
• 24:48
  Speaker 1: I don't, I don't know what they're going to do,
• 24:50
  Speaker 1: but I do know heading to Tampa in this heat
• 24:54
  Speaker 1: and this weather is not going to be great for
• 24:56
  Speaker 1: the Cleveland Browns here. You're a Cle, you love the
• 24:59
  Speaker 1: Browns BP. I mean, is it, did they go with
• 25:02
  Speaker 1: him one more week?
• 25:05
  Speaker 5: Um, we were joking off air before we started that, uh,
• 25:09
  Speaker 5: If the local news came on tonight and said every
• 25:13
  Speaker 5: household in the greater Cleveland area, if you sent $ 20
• 25:16
  Speaker 5: to the Browns and we'll make Deshaun Watson go away forever.
• 25:20
  Speaker 5: I think they could do it. I think they would.
• 25:22
  Speaker 5: I think every household. He is that reviled.
• 25:25
  Speaker 2: In this town.
• 25:26
  Speaker 5: They can't start him in week three in the home opener, Joe.
• 25:28
  Speaker 2: Well, that's my guess.
• 25:30
  Speaker 5: There's going to be a revolt. Now, me and Zinno,
• 25:33
  Speaker 5: we gave it out. Joe, you were actually there, because
• 25:36
  Speaker 5: I know you can't get enough of me during the week.
• 25:37
  Speaker 5: You were on the morning wager on Friday night. And
• 25:41
  Speaker 5: we gave out Jacksonville as our survivor pick for the
• 25:43
  Speaker 5: Splash Sports Contest. Easiest winner on the board. I know
• 25:46
  Speaker 5: it was chalky, but hey... Early on, it's just survive
• 25:49
  Speaker 5: in advance, right? It's better than taking the Chargers in
• 25:51
  Speaker 5: week one. I can almost assure you Tampa Bay will
• 25:54
  Speaker 5: be our survivor choice in week two. I've already told Zeno,
• 25:57
  Speaker 5: you will have to make one hell of a compelling
• 25:59
  Speaker 5: argument to me to pick anyone else. This is a
• 26:02
  Speaker 5: Bucs team that's failed to cover 10 in a row.
• 26:04
  Speaker 5: I believe that's now tied for an NFL record.
• 26:06
  Speaker 2: Yep.
• 26:07
  Speaker 5: I'm with you, Joe. This reeks of a double. Deshaun Watson,
• 26:10
  Speaker 5: that early interception, I laughed so hard.
• 26:13
  Speaker 2: You could have seen it coming a million miles away.
• 26:15
  Speaker 5: My wife has one of those watches where it registers
• 26:19
  Speaker 5: the noise, and she goes, it says it's like an
• 26:22
  Speaker 5: explosion down here. You're laughing so hard. It was one
• 26:27
  Speaker 5: of the worst passes I've ever seen.
• 26:28
  Speaker 2: Love it.
• 26:29
  Speaker 1: Absolutely love it. And by the way, they are not
• 26:33
  Speaker 1: the biggest favorite on the board. Biggest favorite on the
• 26:36
  Speaker 1: board are the 49ers against Miami. And that's almost, what,
• 26:41
  Speaker 1: 12 and a half? Somewhere in that ballpark against the Dolphins. Listen,
• 26:45
  Speaker 1: the Dolphins are the worst defensive team by far in
• 26:48
  Speaker 1: the National Football League. And that's saying something. But they
• 26:51
  Speaker 1: are the worst defensive team by far. It's not good.
• 26:54
  Speaker 1: Willis can't be protected. So, you know, traveling the travel
• 26:58
  Speaker 1: now to the 49ers, I get it. You know, are
• 27:01
  Speaker 1: they staying out there?
• 27:02
  Speaker 2: Do we know?
• 27:03
  Speaker 3: It'd be smart if they did.
• 27:06
  Speaker 2: I mean, because they were already in Vegas, right? So,
• 27:08
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 27:09
  Speaker 5: Yeah. Well, here's the thing. My concern with back in
• 27:13
  Speaker 5: the– as much as the 49ers think they're going to
• 27:15
  Speaker 5: win is they're coming from the land down under. I
• 27:17
  Speaker 5: don't know if you want to start seeing men at work, Joe. Yes. But,
• 27:20
  Speaker 5: you know, that– I mean, that is kind of a concern.
• 27:24
  Speaker 5: Obviously kind of an unprecedented road trip for an NFL team.
• 27:28
  Speaker 5: So it'll probably keep me staying away. Plus, maybe the
• 27:33
  Speaker 5: Niners are a team you probably want to save, too,
• 27:35
  Speaker 5: in a survivor deal.
• 27:36
  Speaker 1: I don't know why the Chargers are laying a touchdown.
• 27:39
  Speaker 1: I mean, the Raiders looked– more than capable of holding
• 27:43
  Speaker 1: their own against, you know, certainly Crosby was a beast
• 27:46
  Speaker 1: again yesterday.
• 27:48
  Speaker 2: And, you know, Jenty is great, right?
• 27:51
  Speaker 1: I mean, and you know what you're getting from Kirk
• 27:53
  Speaker 1: Cousins is the reason he's the starting quarterback here. So
• 27:56
  Speaker 1: I don't, granted, you know, it's a bounce back spot
• 28:00
  Speaker 1: for the Chargers, but any part of that Chargers game, though.
• 28:04
  Speaker 2: I want to be laying more than a touchdown with, though, Art?
• 28:07
  Speaker 3: No, right?
• 28:08
  Speaker 2: No.
• 28:09
  Speaker 4: And in a division game, if it's seven, seven and
• 28:11
  Speaker 4: a half, you've got to take the Raiders.
• 28:14
  Speaker 5: My favorite AFC West bet, we did the NFL mega
• 28:18
  Speaker 5: preview on the morning wagers, Zeno and I. My favorite
• 28:21
  Speaker 5: bet for that division was Raiders over one and a
• 28:24
  Speaker 5: half division wins. It was plus money. Look, I don't
• 28:28
  Speaker 5: think the Raiders are going to make the playoffs, let
• 28:30
  Speaker 5: alone win this division. But I think they're going to
• 28:31
  Speaker 5: play spoiler, and I don't want to be betting against
• 28:34
  Speaker 5: them in these division games. I think they're going to
• 28:36
  Speaker 5: catch the Chargers, the Broncos, the Chiefs. between the three
• 28:40
  Speaker 5: of them, they'll catch two of them napping.
• 28:42
  Speaker 1: Well, that's what you get when you hire Mike McDaniel
• 28:43
  Speaker 1: as your offensive coordinator. My goodness, that was just awful
• 28:47
  Speaker 1: charges on so many different levels here.
• 28:49
  Speaker 5: I think Justin Herbert might be a little too happy
• 28:52
  Speaker 5: on the home front. You know what I'm saying, John?
• 28:54
  Speaker 5: I mean, I don't blame him. I mean, I don't– yeah, but,
• 28:56
  Speaker 5: you know, I think he might be– Win something.
• 28:58
  Speaker 2: Will you win something, Justin Herbert? Yeah, just win something.
• 29:00
  Speaker 2: I agree with you.
• 29:01
  Speaker 1: I mean, jeez.
• 29:02
  Speaker 2: Win something here.
• 29:04
  Speaker 3: He's the starting quarterback in the NFL. We know he
• 29:05
  Speaker 3: can get hot girls. Can he win a football game?
• 29:08
  Speaker 2: Unreal.
• 29:09
  Speaker 3: Jesus Christ.
• 29:10
  Speaker 2: Ridiculous.
• 29:11
  Speaker 1: All right, time for a little Major League Baseball rundown.
• 29:15
  Speaker 1: We'll go through a few of these coming up here tonight.
• 29:17
  Speaker 1: 640 will be the opening start time. Gavin Williams there, BP,
• 29:23
  Speaker 1: of your Guardians taking on Newcomb and the White Sox.
• 29:26
  Speaker 2: Who do you like in this one?
• 29:28
  Speaker 5: Art gave out the Guardians the parlay. I can't disagree
• 29:30
  Speaker 5: with that. If the price is a little too much,
• 29:33
  Speaker 5: if you're just betting this one straight, maybe look at
• 29:34
  Speaker 5: the first five, even lay the half run with the Guardians.
• 29:37
  Speaker 5: Big starting pitching edge in this one.
• 29:38
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't know.
• 29:39
  Speaker 1: I mean, Scoble, another monster favorite here. Art, what are
• 29:43
  Speaker 1: we thinking against little Dolo and the Reds?
• 29:46
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, you know, we always say it.
• 29:48
  Speaker 4: It's hard to lay that number with the Dodgers, but
• 29:52
  Speaker 4: you can look other ways. You can look run line.
• 29:54
  Speaker 4: You can look first.
• 29:54
  Speaker 3: Five run line. Maybe Scoble strikeout, something like that.
• 29:58
  Speaker 1: All right, you've got Tigers and the Blue Jays melting
• 30:01
  Speaker 1: against Soriano in Toronto. Seven and a half in total,
• 30:05
  Speaker 1: and that feels a little high to me, BP.
• 30:07
  Speaker 2: What are you thinking?
• 30:10
  Speaker 5: The money line price seems short on Toronto, given that
• 30:12
  Speaker 5: they've got it all in front of them. And Detroit
• 30:14
  Speaker 5: has nothing to play for, doesn't it? It scares you
• 30:17
  Speaker 5: a little bit. I do want to add one more
• 30:18
  Speaker 5: thing on that Dodgers-Reds game. Since Scooble's come over to
• 30:21
  Speaker 5: the Dodgers, the Dodgers are 0-7 in his starts on
• 30:24
  Speaker 5: the run line. They've won five games, all five wins, though,
• 30:28
  Speaker 5: by exactly one run. This could be the game, though,
• 30:32
  Speaker 5: that snaps that. The Reds, you know, they're dead last
• 30:34
  Speaker 5: in baseball in batting average at home.
• 30:38
  Speaker 1: It's 11 runs or no runs for the Reds. That's
• 30:41
  Speaker 1: all it ever is. Orioles at the Mets. Young versus
• 30:46
  Speaker 1: Tong here today at Citi Field.
• 30:49
  Speaker 3: Yeah, Mets are a small favorite.
• 30:50
  Speaker 4: Obviously, Baltimore still hanging on for maybe a playoff bird.
• 30:55
  Speaker 3: I would lean the Mets. The Mets have been playing
• 30:57
  Speaker 3: good baseball here over the last six weeks.
• 30:59
  Speaker 1: Braves, Cubs, Ronaldo Lopez versus Peter. I'm just going to
• 31:03
  Speaker 1: take an over. I mean, it's already nine, nine and
• 31:05
  Speaker 1: a half, and I'll take the over there. Yankees at
• 31:09
  Speaker 1: the twins Warren against Kramer. What do you think of BP?
• 31:13
  Speaker 5: Another one where the line looks, the money line looks
• 31:15
  Speaker 5: tantalizingly short. Dean Kramer has been horrible for the twins.
• 31:18
  Speaker 5: And I just, I have to stay away from the
• 31:21
  Speaker 5: Yankees to the public art. You got to think in
• 31:23
  Speaker 5: the minus one 30 price range is going to be
• 31:26
  Speaker 5: so tempting.
• 31:27
  Speaker 1: Yep.
• 31:27
  Speaker 2: I agree.
• 31:28
  Speaker 5: I don't like, are you setting a trap here? Wink
• 31:31
  Speaker 5: twice if you are. So I don't know. I'm staying away.
• 31:35
  Speaker 3: Hold on.
• 31:36
  Speaker 4: I'm not, I'm not setting any traps anymore.
• 31:39
  Speaker 2: Okay, I know. I hear you. I hear you.
• 31:41
  Speaker 3: I will say this. Yeah, it is interesting.
• 31:44
  Speaker 2: You know better than anyone.
• 31:45
  Speaker 3: It hasn't been great.
• 31:46
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean, listen, that will be the number one
• 31:48
  Speaker 4: public side today in MLB.
• 31:50
  Speaker 2: We know that. Absolutely. Yep, absolutely will be.
• 31:53
  Speaker 1: Giants at the Cardinals. Roop versus Matthew. Seven and a half.
• 31:58
  Speaker 1: Bush Stadium, not exactly a hitter's paradise here, but man,
• 32:02
  Speaker 1: that feels like a low number there, does it not, Art?
• 32:05
  Speaker 3: It does.
• 32:05
  Speaker 4: I would look at the over, even though what you
• 32:07
  Speaker 4: just mentioned is absolutely correct.
• 32:09
  Speaker 3: But two teams not going anywhere. Maybe they'll play a
• 32:12
  Speaker 3: softball game tonight.
• 32:13
  Speaker 2: Yeah.
• 32:13
  Speaker 1: Mize versus Sugano. I mean, listen, Sugano is much better
• 32:17
  Speaker 1: than people realize.
• 32:19
  Speaker 2: And I've given up. He's not an automatic fade, even in.
• 32:22
  Speaker 1: Colorado BP going up against Casey Mize, who still wishes
• 32:25
  Speaker 1: he was in the American League here.
• 32:27
  Speaker 2: What are we thinking?
• 32:30
  Speaker 5: Maybe Rockies plus one and a half. Here's San Diego
• 32:33
  Speaker 5: traveling off a Sunday night win. They have won, Padres
• 32:37
  Speaker 5: have won seven in a row. Rockies have lost seven
• 32:39
  Speaker 5: in a row. I will say, I was one of
• 32:40
  Speaker 5: the guys, when we broke down Sagato's starts on the
• 32:43
  Speaker 5: morning wager, would always bring up his baseball savant page,
• 32:46
  Speaker 5: would pound the desk, say, look at the actual ERA.
• 32:49
  Speaker 5: Look at the expected ERA. There's more than a two-run
• 32:51
  Speaker 5: difference here. This guy's going to regress. He has regressed
• 32:54
  Speaker 5: the last five starts, Joe, an ERA over nine. But
• 32:57
  Speaker 5: Casey Mize, as you pointed out, has not been good
• 33:00
  Speaker 5: at all since coming to San Diego. So I guess
• 33:04
  Speaker 5: just take a shot with the Rockies one and a
• 33:05
  Speaker 5: half if you want to play this one. Yeah, stop
• 33:07
  Speaker 5: referencing a show nobody watches, would you? Mariners, Angels, Art,
• 33:12
  Speaker 5: that would be fantastic. Seven and a half. Detmer is
• 33:15
  Speaker 5: on the mound against Anderson. I don't know where the
• 33:18
  Speaker 5: runs are coming with these two guys.
• 33:20
  Speaker 3: Yeah, probably an under.
• 33:21
  Speaker 4: I can't disagree with BP on a first five. I've
• 33:24
  Speaker 4: said it for a month on this show. Seattle is
• 33:25
  Speaker 4: a rat. And they continue to be a rat. So
• 33:28
  Speaker 4: I could not put any money on Seattle.
• 33:31
  Speaker 1: And finally, BP Marlins taking on Arizona. Alcantara's gotten lit
• 33:36
  Speaker 1: up here. Last couple of starts. Burns, Corbin Burns is back.
• 33:40
  Speaker 1: Went three innings last time out. Wasn't terrible. He's going
• 33:43
  Speaker 1: to be on another pitch count here tonight. Eight and
• 33:45
  Speaker 1: a half is the total. And boy, that feels light
• 33:48
  Speaker 1: too to me.
• 33:50
  Speaker 5: Theme of the day feels like some of these Moneyline favorites,
• 33:53
  Speaker 5: the number feels short. What's going on here? Because Arizona's
• 33:56
  Speaker 5: got it all in front of them. They're in a
• 33:58
  Speaker 5: lot of trouble now behind the Padres. They need to win.
• 34:01
  Speaker 5: They do have revenge for a prior sweep, but that
• 34:04
  Speaker 5: sweep was a while ago against the Marlins. And I
• 34:07
  Speaker 5: could only bet the D-backs here. Joe, you brought up
• 34:09
  Speaker 5: Alcantara recently, his last five starts. The Marlins have lost
• 34:13
  Speaker 5: all of them. He's posted a 5.83 ERA in that stretch.
• 34:16
  Speaker 5: And the worst start of the bunch was actually last
• 34:18
  Speaker 5: time out. gave up seven runs to the Mets, including
• 34:21
  Speaker 5: three homers.
• 34:23
  Speaker 1: That's kind of crazy, but that is your Major League
• 34:25
  Speaker 1: Baseball rundown for tonight here. Big shout-out to those of you, again,
• 34:31
  Speaker 1: in the chat room there and, of course, making those comments. Drop,
• 34:36
  Speaker 1: by the way, your favorite play on Monday Night Football tonight.
• 34:40
  Speaker 1: How many of you are actually buying Mahomes off an injury?
• 34:46
  Speaker 1: and think it's just everything that's going to be business
• 34:49
  Speaker 1: as usual here. I think this is going to be
• 34:52
  Speaker 1: interesting tonight. I like Denver, but you guys drop in.
• 34:55
  Speaker 1: What's your favorite play of the night here on Monday night? Football, BP,
• 35:01
  Speaker 1: 4% Major League Baseball play up at your page?
• 35:04
  Speaker 5: Yep, that is correct. And don't forget to check out
• 35:06
  Speaker 5: the Morning Wager.
• 35:07
  Speaker 2: Nobody watches. Nobody cares.
• 35:09
  Speaker 5: He was actually on the show Friday, so I find
• 35:12
  Speaker 5: it very odd that he would.
• 35:13
  Speaker 2: Disparage a program.
• 35:15
  Speaker 5: That he chose to be on Friday.
• 35:17
  Speaker 1: And listen, if a tree falls in a forest and
• 35:20
  Speaker 1: nobody's there to watch it, it really.
• 35:22
  Speaker 2: Doesn't make a sound. Art, again, you are locked and
• 35:26
  Speaker 2: loaded here tonight as well at your page.
• 35:29
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I just have 3% baseball play up. Like I said,
• 35:32
  Speaker 4: free play on the prop for the Monday night football game,
• 35:35
  Speaker 4: but not in play as far as side or total.
• 35:37
  Speaker 1: All right, and I'll have my first college football 5%
• 35:40
  Speaker 1: up for you guys a little bit later this afternoon.
• 35:43
  Speaker 2: You can grab that at my page.
• 35:44
  Speaker 1: No reason not to take advantage of all the different
• 35:48
  Speaker 1: promotions we got running here at wageratalk.com. Visit BP, visit Arts,
• 35:53
  Speaker 1: and make sure you have plans to come back and
• 35:54
  Speaker 1: join us again tomorrow for another edition of the best
• 35:57
  Speaker 1: betting show ever. BP, I'd like to say it was
• 36:01
  Speaker 1: a pleasure.
• 36:03
  Speaker 2: Art, it was a pleasure. BP, we'll see you on
• 36:06
  Speaker 2: some Phantom show sometime soon. Good luck, guys. We'll see
• 36:09
  Speaker 2: you again.